WEBVTT - Moderna's CFO on How to Allocate Capital in Big Pharma

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, Radio News.

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<v Speaker 2>Hello and welcome to another episode of the Odd Lots podcast.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm Tracy Alloway and I'm Joe.

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<v Speaker 3>Why isn't thal Joe?

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<v Speaker 2>Do you know much about MODERNA?

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<v Speaker 4>Well, I had.

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<v Speaker 3>Heard the name for maybe a few years, and then

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<v Speaker 3>they became household name some point in twenty twenty when

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<v Speaker 3>they were ahead of the race to develop a COVID vaccine.

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<v Speaker 3>Then it became massive, and then I don't know much

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<v Speaker 3>beyond that.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, for me, this is a company that kind of

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<v Speaker 2>came out of nowhere during the pandemic, and as you're right,

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<v Speaker 2>it kind of shot into household name territory. Here's my

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<v Speaker 2>other question. Do you know what a CFO does?

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<v Speaker 5>What?

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<v Speaker 3>That is a great question, actually, because I mean, I

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<v Speaker 3>guess I would say yes in this sense that I

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<v Speaker 3>think they're the ones who are sort of watching the financing,

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<v Speaker 3>helping to make capital allocation decisions, although I imagine that

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<v Speaker 3>the CEO also has that. I think the CFO is

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<v Speaker 3>the one primarily involved in putting together the earnings and

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<v Speaker 3>you know, communicating the finance side, specifically the analyst. But

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<v Speaker 3>I guess I only partly know what a CFO does

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<v Speaker 3>to me.

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<v Speaker 2>The thing I always think when I hear CFO I

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<v Speaker 2>always think they're the hard ones. Sorry, They're the ones

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<v Speaker 2>that answer the hard questions on the on the earnings calls.

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<v Speaker 2>That's what they do.

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<v Speaker 4>I love that. I think that, yes, that's right.

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<v Speaker 3>The CEO is like, oh, we get to these great

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<v Speaker 3>products and blah blah. And then like someone asked a

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<v Speaker 3>really technical question about like well if your borrow will

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<v Speaker 3>get this above so far and margins and they're like,

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<v Speaker 3>I'm going to bring the CFO in the answer this.

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<v Speaker 2>Then yeah, exactly. Well, I'm pleased to say today we do,

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<v Speaker 2>in fact have the perfect guest to answer the question

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<v Speaker 2>of what is modern and also what does a CFO

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<v Speaker 2>actually do. We are going to be speaking to the

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<v Speaker 2>CFO of MODERNA, Jamie Mack. Jamie, thank you so much

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<v Speaker 2>for coming on on thoughts.

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<v Speaker 5>Hi, Tracy and Joe, thank you for having me. It's

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<v Speaker 5>a pleasure to be here with you.

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<v Speaker 2>So maybe just to begin, can you give us the

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<v Speaker 2>sort of elevator pitch summary of what it is that

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<v Speaker 2>MODERNA does and full disclosure, I was in Hong Kong

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<v Speaker 2>for a few years of the pandemic, so I missed

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of the vaccine conversation here in the US.

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<v Speaker 2>There was a very different vaccine conversation that was happening

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<v Speaker 2>in Hong Kong and in mainland China at the time.

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<v Speaker 2>But what is it that you actually do and how

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<v Speaker 2>is it that you have become a household name in

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<v Speaker 2>a relatively few short years.

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<v Speaker 5>Well sure, so, first I found your introduction quite entertaining.

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<v Speaker 5>The CFO actually in our business because we are very

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<v Speaker 5>much a science business, which I'll get into.

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<v Speaker 4>It's actually our president and CEO.

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<v Speaker 5>That get the really tough questions. But I get to

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<v Speaker 5>my own share as well, which we can get into.

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<v Speaker 3>But the CEO has to answer the tough biology questions.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, he's quite good at it. He's he was part

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<v Speaker 4>you employee number one and.

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<v Speaker 5>Has been here and built this business for thirteen years

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<v Speaker 5>so and he's got a science background, so he's quite

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<v Speaker 5>good at it. And then our president, Stephen Hoague is

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<v Speaker 5>a doctor by trade, so obviously they answered most of

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<v Speaker 5>the scientific questions.

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<v Speaker 4>But so Maderna is obviously known.

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<v Speaker 5>Due to how we help the global community with COVID,

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<v Speaker 5>but it's really much more than that. It is a

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<v Speaker 5>platform company revolving around MR and a which really makes

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<v Speaker 5>the proteins in a body, and those proteins can help

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<v Speaker 5>either fight infectious diseases and prevent against any kind of

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<v Speaker 5>infectious disease, or be a therapy, and we can get

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<v Speaker 5>into the segments that we're in, but it can be

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<v Speaker 5>in oncology, it can be a rare disease. And we

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<v Speaker 5>actually believed, and that was the principal belief in the

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<v Speaker 5>company is if this platform can work, it's going to

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<v Speaker 5>be able. Since it's part of your natural body, it's

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<v Speaker 5>going to be able to help solve many different therapeutic

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<v Speaker 5>areas in the body.

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<v Speaker 4>And so that's a little bit about Maderna.

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<v Speaker 5>In over the last thirteen years, we've built a pipeline

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<v Speaker 5>of forty five drug candidates. Obviously we're known for covid,

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<v Speaker 5>but also in other respiratory diseases. We hope to launch

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<v Speaker 5>our second drug this year, RSV, which became pretty well

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<v Speaker 5>known last year as it had a pretty significant spike,

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<v Speaker 5>but also in flu and other respiratory diseases. And then

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<v Speaker 5>in oncology we've got an exciting cancer therapy that we

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<v Speaker 5>are excited about rare diseases and other latent diseases. So

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<v Speaker 5>that's a little bit about Maderna. We've been around since

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<v Speaker 5>twenty eleven. We've got almost six thousand employees. We're based

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<v Speaker 5>out of Cambridge, Massachusetts, but have.

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<v Speaker 4>Some facilities all across the globe, and we've got quite

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<v Speaker 4>an exciting pipeline ahead of us. That was excellent.

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<v Speaker 3>All right, Now, what does the CFO or you specifically?

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<v Speaker 3>What is your job within the company?

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<v Speaker 5>So my CFO role is really not that different than

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<v Speaker 5>many other CFOs. It's just you know, in a different space.

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<v Speaker 5>And I think there's principally four different areas. One is

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<v Speaker 5>the foundation, which is controllership, so that's accurate books and records.

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<v Speaker 5>That's safeguarding our assets, and that's got to be foundational and.

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<v Speaker 4>An absolute given.

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<v Speaker 5>The second is allocating capital, and we can talk about

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<v Speaker 5>that some more, but what is the envelope where we

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<v Speaker 5>going to spend it? How much goes into our investment

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<v Speaker 5>in our R and D pipeline, how much goes into capital.

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<v Speaker 4>Expenditure and S G and A.

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<v Speaker 5>The third is to support decision making across the company

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<v Speaker 5>and train our teams to understand how to measure return

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<v Speaker 5>on investment and how to think through decisions that are

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<v Speaker 5>made every single day, thousands of decisions across the company

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<v Speaker 5>every single day. And then the last is stakeholder management

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<v Speaker 5>and with whether it's investors, employees, the board of directors, customers, partners, suppliers.

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<v Speaker 4>You know.

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<v Speaker 5>That's how I think about it, which really isn't too

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<v Speaker 5>different from my prior role. Is it's a CFO of

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<v Speaker 5>a different company or in my opinion, and many of

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<v Speaker 5>the CFOs that are out there, how they operate every day.

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<v Speaker 2>So you mentioned that the CFO role is kind of

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<v Speaker 2>uniform across companies, but I have to imagine there are

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<v Speaker 2>some aspects of the pharma industry that make it a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit different, and one of them has to be

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<v Speaker 2>I guess the lead times in developing new treatments and

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<v Speaker 2>new medicines, and perhaps the risk as well. So you

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<v Speaker 2>might spend ten years developing this one thing and then

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<v Speaker 2>you find out at the very end that it has

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<v Speaker 2>an awful side effect or that the regulators aren't going

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<v Speaker 2>to approve it. How does that aspect of the business,

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<v Speaker 2>that uniqueness, feed into the CFO role.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, you're absolutely right, And maybe just to talk about

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<v Speaker 5>that process we call it, you know, we take a

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<v Speaker 5>drug from pure research to kind of pre clinical which

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<v Speaker 5>doesn't go into a human body, and you're kind of

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<v Speaker 5>testing how it works in the animals, and then it

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<v Speaker 5>gets into an IMD process or a new drug candidate,

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<v Speaker 5>and there are phase one, phase two, phase three, and

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<v Speaker 5>you're right, I mean, the probability is success from basic

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<v Speaker 5>research all the way through not only getting it launched

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<v Speaker 5>with the FDA in the United States as an example,

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<v Speaker 5>but there's healthcare regulators all across the globe, and.

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<v Speaker 4>Then commercial success as well.

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<v Speaker 5>So there's a ton of risk that goes into it,

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<v Speaker 5>and that's what we spend our time doing. And we

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<v Speaker 5>as a platform company believe that. You know, we've been

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<v Speaker 5>studying the science of mr anda in different verticals. A

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<v Speaker 5>vertical might be respiratory vaccines, as I mentioned, and if

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<v Speaker 5>we know that our mr and a platform can work

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<v Speaker 5>with COVID, then we have a high conviction that it

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<v Speaker 5>can work with RSP and a high conviction that it

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<v Speaker 5>can work with through another.

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<v Speaker 4>Respiratory and so we derisk that throughout the process.

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<v Speaker 5>We do it in basic research, we do it in

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<v Speaker 5>pre clinical, we do it in phase one trials, phase

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<v Speaker 5>two trials, and all those trials are just more patients.

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<v Speaker 5>So you might start with literally ten to fifteen patients

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<v Speaker 5>in phase one and then.

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<v Speaker 4>A respiratory trial.

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<v Speaker 5>Our RSP trial for phase three was thirty seven thousand patients.

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<v Speaker 5>And you just continue to assess what is the risk

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<v Speaker 5>and what is the capabilities, And so that's what we

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<v Speaker 5>spend a ton of time doing when we think about

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<v Speaker 5>allocating capital to our pipeline and our next drug candidates.

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<v Speaker 3>Talk to us a little bit more about that. I

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<v Speaker 3>think you said you had forty or forty something various

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<v Speaker 3>candidates in the pipeline. Obviously it'd be nice to have

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<v Speaker 3>unlimited money and work on all of them. You know,

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<v Speaker 3>when you are thinking about capital allocation, R and D allocation,

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<v Speaker 3>et cetera, Like, what are the factors that go into

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<v Speaker 3>making these decisions?

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<v Speaker 5>Sure, yeah, there's a lot, but I'll kind of summarize

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<v Speaker 5>it into a few, which is getting back to that

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<v Speaker 5>sense of risk and comparing it to our capabilities. So

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<v Speaker 5>I mentioned we have higher conviction and respiratory vaccines, so

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<v Speaker 5>therefore it's much easier to place bets and further dollars

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<v Speaker 5>behind respiratory vaccines. We are currently hoping to de risk

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<v Speaker 5>our latent vaccine therapeutic area. We've recently de risked our

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<v Speaker 5>oncology area, which we call individualized antigen therapy, which is

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<v Speaker 5>a mouthful, but in essence it helps stimulate key.

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<v Speaker 4>Sales to attack cancer.

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<v Speaker 5>And so when we look through it, we say, okay,

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<v Speaker 5>what is the mRNA capabilities? Have we derisked this area?

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<v Speaker 5>And therefore, you know, every step of the way, allocate

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<v Speaker 5>more dollars.

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<v Speaker 4>So that's number one. Number two is we look at

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<v Speaker 4>the size of the opportunity.

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<v Speaker 5>So this really isn't any different than any business case

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<v Speaker 5>for any company in any industry.

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<v Speaker 4>You know, respiratory vaccines is a very large market.

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<v Speaker 5>We think it's a thirty billion dollar market between flue, covid,

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<v Speaker 5>rsv SO, and there's only a few players, and there's

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<v Speaker 5>a very high barrier to entry because you have to

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<v Speaker 5>test so many patients and those trials are quite expensive.

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<v Speaker 5>Third is what's the competition and what's our commercial capabilities?

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<v Speaker 5>Will we be successful? Will we have something that differentiates

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<v Speaker 5>our product versus another product? And then the fourth is timing,

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<v Speaker 5>particularly when you're we're still a relatively young biotech company.

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<v Speaker 4>Thirteen years old is not that old in the grand

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<v Speaker 4>scheme of.

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<v Speaker 5>Things, and so therefore we have to understand Okay, what's

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<v Speaker 5>our cash balance? You know, how much revenue and profit

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<v Speaker 5>are we going to be generating in the next few years.

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<v Speaker 5>And therefore we want to turn over the portfolio to

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<v Speaker 5>not just be a COVID company, but to be a

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<v Speaker 5>multi drug company in various different areas. And so therefore

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<v Speaker 5>we look at, well, is this going to start generating

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<v Speaker 5>revenue in twenty twenty five, twenty twenty six, or some

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<v Speaker 5>of these won't be till twenty thirty five. So we

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<v Speaker 5>have to kind of balance all those things to make

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<v Speaker 5>sure that we have a sustainable company and bring the

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<v Speaker 5>most drugs to market with the highest probability of success.

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<v Speaker 2>So one thing that always interests me in these types

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<v Speaker 2>of conversations is the decision on allocating resources. And we're

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<v Speaker 2>talking about okay, thirteen years old, still relatively small in

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<v Speaker 2>the grand scheme of large pharma companies. But you have

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of people, you have a decent amount of money,

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<v Speaker 2>it seems, how do you decide where to put that

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<v Speaker 2>money to work? And I guess how granular do those

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<v Speaker 2>decisions actually get. Is there like a line item for

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<v Speaker 2>R and D expenses every year and it's just like

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<v Speaker 2>a big bundle and then there are people who are

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<v Speaker 2>specifically dedicated to dividing that up or would you, as CFO,

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<v Speaker 2>be like, I'm going to give X amount to this

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<v Speaker 2>project and why amount to this other developmental treatment.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, So at the high level, we work with the

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<v Speaker 5>executive team and the board to understand what is the

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<v Speaker 5>envelope of capital will give to R and D in

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<v Speaker 5>that example, because we also have to give capital to SGNA,

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<v Speaker 5>We have to give capital to capital expenditures, and historically

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<v Speaker 5>over the last couple of years, we had bought back shares,

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<v Speaker 5>although we've stopped buying backshares at this point because we

0:11:44.920 --> 0:11:45.800
<v Speaker 5>primarily want to.

0:11:45.760 --> 0:11:46.960
<v Speaker 4>Invest in this pipeline.

0:11:47.400 --> 0:11:49.599
<v Speaker 5>So after that, so once you size the envelope in

0:11:49.679 --> 0:11:51.520
<v Speaker 5>terms of, Okay, here's how much I'm willing to spend.

0:11:51.920 --> 0:11:53.800
<v Speaker 5>As an example, in twenty twenty four, we think we'll

0:11:53.840 --> 0:11:56.120
<v Speaker 5>spend approximately four and a half billion dollars. So then

0:11:56.160 --> 0:11:59.400
<v Speaker 5>the next step is, Okay, you have forty five drug candidates,

0:11:59.800 --> 0:12:02.000
<v Speaker 5>which ones why? Which is what I just kind of

0:12:02.000 --> 0:12:04.400
<v Speaker 5>talked through in terms of capabilities and the size of opportunities.

0:12:04.400 --> 0:12:06.120
<v Speaker 5>But just to maybe give a little bit more flavor,

0:12:07.040 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 5>a drug is not so simple, even COVID as an example,

0:12:11.520 --> 0:12:15.880
<v Speaker 5>you know, there's different patient populations. So there's the immunal compromised,

0:12:16.160 --> 0:12:20.440
<v Speaker 5>there's age sixty plus, there's age fifty to fifty nine,

0:12:21.040 --> 0:12:24.600
<v Speaker 5>there's age eighteen to forty nine, there's you know, I

0:12:24.640 --> 0:12:28.160
<v Speaker 5>think six to eighteen. And then there's pediatrics as well,

0:12:28.200 --> 0:12:31.880
<v Speaker 5>which all take a different level of testing and regulatory

0:12:32.000 --> 0:12:35.680
<v Speaker 5>oversight because there are different types of patients and the

0:12:35.720 --> 0:12:38.079
<v Speaker 5>bodies react in different ways, and the regulators want you

0:12:38.160 --> 0:12:41.640
<v Speaker 5>to study different things. So a lot of the actual

0:12:41.840 --> 0:12:44.839
<v Speaker 5>details is under Okay, yes, we've said we're going to

0:12:44.880 --> 0:12:47.640
<v Speaker 5>go with an RSV vaccine, where are we going to

0:12:47.720 --> 0:12:48.840
<v Speaker 5>start and how much will that cost?

0:12:48.960 --> 0:12:51.520
<v Speaker 4>And right now we've said age is sixty and over.

0:12:52.160 --> 0:12:54.599
<v Speaker 5>But then we might look at pediatrics because RSPA is

0:12:54.640 --> 0:13:00.600
<v Speaker 5>often hitting quite materially or significantly younger population. And so

0:13:00.679 --> 0:13:03.040
<v Speaker 5>that's kind of the next level of allocation, which is

0:13:03.080 --> 0:13:06.319
<v Speaker 5>you size the envelope, You then pick a program the

0:13:06.160 --> 0:13:09.000
<v Speaker 5>You then say which patient populations or indications are you

0:13:09.040 --> 0:13:11.840
<v Speaker 5>going to go after. Another example is oncology. So I

0:13:11.880 --> 0:13:13.920
<v Speaker 5>talked about this product that we have and we are

0:13:13.960 --> 0:13:18.360
<v Speaker 5>starting with adjuvant melanoma, and because adjuvant melanoma really in

0:13:18.400 --> 0:13:22.000
<v Speaker 5>immunooncology really seems to work quite well, and we are

0:13:22.040 --> 0:13:25.000
<v Speaker 5>kind of bundled with immunooncology and stimulating it even more.

0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:28.160
<v Speaker 4>And so we started there and it's you know, right now.

0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:31.760
<v Speaker 5>The data that we've released is quite positive over three

0:13:31.840 --> 0:13:34.640
<v Speaker 5>years and improves the life of a patient's success in

0:13:34.720 --> 0:13:37.680
<v Speaker 5>terms of recurrence or death by fifty percent, which is

0:13:37.760 --> 0:13:40.800
<v Speaker 5>outstanding in terms of cancer. And then you've got to

0:13:40.800 --> 0:13:43.800
<v Speaker 5>figure out, well, there's you know, loads of different cancer types,

0:13:43.960 --> 0:13:46.600
<v Speaker 5>where will this product work best? And that's what we

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.160
<v Speaker 5>try to determine every single day as we get more

0:13:49.160 --> 0:13:51.680
<v Speaker 5>and more specific underneath that envelope the capital.

0:14:07.360 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 3>What is the process by which I mean I have

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:15.080
<v Speaker 3>to imagine that with e within each internal candidate, the

0:14:15.160 --> 0:14:18.520
<v Speaker 3>various scientists, the various teams, like they probably want more

0:14:18.960 --> 0:14:22.440
<v Speaker 3>for their the specific thing that they're working on. What

0:14:22.720 --> 0:14:26.480
<v Speaker 3>is this sort of internal process? Is it a sort

0:14:26.520 --> 0:14:30.960
<v Speaker 3>of is it an internal lobbying process? That's sort of

0:14:31.000 --> 0:14:32.480
<v Speaker 3>what I imagine my head where they come to you

0:14:32.520 --> 0:14:34.440
<v Speaker 3>and they're like, look, we believe that we can do this,

0:14:34.960 --> 0:14:37.560
<v Speaker 3>and if we could increase the R and D on

0:14:37.680 --> 0:14:40.040
<v Speaker 3>this thing, then we believe that we can maybe get

0:14:40.080 --> 0:14:42.200
<v Speaker 3>it to market or get to the next stage of

0:14:42.200 --> 0:14:44.720
<v Speaker 3>trials faster than X. Like, what is sort of your

0:14:44.880 --> 0:14:49.000
<v Speaker 3>internal process for working with the various champions of different

0:14:49.120 --> 0:14:52.600
<v Speaker 3>potential products where they make the case that they could

0:14:52.720 --> 0:14:54.280
<v Speaker 3>use money in a productive way.

0:14:54.680 --> 0:14:54.960
<v Speaker 4>Yeah.

0:14:55.000 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 5>So, first and I tell every industry, we could certainly

0:14:59.200 --> 0:15:01.080
<v Speaker 5>spend a lot more than four and a half billion dollars,

0:15:01.160 --> 0:15:03.320
<v Speaker 5>and that is a wonderful thing, because the minute we

0:15:03.400 --> 0:15:06.760
<v Speaker 5>run out of ideas and pipelines, we're in trouble and

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:07.600
<v Speaker 5>we'll stop growing.

0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:12.560
<v Speaker 4>So it is definitely a hot debate, I would say,

0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:14.400
<v Speaker 4>in terms of where we're going to allocate our capital.

0:15:14.400 --> 0:15:17.520
<v Speaker 4>But let me just give you maybe I'd say three

0:15:17.920 --> 0:15:19.720
<v Speaker 4>processes that we run. Great.

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:23.200
<v Speaker 5>So, first off, we have twice a year a look

0:15:23.240 --> 0:15:27.280
<v Speaker 5>at our entire portfolio and we call it a strategy

0:15:27.280 --> 0:15:31.520
<v Speaker 5>review to understand, Okay, let's make these decisions, given the envelope,

0:15:31.560 --> 0:15:34.120
<v Speaker 5>the capital we have, let's prioritize these things and we

0:15:34.200 --> 0:15:34.760
<v Speaker 5>pull together.

0:15:34.920 --> 0:15:39.600
<v Speaker 4>It's extremely cross functional. It is even within R and D.

0:15:39.680 --> 0:15:41.720
<v Speaker 5>There are many different functions within R and D, and

0:15:41.760 --> 0:15:43.920
<v Speaker 5>we bring in all of those people that are product

0:15:44.000 --> 0:15:49.800
<v Speaker 5>specialists or epidemiologists or development specialists, et cetera. We bring

0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:52.280
<v Speaker 5>in the finance team to obviously run the financials and

0:15:52.360 --> 0:15:55.040
<v Speaker 5>understand the reward, the commercial team to understand the size

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:58.840
<v Speaker 5>of the opportunity, and we debate and say, okay, strategically,

0:15:58.840 --> 0:16:01.440
<v Speaker 5>as a company, if we want to be this year,

0:16:01.480 --> 0:16:04.040
<v Speaker 5>we think we'll be four billion in sales. If we

0:16:04.080 --> 0:16:06.720
<v Speaker 5>want to get to I'll just make it up a number,

0:16:06.840 --> 0:16:10.000
<v Speaker 5>say ten billion dollars in sales by twenty twenty seven.

0:16:10.440 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 5>And if that's a priority, that's not the only priority,

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.200
<v Speaker 5>but that is a priority to say, okay, let's have

0:16:15.240 --> 0:16:16.040
<v Speaker 5>that lens on it.

0:16:16.360 --> 0:16:18.360
<v Speaker 4>Number one. Number two, here's another lens.

0:16:18.440 --> 0:16:20.480
<v Speaker 5>We want to diversify our revenue streams, so we don't

0:16:20.480 --> 0:16:22.680
<v Speaker 5>want to be solely a respiratory business. So we've got

0:16:22.720 --> 0:16:26.080
<v Speaker 5>to make sure we are investing in other latent areas,

0:16:26.160 --> 0:16:29.160
<v Speaker 5>latent disease areas or oncology that we also want to

0:16:29.160 --> 0:16:31.880
<v Speaker 5>bring to market, and we have those strategic and that

0:16:31.960 --> 0:16:33.240
<v Speaker 5>kind of sets the foundation.

0:16:33.800 --> 0:16:35.840
<v Speaker 4>Then. So that's process one that happens twice.

0:16:35.640 --> 0:16:37.320
<v Speaker 5>A year, and we figure out which products we want

0:16:37.360 --> 0:16:39.760
<v Speaker 5>to fund in theory, and that's what we start co

0:16:39.760 --> 0:16:43.560
<v Speaker 5>operating too. But then there's underlying research and clinical trials

0:16:43.560 --> 0:16:46.240
<v Speaker 5>that are going on every single day, and there's report

0:16:46.280 --> 0:16:48.960
<v Speaker 5>outs and you might get different data, different answers that

0:16:49.040 --> 0:16:53.160
<v Speaker 5>actually changes that and that is a very well governed

0:16:53.200 --> 0:16:57.080
<v Speaker 5>process that we call a stage gay process. And as

0:16:57.120 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 5>an example, you know, I myself have to approve whether

0:17:00.240 --> 0:17:02.240
<v Speaker 5>we go to a phase three trial because those are

0:17:02.360 --> 0:17:05.439
<v Speaker 5>very expensive, as I mentioned earlier, so you know, but

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:08.520
<v Speaker 5>there are gates into even before it gets into the

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:11.760
<v Speaker 5>clinical there's gates in the research area, in pre clinical area,

0:17:12.080 --> 0:17:13.920
<v Speaker 5>and then there's gates before you go to phase one,

0:17:13.960 --> 0:17:16.879
<v Speaker 5>phase two, phase three, and those you know, we have

0:17:16.960 --> 0:17:19.600
<v Speaker 5>a theory based on the strategy of what we wanted

0:17:19.600 --> 0:17:21.639
<v Speaker 5>to invest in, but new data.

0:17:21.359 --> 0:17:22.800
<v Speaker 4>Comes out and you have to adjust to it.

0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:25.000
<v Speaker 5>So I'd say that's kind of the second process that

0:17:25.119 --> 0:17:28.199
<v Speaker 5>is highly governed. So you have this top level strategy,

0:17:28.359 --> 0:17:30.720
<v Speaker 5>then you have actual data that's coming through that is

0:17:30.720 --> 0:17:33.280
<v Speaker 5>well governed. And then the last thing is particularly on

0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:35.240
<v Speaker 5>how much we're going to spend and whether we go

0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:37.480
<v Speaker 5>and spend more on these phase three trials. We actually

0:17:37.480 --> 0:17:39.879
<v Speaker 5>take it to a subcommittee of the board, so the

0:17:39.880 --> 0:17:42.720
<v Speaker 5>Board of Directors, which we have some scientists and doctors

0:17:42.720 --> 0:17:44.679
<v Speaker 5>that are on our board and oversee it and have

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:48.240
<v Speaker 5>a lot of experience also govern Yeah, we think it's worse.

0:17:48.320 --> 0:17:49.880
<v Speaker 5>We get it, we get the strategy. If it's into

0:17:49.920 --> 0:17:51.760
<v Speaker 5>our strategy, we understand the risks, and we think you

0:17:51.800 --> 0:17:54.959
<v Speaker 5>should move forward. So those are kind of three different

0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:57.960
<v Speaker 5>processes in terms of how we govern our product strategies.

0:17:58.240 --> 0:18:01.280
<v Speaker 2>Where does the money actually come from? And I realized

0:18:01.280 --> 0:18:05.239
<v Speaker 2>like maybe maybe there's some obvious answers here. You are

0:18:05.400 --> 0:18:08.160
<v Speaker 2>a publicly traded company, but this is a really capital

0:18:08.359 --> 0:18:12.840
<v Speaker 2>intensive business. And I was looking on the Bloomberg terminal earlier.

0:18:13.200 --> 0:18:16.560
<v Speaker 2>It doesn't seem like you have any bonds, which is

0:18:16.960 --> 0:18:21.919
<v Speaker 2>kind of unusual nowadays. Where does that like funding mix

0:18:22.119 --> 0:18:23.200
<v Speaker 2>actually come from.

0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:26.760
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, so I'll chase the answer that question in the industry,

0:18:26.760 --> 0:18:28.480
<v Speaker 5>but also the specific to us because we're a little

0:18:28.480 --> 0:18:32.359
<v Speaker 5>bit different. Sure, so specific to us, we actually, because

0:18:32.440 --> 0:18:35.960
<v Speaker 5>of COVID and how successful our vaccine was to help

0:18:36.000 --> 0:18:39.480
<v Speaker 5>support the global population, we're actually sitting on thirteen billion

0:18:39.560 --> 0:18:43.240
<v Speaker 5>dollars in cash. That is very unique to a biotech company.

0:18:43.400 --> 0:18:46.440
<v Speaker 5>So we are quite fortunate. And as an example, we

0:18:46.480 --> 0:18:48.480
<v Speaker 5>said this year we're going to actually burn through four

0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:50.600
<v Speaker 5>billion dollars in cash. So we believe in this platform

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:52.320
<v Speaker 5>so much that we need to advance the next set

0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:53.960
<v Speaker 5>of pipeline of drug candidates.

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:56.720
<v Speaker 4>And we have a plan all the way for the

0:18:56.720 --> 0:18:57.320
<v Speaker 4>next three.

0:18:57.119 --> 0:18:59.320
<v Speaker 5>To five years that we're actually going to go from

0:18:59.400 --> 0:19:01.840
<v Speaker 5>thirteen billion to nine billion in the year twenty twenty

0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 5>four because we think it's the right thing to do.

0:19:03.680 --> 0:19:04.840
<v Speaker 5>And then we said we're going to do it a

0:19:04.840 --> 0:19:06.439
<v Speaker 5>little bit again, that we're going to burn another two

0:19:06.480 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 5>to three billion in twenty twenty five before breaking even

0:19:08.840 --> 0:19:11.800
<v Speaker 5>in twenty twenty six as we'd launch new drugs. So

0:19:11.920 --> 0:19:14.720
<v Speaker 5>that's a bit unique in the biotech world, I would

0:19:14.720 --> 0:19:18.560
<v Speaker 5>say broadly though for the sector, there are various avenues

0:19:18.560 --> 0:19:22.000
<v Speaker 5>that obviously public investors, capital markets, like you said, there

0:19:22.040 --> 0:19:25.560
<v Speaker 5>are some government projects with Barta Covid as an example,

0:19:25.800 --> 0:19:28.440
<v Speaker 5>the US government helped fund some of the COVID research

0:19:28.480 --> 0:19:31.399
<v Speaker 5>and development of our product, and so there are different

0:19:31.440 --> 0:19:33.760
<v Speaker 5>government agencies across the globe that you can tap into.

0:19:34.359 --> 0:19:35.280
<v Speaker 4>There are other companies.

0:19:35.320 --> 0:19:38.120
<v Speaker 5>So before we were you know, before Covid, we had

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:40.520
<v Speaker 5>no we had no products that had ever been approved,

0:19:41.240 --> 0:19:44.840
<v Speaker 5>and so we started in twenty eleven and in twenty

0:19:44.960 --> 0:19:47.880
<v Speaker 5>sixteen we actually went to a different company, company called Merk.

0:19:48.280 --> 0:19:51.480
<v Speaker 5>I'm sure you've heard of them, and they actually helped

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:55.520
<v Speaker 5>fund our oncology product because it is in conjunction with

0:19:55.560 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 5>their product k Trudea. So that's another outlet for capital

0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:02.320
<v Speaker 5>that you can part with a collaboration where you know,

0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:05.080
<v Speaker 5>a company like Mark gave us I think two hundred

0:20:05.080 --> 0:20:07.760
<v Speaker 5>and fifty million dollars back in twenty sixteen to launch

0:20:07.840 --> 0:20:10.480
<v Speaker 5>this product and advance the science that is now so

0:20:10.640 --> 0:20:14.439
<v Speaker 5>fruitful come twenty twenty four. And then the last one

0:20:14.520 --> 0:20:17.160
<v Speaker 5>is just foundations, and we tap into foundations as well,

0:20:17.560 --> 0:20:20.200
<v Speaker 5>not as much now that we have a fair amount

0:20:20.200 --> 0:20:23.560
<v Speaker 5>of funding ourselves, but Bell and Melinda Gates as an example,

0:20:23.600 --> 0:20:26.680
<v Speaker 5>we were working with them on certain infectious disease vaccines.

0:20:26.800 --> 0:20:29.640
<v Speaker 5>So those are kind of the areas. So it's capital markets,

0:20:29.680 --> 0:20:33.160
<v Speaker 5>it's the government, it's other companies and collaborations that might

0:20:33.240 --> 0:20:36.440
<v Speaker 5>fund it, and then there's foundations as well.

0:20:36.560 --> 0:20:38.879
<v Speaker 3>Let's talk about the role of the government. One of

0:20:38.920 --> 0:20:42.919
<v Speaker 3>the extraordinary things, and you know, Operation Warp Speed was

0:20:42.960 --> 0:20:47.520
<v Speaker 3>sort of this incredible endeavor that involved upfront money and

0:20:47.680 --> 0:20:52.280
<v Speaker 3>also advanced purchasing agreement so that once you got the

0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:55.879
<v Speaker 3>vaccine to market that you had guaranteed sales talk to

0:20:55.960 --> 0:21:00.119
<v Speaker 3>us just about the math of Operation Warp Speed, what

0:21:00.200 --> 0:21:03.920
<v Speaker 3>it meant for Maderi NA, and then specifically the power

0:21:04.240 --> 0:21:07.199
<v Speaker 3>of the advanced purchase agreements and whether that is a

0:21:07.280 --> 0:21:11.560
<v Speaker 3>model that you see being replicated going forwards, like a

0:21:11.680 --> 0:21:14.240
<v Speaker 3>sort of a way of de risking the entire process.

0:21:14.480 --> 0:21:14.720
<v Speaker 4>Sure.

0:21:14.800 --> 0:21:17.920
<v Speaker 5>Yeah, as you and I spoke beforehand, Joe, I wasn't

0:21:17.960 --> 0:21:20.399
<v Speaker 5>here during COVID. I joined the company at the end

0:21:20.400 --> 0:21:22.240
<v Speaker 5>of twenty twenty two, in September of twenty two, so

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:24.639
<v Speaker 5>I've been here for eighteen months, so I obviously am

0:21:24.680 --> 0:21:26.400
<v Speaker 5>aware of what went on, but I don't know all

0:21:26.480 --> 0:21:28.879
<v Speaker 5>the intimate details. So I'll give you my general opinion

0:21:28.920 --> 0:21:31.720
<v Speaker 5>and impression, and you know it works. Me. I forget

0:21:31.720 --> 0:21:34.119
<v Speaker 5>the exact money, but I think it might be in

0:21:34.160 --> 0:21:36.040
<v Speaker 5>the range of a billion dollars. Don't quote me on that.

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:38.480
<v Speaker 5>It's in our disclosures. You can actually pull it up

0:21:38.520 --> 0:21:41.119
<v Speaker 5>and get the exact numbers. But it was not insignificant.

0:21:41.600 --> 0:21:44.440
<v Speaker 5>And I think this is an example of a terrific

0:21:45.080 --> 0:21:48.320
<v Speaker 5>public private partnership that actually did great for the world.

0:21:49.119 --> 0:21:52.359
<v Speaker 5>And to put that into perspective, and it wasn't just

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:54.080
<v Speaker 5>the funding. By the way, we can get into it.

0:21:54.200 --> 0:21:56.919
<v Speaker 5>There was so much help throughout the entire process in

0:21:57.000 --> 0:22:01.479
<v Speaker 5>twenty twenty in many different areas, shippings, et cetera. A

0:22:01.480 --> 0:22:04.080
<v Speaker 5>lot of red tape to cut through, but it actually

0:22:04.240 --> 0:22:07.720
<v Speaker 5>proves that in one year we went from COVID that

0:22:07.840 --> 0:22:12.440
<v Speaker 5>came out, we identified the vaccine in two days, and.

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:15.400
<v Speaker 4>We got it approved from market in eleven months.

0:22:15.920 --> 0:22:20.919
<v Speaker 5>That is unparalleled in the pharmaceutical biotech industry. And so

0:22:21.440 --> 0:22:23.199
<v Speaker 5>it shows you the art of the possible. There is

0:22:23.480 --> 0:22:27.160
<v Speaker 5>good reason why things are regulated because there's safety concerns

0:22:27.200 --> 0:22:29.560
<v Speaker 5>and we have to do that, but it also shows

0:22:29.600 --> 0:22:32.040
<v Speaker 5>you that you can accelerate this timeline if you cut

0:22:32.040 --> 0:22:35.040
<v Speaker 5>through some red tape for something that has been very powerful,

0:22:35.480 --> 0:22:37.880
<v Speaker 5>very safe and effective and really has changed the world

0:22:37.920 --> 0:22:40.439
<v Speaker 5>in a very rapid way. So I'm a huge believer

0:22:40.520 --> 0:22:43.480
<v Speaker 5>in the success of that. In terms of the APA SEAH,

0:22:43.480 --> 0:22:46.960
<v Speaker 5>I mean to think about our situation. We had zero

0:22:47.119 --> 0:22:51.560
<v Speaker 5>revenue and we were asked to go invest literally hundreds

0:22:51.560 --> 0:22:53.840
<v Speaker 5>and billions of dollars to get this over the hump.

0:22:54.160 --> 0:22:57.120
<v Speaker 5>It was a make or break decision for us. I mean,

0:22:57.160 --> 0:23:00.600
<v Speaker 5>we were sitting there going we were public company. You

0:23:00.600 --> 0:23:03.280
<v Speaker 5>could run out of cash and a heartbeat, and so

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:05.600
<v Speaker 5>we you know, we needed a partner to help take

0:23:05.640 --> 0:23:09.000
<v Speaker 5>that risk, and ultimately it worked out and worked very well.

0:23:09.080 --> 0:23:11.560
<v Speaker 4>So the APAs to your second part of your question

0:23:11.600 --> 0:23:12.480
<v Speaker 4>there were.

0:23:12.400 --> 0:23:14.159
<v Speaker 5>Very important because we had to know that if we're

0:23:14.160 --> 0:23:16.440
<v Speaker 5>going to go invest all this money and in our infrastructure,

0:23:16.480 --> 0:23:19.280
<v Speaker 5>forget about the research and development, we have to bring

0:23:19.359 --> 0:23:23.360
<v Speaker 5>on six different manufacturing partners across the globe. We had

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:26.800
<v Speaker 5>to go make purchase commitments for inventory in the billions

0:23:26.840 --> 0:23:29.400
<v Speaker 5>of dollars with part you know, to say, hey, we

0:23:29.520 --> 0:23:31.440
<v Speaker 5>need we need to make a lot of COVID doses

0:23:31.480 --> 0:23:33.880
<v Speaker 5>over a billion on that time period that we made

0:23:34.119 --> 0:23:36.520
<v Speaker 5>a billion doses as this and we had that was a.

0:23:36.440 --> 0:23:36.920
<v Speaker 4>Lot of risk.

0:23:37.040 --> 0:23:38.560
<v Speaker 5>We needed to know that we were going to get

0:23:38.600 --> 0:23:40.800
<v Speaker 5>some return otherwise, you know, we were going to turn

0:23:40.880 --> 0:23:41.360
<v Speaker 5>upside down.

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:43.760
<v Speaker 4>So APAs were important.

0:23:44.000 --> 0:23:46.600
<v Speaker 5>I believe that a partnership can work quite well, and

0:23:46.640 --> 0:23:49.320
<v Speaker 5>in this example, I think it works extremely well. I

0:23:49.440 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 5>get that there needs to be regulation for many different reasons,

0:23:53.320 --> 0:23:55.160
<v Speaker 5>but I think that shows you the art of the possible,

0:23:55.200 --> 0:23:58.160
<v Speaker 5>both in public private partnerships as well as what can

0:23:58.200 --> 0:24:01.920
<v Speaker 5>happen when you really try to expectegulatory process here's.

0:24:01.720 --> 0:24:04.600
<v Speaker 2>One thing I always wonder when it comes to CFOs

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:07.399
<v Speaker 2>and their sort of daily life. But Joe has a

0:24:07.440 --> 0:24:10.480
<v Speaker 2>line that I think it actually came from Neil Data

0:24:10.600 --> 0:24:13.399
<v Speaker 2>and you co opted it. But the stock market is

0:24:13.440 --> 0:24:16.879
<v Speaker 2>not the economy. But it's not not the economy. And

0:24:16.920 --> 0:24:20.960
<v Speaker 2>when share prices go up, that means there's more availability

0:24:21.000 --> 0:24:24.280
<v Speaker 2>of funding for companies in general. So first of all,

0:24:24.560 --> 0:24:27.359
<v Speaker 2>how closely do you watch the moderna stock price? Is

0:24:27.359 --> 0:24:29.320
<v Speaker 2>that like the first thing you look at when you

0:24:29.359 --> 0:24:30.679
<v Speaker 2>come into the office every morning.

0:24:34.200 --> 0:24:36.640
<v Speaker 4>I mean I certainly monitor it quite a bit. Yes,

0:24:36.680 --> 0:24:39.200
<v Speaker 4>I do. It's important. I mean it's one of the

0:24:39.240 --> 0:24:40.600
<v Speaker 4>key stakeholders.

0:24:40.000 --> 0:24:43.200
<v Speaker 5>And one that I know most importantly own, which is

0:24:43.240 --> 0:24:43.960
<v Speaker 5>our investors.

0:24:44.000 --> 0:24:46.520
<v Speaker 4>So I have to make sure I'm watching that. And

0:24:46.560 --> 0:24:48.520
<v Speaker 4>so yes, I actually watch it in a fair amount.

0:24:49.119 --> 0:24:51.960
<v Speaker 2>And then okay, what do you think when it starts

0:24:52.119 --> 0:24:54.800
<v Speaker 2>going down? Is there like a thought process in your

0:24:54.840 --> 0:24:58.200
<v Speaker 2>head that says, oh, we need to think about specific

0:24:58.280 --> 0:25:01.840
<v Speaker 2>things that we could be doing to boost shares or

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 2>do you start thinking, well, you know, there are other

0:25:04.359 --> 0:25:07.840
<v Speaker 2>things going on in the economy, interest rates are going up.

0:25:07.920 --> 0:25:11.080
<v Speaker 2>That sort of thing. I just wonder, you know, put

0:25:11.119 --> 0:25:14.200
<v Speaker 2>us inside your mind for a second. As a CFO,

0:25:14.359 --> 0:25:16.879
<v Speaker 2>when you look at a share price, what is happening

0:25:16.920 --> 0:25:17.400
<v Speaker 2>in your head?

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:18.600
<v Speaker 4>Yeah? I try.

0:25:18.680 --> 0:25:22.479
<v Speaker 5>I try to assess for really rapid movement, what is

0:25:22.520 --> 0:25:25.240
<v Speaker 5>going on? You know, day to day, stock's going to

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:26.600
<v Speaker 5>jump all that, you know, a little bit up, a

0:25:26.600 --> 0:25:27.399
<v Speaker 5>little bit down, a little bit.

0:25:27.600 --> 0:25:28.480
<v Speaker 4>That happens all the time.

0:25:29.160 --> 0:25:32.040
<v Speaker 5>So I try to assess, Okay, Number one, is it

0:25:32.080 --> 0:25:36.320
<v Speaker 5>a specific event for us? A news item, whether it's

0:25:36.320 --> 0:25:40.280
<v Speaker 5>a regulatory update on a clinical trial, or whether we

0:25:40.440 --> 0:25:43.600
<v Speaker 5>give you know, guidance on financials or whatever it might be.

0:25:43.680 --> 0:25:46.040
<v Speaker 4>Is it a specific event? Did we do it well?

0:25:46.119 --> 0:25:47.360
<v Speaker 4>You know, we take that quite.

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:49.399
<v Speaker 5>Seriously, and did we communicate it well where we clear

0:25:49.440 --> 0:25:51.760
<v Speaker 5>do people get it to investors get it? And even

0:25:51.760 --> 0:25:53.639
<v Speaker 5>if they get it, you know, if it's bad news,

0:25:53.760 --> 0:25:57.119
<v Speaker 5>the stock may go down, but they understand it and

0:25:57.359 --> 0:26:00.359
<v Speaker 5>there's a natural you know, implication to that. Or if

0:26:00.359 --> 0:26:02.520
<v Speaker 5>the stock goes up, they are clearly understanding the message

0:26:02.560 --> 0:26:03.199
<v Speaker 5>of what we're trying to say.

0:26:03.240 --> 0:26:04.560
<v Speaker 4>So I try to understand Number one, is there a

0:26:04.560 --> 0:26:05.680
<v Speaker 4>specific event for us?

0:26:06.560 --> 0:26:09.840
<v Speaker 5>The everyday events in terms of just the global economy

0:26:09.840 --> 0:26:13.879
<v Speaker 5>and interest rates worry me less. We're fortunate as I

0:26:13.920 --> 0:26:15.720
<v Speaker 5>mentioned to have thirteen billion dollars in cash.

0:26:15.720 --> 0:26:18.200
<v Speaker 4>We don't take it lightly. We try to understand what that.

0:26:18.119 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 5>Means for us over the coming years in terms of, Okay,

0:26:20.520 --> 0:26:23.399
<v Speaker 5>what's going to happen from a demand perspective, or you know,

0:26:23.440 --> 0:26:25.399
<v Speaker 5>the cash in the bank will return interest, And so

0:26:25.440 --> 0:26:28.399
<v Speaker 5>we obviously are cognizant on the of the implications on

0:26:28.440 --> 0:26:32.320
<v Speaker 5>our company, but overall, we're I think we spend the

0:26:32.359 --> 0:26:36.840
<v Speaker 5>most time focusing on our investors understanding the long term

0:26:36.880 --> 0:26:38.360
<v Speaker 5>opportunity for our company.

0:26:38.920 --> 0:26:41.800
<v Speaker 4>And I think that's what's critical for many companies. And

0:26:41.840 --> 0:26:42.960
<v Speaker 4>it is hard to.

0:26:42.920 --> 0:26:46.600
<v Speaker 5>Have investors really look at the long term, and you know,

0:26:46.880 --> 0:26:50.240
<v Speaker 5>different portfolio managers, investors have a different view on what

0:26:50.320 --> 0:26:53.480
<v Speaker 5>is long term, whether that's twenty four months, five years,

0:26:53.480 --> 0:26:55.919
<v Speaker 5>ten years, And we try to make sure that people.

0:26:55.680 --> 0:26:58.199
<v Speaker 4>Understand what is the opportunity ahead and.

0:26:58.720 --> 0:27:01.359
<v Speaker 5>Actually if they are saying it back to us, then

0:27:01.680 --> 0:27:04.280
<v Speaker 5>at least they understand it and they might make a

0:27:04.280 --> 0:27:07.199
<v Speaker 5>different decision, might wait for it, you know, and we

0:27:07.240 --> 0:27:08.840
<v Speaker 5>try to understand what does that mean in terms of

0:27:08.840 --> 0:27:09.720
<v Speaker 5>their buying behavior.

0:27:09.760 --> 0:27:10.800
<v Speaker 4>But that's what we.

0:27:10.720 --> 0:27:13.040
<v Speaker 5>Spend the most time doing, is to under just make

0:27:13.080 --> 0:27:16.439
<v Speaker 5>sure our investors understand our long term strategy and do

0:27:16.480 --> 0:27:30.639
<v Speaker 5>they believe in where we're going.

0:27:33.280 --> 0:27:37.439
<v Speaker 3>It does seem like for companies in some areas that

0:27:37.520 --> 0:27:41.119
<v Speaker 3>when a stock is moving lower or maybe higher, but

0:27:41.119 --> 0:27:43.480
<v Speaker 3>when this dog is moving lower, that there is an

0:27:43.520 --> 0:27:46.000
<v Speaker 3>impulse to course correct in some way. And so you

0:27:46.040 --> 0:27:49.280
<v Speaker 3>saw this, for example, I think within big tech, where

0:27:49.320 --> 0:27:51.560
<v Speaker 3>we saw this pretty big sell off in twenty twenty

0:27:51.600 --> 0:27:54.399
<v Speaker 3>two and a bunch of companies seem to get the

0:27:54.440 --> 0:27:56.760
<v Speaker 3>message like, oh, you know what, we really need to

0:27:56.800 --> 0:28:00.399
<v Speaker 3>slow our hiring, or maybe we shouldn't bet the entire

0:28:00.520 --> 0:28:03.440
<v Speaker 3>company on virtual reality goggles, and we need to cut

0:28:03.480 --> 0:28:06.000
<v Speaker 3>our research in this area. That there is this message

0:28:06.000 --> 0:28:08.680
<v Speaker 3>about something, and then you see the layoffs and they're like, look,

0:28:08.680 --> 0:28:11.840
<v Speaker 3>we've done much better about reducing our cash burned, et cetera.

0:28:12.520 --> 0:28:14.520
<v Speaker 3>Do you take a signal I mean, I get there

0:28:14.560 --> 0:28:16.959
<v Speaker 3>are certain things that are out of your control that

0:28:17.000 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 3>you have a long term message that you want to

0:28:18.840 --> 0:28:21.640
<v Speaker 3>tell the shareholders. But do you take a signal from

0:28:21.920 --> 0:28:25.639
<v Speaker 3>larger moves in the market that say, look, the investors

0:28:25.720 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 3>want to see X, and we need to course correct

0:28:28.560 --> 0:28:32.440
<v Speaker 3>in some way or another in order to align our goals.

0:28:32.840 --> 0:28:33.719
<v Speaker 4>That's a great question.

0:28:33.920 --> 0:28:37.600
<v Speaker 5>So I think, if there's a big move, and we

0:28:37.600 --> 0:28:39.920
<v Speaker 5>should be doing this all the time, but there's something

0:28:39.960 --> 0:28:43.120
<v Speaker 5>to listen to, and so I'll just take myself out

0:28:43.120 --> 0:28:45.959
<v Speaker 5>of Maderna. I mean, if you're a CFO and your

0:28:46.000 --> 0:28:49.120
<v Speaker 5>stock goes down twenty percent, that is a substantial amount

0:28:49.160 --> 0:28:52.240
<v Speaker 5>of investors saying it is less valuable. Something's going on,

0:28:52.880 --> 0:28:54.800
<v Speaker 5>And I think what you have to listen for is

0:28:55.240 --> 0:28:57.400
<v Speaker 5>do we already know that or is it something that

0:28:57.440 --> 0:29:00.280
<v Speaker 5>we really have We got to think differently about. So

0:29:00.520 --> 0:29:02.200
<v Speaker 5>is our revenue line not going to be what we

0:29:02.200 --> 0:29:03.880
<v Speaker 5>think it's going to be? And the investors are ahead

0:29:03.880 --> 0:29:05.720
<v Speaker 5>of us because they see something in the marketplace that

0:29:05.800 --> 0:29:09.000
<v Speaker 5>is changing. And if that's the case, then sometimes I

0:29:09.040 --> 0:29:12.200
<v Speaker 5>mean I take our conversations with investors as a two

0:29:12.240 --> 0:29:12.800
<v Speaker 5>way learning.

0:29:13.320 --> 0:29:14.120
<v Speaker 4>I learned from them.

0:29:14.200 --> 0:29:16.080
<v Speaker 5>They give me their thoughts on what they think that

0:29:16.160 --> 0:29:18.760
<v Speaker 5>where the market's going, where we're positioned, how we're positioned,

0:29:19.360 --> 0:29:21.280
<v Speaker 5>how successful they think we're going to be, just as

0:29:21.360 --> 0:29:23.320
<v Speaker 5>much as I try to tell them our view. And

0:29:23.360 --> 0:29:25.440
<v Speaker 5>so it is a two way learning. And especially when

0:29:25.520 --> 0:29:29.160
<v Speaker 5>there's a huge market move or significant market move, they're.

0:29:29.000 --> 0:29:29.800
<v Speaker 4>Telling you something.

0:29:31.400 --> 0:29:33.200
<v Speaker 5>The question of what you have to sift through is

0:29:33.320 --> 0:29:35.720
<v Speaker 5>did we already know that and therefore just stay the

0:29:35.760 --> 0:29:38.760
<v Speaker 5>course on strategy, or is it something that, hey, we

0:29:38.840 --> 0:29:41.200
<v Speaker 5>might need to think differently about and perhaps we're wrong

0:29:41.240 --> 0:29:44.040
<v Speaker 5>on one of our assumptions. So that's how I deal with,

0:29:44.080 --> 0:29:46.880
<v Speaker 5>you know, particularly significant moves in the share price.

0:29:47.640 --> 0:29:50.239
<v Speaker 2>So in the course of prepping for this interview, I

0:29:50.360 --> 0:29:54.080
<v Speaker 2>was doing, you know, some casual research into MODERNA and

0:29:54.080 --> 0:29:57.520
<v Speaker 2>pharma in general, and I stumbled on this article from

0:29:57.800 --> 0:30:01.640
<v Speaker 2>Science I think it was from March twenty twenty, so

0:30:02.040 --> 0:30:04.920
<v Speaker 2>right in the heart of the pandemic, and it opens

0:30:05.560 --> 0:30:09.200
<v Speaker 2>with a discussion of the gartment hype cycle and this

0:30:09.360 --> 0:30:11.760
<v Speaker 2>idea that you know, people get really excited about a

0:30:11.760 --> 0:30:15.760
<v Speaker 2>new technology. You see share prices of these tech companies

0:30:15.840 --> 0:30:19.200
<v Speaker 2>go through the roof, and then there's some adjustment process

0:30:19.240 --> 0:30:22.120
<v Speaker 2>or reality kind of sets in the shar's fall, and

0:30:22.160 --> 0:30:25.440
<v Speaker 2>then slowly there's a recovery as people kind of enter

0:30:25.680 --> 0:30:30.840
<v Speaker 2>realistic productivity and use of these new technologies. And looking

0:30:30.880 --> 0:30:34.320
<v Speaker 2>at the MODERNA share price since March of twenty twenty,

0:30:34.800 --> 0:30:38.200
<v Speaker 2>it really does look like a gartment hype cycle. Like

0:30:38.200 --> 0:30:41.120
<v Speaker 2>if you're going to choose a textbook example, it's kind

0:30:41.160 --> 0:30:43.520
<v Speaker 2>of this, So I guess my question is, like, how

0:30:43.560 --> 0:30:48.720
<v Speaker 2>do you balance people getting really enthusiastic about new technological

0:30:48.800 --> 0:30:53.280
<v Speaker 2>breakthroughs and all these new treatments we have in the pipeline.

0:30:53.360 --> 0:30:55.840
<v Speaker 2>I mean, I don't think you're working on this specifically,

0:30:55.920 --> 0:30:59.320
<v Speaker 2>but GLP one weight loss drugs are obviously something that's

0:30:59.360 --> 0:31:02.360
<v Speaker 2>kind of burst in to the public consciousness recently. How

0:31:02.360 --> 0:31:07.680
<v Speaker 2>do you balance that excitement and the hype versus like

0:31:07.760 --> 0:31:11.680
<v Speaker 2>the reality of putting these in production and again, going

0:31:11.720 --> 0:31:14.479
<v Speaker 2>back to the timelines that you were discussing the idea

0:31:14.560 --> 0:31:17.840
<v Speaker 2>of long term investment, like, don't get too excited. It's

0:31:17.840 --> 0:31:20.080
<v Speaker 2>going to take a while for these to enter the market,

0:31:20.120 --> 0:31:22.680
<v Speaker 2>and then it's going to potentially take even longer for

0:31:22.760 --> 0:31:25.440
<v Speaker 2>them to filter through in an efficient way.

0:31:26.040 --> 0:31:29.960
<v Speaker 5>I think in those cases, I don't know every single case,

0:31:30.800 --> 0:31:33.040
<v Speaker 5>but I'm a little closer to the Maderna case. Let's say,

0:31:33.640 --> 0:31:36.360
<v Speaker 5>I think it shows the art of the possible, and

0:31:36.400 --> 0:31:40.440
<v Speaker 5>I think people understand what could be from Maderna. And

0:31:40.480 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 5>to your point, maybe there's a little over exuberance at

0:31:42.400 --> 0:31:44.680
<v Speaker 5>a particular period and time, and I think that's where

0:31:44.920 --> 0:31:47.320
<v Speaker 5>I go to what we should be doing, which is

0:31:47.400 --> 0:31:50.320
<v Speaker 5>to not tell people that that's still not a real

0:31:50.480 --> 0:31:54.520
<v Speaker 5>possibility someday. Well, let's go through the timeline, let's go

0:31:54.600 --> 0:31:57.040
<v Speaker 5>through the risks and opportunities, and let's walk it through

0:31:57.560 --> 0:31:59.680
<v Speaker 5>our you know, as best to our ability in a

0:32:00.080 --> 0:32:00.720
<v Speaker 5>public way.

0:32:00.880 --> 0:32:02.560
<v Speaker 4>Here's what we believe and what.

0:32:02.480 --> 0:32:06.640
<v Speaker 5>Could happen when and after that, investors have to model

0:32:06.680 --> 0:32:09.080
<v Speaker 5>their own cashlowds. That's what a stock price is is

0:32:09.160 --> 0:32:11.520
<v Speaker 5>ultimately what they think the company's worth from.

0:32:11.360 --> 0:32:14.760
<v Speaker 4>A cashloaw perspective. So I think it's a delicate.

0:32:14.440 --> 0:32:18.680
<v Speaker 5>Balance of we still believe what MODERNA can be and

0:32:18.960 --> 0:32:21.640
<v Speaker 5>it should be someday in terms of being able to

0:32:21.640 --> 0:32:24.760
<v Speaker 5>solve so many therapeutic areas as a platform company that

0:32:24.840 --> 0:32:27.560
<v Speaker 5>can run the same technology through a manufacturing plant, and

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:30.040
<v Speaker 5>so therefore the marginal cost of arguing with drugs should

0:32:30.080 --> 0:32:31.360
<v Speaker 5>go down substantially.

0:32:32.360 --> 0:32:33.840
<v Speaker 4>But there's a timeline for that.

0:32:33.920 --> 0:32:36.360
<v Speaker 5>There are regulators, and there's a timeline, and there's only

0:32:36.400 --> 0:32:38.880
<v Speaker 5>so much in development as expensive, and so we try

0:32:38.920 --> 0:32:42.440
<v Speaker 5>to be as transparent as possible with that, And I

0:32:42.480 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 5>don't know, I guess that's my belief is we sh

0:32:44.600 --> 0:32:47.320
<v Speaker 5>just to always make sure people understand what could happen someday,

0:32:47.480 --> 0:32:50.800
<v Speaker 5>but also give them the best assumptions possible.

0:32:50.920 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 4>To the best of your ability over the relative near term.

0:32:54.400 --> 0:32:57.239
<v Speaker 3>Maderna is a according to the Bloomberg right now, I'm

0:32:57.280 --> 0:33:01.000
<v Speaker 3>looking at a thirty seven billion dollar company. But obviously

0:33:01.360 --> 0:33:06.240
<v Speaker 3>this sort of accelerated development of the COVID vaccine, allowing

0:33:06.320 --> 0:33:09.080
<v Speaker 3>life to get back to normal in a maybe a

0:33:09.080 --> 0:33:12.080
<v Speaker 3>period of time that was much shorter than people expected.

0:33:12.320 --> 0:33:16.400
<v Speaker 3>You know, obviously orders of magnitude more valuable to the

0:33:16.400 --> 0:33:20.200
<v Speaker 3>global economy than perhaps what Maderna specifically accrued. And I

0:33:20.200 --> 0:33:23.480
<v Speaker 3>guess that's why you know, we had Operation warp Speed.

0:33:23.840 --> 0:33:26.360
<v Speaker 3>It certainly seems like in theory you could say the

0:33:26.400 --> 0:33:31.160
<v Speaker 3>same thing about other vaccines, other pharma products that are

0:33:31.240 --> 0:33:33.320
<v Speaker 3>in the works. You know, I don't know how much

0:33:33.360 --> 0:33:35.880
<v Speaker 3>money is lost to the flu every year, but it

0:33:35.880 --> 0:33:38.080
<v Speaker 3>would be probably very great for the economy if no

0:33:38.120 --> 0:33:40.680
<v Speaker 3>one got the flu anymore, or colds or any other

0:33:40.760 --> 0:33:44.800
<v Speaker 3>sort of sicknesses that disrupted our life. Do you think

0:33:45.040 --> 0:33:47.840
<v Speaker 3>like I've been a little surprised, you know that after

0:33:48.120 --> 0:33:53.440
<v Speaker 3>the Operation Warp Speed experience, we haven't seen more announcements

0:33:53.480 --> 0:33:55.920
<v Speaker 3>like hey, let's do an operation warp speed for X

0:33:56.000 --> 0:33:57.840
<v Speaker 3>or Y, or maybe they have been and I just

0:33:58.160 --> 0:34:01.640
<v Speaker 3>missed the stories like have you seen any follow up

0:34:01.680 --> 0:34:05.240
<v Speaker 3>on like, Hey, this model did something powerful, Let's do

0:34:05.320 --> 0:34:08.560
<v Speaker 3>it again, let's derisk it, Let's have the government step

0:34:08.600 --> 0:34:12.319
<v Speaker 3>in with this investment and guaranteed purchase agreements. Like have

0:34:12.440 --> 0:34:16.120
<v Speaker 3>people taken lessons from Operation Warp Speed and applied it

0:34:16.160 --> 0:34:17.560
<v Speaker 3>potentially to other areas?

0:34:18.440 --> 0:34:21.400
<v Speaker 5>I think you see some minor examples of that. But

0:34:21.440 --> 0:34:26.000
<v Speaker 5>I also just think that COVID was such a significant

0:34:26.080 --> 0:34:29.759
<v Speaker 5>event that affected the entire global population that it warranted

0:34:30.120 --> 0:34:33.000
<v Speaker 5>both you know, resources from a time perspective as well

0:34:33.040 --> 0:34:35.520
<v Speaker 5>as money perspective. And that's not to say that these

0:34:35.560 --> 0:34:38.520
<v Speaker 5>other ones don't, but it just it was a crisis.

0:34:38.600 --> 0:34:42.960
<v Speaker 5>And so you know, there are areas in oncology that

0:34:43.040 --> 0:34:44.840
<v Speaker 5>I think there's additional funding going behind.

0:34:44.920 --> 0:34:47.759
<v Speaker 4>I think people learning. Okay, rare disease, I hear a

0:34:47.760 --> 0:34:48.160
<v Speaker 4>lot of talk.

0:34:48.200 --> 0:34:50.480
<v Speaker 5>Again, I am not a scientist, I am not a regulator,

0:34:51.080 --> 0:34:53.560
<v Speaker 5>So take it with a grain of salt. But rare

0:34:53.560 --> 0:34:57.239
<v Speaker 5>disease as an example, it's rare by nature, so it's

0:34:57.280 --> 0:35:02.719
<v Speaker 5>difficult to say it's difficult to actually get enough patients

0:35:02.760 --> 0:35:08.400
<v Speaker 5>in data to progress fast because of the regulatory processes,

0:35:08.440 --> 0:35:10.920
<v Speaker 5>and I think the regulators acknowledge that and say, hey,

0:35:10.920 --> 0:35:12.520
<v Speaker 5>if I only have I'm going to make it up

0:35:12.560 --> 0:35:15.759
<v Speaker 5>one hundred patients in the United States. This might take

0:35:15.800 --> 0:35:18.440
<v Speaker 5>ten years, but I can already tell in two years

0:35:18.440 --> 0:35:21.440
<v Speaker 5>in a phase one trial it's making a significant impact

0:35:21.560 --> 0:35:25.839
<v Speaker 5>on fifteen patients. And these are life threatening diseases. It's

0:35:25.840 --> 0:35:26.919
<v Speaker 5>worth taking the risk.

0:35:27.440 --> 0:35:29.160
<v Speaker 4>So it might not be at.

0:35:29.040 --> 0:35:34.480
<v Speaker 6>The same speed and emphasism as operation warp speed, but

0:35:34.520 --> 0:35:37.000
<v Speaker 6>I have seen a couple areas in oncology and rare disease,

0:35:37.040 --> 0:35:40.600
<v Speaker 6>and maybe that's quite honestly, that's where I am personally

0:35:40.600 --> 0:35:43.960
<v Speaker 6>spending time, so I see those things, and maybe it's

0:35:43.960 --> 0:35:46.560
<v Speaker 6>happening in other areas, but I'm just not as knowledgeable

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:48.120
<v Speaker 6>as all other therapeutic areas.

0:35:48.120 --> 0:35:49.520
<v Speaker 5>But I do see it a little bit more in

0:35:49.560 --> 0:35:52.840
<v Speaker 5>oncology and rare disease. Again, not the same as operation

0:35:52.920 --> 0:35:55.080
<v Speaker 5>warp speed, but I have seen it change people's minds

0:35:55.120 --> 0:35:56.359
<v Speaker 5>and perspectives a little bit.

0:35:57.120 --> 0:36:00.239
<v Speaker 2>I wanted to ask an operational question, which is how

0:36:00.280 --> 0:36:04.400
<v Speaker 2>important is distribution to the pharma business. And one of

0:36:04.400 --> 0:36:07.600
<v Speaker 2>the reasons I ask is because we recorded an episode

0:36:07.640 --> 0:36:11.440
<v Speaker 2>with the Celsius CEO and energy drinks are clearly a

0:36:11.600 --> 0:36:15.239
<v Speaker 2>very different business to pharma, but one thing maybe they

0:36:15.239 --> 0:36:17.640
<v Speaker 2>have in common is that a lot of your success

0:36:18.120 --> 0:36:22.080
<v Speaker 2>depends on actually getting into stores. And obviously, with medicines,

0:36:22.120 --> 0:36:24.160
<v Speaker 2>we are not talking about getting into stores. We're talking

0:36:24.160 --> 0:36:29.800
<v Speaker 2>about getting into hospitals and pharmacies and doctors' offices, and there,

0:36:29.960 --> 0:36:33.759
<v Speaker 2>I imagine you have to face some pretty stiff competition

0:36:34.440 --> 0:36:39.200
<v Speaker 2>from competitors like Pfizer or a Glaxo Smith Klein. So

0:36:39.280 --> 0:36:42.120
<v Speaker 2>how important is that and how do you how does

0:36:42.120 --> 0:36:44.839
<v Speaker 2>that process actually work? What are the discussions like when

0:36:44.880 --> 0:36:45.840
<v Speaker 2>it comes to distribution.

0:36:46.440 --> 0:36:49.280
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, I would say I think distribution is very important.

0:36:49.920 --> 0:36:53.279
<v Speaker 5>I think there are other important factors in terms of

0:36:53.320 --> 0:36:57.560
<v Speaker 5>making sure that medication reaches a patient, but distribution, I mean,

0:36:57.800 --> 0:37:00.080
<v Speaker 5>when I think about it, number one, it's got to

0:37:00.160 --> 0:37:02.719
<v Speaker 5>be there at the right time. So take walking into

0:37:02.719 --> 0:37:06.040
<v Speaker 5>CBS and wanting a flu shot. If CBS does not

0:37:06.120 --> 0:37:08.719
<v Speaker 5>have the flu shot available, there's a chance that you

0:37:08.760 --> 0:37:11.759
<v Speaker 5>might not go back for it. And so the importance

0:37:11.760 --> 0:37:14.160
<v Speaker 5>of being having the supply in the market when a

0:37:14.200 --> 0:37:17.719
<v Speaker 5>patient wants and needs it is extremely important, and distribution plays.

0:37:17.440 --> 0:37:17.800
<v Speaker 4>A role in that.

0:37:18.440 --> 0:37:20.239
<v Speaker 5>There's also many different things that you have to work

0:37:20.239 --> 0:37:24.280
<v Speaker 5>through in terms of storage. So some products are required

0:37:24.320 --> 0:37:27.360
<v Speaker 5>to be refrigerator stable, some are required to be frozen

0:37:27.400 --> 0:37:29.800
<v Speaker 5>at a certain temperature, some are required to be frozen

0:37:29.880 --> 0:37:31.759
<v Speaker 5>at a very cold temperature, and making sure that the

0:37:31.800 --> 0:37:36.000
<v Speaker 5>distribution network has that as well. So the conversation largely

0:37:36.080 --> 0:37:38.080
<v Speaker 5>revolves around that, what can they do to make sure

0:37:38.080 --> 0:37:40.560
<v Speaker 5>that we have the right amount of products in the

0:37:40.680 --> 0:37:43.320
<v Speaker 5>right channels and buy channels for our industry that means

0:37:43.400 --> 0:37:47.880
<v Speaker 5>pharmacies and or doctor's offices, and there's other places to

0:37:47.880 --> 0:37:48.879
<v Speaker 5>put it as well, you.

0:37:48.800 --> 0:37:52.280
<v Speaker 4>Know, but that's largely what that conversation does. And I would.

0:37:52.080 --> 0:37:56.360
<v Speaker 7>Say there is some differentiation in the marketplace from a

0:37:56.400 --> 0:38:00.960
<v Speaker 7>competitive standpoint, but I wouldn't say different Distribution specifically is

0:38:01.000 --> 0:38:05.080
<v Speaker 7>the number one variable for a differentiation between competition.

0:38:05.640 --> 0:38:10.080
<v Speaker 3>Tracy mentioned earlier. But the hot thing, it seems inform

0:38:10.360 --> 0:38:13.120
<v Speaker 3>right now that people are really excited about is gop

0:38:13.280 --> 0:38:17.640
<v Speaker 3>one drugs and weight loss, and if a company has

0:38:17.680 --> 0:38:21.160
<v Speaker 3>something in that category that investors get really excited and

0:38:21.440 --> 0:38:25.680
<v Speaker 3>bid up the stock. You know, imagine things go in

0:38:25.719 --> 0:38:28.040
<v Speaker 3>and out of style at various times, and people are

0:38:28.080 --> 0:38:32.279
<v Speaker 3>really excited about one particular category. Do you feel that

0:38:32.520 --> 0:38:34.960
<v Speaker 3>pressure that is like, Okay, this is the hot thing

0:38:35.080 --> 0:38:38.280
<v Speaker 3>right now weight loss, and we've you know, suppressed people's

0:38:38.280 --> 0:38:41.880
<v Speaker 3>appetite with an injection. Do you feel that pressure and

0:38:41.920 --> 0:38:44.480
<v Speaker 3>does that come from investors? Like are you playing in

0:38:44.520 --> 0:38:46.960
<v Speaker 3>the space? Do one of your forty products? Is it

0:38:47.040 --> 0:38:50.799
<v Speaker 3>going to be potentially related to this category? And I'm curious, like,

0:38:50.880 --> 0:38:53.359
<v Speaker 3>you know, you mentioned that sort of two way conversation.

0:38:54.040 --> 0:38:56.799
<v Speaker 3>You're telling investors about your pipeline, they're telling you what

0:38:56.840 --> 0:38:59.479
<v Speaker 3>they expect. Does this sort of flavor of the month

0:38:59.560 --> 0:39:02.120
<v Speaker 3>or flavor of the year when it comes to what's

0:39:02.160 --> 0:39:04.560
<v Speaker 3>hot in drugs play into those conversations?

0:39:05.400 --> 0:39:07.799
<v Speaker 4>Not really, not for us, not from what I've heard

0:39:07.840 --> 0:39:08.640
<v Speaker 4>from investors.

0:39:09.120 --> 0:39:11.960
<v Speaker 5>I have seen it in other industries for sure, where

0:39:12.239 --> 0:39:15.200
<v Speaker 5>and maybe it's just because there's a hot new product

0:39:15.239 --> 0:39:18.120
<v Speaker 5>that is really core and central, that could be core

0:39:18.200 --> 0:39:21.640
<v Speaker 5>and central to somebody's strategy, but they're missing it GLP

0:39:22.280 --> 0:39:24.840
<v Speaker 5>versus what we've laid out is not core and central

0:39:24.880 --> 0:39:27.239
<v Speaker 5>to our strategy. And so therefore investors understand that and

0:39:27.360 --> 0:39:29.400
<v Speaker 5>quite frankly, rarely.

0:39:29.040 --> 0:39:31.239
<v Speaker 4>Ask about it. Okay, we're in the same yeah, so

0:39:31.600 --> 0:39:33.080
<v Speaker 4>just not as applicable to our company.

0:39:33.640 --> 0:39:37.200
<v Speaker 2>You worked at GE for a long time before going

0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:40.040
<v Speaker 2>on to Motejarna. I think there was another company in between.

0:39:40.200 --> 0:39:43.080
<v Speaker 2>But one thing I'm really curious about is are there

0:39:43.160 --> 0:39:49.120
<v Speaker 2>overlaps between pharma and something like the aircraft business. I

0:39:49.120 --> 0:39:51.680
<v Speaker 2>have to imagine that both of those industries have really

0:39:51.800 --> 0:39:54.759
<v Speaker 2>long lead times that you have to manage, and as

0:39:54.800 --> 0:39:57.920
<v Speaker 2>part of that, you also have to manage investor expectations.

0:39:58.640 --> 0:40:00.440
<v Speaker 4>They are so similar.

0:40:01.880 --> 0:40:04.959
<v Speaker 5>So let me paint the aviation business that I worked

0:40:05.000 --> 0:40:07.360
<v Speaker 5>in for GE, which was I was in the commercial

0:40:07.360 --> 0:40:10.560
<v Speaker 5>engines division, Commercial Engines and Services. So think of you

0:40:10.600 --> 0:40:13.920
<v Speaker 5>know the seven three seven maps, a partnership with a

0:40:13.960 --> 0:40:17.600
<v Speaker 5>company out of France and GE called CFM. Is the

0:40:17.800 --> 0:40:20.480
<v Speaker 5>is the engine on that aircraft? And so when I

0:40:20.520 --> 0:40:24.799
<v Speaker 5>was a CFO there, you're making bets on product families

0:40:25.040 --> 0:40:29.279
<v Speaker 5>that will be on aircraft for literally forty years. And

0:40:29.320 --> 0:40:33.720
<v Speaker 5>these are substantial investments. We're talking two three billion dollars

0:40:33.760 --> 0:40:35.239
<v Speaker 5>for a company to invest.

0:40:34.920 --> 0:40:37.400
<v Speaker 4>In, and you have to make the right bet. Are

0:40:37.440 --> 0:40:38.240
<v Speaker 4>you on the right.

0:40:38.120 --> 0:40:40.120
<v Speaker 5>Aircraft because you know, you can put an engine on

0:40:40.360 --> 0:40:42.160
<v Speaker 5>a bad aircraft and your engine might be great, but

0:40:42.160 --> 0:40:44.880
<v Speaker 5>if nobody buys aircraft, it's irrelevant. So not only do

0:40:44.920 --> 0:40:46.480
<v Speaker 5>you need to make the best engine, you need to

0:40:46.480 --> 0:40:48.520
<v Speaker 5>put it on the right aircraft, people need to buy it,

0:40:48.560 --> 0:40:50.640
<v Speaker 5>and then you need to obviously do everything else well.

0:40:50.440 --> 0:40:52.480
<v Speaker 5>From an execution standpoint.

0:40:52.640 --> 0:40:53.640
<v Speaker 4>That is no different here.

0:40:53.760 --> 0:40:56.880
<v Speaker 5>I mean, we are making you know, I mentioned our

0:40:57.040 --> 0:41:00.760
<v Speaker 5>RSV product as an example, thirty seven dollars in patients.

0:41:00.760 --> 0:41:03.160
<v Speaker 5>It's in the hundreds of millions of dollars from an

0:41:03.200 --> 0:41:04.239
<v Speaker 5>investment perspective.

0:41:05.080 --> 0:41:06.840
<v Speaker 4>But once it's ready, and if it's there.

0:41:06.880 --> 0:41:10.600
<v Speaker 5>You know that rspeed vac scene probably won't be tweaked

0:41:10.640 --> 0:41:13.439
<v Speaker 5>too much. Maybe a little bit of tweaking over time, but.

0:41:13.640 --> 0:41:16.279
<v Speaker 4>We've just cleared a high barrier of entry. Where as

0:41:16.320 --> 0:41:19.680
<v Speaker 4>of right now there's only two competitors, and in the aviation.

0:41:19.360 --> 0:41:23.720
<v Speaker 5>Space there's there's largely three competitors. So they're very similar

0:41:23.800 --> 0:41:25.680
<v Speaker 5>and so the funding. So let's just give an example,

0:41:25.760 --> 0:41:28.880
<v Speaker 5>maybe give you a specific example. When I was at Aviation,

0:41:29.000 --> 0:41:30.880
<v Speaker 5>you think through that three billion dollar program, and we

0:41:31.040 --> 0:41:34.680
<v Speaker 5>had what we called risk and revenue share partners, which

0:41:34.760 --> 0:41:36.640
<v Speaker 5>was somebody to say, hey, we can't invest in six

0:41:36.640 --> 0:41:38.960
<v Speaker 5>product families times three billion dollars each. We're going to

0:41:39.000 --> 0:41:40.960
<v Speaker 5>have to have some partners that they'll make part of

0:41:41.000 --> 0:41:43.000
<v Speaker 5>the engine and they'll help invest in the technology and

0:41:43.040 --> 0:41:45.680
<v Speaker 5>they can share in the commercial rewards. That can be

0:41:45.800 --> 0:41:50.040
<v Speaker 5>very similar in pharmabiotech. So I mentioned Mark in our partnership.

0:41:50.760 --> 0:41:52.920
<v Speaker 5>They funded two hundred and fifty million dollars back in

0:41:52.960 --> 0:41:56.839
<v Speaker 5>twenty sixteen and additional moneys since thereafter, and.

0:41:56.760 --> 0:41:59.360
<v Speaker 4>They owned fifty percent of that program. So when you're.

0:41:59.200 --> 0:42:03.600
<v Speaker 5>Thinking about pulling together this entire pipeline across many different

0:42:03.640 --> 0:42:06.240
<v Speaker 5>therapeutic areas and they all cost a lot of money

0:42:06.280 --> 0:42:09.640
<v Speaker 5>to develop, you need partnerships, and then you know that

0:42:09.719 --> 0:42:11.560
<v Speaker 5>that partnership can provide more than just money.

0:42:11.760 --> 0:42:13.680
<v Speaker 4>In the case of Merk, they are great from a

0:42:13.680 --> 0:42:14.560
<v Speaker 4>commercial perspective.

0:42:14.560 --> 0:42:17.200
<v Speaker 5>They sell the leading oncology drug and the planet, and

0:42:17.239 --> 0:42:19.239
<v Speaker 5>the same in the aviation plant world. You've got to

0:42:19.320 --> 0:42:21.160
<v Speaker 5>have people that might make the best part of the

0:42:21.200 --> 0:42:24.719
<v Speaker 5>engine that you're talking about to improve fuel consumption. So

0:42:24.760 --> 0:42:27.040
<v Speaker 5>they're very similar models one that I think about quite

0:42:27.040 --> 0:42:29.160
<v Speaker 5>a bit. And on top of that, maybe the last

0:42:29.200 --> 0:42:32.320
<v Speaker 5>thing I'd say is they're both highly regulated. I already

0:42:32.360 --> 0:42:35.520
<v Speaker 5>mentioned the biotech space, but aviation, as you know, the

0:42:35.640 --> 0:42:39.200
<v Speaker 5>FAA and other agencies across the globe highly regulate the

0:42:39.239 --> 0:42:41.560
<v Speaker 5>aviation space to make sure that it is very safe

0:42:41.560 --> 0:42:43.440
<v Speaker 5>to fly aircraft across the globe.

0:42:43.600 --> 0:42:45.759
<v Speaker 3>I just have one last question, and I get you know,

0:42:45.840 --> 0:42:49.960
<v Speaker 3>for a sort of young company, growth company, you know,

0:42:50.320 --> 0:42:52.920
<v Speaker 3>macro may not affect you as it may affect a

0:42:53.000 --> 0:42:55.480
<v Speaker 3>more mature company. But I'm just curious, like, when the

0:42:55.560 --> 0:43:00.360
<v Speaker 3>FED raises rates dramatically, what does that mean for company

0:43:00.440 --> 0:43:00.920
<v Speaker 3>like ours?

0:43:01.160 --> 0:43:04.440
<v Speaker 5>Well, for us, again, we're a bit unique because we

0:43:04.480 --> 0:43:06.960
<v Speaker 5>have thirteen billion dollars solid into it our way and

0:43:07.000 --> 0:43:09.160
<v Speaker 5>maybe how I think about it for other companies ways,

0:43:09.160 --> 0:43:12.120
<v Speaker 5>but that might not have be fortunate to thirteen billion.

0:43:12.920 --> 0:43:16.760
<v Speaker 5>Thirteen billion we have I forget the exact number invested

0:43:16.800 --> 0:43:19.680
<v Speaker 5>in bonds, but primarily invested in bonds, and so we

0:43:19.680 --> 0:43:21.520
<v Speaker 5>look at duration, We look.

0:43:21.360 --> 0:43:23.600
<v Speaker 4>At you know, what does that investment portfolio want to

0:43:23.600 --> 0:43:25.920
<v Speaker 4>look like. We're not there to make money on that asset.

0:43:25.960 --> 0:43:28.960
<v Speaker 5>We are there to preserve capital to invest in what

0:43:29.080 --> 0:43:30.640
<v Speaker 5>is core to us, which is our R and D

0:43:30.719 --> 0:43:33.960
<v Speaker 5>and everything that we've spoken about today. But we look at, okay,

0:43:34.040 --> 0:43:36.360
<v Speaker 5>what's that mean? And you know, what's the duration we

0:43:36.360 --> 0:43:38.600
<v Speaker 5>should be taking out? Which is a happy problem to

0:43:38.680 --> 0:43:42.279
<v Speaker 5>have for us. I would say, I would say, you know,

0:43:42.360 --> 0:43:45.439
<v Speaker 5>for a company that is sitting on you know, one

0:43:45.480 --> 0:43:48.279
<v Speaker 5>and a half years of cash burn, and you're just

0:43:48.280 --> 0:43:50.680
<v Speaker 5>sitting there saying, Okay, you know, I'm about chech. I'm

0:43:50.719 --> 0:43:53.160
<v Speaker 5>not revenue yet, I'm not revenue generating yet. I've got

0:43:53.200 --> 0:43:55.040
<v Speaker 5>one and a half years of cash burn, you know,

0:43:55.160 --> 0:43:57.439
<v Speaker 5>in terms of cash on my balance sheet? What does

0:43:57.440 --> 0:43:59.840
<v Speaker 5>this mean? And what do I need to do? You know,

0:44:00.000 --> 0:44:02.040
<v Speaker 5>am I going to make it? You know how interest

0:44:02.120 --> 0:44:05.360
<v Speaker 5>rates affect me? Should I reposition myself?

0:44:05.440 --> 0:44:08.279
<v Speaker 4>Do I What do I need from a death perspective?

0:44:08.480 --> 0:44:12.240
<v Speaker 5>You know, it's just such a different animal in terms

0:44:12.280 --> 0:44:14.759
<v Speaker 5>of surviving that time period in a different way.

0:44:15.840 --> 0:44:18.920
<v Speaker 2>All Right, Jamie Mock, CFO of Moderna, thank you so

0:44:19.000 --> 0:44:20.920
<v Speaker 2>much for coming on all thoughts. That was a really

0:44:20.960 --> 0:44:24.279
<v Speaker 2>interesting conversation. I feel like I understand MODERNA now and

0:44:24.440 --> 0:44:27.120
<v Speaker 2>also the role of CFO a little bit better.

0:44:27.320 --> 0:44:29.319
<v Speaker 4>Well, thank you, Tracy angel I really enjoyed it and

0:44:29.440 --> 0:44:30.640
<v Speaker 4>it was a pleasure. Amazing you both.

0:44:43.680 --> 0:44:46.799
<v Speaker 2>So, Joe, that was really interesting and kind of surprisingly

0:44:47.120 --> 0:44:49.640
<v Speaker 2>thematic in a lot of ways. It seemed to touch

0:44:49.800 --> 0:44:52.960
<v Speaker 2>on a bunch of recent things we've been talking about,

0:44:53.200 --> 0:44:54.720
<v Speaker 2>like aviation.

0:44:54.800 --> 0:44:56.160
<v Speaker 3>Mike, Yeah, I wasn't expecting that.

0:44:56.360 --> 0:44:59.799
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Like distribution, although I take his point that that

0:45:00.120 --> 0:45:04.719
<v Speaker 2>isn't I guess, a main source of competitive differentiation. But

0:45:05.080 --> 0:45:06.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm glad I've finally got the chance to ask a

0:45:06.880 --> 0:45:09.040
<v Speaker 2>CFO what he thinks when he sees the share price

0:45:09.080 --> 0:45:10.759
<v Speaker 2>going down. I always wanted to ask that.

0:45:11.000 --> 0:45:14.080
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, No, I mean I think it's really interesting. I mean,

0:45:14.080 --> 0:45:16.400
<v Speaker 3>at the end of the day, like, right, any company

0:45:16.560 --> 0:45:19.960
<v Speaker 3>can talk about their vision or their roadmap, et cetera,

0:45:20.880 --> 0:45:24.960
<v Speaker 3>But when investors are selling your stock. I think I

0:45:25.040 --> 0:45:28.600
<v Speaker 3>appreciated his fourth rightness that like you have to take

0:45:28.640 --> 0:45:31.480
<v Speaker 3>that seriously on some level, like it seems like there's

0:45:31.560 --> 0:45:35.000
<v Speaker 3>only so far any company can go in terms of

0:45:35.360 --> 0:45:39.080
<v Speaker 3>staying on one path if investors don't like the path.

0:45:39.400 --> 0:45:41.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And just on that note, I also thought it

0:45:42.000 --> 0:45:46.520
<v Speaker 2>was really interesting his discussion of I guess encouraging investors

0:45:46.560 --> 0:45:49.640
<v Speaker 2>to think over the long term, and also the idea

0:45:49.640 --> 0:45:52.200
<v Speaker 2>that everyone has a different definition of what the long

0:45:52.280 --> 0:45:55.920
<v Speaker 2>term actually is. And I suspect those definitions have been

0:45:55.960 --> 0:45:58.319
<v Speaker 2>getting shorter in recent years. But you know, it can

0:45:58.400 --> 0:46:01.799
<v Speaker 2>range for twenty four months to like ten years, And

0:46:01.960 --> 0:46:05.640
<v Speaker 2>how do you actually convince people to stay with the company,

0:46:05.719 --> 0:46:10.520
<v Speaker 2>be excited about the product offering and the pipeline, but

0:46:10.719 --> 0:46:15.720
<v Speaker 2>not get too excited and expect that immediacy for things

0:46:15.760 --> 0:46:19.120
<v Speaker 2>that take a particularly long time to develop.

0:46:19.440 --> 0:46:22.440
<v Speaker 3>Totally, you know, the I was not expecting him to

0:46:22.560 --> 0:46:27.440
<v Speaker 3>like draw those analogies between pharma development and commercial engines,

0:46:27.520 --> 0:46:30.440
<v Speaker 3>but it makes so much sense because obviously you have this,

0:46:30.800 --> 0:46:34.880
<v Speaker 3>you know, this huge runway, no pun intended, and then

0:46:35.120 --> 0:46:37.200
<v Speaker 3>you're locked in for a long time and the product

0:46:37.280 --> 0:46:39.879
<v Speaker 3>isn't going to change after that until you're really taking

0:46:39.880 --> 0:46:44.359
<v Speaker 3>this sort of like extremely long uncertain bet. I also

0:46:44.400 --> 0:46:47.200
<v Speaker 3>really like to description of the processes that they have

0:46:47.320 --> 0:46:50.480
<v Speaker 3>in place for internal capital allocation. You know, you have

0:46:50.600 --> 0:46:54.560
<v Speaker 3>like forty different processes and that like competition element between

0:46:54.600 --> 0:46:56.480
<v Speaker 3>the different subject areas.

0:46:56.719 --> 0:46:58.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, absolutely, shall we leave it there.

0:46:59.080 --> 0:47:00.359
<v Speaker 3>Let's leave it there, all right.

0:47:00.360 --> 0:47:03.319
<v Speaker 2>This has been another episode of the Audlots podcast. I'm

0:47:03.320 --> 0:47:06.440
<v Speaker 2>Tracy Alloway. You can follow me at Tracy Alloway and.

0:47:06.400 --> 0:47:09.200
<v Speaker 3>I'm Joe Wisenthal. You can follow me at the Stalwart.

0:47:09.480 --> 0:47:13.480
<v Speaker 3>Follow our producers Kerman Rodriguez at Kerman Arman, Dashel Bennett

0:47:13.480 --> 0:47:16.799
<v Speaker 3>at Dashbot, and Kilbrooks at Kelbrooks. Thank you to our

0:47:16.840 --> 0:47:20.280
<v Speaker 3>producer Moses Ondem from our Oddlots content. Go to Bloomberg

0:47:20.320 --> 0:47:23.200
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0:47:32.000 --> 0:47:34.560
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0:48:10.320 --> 0:48:10.360
<v Speaker 5>In