1 00:00:02,360 --> 00:00:05,840 Speaker 1: The US Navy defeated a large scale attack by Iranian 2 00:00:05,920 --> 00:00:09,000 Speaker 1: backed Houties in the Red Sea this weekend, the largest 3 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:12,639 Speaker 1: single attack to date. US warships shot down at least 4 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:16,200 Speaker 1: twenty eight drones in just four hours. Days earlier, the 5 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:20,160 Speaker 1: Houties fired an anti ship ballistic missile at the Envy 6 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: True Confidence, a commercial bulk carrier, killing three sailors. 7 00:00:24,760 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 2: How's our deterrence going? 8 00:00:26,320 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 3: The largest attack over the weekend since this whole thing 9 00:00:29,360 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 3: started a little more from Jennifer Griffin on Fox. 10 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 1: Senthcom Commander General Eric Krilla, just back from the region 11 00:00:36,080 --> 00:00:40,240 Speaker 1: told Congress Iran is not second guessing backing proxies. 12 00:00:40,720 --> 00:00:43,800 Speaker 2: Iran is undeterred in support to the Huthies. 13 00:00:44,200 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 1: They're undeterred and their support to am Hezbala, their support 14 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: to hamast So. 15 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:53,280 Speaker 3: Iran's completely undeterred supporting the proxies. And then when I 16 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:57,240 Speaker 3: see the headline over the weekend won thousand US troops 17 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:01,080 Speaker 3: deploying to build offshore port in god, how do we 18 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 3: not end up attacked and sucked into this thing? 19 00:01:04,959 --> 00:01:08,400 Speaker 4: To discuss that hot spot and several others, please welcome 20 00:01:08,560 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 4: Mike Lyons, the Shocian and military analyst Mike. 21 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:12,800 Speaker 2: It's always a pleasure. How are you. 22 00:01:13,360 --> 00:01:14,720 Speaker 5: Hey, Good morning guys. Great to be back. 23 00:01:14,920 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 3: I feel like I'm not hearing anybody ask this question anywhere. 24 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 3: Maybe there's an obvious reason. I'm just an idiot, but 25 00:01:20,360 --> 00:01:22,800 Speaker 3: we're sending a thousand troops to build a port and Gaza. 26 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:25,639 Speaker 3: Why wouldn't we be a target if we're a target 27 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:26,560 Speaker 3: all over the Middle East? 28 00:01:27,240 --> 00:01:30,399 Speaker 6: No, no question, They're going to be a target. And 29 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:32,560 Speaker 6: this is I'm finding it a polarizing issue with other 30 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 6: analysts I'm speaking to, so okay, it's very political, and 31 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,520 Speaker 6: that's really the bottom line is because from a political perspective, 32 00:01:38,840 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 6: the military wants to show it has this capability, and 33 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:42,520 Speaker 6: then the Army has this capability. 34 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:43,959 Speaker 5: That's where it's coming from. Of all things. 35 00:01:43,959 --> 00:01:46,720 Speaker 6: It's not something that the Navy does. But Ak Dearborn 36 00:01:46,800 --> 00:01:50,040 Speaker 6: Corps has a ship that's stationed off of Virginia and 37 00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 6: it's heading to the Middle East right now, and the 38 00:01:52,600 --> 00:01:55,559 Speaker 6: Navy will support it. And there's a it's called j LOTS. 39 00:01:55,600 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 6: It's a joint command that the Army and Navy will 40 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 6: get together and work with and marines. About a thousand 41 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,040 Speaker 6: marines have been activated in order to provide the security 42 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 6: force for it, so it will take a few months 43 00:02:06,480 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 6: and to get it all set up. And where military 44 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:13,280 Speaker 6: analysts I think are conflicted is it will create a 45 00:02:13,320 --> 00:02:15,440 Speaker 6: big target. It could be similar to what happened in 46 00:02:15,440 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 6: eighty three and Lebanon. It could be the coal it 47 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,240 Speaker 6: could be something where it'll be an easy target because 48 00:02:20,240 --> 00:02:23,280 Speaker 6: it'll be wide open in the Red Sea there. But 49 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,280 Speaker 6: from a political perspective, it's checking a lot of boxes 50 00:02:26,320 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 6: right now for the industry. 51 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,079 Speaker 3: I'm interested in. You said it was polariz is polarizing 52 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:32,840 Speaker 3: within the military. Are you saying it's polarized the military 53 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,559 Speaker 3: versus the politicians or where's the polarization. 54 00:02:36,280 --> 00:02:38,200 Speaker 6: No, I think from analysts just trying to figure out 55 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 6: whether this is a good idea or not. It's kind 56 00:02:40,240 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 6: of a good, good example of civilian control of the military, 57 00:02:43,360 --> 00:02:45,560 Speaker 6: whereas there's probably people in the military that don't think 58 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,360 Speaker 6: it's a good idea on any level. Just from what 59 00:02:47,400 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 6: you said, the security and protecting other force is going 60 00:02:49,560 --> 00:02:52,240 Speaker 6: to be challenging, but this is an example of the 61 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,120 Speaker 6: commander in chief says this is what we're going to do. 62 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:57,320 Speaker 6: The military has the salute and obey the mission. I'm 63 00:02:57,360 --> 00:02:59,280 Speaker 6: finding more and more of my colleagues and people I've 64 00:02:59,280 --> 00:03:01,760 Speaker 6: talked to him, for example the West Point, feel that 65 00:03:01,880 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 6: it's really a dangerous mission and it's putting a lot 66 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:08,520 Speaker 6: at risk. Usually these kinds of humanitarian efforts are not 67 00:03:08,600 --> 00:03:12,280 Speaker 6: necessarily into combat zones, especially in one like this where 68 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,359 Speaker 6: it'll be well inside the range of the Houthis as 69 00:03:15,520 --> 00:03:18,280 Speaker 6: we continue to degrade their capability, that's not done yet. 70 00:03:18,960 --> 00:03:21,560 Speaker 6: But also this is kind of a classic small boat 71 00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:26,520 Speaker 6: Iranian attack target that they could likely go after as 72 00:03:26,560 --> 00:03:29,000 Speaker 6: well as you're aiding and abtding the enemy on some 73 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:31,960 Speaker 6: level in Hamas. So there's lots of reasons you could 74 00:03:32,040 --> 00:03:34,520 Speaker 6: argue that we shouldn't be doing this, but the military 75 00:03:34,560 --> 00:03:36,600 Speaker 6: has to salute and get the mission done right now. 76 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 4: And it's easy for Americans to forget that Hezbola is 77 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:44,120 Speaker 4: at war with Israel. In effect, now it's a fairly 78 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:48,880 Speaker 4: restrained trading of artillery across the border, but I've got 79 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 4: to imagine if they wanted to make a big splash, 80 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 4: that would be a target for. 81 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 2: Them as well. 82 00:03:52,720 --> 00:03:56,000 Speaker 6: Now absolutely, and it's going to be likely in a 83 00:03:56,160 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 6: place right by Gaza City there that Israel has closed 84 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 6: this port, they don't have a port. Israel has not 85 00:04:02,600 --> 00:04:06,840 Speaker 6: allowed Hamas to bring goods and services through this port 86 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:10,720 Speaker 6: for many years. It's been blockaded. And so that's what 87 00:04:10,760 --> 00:04:12,840 Speaker 6: the United States is doing. It's almost sticking its finger 88 00:04:12,840 --> 00:04:14,920 Speaker 6: in the eye of Israel as well, opening up this 89 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:16,840 Speaker 6: port and saying, you know, try to try to stop 90 00:04:16,920 --> 00:04:19,760 Speaker 6: us doing this. Israel has no choice but to now 91 00:04:20,400 --> 00:04:23,159 Speaker 6: provide oversight and security for it. But it's going to 92 00:04:23,160 --> 00:04:27,120 Speaker 6: be very challenging in that to try to get it's 93 00:04:27,160 --> 00:04:28,640 Speaker 6: going to be like a causeway port. So let me 94 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:32,240 Speaker 6: get the visual. Put a ship out offshore about let's 95 00:04:32,240 --> 00:04:36,080 Speaker 6: say half a mile that'll have a lot of capability 96 00:04:36,480 --> 00:04:39,320 Speaker 6: for it to take in and receive certain ships that'll 97 00:04:39,320 --> 00:04:41,840 Speaker 6: come in from Cyprus and humanitarian efforts. And then a 98 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 6: long causeway road similar to what we saw like D 99 00:04:44,560 --> 00:04:47,279 Speaker 6: Day for example, when they built those causeways, long roads 100 00:04:47,279 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 6: where trucks will bring supplies back and forth. And that's 101 00:04:50,960 --> 00:04:53,280 Speaker 6: going to be the target. You know, you blow up 102 00:04:53,360 --> 00:04:55,320 Speaker 6: that middle of that causeway, you blow up a truck 103 00:04:55,320 --> 00:04:59,039 Speaker 6: in there, and think a few trucks, and you create 104 00:04:59,680 --> 00:05:01,880 Speaker 6: a very easy target for a terrorist organization. 105 00:05:02,839 --> 00:05:07,800 Speaker 4: Wow, So it's going to be a manufactured road out 106 00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,880 Speaker 4: into the harbor of the Bay of the Sea there. 107 00:05:11,800 --> 00:05:14,279 Speaker 5: Yeah, that's the plan for right now. 108 00:05:14,400 --> 00:05:17,520 Speaker 6: And that's from our perspective, the safest thing as well, 109 00:05:17,520 --> 00:05:23,040 Speaker 6: because it keeps the ship and most of the supplies offshore, 110 00:05:23,480 --> 00:05:26,919 Speaker 6: providing more oversight to anything that could come from an attack. 111 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:30,120 Speaker 6: And the risk is going to be that kind of 112 00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:33,239 Speaker 6: noman's land between where the ship is, whether it really 113 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 6: originatorship's dock, and then the supplies traveling on that road 114 00:05:37,480 --> 00:05:40,440 Speaker 6: into Gaza. Now, they do have a port that's there, 115 00:05:40,480 --> 00:05:44,400 Speaker 6: and this will help eventually help improve that capability once 116 00:05:44,760 --> 00:05:48,120 Speaker 6: this is over. And that's to say it even goes down, right, 117 00:05:48,160 --> 00:05:50,480 Speaker 6: I mean, it's going to take probably sixty days in 118 00:05:50,600 --> 00:05:52,000 Speaker 6: order for this to say it's up and running and 119 00:05:52,040 --> 00:05:52,880 Speaker 6: completely functional. 120 00:05:54,120 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 2: Wow. 121 00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:57,520 Speaker 3: So I just don't understand what if there if a 122 00:05:57,640 --> 00:06:02,080 Speaker 3: variety of different entities are sent drones at our barracks 123 00:06:02,080 --> 00:06:04,479 Speaker 3: all around the Middle East hoping to kill a bunch 124 00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:08,000 Speaker 3: of US servicemen, Obviously they're gonna be sending drones of 125 00:06:08,080 --> 00:06:09,920 Speaker 3: this thing, right yeah. 126 00:06:10,040 --> 00:06:14,080 Speaker 6: I mean the air defense umbrella is they'll likely have 127 00:06:14,279 --> 00:06:18,839 Speaker 6: battleship they'll destroy, they'll keep they'll keep naval presence there. 128 00:06:18,880 --> 00:06:19,360 Speaker 5: As well. 129 00:06:19,800 --> 00:06:22,640 Speaker 6: That'll be looking over the horizon air defence platforms. But 130 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:25,200 Speaker 6: this is a good example again of a swarming drone 131 00:06:25,240 --> 00:06:28,440 Speaker 6: target where you get a thousand drones or do something 132 00:06:28,440 --> 00:06:30,400 Speaker 6: with who these are going to do, and go after 133 00:06:30,480 --> 00:06:33,080 Speaker 6: it and just one or two of them gets through. 134 00:06:33,200 --> 00:06:35,720 Speaker 6: It creates, you know, pierces that veil of the security 135 00:06:35,760 --> 00:06:38,400 Speaker 6: and then people start to question, you know, what's going on. 136 00:06:39,080 --> 00:06:39,200 Speaker 5: You know. 137 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 6: Again, so from a theoretical perspective, it does show the 138 00:06:42,160 --> 00:06:43,840 Speaker 6: United States it's got this capability. 139 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,080 Speaker 5: But whether we can really pull it off in the 140 00:06:46,080 --> 00:06:47,200 Speaker 5: long run, it. 141 00:06:47,120 --> 00:06:50,000 Speaker 6: Remains to be seen, and it will be a tremendous 142 00:06:50,440 --> 00:06:53,840 Speaker 6: risk if there is a catastrophic incident like we had 143 00:06:53,880 --> 00:06:56,359 Speaker 6: in eighty three and Lebanon, or the coal being attacked, 144 00:06:56,480 --> 00:06:58,560 Speaker 6: or we just drop our guard because all they got 145 00:06:58,560 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 6: to do is get one or two through and then 146 00:06:59,680 --> 00:06:59,960 Speaker 6: that's it. 147 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:03,719 Speaker 4: UH. Military analyst Mike Clions on the line. Mike, I 148 00:07:03,760 --> 00:07:07,440 Speaker 4: have a bad habit of asking questions that really ought 149 00:07:07,440 --> 00:07:09,960 Speaker 4: to be answered with a book, and I'd love to 150 00:07:10,480 --> 00:07:12,600 Speaker 4: read it if you ever write it. But I was 151 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:16,600 Speaker 4: reading at CNN dot com the other day that Russia 152 00:07:16,640 --> 00:07:19,520 Speaker 4: is producing three times more artillery shells than the US 153 00:07:19,560 --> 00:07:20,480 Speaker 4: and Europe combined. 154 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:23,640 Speaker 2: For Ukraine, their. 155 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:26,320 Speaker 4: Military industrial complex, if you will, is much more capable 156 00:07:26,600 --> 00:07:29,360 Speaker 4: or efficient at this point. And with all due respect 157 00:07:29,360 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 4: to Eisenhower's warning and that there's always profiteering in war 158 00:07:33,080 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 4: and military production, blah blah blah, we Americans like to 159 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 4: think that we won World War two because we're just great. 160 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:44,200 Speaker 4: I mean, I'm not talking about you, I'm talking about 161 00:07:44,240 --> 00:07:47,640 Speaker 4: you know, popular perception, when indeed it was the Russian 162 00:07:47,720 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 4: sacrificing millions of troops are brave fighters, and the fact 163 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:55,000 Speaker 4: that we were the arsenal democracy, we had this mind 164 00:07:55,160 --> 00:08:00,360 Speaker 4: boggling production capacity for the tools of war. Anyway, finally, 165 00:08:00,360 --> 00:08:02,440 Speaker 4: a very long question comes to its end. Are you 166 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:06,520 Speaker 4: worried at our lack of ship building, artillery building, and 167 00:08:06,560 --> 00:08:10,320 Speaker 4: the rest of the capacity to make the armaments of war. 168 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:12,560 Speaker 5: In the short term. 169 00:08:12,640 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 6: Yes, In the long run, we've proven historically that when 170 00:08:15,720 --> 00:08:18,560 Speaker 6: we want to crank up the war machine, watch out, 171 00:08:18,680 --> 00:08:23,160 Speaker 6: because when that happens, it's really no match for anybody else. 172 00:08:23,200 --> 00:08:25,720 Speaker 5: But for right now, as others. 173 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:27,440 Speaker 6: Are doing that, as the Chinese are building a six 174 00:08:27,480 --> 00:08:30,760 Speaker 6: hundred chip navy, and as Russia creates more artillery ambudition. 175 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:34,040 Speaker 6: You know, we actually increased our supply line about another 176 00:08:34,120 --> 00:08:36,640 Speaker 6: fifteen to twenty thousand artillery rounds a month. We're now 177 00:08:36,679 --> 00:08:39,960 Speaker 6: producing about forty five thousand rounds a month. Ukraine needs 178 00:08:39,960 --> 00:08:42,280 Speaker 6: one hundred thousand a month. They probably have about eight 179 00:08:42,360 --> 00:08:46,439 Speaker 6: or nine month left and so they're not being replenished 180 00:08:46,480 --> 00:08:48,920 Speaker 6: at a faster rate. In addition to we've taken some 181 00:08:49,080 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 6: out of our Pompkins stocks already in order to support 182 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 6: this the mission there, so we've not put ourselves in 183 00:08:55,120 --> 00:08:56,120 Speaker 6: any kind of war footing. 184 00:08:56,320 --> 00:08:57,040 Speaker 5: Europe is trying. 185 00:08:57,080 --> 00:08:59,240 Speaker 6: We see some European countries, especially when it comes to 186 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 6: artillery air, trying to do that as well. But it 187 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:05,839 Speaker 6: takes time. It's dangerous. Creating artillery shells is dangerous. You're 188 00:09:05,840 --> 00:09:09,400 Speaker 6: creating bombs, you're creating explosives. So in the short term, 189 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:11,720 Speaker 6: the whole planet's always been all along that our standing 190 00:09:11,760 --> 00:09:14,920 Speaker 6: force has got to be able to and absorb the 191 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:18,400 Speaker 6: initial blow. But everybody's confident that we'll for crank the 192 00:09:18,440 --> 00:09:20,839 Speaker 6: war machine up once that will be fine. Whether we 193 00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:22,400 Speaker 6: can do it again or not remains to assume. I 194 00:09:22,440 --> 00:09:24,120 Speaker 6: haven't done it in what eighty years? Haven't done it 195 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 6: eighty five years. 196 00:09:25,400 --> 00:09:27,480 Speaker 2: Any other thoughts on Ukraine before we let you go? 197 00:09:29,080 --> 00:09:32,360 Speaker 6: No, I think that the longer we wait to get 198 00:09:32,400 --> 00:09:35,520 Speaker 6: them this a to get them this sixty billion dollars 199 00:09:35,720 --> 00:09:38,600 Speaker 6: of what was American jobs, of what will help crank 200 00:09:38,679 --> 00:09:42,400 Speaker 6: up the war machine in our country, it's slipping away. 201 00:09:42,840 --> 00:09:46,000 Speaker 6: And without trying to sound chicken too much like chicken little, 202 00:09:46,040 --> 00:09:47,600 Speaker 6: the fact that Ukraine has held on for as long 203 00:09:47,640 --> 00:09:49,800 Speaker 6: as they can has been nothing short of miraculous. But 204 00:09:49,840 --> 00:09:53,080 Speaker 6: when Russia decides to grind you down from a historical perspective, 205 00:09:53,120 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 6: they will grind you down. And that's that's what they're 206 00:09:55,080 --> 00:09:57,200 Speaker 6: doing right now. They're putting them they're putting their front 207 00:09:57,200 --> 00:09:58,760 Speaker 6: on the gas and that's what they're going for and 208 00:09:58,920 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 6: we just need to wake up and see it. 209 00:10:00,840 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 4: CNN Military analyst Mike Liines, Mike, thanks so much for 210 00:10:03,520 --> 00:10:03,920 Speaker 4: the insight. 211 00:10:03,960 --> 00:10:04,600 Speaker 2: Good to talk to you. 212 00:10:05,200 --> 00:10:08,920 Speaker 5: Thanks guys, things for me, Armstrong and Getty