Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.
Speaker 2: Single best idea and lots to talk about here. The
Speaker 2: market's a real movement a couple of days ago off
Speaker 2: of maybe the Supreme Court questioning and up and back
Speaker 2: and vacillating that, trying to set up to get to
Speaker 2: the end of the fourth quarter, and of course arching
Speaker 2: over all of this is the government shut down. Ana
Speaker 2: Wong just absolutely brilliant today with their direct knowledge of
Speaker 2: how these institutions run, Doctor Wang of Bloomberg Economics, really
Speaker 2: really quite good. What a joy and sometimes you make
Speaker 2: your luck. Holgersch meeting with us and our team new
Speaker 2: to get Holger schmeting a Barrenberg bank in is the
Speaker 2: Bank of England news was released and I'm like, yeah, okay,
Speaker 2: so what Bank of England? Nobody cares guess what for
Speaker 2: American For everybody within economics, finance, investment, in international relations
Speaker 2: today the Bank of England matter why it was a
Speaker 2: five to four decision. I can't say enough about the
Speaker 2: nakedness of their approach versus the choreographed ballet of the
Speaker 2: Washington Fed a five to four decision there, Governor Bailey's
Speaker 2: headlines were absolutely riveting. Holger Schmiding of Behrenberg Bank and
Speaker 2: the Bank of England on the FED.
Speaker 1: I would say it's a good talking point, but descent
Speaker 1: on its own is not always good. It depends on
Speaker 1: what the arguments are. And in a way this descent
Speaker 1: shows that we are in rather uncertain times. The Bank
Speaker 1: of England really is having in a quandary. Inflation very high,
Speaker 1: but the economy likely to slow. So what do they
Speaker 1: do in the.
Speaker 3: Reset to a higher inflation rank going from one point
Speaker 3: ninety two percent out to two point x Dare I
Speaker 3: say three percent? There's a culture for that in America.
Speaker 3: Maybe there's a culture for that in pre Brexit England.
Speaker 3: In Germany, to pocote the economist Bart Simpson, they're going
Speaker 3: to have a cow. How is Germany going to react
Speaker 3: to a new higher inflation regime?
Speaker 1: Well, Germany will probably be part of the higher inflation
Speaker 1: regime for a simple reason. We have labor shortages coming
Speaker 1: across most of the advanced world, especially in the US
Speaker 1: thanks to well net immigration dropping to zero over here,
Speaker 1: and in Europe demography plays a road.
Speaker 2: What a joy to have Holger Schmidding in our studios
Speaker 2: in New York. He is just absolutely definitive on the continent.
Speaker 2: There's an assumption here, folks that at some point out there,
Speaker 2: for any number of reasons, including Chinese dynamics, that we
Speaker 2: see the opposite of inflation or disinflation. The win of
Speaker 2: that is a huge mystery. Brian Belski with us today,
Speaker 2: a legendary BMO Capital Markets. Here is someone who has
Speaker 2: said participate in the market, have the courage to believe
Speaker 2: in the American experiment. He sets up shop out of
Speaker 2: Tampa in Minnesota. Brian Belski and his team Humillis Investment.
Speaker 2: Here is Belski on the moment at hand for the
Speaker 2: stock market.
Speaker 4: I think we're in kind of this conundrum right now.
Speaker 4: Markets actually have held in there a little bit better
Speaker 4: than we thought. We thought we'd actually get a little
Speaker 4: bit more of a pullback here. I think one of
Speaker 4: the problems with the market is there are too many
Speaker 4: bulls here at the end of this big bull cycle,
Speaker 4: or at least the end of the big move this year,
Speaker 4: and we really believe that Macro has really done a
Speaker 4: disservice to investors really since two thousand and nine. Now,
Speaker 4: your question is what happens when we get a flood
Speaker 4: of all this data. Again, it could be information overload,
Speaker 4: and at the end of the day, we're kind of
Speaker 4: looking forward with respect to the with the what's going
Speaker 4: to be in terms of these job losses that we
Speaker 4: keep hearing about in what the Fed is going to
Speaker 4: do in twenty twenty six back up and yields to
Speaker 4: five percent clearly has put a dampening on the broadening
Speaker 4: out trade on a near term basis.
Speaker 2: Brian Belski of humillis, what am I going to do?
Speaker 2: And there's a shutdown, and there's any number of opinions
Speaker 2: on this. Anna Wog was brilliant about if we get
Speaker 2: to I believe it's next Saturday, like eight nine days away,
Speaker 2: then it's a mystery to December. I don't know anything
Speaker 2: about that. What I do know is I'm going to
Speaker 2: really pay attention to Jason Furman's wonderful work at Harvard
Speaker 2: where he teaches X ten on annualized rates of inflation
Speaker 2: once we get the data in, and I'm also going
Speaker 2: to look to Anna Wong and her wonderful work with
Speaker 2: Bloomberg Economics. The granularity. You know, we make jokes about it.
Speaker 2: We talked to Anna Wog about McDonald's and all that,
Speaker 2: the work, the granularity of what all of our guests
Speaker 2: do is just is not to be underestimated. We're out
Speaker 2: on Apple, on Spotify, thank you particularly to the Pacific
Speaker 2: rim for a big Spotify presence, and on YouTube podcasts.
Speaker 2: It's single best idea