Speaker 1: It's time to place your bets. Let's talk to the pros.
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting pros. And it's me Joey
Speaker 1: p Joe Pi Zapia, and it's all about the championship games.
Speaker 1: That's right. This weekend is the AFC and NFC championship games.
Speaker 1: And Scott Bogman and I are gonna take you through
Speaker 1: all of the bets. We're gonna take you through some
Speaker 1: of the prop bets as well. And I gotta tell you, Bogman,
Speaker 1: I know, most of the time we'd come in here
Speaker 1: and say we were fifty percent last week, and we
Speaker 1: will be very ashamed of ourselves. But I saw a
Speaker 1: lot of goose egg people out there. I saw a
Speaker 1: lot of people who got one thing right. We at
Speaker 1: least got the upset there with Cincinnati, correct, That is good.
Speaker 1: We did talk about San Francisco maybe having that chance,
Speaker 1: and it's worth you know, sprinkling a little chips on there.
Speaker 1: But my goodness, you know, thank goodness for Casey and
Speaker 1: Cincinnati coming through because I'm wild weekend last weekend.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, two and two was perfectly fine in
Speaker 2: a four game set, So you know, we'll we'll keep
Speaker 2: our money that that that's enough. So uh but yeah, man,
Speaker 2: it was a wacky, wacky divisional round. Of course, you
Speaker 2: know a lot of people calling it the best weekend
Speaker 2: of playoff football ever. Hard to disagree with that, you know,
Speaker 2: I think the hyperbole of the Chiefs first Bills being
Speaker 2: the best game ever a little bit much because it
Speaker 2: was the divisional round. There's been some great Super Bowls,
Speaker 2: you know what I mean, But uh, they were These
Speaker 2: games were amazing and there's a whole new meaning to
Speaker 2: thirteen seconds now.
Speaker 3: So you know, so thankfully for Cowboy we'll take that.
Speaker 1: Yeah, thankfully for Cowboys fans. But I'll say this too.
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if it was the best
Speaker 1: game ever, but I think it's the best fourth quarter
Speaker 1: ever that that might be.
Speaker 3: For sure.
Speaker 2: It's the most two minute warning ever in the history
Speaker 2: of football.
Speaker 3: That is for sure.
Speaker 1: Certainly insane. But obviously we've got to go back to
Speaker 1: the grindstone and put our nose in it, I guess.
Speaker 1: And we're going to talk about the Cincinnati Bengals taking
Speaker 1: all the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco forty
Speaker 1: nine ers taking on the Los Angeles Rams. A lot
Speaker 1: to digest in these games. First, before we even get
Speaker 1: into it, I want to remind everybody head over to
Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com right now, and that way you can
Speaker 1: see all the picks, all the different houses, and all
Speaker 1: the different options you have here, everything from BEDMGM, fan
Speaker 1: Duel DK, They're all on here on bettingpros dot com.
Speaker 1: We can see the consensus line and that's what we're
Speaker 1: gonna talk about today, and the consensus line when we
Speaker 1: look at this first game, Bogman is the Cincinnati Bengals
Speaker 1: seven point underdogs going into Kansas City. Now, a couple
Speaker 1: of weeks ago, Cincinnati Bengals went in to Kansas City
Speaker 1: and pulled out. That was in sinci oh, in Cincinnati,
Speaker 1: pardon me, they in Cincinnati pulled off the victory. So
Speaker 1: I kind of touched on this with you last week,
Speaker 1: which was the idea of I feel like had these
Speaker 1: teams not matched up this year, then there could be
Speaker 1: that opportunity where they would overlook Cincinnati. I don't think
Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Cincinnati. If you're looking over under in
Speaker 1: this game, there's fifty four and a half and if
Speaker 1: you watch some of the defense at the end of
Speaker 1: that game with Kansas City. Maybe just maybe this is
Speaker 1: an over. But Boggs, let's start here with this spread
Speaker 1: and the seven. What are your thoughts on the seven.
Speaker 2: I mean, I think the seven is appropriate for the
Speaker 2: way that both these teams are playing. My favorite bet
Speaker 2: here is the over. We'll get into that in a second.
Speaker 2: But I think this is about right, and I think
Speaker 2: the thing here is experience. It's four years in a
Speaker 2: row in the AFC Championship for the Kansas City Chiefs.
Speaker 2: It is the first AFC championship since nineteen eighty eight
Speaker 2: for the Cincinnati Bengals, So you know, I think it's
Speaker 2: all about experience here. I thought maybe this line would
Speaker 2: be closer to five five and a half just because
Speaker 2: Cincinnati had won against Kansas City earlier. In that game,
Speaker 2: in particular, I mean, Patrick Mahomes had fewer yards than
Speaker 2: Jamar Chase did. Jamar Chase had more receiving yards and
Speaker 2: Mahomes had passing yards. So you know, I think there
Speaker 2: is not a way in hell that's gonna happen again.
Speaker 2: I mean not, But the way that Pat Mahomes is
Speaker 2: playing ever since that second quarter of the Steelers game,
Speaker 2: he is I mean unstoppable right now.
Speaker 3: So I think seven is about fair.
Speaker 1: Now, if you're looking at the consensus line, it's seven.
Speaker 1: But if you go to bet MGM, it's seven and
Speaker 1: a half. And obviously with bet MGM two bet MGM
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Speaker 1: the states where that's available, which is New York, New Jersey, Colorado, Indiana,
Speaker 1: West Virginia, Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Virginia, Iowa, DC, Arizona, and
Speaker 1: a few others as well. But here here's a question
Speaker 1: for you, bogs. Does the hook matter to you? The
Speaker 1: seven and a half? Is that something you'd be looking for?
Speaker 3: Not really, it does, matter, of course, you know.
Speaker 2: But for me, I'm gonna be taking Kansas City just
Speaker 2: because of the way that Patrick Mahomes is playing right now.
Speaker 2: It looked he looks fairly unstoppable. Like I said, I
Speaker 2: don't know what broke towards the second quarter of that
Speaker 2: Steelers game and wild Card weekend, but it broke, and
Speaker 2: the dam is open and Patrick Mahomes is playing unbelievable
Speaker 2: right now. Even in that you know that first trive,
Speaker 2: we saw the Buffalo go down, go for on fourth
Speaker 2: and get it, go for the fourth and goal and
Speaker 2: score a touchdown. But they had everything planned perfectly against
Speaker 2: Mahomes on that first drive and he just ran it.
Speaker 2: He was like, all right, I'll go get it with
Speaker 2: my legs and he did. So It's just whatever he
Speaker 2: does is turning to gold right now, and it's hard
Speaker 2: to pick against Mahomes when that's happening for him.
Speaker 1: Now, if the hook does matter to you, those of
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Speaker 1: pretty good return on your investment. I would say, what
Speaker 1: about the over under here in this one? The consensus
Speaker 1: line over on betting pros right now is fifty four
Speaker 1: and a half. A lot of right now coming in
Speaker 1: on the overside. Is that where you Lean as well. Yeah,
Speaker 1: I mean, for me, I think it has to be
Speaker 1: the over here. We saw both these teams put up
Speaker 1: points last week. I mean, Joe Burrow put up some
Speaker 1: points despite being sacked nine times. That stuff's not gonna
Speaker 1: happen against you know, against Kansas City. They're gonna improve
Speaker 1: their line play. And also, Jeffrey Simmons is not on
Speaker 1: this line. Chris Jones is, and he's been playing well.
Speaker 1: Frank Clark has been playing great as well too, but
Speaker 1: they're not going to get to him nine times again.
Speaker 1: So I think, you know, after what we saw in
Speaker 1: specifically Chase, just remember when Chartavis Ward hit the gritty
Speaker 1: in the end zone after blocking one pass from Chase,
Speaker 1: and then Chase caught two more touchdowns and hit it
Speaker 1: both times. I mean, come on, man, I think this
Speaker 1: game is an over now. Something pushing off of that
Speaker 1: is Tyrone Matthew did practice in full today, so that
Speaker 1: is going to help out. You know, that second safety
Speaker 1: spot in Kansas City.
Speaker 2: They switch back and forth between because Daniel Sownson can't
Speaker 2: cover but he can tackle, and one Thornhill can cover
Speaker 2: but he can't tackle, So they've been going back and forth.
Speaker 3: So when Matthew went out early in the game last week.
Speaker 2: That's why we saw, you know, I mean, Mike Cues
Speaker 2: get completely cooked, but there was no help behind him
Speaker 2: because Matthew had been out. So that's going to help
Speaker 2: towards that. I just don't think it's gonna be enough.
Speaker 2: I think Kansas City can get most of this by
Speaker 2: themselves with the way they're playing, and if the Bengals
Speaker 2: are gonna keep pace, it's gonna go way over that,
Speaker 2: just like we saw Casey and Buffalo.
Speaker 1: Yeah, so far, according to bankpros dot Com, seventy seven
Speaker 1: percent in our matchup right now, we're on the over.
Speaker 1: And right now, this might surprise you, fifty nine percent
Speaker 1: of the wagers coming in on the Cincinnati side on
Speaker 1: the plus seven. So that's pretty interesting there.
Speaker 2: I think you see the Bengals win two road games
Speaker 2: and that's a big line, and they beat Kansas City
Speaker 2: before this year, so you know, I understand it.
Speaker 1: I get it too. It just feels like they're gonna
Speaker 1: be outclassed a little bit. To me, if anybody can
Speaker 1: go in there and you know, write that check, it's
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow. It feels I mean, he's got that kind
Speaker 1: of swagger and got that kind of momentum. He's big game.
Speaker 1: Joe Burrow.
Speaker 2: Baby, we're so close to a Cincinnati San Francisco Super
Speaker 2: Bowl rematch too. I mean, come on, somebody, dust boomerisiasin
Speaker 2: off and bring him over there. The number two on
Speaker 2: the money line is Cincinnati plus two seventy five if
Speaker 2: you're looking to just bet Cincinnati to win outright. But again,
Speaker 2: a little dicey scenario there. We gotta rather take that
Speaker 2: and take them plus the points.
Speaker 3: I think I'd rather take them straight up.
Speaker 1: I agree if I'm gonna if I'm gonna go on
Speaker 1: the Cincinnati side, I'd rather leave the points aside and
Speaker 1: just go bet them out right. Now, I'm with you
Speaker 1: one hundred percent, and we'll we bet them out right
Speaker 1: last week on this very show, and we were correct.
Speaker 1: We bet them outright. We thought the Chiefs outright. Look,
Speaker 1: it was a crazy, wacky weekend. There's no doubt about that.
Speaker 1: When three road teams win on the last play of
Speaker 1: the game on the field goal kick, I mean, it's
Speaker 1: pretty wild. You don't always get that, that's for sure,
Speaker 1: but look it is.
Speaker 2: What do you see the stat they flashed up in
Speaker 2: the middle of that too. It was like the smallest
Speaker 2: win mark in a divisional weekend. Total for all four
Speaker 2: games was eighteen points. It was nine going into the
Speaker 2: Lake game, and it ended up at fifteen because they
Speaker 2: scored the touchdown in overtime. So closest division weekend ever,
Speaker 2: that's for sure.
Speaker 3: Yeah, it was.
Speaker 1: Certainly fun and less of course you're Aaron Rodgers, which
Speaker 1: case was less fun for you. But I'm sure there's
Speaker 1: someone else to blame besides him. Let's move on to
Speaker 1: the next game. Here, the San Francisco forty nine Ers
Speaker 1: are three and a half point underdogs traveling to Los Angeles.
Speaker 1: Now here you go, the Rams have lost six straight
Speaker 1: times to the forty nine ers. And you know, we
Speaker 1: talk oftentimes about well the history of things doesn't matter
Speaker 1: too much, but this is recent history, right and right now.
Speaker 1: The money is dead even basically on both of these
Speaker 1: teams on bettingpros dot com if you look at the consensus,
Speaker 1: so three and a half is the number bogs when
Speaker 1: you're looking at this line, do you think this is
Speaker 1: finally the time where the Rams buck the trend, turn
Speaker 1: things around and finally say enough is enough. I'm not
Speaker 1: gonna get beat by Jimmy Garoppolo again, or do you
Speaker 1: think San Francisco's just in their head and they just
Speaker 1: owned them.
Speaker 3: I don't know if they're in their head.
Speaker 2: But I am taking the Niners here, And you know,
Speaker 2: I can't believe that the Rams are in this spot
Speaker 2: the way they look the last month of the regular season,
Speaker 2: coming into the playoffs to then just crush the Cardinals,
Speaker 2: which was, you know, great for them to see both
Speaker 2: those teams back then. It's good to see one pick
Speaker 2: up and go and then you go, all right. Now
Speaker 2: they're going on the road against Tampa Bay. I don't
Speaker 2: know about that. They let Tampa Bay come all the
Speaker 2: way back and then have to have those huge heroics
Speaker 2: from Matthew Stafford. I think that definitely helped them. But
Speaker 2: I'm I'm I'm taking the Niners here. This is basically
Speaker 2: gonna be team.
Speaker 1: Put up an offensive touchdown.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but but Green Bay didn't either, and I think
Speaker 2: a lot of that had to do with Baper. Okay,
Speaker 2: I thought you said didn't score more than ten points,
Speaker 2: So they didn't.
Speaker 1: They didn't put up an offensive touchdown, That's the thing
Speaker 1: I mean. And Jimmy Garoppolo when they got close, what
Speaker 1: did Jimmy Garoppolo do he became jim Garoppolo throws picks.
Speaker 2: They they have survived the Jimmy Garoppolo disaster two weeks
Speaker 2: in a row. But he doesn't have it every single week.
Speaker 2: It's the playoffs. He might have it again this week
Speaker 2: and no one would be shocked, me least of all. Like,
Speaker 2: you know, I can't wait for Jimmy to be the
Speaker 2: Steelers quarterback next year because they're definitely gonna go to
Speaker 2: Trey Lance. They just gave up three first round picks
Speaker 2: for him. Unless they win the Super Bowl, I think
Speaker 2: Jimmy G's getting traded out.
Speaker 1: Of even if they win the Super Bowl. I think
Speaker 1: it would be nuts to bring Garoppolo back. I really do.
Speaker 2: Yeah, you know, and this is a franchise. You know
Speaker 2: that we've seen. They traded Joe Montana, right, so they're
Speaker 2: not afraid to make a change even if they have success.
Speaker 1: So uh had a Montana.
Speaker 3: Right, right? I think I think he's gone.
Speaker 2: But what he's doing right now is giving himself another
Speaker 2: shot in the NFL, that's for sure. And even making
Speaker 2: the big mistakes, you know, it hasn't been enough to
Speaker 2: kill them and knock them out. I think the weather
Speaker 2: had a huge factor last week, you know, for both sides,
Speaker 2: and everyone wants to give Green Bay this great home
Speaker 2: field advantage.
Speaker 3: It doesn't really matter who you are or how long
Speaker 3: you've been used to it.
Speaker 2: When it's zero degrees, it's just bitter, angry cold, and
Speaker 2: everyone feels miserable.
Speaker 1: I think that's just the way it is.
Speaker 2: Yeah, but they lost to the Giants, dude, and I
Speaker 2: know the Giants are a cold weather team too, but
Speaker 2: come on, you have this advantage, so anyway, you know,
Speaker 2: I think that I just don't think you're gonna have
Speaker 2: the same issues.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 2: Tom Brady and the Bucks lost because Joe Wells was
Speaker 2: giving up so much pressure, so much pressure. I mean,
Speaker 2: he gave up six pressures in a couple of sacks.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 2: Brady couldn't keep himself upright in that game. I know
Speaker 2: Trent Williams got hurt and he is a big question
Speaker 2: mark for this game for the Niners, but he thinks
Speaker 2: he's gonna be good to go. And Kyle Shanahan said, look,
Speaker 2: if Trent says he's good to go, he's good to go, right,
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna question him, you know, So I think
Speaker 2: he's gonna end up playing.
Speaker 3: They dominated this team.
Speaker 2: You saw the Rams have to go through the whole
Speaker 2: bit of trying not to sell tickets to this certain
Speaker 2: zip codes.
Speaker 3: I did because the Niners are going to migrate, you know.
Speaker 1: But that's always been the case. And this is something
Speaker 1: where this is just La. It's just La. It's always
Speaker 1: been just la.
Speaker 2: It happens in Arizona too, man, you know, I'm from Arizona.
Speaker 2: With the Cardinals. There's so many transplants on the West Coast.
Speaker 2: They grow up rooting for other teams and then they
Speaker 2: want to go see their team playing.
Speaker 3: That's just the way it is.
Speaker 1: But you know, when we talk about that lack of
Speaker 1: home field advantage, it's something that I brought up time
Speaker 1: as I'm again on this show during the year. In fact,
Speaker 1: when Dan and I were doing the look Ahead show
Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago, is the first thing I
Speaker 1: said was the forty nine ers own the Rams. There's
Speaker 1: no home field advantage. I would take the forty nine
Speaker 1: ers again just to win outright. That was my upset
Speaker 1: of the week, and the Rams were favored in that
Speaker 1: one too, and guess what they lost again. I just
Speaker 1: feel like at a certain amount of time. I think
Speaker 1: that last week there's such a confidence build for Matthew
Speaker 1: Stafford and the Rams coming off of the way that
Speaker 1: they won that game. And even though you brought up
Speaker 1: with a lot of reasons why they won the football
Speaker 1: game that way, they did dominate that football game. In
Speaker 1: the first half. They made errors that let the Tampa
Speaker 1: Bay Bucks get back in. You can't give Tom Brady
Speaker 1: second chances and third chances because if you do, you're
Speaker 1: gonna get burned eventually, and they did. But I feel
Speaker 1: like the fact that they came back and won that
Speaker 1: game is a different mindset for the Rams. They really do.
Speaker 1: I think the Rams make a statement. I think the
Speaker 1: Rams win this football game. The three and a half
Speaker 1: is the question. So do you like the forty nine
Speaker 1: ers on the three and a half or do you
Speaker 1: like the forty nine ers just to win outright the
Speaker 1: plus one sixty on the money line.
Speaker 2: I'm taking the Niners on the money line. There's something,
Speaker 2: there's some type of voodoo magic going on with this
Speaker 2: team where Jimmy g can throw a pick on the
Speaker 2: road in Dallas and still win, not score a touchdown
Speaker 2: in Green Bay in the cold, in the playoffs line
Speaker 2: and the pick and still win.
Speaker 3: There's some type of weird voodoo magic going on here.
Speaker 3: It's called defense with then I mean it's defense.
Speaker 1: And Deebo Samuel, which brings me to the at this point,
Speaker 1: Deebo Samuel got the crap kicked out of him that game.
Speaker 1: I mean, he was coming off and on any concerned
Speaker 1: about his potential health coming into this game, regardless of
Speaker 1: practice status, because how many get knocked around quite a
Speaker 1: bit in that one.
Speaker 2: He was on his feet at the end of the game.
Speaker 2: That's all I care about, you know. So I think
Speaker 2: that they'll give him all the good goofballs and he'll
Speaker 2: go out there and be fine. So I knows I
Speaker 2: took all the goofballs before this show today out of way.
Speaker 1: Yeah all right, So let's go to the over under
Speaker 1: here in your opinion, the forty five and a half.
Speaker 1: That is the consensus number over up bettingpros dot com.
Speaker 1: What are your thoughts there on the forty five and
Speaker 1: a half.
Speaker 2: So what you just said, Joe defense. You know, both
Speaker 2: these teams have been playing solid defense only a half
Speaker 2: for LA last week for whatever reason. But the Niners
Speaker 2: have been playing solid defense throughout the season, and I
Speaker 2: don't see why that is not going to continue. Also,
Speaker 2: you know there are concerns with the Niners. Like you
Speaker 2: just mentioned, Debo comes in a little nicked up. Eli
Speaker 2: Mitchell has never had this many carries in his career ever,
Speaker 2: because he was in a three back system at Louisiana
Speaker 2: and now he comes in his rookie year and he's
Speaker 2: getting twenty seven carries in some of these games. So
Speaker 2: he is not one hundred percent. We know Trent Williams
Speaker 2: isn't one hundred percent. We saw what the Rams did
Speaker 2: against the Bucks last week too, So I'm gonna take
Speaker 2: the under here, and I just think this is going
Speaker 2: to be a nasty, low scoring game and.
Speaker 3: A weird indoor environment.
Speaker 2: You don't think of this nasty, you know, gross defenses
Speaker 2: that you know, clog everything up in an indoor stadium,
Speaker 2: but that's what we've been getting from both of these
Speaker 2: teams recently.
Speaker 3: So I'm gonna stick with it and go with the end.
Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I agree with you there. I agree
Speaker 1: with you on the under for this one too. I
Speaker 1: think we disagree on the outcome. But if you want
Speaker 1: to take the Niners into three and a half. I
Speaker 1: feel better than that than the Niners winning outright. I
Speaker 1: just think it's the Rams time to exercise the demons.
Speaker 1: It feels like that for Matthew Stafford, I think I
Speaker 1: think that's that's where they're at with the mojo. So
Speaker 1: we'll come back next week and we'll figure out who
Speaker 1: is right and wrong about that one. So unlike last week,
Speaker 1: we're agreed on all four things, which should have been
Speaker 1: the sign of the apocalypse, by the way, Buddy, like
Speaker 1: that was a sign of the apocalypse. Last week we
Speaker 1: did agree on everything. We were right on two things,
Speaker 1: wrong on two things. This week we agree on one
Speaker 1: thing Kansaity Chiefs advancing, but we're going to differ on
Speaker 1: who advances on this next one. So if you want
Speaker 1: to bet the Super Bowl, if you want to be
Speaker 1: with Bogman, then obviously you're betting the forty nine Ers
Speaker 1: and the Kansay Chiefs. You want to be with Joey
Speaker 1: b you bet the Rams and Chiefs, And I don't
Speaker 1: think anybody's really betting the Get Ready for.
Speaker 3: We Go?
Speaker 1: Where's Jonathan? Yeah it was not Jonathan Taylor, but John Taylor.
Speaker 1: You have to go back to those days. So a
Speaker 1: whole different eraror right there, and that's the that's the
Speaker 1: famous two minute drive where Joe Montana said, Hey, look,
Speaker 1: John Candy's in the front right right. I love that one.
Speaker 1: I love that story. That's the best favorite John Candy movie. Bogman,
Speaker 1: do you have Uncle Buck? Is it?
Speaker 3: Uncle Buck?
Speaker 2: Is it?
Speaker 1: Planes? Trains and automobiles?
Speaker 3: That's it? I mean, there's so many good ones. You
Speaker 3: know you is a quality one, right? That is so good?
Speaker 3: Have you seen wider Whites?
Speaker 2: I mean the just flipping the pancake with the gigantic
Speaker 2: snowshovel and then going in and beating up that girl's
Speaker 2: ex boyfriend.
Speaker 3: I mean, just Uncle Blockock is Yeah, there you go.
Speaker 1: So a little betting, a little John Candy. All right,
Speaker 1: let's move to the individuals here, And if you go
Speaker 1: to Betting Pros dot com you check out our prop
Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet, which is fantastic because it gives you
Speaker 1: basically where the lines are for are some of these
Speaker 1: prop bets and the consensus and then the Fantasy Pros
Speaker 1: projections on that side of the BP projection side of
Speaker 1: what you got here. So cam Aker is the first
Speaker 1: one that comes up for rushing yards fifty five and
Speaker 1: a half is the over. Under the projection is seventy three.
Speaker 1: It's a big difference there. What do you think about
Speaker 1: cam Akers despite the fumbles last week? Do you think
Speaker 1: they continue to have confidence in him run the football?
Speaker 3: I mean, I know, you know Tony Michelle.
Speaker 2: Tony Michelle hasn't fumbled in a million years, so you know,
Speaker 2: two he cops it up twice almost cost him the game.
Speaker 3: I don't know.
Speaker 2: I don't know what his role is going to be
Speaker 2: this week. I don't know of what their confidence level
Speaker 2: and him is again. And if he you know, if
Speaker 2: he cops it up one more time, he is going
Speaker 2: straight to the bench. So I have no confidence in
Speaker 2: his yards. Also, I would stray away from this bet, all.
Speaker 1: Right, Jimmy Garoppolo passing yards twenty two I'm sorry, two
Speaker 1: twenty five and a.
Speaker 3: Half is the nice SA.
Speaker 1: I'll take the over on twenty two two twenty five
Speaker 1: and a half and the projection is to forty two,
Speaker 1: So that's a pretty big difference. So it's a sixteen
Speaker 1: point difference. You think Jimmy G's got a two twenty
Speaker 1: five in him?
Speaker 2: No, once again, I'm gonna take the under if I'm
Speaker 2: taking the Niners. I think they win, and I think
Speaker 2: you win by not letting Jimmy g throw the ball
Speaker 2: that much, so I think you win with the run game.
Speaker 2: So I'm not gonna take that bet either under if
Speaker 2: I'm beat.
Speaker 1: I agree on the under with that one, and the
Speaker 1: under on Acres were two for two on that I
Speaker 1: think they have two. Forty two is a big number
Speaker 1: there in terms of the projectability Byron Pringle, another guy
Speaker 1: who's gotten himself involved lately, thirty five and a half
Speaker 1: on the receiving number for him. The projections have him
Speaker 1: at forty six point three four or it's a ten
Speaker 1: point plus of difference your thoughts on Byron Pringle over
Speaker 1: under thirty five and a half from him.
Speaker 3: I think that number is fine.
Speaker 2: I think gun in my head, I would bet the over,
Speaker 2: but I'm not gonna bet that number. Just because they
Speaker 2: got Mikole Hardman, yeah so involved last week and designed
Speaker 2: a bunch of plays for him, and they worked. He
Speaker 2: almost scored twice. He almost scored the game winner in
Speaker 2: overtime after already scoring earlier in the game. So I
Speaker 2: think they like what Harbin has been doing recently and
Speaker 2: gonna get him more involved. But that's just with the
Speaker 2: way Mahomes have been playing Pringles on the field, he
Speaker 2: could get that in two catches. So if gun in
Speaker 2: my head, I bet in the over, but I'm probably
Speaker 2: gonna straight away from that number two.
Speaker 1: All right Now, these numbers that we're looking at are
Speaker 1: points bet. I'm gonna throw two more points bet numbers
Speaker 1: at you right now. Joe Mixon fifty five and a
Speaker 1: half on the rushing side, the projections on BP have
Speaker 1: a sixty six.
Speaker 3: Point eleven way over that.
Speaker 1: I agree. I think that's an easy one. That's a
Speaker 1: give me on that one. Receiving yards on points bet
Speaker 1: for George Kittle fifty and a half, the projections have
Speaker 1: him at fifty six. Now, you know, Kittle has really
Speaker 1: kind of, I honestly fallen off because that's not fair.
Speaker 1: But at the same point, it has been a while
Speaker 1: since we've seen consistency out of George Kittle putting up
Speaker 1: big receiving totals. What do you think about this particular week?
Speaker 2: I agree with that, you know, Kittle hasn't been at
Speaker 2: his absolute best right now. But what I'll say for
Speaker 2: this is I'm going to take the over because that's
Speaker 2: how you attack the Rams.
Speaker 3: You attack them over the middle.
Speaker 2: You know, because Travin Howard playing linebacker with these beat
Speaker 2: up safeties that they have too, I think Kittle can
Speaker 2: once again. This is something where you know, Kittle breaks
Speaker 2: one tackle and he's getting thirty, So you know, how
Speaker 2: many more catches does he need?
Speaker 3: Two or three? I would go with the over on that.
Speaker 1: All right, let's move over to another one. Jamar Chase's
Speaker 1: number over on FANDUL for receiving arts eighty five and
Speaker 1: a half. Projections have him at ninety three. So does
Speaker 1: Jamar Chase do it to him again? Box?
Speaker 2: You sure projections don't have him two hundred and fifteen. Joe,
Speaker 2: you gotta take the over on Chase.
Speaker 3: You know.
Speaker 2: Look, you think every week, well, they're gonna double and
Speaker 2: bracket Chase, so they're gonna have to go to Higgins
Speaker 2: and it keeps not happening. So I don't know, Man,
Speaker 2: They're gonna find a way to get the ball and
Speaker 2: chase his hand.
Speaker 3: He's great with the yak. I'm gonna go over that number.
Speaker 1: Matthew Stafford at bet MGM two eighty two is the
Speaker 1: passing yard number two seventy six of the projection, so
Speaker 1: a little on the minus side there. Do you think
Speaker 1: Stafford goes over under the eighty two and a half
Speaker 1: to eighty two and a half? Excuse me?
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a great number.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna stray away from this number, but if I
Speaker 2: had to pick something, I'd pick the over. I got
Speaker 2: the Niners winning this game, so I think the Rams
Speaker 2: are gonna have to play catch up at some point.
Speaker 2: And we see a decent amount of yards, and we
Speaker 2: know after seeing that late drive he can get seventy
Speaker 2: of that on two passes to Cooper Cup. So I
Speaker 2: will go with the over on Matt Stafford.
Speaker 1: All right, speaking of Cooper Cup here, are you interested
Speaker 1: in reception numbers or you were interested more in the
Speaker 1: total more yards?
Speaker 3: For me?
Speaker 1: Okay? All right, very good, because I mean I think
Speaker 1: when you're looking at him at this point, it's amazing
Speaker 1: because you know the ball's going to him and on
Speaker 1: bet MGM right, not one two is the receiving yards.
Speaker 1: I mean that feels like an over to me.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, yes, it's got The weakness of the
Speaker 2: Niners defense is the secondary. But this is why Dimiko
Speaker 2: Ryan has been getting so many head coaching interviews right,
Speaker 2: because he has these guys playing incredibly right now. So yeah,
Speaker 2: I think I think I'm gonna go with with the
Speaker 2: over on that though. I mean, it's just in a
Speaker 2: big time spot. You gotta you gotta bank on Cooper
Speaker 2: Cup showing up all right.
Speaker 1: Last one here, Patrick Mahomes uh and this one right here?
Speaker 1: The number, well, I don't know. You want to hear
Speaker 1: the number first?
Speaker 3: Yeah, well I'll hear it.
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna.
Speaker 2: Nine and a half over, okay, over three hundred. Look,
Speaker 2: you know the run was working. I don't know if
Speaker 2: if if you remember, but there was a point in
Speaker 2: the game. I don't know how how many touches ch
Speaker 2: ended up with, but they said, well, that's Clyde Edwards
Speaker 2: Hilaire's fourth carry.
Speaker 3: He has forty nine yards. It's like, what give him
Speaker 3: the ball a little more?
Speaker 2: Then? I know if it's four for forty nine in
Speaker 2: that game, I thought he looked great, but McKinnon looked better.
Speaker 2: And it's Mahomes show man. They're not taking the ball
Speaker 2: out of his hands. So I'm taking the over whatever
Speaker 2: they give for Mahomes there, he's gonna crush it.
Speaker 1: Shout out to JP who's joining us live here on
Speaker 1: Betting Pros on the YouTube side, which he chimed in
Speaker 1: on the John Candy conversation Spaceballs It's great. Also very
Speaker 1: summer rental, also a classic.
Speaker 3: I don't think I've ever seen some rentals.
Speaker 1: Oh Somemer rental, cool Runnings. The list goes on and on.
Speaker 3: John, I think you're the only human being that's seen
Speaker 3: more movies than I have.
Speaker 1: Joe probably, probably, But I also worked in a videos
Speaker 1: during college, so.
Speaker 3: That also had something were you're not supposed to be
Speaker 3: there that day.
Speaker 1: I was never supposed to be there, you know. Fifteen
Speaker 1: bucks little man, Oh goodness gracious. And again I encourage
Speaker 1: everybody out there to subscribe to our YouTube channel over
Speaker 1: at Betting Pros because we'll be bringing a content through
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl as well, and not to mention, when
Speaker 1: baseball season kicks around, we'll be there. We'll be there
Speaker 1: probably doing shows about the NFL Draft before you know it,
Speaker 1: and a lot of exciting things to be wagering on.
Speaker 1: It's a very exciting time to be part of it.
Speaker 1: And once again, if you're new and you're trying to
Speaker 1: just jump in there, we just gave you that cheat
Speaker 1: sheet over at Betting Pros. We have right there the
Speaker 1: prop bets. That is a great thing, so you can
Speaker 1: use that. Go to bet MGM, spend ten bucks, use
Speaker 1: the promo code Juice one fifty, and just like that
Speaker 1: you get one hundred and fifty dollars in free bets
Speaker 1: and then keep building and building and building off that.
Speaker 1: So there's lots of opportunities for you. But we encourage
Speaker 1: everybody to go to bettingpros dot com and check out
Speaker 1: all the tools there, because I'm telling you that prop
Speaker 1: bet cheat sheet is fantastic. I've been using it a
Speaker 1: lot more frequently myself in the last few weeks. Now
Speaker 1: that fantasy has been dwindled down, you get to look
Speaker 1: at that and really go ahead and make your wagers.
Speaker 1: Any final thoughts here, Scott bog before we turn the
Speaker 1: page and step away for the championship games. They'll let
Speaker 1: the football play out.
Speaker 2: No, I mean just that I will be surprised if
Speaker 2: Patrick Mahomes doesn't have the magic, But the NFC Championship
Speaker 2: to me can go either way, and I won't.
Speaker 3: Look.
Speaker 2: The Bengals are a good team, and you know, I
Speaker 2: know I don't like them, but I'm not trying to
Speaker 2: take anything away from them. They're fantastic. But whatever whatever
Speaker 2: Mahomes is on, we should all be on. And maybe
Speaker 2: it goes away after this game, you know, because you
Speaker 2: get that two week layout for the super Bowl.
Speaker 3: But he has been outstanding, so I can't bet against I.
Speaker 1: Think he's flipped the switch. And it's funny if you
Speaker 1: look back in the last twenty years, the teams that
Speaker 1: lose the Super Bowl typically don't do very well. The
Speaker 1: only quarterbacks that really got back after losing and still
Speaker 1: had good seasons after that there were two of them.
Speaker 1: One was named Russell Wilson, the other was some guy
Speaker 1: named Tom Brady. So Patrick Mahomes might be the third person.
Speaker 1: But if you look back, it is a tough road
Speaker 1: back to the super Bowl after a tough loss, especially,
Speaker 1: so it just shows you how good Patrick Mahomes is.
Speaker 1: And I'm with you. I think they get out class
Speaker 1: there a little bit, but I'm going with the Rams. Baby,
Speaker 1: let's go. It's finally time for Matthew Stafford to get
Speaker 1: to his super Bowl. I like the good narrative, so
Speaker 1: we'll see who's right and who's wrong, and hopefully everybody
Speaker 1: has fun with their wagering and all their futures on
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl going on as well, so a lot
Speaker 1: to get done there. That'll do it for us, but
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Scott Bogman.
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids,