WEBVTT - Buck Brief - Hunter Won't Get Locked Up 0:00:11.697 --> 0:00:14.977 You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast. Make sure 0:00:14.977 --> 0:00:17.977 you subscribe to the podcast on the iHeartRadio app or 0:00:18.017 --> 0:00:22.377 wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to the Bucks Acident Show. 0:00:22.417 --> 0:00:24.777 Everybody also called the Freedom Hut as a throwback to 0:00:24.817 --> 0:00:27.297 the early days. I appreciate you being here. We've got 0:00:27.697 --> 0:00:31.697 two stories to get to. Hunter Biden, gun charges back 0:00:31.897 --> 0:00:36.417 on the table. Now what does that mean for Hunter? 0:00:36.537 --> 0:00:38.217 What does that mean for Joe? What does it mean 0:00:38.217 --> 0:00:42.297 for twenty twenty four plus? In the background, Kamala Harris 0:00:42.897 --> 0:00:50.297 asked directly, ask directly, are you ready to take over 0:00:50.657 --> 0:00:54.017 the presidency? And she says, of course she is. But 0:00:54.177 --> 0:00:59.337 two Democrats believe that this all matters, because well, if 0:00:59.617 --> 0:01:03.097 they don't believe that, it affects how much they're willing 0:01:03.137 --> 0:01:08.697 to back Joe no matter what. Let's start though with this. Prosecutors, 0:01:08.937 --> 0:01:11.537 this is Walshet Journal Will's seek to indict Hunter Biden 0:01:11.617 --> 0:01:14.937 this month. This is a move by Special Counsel David Weiss, 0:01:14.937 --> 0:01:18.337 which comes after the plea deal on tax charges fell apart. Okay, 0:01:18.577 --> 0:01:23.017 let's get into this first of all. First of all, 0:01:23.057 --> 0:01:27.097 my friends, the likelihood in my mind here there are 0:01:27.137 --> 0:01:31.817 a few pathways that this can take. I believe the 0:01:31.937 --> 0:01:40.177 likeliest pathway is as follows. Weiss clearly has said that 0:01:40.617 --> 0:01:44.497 he's going to seek an indictment. This is issued in 0:01:44.537 --> 0:01:48.177 an update to the federal court in Delaware. So he's 0:01:48.457 --> 0:01:50.617 putting it out there in the press that he's putting 0:01:50.617 --> 0:01:54.097 the heat on Hunter on the gun charge. Remember a 0:01:54.177 --> 0:01:57.657 Hunter lied on a federal gun background check form about 0:01:57.697 --> 0:02:00.017 his drug usage. He's a drug addict, he bought a gun, 0:02:00.097 --> 0:02:01.737 he said he isn't a drug addict, and now allowed 0:02:01.777 --> 0:02:04.737 to do that. I think the statutory maximum in this 0:02:04.817 --> 0:02:07.137 is ten years, so it's a long it's a long 0:02:07.177 --> 0:02:09.857 time now that you probably wouldn't get the sat story maximum, 0:02:09.897 --> 0:02:13.457 but still get something. There are other people have gone 0:02:13.497 --> 0:02:15.057 to prison for a few years on this. Actually a 0:02:15.097 --> 0:02:18.617 few prominent people from I believe one or two well 0:02:18.657 --> 0:02:20.977 known members of the hip hop community have gone to 0:02:21.017 --> 0:02:25.417 prison for a similar gun related charges. So people do 0:02:25.457 --> 0:02:28.857 go to prison for this, and they don't want Hunter 0:02:28.937 --> 0:02:32.377 to go to prison for this, obviously, So what are 0:02:32.377 --> 0:02:35.657 they gonna do. Here's what I think happens. Weiss puts 0:02:35.657 --> 0:02:38.977 this out there and is going to get together with 0:02:39.177 --> 0:02:44.377 the prosecution. I'm sorry with the defense Hunter's defense team. 0:02:44.577 --> 0:02:46.817 They're still claiming that he's abiding by the agreement and 0:02:46.857 --> 0:02:48.897 that the government broke the terms of the last agreement 0:02:48.897 --> 0:02:51.737 and all this other stuff. Weiss is going to give 0:02:51.817 --> 0:02:56.377 him another sweetheart deal. It maybe won't be quite as 0:02:56.377 --> 0:03:00.697 sweetheart as the last one. But I don't see any 0:03:00.777 --> 0:03:03.257 situation in my mind in which Weiss is willing to 0:03:03.297 --> 0:03:08.577 press charges that will send Hunter Biden to prison without 0:03:08.617 --> 0:03:11.017 giving him a plea option that avoids prison. If he 0:03:11.057 --> 0:03:13.537 gives him a no prison plea option, he takes it, 0:03:13.577 --> 0:03:17.937 why would he take it, well, because his dad is 0:03:18.097 --> 0:03:22.017 guaranteed to pardon him, giving him back all of his 0:03:22.137 --> 0:03:25.897 rights and wiping away the conviction, no matter what happens 0:03:25.937 --> 0:03:28.617 in the twenty twenty four election, right, no matter what 0:03:28.617 --> 0:03:31.497 happened to the twenty twenty four election. So Biden loses, 0:03:31.697 --> 0:03:39.377 let's say, and he just makes the felony plea deal 0:03:39.577 --> 0:03:42.337 that Hunter gets turns into a nothing, a nothing burger. 0:03:42.377 --> 0:03:44.137 He gets back everything, gets back, all of his rights, 0:03:44.217 --> 0:03:46.537 can have his legal license. I'm sure. Again, probably, I'm 0:03:46.537 --> 0:03:48.777 not really sure how that works. I just I just 0:03:48.857 --> 0:03:50.457 kind of went trumpy for no. I didn't even mean 0:03:50.497 --> 0:03:55.737 to it. Probably, but no, it's true. That's so Hunter 0:03:55.817 --> 0:03:59.977 has no real prison risk. There. If for some reason, 0:04:00.057 --> 0:04:04.897 Hunter were to take this to trial, which again, if 0:04:04.897 --> 0:04:06.857 he pleads not guilty, he can't get a plea deal, 0:04:06.937 --> 0:04:10.297 goes to trial, he could run this thing out. I mean, 0:04:10.337 --> 0:04:13.377 he could probably push this out until I would assume 0:04:13.417 --> 0:04:17.937 next summer, close to the election anyway, and then even 0:04:17.977 --> 0:04:21.697 if he were found guilty, he could push the start 0:04:21.697 --> 0:04:24.617 of his sentence into oh gosh, I don't know, the 0:04:24.737 --> 0:04:27.697 end of twenty twenty four, be like, you know what, judge, 0:04:28.377 --> 0:04:34.377 I'm happy to show up to federal prison starting right 0:04:34.497 --> 0:04:39.337 around like early December twenty twenty four. Oh, you mean 0:04:39.377 --> 0:04:42.217 when Joe Biden will be in a position to pardon 0:04:42.257 --> 0:04:45.097 him anyway. Again, win or lose, Joe will still be 0:04:45.137 --> 0:04:49.337 the president likely, you know, assuming there's no no major 0:04:49.337 --> 0:04:52.297 health issue. So Hunter is not going to prison, everybody, 0:04:52.657 --> 0:04:56.537 that's not happening, right, Let's just get this clear. Hunter 0:04:56.657 --> 0:05:00.577 Biden is not going to prison. Okay, then let's take 0:05:00.577 --> 0:05:05.377 it to the next step in this process. If Hunter 0:05:05.417 --> 0:05:08.457 Biden isn't going to Hunter Biden's not going to prison, 0:05:08.497 --> 0:05:13.897 what would change all this? Well, if Joe Biden starts 0:05:13.897 --> 0:05:18.457 to become politically so weak in the mind of Democrats, 0:05:18.777 --> 0:05:20.897 not just because of Hunter, but what happens if we 0:05:20.937 --> 0:05:23.577 ever find out about the ten percent for the big 0:05:23.577 --> 0:05:27.497 guy in terms of banking transfers. What happens if we 0:05:27.577 --> 0:05:29.937 have the smoking gun evidence of what I give half 0:05:30.017 --> 0:05:32.617 my half my income to pop, as Hunter wrote in 0:05:32.617 --> 0:05:36.777 a text message meaning Joe Biden, we find that stuff 0:05:37.497 --> 0:05:43.177 and the Democrats realize Joe will lose. Joe will lose 0:05:43.417 --> 0:05:47.817 an election against Trump. I can't say guarantee because they 0:05:47.817 --> 0:05:49.857 think they're going to lock Trump up. And I know 0:05:49.857 --> 0:05:51.457 people don't want to hear that, but they think they can. 0:05:51.497 --> 0:06:01.817 They're gonna lock Trump up. So if Biden becomes politically unsaleable, unsellable, 0:06:01.937 --> 0:06:06.057 something like that to the to the electorate, then you 0:06:06.177 --> 0:06:08.497 might be in a situation where he would have to 0:06:08.737 --> 0:06:14.497 step down. He would pardon Hunter before he stepped down. Obviously, 0:06:15.137 --> 0:06:18.257 I think the chance of this happening is almost zero, 0:06:19.257 --> 0:06:24.417 almost zero. Why I'll explain in a moment, being healthy, 0:06:24.417 --> 0:06:26.977 feeling strong, I mean, who doesn't want that. 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I think if the Democrats 0:07:36.777 --> 0:07:42.137 had a person in the vice president role that they 0:07:42.297 --> 0:07:46.137 thought that they believed could defeat Donald Trump in twenty 0:07:46.177 --> 0:07:49.577 twenty four. Joe Biden would be stepping down if they 0:07:49.617 --> 0:07:55.297 had a stronger vice president. Given Biden's age, infirmity, all 0:07:55.337 --> 0:07:58.257 the rest of it, I think you would probably have 0:07:58.577 --> 0:08:06.537 Joe Biden step down. But you don't have somebody that 0:08:06.617 --> 0:08:09.537 Democrats believe is likely to be able to win, and 0:08:09.577 --> 0:08:18.057 that changes everything now. Kamala Harris has recently said in 0:08:18.097 --> 0:08:25.297 a direct she was at the Asian Summit. I mean 0:08:26.057 --> 0:08:28.857 do we say Asian? It's as e A N. I 0:08:28.857 --> 0:08:31.937 don't know. I mean, how do you pronounce that? And 0:08:31.977 --> 0:08:34.577 whatever the point is as E A N Summit? And 0:08:34.777 --> 0:08:37.217 I should know this. I'm an international relations guy, sEH 0:08:37.297 --> 0:08:40.137 Ay all that, but I don't pay attention to summits. 0:08:40.737 --> 0:08:43.337 Kamala says, every vice president knows they take the oath, 0:08:43.377 --> 0:08:45.697 they must be very clear about the responsibility that they 0:08:45.737 --> 0:08:47.577 may have to take over the job of being president. 0:08:47.657 --> 0:08:53.057 I am no different. Yeah, well, the Democrats don't want 0:08:53.057 --> 0:08:55.817 her to take over that job, that's for sure, because 0:08:55.817 --> 0:08:58.137 she'd have to run, and she'd have to run against 0:08:58.177 --> 0:09:00.897 Donald Trump in twenty twenty four, and even with a 0:09:00.977 --> 0:09:06.177 Trump tied up like Gulliver by the Liliputians with all 0:09:06.217 --> 0:09:10.697 the ropes. Even a Trump tied up legally in that way, 0:09:10.977 --> 0:09:15.977 I think would be in a strong position to defeat 0:09:16.137 --> 0:09:20.217 Kamala Harris. Kamala Harris just cannot get the votes. And 0:09:20.297 --> 0:09:23.777 so that's why Joe Biden, despite his age, infirmity and 0:09:23.817 --> 0:09:28.337 everything else, is still he still has the full support 0:09:28.377 --> 0:09:30.217 of the Democrat machine. That's why he's still going to 0:09:30.257 --> 0:09:31.857 be the guy. And I know people say, oh, Gavin 0:09:31.897 --> 0:09:34.697 News someone all this uf Hold on a second, Joe Biden. 0:09:34.737 --> 0:09:36.337 You look at the polls. He's neck and neck with 0:09:36.337 --> 0:09:41.097 Trump right now. And they haven't started the trials of 0:09:41.177 --> 0:09:43.897 Trump or the massive APO campaign and all the lies 0:09:43.937 --> 0:09:47.777 and all the January sixth insurrection, all that stuff. This 0:09:47.817 --> 0:09:50.977 is the quiet before the storm, my friends. So when 0:09:51.017 --> 0:09:53.457 people saying, oh, the Trump and and Biden are neck 0:09:53.457 --> 0:09:56.577 and neck in the polls, yeah, that's because it's a 0:09:56.657 --> 0:09:59.057 year before the election. Now. I'm not saying I don't 0:09:59.057 --> 0:10:01.777 think Trump can win. I'm just saying those numbers are 0:10:01.777 --> 0:10:05.657 gonna shift, and the Democrats have a plan to roll 0:10:05.697 --> 0:10:09.257 out the most aggressive It's not just gonna be an 0:10:09.257 --> 0:10:12.577 OPO campaign. It's gonna be a if you don't vote 0:10:12.617 --> 0:10:17.017 for Joe Biden, the country is over and America is done. 0:10:17.137 --> 0:10:20.017 That's gonna be the campaign. And they're gonna have Trump walking, 0:10:20.097 --> 0:10:21.697 you know, going to dealing with the courts and the 0:10:21.737 --> 0:10:25.657 indictments and all this stuff. Will it work. I don't know. 0:10:26.377 --> 0:10:29.417 I hope not for the country's sake. But I think 0:10:29.417 --> 0:10:31.297 that's what they're gonna do. I think it's very obvious 0:10:31.337 --> 0:10:34.857 that's what they're going to do. But then there's this 0:10:34.977 --> 0:10:36.977 notion of, oh, well, well, maybe they'll just do an 0:10:37.017 --> 0:10:41.177 open primary, and so that won't be Commonala, it'll be Yeah, 0:10:41.257 --> 0:10:43.017 let me tell I'll deal with that in a second. 0:10:43.177 --> 0:10:45.257 My pillows team has a great sale going on with 0:10:45.297 --> 0:10:48.057 an everyday item for your home. Their popular six piece 0:10:48.097 --> 0:10:50.697 towel set is back in stock and back on sale. 0:10:50.937 --> 0:10:54.097 Towel set is made with the USA cotton, as absorbent 0:10:54.097 --> 0:10:55.617 as you want your towels to be and as soft 0:10:55.657 --> 0:10:58.497 as the best USA cotton. 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Towles probably are old and don't do 0:11:28.017 --> 0:11:30.097 very well anymore. You know, get some fresh towels. Get 0:11:30.137 --> 0:11:31.977 the six piece towele set. Hook yourself up, all right. 0:11:32.617 --> 0:11:35.217 They won't do a primary, folks. Democrats won't do a primary. 0:11:36.377 --> 0:11:39.177 They won't do a primary because it'll waste a ton 0:11:39.217 --> 0:11:42.297 of money. They have an incumbent president. It will show 0:11:42.897 --> 0:11:46.537 a lack of resolve and a and undermining of this 0:11:46.617 --> 0:11:50.497 White House. There's just no way I people argue with 0:11:50.497 --> 0:11:52.457 me on this all the time. You know, I say, 0:11:53.097 --> 0:11:56.817 I've been saying for consistently, without wavering, Biden's gonna be 0:11:56.817 --> 0:11:59.177 the nominee. And there are all these people who say, oh, No, 0:11:59.257 --> 0:12:01.857 it's gonna be Gavin Newsom. I said, Gavin Newsom would 0:12:01.937 --> 0:12:06.217 have to win a Democrat primary. You know, there's gonna 0:12:06.217 --> 0:12:09.217 be eight other, ten other Who knows how many other 0:12:09.257 --> 0:12:13.617 Democrats who who throw their hats in the ring. Who 0:12:13.617 --> 0:12:15.817 knows the Gavenusen would even come out on top of 0:12:15.857 --> 0:12:18.257 all this. I mean, nobody would have thought Joe Biden 0:12:18.337 --> 0:12:21.457 in twenty twenty was gonna come out in the Democrat primary. 0:12:22.337 --> 0:12:26.217 But that's what happened. So there's no way they'll throw 0:12:26.217 --> 0:12:28.857 it into cast. You have a Democrat president who can 0:12:28.937 --> 0:12:31.737 run for another term. That's what's going to happen. Okay, 0:12:31.937 --> 0:12:34.497 I'm consistent. I'm the one who' I'm saying this all along. 0:12:34.697 --> 0:12:36.937 I know you know people, Oh, it could be this person, 0:12:36.937 --> 0:12:42.617 it could be that person. If Kamala Harris were a 0:12:42.657 --> 0:12:47.137 well liked Democrat politician who was charismatic, and then I 0:12:47.137 --> 0:12:50.977 could see Joe Biden stepping down now because the vice 0:12:51.057 --> 0:12:54.097 president becomes the president and then has the power of 0:12:54.137 --> 0:12:58.417 the incumbency to run a campaign with. That would make sense. 0:12:59.457 --> 0:13:03.937 But they don't think Kamala can win, and they know 0:13:04.097 --> 0:13:06.697 that a primary, a Democrat primary, would be a mess, 0:13:07.257 --> 0:13:10.497 and Their strategy is to use the law to make 0:13:10.617 --> 0:13:15.417 Trump effectively unelectable. I don't think it'll work. I hope 0:13:15.417 --> 0:13:17.857 it doesn't work. But that's their strategy. They're not. The 0:13:17.897 --> 0:13:19.657 strategy is, and look at how great Joe Biden is. 0:13:19.697 --> 0:13:21.977 The strategy is Trump is going to destroy the planet. 0:13:22.017 --> 0:13:25.097 You know. The strategy is hysteria of fear and craziness. 0:13:25.617 --> 0:13:28.337 So Joe Biden can still be the guy given that 0:13:28.337 --> 0:13:30.417 that's the strategy. You see what I mean here When 0:13:30.497 --> 0:13:32.257 you break it down, what I'm saying makes sense. Look, 0:13:32.257 --> 0:13:33.737 if I'm wrong, I'll come back on I'll tell you 0:13:33.817 --> 0:13:36.457 all I'm wrong. I'm sorry. Those you've been with me 0:13:36.497 --> 0:13:38.977 now since I started doing this in twenty twelve, you 0:13:39.017 --> 0:13:41.697 know how often am I wrong about this stuff? I mean, really, 0:13:42.217 --> 0:13:45.857 it's pretty rare. It's pretty rare. Thanks for hanging team 0:13:46.537 --> 0:13:47.097 shields high.