Speaker 1: You're listening to the Buck Sexton Show podcast. Make sure
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Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcasts. Welcome to the Bucks Acident Show.
Speaker 1: Everybody also called the Freedom Hut as a throwback to
Speaker 1: the early days. I appreciate you being here. We've got
Speaker 1: two stories to get to. Hunter Biden, gun charges back
Speaker 1: on the table. Now what does that mean for Hunter?
Speaker 1: What does that mean for Joe? What does it mean
Speaker 1: for twenty twenty four plus? In the background, Kamala Harris
Speaker 1: asked directly, ask directly, are you ready to take over
Speaker 1: the presidency? And she says, of course she is. But
Speaker 1: two Democrats believe that this all matters, because well, if
Speaker 1: they don't believe that, it affects how much they're willing
Speaker 1: to back Joe no matter what. Let's start though with this. Prosecutors,
Speaker 1: this is Walshet Journal Will's seek to indict Hunter Biden
Speaker 1: this month. This is a move by Special Counsel David Weiss,
Speaker 1: which comes after the plea deal on tax charges fell apart. Okay,
Speaker 1: let's get into this first of all. First of all,
Speaker 1: my friends, the likelihood in my mind here there are
Speaker 1: a few pathways that this can take. I believe the
Speaker 1: likeliest pathway is as follows. Weiss clearly has said that
Speaker 1: he's going to seek an indictment. This is issued in
Speaker 1: an update to the federal court in Delaware. So he's
Speaker 1: putting it out there in the press that he's putting
Speaker 1: the heat on Hunter on the gun charge. Remember a
Speaker 1: Hunter lied on a federal gun background check form about
Speaker 1: his drug usage. He's a drug addict, he bought a gun,
Speaker 1: he said he isn't a drug addict, and now allowed
Speaker 1: to do that. I think the statutory maximum in this
Speaker 1: is ten years, so it's a long it's a long
Speaker 1: time now that you probably wouldn't get the sat story maximum,
Speaker 1: but still get something. There are other people have gone
Speaker 1: to prison for a few years on this. Actually a
Speaker 1: few prominent people from I believe one or two well
Speaker 1: known members of the hip hop community have gone to
Speaker 1: prison for a similar gun related charges. So people do
Speaker 1: go to prison for this, and they don't want Hunter
Speaker 1: to go to prison for this, obviously, So what are
Speaker 1: they gonna do. Here's what I think happens. Weiss puts
Speaker 1: this out there and is going to get together with
Speaker 1: the prosecution. I'm sorry with the defense Hunter's defense team.
Speaker 1: They're still claiming that he's abiding by the agreement and
Speaker 1: that the government broke the terms of the last agreement
Speaker 1: and all this other stuff. Weiss is going to give
Speaker 1: him another sweetheart deal. It maybe won't be quite as
Speaker 1: sweetheart as the last one. But I don't see any
Speaker 1: situation in my mind in which Weiss is willing to
Speaker 1: press charges that will send Hunter Biden to prison without
Speaker 1: giving him a plea option that avoids prison. If he
Speaker 1: gives him a no prison plea option, he takes it,
Speaker 1: why would he take it, well, because his dad is
Speaker 1: guaranteed to pardon him, giving him back all of his
Speaker 1: rights and wiping away the conviction, no matter what happens
Speaker 1: in the twenty twenty four election, right, no matter what
Speaker 1: happened to the twenty twenty four election. So Biden loses,
Speaker 1: let's say, and he just makes the felony plea deal
Speaker 1: that Hunter gets turns into a nothing, a nothing burger.
Speaker 1: He gets back everything, gets back, all of his rights,
Speaker 1: can have his legal license. I'm sure. Again, probably, I'm
Speaker 1: not really sure how that works. I just I just
Speaker 1: kind of went trumpy for no. I didn't even mean
Speaker 1: to it. Probably, but no, it's true. That's so Hunter
Speaker 1: has no real prison risk. There. If for some reason,
Speaker 1: Hunter were to take this to trial, which again, if
Speaker 1: he pleads not guilty, he can't get a plea deal,
Speaker 1: goes to trial, he could run this thing out. I mean,
Speaker 1: he could probably push this out until I would assume
Speaker 1: next summer, close to the election anyway, and then even
Speaker 1: if he were found guilty, he could push the start
Speaker 1: of his sentence into oh gosh, I don't know, the
Speaker 1: end of twenty twenty four, be like, you know what, judge,
Speaker 1: I'm happy to show up to federal prison starting right
Speaker 1: around like early December twenty twenty four. Oh, you mean
Speaker 1: when Joe Biden will be in a position to pardon
Speaker 1: him anyway. Again, win or lose, Joe will still be
Speaker 1: the president likely, you know, assuming there's no no major
Speaker 1: health issue. So Hunter is not going to prison, everybody,
Speaker 1: that's not happening, right, Let's just get this clear. Hunter
Speaker 1: Biden is not going to prison. Okay, then let's take
Speaker 1: it to the next step in this process. If Hunter
Speaker 1: Biden isn't going to Hunter Biden's not going to prison,
Speaker 1: what would change all this? Well, if Joe Biden starts
Speaker 1: to become politically so weak in the mind of Democrats,
Speaker 1: not just because of Hunter, but what happens if we
Speaker 1: ever find out about the ten percent for the big
Speaker 1: guy in terms of banking transfers. What happens if we
Speaker 1: have the smoking gun evidence of what I give half
Speaker 1: my half my income to pop, as Hunter wrote in
Speaker 1: a text message meaning Joe Biden, we find that stuff
Speaker 1: and the Democrats realize Joe will lose. Joe will lose
Speaker 1: an election against Trump. I can't say guarantee because they
Speaker 1: think they're going to lock Trump up. And I know
Speaker 1: people don't want to hear that, but they think they can.
Speaker 1: They're gonna lock Trump up. So if Biden becomes politically unsaleable, unsellable,
Speaker 1: something like that to the to the electorate, then you
Speaker 1: might be in a situation where he would have to
Speaker 1: step down. He would pardon Hunter before he stepped down. Obviously,
Speaker 1: I think the chance of this happening is almost zero,
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Speaker 1: check them out. Kamala Harris is the part of this
Speaker 1: whole equation that UH people have very different opinions on,
Speaker 1: but makes a big difference. I think if the Democrats
Speaker 1: had a person in the vice president role that they
Speaker 1: thought that they believed could defeat Donald Trump in twenty
Speaker 1: twenty four. Joe Biden would be stepping down if they
Speaker 1: had a stronger vice president. Given Biden's age, infirmity, all
Speaker 1: the rest of it, I think you would probably have
Speaker 1: Joe Biden step down. But you don't have somebody that
Speaker 1: Democrats believe is likely to be able to win, and
Speaker 1: that changes everything now. Kamala Harris has recently said in
Speaker 1: a direct she was at the Asian Summit. I mean
Speaker 1: do we say Asian? It's as e A N. I
Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, how do you pronounce that? And
Speaker 1: whatever the point is as E A N Summit? And
Speaker 1: I should know this. I'm an international relations guy, sEH
Speaker 1: Ay all that, but I don't pay attention to summits.
Speaker 1: Kamala says, every vice president knows they take the oath,
Speaker 1: they must be very clear about the responsibility that they
Speaker 1: may have to take over the job of being president.
Speaker 1: I am no different. Yeah, well, the Democrats don't want
Speaker 1: her to take over that job, that's for sure, because
Speaker 1: she'd have to run, and she'd have to run against
Speaker 1: Donald Trump in twenty twenty four, and even with a
Speaker 1: Trump tied up like Gulliver by the Liliputians with all
Speaker 1: the ropes. Even a Trump tied up legally in that way,
Speaker 1: I think would be in a strong position to defeat
Speaker 1: Kamala Harris. Kamala Harris just cannot get the votes. And
Speaker 1: so that's why Joe Biden, despite his age, infirmity and
Speaker 1: everything else, is still he still has the full support
Speaker 1: of the Democrat machine. That's why he's still going to
Speaker 1: be the guy. And I know people say, oh, Gavin
Speaker 1: News someone all this uf Hold on a second, Joe Biden.
Speaker 1: You look at the polls. He's neck and neck with
Speaker 1: Trump right now. And they haven't started the trials of
Speaker 1: Trump or the massive APO campaign and all the lies
Speaker 1: and all the January sixth insurrection, all that stuff. This
Speaker 1: is the quiet before the storm, my friends. So when
Speaker 1: people saying, oh, the Trump and and Biden are neck
Speaker 1: and neck in the polls, yeah, that's because it's a
Speaker 1: year before the election. Now. I'm not saying I don't
Speaker 1: think Trump can win. I'm just saying those numbers are
Speaker 1: gonna shift, and the Democrats have a plan to roll
Speaker 1: out the most aggressive It's not just gonna be an
Speaker 1: OPO campaign. It's gonna be a if you don't vote
Speaker 1: for Joe Biden, the country is over and America is done.
Speaker 1: That's gonna be the campaign. And they're gonna have Trump walking,
Speaker 1: you know, going to dealing with the courts and the
Speaker 1: indictments and all this stuff. Will it work. I don't know.
Speaker 1: I hope not for the country's sake. But I think
Speaker 1: that's what they're gonna do. I think it's very obvious
Speaker 1: that's what they're going to do. But then there's this
Speaker 1: notion of, oh, well, well, maybe they'll just do an
Speaker 1: open primary, and so that won't be Commonala, it'll be Yeah,
Speaker 1: let me tell I'll deal with that in a second.
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Speaker 1: They won't do a primary, folks. Democrats won't do a primary.
Speaker 1: They won't do a primary because it'll waste a ton
Speaker 1: of money. They have an incumbent president. It will show
Speaker 1: a lack of resolve and a and undermining of this
Speaker 1: White House. There's just no way I people argue with
Speaker 1: me on this all the time. You know, I say,
Speaker 1: I've been saying for consistently, without wavering, Biden's gonna be
Speaker 1: the nominee. And there are all these people who say, oh, No,
Speaker 1: it's gonna be Gavin Newsom. I said, Gavin Newsom would
Speaker 1: have to win a Democrat primary. You know, there's gonna
Speaker 1: be eight other, ten other Who knows how many other
Speaker 1: Democrats who who throw their hats in the ring. Who
Speaker 1: knows the Gavenusen would even come out on top of
Speaker 1: all this. I mean, nobody would have thought Joe Biden
Speaker 1: in twenty twenty was gonna come out in the Democrat primary.
Speaker 1: But that's what happened. So there's no way they'll throw
Speaker 1: it into cast. You have a Democrat president who can
Speaker 1: run for another term. That's what's going to happen. Okay,
Speaker 1: I'm consistent. I'm the one who' I'm saying this all along.
Speaker 1: I know you know people, Oh, it could be this person,
Speaker 1: it could be that person. If Kamala Harris were a
Speaker 1: well liked Democrat politician who was charismatic, and then I
Speaker 1: could see Joe Biden stepping down now because the vice
Speaker 1: president becomes the president and then has the power of
Speaker 1: the incumbency to run a campaign with. That would make sense.
Speaker 1: But they don't think Kamala can win, and they know
Speaker 1: that a primary, a Democrat primary, would be a mess,
Speaker 1: and Their strategy is to use the law to make
Speaker 1: Trump effectively unelectable. I don't think it'll work. I hope
Speaker 1: it doesn't work. But that's their strategy. They're not. The
Speaker 1: strategy is, and look at how great Joe Biden is.
Speaker 1: The strategy is Trump is going to destroy the planet.
Speaker 1: You know. The strategy is hysteria of fear and craziness.
Speaker 1: So Joe Biden can still be the guy given that
Speaker 1: that's the strategy. You see what I mean here When
Speaker 1: you break it down, what I'm saying makes sense. Look,
Speaker 1: if I'm wrong, I'll come back on I'll tell you
Speaker 1: all I'm wrong. I'm sorry. Those you've been with me
Speaker 1: now since I started doing this in twenty twelve, you
Speaker 1: know how often am I wrong about this stuff? I mean, really,
Speaker 1: it's pretty rare. It's pretty rare. Thanks for hanging team
Speaker 1: shields high.