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Speaker 1: The most valuable commodity I know of is information.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't agree five five dollars?

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Speaker 3: This is a rale up how they traveled.

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Speaker 2: You're saying that humans need fantasy to make life bearable.

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Speaker 3: Humans need fantasy to be my goodness, mistake.

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Speaker 4: Prone, the best, relentless, refusing to give up.

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Speaker 1: All right, hit that horn, very bless theirs.

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Speaker 4: What's up everyone, Happy holidays and welcome to the Fantasy

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Speaker 4: Flex Podcast from the Action Network and Fantasy webs I'm

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Speaker 4: your host, Chris Raybond, and we're here to break down

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Speaker 4: Christmas Day. It brings DFS players a couple of games

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Speaker 4: on this Christmas Wednesday. We have the Kansas City Chiefs

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Speaker 4: and the Steelers and the Ravens taking on the Texans.

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Speaker 4: So we're gonna break down these two island games as always,

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Speaker 4: and Joe joined by one of the most accurate rankers

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Speaker 4: in the game, Sean Kerner.

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Speaker 2: Killing it this year. A great week.

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Speaker 4: Last week with all the touchdown guys that guys ended

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Speaker 4: up scoring a touchdown that you called out on the

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Speaker 4: DFS pod.

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Speaker 2: Happy holiday, Sean.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Happy holidays, and what another just incredible week on

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Speaker 1: our DFS pod where we just gave out a bunch

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Speaker 1: of touchdown winners. Those are great for DFS two, let's

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Speaker 1: let's face it. So hopefully we can add a few

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Speaker 1: more for the Christmas slate.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, we had just to run down some of the names.

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Speaker 4: Dalton Schaltz, Taj Spears, had a couple, David Moore, Tyler Hagbee,

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Speaker 4: Jerome Ford, Josevash Deebo, Samuel McMillan, just a ton of

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Speaker 4: I think McMillan Samuel is our favorite one too, right, Yeah,

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Speaker 4: that was.

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Speaker 3: Our official parlay.

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Speaker 1: And like a lot of these guys you ratled off,

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Speaker 1: they're not like obvious even money kind of guys.

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Speaker 3: A lot of these guys.

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Speaker 1: Are like four to one or better. So we're hitting

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Speaker 1: some nice long shots here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and we'll keep it going.

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Speaker 4: Break down his two game Christmas Day slate, and then

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Speaker 4: we'll be back Tuesday with the projections pod and Thursday

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Speaker 4: with the rest of the DFS slate for Week number seventeen.

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Speaker 4: So let's get into it. We have the Chiefs at

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Speaker 4: the Pittsburgh Steelers. Chiefs favored by two and a half

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Speaker 4: low total, round forty three.

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Speaker 2: Sean, when you look at this game, who stands up?

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Hollywood Brown here, who you know,

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Speaker 1: finally made his.

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Speaker 3: Chief's debut last week. He looked great.

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Speaker 1: He had five catches forty five yards, only ran a

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Speaker 1: route on thirty three percent of Mahomes dropbacks, So would

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Speaker 1: just imagine that's only going to go up this weekend

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Speaker 1: going forward. But he saw a ridiculous fifty target right

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Speaker 1: on his ruts. I think it's safe to say Mahomes

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Speaker 1: was obviously excited to see him finally in the lineup

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Speaker 1: to provide them, you know, explosive weapon for this offense.

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Speaker 1: We haven't really seen this offense be as explosive of

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Speaker 1: the past couple years, so Brown could help fix that.

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Speaker 1: But the Steelers secondary's dealing with a ton of injuries

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Speaker 1: right now. Both starting cornerbacks Joey Porter Junior and Dante

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Speaker 1: Jackson are both questionable. Be hard to imagine them being

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Speaker 1: able to heal up in time to play here on

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Speaker 1: the short week. Plus safety Deshaun Elliott could miss his

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Speaker 1: third straight game. He's dealing with that hamstring injury. But

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Speaker 1: his absence led to a couple of players being out

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Speaker 1: of position last week, and I think it led to

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Speaker 1: some miscommunications, especially on that Isaiah likely touchdown. So maybe

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Speaker 1: we have some blown coverage here with Marquise Brown, you know,

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Speaker 1: wide open for a touchdown or something. But either way,

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Speaker 1: like I think he's a good bet, you know, to

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Speaker 1: make a big player two here. And like I said,

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Speaker 1: I think this is still a good time to invest

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Speaker 1: in them. Obviously, he had a good game last week,

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Speaker 1: but you know he's playing. Time's only going to go up,

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Speaker 1: and his chemistry with Mahomes is only going to get better.

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Speaker 1: So I think now is the time to continue investing

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Speaker 1: in Hollywood Brown.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and kind of going off that a guy like

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Speaker 4: in this game for the Chiefs is Noah Gray, particularly

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Speaker 4: because as you mentioned, all those injuries and the fact

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Speaker 4: that now they have another weapon at wide receiver and

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Speaker 4: Marky's Brown, You're gonna probably see, you know, with some

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Speaker 4: time to prepare, you know, Pittsburgh protect their cornerbacks, protect

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Speaker 4: you know, deep down the field, and I think that

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Speaker 4: opens it.

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Speaker 2: Up for Noah Gray a little bit here.

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Speaker 4: He's got tied for second on the Chiefs with six

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Speaker 4: end zone targets this season, got five touchdowns in the

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Speaker 4: past six games, and Pittsburgh has allowed three touchdowns two

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Speaker 4: tight ends over the past three games, including Isaiah likely

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Speaker 4: last week when they were kind of out of position

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Speaker 4: and probably some miscommunication. He's dealing with all those injuries,

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Speaker 4: so you still have to account for Kelsey. You still

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Speaker 4: have to account for it, and now you have to

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Speaker 4: accunt for Marky's Brown Hopkins in addition to Xavier Worthy.

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Speaker 4: So it's really tough to also devote any attention to

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Speaker 4: Noah Gray. So I think he could be kind of

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Speaker 4: a sneaky one to benefit and Kelsey. I mean, maybe

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Speaker 4: he doesn't play quite as much this week. He played

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Speaker 4: sixty five snaps this week, sixty seven the game before that.

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Speaker 2: That's the most he's played in a two game span

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Speaker 2: all year long.

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Speaker 4: So like Noah Gray and guy you mentioned I think

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Speaker 4: last week that you had been ranking him well, actually

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Speaker 4: didn't play well this week, but usually you're like a

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Speaker 4: week ahead of these things.

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Speaker 3: So I.

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Speaker 4: Gotta mention Friar Mooth this week because you know, quiet

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Speaker 4: game last week. But he does have a touchdown on

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Speaker 4: fourteen percent of his catches with Russ compared to nine

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Speaker 4: and a half with with Fields, and still a touchdown

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Speaker 4: in three of his last four or four of his

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Speaker 4: last seven, even without one against Baltimore. But He's the

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Speaker 4: only Pittsburgh tight end that didn't pass block last week.

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Speaker 4: And I think, you know, in this matchup, you're probably

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Speaker 4: gonna want to pass Black a little bit. I know

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Speaker 4: Jones maybe out on the interior, but still I think

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Speaker 4: the Chiefs pass rush is something that you're not gonna

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Speaker 4: want to just have all the tight ends always run

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Speaker 4: it route. So Friar was still the most likely guy

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Speaker 4: to get in the end zone. And I think you

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Speaker 4: saw some like what Connor Hayward touchdown last week or

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Speaker 4: was it Michael Preuitt, No, Michael Prewitt and.

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Speaker 2: Patterson, So you saw some kind of randoms scoring touchdowns

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Speaker 2: but the steers last week.

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Speaker 4: But I think it's a good week to kind of

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Speaker 4: buy back in on probably the most likely guy even

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Speaker 4: if Pickens plays, you know, because again you're you're gonna be,

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Speaker 4: you know, devoting the most coverage to Pickens. Here, Friar

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Speaker 4: moves great red zone target for us. So like Noah

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Speaker 4: Gray and like Friar.

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Speaker 3: Move, Hey, Patterson was a random guy.

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Speaker 1: We were showing value in our prop tool at fifteen

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Speaker 1: to one touch on odds, So I guess.

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Speaker 4: I've got Patterson actually, Like I was, I was talking

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Speaker 4: to my guys, Jill Gallant, and we do the five

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Speaker 4: picks in five minutes and after we get off, you know,

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Speaker 4: I was asking, like he does a touchdown show.

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Speaker 2: Great, great show we do every week. Tune into that.

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Speaker 4: Right after convinced me, but I was like, you know

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Speaker 4: what touchdown guys you are and we're kind of going

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Speaker 4: back and forth. I was like, Oh, in the Pittsburgh

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Speaker 4: you got to check out for like h Patterson because

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Speaker 4: it's you know, now she's been kind of shaky, So yeah,

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Speaker 4: I think he's It's it's like, what do you think

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Speaker 4: is gonna happen with nausea in this game? Is he

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Speaker 4: gonna like rebounding work vote? Is he gonna continue to

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Speaker 4: kind of go the other direction?

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Speaker 3: I think he'll rebound.

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Speaker 1: I was on his under thirteen and a half rush attempt,

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Speaker 1: so I was excited to see Jalen Warren already out

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Speaker 1: there on the second drive of the game. I think

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Speaker 1: he was partly kind of in the doghouse because of

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Speaker 1: the fumble the week before, but you know, I think

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Speaker 1: that they do want to lean on him this time

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Speaker 1: of year, so I think it bounces back. But again,

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Speaker 1: I think that the offense has look more dynamic with

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Speaker 1: Warren there. So the fact that they're just not waiting

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Speaker 1: to get behind to use Warren and just kind of

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Speaker 1: using him out of the gate is a big concern

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Speaker 1: for Nausey and this just isn't a great matchup for him. Right,

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Speaker 1: So maybe not this week, but maybe next week. I

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Speaker 1: don't even know who they play next week, But this

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Speaker 1: still sets up better for a Warren game, I think.

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Speaker 1: And yeah, I was on Gray last week. Of course

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Speaker 1: he had his down game. I think he bounces back there.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, but I think that yeah, yeah, his.

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Speaker 1: His routs are on ray dipped, but I think it

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Speaker 1: was due to just when he caught his ten yard ball,

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Speaker 1: he just got the shit kicked out of him. He

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Speaker 1: had he had to leave the game for a bit. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: so I think that I need to go back and look.

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Speaker 1: I think he missed a handful plays just he got

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Speaker 1: the win knocked out of him. He looked, you know,

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Speaker 1: kind of confused, so they held him. I think the

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Speaker 1: rest of that drive, maybe some of the next one.

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Speaker 1: So I think his playing time's going to bounce back.

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Speaker 1: And no Gray has been so consistent. Yeah, I think

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Speaker 1: this is a great time to kind of buy low

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Speaker 1: on him and some of those miscommunications I was talking about.

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Speaker 1: From the Steelers side, We're guarding both Ravens tight ends,

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Speaker 1: So what kind of a horrible matchup to have here

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Speaker 1: against the chiefs of two great tight ends as well?

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Speaker 1: So I think we continue to see some kind of

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Speaker 1: miscommunications on the short week.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and before we.

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Speaker 4: Get into the Ravens texta actor, let me ask you

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Speaker 4: one more what are you projecting forward like the backfield

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Speaker 4: split for Kansas City? Because I feel like every week

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Speaker 4: people keep expecting, you know, Checko to kind of finally

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Speaker 4: be the guy that's getting the most work. But I

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Speaker 4: think he had one game where he was kind of

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Speaker 4: in that lead and he has generally seen some you know,

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Speaker 4: decent work in the first half, but over the course

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Speaker 4: of the game it tends to even out or kind

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Speaker 4: of go and Hunts favorite. Are you projecting kind of

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Speaker 4: a fifty to fifty split between those two or as

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Speaker 4: does it Hunt at this point?

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Speaker 3: Yeah?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, well it's too early. I actually don't have initial

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Speaker 1: projections yet where data, but I'm looking at my raw

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Speaker 1: file and yeah, you're right, like you know, Hunt has

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Speaker 1: kind of taken back over as the lead back. I'm

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Speaker 1: assuming they just kind of want to limit Pachecko when

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Speaker 1: they can, and Hunt's been playing well, so yeah, in

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Speaker 1: the short week, maybe they were kind of like taking

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Speaker 1: easy with Pachecko, planning to use him more on the

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Speaker 1: short week, But who the hell knows when it comes

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Speaker 1: in these situations, right, So yeah, yeah, I'll probably have

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Speaker 1: it projected culture of fifty to fifty split in terms

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Speaker 1: of rushing work. Maybe this is more of a hot

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Speaker 1: hand approach. But once they get to the playoffs, I

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Speaker 1: think it's safe to say this will be clearly Pacheco's backfield.

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Speaker 1: But for now, the Chiefs can afford to kind of

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Speaker 1: limit these guys and keep them fresh for the playoffs.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's something to keep in mind just

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Speaker 4: in general on this suit. You know, you have the

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Speaker 4: guys we like, but really, any anybody for the Chiefs.

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Speaker 4: I feel like that's not like an obvious guy is

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Speaker 4: in play, like a Watson or a Juju or p Ryme.

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Speaker 4: Because we've seen this with them, like what three four

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Speaker 4: years now, like ever since in the post Tyreek era

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Speaker 4: they split the wide receiver snaps up, you know, like

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Speaker 4: we've seen that, you know, like they're never really giving

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Speaker 4: guys ninety ninety five percent. So you know that goes

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Speaker 4: back to when they had like MVS and sky More

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Speaker 4: and all those guys. Now it's just Hopkins and Marky's Brown.

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Speaker 4: But uh, and then the same thing in the backfield.

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Speaker 4: They're they're always gonna kind of work guys in and

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Speaker 4: and and never really ride one guy. So this is

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Speaker 4: a good slate to kind of just go off the

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Speaker 4: border with, especially on the Kansas City side.

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Speaker 3: YEP.

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Speaker 4: Looking for weekly projections for me and Sean Kerner. The

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Speaker 4: the Houston, Texans.

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Speaker 2: We have the Ravens favored by about a touchdown. The

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Speaker 2: total is what is it? Forty six?

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Speaker 3: Now?

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Speaker 4: See that now, so we get forty six and a half,

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Speaker 4: so kind of mid range. Of course, the Texans unfortunately

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Speaker 4: lose another receiver in Techdell to just a really tough injury.

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Speaker 4: So that's what they're dealing with right now. They're down

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Speaker 4: to looks like Nico Collins, Robert Woods, Xavier Hutchinson, maybe

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Speaker 4: Metchi returns. He was listening as limited on the initial

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Speaker 4: practice for and Jared Wayne at receivers. So with that said,

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Speaker 4: what are you looking for in this one?

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Xavier Hutchinson here as kind of

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Speaker 1: a sneaky dart Frow touchdown, that kind of guy.

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Speaker 3: But as he alluded to, you know.

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Speaker 1: Tank Dell just suffered a brutal end of season injury

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Speaker 1: and you know, hopefully he'll be able to play next year,

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Speaker 1: you know, so prayers out to Tank Dell. I know

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Speaker 1: who's your boy. So yeah, and that was tough to

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Speaker 1: see it. C J Stroud c J. Stroud's reaction to it,

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Speaker 1: just yeah, terrible situation. You know, they're obviously without Stefon

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Speaker 1: Diggs as well. So John Metchi missed last week due

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Speaker 1: to the shoulder injury.

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Speaker 3: We'll have to.

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Speaker 1: Wait and see if he's going to even be able

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Speaker 1: to return. Figure Yeah, if he does, it'll be a

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Speaker 1: mixture of him, Robert Woods, and Hutchinson absorbing most of

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Speaker 1: Tank Dell's you know, leftover snaps and targets. Mechi would

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Speaker 1: probably offer the highest floor of the three if he plays,

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Speaker 1: just because he'll probably see the most playing time, probably

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Speaker 1: you know, in between the twenty kind of guy. But

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Speaker 1: I think Hutchinson is sneaky because I'm surprised he actually

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Speaker 1: doesn't have a touchdown his two year career yet, but

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Speaker 1: he does profile as a guy that kind of would

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Speaker 1: be a sneaky red zone thread. He's six three two ten,

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Speaker 1: was brock Perty's top target in college. So I think

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Speaker 1: this is a good spot for him because this, you know,

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Speaker 1: the Ravens are a pass fall defense. Could make a

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Speaker 1: big player too here. And like I said, he's probably

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Speaker 1: overlooked in the touchdown market as well because getting a

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Speaker 1: zero touchdowns. But with all these receiver injuries, especially if

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Speaker 1: Mechi's out, you know, I'm gonna like Hutchinson's even more.

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Speaker 1: I think he's just gonna step up at some point.

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Speaker 1: So I'll go with the sneaky player and Xavier Hutchinson.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I feel like you gotta go.

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Speaker 4: You gotta have another special episode in week eighteen, which

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Speaker 4: is all the guys that haven't scored all year. He

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Speaker 4: just kind of point down create like a mega round

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Speaker 4: robin touchdown CFS like, oh yeah, line up around.

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Speaker 3: Yeah absolutely and will part of that.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he's got I mean he's got two weeks to

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Speaker 1: figure it out, but we should absolutely do that. Uh.

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Speaker 4: A couple of guys I like here, one a Daria

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Speaker 4: Goombawawe for the Texans. After Nico Collins with ten end

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Speaker 4: zone targets for Houston, there's only four other Texans that

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Speaker 4: have more than two. Tankdale, who has six, he's out

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Speaker 4: and then Digs Mechi and a Goombwawe have three digs

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Speaker 4: is out.

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Speaker 2: Mechi you mentioned is questionable.

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Speaker 4: Did get in a limited practice on Sunday, so we'll

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Speaker 4: see how he's trending.

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Speaker 2: But either way, A Goomblewawe.

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Speaker 4: Is another player that's kind of sneaky because he is,

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Speaker 4: you know, the backup to Joe Mixon, plays on you know,

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Speaker 4: passing downs two minutes and whatnot. That could be a

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Speaker 4: situation that Houston finds itself in. And this Ravens defense,

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Speaker 4: they're really good against the run and that's why teams

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Speaker 4: tend to pass more against them. So you could see

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Speaker 4: a few more snaps for a goomblewawe here. They have

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Speaker 4: given up four receiving touchdowns two running backs, which is

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Speaker 4: tied for the sixth most. So we've seen Joe Mixon

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Speaker 4: get a little bit of a down it can snap

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Speaker 4: rate over the past few weeks, you know, into the

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Speaker 4: mid sixties. You know, he's a little bit banged up

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Speaker 4: and could just be some of the game script stuff,

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Speaker 4: but this kind of sets up the same way. So

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Speaker 4: like a goombawawe for Houston, and another guy i'll mention

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Speaker 4: is Keaton Mitchell.

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Speaker 3: If Justice Hill is.

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Speaker 4: Out, Keaton Mitchell should finally be active again after you know,

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Speaker 4: a bunch of healthy scratches, and he'll probably tracking towards

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Speaker 4: missing with that concussion.

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Speaker 2: So if Hill is out, I think.

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Speaker 4: Mitchell is interesting, and if Hill was in, I think

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Speaker 4: Rashee Olee, the third string back, is interesting, just in

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Speaker 4: case you get into kind of a blowout situation or whatnot,

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Speaker 4: because you know, this is what three games and eleven days,

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Speaker 4: and so you could see some more of that number

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Speaker 4: three running back. You know, Henry's coming off twenty six

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Speaker 4: touches that was tied for his second most all season long.

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Speaker 4: So with the playoffs coming up, you could always see

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Speaker 4: Baltimore try to keep his backfield healthy, especially with Hill.

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Speaker 4: Now you know, if he's out that maybe who knows

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Speaker 4: if that's even a one week protocol. So I would

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Speaker 4: like Keaton Mitchell, especially if Justice Hills out. All right,

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Speaker 4: So that's gonna do it for our Christmas special episode

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Speaker 4: here on the Fantasy Flex again. We'll be back with

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Speaker 4: the Breaking Down a full slate on Thursday. Be sure

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Speaker 4: to check out fantasylabs dot com all of our fantasy

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