1
00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,240
Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to Betting Pros. It's time to place

2
00:00:03,240 --> 00:00:06,000
Speaker 1: your bets. It's me Joey p Joe Pizzapia and this

3
00:00:06,840 --> 00:00:09,240
Speaker 1: is BP NFL. It's time to look ahead to the

4
00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:12,880
Speaker 1: divisional round here with my good pal the Undertaker Andrew Erickson,

5
00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:16,520
Speaker 1: and just a reminder, backed by popular demand, we will

6
00:00:16,520 --> 00:00:21,560
Speaker 1: be live again Scott Bogman and myself Saturday four or

7
00:00:21,560 --> 00:00:24,760
Speaker 1: fifteen Eastern. Subscribe to the YouTube channel of Betting Pros

8
00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:27,200
Speaker 1: ring the belt of that goes ding for notifications. That

9
00:00:27,280 --> 00:00:29,360
Speaker 1: way you don't miss the live stream for in game

10
00:00:29,400 --> 00:00:32,720
Speaker 1: live betting Texans Chiefs. Apparently we just do Texans games

11
00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:34,680
Speaker 1: around here, that's what we do. But it was so

12
00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:36,760
Speaker 1: much fun last week with all of you hanging out

13
00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:38,480
Speaker 1: live here on the BP channel. We're gonna do it again.

14
00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:42,440
Speaker 1: So join us against Saturday Chiefs, Texans, Bogman, piz Apa.

15
00:00:42,840 --> 00:00:44,879
Speaker 1: What could go wrong? It's gonna be a great time.

16
00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:46,760
Speaker 1: We want you to be a part of it. Andrew Erickson.

17
00:00:47,360 --> 00:00:49,440
Speaker 1: I don't know if you had any takeaways from last

18
00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,479
Speaker 1: night's game before we move ahead, but the Sam Darnold

19
00:00:52,520 --> 00:00:57,400
Speaker 1: experiment came to a very sad and fourteen wins great season,

20
00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:02,080
Speaker 1: pressurized games, too many sad, maybe a hand injury on

21
00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:03,880
Speaker 1: a helmet, but still at the end of the day,

22
00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:07,240
Speaker 1: Sam Donald, the Vikings are going home, and the Rams

23
00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,440
Speaker 1: look like a very dangerous team right now, potentially as

24
00:01:10,440 --> 00:01:13,679
Speaker 1: they headed into Philadelphia. Any final thoughts on the Vikings

25
00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:15,560
Speaker 1: season and what you saw in the Rams last.

26
00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,600
Speaker 2: Night, Well, the Vikings have not fared well after they

27
00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:21,320
Speaker 2: faced the Lights. No team, no team is fair skin

28
00:01:21,440 --> 00:01:25,640
Speaker 2: that the Honolulu flu still remains the thing we gotta fade.

29
00:01:28,920 --> 00:01:31,920
Speaker 2: The Vikings had a shot. Yeah, it's unfortunate because like

30
00:01:31,920 --> 00:01:34,000
Speaker 2: you look at the teams that Donald lost to this year,

31
00:01:34,080 --> 00:01:36,280
Speaker 2: is the Lions and Rams like those are the two

32
00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,440
Speaker 2: teams and the biggest. Unfortunately they were all primetime games,

33
00:01:39,600 --> 00:01:42,880
Speaker 2: so that's where everybody saw it again.

34
00:01:42,920 --> 00:01:44,000
Speaker 3: I feel I just feel bad.

35
00:01:43,840 --> 00:01:46,360
Speaker 2: For Sam Donald honestly, right, Like, I mean, two weeks ago,

36
00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:49,400
Speaker 2: he was in like the MVP consideration. Whether that was

37
00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:51,400
Speaker 2: right or wrong, clearly it seemed like that was probably

38
00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:53,800
Speaker 2: the wrong take to have. But you know, he was

39
00:01:53,800 --> 00:01:56,320
Speaker 2: playing so well, this team won fourteen games, and now

40
00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:58,480
Speaker 2: he doesn't even know what team like is even gonna be.

41
00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:01,200
Speaker 2: Back on the Vikings and Kevin O'Connell was talking about

42
00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:03,120
Speaker 2: after the game, seems like, well maybe they gave at

43
00:02:03,120 --> 00:02:04,320
Speaker 2: a better price now, like.

44
00:02:04,720 --> 00:02:07,200
Speaker 3: Maybe there's a conspiracy and again, so he'd be cheaper.

45
00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:08,680
Speaker 3: They told the offensive line not to block.

46
00:02:08,760 --> 00:02:11,760
Speaker 2: I don't know, but yeah, I mean it obviously is

47
00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,600
Speaker 2: a very sour ending for a player that I really

48
00:02:14,880 --> 00:02:16,919
Speaker 2: had a best year of his NFL career, and it

49
00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:18,960
Speaker 2: just ends on a very sour note for not just

50
00:02:19,000 --> 00:02:21,000
Speaker 2: him but the entire Vikings team that was really good.

51
00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:23,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's very sad to watch a man squander away

52
00:02:23,720 --> 00:02:26,640
Speaker 1: twenty plus million dollars potentially in a contract. Every sack

53
00:02:26,720 --> 00:02:30,000
Speaker 1: he just there's another three million. There's another three Oh,

54
00:02:30,160 --> 00:02:32,160
Speaker 1: there's another four. Yeah, it was. It was brutal, but

55
00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:34,960
Speaker 1: great job by the Rams when this football game too.

56
00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,239
Speaker 1: Defense played terrific. They got after the quarterback Matthew Stafford.

57
00:02:38,600 --> 00:02:41,160
Speaker 1: You know, in December and January is a Ram pretty

58
00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:44,799
Speaker 1: good record and a huge win under weird circumstances. To

59
00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:46,480
Speaker 1: got to give them all the credit in Sean MCVAYH

60
00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:49,000
Speaker 1: two having his team ready to play, and we're ready

61
00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:52,560
Speaker 1: to play too. As we look ahead to the divisional round,

62
00:02:52,639 --> 00:02:55,919
Speaker 1: let's start with that Houston Texans game. So Houston heard

63
00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:58,520
Speaker 1: the noise last week and they responded in kind with

64
00:02:58,600 --> 00:03:01,280
Speaker 1: a butt kicking of the Charger. But he's good enough

65
00:03:01,320 --> 00:03:04,000
Speaker 1: now to carry over for a second week. Eight is

66
00:03:04,040 --> 00:03:05,920
Speaker 1: the number as we head to Kansas City, forty one

67
00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:07,560
Speaker 1: and a half of the total plus three fifty on

68
00:03:07,600 --> 00:03:10,120
Speaker 1: the money line. So it's a tempting upset if you

69
00:03:10,120 --> 00:03:13,000
Speaker 1: don't believe in the Chiefs, but I do. However, the

70
00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:15,239
Speaker 1: Chiefs continue to be the team all year. They didn't

71
00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:18,120
Speaker 1: really blow anybody out, so I think eight is a lot.

72
00:03:18,480 --> 00:03:20,400
Speaker 1: I kind of want to be on the textan side

73
00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,519
Speaker 1: with the plus eight Andrew Erickson. Despite the fact the

74
00:03:23,600 --> 00:03:25,639
Speaker 1: last couple of weeks of the chief season we did

75
00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:28,079
Speaker 1: see a little bit different offense. We saw Mahomes drop

76
00:03:28,120 --> 00:03:30,959
Speaker 1: a three hundred, we saw Hollywood brown back. But check

77
00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:33,520
Speaker 1: go back the last few weeks, so maybe these pieces

78
00:03:33,560 --> 00:03:36,280
Speaker 1: are starting to come together. Andy Reid, after time is

79
00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:38,440
Speaker 1: always the most dangerous man on the planet. But do

80
00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:40,280
Speaker 1: you think eight is too many? Or you where I am,

81
00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:42,120
Speaker 1: or you think Chiefs blow out?

82
00:03:42,280 --> 00:03:44,040
Speaker 2: There's a game he's going to blow out this weekend,

83
00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:45,840
Speaker 2: but I don't think it's this one. So I'm with

84
00:03:45,880 --> 00:03:47,640
Speaker 2: you here with the text. I was I was afraid.

85
00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:49,680
Speaker 2: I was like, man, Joey's been really been on these

86
00:03:49,720 --> 00:03:51,400
Speaker 2: blood spots, especially with the Ravens.

87
00:03:52,480 --> 00:03:55,640
Speaker 1: Yeah, worst, Terrell, I can't wait for Thursday. Tell me

88
00:03:55,680 --> 00:03:57,600
Speaker 1: again how the Steelers are going to cover? Tell me

89
00:03:57,640 --> 00:03:59,960
Speaker 1: again how the Steelers are going to cover against the.

90
00:04:00,440 --> 00:04:04,480
Speaker 3: I don't know how they They only lost by fourteen Thursday.

91
00:04:04,840 --> 00:04:07,200
Speaker 1: You ready, buddy, I agree.

92
00:04:06,880 --> 00:04:09,040
Speaker 3: With you that it seems like too many points.

93
00:04:09,280 --> 00:04:12,920
Speaker 2: We already saw this matchup week sixteen on a SATURDAYME

94
00:04:13,040 --> 00:04:16,360
Speaker 2: time or an Island game. The game was close than

95
00:04:16,440 --> 00:04:19,040
Speaker 2: Tank Dell, you know, was out for the year like that.

96
00:04:19,200 --> 00:04:21,719
Speaker 2: I think that took the wind out of the Texans,

97
00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:24,279
Speaker 2: and I think that really kind of derailed the rest

98
00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:25,480
Speaker 2: of that. But that was in the third quarter of

99
00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,080
Speaker 2: his tied set. It was going to be tied seventeen

100
00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:28,800
Speaker 2: seventeen until they missed the extra point. But it just

101
00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:31,480
Speaker 2: started to kind of unravel after that point. But what

102
00:04:31,520 --> 00:04:34,040
Speaker 2: can the Texans do? Well, Yes, their offense is still

103
00:04:34,080 --> 00:04:36,600
Speaker 2: not fixed. Even though they you know, scored thirty points

104
00:04:36,600 --> 00:04:38,680
Speaker 2: against the Chargers. We know that it really was their

105
00:04:38,680 --> 00:04:41,600
Speaker 2: defense that showed up. Their defense can show up here

106
00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:44,000
Speaker 2: even playing on the road, they have one. They have

107
00:04:44,080 --> 00:04:45,920
Speaker 2: the best pass rush in the NFL, so they can

108
00:04:45,960 --> 00:04:48,960
Speaker 2: give Mahomes potentially some fits here. So I look thet

109
00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:50,680
Speaker 2: Texans and you're just going back to the point where

110
00:04:50,680 --> 00:04:52,480
Speaker 2: we've seen the Chiefs all year long. Is this where

111
00:04:52,520 --> 00:04:54,560
Speaker 2: they chart to turn it on? Yes, to win, but

112
00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:56,520
Speaker 2: not to necessarily blow this team out. You look at

113
00:04:56,520 --> 00:04:58,360
Speaker 2: the rams and spreads this year, where they've been at

114
00:04:58,440 --> 00:05:00,640
Speaker 2: least a favorite of six and a half points or greater.

115
00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:03,479
Speaker 2: They're one and six against the spread, so they haven't

116
00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:06,000
Speaker 2: covered touchdown spreads at any point all year long. And

117
00:05:06,000 --> 00:05:07,960
Speaker 2: they're getting eight points of the Texans in a game

118
00:05:07,960 --> 00:05:10,440
Speaker 2: that in Week sixteen, the Chiefs were three and a

119
00:05:10,480 --> 00:05:13,160
Speaker 2: half point favorites at home. Now they're eight point favorites

120
00:05:13,200 --> 00:05:15,520
Speaker 2: at home and gets the same opponent. Yeah, it's too many.

121
00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:17,599
Speaker 1: So I'm going to jump on the Houston bad wye

122
00:05:17,600 --> 00:05:19,719
Speaker 1: in here. I don't think Houston wins. I think the

123
00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:23,000
Speaker 1: Chiefs win. But there you go. Any thoughts on this total?

124
00:05:23,040 --> 00:05:25,160
Speaker 1: Forty one and a half. This is kind of right

125
00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:27,320
Speaker 1: where it is for me. I'm going to probably stay

126
00:05:27,320 --> 00:05:28,960
Speaker 1: away from this one personally. But did you have any

127
00:05:28,960 --> 00:05:29,919
Speaker 1: feelings about the total.

128
00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:33,039
Speaker 2: It definitely seems like an under based on you know,

129
00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,400
Speaker 2: Chiefs games. They don't blow teams out. The Texans offense

130
00:05:35,560 --> 00:05:38,440
Speaker 2: is underwhelming. To be polite, I guess I would say,

131
00:05:38,480 --> 00:05:40,840
Speaker 2: but it's all baked in right. Forty one and a

132
00:05:40,839 --> 00:05:43,200
Speaker 2: half is not a big number to pass, so I

133
00:05:43,200 --> 00:05:44,880
Speaker 2: think I probably kind of stay away from here too,

134
00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:45,839
Speaker 2: all right.

135
00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,400
Speaker 1: Next one on the dock of the Washington Commanders. Boy,

136
00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:50,920
Speaker 1: oh boy, look at them. Look at Jaden Daniels, Look

137
00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,200
Speaker 1: at Dan Quinn. This is a game between Dan Quinn

138
00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:57,159
Speaker 1: and Dan Campbell that'll have zero punts just every fourth down.

139
00:05:57,200 --> 00:05:59,479
Speaker 1: The it possibly get We're gonna go after it here.

140
00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:03,520
Speaker 1: But hey, look they're nine and a half point underdogs

141
00:06:03,600 --> 00:06:06,400
Speaker 1: Washington heading into Detroit, which again kind of feels right.

142
00:06:06,480 --> 00:06:08,520
Speaker 1: Fifty five and a half is the total plus four

143
00:06:08,600 --> 00:06:12,080
Speaker 1: hundred on the money line. So the question is, does

144
00:06:12,200 --> 00:06:14,960
Speaker 1: Washington really, you know, finally get up against it. It's

145
00:06:14,960 --> 00:06:16,800
Speaker 1: one thing to go and beat the Buccaneers, like that's

146
00:06:16,839 --> 00:06:19,279
Speaker 1: a good team, but not a great team. Now they're

147
00:06:19,279 --> 00:06:21,480
Speaker 1: facing a great team on the road in a tough building,

148
00:06:21,520 --> 00:06:24,760
Speaker 1: in a tough spot after a buye and it feels

149
00:06:24,760 --> 00:06:27,560
Speaker 1: like Detroit is probably going to handle their business here.

150
00:06:27,920 --> 00:06:30,360
Speaker 1: I do worry about this number though. Fifty five and

151
00:06:30,400 --> 00:06:32,839
Speaker 1: a half is a very large number. You need Washington

152
00:06:32,880 --> 00:06:35,520
Speaker 1: to really handle their part of the total, I would

153
00:06:35,520 --> 00:06:37,400
Speaker 1: think in this game too, in order to reach that.

154
00:06:37,440 --> 00:06:39,479
Speaker 1: And I'm kind of concerned too, because I don't think

155
00:06:39,640 --> 00:06:41,880
Speaker 1: the defense that they saw against Tampa is the same

156
00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,080
Speaker 1: defense that are going to be seeing in Detroit this weekend.

157
00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:44,680
Speaker 1: What are your.

158
00:06:44,520 --> 00:06:47,920
Speaker 2: Thoughts, Yeah, these totals are kind of getting out of control,

159
00:06:48,200 --> 00:06:50,680
Speaker 2: out of control a little bit in Detroit. Like I'm

160
00:06:50,760 --> 00:06:53,039
Speaker 2: used to being like fifty two and a half, Okay, great,

161
00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,280
Speaker 2: great number. We had the fifty six and a half,

162
00:06:55,400 --> 00:06:58,000
Speaker 2: bonkers one with the Vikings line that one screamed towards

163
00:06:58,040 --> 00:06:59,240
Speaker 2: the under. Now you have a fifty five and a

164
00:06:59,279 --> 00:07:02,160
Speaker 2: half point total. Again, this is too high even for

165
00:07:02,160 --> 00:07:04,680
Speaker 2: for field, the course field of the NFL. I mean,

166
00:07:04,720 --> 00:07:06,400
Speaker 2: you know me, I love taking the overseer, but I

167
00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:09,720
Speaker 2: was on the under when it was Vikings and Lions

168
00:07:10,120 --> 00:07:11,680
Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago when they played because the

169
00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:13,440
Speaker 2: number was just bonkers. And I think that this one

170
00:07:13,480 --> 00:07:16,520
Speaker 2: is just very, very aggressive. And again what I leaded

171
00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:19,120
Speaker 2: to earlier about the blood spots. I think this is

172
00:07:19,160 --> 00:07:21,760
Speaker 2: where the Commander's season comes to an end and they

173
00:07:21,800 --> 00:07:24,480
Speaker 2: get they get a butt whooping from a team that

174
00:07:24,600 --> 00:07:27,320
Speaker 2: is elite, elite of the elite. I mean again, the

175
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:30,240
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay Buccaneers two weeks ago, they almost lost to

176
00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:33,560
Speaker 2: the Saints at home led by Spencer Raler. Like, yes,

177
00:07:33,640 --> 00:07:36,360
Speaker 2: the Buccaneers. They won a bad division, okay, like and

178
00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,120
Speaker 2: Baker Mayfield deserves credit, but that defense was horrible all

179
00:07:39,200 --> 00:07:42,000
Speaker 2: year long. I think that this is going to be

180
00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,480
Speaker 2: a Oh these guys aren't even in the same class,

181
00:07:44,520 --> 00:07:45,840
Speaker 2: and that's really been the Commander's m.

182
00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:50,280
Speaker 1: Y much like the Lions that y are here. I

183
00:07:50,280 --> 00:07:50,520
Speaker 1: do so.

184
00:07:50,600 --> 00:07:52,280
Speaker 2: Yeah, if I'm going to lay a big number with

185
00:07:52,320 --> 00:07:54,239
Speaker 2: any team this week, it's going to be Detroit.

186
00:07:54,640 --> 00:07:57,840
Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean I would concur with that one, all right.

187
00:07:57,960 --> 00:08:00,760
Speaker 1: Next game on the docket the Los Angeles Rams, coming

188
00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:03,840
Speaker 1: off a big victory. Questions remain too. Do they go

189
00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:05,760
Speaker 1: back home and they practice there or they gotta fly

190
00:08:05,840 --> 00:08:08,800
Speaker 1: out east and go to Philadelphia and practice all week

191
00:08:08,800 --> 00:08:11,520
Speaker 1: out there. So still a lot of moving parts here.

192
00:08:12,440 --> 00:08:15,400
Speaker 1: Just credit to Sean mcain the organization though, for rallying

193
00:08:15,440 --> 00:08:17,200
Speaker 1: around each other and going out there and playing such

194
00:08:17,200 --> 00:08:18,960
Speaker 1: a good game on a neutral field and a weird

195
00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:21,800
Speaker 1: situation too, especially you know all the personal stuff going

196
00:08:21,800 --> 00:08:25,080
Speaker 1: on for all everybody and their teams and their their teammates,

197
00:08:25,120 --> 00:08:27,720
Speaker 1: their families, friends, everything out there in the LA area.

198
00:08:27,840 --> 00:08:31,320
Speaker 1: But the Eagles are at home. Six point favorites and

199
00:08:31,400 --> 00:08:32,959
Speaker 1: forty three and a half is the total plus two

200
00:08:32,960 --> 00:08:35,600
Speaker 1: twenty five on the money line for the Rams. Typically

201
00:08:35,600 --> 00:08:38,320
Speaker 1: one game go sideways. Here. If a game goes sideways,

202
00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:41,240
Speaker 1: this is the one that I've circled. And I've been

203
00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:43,920
Speaker 1: very pro Eagles all year. I never felt at any

204
00:08:43,920 --> 00:08:46,120
Speaker 1: given time that the Eagles were in danger of losing

205
00:08:46,120 --> 00:08:47,520
Speaker 1: that game to the Packers. They felt like they were

206
00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:49,559
Speaker 1: in control from the minute it started to the minute

207
00:08:49,559 --> 00:08:52,520
Speaker 1: it ended, and the Packers were just disintegrating like all

208
00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:56,199
Speaker 1: the characters Infinity War right before our eyes. But at

209
00:08:56,200 --> 00:08:59,839
Speaker 1: the same time, they didn't put up points the way

210
00:08:59,880 --> 00:09:02,480
Speaker 1: I wanted them to, which has got me a little concerned.

211
00:09:02,559 --> 00:09:04,079
Speaker 1: I expected them to be maybe flat in the first

212
00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:05,520
Speaker 1: half and in the second half. I was looking for

213
00:09:05,520 --> 00:09:08,960
Speaker 1: a thirty spot and we can get that. So six

214
00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:11,080
Speaker 1: is the number, forty three and a half is the total.

215
00:09:11,480 --> 00:09:13,520
Speaker 1: Are you on the Rams? Upset here or do we

216
00:09:13,559 --> 00:09:16,559
Speaker 1: get maybe everybody just moving forward. I don't know here, Eric,

217
00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:19,120
Speaker 1: So this one I'm still marinating in. I'm still trying

218
00:09:19,120 --> 00:09:21,720
Speaker 1: to figure out. I believe in the Eagles defense. I

219
00:09:21,800 --> 00:09:24,800
Speaker 1: want to believe in the Eagles offense. But I'm also

220
00:09:24,840 --> 00:09:28,640
Speaker 1: concerned about Stafford traveling, cold weather, all that stuff. Outdoor.

221
00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,800
Speaker 1: It's a very different environment than when he played in yesterday.

222
00:09:31,040 --> 00:09:33,640
Speaker 3: I would agree with that, but I like the Rams

223
00:09:33,640 --> 00:09:34,320
Speaker 3: with the points.

224
00:09:34,640 --> 00:09:36,640
Speaker 2: I don't know if this is an upset spot for them,

225
00:09:36,720 --> 00:09:38,440
Speaker 2: just because of all the other factors you to lay.

226
00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:40,880
Speaker 2: They're playing on the road on a short week, outdoors

227
00:09:40,920 --> 00:09:43,600
Speaker 2: against an elite defense. Because we talked about, yes, the

228
00:09:43,600 --> 00:09:46,120
Speaker 2: concerns with the offense and Jalen Hurts, et cetera, none

229
00:09:46,120 --> 00:09:48,800
Speaker 2: of that matters if the Rams don't score points because

230
00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:51,080
Speaker 2: the Eagles defense is so good. I think that's the

231
00:09:51,080 --> 00:09:52,760
Speaker 2: thing that I keep coming back to with this Eagles team,

232
00:09:52,800 --> 00:09:56,320
Speaker 2: where if Saquan is cooking, which he destroyed this team

233
00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:58,160
Speaker 2: the last time he faced the Ramsey West rug over

234
00:09:58,200 --> 00:09:59,319
Speaker 2: two hundred and fifty.

235
00:09:59,120 --> 00:10:02,560
Speaker 1: Yards, So you gotta have an answer. And the odd

236
00:10:02,600 --> 00:10:05,439
Speaker 1: thing is that, like I don't know, I in my mind,

237
00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:07,560
Speaker 1: I give the Rams a better chance than I gave

238
00:10:07,600 --> 00:10:10,959
Speaker 1: the Packers against the Eagles. Yet the Rams are six

239
00:10:11,240 --> 00:10:13,360
Speaker 1: Cowkers game was four and a half. I'm still trying

240
00:10:13,360 --> 00:10:15,240
Speaker 1: to wrap my mind around that. So I think I'm

241
00:10:15,240 --> 00:10:16,600
Speaker 1: with you. I think the Rams on the points is

242
00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,080
Speaker 1: probably the best way to be here. But do they

243
00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:20,320
Speaker 1: have an answer for sake one now?

244
00:10:20,920 --> 00:10:22,960
Speaker 2: Well, I mean their defensive least played well last week

245
00:10:23,120 --> 00:10:24,760
Speaker 2: against the Vikings, but that was a lot of that

246
00:10:24,840 --> 00:10:27,040
Speaker 2: is to do with pass rush. Again, I'm going back

247
00:10:27,080 --> 00:10:30,720
Speaker 2: to you know which quarterback is playing better? I think Stafford.

248
00:10:30,760 --> 00:10:32,400
Speaker 2: I mean he's coming off a much better game than

249
00:10:32,480 --> 00:10:35,880
Speaker 2: Jalen Hurtz's. The coaching staff, who are you gonna take

250
00:10:35,920 --> 00:10:38,640
Speaker 2: McVeagh or Sirianni. You're gonna probably take the Sean McVay.

251
00:10:38,760 --> 00:10:41,760
Speaker 2: So considering all those factors, also considering the Rams record

252
00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:43,960
Speaker 2: on the road this season, the Rams get disrespected a

253
00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,760
Speaker 2: lot on the road because they're a dome team, they're

254
00:10:46,760 --> 00:10:50,480
Speaker 2: playing Los Angeles. But they've been really good against the

255
00:10:50,480 --> 00:10:52,880
Speaker 2: spread on the road this year because they're always getting

256
00:10:52,920 --> 00:10:54,839
Speaker 2: really good value on the number. Because I want is

257
00:10:54,880 --> 00:10:56,720
Speaker 2: fading them when they ever they play on the road.

258
00:10:56,840 --> 00:10:59,000
Speaker 2: So like you said the fact that it's six points.

259
00:11:00,240 --> 00:11:02,400
Speaker 2: I'm definitely I like the rams of the points here.

260
00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:05,320
Speaker 1: Yeah, I still feel like the Eagles find a way,

261
00:11:05,360 --> 00:11:06,960
Speaker 1: but you know they got to put it together here.

262
00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:10,000
Speaker 1: Aj Brown's got to stop reading books. The star catching passes.

263
00:11:10,000 --> 00:11:13,000
Speaker 1: We gotta figure something out. Is not good. It's not good.

264
00:11:13,200 --> 00:11:16,120
Speaker 1: I know the dysfunction is what they do, but I

265
00:11:16,200 --> 00:11:18,000
Speaker 1: think at a certain point it starts to get you

266
00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:20,680
Speaker 1: a little worried. I, however, am not worried at all

267
00:11:20,679 --> 00:11:22,760
Speaker 1: about this next game. I am as cool as the

268
00:11:22,760 --> 00:11:25,360
Speaker 1: other side of the pillow, and Vegas is not. This

269
00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,240
Speaker 1: is a pick him. Basically, you got plus one on

270
00:11:27,280 --> 00:11:30,679
Speaker 1: Buffalo minus won Baltimore. Different spots here, fifty one and

271
00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:33,000
Speaker 1: a half is the total for this one. We can

272
00:11:33,000 --> 00:11:35,160
Speaker 1: get to that in a second. Minus one fifteen on

273
00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:38,760
Speaker 1: betting pros for the Baltimore Ravens on the money line,

274
00:11:38,800 --> 00:11:41,560
Speaker 1: minus one oh five for the Bills on the money line.

275
00:11:41,840 --> 00:11:44,760
Speaker 1: I think the Ravens win this game, and I don't

276
00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:47,680
Speaker 1: think it's a nail bider in the fourth quarter. I'm

277
00:11:47,840 --> 00:11:49,880
Speaker 1: very confident the Ravens are going to go in there

278
00:11:50,440 --> 00:11:53,839
Speaker 1: against this Bills defense, which when the Bills face the

279
00:11:53,920 --> 00:11:55,600
Speaker 1: Rams and the Lions, and back to back weeks they

280
00:11:55,600 --> 00:11:58,920
Speaker 1: give up ninety points. Ninety okay, Like this is a

281
00:11:58,960 --> 00:12:03,520
Speaker 1: big number, and I'm concerned the Bills on the playmakers

282
00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:07,000
Speaker 1: besides Josh Allen to keep pace. Mark Andrews, who you know,

283
00:12:07,080 --> 00:12:09,960
Speaker 1: we kind of were dropping in every Fantasy league all

284
00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:12,480
Speaker 1: of a sudden started catching touchdowns like a crazy man.

285
00:12:12,720 --> 00:12:17,560
Speaker 1: And Derrick Henry is a beast. Lamar Jackson continues to

286
00:12:17,600 --> 00:12:21,280
Speaker 1: exercise every demon. We beat the Steelers, we beat the

287
00:12:21,280 --> 00:12:25,840
Speaker 1: Steelers again, then Lamar Jackson maybe taking this MVP thing

288
00:12:25,960 --> 00:12:28,720
Speaker 1: personally here. I don't know where you're at, Andrew, but

289
00:12:28,760 --> 00:12:31,360
Speaker 1: I am very confident I want to tease the Ravens

290
00:12:31,400 --> 00:12:33,840
Speaker 1: into the threes, maybe into the sixes. Like I just

291
00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,240
Speaker 1: think the Ravens are going to handle their business. And

292
00:12:36,320 --> 00:12:38,360
Speaker 1: I don't see the Buffalo Bills having an answer for

293
00:12:38,480 --> 00:12:41,920
Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson Derek Henry in this game. And if there's

294
00:12:42,000 --> 00:12:45,440
Speaker 1: weather of any kind, look out Derrick Henry. As Matt

295
00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:46,959
Speaker 1: Parlt and I were talking about, Derek Henry in the

296
00:12:47,000 --> 00:12:48,880
Speaker 1: snow is not what you're looking for if you're the

297
00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:51,440
Speaker 1: Buffalo Bills defense. So I think the Ravens are playing

298
00:12:51,440 --> 00:12:52,920
Speaker 1: the best football. They might not be the best team

299
00:12:52,960 --> 00:12:54,800
Speaker 1: in the NFL, but they're playing the best football right now.

300
00:12:54,800 --> 00:12:56,880
Speaker 1: With any of the teams left your thoughts.

301
00:12:57,440 --> 00:12:59,760
Speaker 2: I'm on the Ravens side here, thank thank the Lord

302
00:12:59,760 --> 00:13:01,079
Speaker 2: that I playing the Steelers, so I don't have to

303
00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:02,440
Speaker 2: bet I'm like Tom and lose again.

304
00:13:03,960 --> 00:13:05,400
Speaker 1: I don't know what's with you, guys.

305
00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:07,360
Speaker 3: Okay, well he's not playing Mike Tomins.

306
00:13:07,400 --> 00:13:09,600
Speaker 1: Guy's got a second chance at that last week too,

307
00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:11,000
Speaker 1: and you still screwed the pooch.

308
00:13:11,640 --> 00:13:13,760
Speaker 2: We definitely did, But I won't screw the pooch of

309
00:13:13,760 --> 00:13:16,199
Speaker 2: this week because I am with you with the Baltimore

310
00:13:16,360 --> 00:13:18,000
Speaker 2: I mean, we already saw out this matchup earlier this

311
00:13:18,120 --> 00:13:19,840
Speaker 2: year and the Ravens destroyed the Bills. I get that

312
00:13:19,840 --> 00:13:21,640
Speaker 2: the game was on the road for the Buffalo Bills.

313
00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:24,760
Speaker 2: I don't care you have. What's the perfect formula for

314
00:13:24,880 --> 00:13:26,840
Speaker 2: the Ravens to beat the Buffalo Bills on the road

315
00:13:26,920 --> 00:13:28,920
Speaker 2: is run the ball, which is all they've been doing

316
00:13:29,120 --> 00:13:31,920
Speaker 2: since they got Derek Henry and Lamar Jackson. So the

317
00:13:32,000 --> 00:13:34,520
Speaker 2: only way I can see this going in a weird

318
00:13:34,559 --> 00:13:37,559
Speaker 2: way is if the Bills jump out to a massive

319
00:13:37,640 --> 00:13:40,160
Speaker 2: lead and take the Ravens out of their element in

320
00:13:40,240 --> 00:13:43,080
Speaker 2: terms of playing bullyball, and Monkin is, hey, we got

321
00:13:43,080 --> 00:13:44,120
Speaker 2: to throw the wall a little bit more.

322
00:13:44,160 --> 00:13:45,400
Speaker 3: As a Flowers is obviously still.

323
00:13:45,240 --> 00:13:46,800
Speaker 2: Banged up, we don't know if he's going to play,

324
00:13:46,880 --> 00:13:48,959
Speaker 2: so but I just don't expect that because the Ravens

325
00:13:48,960 --> 00:13:51,840
Speaker 2: defense als been playing much better, like they've fixed everything

326
00:13:51,840 --> 00:13:54,720
Speaker 2: by moving Kyle Hamilton out of that nickelbacks into a

327
00:13:54,800 --> 00:13:58,079
Speaker 2: traditional safety spot. So I like the Ravens here too,

328
00:13:58,080 --> 00:14:00,360
Speaker 2: And you're saying there a pick them, But it's Ravens

329
00:14:00,360 --> 00:14:05,040
Speaker 2: are technically favored, right, Because that's favored. I mean, that's

330
00:14:05,120 --> 00:14:06,280
Speaker 2: right that they should be favored.

331
00:14:06,360 --> 00:14:08,040
Speaker 1: So I don't I think it should be Ravens two

332
00:14:08,040 --> 00:14:11,400
Speaker 1: and a half. And honestly, I just I don't know

333
00:14:11,400 --> 00:14:14,960
Speaker 1: how anybody could watch the Ravens these last couple of weeks.

334
00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:17,240
Speaker 1: And we can talk about the lesser opponents. We can

335
00:14:17,240 --> 00:14:19,160
Speaker 1: talk about the Seelers office being bad, the Giants being

336
00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,560
Speaker 1: a bad football team, all that stuff, But at the

337
00:14:21,560 --> 00:14:26,040
Speaker 1: same time, man, I'm watching the Buffalo Bills even you

338
00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:27,400
Speaker 1: know last week that they opened it up in the

339
00:14:27,400 --> 00:14:28,960
Speaker 1: second half, but that first half of that game was

340
00:14:28,960 --> 00:14:31,040
Speaker 1: a little rough, you know, I just think the Ravens

341
00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:33,520
Speaker 1: are on fire right now, and Ravens Chiefs would be

342
00:14:33,520 --> 00:14:36,040
Speaker 1: one hell of a AFC Championship game. That would certainly

343
00:14:36,040 --> 00:14:37,640
Speaker 1: be one. I mean, and I hate to be very

344
00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,000
Speaker 1: chalk here that it seems like, oh, the favorites are

345
00:14:40,000 --> 00:14:41,400
Speaker 1: going to win. Would it surprise me at all to

346
00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,440
Speaker 1: see the Rams and Lions? No, they would. It would

347
00:14:44,440 --> 00:14:46,400
Speaker 1: surprise me more to nazee the Lions than it would

348
00:14:46,400 --> 00:14:50,360
Speaker 1: surprise me to see anything else. But I just I'm

349
00:14:50,360 --> 00:14:52,120
Speaker 1: looking at this right now. If you look at the

350
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,080
Speaker 1: momentum and you watch what they did and asserting their dominance,

351
00:14:55,120 --> 00:14:57,080
Speaker 1: they ran the ball fifteen straight plays at one point

352
00:14:57,080 --> 00:14:58,640
Speaker 1: in that game, fifteen.

353
00:14:58,880 --> 00:15:00,520
Speaker 2: I had the under on Lamar's asking, and I was

354
00:15:00,600 --> 00:15:03,040
Speaker 2: very happy.

355
00:15:02,280 --> 00:15:04,200
Speaker 1: As you should be. Now, I do want to throw

356
00:15:04,240 --> 00:15:06,560
Speaker 1: this important note. I just saw this came across the

357
00:15:06,600 --> 00:15:08,720
Speaker 1: waiver as we were doing one minute ago. Here. You

358
00:15:08,800 --> 00:15:10,760
Speaker 1: can't bet on Deontay Johnson this week to score a

359
00:15:10,800 --> 00:15:13,080
Speaker 1: touchdown because he's officially been waived by the Texans. So

360
00:15:13,720 --> 00:15:15,880
Speaker 1: how does that make you feel? That's now the third

361
00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:21,000
Speaker 1: team that's let go of him in one season? Oh?

362
00:15:21,040 --> 00:15:23,240
Speaker 2: Man, I wish I made I wish I made Diami

363
00:15:23,320 --> 00:15:26,200
Speaker 2: Brown my anytime touchdown becks write him off and he

364
00:15:26,240 --> 00:15:29,960
Speaker 2: actually scored. So unfortunate for me for taking the wrong

365
00:15:30,040 --> 00:15:31,160
Speaker 2: long shot on the show.

366
00:15:31,280 --> 00:15:33,560
Speaker 3: But yeah, it's unfortunate. But they're two and oh with

367
00:15:33,560 --> 00:15:34,480
Speaker 3: Deontay why they do that?

368
00:15:35,480 --> 00:15:37,880
Speaker 1: So these were our first look at first takes. Tomorrow

369
00:15:37,880 --> 00:15:39,720
Speaker 1: we're going should I say Wednesday depending on when you're

370
00:15:39,720 --> 00:15:41,920
Speaker 1: watching this. We're gonna be live on the YouTube channel

371
00:15:41,960 --> 00:15:44,240
Speaker 1: on Betting Pros kind of talking this out further, taking

372
00:15:44,240 --> 00:15:46,160
Speaker 1: your questions, maybe talking about some props and things we

373
00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,960
Speaker 1: want to look at too. This week we'll also have

374
00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:51,720
Speaker 1: the Best Bets Show. We'll also have the Props Show

375
00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:56,480
Speaker 1: on Friday, and don't forget Saturday. Join us. Scott Bogman,

376
00:15:56,560 --> 00:15:58,880
Speaker 1: Joe P's a p a live four fifteen Easter right

377
00:15:58,920 --> 00:16:02,640
Speaker 1: here in game Live Texans Chiefs where the Texans go,

378
00:16:02,760 --> 00:16:05,640
Speaker 1: Scott Bogman and I follow. That's basically it's a Houston

379
00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:07,680
Speaker 1: boy and I are gonna be hanging out there and

380
00:16:07,880 --> 00:16:09,240
Speaker 1: it's gonna be a good time. We want you to

381
00:16:09,320 --> 00:16:11,960
Speaker 1: join us, so ring the bell for notifications, make sure

382
00:16:12,000 --> 00:16:13,960
Speaker 1: you know, and don't forget to download the Betting Pros

383
00:16:13,960 --> 00:16:17,160
Speaker 1: app as well. Start betting smarter, not harder, and take

384
00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:20,120
Speaker 1: the three free days of premium. When you do betting

385
00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:22,360
Speaker 1: pros tools the best in the business. Use them. Use

386
00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:24,280
Speaker 1: the line Alerts tool for some of these lines this

387
00:16:24,320 --> 00:16:26,760
Speaker 1: week just alone is a great tool to hop on

388
00:16:26,800 --> 00:16:28,560
Speaker 1: the line that you want. Because I think things are

389
00:16:28,600 --> 00:16:30,400
Speaker 1: gonna get a little wacky with some of these lines.

390
00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:33,280
Speaker 1: Is more people start to put some more money in

391
00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:36,280
Speaker 1: some places. So we'll watch that Eagles Rams game. I

392
00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:39,600
Speaker 1: want to watch this Ravens Bills game too, and ericson

393
00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:42,200
Speaker 1: if we stick with the theme, you know, Josh Allen's

394
00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:46,240
Speaker 1: the MVP. MVPs tend not to win super Bowls, doesn't

395
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:47,960
Speaker 1: seem to be what happens more often than not.

396
00:16:48,160 --> 00:16:52,320
Speaker 2: Yeah, but didn't the market shift and it's now wasn't tighter? Yeah,

397
00:16:52,360 --> 00:16:56,960
Speaker 2: because Lamar won the unanimous whatever it is All Pro

398
00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,800
Speaker 2: quarterback and not Josh Allen. And there's similar voters for

399
00:17:00,080 --> 00:17:02,360
Speaker 2: the AP all Pro. They voted Lamar, and a lot

400
00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:05,080
Speaker 2: of those voters also vote for MVP. So now there's oh, well,

401
00:17:05,080 --> 00:17:08,200
Speaker 2: maybe Lamar's actually them an MVP, which we'll see. Yeah,

402
00:17:08,480 --> 00:17:10,480
Speaker 2: I don't know what's gonna happen, but yeah, definitely back

403
00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:11,760
Speaker 2: in the Ravens here.

404
00:17:11,920 --> 00:17:15,600
Speaker 1: Sorry Josh, and shout out to Deontay Johnson. We'll see

405
00:17:15,600 --> 00:17:17,480
Speaker 1: how many teams you can be on next year. So

406
00:17:17,520 --> 00:17:19,479
Speaker 1: that's the look ahead. What do you think? Drop your

407
00:17:19,480 --> 00:17:21,320
Speaker 1: comments below, give us your picks. We want to hear

408
00:17:21,359 --> 00:17:23,840
Speaker 1: from you. And Andrew Erickson and I will be talking

409
00:17:23,880 --> 00:17:27,520
Speaker 1: about these games, I don't know, for the next four

410
00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:31,000
Speaker 1: days straight, probably so until actual kickoff, So make sure

411
00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,000
Speaker 1: you join us for everything. Download the VP apps, think

412
00:17:33,000 --> 00:17:34,600
Speaker 1: your sportsbooks for free. That'll do it for us, but

413
00:17:34,680 --> 00:17:36,680
Speaker 1: the story of the game goes on for Andrew Erickson.

414
00:17:36,840 --> 00:17:39,159
Speaker 1: I'm Joey P. We'll see you next time. Kids.

415
00:17:40,440 --> 00:17:43,080
Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you

416
00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:45,480
Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is

417
00:17:45,480 --> 00:17:47,440
Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review.

418
00:17:47,119 --> 00:17:48,919
Speaker 1: On Apple Podcasts or Spotify.

419
00:17:49,200 --> 00:17:51,840
Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and

420
00:17:51,920 --> 00:17:55,560
Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube

421
00:17:55,640 --> 00:18:04,320
Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting prospuils s