1 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:14,520 Speaker 1: Lots of guys. 2 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Tuesday morning episode of 3 00:00:17,239 --> 00:00:18,640 Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast. 4 00:00:18,720 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt. 5 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:22,200 Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports 6 00:00:22,400 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 2: Talk Matt dms are open. You guys have taken advantage 7 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:28,920 Speaker 2: of that. I appreciate all the notes, all the interaction 8 00:00:29,040 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 2: you guys in same thing with our discord channel Bettingpros 9 00:00:32,159 --> 00:00:35,280 Speaker 2: dot com. Slash chat is the free invite to join 10 00:00:35,640 --> 00:00:38,600 Speaker 2: our discord channel at Sports Talk. Maatt is my handle 11 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,400 Speaker 2: on there. This podcast being brought to you by Omaha 12 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 2: Steaks dot com. Get to Omaha Steaks dot com right 13 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:47,279 Speaker 2: now and get a hold of this fifty percent off 14 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:50,280 Speaker 2: savings going on site wide. Juice is the promo code. 15 00:00:50,320 --> 00:00:53,960 Speaker 2: You're gonna save thirty dollars off at checkout. Minimum purchase 16 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 2: may be required. All right, so we're gonna go with 17 00:00:57,200 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 2: a one in one record. Okay, but if you ignore 18 00:01:00,080 --> 00:01:03,320 Speaker 2: or me in my rantings you went to in one. 19 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:10,120 Speaker 2: This has to be something that the NFL addresses a team. 20 00:01:10,240 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 2: Says that Geno Smith is going to play a team, 21 00:01:14,440 --> 00:01:17,440 Speaker 2: says Geno Smith is going to dress a team, Says 22 00:01:17,520 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 2: that Geno Smith is going to start now that gets 23 00:01:20,640 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 2: leaked out to the big jay journalists, who, by the way, 24 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 2: work for ESPN and Fox and other outlets that are 25 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:33,440 Speaker 2: all tied to sports books. The NFL is in bed 26 00:01:33,440 --> 00:01:36,800 Speaker 2: with sports books, the media is in bed with sports books. 27 00:01:37,600 --> 00:01:40,560 Speaker 2: At some point gamblers are going to have to say 28 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 2: enough is enough. There was an article on a website 29 00:01:44,040 --> 00:01:46,760 Speaker 2: called sportshandle dot com, which is a phenomenal website. If 30 00:01:46,760 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 2: you're big into gambling and gambling topics, I would highly 31 00:01:49,040 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 2: recommend going and checking out that are that site because 32 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:53,680 Speaker 2: they write great pieces. They had a piece last week 33 00:01:54,360 --> 00:01:59,520 Speaker 2: about how lawyers are getting ready to do a class 34 00:01:59,520 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: action lawsuit against the NFL for their injury reports. And 35 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:11,680 Speaker 2: there are big, high, high cost lawyers who believe that 36 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:15,560 Speaker 2: they will win. They will win a fight with the 37 00:02:15,639 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 2: NFL for wronging gamblers because they are not disclosing information 38 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:24,079 Speaker 2: about injuries in the proper way. Here's the reason why. 39 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:27,120 Speaker 2: Before you're staring at your screen or staring at your 40 00:02:28,840 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 2: phone and going what is Matt talking about? Somebody knows. 41 00:02:34,480 --> 00:02:40,080 Speaker 2: Somebody knows. There is a trainer, a coach, a teammate, 42 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:45,360 Speaker 2: somebody NFL they know, And when you have only a 43 00:02:45,400 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 2: small number of people with access to that information, that 44 00:02:49,919 --> 00:02:55,760 Speaker 2: information can be extremely valuable. And the books saw money 45 00:02:55,800 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 2: pour in on the over. It moved two points before kickoff, 46 00:03:01,000 --> 00:03:04,519 Speaker 2: and then Geno Smith didn't play and the under came in. 47 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,919 Speaker 2: Now I'm not saying it's nefarious. I'm just saying that 48 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:12,800 Speaker 2: the look of it is really bad. And the NFL 49 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:17,920 Speaker 2: is either going to require certain media members to not 50 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:22,120 Speaker 2: report anything, or they're gonna have to ask some hard questions. 51 00:03:22,919 --> 00:03:25,680 Speaker 2: When Adam Schefter is reporting that Geno Smith is gonna 52 00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:27,520 Speaker 2: play and then wait, no, no, no, no, no, he's 53 00:03:27,560 --> 00:03:31,320 Speaker 2: gonna address he pulls it back again. I'm not accusing 54 00:03:31,320 --> 00:03:34,040 Speaker 2: Adam Schefter of anything, but ESPN is now tied to 55 00:03:34,240 --> 00:03:36,280 Speaker 2: ESPN Bet and they can tell us all they want 56 00:03:36,320 --> 00:03:40,800 Speaker 2: about how there is a line between editorial reporting and 57 00:03:40,880 --> 00:03:45,360 Speaker 2: the risk room. But you're all in bed together, guys. Okay, 58 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:47,880 Speaker 2: you're all in bed together. You're not gonna wash the 59 00:03:47,920 --> 00:03:52,200 Speaker 2: stink off of each other. It's not happening. Okay, you're one. 60 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:55,160 Speaker 2: And when someone's out there reporting that Geno Smith is 61 00:03:55,160 --> 00:03:59,440 Speaker 2: gonna play and start, and I say, punt on the 62 00:03:59,480 --> 00:04:02,680 Speaker 2: bet because Geno Smith is a totally different quarterback than 63 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:04,960 Speaker 2: Drew Locke, and I think the game is going to 64 00:04:05,040 --> 00:04:08,680 Speaker 2: go over, which I'll still hold to that. If Geno plays, 65 00:04:09,240 --> 00:04:11,720 Speaker 2: I think they score way more points in the first half. 66 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:13,840 Speaker 2: I think they still score in the second half on 67 00:04:13,880 --> 00:04:16,279 Speaker 2: the Eagles defense when they make once they make the adjustments. 68 00:04:16,279 --> 00:04:18,360 Speaker 2: But I think the game does go over. We had 69 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:21,080 Speaker 2: over forty five or under forty five, but the number 70 00:04:21,120 --> 00:04:24,880 Speaker 2: was forty five. Gino plays, it goes to forty seven. 71 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:27,760 Speaker 2: It was some buyback close at forty six and a half. 72 00:04:29,000 --> 00:04:32,159 Speaker 2: I mean, like, what are we doing? This is just 73 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:35,360 Speaker 2: so I punted on it because I was furious. I 74 00:04:35,400 --> 00:04:39,599 Speaker 2: was so mad about Geno might play, he might not play. 75 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:41,920 Speaker 2: He could start, he might not start. He could play 76 00:04:41,920 --> 00:04:45,200 Speaker 2: at halftime, he may not play at halftime. Like you 77 00:04:45,240 --> 00:04:47,920 Speaker 2: can't do this with starting pitching in baseball, and it's 78 00:04:48,000 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 2: pretty much the equivalent, right, Like you have to declare 79 00:04:50,800 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 2: a starter, and once you declare the starter, the starter's 80 00:04:53,760 --> 00:04:56,120 Speaker 2: in the game. Same thing has to be said for 81 00:04:56,320 --> 00:04:59,560 Speaker 2: NFL football with quarterbacks. There has to be some rule 82 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,520 Speaker 2: that like forty five minutes an hour before you're declaring 83 00:05:02,560 --> 00:05:05,000 Speaker 2: who your starting quarterback is going to be, and then 84 00:05:05,000 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 2: that quarterback has to start now that quarterback could play 85 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:09,920 Speaker 2: one snap and walk off. I understand that, but at 86 00:05:10,000 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 2: least there's some type of responsibility or some type of 87 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:16,960 Speaker 2: method in place that says you can't do this. You 88 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,200 Speaker 2: can't have false information being linked out because Pete Carroll 89 00:05:20,320 --> 00:05:22,520 Speaker 2: thinks he's Bill Belichick two point zero. He is going 90 00:05:22,560 --> 00:05:25,440 Speaker 2: to lie to the press about Gino Smith, who did 91 00:05:25,440 --> 00:05:29,119 Speaker 2: not take a single snap in the entire game, didn't play, 92 00:05:29,839 --> 00:05:34,440 Speaker 2: Drew Locke played well, any won. It's the look of it, 93 00:05:34,640 --> 00:05:36,800 Speaker 2: and you could say, Matt, it doesn't matter. They don't 94 00:05:36,800 --> 00:05:41,160 Speaker 2: have to tell you anything. Yes they do, Yes they do. 95 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 2: So don't give me that baloney about what responsibility does 96 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:48,560 Speaker 2: Pete Carroll have. The NFL is in bed with sportsbooks. 97 00:05:48,760 --> 00:05:52,120 Speaker 2: NFL teams have official sportsbook betting partners. You can't go 98 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:56,400 Speaker 2: anywhere on the internet with NFL content without seeing tons 99 00:05:56,480 --> 00:06:01,280 Speaker 2: of sports betting content aka this podcast. Okay, now we're 100 00:06:01,279 --> 00:06:03,920 Speaker 2: not tied to the NFL, but you know what I mean. 101 00:06:05,040 --> 00:06:07,960 Speaker 2: This is I mean for people in fantasy playoffs. I'm 102 00:06:08,000 --> 00:06:09,599 Speaker 2: not even in fantasy football, and I felt bad for 103 00:06:09,600 --> 00:06:12,040 Speaker 2: those people. We're trying to figure out fantasy playoffs. Who's 104 00:06:12,080 --> 00:06:14,279 Speaker 2: in who's out who could be a bigger weapon with 105 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:16,800 Speaker 2: Geno Smith, who just drew Locke through the ball to more. 106 00:06:18,120 --> 00:06:20,720 Speaker 2: It's just and I'm not even talking about the dfs 107 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:22,679 Speaker 2: and fantasy stuff that's bad. 108 00:06:22,800 --> 00:06:24,440 Speaker 1: But the real bad stuff is the betting. 109 00:06:25,480 --> 00:06:28,839 Speaker 2: And because the books have decided to go in business 110 00:06:29,480 --> 00:06:32,240 Speaker 2: with the sportsbooks, Hey man, you want to keep it 111 00:06:32,279 --> 00:06:34,599 Speaker 2: separating the church and state, that's fine. Get the ads 112 00:06:34,600 --> 00:06:39,640 Speaker 2: off my screen, okay. Otherwise you do have to answer 113 00:06:40,240 --> 00:06:42,680 Speaker 2: to the gambler. You do have to answer the question 114 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:47,240 Speaker 2: as to when did they know, who knew it? When 115 00:06:47,279 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 2: did Gino Smith say I can't play? And when did. 116 00:06:52,160 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 1: It become official? Just saying so? And I didn't. 117 00:06:55,640 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 2: I mean, look officially, I just punted out of the bet. 118 00:06:57,880 --> 00:06:59,880 Speaker 2: So we went one in one. We got the sick 119 00:07:00,080 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 2: sers wrong and we got the hockey play right. It 120 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 2: was skin of our teeth, we got it right, went 121 00:07:03,920 --> 00:07:06,600 Speaker 2: over for to three. Dallas won the game in overtime, 122 00:07:07,680 --> 00:07:09,440 Speaker 2: so it was a one in one day officially, really 123 00:07:09,440 --> 00:07:11,840 Speaker 2: two in one. If you bet the first period over 124 00:07:11,920 --> 00:07:13,840 Speaker 2: in hockey, you went. You had a good good night. 125 00:07:13,880 --> 00:07:16,320 Speaker 2: You went four and one. So we had four on 126 00:07:16,400 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 2: the podcast last night. We gave you four bets or 127 00:07:18,720 --> 00:07:21,520 Speaker 2: five went yeah, wait, what do we do? We went 128 00:07:22,680 --> 00:07:25,960 Speaker 2: three and one, sorry, three in one, So you had 129 00:07:26,000 --> 00:07:27,720 Speaker 2: a good night. You bet everything for the podcast last 130 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 2: night if you punted it out of it like I did. 131 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:32,640 Speaker 2: And then I came back with a smaller same game teaser, 132 00:07:32,680 --> 00:07:34,680 Speaker 2: which missed because the game I pulled it down to 133 00:07:34,720 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 2: forty and went over, but it didn't go there got 134 00:07:36,720 --> 00:07:39,000 Speaker 2: to thirty seven, so I missed there a little bit. 135 00:07:39,000 --> 00:07:41,440 Speaker 2: I had a basketball bet on an over on an 136 00:07:41,440 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 2: over that missed as well, so I basically had a flat. 137 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:46,240 Speaker 2: I went three and three last night personally, but one 138 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:50,480 Speaker 2: in one officially, so down point one. Officially, I was 139 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:53,280 Speaker 2: down point three. I mean a little more point four 140 00:07:53,280 --> 00:07:57,200 Speaker 2: I think goes down last night personally. So nothing, nothing great, 141 00:07:57,320 --> 00:07:59,960 Speaker 2: but a frustrating day because really should have been a 142 00:08:00,040 --> 00:08:00,800 Speaker 2: two in one mark. 143 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 1: I just panicked. 144 00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:04,239 Speaker 2: I panicked because it was too chaotic and too crazy 145 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:06,360 Speaker 2: and too just wrong for that to happen. 146 00:08:06,840 --> 00:08:09,560 Speaker 1: Today. I got four bets, I have a hockey play. 147 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:14,240 Speaker 2: I have a two hockey plays and two college basketball plays. 148 00:08:14,280 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 1: I'm not touching the NBA for a little bit. NBA 149 00:08:16,160 --> 00:08:17,480 Speaker 1: and me are no longer going to be friends. 150 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:19,760 Speaker 2: But before we give you the picks, let me tell 151 00:08:19,760 --> 00:08:23,240 Speaker 2: you about Rival Fantasy. 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Go 162 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 2: to join Rival dot Com slash Betting Pros. That's join 163 00:09:08,120 --> 00:09:12,800 Speaker 2: Rival dot Com slash Betting Pros now to claim your 164 00:09:12,840 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 2: two one hundred dollars deposit match plus a first play 165 00:09:17,360 --> 00:09:21,040 Speaker 2: pass at sign up. Welcome to the future of fantasy sports. 166 00:09:21,280 --> 00:09:24,680 Speaker 2: Welcome to Rival Fantasy. All right, let's start with the 167 00:09:24,720 --> 00:09:28,679 Speaker 2: Bruins in their game up against the Minnesota Wild. Now 168 00:09:28,679 --> 00:09:30,800 Speaker 2: the Wild are playing back to back second game for 169 00:09:30,840 --> 00:09:33,920 Speaker 2: them they lost last night to Pittsburgh, gave up three 170 00:09:33,960 --> 00:09:37,480 Speaker 2: goals in the first period. Guffison was awful. Flurye should 171 00:09:37,480 --> 00:09:38,960 Speaker 2: have played, but Guffson was awful. I don't know why 172 00:09:39,040 --> 00:09:42,440 Speaker 2: Fleury didn't play a chance to honor him. It didn't 173 00:09:42,480 --> 00:09:43,760 Speaker 2: make a whole lot of sense with what was going 174 00:09:43,800 --> 00:09:45,760 Speaker 2: on with that. But that's what the Penguins, you know, 175 00:09:45,800 --> 00:09:48,000 Speaker 2: they lit up. Maybe they're pissed off because they didn't 176 00:09:48,000 --> 00:09:50,559 Speaker 2: see they didn't see their old friend in Flurry net. 177 00:09:50,600 --> 00:09:54,040 Speaker 2: But he is in Net tonight's for Minnesota. If that changes, 178 00:09:54,080 --> 00:09:57,079 Speaker 2: this bet cannot be made. Okay, this bet is contingent 179 00:09:57,120 --> 00:09:59,400 Speaker 2: on Marc Andre Fleury in Net for the wild. I've 180 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:01,200 Speaker 2: made it and I will get out of it as 181 00:10:01,280 --> 00:10:03,560 Speaker 2: fast as I can. If it's Guphieson who is not good, 182 00:10:03,640 --> 00:10:06,319 Speaker 2: Bruins will light Guphsson up, in my opinion, because he's 183 00:10:06,320 --> 00:10:07,880 Speaker 2: on a back to back and he's not nearly as 184 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:10,600 Speaker 2: good on the road as Flurry is. Marc Andre Fleury 185 00:10:10,600 --> 00:10:12,559 Speaker 2: has a two point eighty six goals against average on 186 00:10:12,600 --> 00:10:14,760 Speaker 2: the road, a two point five to five goals against 187 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:17,560 Speaker 2: average in December. He's two to one on the road 188 00:10:17,679 --> 00:10:20,920 Speaker 2: to a first period under over his last three starts. 189 00:10:21,320 --> 00:10:24,040 Speaker 2: Almark is in net for the Boston Bruins. Two forty 190 00:10:24,160 --> 00:10:26,760 Speaker 2: nine goals against average at home, a little bit tough 191 00:10:26,760 --> 00:10:29,200 Speaker 2: in December three point one to seven goals against average 192 00:10:29,240 --> 00:10:31,960 Speaker 2: in December. But the Boston Bruins are on an eight 193 00:10:32,000 --> 00:10:34,640 Speaker 2: to one streak over their last nine games to a 194 00:10:34,679 --> 00:10:38,439 Speaker 2: first period under. They also have the second lowest first 195 00:10:38,480 --> 00:10:43,800 Speaker 2: period over mark in all of hockey, and Minnesota has 196 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 2: been a little bit up and down to first period unders. 197 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:49,680 Speaker 2: They're five and six or six and five to first 198 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:51,880 Speaker 2: period overs. So it's kind of a coin flip. But 199 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:54,839 Speaker 2: the Bruins in the way that Bruins play, plus Minnesota 200 00:10:54,840 --> 00:10:56,800 Speaker 2: on a back to back, plus the fact they give 201 00:10:56,880 --> 00:10:59,640 Speaker 2: up three goals in the first period yesterday last night 202 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:03,680 Speaker 2: against Pittsburgh, plus money on this, I'm gonna go under 203 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:07,280 Speaker 2: one and a half goals Bruins and the Wild at 204 00:11:07,320 --> 00:11:12,480 Speaker 2: plus one fourteen for one unit second play is the 205 00:11:12,559 --> 00:11:14,920 Speaker 2: dead cat bounce for the Ottawa Senators. 206 00:11:15,200 --> 00:11:17,600 Speaker 1: Look, we've played this a lot here. 207 00:11:17,679 --> 00:11:21,880 Speaker 2: And I think if you're someone who knows uh streaks 208 00:11:22,080 --> 00:11:25,080 Speaker 2: as to kind of how I bet streaks, I like 209 00:11:25,160 --> 00:11:29,320 Speaker 2: betting streaks. And when you fire a head coach the 210 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:32,840 Speaker 2: next game. You bet on them, Okay, you bet on them. 211 00:11:33,160 --> 00:11:36,520 Speaker 2: And Ottawa has fired their head coach, making it official 212 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 2: and saying, you know what, we don't like where we are. 213 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:41,920 Speaker 2: We think we're too talented. We have to make these 214 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:44,560 Speaker 2: changes now, and I think you'll see a dead cat 215 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:48,120 Speaker 2: bounce here for the Ottawa Senators at Arizona. It's minus 216 00:11:48,160 --> 00:11:50,800 Speaker 2: one ten for them to come back and win this game. 217 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:54,120 Speaker 2: There's a lot of people who are not really happy 218 00:11:54,160 --> 00:11:56,840 Speaker 2: about this, that aren't, like, you know, jumping up and 219 00:11:56,880 --> 00:11:59,040 Speaker 2: down about it, going like, wait a minute, coach Martin 220 00:11:59,120 --> 00:12:01,440 Speaker 2: was all right, why did you pull the trigger? And 221 00:12:01,440 --> 00:12:05,160 Speaker 2: this seems like you know, you know, you know, sorry, 222 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,600 Speaker 2: Martin's the guy coming in. I can't say the guy 223 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,600 Speaker 2: who got let go his name. I'm not good with French, 224 00:12:11,840 --> 00:12:13,960 Speaker 2: so just kind of excuse my French name. But they 225 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:17,360 Speaker 2: fired their head coach. So DJ Smith, right, yeah, r 226 00:12:17,400 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 2: DJ Smith's been fired. His first name. I can't say. 227 00:12:21,200 --> 00:12:25,760 Speaker 2: He's gone Ottawa on the road against Arizona. Mine's one 228 00:12:25,880 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 2: ten dead cat bounce, one point one units down on 229 00:12:29,679 --> 00:12:32,640 Speaker 2: the Ottawa Senators to fire to bounce back after firing 230 00:12:32,679 --> 00:12:36,200 Speaker 2: their head coach yesterday. We're on it one point one. 231 00:12:36,280 --> 00:12:39,560 Speaker 2: Unit's money line, just straight money line. However, they win it, 232 00:12:39,559 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 2: they win it. Dead Cat bounce on Ottawa at Arizona. Okay, 233 00:12:43,440 --> 00:12:47,520 Speaker 2: let's talk college basketball. Drake is taking on alcorn State 234 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,240 Speaker 2: at home tonight. Yes, you might go, oh my gosh, 235 00:12:50,280 --> 00:12:50,840 Speaker 2: really yeah? 236 00:12:50,880 --> 00:12:51,120 Speaker 1: Okay. 237 00:12:51,160 --> 00:12:53,600 Speaker 2: Alcorn State is one intent on the year. They've lost 238 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:59,120 Speaker 2: nine consecutive games. The numbers for alcorn State are absolutely crazy. 239 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:05,080 Speaker 2: Orange State adjusted defensive efficiency three hundred and fifty eighth, 240 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 2: effective field goal percentage three hundred and sixty first, three 241 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:14,680 Speaker 2: point defense three hundred and fifty fifth, two point percentage 242 00:13:14,720 --> 00:13:21,120 Speaker 2: defense three hundred and fifty eighth. Offensively, they are effective 243 00:13:21,120 --> 00:13:25,200 Speaker 2: field goal percentage two hundred and ninety fifth. Adjusted efficiency 244 00:13:25,400 --> 00:13:30,080 Speaker 2: offensively they are one hundred and seventy eighth. Two point 245 00:13:30,160 --> 00:13:33,280 Speaker 2: percentage they are three hundred and fortieth. They do shoot threes, 246 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:36,000 Speaker 2: they're not bad at that. There's top one hundred and 247 00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:42,280 Speaker 2: three point percentage in college basketball. But they don't stop anybody. Okay, 248 00:13:42,400 --> 00:13:47,080 Speaker 2: and their top one hundred in adjusted tempo they run, 249 00:13:47,360 --> 00:13:50,080 Speaker 2: so possessions are going to be there for Drake. 250 00:13:50,720 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 1: The numbers are unbelievable. 251 00:13:53,000 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 2: When you stop and look at al Gorn State and 252 00:13:55,920 --> 00:13:58,400 Speaker 2: what they've given up this year. They gave up one 253 00:13:58,520 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 2: hundred to Northern Iowa on Sunday, Northern Iowa. They give 254 00:14:02,880 --> 00:14:05,600 Speaker 2: up one hundred and five to Maryland. They give up 255 00:14:05,640 --> 00:14:09,920 Speaker 2: eighty six to VCU, ninety to Clemson, eighty two to 256 00:14:10,040 --> 00:14:13,920 Speaker 2: u T Arlington, ninety three to TCU, eighty one to 257 00:14:13,960 --> 00:14:18,760 Speaker 2: Michigan State, eighty to UAB, one hundred to Arkansas State, 258 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:24,040 Speaker 2: ninety three to Arkansas. Team total for Drake is eighty 259 00:14:24,080 --> 00:14:27,160 Speaker 2: six and a half. I'm not laying this gigantic number. 260 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:31,080 Speaker 2: I'm just expecting Drake to come here and hit a 261 00:14:31,080 --> 00:14:34,520 Speaker 2: lot of threes. To Drake to run. Drake has won 262 00:14:34,560 --> 00:14:36,560 Speaker 2: loss on the year. This year they lost to Semen F. 263 00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 2: Austin badly ninety two sixty eight, but since then their 264 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:43,680 Speaker 2: offense hasn't been great. They beat Nevada here in Vegas 265 00:14:43,680 --> 00:14:47,080 Speaker 2: seventy two to fifty three. They beat Grammlin State sixty 266 00:14:47,120 --> 00:14:50,400 Speaker 2: eight fifty six in their last game, which is not great, 267 00:14:50,680 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 2: Missouri State seventy four fifty seven, Saint Louis seventy five 268 00:14:54,720 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 2: sixty nine. They haven't had one of these like monster 269 00:14:58,120 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 2: explosion games yet, and I think this is the team 270 00:15:00,400 --> 00:15:03,400 Speaker 2: they're going to do it against. Eighty eight points is 271 00:15:03,400 --> 00:15:07,200 Speaker 2: the projected total for at kempom for Drake in this game, 272 00:15:07,520 --> 00:15:10,440 Speaker 2: eighty six and a half. I'm gonna bet over Drake 273 00:15:10,600 --> 00:15:14,560 Speaker 2: team total over eighty six and a half against Alcorn State. 274 00:15:14,680 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 2: I think we see a whole lot of threes and 275 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:20,200 Speaker 2: a whole lot of scoring here for Drake. With their offense, 276 00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:23,960 Speaker 2: which is a top one hundred adjusted efficiency. Offensively, three 277 00:15:24,000 --> 00:15:26,880 Speaker 2: point percentage hasn't been great for Drake. They need to 278 00:15:26,880 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 2: get going behind the arc. They're outside the top two 279 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:32,400 Speaker 2: hundred for three point shots, but they're top forty in 280 00:15:32,440 --> 00:15:35,320 Speaker 2: the country in two point percentage. And they hit their 281 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:38,160 Speaker 2: free throws as well, which is so crucial for team 282 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:40,400 Speaker 2: totals seventy eight point three percent. 283 00:15:40,440 --> 00:15:42,080 Speaker 1: That's thirteenth best in the country. 284 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:44,160 Speaker 2: You like that when a team gets to the line 285 00:15:44,200 --> 00:15:46,640 Speaker 2: and shoots threes, shoots free throws and gets that. 286 00:15:46,720 --> 00:15:47,760 Speaker 1: Drake is one of the best. 287 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 2: We're going Drake over eighty six and a half team 288 00:15:51,120 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 2: total against Alcorn State here at minus one twenty and finally, 289 00:15:56,680 --> 00:16:00,600 Speaker 2: four plays for US here today. This one's tough, Okay, 290 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:08,200 Speaker 2: Marquette's at Providence. Providence's schedule up to this point has 291 00:16:08,320 --> 00:16:11,040 Speaker 2: not been good. Okay, they have one of the worst 292 00:16:11,040 --> 00:16:13,880 Speaker 2: schedules in terms of how to how difficult the opponents 293 00:16:13,920 --> 00:16:17,440 Speaker 2: that they have played the numbers four and a half. 294 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:21,000 Speaker 2: Ken Palm has this as a five point win, seventy 295 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:24,120 Speaker 2: five seventy The total is one forty five and a half. 296 00:16:24,840 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 2: Now I lean towards the under in this game, but 297 00:16:27,440 --> 00:16:30,480 Speaker 2: the problem is the first move from the professionals has 298 00:16:30,520 --> 00:16:33,280 Speaker 2: been to the over. Now I'm not saying you bank 299 00:16:33,400 --> 00:16:35,640 Speaker 2: everything on that, but I do think you have to 300 00:16:35,640 --> 00:16:38,040 Speaker 2: take that into account and go Okay, So the first 301 00:16:38,040 --> 00:16:40,040 Speaker 2: move was to the over, not the under. It was 302 00:16:40,080 --> 00:16:42,960 Speaker 2: one forty five. Ken Palm is one forty five. It's 303 00:16:43,000 --> 00:16:45,560 Speaker 2: now up to one forty six and a half. Gave 304 00:16:45,640 --> 00:16:48,120 Speaker 2: me pause. Okay, I was like, I was gonna bet 305 00:16:48,120 --> 00:16:51,360 Speaker 2: the under, and then I was like, well, hold on 306 00:16:51,400 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 2: a second, I might be missing something. Marquette can score Providence. 307 00:16:58,400 --> 00:17:02,240 Speaker 2: Both Marquette and Providence this year when it comes to totals. 308 00:17:02,360 --> 00:17:04,800 Speaker 2: Just give you an idea and maybe you like this more, 309 00:17:05,320 --> 00:17:10,399 Speaker 2: but uh, on the under four and one to the under, 310 00:17:10,680 --> 00:17:15,000 Speaker 2: Marquette on the road, eight and two to the under 311 00:17:15,040 --> 00:17:18,880 Speaker 2: for Providence nine and two overall and six and two 312 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:21,639 Speaker 2: to the under at home. If Providence is going to 313 00:17:21,680 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 2: be in this game, the under most likely is going 314 00:17:24,080 --> 00:17:26,320 Speaker 2: to hit. The numbers are telling you to bet the under, 315 00:17:26,359 --> 00:17:29,280 Speaker 2: bet the under, even you know, Marquette. I mean over 316 00:17:29,320 --> 00:17:30,720 Speaker 2: all in the year, there's seven and four to the 317 00:17:30,800 --> 00:17:33,320 Speaker 2: under on the year and seven and three over their 318 00:17:33,400 --> 00:17:36,200 Speaker 2: last ten to the under. But this is a pretty 319 00:17:36,240 --> 00:17:40,480 Speaker 2: low total at one forty six and a half, and 320 00:17:41,880 --> 00:17:46,159 Speaker 2: Marquette can score. Providence I think is going to Provide 321 00:17:46,240 --> 00:17:48,360 Speaker 2: is going to prove to be a little bit difficult 322 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:52,240 Speaker 2: for Marquette, though they've got length and the and the 323 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:53,720 Speaker 2: I mean they used to be called the dunk I'm 324 00:17:53,720 --> 00:17:55,200 Speaker 2: not sure what they call it now, but the building 325 00:17:55,240 --> 00:17:58,680 Speaker 2: they're playing in home court advantage for Providence is one 326 00:17:58,760 --> 00:18:01,720 Speaker 2: hundred percent there, okay uh. They now call it the 327 00:18:01,720 --> 00:18:04,800 Speaker 2: Amuka and the Amica Mutual pavilion used to be called 328 00:18:04,800 --> 00:18:05,840 Speaker 2: the Dunkin Donuts Center. 329 00:18:05,960 --> 00:18:07,199 Speaker 1: Now it's the Amika Mutual. 330 00:18:07,960 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 2: It'll be rocking, the building will be absolutely rocking when 331 00:18:11,400 --> 00:18:15,000 Speaker 2: number six Marquette comes in. But the schedule of going 332 00:18:15,040 --> 00:18:17,639 Speaker 2: on the road at Illinois, that's such a tough place 333 00:18:17,640 --> 00:18:20,359 Speaker 2: to play, and they won there. They went to Wisconsin 334 00:18:20,400 --> 00:18:22,560 Speaker 2: and they lost to Wisconsin, a team by the way 335 00:18:23,560 --> 00:18:27,920 Speaker 2: that Providence beat. Now Province was at home, but Providence 336 00:18:27,960 --> 00:18:33,320 Speaker 2: beat Wisconsin by thirteen. Okay, this is gonna be an 337 00:18:33,359 --> 00:18:35,359 Speaker 2: absolute barn burner of a game. 338 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:37,560 Speaker 1: I just think there's more. 339 00:18:37,440 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 2: Talent on Marquette's side, and I think Marquette, even though 340 00:18:40,760 --> 00:18:43,879 Speaker 2: the physicality is going to be on Providence's side, I 341 00:18:43,880 --> 00:18:46,160 Speaker 2: think Market can go in there and get a win 342 00:18:46,640 --> 00:18:51,760 Speaker 2: against against Providence. Okay, I'm not in love with any 343 00:18:51,760 --> 00:18:52,840 Speaker 2: of the either side of this. 344 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:53,160 Speaker 1: Bet. 345 00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,280 Speaker 2: The under I'm not in love with, and Marquette minus 346 00:18:56,280 --> 00:18:59,359 Speaker 2: four and a half is one going to be a sweat. Okay, 347 00:18:59,400 --> 00:19:01,919 Speaker 2: It's gonna be coming down to the end with free throws. 348 00:19:02,240 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 2: This is not going to be easy by any means. 349 00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:06,399 Speaker 2: I don't think now Marquette might go in there and 350 00:19:06,440 --> 00:19:09,840 Speaker 2: blow them out. Okay, that's possible. Marquettes adjusted offense on 351 00:19:09,880 --> 00:19:13,840 Speaker 2: the year twelfth, adjusted defense nineteenth. 352 00:19:13,600 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 1: Not even close. 353 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:17,239 Speaker 2: If you start looking at numbers for Providence, they're one 354 00:19:17,320 --> 00:19:23,160 Speaker 2: hundred and nineteenth adjusted efficiency offensively. Defensively they're much better. 355 00:19:23,200 --> 00:19:27,640 Speaker 2: They're twenty first. But again, who has Providence played their 356 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:33,000 Speaker 2: schedule is Columbia, Milwaukee. Beating Wisconsin was big. They lost 357 00:19:33,040 --> 00:19:37,520 Speaker 2: to Kansas on a neutral Georgia, Lehigh, Wagner, Rhode Island. 358 00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:40,920 Speaker 2: They lost to Oklahoma when they were ranked. They lost 359 00:19:41,000 --> 00:19:44,760 Speaker 2: badly on the road, seventy two fifty one. They beat 360 00:19:44,800 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 2: Brown and Sacred Heart. I mean, that's nothing compared to 361 00:19:48,600 --> 00:19:55,919 Speaker 2: who Marquette has played so far this year. Illinois, Ucla, Kansas, Perdue, Wisconsin, Texas, 362 00:19:56,000 --> 00:20:00,640 Speaker 2: Notre Dame. It's just a really big difference an opponent. 363 00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 2: So while I think the under is a good play, 364 00:20:04,040 --> 00:20:06,440 Speaker 2: I think Marquette's gonna win the game. And if Marque's 365 00:20:06,440 --> 00:20:07,960 Speaker 2: gonna win the game, I think they can cover the 366 00:20:07,960 --> 00:20:08,879 Speaker 2: four and a half points. 367 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:09,719 Speaker 1: I really do. 368 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:11,919 Speaker 2: I think they can win by more than two possessions. 369 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:14,960 Speaker 2: You know, win by five, when by six, when by seven. Okay, 370 00:20:15,000 --> 00:20:16,640 Speaker 2: I'm not saying this is gonna be an easy walk 371 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:18,960 Speaker 2: to the counter. This is gonna be a sweat. But 372 00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:21,480 Speaker 2: I just keep on coming back to Marquette's got the 373 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:24,760 Speaker 2: better team. And yes, Providence is a really hard place 374 00:20:24,760 --> 00:20:29,000 Speaker 2: to play, but it's a first year head coach for Providence. 375 00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,479 Speaker 2: We don't know much about them in these types of games, 376 00:20:31,880 --> 00:20:34,000 Speaker 2: and I just think Shaka smart. This is the opener 377 00:20:34,040 --> 00:20:36,800 Speaker 2: for the Big East for them. They play Providence on 378 00:20:36,840 --> 00:20:39,639 Speaker 2: the road, then they play Georgetown and Creighton at home. 379 00:20:40,600 --> 00:20:43,719 Speaker 2: Big start, I mean really big start for Marquette. That 380 00:20:43,760 --> 00:20:46,200 Speaker 2: creating game on on the thirtieth of December. It's gonna 381 00:20:46,200 --> 00:20:49,640 Speaker 2: be awesome. It's just gonna be absolutely awesome. That Jay's 382 00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,159 Speaker 2: play Villanova on Wednesday. That game is gonna be awesome 383 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,679 Speaker 2: as well. Biggest basketball this year is gonna be so 384 00:20:54,880 --> 00:20:56,800 Speaker 2: fun to watch. I can't wait to watch it and 385 00:20:56,840 --> 00:20:59,080 Speaker 2: get into it and bet it. But right now, I'm 386 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:01,919 Speaker 2: just gonna bet on the bed team, and I'm not 387 00:21:01,960 --> 00:21:04,080 Speaker 2: in love with it. Okay, I'm shaky on it, but 388 00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:06,439 Speaker 2: I think the under is good. But I want to 389 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:08,600 Speaker 2: watch that number and see if it climbs. May be 390 00:21:08,720 --> 00:21:10,919 Speaker 2: dead wrong. Maybe looking at the over, I think the 391 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,760 Speaker 2: over hits. I think Marquette's winning. The under hits. 392 00:21:14,160 --> 00:21:16,280 Speaker 1: Providence is in the game, and Providence may have a 393 00:21:16,280 --> 00:21:16,880 Speaker 1: shot to cover. 394 00:21:17,080 --> 00:21:20,960 Speaker 2: Okay, I've been cold fade away on this, but I'm 395 00:21:20,960 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 2: gonna lay the four and a half with Marquette here 396 00:21:22,760 --> 00:21:24,560 Speaker 2: for one point one units, all right. 397 00:21:25,200 --> 00:21:26,240 Speaker 1: Four bets for us here. 398 00:21:26,280 --> 00:21:29,000 Speaker 2: Two In hockey, and two In college basketball, Bruins first 399 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:32,800 Speaker 2: period under is plus one fourteen for one unit. Dead 400 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:35,399 Speaker 2: Cat bounce with Ottawa at minus one ten on the 401 00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:39,000 Speaker 2: road against Arizona for one point one units. Drake team 402 00:21:39,040 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 2: total over eighty six and a half against Alcorton State 403 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:44,640 Speaker 2: at home at minus one twenty for one point two units. 404 00:21:44,720 --> 00:21:47,440 Speaker 2: In Marquette minus four and a half on the road 405 00:21:47,760 --> 00:21:51,560 Speaker 2: up against Providence for one point one units. Okay, so 406 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:55,080 Speaker 2: good Sunday, flat Monday. Let's have a good Tuesday for 407 00:21:55,200 --> 00:21:58,320 Speaker 2: us here on the show minus Matt Parolet you guys 408 00:21:58,359 --> 00:22:00,960 Speaker 2: can follow me across all socials at Sports Talk Matt 409 00:22:01,000 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 2: every morning. The Diligence Podcast I was being brought to 410 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:18,880 Speaker 2: you by Olmastaks dot com