WEBVTT - FTX Lawyers Accuse SBF of Undermining Bankruptcy

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carole Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio, or watch us on

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<v Speaker 1>YouTube and now also on Bloomberg Quick Take. Well, a

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<v Speaker 1>most read story today on the Bloomberg in fact, several

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<v Speaker 1>of the most read stores in the Bloomberg Today or

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<v Speaker 1>again about the crumbling empire of Sam Bankman Freed. What

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<v Speaker 1>in particular, though, Tim, is about the lawyers for the

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<v Speaker 1>now bankrupt from f t X and concerns about its founder.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a legal angle to this story, you right, Remember

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<v Speaker 1>yesterday afternoon we've got some headlines on the Bloomberg terminal.

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<v Speaker 1>They said that f t X was coming out and

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<v Speaker 1>saying that Bankman Freed, Sam BigMan Freed has no ongoing

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<v Speaker 1>role at f t X and he does not speak

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<v Speaker 1>on behalf of f t X, f t x U

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<v Speaker 1>s or or Alameda. And I made the comment that

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<v Speaker 1>if you're bankruptcy attorney handling this bankruptcy, you probably don't

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<v Speaker 1>want to see him tweeting the way that he's been tweeting.

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<v Speaker 1>And it turns out, Um, that's actually the case. We

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<v Speaker 1>got Steven Church with us. He's bankruptcy reporter for Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 1>He joins us via zoom from our Wilmington, Delaware bureau. Stephen,

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<v Speaker 1>we're getting some insight into what the lawyers for f

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<v Speaker 1>t X um the case that they're making, and what

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<v Speaker 1>they're coming out and saying in terms of the mess

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<v Speaker 1>that they have to clean up. Right now, what do

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<v Speaker 1>we learned this morning? Oh, we learned the main thing

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<v Speaker 1>was that the lawyers believe that there was a huge

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<v Speaker 1>mess that was unprecedented in terms of its corporate controls.

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<v Speaker 1>Hold on, hold on, When you say unprecedented, you mean unprecedented.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean we're talking en Ron world, Colm, Like, what

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<v Speaker 1>are we talking here? Like going all the way? That's like,

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<v Speaker 1>let's look at it this way. Um, and Ron was

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<v Speaker 1>probably one of the worst corporate scandals corporate fraud scandals

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<v Speaker 1>UM in US history, among the worst. The man who

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<v Speaker 1>was charged with cleaning that up is now the CEO

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<v Speaker 1>of f t X, and he says it's the worst

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<v Speaker 1>thing he's ever seen. So, Steve Stephen, is it unprecedented

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of lack of controls or non existent controls? Um?

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<v Speaker 1>I think it'd be unprecedented in terms of the weak

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<v Speaker 1>or and in some cases non existent controls, is what

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<v Speaker 1>he's arguing. UM. The main thing that happened, uh, well

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<v Speaker 1>to two big things happened this morning. They filed two

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<v Speaker 1>important pieces of the two important court documents. One laid

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<v Speaker 1>out the case for why they're in court, what the

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<v Speaker 1>problem is, and how they hope to solve it, although

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<v Speaker 1>they didn't have much detail on how they hope. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>The other thing they did was unusual. They asked the

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<v Speaker 1>judge in Delaware to prevent the regulators in UM in

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<v Speaker 1>Bahamas from taking control of the case in any way.

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<v Speaker 1>So does that mean that it ensures that it will

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<v Speaker 1>be handled in US bankruptcy court? Uh? No, it'll be

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<v Speaker 1>split they the way these cases typically work because you

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<v Speaker 1>have a giant, UH conglomerate that's you have a giant

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<v Speaker 1>business that touches all corners of the planet. That's the

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<v Speaker 1>way this one is. Usually the different courts work together,

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<v Speaker 1>they get a protocol together, and they agree on how

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<v Speaker 1>to handle creditors, how to handle lawsuits. We're at the

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<v Speaker 1>beginning stages of this. The Bahamas case UH is smaller

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<v Speaker 1>than the US case in terms of the in terms

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<v Speaker 1>of the entities that are covered by it, So we're

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<v Speaker 1>just at the beginning of it. Most likely the US

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<v Speaker 1>will the U S Court here in Delaware will take

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<v Speaker 1>the lead on that the lawyers in charge of that

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<v Speaker 1>case have been complaining about um Uh. The way the

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<v Speaker 1>former CEO has handled himself the last few days. Are

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<v Speaker 1>we going to see him on on the stand? Unlikely?

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<v Speaker 1>I doubt if he. If he will appear in the

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<v Speaker 1>stand in the bankruptcy case, he would obviously be a

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<v Speaker 1>hustile witness at that point because the lawyers are fighting

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<v Speaker 1>with him about some of the things that he's been saying. UH.

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<v Speaker 1>More likely you'll see the current CEO, the man who

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<v Speaker 1>is in charge of of of and RON a few

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<v Speaker 1>years go, take the witness stand if necessary. Over the

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<v Speaker 1>last next few weeks. Steven, what happens to SPF. What

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<v Speaker 1>could happen to SPF? That's the question everybody wants answered. Well,

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<v Speaker 1>we know that in Manhattan, the U. S. Attorney's Office

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<v Speaker 1>there is investigating the company. I got to believe that

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<v Speaker 1>they will look at him specifically, so he may face

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<v Speaker 1>criminal criminal at least a criminal investigation. There's no telling

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<v Speaker 1>whether or not he'll be charged. Obviously it's way too early.

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<v Speaker 1>But there's also an investigation in the Bahamas that's going

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<v Speaker 1>forward as well. So one of the things that in

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<v Speaker 1>the bankruptcy court is very likely to happen is the

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<v Speaker 1>creditors will turn their sights on him and say, what

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<v Speaker 1>money have you got given to us? You caused the problem.

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<v Speaker 1>That's pretty routine in big cases where you have a

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<v Speaker 1>scandal involving the CEO. Yeah, it's so fascinating. Um, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think about this, Stephen, because you know, initially, I

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<v Speaker 1>feel like in the earlier days of crypto we talked

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<v Speaker 1>about the ability to avoid regulators and the law enforcement.

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<v Speaker 1>We know subsequent to that that there is ways to

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<v Speaker 1>track it all down despite what we thought was a

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<v Speaker 1>lack of transparency. But will there be some difficulties and

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<v Speaker 1>maybe understanding the relationships um among all the entities under

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<v Speaker 1>f t x UH and in SPFS empire, or do

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<v Speaker 1>you do I guess does law enforcement? The lawyers feel

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<v Speaker 1>like they're going to be able to uncover a lot.

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<v Speaker 1>I would not bet against all of the forces arrayed

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<v Speaker 1>against SPF right now. These are very good lawyers and

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<v Speaker 1>experienced investigators on both the Bahamian side and in the

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<v Speaker 1>U S side. So they will probably be able to

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<v Speaker 1>unravel much of it now, whether or not there are

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<v Speaker 1>certain black boxes they can never get their hands on,

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<v Speaker 1>that's possible, but I would guess that they'll be able to.

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<v Speaker 1>They'll be able to lay blame where they think it

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<v Speaker 1>should be, and they'll bring actions in court. Remember, creditors

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<v Speaker 1>lost a lot of money, and so it's in many

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<v Speaker 1>of those creditors interest to find cash that is hidden

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<v Speaker 1>or UH lies in an asset somewhere. So there's a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of money backing the lawyers who are trying to

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<v Speaker 1>get back much of the money that was lost. When

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<v Speaker 1>you say much just in the last thirty seconds that

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<v Speaker 1>we have with you, what's it's hard to it's hard

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<v Speaker 1>to estimate this and see the future. Of course, Steve

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<v Speaker 1>and I would never ask you to do that, But

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<v Speaker 1>what's a realistic expectation that customers could have. I it's

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<v Speaker 1>way too early for me to to talk about that. Obviously,

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<v Speaker 1>billions are at stake in this case. We don't even

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<v Speaker 1>know how much money the U is actually that regulators

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<v Speaker 1>and the lawyers can get their hands on. We don't

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<v Speaker 1>know how much money will roll into the bankruptcy court

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<v Speaker 1>that the bankruptcy court can then distribute. The lawyers said

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<v Speaker 1>in their court papers they're collecting hundreds of millions of

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<v Speaker 1>dollars or they think they've identified hundreds of billions of dollars. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>all right, Well, we so appreciate your reporting. Stephen Church,

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<v Speaker 1>bankruptcy reporter at Bloomberg News on zoom from our Wilmington,

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<v Speaker 1>Delaware bureau. You're listening and watching Bloomberg. You're listening to

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Business Week with Carol Masser and Bloomberg Quick Takes.

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<v Speaker 1>Tim Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. The world continues to include COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>which we know in some parts of the roles such

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<v Speaker 1>as Johnic really continue to be a drag on economic

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<v Speaker 1>growth and getting back to a more normal way of life.

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<v Speaker 1>I will say, Tim, it does feel like in New

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<v Speaker 1>York City as I was coming up, uh in the

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<v Speaker 1>World Trade Center. I mean, there are a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>people coming off the trains this morning. He does feel

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<v Speaker 1>more back to normal, Yeah, especially on a Thursday Friday.

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<v Speaker 1>We'll see if that's another story. Does get quiet, does

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<v Speaker 1>get a little quieter. Hey, let's get into it and

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<v Speaker 1>talk all things pandemic and other respiratory viruses as well.

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<v Speaker 1>We've got Dr kosert a Lot joining us, Associate Professor

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<v Speaker 1>of International Health at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health.

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<v Speaker 1>The Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School Public Health is supported by

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<v Speaker 1>Michael R. Bloomberg, founder of Bloomberg LP and Bloomberg Philanthropy US.

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<v Speaker 1>A doctor to Lot joins us on the phone from

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<v Speaker 1>Baltimore this afternoon. Dr Tolot, good to have you back

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<v Speaker 1>with us. I want to start with this idea of um,

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<v Speaker 1>what I talked about just in the tease that right there,

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<v Speaker 1>this idea of a triple demic right now. I don't

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<v Speaker 1>know about you, but I did not hear about rs

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<v Speaker 1>V overwhelming hospitals, especially in pediatric areas, until this year.

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<v Speaker 1>What's different about this year, Well, we haven't heard it

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<v Speaker 1>quite so bad either. What's different about this year. There's

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<v Speaker 1>a couple of things. UM. The first is this RSC

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<v Speaker 1>season it's much earlier than we usually see it. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>Usually RSC is a wintertime virus. We see it filling

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<v Speaker 1>up pediatric hospitals in January and February, not in October

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<v Speaker 1>and November. UM, so it's it's much earlier. And in addition,

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<v Speaker 1>there's many more cases. UM. RSC season has been altered

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<v Speaker 1>because of COVID, So when we were all staying home

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<v Speaker 1>and when we were all wearing masks and kids we're

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<v Speaker 1>not going to school, RSC really disappeared for for the

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<v Speaker 1>better part of two winters. UM. Last year we had

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<v Speaker 1>a big RSP surge in the summer and then it

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<v Speaker 1>went away in the fall, which was really unusual. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>And this year it started in the fall and it's

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<v Speaker 1>much much higher. And part of the reason why it's

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<v Speaker 1>so high is because so many people have not seen

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<v Speaker 1>our as the in several years, our immunity has waned.

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<v Speaker 1>We have cold like large numbers of babies who and

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<v Speaker 1>young children who have never had it, so now everybody

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<v Speaker 1>is getting it all at this tame. Yeah, that's scary stuff.

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<v Speaker 1>My cousin has you know three year old who was

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<v Speaker 1>in the hospital for five days with RSP thankfully is

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<v Speaker 1>okay right now, Um, Dr Tolts, So what are we

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<v Speaker 1>What are we to do as parents? What are we

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<v Speaker 1>to do as we had to the holiday season recommendations. Well, um,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, if you're six, stay home, if your child

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<v Speaker 1>is sick, keep them home from school. Um, if they're

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<v Speaker 1>old enough to be wearing masks, this might be a

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<v Speaker 1>good time to be wearing a mask. Um. Unfortunately, we

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<v Speaker 1>don't have vaccines for RSC yet, but hopefully we'll have

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<v Speaker 1>at least adult ARC vaccines in the next few years. Um.

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<v Speaker 1>We um, wash your hands, you know, all the good

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<v Speaker 1>public health things that we've been told for for many

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<v Speaker 1>years during cold and flu season. Dr tolt just got

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<v Speaker 1>about a couple of minutes left here. So now we've

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<v Speaker 1>got four vaccines COVID nineteen vaccines just switching gears here

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<v Speaker 1>that are available in the US. You've got the Fizer

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<v Speaker 1>bion tech and then the Maderna which are emin R

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<v Speaker 1>messenger RNA vaccines. You've got nervavacs COVID nineteen vaccine is

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<v Speaker 1>a protein subunit vaccine. And then you've got j and

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<v Speaker 1>Jay's Jansen vaccine a viral vector vaccine and can be

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<v Speaker 1>given in some situations. UM of a really nice listener

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<v Speaker 1>is messaging us and his name is Michael, and he's saying,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering if novavax is as effective as the other

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<v Speaker 1>vaccines for covid um. The Novavax vaccine was evaluated and

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<v Speaker 1>seen to be very effective at preventing UM severe disease,

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<v Speaker 1>how realizations and death, just like the other vaccines. Currently,

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<v Speaker 1>the Novovaks booster is just a UM. It's the single

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<v Speaker 1>strain UM, whereas the MR and A vaccines are now

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<v Speaker 1>being given as two strains. The bi valent vaccine UM

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<v Speaker 1>that is targeting the the omicon strains UM. But nova

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<v Speaker 1>vacs does work very well and if you prefer to

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<v Speaker 1>get more traditional vaccine UM, the novavax vaccine could be

0:11:29.760 --> 0:11:31.760
<v Speaker 1>a good fit for you. If you want the bi

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<v Speaker 1>valent vaccine to get the best filmacon protection that UM,

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<v Speaker 1>then the m R and A vaccines might be a

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<v Speaker 1>good place. Well. In just thirty seconds, because I took UM,

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<v Speaker 1>I've been fiser all the way and I took the

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<v Speaker 1>fifth vaccine and felt like I had covid for twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four hours. He's also asking just to follow is there

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<v Speaker 1>less of a chance for side effects or milder side effects?

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<v Speaker 1>And just got about thirty seconds from the novavaxx. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>the side effects maybe a little bit milder, yes, because um,

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<v Speaker 1>but but the but the side effects generally are very

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<v Speaker 1>short lived, no matter vaccine you get. Hand are um,

0:12:05.480 --> 0:12:07.880
<v Speaker 1>you know, a small pipe to pay for being protected

0:12:07.880 --> 0:12:10.040
<v Speaker 1>against COVID? Totally agree for me. It was like twenty

0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:12.280
<v Speaker 1>four hours and I kind of bounce back. Um, we

0:12:12.440 --> 0:12:16.079
<v Speaker 1>thank you, Michael, our viewer listener thanks you as well.

0:12:16.200 --> 0:12:19.480
<v Speaker 1>Dr kosar to a Lot, Associate Professor of International Health

0:12:19.480 --> 0:12:21.640
<v Speaker 1>at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. And as

0:12:21.640 --> 0:12:24.480
<v Speaker 1>we remind you, it is supported by Michael R. Bloomberg, Founder,

0:12:24.480 --> 0:12:27.920
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg LP and Bloomberg Philanthropies. Uh. She was joining us

0:12:27.960 --> 0:12:31.840
<v Speaker 1>on the phone from Baltimore. This is Bloomberg Business Week

0:12:32.040 --> 0:12:35.960
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick takes Tim Stinovic on

0:12:36.120 --> 0:12:39.440
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. As travelers get ready like Tim to to

0:12:39.640 --> 0:12:42.240
<v Speaker 1>to take to the air at the holiday season gets underway,

0:12:42.240 --> 0:12:44.520
<v Speaker 1>are Allan Levin in the new issue of Bloomberg Business

0:12:44.559 --> 0:12:47.439
<v Speaker 1>Week takes a look at the glamorous air charter market

0:12:47.760 --> 0:12:50.160
<v Speaker 1>the dark corners of that market. That is a story,

0:12:50.200 --> 0:12:52.280
<v Speaker 1>by the way, also the Bloomberg Big take. Are you

0:12:52.280 --> 0:12:54.760
<v Speaker 1>applying that I'm going to fly on a private jet

0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:57.880
<v Speaker 1>somewhere for between forty and seventy thousand dollars for a

0:12:57.960 --> 0:12:59.920
<v Speaker 1>round trip between the East Coast and the West coast.

0:13:00.040 --> 0:13:02.800
<v Speaker 1>Ever works for you, I'm not going to be doing that,

0:13:02.920 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 1>And especially after reading the story, I think it raises

0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.319
<v Speaker 1>a lot of questions about what the charter industry looks like.

0:13:08.360 --> 0:13:10.560
<v Speaker 1>We've got Joe Webber, the editor of Bloomberg Business Week

0:13:10.559 --> 0:13:13.000
<v Speaker 1>with us in the Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio, and also

0:13:13.040 --> 0:13:16.400
<v Speaker 1>Alan Levin Aviation Safety and f a reporter for Bloomberg News.

0:13:16.440 --> 0:13:19.320
<v Speaker 1>He joins us on the phone from our Washington, d C. Bureau, Joel,

0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:21.160
<v Speaker 1>I want to kick it over to you and just

0:13:21.400 --> 0:13:24.400
<v Speaker 1>make a distinction at the beginning of the conversation about

0:13:25.160 --> 0:13:29.720
<v Speaker 1>how we define illicit charter flights, because the definition is

0:13:30.280 --> 0:13:34.040
<v Speaker 1>it's it's kind of murky, right, And that's why, um,

0:13:34.080 --> 0:13:38.920
<v Speaker 1>I think the story is scary a right, Like I

0:13:38.960 --> 0:13:42.880
<v Speaker 1>think people are getting on planes that they assume are

0:13:43.840 --> 0:13:49.160
<v Speaker 1>fine and in the worst case scenarios. As Alan's reporting shows,

0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:53.880
<v Speaker 1>UM learning in in disastrous ways that they're that they're

0:13:53.920 --> 0:13:58.439
<v Speaker 1>not UM and it is murky UM. And that's I'll

0:13:58.480 --> 0:14:01.720
<v Speaker 1>let Alan actually think the question in terms of like

0:14:01.760 --> 0:14:04.880
<v Speaker 1>illuminating the very specific question that you have. But the

0:14:04.920 --> 0:14:07.000
<v Speaker 1>bigger thing to me is just I think there are

0:14:07.400 --> 0:14:11.800
<v Speaker 1>private private aviation has become almost sort of the shadow

0:14:12.760 --> 0:14:17.640
<v Speaker 1>world that is very attractive. You can get places far easier,

0:14:18.080 --> 0:14:19.920
<v Speaker 1>and all you need is a little bit more money

0:14:19.960 --> 0:14:24.480
<v Speaker 1>than flying via normal one and it has revealed. Alan's

0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:27.640
<v Speaker 1>reporting here reveals that it comes with a host of

0:14:27.840 --> 0:14:34.040
<v Speaker 1>problems and worries. Alan. Yeah, yeah, that's that's correct, Um.

0:14:34.640 --> 0:14:38.880
<v Speaker 1>And you know, in our world today, we can you

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:41.120
<v Speaker 1>assume when you get in, if you call an uber

0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:44.200
<v Speaker 1>or you're getting a taxi, that it's sort of been

0:14:44.360 --> 0:14:47.200
<v Speaker 1>vetted by the government. It's not perfect, but at least

0:14:47.240 --> 0:14:49.880
<v Speaker 1>you know they're looking at it, and I think they're

0:14:50.000 --> 0:14:55.600
<v Speaker 1>That assumption carries over into the charter world, not at least,

0:14:55.640 --> 0:14:57.240
<v Speaker 1>you know, at least in part it's due to the

0:14:57.280 --> 0:15:00.560
<v Speaker 1>fact that there are lots of apps you can get

0:15:00.600 --> 0:15:03.840
<v Speaker 1>that will get you a charter flight, and some people

0:15:03.920 --> 0:15:07.640
<v Speaker 1>just assume it's the same thing, but it's but unless

0:15:07.640 --> 0:15:09.360
<v Speaker 1>you know what you're doing, it's really hard to tell

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:15.640
<v Speaker 1>the legitimate operators from the the ones who are not licensed,

0:15:15.680 --> 0:15:19.280
<v Speaker 1>and you know, in some cases are really cutting corners

0:15:19.320 --> 0:15:22.120
<v Speaker 1>on safety. I'm sorry, I'm just having like FTX flashbacks

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:28.560
<v Speaker 1>regulators and your accountability. You assume that parent has a

0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:32.280
<v Speaker 1>fancy app that you know, and that it has ads

0:15:32.320 --> 0:15:35.560
<v Speaker 1>that it's going to be okay. So this is really interesting.

0:15:35.600 --> 0:15:37.600
<v Speaker 1>There's this also this this part in the piece, Allan,

0:15:37.840 --> 0:15:40.520
<v Speaker 1>and you have just some you know, really heart wrenching examples.

0:15:40.520 --> 0:15:43.040
<v Speaker 1>Marcy Wilhelm is somebody who spoke to you for the piece,

0:15:43.280 --> 0:15:48.360
<v Speaker 1>tell us about her experience flying privately. Yeah, let me

0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:51.280
<v Speaker 1>just start by saying, I've been covering air crashes for

0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:53.360
<v Speaker 1>a couple of decades now, and this is really one

0:15:53.400 --> 0:15:58.440
<v Speaker 1>of the most heart wrenching ones. Um, Marcy is was amazing,

0:15:58.800 --> 0:16:03.440
<v Speaker 1>had an amazing success story. She had founded uh co,

0:16:03.560 --> 0:16:06.080
<v Speaker 1>founded a healthcare company, and they'd sold it for almost

0:16:06.080 --> 0:16:10.880
<v Speaker 1>two hundred million dollars. Was back in she'd been hired

0:16:11.240 --> 0:16:16.200
<v Speaker 1>to be the CEO of the successor company, and um,

0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:18.760
<v Speaker 1>you know, she had was going away on a long

0:16:18.800 --> 0:16:23.440
<v Speaker 1>weekend to Nantucket with some friends from her house in Florida.

0:16:23.520 --> 0:16:28.640
<v Speaker 1>They stopped in uh, South Carolina to pick up some

0:16:28.640 --> 0:16:34.320
<v Speaker 1>some folks, and the plane essentially did not have breaks.

0:16:35.040 --> 0:16:40.000
<v Speaker 1>And it's a fairly big corporate jet um with high

0:16:40.040 --> 0:16:42.440
<v Speaker 1>speeds compared to some other planes, and it just went

0:16:42.600 --> 0:16:45.160
<v Speaker 1>screaming off the end of the runway down an embankment

0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:49.920
<v Speaker 1>and broke into pieces, killed both pilots and Marsien and

0:16:49.960 --> 0:16:56.560
<v Speaker 1>her husband were both severely injured. And the what investigators

0:16:56.680 --> 0:17:00.240
<v Speaker 1>came to learn very quickly was that the plane never

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:04.560
<v Speaker 1>should have been in service on many different levels. For

0:17:04.720 --> 0:17:08.440
<v Speaker 1>one thing, uh, Marcy booked the fight on a legitimate

0:17:08.560 --> 0:17:15.240
<v Speaker 1>charter operator, but they're required to um uh have you know,

0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:18.920
<v Speaker 1>put each and every aircraft on their certification. This aircraft

0:17:19.080 --> 0:17:24.359
<v Speaker 1>was not um But beyond that, it had dozens of

0:17:25.040 --> 0:17:29.399
<v Speaker 1>maintenance items that weren't complete, most notably the brakes. And

0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:32.440
<v Speaker 1>the most stunning thing of all is a mechanic had

0:17:32.560 --> 0:17:35.480
<v Speaker 1>noticed that the brakes weren't working had put a bright

0:17:35.680 --> 0:17:39.160
<v Speaker 1>orange placard kind of a sticky note if you will,

0:17:39.480 --> 0:17:42.440
<v Speaker 1>on the brake panel right in front of the pilot's

0:17:42.440 --> 0:17:47.960
<v Speaker 1>faces that said inoperable. Technically it said in op which

0:17:48.000 --> 0:17:51.840
<v Speaker 1>is whatever you know, that's what everyone in aviation, no elemine,

0:17:51.840 --> 0:17:55.040
<v Speaker 1>they should know what that means. And they still landed

0:17:55.080 --> 0:17:58.520
<v Speaker 1>without the brakes and had this accident. How is this

0:17:58.640 --> 0:18:03.320
<v Speaker 1>happening still in the year of our Lord? Like how? How?

0:18:03.359 --> 0:18:06.360
<v Speaker 1>And why? What? What? What are the blind spots here?

0:18:07.560 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 1>So you know, in the legitimate air charter world, I

0:18:11.280 --> 0:18:16.919
<v Speaker 1>don't want to leave listeners confused. In the legitimate world,

0:18:17.000 --> 0:18:20.080
<v Speaker 1>there is a ton of f a oversight. It's not perfect.

0:18:20.200 --> 0:18:24.720
<v Speaker 1>Occasionally we see flaws, but you know, they're they're required

0:18:24.760 --> 0:18:29.560
<v Speaker 1>to do everything from pilot training to drug testing employees,

0:18:29.640 --> 0:18:34.600
<v Speaker 1>on and on and on. But there's a good, uh

0:18:34.960 --> 0:18:39.760
<v Speaker 1>twenty thousand or so private jets that are privately owned

0:18:39.880 --> 0:18:45.120
<v Speaker 1>in the US, and you know, let's say our business

0:18:45.320 --> 0:18:47.760
<v Speaker 1>and you bought this jet and suddenly the costs of

0:18:47.800 --> 0:18:50.639
<v Speaker 1>maintenance are adding up. You might say, well, geez, why

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:55.720
<v Speaker 1>don't we just rent it out, you know, to somebody.

0:18:55.920 --> 0:18:59.919
<v Speaker 1>And if you do that, you're not following all those

0:19:00.000 --> 0:19:02.919
<v Speaker 1>safety measures that the legitimate guys do. And from the

0:19:02.960 --> 0:19:05.840
<v Speaker 1>outside of the plane it's almost impossible to tell the difference.

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:09.640
<v Speaker 1>And I guess I'm just wondering, why does it all

0:19:10.000 --> 0:19:13.320
<v Speaker 1>fall through, you know, the hands of regulators or the

0:19:13.400 --> 0:19:16.320
<v Speaker 1>f a A ultimately, UM, but I can see where

0:19:16.320 --> 0:19:19.840
<v Speaker 1>the cracks are. So what's your advice to folks out

0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:24.359
<v Speaker 1>there who might be interested in chartering. Well, it turns out, UM,

0:19:25.359 --> 0:19:28.919
<v Speaker 1>the f a A partly in a reaction to this

0:19:29.320 --> 0:19:31.840
<v Speaker 1>a few years ago, be in publishing a list of

0:19:31.880 --> 0:19:36.119
<v Speaker 1>all the aircraft that are legitimately licensed to carry people

0:19:36.160 --> 0:19:38.760
<v Speaker 1>for hire. So you can look that up. You have

0:19:38.800 --> 0:19:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to go to if you google f a A Air

0:19:42.040 --> 0:19:45.879
<v Speaker 1>charter Safety, you'll find a link to it. UH. There's

0:19:45.920 --> 0:19:50.159
<v Speaker 1>a trade group that UM has been very involved in

0:19:50.160 --> 0:19:53.320
<v Speaker 1>this as well. And there are also several private companies

0:19:53.359 --> 0:19:59.760
<v Speaker 1>that do auditing of charter companies, UH sort of save

0:20:00.520 --> 0:20:04.280
<v Speaker 1>the customer the hassle of doing that UM. And so

0:20:04.280 --> 0:20:08.119
<v Speaker 1>so there are definitely ways to figure out who's legit

0:20:08.160 --> 0:20:12.720
<v Speaker 1>and who's not. And we teased UM earlier that there's

0:20:12.720 --> 0:20:17.399
<v Speaker 1>a connection between j B. Fox and uh BA Hollywood

0:20:17.480 --> 0:20:22.600
<v Speaker 1>producer Peter Gruber, also the NBA and I think the NHL.

0:20:22.720 --> 0:20:26.399
<v Speaker 1>So UM highly recommend that you check out this story

0:20:26.600 --> 0:20:28.600
<v Speaker 1>in the upcoming issue of Bloomberg Business Week. Also on

0:20:28.600 --> 0:20:31.840
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg terminal and at Bloomberg dot com because it's

0:20:31.920 --> 0:20:34.320
<v Speaker 1>a um a really important one and a lot of

0:20:34.320 --> 0:20:36.840
<v Speaker 1>detail there. From Allan Levin, our Aviation Safety and f

0:20:37.000 --> 0:20:40.320
<v Speaker 1>A reporter, Allen, thank you. You're listening to Bloomberg Business

0:20:40.320 --> 0:20:44.160
<v Speaker 1>Week with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes. Tim Stinovic

0:20:44.640 --> 0:20:48.800
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Radio. Alex Barenka, technology reporter at Bloomberg News.

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:51.119
<v Speaker 1>She's got a great story in the new double issue

0:20:51.240 --> 0:20:54.600
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week dealing with metal platforms. Alex is

0:20:54.600 --> 0:20:56.600
<v Speaker 1>with us via zoom in l A. So, Alex, good

0:20:56.600 --> 0:20:59.679
<v Speaker 1>to have you here. Tell us about your story. Yeah. So,

0:21:00.160 --> 0:21:02.560
<v Speaker 1>we've heard a lot of kind of anger at the

0:21:02.600 --> 0:21:05.520
<v Speaker 1>general economic conditions from all of the Internet companies like

0:21:05.600 --> 0:21:09.160
<v Speaker 1>Meta that depend on digital ads, blaming the economy for

0:21:09.240 --> 0:21:11.640
<v Speaker 1>the really bad quarters they've had over the last six

0:21:11.680 --> 0:21:14.880
<v Speaker 1>months or so. This weekend in Business Week, I'm writing

0:21:14.880 --> 0:21:17.040
<v Speaker 1>that there might be kind of a bigger reason that

0:21:17.200 --> 0:21:20.560
<v Speaker 1>Meta in particulars ad business. Um, it has a big

0:21:20.600 --> 0:21:23.480
<v Speaker 1>hole in it, and that pole is shaped like Apple.

0:21:24.119 --> 0:21:27.320
<v Speaker 1>About a year ago, Apple changed its privacy policies for

0:21:27.359 --> 0:21:31.399
<v Speaker 1>the iPhone that made ads on social media both harder

0:21:31.440 --> 0:21:35.400
<v Speaker 1>to target specific people and harder to track the return

0:21:35.480 --> 0:21:37.919
<v Speaker 1>on the spend on those ads, and a year in

0:21:38.280 --> 0:21:40.920
<v Speaker 1>Meta has estimated that that's had a ten billion dollar

0:21:41.040 --> 0:21:43.840
<v Speaker 1>hit on its pad business. And you know, myself and

0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:46.520
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the analysts and insiders I spoke for

0:21:46.600 --> 0:21:50.359
<v Speaker 1>this story would also argue that that's what's dragging Meta

0:21:50.440 --> 0:21:53.399
<v Speaker 1>down to potentially it's there. It's third quite straight quarter

0:21:53.480 --> 0:21:57.359
<v Speaker 1>of revenue declines. It's more Apple than the economy. UM

0:21:57.400 --> 0:22:00.520
<v Speaker 1>and I tried to break that down for folks this week. Well,

0:22:00.640 --> 0:22:05.560
<v Speaker 1>there's a stark chart included in your piece that shows

0:22:05.560 --> 0:22:09.000
<v Speaker 1>how other companies are faring or projected to fair between

0:22:10.560 --> 0:22:15.160
<v Speaker 1>two uh. TikTok, according to e Marketer, has a projected

0:22:15.240 --> 0:22:18.439
<v Speaker 1>change of one fifty versus Meta down at the bottom

0:22:18.440 --> 0:22:21.720
<v Speaker 1>of which protect a change of negative. Why is TikTok

0:22:21.800 --> 0:22:24.080
<v Speaker 1>able to capitalize on something when you know they're using

0:22:24.080 --> 0:22:27.919
<v Speaker 1>the same hardware and the same operating systems to deliver

0:22:27.960 --> 0:22:31.280
<v Speaker 1>those ads. I think there's two key reasons so Meta,

0:22:31.480 --> 0:22:34.439
<v Speaker 1>as you mentioned Facebook, Instagram, those are metas companies have

0:22:34.600 --> 0:22:38.160
<v Speaker 1>historically been based on who you know your friend graph

0:22:38.280 --> 0:22:41.240
<v Speaker 1>is how they derive kind of insights on you. Um

0:22:41.359 --> 0:22:43.960
<v Speaker 1>and plus the information that they were able to glean

0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:46.600
<v Speaker 1>from Apple to make sure that advertisers are reaching the

0:22:46.640 --> 0:22:50.080
<v Speaker 1>people they want to reach. Picktok, on the other hand,

0:22:50.400 --> 0:22:53.720
<v Speaker 1>Um has built out an ai UM kind of focused

0:22:53.720 --> 0:22:58.000
<v Speaker 1>recommendation engine that is derived on our users interests, so

0:22:58.040 --> 0:23:00.040
<v Speaker 1>they know more about you than just who you know.

0:23:00.280 --> 0:23:03.080
<v Speaker 1>They know who you're actually interested in. That is some

0:23:03.200 --> 0:23:06.000
<v Speaker 1>of the information UM it's not quite apples to apples

0:23:06.040 --> 0:23:09.119
<v Speaker 1>that Meta has lost, So TikTok has been able to

0:23:09.200 --> 0:23:12.960
<v Speaker 1>kind of really lean into this interest based recommendations. Uh.

0:23:13.000 --> 0:23:16.760
<v Speaker 1>That idea interros based recommendations is also where Meta is

0:23:16.800 --> 0:23:19.320
<v Speaker 1>spending a lot of money to kind of chasten too that. Now,

0:23:19.320 --> 0:23:21.720
<v Speaker 1>the one caveat I would give is Meta is still

0:23:21.760 --> 0:23:24.720
<v Speaker 1>an advertising giant. They're still expected to bran about a

0:23:24.760 --> 0:23:27.880
<v Speaker 1>hundred and sixteen billion dollars in report this year. TikTok

0:23:28.000 --> 0:23:30.399
<v Speaker 1>is only about a tenth of that. So there is

0:23:30.440 --> 0:23:34.639
<v Speaker 1>some kind of um youth in growth there um for TikTok.

0:23:34.880 --> 0:23:37.199
<v Speaker 1>But that is kind of the big reason UM that

0:23:37.280 --> 0:23:40.760
<v Speaker 1>folks might be looking too platforms where they can target

0:23:40.840 --> 0:23:43.800
<v Speaker 1>people a little bit more effectively than maybe what's been

0:23:43.840 --> 0:23:46.119
<v Speaker 1>lost on Facebook and Instagram. I gotta say, Alex one

0:23:46.119 --> 0:23:47.720
<v Speaker 1>of the lines I love in your story, you say

0:23:47.720 --> 0:23:51.480
<v Speaker 1>the company has no experience managing decline. There's something to

0:23:51.560 --> 0:23:53.280
<v Speaker 1>be said. I mean, this is a company that has

0:23:53.320 --> 0:23:56.119
<v Speaker 1>been on fire, maybe a little bit of a you know,

0:23:56.200 --> 0:23:58.439
<v Speaker 1>trouble about that. I p o initially but figured it

0:23:58.440 --> 0:24:00.720
<v Speaker 1>out right in the ship. But when things start to

0:24:00.760 --> 0:24:02.520
<v Speaker 1>go wrong, like you might not have a playbook or

0:24:02.560 --> 0:24:04.160
<v Speaker 1>the people in place to be like, well wait, how

0:24:04.160 --> 0:24:07.160
<v Speaker 1>do we fix this right? And you remember just last

0:24:07.160 --> 0:24:10.680
<v Speaker 1>week they laid off Force and their biggest layoff ever.

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:12.840
<v Speaker 1>So this is a company now that's going to be

0:24:12.880 --> 0:24:15.680
<v Speaker 1>expected to do more with less. So this Apple thing

0:24:15.720 --> 0:24:17.119
<v Speaker 1>is a big problem, But there are a lot of

0:24:17.160 --> 0:24:20.800
<v Speaker 1>other problems that Meta. You have the economic conditions, you

0:24:20.880 --> 0:24:24.960
<v Speaker 1>have the scrutiny on the political power that Facebook and

0:24:25.000 --> 0:24:27.840
<v Speaker 1>Instagram have on the world. You have this big bet

0:24:28.040 --> 0:24:31.560
<v Speaker 1>that Mark Zuckerberg is making trying to build a virtual

0:24:31.640 --> 0:24:35.240
<v Speaker 1>reality world called the Metaverse and funneling ten billion dollars

0:24:35.280 --> 0:24:38.240
<v Speaker 1>a year into that direction. So there's a lot going

0:24:38.280 --> 0:24:41.160
<v Speaker 1>on there. And now it's going on with eleven thousand people,

0:24:41.200 --> 0:24:44.320
<v Speaker 1>fewer than just two weeks ago. So it seems like

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:46.200
<v Speaker 1>they're really going to have to kind of buckle down.

0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:49.280
<v Speaker 1>We've heard internally that you know, there's still some restructuring

0:24:49.320 --> 0:24:52.119
<v Speaker 1>going on. Um that you know, this is the first

0:24:52.160 --> 0:24:55.600
<v Speaker 1>time that a lot of employees are being pushed to

0:24:55.600 --> 0:24:58.320
<v Speaker 1>a level of efficiency and lead this UM than they

0:24:58.359 --> 0:25:01.560
<v Speaker 1>ever have before. So this will definitely be one to

0:25:01.640 --> 0:25:04.320
<v Speaker 1>watch as they kind of juggle both coming back from

0:25:04.359 --> 0:25:09.600
<v Speaker 1>these changes that Apple forced upon their business, battling economic conditions,

0:25:09.760 --> 0:25:13.040
<v Speaker 1>and trying to paint the future of computing in the metaverse. Hey, Alex,

0:25:13.359 --> 0:25:14.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of want to throw a little bit of a

0:25:14.520 --> 0:25:17.119
<v Speaker 1>curveball at you because it's, you know, not necessarily what

0:25:17.160 --> 0:25:19.040
<v Speaker 1>your most recent pieces about, but I know you've done

0:25:19.080 --> 0:25:22.359
<v Speaker 1>so much reporting about this. I'm wondering what small businesses

0:25:22.400 --> 0:25:25.040
<v Speaker 1>think of this change, because they're the ones who have

0:25:25.119 --> 0:25:28.080
<v Speaker 1>done a lot of advertising historically on meta platforms including

0:25:28.119 --> 0:25:31.280
<v Speaker 1>Facebook and Instagram, and now ostensibly it's more difficult for

0:25:31.320 --> 0:25:35.919
<v Speaker 1>them to target their potential customers. Yep, throw those curveballs away. Um.

0:25:36.040 --> 0:25:39.680
<v Speaker 1>I will say basicstes have been okay. Um, they've spent

0:25:39.720 --> 0:25:42.919
<v Speaker 1>more on like newspapers or buying ads on TV channels.

0:25:42.960 --> 0:25:45.320
<v Speaker 1>So the big companies can do that because they have

0:25:45.320 --> 0:25:48.480
<v Speaker 1>the budgets. Small businesses have kind of historically been stuck

0:25:48.520 --> 0:25:53.200
<v Speaker 1>with two options with basically meta or Google alphabets um

0:25:53.240 --> 0:25:56.360
<v Speaker 1>search ads when it comes to reaching customers on the Internet.

0:25:56.400 --> 0:25:58.920
<v Speaker 1>So they've been the folks who basically have had to

0:25:59.080 --> 0:26:01.880
<v Speaker 1>kind of go roll with the punches here, and that's

0:26:01.920 --> 0:26:04.399
<v Speaker 1>also why we think there's been such a big decline

0:26:04.480 --> 0:26:07.440
<v Speaker 1>in overall ad spending. Those are the folks that kind

0:26:07.480 --> 0:26:09.640
<v Speaker 1>of have to pull back because they can't write, say

0:26:09.680 --> 0:26:12.440
<v Speaker 1>a half a million dollar check to advertise on something

0:26:12.480 --> 0:26:15.240
<v Speaker 1>like Hulu. They're kind of start reaching customers on the

0:26:15.280 --> 0:26:17.960
<v Speaker 1>Internet and it's gotten a lot more expensive because the

0:26:18.040 --> 0:26:21.240
<v Speaker 1>targeting is less effective. So those folks are the ones

0:26:21.440 --> 0:26:23.840
<v Speaker 1>um that are probably impacting it the biggest from a

0:26:23.840 --> 0:26:27.320
<v Speaker 1>pure quantity perspective. That's the majority of metas advertisers. So

0:26:27.720 --> 0:26:31.080
<v Speaker 1>small businesses also, you know, are probably looking to places

0:26:31.080 --> 0:26:34.320
<v Speaker 1>like TikTok and other properties where they can spend the

0:26:34.359 --> 0:26:37.000
<v Speaker 1>small budgets they have to find the customers that they want.

0:26:37.119 --> 0:26:46.080
<v Speaker 1>Alex Farenka really appreciate it. I'm probably a journal yeah,

0:26:46.119 --> 0:26:52.680
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive No, no, all right, please, gravels.

0:26:53.720 --> 0:27:02.159
<v Speaker 1>I want to try. It's good questions. This is the

0:27:02.320 --> 0:27:08.960
<v Speaker 1>drive to the clothes on Bluebird Radio. All right, we

0:27:09.000 --> 0:27:11.560
<v Speaker 1>have just about ten minutes left in today's trading session.

0:27:11.600 --> 0:27:14.840
<v Speaker 1>Bouncing around here on the equity trade. Same story when

0:27:14.880 --> 0:27:17.240
<v Speaker 1>it comes to the yield trade. I think as investors

0:27:17.520 --> 0:27:21.239
<v Speaker 1>go from FED conversation to FED conversation right now in

0:27:21.400 --> 0:27:25.199
<v Speaker 1>terms of stock specifically, as Charlie mentioned, definitely off our

0:27:25.240 --> 0:27:26.879
<v Speaker 1>loads of the session, and we're seeing a leg up

0:27:27.240 --> 0:27:29.840
<v Speaker 1>tim here in our final minutes of trading. We are,

0:27:29.880 --> 0:27:32.920
<v Speaker 1>but volume is really low right now, the SMP down,

0:27:33.080 --> 0:27:36.639
<v Speaker 1>volume down. People are already start anything about that Thanksgiving holiday,

0:27:36.640 --> 0:27:38.680
<v Speaker 1>But you don't want to ask Charlie Massimo all about

0:27:38.680 --> 0:27:40.880
<v Speaker 1>his senior vice president and financial advisor at the Wealth

0:27:40.920 --> 0:27:43.520
<v Speaker 1>Enhancement Group on the phone from Blue Point in New York. Charlie,

0:27:43.560 --> 0:27:45.040
<v Speaker 1>good to have you back with us. How are you.

0:27:46.000 --> 0:27:48.760
<v Speaker 1>I'm great, Thanks, thanks for having me. It's always yeah. Hey,

0:27:48.800 --> 0:27:50.960
<v Speaker 1>So what are investors waiting for? Why are they on

0:27:51.000 --> 0:27:54.520
<v Speaker 1>the sidelines? Yeah? I think the Fed's confusing the heck

0:27:54.520 --> 0:27:58.679
<v Speaker 1>out of everybody with comments and just there's just fiction.

0:27:59.320 --> 0:28:02.560
<v Speaker 1>Yeah yeah. I think there's just a lack of conviction

0:28:02.640 --> 0:28:05.040
<v Speaker 1>on which way we want to go, and I think

0:28:05.040 --> 0:28:08.240
<v Speaker 1>people are just waiting for the next next data point

0:28:08.320 --> 0:28:10.679
<v Speaker 1>to make a decision on where they want to put

0:28:10.720 --> 0:28:12.919
<v Speaker 1>their money. Well, where would you want to put your

0:28:12.920 --> 0:28:14.199
<v Speaker 1>money right now if you had to put some new

0:28:14.200 --> 0:28:18.840
<v Speaker 1>money to work? As I think there's so many positive

0:28:18.880 --> 0:28:21.200
<v Speaker 1>things happening in the market right now despite what we

0:28:21.320 --> 0:28:24.560
<v Speaker 1>read in the headlines, and you know, you have you

0:28:24.640 --> 0:28:27.879
<v Speaker 1>have an inflation which is which is coming down without

0:28:27.920 --> 0:28:30.600
<v Speaker 1>seeing any deterioration in the labor market, which is a

0:28:30.680 --> 0:28:34.239
<v Speaker 1>really positive indication and something that FED is certainly going

0:28:34.280 --> 0:28:38.240
<v Speaker 1>to pay attention to. I think you have uh SMP

0:28:38.320 --> 0:28:42.960
<v Speaker 1>five companies with they're so flush with cash um which

0:28:43.000 --> 0:28:46.120
<v Speaker 1>means that we probably will see increase in dividends coming along.

0:28:46.160 --> 0:28:50.800
<v Speaker 1>So I'm I'm huge um proponent of value stocks that

0:28:50.840 --> 0:28:53.520
<v Speaker 1>are going to show increased dividends and really going to

0:28:53.600 --> 0:28:56.320
<v Speaker 1>pay people to wait while we see a real turnaround

0:28:56.320 --> 0:29:00.440
<v Speaker 1>in the market. Can you name any specific value sucks

0:29:01.080 --> 0:29:03.600
<v Speaker 1>that you have your eye on right now? Yeah? Again,

0:29:03.640 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 1>I think when you see any any any um um

0:29:06.400 --> 0:29:09.520
<v Speaker 1>stots like Target that are beat up, these are great

0:29:09.600 --> 0:29:12.360
<v Speaker 1>companies right and when you can buy a company twenty

0:29:12.720 --> 0:29:15.360
<v Speaker 1>cheaper than where they were just a year ago, you

0:29:15.480 --> 0:29:18.280
<v Speaker 1>have to take advantage of it, because again I think

0:29:18.280 --> 0:29:20.560
<v Speaker 1>in the year two years from today, these companies are

0:29:20.560 --> 0:29:23.560
<v Speaker 1>going to be significantly higher. And again I've always said this,

0:29:23.560 --> 0:29:26.200
<v Speaker 1>this is not when you become shy of investing in

0:29:26.240 --> 0:29:28.320
<v Speaker 1>the market. This is when you become very aggressive and

0:29:28.640 --> 0:29:31.000
<v Speaker 1>buy some of these great American companies. So it raises

0:29:31.000 --> 0:29:33.080
<v Speaker 1>the question about whether or not you think we have further,

0:29:33.880 --> 0:29:36.280
<v Speaker 1>you know, further losses ahead of us, Like, is there

0:29:36.280 --> 0:29:37.960
<v Speaker 1>going to be a better time to get into the market,

0:29:38.000 --> 0:29:42.600
<v Speaker 1>maybe in the first half of three Well, listen there

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:45.480
<v Speaker 1>there there You can always you can always debate when

0:29:45.600 --> 0:29:47.480
<v Speaker 1>is the right time, and I think as an individual

0:29:47.560 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 1>investor you have to see where you are in your

0:29:49.480 --> 0:29:52.320
<v Speaker 1>own time frame. But again, you know when these companies

0:29:52.680 --> 0:29:55.080
<v Speaker 1>we spoke probably about two months ago when the market

0:29:55.240 --> 0:29:58.320
<v Speaker 1>was about ten percent lower than where it is today.

0:29:58.720 --> 0:30:00.640
<v Speaker 1>So again, was that a good time to invest it

0:30:00.720 --> 0:30:02.920
<v Speaker 1>we hit bottom? You know, I think when you look

0:30:02.920 --> 0:30:05.040
<v Speaker 1>at the market, it's much more positive and much more

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:09.080
<v Speaker 1>constructive now, meaning the lows are are much better than

0:30:09.120 --> 0:30:11.520
<v Speaker 1>what we've seen a year ago, in a week ago

0:30:11.720 --> 0:30:14.520
<v Speaker 1>or two weeks ago, and the highs are pretty significant

0:30:14.640 --> 0:30:17.120
<v Speaker 1>on updates. So I think we're starting to see a

0:30:17.200 --> 0:30:19.920
<v Speaker 1>market that is trying to find direction, but the direction

0:30:20.000 --> 0:30:23.080
<v Speaker 1>is much more positive than negative right now. Yeah, it

0:30:23.200 --> 0:30:25.400
<v Speaker 1>is kind of It's so funnairs. Just look at the

0:30:25.400 --> 0:30:28.360
<v Speaker 1>home builders, the home building index, which is certainly a

0:30:28.440 --> 0:30:30.920
<v Speaker 1>laggard in today's market. It's down about two percent if

0:30:30.960 --> 0:30:33.400
<v Speaker 1>you look at the S and P Supercomposite Homebuilding Index,

0:30:33.440 --> 0:30:35.640
<v Speaker 1>but you know, it's been bouncing around a lot, and

0:30:35.680 --> 0:30:38.720
<v Speaker 1>I understand the housing data feels like it's a little

0:30:38.720 --> 0:30:41.120
<v Speaker 1>bit more to the downside, but the group is still

0:30:41.200 --> 0:30:44.520
<v Speaker 1>up fift since October twenty. I always feel like there's

0:30:44.600 --> 0:30:47.240
<v Speaker 1>mixed signals in this market. So Charlie, what do you

0:30:47.480 --> 0:30:51.959
<v Speaker 1>most monitor for getting an idea of maybe where valuations

0:30:51.960 --> 0:30:54.400
<v Speaker 1>should be and where the market will ultimately go, Because

0:30:54.400 --> 0:30:56.080
<v Speaker 1>it does sound like you have some optimism for the

0:30:56.120 --> 0:31:01.640
<v Speaker 1>trade in Yeah, not only three and certainly beyond. I mean,

0:31:01.640 --> 0:31:04.040
<v Speaker 1>when you think about some of the staggering numbers, you know,

0:31:04.120 --> 0:31:07.000
<v Speaker 1>I was just reading today that the Brookings Institution projects

0:31:07.040 --> 0:31:12.560
<v Speaker 1>up between about one point six billion people will enter

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:15.800
<v Speaker 1>the middle class. I mean, that's that's significant. So you

0:31:15.840 --> 0:31:17.920
<v Speaker 1>think as they enter the middle class, and these great

0:31:17.960 --> 0:31:21.680
<v Speaker 1>companies that will continue to prosper from this growth in

0:31:21.720 --> 0:31:24.760
<v Speaker 1>our in our economy, and in our world. So it's

0:31:24.760 --> 0:31:27.560
<v Speaker 1>really not one specific place that I'm looking. I'm just

0:31:27.600 --> 0:31:30.360
<v Speaker 1>looking as a general, as a market as a whole

0:31:30.840 --> 0:31:33.600
<v Speaker 1>that as as we continue to see these numbers improved,

0:31:33.600 --> 0:31:37.600
<v Speaker 1>it's just an amazing opportunity for the companies across the

0:31:37.720 --> 0:31:43.360
<v Speaker 1>board really to see increased values at a significant clip. Okay,

0:31:43.440 --> 0:31:46.600
<v Speaker 1>So Charlie, I want to go back to FED speakers

0:31:46.640 --> 0:31:48.960
<v Speaker 1>because we talked about him a lot here, of course,

0:31:49.000 --> 0:31:51.560
<v Speaker 1>and we try to dissect all of their comments. And

0:31:51.600 --> 0:31:53.880
<v Speaker 1>I'm wondering, if you take everyone who you've heard from

0:31:53.920 --> 0:31:56.160
<v Speaker 1>over the last a few days or so, um, the

0:31:56.240 --> 0:31:58.959
<v Speaker 1>message that you're seeing is the one that's broadly showing

0:31:59.600 --> 0:32:02.680
<v Speaker 1>that we're going to see an easing of rad hikes

0:32:02.720 --> 0:32:05.200
<v Speaker 1>come December and the early part of or is it

0:32:05.760 --> 0:32:08.960
<v Speaker 1>one that says there's still more work to do? Well?

0:32:09.000 --> 0:32:11.000
<v Speaker 1>I think over the short term there's probably still more

0:32:11.040 --> 0:32:15.480
<v Speaker 1>work to do, and and and that's not because of inflation. Um,

0:32:15.520 --> 0:32:18.040
<v Speaker 1>not slowing or slowing down, because we are. But I

0:32:18.040 --> 0:32:20.880
<v Speaker 1>think it's really the FED that's trying to be overly

0:32:20.920 --> 0:32:23.840
<v Speaker 1>aggressive in this market. You know what he's done already,

0:32:23.840 --> 0:32:26.320
<v Speaker 1>and I agree with what he's been doing, because again,

0:32:26.640 --> 0:32:28.920
<v Speaker 1>a short term bear market is much worse than long

0:32:29.000 --> 0:32:32.080
<v Speaker 1>term inflation for this economy. So I agree with what

0:32:32.120 --> 0:32:34.440
<v Speaker 1>he's doing, but I think now it's time to let

0:32:34.480 --> 0:32:37.480
<v Speaker 1>all these raises seep into the market and slow down

0:32:37.480 --> 0:32:39.920
<v Speaker 1>to What I'd love to see him say is that

0:32:39.960 --> 0:32:41.800
<v Speaker 1>we may have more work to go, but we're going

0:32:41.840 --> 0:32:44.280
<v Speaker 1>to slow down the pace and we're gonna wait to

0:32:44.440 --> 0:32:48.320
<v Speaker 1>see that make that that our increases in yields are

0:32:48.360 --> 0:32:51.800
<v Speaker 1>really helping the inflation slow down. That's what I'm hoping

0:32:51.840 --> 0:32:53.680
<v Speaker 1>he says. I don't know if he'll say that, but

0:32:53.720 --> 0:32:56.160
<v Speaker 1>I think that would be a huge positive indication for

0:32:56.160 --> 0:32:58.760
<v Speaker 1>the market. You know, Charlie, we've talked about this before

0:32:58.840 --> 0:33:01.960
<v Speaker 1>with you because you and what you do at your firm,

0:33:02.240 --> 0:33:04.800
<v Speaker 1>you specialize in planning for families impacted by autism, and

0:33:05.360 --> 0:33:08.000
<v Speaker 1>you know, these are families that really have to make

0:33:08.000 --> 0:33:11.040
<v Speaker 1>sure that they've got investments in place. So I do

0:33:11.160 --> 0:33:13.360
<v Speaker 1>think in an environment where we feel like things keep

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:17.080
<v Speaker 1>coming at us left and right, longer term, you know,

0:33:17.200 --> 0:33:21.560
<v Speaker 1>what do you see as the best bets? Yeah, again,

0:33:21.600 --> 0:33:24.480
<v Speaker 1>it's a it's a really great point, and I think

0:33:24.520 --> 0:33:27.080
<v Speaker 1>that you have to take a deep breath as an

0:33:27.120 --> 0:33:29.720
<v Speaker 1>investor and really measure where you are from a risk

0:33:29.760 --> 0:33:32.400
<v Speaker 1>tolerant standpoint. You know, in the past few years it

0:33:32.440 --> 0:33:34.200
<v Speaker 1>was great to own technology, but now you have some

0:33:34.200 --> 0:33:37.680
<v Speaker 1>of those companies down thirty so you've lost three to

0:33:37.760 --> 0:33:40.720
<v Speaker 1>five years of growth in one year or in less

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:44.040
<v Speaker 1>than one Does that ever come back? It will, but

0:33:44.120 --> 0:33:46.040
<v Speaker 1>it's going to lag the rest of the markets. Like

0:33:46.160 --> 0:33:47.960
<v Speaker 1>is it going to look like the dot com bust

0:33:48.000 --> 0:33:50.400
<v Speaker 1>of the late nineties early two thousands and take a decade?

0:33:51.320 --> 0:33:53.040
<v Speaker 1>I mean not that I don't think it's back to

0:33:53.160 --> 0:33:56.240
<v Speaker 1>Some of these companies have real earnings versus dot Com

0:33:56.280 --> 0:33:58.240
<v Speaker 1>where they had no earnings at all. So I think

0:33:58.240 --> 0:34:01.800
<v Speaker 1>we have companies like Amazon that are having a difficult

0:34:01.840 --> 0:34:04.880
<v Speaker 1>time that will still show some significant earnings moving forward.

0:34:04.960 --> 0:34:08.160
<v Speaker 1>But I do think again you get getting back to

0:34:08.200 --> 0:34:10.400
<v Speaker 1>the point of Carl. You have to be you have

0:34:10.520 --> 0:34:12.440
<v Speaker 1>to look at the market and say, hey, where am

0:34:12.480 --> 0:34:14.560
<v Speaker 1>I going to get the steadiest growth, not get the

0:34:14.560 --> 0:34:17.120
<v Speaker 1>big ups and downs. And I think the steady growth

0:34:17.200 --> 0:34:21.520
<v Speaker 1>is being broad based, not overweighting in any industry and collector.

0:34:21.680 --> 0:34:24.480
<v Speaker 1>And again I know value was out of favor, but again,

0:34:24.520 --> 0:34:27.240
<v Speaker 1>over time value would be more than the more consistent

0:34:27.480 --> 0:34:29.080
<v Speaker 1>All right, well, Charlie, thank you so much. Have a

0:34:29.080 --> 0:34:32.719
<v Speaker 1>good Thanksgiving. Charlie Massimo, Senior VP, Financial Advisor and Wealth

0:34:32.800 --> 0:34:35.040
<v Speaker 1>Enhancement Group, on the phone from Blue Point, New York.

0:34:35.480 --> 0:34:38.360
<v Speaker 1>Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week. Download the podcast

0:34:38.400 --> 0:34:41.600
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0:34:41.640 --> 0:34:44.040
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0:34:44.120 --> 0:34:47.960
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0:34:47.960 --> 0:34:49.000
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