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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we.

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Speaker 1: Go spreading the court ten seconds of maning, so just

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Speaker 1: go show me under the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 4: The true for the wind God.

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Speaker 3: Amerracle. I'm just stop the water.

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Speaker 2: Hit that one from the parking lot. What's off the generation?

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Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is

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Speaker 2: the nc Double A Tournament Betting Preview, Part one. I'm

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Speaker 2: stucky joining me today my fellow BBOC co host. It's

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Speaker 2: Mike Calvary's tanamograph. Today we will cover every game on

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Speaker 2: the board for Thursday's slate of an episode out tomorrow

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Speaker 2: for Friday's slate. It is the best time of the year.

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Speaker 2: I can't even remember the last time I thought about sleep.

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Speaker 2: If you're want to pay off some of my work,

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Speaker 2: I'll have about ten thousand words on the app going

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Speaker 2: through all the thirteenth or fifteen seeds, a huge statistical

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Speaker 2: breakdown of the entire field. Got contests. I'm running contest,

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Speaker 2: I'm joining brackets to fill out matchups, to break down bets,

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Speaker 2: to make it's just a finanza. It's the best time

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Speaker 2: of the year. This hide will sustain me until Thursday,

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Speaker 2: and then the games will sustain me until Monday and

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Speaker 2: then I can maybe get some sleep. But gentlemen, it's

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Speaker 2: the most wonderful time of the year. Be ready to

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Speaker 2: get into some of these games.

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Speaker 3: Let's do it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't wait to dig into it.

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Speaker 5: I was also pulling double duty doing a little Action

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Speaker 5: Network payoff pitch talking about the Japan series between the

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Speaker 5: Dodgers and the Cubs. But I'm gonna be lying if

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Speaker 5: I didn't have a little side eye on all my

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Speaker 5: notes for this particular podcast.

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Speaker 2: So I'm excited to take into it. I have no

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Speaker 2: time for baseball right now. All right, let's start off.

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Speaker 2: We'll go in chronological order, so we'll start with the

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Speaker 2: first game, twelve to fifteen Eastern on CBS, Creighton versus

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Speaker 2: Louisville in Lexington. Louis is a two and a half

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Speaker 2: point favorite total one five and a half. Louisville kind

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Speaker 2: of got shafted with this seed that's been talked about

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Speaker 2: a lot. I mean since January one. Per Torvick, they're

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Speaker 2: eleventh in the country. They should have Rin Smith back

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Speaker 2: as well, provide some some spacing and some additional shooting.

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Speaker 2: I keep going back and forth in this game, Like,

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Speaker 2: I'm pretty close to market on the line, and I

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Speaker 2: know that in my bracket, like this is the first game.

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Speaker 2: Friend of the show and fellow podcast host Jim Root

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Speaker 2: I saw him tweet like, this is the game that

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Speaker 2: utter who you picked. You know, it's just gonna be

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Speaker 2: wrong in your bracket. That's where I stand right now.

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Speaker 2: And by the way, I do think that Creighton has

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Speaker 2: some interesting schematic things that they do that maybe could

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Speaker 2: give Auburn some trouble and Louisville would be playing with

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Speaker 2: a semi home court advantage. I just did not overly.

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Speaker 2: I'm not like that confident, so confident either one of

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Speaker 2: them that I'm willing in my bracket so to speak,

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Speaker 2: to move them past Auburn. But I think that they

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Speaker 2: have they have the wings that could potentially score against

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Speaker 2: the Calugh drop Creighton defense. So I don't know. As

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Speaker 2: of now, I'm leaning Louisville not a strong take for me.

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Speaker 2: Might not have a bet on this. Maybe I'll thrown

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Speaker 2: around Robin or something general. I'll go to you, you

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Speaker 2: got anything here?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I took Louisville money line minus one thirty five.

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Speaker 3: I think minus one forty or better. You mentioned, like

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Speaker 3: you know, the obvious fact the game is being played

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Speaker 3: in Lexington. I think that's a bit of a home

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Speaker 3: court advantage and that's probably baked into the line. But

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Speaker 3: I still like the Cardinals here. You mentioned one reason,

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Speaker 3: but the main reason for me is just on the

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Speaker 3: defensive end, where I think Hepburn and the Cardinals can

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Speaker 3: blitz and swallow up Ashworth and force the kind of

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Speaker 3: turnover pro and Blue Jays into a lot of mistakes.

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Speaker 3: And you'll see the Cardinals shift defensive coverages, but they'll

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Speaker 3: play straight up and they'll iso funnel a lot, which

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Speaker 3: I don't think the motion based Blue Jays are super

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Speaker 3: comfortable with. And most importantly, Louisville is a good post

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Speaker 3: up defense. They're zero point eight points per posession allowed

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Speaker 3: in those sets top twenty five Nashly. I think they

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Speaker 3: can hang with calc Brenner underneath, stop Creighton's off ball permiteractions,

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Speaker 3: and then stifle Ashworth. I like the defensive matchup for them.

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Speaker 3: I am worried about if James Scott gets into foul

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Speaker 3: trouble or if Louisville decides to post double and then

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Speaker 3: Creyton just kind of bombs away from deep. But again,

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Speaker 3: this isn't your typical McDermott offense. At Creighton, they shot

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Speaker 3: under thirty four percent from three this year. They're not fire.

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Speaker 2: Hob of role players and other shooters that are consistent enough,

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Speaker 2: especially away from home. Yeah, Like they're so reliant on

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Speaker 2: Ashworth and Kulchbrenner. And in this particular matchup, I think

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Speaker 2: Louisville can for the most part, you know, barring foul

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Speaker 2: trouble or outlier performances. I think for the most part

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Speaker 2: they match up pretty well. So then I think it's

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Speaker 2: going to be on those other ancillary guys. I'm not

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Speaker 2: sure I fully trust them.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, now they do. I And on the other end

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Speaker 3: of the court, like you said, the wing creation, Like,

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Speaker 3: all right, so the Cal drop it's going to take

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Speaker 3: away all of Louisville's precious catch and shoot opportunities. But

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Speaker 3: the Cardinals they have dribble creators that could beat drop coverage.

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Speaker 3: You know, Hepburn, Hadley Edwards, and they just played four

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Speaker 3: drop heavy defenses. They were great against Cal, they were

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Speaker 3: great against Stanford, and they were great against Clemson. They

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Speaker 3: struggled against Duke, but everyone struggles against Duke. The point

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Speaker 3: is I think they're ready and prepped to move it

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Speaker 3: to primary creation in this first round matchup, and I

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Speaker 3: don't know. I mean, I guess Smith is back. I

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Speaker 3: was a little worried about it, Like, even if he's

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Speaker 3: not one hundred percent, are good to go. There's a

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Speaker 3: case to be made that they're better defensively without him,

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Speaker 3: which is where I'm looking for the Cardinals to win

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Speaker 3: this matchup. So I like Louisville in the first game

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Speaker 3: of the tournament.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, when we'd prefer to drop or calk drop or

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Speaker 2: drop coverage, I know people aren't not everyone is in

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Speaker 2: tune with college basketball lingo, But well, Tanner, do you

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Speaker 2: want to just give a fifteen second summary of what

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Speaker 2: that means?

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Speaker 3: Yeah? Sure, So drop coverage is the most passive of

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Speaker 3: ball screen coverage or pick and roll coverage. So in

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Speaker 3: a ball screen, the guard defender, the back court defender,

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Speaker 3: the primary defender will go over the screen and usually

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Speaker 3: funnel the ball handler into the middle of the court,

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Speaker 3: where the lower defender or the front court defender will

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Speaker 3: sag towards the rim. And what that ultimately ultimately does

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Speaker 3: is that it funnels that primary creation into the middle

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Speaker 3: of the court, where they usually have to pull up

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Speaker 3: in the mid range over the top of your drop

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Speaker 3: defender at the rim, and at the same time, your

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Speaker 3: other three defenders on the outside of the ball screen

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Speaker 3: can stay on the off ball shooters and the off

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Speaker 3: ball guys. So it denies a lot of those you know,

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Speaker 3: kicks to the corners and stuff and really just funnels

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Speaker 3: on ball creation into the middle of the court. And

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Speaker 3: Creighton and their cal drop does that better than anyone.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, you got to have a guy like Calbrunner at

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Speaker 2: the rim to do that effectively. And the profiles that

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Speaker 2: you'll see for these drop heavy defenses, they're like low

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Speaker 2: three point attempt right aloud, low turnover rate right, a

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Speaker 2: loud Yeah, lowisists right or a loud and teams that

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Speaker 2: can beat them, you know, have good dribble creators and

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Speaker 2: can thrive in the mid range. Uh, Calbary's what are

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Speaker 2: you looking at here at Creighton Louisville.

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Speaker 5: I'm just gonna go with the player prop just to

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Speaker 5: get someone on the board. He can't have the first

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Speaker 5: game go off with out any action. Steven Ashworth. It's

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Speaker 5: actually plus money plus one thirty out in the market

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Speaker 5: to go over three and a half made triples in

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Speaker 5: the last quarter of the season. His last nine games,

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Speaker 5: he averaged over nine three point attempts per game. He's

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Speaker 5: a career thirty eight percent shooter. I think this is

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Speaker 5: a great money might bet at plus money just because, yes,

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Speaker 5: I do think they're.

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Speaker 2: Gonna blitz him to a certain degree.

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Speaker 5: I think there's gonna be turnovers, but offensively outside of

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Speaker 5: KALKI like he's somebody's just going to get a shots up.

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Speaker 5: You know, there's to see this trend line for the

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Speaker 5: last quarter of the season to see how comfortable he

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Speaker 5: is trying to take over. And this is his last ride.

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Speaker 5: I mean, he's what twenty five years old, He's been

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Speaker 5: playing college basketball for half of a decade.

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Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna go out quietly.

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Speaker 5: And this Louisville defense gives up eight triples per game

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Speaker 5: at a thirty three point seven percent clip. Both are

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Speaker 5: slightly below national averages. So they gambled defensively in other

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Speaker 5: places on the floor and allow you to shoot from distance,

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Speaker 5: and he's certainly one of the best to do it

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Speaker 5: in college basketball. So the fact that I can get

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Speaker 5: it at plus money, that was enough to move me

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Speaker 5: onto this bet.

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Speaker 2: All right, let's be one to the second game, high

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Speaker 2: Point versus per Due. This will tip off twelve forty

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Speaker 2: on True TV. Familiarize yourself with where True TV is.

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Speaker 2: Remember where that channel is. This game will kick tip

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Speaker 2: off in Providence, Rhode Island for do an eight point

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Speaker 2: favor total one fifty three and a half. Hey, we

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Speaker 2: just talked about the cock drop. It's a good transition

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Speaker 2: because we have the photo Boto drop per high Point.

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Speaker 2: They play drop coverage. Problem is they don't do it well.

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Speaker 2: And I mean Boto Bodo who is there? Big? He's

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Speaker 2: their seven footer. He is a good defender obviously with

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Speaker 2: his length, but no one else on high Point can

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Speaker 2: really defend. That's their issue. And they're going up against

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Speaker 2: Braden Smith, who can destroy drop coverage, especially bad drop coverage.

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Speaker 2: Why well, what do we just talk about? Uh, mid

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Speaker 2: range high point three hundred and forty eighth in mid

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Speaker 2: range of tempt allowed. Well, Smith and that Purdue offense

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Speaker 2: twenty eighth in mid range of tenth rate eleven in

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Speaker 2: mid range percentage, they should be very comfortable running their

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Speaker 2: pick and roll TKR. I think could even have success

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Speaker 2: in the post Boto Boto a lot of length, but

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Speaker 2: the high Point post defense just grades out in the

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Speaker 2: fifteenth percentile nationally. Produce defense does have issues. So what

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Speaker 2: is the path here for high Point? Because High Point

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Speaker 2: extremely experienced one of the deepest teams in the country

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Speaker 2: yet alone mid majors. I mean, they won their conference

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Speaker 2: championship by just bringing in a bench unit and coming

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Speaker 2: back to win the game. And they just stuck with

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Speaker 2: their bench unit throughout they can. They just have a

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Speaker 2: ton of different wings that can drive, kick it out

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Speaker 2: to shooters who are elite and catching shoot situations. So

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Speaker 2: there's a reason this offense finished twenty fifth and overall

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Speaker 2: justed efficiency. They could score in bunches, they have many

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Speaker 2: different avenues to do so. Now I will say they

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Speaker 2: didn't play a single high major team this year. They're

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Speaker 2: only result against attorney team was Norfolk State. They lost

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Speaker 2: seventy seven to seventy four. So how do they win

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Speaker 2: this game? I like, honestly, I think they have to

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Speaker 2: score ninety, which they could on a good day. But

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Speaker 2: the Purdue defense has issues. There's some exploitable airs in

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Speaker 2: this Purdue defense that can be attacked. And I do

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Speaker 2: trust i Point offense to put up points. My betting

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Speaker 2: this game out. The thing that I'm most confident in

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Speaker 2: is produce scoring at will. I know that they shoot

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Speaker 2: five percent less from three away from home, which wearies

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Speaker 2: me a bit. And this is like an early tip,

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Speaker 2: so maybe there's a slow start. So, like I thought

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Speaker 2: about waiting to get this live, but I think produce

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Speaker 2: getting into the eighties at least. So I'm playing Purdue team.

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Speaker 2: I played produe team total over Caby's what are you

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Speaker 2: looking at here?

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Speaker 5: Over one fifty three and a half for a lot

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Speaker 5: of the same reasons that you just put out there,

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Speaker 5: but I would put, you know, an exclamation point on

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Speaker 5: produced defensive issues inside the arc three in fiftieth and

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Speaker 5: two point percentage defense, it's a layup line. They give

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Speaker 5: up twenty eight points per game at the rim, and

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Speaker 5: as you point out, there's a high point team that

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Speaker 5: hunts those two point shots inside a ten feet I

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Speaker 5: think there's an opportunity for them to score seventy five

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Speaker 5: plus on their own, even in a losing effort. So

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Speaker 5: I think this game is going to have a chance

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Speaker 5: to touch a buck seventy. I mean, honestly, you could

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Speaker 5: see so many separate players going off in this Kaufman.

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Speaker 5: Wren has been eating up Big ten competition really for

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Speaker 5: the past two weeks. I think he can go for

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Speaker 5: twenty five plus without breaking a sweat, and Smith if

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Speaker 5: he is feeling it early in the mid range, I

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Speaker 5: don't think there's any answers for this high point defense.

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Speaker 5: So one fifty three and a half I think is

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Speaker 5: off by about five or six points. I agree sometimes

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Speaker 5: you get these sleepy starts. At least it's not a

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Speaker 5: morning local time tip. But even with that said, I'm

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Speaker 5: going to go over on the total.

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Speaker 3: You're on boardier too, Jara, Yeah, clean sweep more or less.

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Speaker 3: I think it's a straightforward handicap over one hundred and

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Speaker 3: fifty three and a half. You mentioned it high points,

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Speaker 3: soft drop coverage defense. That's gonna get roasted by Braden Smith.

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Speaker 3: And they also they really struggle in high point, really

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Speaker 3: struggles in post up defense Z point nine to six

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Speaker 3: points per posession allowed. That's sub three hundred nationally. So

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Speaker 3: Tray Goffman Ren can eat here on post upsets too.

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Speaker 3: They Purdue team. For a Purdue team that struggles with

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Speaker 3: they don't have a lot of depth, you know, they

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Speaker 3: kind of just have two guys they can just play

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Speaker 3: the two man game and score every single dime down

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Speaker 3: the court for forty minutes. And on the other end

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Speaker 3: of the court, like you mentioned, like high Point, They're

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Speaker 3: a top twenty five offense for a reason and Purdue

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Speaker 3: is a horrific in tier defense for a reason. The

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Speaker 3: Panthers are great and hard role creation. Purdue doesn't stop that.

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Speaker 3: The Panthers are great off the dribble in an isolation creation,

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Speaker 3: Perdue can't stop that either. High Point is like stuck.

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Speaker 3: You mentioned an elite spacing and shooting team, especially in

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Speaker 3: catch and shoot creation, and Purdue allows a ton of

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Speaker 3: catch and shoot creation. And on top of that, I

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Speaker 3: think they've gotten really lucky this year in that regard.

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Speaker 3: I mean, opponents shot thirty one percent on unguarded catch

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Speaker 3: and shoe jumpers against Purdue this year on high volume.

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Speaker 3: That is that point nine to two points per possession

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Speaker 3: is the sixth lowest mark nationally and about point two

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Speaker 3: off expectations. Their past ten opponents have shot under thirty

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Speaker 3: percent from deep on high volume. I think the Panthers

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Speaker 3: need to hit their shots here to keep up, But

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Speaker 3: I do think Purdue is due for someone to hit

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Speaker 3: shots against them. I mean, the one big worry is

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Speaker 3: pace could be a slower pace game, but I'm not

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Speaker 3: going to overthink it. Dead shot over she should be

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Speaker 3: through the roof, yep, exactly.

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Speaker 2: And Also I think.

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Speaker 5: Purdue, if the shots are going in, I think it's

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Speaker 5: easy for them to be coaxed into playing a little

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Speaker 5: bit faster. You know, if they're playing faster and it's working,

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Speaker 5: why slow it down and try to muck it up.

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Speaker 5: Particularly with all of those early exits in Matt Painter's career,

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Speaker 5: It's like, you don't want to mess around and give

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Speaker 5: it a team that is, you know, inferior in a

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Speaker 5: lot of ways, a chance to hang around by making

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Speaker 5: a low possession game. So I'm going to at least

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Speaker 5: hope that Matt Painter learned his lessons from some of

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Speaker 5: those early exits.

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Speaker 2: Bracket wise, I Purdue winning and then going down in

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Speaker 2: the next round. I agree with Calvary's Yeah, I'm with

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Speaker 2: you on that. I'm not enamored with this Purdue team.

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Speaker 5: I think that they have certain limitations, namely outside of

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Speaker 5: who scores outside their top two guys in this matchup,

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Speaker 5: both of them have the exact kind of schematic look

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Speaker 5: that you know, plays into their hands. But after that,

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Speaker 5: once they get deeper into the tournament, I think teams

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Speaker 5: that have a little bit more defensively to throw at them,

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Speaker 5: even coaches that just want to bury up their looks,

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Speaker 5: I think they're going to run into trouble.

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Speaker 3: I will say that this matchup is probably pretty high variance.

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Speaker 3: Like if high Point just you know, hits everything from deep,

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Speaker 3: they could probably went out right. I just can't get

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Speaker 3: there with the defense. It's just too solid.

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Speaker 2: They gotta win the shootout, like they yeah, like the

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Speaker 2: UNC one of the like their unc Asheville games kind

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Speaker 2: of like that exactly, maybe not in one hundreds, but

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Speaker 2: like the low nineties eighties, that's how the I think

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Speaker 2: they have to win. So they'll so they're they'll win

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Speaker 2: like fifty four to fifty one. That's tough. This works,

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Speaker 2: all right. Let's move on to Denver, Montana taking on Wisconsin.

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Speaker 2: Wisconsin seventeen and a half points favorite total one fifty

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Speaker 2: one and a half. Scame will tip off one thirty

315
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Speaker 2: eastern on TNT Calibris. I'm looking. I don't share any notes.

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Speaker 2: I don't even look at any of the outlines. You

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Speaker 2: guys just put down with your picks are I'm just

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Speaker 2: I just pulled up right when we start recording, you're

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Speaker 2: gonna try to make a case for Montana. No, thank you.

320
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Speaker 2: I never ever trust the big Skuy in the NCAA tournament.

321
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Speaker 2: I remember someone telling me that like ten years ago,

322
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Speaker 2: actually longer than that. I'm so much older than I think.

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Speaker 2: Sometimes this is like, yeah, it's probably ten years ago actually,

324
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Speaker 2: and it's just so true. I haven't faded them enough,

325
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Speaker 2: but they just don't profile well when they step up

326
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Speaker 2: in class. I mean, look at Montana. This year Montana

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Speaker 2: played Oregon, lost seventy nine forty eight, Tennessee ninety two

328
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Speaker 2: to fifty seven. Utah State they lost ninety five eighty three.

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Speaker 2: What do you notice that they can't stop anybody? Their

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Speaker 2: offense still works. They're offense eighty nine in games against

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Speaker 2: the top one hundred, but they went one in six

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Speaker 2: and their defense ranked three hundred and thirteen. So and

333
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Speaker 2: look Travis to cure the Montana coach eight and twenty

334
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Speaker 2: four against the spread against power conferences, failing the cover

335
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Speaker 2: by six points per game. And but numbers are the

336
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Speaker 2: big Sky performance in the dance one in twenty four

337
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Speaker 2: straight up seven sixteen and two against the spread. Since

338
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Speaker 2: two thousand, it's lost eighteen straight games, hasn't defeated a

339
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Speaker 2: high Major this century. Only win came in two thousand

340
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Speaker 2: and six against Nevada. Montana does have a very good offense,

341
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Speaker 2: and look, they're a different team since they inserted Kai

342
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Speaker 2: Johnson into the starting lineup, and it hasn't hurt. They

343
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Speaker 2: shot forty one percent from three since February first. But

344
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Speaker 2: I just I don't really love the matchup here because

345
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Speaker 2: they want to attack the rim relentlessly. Off the dribble,

346
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Speaker 2: they just want to drive, get to the room. They're

347
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Speaker 2: good finishers there, but I don't see how they're going

348
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Speaker 2: to do that against Wisconsin size. Now, they do have

349
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Speaker 2: shooters and they've been shooting it. Well, that's their path

350
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Speaker 2: here because they have no size, they're gonna get no

351
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Speaker 2: offensive rebounds. They're just gonna have to go nuclear from three.

352
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Speaker 2: But their offense is good and you could there's opportunities

353
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Speaker 2: to score on Wisconsin the other end, though, I just

354
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Speaker 2: don't know how Montana's stopping Wisconsin. They do it a

355
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Speaker 2: great job of limiting three point attempts base drop, but

356
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Speaker 2: and that's helpful against Wisconsin but they don't have any size,

357
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Speaker 2: like how the Wisconsin should just eat inside. And I mean,

358
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Speaker 2: this is the poorest mid major defense there two hundred

359
00:18:25,280 --> 00:18:28,600
Speaker 2: and fiftieth and adjusted defense efficiency, and the numbers get

360
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Speaker 2: worse when they step up in class. The only thing

361
00:18:31,520 --> 00:18:33,119
Speaker 2: this would have been it would have been an easy

362
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Speaker 2: click for me. But I feel like you're gonna say

363
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Speaker 2: it stuck bud schedule. But I'm still not playing Montana.

364
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Speaker 2: But this would have been easy click over Wisconsin because

365
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Speaker 2: Wisconsin would have would have gotten ninety if under normal circumstances.

366
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Speaker 2: But they played four and four days. We're completely gassed.

367
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Speaker 2: Cost me my future and their legs are gone now

368
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Speaker 2: they get shipped out to Denver and have to play

369
00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:04,840
Speaker 2: the early game against the team that's already acclimated. So

370
00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,160
Speaker 2: Alphas usually takes like one to three days, so are

371
00:19:07,200 --> 00:19:09,480
Speaker 2: the legs there now? Tanja did play in Colorado State,

372
00:19:09,920 --> 00:19:13,840
Speaker 2: so maybe that's helpful. He's played in altitude before, but

373
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Speaker 2: that just that little uncertainty probably keeps you on the sidelines.

374
00:19:20,560 --> 00:19:24,840
Speaker 2: It's still Montana, I mean, it's still Wisconsin and over

375
00:19:25,440 --> 00:19:29,040
Speaker 2: or nothing for me, but I'm probably passing unless this

376
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:31,399
Speaker 2: line comes down. But Cabby's trot. I mean, do you

377
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Speaker 2: have anything to add there to the Montana case. You're

378
00:19:33,160 --> 00:19:35,560
Speaker 2: just betting on the Wisconsin legs here, Yeah, I mean

379
00:19:35,640 --> 00:19:38,280
Speaker 2: fifth game in a week for Wisconsin at altitude. You

380
00:19:38,320 --> 00:19:38,760
Speaker 2: mentioned it.

381
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Speaker 5: You know how battle tested is Montana at altitude? Well,

382
00:19:41,840 --> 00:19:44,040
Speaker 5: the Big Sky has four of the top twenty highest

383
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Speaker 5: elevations in the sport, so they're constantly playing at elevation.

384
00:19:47,680 --> 00:19:50,280
Speaker 5: And yes, the blow losses to Oregon and Tennessee, I

385
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:52,800
Speaker 5: think it's inflated. This number seventeen and a half just

386
00:19:52,800 --> 00:19:55,040
Speaker 5: seems rich to me for a team that can be

387
00:19:55,119 --> 00:19:57,760
Speaker 5: so efficient around the basket. You know, inside of fifteen

388
00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:00,960
Speaker 5: feet their top twenty in shooting efficiency in the entire country.

389
00:20:01,160 --> 00:20:03,800
Speaker 5: And you mentioned Travis Daker. He's been here twice in

390
00:20:03,840 --> 00:20:06,440
Speaker 5: the NANCAA Tournament in twenty eighteen and twenty nineteen. In

391
00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:09,320
Speaker 5: twenty eighteen, they hung with Michigan before fumbling a cover late.

392
00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:11,840
Speaker 5: They ended up losing that one sixty one forty.

393
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Speaker 2: Seven, so they mucked it up a little bit.

394
00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:15,240
Speaker 5: They get Michigan again the next year as a fifteen

395
00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:18,320
Speaker 5: seed and they lost. By nineteen, they weren't totally outclassed.

396
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:20,119
Speaker 5: I think you'd have to be crazy to call for

397
00:20:20,160 --> 00:20:22,760
Speaker 5: a big sky outright upset. But the fact is this

398
00:20:22,800 --> 00:20:26,919
Speaker 5: is an awful situational spot for Wisconsin. Also beyond just

399
00:20:27,000 --> 00:20:30,000
Speaker 5: the fifth game in a week, coming off emotionally, the

400
00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:32,240
Speaker 5: opportunity to win the Big Ten, which meant so much

401
00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,880
Speaker 5: to them, to now roll into a game where everybody

402
00:20:35,080 --> 00:20:37,280
Speaker 5: across the country is basically picking them and think they

403
00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,520
Speaker 5: should win in a laugher. Well, if their legs aren't

404
00:20:39,520 --> 00:20:41,840
Speaker 5: there and those threes aren't going down and Montana can

405
00:20:41,840 --> 00:20:44,200
Speaker 5: get out and you know, check those shooters a little bit,

406
00:20:44,359 --> 00:20:46,320
Speaker 5: I think this could be interesting in the second half.

407
00:20:46,359 --> 00:20:47,800
Speaker 2: I think they'll win by double.

408
00:20:47,560 --> 00:20:51,479
Speaker 5: Digits, but seventeen and a half screams Wisconsin blowout, and

409
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:54,400
Speaker 5: these other factors outside of just the basketball, I think

410
00:20:54,400 --> 00:20:55,919
Speaker 5: it trends towards Montana.

411
00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,480
Speaker 2: My only thing though is that and by the way,

412
00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:03,800
Speaker 2: altitude have been horrendous in the tournament, but it's usually

413
00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:06,400
Speaker 2: they don't get to play at altitude. Yeah, yeah, that's

414
00:21:06,960 --> 00:21:08,280
Speaker 2: a lot of that's because they're out that they don't

415
00:21:08,320 --> 00:21:10,600
Speaker 2: have that aptitude advantage that they have during the regular season.

416
00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,320
Speaker 2: A lot of that's just been the Mountain West in aptitude,

417
00:21:13,600 --> 00:21:16,960
Speaker 2: but that is probably not applicable here. But my my

418
00:21:17,040 --> 00:21:21,359
Speaker 2: other point, Montana wants to take away the three, but

419
00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:26,879
Speaker 2: I feel like that hurts them here because Wisconsin at shooting,

420
00:21:26,880 --> 00:21:28,560
Speaker 2: They're gonna throw up a ton of threes. But I

421
00:21:28,720 --> 00:21:32,760
Speaker 2: feel like you should just hope that Wisconsin's fatigued and

422
00:21:33,320 --> 00:21:35,960
Speaker 2: let them shoot a bunch of threes because they're gonna

423
00:21:35,960 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 2: be able to score at the rim. And that's my issue,

424
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:42,919
Speaker 2: Tanner or you're I think you're real leading towards what

425
00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:43,440
Speaker 2: I was saying.

426
00:21:43,760 --> 00:21:46,440
Speaker 3: Yeah, the exact same thoughts as you. I lean Wisconsin

427
00:21:46,600 --> 00:21:50,040
Speaker 3: and over it just it shouldn't be hard for Wisconsin

428
00:21:50,080 --> 00:21:51,680
Speaker 3: to score. You're right, they don't need to shoot threes

429
00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,600
Speaker 3: because Montana's defense they can't stop the dribble, they can't

430
00:21:54,600 --> 00:21:56,399
Speaker 3: protect the rim, and they get shredded in the post.

431
00:21:56,760 --> 00:22:00,000
Speaker 3: Wisconsin can feed the rock to the Tanji Blackwell clesman tree,

432
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:02,640
Speaker 3: let them cook in ball screens, or they can feed

433
00:22:02,680 --> 00:22:04,119
Speaker 3: winter and crawl in the posts. Let them work in

434
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,520
Speaker 3: the post. I mean, it gets more interesting on the

435
00:22:06,520 --> 00:22:08,960
Speaker 3: other end of the court. Like, like you said, Breeze,

436
00:22:08,960 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 3: like Montana is an elite interior offense. The problem is

437
00:22:11,240 --> 00:22:14,960
Speaker 3: that Wisconsin's the best rim denial defense in the nation arguably.

438
00:22:15,000 --> 00:22:17,280
Speaker 3: I mean, nobody gets to the rim against that wall.

439
00:22:19,440 --> 00:22:23,120
Speaker 3: Now Montana, they do space the floor well and they

440
00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:26,359
Speaker 3: generate that high unguarded catch and shoot rate. But Wisconsin

441
00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:28,560
Speaker 3: also is an elite catch and shoot denial defense because

442
00:22:28,600 --> 00:22:31,840
Speaker 3: of that too big drop. I do think, however, like

443
00:22:31,880 --> 00:22:34,119
Speaker 3: Stucky said, there are some opportunities, and I think the

444
00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:37,720
Speaker 3: way that Montana scores here is that the Badger's drop

445
00:22:37,760 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 3: cover is susceptible to like really good dribble and isocreation,

446
00:22:41,240 --> 00:22:44,080
Speaker 3: you know, like braidspific gets high point and Montana has

447
00:22:44,119 --> 00:22:46,480
Speaker 3: a lot of that in the backcourt and in the wings.

448
00:22:46,520 --> 00:22:47,960
Speaker 3: I think they could snake the ball screen. They can

449
00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:51,440
Speaker 3: get an Yeah, Money Williams is great, Brandon Whitney, all

450
00:22:51,480 --> 00:22:55,920
Speaker 3: these guys, And so I do, like I said, lead

451
00:22:56,000 --> 00:22:59,000
Speaker 3: Badgers in the over here. Badgers should score will big

452
00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:02,680
Speaker 3: sky teams never play competition. But Montana has some avenues

453
00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:05,120
Speaker 3: to offense. I just I can't get that they're either

454
00:23:05,200 --> 00:23:09,720
Speaker 3: Stucky because the short turnaround spot to altitude. And my

455
00:23:09,760 --> 00:23:12,880
Speaker 3: worry for the over is Montana trying to rely entirely

456
00:23:12,920 --> 00:23:15,840
Speaker 3: on dribble and isocreation rather than penetrating dish. I just

457
00:23:15,880 --> 00:23:19,560
Speaker 3: don't think that's their base offense. So yeah, that's my thoughts.

458
00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to this game, which we

459
00:23:22,040 --> 00:23:25,840
Speaker 2: probably won't spend much time on. This is it's about

460
00:23:25,840 --> 00:23:29,080
Speaker 2: as ugly as it gets. Houston minus twenty eight and

461
00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:32,800
Speaker 2: a half against Siue. This is the one sixteen matchup

462
00:23:33,520 --> 00:23:36,359
Speaker 2: in wichitav This game will tip a two pm Eastern

463
00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:42,760
Speaker 2: on TBS. Now, I will say historically, and this is

464
00:23:42,960 --> 00:23:45,720
Speaker 2: just that doesn't mean it's going to hit in the future.

465
00:23:45,720 --> 00:23:49,200
Speaker 2: But historically, when there's a big favorite with a total

466
00:23:49,200 --> 00:23:52,480
Speaker 2: a really low total, favorites have done well. On the

467
00:23:52,520 --> 00:23:56,320
Speaker 2: overs have done really well, like extremely well. Total is

468
00:23:56,359 --> 00:23:58,480
Speaker 2: under one thirty five favorite of like over sixteen points.

469
00:23:58,520 --> 00:24:01,959
Speaker 2: My hypothesis is there is that what usually what happens

470
00:24:02,000 --> 00:24:05,000
Speaker 2: is you have like a dominant defense and slow paced

471
00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:08,000
Speaker 2: team like Houston playing like a team the market doesn't

472
00:24:08,000 --> 00:24:12,119
Speaker 2: think is going to score, but like Houston is just

473
00:24:12,200 --> 00:24:14,680
Speaker 2: able to score at will, and then like the higher

474
00:24:14,680 --> 00:24:16,480
Speaker 2: seed is able to just score it will, and then

475
00:24:17,040 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 2: the lower seat, which usually plays slower, is like getting

476
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:23,040
Speaker 2: blown out and just has to play way faster than

477
00:24:23,040 --> 00:24:23,639
Speaker 2: they usually do.

478
00:24:23,720 --> 00:24:25,240
Speaker 3: And then the higher seed just gives up in the

479
00:24:25,280 --> 00:24:27,640
Speaker 3: second half. Yeah, I think that happened to Houston last

480
00:24:27,680 --> 00:24:29,760
Speaker 3: year where I was like fifty nine first half points

481
00:24:29,760 --> 00:24:31,480
Speaker 3: and then like seventy five in the second half.

482
00:24:31,880 --> 00:24:34,840
Speaker 2: Because I hate that, Like Houston's built to win this

483
00:24:34,840 --> 00:24:38,120
Speaker 2: game by forty yep, But I just I hate betting

484
00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:42,399
Speaker 2: these twenty six twenty eight thirty points bets because what

485
00:24:42,480 --> 00:24:45,280
Speaker 2: ends up happening, you know, unless you're like up forty

486
00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:49,080
Speaker 2: five is in the in the tournament, is that you're

487
00:24:49,119 --> 00:24:52,720
Speaker 2: gonna have Houston knows they play on Saturday, so they're

488
00:24:52,760 --> 00:24:56,639
Speaker 2: gonna pull this like they're up thirty six. There I

489
00:24:56,680 --> 00:24:58,800
Speaker 2: need like such a huge hedge to play. They're gonna

490
00:24:58,800 --> 00:25:01,200
Speaker 2: pull their starters and it's gonna be Houston's backups versus

491
00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:04,600
Speaker 2: Sue starters all the way to the end, with just

492
00:25:04,640 --> 00:25:09,080
Speaker 2: shenanigans Like this is gonna come down the like of

493
00:25:09,240 --> 00:25:13,200
Speaker 2: like a Houston walk on like shooting a one in

494
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:15,199
Speaker 2: one with like a minute ago, and then does Sue

495
00:25:15,400 --> 00:25:21,640
Speaker 2: hit a three? So I know, like Houston historically would

496
00:25:21,800 --> 00:25:24,880
Speaker 2: wins these games and blows these teams out. I don't know.

497
00:25:25,400 --> 00:25:27,520
Speaker 2: I will say the only time this is like an anomaly.

498
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:27,679
Speaker 5: This.

499
00:25:27,920 --> 00:25:29,879
Speaker 2: I mean, this is the second time ever in the

500
00:25:29,920 --> 00:25:31,920
Speaker 2: history of the tournament there's been a favorite of twenty

501
00:25:31,960 --> 00:25:35,000
Speaker 2: eight or more points with a total under one thirty one,

502
00:25:35,520 --> 00:25:37,120
Speaker 2: and this is at one pointy six and a half.

503
00:25:37,160 --> 00:25:40,879
Speaker 2: It's only happened one other time. It was UCLA versus

504
00:25:41,720 --> 00:25:45,320
Speaker 2: Calbarys's beloved Delta Devils of Mississippi Valley State in two

505
00:25:45,359 --> 00:25:51,720
Speaker 2: thousand and eight. UCLA won seventy to twenty nine. So,

506
00:25:53,160 --> 00:25:57,200
Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, could I see that score happening? Maybe?

507
00:25:57,480 --> 00:25:59,960
Speaker 2: I don't know. That'syue scores they need to get in transition.

508
00:26:00,160 --> 00:26:04,840
Speaker 2: That's it. They can't score the half court, so you

509
00:26:04,880 --> 00:26:09,320
Speaker 2: can't and you can't score in transition against Houston. So

510
00:26:09,359 --> 00:26:12,960
Speaker 2: what's the path here? I Taylor just gets red hot.

511
00:26:14,359 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 2: It's about it. I got nothing to hear, Dot. Do

512
00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:19,720
Speaker 2: you have anything? Tanner?

513
00:26:20,720 --> 00:26:22,960
Speaker 3: A lot of the same thoughts as you. I have

514
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,439
Speaker 3: zero interest in betting these sixteen verse one games. I

515
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:27,960
Speaker 3: also don't like betting big spreads, and you know, it's

516
00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:29,720
Speaker 3: just it seems like a crapshoot at the end of

517
00:26:29,720 --> 00:26:32,240
Speaker 3: the game. You could do worse than to bet it

518
00:26:32,320 --> 00:26:36,119
Speaker 3: under here, though, like like you said, like you mentioned SIU,

519
00:26:36,440 --> 00:26:39,160
Speaker 3: They're gonna get nothing. They are a horrific half court

520
00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:42,280
Speaker 3: offense going up against the most dominant, swarming half court

521
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:44,720
Speaker 3: defense on the planet. Shuts down every low major team

522
00:26:44,720 --> 00:26:48,320
Speaker 3: that faces the Cougar's played four Ken Pop sub two

523
00:26:48,359 --> 00:26:51,240
Speaker 3: hundred teams this year and held all four under fifty points.

524
00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,240
Speaker 3: And obviously you have to be good in catching shoe

525
00:26:54,240 --> 00:26:56,040
Speaker 3: creation to beat Houston. That's the only way to beat

526
00:26:56,080 --> 00:27:00,600
Speaker 3: the ball screen blitz, which Edwardsville is not. Now, like

527
00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,679
Speaker 3: you mentioned, SIU is a decent transition offense. Houston is

528
00:27:03,680 --> 00:27:06,280
Speaker 3: the nation's best transition denial defense right.

529
00:27:07,720 --> 00:27:07,880
Speaker 2: Now.

530
00:27:07,920 --> 00:27:09,840
Speaker 3: On the other end of the court, he's the Cougars

531
00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:12,719
Speaker 3: or Houston spends zero time running the open court like

532
00:27:12,920 --> 00:27:15,320
Speaker 3: they don't like to get out in transition. They're all

533
00:27:15,400 --> 00:27:19,560
Speaker 3: primary creation just off the dribble post feeds. SIUE is

534
00:27:19,600 --> 00:27:22,280
Speaker 3: a good dribbled defense. They're a good post up defense too.

535
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:24,680
Speaker 3: I mean they rake above the ninetieth percentile and points

536
00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:27,360
Speaker 3: for posision allowed against post sets against who I don't

537
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:30,560
Speaker 3: really know, but I don't so I think this game

538
00:27:30,640 --> 00:27:32,879
Speaker 3: is too unpredictable, like under or nothing for me.

539
00:27:33,680 --> 00:27:37,560
Speaker 2: But maybe in that we're talking about maybe a first

540
00:27:37,640 --> 00:27:38,240
Speaker 2: half under.

541
00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,640
Speaker 3: Yeah, that's that's not a bad look at all.

542
00:27:40,960 --> 00:27:43,240
Speaker 2: It might be worth a better looking because then before

543
00:27:43,280 --> 00:27:47,600
Speaker 2: the game just gets completely squirrely. Yeah, s i U E.

544
00:27:47,960 --> 00:27:50,639
Speaker 2: Like I think if si the way SIU E covers

545
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,520
Speaker 2: is just like a very Sean Taylor goes nuts and

546
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:56,400
Speaker 2: then if he doesn't, they don't cover. But they're also

547
00:27:56,440 --> 00:27:59,960
Speaker 2: still just could be just like game Shenanigan's but Houston

548
00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:02,600
Speaker 2: as usually cover these spreads in the first round. Calbry's

549
00:28:02,640 --> 00:28:03,240
Speaker 2: what you got here?

550
00:28:03,840 --> 00:28:06,600
Speaker 5: Yeah, Rayseean Taylor is going to fire up a million

551
00:28:06,600 --> 00:28:08,480
Speaker 5: shots in this game, and we know that because he

552
00:28:08,560 --> 00:28:11,320
Speaker 5: played Indiana and Illinois early in the season. Took thirty

553
00:28:11,359 --> 00:28:13,639
Speaker 5: seven shots in those two games. So he's just going

554
00:28:13,720 --> 00:28:15,680
Speaker 5: to fire up like twenty shots. Give it a chance.

555
00:28:16,080 --> 00:28:18,520
Speaker 2: I'm going to go with SIU first to ten in

556
00:28:18,560 --> 00:28:20,719
Speaker 2: this game. I've seen it now up to five to

557
00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 2: one in the market. And here's my argument, very simply.

558
00:28:23,800 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 5: Two years ago against Northern Kentucky they cashed the Norse

559
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:29,879
Speaker 5: cashed against Houston in the same exact spot of sixteen

560
00:28:30,000 --> 00:28:31,400
Speaker 5: verse one race to ten.

561
00:28:31,840 --> 00:28:33,280
Speaker 2: I think it was nine to two out in the

562
00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:34,000
Speaker 2: market and.

563
00:28:33,960 --> 00:28:36,359
Speaker 5: When you'll get Houston in the last let's call it

564
00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:38,720
Speaker 5: seven games to reach ten points.

565
00:28:38,840 --> 00:28:40,959
Speaker 2: On average, it's taking them six and a half minutes.

566
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:45,960
Speaker 5: They played Arizona BYU Colorado, Baylor, Kansas, Sincy Tech. They

567
00:28:46,040 --> 00:28:47,840
Speaker 5: had some games where they went through the motions early.

568
00:28:47,960 --> 00:28:50,640
Speaker 5: It's human nature to say, of course we're going to

569
00:28:50,720 --> 00:28:53,200
Speaker 5: win this game. We don't necessarily need to come out

570
00:28:53,240 --> 00:28:57,560
Speaker 5: gangbusters offensively. And I would much rather have an early

571
00:28:57,600 --> 00:29:00,200
Speaker 5: bet in a game like this than be sweating, you know,

572
00:29:00,400 --> 00:29:03,360
Speaker 5: in terms of foul shots, in terms of their intention,

573
00:29:03,680 --> 00:29:05,120
Speaker 5: you know, are they just emptying their bench?

574
00:29:05,200 --> 00:29:07,160
Speaker 2: Are they running the shot cut down laid in the game?

575
00:29:07,360 --> 00:29:08,120
Speaker 2: Do they even care?

576
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:10,160
Speaker 5: I can just see that last possession where they just

577
00:29:10,200 --> 00:29:12,120
Speaker 5: hand the ball over to the opponent that they don't

578
00:29:12,120 --> 00:29:13,600
Speaker 5: even want to take a shot. I don't want to

579
00:29:13,600 --> 00:29:15,560
Speaker 5: mess with that at all. So race to ten. I

580
00:29:15,560 --> 00:29:18,360
Speaker 5: have a few of these exotics on my Thursday Friday card.

581
00:29:18,560 --> 00:29:19,880
Speaker 5: I think if you can get at five to one,

582
00:29:19,960 --> 00:29:20,680
Speaker 5: it's worth of shot.

583
00:29:21,400 --> 00:29:24,080
Speaker 2: I mean, you better hope Houston doesn't score for the

584
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:29,840
Speaker 2: first twelve minutes. All right, Let's maybe it's like ten

585
00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,760
Speaker 2: to nine, thirteen minutes into the game on a Raean

586
00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:36,520
Speaker 2: Taylor three. We're obviously not going to cover the other

587
00:29:36,560 --> 00:29:38,960
Speaker 2: sixteen one. That'll tip off a two fifty eastern in

588
00:29:39,120 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 2: the South Region between Auburn and whoever wins the Alabama

589
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:48,040
Speaker 2: State Saint Francis game. If you're filling out your bracket,

590
00:29:48,400 --> 00:29:52,240
Speaker 2: feel free to move Fauburn on safely. I will spend

591
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:57,240
Speaker 2: this time talking two minutes about the South Region bracket.

592
00:29:57,720 --> 00:30:03,600
Speaker 2: Fascinating to me. So this bracket came out and everyone

593
00:30:03,720 --> 00:30:07,800
Speaker 2: was healthy. I have Iowa State in the final four

594
00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:13,160
Speaker 2: getting the revenge over Auburn. But now with Al Gilbert,

595
00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:17,440
Speaker 2: Like I'm not fully convinced on everything that's going on

596
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:19,720
Speaker 2: with Iowa State, he is important. I still think they

597
00:30:19,760 --> 00:30:22,080
Speaker 2: can make a run. I don't believe in this Michigan

598
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:25,720
Speaker 2: State offense. They still have some three point regression coming

599
00:30:25,720 --> 00:30:29,960
Speaker 2: on both ends. I am fully convinced of it, but

600
00:30:30,800 --> 00:30:33,000
Speaker 2: you know, especially in games in the tournament with like

601
00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:34,400
Speaker 2: you got to score in the half court, I just

602
00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:36,760
Speaker 2: don't trust the Michigan State offense. Call me a hater,

603
00:30:38,360 --> 00:30:40,760
Speaker 2: like I think that they could lose in the second round,

604
00:30:42,080 --> 00:30:48,200
Speaker 2: but I'm probably gonna have Iowa State coming still getting

605
00:30:48,200 --> 00:30:53,000
Speaker 2: through to the elite eight. The question is, since I'm

606
00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,280
Speaker 2: not fully confident on them, I can't put him in

607
00:30:55,280 --> 00:30:58,040
Speaker 2: the final four. So I'm like, how can I Am

608
00:30:58,040 --> 00:31:01,720
Speaker 2: I going to knock off Auburn? I told you before,

609
00:31:01,760 --> 00:31:04,160
Speaker 2: I'm not like so confident in little of work Creighton,

610
00:31:05,080 --> 00:31:07,080
Speaker 2: And then I think texts say and M is the

611
00:31:07,080 --> 00:31:09,479
Speaker 2: best shout of knocking off Auburn. But I'm not fully

612
00:31:09,520 --> 00:31:14,560
Speaker 2: convinced that they're going to get through Yale and Michigan

613
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 2: under UC san Diego, I think actually match up better

614
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:19,440
Speaker 2: with like, they match up pretty well Michigan Casey could

615
00:31:19,480 --> 00:31:23,960
Speaker 2: destroy them on the offensive glass. But so I don't know.

616
00:31:24,000 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 2: So I think by default this this is going to

617
00:31:25,880 --> 00:31:30,320
Speaker 2: be a chalky region for me. I might have Yeah,

618
00:31:30,520 --> 00:31:32,120
Speaker 2: I don't know. I still I just might have Auburn

619
00:31:32,200 --> 00:31:35,640
Speaker 2: coming through. Tanner, what are you doing with the South region?

620
00:31:37,120 --> 00:31:39,320
Speaker 3: Auburn or nothing? I wish I could take.

621
00:31:39,320 --> 00:31:41,440
Speaker 2: You might have nothing filled out, just leave it blank.

622
00:31:43,080 --> 00:31:45,800
Speaker 3: I actually when I first filled out my bracket, you know,

623
00:31:45,840 --> 00:31:49,160
Speaker 3: I printed it out ten minutes after selection Sunday, just

624
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:51,200
Speaker 3: went through it. I did think Texas A and M

625
00:31:51,200 --> 00:31:53,440
Speaker 3: gets through, because you're right, if they get through Yale

626
00:31:54,080 --> 00:31:58,320
Speaker 3: and they face Michigan. Let's say they'll have that's a

627
00:31:58,320 --> 00:31:59,560
Speaker 3: good path of this Sweet sixteen, and they have a

628
00:31:59,600 --> 00:32:02,440
Speaker 3: good chance knocking off Auburn, who's you know, bad than

629
00:32:02,480 --> 00:32:06,120
Speaker 3: defensive class and has been slashing down the stretch. But

630
00:32:06,160 --> 00:32:08,080
Speaker 3: I don't have a lot of interest in a lot

631
00:32:08,080 --> 00:32:10,160
Speaker 3: of these teams. Like you said, I was States banged up.

632
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:16,920
Speaker 3: Still don't trust Michigan State. Yeah, I don't know. Yeah,

633
00:32:16,960 --> 00:32:21,360
Speaker 3: I think you're right by default, you gotta go auburns.

634
00:32:21,360 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 2: What are you doing in the South? Yeah, it's Auburn

635
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:24,160
Speaker 2: for me.

636
00:32:25,000 --> 00:32:27,160
Speaker 5: I have to pump the brakes on my overall excitement

637
00:32:27,200 --> 00:32:29,320
Speaker 5: about what New Mexico could do and be like, let's

638
00:32:29,360 --> 00:32:31,760
Speaker 5: just start with one win from the Mountain West in

639
00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:32,800
Speaker 5: the round of sixty four.

640
00:32:33,680 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: I agree.

641
00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:37,480
Speaker 5: Iowa State was a team I was hyping up all year.

642
00:32:37,560 --> 00:32:39,479
Speaker 5: I was just like, they're back, they're healthy, they got

643
00:32:39,480 --> 00:32:42,160
Speaker 5: a full deck. They lose in that Classic against BYU

644
00:32:42,200 --> 00:32:45,360
Speaker 5: what three weeks ago, when they forced thirty turnovers, It's like,

645
00:32:45,360 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 5: all right, this team is ready to make a deep run.

646
00:32:48,200 --> 00:32:51,400
Speaker 5: And then losing Gilbert not only throws off your starters,

647
00:32:51,400 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 5: but then it forces Jones into the starting lineup. Who's

648
00:32:53,680 --> 00:32:56,360
Speaker 5: a phenomenal player, but then you lose all of you

649
00:32:56,400 --> 00:32:57,520
Speaker 5: know what he brings off the bench.

650
00:32:57,560 --> 00:32:58,440
Speaker 2: Sixth man of the Year.

651
00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:00,560
Speaker 5: So I just don't think they're going to have enough

652
00:33:00,680 --> 00:33:02,680
Speaker 5: if they get into an absolute war with Auburn and

653
00:33:02,720 --> 00:33:06,000
Speaker 5: the Elite Eight. I just love, really, just how scrappy

654
00:33:06,040 --> 00:33:08,520
Speaker 5: Auburn has been in at They've shown that they can

655
00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:12,200
Speaker 5: win without an absolute elite performance from Jenni Broom, and

656
00:33:12,200 --> 00:33:14,360
Speaker 5: that's not always true for some of these teams that

657
00:33:14,400 --> 00:33:17,000
Speaker 5: really need their March Madness hero to play out of

658
00:33:17,000 --> 00:33:19,360
Speaker 5: his mind, particularly in the Sweet sixteen and Elite Eight.

659
00:33:19,560 --> 00:33:21,320
Speaker 5: I just think Auburn has too many outs. So I'm

660
00:33:21,320 --> 00:33:22,959
Speaker 5: just gonna go with the Tigers there and be chockey.

661
00:33:23,280 --> 00:33:25,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I'm might be falling in the recently busses.

662
00:33:25,200 --> 00:33:28,080
Speaker 2: I do think that it's just that Auburn doesn't looked great,

663
00:33:28,080 --> 00:33:31,360
Speaker 2: but I they might. They probably just were like checked

664
00:33:31,360 --> 00:33:32,960
Speaker 2: out looking ahead to the tournament.

665
00:33:32,640 --> 00:33:34,680
Speaker 3: Knowing that once they get out of He's locked in.

666
00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,080
Speaker 5: With a target on you. For so long, it was

667
00:33:37,120 --> 00:33:40,040
Speaker 5: like six weeks of everyone's Super Bowl was playing Auburn.

668
00:33:40,200 --> 00:33:42,200
Speaker 5: So I mean, we certainly give the benefit of the

669
00:33:42,200 --> 00:33:44,720
Speaker 5: doubt in college football from time to time where if

670
00:33:44,720 --> 00:33:46,520
Speaker 5: you're a top team and other teams are getting up

671
00:33:46,560 --> 00:33:48,720
Speaker 5: for you constantly, even if you have a close win,

672
00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 5: it's like that's going to happen a little bit. But

673
00:33:50,640 --> 00:33:52,880
Speaker 5: I think it's an opportunity for Pearl and his staff

674
00:33:53,000 --> 00:33:56,000
Speaker 5: to get everybody refocused and you know, make this run.

675
00:33:56,440 --> 00:34:03,840
Speaker 2: Yeah. My overall macro bracket hypothesis and philosophy right now

676
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,959
Speaker 2: in this new portal world based on last year is

677
00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:11,040
Speaker 2: and what I'm saying this year is that the gap

678
00:34:11,080 --> 00:34:14,840
Speaker 2: between the top and the bottom is growing. Like this

679
00:34:14,880 --> 00:34:17,200
Speaker 2: is the widest we've ever seen the one versus sixteens.

680
00:34:17,200 --> 00:34:20,640
Speaker 2: If you just look ratings to verse fifteen, biggest widest

681
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:24,560
Speaker 2: gap three verse fourteen. So I think that we're going

682
00:34:24,640 --> 00:34:28,160
Speaker 2: to continue to see chalky first rounds still. I like,

683
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:30,520
Speaker 2: hopefully we still have an upset or two in some

684
00:34:30,600 --> 00:34:32,640
Speaker 2: good games, But for the most part, I think we'll

685
00:34:32,640 --> 00:34:34,320
Speaker 2: see chalk first runs. But I think that the parody

686
00:34:34,360 --> 00:34:37,000
Speaker 2: at the top is growing. So I think that the

687
00:34:37,560 --> 00:34:39,239
Speaker 2: as long as we don't have a Yukon for you know,

688
00:34:39,280 --> 00:34:42,000
Speaker 2: a couple of year stretch, I think that we're gonna

689
00:34:42,000 --> 00:34:44,000
Speaker 2: have better games and there's gonna be more upsets than

690
00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:48,520
Speaker 2: people are assuming. But so like I think we probably

691
00:34:48,560 --> 00:34:52,160
Speaker 2: get I'm gonna say I said we get, We're probably

692
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:58,920
Speaker 2: gonna get one thirteen that wins, maybe one fourteen, No fifteens.

693
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:01,279
Speaker 3: What do you mean it's not gonna beat Michigan State?

694
00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:02,840
Speaker 2: What's that? So?

695
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:04,680
Speaker 3: What do you mean Brian's gonna beat Michigan State.

696
00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:10,719
Speaker 2: We'll get to that. That's Friday, right Friday. But the

697
00:35:10,800 --> 00:35:13,000
Speaker 2: way that I'm so when you're filling out, I think

698
00:35:13,040 --> 00:35:16,200
Speaker 2: that it's still strong, It's still very strong at the top.

699
00:35:16,840 --> 00:35:19,520
Speaker 2: So I don't think that you want to completely ignore

700
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:21,080
Speaker 2: all the ones. But if you want to win your

701
00:35:21,120 --> 00:35:24,759
Speaker 2: bracket pool, like I think a good approach is to

702
00:35:24,880 --> 00:35:27,200
Speaker 2: have a couple of ones and then take a shot

703
00:35:27,239 --> 00:35:31,000
Speaker 2: with the team in another region. So for me, it's

704
00:35:31,000 --> 00:35:34,080
Speaker 2: not I don't think it's going to be the South. Uh.

705
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:37,000
Speaker 2: One will be in the West for me, and then

706
00:35:37,080 --> 00:35:40,120
Speaker 2: maybe the Midwest. I'm probably gonna have Duke in Auburn,

707
00:35:40,960 --> 00:35:46,319
Speaker 2: which is very chalky, but I'm gonna take my shot

708
00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,239
Speaker 2: elsewhere and hope it works out. I'm also gonna have

709
00:35:48,320 --> 00:35:51,840
Speaker 2: Michigan State going down early, which many might not have.

710
00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:55,239
Speaker 3: I'm gonna take that shot with with Xavier in the Midwest.

711
00:35:56,520 --> 00:35:58,879
Speaker 2: I think it's like I might be taking my shot

712
00:35:58,920 --> 00:36:01,840
Speaker 2: with Illinois, so top one of us would be happy.

713
00:36:03,880 --> 00:36:05,480
Speaker 2: But I can see Zavier make it a run too.

714
00:36:05,560 --> 00:36:05,880
Speaker 3: I don't know.

715
00:36:05,960 --> 00:36:07,160
Speaker 2: I could lose the Xavier or they could go to

716
00:36:07,239 --> 00:36:09,560
Speaker 2: the final four. All right, but that's the kind of

717
00:36:09,600 --> 00:36:11,480
Speaker 2: team that I like when if I want to take

718
00:36:11,480 --> 00:36:16,320
Speaker 2: a shot on it. All right, let's move on to

719
00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:20,680
Speaker 2: McNeese against Clemson Schames in Providence on True TV three

720
00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:24,840
Speaker 2: fifteen Eastern Clemson seven and a half point favorite, total

721
00:36:24,880 --> 00:36:27,719
Speaker 2: one thirty four and a half. I know much here.

722
00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:31,239
Speaker 2: I think the line's close to right. Is this the

723
00:36:32,280 --> 00:36:35,960
Speaker 2: post height time to buy McNee? Last year everyone loved McNeese.

724
00:36:36,960 --> 00:36:40,280
Speaker 2: They got blown out against Gonzaga. This year, not seeing

725
00:36:40,400 --> 00:36:42,640
Speaker 2: as much love for McNeese, I definitely hurt many people talk.

726
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:44,200
Speaker 2: Have you heard many people talk about this game? Or

727
00:36:44,280 --> 00:36:47,680
Speaker 2: like nothing? Nope, no one cared. Like no one is

728
00:36:47,680 --> 00:36:49,320
Speaker 2: talking about this game. I think it actually could be

729
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:53,399
Speaker 2: pretty entertaining game. I expect McNee to press a little

730
00:36:53,440 --> 00:36:55,799
Speaker 2: bit more, try and disrupt Clemson's offense. They right out

731
00:36:55,880 --> 00:36:58,560
Speaker 2: just okay and at the barn, but they really struggled

732
00:36:58,560 --> 00:37:00,480
Speaker 2: against the Memphis press over this season, so maybe that's

733
00:37:00,520 --> 00:37:03,800
Speaker 2: an avenue that McNeice can use. Both teams are vulnerable

734
00:37:03,800 --> 00:37:06,000
Speaker 2: to offensive rebounds. They're both good on the offensive glass.

735
00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:07,799
Speaker 2: They both can turn teams over, but they don't turn

736
00:37:07,840 --> 00:37:09,919
Speaker 2: it over. It's like shot volume could be pretty even

737
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:14,120
Speaker 2: here McNeese, although McNees just gives up many more threes

738
00:37:14,160 --> 00:37:16,200
Speaker 2: and they're not as good of a shooting team, so

739
00:37:16,360 --> 00:37:20,480
Speaker 2: that might just be the difference. The other thing is

740
00:37:20,520 --> 00:37:22,799
Speaker 2: that I where I'm kind of stump in this game

741
00:37:22,920 --> 00:37:29,040
Speaker 2: is the loss of Dylan Hunter. I think it's big. Like,

742
00:37:29,160 --> 00:37:33,280
Speaker 2: if you look at the most efficient trios in college

743
00:37:33,320 --> 00:37:38,560
Speaker 2: basketball for Evan Mea, Hunter's in one of the two

744
00:37:38,880 --> 00:37:46,320
Speaker 2: top two along with Shuffling and Locklin. So he's important defensively,

745
00:37:46,800 --> 00:37:49,680
Speaker 2: He's extremely important, and there's gonna be a big drop

746
00:37:49,760 --> 00:37:53,120
Speaker 2: off when he's not on the court defensively because you're

747
00:37:53,160 --> 00:37:58,160
Speaker 2: just gonna get more Jake Hide Brudder and I forget

748
00:37:58,200 --> 00:38:02,640
Speaker 2: the freshman's name, Dell something del Jones del Jones who

749
00:38:03,040 --> 00:38:05,600
Speaker 2: there's gonna be a drop off offensively now high venders

750
00:38:05,600 --> 00:38:08,800
Speaker 2: of air Force trensfer he can shoot, So like what

751
00:38:08,920 --> 00:38:11,440
Speaker 2: Clempson has to do here is he's hiber has to

752
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:14,719
Speaker 2: pull his weight making threes because it wasn't like Hunter

753
00:38:15,239 --> 00:38:19,000
Speaker 2: wasn't anything amazing offensively from a shooting perspective, shot thirty

754
00:38:19,000 --> 00:38:22,080
Speaker 2: one percent from three. So Hibrider needs to pull his

755
00:38:22,160 --> 00:38:25,040
Speaker 2: weight by making threes. But she's done it like a

756
00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 2: thirty eight thirty nine percent clip to make up for

757
00:38:27,160 --> 00:38:29,359
Speaker 2: the defense and drop off. But I still just don't

758
00:38:29,360 --> 00:38:30,960
Speaker 2: have a great feel for how it's all gonna work.

759
00:38:31,680 --> 00:38:35,160
Speaker 2: I do think it's a pretty underrated loss, So I'm

760
00:38:35,200 --> 00:38:37,719
Speaker 2: probably just gonna be an observer here. I got nothing ten,

761
00:38:37,800 --> 00:38:40,120
Speaker 2: I know you have nothing. Cabriy, do you have anything here?

762
00:38:41,040 --> 00:38:44,480
Speaker 2: I'm leaning under I mean pressure from both teams.

763
00:38:44,560 --> 00:38:45,920
Speaker 5: I think it can make it a chort just to

764
00:38:45,960 --> 00:38:48,200
Speaker 5: get the basketball, you know, into the half court, get

765
00:38:48,280 --> 00:38:48,800
Speaker 5: good looks.

766
00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:50,680
Speaker 2: They're both top twenty he s wants to do with

767
00:38:50,719 --> 00:38:54,040
Speaker 2: their press. It's like, yeah, cause you to take super

768
00:38:54,080 --> 00:38:54,840
Speaker 2: long possessions.

769
00:38:55,160 --> 00:38:57,480
Speaker 5: They're both top twenty five and forcing you into late

770
00:38:57,560 --> 00:39:00,560
Speaker 5: shotcock situations. That's all you need to know in terms

771
00:39:00,600 --> 00:39:04,239
Speaker 5: of what their identity has been across what thirty five games. Also,

772
00:39:04,320 --> 00:39:06,879
Speaker 5: I think with Clemson's lack of depth, you know, losing Hunter.

773
00:39:07,000 --> 00:39:09,120
Speaker 5: That's twenty two minutes a game in what was already

774
00:39:09,160 --> 00:39:12,840
Speaker 5: a short rotation. If McNeice cranks up the defensive pressure

775
00:39:12,960 --> 00:39:15,840
Speaker 5: just from a fatigue standpoint as well, does Clemson go

776
00:39:15,920 --> 00:39:17,799
Speaker 5: deeper into their bench or do they just leave those

777
00:39:17,880 --> 00:39:19,719
Speaker 5: kids out there to kind of Wilton kind of just

778
00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:21,840
Speaker 5: have to deal with it. If that's the case, I

779
00:39:21,920 --> 00:39:24,440
Speaker 5: could see this really becoming a rock fight. So I

780
00:39:24,600 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 5: know that for casuals out there, you don't want to

781
00:39:27,239 --> 00:39:29,279
Speaker 5: open up your app and look at march madness. I'm

782
00:39:29,280 --> 00:39:31,799
Speaker 5: all excited to bed an under at one thirty four.

783
00:39:32,280 --> 00:39:33,840
Speaker 5: I think that's the only play in a game like this.

784
00:39:34,160 --> 00:39:36,239
Speaker 5: I could really see narratives go either way for a

785
00:39:36,320 --> 00:39:38,879
Speaker 5: McNee upset or Clemson. So I'm staying away on the side,

786
00:39:38,960 --> 00:39:40,160
Speaker 5: but the total interest me.

787
00:39:40,600 --> 00:39:43,080
Speaker 2: Well, Clemson's definitely going to try and slow this to

788
00:39:43,080 --> 00:39:46,640
Speaker 2: a crawl as much as humanly possible. All right, let's

789
00:39:46,640 --> 00:39:50,720
Speaker 2: move on to again. I'm really looking forward to BCU

790
00:39:50,880 --> 00:39:56,040
Speaker 2: BYU in Denver. It's the eleven to six matchup for

791
00:39:56,160 --> 00:40:02,640
Speaker 2: what it's worth, since I believe should up since twenty ten,

792
00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 2: I think eleven seeds. Yeah, thirty and twenty six overall,

793
00:40:07,760 --> 00:40:13,320
Speaker 2: since twenty ten means nothing but interesting nugget. This is

794
00:40:13,400 --> 00:40:16,359
Speaker 2: kind of the story of Thursday for me, Like all

795
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 2: of my favorite bets have like a caveat or something's

796
00:40:19,680 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 2: keeping me off, which is just unfortunately because it's all

797
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:24,279
Speaker 2: the quick turn It's like I would have been on

798
00:40:24,320 --> 00:40:27,759
Speaker 2: Wisconsint in the over but I'm worried about that quick

799
00:40:27,800 --> 00:40:32,279
Speaker 2: turnaround in altitude. And then this is another one. We'll

800
00:40:32,320 --> 00:40:37,720
Speaker 2: get to another one shortly. But DCU played on Sunday

801
00:40:38,480 --> 00:40:41,200
Speaker 2: in a very physical game against George Mason. After winning

802
00:40:41,200 --> 00:40:45,000
Speaker 2: their coffeence Chio get shipped out West to play BYU

803
00:40:45,080 --> 00:40:50,040
Speaker 2: in altitude. U is obviously very used to altitude and

804
00:40:50,080 --> 00:40:51,560
Speaker 2: by the way, it's gonna be a ton of BYU

805
00:40:51,680 --> 00:40:54,320
Speaker 2: fans here. This will be a quasi home game, and

806
00:40:54,400 --> 00:40:57,520
Speaker 2: BYU is a ton of depth. So there's a couple

807
00:40:57,560 --> 00:40:58,960
Speaker 2: of things. I like DCU in this game. So I

808
00:40:59,000 --> 00:41:02,520
Speaker 2: think this is close to a point, but you can

809
00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:04,799
Speaker 2: just get three or better, which is out there now.

810
00:41:05,719 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 2: I think the VCU pressure can disrupt the BUYU offense.

811
00:41:08,040 --> 00:41:10,840
Speaker 2: Is what this comes down to. What does worry me

812
00:41:10,920 --> 00:41:13,239
Speaker 2: a bit? And I've already bet VCU. I might look

813
00:41:13,320 --> 00:41:17,200
Speaker 2: to bet BYU live try to middle it. If vsu's

814
00:41:17,320 --> 00:41:21,120
Speaker 2: up and the whistle is bad, there's two things that

815
00:41:21,160 --> 00:41:23,240
Speaker 2: can happen, Like I'm worried about the fatigue of VCU.

816
00:41:23,360 --> 00:41:26,640
Speaker 2: Can they play how they normally play for forty minutes

817
00:41:27,400 --> 00:41:31,400
Speaker 2: one in altitude on you know, quick turnaround with travel,

818
00:41:33,000 --> 00:41:36,120
Speaker 2: and two if they'll be allowed to do so, you

819
00:41:36,200 --> 00:41:38,560
Speaker 2: know with those BYU fans, and are they going to

820
00:41:38,600 --> 00:41:41,799
Speaker 2: get a bad whistle? So there there is some things

821
00:41:41,840 --> 00:41:44,640
Speaker 2: I'm worried about. VC's gonna have to make some threes here,

822
00:41:45,520 --> 00:41:47,239
Speaker 2: which they can do. They have shooters that get hot.

823
00:41:47,280 --> 00:41:51,200
Speaker 2: BYU will allow you to shoot very compact defense. But

824
00:41:51,480 --> 00:41:54,680
Speaker 2: I just think the VCU pressure because b YU has

825
00:41:54,680 --> 00:41:56,520
Speaker 2: struggle with pressure at times this year, and that can

826
00:41:56,640 --> 00:42:00,239
Speaker 2: really their backcourt in particular can really be fluss dud

827
00:42:01,080 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 2: and VC is going to bring it in that department.

828
00:42:03,160 --> 00:42:05,719
Speaker 2: So I like the RAMS standard what are you seeing here?

829
00:42:06,360 --> 00:42:10,000
Speaker 3: Also like the RAMS. I just look, I love Ryan

830
00:42:10,040 --> 00:42:13,480
Speaker 3: Odum and I love this press happy scheme and you're right,

831
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:17,319
Speaker 3: like look, just to talk about VC's defense a little

832
00:42:17,320 --> 00:42:19,879
Speaker 3: bit more, it's it's elite. It's literally the best half

833
00:42:19,920 --> 00:42:22,840
Speaker 3: court defense in the nation by points per possessional allowed

834
00:42:22,880 --> 00:42:25,280
Speaker 3: because they blow up everyone at the point of attack

835
00:42:25,600 --> 00:42:28,840
Speaker 3: and they play really extended and viciously deny catching and

836
00:42:28,840 --> 00:42:31,759
Speaker 3: shoot opportunities because they have the best safety valve big

837
00:42:31,800 --> 00:42:35,319
Speaker 3: man rim protector of the mid majors in Luke. Oh

838
00:42:35,400 --> 00:42:37,719
Speaker 3: my god, I forget how to say his name. Ba bam,

839
00:42:37,840 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 3: good boy. I think Anyways, monstrous fifteen percent block rate

840
00:42:41,880 --> 00:42:43,239
Speaker 3: two and a half per game. I think it's the

841
00:42:43,239 --> 00:42:46,120
Speaker 3: second highest block rate nationally. But the VC is the

842
00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:49,279
Speaker 3: nation's best rim defense by points per shot allowed, which

843
00:42:49,320 --> 00:42:52,440
Speaker 3: is so incredible when you combine that with that extended pressure.

844
00:42:53,280 --> 00:42:56,680
Speaker 3: Now like so yeah, like BYU elite half court offense,

845
00:42:57,040 --> 00:42:59,880
Speaker 3: NBA Pro style stuff, but it's all built around the

846
00:43:00,120 --> 00:43:03,439
Speaker 3: penetration from the playmaking forwards Demonon Hall and then shot

847
00:43:03,480 --> 00:43:07,520
Speaker 3: making from the wings Saunders now Baker, but BYU shaky

848
00:43:07,560 --> 00:43:10,399
Speaker 3: ball handling squad and they've been blown up by pressure before,

849
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:14,560
Speaker 3: like Sucky said, and VC will take away byuse precious

850
00:43:14,680 --> 00:43:17,680
Speaker 3: catch and shoot opportunities. And on the other end of

851
00:43:17,719 --> 00:43:21,240
Speaker 3: the court, VCU does want to get downhill and transition

852
00:43:21,320 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 3: then kick the ball out to shooters. I think that's

853
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:27,280
Speaker 3: kind of like their mo byuse a good transition denial defense,

854
00:43:27,280 --> 00:43:29,120
Speaker 3: and their pack line scheme is good at closing off

855
00:43:29,160 --> 00:43:32,319
Speaker 3: the rim, but the Cougars are a little bit weak

856
00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:35,200
Speaker 3: in transition defense from an efficiency perspective, and the pack

857
00:43:35,280 --> 00:43:37,280
Speaker 3: line will allowed a lot of jumpers and if BYU

858
00:43:37,360 --> 00:43:39,640
Speaker 3: starts to turn it over VCU will be able to

859
00:43:39,680 --> 00:43:42,160
Speaker 3: start driving early and then kick often. I really like

860
00:43:42,239 --> 00:43:44,319
Speaker 3: the schematic matchup for the Rams, and I think three

861
00:43:44,360 --> 00:43:45,880
Speaker 3: and a half is a ton in a game that

862
00:43:46,440 --> 00:43:47,839
Speaker 3: you're right stuck should be a coin flip.

863
00:43:48,000 --> 00:43:51,200
Speaker 2: So yep, yeah, and Bius transition D is really bad

864
00:43:51,400 --> 00:43:53,279
Speaker 2: now they don't allow a ton of transition. I think

865
00:43:53,320 --> 00:43:56,400
Speaker 2: like twentieth percentile exactly great out on the twentieth percentile

866
00:43:57,719 --> 00:44:00,960
Speaker 2: efficiency wise, So if they're coughing it up, I think

867
00:44:01,000 --> 00:44:04,560
Speaker 2: VC can get some easy buckets in transition to Calvary.

868
00:44:04,880 --> 00:44:06,120
Speaker 2: You also like the Rams here.

869
00:44:06,560 --> 00:44:08,120
Speaker 5: Yeah, I'm on the Rams for a clean sweep, but

870
00:44:08,120 --> 00:44:09,440
Speaker 5: I think they're gonna win this one out right. You

871
00:44:09,480 --> 00:44:12,520
Speaker 5: guys have talked about all the analytics, all the scheme

872
00:44:12,640 --> 00:44:14,759
Speaker 5: that favors them. Look at some of the comps they

873
00:44:14,760 --> 00:44:17,600
Speaker 5: played Colorado State and Nick Clifford now granted this is

874
00:44:17,640 --> 00:44:19,839
Speaker 5: before the Rams got red hot, but they absolutely shut

875
00:44:19,920 --> 00:44:22,920
Speaker 5: him down in an eight point neutral court victory over

876
00:44:22,960 --> 00:44:24,919
Speaker 5: the Rams. And then when they played the two top

877
00:44:24,960 --> 00:44:26,960
Speaker 5: one hundred offenses in the A ten and Dayton in

878
00:44:27,000 --> 00:44:29,320
Speaker 5: Saint Joe's. In their win over Dayton, they forced nineteen

879
00:44:29,320 --> 00:44:31,800
Speaker 5: turnovers and held them to thirty seven percent shooting. Against

880
00:44:31,800 --> 00:44:34,480
Speaker 5: Saint Joe's, they held him to thirty three percent on

881
00:44:34,760 --> 00:44:37,800
Speaker 5: Hawk Hill. So I just view this as a potential

882
00:44:37,960 --> 00:44:40,840
Speaker 5: repeat for BYU. When they faced Houston in that recent performance,

883
00:44:40,880 --> 00:44:43,400
Speaker 5: thirteen turnovers, thirty one percent from the field. They were

884
00:44:43,480 --> 00:44:45,960
Speaker 5: really bothered up and down on both ends of the

885
00:44:46,000 --> 00:44:48,560
Speaker 5: floor in that game. And now, granted Houston is one

886
00:44:48,600 --> 00:44:50,520
Speaker 5: of the best teams in the entire country, but BCU

887
00:44:50,760 --> 00:44:53,440
Speaker 5: defensively is right there. In that conversation, and then the

888
00:44:53,520 --> 00:44:56,560
Speaker 5: last piece of it is Hazl Metrics talks about consistency.

889
00:44:56,920 --> 00:44:59,080
Speaker 2: VCU is one of the most consistent teams in the field.

890
00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:01,680
Speaker 2: BYU is the nine, the most inconsistent team in this

891
00:45:01,800 --> 00:45:03,759
Speaker 2: field of sixty eight. So I think this could really

892
00:45:03,800 --> 00:45:06,040
Speaker 2: get away from them at BYU doesn't have that magic

893
00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:07,759
Speaker 2: that helped them go on that run. The big twelve

894
00:45:07,880 --> 00:45:10,360
Speaker 2: last month. All right, clean sweep there. Let's move on

895
00:45:10,480 --> 00:45:16,440
Speaker 2: to Georgia. Gonzaga four thirty five Eastern on TBS in Wichita, Kansas,

896
00:45:17,520 --> 00:45:21,319
Speaker 2: Kenzaga five and a half six point favorite, depending where

897
00:45:21,640 --> 00:45:24,040
Speaker 2: you're betting total one fifteen and a half to one

898
00:45:24,120 --> 00:45:27,440
Speaker 2: fifty one and a half. I played Georgia here. This

899
00:45:27,640 --> 00:45:29,160
Speaker 2: is I think this is what this comes down to,

900
00:45:30,280 --> 00:45:33,239
Speaker 2: is like, do you believe Gonzaga is the top ten team,

901
00:45:33,920 --> 00:45:41,720
Speaker 2: which they are in many advanced metrics and analytical sites.

902
00:45:42,120 --> 00:45:43,960
Speaker 2: I'm not there. I think they're really good. I don't

903
00:45:43,960 --> 00:45:46,120
Speaker 2: think they're a top ten team, So I think this

904
00:45:46,239 --> 00:45:47,879
Speaker 2: numbers a bit too high. George has been playing really

905
00:45:47,960 --> 00:45:51,640
Speaker 2: well to close the year. I think Georgia's physicality can

906
00:45:51,719 --> 00:45:55,919
Speaker 2: cause issues for Gonzaga. I also think Gonzaga is lack

907
00:45:56,000 --> 00:45:58,760
Speaker 2: of pressure on the ball. They don't really cost turners.

908
00:45:58,840 --> 00:46:01,440
Speaker 2: That's a huge issue for Georgia. They might get a

909
00:46:01,480 --> 00:46:05,000
Speaker 2: bit of a reprieve there. Blue Kane x factor here.

910
00:46:05,320 --> 00:46:08,560
Speaker 2: He's been on fire lately which has really helped their offense.

911
00:46:09,560 --> 00:46:13,040
Speaker 2: So I either physicality in the interior if guys that

912
00:46:13,160 --> 00:46:18,000
Speaker 2: I think can bother nevarn I'm on the perimeter. I

913
00:46:18,080 --> 00:46:21,719
Speaker 2: will say, though I do. I played Georgia first half two,

914
00:46:22,400 --> 00:46:24,319
Speaker 2: I'm starting to like that a little bit more. Still

915
00:46:24,360 --> 00:46:27,359
Speaker 2: like Georgia at six, but just because george has been

916
00:46:27,440 --> 00:46:29,319
Speaker 2: so they've been so much better in the first half

917
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:35,600
Speaker 2: of games. It's incredible, and Gonzaga is nails at the line.

918
00:46:36,239 --> 00:46:39,359
Speaker 2: So like if they put a run on Georgia late

919
00:46:39,440 --> 00:46:42,720
Speaker 2: and then they're just hitting free throws in Georgia's brickings

920
00:46:42,760 --> 00:46:46,520
Speaker 2: and threes, I could see this like extending out for

921
00:46:46,680 --> 00:46:49,359
Speaker 2: what it's worth. An interesting nugget is, and it makes

922
00:46:49,440 --> 00:46:52,080
Speaker 2: sense to me, is that if you bet on teams

923
00:46:52,239 --> 00:46:54,239
Speaker 2: over the past twenty years a choot seventy seven percent

924
00:46:54,360 --> 00:46:56,839
Speaker 2: or more from the line, you would have gone eighty

925
00:46:56,920 --> 00:47:01,520
Speaker 2: seven fifty two and two against the spread sixty three percent.

926
00:47:02,680 --> 00:47:06,440
Speaker 2: And that makes sense to me because number one, you

927
00:47:06,480 --> 00:47:08,400
Speaker 2: a favorite to make all their free throws. Teams that

928
00:47:08,480 --> 00:47:10,839
Speaker 2: extend out, but just think about anytimes you've better an

929
00:47:10,880 --> 00:47:14,600
Speaker 2: underdog and then they're just missing front ends and like

930
00:47:14,680 --> 00:47:19,120
Speaker 2: they're just such huge swings, especially in attorney setting. So

931
00:47:19,280 --> 00:47:23,840
Speaker 2: there's multiple reasons why free throws will end up deciding

932
00:47:23,880 --> 00:47:27,800
Speaker 2: a lot of covers and sometimes games in the NCAA Tournament.

933
00:47:27,920 --> 00:47:32,479
Speaker 2: For what it's worth, the teams that shoot seventy seven

934
00:47:32,560 --> 00:47:38,160
Speaker 2: percent or more from the line this year Colorado State,

935
00:47:38,239 --> 00:47:44,080
Speaker 2: Michigan State, Arizona, Duke, Yukon, Oklahoma, Xavier, lipskomb Gonzaga, and

936
00:47:44,160 --> 00:47:47,800
Speaker 2: Wisconsins at eighty two point eight percent just shy the

937
00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:51,080
Speaker 2: all time single season record held by Villanova eighty three

938
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:54,480
Speaker 2: percent just a couple of years back. So yeah, I

939
00:47:54,560 --> 00:47:55,920
Speaker 2: like Georgia. I like Georgia to keep this within a

940
00:47:55,960 --> 00:47:58,520
Speaker 2: couple possessions. Throw some on the first half too, though

941
00:47:58,640 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 2: they've been much better there. There's a chance Gonzaga extends

942
00:48:02,560 --> 00:48:06,040
Speaker 2: out and covers this on some late free throws. I'm

943
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:09,360
Speaker 2: just not fully as fully sold on Gonzaga as others.

944
00:48:10,239 --> 00:48:11,399
Speaker 2: Calgary's what are you seeing here?

945
00:48:12,120 --> 00:48:14,840
Speaker 5: You talked about the physicality in the front court for Georgia.

946
00:48:15,160 --> 00:48:18,160
Speaker 5: I'm going to play that angle by playing undergram Ek's points.

947
00:48:18,200 --> 00:48:20,759
Speaker 5: At sixteen and a half, Georgia is thirteenth in points

948
00:48:20,800 --> 00:48:24,080
Speaker 5: per possession while defending the post. That's Ek's bread and butter.

949
00:48:24,160 --> 00:48:26,400
Speaker 5: He is the second most post points per game in

950
00:48:26,480 --> 00:48:28,840
Speaker 5: the entire country, and he can be a foul machine.

951
00:48:28,920 --> 00:48:29,880
Speaker 2: This is exactly how you.

952
00:48:29,920 --> 00:48:32,399
Speaker 5: Cash unders like this in March Madness with only five

953
00:48:32,440 --> 00:48:34,839
Speaker 5: fouls to go around. He has four fouls and three

954
00:48:34,880 --> 00:48:36,800
Speaker 5: of his last four games. And now he's got to

955
00:48:36,800 --> 00:48:39,160
Speaker 5: compete with Newell, who at times has just made it

956
00:48:39,280 --> 00:48:41,440
Speaker 5: hell for his opponents. In that Vandy game, he put

957
00:48:41,520 --> 00:48:43,600
Speaker 5: up ten foul shots against Florida.

958
00:48:43,719 --> 00:48:44,360
Speaker 2: They're bigs.

959
00:48:44,560 --> 00:48:47,319
Speaker 5: They're three guys who basically were covering the whole time,

960
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:50,040
Speaker 5: wracked up twelve fouls in that game. I think Ek

961
00:48:50,160 --> 00:48:52,160
Speaker 5: could end up playing less than twenty five minutes in

962
00:48:52,200 --> 00:48:54,080
Speaker 5: this game if he gets into any kind of foul trouble,

963
00:48:54,239 --> 00:48:56,279
Speaker 5: but even just the physicality when he is on the floor,

964
00:48:56,400 --> 00:48:58,200
Speaker 5: I don't think there's going to be easy buckets for him.

965
00:48:58,239 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 5: So sixteen and a half I think is two rich.

966
00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,480
Speaker 5: I think if the Zags do get past Uga in

967
00:49:02,560 --> 00:49:04,080
Speaker 5: this spot, it's going to be more so on the

968
00:49:04,120 --> 00:49:06,759
Speaker 5: perimeter and what they do in transition than necessarily just

969
00:49:06,840 --> 00:49:08,960
Speaker 5: feeding the post and hoping he gets eight to ten

970
00:49:09,000 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 5: points there.

971
00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:11,520
Speaker 2: I don't think that's the recipe for success. I'll go

972
00:49:11,600 --> 00:49:17,719
Speaker 2: under sixteen and a half. Tanner also, yeah, Ie just

973
00:49:17,800 --> 00:49:18,960
Speaker 2: accepted Indiana's job.

974
00:49:20,520 --> 00:49:20,759
Speaker 3: Wow.

975
00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:25,120
Speaker 2: Yeah, Tanner, you're on board with asen Nele and myself

976
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:26,640
Speaker 2: in Georgia, right, Yeah, I.

977
00:49:26,640 --> 00:49:28,680
Speaker 3: Mean I initially just blindly tailed you on this one,

978
00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,960
Speaker 3: but looked in the game and you guys said it.

979
00:49:32,160 --> 00:49:36,080
Speaker 3: It's for me. Physicality and size of Georgia. Let silast

980
00:49:36,080 --> 00:49:38,400
Speaker 3: to Mary and the huge bulldog guards swallow up the

981
00:49:38,480 --> 00:49:41,120
Speaker 3: nemhard ball screen actions. Let Ason Newell and the tough

982
00:49:41,160 --> 00:49:44,719
Speaker 3: bulldog front court rotation battle with Graham k down low.

983
00:49:45,080 --> 00:49:48,239
Speaker 3: Like Brees said, Georgia is an elite, elite post up

984
00:49:48,280 --> 00:49:51,239
Speaker 3: defense that's so important against Gonzaga, and they just have

985
00:49:51,360 --> 00:49:53,719
Speaker 3: bodies they can throw at Ek and on the other

986
00:49:53,960 --> 00:49:55,960
Speaker 3: on the other end of the court. You know, Gonzaga

987
00:49:56,080 --> 00:49:58,640
Speaker 3: was bullied on the boards by Saint Mary's all three times.

988
00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:01,600
Speaker 3: And I think Georgia and live on second chance points

989
00:50:01,640 --> 00:50:04,200
Speaker 3: hopefully get to the line enough to win the aggregate

990
00:50:04,239 --> 00:50:07,840
Speaker 3: shot volume battle despite their turnover issues. That is my

991
00:50:07,880 --> 00:50:10,400
Speaker 3: biggest worry in this game. The just the Georgia turnover issues,

992
00:50:10,440 --> 00:50:13,000
Speaker 3: but and the and their transition defense, which I think

993
00:50:13,040 --> 00:50:14,840
Speaker 3: is a little shaky. But I will take my chances

994
00:50:15,040 --> 00:50:15,720
Speaker 3: with Georgia.

995
00:50:16,280 --> 00:50:19,759
Speaker 2: But I'm hoping that because Gonzaga doesn't really create a

996
00:50:19,840 --> 00:50:25,520
Speaker 2: ton of happen defensively that that'll give Georgia summer relief

997
00:50:25,600 --> 00:50:32,600
Speaker 2: and then also help there, you know, help alleviate some

998
00:50:32,719 --> 00:50:37,000
Speaker 2: of their transition defense issues. You know, Yep, there won't

999
00:50:37,040 --> 00:50:40,240
Speaker 2: be as many opportunities. I mean, it's not like Kazaga

1000
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:49,160
Speaker 2: doesn't force turnovers like there. I think maybe right inside

1001
00:50:49,160 --> 00:50:50,799
Speaker 2: the top one hundred nationally. But it's not like they're

1002
00:50:51,360 --> 00:50:56,799
Speaker 2: super elite pressure defense. They're one of their.

1003
00:50:56,800 --> 00:51:01,200
Speaker 3: Highest turnover rates. Have fused tenure though. I think he's

1004
00:51:01,200 --> 00:51:03,319
Speaker 3: been trying to gamble more on the perimeter.

1005
00:51:03,440 --> 00:51:06,879
Speaker 2: Just getry a little or something out. Yeah, they who

1006
00:51:06,960 --> 00:51:09,400
Speaker 2: knows what Few is gonna Few still hasn't figured it

1007
00:51:09,400 --> 00:51:12,279
Speaker 2: out this team, Like there's still still experimenting on a

1008
00:51:12,320 --> 00:51:16,719
Speaker 2: game the game basis, which is very fascinating considering how

1009
00:51:17,719 --> 00:51:22,120
Speaker 2: good they still gray out analytically. Okay, if you're listening

1010
00:51:22,120 --> 00:51:24,160
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1011
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00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:41,960
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1051
00:53:50,000 --> 00:53:52,160
Speaker 2: All right, let's go on to the night slate six

1052
00:53:52,160 --> 00:53:56,920
Speaker 2: P fifty Eastern in the Midwest region. We're going to

1053
00:53:57,719 --> 00:54:02,920
Speaker 2: Wafford against Tennessee. So tnc Tennessee eighteen and a half

1054
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:05,600
Speaker 2: point favorite total one P thirty two and a half.

1055
00:54:06,360 --> 00:54:08,600
Speaker 2: To me, I can't really get here on anything. I mean,

1056
00:54:08,680 --> 00:54:12,319
Speaker 2: this game. Here's the thing just on the surface. Maybe

1057
00:54:12,400 --> 00:54:15,040
Speaker 2: there's something there with Wafford if they have an out

1058
00:54:15,120 --> 00:54:17,480
Speaker 2: layer shooting day because they're gonna shoot a ton of threes,

1059
00:54:18,000 --> 00:54:20,200
Speaker 2: they give up a ton of threes. This game should

1060
00:54:20,239 --> 00:54:23,800
Speaker 2: be slow paced, so and they rebound, well, it's like

1061
00:54:24,840 --> 00:54:31,000
Speaker 2: from shot buying, perspective pace three variants. Like so, if

1062
00:54:31,040 --> 00:54:34,920
Speaker 2: you wanted to get super crazy as a fifteen, maybe

1063
00:54:34,960 --> 00:54:38,480
Speaker 2: this is where you look. My problem is I just

1064
00:54:38,600 --> 00:54:43,640
Speaker 2: don't know. I just number one. Their defense, Wafford's defense

1065
00:54:43,719 --> 00:54:47,160
Speaker 2: is bad. I don't know how they're gonna match up athletically.

1066
00:54:48,040 --> 00:54:52,640
Speaker 2: These two teams played last year Tennessee one by twenty one.

1067
00:54:52,880 --> 00:54:56,040
Speaker 2: There were sixty five I think sixty five sixty six

1068
00:54:56,160 --> 00:55:00,200
Speaker 2: three point attempts. That's like what Wafford wants. But in

1069
00:55:00,320 --> 00:55:01,920
Speaker 2: order for Wafford to win, they're going to have to

1070
00:55:02,440 --> 00:55:05,440
Speaker 2: shoot like fifty percent on very high volume because I

1071
00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:07,280
Speaker 2: don't think they're gona be able to run their offensive

1072
00:55:07,280 --> 00:55:10,600
Speaker 2: sets through Fillowitch against the Tennessee size, like it's just

1073
00:55:10,640 --> 00:55:15,879
Speaker 2: gonna be chucking pray. So I got nothing here, easy

1074
00:55:15,920 --> 00:55:19,120
Speaker 2: pass for me, Tanner? Do you have anything here?

1075
00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:24,839
Speaker 3: Nothing? Two teams that will jack up triples against two

1076
00:55:25,120 --> 00:55:27,560
Speaker 3: compact defensive schemes thought Watford did a really good job

1077
00:55:27,600 --> 00:55:29,520
Speaker 3: in the Soakon tournament on flair screens, but you have

1078
00:55:29,600 --> 00:55:32,480
Speaker 3: to wonder if they're gonna see some negative aggression. They

1079
00:55:32,520 --> 00:55:34,960
Speaker 3: shot forty four percent from deep in route to the

1080
00:55:35,160 --> 00:55:37,960
Speaker 3: punching their bid. Can you can you trust Tennessee to

1081
00:55:37,960 --> 00:55:39,359
Speaker 3: shoot straight on the other end, I mean, the shot

1082
00:55:39,400 --> 00:55:41,880
Speaker 3: quality data on them is like surprisingly good. They're like

1083
00:55:41,960 --> 00:55:46,279
Speaker 3: top fifty nationally spacing metrics. I'm not entirely sure if

1084
00:55:46,280 --> 00:55:50,719
Speaker 3: the I test matches there. Tennessee also probably overperforming from

1085
00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:53,959
Speaker 3: three on defense, but they're so good at contests total

1086
00:55:54,000 --> 00:55:54,920
Speaker 3: shooting varios game.

1087
00:55:54,960 --> 00:55:57,839
Speaker 2: I'm out you have anything here. I'm just gonna play

1088
00:55:57,880 --> 00:56:00,200
Speaker 2: the under. I mean, I look at this.

1089
00:56:00,520 --> 00:56:04,120
Speaker 5: Across the entire season, Tennessee was the underiest under team

1090
00:56:04,200 --> 00:56:06,560
Speaker 5: in the SEC and the third best under bet among

1091
00:56:06,640 --> 00:56:09,400
Speaker 5: Power Conference teams. If you just go by the average

1092
00:56:09,440 --> 00:56:11,719
Speaker 5: margin that they won under four point three points per game,

1093
00:56:12,239 --> 00:56:14,319
Speaker 5: and five of their last seven in the tournament they've

1094
00:56:14,360 --> 00:56:16,520
Speaker 5: catched the under as well. I think there's certain something

1095
00:56:16,560 --> 00:56:19,240
Speaker 5: to be said about how Barnes and the staff prepares.

1096
00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:21,319
Speaker 5: I think he's certainly in a spotlight. This is going

1097
00:56:21,360 --> 00:56:23,120
Speaker 5: to lean into a defense that can just put them

1098
00:56:23,160 --> 00:56:25,239
Speaker 5: in the hurt locker in the half court. As as

1099
00:56:25,280 --> 00:56:28,120
Speaker 5: Tanner just said, they're going to contest every single perimeter shot.

1100
00:56:28,239 --> 00:56:31,320
Speaker 5: And I think it's unlikely that Wafford gets over fifty

1101
00:56:31,360 --> 00:56:33,319
Speaker 5: five points in this game. And if that's the case,

1102
00:56:33,360 --> 00:56:35,759
Speaker 5: then I can play with, you know, high seventies with

1103
00:56:35,880 --> 00:56:37,840
Speaker 5: the balls. There's going to be no late game fouling,

1104
00:56:37,920 --> 00:56:40,879
Speaker 5: no padding the score there. So if I get let's

1105
00:56:40,920 --> 00:56:42,919
Speaker 5: call it, three or four points in the last two minutes,

1106
00:56:42,960 --> 00:56:44,800
Speaker 5: that would be a real boon to this under. So

1107
00:56:45,040 --> 00:56:48,960
Speaker 5: once again another ugly rock fight feel in terms of.

1108
00:56:48,960 --> 00:56:50,840
Speaker 2: At least from one end of the court for Wafford.

1109
00:56:50,880 --> 00:56:52,920
Speaker 2: But I'll go under. Yeah, pace will definitely be there

1110
00:56:53,320 --> 00:56:57,040
Speaker 2: for an under. Let's go seven to ten Eastern on CBS,

1111
00:56:57,640 --> 00:57:01,319
Speaker 2: Arkansas taken on Kansas and Providence, Rhode Island, Kansas, four

1112
00:57:01,320 --> 00:57:03,080
Speaker 2: and a half point favorite, total one forty five and

1113
00:57:03,120 --> 00:57:05,520
Speaker 2: a half. A lot of uncertainty in this game in

1114
00:57:05,680 --> 00:57:09,560
Speaker 2: that Bogie Flann he's supposed to come back, but they

1115
00:57:09,640 --> 00:57:12,680
Speaker 2: played better without him. Are they gonna how are they

1116
00:57:12,680 --> 00:57:15,959
Speaker 2: going to assimilate them into the lineup. There's still no theory.

1117
00:57:16,040 --> 00:57:19,360
Speaker 2: Who I think is really important. But like Brazil's played

1118
00:57:19,400 --> 00:57:23,400
Speaker 2: really well in his absence is if he's such like healthy,

1119
00:57:23,520 --> 00:57:25,520
Speaker 2: like he has back spasms at his wrist, and then

1120
00:57:25,560 --> 00:57:27,960
Speaker 2: he's out of the lineup in like he needs to

1121
00:57:28,440 --> 00:57:31,160
Speaker 2: like because Arkisas doesn't really have the type of offense

1122
00:57:31,200 --> 00:57:37,880
Speaker 2: that can give Kansas's defense issues unless like Evasitch has

1123
00:57:37,920 --> 00:57:41,640
Speaker 2: a big day and like his pulling Dickinson away from

1124
00:57:41,640 --> 00:57:44,520
Speaker 2: the rim and then allowing Arkansas to drive. But I

1125
00:57:44,560 --> 00:57:46,560
Speaker 2: don't I don't know what's going on with the Flan stuff,

1126
00:57:46,680 --> 00:57:51,840
Speaker 2: So I don't know if I'll bet this, but I'm

1127
00:57:51,880 --> 00:57:58,760
Speaker 2: going to advance Kansas on self first, Calibar, I'm keeping

1128
00:57:58,800 --> 00:58:01,160
Speaker 2: it simple, Sanner. What do you see here?

1129
00:58:02,560 --> 00:58:05,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, I kind of want to bet the Hogs, and

1130
00:58:05,720 --> 00:58:08,720
Speaker 3: I'm hesitant to pull this trigger because of all the uncertainty,

1131
00:58:08,880 --> 00:58:12,040
Speaker 3: but I just will never ever ever be able to

1132
00:58:12,080 --> 00:58:16,040
Speaker 3: get behind this Jayhawk offense, the Harris Adams Dickinson Corps.

1133
00:58:16,200 --> 00:58:19,160
Speaker 3: I hate it. Zero spacing. They're stuck trying to create

1134
00:58:19,280 --> 00:58:21,880
Speaker 3: ball screen, cutting high low sets and crowded lanes. They

1135
00:58:21,920 --> 00:58:24,160
Speaker 3: get nothing at the rim, they never get to the line.

1136
00:58:24,240 --> 00:58:27,320
Speaker 3: They create zero catch and shoot opportunities. I just loathe

1137
00:58:27,720 --> 00:58:31,360
Speaker 3: this offense. And you know, Arkansas's defense has had some

1138
00:58:31,520 --> 00:58:34,520
Speaker 3: very questionable moments over the past few weeks, but they

1139
00:58:34,560 --> 00:58:37,840
Speaker 3: were legit good interior defense in January, and they have

1140
00:58:37,920 --> 00:58:40,680
Speaker 3: all sorts of interior size to kind of park in

1141
00:58:40,720 --> 00:58:42,880
Speaker 3: the lane and at the rim, which is like all

1142
00:58:42,960 --> 00:58:45,640
Speaker 3: you need to do against Kansas on the other end

1143
00:58:45,680 --> 00:58:49,920
Speaker 3: of the court. Again, super hesitant to back p Arkansas's

1144
00:58:49,920 --> 00:58:54,919
Speaker 3: half court execution, especially without Taro, but they've scored over

1145
00:58:55,120 --> 00:58:58,240
Speaker 3: eighty and four of six games during his absence. Stucky

1146
00:58:58,280 --> 00:59:00,400
Speaker 3: you mentioned it. I really think pick it pop and

1147
00:59:00,480 --> 00:59:02,880
Speaker 3: hardcore create hard role creation from Big Z and Ady

1148
00:59:02,920 --> 00:59:04,960
Speaker 3: will be the difference against the slow foot of Dickinson.

1149
00:59:05,080 --> 00:59:08,440
Speaker 3: Move him around, make him defended space, punish him. And

1150
00:59:09,160 --> 00:59:12,360
Speaker 3: my real handicap comes down to I think the Jayhawks

1151
00:59:12,480 --> 00:59:15,640
Speaker 3: typically good transition defense is starting to show cracks u

1152
00:59:15,720 --> 00:59:18,120
Speaker 3: c F in Arizona. I'm bye for thirty six transition

1153
00:59:18,200 --> 00:59:21,920
Speaker 3: points on thirty one possessions in the Big twelve tournament,

1154
00:59:22,120 --> 00:59:24,520
Speaker 3: whopping one point one to six points per possession. And

1155
00:59:24,680 --> 00:59:27,280
Speaker 3: while I don't trust Arkansas's half court offense, they're still

1156
00:59:27,360 --> 00:59:30,560
Speaker 3: lethal in transition. So looking long and hard at the

1157
00:59:30,680 --> 00:59:31,360
Speaker 3: razorbacks here.

1158
00:59:32,040 --> 00:59:36,760
Speaker 2: Covery's yeah, this is a weird subtraction by addition situation

1159
00:59:36,880 --> 00:59:37,640
Speaker 2: with Boogie Fland.

1160
00:59:37,680 --> 00:59:40,200
Speaker 5: I want no part of it because this offense did

1161
00:59:40,280 --> 00:59:42,640
Speaker 5: not work with him. And is he going to come

1162
00:59:42,680 --> 00:59:44,400
Speaker 5: off the bench? Is he going to be a role player?

1163
00:59:44,560 --> 00:59:46,880
Speaker 5: Is he going to start at the very least? I

1164
00:59:47,040 --> 00:59:48,760
Speaker 5: want to see it live and get a feel for

1165
00:59:48,920 --> 00:59:51,520
Speaker 5: what Cali Party is going to do. I've also hated

1166
00:59:51,560 --> 00:59:54,680
Speaker 5: this Kansas team for the reasons enumerated by Tanner here.

1167
00:59:54,800 --> 00:59:57,240
Speaker 2: So this is just a pear pass for me covies

1168
00:59:57,240 --> 01:00:00,280
Speaker 2: for You're not passing before we share our thoughts. You're

1169
01:00:00,320 --> 01:00:02,600
Speaker 2: getting crazy and Yale Texas. A and M text am

1170
01:00:02,680 --> 01:00:04,800
Speaker 2: seven to seven and a half point favor seven to

1171
01:00:04,840 --> 01:00:08,280
Speaker 2: twenty five Eastern on TBS. You're betting in texting A

1172
01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:10,040
Speaker 2: aults Yes.

1173
01:00:10,240 --> 01:00:14,520
Speaker 5: So this is the Anthony Dubundo Special and Action Network alum.

1174
01:00:14,760 --> 01:00:16,800
Speaker 5: Now he's over at the Ringer and he texted me

1175
01:00:16,920 --> 01:00:19,720
Speaker 5: about a month ago and he said, you know, I'm

1176
01:00:19,760 --> 01:00:22,000
Speaker 5: going to go with a hater perspective. At least pitch

1177
01:00:22,040 --> 01:00:24,200
Speaker 5: an article to the Ringer staff and say, hey, listen,

1178
01:00:24,560 --> 01:00:27,040
Speaker 5: every year people come out, they tout all these Cinderellas

1179
01:00:27,080 --> 01:00:28,800
Speaker 5: and then they get their doors blown off, either in

1180
01:00:29,040 --> 01:00:30,840
Speaker 5: the round of sixty four of the round or thirty two.

1181
01:00:31,240 --> 01:00:32,760
Speaker 5: I want to be I want to wear the black

1182
01:00:32,800 --> 01:00:35,040
Speaker 5: hat and essentially go with the favorites and say, way,

1183
01:00:35,080 --> 01:00:38,360
Speaker 5: these Cinderellas are deeply flawed. My thought on this is

1184
01:00:38,480 --> 01:00:41,120
Speaker 5: pretty simple, and I think you're going to agree with me, Stuck.

1185
01:00:41,560 --> 01:00:44,600
Speaker 5: It's if I can get even a reasonable three point performance.

1186
01:00:44,600 --> 01:00:47,280
Speaker 5: I'm saying thirty percent from the Aggies if they go

1187
01:00:47,600 --> 01:00:51,240
Speaker 5: seven for twenty one from three point range. Everything else

1188
01:00:51,280 --> 01:00:53,720
Speaker 5: that they do, namely crash the glass in such an

1189
01:00:53,760 --> 01:00:56,920
Speaker 5: insane way, number one team in offensive rebounding percentage. I

1190
01:00:57,000 --> 01:00:58,920
Speaker 5: think there's a chance that this could be a runaway.

1191
01:00:59,000 --> 01:01:00,320
Speaker 5: And if you look at some of the games that

1192
01:01:00,360 --> 01:01:03,760
Speaker 5: they've covered this year against Power conference teams, they double

1193
01:01:03,840 --> 01:01:06,360
Speaker 5: the spread and a cover over Ohio State, beat Texas

1194
01:01:06,400 --> 01:01:09,200
Speaker 5: by twenty during the regular season, drilled this Georgia team

1195
01:01:09,240 --> 01:01:11,920
Speaker 5: that we just talked about athletically causing so many problems

1196
01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:15,400
Speaker 5: for teams by sixteen. I think Yale, if the shots

1197
01:01:15,400 --> 01:01:17,960
Speaker 5: are not falling the pool Akitis, does not put on

1198
01:01:18,520 --> 01:01:20,720
Speaker 5: a repeat performance of being a marsh badness here last

1199
01:01:20,760 --> 01:01:23,160
Speaker 5: year when the upset Auburn, I could see this going

1200
01:01:23,200 --> 01:01:25,080
Speaker 5: away from Yale in a big way and at plus

1201
01:01:25,160 --> 01:01:28,520
Speaker 5: five twenty for the Aggies to win by twenty points.

1202
01:01:29,120 --> 01:01:32,000
Speaker 2: It has my interest. I'm in love with so many.

1203
01:01:31,960 --> 01:01:34,600
Speaker 5: Cinderellas in this field and the potential for not just

1204
01:01:34,680 --> 01:01:36,800
Speaker 5: one win, but to get to the second weekend. I've

1205
01:01:36,880 --> 01:01:40,240
Speaker 5: watched a decent amount of Yale this year. I love

1206
01:01:40,280 --> 01:01:42,840
Speaker 5: what they have in their backcourt and Mbang I think

1207
01:01:42,920 --> 01:01:46,200
Speaker 5: potentially could make life really difficult on way tailor in

1208
01:01:46,280 --> 01:01:49,040
Speaker 5: this game. But if the threes fall all of a sudden,

1209
01:01:49,080 --> 01:01:53,720
Speaker 5: the math and the analytics shift so dramatically to the Aggies.

1210
01:01:53,560 --> 01:01:55,080
Speaker 2: That I think there's just too much value to pass

1211
01:01:55,160 --> 01:01:55,400
Speaker 2: up on this.

1212
01:01:55,520 --> 01:01:56,920
Speaker 5: This is the kind of bet that if you hit,

1213
01:01:57,120 --> 01:01:59,400
Speaker 5: it could cover up every other sin, every other mistake

1214
01:01:59,480 --> 01:02:01,560
Speaker 5: misread that you make all day Thursday.

1215
01:02:01,760 --> 01:02:03,800
Speaker 2: So I'm gonna go with the Aggies to win going away.

1216
01:02:04,000 --> 01:02:05,720
Speaker 3: The boy said, I hear the problem here is that

1217
01:02:05,840 --> 01:02:06,840
Speaker 3: d bundo bet Yale.

1218
01:02:07,920 --> 01:02:08,040
Speaker 6: Oh.

1219
01:02:08,800 --> 01:02:11,760
Speaker 5: He immediately texted me when I screenshot it the action

1220
01:02:11,880 --> 01:02:13,680
Speaker 5: app and he goes, you don't know ball, So I

1221
01:02:13,720 --> 01:02:15,160
Speaker 5: mean by the fact that he's a hater on this,

1222
01:02:15,480 --> 01:02:17,680
Speaker 5: he goes from his hater article to hating on me.

1223
01:02:17,800 --> 01:02:20,680
Speaker 2: It's it's right on brand for him. Well, uh, you

1224
01:02:20,720 --> 01:02:22,800
Speaker 2: said I was probably gonna agree. I completely disagree. I

1225
01:02:22,840 --> 01:02:25,000
Speaker 2: bet Yale, even though I love text A and M.

1226
01:02:25,680 --> 01:02:30,600
Speaker 2: This I tweeted out the second Yale one text A

1227
01:02:30,600 --> 01:02:32,760
Speaker 2: and M doesn't want to face this l team and

1228
01:02:33,000 --> 01:02:37,280
Speaker 2: lo and behold it's the second thing revealed on the

1229
01:02:37,640 --> 01:02:42,600
Speaker 2: bracket show why Yale. Number one goes under everything really

1230
01:02:42,680 --> 01:02:45,840
Speaker 2: compact defense, force you to shoot a ton of threes.

1231
01:02:46,040 --> 01:02:51,400
Speaker 2: Text A M can't shoot like they Maybe Waye Taylor

1232
01:02:51,480 --> 01:02:54,360
Speaker 2: is one of his you know, electric games from three,

1233
01:02:54,400 --> 01:02:56,640
Speaker 2: but he's gonna going up against a really strong defensive

1234
01:02:56,640 --> 01:03:00,280
Speaker 2: point guard and m Bang maybe like Wiltchair comes in

1235
01:03:00,360 --> 01:03:02,280
Speaker 2: and has a stretch of like four to five threes.

1236
01:03:02,760 --> 01:03:05,080
Speaker 2: But they show us they can't shoot. They need to

1237
01:03:05,080 --> 01:03:07,760
Speaker 2: get on the offensive. Last, Yale is an elite defensive

1238
01:03:07,800 --> 01:03:11,120
Speaker 2: rebounding team, twenty second in the nation. Now you can

1239
01:03:11,160 --> 01:03:14,040
Speaker 2: say they play in the IVY. Knowing offensive rebounds in

1240
01:03:14,080 --> 01:03:16,320
Speaker 2: the IVY, Well, they were twelve nationally in their eight

1241
01:03:16,840 --> 01:03:19,600
Speaker 2: games against the top one fifty. And this team is

1242
01:03:19,680 --> 01:03:22,560
Speaker 2: proven under James Jones over and over again. They can

1243
01:03:22,720 --> 01:03:25,840
Speaker 2: rebound with the big boys. Didn't last year against AUEIGN.

1244
01:03:26,080 --> 01:03:29,800
Speaker 2: But the data point that I'm most confident in that

1245
01:03:29,920 --> 01:03:32,240
Speaker 2: they can compete here because they have real size and

1246
01:03:32,320 --> 01:03:36,600
Speaker 2: they attack and their compact twenty sixteen when they upset Baylor,

1247
01:03:37,480 --> 01:03:40,000
Speaker 2: and Baylor was like right up there with where Texa,

1248
01:03:40,000 --> 01:03:42,280
Speaker 2: A and M is in terms of offensive rebounding. I

1249
01:03:42,360 --> 01:03:44,920
Speaker 2: think they were abounded like forty one percent. Tax A

1250
01:03:45,000 --> 01:03:47,200
Speaker 2: and M leads a country at forty two percent. This year,

1251
01:03:48,320 --> 01:03:53,240
Speaker 2: they shut down that Baylor team on the offensive glass.

1252
01:03:53,720 --> 01:03:56,240
Speaker 2: They got twenty nine defensive rebounds in that game. That

1253
01:03:56,400 --> 01:04:02,080
Speaker 2: was the Baylor team with Motley, Torrian Prince, all those

1254
01:04:02,120 --> 01:04:04,080
Speaker 2: guys who could just get on the glass and Yelle

1255
01:04:04,280 --> 01:04:07,920
Speaker 2: ended up winning that game. And they only shot five

1256
01:04:07,960 --> 01:04:11,920
Speaker 2: of sixteen from three. So I think they can compete

1257
01:04:11,920 --> 01:04:14,440
Speaker 2: on the defensive glass, and they're going to force text

1258
01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:17,240
Speaker 2: in him to shoot. Limit their second chance upoons, which

1259
01:04:17,240 --> 01:04:19,160
Speaker 2: is basically their second chance offense is their off Their

1260
01:04:19,160 --> 01:04:23,160
Speaker 2: first chance offense is so bad, and I think they

1261
01:04:23,160 --> 01:04:25,240
Speaker 2: have a guy like pull Akiitis if he's hot, they

1262
01:04:25,280 --> 01:04:27,680
Speaker 2: could pull off this upset. The only thing that wires

1263
01:04:27,760 --> 01:04:31,680
Speaker 2: me again, I hate how this card broke is that

1264
01:04:31,880 --> 01:04:37,320
Speaker 2: Yale played on Sunday, gets shipped down Denver and has

1265
01:04:37,400 --> 01:04:40,959
Speaker 2: to play an altitude after winning their conference championship. On Sunday,

1266
01:04:40,960 --> 01:04:42,840
Speaker 2: A gets arrested Texas and m'spy that as a ton

1267
01:04:42,880 --> 01:04:45,959
Speaker 2: of debth Texas and M also is Way Taylor, who's

1268
01:04:46,000 --> 01:04:48,040
Speaker 2: a foul baiter. It's one of a fair players, but

1269
01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:51,040
Speaker 2: he just bates fouls. And then their front court. They

1270
01:04:51,120 --> 01:04:53,880
Speaker 2: can't have Alaton getting foul trouble against their front cart

1271
01:04:53,960 --> 01:04:56,160
Speaker 2: and they can't have him Bang getting foul trouble against Taylor.

1272
01:04:57,000 --> 01:04:59,800
Speaker 2: So what's the whistle look like in this game? That's important.

1273
01:05:00,080 --> 01:05:02,600
Speaker 2: Ziale doesn't have great depth, and those are the two

1274
01:05:02,680 --> 01:05:04,880
Speaker 2: they really need from a defensive perspective. They're the heads

1275
01:05:04,920 --> 01:05:07,480
Speaker 2: of the snake. But he's a bad matchup for A

1276
01:05:07,600 --> 01:05:09,440
Speaker 2: and M. I think Yale's going to be right there

1277
01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:13,000
Speaker 2: in the end unless you know aandem just has an

1278
01:05:13,000 --> 01:05:16,480
Speaker 2: outleaer shooting performance, which is extremely difficult to.

1279
01:05:16,480 --> 01:05:19,840
Speaker 5: All two quick counters on this because I agree it

1280
01:05:20,000 --> 01:05:22,959
Speaker 5: was shocking some of the rebounding last year Danny Wolf

1281
01:05:23,720 --> 01:05:26,600
Speaker 5: in this field not playing for Yale. So overall size,

1282
01:05:26,640 --> 01:05:28,680
Speaker 5: if you look at the power forward the four and

1283
01:05:28,760 --> 01:05:31,200
Speaker 5: the center for Yale, they're two hundred and forty eighth

1284
01:05:31,240 --> 01:05:33,360
Speaker 5: and two hundred and fifty second. I believe in overall

1285
01:05:33,400 --> 01:05:36,760
Speaker 5: height and the fouls will come into play. But what's

1286
01:05:36,840 --> 01:05:39,160
Speaker 5: interesting when I brought up the Ohio State, the Texas,

1287
01:05:39,280 --> 01:05:41,439
Speaker 5: the Georgia game where A and M won going away

1288
01:05:41,440 --> 01:05:44,720
Speaker 5: against quality opponents. Only against Ohio State did they shoot

1289
01:05:44,800 --> 01:05:47,800
Speaker 5: even marginally well from three point range. I think they

1290
01:05:47,880 --> 01:05:50,040
Speaker 5: shot seven for twenty one from three point range, and

1291
01:05:50,040 --> 01:05:51,840
Speaker 5: the other games they were up to their old tricks,

1292
01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:53,960
Speaker 5: they still found a way to win going.

1293
01:05:53,800 --> 01:05:57,000
Speaker 2: Away against those quality opponents, So it's an added bonus.

1294
01:05:57,080 --> 01:05:59,360
Speaker 5: I certainly need them to shoot well to cover a

1295
01:05:59,440 --> 01:06:01,840
Speaker 5: huge number like this, but I just think the opportunity

1296
01:06:02,160 --> 01:06:05,000
Speaker 5: for the roof to cave in because everyone in terms

1297
01:06:05,080 --> 01:06:07,840
Speaker 5: of the Yale locker room, they know, let these guys

1298
01:06:07,880 --> 01:06:10,080
Speaker 5: shoot like we're not. We don't have to crash out

1299
01:06:10,160 --> 01:06:13,080
Speaker 5: on every single shooter because they spent the entire season,

1300
01:06:13,160 --> 01:06:15,120
Speaker 5: really the last two or three years not being able

1301
01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:16,640
Speaker 5: to throw it in the ocean. I think there's an

1302
01:06:16,640 --> 01:06:19,480
Speaker 5: opportunity for some open looks and maybe being a half

1303
01:06:19,560 --> 01:06:22,560
Speaker 5: step late, so all those things and having to go

1304
01:06:22,680 --> 01:06:26,480
Speaker 5: out to altitude with rest being an issue. Yale is

1305
01:06:26,800 --> 01:06:28,840
Speaker 5: a team that I really liked for most of the season,

1306
01:06:29,040 --> 01:06:31,640
Speaker 5: and they certainly outclassed the Ivy. But I think this

1307
01:06:31,720 --> 01:06:33,840
Speaker 5: is a big jump up athletically, and I think in

1308
01:06:33,920 --> 01:06:35,960
Speaker 5: any foul trouble in that front court, it could be curtains.

1309
01:06:37,240 --> 01:06:40,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know. I trust Yale, like the IVY too.

1310
01:06:40,400 --> 01:06:42,960
Speaker 2: I've always been good in the attorney whenever, like last year,

1311
01:06:43,000 --> 01:06:46,919
Speaker 2: gets Auburn, they were outclassed athletically, gets that Bailor team

1312
01:06:47,000 --> 01:06:52,280
Speaker 2: outclassed athletically. We've seen the Harvard do this. I trust Yale.

1313
01:06:52,440 --> 01:06:54,760
Speaker 2: Keep this close, Tanner break the die.

1314
01:06:55,440 --> 01:06:58,800
Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree with Stucky all in on Yale. I'll

1315
01:06:58,880 --> 01:07:01,800
Speaker 3: just you've got the handicap stuck. I'll just add three

1316
01:07:01,880 --> 01:07:04,120
Speaker 3: quick things. Texas A and M ranks fourth nationally and

1317
01:07:04,200 --> 01:07:07,520
Speaker 3: rebounding plus turnover differential plus three thirty Yale's top twenty

1318
01:07:07,600 --> 01:07:09,720
Speaker 3: plus two to twenty. Like you said, the good rebounding

1319
01:07:09,760 --> 01:07:11,360
Speaker 3: squad doesn't turn the ball over. They can hang with

1320
01:07:11,400 --> 01:07:16,320
Speaker 3: the Aggies. In the extras Battle Part two, Yale's defense

1321
01:07:16,960 --> 01:07:19,160
Speaker 3: underscreen pack it in deny the rim. They have a

1322
01:07:19,280 --> 01:07:23,040
Speaker 3: legit good rim protector too, and they're going to force

1323
01:07:23,080 --> 01:07:25,120
Speaker 3: everything over the top. I'm a little worried about them

1324
01:07:25,160 --> 01:07:27,720
Speaker 3: hanging in one on one matchups. I don't think they're

1325
01:07:27,720 --> 01:07:31,160
Speaker 3: a great io defense, but if you force Texas A

1326
01:07:31,240 --> 01:07:33,880
Speaker 3: and M to shoot threes, that's how you beat them. Finally,

1327
01:07:35,000 --> 01:07:39,160
Speaker 3: Yale's offense was initially worried that their downhill, somewhat rim

1328
01:07:39,240 --> 01:07:41,880
Speaker 3: reliant ballscreen motion would get smoked by Texas A and

1329
01:07:41,960 --> 01:07:45,760
Speaker 3: m's aggressive switch and post denial. But the Bulldogs are

1330
01:07:45,920 --> 01:07:48,440
Speaker 3: super legit. They are a super legit spacing and shooting

1331
01:07:48,480 --> 01:07:51,480
Speaker 3: offense generate a super high unguarded catch and shoot rate

1332
01:07:51,760 --> 01:07:54,360
Speaker 3: that is so key against an M. And you know

1333
01:07:54,480 --> 01:07:56,960
Speaker 3: that James Jones can push the right buttons and adjustice

1334
01:07:56,960 --> 01:07:59,520
Speaker 3: offense in a tournament setting, and they could also initiate

1335
01:07:59,560 --> 01:08:01,720
Speaker 3: offense three different spots on the floor, so you can

1336
01:08:01,760 --> 01:08:03,480
Speaker 3: kind of work off ball and pit A and M's

1337
01:08:03,480 --> 01:08:06,720
Speaker 3: aggressive this against them. And finally, like you said, stuck,

1338
01:08:07,040 --> 01:08:09,080
Speaker 3: The IVY is a damn good league. The top of

1339
01:08:09,120 --> 01:08:12,840
Speaker 3: this league competes with everyone consistently, so I expect more

1340
01:08:12,840 --> 01:08:15,240
Speaker 3: of the same. Give me a yeah.

1341
01:08:15,320 --> 01:08:17,280
Speaker 2: Yale earlier this season, for it's worth, lost by eight

1342
01:08:17,520 --> 01:08:20,960
Speaker 2: at Purdue ninety two eighty four. All right, let's move

1343
01:08:21,040 --> 01:08:23,439
Speaker 2: on to a pretty intriguing game in the night Slate

1344
01:08:23,479 --> 01:08:26,160
Speaker 2: seven thirty five. You start on True TV between Drake

1345
01:08:26,200 --> 01:08:31,200
Speaker 2: and Missouri and Wichita, Kansas. Missouri is six and a

1346
01:08:31,240 --> 01:08:33,400
Speaker 2: half point favor total one thirty two and a half

1347
01:08:34,640 --> 01:08:37,759
Speaker 2: pace clash. Missouri wants to run, get out and transition.

1348
01:08:38,400 --> 01:08:42,840
Speaker 2: Drake allows the fewest transition possessions in the country, and

1349
01:08:43,000 --> 01:08:47,080
Speaker 2: they run in transition at the lowest rate in the country.

1350
01:08:48,160 --> 01:08:48,280
Speaker 5: Uh.

1351
01:08:50,240 --> 01:08:52,120
Speaker 2: I was surprised to see that Drake actually leads the

1352
01:08:52,200 --> 01:08:57,920
Speaker 2: country in points pro possession against press defense. Now they're

1353
01:08:57,960 --> 01:09:00,560
Speaker 2: not saying like Missouri presses, but that was prizing to me.

1354
01:09:00,680 --> 01:09:03,840
Speaker 2: He's always gonna press, he's always gonna zone. I keep

1355
01:09:03,840 --> 01:09:06,559
Speaker 2: going back and forth in this game because I think

1356
01:09:06,560 --> 01:09:08,760
Speaker 2: Missouri can blow up what Drake wants to do with

1357
01:09:08,880 --> 01:09:12,160
Speaker 2: their athleticism and like they're mixing up their defense like

1358
01:09:13,000 --> 01:09:17,360
Speaker 2: go up the zone rates to you know, make it

1359
01:09:17,520 --> 01:09:20,320
Speaker 2: harder and take longer for Drake to get into their offense,

1360
01:09:20,320 --> 01:09:21,720
Speaker 2: which is they just want to grind you down and

1361
01:09:21,840 --> 01:09:24,719
Speaker 2: frustrate you and then score within like the last possible

1362
01:09:24,760 --> 01:09:29,000
Speaker 2: second of the shot clock. Use zone in the half

1363
01:09:29,080 --> 01:09:32,400
Speaker 2: court to do that as well, because Drake will turn

1364
01:09:32,439 --> 01:09:36,439
Speaker 2: it over. Get out and transition when you can. So

1365
01:09:37,160 --> 01:09:39,439
Speaker 2: that's what I worry about for Drake, the athletic mismatch,

1366
01:09:40,080 --> 01:09:43,720
Speaker 2: Zori being able to blow up their offense with their

1367
01:09:43,880 --> 01:09:47,840
Speaker 2: changing defenses and their press. But if you're gonna run zone,

1368
01:09:47,880 --> 01:09:49,840
Speaker 2: you're gonna change like Drake could also live on the

1369
01:09:49,880 --> 01:09:54,559
Speaker 2: offensive glass, which is a concern. I keep going back

1370
01:09:54,600 --> 01:09:57,439
Speaker 2: and forth this game. I'm gonna have to s I

1371
01:09:57,560 --> 01:10:00,439
Speaker 2: might have to. I'm not sleeping right now, but I'm

1372
01:10:00,479 --> 01:10:03,280
Speaker 2: gonna have to lay down on the couches and think

1373
01:10:03,320 --> 01:10:05,800
Speaker 2: about this more over the next couple of days and

1374
01:10:05,920 --> 01:10:08,160
Speaker 2: dig in because I keep going back and forth. But

1375
01:10:08,200 --> 01:10:12,799
Speaker 2: I am worried for Drake due to the athletic mismatch

1376
01:10:12,920 --> 01:10:15,960
Speaker 2: and what Missouri can do defensively with switching up their looks, pressing.

1377
01:10:16,880 --> 01:10:18,240
Speaker 2: I don't know. Help me out here, Tanner. Do you

1378
01:10:18,240 --> 01:10:18,800
Speaker 2: see anything here?

1379
01:10:19,520 --> 01:10:23,920
Speaker 3: Nope? I have literally the same exact thoughts as you.

1380
01:10:24,439 --> 01:10:27,280
Speaker 3: Who wins the pace battle, you know, I mean, Drake's

1381
01:10:27,320 --> 01:10:30,040
Speaker 3: gonna grind the game to a halt. Run the relentless

1382
01:10:30,080 --> 01:10:32,320
Speaker 3: middle ball screens. Missouri is going to leverage their on

1383
01:10:32,439 --> 01:10:35,519
Speaker 3: ball pressure into turnovers and then try to go downhill,

1384
01:10:35,600 --> 01:10:38,320
Speaker 3: run out buckets, free throw attempts. On one hand, I

1385
01:10:38,360 --> 01:10:40,600
Speaker 3: mean you mentioned it like Drake is they're kind of

1386
01:10:40,640 --> 01:10:42,960
Speaker 3: a sloppy ball handling team and they foul a lot,

1387
01:10:43,120 --> 01:10:45,360
Speaker 3: and so if the Tigers do force those turnovers, they'll

1388
01:10:45,360 --> 01:10:47,960
Speaker 3: be able to play their games. And I really worry

1389
01:10:48,000 --> 01:10:52,880
Speaker 3: about their athleticism in that one on one defense at

1390
01:10:52,920 --> 01:10:56,320
Speaker 3: ISO defense. I mean, I think Missouri could just mismatch

1391
01:10:56,360 --> 01:10:59,680
Speaker 3: Hunt with Mitchell Robinson Bates right all night and they

1392
01:10:59,720 --> 01:11:00,960
Speaker 3: can all so I think they could run their off

1393
01:11:01,000 --> 01:11:03,519
Speaker 3: ball screening stuff against a Drake defense that struggles against

1394
01:11:03,560 --> 01:11:06,360
Speaker 3: those sets. But on the other hand, Missouri, you know,

1395
01:11:06,880 --> 01:11:09,519
Speaker 3: like you said, can't rebound foulves like crazy plays right

1396
01:11:09,560 --> 01:11:12,720
Speaker 3: into Drake's hands. To me, this entire handicap comes down

1397
01:11:12,760 --> 01:11:17,599
Speaker 3: to what Ben McCollum draws up against Dennis Gates' zone

1398
01:11:17,600 --> 01:11:20,599
Speaker 3: pressure looks like you said, stucky, like if he dials

1399
01:11:20,640 --> 01:11:23,679
Speaker 3: those up more, because you know, Missouri excellent ball screen

1400
01:11:23,800 --> 01:11:27,439
Speaker 3: cover squad, because the zone looks neutralized those actions. But

1401
01:11:28,080 --> 01:11:30,320
Speaker 3: you know, Drake has been a good zone offense on

1402
01:11:30,560 --> 01:11:33,240
Speaker 3: very limited possessions. We don't really have a sample size there.

1403
01:11:34,280 --> 01:11:38,120
Speaker 3: I'm partial to thinking that McCollum's wizardry will scheme up

1404
01:11:38,160 --> 01:11:40,920
Speaker 3: the right actions and if Drake can still play elite

1405
01:11:40,960 --> 01:11:46,680
Speaker 3: transition defense despite the turnovers, pace should stay slow, so

1406
01:11:46,800 --> 01:11:48,280
Speaker 3: it could be hard for the Tigers to get past

1407
01:11:48,320 --> 01:11:51,280
Speaker 3: three possessions in that type of game. Script Drake or

1408
01:11:51,400 --> 01:11:53,519
Speaker 3: nothing for me, but I don't think I'll bet this game.

1409
01:11:54,760 --> 01:11:56,920
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's interesting that Drake. They turned over a lot

1410
01:11:56,920 --> 01:11:58,840
Speaker 2: two hundred and seventy nothing turn of it right, but

1411
01:11:59,000 --> 01:12:01,800
Speaker 2: they don't allow on it in transition. How is that possible? Well,

1412
01:12:01,840 --> 01:12:05,639
Speaker 2: it makes sense. They're fifty nine in steel rate allow

1413
01:12:06,280 --> 01:12:08,120
Speaker 2: and the reason for that is that a lot of

1414
01:12:08,120 --> 01:12:09,720
Speaker 2: their tournaments are just like there's a lot of shot

1415
01:12:09,760 --> 01:12:14,280
Speaker 2: clock violations and there's not a lot of live ball

1416
01:12:14,560 --> 01:12:17,479
Speaker 2: steals which lead out to runouts, which they would be

1417
01:12:17,520 --> 01:12:22,840
Speaker 2: in trouble allowing against Missouri. So there's a lot of

1418
01:12:22,920 --> 01:12:27,439
Speaker 2: turnovers like by design in a way, just how they

1419
01:12:27,479 --> 01:12:28,760
Speaker 2: want to run their offense and how they want to

1420
01:12:28,800 --> 01:12:31,439
Speaker 2: score like the last possible second, Like obviously they don't

1421
01:12:31,439 --> 01:12:33,280
Speaker 2: want to turn it over and have a shot clock violation,

1422
01:12:33,680 --> 01:12:37,960
Speaker 2: but they're not as deadly or as fatal, as you

1423
01:12:38,040 --> 01:12:40,560
Speaker 2: know steals would be, and they're just kind of a

1424
01:12:40,640 --> 01:12:43,800
Speaker 2: byproduct of what they want to do by running their

1425
01:12:43,840 --> 01:12:47,280
Speaker 2: offense and grinding opposing defenses down with their middle pick

1426
01:12:47,360 --> 01:12:47,639
Speaker 2: and roll.

1427
01:12:48,880 --> 01:12:51,599
Speaker 5: Mike, you do like Drake Young inn sake Drake plus

1428
01:12:51,680 --> 01:12:53,720
Speaker 5: six and a half, I mean, you hit on all

1429
01:12:53,760 --> 01:12:55,679
Speaker 5: the points. It's going to be a turtle like tempo.

1430
01:12:56,080 --> 01:12:58,519
Speaker 5: They're not going to give up much of anything in transition.

1431
01:12:58,600 --> 01:13:00,760
Speaker 5: At least that's the plan. They've stuck to that for

1432
01:13:00,800 --> 01:13:02,639
Speaker 5: the entire year. They've won lost one game the entire

1433
01:13:02,680 --> 01:13:05,360
Speaker 5: season by more than six points. And I think we're

1434
01:13:05,360 --> 01:13:07,439
Speaker 5: going to look back on this, and it's probably gonna

1435
01:13:07,439 --> 01:13:09,240
Speaker 5: take some time in terms of him getting his next

1436
01:13:09,360 --> 01:13:11,560
Speaker 5: job and how he does with that program. But I

1437
01:13:11,600 --> 01:13:13,160
Speaker 5: think in ten years we're going to look back and

1438
01:13:13,200 --> 01:13:16,360
Speaker 5: say we had Ben McCollum, a five time Division two

1439
01:13:16,439 --> 01:13:18,760
Speaker 5: Coach of the Year, against Dennis Gates, who's won one

1440
01:13:18,880 --> 01:13:22,240
Speaker 5: NCAA tournament game. I think there's something to be said

1441
01:13:22,280 --> 01:13:24,840
Speaker 5: for that in terms of he's a grinder, he's a nexus,

1442
01:13:24,880 --> 01:13:27,360
Speaker 5: and O's guy. He's someone who preps. I think about

1443
01:13:27,400 --> 01:13:30,479
Speaker 5: Brian Dutcher at San Diego State. These guys, aren't you

1444
01:13:30,880 --> 01:13:34,080
Speaker 5: big into self promotion. We're necessarily being named brands, But

1445
01:13:34,160 --> 01:13:36,560
Speaker 5: they just live for moments like this. And when you

1446
01:13:36,600 --> 01:13:38,360
Speaker 5: look at Evan Miha, in terms of the sixty eight

1447
01:13:38,360 --> 01:13:40,439
Speaker 5: teams in the field, Drake is fifth in terms of

1448
01:13:40,520 --> 01:13:44,439
Speaker 5: playing better basketball when they face better competition, and at

1449
01:13:44,479 --> 01:13:45,840
Speaker 5: the end of the game, in the last you know,

1450
01:13:45,960 --> 01:13:48,000
Speaker 5: four to six minutes of this, Bennett Start's is going

1451
01:13:48,040 --> 01:13:50,479
Speaker 5: to have the ball consistently. I trust this guy. He's

1452
01:13:50,520 --> 01:13:53,360
Speaker 5: the fourteenth rated combo guard in the entire field by Miya,

1453
01:13:53,520 --> 01:13:55,880
Speaker 5: He's in the ninety ninth percentile on the offensive end,

1454
01:13:56,240 --> 01:13:59,000
Speaker 5: and per kenpom Like, he's just an absolute nail shooter.

1455
01:13:59,080 --> 01:14:01,599
Speaker 5: You look at his entire cistical profile. He can knock

1456
01:14:01,600 --> 01:14:04,320
Speaker 5: down threes and if he is fouled with the ball late,

1457
01:14:04,360 --> 01:14:06,439
Speaker 5: he's a nails foul shooter as well. So six and

1458
01:14:06,479 --> 01:14:07,920
Speaker 5: a half I think is just a little too rich.

1459
01:14:08,040 --> 01:14:09,840
Speaker 5: I've gone back and forth. I'm gonna have to do

1460
01:14:09,880 --> 01:14:12,000
Speaker 5: the Stucky treatment, lay down, close my eyes, try to

1461
01:14:12,080 --> 01:14:14,360
Speaker 5: envision exactly what happens, and by putting Drake through to

1462
01:14:14,400 --> 01:14:16,360
Speaker 5: the next round, I don't know, but I'm certainly taking

1463
01:14:16,360 --> 01:14:17,120
Speaker 5: them with six and a half.

1464
01:14:17,520 --> 01:14:21,320
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to Utah State. Ucla nine

1465
01:14:21,320 --> 01:14:24,720
Speaker 2: to twenty five eastern on TNT kick off the late

1466
01:14:24,800 --> 01:14:27,920
Speaker 2: late slate. I know you're passing here, Mike Tannery Lean

1467
01:14:28,040 --> 01:14:31,800
Speaker 2: Utah State. I actually like Ucla. Hoping this line drops

1468
01:14:31,880 --> 01:14:35,479
Speaker 2: us a little bit more. I I just think, I

1469
01:14:35,560 --> 01:14:36,960
Speaker 2: mean you to sate, You're gonna see a lot of

1470
01:14:37,000 --> 01:14:39,920
Speaker 2: zone here, the most zone heavy defense in the tournament.

1471
01:14:40,720 --> 01:14:42,240
Speaker 2: Two three zone they're going to try to turn to

1472
01:14:42,560 --> 01:14:44,920
Speaker 2: turn Tea's over. Ultimately, they want to get out in transition,

1473
01:14:45,240 --> 01:14:47,320
Speaker 2: and they also just try to prevent teams from getting

1474
01:14:47,360 --> 01:14:49,840
Speaker 2: to the rim. But they don't know anything the room

1475
01:14:49,880 --> 01:14:52,680
Speaker 2: seven percent to UCLA doesn't try to score at the

1476
01:14:52,720 --> 01:14:55,800
Speaker 2: room literally third percentile. So I think that strength is

1477
01:14:55,840 --> 01:14:59,759
Speaker 2: kind of neutralized. And as a result of its defensive structure,

1478
01:15:00,040 --> 01:15:02,920
Speaker 2: Utah State does allow a ton of catch and shoot threes.

1479
01:15:03,760 --> 01:15:06,360
Speaker 2: Ruins are like average in that department, But I think

1480
01:15:06,360 --> 01:15:07,800
Speaker 2: they're gonna be able to find ways to operate in

1481
01:15:07,800 --> 01:15:10,479
Speaker 2: the mid range, and that's where they live and thrive.

1482
01:15:11,240 --> 01:15:14,040
Speaker 2: So I think and this defense has been figured out.

1483
01:15:14,439 --> 01:15:16,760
Speaker 2: I think like since February first, UTA State two hundred

1484
01:15:16,800 --> 01:15:19,880
Speaker 2: and first, an overall defensive efficiency. Prior to that one

1485
01:15:19,960 --> 01:15:22,560
Speaker 2: hundred and seventh, they were their first twenty games, and

1486
01:15:22,680 --> 01:15:24,519
Speaker 2: UCLA takes care of the ball. As long as you

1487
01:15:24,600 --> 01:15:28,880
Speaker 2: take care of the ball against Utah State offense, excuse me,

1488
01:15:29,000 --> 01:15:31,400
Speaker 2: this Utah State defense, You're gonna score on them and

1489
01:15:31,439 --> 01:15:33,320
Speaker 2: then you're gonna prevent them from getting out in transition,

1490
01:15:33,920 --> 01:15:36,680
Speaker 2: and that's where they're good in. UCLA's defense is a

1491
01:15:36,760 --> 01:15:41,280
Speaker 2: bit vulnerable, which bories me a bit, and utilized offense

1492
01:15:41,320 --> 01:15:43,439
Speaker 2: did great out very well in zo an offense this season,

1493
01:15:43,479 --> 01:15:45,600
Speaker 2: all though they didn't see much of it and it

1494
01:15:45,720 --> 01:15:49,160
Speaker 2: was against clowns. But I think there's a couple of things.

1495
01:15:49,160 --> 01:15:50,880
Speaker 2: I think they're gonna be operating, able to operate in

1496
01:15:50,880 --> 01:15:53,920
Speaker 2: the mid range, not gonna turn it over. I think

1497
01:15:53,920 --> 01:15:56,800
Speaker 2: they're gonna up their press rate here. UCLA is gonna

1498
01:15:56,800 --> 01:15:59,439
Speaker 2: pressure Utah State. Utah State preads out in just the

1499
01:15:59,520 --> 01:16:03,120
Speaker 2: eighteenth percent talent press offense. I've watched them struggle with

1500
01:16:03,240 --> 01:16:05,600
Speaker 2: some of the better presses that's face this season. I

1501
01:16:05,640 --> 01:16:08,760
Speaker 2: think they're going to struggle in that department. It's also

1502
01:16:08,800 --> 01:16:11,120
Speaker 2: worth noting late in the game if you feel like

1503
01:16:11,160 --> 01:16:13,240
Speaker 2: it's behind in this game, I'm definitely gonna look for

1504
01:16:13,280 --> 01:16:17,040
Speaker 2: them live too, but I'm out on this Utah State team.

1505
01:16:18,040 --> 01:16:21,000
Speaker 2: Also Altitude Mountain West team. This will be in Lexington.

1506
01:16:22,720 --> 01:16:25,400
Speaker 2: I like, UCLA, do you have any quick thoughts on

1507
01:16:25,479 --> 01:16:28,120
Speaker 2: Utah State ten or Yeah? And you make it hard

1508
01:16:28,120 --> 01:16:30,559
Speaker 2: about will give up a lot of threes? Utah State

1509
01:16:30,600 --> 01:16:33,760
Speaker 2: can shoot. It's like, if they're making their threes, they

1510
01:16:33,800 --> 01:16:36,479
Speaker 2: obviously can win this game. But I think there's more

1511
01:16:36,520 --> 01:16:38,280
Speaker 2: avenues to UCLA is more consistent.

1512
01:16:38,680 --> 01:16:40,240
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you make a fair point in that I

1513
01:16:40,360 --> 01:16:43,760
Speaker 3: can't quite figure out if UCLA can beat the Utah

1514
01:16:43,840 --> 01:16:47,040
Speaker 3: State zone because, like you said, greater that well against

1515
01:16:47,120 --> 01:16:51,000
Speaker 3: zone defense, fairly low volume. But on one hand, on

1516
01:16:51,080 --> 01:16:54,799
Speaker 3: the surface, I was like, okay, UCLA probably doesn't profile

1517
01:16:54,840 --> 01:16:57,479
Speaker 3: as his zone team because they can't generate those precious interior,

1518
01:16:57,840 --> 01:17:00,280
Speaker 3: you know, post up opportunities against the zone. But on

1519
01:17:00,320 --> 01:17:02,639
Speaker 3: the other hand, I think that these like mid range,

1520
01:17:02,680 --> 01:17:06,360
Speaker 3: reliant teams with shot creating forwards like Tyler Bilodeo profile

1521
01:17:06,439 --> 01:17:08,599
Speaker 3: okay against zone because you can just kind of run

1522
01:17:08,640 --> 01:17:10,519
Speaker 3: the offense through him in the high post. Although he's

1523
01:17:10,520 --> 01:17:13,040
Speaker 3: not much of a playmaker, he's a good shot maker.

1524
01:17:13,720 --> 01:17:16,280
Speaker 3: But to me, on the other end of the court, Like, Yeah,

1525
01:17:16,320 --> 01:17:20,320
Speaker 3: I love this UCLA half court set defense, but they're

1526
01:17:20,360 --> 01:17:23,479
Speaker 3: one of the nation's most aggressive ball screen coverage defenses,

1527
01:17:23,520 --> 01:17:25,400
Speaker 3: and they are hard hedges, and you generally beat those

1528
01:17:25,600 --> 01:17:28,200
Speaker 3: with that weak side catching shoot creation like you talked

1529
01:17:28,240 --> 01:17:31,200
Speaker 3: about Stuckey, which Utah State is great at. They're lead

1530
01:17:31,240 --> 01:17:34,120
Speaker 3: at with spacing, shot selection, off ball screening actions, three

1531
01:17:34,240 --> 01:17:37,760
Speaker 3: excellent marksmen off the wing. So I get like, by

1532
01:17:37,920 --> 01:17:41,000
Speaker 3: default I lean towards Utah State, who I think I

1533
01:17:41,080 --> 01:17:45,280
Speaker 3: trust their offense more, especially catching over five against the

1534
01:17:45,360 --> 01:17:48,439
Speaker 3: UCLA team that you might be worried about the altitude team.

1535
01:17:48,840 --> 01:17:51,400
Speaker 3: What about UCLA away from the Pacific time zone? Two

1536
01:17:51,479 --> 01:17:53,200
Speaker 3: and seven away from the West coast this year, they're

1537
01:17:53,240 --> 01:17:55,320
Speaker 3: three hundred and sixty first and has elemetrics away from

1538
01:17:55,360 --> 01:17:57,640
Speaker 3: home metric. I wish I had more confidence in that.

1539
01:17:58,720 --> 01:18:00,479
Speaker 2: You want to tell me what Utah State is away

1540
01:18:00,479 --> 01:18:01,040
Speaker 2: from emetric?

1541
01:18:01,280 --> 01:18:03,000
Speaker 3: Oh? God, what three hundred and sixty fourth?

1542
01:18:03,920 --> 01:18:06,040
Speaker 2: Probably I don't know to be sure, but I'm assuming

1543
01:18:06,080 --> 01:18:06,799
Speaker 2: they're way.

1544
01:18:06,720 --> 01:18:09,479
Speaker 3: Down there, let's say three hundred and forty seventh.

1545
01:18:09,520 --> 01:18:10,639
Speaker 2: And what are they? What are they? What are their

1546
01:18:10,800 --> 01:18:12,920
Speaker 2: paper what's their paper Tiger factor? I think they're a

1547
01:18:12,920 --> 01:18:16,080
Speaker 2: complete paper tiger. I think these teams are fraud thanks

1548
01:18:16,120 --> 01:18:20,760
Speaker 2: for that. They pump stumbled down the stretch. But they're

1549
01:18:20,920 --> 01:18:24,200
Speaker 2: they're very inconsistent. Like what's their consistency rating on that

1550
01:18:24,439 --> 01:18:28,519
Speaker 2: onle Metrics three hundred and forty nine. Yeah, I mean,

1551
01:18:28,560 --> 01:18:30,000
Speaker 2: I get if you want to pick an up stat

1552
01:18:30,400 --> 01:18:33,200
Speaker 2: then you know they're very If you want to pick

1553
01:18:33,200 --> 01:18:35,040
Speaker 2: them to like go to like the Sweet sixteen, like

1554
01:18:36,000 --> 01:18:37,920
Speaker 2: play unique style, they're very inconsistent.

1555
01:18:39,160 --> 01:18:41,519
Speaker 3: So I just think if they make their shots, they'll

1556
01:18:42,120 --> 01:18:42,559
Speaker 3: they'll keep it.

1557
01:18:42,920 --> 01:18:45,000
Speaker 2: A chance to shoot threes. Do you see the defense

1558
01:18:45,000 --> 01:18:46,240
Speaker 2: is gonna allow They're gonna give.

1559
01:18:46,120 --> 01:18:47,600
Speaker 3: Them money, you know, and then you trade threes for

1560
01:18:47,760 --> 01:18:50,240
Speaker 3: twos and you can't start winning the math bought battle.

1561
01:18:50,400 --> 01:18:52,519
Speaker 3: I don't know. I just I yeah, I don't know.

1562
01:18:52,600 --> 01:18:55,840
Speaker 3: I don't know if UCLA is going to solve the zone.

1563
01:18:56,000 --> 01:18:58,919
Speaker 3: You think the zone has been solved, I'm still hesitant

1564
01:18:59,040 --> 01:18:59,200
Speaker 3: on it.

1565
01:18:59,479 --> 01:19:03,320
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to Omaha Saint John. Saint

1566
01:19:03,360 --> 01:19:06,559
Speaker 2: John's eighteen and a half point favorite in Providence, Rhode

1567
01:19:06,560 --> 01:19:09,920
Speaker 2: Islands will tip off ninety five Eastern on CBS.

1568
01:19:11,560 --> 01:19:11,680
Speaker 6: Uh.

1569
01:19:12,800 --> 01:19:15,320
Speaker 2: Yes, Saint John's, they have some regrets three point regression

1570
01:19:15,360 --> 01:19:18,720
Speaker 2: coming toward it both ways over the past month. I'm

1571
01:19:18,760 --> 01:19:20,600
Speaker 2: not a believer in Saint John's. I love Patina, I

1572
01:19:20,640 --> 01:19:23,360
Speaker 2: love their defense, don't trust their offense. By the way,

1573
01:19:23,720 --> 01:19:26,639
Speaker 2: you want to go Ken Pom, pull up Saint John's profile.

1574
01:19:26,920 --> 01:19:28,880
Speaker 2: Tell me how many teams in the top twenty five

1575
01:19:29,200 --> 01:19:31,400
Speaker 2: of Ken Palm at Saint John's beat this year? The

1576
01:19:31,439 --> 01:19:37,240
Speaker 2: answers zero entire season. So I think the Big East

1577
01:19:37,280 --> 01:19:41,600
Speaker 2: was play down this year. Can Omaha hang here? They

1578
01:19:41,680 --> 01:19:43,000
Speaker 2: got a couple things working on in the favorite They're

1579
01:19:43,000 --> 01:19:45,240
Speaker 2: good on the defensive glass. You got their top twenty.

1580
01:19:45,280 --> 01:19:48,720
Speaker 2: You gotta be against the Saint John's and who's ninth

1581
01:19:48,760 --> 01:19:51,960
Speaker 2: in offensive rebounding. You can't turn it over. They've been

1582
01:19:52,040 --> 01:19:54,360
Speaker 2: good in that department. You got to make threes over

1583
01:19:54,479 --> 01:19:59,040
Speaker 2: Saint John's defenseman can do that top fifty three point

1584
01:19:59,080 --> 01:20:01,880
Speaker 2: shooting at thirty six. They were even forty percent during

1585
01:20:02,840 --> 01:20:05,479
Speaker 2: league play. With all that said, it all came against

1586
01:20:05,479 --> 01:20:08,920
Speaker 2: the summer league schedule, So like defense's optional in that conference.

1587
01:20:09,040 --> 01:20:13,680
Speaker 2: This is a huge step up athletically. Also, I'm not

1588
01:20:13,800 --> 01:20:15,559
Speaker 2: just gonna pack this in. They have no rim protection,

1589
01:20:15,760 --> 01:20:18,160
Speaker 2: no size. Pack it in. They're gonna price, Saint john

1590
01:20:18,200 --> 01:20:20,479
Speaker 2: shoot threes, which they can't do, and their dude is like,

1591
01:20:21,280 --> 01:20:24,519
Speaker 2: start missing a lot again. So does Saint John's fall

1592
01:20:24,520 --> 01:20:26,160
Speaker 2: in love with the threes and ken Omaha compete on

1593
01:20:26,160 --> 01:20:30,639
Speaker 2: the defense of glasses. I think for a bit there,

1594
01:20:30,760 --> 01:20:32,559
Speaker 2: it's gonna be hard for the score unless they're making

1595
01:20:32,600 --> 01:20:35,120
Speaker 2: some threes. But it does scare me too. Their point

1596
01:20:35,120 --> 01:20:38,320
Speaker 2: guard has improved, JJ White, But earlier this season they

1597
01:20:38,439 --> 01:20:41,720
Speaker 2: played the press. They played UNLB in Minnesota, oppressed them

1598
01:20:41,960 --> 01:20:44,080
Speaker 2: and it was a disaster. They scored zero point five

1599
01:20:44,240 --> 01:20:47,120
Speaker 2: point six points their possession. Well, Saint John's has that press,

1600
01:20:47,200 --> 01:20:52,760
Speaker 2: but on steroids. So I mean this team all they do, like,

1601
01:20:52,960 --> 01:20:57,000
Speaker 2: this team just covers They've been undervalued every for so long,

1602
01:20:57,200 --> 01:20:58,800
Speaker 2: say with Robert Morris. By the way, we'll talk about it.

1603
01:20:58,800 --> 01:21:03,439
Speaker 2: The more Robert Morrises covered sixty seventeen, I think the

1604
01:21:03,479 --> 01:21:05,400
Speaker 2: Omaha can hang for a little. Maybe they just they

1605
01:21:05,479 --> 01:21:09,960
Speaker 2: probably get worn down eventually and then Saint John's probably

1606
01:21:09,960 --> 01:21:13,360
Speaker 2: puts a run on them in the second half. I'm

1607
01:21:13,400 --> 01:21:16,360
Speaker 2: going to advance Saint John's here, but I'm thinking about

1608
01:21:16,400 --> 01:21:22,439
Speaker 2: Omaha first half. Sandor you you lean Omaha. Yeah, all

1609
01:21:22,479 --> 01:21:26,320
Speaker 2: the same thoughts should avoid getting ripped a part of

1610
01:21:26,320 --> 01:21:26,839
Speaker 2: the extras.

1611
01:21:27,200 --> 01:21:27,320
Speaker 6: Uh.

1612
01:21:28,400 --> 01:21:30,720
Speaker 3: They're also they're good in transition denial, you know, and

1613
01:21:30,840 --> 01:21:33,160
Speaker 3: like you said, they play that compact man band scheme.

1614
01:21:33,240 --> 01:21:35,680
Speaker 3: I mean, if you if you a good way to

1615
01:21:35,720 --> 01:21:38,320
Speaker 3: beat the Johnny's, slow them down, keep them out of transition,

1616
01:21:38,479 --> 01:21:40,840
Speaker 3: turn them into jump shooters in the half court. Yeah,

1617
01:21:41,160 --> 01:21:42,960
Speaker 3: on the other end of the court, and make defensive

1618
01:21:42,960 --> 01:21:45,880
Speaker 3: rebounds like they profile with the Yeah. But like they're

1619
01:21:45,920 --> 01:21:49,880
Speaker 3: gonna be athletically at a disadvantage, and the size disadvantage,

1620
01:21:51,479 --> 01:21:53,360
Speaker 3: they kind of I mean.

1621
01:21:53,680 --> 01:21:54,400
Speaker 2: They're gonna win them.

1622
01:21:54,960 --> 01:21:56,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, but a lot of kind of feels like a

1623
01:21:56,760 --> 01:21:59,200
Speaker 3: team built for March. You know, good guard, play grit,

1624
01:21:59,400 --> 01:22:03,400
Speaker 3: tough shot man, and I think that they're tough shot making. Yeah,

1625
01:22:03,800 --> 01:22:05,920
Speaker 3: I think they're tough shot making can play there because

1626
01:22:05,960 --> 01:22:08,439
Speaker 3: the Johnny's allow super high off the dribbled jumper rate

1627
01:22:08,920 --> 01:22:11,880
Speaker 3: aren't great at defending those actions, at least according to

1628
01:22:11,920 --> 01:22:14,360
Speaker 3: the shot quality data. And that's how Omaha shoots, right.

1629
01:22:14,360 --> 01:22:16,760
Speaker 3: They don't really move the ball or generate catching shoot opportunities,

1630
01:22:16,760 --> 01:22:19,320
Speaker 3: but it's more just JJ White and Tony Osborne pulling

1631
01:22:19,360 --> 01:22:21,600
Speaker 3: up in your face. So I do kind of like

1632
01:22:21,680 --> 01:22:23,960
Speaker 3: the matchup for Omaha. I just I can't get there

1633
01:22:23,960 --> 01:22:26,680
Speaker 3: with this level of athleticism disadvantage. Like you said, I

1634
01:22:26,760 --> 01:22:30,040
Speaker 3: think that the Johnny's, like they do so many times,

1635
01:22:30,120 --> 01:22:32,240
Speaker 3: especially in the non kon against low major teams. I

1636
01:22:32,320 --> 01:22:34,439
Speaker 3: saw it three or four times, they'll just start to

1637
01:22:34,560 --> 01:22:37,120
Speaker 3: lean on you and start to overwhelm you in the

1638
01:22:37,160 --> 01:22:39,840
Speaker 3: shat volume battle. And look the masks. They were crushed

1639
01:22:39,880 --> 01:22:41,880
Speaker 3: in the non con. They got destroyed by Iowa State

1640
01:22:41,920 --> 01:22:46,600
Speaker 3: and they're only Hi. You know, ump echelon matchup. So

1641
01:22:47,040 --> 01:22:49,200
Speaker 3: I lean Omaha, but I don't think I can get there.

1642
01:22:49,680 --> 01:22:51,560
Speaker 5: What do you see Cobbery's I going to go with

1643
01:22:51,640 --> 01:22:54,280
Speaker 5: an exotic here out of DraftKings largest comeback of the

1644
01:22:54,320 --> 01:22:57,479
Speaker 5: game by five or more points plus one seventy. And

1645
01:22:57,600 --> 01:22:59,720
Speaker 5: you talked about what Saint John's can go cold. They're

1646
01:22:59,800 --> 01:23:01,600
Speaker 5: very in three hundreds and three point percentage of that

1647
01:23:01,600 --> 01:23:04,400
Speaker 5: are two hundred and first and half court points per possession.

1648
01:23:04,680 --> 01:23:07,439
Speaker 5: You see those weird possessions where Kadari starts becoming like

1649
01:23:07,520 --> 01:23:10,160
Speaker 5: the de facto point guard that doesn't necessarily work. I

1650
01:23:10,200 --> 01:23:12,320
Speaker 5: could see them going on a cold streak. Can Oma

1651
01:23:12,560 --> 01:23:15,599
Speaker 5: lead eight to two, twelve to six, fourteen to seven.

1652
01:23:15,680 --> 01:23:18,320
Speaker 5: I can certainly envision it. I mean you talked about

1653
01:23:18,520 --> 01:23:21,559
Speaker 5: JJ White. He shoots forty four percent from three point range.

1654
01:23:21,840 --> 01:23:23,840
Speaker 5: Just give me a couple of those Markel Sutton. I

1655
01:23:23,840 --> 01:23:26,200
Speaker 5: think can hold on on the defensive glass at least

1656
01:23:26,200 --> 01:23:27,880
Speaker 5: for the first five to ten minutes of this game.

1657
01:23:28,080 --> 01:23:30,760
Speaker 5: So in a very small sample size, can I get

1658
01:23:30,800 --> 01:23:33,000
Speaker 5: them out in fronts and go ahead and grab an

1659
01:23:33,040 --> 01:23:35,080
Speaker 5: early lead. But I just need five points, So I

1660
01:23:35,120 --> 01:23:37,280
Speaker 5: think plus one seventy is an interesting way to fade

1661
01:23:37,280 --> 01:23:40,360
Speaker 5: a Saint John's team that offensively was running very hot

1662
01:23:40,400 --> 01:23:42,240
Speaker 5: there at the end. I think they'll return to who

1663
01:23:42,280 --> 01:23:43,960
Speaker 5: they are a little bit and be able to grind

1664
01:23:44,000 --> 01:23:46,200
Speaker 5: out these games in the first weekend. It won't be pretty,

1665
01:23:46,439 --> 01:23:47,840
Speaker 5: and for that reason, I think this is just an

1666
01:23:47,880 --> 01:23:51,280
Speaker 5: interesting way to attack a game that otherwise I don't

1667
01:23:51,280 --> 01:23:52,880
Speaker 5: want to be sweating out foul shots late with the

1668
01:23:52,920 --> 01:23:54,320
Speaker 5: Johnny's trying to cover a big number.

1669
01:23:54,840 --> 01:23:56,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, Johnny's are kind of like Michigan State with like

1670
01:23:56,720 --> 01:24:01,400
Speaker 2: their depth, their fsicality, but don't come out slow and

1671
01:24:01,680 --> 01:24:03,400
Speaker 2: they can get behind and gainst anybody then just put

1672
01:24:03,439 --> 01:24:07,080
Speaker 2: a run on you. Before we get to the the

1673
01:24:07,120 --> 01:24:12,000
Speaker 2: grand finale of the Ucsteve Michigan, UNCW Texas Tech II

1674
01:24:12,120 --> 01:24:14,280
Speaker 2: Lean Tech. I think they're gonna be a full strength

1675
01:24:14,320 --> 01:24:16,519
Speaker 2: I'm hearing they will be, but injury and serai keep

1676
01:24:16,600 --> 01:24:18,760
Speaker 2: me off. I wrote up that game and many of

1677
01:24:18,800 --> 01:24:21,519
Speaker 2: my pieces that will be on the ext Nework Gap. Dannon,

1678
01:24:21,600 --> 01:24:22,480
Speaker 2: you like the total.

1679
01:24:22,280 --> 01:24:27,240
Speaker 3: Air, Yeah, I like the over. And the reason why

1680
01:24:27,280 --> 01:24:29,840
Speaker 3: I like the over is that the Seahawks are going

1681
01:24:29,920 --> 01:24:32,799
Speaker 3: to run everything through the post through just the massive

1682
01:24:33,120 --> 01:24:36,840
Speaker 3: Harlan o Bioba and Kamari McGriff and I, you know,

1683
01:24:37,040 --> 01:24:38,840
Speaker 3: I at first, I was like, Okay, Texas Tech can

1684
01:24:38,920 --> 01:24:41,560
Speaker 3: hang down there with Toppin and Federico, But I'm not

1685
01:24:41,720 --> 01:24:44,160
Speaker 3: entirely sure because they've been kind of cooked lately in

1686
01:24:44,200 --> 01:24:46,320
Speaker 3: their post up defense. Over the past five games. They've

1687
01:24:46,360 --> 01:24:49,880
Speaker 3: allowed fifty two points on forty one post upsets to Arizona, Baylor,

1688
01:24:49,920 --> 01:24:52,760
Speaker 3: Arizona State, Colorado, and Kansas. That's one point two to

1689
01:24:52,800 --> 01:24:56,800
Speaker 3: seven points per possession. That's insane for post up efficiency.

1690
01:24:57,280 --> 01:24:59,759
Speaker 3: And if the big boys you know of the Seahawks

1691
01:24:59,800 --> 01:25:02,479
Speaker 3: get Texas Tech and foul trouble, that's another issue. I mean,

1692
01:25:02,520 --> 01:25:04,880
Speaker 3: the Raiders filed a lot in Big twelve play this year.

1693
01:25:05,400 --> 01:25:07,760
Speaker 2: Big here. Yeah, if they called this tight, that'll help

1694
01:25:07,800 --> 01:25:09,400
Speaker 2: you and see Wilmington exactly.

1695
01:25:09,560 --> 01:25:12,479
Speaker 3: And on the other end of the court, Texas Tech

1696
01:25:12,560 --> 01:25:15,559
Speaker 3: is just a firecracker. They're and now they're fully healthy.

1697
01:25:15,600 --> 01:25:17,800
Speaker 3: I mean they're elite off the dribble, They're elite in

1698
01:25:17,800 --> 01:25:19,920
Speaker 3: their short role in pop creation. They're a top ten

1699
01:25:20,000 --> 01:25:23,120
Speaker 3: spacing and shot making squad. On one hand, I looked

1700
01:25:23,160 --> 01:25:25,479
Speaker 3: at it, and the Seahawks actually great out really well

1701
01:25:25,479 --> 01:25:29,400
Speaker 3: against the dribble and roll defense like dribble and role actions.

1702
01:25:29,920 --> 01:25:33,000
Speaker 3: But if you look deeper, opponents shot twenty seven percent

1703
01:25:33,080 --> 01:25:36,200
Speaker 3: from three off ball screen actions against the Seahawks. This

1704
01:25:36,280 --> 01:25:39,479
Speaker 3: here on super high volume their basic man demand passive

1705
01:25:39,560 --> 01:25:42,880
Speaker 3: ballscreen coverage defense. It ranks I think three hundreds nationally

1706
01:25:42,960 --> 01:25:45,040
Speaker 3: in three point rate allowed. So I think an elite

1707
01:25:45,080 --> 01:25:48,000
Speaker 3: offense like Texas Tech should just be able to destroy

1708
01:25:48,120 --> 01:25:52,560
Speaker 3: them off those actions. And I looked over and the projections,

1709
01:25:52,560 --> 01:25:55,160
Speaker 3: by the way, seemed to make this above market. I

1710
01:25:55,200 --> 01:25:57,280
Speaker 3: think I got over one forty three and a half.

1711
01:25:57,600 --> 01:25:59,800
Speaker 3: Evan Miles at one forty five, Bart Torviks at one

1712
01:25:59,800 --> 01:26:03,240
Speaker 3: four shot qualities at one fifty one. Sean Kerner he's

1713
01:26:03,280 --> 01:26:06,120
Speaker 3: at one forty seven and you know, I just I

1714
01:26:06,160 --> 01:26:08,600
Speaker 3: think the Wilmington defense is a tad overvalued, and I

1715
01:26:08,680 --> 01:26:10,360
Speaker 3: think that they should be able to bully ball their

1716
01:26:10,400 --> 01:26:14,040
Speaker 3: way to points and free throws to also help lengthen

1717
01:26:14,120 --> 01:26:16,320
Speaker 3: the game and cash this over, even if I think

1718
01:26:16,360 --> 01:26:17,320
Speaker 3: the pace is.

1719
01:26:17,320 --> 01:26:18,120
Speaker 2: A little questionable.

1720
01:26:18,600 --> 01:26:20,680
Speaker 3: Yeah pace one, Yeah, that efficiency over.

1721
01:26:21,400 --> 01:26:23,240
Speaker 2: But when Texas Tech does run, they're going to score

1722
01:26:23,240 --> 01:26:26,360
Speaker 2: it will yep U and CW. The transition day it

1723
01:26:26,439 --> 01:26:27,880
Speaker 2: is not good, So I think they might take some

1724
01:26:27,960 --> 01:26:30,599
Speaker 2: more opportunities there, you like Tech, Mike.

1725
01:26:31,280 --> 01:26:33,880
Speaker 5: Yeah, another Cinderella turning into a pumpkin. I mean the

1726
01:26:33,920 --> 01:26:35,559
Speaker 5: word out of Lubbock is that they're going to play

1727
01:26:35,560 --> 01:26:37,560
Speaker 5: with a full deck. We'll see how healthy everyone is

1728
01:26:37,600 --> 01:26:40,880
Speaker 5: if they're on minutes restrictions are not. But at full strength,

1729
01:26:41,000 --> 01:26:43,360
Speaker 5: this is a national title contender. Shot Quality has the

1730
01:26:43,479 --> 01:26:46,120
Speaker 5: number three, Ken Pump and Torbick seventh, Media has the

1731
01:26:46,320 --> 01:26:47,800
Speaker 5: number nine in the whole country.

1732
01:26:47,720 --> 01:26:51,599
Speaker 2: And then their non con them fifth. At full strength. Yeah,

1733
01:26:51,680 --> 01:26:54,080
Speaker 2: I mean they're a phenomenal team, and you saw it

1734
01:26:54,200 --> 01:26:54,680
Speaker 2: in the non con.

1735
01:26:54,840 --> 01:26:56,679
Speaker 5: They covered as favorites of eighteen and a half twenty

1736
01:26:56,760 --> 01:26:58,160
Speaker 5: two to twenty four and a half twenty seven and

1737
01:26:58,160 --> 01:27:00,200
Speaker 5: a half thirty two and a half. They had no

1738
01:27:00,400 --> 01:27:03,479
Speaker 5: problem blowing the doors off the teams that aren't at

1739
01:27:03,560 --> 01:27:06,320
Speaker 5: their level. And when you look at UNC Wilmington outside

1740
01:27:06,400 --> 01:27:09,040
Speaker 5: of a non conference game against Kansas, they played a

1741
01:27:09,240 --> 01:27:11,920
Speaker 5: really soft schedule, the tenth easiest schedule in the field

1742
01:27:12,040 --> 01:27:14,760
Speaker 5: two hundred and eighty fourth nationally in that regard. And

1743
01:27:15,040 --> 01:27:17,800
Speaker 5: despite that schedule, they were mediocre defending inside of ten

1744
01:27:17,880 --> 01:27:18,200
Speaker 5: feet and.

1745
01:27:18,240 --> 01:27:18,640
Speaker 2: At the rim.

1746
01:27:19,320 --> 01:27:20,960
Speaker 5: Toppen is going to crush him in this game. He

1747
01:27:21,240 --> 01:27:23,519
Speaker 5: as almost nine points per game at the rim. He's

1748
01:27:23,560 --> 01:27:26,040
Speaker 5: a monster on putbacks and on the offensive glass. I

1749
01:27:26,120 --> 01:27:28,120
Speaker 5: think this is a statement win for Texas Tech, who

1750
01:27:28,120 --> 01:27:30,360
Speaker 5: wants to feel good about himself. Get the ball rolling

1751
01:27:30,560 --> 01:27:32,720
Speaker 5: into a deep run in this tournament. I see them

1752
01:27:32,760 --> 01:27:33,880
Speaker 5: win by twenty five plus.

1753
01:27:34,200 --> 01:27:37,439
Speaker 2: All right, let's move on to Yeah, if tex Tex

1754
01:27:37,520 --> 01:27:39,240
Speaker 2: at full strength, are they are designed to blow out

1755
01:27:39,280 --> 01:27:41,680
Speaker 2: teams like this? Well, out of the last game you

1756
01:27:41,800 --> 01:27:45,439
Speaker 2: see San Diego my Tritons hour Triitans taking on Michigan.

1757
01:27:45,520 --> 01:27:48,000
Speaker 2: Michigan two and a half point favorite here total one

1758
01:27:48,080 --> 01:27:51,280
Speaker 2: forty two and a half. I love do you see

1759
01:27:51,439 --> 01:27:55,120
Speaker 2: tanego my favorite bet of the weekend, or I should

1760
01:27:55,120 --> 01:27:57,120
Speaker 2: say the first two days, and it's the only bet

1761
01:27:57,160 --> 01:27:59,400
Speaker 2: that I like and the matchup that I liked, and

1762
01:27:59,680 --> 01:28:02,840
Speaker 2: have one of those other factors that's not working against me,

1763
01:28:02,880 --> 01:28:04,360
Speaker 2: which is happening in all the games. This is the

1764
01:28:04,360 --> 01:28:07,120
Speaker 2: one where Michigan played three games in three days. Now

1765
01:28:07,200 --> 01:28:11,200
Speaker 2: has to get chipped out. West play on Thursday in altitude.

1766
01:28:11,479 --> 01:28:13,120
Speaker 2: And by the way, Michigan fans are now saying, oh,

1767
01:28:13,160 --> 01:28:17,320
Speaker 2: it's fine, they're college kids, you liars. Two weeks ago

1768
01:28:17,360 --> 01:28:19,280
Speaker 2: you got blown out by Illinois and said, oh, it's

1769
01:28:19,320 --> 01:28:21,400
Speaker 2: four nine days, what do you expect? Well, well, this

1770
01:28:21,560 --> 01:28:23,720
Speaker 2: is four and eight days in altitude. So if you

1771
01:28:23,720 --> 01:28:26,360
Speaker 2: couldn't do four and nine days, what's gonna happen here?

1772
01:28:27,640 --> 01:28:30,519
Speaker 2: I do just something that could work against them. People

1773
01:28:30,640 --> 01:28:34,080
Speaker 2: are disrespecting. This is such a polarizing game. I love it.

1774
01:28:34,600 --> 01:28:36,799
Speaker 2: I want to add everyone saying, you'd see san Diego

1775
01:28:36,880 --> 01:28:39,519
Speaker 2: is the most trendied up people Twitter is like, it's

1776
01:28:39,520 --> 01:28:41,519
Speaker 2: just a small echo chamber. A couple people like you

1777
01:28:41,600 --> 01:28:43,600
Speaker 2: see san Diego, then a bunch of people say it,

1778
01:28:43,640 --> 01:28:48,040
Speaker 2: and then you have people like that are have like

1779
01:28:48,120 --> 01:28:50,479
Speaker 2: these RinkyDink sites that are saying it and then make

1780
01:28:50,560 --> 01:28:52,920
Speaker 2: you make kiktoks about it, and then it becomes trendy

1781
01:28:52,960 --> 01:28:55,559
Speaker 2: who cares like trendy picks can win too, And then

1782
01:28:55,600 --> 01:28:58,160
Speaker 2: the other side of books saying Michigan's the most bet

1783
01:28:58,240 --> 01:29:01,360
Speaker 2: team of it shows you that the Twitter echo chamber

1784
01:29:01,400 --> 01:29:04,280
Speaker 2: is a very small percentage of the betting population and

1785
01:29:04,439 --> 01:29:10,920
Speaker 2: ultimately meaningless. So. But people are disrespecting the shit out

1786
01:29:10,920 --> 01:29:13,280
Speaker 2: of the UC San Diego defense. They're not gonna be

1787
01:29:13,280 --> 01:29:17,000
Speaker 2: able to handle the seven footers. Seven footers, Wolf and

1788
01:29:17,120 --> 01:29:22,080
Speaker 2: Golden will be problematic at times, but you don't get

1789
01:29:22,240 --> 01:29:26,280
Speaker 2: anything in the paint against UC San Diego by design.

1790
01:29:26,520 --> 01:29:31,120
Speaker 2: People don't realize how good this defense is, how their communication.

1791
01:29:31,439 --> 01:29:33,479
Speaker 2: They don't allow anything in the paint. They're gonna run

1792
01:29:34,280 --> 01:29:37,400
Speaker 2: their zone with manned principles. They're so connected they're gonna

1793
01:29:37,439 --> 01:29:41,920
Speaker 2: turnover Michigan. This turnover disparity is staggering. One of the

1794
01:29:41,960 --> 01:29:44,240
Speaker 2: worst turnover teams in the country versus the team that

1795
01:29:44,320 --> 01:29:47,679
Speaker 2: takes it away more than anybody. Despite their lack of size,

1796
01:29:48,040 --> 01:29:50,640
Speaker 2: and by the way they played, they won, went to

1797
01:29:50,880 --> 01:29:53,160
Speaker 2: Utah State and one they played San Diego State, their

1798
01:29:53,200 --> 01:29:55,800
Speaker 2: biggest rival they played three three times this year has

1799
01:29:55,840 --> 01:29:57,760
Speaker 2: a seven foot one guy that they go to all

1800
01:29:57,800 --> 01:30:00,439
Speaker 2: the time in their offense despite their lack of there's

1801
01:30:00,439 --> 01:30:03,160
Speaker 2: sixty fifth in near proximity attempt to right, seventy first

1802
01:30:03,200 --> 01:30:06,720
Speaker 2: in near proximity at ten percentage, ninth percent TILE in

1803
01:30:06,880 --> 01:30:12,240
Speaker 2: rim offense allowed, ninety third percent TILE in rim defense efficiency.

1804
01:30:13,160 --> 01:30:17,559
Speaker 2: That's their team defense. It is unbelievable across the board.

1805
01:30:18,280 --> 01:30:21,200
Speaker 2: The sum is so much greater than the parts, and

1806
01:30:21,240 --> 01:30:25,000
Speaker 2: many most people just haven't watched them. So what's gonna

1807
01:30:25,000 --> 01:30:27,200
Speaker 2: happen here? The one thing I'm most worried about it

1808
01:30:27,200 --> 01:30:29,840
Speaker 2: I'm not most worried about Golden and Wolf. I'm most

1809
01:30:29,880 --> 01:30:34,280
Speaker 2: worried about Michigan's potential three point regression. And you see

1810
01:30:34,320 --> 01:30:37,080
Speaker 2: San Diego's negative three point regression because they've there have

1811
01:30:37,160 --> 01:30:39,479
Speaker 2: been one of the luckiest teams in terms of three

1812
01:30:39,479 --> 01:30:41,680
Speaker 2: point shooting. Now they're two point shooting and they're two point.

1813
01:30:41,680 --> 01:30:44,639
Speaker 2: He's still been really good. But they're like five percent

1814
01:30:44,720 --> 01:30:47,160
Speaker 2: over both ways and five percent under a defense. And

1815
01:30:47,240 --> 01:30:51,280
Speaker 2: Michigan's hasn't made a shot months. They're gonna get shots here,

1816
01:30:52,439 --> 01:30:54,640
Speaker 2: and if they make them, I'll tip my cap. But

1817
01:30:54,720 --> 01:30:57,559
Speaker 2: I don't trust Michigan to make shots. And you got

1818
01:30:57,640 --> 01:30:59,599
Speaker 2: to Now you have altitude, they might be a little fatigued.

1819
01:31:01,200 --> 01:31:04,040
Speaker 2: This UC San Diego offense too, can beat you in

1820
01:31:04,200 --> 01:31:06,840
Speaker 2: so many different ways. They can put They're gonna put

1821
01:31:06,880 --> 01:31:11,639
Speaker 2: Michigan's bigs in conflict. There are get ready to learn

1822
01:31:11,960 --> 01:31:15,040
Speaker 2: Tyler mcguy, one of the best shooters in the country,

1823
01:31:15,400 --> 01:31:17,439
Speaker 2: by get ready to learn, Hayden Gray who leads I

1824
01:31:17,479 --> 01:31:20,360
Speaker 2: think he leads the country and steals, and then get

1825
01:31:20,439 --> 01:31:24,160
Speaker 2: ready to learn Neewa Tate Jones, one of the most

1826
01:31:24,280 --> 01:31:27,479
Speaker 2: unique players in college basketball, who I think has the

1827
01:31:27,520 --> 01:31:31,800
Speaker 2: best division in all of college basketball. Your point forward

1828
01:31:31,920 --> 01:31:34,759
Speaker 2: or a run point guard, and just an unbelievable player,

1829
01:31:34,880 --> 01:31:40,640
Speaker 2: so fun to watch. I love this team. Could they lose? Yeah? Absolutely.

1830
01:31:40,720 --> 01:31:42,439
Speaker 2: I think this is a coin filll game. So I

1831
01:31:42,479 --> 01:31:44,040
Speaker 2: took three and a half, would still take it to

1832
01:31:44,080 --> 01:31:46,040
Speaker 2: two and a half. But I don't think it's gonna

1833
01:31:46,040 --> 01:31:50,240
Speaker 2: because they can't handle the Michigan size. They structurally they're

1834
01:31:50,280 --> 01:31:54,200
Speaker 2: designed to do that, and I think their zone can

1835
01:31:54,439 --> 01:31:56,800
Speaker 2: really disrupt what Michigan wants to do. Can the Michigan

1836
01:31:56,840 --> 01:31:58,360
Speaker 2: guards make shots? If they do, I'll tip my cat,

1837
01:31:58,960 --> 01:32:02,720
Speaker 2: But uh, Michig's gonna turn it over a ton you

1838
01:32:02,800 --> 01:32:06,160
Speaker 2: Sasanio does not turn it over. Eiink, They're gonna win

1839
01:32:06,200 --> 01:32:08,879
Speaker 2: this game. I love this team. Give me the Tritons.

1840
01:32:09,120 --> 01:32:14,479
Speaker 3: Danna you agree fully agree clean? You know, I'll just

1841
01:32:14,520 --> 01:32:16,200
Speaker 3: add I mean you went through most of it. I'll

1842
01:32:16,200 --> 01:32:22,240
Speaker 3: add a few notes. Yeah. UCSD's defense, they just they

1843
01:32:22,360 --> 01:32:25,720
Speaker 3: relentlessly underscreen, they double, they front the post, and they

1844
01:32:25,760 --> 01:32:29,840
Speaker 3: bring extra help and it forces you into basically lazy

1845
01:32:29,880 --> 01:32:33,479
Speaker 3: cross cord passes. Who does that better than Danny Wolf,

1846
01:32:33,960 --> 01:32:36,519
Speaker 3: you know? And I mean I think a good like

1847
01:32:36,600 --> 01:32:40,840
Speaker 3: a decent yeah, And I think a decent comp here

1848
01:32:40,960 --> 01:32:46,880
Speaker 3: actually is Northwestern, who isn't the same level of defense

1849
01:32:46,960 --> 01:32:50,360
Speaker 3: but compact post and aile post double defense. Danny Wolf

1850
01:32:50,479 --> 01:32:52,760
Speaker 3: was lost in that game four points on zero for

1851
01:32:52,880 --> 01:32:56,320
Speaker 3: seven shooting. And so when you have that, you know,

1852
01:32:56,960 --> 01:33:00,639
Speaker 3: type of defense coming underneath, the Michigan guards are gonna

1853
01:33:00,640 --> 01:33:03,200
Speaker 3: have to step up and create, and I don't trust

1854
01:33:03,240 --> 01:33:06,840
Speaker 3: them because Hayden Gray is amazing and the Wolverines are,

1855
01:33:07,160 --> 01:33:09,720
Speaker 3: like you said, stuck, gonna have to hit shots out

1856
01:33:09,760 --> 01:33:11,840
Speaker 3: of inside out actions and they haven't hit a shot

1857
01:33:11,960 --> 01:33:15,200
Speaker 3: in months. Twenty seven percent from three since February first,

1858
01:33:17,080 --> 01:33:18,719
Speaker 3: Trenton's ball screen sets.

1859
01:33:18,840 --> 01:33:21,599
Speaker 2: People are just acting like, oh, You're just gonna throw

1860
01:33:21,640 --> 01:33:24,719
Speaker 2: it into Golden, and then there's this the six seven

1861
01:33:24,800 --> 01:33:27,320
Speaker 2: guy trying to guard him in the post, and then

1862
01:33:27,360 --> 01:33:32,280
Speaker 2: Golden's gonna turn around. That's not howl defense. They swarmed.

1863
01:33:32,439 --> 01:33:35,599
Speaker 5: They swarmed Luketon in the two losses, he had seven

1864
01:33:35,640 --> 01:33:39,479
Speaker 5: turnovers in those two losses. He was overwhelmed and everything

1865
01:33:39,520 --> 01:33:42,400
Speaker 5: that you basically said, like UC Irvine was top twenty

1866
01:33:42,439 --> 01:33:44,559
Speaker 5: and ken pound defense six and defensive rebounds.

1867
01:33:44,920 --> 01:33:47,160
Speaker 2: So they people acting like it is.

1868
01:33:47,200 --> 01:33:53,160
Speaker 5: Gonna be just absolute, you know, unmerciful differential in terms

1869
01:33:53,200 --> 01:33:55,519
Speaker 5: of the talent on the floor. How about another comp

1870
01:33:55,560 --> 01:33:58,240
Speaker 5: I love that you brought up, Northwestern Tanner. Another team

1871
01:33:58,280 --> 01:34:00,960
Speaker 5: played in Michigan and they were nine point underdog at

1872
01:34:01,000 --> 01:34:01,760
Speaker 5: the Chrysler Center.

1873
01:34:01,800 --> 01:34:02,559
Speaker 2: They lost by two.

1874
01:34:02,840 --> 01:34:05,000
Speaker 5: They were plus thirteen in the turnover margin, they made

1875
01:34:05,080 --> 01:34:07,599
Speaker 5: nine triples. They did little in transition, but they still

1876
01:34:07,640 --> 01:34:10,280
Speaker 5: nearly won. You know a team that was Iowa. All right,

1877
01:34:10,520 --> 01:34:13,160
Speaker 5: nobody's watched Iowa in the last three months and said, man,

1878
01:34:13,479 --> 01:34:16,400
Speaker 5: they're so much better than Michigan. You see, San Diego

1879
01:34:16,520 --> 01:34:19,120
Speaker 5: is better than Iowa. They do everything better in those metrics.

1880
01:34:19,160 --> 01:34:22,000
Speaker 5: They're gonna win the turnover battle. So I'm with you, guys, like,

1881
01:34:22,400 --> 01:34:24,160
Speaker 5: and this isn't just me coming from a place of

1882
01:34:24,240 --> 01:34:27,559
Speaker 5: jealousy knowing that you, Dubundo and Stucky are gonna sit

1883
01:34:27,640 --> 01:34:31,160
Speaker 5: around in your Yale basketball jerseys with Bush Senior, Bush Junior,

1884
01:34:31,200 --> 01:34:33,840
Speaker 5: and Clinton on the back, all enjoining them beat Texas

1885
01:34:33,880 --> 01:34:36,040
Speaker 5: A and M. This is me saying for all of

1886
01:34:36,200 --> 01:34:38,760
Speaker 5: us low major college basketball fans that have watched this

1887
01:34:38,840 --> 01:34:42,160
Speaker 5: team play all year, they are a nightmare. They are

1888
01:34:42,160 --> 01:34:45,560
Speaker 5: an absolute nightmare to prepare for. And they're also just

1889
01:34:45,600 --> 01:34:47,640
Speaker 5: gonna throw a lot of zone at this, you know,

1890
01:34:47,760 --> 01:34:50,800
Speaker 5: the big man pick and roll that apparently Michigan fans

1891
01:34:50,920 --> 01:34:53,160
Speaker 5: think is some kind of riddle that cannot be cracked.

1892
01:34:53,479 --> 01:34:56,040
Speaker 2: Bullshit. So we're gonna see. I can't wait for this game.

1893
01:34:56,120 --> 01:34:57,880
Speaker 2: I love that it's the absolute nightcap.

1894
01:34:58,080 --> 01:35:00,000
Speaker 5: We can all settle in after a day of madness

1895
01:35:00,280 --> 01:35:03,120
Speaker 5: and just enjoy this, you know, public versus you know,

1896
01:35:03,200 --> 01:35:04,960
Speaker 5: pros versus jokes. However, you want to argue with the

1897
01:35:05,000 --> 01:35:07,599
Speaker 5: echo chamber argument that stuck he made before. I think

1898
01:35:07,680 --> 01:35:09,080
Speaker 5: the Tradins are going to get this done. I'm gonn

1899
01:35:09,080 --> 01:35:09,840
Speaker 5: take them on the money line.

1900
01:35:09,920 --> 01:35:11,720
Speaker 3: Yeah, and you know, in the Big West Championship game.

1901
01:35:11,800 --> 01:35:15,479
Speaker 3: I think Irvine made a little run once Lucian went

1902
01:35:15,520 --> 01:35:17,200
Speaker 3: to the bench, you know, and then he came back

1903
01:35:17,240 --> 01:35:18,840
Speaker 3: in and then he was swarmed again. So it's like

1904
01:35:18,960 --> 01:35:21,160
Speaker 3: this team can Yeah, you're right, this team can handle skies.

1905
01:35:21,680 --> 01:35:23,120
Speaker 3: The only other point I wanted to make is that

1906
01:35:23,280 --> 01:35:25,519
Speaker 3: I just I love the Trenton's ball screen sets the

1907
01:35:25,560 --> 01:35:29,160
Speaker 3: way they're design They're fantastic, so much positional size, spacing, shooting,

1908
01:35:29,680 --> 01:35:32,879
Speaker 3: And I don't trust Michigan's ball screen coverage. They funneled

1909
01:35:32,920 --> 01:35:35,479
Speaker 3: dribble creation and a drop too big drop, but they

1910
01:35:35,520 --> 01:35:37,719
Speaker 3: aren't good at stopping the dribble. I don't I don't trust.

1911
01:35:37,840 --> 01:35:40,559
Speaker 3: Like I said, I don't trust Michigan's guards point eight

1912
01:35:40,560 --> 01:35:43,920
Speaker 3: to one points per possession allowed off the dribble thirty

1913
01:35:43,960 --> 01:35:47,200
Speaker 3: seven percentile, and they're bad against rolling actions to one

1914
01:35:47,240 --> 01:35:50,280
Speaker 3: point one six points prosession allowed, eleventh percentile. I think.

1915
01:35:50,880 --> 01:35:53,880
Speaker 3: I also think the Trident's profile well against drop coverage

1916
01:35:53,920 --> 01:35:58,840
Speaker 3: with ATJ's just unique skill set and the they have

1917
01:35:58,920 --> 01:36:03,080
Speaker 3: a good stretch to who you know can pull those

1918
01:36:03,120 --> 01:36:05,800
Speaker 3: guys out. So yeah, I mean, like you said, stuck,

1919
01:36:05,800 --> 01:36:08,880
Speaker 3: the only thing I'm worried about is michigan hits everything

1920
01:36:09,080 --> 01:36:12,160
Speaker 3: off those inside out actions. But you got there to

1921
01:36:12,200 --> 01:36:13,040
Speaker 3: do it. They have to do it.

1922
01:36:13,120 --> 01:36:15,400
Speaker 2: It's going to give up some threes. But I'll live

1923
01:36:15,439 --> 01:36:16,880
Speaker 2: with that if that happens. I mean, that's happens with

1924
01:36:16,960 --> 01:36:19,680
Speaker 2: every college basketball man, and I get it. I'm not

1925
01:36:19,720 --> 01:36:22,360
Speaker 2: disrespecting issue that this is about UC Senega, not against you,

1926
01:36:22,560 --> 01:36:25,920
Speaker 2: but people are talking about UCCA. Haven't watched them at

1927
01:36:25,920 --> 01:36:29,120
Speaker 2: all this year. And it's not just dumping in like

1928
01:36:29,680 --> 01:36:32,000
Speaker 2: this how people are talking about this uccd It's just

1929
01:36:32,040 --> 01:36:33,439
Speaker 2: a bunch of accountants who are going to try to

1930
01:36:33,479 --> 01:36:35,400
Speaker 2: guard Glad Golden is going to go for forty in

1931
01:36:35,439 --> 01:36:38,880
Speaker 2: the posts. It's not how this is going to work. Now,

1932
01:36:38,920 --> 01:36:42,080
Speaker 2: if the Michigan guards step off, they could win this game.

1933
01:36:42,080 --> 01:36:43,240
Speaker 2: They could win it big. And then if you see

1934
01:36:43,240 --> 01:36:44,160
Speaker 2: Senega does not make a chot.

1935
01:36:44,280 --> 01:36:47,479
Speaker 5: But I mean, Glad Golden was apparently the stiff just

1936
01:36:47,520 --> 01:36:49,800
Speaker 5: a couple of years ago. He went to the Final four.

1937
01:36:50,000 --> 01:36:51,720
Speaker 5: You know, all of a sudden, he goes from off

1938
01:36:51,800 --> 01:36:54,120
Speaker 5: the radar to people understand like, if you can ball,

1939
01:36:54,240 --> 01:36:57,320
Speaker 5: you can ball. And the recency bias of a tournament

1940
01:36:57,400 --> 01:36:59,840
Speaker 5: champion out of a power conference is very much re

1941
01:37:00,560 --> 01:37:02,840
Speaker 5: so much airtime dedicated to it to the last three

1942
01:37:02,920 --> 01:37:05,720
Speaker 5: Big Ten Tournament champs lost in the round of sixty four,

1943
01:37:06,000 --> 01:37:08,519
Speaker 5: so the recency bias is real. Don't just buy it

1944
01:37:08,600 --> 01:37:10,560
Speaker 5: because you think that you know the name brand is

1945
01:37:10,600 --> 01:37:12,280
Speaker 5: going to scare away the tradings that'll do.

1946
01:37:12,360 --> 01:37:13,800
Speaker 2: Frost Tannor. I don't know if you'll be joining us

1947
01:37:13,840 --> 01:37:16,880
Speaker 2: yet or not. Tomorrow depends on Greg's availability, so we'll

1948
01:37:16,920 --> 01:37:19,080
Speaker 2: share our final four tomorrow. Do you want to share

1949
01:37:19,080 --> 01:37:20,680
Speaker 2: your final four as of now? You can change it

1950
01:37:20,800 --> 01:37:21,360
Speaker 2: in the future.

1951
01:37:22,160 --> 01:37:26,080
Speaker 3: Yeah, Auburn, Duke, Texas Tech, and Xavier.

1952
01:37:27,080 --> 01:37:29,200
Speaker 2: As of right now, I'll share my final one to Marks.

1953
01:37:29,240 --> 01:37:32,920
Speaker 2: I gotta go through. I'm Auburn, Dukee, Texas Tech, and Illinois.

1954
01:37:34,200 --> 01:37:36,280
Speaker 3: We'll have fun. We'll have one first round head to

1955
01:37:36,320 --> 01:37:37,040
Speaker 3: head there one of us.

1956
01:37:37,200 --> 01:37:38,840
Speaker 2: One of us is. Our brackets will be dead on

1957
01:37:38,960 --> 01:37:43,240
Speaker 2: the first seventh day. All right, that'll do it for us.

1958
01:37:43,400 --> 01:37:45,439
Speaker 2: Thanks to Tanner Mike for joining me. Most portly, thanks

1959
01:37:45,439 --> 01:37:47,160
Speaker 2: to all of you for tuning in. I'll make sure

1960
01:37:47,160 --> 01:37:49,760
Speaker 2: tomorrow's episode is a bit shorter. I always get too

1961
01:37:49,760 --> 01:37:53,759
Speaker 2: excited on the first one, but I know everyone's excited

1962
01:37:53,800 --> 01:37:55,280
Speaker 2: for the first day, so sorry, it was an hour

1963
01:37:55,280 --> 01:37:57,600
Speaker 2: and a half. But thanks for tuning in. It's the

1964
01:37:57,640 --> 01:38:00,519
Speaker 2: best time of the year. Thanks you subscribes to subscribe,

1965
01:38:00,880 --> 01:38:03,000
Speaker 2: Tell friends on the Men the Deal. Shout out to

1966
01:38:03,040 --> 01:38:06,040
Speaker 2: Edge Boost. By the way, Next Saturday, Lead Saturday, Join

1967
01:38:06,120 --> 01:38:11,120
Speaker 2: us in, Join myself, Jim Root and the favorites Chad

1968
01:38:11,160 --> 01:38:14,040
Speaker 2: and Simon in Chicago. Joe's on Weed Just OURSVP. I

1969
01:38:14,280 --> 01:38:17,000
Speaker 2: retweeted it today. I hope to see somebody there. It's free.

1970
01:38:17,040 --> 01:38:18,519
Speaker 2: Come on and drink Spots and Games. We'll do an

1971
01:38:18,640 --> 01:38:20,760
Speaker 2: lead Day preview myself and Jim Root. But thanks for

1972
01:38:20,840 --> 01:38:24,280
Speaker 2: tuning in again. Tomorrow's episode coming Fridays. Games can't wait.

1973
01:38:24,760 --> 01:38:27,639
Speaker 2: Good luck on all of your wages. Let's see you tomorrow.

1974
01:38:27,760 --> 01:38:29,320
Speaker 2: Cheers Head of.

1975
01:38:29,280 --> 01:38:37,439
Speaker 6: Course, Shots and mascot, buzz A, Betaza.

1976
01:38:40,560 --> 01:38:43,120
Speaker 1: And Shus.

1977
01:38:45,000 --> 01:38:50,160
Speaker 4: Keep cheeving disappearing freshman with a hot hand, shoots and

1978
01:38:50,240 --> 01:38:53,519
Speaker 4: scores marches.

1979
01:38:56,120 --> 01:38:59,519
Speaker 2: S up you prior, Oh no no, got a little madness?

1980
01:38:59,560 --> 01:39:01,200
Speaker 2: Am I get me out of my moment.

1981
01:39:01,280 --> 01:39:04,360
Speaker 4: Jum's Jeez.

1982
01:39:13,960 --> 01:39:18,439
Speaker 2: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1983
01:39:18,479 --> 01:39:21,280
Speaker 2: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1984
01:39:21,280 --> 01:39:23,920
Speaker 2: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred.

1985
01:39:23,960 --> 01:39:24,360
Speaker 6: Gambler