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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: PA All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Fifteen, twenty twenty five, starting thirty five forty forty five

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Speaker 1: fifty and the Kicks Blocks Football, Stunny, Oh my goodness,

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Speaker 1: please stumble and bumble, the latter.

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Speaker 3: Turn a catter on the exode, g the lad table off,

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Speaker 3: the fail the night.

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Speaker 1: My god, it's not the size of the dog in

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Speaker 1: the fight, it's the size of the fight. Get all,

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Speaker 1: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast. This is

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Speaker 1: the Group five Deep Dive presented by Draft King Sportsbook.

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Speaker 1: I'm Mike Calvary's joined by my Action Net. We're co

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Speaker 1: host Duck. We're gonna run through what we liked about

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Speaker 1: Week eleven. There was a lot on my end. To

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Speaker 1: be honest, I'm not going to recap it all that deep,

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Speaker 1: but they finally had an undefeated Saturday seven to oh two,

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Speaker 1: and oh yere on the best bets from the show.

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Speaker 1: Wh's felt really really nice appreciation moments for Yukon football.

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Speaker 1: I sung their praises Jim Mora Junior in the last episode,

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Speaker 1: and then they just roll up against Duke and win

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Speaker 1: outright as a nine point dog. That was awesome. Southern

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Speaker 1: Miss also hanging on to be able to cover the

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Speaker 1: number in Sun Belt play. So we're not going to

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Speaker 1: stop the love that we're heaping on the Eagles. But

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Speaker 1: that's enough for the positivity. I'm sure there's something that

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Speaker 1: you've been burning on, Duck. I know that there's been

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Speaker 1: plenty of games this year that you've been a part

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Speaker 1: of where the net success rate would have to say,

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Speaker 1: you're going to go ahead and win this, You're going

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Speaker 1: to cover and then it doesn't, you know, come to fruition.

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Speaker 1: That's just football, unfortunately. But I mean the Oregon State

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Speaker 1: Sam Houston game, I guess we got to start there.

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Speaker 2: What say, Yeah? And you know, I was pleased with

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Speaker 2: the week A team total over was no sweat winner.

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Speaker 2: You and I both had Yukon and Southern miss on

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Speaker 2: the card. Jacksonville State gets to the window. FCS plays

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Speaker 2: were good. I mean, we had a fun weekend overall.

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Speaker 2: But when you talk about a spot on Senior Night,

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Speaker 2: your last home game of the year, your season has

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Speaker 2: been complete garbage. Rob Akey, the defensive mind, has turned

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Speaker 2: around the defense that was just absolutely atrocious to start

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Speaker 2: the season. And Oregon State goes out, they score on

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Speaker 2: their first drive, they get a quick three and out,

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Speaker 2: they go down to kick a field goal, they score

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Speaker 2: another touchdown. They have the ball up seventeen to zero

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Speaker 2: in the second quarter, about ready to put their foot

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Speaker 2: on the throat of zero to eight Sam Houston State.

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Speaker 2: They have a turnover. They just completely cannot recover. It

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Speaker 2: was absolutely unreal to watch as sam Houston State scored,

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Speaker 2: ran the kickoff back to start the third quarter, they

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Speaker 2: had a punt return touchdown. They were stifling Oregon State's offense.

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Speaker 2: When you talk about out gaining a foe that's winless

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Speaker 2: at home this late in the season by three hundred yards,

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Speaker 2: and you lose the game outright, let alone the unlogged

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Speaker 2: Oregon State live ticket that I had that was at

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Speaker 2: plus money and they could not come through. I was, frankly,

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Speaker 2: it was very frustrating. It was embarrassing. There was time

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Speaker 2: and time again where Oregon State had chances to capitalize.

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Speaker 2: It's just unexplainable. It's a weird game. It's a game

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Speaker 2: that is just strange sometimes with the way the ball bounces,

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Speaker 2: and so that's what I think about that one. It

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Speaker 2: was disappointing, but onward and upward, I'd say for the

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Speaker 2: rest of this season here for the g five guys.

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Speaker 1: Now, before we get into our Week twelve bets, let's

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Speaker 1: toss over for Stucky for a quick word from DraftKings.

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Speaker 1: Thanks Duck. Now, as we get into our bets for

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Speaker 1: Week twelve, if you'd like to tail some of the

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Speaker 1: ones that you've heard in the episode, or the ones

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Speaker 1: that are going to be spelled out for you. Given

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Speaker 1: the rationale describing our card top to bottom, you're going

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Speaker 1: to get all of them in the quick slip link

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Speaker 1: in the podcast an episode description, or you can visit

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Speaker 1: Action network dot com slash bet now, or even better,

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Speaker 1: sign up for Action Pro Now we're going to get

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Speaker 1: immediate notifications, so the best bets at the best prices

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Speaker 1: when experts like Stucky, Colin Wilson, Duck and myself log

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Speaker 1: are onto the best bets here in Week twelve. Duck,

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Speaker 1: take it away. First. You were going to a team

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Speaker 1: we just talked about in Oregon State and another one

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Speaker 1: that has underwhelmed at times and certainly let you down.

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Speaker 1: You have a belief in the Golden Hurricane. Let's see

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Speaker 1: if you have the belief in the Oregon State Beavers.

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Speaker 1: Talk me through this total that's sitting at forty nine

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Speaker 1: and a half.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think it's a hair too high. Oregon

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Speaker 2: State off of that gut wrenching loss last week against

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Speaker 2: Sam Houston really embarrassing fashion. I won't recap it as

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Speaker 2: we just did and sounding off, but since Robbiekey has

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Speaker 2: taken over on the interim basis, Oregon State's defense has

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Speaker 2: played much better two hundred and thirty three yards per game,

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Speaker 2: allowed just over four yards per play. The secondary has

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Speaker 2: played really good football while only allowing two passing touchdowns

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Speaker 2: compared to four interceptions. Pulso's offense eighty second, in offensive

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Speaker 2: explosiveness ninety six then finishing drives. You can see this

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Speaker 2: team wants to run the football. Should be the game

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Speaker 2: plan here for Tulsa as their leading receivers Zion Booker

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Speaker 2: is likely out for this one. I would guess we

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Speaker 2: get a heavy dose of Dominick Richardson here. When you

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Speaker 2: look at the Tulsa defense. Three weeks in a row,

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Speaker 2: they have faced an elite and proficient passing attack lining

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Speaker 2: up against East Carolina, Temple and fau Well. Now they

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Speaker 2: line up against Gabari Johnson, who threw the ball better

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Speaker 2: last week but miss some wide open receivers against Sam

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Speaker 2: Houston just did not look good in the second half.

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Speaker 2: After the seven minute mark in the second quarter, Oregon

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Speaker 2: State did not score again, and that spells trouble when

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Speaker 2: you can't move the football on the worst defense in

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Speaker 2: FCS in Sam Houston. I look at the weather. It's

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Speaker 2: going to rain here and we're gonna get some major

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Speaker 2: wind that's going to affect Oklahoma and Texas on Saturday

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Speaker 2: during game time. So I would expect the wind to

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Speaker 2: be rip roaring. The rain is going to affect the passing,

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Speaker 2: the place kicking game. I can't imagine Oregon State is

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Speaker 2: going to line up to attempt too many field goals

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Speaker 2: here after how it went last week, So we're gonna

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Speaker 2: likely get situations of fourth and go time. We're they're

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Speaker 2: only seven out of sixteen this year and fifty percent

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Speaker 2: of the red zone this season, so I see a

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Speaker 2: lot of fourth down stops. I see a lot of

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Speaker 2: empty red zone possessions for Oregon State. Offensively, I think

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Speaker 2: Oregon State's defense will keep them in this game, very

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Speaker 2: similar to how they did against Wazoo. I think this

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Speaker 2: is a low scoring grinder, so forty eight and a

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Speaker 2: half forty nine and a half go low.

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Speaker 1: I mean, only g five guys like us are true

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Speaker 1: members of that sicko community that could watch a game

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Speaker 1: between Oregon State and Sam Houston and then immediately race

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Speaker 1: to the window to bet their games the following week,

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Speaker 1: you have yours. Let's listen to my best bet here.

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Speaker 1: I like Delaware a lane time and a half against

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Speaker 1: the Sam Houston team we just discussed. They're terrible. I mean,

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Speaker 1: they're just awful against the pass. They can't run it,

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Speaker 1: they're always behind the sticks. They're one win on the season.

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Speaker 1: We just saw it. They out gained four hundred and

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Speaker 1: seventy four to one fifty seven, one of the most

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Speaker 1: improbable wins of the entire season. And Delaware, meanwhile, continues

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Speaker 1: their really nice year in transition moving up to FBS

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Speaker 1: football here in conference to USA, they're five and four overall,

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Speaker 1: they're three and three in CUSA, and they have a

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Speaker 1: pair of quality wins. The Yukon win looks better and

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Speaker 1: better as the season progresses. But they also just beat

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Speaker 1: a law Tech team that has gained a lot of respect,

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Speaker 1: you know, going from what was viewed as a middle

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Speaker 1: class conference to USA team to potentially threatening to go

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Speaker 1: to the title game. And I mean they basically they

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Speaker 1: beat him on the field. To borrow your phrase, Duck.

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Speaker 1: So this Delaware team to me, when you look at

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Speaker 1: those wins. They've aged nicely, even I mean in their

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Speaker 1: early season when they were playing against Colorado, when they're

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Speaker 1: going on the road winning an FIU. They've had a

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Speaker 1: lot of nice moments that they built on, and it's

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Speaker 1: all built around obviously Minikuchi, who continues to elevate his

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Speaker 1: play and be a consistent leader in their clubhouse. I

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Speaker 1: love what he's done in the last two games alone,

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Speaker 1: seven hundred and forty total yards, five touchdowns, and a

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Speaker 1: little known fact. I think we brought this up maybe

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Speaker 1: on one of the weekend warm up shows on Fridays,

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Speaker 1: which you should check Duck and I out two pm

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Speaker 1: Eastern on Friday. We do a live show. We run

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Speaker 1: through all the weather, the line movement, injuries, everything that's

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Speaker 1: going to impact your Saturday card, and we take your

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Speaker 1: questions live as we add to our Saturday card as well.

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Speaker 1: With that being said, I think I may have brought

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Speaker 1: this up on one of those episodes Delaware. Yes, they're

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Speaker 1: in transition. They are not Bowl eligible, but there is

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Speaker 1: a big caveat to that. If they can get to

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Speaker 1: six wins, they get to hop into line to replace

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Speaker 1: those teams if there are not enough to field a

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Speaker 1: full bowl lineup, or if you have a ball team,

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Speaker 1: pull out. And we saw it last year with Marshall,

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Speaker 1: with the transfer portal and everything that happened with the

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Speaker 1: coaching switch, they ended up pulling out of a bowl game.

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Speaker 1: It worked for Jacksonville State in the past where they

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Speaker 1: were able to hop to a bowl game early. They

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Speaker 1: actually went ahead and won that bowl game under rich Rod.

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Speaker 1: So there's still a lot to play for for the

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Speaker 1: Blue Hens. It's not just welcome to the big leagues.

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Speaker 1: Nice job, you guys were not a joke in year one.

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Speaker 1: They're right on that verge of Bowl eligibility. So I

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Speaker 1: think you're going to see maximum effort and laying single

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Speaker 1: digits against the Sam Houston team. I think they're just

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Speaker 1: begging to finally get waxed here and the reality of

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Speaker 1: the discrepancy between the two teams actually playing out in

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Speaker 1: the final box score. Any thoughts here on the Blue

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Speaker 1: Hens and Sam Houston. Are they just dead to you

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Speaker 1: after pulling a rabbit out of their hat against Oregon

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Speaker 1: State on Saturday?

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Speaker 2: No, I love Delaware this week. You're absolutely fighting for

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Speaker 2: Bowl eligibility, although you're deemed ineligible at the current time

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Speaker 2: if there are not enough Bowl eligible teams who will

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Speaker 2: be selected, and so the mindset has to be every

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Speaker 2: game from here on out is our bowl game, because

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Speaker 2: we don't know if we're going to get one. They

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Speaker 2: get a chance next week when they go to Wake Forest,

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Speaker 2: and then they'll close out their season at home against UTEP.

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Speaker 2: I think that this is a major three game stretch

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Speaker 2: for this program to showcase what this program's all about.

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Speaker 2: Delaware has been very, very competitive in their first year.

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Speaker 2: I thought the depth and some of the talent drop

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Speaker 2: off and the two deep would get to them late.

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Speaker 2: It really hasn't. They've been a pretty feisty group all season.

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Speaker 2: I really like them to go out and put their

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Speaker 2: best foot forward. Sam Houston as well. You know, whatever

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Speaker 2: the situation was, it was very very fluky. But they're

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Speaker 2: celebrating their first win. They're patting themselves on the back,

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Speaker 2: they're feeling good about things. Phil Longo gets his first

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Speaker 2: win since he was the head and football coach at LaSalle,

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Speaker 2: and now these guys are coming in ready to go.

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Speaker 2: I think this is absolutely a spot to drop the

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Speaker 2: hammer on the Hens.

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Speaker 1: Your second best bet, Duck, I know you're gonna leave

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Speaker 1: no stone unturned as it relates to the predictions, the analytics,

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Speaker 1: the advanced stats, but some of this one that you're

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Speaker 1: bringing up, the classic late season paycheck game for an

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Speaker 1: SEC team, It comes down to coaching preference and motivation

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Speaker 1: and historical performance. Do you start there with a team

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Speaker 1: like Tennessee laying this many points in a game that

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Speaker 1: it'll really just come down to do they care in

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Speaker 1: the second half to continue running it up? Do you

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Speaker 1: start there or do you start with the you know

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Speaker 1: the season long stats in white New Mexico State is

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Speaker 1: so vulnerable here.

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Speaker 2: Well, I'm glad you brought that up, because in this

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Speaker 2: specific matchup, there's no real question about who's going to

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Speaker 2: win the game. And so I start with how this

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Speaker 2: game is going to be managed. And in this spot,

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Speaker 2: Tennessee historically drops the hammer on their lesser foe. And

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Speaker 2: this is a complete laydown and die spot for New

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Speaker 2: Mexico State here, losers of four games in a row

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Speaker 2: Bowl game aspirations have evaporated. This team has been close

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Speaker 2: to breaking through against similar levels of competition, has New

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Speaker 2: Mexico State, but not here. Tennessee off the bye week,

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Speaker 2: we'll really want to get some good reps here before

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Speaker 2: letting the twos mop up in the second half at

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Speaker 2: the head of the Florida game. But let's just look

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Speaker 2: at how Hypel has managed these late season spots against

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Speaker 2: inferior competition. Last year against uteplay in the same number

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Speaker 2: forty one and a half, they win fifty six to nothing.

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Speaker 2: Twenty twenty three against Connecticut fifty nine to three. Tennessee

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Speaker 2: wins twenty twenty two against UT Martin sixty six to

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Speaker 2: twenty four, and in twenty one against South Alabama sixty

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Speaker 2: to fourteen. If you think Tennessee is going to take

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Speaker 2: this game lightly and just sleepwalk through it now, they

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Speaker 2: haven't shown a propensity to do that under Hypel's care.

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Speaker 2: Over the last four seasons in this exact same spot,

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Speaker 2: New Mexico State's defense surrendered over four hundred yards each

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Speaker 2: of the last four weeks. They've allowed sixty six percent

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Speaker 2: completion percentage with nineteen passing touchdowns given up. This year,

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Speaker 2: they're one hundred and twentieth an early down success allowed,

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Speaker 2: eighty fourth in pass explosiveness given up. Tennessee offensively is

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Speaker 2: averaging five hundred yards per game. I would suspect that

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Speaker 2: they eclipse six hundred yards here while putting up a

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Speaker 2: massive total on the scoreboard. This line should be forty

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Speaker 2: nine and a half, not thirty nine and a half.

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Speaker 2: Forty forty one. Lay it with the volunteers, all.

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Speaker 1: Right, I can close to that here with a team

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Speaker 1: that we've ridden all the way back from the preseason,

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Speaker 1: certainly as soon as their numbers popped to win the

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Speaker 1: Sun Belt and that's Southern miss I mean, what did

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Speaker 1: the Eagles need to do duck for them to get

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Speaker 1: some respect around here, because they're laying less than a

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Speaker 1: touchdown in this game. They're five to zero Sun Belt playing.

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Speaker 1: They're beating the crap out of the teams they're supposed to.

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Speaker 1: They smacked Jacksonville State earlier in the year that was undefeated.

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Speaker 1: You know, they've remained undefeated in Conference USA play that

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Speaker 1: you know, performance against an in state team in Mississippi

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Speaker 1: State is looking better by the passing week because Mississippi

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Speaker 1: State's probably moving towards Bowl eligibility. They've certainly been feisty

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Speaker 1: in a Power for conference and the offense is hit

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Speaker 1: thirty eight points five times this season, while their pass

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Speaker 1: defense has rounded into Elite G five shape. And that

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Speaker 1: was the hope in the preseason. He looks at the

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Speaker 1: talent infusion from Marshall everyone coming down from the Thundering

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Speaker 1: Herd joining up Josh Moden in particular. In that secondary,

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Speaker 1: there was all this promise. It's been delivered upon. Their

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Speaker 1: top fifteen in past success rate, defense, coverage, pass EPA,

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Speaker 1: and pass rush. So if they can flip this, you know,

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Speaker 1: game flow in which they get an early lead and

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Speaker 1: Texas State can't be multiple, they can't rely on their

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Speaker 1: run game, which remains really strong, then I think it's

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Speaker 1: going to really play into USM hands because I take

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Speaker 1: this Texas State team seriously. Even though they're zero to

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Speaker 1: five and Sun Belt play, they can still score. They

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Speaker 1: score thirty nine in a loss to Louisiana in their

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Speaker 1: last game, so there's still an opportunity for them to

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Speaker 1: turn this into a shootout. But when you look at it,

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Speaker 1: this Texas State defense, it's going to force GJ. Kenny

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Speaker 1: to be coaching them when he's fifty years old. He

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Speaker 1: was like a hot name two years ago. It seems

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Speaker 1: like he's never going to get out of San Marcos

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Speaker 1: because this defense continually lets him down. You know, they

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Speaker 1: used to have at least that havoc thing to hang

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Speaker 1: their hat on that they'd be top twenty in havoc

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Speaker 1: and it was either make a big play or give

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Speaker 1: up a big play. Well, they're outside of the top

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Speaker 1: one hundred and every pass defense metric that you can

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Speaker 1: look at. They can't create any havoc though anymore as

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Speaker 1: what used to be. As I mentioned a counter bounce,

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Speaker 1: they're one hundred and thirteenth in the country there, and

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Speaker 1: everyone moves the football on them given the chance. There

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Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty second in quality drives allowed, So

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Speaker 1: that means a lot of scoring opportunities, a lot of

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Speaker 1: times crossing their forty yard line. To this USM offense,

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Speaker 1: anything under a touchdown, I feel really comfortable putting my

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Speaker 1: money in the hands of Braxton and Anderson to score

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Speaker 1: thirty eight plus again and to just force enough mistakes

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Speaker 1: out of Texas State that they can win let's call it,

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Speaker 1: you know, forty two thirty one something in that neighborhood.

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Speaker 1: I just think once it becomes a pass to catch

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Speaker 1: up situation, there'll be an interception or two that goes

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Speaker 1: us m's away. All right, duck, We went back and

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Speaker 1: forth a little bit on it, but it's your four

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Speaker 1: minute segment. You can run this offense however you want,

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Speaker 1: preview whatever game you want. Because I threw one out

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Speaker 1: and you kind of went yuck. I don't know if

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Speaker 1: I can discuss that for four full minutes, but I'm

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Speaker 1: interested to hear what you bringing to the table here

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Speaker 1: in week twelve, out of time.

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Speaker 3: I got.

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Speaker 2: Well and it was a good pick. You know, we

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Speaker 2: picked this gross game because it does pit two undefeated

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Speaker 2: G five Conference opponents against each other pretty late in

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Speaker 2: the season. For that so, Kenesaw State and Jacksonville State.

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Speaker 2: When you look at KS, you an amazing year two

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Speaker 2: turnaround and such progress made under head coach Jerry Mack

343
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Speaker 2: could legitimately be the G five coach of the year

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Speaker 2: if they're such a thing. Kanasaw has been so good

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Speaker 2: at jumping their opponents early. They have held a double

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Speaker 2: digit lead in the first half in six straight games.

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Speaker 2: Jacksonville State, when you look at them, they're going to

348
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Speaker 2: run the ball two to one run pass ratio. It's

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Speaker 2: gonna be Cam Cook twelve hundred rushing yards, twelve scores,

350
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Speaker 2: six yards per Carrie. It's Kayden Creole six hundred yards,

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Speaker 2: three rushing scores, six yards per carie. It's just one

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Speaker 2: of those unique offenses that's difficult to prepare for. And

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Speaker 2: when they get the running backs moving downhill, when they

354
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Speaker 2: get the offensive line pushing, when you're three four yards

355
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Speaker 2: before first contact, it's really hard to stop these guys

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Speaker 2: in the run game. The metrics look good for Kanasaw

357
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Speaker 2: State because they've held each opponent in league play under

358
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Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty five rushing yards other than FIU.

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Speaker 2: But the metrics look good because Kenisas State has seen

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Speaker 2: such little rushing against them, because their opponents have been

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Speaker 2: down early and have had to throw their way back

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Speaker 2: into games in order to be able to stay in them.

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Speaker 2: When you look at Kennesaw though, one hundred and seventeenth

364
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Speaker 2: and epa per rush surrendered one sixteenth in rush play,

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Speaker 2: explosiveness given up. It's a tough matchup for Kanisas State

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Speaker 2: if Jacksonville State is able to get that ground attack going,

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Speaker 2: which I believe they will be able to do at home.

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Speaker 2: For Kanisaw State, offensively, both quarterbacks have played well. They

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Speaker 2: rotate between Amary Otam and Dexter Williams. They've both thrown

370
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Speaker 2: the ball well this season. They've connected on deep shots.

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Speaker 2: The concern here is that they will be without leading

372
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Speaker 2: receiver Gabe Benyard, who is going to be out for

373
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Speaker 2: the Owls in this game. It's a big loss of

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Speaker 2: the passing game. It's a big loss to the screen game.

375
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Speaker 2: He's such an outlet for the quarterback in scramble, drill

376
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Speaker 2: and everything else. So it's a really tough loss for Benyard.

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Speaker 2: Not going to be a go. I think this is

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Speaker 2: strength on strength here, but between two of the best

379
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Speaker 2: bad teams in the G five. But I can't lay

380
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Speaker 2: more than a field goal on the road here with

381
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Speaker 2: the Owls. We've seen these guys struggle with New Mexico

382
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Speaker 2: State last week, and don't even get me started on

383
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Speaker 2: the UTEP game. We all remember that, so I'm just

384
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Speaker 2: going to skip over that one. I don't think kennisav

385
00:19:18,119 --> 00:19:20,800
Speaker 2: is going to be as explosive offensively as we've seen here,

386
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Speaker 2: and I think that this defense is going to just

387
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Speaker 2: have a little trouble containing the ground attack. It seems

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Speaker 2: to me like this will be a fun game. It'll

389
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Speaker 2: be back and forth. It's a field goal game either way,

390
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Speaker 2: So I'm taking the Cocks plus three and a half.

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Speaker 3: Turning good weekends into great weekends. It's time for the

392
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Speaker 3: money line Parlay.

393
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Speaker 1: It's time for our G five Underdog money Line Parlay,

394
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Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. I'm going to hop in with a

395
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Speaker 1: team that was flagged by DUC earlier this season, and

396
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Speaker 1: that's the Shans of Clears of Coastal Carolina. They have

397
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Speaker 1: been absolutely rolling with Samarri Collier at the helm. It's

398
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Speaker 1: been a job saving kind of quarterback switch by back.

399
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Speaker 1: They've won five to six. This offense is now averaging

400
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Speaker 1: forty three points per game across its last three. Collier's

401
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Speaker 1: legs are the difference maker and they will be at

402
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Speaker 1: least in my opinion, against the Eagles of Georgia Southern

403
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Speaker 1: because the Eagles are dead last in the FBS in

404
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Speaker 1: pass rush, so it's going to give him a lot

405
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Speaker 1: of time to extend plays. Forget about just the designed

406
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Speaker 1: runs and the run play options that he's going to

407
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Speaker 1: have when he is dropping back to pass, which I

408
00:20:23,000 --> 00:20:25,440
Speaker 1: anticipate it will be anywhere between twenty and twenty five

409
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Speaker 1: dropbacks in this game. He's going to be able to

410
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Speaker 1: kill Georgia Southern. In the scramble game, Jalen Rayner killed

411
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Speaker 1: this very same defense with fifty plus on the ground

412
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Speaker 1: and three rushing touchdowns and I got more comps bringing

413
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Speaker 1: more receipts here. The JMU quarterbacks were able to burn

414
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Speaker 1: them fifty nine yards and two touchdowns. Gavin Wimset from

415
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Speaker 1: Jacksonville State with a run heavy team was able to

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Speaker 1: burn them as well. Collier is going to eat here.

417
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Speaker 1: And what's interesting, after so many years of quality air

418
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Speaker 1: raid play with quality weapons on the perimeter, GATA has

419
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Speaker 1: gone from that ground attack has opted to go to

420
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Speaker 1: the ground attack, I should say this season. And a

421
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Speaker 1: part of it is they want to take the ball

422
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Speaker 1: out of J. C. French's hands because he was always

423
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Speaker 1: a turnover machine. And also they just thought they're going

424
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Speaker 1: to go lean into their strength because their offensive line

425
00:21:09,560 --> 00:21:11,920
Speaker 1: has looked really good this year their fourteenth in lineyards,

426
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Speaker 1: fortieth and success rate. And oj Arnold has been the

427
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Speaker 1: beneficiary there, going north of one hundred and forty all

428
00:21:17,440 --> 00:21:19,680
Speaker 1: purpose yards in two of his last three games. So

429
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Speaker 1: he'll be the focal point here. But Coastal just did

430
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Speaker 1: you know a decent job in the past month against

431
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Speaker 1: Braylen McReynolds from ULM. You know, during this winning streak,

432
00:21:28,880 --> 00:21:31,680
Speaker 1: being able to shut down running into attacks even though

433
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,440
Speaker 1: it is a weakness for them in this situation, I

434
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,080
Speaker 1: think that's where their focus will be and they'll basically

435
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:39,800
Speaker 1: dare J. C. French, as I mentioned, someone who really

436
00:21:39,880 --> 00:21:43,159
Speaker 1: struggles when he has the spotlight on him. In the

437
00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:46,159
Speaker 1: last two years, he has twenty nine turnover worthy plays.

438
00:21:46,359 --> 00:21:48,440
Speaker 1: He's cut down a bit on them this year, but

439
00:21:48,560 --> 00:21:51,320
Speaker 1: it's really just been you know, a volume reduction and

440
00:21:51,400 --> 00:21:53,480
Speaker 1: that's led to some of these you know turnovers, not

441
00:21:53,560 --> 00:21:56,479
Speaker 1: burning them. I think in this particular game, Coastal has

442
00:21:56,520 --> 00:21:58,920
Speaker 1: the offense to set the pace and then if Georgia

443
00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:01,159
Speaker 1: Southern is playing catch up, French is gonna give me

444
00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:02,719
Speaker 1: the ball two or three times, or at least give

445
00:22:02,760 --> 00:22:05,040
Speaker 1: my defense the opportunity to take it away when he

446
00:22:05,080 --> 00:22:06,760
Speaker 1: puts the ball into orbit. So I'm gonna go with

447
00:22:06,840 --> 00:22:09,439
Speaker 1: Coastal on the money line plus one twenty to get

448
00:22:09,480 --> 00:22:11,479
Speaker 1: this parlay started. I'll kick it over you, duck. You're

449
00:22:11,480 --> 00:22:13,800
Speaker 1: going with a service academy one that still has a

450
00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:15,760
Speaker 1: lot of fight despite where their record may indicate.

451
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:19,159
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love the Coastal Carolina play, catching Georgia Southern

452
00:22:19,280 --> 00:22:22,760
Speaker 2: off of their big rival Appalachian State. Deeper than hate rivalry.

453
00:22:22,880 --> 00:22:24,920
Speaker 2: This is a good spot for the Shans. You know,

454
00:22:25,040 --> 00:22:27,400
Speaker 2: I like air Force. I had this spot circled early

455
00:22:27,440 --> 00:22:30,119
Speaker 2: in the season as kind of maybe a downer spot

456
00:22:30,200 --> 00:22:33,280
Speaker 2: for air Force, assuming that air Force was going to

457
00:22:33,400 --> 00:22:36,400
Speaker 2: be in a spot where they had already secured Bowl

458
00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:39,720
Speaker 2: game eligibility and we're possibly vying for a Mountain West title.

459
00:22:40,040 --> 00:22:42,199
Speaker 2: That didn't come to fruition. But the Falcons have been

460
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:43,920
Speaker 2: very close this year. They have a lot of close

461
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,760
Speaker 2: losses and now it's about going out and winning the

462
00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:49,680
Speaker 2: next couple of games, which they can do and securing

463
00:22:49,720 --> 00:22:52,520
Speaker 2: Bowl eligibility to avoid back to back five and seven

464
00:22:52,600 --> 00:22:56,280
Speaker 2: seasons are worse. I've been so impressed with how this

465
00:22:56,520 --> 00:23:01,040
Speaker 2: team has responded to adversity, and you look at Yukon,

466
00:23:01,160 --> 00:23:03,480
Speaker 2: It's just been one of those teams that has played

467
00:23:03,600 --> 00:23:07,119
Speaker 2: up and down to their level of competition ball season.

468
00:23:07,320 --> 00:23:11,440
Speaker 2: Yukon has a fantastic quarterback and Joey Finano twenty five touchdown,

469
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:15,440
Speaker 2: zero interceptions, and they've played three max efforts against the

470
00:23:15,520 --> 00:23:19,000
Speaker 2: ACC Syrahcuse Boston College and then played the game of

471
00:23:19,040 --> 00:23:22,080
Speaker 2: their life last week against Duke Well. What has happened

472
00:23:22,200 --> 00:23:27,119
Speaker 2: the weeks following those big acc performances. Yukon has really

473
00:23:27,240 --> 00:23:30,639
Speaker 2: struggled in the games that have followed. They laid a

474
00:23:30,680 --> 00:23:34,160
Speaker 2: complete dut against Delaware and really played down against Ball

475
00:23:34,280 --> 00:23:38,200
Speaker 2: State and Buffalo following that, and then off a huge

476
00:23:38,240 --> 00:23:41,400
Speaker 2: win on the road against Boston College. Yukon goes out

477
00:23:41,440 --> 00:23:44,000
Speaker 2: and loses outright as ten point favorites on the road

478
00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:47,320
Speaker 2: against Rice. Well, now you're in kind of that down

479
00:23:47,400 --> 00:23:50,399
Speaker 2: spot again, which we've seen Yukon have a propensity to do.

480
00:23:51,400 --> 00:23:53,800
Speaker 2: But I like what air Force is doing offensively. I

481
00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:57,120
Speaker 2: think Liam Zarka has completely been controlling the offense here.

482
00:23:57,240 --> 00:24:00,240
Speaker 2: The ground game played really well against San Jose eight,

483
00:24:00,640 --> 00:24:03,400
Speaker 2: which is a tough task with Navy Ken who knows

484
00:24:03,440 --> 00:24:06,840
Speaker 2: how to defend the option and did so at Navy

485
00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:11,399
Speaker 2: for fifteen years. Air Force peaked about this time last season,

486
00:24:11,640 --> 00:24:14,399
Speaker 2: and I really think you'll see them be able to

487
00:24:14,600 --> 00:24:18,080
Speaker 2: run the ball against a Yukon rush defense that's just

488
00:24:18,400 --> 00:24:22,919
Speaker 2: simply not very good. Yukon is unfamiliar with the scheme.

489
00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:25,960
Speaker 2: We've seen the hangovers before. I think this is just

490
00:24:26,040 --> 00:24:29,960
Speaker 2: a major troublespot now for Connecticut's gonna be tough to

491
00:24:30,000 --> 00:24:33,919
Speaker 2: defend that triple option attack. Air Force has just been close.

492
00:24:34,119 --> 00:24:35,760
Speaker 2: You look at some of the games that they've lost

493
00:24:35,800 --> 00:24:38,040
Speaker 2: that they could have won, the Army Game, could have

494
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:40,200
Speaker 2: won the Navy Game, a couple other teams they could

495
00:24:40,200 --> 00:24:41,800
Speaker 2: have beat this season, which would have been a much

496
00:24:41,960 --> 00:24:45,600
Speaker 2: different song and dance for the Flyboys here. So I like,

497
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:47,600
Speaker 2: air Force, we're getting the free touchdown. I think they

498
00:24:47,640 --> 00:24:49,840
Speaker 2: can win this game on the field, So give me

499
00:24:49,920 --> 00:24:51,880
Speaker 2: the money line on the Falcons. Yeah.

500
00:24:51,920 --> 00:24:55,679
Speaker 1: I mean, if anyone has any trepidation going against Yukon

501
00:24:55,880 --> 00:24:58,240
Speaker 1: after they just were able to score that big victory,

502
00:24:58,560 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 1: you don't have to look much further than their performance

503
00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:02,880
Speaker 1: against ball State earlier in the year. You know, ball

504
00:25:02,960 --> 00:25:05,840
Speaker 1: State outgained them. Yukon didn't even turn the ball over

505
00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:08,639
Speaker 1: and they were lucky to escape with a six point win. So,

506
00:25:09,480 --> 00:25:11,720
Speaker 1: you like, sometimes it's a bit tongue in cheek when

507
00:25:11,760 --> 00:25:14,040
Speaker 1: we say some of these offenses, like ball State, it's

508
00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:16,960
Speaker 1: a de facto service academy offense. You know, they don't

509
00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,240
Speaker 1: just have that explosiveness on the outside. It's a lot

510
00:25:19,320 --> 00:25:21,119
Speaker 1: of eye candy just to be able to run the

511
00:25:21,160 --> 00:25:24,520
Speaker 1: ball aton well, at least air Force actually has that flexibility.

512
00:25:24,560 --> 00:25:27,120
Speaker 1: They are they should be able to run all over

513
00:25:27,240 --> 00:25:29,160
Speaker 1: this Yukon defense, and if they do put the ball

514
00:25:29,240 --> 00:25:31,320
Speaker 1: in the air, Yukon's going to put their corners on

515
00:25:31,359 --> 00:25:33,120
Speaker 1: an island because they're going to have so much committed

516
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:36,160
Speaker 1: into the box. So I think this Air Force team

517
00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:38,760
Speaker 1: as an underdog always as a puncher's chance. We almost

518
00:25:38,760 --> 00:25:41,520
Speaker 1: saw it get across the finish line early earlier this

519
00:25:41,640 --> 00:25:45,000
Speaker 1: year against UNLV, so there's no problem in my opinion

520
00:25:45,040 --> 00:25:47,520
Speaker 1: in terms of playing up. You also saw that against Navy.

521
00:25:47,880 --> 00:25:50,040
Speaker 1: This is a team that's tough, they're tough to kill.

522
00:25:50,240 --> 00:25:51,359
Speaker 1: They're going to go for it. They're going to be

523
00:25:51,359 --> 00:25:53,480
Speaker 1: aggressive on fourth down, so you just need to have

524
00:25:53,560 --> 00:25:55,520
Speaker 1: some of that fourth down variance go in your direction.

525
00:25:55,840 --> 00:25:58,800
Speaker 1: All right. That was our money line parlay presented by DraftKings.

526
00:25:58,920 --> 00:26:01,399
Speaker 1: Check out the parlayx breast account and the free award

527
00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:04,879
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528
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529
00:26:06,760 --> 00:26:08,840
Speaker 1: of other fun long shot beats and parlays in there

530
00:26:08,880 --> 00:26:11,000
Speaker 1: as well. You can also find the quick slip link

531
00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:13,919
Speaker 1: in the podcast in video description, or visit actionework dot

532
00:26:14,000 --> 00:26:16,399
Speaker 1: com slash bet now to find and tail some of

533
00:26:16,400 --> 00:26:19,960
Speaker 1: the bests we've discussed, including our G five moneyline parlay.

534
00:26:20,440 --> 00:26:22,800
Speaker 1: All Right, douc, it's two minute offense time, race to

535
00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:25,720
Speaker 1: the line of scrimmage, no time to check to the sideline.

536
00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:28,480
Speaker 1: You gotta go, go go. What are your FCS leans here?

537
00:26:28,760 --> 00:26:29,399
Speaker 1: In Week twelve?

538
00:26:29,960 --> 00:26:32,639
Speaker 2: I like Tennessee Tech this week. Kentucky has Vandy and

539
00:26:32,800 --> 00:26:36,040
Speaker 2: Louisville next, and while this win will help position the

540
00:26:36,119 --> 00:26:40,160
Speaker 2: Cats for bowl game eligibility, winning with margin is another story.

541
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:43,639
Speaker 2: Tennessee Tech is a very, very solid FCS team, not

542
00:26:44,040 --> 00:26:48,119
Speaker 2: your typical Ohio Valley bottom feeders, keco of Asparas twenty

543
00:26:48,160 --> 00:26:53,160
Speaker 2: two touchdowns, four interceptions, sixty six percent completions, very talented quarterback.

544
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:56,480
Speaker 2: Tennessee Tech has two running backs that average seven yards

545
00:26:56,520 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 2: per carry with nine rushing touchdowns each. To run defense,

546
00:27:00,000 --> 00:27:02,320
Speaker 2: this is very stout, allowing sixty one yards per game

547
00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 2: on the ground. Secondary has been lights out, and Kentucky

548
00:27:05,840 --> 00:27:09,000
Speaker 2: has played some major squeakers against FCS competition over the

549
00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:12,000
Speaker 2: last five years. They better show up on Saturday. They're

550
00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:13,920
Speaker 2: going to be in trouble. This is a big showcase

551
00:27:14,000 --> 00:27:16,080
Speaker 2: game for the Golden Eagles. They're going to keep it

552
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:19,960
Speaker 2: much tighter than the twenty two and a half point spread. Next,

553
00:27:20,040 --> 00:27:23,760
Speaker 2: I'm going to Alabama State. Their star quarterback Andrew Body

554
00:27:23,880 --> 00:27:26,880
Speaker 2: remains out with a shoulder injury. I doubt they rush

555
00:27:26,960 --> 00:27:29,440
Speaker 2: him back here from injury to try to get him

556
00:27:29,440 --> 00:27:32,159
Speaker 2: back for this one. But this entire offense picked up

557
00:27:32,280 --> 00:27:35,840
Speaker 2: nicely without him last week against Texas Southern and really

558
00:27:35,920 --> 00:27:39,080
Speaker 2: should have no issue scoring forty five or fifty points

559
00:27:39,119 --> 00:27:43,439
Speaker 2: here against Mississippi Valley State, just like Jackson State did

560
00:27:43,560 --> 00:27:46,360
Speaker 2: last week with a backup quarterback. It's a neutral site game,

561
00:27:46,440 --> 00:27:49,960
Speaker 2: the Port City Classic. Mississippi Valley cannot throw the ball.

562
00:27:50,040 --> 00:27:53,199
Speaker 2: They have a quarterback that can't evade the pressure. They

563
00:27:53,240 --> 00:27:55,879
Speaker 2: don't pass protect very well. The receiving group is not

564
00:27:56,040 --> 00:28:01,000
Speaker 2: talented enough to make contested catches or to break away downfield.

565
00:28:01,359 --> 00:28:04,359
Speaker 2: Just major trouble for Mississippi Valley State. They're not going

566
00:28:04,400 --> 00:28:05,760
Speaker 2: to move the ball. They're not going to score a

567
00:28:05,800 --> 00:28:09,680
Speaker 2: lot of points. Alabama State should cover this number pretty comfortably.

568
00:28:10,600 --> 00:28:13,080
Speaker 2: The last play, I'm looking at Long Island and Saint

569
00:28:13,119 --> 00:28:16,320
Speaker 2: Francis a PA under the current totals projected about forty

570
00:28:16,359 --> 00:28:18,800
Speaker 2: one and a half or so. We've got two real

571
00:28:18,960 --> 00:28:22,320
Speaker 2: slow paced offenses that are averaging two hundred and eighty

572
00:28:22,359 --> 00:28:25,199
Speaker 2: four and two hundred and seventy one yards per game, respectively.

573
00:28:25,480 --> 00:28:28,800
Speaker 2: LU run heavy at sixty two percent. We should continue

574
00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:32,840
Speaker 2: that as Lucas Stanzani and Ethan Greenwood are just They're

575
00:28:32,880 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 2: both not good at quarterback. They rotate in. Both of

576
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:39,040
Speaker 2: those players not good. SFPA has one rushing play all

577
00:28:39,160 --> 00:28:43,480
Speaker 2: season longer than twenty yards. LU has just twelve. The

578
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:47,840
Speaker 2: defenses don't do not allow a ton of explosivity, don't

579
00:28:47,880 --> 00:28:50,440
Speaker 2: allow a ton of big plays, and the two offenses

580
00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:52,320
Speaker 2: are just really, really bad. This is going to be

581
00:28:52,360 --> 00:28:54,920
Speaker 2: an under all the way. Anything forty or forty one.

582
00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:56,160
Speaker 2: We're going to dive in on the under.

583
00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:57,960
Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna hop in with my two minute

584
00:28:58,000 --> 00:28:59,880
Speaker 1: drill at start with Memphis catching two and a half,

585
00:29:00,120 --> 00:29:02,520
Speaker 1: it's not over for Memphis. Just a quick heads up.

586
00:29:02,600 --> 00:29:04,320
Speaker 1: Yes they got to win out, Yes they got to

587
00:29:04,360 --> 00:29:06,280
Speaker 1: get a lot of help, but it's not impossible for

588
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:08,560
Speaker 1: them to sneak back into the American Title Game because

589
00:29:08,560 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: of that head to head win over South Florida. There's

590
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:13,680
Speaker 1: a cluster of teams with one and two losses at

591
00:29:13,680 --> 00:29:15,800
Speaker 1: the top of the Americans. Like I said, they's still

592
00:29:15,880 --> 00:29:18,440
Speaker 1: things to play for here and their whole season if

593
00:29:18,480 --> 00:29:20,160
Speaker 1: you really look at it, I mean, outside of that

594
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:24,000
Speaker 1: letdown game, letdown game against UAB and that slow first

595
00:29:24,080 --> 00:29:26,760
Speaker 1: half against Tulane, They've played really good football for two

596
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:29,520
Speaker 1: straight months, and they roared back against Tulane. By the way,

597
00:29:29,520 --> 00:29:32,080
Speaker 1: they outscored him fifteen to three in the second half.

598
00:29:32,160 --> 00:29:34,080
Speaker 1: And if Lewis doesn't go to the sideline with an

599
00:29:34,120 --> 00:29:36,160
Speaker 1: injury late and they have to go to their backup

600
00:29:36,240 --> 00:29:38,680
Speaker 1: quarterback to lead that drive, maybe it's a game winning drive.

601
00:29:38,880 --> 00:29:40,720
Speaker 1: And we're thinking of this Memphis team in a completely

602
00:29:40,760 --> 00:29:43,640
Speaker 1: different way. He's a tough kid. I figure he's just gonna,

603
00:29:43,880 --> 00:29:46,320
Speaker 1: you know, soldier through this ankle injury in this game.

604
00:29:47,120 --> 00:29:49,880
Speaker 1: And when it comes to ECU, I'm just not there

605
00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:52,440
Speaker 1: with the Pirates if we're being totally honest visa v

606
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:55,200
Speaker 1: what their market perception is. You know, look at their

607
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:59,040
Speaker 1: wins this year, FCS Campbell Coastal before of the quarterback switch,

608
00:29:59,040 --> 00:30:01,520
Speaker 1: which is a huge difference. Costa was drawn dead before

609
00:30:01,600 --> 00:30:05,800
Speaker 1: Khalier got in there. Then Army, Tulsa, Temple, Charlotte, A

610
00:30:05,840 --> 00:30:07,720
Speaker 1: lot of these are just not good teams and they

611
00:30:07,760 --> 00:30:11,120
Speaker 1: struggled to move the football on BYU into Tulane. I

612
00:30:11,200 --> 00:30:13,880
Speaker 1: think are a lot closer to the overall caliber of

613
00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:16,800
Speaker 1: this Memphis team. So I'm gonna go ahead and look

614
00:30:16,880 --> 00:30:20,120
Speaker 1: on Memphis to beat up on this ECU defense, to

615
00:30:20,240 --> 00:30:23,240
Speaker 1: throw on them, because they are elite at stopping the run.

616
00:30:23,280 --> 00:30:24,840
Speaker 1: But they are one hundred and six and covered. So

617
00:30:24,960 --> 00:30:26,720
Speaker 1: if you put the bowl in the air, if Lewis

618
00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:28,720
Speaker 1: is a go in this game, I think they're gonna

619
00:30:28,720 --> 00:30:29,959
Speaker 1: win it out right. But I'll go ahead and take

620
00:30:29,960 --> 00:30:32,640
Speaker 1: the points as well, Buffalo plus a point and a

621
00:30:32,680 --> 00:30:36,320
Speaker 1: half maction time. I can't quit you, Pete Lembo.

622
00:30:36,440 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 2: I just I want to.

623
00:30:37,920 --> 00:30:39,800
Speaker 1: I want to be able to just walk away. But

624
00:30:39,960 --> 00:30:42,360
Speaker 1: you know, the last game against Bowling Green, I hop

625
00:30:42,560 --> 00:30:45,040
Speaker 1: back in pregame, you know, five minutes before kick they

626
00:30:45,120 --> 00:30:48,040
Speaker 1: finally put it all together. I'll take the Bulls. I'll

627
00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:49,920
Speaker 1: take this defense, which in MAC play, by the way,

628
00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:53,640
Speaker 1: leads the conference in sacs and force fumbles. So the Chips,

629
00:30:53,680 --> 00:30:55,480
Speaker 1: by the way, awful on pass protection, one hundred and

630
00:30:55,480 --> 00:30:57,920
Speaker 1: thirty fifth in the entire country. One of the biggest

631
00:30:57,960 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 1: differentials in terms of US strength versus weakness that you

632
00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:03,040
Speaker 1: can line up in this entire conference, and the UB

633
00:31:03,200 --> 00:31:05,200
Speaker 1: running game finally got going in their last game one

634
00:31:05,240 --> 00:31:07,680
Speaker 1: hundred and nineteen and a score for al J. Henderson

635
00:31:08,200 --> 00:31:13,240
Speaker 1: CMU eighty seventh in lineyards on defense. They should be

636
00:31:13,280 --> 00:31:14,960
Speaker 1: able to push this pile. They should be able to

637
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:16,920
Speaker 1: win in the trenches a little bit and score some points.

638
00:31:17,640 --> 00:31:20,200
Speaker 1: And I just think they get it done. So listen,

639
00:31:20,600 --> 00:31:22,200
Speaker 1: I'm willing to get hurt one more time with Limbo.

640
00:31:22,240 --> 00:31:23,640
Speaker 1: I'm going to close out my two minute drill with

641
00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:27,040
Speaker 1: this tulane laying seventeen and a half. I'm laying it

642
00:31:27,080 --> 00:31:28,840
Speaker 1: down right now. I think two Lane has turned the corner.

643
00:31:29,080 --> 00:31:31,200
Speaker 1: I think the rumors have calmed down about some role.

644
00:31:31,480 --> 00:31:34,920
Speaker 1: You've seen him more engaged with the media, not having

645
00:31:34,960 --> 00:31:37,280
Speaker 1: to fight off all these questions. It seems like he's

646
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:40,040
Speaker 1: locked in for what is potentially on the horizon for

647
00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,800
Speaker 1: this Green Wave team. Retz Laugh, by the way, rebounded

648
00:31:42,840 --> 00:31:45,840
Speaker 1: beautifully from that nightmare game against UTSA in which he

649
00:31:45,880 --> 00:31:47,880
Speaker 1: get pulled. He had three hundred and seventy five yards

650
00:31:47,920 --> 00:31:50,840
Speaker 1: and four total touchdowns against Memphis and we get FAU

651
00:31:50,960 --> 00:31:53,040
Speaker 1: looking a little bit better in the market. The perception

652
00:31:53,880 --> 00:31:56,360
Speaker 1: was a little bit better after that Tulsa win, but

653
00:31:56,920 --> 00:31:58,800
Speaker 1: no offense. Douck I had never thought Tulsa was going

654
00:31:58,840 --> 00:32:00,640
Speaker 1: to be good this year. I think this is fools

655
00:32:00,720 --> 00:32:03,240
Speaker 1: gold with FAU when I look at it. You know,

656
00:32:03,360 --> 00:32:06,400
Speaker 1: Tulane has the collegeable playoff in their sites. The offense

657
00:32:06,480 --> 00:32:10,000
Speaker 1: is cooking, and when it comes to throwing off FAU,

658
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:11,920
Speaker 1: if they're trying to get any momentum, how do you

659
00:32:12,040 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 1: do it? You know where velt Camp's going to be

660
00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,440
Speaker 1: in the pocket. Can you heat them up? Tulane might

661
00:32:16,680 --> 00:32:19,600
Speaker 1: may have the best pass rush in the American against

662
00:32:19,800 --> 00:32:23,000
Speaker 1: you know, this FAU team that has really got boat rais.

663
00:32:23,000 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 1: They've been bombed when they played against better teams. They

664
00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:28,240
Speaker 1: lost by twenty nine to Memphis, thirty five to South Florida.

665
00:32:28,320 --> 00:32:30,480
Speaker 1: This is another blowout to me, That's what this one

666
00:32:30,560 --> 00:32:32,760
Speaker 1: has written all over it. Any of those three games

667
00:32:32,800 --> 00:32:34,360
Speaker 1: stick out to you, yeah, I.

668
00:32:34,400 --> 00:32:36,720
Speaker 2: Mean it appears that this two lane team is in

669
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:40,480
Speaker 2: a good spot here and really one that can put

670
00:32:40,560 --> 00:32:42,440
Speaker 2: themselves in position to try to make a run at

671
00:32:42,480 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 2: the conference championship. And if you look at FAU the

672
00:32:45,200 --> 00:32:47,240
Speaker 2: rest of the way, it could be real trouble with

673
00:32:48,400 --> 00:32:52,120
Speaker 2: Yukon ECU and Tulane left on the schedule. They may

674
00:32:52,160 --> 00:32:54,600
Speaker 2: not have another win the rest of the way, so

675
00:32:54,840 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 2: I think that is a real interesting spot. I love Buffalo.

676
00:32:57,800 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 2: I think Buffalo is going to peak here the next

677
00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:03,880
Speaker 2: couple of weeks. If they beat CMU, then they just

678
00:33:03,960 --> 00:33:05,560
Speaker 2: need to win one of the next two and they'll

679
00:33:05,600 --> 00:33:09,240
Speaker 2: find themselves in the conference championship discussion. We set it

680
00:33:09,320 --> 00:33:11,520
Speaker 2: all off season and all through this season. This is

681
00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:13,960
Speaker 2: what Buffalo is playing for now. I think we'll see

682
00:33:14,040 --> 00:33:16,160
Speaker 2: some urgency from the Bulls. I think we'll see that

683
00:33:16,280 --> 00:33:20,800
Speaker 2: defense step up and really smother the CMU run game.

684
00:33:21,440 --> 00:33:23,640
Speaker 2: Central Michigan can't pass the ball. They can't if you

685
00:33:23,720 --> 00:33:25,560
Speaker 2: get them in third and seven or longer, they can't

686
00:33:25,600 --> 00:33:27,720
Speaker 2: throw their way out of it. I think Buffalo is

687
00:33:27,840 --> 00:33:30,320
Speaker 2: really going to bring it tomorrow night. I love the Bulls.

688
00:33:30,400 --> 00:33:31,880
Speaker 2: It's on my card, all right.

689
00:33:32,000 --> 00:33:34,200
Speaker 1: We usually close out with the tug of war, but

690
00:33:34,680 --> 00:33:38,480
Speaker 1: the officials have put their hands up, Yes, it is official.

691
00:33:38,720 --> 00:33:41,200
Speaker 1: I am in the end zone. I was worried I

692
00:33:41,280 --> 00:33:42,760
Speaker 1: was going to stall out in the red zone. Much

693
00:33:42,800 --> 00:33:45,160
Speaker 1: like the FAU team. We were just discussing. Just horrific

694
00:33:45,280 --> 00:33:47,040
Speaker 1: in the red zone. The play calling is not there.

695
00:33:47,120 --> 00:33:50,520
Speaker 1: The personnel's not there. Why he gets me easily over

696
00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:53,480
Speaker 1: the goal line. No review needed. They win outright going

697
00:33:53,520 --> 00:33:56,640
Speaker 1: away against San Diego State didn't need the points. So

698
00:33:56,760 --> 00:33:58,920
Speaker 1: that means Duck is gonna fly north, come visit me,

699
00:33:58,960 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 1: and we're going to go to a college basketball game.

700
00:34:00,680 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 1: We got lots of options. We got Nova, we got

701
00:34:02,680 --> 00:34:04,720
Speaker 1: Saint Joe's, we got you know, the rest of the

702
00:34:04,760 --> 00:34:06,520
Speaker 1: Big Five. We got pen down there. Maybe we can

703
00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:08,439
Speaker 1: do a double hudder. But it'll be good to see

704
00:34:08,480 --> 00:34:10,719
Speaker 1: you in the month of December. We'll hit up some

705
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:14,080
Speaker 1: local basketball. We'll be thrown out plays outside the arena,

706
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,920
Speaker 1: throwing some things live on Twitter. I know that's what

707
00:34:17,280 --> 00:34:20,719
Speaker 1: people want to see out in the wild, enjoying the

708
00:34:20,800 --> 00:34:21,719
Speaker 1: gambling community.

709
00:34:21,760 --> 00:34:22,479
Speaker 2: And listen.

710
00:34:22,600 --> 00:34:24,080
Speaker 1: I think the Tuggle War was great. We got to

711
00:34:24,120 --> 00:34:26,000
Speaker 1: run it back in some way, shape or form, you know,

712
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:28,560
Speaker 1: during college basketball season. Duck. I'm proud to say it's

713
00:34:28,600 --> 00:34:31,719
Speaker 1: going to be a part of the BBOC universe for

714
00:34:31,880 --> 00:34:33,880
Speaker 1: the college hoops season as well. We're gonna be able

715
00:34:33,920 --> 00:34:35,440
Speaker 1: to fold him in for some previews. I know that

716
00:34:35,520 --> 00:34:37,840
Speaker 1: you were a specialist when it comes to totals, just

717
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:40,200
Speaker 1: a quick plug. What can we expect from you on

718
00:34:40,360 --> 00:34:42,360
Speaker 1: the show as we talk about the college hardwood.

719
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,600
Speaker 2: Yeah, I love college hoops. It's really a fun sport

720
00:34:45,640 --> 00:34:49,560
Speaker 2: to wagerrun. You get games all during the season, every day,

721
00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:52,640
Speaker 2: different times of the day. You get unique matchups when

722
00:34:52,640 --> 00:34:56,040
Speaker 2: you get different conferences that play against each other. A

723
00:34:56,120 --> 00:34:58,000
Speaker 2: lot of it's going to be the non marquee stuff,

724
00:34:58,040 --> 00:34:59,399
Speaker 2: a lot of it's going to be the Big Sky,

725
00:34:59,520 --> 00:35:03,120
Speaker 2: it's going to the Swack, the MEAC, some of those

726
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:06,040
Speaker 2: the summit leagues, some of those obscure leagues that are

727
00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:09,040
Speaker 2: not closely followed. But there's a lot of value in totals.

728
00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:12,240
Speaker 2: And I put out a piece regarding under the radar

729
00:35:12,400 --> 00:35:14,759
Speaker 2: pace changes. One of those was IU p u I

730
00:35:14,920 --> 00:35:17,600
Speaker 2: or IU Indy, so we were out ahead of that one.

731
00:35:18,360 --> 00:35:21,880
Speaker 2: Sack State has Shaquille O'Neal involved in their team as

732
00:35:21,960 --> 00:35:24,520
Speaker 2: the GM and they're coached by Mike Bibbie back in

733
00:35:24,640 --> 00:35:26,879
Speaker 2: sack Town. Those of you that follow the NBA will

734
00:35:26,920 --> 00:35:30,000
Speaker 2: remember those days, and so there's a lot of things

735
00:35:30,120 --> 00:35:33,280
Speaker 2: to try to follow up on. I like betting totals.

736
00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:36,520
Speaker 2: I like the value that I think that finding some

737
00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:40,239
Speaker 2: of these under the radar totals provides. And so it'll

738
00:35:40,239 --> 00:35:42,799
Speaker 2: almost be exclusively totals for me, but we're gonna bring

739
00:35:42,840 --> 00:35:44,719
Speaker 2: a lot of value for hardwood. We're going to try

740
00:35:44,760 --> 00:35:46,759
Speaker 2: to get people to the window. We're gonna have a

741
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:49,080
Speaker 2: lot of fun, and it's all gonna culminate in March

742
00:35:49,200 --> 00:35:51,920
Speaker 2: with the greatest sporting event that you can possibly draw up.

743
00:35:52,239 --> 00:35:53,800
Speaker 1: Now we'll do it for today's episode, the Group of

744
00:35:53,840 --> 00:35:56,160
Speaker 1: five Deep Dive under the Big Bets on Campus banner

745
00:35:56,280 --> 00:35:59,239
Speaker 1: presented by DraftKings. Thanks for tuning in. As always, don't

746
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,600
Speaker 1: forget to download award winning Action Network app and leave

747
00:36:01,680 --> 00:36:04,000
Speaker 1: us a five star rating and review wherever you listen

748
00:36:04,040 --> 00:36:06,680
Speaker 1: to the pod. It's time for another five star review

749
00:36:06,719 --> 00:36:08,520
Speaker 1: to hit the feed, so as soon as it does,

750
00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:10,480
Speaker 1: give us a shout out, throw us five stars, say

751
00:36:10,520 --> 00:36:12,839
Speaker 1: whatever you want, and we're going to give out another

752
00:36:12,960 --> 00:36:15,480
Speaker 1: parlay future looking Pretty soon we're gonna have to switch

753
00:36:15,520 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 1: it over to college hoops, but I still think there's

754
00:36:17,640 --> 00:36:20,920
Speaker 1: time for the Heisman market, for the college football playoff market,

755
00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:23,560
Speaker 1: and national championships. You can get some bets in there.

756
00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:26,759
Speaker 1: Just hit us up on X after we read out

757
00:36:27,040 --> 00:36:30,680
Speaker 1: your winning slip. A reminder Marlin's Woman from the last

758
00:36:30,719 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 1: episode that I said you want a twenty five dollars parlay,

759
00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:35,360
Speaker 1: you still got to hit me up over on Twitter

760
00:36:35,480 --> 00:36:38,440
Speaker 1: at East Breeze. Remember, as always, if you want to

761
00:36:38,440 --> 00:36:40,320
Speaker 1: tail any of the best that you heard in today's episode,

762
00:36:40,360 --> 00:36:42,720
Speaker 1: there's gonna be quick slip links in the episode description.

763
00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:45,080
Speaker 1: You can also go to Action network dot com slash

764
00:36:45,239 --> 00:36:48,320
Speaker 1: bet now, and please, please please, if you haven't already

765
00:36:48,360 --> 00:36:50,560
Speaker 1: subscribed to the YouTube channel, do so. If you have

766
00:36:50,719 --> 00:36:54,360
Speaker 1: multiple accounts, multiple gmails, flip through all of them, subscribe

767
00:36:54,400 --> 00:36:57,480
Speaker 1: through all of them. Comment like that really helps us

768
00:36:57,520 --> 00:36:59,680
Speaker 1: in the algorithm, gives us a chance to grow as

769
00:36:59,719 --> 00:37:02,160
Speaker 1: a thanks for listening to the Big Bets on Campus

770
00:37:02,280 --> 00:37:05,720
Speaker 1: podcasts for Duck on Mike Calabres, you make it possible

771
00:37:05,800 --> 00:37:07,600
Speaker 1: for us to produce the show every week and we

772
00:37:07,680 --> 00:37:10,959
Speaker 1: deeply appreciate you. Hopefully another winning Saturday is on tap.

773
00:37:11,520 --> 00:37:14,200
Speaker 1: Enjoy yourselves, and as always, best of luck with all

774
00:37:14,200 --> 00:37:36,759
Speaker 1: your bets. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If

775
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:39,360
Speaker 1: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem,

776
00:37:39,719 --> 00:37:42,319
Speaker 1: help is available twenty four to seven at one eight

777
00:37:42,440 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 1: hundred Gambler