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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go spreading the corn.

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Speaker 3: Ten seconds of anis.

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Speaker 4: Just got to show under the basket, Under the basket,

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Speaker 4: it's the truth for the wind, God, the go amarracle.

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Speaker 4: I just it's up the water. Hit that one from

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Speaker 4: the parking lot. Shuck it all.

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Speaker 1: It's college basketball.

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Speaker 5: It's not the size on the dog in the fight.

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Speaker 4: It's the size of the fight in the dog. What's

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Speaker 4: up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets on

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Speaker 4: Campus Podcasts. This is the weekend college basketball betting preview.

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Speaker 4: I'm stuck in with me, as always is BJ Cunningham's

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Speaker 4: a lot to get to today. I will talk with

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Speaker 4: Jordan Jest later in the show, friend of Pod. We'll

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Speaker 4: talk Missouri Valley trying to crack the code in that

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Speaker 4: fascinating conference, also talk his favorite national title contenders. As always,

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Speaker 4: we will have the guys from the Three Man Weave,

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Speaker 4: Jim Root, Matt Cox, Kai McEwan. We will do our

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Speaker 4: Friday Night six pack, fresh off of five in one week.

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Speaker 4: BJ and I will go through our circled spots on Saturday,

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Speaker 4: as we do each and every Friday, and we will

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Speaker 4: check in with our friend, mister Wilson. Colin Wilson, we

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Speaker 4: got a push last week. We'll call it a push,

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Speaker 4: but we'll talk to him shortly. BJ. What's going on, brother,

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Speaker 4: Not much.

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Speaker 2: That's we finally reached the stretch round of the regular season.

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Speaker 2: Football is over, college basketball center stage, and we got

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Speaker 2: a really really nice light this weekend.

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Speaker 4: Yep, yeah, it's time. It's time for I'm still just

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Speaker 4: trying to get on a run. I need a couple

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Speaker 4: of big days in a row to just get into March.

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Speaker 1: Feel nicely, statistically, do do They'll come March right?

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Speaker 6: Yeah?

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Speaker 4: We good think, but sometimes it's just not your ear.

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Speaker 4: We hopefully it's not this one. Colin. By the way,

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Speaker 4: he's joining us live from the airport.

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Speaker 6: What about you, Wilson, What are you afraid of? I'm afraid.

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Speaker 6: The reality is we know it is someone else's dream.

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Speaker 4: When the dreamer wakes, I the longer exist.

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Speaker 6: Listen, you're not making me feel any better, Colin.

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Speaker 4: We called it a push. We just said it was

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Speaker 4: a push. Last week with Gonzaga was sixteen. I mean

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Speaker 4: some people give got fifteen and a half. I got sixteen,

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Speaker 4: but it was mostly sixteen for the day, So you're

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Speaker 4: still sitting at two and olt. What's going on? Brother?

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Speaker 4: What airp? We are you in? Where you headed?

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Speaker 7: I'm in the Tulsa Airport heading to Phoenix. It's the

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Speaker 7: wife's birthday. She said, you got to get me out

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Speaker 7: of this bad weather. You got to get me some golf.

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Speaker 7: You gotta get me in the desert next to my parents.

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Speaker 7: And so that's where we're going. Nice seventy seven degrees.

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Speaker 7: We're going to golf some Scottsdale and it's a Catholic

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Speaker 7: school four day weekend, so we decided to take a

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Speaker 7: good four day weekend to get out of town. But

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Speaker 7: we're gonna work on my golf game. Well, I got

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Speaker 7: some bets going on at Riviera.

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Speaker 4: If only, she said she wanted to go last week

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Speaker 4: to Phoenix, but it would be a good time. I

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Speaker 4: hope you enjoy your trip, safe travels. As always, we

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Speaker 4: won't keep you too long. You have to come to

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Speaker 4: us each week with a winner. What do you got?

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Speaker 7: Yeah, well I had fifteen and a half on Gonzaga

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Speaker 7: last week, and that's you know, there's only two or

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Speaker 7: three books that offered that in close sixteen. So definitely

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Speaker 7: the push is happening.

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Speaker 8: There.

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Speaker 7: And you know, last night I went to Pepperdine and

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Speaker 7: I'm going to stay with this theme. I was looking

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Speaker 7: at all the games coming down. I just don't trust Texas.

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Speaker 7: I think Texas Tech is just playing on fire right now.

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Speaker 7: I put some stuff out on Twitter today to show

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Speaker 7: what your you know, Beaisian score, your efficiency has been

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Speaker 7: on offense and defense over the past thirty days, because

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Speaker 7: right now you want to find out who's hot, and

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Speaker 7: right now Texas Tech is just on fire. So I'm

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Speaker 7: not going to take the whole Beard angle. I'm going

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Speaker 7: to stay away from that and I'm going to stay

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Speaker 7: with Gonzaga. And what my handicap on this game with

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Speaker 7: Santa Claara is is you saw Pepperdine. The only way

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Speaker 7: you can keep up with Gonzaga is you have to

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Speaker 7: have max pace and you have to have shooters. You

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Speaker 7: just got to go run and gun, and Pepperdine did

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Speaker 7: that all night. And the only player for Gonzaga that

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Speaker 7: showed up on defense was Chet Holmgren. Timmy took the

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Speaker 7: night off, never took the night off. Sometimes these guys

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Speaker 7: just go to sleep, especially on the road. So considering

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Speaker 7: you know the spread was thirty, they only won by twenty.

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Speaker 7: I think you get a max effort out of Gonzaga

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Speaker 7: against Santa Clara. And the reason that I like this

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Speaker 7: game to go over. The total they played each other

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Speaker 7: before the score was one hundred and fifteen to eighty three.

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Speaker 1: Ken Thom says, this total is.

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Speaker 7: Gonna be like one sixty five. I would be surprised

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Speaker 7: if it opened one seventy. But Santa Clara at top

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Speaker 7: twenty five in pace. Gonzaga, I think is number one

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Speaker 7: in pace. Gonzaga literally didn't play any defense whatsoever, up

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Speaker 7: and down the court is exactly what they want to do.

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Speaker 7: Santa Clair is the same way, and I think, considering

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Speaker 7: that Pepperdine was actually within ten late in that game,

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Speaker 7: you're gonna get a max effort out of Gonzaga.

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Speaker 4: So I'm gonna take the over.

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Speaker 7: I know the total is gonna be around one sixty

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Speaker 7: five to one seventy. I'll hit the opener. I assume

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Speaker 7: it'll take steam. But these two teams are top twenty

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Speaker 7: five in offensive pace, and I think you know with Gonzaga,

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Speaker 7: that's just that you're gonna have to. These guys are

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Speaker 7: scoring one hundred and ten, especially at home. We said

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Speaker 7: that last week, so I'm gonna take that over with

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Speaker 7: those guys.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, I had Unfortunately Santa Clair in that first game,

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Speaker 4: Gonzaga's sored one hundred and fifteen in regulation. Right, Yeah,

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Speaker 4: Santa Clair could score. They're playing a lot better now

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Speaker 4: than they were when those two teams met, so hopefully

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Speaker 4: the Broncos can keep it somewhat close. But yeah, it

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Speaker 4: should be a very fast Pas game. Zag It's just

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Speaker 4: gonna go. They just what they do and they are

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Speaker 4: a juggernaut in transition. All right, So there it is,

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Speaker 4: going back to Spokane for a second straight Saturday. Enjoy

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Speaker 4: your trip and we'll catch up with you next weekend.

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Speaker 7: All right, thanks guye season woo pick silly, all.

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Speaker 4: Right, before we get into our circled spots for Saturday,

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Speaker 4: and then we'll get to Friday Night six back and

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Speaker 4: we'll close with my interview with Jordan. One takeaway or

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Speaker 4: something you learned this week or something you just want

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Speaker 4: to mention.

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Speaker 2: Well, the big thing I really took away from this

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Speaker 2: week is that regression is just a really funny thing.

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Speaker 2: Because on Wednesday we had two of the luckiest teams

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Speaker 2: in college basketball, Providence in Wyoming in really not that

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Speaker 2: great spots in the midweek. Obviously, Wyoming lost in New Mexico,

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Speaker 2: Providence loses at home to Villanova, and you'll get the

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Speaker 2: shot quality numbers afterwards, and both teams should have won

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Speaker 2: the game. So obviously, if you're a Providence fan, you're like, hey,

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Speaker 2: we should have won that game. You can't really complain

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Speaker 2: too much since you had this much luck already this season.

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Speaker 2: But it's just a good message to people out there.

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Speaker 2: As we go towards the end of the season, I

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Speaker 2: think we're gonna see some of that. Obviously, some of

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Speaker 2: the regression is gonna come, but it can honestly flip

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Speaker 2: the other way, where teams come down the stretch and

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Speaker 2: they get unlucky and suddenly everything evens out by the

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Speaker 2: time we get to March Madness. So be on the

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Speaker 2: lookout for that, you know, don't just pencil in Providence as, oh,

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Speaker 2: they're a lucky team, you know, come March and I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna bet against them right away. It can potentially turn

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Speaker 2: the other way down the stretch here. So my thing

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Speaker 2: is just regression is just a funny thing, not only

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Speaker 2: college basketball, just throughout sports.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, betting too. Sometimes teams just will get lucky all year.

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Speaker 4: Sometimes they'll get unlucky all year. Statistically, It's just you're

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Speaker 4: gonna have some teams that do some teams that don't.

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Speaker 4: Betting is the same way. I was just talking to you, like,

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Speaker 4: there's some regression in some of the you know, back

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Speaker 4: doors and things of that nature, but that doesn't mean

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Speaker 4: I'm they're going to get them in the next two

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Speaker 4: weeks or month. You know, regression is to the mean,

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Speaker 4: is something over the long run that you can rely on,

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Speaker 4: but not over short sample sizes. Biden had some terrible

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Speaker 4: shots late for Providence, and Gillespie was just a killer

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Speaker 4: late that shot fake and three and another dagger three late.

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Speaker 4: Impressive performance by him. He just went off. I'll say

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Speaker 4: the one big takeaway that I had is I think

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Speaker 4: Houston is out as a potential national title contetor so

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Speaker 4: if you look at their metrics, they're like top sixteen

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Speaker 4: in offense and defense. But I think all their losses

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Speaker 4: are eventually going to catch up to them, personnel losses

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Speaker 4: and injury and you know, so depths ole question and

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Speaker 4: you know they've lost two short they lost at SMU,

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Speaker 4: then they lost at home to Memphis. So while they

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Speaker 4: fit the You know, I put a piece on Action

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Speaker 4: Network dot Com like you got to be like top

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Speaker 4: twenty five offense, your offensive defense of justin efficiency going

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Speaker 4: into the tournament have to be you have them up,

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Speaker 4: have to be below fifteen. They were one of the

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Speaker 4: eleven teams that fit the bill. And another team that

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Speaker 4: I didn't think had a chance but is creeping up

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Speaker 4: into my Okay, maybe they do is Tennessee. Tennessee with

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Speaker 4: an impressive whenever Kentucky Ducky hobbled again without Washington was

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Speaker 4: just huge. But you know, the problem early in the

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Speaker 4: year that we have with Tennessee was their offense and

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Speaker 4: they just went through so many droughts. But their guards

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Speaker 4: have really started to figure it out. I mean Ziggs

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Speaker 4: as for a freshman, it's tremendous. They can shoot, and

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Speaker 4: their offense just looks a lot more competent. And you

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Speaker 4: also have you know, Josiah Jordan James, I think who's

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Speaker 4: giving them a lot more. I think he's an important piece.

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Speaker 4: So I think Tennessee now has the chops offensively to

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Speaker 4: make a run. I'm not as worried about. Okay, They're

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Speaker 4: just going to go through these enormous droughts, so their

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Speaker 4: offense is definitely trending out. We know that their defense

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Speaker 4: is there, so it just comes down to the other

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Speaker 4: side of the ball. All right, let's let's just dig

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Speaker 4: right in. Just Saturday, so many games, so little time.

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Speaker 8: Let's look at the Saturday slate.

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Speaker 4: Let's start with the bi lo spot. Let you kick

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Speaker 4: things off, don't We don't share what we have sometims

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Speaker 4: we have duplicates, So I'll give you the advantage of

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Speaker 4: going first here for the first couple.

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Speaker 2: What do you got by I'm gonna buylo on Oklahoma

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Speaker 2: on the road in aims against Iowa State. They've been

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Speaker 2: Oaklham has been incredibly unfortunate in the Big Twelve. I'm

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Speaker 2: pretty sure they're four and nine. They've lost a ton

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Speaker 2: of close games. Tuesday against Texas and overtime was a

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Speaker 2: perfect example. But four of their losses in the Big

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Speaker 2: Twelve if came by less than three points, and two

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Speaker 2: of those obviously came in overtime. They're gonna have a massive,

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Speaker 2: massive advantage inside against Iowa State. Oklahoma is fifth in

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Speaker 2: the country and two point field goal percentage, which is

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Speaker 2: mainly due to the fact that forty percent of their

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Speaker 2: shots come at the rim, and they're shooting sixty seven

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Speaker 2: percent on those shots of the rim. Iowa State is

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Speaker 2: dead last in the Big Twelve during conference play in

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Speaker 2: two point field goal percentage allowed and they're allowing sixty

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Speaker 2: seven percent at the rim. So Oklahoma should just dominate

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Speaker 2: download pretty much like what they did in the first meeting.

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Speaker 2: Oaklham is also twelfth in the country in points per

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Speaker 2: possession transition offens wile Iowa State is two hundred and

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Speaker 2: twenty second defensively in that same category. From the Iowa

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Speaker 2: State offense, the russion has just.

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Speaker 1: Come for them, and it came in a big way.

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Speaker 2: They're dead last in the Big Twelve in adjusted offensive

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Speaker 2: efficiency during conference play, dead last and offensive rebounding percentage,

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Speaker 2: dead last and free throw rate, and are shooting under

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Speaker 2: twenty nine percent from behind the arc. So it's a

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Speaker 2: bad Iowa State offense, which makes me very happy to see.

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Speaker 2: But this is a great spot for Oklahoma. Ken Pom

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Speaker 2: has this said, Iowa State minus two. I'd love the

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Speaker 2: Sooners at anything, you know, plus money, but I'll take

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Speaker 2: them at a pick them for better, and they might

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Speaker 2: even be a dark horse pick for the Big Twelve.

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Speaker 1: Tournament as well.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, they've lost two games, two straight games, one at

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Speaker 4: Kansas by two and then at home against Texas by

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Speaker 4: two in overtime. And overall they've lost five of six

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Speaker 4: and they beat I was I worry a bit about

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Speaker 4: the turnovers, but I think more shots are going to

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Speaker 4: start falling for Oklahoma. And yeah, I agree. I think

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Speaker 4: this Iowa State team is fading. You know, they did

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Speaker 4: just beat TCU by three in a game where uh,

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Speaker 4: Mike Miles for TCU went like over got banged up

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Speaker 4: a little bit. TCU shot three of eighteen from three.

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Speaker 4: Before that, Iowa State, you know, they lost at home

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Speaker 4: to Kansas State, they lost at West Virginia, they got

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Speaker 4: blown out of Texas, they got you know, they lost

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Speaker 4: by nine home gets it. So they're they're heading in

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Speaker 4: the wrong direction. I think that this is a good

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Speaker 4: spot to get a desperate Oklahoma team. You know, they

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Speaker 4: do have Texas Tech on deck. They already beat Texas Tech.

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Speaker 4: I think that they're you know, Porter Mos will have

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Speaker 4: them focused here. There's no concern of a look ahead

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Speaker 4: or anything. So I don't mind this at all for

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Speaker 4: my by low spot. I'm gonna go with a team

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Speaker 4: I just mentioned this might be the last time I

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Speaker 4: can go to them if they don't cover here. But

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Speaker 4: West Virginia, which has lost nine out of ten and

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Speaker 4: they are on the outside looking in. I think they're

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Speaker 4: one or two and ten in Quad one games this

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Speaker 4: year if they get this win at home against Kansas

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Speaker 4: on Saturday night in front of which should be an

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Speaker 4: absolutely insane environment. Again, I was projecting this round six

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Speaker 4: one of the best home quarter advantages in all of

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Speaker 4: college basketball. They're right back squarely on the bubble. If

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Speaker 4: they pick up this Squad one win. I mean, this

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Speaker 4: is essentially their season. Remember they you know they they've

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Speaker 4: shown flashes of late I think, I mean they got

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Speaker 4: the blood in Oklahoma State and then Blowe of Kansas State.

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Speaker 4: So you're coming off too long, Like this is as

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Speaker 4: low as I think you're going to get West Virginia

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Speaker 4: on the year. Tash Sherman doesn't get down at Baylor,

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Speaker 4: they might win that game. Texas Tech, they fight with

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Speaker 4: them all the way to the end. Taesh Sherman didn't

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Speaker 4: play that game. So they've shown flashes and they got

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Speaker 4: blown out by Kansas Kansas, you know they have rivalry

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Speaker 4: game of Kansas State. Then Baylor on deck. They're going

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Speaker 4: to West Virginia here. Maybe they're a little fat and

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Speaker 4: happy after a two straight wins, But I think that

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Speaker 4: this is just the season for West Virginia. I worry

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Speaker 4: about them just giving up a million offensive boards to Kansas,

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Speaker 4: who's just great on the offensive lass. West Virginia three

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Speaker 4: hundred and forty ninth in the country defensive rebounding. But

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Speaker 4: this is just like your all out max effort game,

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Speaker 4: where I think that that can give you a bump

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Speaker 4: on the defensive glass and where they're lacking a little bit.

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Speaker 4: So yeah, if I can get six with West Virginia,

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Speaker 4: I think I may have to take the Mountaineers, maybe

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Speaker 4: even a little lower than that. But this is it.

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Speaker 4: This is the season in front of one of the

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Speaker 4: primetime Saturday night in front of the most raucous environments

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Speaker 4: that you'll see all season. Thoughts there and where you.

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Speaker 2: Selling high, Well, it's really funny because my so high

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Speaker 2: as Kansas because selling yeah, so it's selling high in

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Speaker 2: the fact that I don't think Kansas is number one seed.

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Speaker 1: They're currently projected to be.

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Speaker 2: Look you look at bracket matrix, So obviously I agree

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Speaker 2: with all your points there The only thing I'll add

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Speaker 2: is that historically Kansas has really really struggled in Morgantown.

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Speaker 2: Since West Virginia joined the Big Twelve in twenty thirteen,

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Speaker 2: Kansas only won twice in Morgantown. So obviously, like you mentioned,

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Speaker 2: one of the best amispeience in college basketball. That first meeting,

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Speaker 2: West Virginia did grab sixteen offensive rebounds and they went

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Speaker 2: to the free throw line twenty eight times, but they

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Speaker 2: just shot seventeen of sixty three from the field. So

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Speaker 2: obviously some shooting aggression should come back in this matchup.

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Speaker 2: And you know, if you look at their shot quality numbers,

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Speaker 2: West Virginia much much better.

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Speaker 1: Offense than what they've been putting up so far.

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Speaker 2: So I agree some layups, Yeah, it makes some layups

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Speaker 2: shoot three ball a little better. But yeah, Tash Sherman back,

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Speaker 2: this is all in, all in spot. They need this

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Speaker 2: if they want to make the tournament. Kansas doesn't really

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Speaker 2: need it. I mean, obviously they want to be a

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Speaker 2: one seed, but you know there'll be a one or

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Speaker 2: two probably, you know, regardless of what happens here. So yeah,

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Speaker 2: all in all in on West Virginia in the spot here.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, and during conference play, teams are shooting. At Kansas

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Speaker 4: has an excellent versatile defense, but teams are shooting twenty

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Speaker 4: six and a half percent from three. Yeah, in confids play,

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Speaker 4: you know, a good comparison. Sometimes you have bad shooting

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Speaker 4: conferences in shooting conferences, but the next best is you know,

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Speaker 4: Kansas State, that was three percentage points higher. And then

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Speaker 4: you got to go to Texas at Texas and Baylor,

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Speaker 4: which are closer to twenty one and a half thirty

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Speaker 4: and a half. So I think that they're West Virginia.

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Speaker 4: Hit some outside shots here, effort just all in great environment,

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Speaker 4: great spot. My cell high is your cell? I get

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Speaker 4: all confused because we've done nothing but Big twelve and

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Speaker 4: you've had Kansas. My CELLI is Texas Tech. This is

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Speaker 4: now a Big twelve podcast. And look one thing I

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Speaker 4: learned this because don't fade Texas Tech and love it.

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Speaker 4: I mean it is. First of all, they already had

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Speaker 4: one of the best home court advantages in all of

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Speaker 4: college basketball. Always a great atmosphere. You know you have

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Speaker 4: some altitude there and you know I have a close

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Speaker 4: to you know, four and a half five points overall

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Speaker 4: and blend non conference and conference and on kemp On.

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Speaker 4: They're actually up up to number one in the nation

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Speaker 4: four point eight points, and I don't have them as high.

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Speaker 4: I still have Colorado higher. But it's just an incredible

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Speaker 4: home quot venture and this year in particular, like the

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Speaker 4: kids are camping out and like Mahomes is going, it

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Speaker 4: is just rock and you just just don't fade them

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Speaker 4: and hope the bounces they're getting too. Like with Obanner

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Speaker 4: and all these corner threes, he just hits the front

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Speaker 4: rim and they all just bounce up. I don't know

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Speaker 4: they had some kind of voodoo magic going on, but

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Speaker 4: you know, after that huge win over Baylor, now they

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Speaker 4: go on the road to Texas. Texas should be a

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Speaker 4: crazy environment too. For Beard this is I think it's

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Speaker 4: going to be a sellout. Get their revenge from that

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Speaker 4: game when they went to Texas Tech and they heard

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Speaker 4: all the shit and they had a deal with Lubbock.

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Speaker 4: Actually was impressed with how they fought in that game.

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Speaker 4: I got to give credit to Texas Tech, but I

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Speaker 4: still have questions about their offense. And let's take a

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Speaker 4: look what they've done on the road there. I think

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Speaker 4: their numbers are being pretty inflated by their own performance.

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Speaker 4: They're unfadable at home. But let's take a look at

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Speaker 4: their last few games on the road. They lost at

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Speaker 4: Oklahoma by fifteen, you know. Then they won at West Virginia,

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Speaker 4: they pulled away late. West Virgina didn't have Tyla Sherman

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Speaker 4: playing in that game.

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Speaker 6: You know.

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Speaker 4: They went to Kansas. They went to double overtime, which

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Speaker 4: in all in fieldb it's an impressive performance. But Kansas

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Speaker 4: led by like twelve with six minutes to go and

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Speaker 4: blew that late lead and then still held on. Before that,

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Speaker 4: they lost by double digits at Kansas State, you know,

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Speaker 4: and they picked up that way to Bailor. And then

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Speaker 4: they lost at Iowa State. You know, they lost also

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Speaker 4: lost at Providence. That's their entire road resume, right, lost

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Speaker 4: at Providence, lost at Iowa State, lost at Kansas State,

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Speaker 4: lost at Kansas, lost at Oklahoma, you know, And they

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Speaker 4: have wins over a shorthanded West Virginia team and a

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Speaker 4: really impressive win against Baylor. But that's it. And so

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Speaker 4: I didn't play in that game. So I did to

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Speaker 4: think this as a smash spot for Texas. They're projected

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Speaker 4: as a small favorite here, which is what I imagine

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Speaker 4: you get them out. I'm sure they'll probably take money,

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Speaker 4: but give me the horns here Revenge Game twelve thirty

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Speaker 4: easton on ABC, Home Dog for You, I'm gonna go.

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Speaker 4: By the way, do you agree You agree with me

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Speaker 4: on Texas?

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Speaker 8: Oh?

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Speaker 2: Absolutely yes. I mean, like you ran through those results.

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Speaker 2: It's it's night and day difference between away versus home

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Speaker 2: farm for for Texas tex So. Yeah, I mean they

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Speaker 2: can't keep getting all these bounces, you know, especially like

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Speaker 2: they've gotten at home. And you know, we obviously worry

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Speaker 2: with Texas the five minutes where just nothing seems to

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Speaker 2: fall for them.

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Speaker 1: Hopefully that doesn't happen.

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Speaker 2: Uh yeah, again, Gonna be an amazing atmosphere, you know,

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Speaker 2: ABC Game around. I think it's at what twelve twelve

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Speaker 2: thirty Eastern time. It'll be an amazing atmosphere and we'll

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Speaker 2: see what that. I'm very, very interested to see where

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Speaker 2: this line opens. Obviously Ken Palm has it at minus two.

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Speaker 2: I'll be interested to see if it's actually at two

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Speaker 2: or if Texas Tech gets some little love in the market, maybe.

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Speaker 1: We can get Texas at a better number.

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Speaker 2: Yeh but yeah, Home Dog, Home Dog, I'm gonna go

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Speaker 2: Florida against Auburn on Saturday. It's Florida just looks much

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Speaker 2: better with Colin Casten and back of the lineup with

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Speaker 2: obviously with him, he'll bill be able to match the

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Speaker 2: size up front with Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler. The

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Speaker 2: big thing with Auburn, and we just talked about it

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Speaker 2: with Texas Tech, they're.

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Speaker 4: Exactly my home dog. I have circle too.

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Speaker 1: Okay, perfect, there we go. If you you can just

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Speaker 1: run through it right now.

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Speaker 2: This is like a Mike frances a bit. But we'll

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Speaker 2: just run through it. Just lost lost to Arkansas their

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Speaker 2: last road game. Only one by two at Georgia, only

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Speaker 2: one by one at Missouri, one by nine at Mississippi,

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Speaker 2: but the Rebels had a fourteen point lead in the

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Speaker 2: first half and were without dark Hell Joiner, and then

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Speaker 2: one by four at Alabama. It's not not that good.

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Speaker 2: Even on Wednesday, Vanderbilt was kind of dominating them early.

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Speaker 2: They had a lead on them, you know, late in

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Speaker 2: the first half, and you know, obviously Auburn pulled away

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Speaker 2: in one by fourteen. But we've I think we've talked

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Speaker 2: about it a few times, but Auburn one of the

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Speaker 2: luckiest teams in college basketball twenty two and two actual record,

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Speaker 2: but a twenty and six shot quality record, while Florida

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Speaker 2: is a little underrated and due for some positive progressions.

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Speaker 2: So and Florida really should have beat text A and

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Speaker 2: M earlier this week. They put an outstanding second half

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Speaker 2: and I think they'll be able to use them mo

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Speaker 2: venum into this one. And this is you know, this

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Speaker 2: is kind of an all in spot here for Florida.

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Speaker 2: They're they're sitting, you know, around five hundred. They definitely

432
00:19:54,119 --> 00:19:54,480
Speaker 2: need this.

433
00:19:54,440 --> 00:19:55,440
Speaker 4: Name as West Virginia.

434
00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:58,680
Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely needest one to albsme sou.

435
00:19:58,920 --> 00:20:00,440
Speaker 1: Yeah, love love Florida.

436
00:20:00,480 --> 00:20:03,560
Speaker 2: It's kept on my believe has it at Auburn minus

437
00:20:03,560 --> 00:20:07,080
Speaker 2: five or minus six, So yeah, I'd love Florida at

438
00:20:07,119 --> 00:20:09,160
Speaker 2: anything probably plus four and a half or better.

439
00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:13,240
Speaker 4: Yeah, Auburn just like Texas Tech juggernaut at home. I

440
00:20:13,240 --> 00:20:15,760
Speaker 4: think they're now Ye might a plush depends on what

441
00:20:15,840 --> 00:20:17,119
Speaker 4: now I think they I don't know. It depends on

442
00:20:17,119 --> 00:20:18,359
Speaker 4: where to Like, I gotta see where it closed. You

443
00:20:18,400 --> 00:20:19,800
Speaker 4: are thirteen and a half or fourteen, But they've only

444
00:20:19,800 --> 00:20:21,960
Speaker 4: not covered one game at home all year and it

445
00:20:22,040 --> 00:20:25,480
Speaker 4: came against I think North Alabama back in December when

446
00:20:25,480 --> 00:20:27,080
Speaker 4: they won seventy to forty four. They were in like

447
00:20:27,119 --> 00:20:29,280
Speaker 4: twenty eight and there was a late run by North Florida.

448
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:31,320
Speaker 4: That's it. There are Juggernaut at home and they the

449
00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:33,960
Speaker 4: results on the road are very shaky. As you mentioned,

450
00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:37,880
Speaker 4: that beat Missouri by one, Georgia by two, all within

451
00:20:37,960 --> 00:20:40,240
Speaker 4: the past month. And you know, they lost at Arkansas

452
00:20:40,960 --> 00:20:44,440
Speaker 4: in overtime. Just a different team away from home. And

453
00:20:44,680 --> 00:20:46,600
Speaker 4: Ronnie Chapman, who I think is really important to Vanderbilt,

454
00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:49,880
Speaker 4: he didn't even play last game and Vanderbilt still came

455
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:53,159
Speaker 4: out and swinging. So, yeah, this is Florida's season, and

456
00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:57,000
Speaker 4: I think that they can control the tempo here at home.

457
00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:01,880
Speaker 4: They're going to make some shots eventually from three. It's

458
00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:04,280
Speaker 4: not a great shooting team, but they can get some

459
00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:09,080
Speaker 4: open looks and Auburn will take some bad shots. Yeah,

460
00:21:09,119 --> 00:21:11,280
Speaker 4: I think that this is the time to get Florida

461
00:21:11,320 --> 00:21:15,840
Speaker 4: all in desperation spot. Uh so I agree. So for

462
00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:19,720
Speaker 4: my home dog, I have to go with another one.

463
00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,439
Speaker 4: Let's stay in the SEC, and I'm gonna go with

464
00:21:23,480 --> 00:21:26,959
Speaker 4: South Carolina. They're coming off an emotional buzzer be to win.

465
00:21:27,080 --> 00:21:30,120
Speaker 4: They also wanted Georgia, so they swept the roach. They're

466
00:21:30,119 --> 00:21:32,040
Speaker 4: playing a little better. You know. They they hung with

467
00:21:32,160 --> 00:21:35,600
Speaker 4: Kentucky and I think that this is the team that's

468
00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:40,480
Speaker 4: trending up and LSU. Look, they blew out Georgia. It

469
00:21:40,520 --> 00:21:43,080
Speaker 4: was just a great matchup for them. They beat Mississippi

470
00:21:43,080 --> 00:21:46,399
Speaker 4: State at home by four. They beat a reeling Texas

471
00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:48,000
Speaker 4: A and M team after they just got off to

472
00:21:48,080 --> 00:21:49,720
Speaker 4: really fast start. So they've won three and our people

473
00:21:49,720 --> 00:21:52,520
Speaker 4: are like, oh, let's use fixed. I'm not so quick

474
00:21:52,600 --> 00:21:55,600
Speaker 4: to say that. I also will mention that South Carolina

475
00:21:55,920 --> 00:22:00,200
Speaker 4: elite transition defense, and that's really important again selcip is.

476
00:22:00,240 --> 00:22:04,159
Speaker 4: Their half court numbers are just absolutely disgusting, and if

477
00:22:04,160 --> 00:22:06,880
Speaker 4: you can keep LSU in the half court, their offense

478
00:22:07,040 --> 00:22:11,320
Speaker 4: is going to struggle. So I think that South Carolina,

479
00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,280
Speaker 4: even though they've won two straight, I think that's kind

480
00:22:14,280 --> 00:22:17,080
Speaker 4: of washed out by the fact that LSU is one

481
00:22:17,119 --> 00:22:18,760
Speaker 4: three straight and people think that they're back, but it's

482
00:22:18,760 --> 00:22:23,040
Speaker 4: not there. Ninety fifth percent tile in transition defense on

483
00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,480
Speaker 4: the season, they've been excellent in that regard. And then

484
00:22:25,520 --> 00:22:28,000
Speaker 4: if you look this is all per Synergy. If you

485
00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:32,240
Speaker 4: look at LSU's offense half court twenty third percentile in

486
00:22:32,320 --> 00:22:35,280
Speaker 4: transition which they do. You know, they get out go

487
00:22:35,359 --> 00:22:37,879
Speaker 4: close to twenty percent of the time, it's top one

488
00:22:37,920 --> 00:22:41,240
Speaker 4: hundred rate. They're sixty third percent tile, so they thrive

489
00:22:41,880 --> 00:22:44,480
Speaker 4: when they get out in transition. LSU, by the way,

490
00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:48,119
Speaker 4: one three straight, they also have Kentucky on deck, you know,

491
00:22:48,160 --> 00:22:52,600
Speaker 4: so going to South Carolina could be a little bit

492
00:22:52,680 --> 00:22:56,720
Speaker 4: of a sleepy spot here, So give me the cocks.

493
00:22:58,400 --> 00:23:01,520
Speaker 4: You know, the turnovers for Sal Carolina could become an issue,

494
00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:03,040
Speaker 4: but they forced a lot of turnovers to and El.

495
00:23:03,200 --> 00:23:06,359
Speaker 4: LSU will cough it up. And I like that South Carolina,

496
00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:09,840
Speaker 4: whose defense is vastly underrated. I like that there have

497
00:23:09,920 --> 00:23:13,159
Speaker 4: been great in transition. Both teams should live on the

498
00:23:13,160 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 4: offensive glass. I think that South Carolin is a lively

499
00:23:17,080 --> 00:23:20,119
Speaker 4: home dog here catching the same price range as Florida.

500
00:23:20,880 --> 00:23:23,560
Speaker 4: So who I have circled. So yeah, give me the

501
00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,200
Speaker 4: cocks and you agree there.

502
00:23:26,200 --> 00:23:26,920
Speaker 1: Yep, I agree.

503
00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:29,280
Speaker 2: I think ls you probably be a tad over value there,

504
00:23:29,280 --> 00:23:32,399
Speaker 2: obviously coming off a few good performances. Else is kind

505
00:23:32,400 --> 00:23:35,120
Speaker 2: of funny because we were all screaming for negative aggression

506
00:23:35,160 --> 00:23:36,800
Speaker 2: for them, and it kind of came, and then they've

507
00:23:36,840 --> 00:23:38,359
Speaker 2: kind of turned the corner and been playing a little

508
00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:40,040
Speaker 2: bit better, but yes, not a great spot for them

509
00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:41,720
Speaker 2: here on the road, especially coming off a big win

510
00:23:42,040 --> 00:23:43,080
Speaker 2: at home in the midwek all.

511
00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,120
Speaker 4: Before we get to Friday night, let's go through any

512
00:23:45,119 --> 00:23:47,560
Speaker 4: other spots we had circled. What do you got?

513
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:49,160
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go something a little different.

514
00:23:49,160 --> 00:23:51,800
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go with a total pretty big game in

515
00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:54,520
Speaker 2: the ACC on Saturday, Notre Dame at wake Forest.

516
00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:57,280
Speaker 1: This game is actually really really important. He was actually

517
00:23:57,280 --> 00:23:59,240
Speaker 1: tied with Duke in the.

518
00:23:59,200 --> 00:24:02,040
Speaker 2: Conference and maybe should have been, you know, one game

519
00:24:02,080 --> 00:24:04,080
Speaker 2: ahead of them if it wasn't for a.

520
00:24:04,000 --> 00:24:07,560
Speaker 1: Phantom calling in a Durham earlier this week.

521
00:24:07,640 --> 00:24:11,800
Speaker 2: But Notre Dame survived overtime against Boston College on Wednesday,

522
00:24:12,000 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 2: but Boston College didn't have two of their best players.

523
00:24:15,359 --> 00:24:17,720
Speaker 2: The Eagles were able to torch Notre Dame one point

524
00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:20,320
Speaker 2: two to two points per possession, sixty three percent inside

525
00:24:20,359 --> 00:24:23,080
Speaker 2: the arc, but luckily for Notre Dame, they made thirty

526
00:24:23,080 --> 00:24:26,520
Speaker 2: three free throws, which is insane. I really question if

527
00:24:26,520 --> 00:24:28,679
Speaker 2: Notre Dame is gonna be able to control the pace here.

528
00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:31,200
Speaker 2: They're obviously fairly slow two hundred and eighty fourth in

529
00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:33,359
Speaker 2: the justin tempo, but wake Forest one of the highest

530
00:24:33,400 --> 00:24:36,000
Speaker 2: in the ACC fifty eighth overall in the country. And

531
00:24:36,080 --> 00:24:38,600
Speaker 2: my guess is that Notre Dame, if they really want

532
00:24:38,640 --> 00:24:42,920
Speaker 2: to actually exploit wake Forest where they're vulnerable, they're gonna

533
00:24:42,960 --> 00:24:45,560
Speaker 2: have to play in transition because wake Forest is in

534
00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:48,159
Speaker 2: the bottom thirty percent of college basketball and points per

535
00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:52,120
Speaker 2: possession allowed in transition defense. We may see Notre Dame

536
00:24:52,160 --> 00:24:54,800
Speaker 2: mess around a little bit with some zone because they're

537
00:24:55,040 --> 00:24:57,200
Speaker 2: really really bad in half court man a man defense.

538
00:24:57,520 --> 00:24:59,879
Speaker 2: Wake Forest a couple times this season, obviously, if they

539
00:25:00,040 --> 00:25:03,480
Speaker 2: Syracuse twice, their numbers against the zone are a little

540
00:25:03,520 --> 00:25:06,000
Speaker 2: worse than they are against a man. But you know,

541
00:25:06,040 --> 00:25:08,240
Speaker 2: wake Forest is still shooting close to thirty six percent

542
00:25:08,240 --> 00:25:11,000
Speaker 2: from behind the arc, sixty two percent from two point range,

543
00:25:11,000 --> 00:25:13,239
Speaker 2: and sixty eight percent on shout attempts at the rim,

544
00:25:13,320 --> 00:25:16,120
Speaker 2: and Notre Dame one of the lowest turnover percentages on defense.

545
00:25:16,200 --> 00:25:18,199
Speaker 2: So it's gonna be hard for me to see how

546
00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 2: they're going to stop them in less wake Forest just

547
00:25:19,880 --> 00:25:22,719
Speaker 2: goes incredibly cold against the zone. Notre Dame, I mean,

548
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:24,199
Speaker 2: the reason they're so good is they're one of the

549
00:25:24,200 --> 00:25:26,240
Speaker 2: more efficient shooting teams in the a SEC. They hit

550
00:25:26,280 --> 00:25:28,679
Speaker 2: around thirty eight percent from behind the arc fifty one

551
00:25:28,720 --> 00:25:29,840
Speaker 2: percent from inside the arc.

552
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:31,480
Speaker 1: They're also a fourth in the ACCED.

553
00:25:31,920 --> 00:25:34,239
Speaker 2: Like I just mentioned, you know, points per possession in transition, Well,

554
00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:36,600
Speaker 2: Wake Forest are one of the worst in college basketball.

555
00:25:36,680 --> 00:25:39,280
Speaker 2: So I'm guessing the pace of this game is probably

556
00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:41,600
Speaker 2: going to be pretty fast, much faster than what Notre

557
00:25:41,680 --> 00:25:45,920
Speaker 2: Dame usually plays. So ken palm has total at one one.

558
00:25:46,720 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 2: I'll play anything one p forty five or higher because

559
00:25:49,400 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a end up

560
00:25:51,000 --> 00:25:53,040
Speaker 2: being a track meet between two really good offenses.

561
00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:55,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't love wake against zones because they they

562
00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:58,240
Speaker 4: are very rim aligned. If they can get to the rim,

563
00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:00,560
Speaker 4: they're going to have a lot of success, either scoring

564
00:26:00,560 --> 00:26:02,560
Speaker 4: there or kicking out for three. So the zone kind

565
00:26:02,560 --> 00:26:06,000
Speaker 4: of takes away some of that. But against Notre Dame,

566
00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:08,560
Speaker 4: like one of one of the things that really holds

567
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:11,080
Speaker 4: back Wake Forest offense is the turnovers. I mean they're

568
00:26:11,080 --> 00:26:14,240
Speaker 4: they're turning it over over twenty percent, a twenty percent

569
00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:16,640
Speaker 4: rate during conference play, which was fourteenth in the ACC.

570
00:26:16,920 --> 00:26:19,000
Speaker 4: There are two hundred and twenty second on the year

571
00:26:19,000 --> 00:26:23,359
Speaker 4: and turnover percentage just three hundred and twenty fourth in

572
00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,959
Speaker 4: steal percentage allowed, Notre Dame doesn't turn teams over, so

573
00:26:27,040 --> 00:26:29,080
Speaker 4: they're not there's not going to be a lot of

574
00:26:29,080 --> 00:26:32,040
Speaker 4: these wasted possessions for wake Farest, and their offense is

575
00:26:32,040 --> 00:26:33,920
Speaker 4: really good when they don't turn it over, and Notre

576
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:37,040
Speaker 4: Dame isn't going to turn you over. So yeah, I

577
00:26:37,119 --> 00:26:40,200
Speaker 4: don't don't hate it one spot that I have circled.

578
00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:43,200
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go. It's scary to go back to the world,

579
00:26:43,200 --> 00:26:45,000
Speaker 4: but I'm probably gonna go back to well with Alabama

580
00:26:45,160 --> 00:26:48,480
Speaker 4: against my cats. Kemp Papa Jackson's at ten. I would

581
00:26:48,520 --> 00:26:51,119
Speaker 4: love to get ten at Kentucky. I don't think ty

582
00:26:51,119 --> 00:26:53,360
Speaker 4: Tyle Washington's gonna play. I think he's just super important

583
00:26:53,359 --> 00:26:56,879
Speaker 4: everything Kentucky wants to do, and Kentucky would be stupid

584
00:26:56,880 --> 00:26:58,560
Speaker 4: to try and play. Get him healthy, by the way,

585
00:26:58,680 --> 00:27:00,720
Speaker 4: that's my only future. I don't one in the play

586
00:27:00,880 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 4: for another week or two. Just get him healthy. I

587
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:06,800
Speaker 4: think he's really important. He played in that first game

588
00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:10,840
Speaker 4: against Alabama, he had fifteen points, you know, three rebounds

589
00:27:10,880 --> 00:27:14,119
Speaker 4: to assist, so take him out. I just think he

590
00:27:14,119 --> 00:27:16,359
Speaker 4: does a lot of things with them in transition on

591
00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:19,440
Speaker 4: the defensive end. He's just a really important piece and

592
00:27:19,960 --> 00:27:22,239
Speaker 4: Albama didn't have Varius Miles. I think matters a bit,

593
00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,240
Speaker 4: especially when you have another body in there, and Album

594
00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:27,280
Speaker 4: is gonna make shots eventually. It's not a great they

595
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:28,679
Speaker 4: don't get as good as shots, and it's not as

596
00:27:28,720 --> 00:27:30,160
Speaker 4: good as a shooting team as last year. But they're

597
00:27:30,160 --> 00:27:33,000
Speaker 4: shooting twenty seven and a half percent from three in

598
00:27:33,280 --> 00:27:37,080
Speaker 4: league play and that includes three of thirty three of

599
00:27:37,280 --> 00:27:39,680
Speaker 4: thirty against Kentucky when they first played and they lost

600
00:27:39,680 --> 00:27:40,760
Speaker 4: it home, So you have a little bit of a

601
00:27:40,800 --> 00:27:43,640
Speaker 4: revenge spot here. Kentucky, by the way, they're shooting over

602
00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:46,080
Speaker 4: thirty seven percent, which is first in the conference in

603
00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:49,199
Speaker 4: league play, So I think that the Album is going

604
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:53,199
Speaker 4: to hit some shots eventually. You know, against Ole miss

605
00:27:53,320 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 4: they went fourteen of twenty two, and then they play

606
00:27:56,119 --> 00:27:59,240
Speaker 4: Arkansas the next day. The next game they go seven

607
00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:01,840
Speaker 4: of twenty nine, so it's you know, then they went

608
00:28:01,960 --> 00:28:05,199
Speaker 4: six of thirty against Mississippi State the other night, so

609
00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:08,000
Speaker 4: they're really hit or miss. Hopefully they're hitting because that'll

610
00:28:08,040 --> 00:28:10,280
Speaker 4: be a huge key to the game here. But I

611
00:28:10,320 --> 00:28:12,439
Speaker 4: think that we might get some value of Alabama no

612
00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:16,840
Speaker 4: Washington Miles back revenge spot. Kentucky hasn't really been just

613
00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 4: trucking teams at home, but I'm might get some value

614
00:28:19,640 --> 00:28:22,840
Speaker 4: with Alabama. Another home team in the SEC that I'll

615
00:28:22,840 --> 00:28:25,880
Speaker 4: mention is Arkansas against Tennessee. Tennessee off that Kentucky win.

616
00:28:26,200 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 4: Maybe this game's are on a coin flip. It's actually

617
00:28:27,960 --> 00:28:30,400
Speaker 4: Arkansas that's the number one defense in the SEC. This

618
00:28:30,440 --> 00:28:33,640
Speaker 4: team is just trending way way up. And he continues

619
00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:36,719
Speaker 4: to go, I'm super impressed with them. I actually think

620
00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 4: they match up pretty well with Tennessee. You might be

621
00:28:39,360 --> 00:28:41,240
Speaker 4: a little hungover after that. I mean, they wanted that

622
00:28:41,400 --> 00:28:44,280
Speaker 4: Kentucky went bad after getting embarrassed, and they got it,

623
00:28:44,320 --> 00:28:46,640
Speaker 4: so they might be a little flat coming out here

624
00:28:46,760 --> 00:28:48,640
Speaker 4: in Fayetteville. What else you got.

625
00:28:49,000 --> 00:28:51,280
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go a little late night and kind of

626
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:52,600
Speaker 2: down the board here. I'm gonna go to the Big

627
00:28:52,600 --> 00:28:55,640
Speaker 2: West Conference. I love UC Irvine against Hawaii. Back to

628
00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:58,200
Speaker 2: back road games coming from the Island. For Hawaii there

629
00:28:58,240 --> 00:29:01,960
Speaker 2: playing UC San Diego tonight, and you see Ravine just

630
00:29:01,960 --> 00:29:04,760
Speaker 2: played UCY San Diego on Tuesday's led to advantage of

631
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 2: two days rests on Hawaii. You see, your Vine is

632
00:29:07,640 --> 00:29:11,600
Speaker 2: an incredible defense, top twenty or second actually in the

633
00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:14,840
Speaker 2: country in three point percentage allowed in sixteenth. In two

634
00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:17,040
Speaker 2: point field goal percentage allowed, they're only allowing around twenty

635
00:29:17,040 --> 00:29:18,840
Speaker 2: five percent from behind the ark and conference play.

636
00:29:18,960 --> 00:29:20,080
Speaker 1: Now, is that sustainable?

637
00:29:20,240 --> 00:29:23,920
Speaker 2: No, But Hawaii is showed shooting close to thirty seven

638
00:29:23,920 --> 00:29:26,440
Speaker 2: percent from behind the arcan conference play, and it's really

639
00:29:26,440 --> 00:29:28,480
Speaker 2: not sustainable if you look at their shot Quai numbers.

640
00:29:28,880 --> 00:29:31,720
Speaker 2: Hawaii also hardly ever gets the free throw line, and

641
00:29:31,760 --> 00:29:35,200
Speaker 2: they're pretty average offensive rebounding. So we'll see what happens

642
00:29:35,200 --> 00:29:37,920
Speaker 2: in a regression battle here. But you know, you see

643
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:39,880
Speaker 2: your vine. Basically all their offense is going right to

644
00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:42,280
Speaker 2: the rim, which you could say isn't the best of

645
00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:44,720
Speaker 2: matchups against Hawaii, who is first in the conference in

646
00:29:44,760 --> 00:29:48,000
Speaker 2: two point field goal percentage allowed, But you see your

647
00:29:48,040 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 2: vine will be able to match the size up front,

648
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:51,840
Speaker 2: and that's not something that Hawaii is really used to

649
00:29:52,000 --> 00:29:54,120
Speaker 2: in the Big West. If you go through all their games,

650
00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:56,280
Speaker 2: they've basically had a size advantage in every single one

651
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:58,800
Speaker 2: of them, or height advantage at least except for a

652
00:29:58,840 --> 00:30:03,000
Speaker 2: game against U Riverside, who torched them inside shout around

653
00:30:03,040 --> 00:30:05,040
Speaker 2: fifty five percent from inside the arc.

654
00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:08,200
Speaker 1: So I think this is a great spot getting UC.

655
00:30:08,240 --> 00:30:10,200
Speaker 2: Your Vine, you know, playing back to back home games

656
00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:13,080
Speaker 2: Hawaii coming from the island for the fourth time this season.

657
00:30:13,640 --> 00:30:16,480
Speaker 2: Ken Palm has that uce Yourvine minus six. So I

658
00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,960
Speaker 2: love the ant Eaters to blow out the Rainbow Warriors

659
00:30:20,360 --> 00:30:21,200
Speaker 2: late Saturday night.

660
00:30:21,440 --> 00:30:24,120
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with and this is kind of contingent.

661
00:30:24,120 --> 00:30:26,840
Speaker 4: I might still play it regardless. But Chattanooga, assuming they

662
00:30:26,840 --> 00:30:29,320
Speaker 4: beat UNC Greensburg night, they basically well, they will lock

663
00:30:29,400 --> 00:30:32,400
Speaker 4: up the Southern Conference because they swept Furman, so they'd

664
00:30:32,400 --> 00:30:34,560
Speaker 4: be up even if Furman loses. They'd be up three

665
00:30:34,600 --> 00:30:40,040
Speaker 4: games with three to go. And let's see, Furman has

666
00:30:40,320 --> 00:30:41,800
Speaker 4: Firman the last two left. Yet they would lock it

667
00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:43,240
Speaker 4: up tonight with a win, so they would clinch the

668
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:45,600
Speaker 4: regular season title. I guess maybe they have an outside

669
00:30:45,640 --> 00:30:48,440
Speaker 4: shot and a large but after doing so, they might

670
00:30:48,480 --> 00:30:49,880
Speaker 4: be a little flat. I think they might be a

671
00:30:49,880 --> 00:30:52,200
Speaker 4: little flat tonight too, at home against vm I. VMI

672
00:30:52,280 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 4: is playing their best basketball year electric offense. They played

673
00:30:55,920 --> 00:30:59,480
Speaker 4: earlier this year at vm I lost by four seventy

674
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:04,400
Speaker 4: eight to seven. Four in that game, Desosa Sivie Desa,

675
00:31:04,640 --> 00:31:08,280
Speaker 4: the big man for Chattanooga who transferred from Kansas. I

676
00:31:08,360 --> 00:31:12,600
Speaker 4: think it's pretty importanty at thirteen points. He's doubtful tonight.

677
00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:14,400
Speaker 4: I don't think he's gonna play, But it could be

678
00:31:14,440 --> 00:31:17,320
Speaker 4: just a little hangover spot against an excellent vam MY

679
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:21,880
Speaker 4: offense vm MY very high variants team. They are number

680
00:31:21,920 --> 00:31:25,520
Speaker 4: one in the country in three point right, the fifty

681
00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:28,000
Speaker 4: four percent three point right and their number three hundred

682
00:31:28,000 --> 00:31:30,840
Speaker 4: and fifty six in opponent three point right. They give

683
00:31:30,920 --> 00:31:34,280
Speaker 4: up forty eight point eight percent three point right, So

684
00:31:34,400 --> 00:31:36,720
Speaker 4: like you're gonna get a lot of threes on both ends.

685
00:31:37,600 --> 00:31:41,040
Speaker 4: But if Chattanooga's a little sleepy, little hungover, a little flat,

686
00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:45,040
Speaker 4: I think that variants may work in vmi's favor here.

687
00:31:45,120 --> 00:31:48,920
Speaker 4: So give me the Cadets on the road. I lost

688
00:31:48,920 --> 00:31:54,480
Speaker 4: to Citadel this past weekend in a rivalry game. They're

689
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,080
Speaker 4: little service Academy rivalry game, but before then they were

690
00:31:57,080 --> 00:32:00,120
Speaker 4: playing really good basketball, and I think they can and

691
00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:02,960
Speaker 4: hang within a number that you probably close to double digits.

692
00:32:03,240 --> 00:32:03,960
Speaker 4: Anything else for you.

693
00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:06,880
Speaker 2: It will depend on the line here, but I kind

694
00:32:06,880 --> 00:32:09,200
Speaker 2: of like Oklahoma State at home against Kansas State in

695
00:32:09,240 --> 00:32:12,760
Speaker 2: a revenge spot. This is pretty much it for Oklahoma State. Obviously,

696
00:32:12,760 --> 00:32:15,240
Speaker 2: they have the postseason ban and this is their last

697
00:32:15,280 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 2: winnable game of the season, so I think you'll get

698
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:19,120
Speaker 2: an all an effort from them at home, where they've

699
00:32:19,160 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 2: played much better than they have on the road. They

700
00:32:21,800 --> 00:32:24,360
Speaker 2: lost by a buzzer beater to Kansas State earlier. It

701
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:26,280
Speaker 2: was a really really close game. They're really unlucky to

702
00:32:26,560 --> 00:32:29,000
Speaker 2: lose it. They shot close to sixty percent from inside

703
00:32:29,000 --> 00:32:31,280
Speaker 2: the arc against Kansas State, but just and was up

704
00:32:31,320 --> 00:32:32,440
Speaker 2: too with a minute and a half to go and

705
00:32:32,480 --> 00:32:36,080
Speaker 2: just couldn't close the deal. They're going to force the

706
00:32:36,080 --> 00:32:39,480
Speaker 2: Wildcats into a ton of three pointers because Oklahoma State's

707
00:32:39,520 --> 00:32:42,320
Speaker 2: top thirty and two point field goal percentage allowed, block percentage,

708
00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:45,120
Speaker 2: and field goal percentage allowed at the rim. Oh Kansas

709
00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:47,680
Speaker 2: State is second to last in the Big Twelve in

710
00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,320
Speaker 2: two point field goal percentage. And also, Kansas State won't

711
00:32:50,360 --> 00:32:53,640
Speaker 2: be able to exploit Oklahoma State's one glary weakness on defense,

712
00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,080
Speaker 2: which is they're rebounding, because they're near the bottom of

713
00:32:56,080 --> 00:32:58,640
Speaker 2: the Big Twelve in offensive rebounding percentage. Kansas State is

714
00:32:58,680 --> 00:33:01,160
Speaker 2: fifth in the country in three point field goal percential

715
00:33:01,240 --> 00:33:02,880
Speaker 2: out and that's great, but it's not really going to

716
00:33:02,920 --> 00:33:05,360
Speaker 2: matter in this one because Oklahoma State takes one of

717
00:33:05,400 --> 00:33:07,440
Speaker 2: the lowest as one of the lowest three point rates

718
00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:09,960
Speaker 2: in the country. Forty two percent of their shots come

719
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:13,120
Speaker 2: at the rim, and Kansas State is allowing sixty on

720
00:33:13,160 --> 00:33:15,520
Speaker 2: those shot attempts at the rim. So I think this

721
00:33:15,600 --> 00:33:18,600
Speaker 2: is a good matchup for Oklahoma State, obviously, depending on

722
00:33:18,640 --> 00:33:21,760
Speaker 2: the line. I'm hoping maybe we can get them at

723
00:33:21,800 --> 00:33:24,960
Speaker 2: minus five, which is currently what Ken Pump has, So

724
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:27,640
Speaker 2: Oklahoma State minus five are better.

725
00:33:27,640 --> 00:33:29,520
Speaker 1: I think this is all in pretty much hit for

726
00:33:29,600 --> 00:33:30,280
Speaker 1: them this season.

727
00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:32,840
Speaker 2: Obviously, they have some tough matchups coming up, so with

728
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:35,160
Speaker 2: their last winnable game at second to last game at

729
00:33:35,160 --> 00:33:36,840
Speaker 2: home for the season, I think it's a good spot

730
00:33:36,840 --> 00:33:37,840
Speaker 2: for the Cowboys. O.

731
00:33:38,360 --> 00:33:41,480
Speaker 4: All right, let's get to the Friday night six pack.

732
00:33:41,880 --> 00:33:45,880
Speaker 5: Six guys, six picks. It's a college hoops a weekend

733
00:33:45,960 --> 00:33:46,760
Speaker 5: six pack.

734
00:33:50,240 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 2: Right, Get right.

735
00:33:57,480 --> 00:33:59,200
Speaker 4: Last week was a good week. We went four and one,

736
00:33:59,400 --> 00:34:03,520
Speaker 4: hit the the double, so we're fourteen and ten on

737
00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:07,120
Speaker 4: the season. Jim kick things off four us.

738
00:34:07,800 --> 00:34:10,480
Speaker 3: For my six pack pick, I'm going with the VCU

739
00:34:10,600 --> 00:34:13,000
Speaker 3: Richmond over one hundred and thirty and a half. That's

740
00:34:13,040 --> 00:34:15,319
Speaker 3: what I'm seeing right now. I like it up to

741
00:34:15,360 --> 00:34:19,400
Speaker 3: one thirty three. The last time these two played very recently.

742
00:34:19,840 --> 00:34:22,040
Speaker 3: The total was one hundred and thirty four, so there's

743
00:34:22,040 --> 00:34:24,839
Speaker 3: a drop here, and I don't think that's correct. VC

744
00:34:25,080 --> 00:34:28,600
Speaker 3: was playing faster lately, four straight games over seventy possessions,

745
00:34:29,000 --> 00:34:32,439
Speaker 3: and they're going to be without likely without Hassan Ward,

746
00:34:32,480 --> 00:34:35,719
Speaker 3: their elite shot blocker, big time rim protector. Taking him

747
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:37,560
Speaker 3: out of the lineup is a big boost to the

748
00:34:37,640 --> 00:34:41,000
Speaker 3: over Get a slightly better offensive player worse defensive player

749
00:34:41,000 --> 00:34:44,319
Speaker 3: on the court. That's key there. And VC's offense is

750
00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:47,120
Speaker 3: not great, but it is better with Vince Williams back.

751
00:34:47,120 --> 00:34:49,279
Speaker 3: He has missed a couple games with injury. He's a

752
00:34:49,280 --> 00:34:52,520
Speaker 3: good passer and knockdown shooter aund the wing. That really helps.

753
00:34:53,000 --> 00:34:55,920
Speaker 3: On the other end, Richmond can beat VCU's pressure with

754
00:34:55,960 --> 00:34:58,560
Speaker 3: back doors. They could have scored a lot more efficiently

755
00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:01,160
Speaker 3: in the first game, but they only shot sub fifteen

756
00:35:01,200 --> 00:35:04,120
Speaker 3: percent from three. They got decent looks. I think they'll

757
00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:07,000
Speaker 3: get better looks this time. So if we get somewhere

758
00:35:07,040 --> 00:35:09,960
Speaker 3: in the neighborhood of seventy possessions, I think the efficiency

759
00:35:10,280 --> 00:35:12,399
Speaker 3: will be good enough to get us over that one

760
00:35:12,480 --> 00:35:14,719
Speaker 3: thirty and a half and again up to one thirty three.

761
00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,360
Speaker 4: I like the over all, right, Jim going with VCU

762
00:35:17,640 --> 00:35:20,959
Speaker 4: Richmond over Kyle. What do you got, all.

763
00:35:20,920 --> 00:35:21,279
Speaker 1: Right, guys?

764
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:24,760
Speaker 5: For my best bet, I am going with Butler anything

765
00:35:24,800 --> 00:35:28,480
Speaker 5: over plus nine going to Saint John's. And this Butler

766
00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,480
Speaker 5: team is not the same as it once was earlier

767
00:35:31,560 --> 00:35:35,040
Speaker 5: in the season. They're actually competent now. They've covered six

768
00:35:35,120 --> 00:35:38,000
Speaker 5: their last eight games. They lost to Xavier by two,

769
00:35:38,120 --> 00:35:40,640
Speaker 5: Saint John's by three, Creighton by two, and are coming

770
00:35:40,680 --> 00:35:43,239
Speaker 5: off a win over Marquette and to Paul. The one

771
00:35:43,280 --> 00:35:46,080
Speaker 5: worry you have to have about Butler is personnel. As

772
00:35:46,080 --> 00:35:49,759
Speaker 5: always Bryce Enzi as well as Bo Hodges. We're both

773
00:35:49,800 --> 00:35:52,520
Speaker 5: outlast game against a Paul again, a game in which

774
00:35:52,800 --> 00:35:55,840
Speaker 5: Butler won. They are game time decisions against Saint John's

775
00:35:55,840 --> 00:35:58,480
Speaker 5: to night. I still like Butler. Hear anything over nine.

776
00:35:58,560 --> 00:36:01,439
Speaker 5: Saint John's off that mass win again Xavior a good

777
00:36:01,480 --> 00:36:05,320
Speaker 5: letdown spot for them. That's Butler plus nine on the road.

778
00:36:05,520 --> 00:36:07,200
Speaker 4: And Matt close us up there.

779
00:36:07,360 --> 00:36:10,200
Speaker 8: I'm looking at the golden Flashes of Kent State for

780
00:36:10,320 --> 00:36:13,279
Speaker 8: my best bet. Early openers have them pegged as a

781
00:36:13,320 --> 00:36:17,719
Speaker 8: one point favorite, hosting Ohio. The incendiary Bobcats are coming

782
00:36:17,760 --> 00:36:20,720
Speaker 8: to town. But even hotter are the Flashes, the winners

783
00:36:20,719 --> 00:36:24,400
Speaker 8: of seventh straight. Quent off a impressive win at Toledo

784
00:36:24,440 --> 00:36:26,799
Speaker 8: at TEA that looked like a mini juggernaut. So far,

785
00:36:27,239 --> 00:36:29,120
Speaker 8: it almost seems like the odds makers are afraid of

786
00:36:29,120 --> 00:36:30,920
Speaker 8: the Kent State money, as they seem to have shaded

787
00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:33,160
Speaker 8: this an extra point and a half in the favor

788
00:36:33,200 --> 00:36:35,640
Speaker 8: of the Flashes. A big reason could be because of

789
00:36:35,680 --> 00:36:39,239
Speaker 8: the potential absence of Jason Carter, regarded as one of

790
00:36:39,280 --> 00:36:43,080
Speaker 8: the most versatile and effective defenders within the MAC for

791
00:36:43,120 --> 00:36:45,480
Speaker 8: a frontline that lacks a lot of depth, and that's

792
00:36:45,480 --> 00:36:47,600
Speaker 8: where Kent State's bread and butter is upfront. As good

793
00:36:47,640 --> 00:36:49,600
Speaker 8: as their back court has been recently with the return

794
00:36:49,600 --> 00:36:53,520
Speaker 8: of Jeo Santiago and Sincere Kerry, they have the interior

795
00:36:53,600 --> 00:36:55,640
Speaker 8: muscle that very few MAC teams lack. It's why they've

796
00:36:55,640 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 8: been such a good matchup for a lot of the

797
00:36:56,920 --> 00:36:59,959
Speaker 8: heavy hitters within this conference. I like the Golden Flat

798
00:37:00,000 --> 00:37:02,520
Speaker 8: Shoes anything up to minus two at home as they

799
00:37:02,520 --> 00:37:05,759
Speaker 8: looked to extend their climb into the upper echelon of

800
00:37:05,760 --> 00:37:06,799
Speaker 8: the max standings.

801
00:37:07,320 --> 00:37:09,879
Speaker 4: Three good ones. I agree with all of them, and yeah,

802
00:37:09,960 --> 00:37:13,480
Speaker 4: Jason Carter, I think is important for Ohio. I actually

803
00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:16,719
Speaker 4: faded Ohio the other night and mine Ohio decided they

804
00:37:16,760 --> 00:37:18,840
Speaker 4: were up up double just at one point plus eleven

805
00:37:18,840 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 4: decide the foul down eleven with three seconds left. They

806
00:37:23,160 --> 00:37:25,040
Speaker 4: lost by thirteen, which is the largest lead of Ohio

807
00:37:25,080 --> 00:37:26,640
Speaker 4: for the game for Ohio, but I mean they went

808
00:37:26,840 --> 00:37:29,960
Speaker 4: Vanner Puss went nots. He had like thirty something points

809
00:37:30,080 --> 00:37:32,279
Speaker 4: for Ohio who went twenty two of twenty four from

810
00:37:32,320 --> 00:37:35,480
Speaker 4: the line. Mine Ohio went three of six from the line.

811
00:37:35,960 --> 00:37:38,200
Speaker 4: So yeah, I think that he's really important. You have

812
00:37:38,320 --> 00:37:42,480
Speaker 4: a freshman who made his first start of his career,

813
00:37:43,320 --> 00:37:46,200
Speaker 4: didn't do much against my Ohio, and it's a lot

814
00:37:46,400 --> 00:37:50,080
Speaker 4: tougher sledding against Kent State, who is absolutely rolling right now.

815
00:37:50,200 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 4: And Ohio beat Ken State earli this year eighty to

816
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:57,480
Speaker 4: seventy two at home. But in that game Carter played,

817
00:37:58,080 --> 00:38:03,439
Speaker 4: he had ten points, eight rebound and Giovanni Santiago really

818
00:38:03,480 --> 00:38:08,040
Speaker 4: good player played on the Puerto Rican national teams. He

819
00:38:08,080 --> 00:38:10,279
Speaker 4: didn't play in that game, and their offense has just

820
00:38:10,320 --> 00:38:13,480
Speaker 4: been on another level when he plays him. And sincere

821
00:38:13,600 --> 00:38:16,120
Speaker 4: carry can just catch fire, I think Ken State can

822
00:38:16,160 --> 00:38:18,000
Speaker 4: bully them a little bit. Inside. Ken State is coming

823
00:38:18,040 --> 00:38:20,920
Speaker 4: off that big win over Toledo and then they beat Akron.

824
00:38:20,960 --> 00:38:22,880
Speaker 4: But the home crowd here, they have a chance to

825
00:38:22,920 --> 00:38:25,960
Speaker 4: get Basically they're eleven and four in the conference. Oh

826
00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:28,640
Speaker 4: in the first place at thirteen and two, they can

827
00:38:28,680 --> 00:38:30,919
Speaker 4: make this really interesting with a win. So I think

828
00:38:30,920 --> 00:38:32,960
Speaker 4: that that can kind of prevent some of the letdown

829
00:38:33,000 --> 00:38:37,960
Speaker 4: factor here. In regards to VCU Richmond agree there with

830
00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,279
Speaker 4: the over. I like that you can pull up the

831
00:38:40,280 --> 00:38:42,800
Speaker 4: shot quality beach. I think I had Richmond in the

832
00:38:42,840 --> 00:38:45,760
Speaker 4: first game and they shot like ten percent from three,

833
00:38:45,880 --> 00:38:47,799
Speaker 4: and then VCU won on like a bank and then

834
00:38:47,840 --> 00:38:52,160
Speaker 4: a prayer three at the end. It was torture. Torture's loss.

835
00:38:52,200 --> 00:38:54,279
Speaker 4: But h yeah, and I talked about it the first time.

836
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:56,440
Speaker 4: I think it was a really good matchup for Richmond

837
00:38:56,440 --> 00:38:59,239
Speaker 4: because they don't turn the ball over and VCU needs

838
00:38:59,239 --> 00:39:01,839
Speaker 4: to get in trends. They need to great turnovers because

839
00:39:01,840 --> 00:39:05,920
Speaker 4: they're half put offensive so ugly, and you know, Richmond

840
00:39:06,040 --> 00:39:07,839
Speaker 4: can shoot and they're not going to turn it over.

841
00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:09,520
Speaker 4: I think I just think it's a really good matchup

842
00:39:09,520 --> 00:39:11,759
Speaker 4: and then they can kind of capitalize on the aggressiveness

843
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 4: of VCU's defense. Uh, with those back doors. As Jim

844
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:19,160
Speaker 4: alluded to, and yeah, Butler, I really like Butlers if

845
00:39:19,200 --> 00:39:21,600
Speaker 4: Hodges can play. I mean, since Hodges was off of

846
00:39:21,680 --> 00:39:24,800
Speaker 4: minutes restriction. If you look at some like Torvick, Butler's,

847
00:39:24,800 --> 00:39:26,960
Speaker 4: by the way, the top ten and momentum positive minium

848
00:39:27,040 --> 00:39:29,080
Speaker 4: right now, they're like a top right on the frine

849
00:39:29,080 --> 00:39:32,279
Speaker 4: of a top fifty teen with Hodges and everyone back.

850
00:39:32,320 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 4: Their freshmen are playing better, so him and Enzi I

851
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:38,359
Speaker 4: think are important. They played Saint John's just like two

852
00:39:38,400 --> 00:39:40,840
Speaker 4: weeks ago, so you got a revenge spot here. Saint John's.

853
00:39:40,840 --> 00:39:42,839
Speaker 4: The biggest lead of the game was by three. When

854
00:39:42,840 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 4: they won by three, they came back. Saint John's threw

855
00:39:45,040 --> 00:39:46,759
Speaker 4: like a zone out for the last fifteen minutes and

856
00:39:46,760 --> 00:39:49,520
Speaker 4: it just completely stumped Butler. I think they'll be more

857
00:39:49,560 --> 00:39:52,040
Speaker 4: prepared here since Hodgs have been back in their full lineup,

858
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:54,319
Speaker 4: no minutes restrictions. These seems have been about equal and

859
00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:57,520
Speaker 4: Sat John's been playing better. Would love to get eight

860
00:39:57,600 --> 00:40:00,200
Speaker 4: if Butler's at full strength. I think they're both two

861
00:40:00,239 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 4: game time decisions. Those are my thoughts on those, But

862
00:40:03,320 --> 00:40:06,680
Speaker 4: for me, I'm gonna go with let's see what this

863
00:40:06,760 --> 00:40:07,680
Speaker 4: line's at right now.

864
00:40:08,080 --> 00:40:09,000
Speaker 1: Yeah, what not, I'm.

865
00:40:08,880 --> 00:40:11,759
Speaker 4: Gonna go with what can Brown do for you? I'm

866
00:40:11,760 --> 00:40:15,560
Speaker 4: gonna go with Brown, who I backed against Cornell and

867
00:40:15,560 --> 00:40:18,000
Speaker 4: they won at the Buzzer, basically keep their season alive.

868
00:40:18,040 --> 00:40:20,600
Speaker 4: And they've won their last two games by one and

869
00:40:20,680 --> 00:40:22,960
Speaker 4: two points. But this is a team that lost to

870
00:40:23,400 --> 00:40:26,880
Speaker 4: Yale by three, they lost a pen by four, they

871
00:40:26,920 --> 00:40:30,040
Speaker 4: lost to this Princeton team by two. So it's nice

872
00:40:30,040 --> 00:40:33,799
Speaker 4: to see the regression on the other side and come

873
00:40:33,840 --> 00:40:36,239
Speaker 4: back to them. In the IVY standings, the top four

874
00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,759
Speaker 4: make the IVY Tournament. Cornell's is sitting at five and five,

875
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:43,360
Speaker 4: Prince's at seven and two. They're pretty damn safe. Brown

876
00:40:43,440 --> 00:40:45,960
Speaker 4: is at four and six. After this game, they only

877
00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:49,240
Speaker 4: have three games left. If they dropped to four and seven,

878
00:40:49,680 --> 00:40:52,080
Speaker 4: and you look at Cornell, you know who closes the

879
00:40:52,120 --> 00:40:55,000
Speaker 4: year with Columbia could get a little dicey here. This

880
00:40:55,040 --> 00:40:58,440
Speaker 4: is Brown's season. When these two teams played earlier this

881
00:40:58,560 --> 00:41:02,680
Speaker 4: year at Print, you know, I have to say that

882
00:41:02,880 --> 00:41:07,399
Speaker 4: lewell And didn't play for Princeton. He's really important. They

883
00:41:07,400 --> 00:41:10,040
Speaker 4: went basically down to the wire. Brown had a shot

884
00:41:10,080 --> 00:41:11,400
Speaker 4: to win it, three to win it. They had a

885
00:41:11,680 --> 00:41:14,359
Speaker 4: two to take the lead with like twenty seconds left,

886
00:41:15,440 --> 00:41:18,400
Speaker 4: you know, Princeton on the road hasn't been that impressive.

887
00:41:18,400 --> 00:41:20,440
Speaker 4: They're the better team here, but Brown's the most athletic

888
00:41:20,440 --> 00:41:23,279
Speaker 4: team in this conference. Season on the line, give me

889
00:41:23,320 --> 00:41:25,400
Speaker 4: the Bears to keep the momentum going and make this

890
00:41:25,560 --> 00:41:28,440
Speaker 4: Ivy League race interesting. I think they get their revenge

891
00:41:28,520 --> 00:41:29,040
Speaker 4: BJ Where you.

892
00:41:29,080 --> 00:41:32,800
Speaker 2: Go, I'm gonna go with Nebraska plus one and a

893
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:36,759
Speaker 2: half at home against Maryland. Nebraska has one loan win

894
00:41:36,960 --> 00:41:40,000
Speaker 2: in the Big Ten this season. But again, I've been

895
00:41:40,000 --> 00:41:41,399
Speaker 2: trying to buy law on them a few times.

896
00:41:41,400 --> 00:41:42,240
Speaker 1: It hasn't really worked.

897
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:44,800
Speaker 2: But you know, the biggest problem with Nebraska all season

898
00:41:44,800 --> 00:41:46,759
Speaker 2: long is they're one of the worst rebounding teams only

899
00:41:46,760 --> 00:41:48,480
Speaker 2: in the Big Ten, but really in the country, outside

900
00:41:48,480 --> 00:41:50,520
Speaker 2: of the top three hundred and both offensive and defensive

901
00:41:50,520 --> 00:41:53,840
Speaker 2: rebounding percentage. But Maryland not that great of a rebounding

902
00:41:53,840 --> 00:41:56,719
Speaker 2: team tenth and the Big Ten offensive rebounding percentage. I

903
00:41:56,719 --> 00:41:58,839
Speaker 2: don't think they'll be able to exploit them that much

904
00:41:58,840 --> 00:42:01,840
Speaker 2: on the boards. I mean, listen, there's nothing really positive

905
00:42:02,000 --> 00:42:03,680
Speaker 2: I can say about the Nebraska defense.

906
00:42:03,719 --> 00:42:04,640
Speaker 1: It's really really bad.

907
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,719
Speaker 2: But they are fourth in the conference in turnover percentage

908
00:42:07,719 --> 00:42:09,480
Speaker 2: on defense, while Maryland is turning it over at the

909
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:12,160
Speaker 2: fifth highest rate in the Big Ten. Maryland is obviously

910
00:42:12,200 --> 00:42:14,760
Speaker 2: coming off that one point loss to Purdue over the weekend,

911
00:42:14,920 --> 00:42:17,960
Speaker 2: but they've only won twice on the road this season,

912
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:20,920
Speaker 2: and this is pretty much Nebraska's last chance, last winnable

913
00:42:20,960 --> 00:42:23,320
Speaker 2: game of the season. I'm sure the mayor will probably

914
00:42:23,360 --> 00:42:27,319
Speaker 2: be gone after this year. Also, one of Maryland's best players,

915
00:42:27,800 --> 00:42:30,960
Speaker 2: Eric Iola, is a game time decision, so he can't play.

916
00:42:31,000 --> 00:42:33,520
Speaker 2: That's obviously a big blow to them. It's a wrist injury,

917
00:42:33,880 --> 00:42:36,719
Speaker 2: and he's, you know, one of their heaviest guys in

918
00:42:36,800 --> 00:42:39,000
Speaker 2: terms of shot percentage on their team, so that's obviously

919
00:42:39,000 --> 00:42:41,080
Speaker 2: going to have a little bit of effect. So I

920
00:42:41,120 --> 00:42:44,600
Speaker 2: like Nebraska to potentially get their second Big Ten win

921
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:46,520
Speaker 2: of the season at plus one and a half.

922
00:42:46,760 --> 00:42:48,640
Speaker 4: Oh Corn, All right, our final order of business, we

923
00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:51,200
Speaker 4: have to decide which one of the three to three

924
00:42:51,239 --> 00:42:54,200
Speaker 4: man we picks we have to roll with. I'm okay

925
00:42:54,239 --> 00:42:59,960
Speaker 4: with any of the three Kent State, Richmond, Over, and Butler.

926
00:43:00,280 --> 00:43:01,880
Speaker 4: I guess Butler's the most up in the airs. We

927
00:43:01,880 --> 00:43:03,800
Speaker 4: don't know who's gonna play. But since I'm okay with

928
00:43:03,840 --> 00:43:05,319
Speaker 4: any of the three, as I was last week, and

929
00:43:05,360 --> 00:43:07,920
Speaker 4: you picked the right one. With that, I'll let you

930
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,359
Speaker 4: keep it going until you fail. Which one of those

931
00:43:10,520 --> 00:43:11,799
Speaker 4: three do you want to roll with?

932
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:14,719
Speaker 2: Yeah, if Butler was completely healthy going into this one,

933
00:43:14,719 --> 00:43:17,279
Speaker 2: I definitely would just without a you know, without thought,

934
00:43:17,400 --> 00:43:19,399
Speaker 2: just it would take Butler. But you know, with those

935
00:43:19,400 --> 00:43:22,920
Speaker 2: guys obviously being very important to the Bulldogs, I like

936
00:43:23,000 --> 00:43:24,320
Speaker 2: Kent State in that revenge spot.

937
00:43:24,520 --> 00:43:25,279
Speaker 6: Uh you know.

938
00:43:25,239 --> 00:43:27,440
Speaker 1: That that Friday night game. I remember that, you know,

939
00:43:27,520 --> 00:43:29,600
Speaker 1: Van Plice just went berserk in that game.

940
00:43:29,719 --> 00:43:32,960
Speaker 2: So I think you will see a all in effort

941
00:43:32,960 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 2: here for Kent State at home.

942
00:43:34,320 --> 00:43:35,840
Speaker 1: So let's go with the Golden Flashes.

943
00:43:36,600 --> 00:43:40,520
Speaker 4: Let's do it. There, you have it. I'm going with Brown.

944
00:43:40,640 --> 00:43:42,880
Speaker 4: What can Brown do for you? BG is going with

945
00:43:42,960 --> 00:43:47,760
Speaker 4: Corn in Nebraska, Jim is going with VCU Richmond over,

946
00:43:48,520 --> 00:43:52,279
Speaker 4: Kai is going with Butler, and Matt is going with

947
00:43:52,400 --> 00:43:56,399
Speaker 4: Kent State and our double pick worth double that PG

948
00:43:56,480 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 4: and I came the contentsus on is Kent State? Before

949
00:43:59,680 --> 00:44:02,440
Speaker 4: you go out? Let's let me go to Jordan Majeski.

950
00:44:03,640 --> 00:44:06,799
Speaker 8: From the Southern to the Summit League, the MIAK and

951
00:44:06,880 --> 00:44:08,040
Speaker 8: the Missouri.

952
00:44:07,640 --> 00:44:11,799
Speaker 5: Valley, there are over three hundred and fifty Division one programs.

953
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:17,759
Speaker 5: So let's get acquainted. This is conference confidential.

954
00:44:20,239 --> 00:44:22,439
Speaker 4: At Jorge Cubs dam on Twitter, friend of the pod,

955
00:44:22,480 --> 00:44:25,720
Speaker 4: you know him well And if you follow anything college

956
00:44:25,719 --> 00:44:28,600
Speaker 4: basketball related on Twitter, I'm sure you follow Jordan. And

957
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:32,480
Speaker 4: if you, unfortunately or fortunately depending on how you look

958
00:44:32,520 --> 00:44:35,680
Speaker 4: at it, have notifications on for injury updates on a

959
00:44:35,719 --> 00:44:38,680
Speaker 4: Saturday morning or Tuesday night, your phone can blow up.

960
00:44:38,680 --> 00:44:41,000
Speaker 4: But I appreciate it myself. Jordan, thanks for joining us.

961
00:44:41,040 --> 00:44:42,359
Speaker 4: How's it going good?

962
00:44:42,360 --> 00:44:43,520
Speaker 6: How are you? Thanks for having me?

963
00:44:43,760 --> 00:44:46,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I wanted to bring you on to talk some valley.

964
00:44:46,719 --> 00:44:53,120
Speaker 4: It's intriguing conference. Unfortunately, I think the conferences cannibalized itself

965
00:44:53,239 --> 00:44:57,320
Speaker 4: as far as a multi bid league for the NCAA tournament,

966
00:44:57,360 --> 00:44:59,360
Speaker 4: but it should be a hell of a conference tournament.

967
00:44:59,360 --> 00:45:02,040
Speaker 4: There's a lot of intriguing teams at the top. Before

968
00:45:02,080 --> 00:45:03,920
Speaker 4: we get to the kind of the top five or six,

969
00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:07,480
Speaker 4: I'll give you just a forum for a minute to rant,

970
00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:10,560
Speaker 4: to give a kind of state of the union of

971
00:45:10,600 --> 00:45:13,440
Speaker 4: I know you're an Indiana State fan. Where does this

972
00:45:13,600 --> 00:45:15,400
Speaker 4: program stand up? What are your thoughts are other than

973
00:45:15,400 --> 00:45:16,959
Speaker 4: they just hate taking care of the ball.

974
00:45:17,320 --> 00:45:21,919
Speaker 9: Yeah, I mean there's definitely some seeds of excitement there.

975
00:45:22,080 --> 00:45:26,360
Speaker 9: You know, Shurts has a innovative offense and he just

976
00:45:26,680 --> 00:45:31,280
Speaker 9: I think is running into the grind of valley play

977
00:45:31,760 --> 00:45:34,600
Speaker 9: and his style from Lincoln Memorial. You know, the big

978
00:45:34,680 --> 00:45:38,000
Speaker 9: question is whether that could translate to the you know,

979
00:45:38,239 --> 00:45:39,800
Speaker 9: riggers of valley play.

980
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:41,840
Speaker 6: And I think we're kind of seeing that.

981
00:45:42,360 --> 00:45:46,360
Speaker 9: It's not translating great in year one, but you definitely

982
00:45:46,440 --> 00:45:49,920
Speaker 9: see the seeds of that. And everything's just undermined by

983
00:45:49,960 --> 00:45:53,359
Speaker 9: their inability to take care of the ball. And it's

984
00:45:53,400 --> 00:45:56,240
Speaker 9: not just like you know, they turn it over because

985
00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,799
Speaker 9: of ball pressure or whatever. You know, these guys like

986
00:45:58,880 --> 00:46:02,480
Speaker 9: Bloodsin and Henry, they are great playmakers, but they're not

987
00:46:02,760 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 9: ball handlers, and they literally just hand the ball over sometimes,

988
00:46:07,360 --> 00:46:09,919
Speaker 9: you know, and it just undermines everything that they run.

989
00:46:10,160 --> 00:46:12,239
Speaker 9: But you know they're going to be a dangerous team

990
00:46:12,239 --> 00:46:14,000
Speaker 9: in the play in games Thursday night.

991
00:46:14,400 --> 00:46:17,239
Speaker 4: Yeah, they're very unselfish, maybe, but that's not what you

992
00:46:17,280 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 4: want to be sometimes in basketball, but giving literally giving

993
00:46:19,640 --> 00:46:22,600
Speaker 4: the ball to the other team. Let's talk at the top.

994
00:46:22,640 --> 00:46:25,000
Speaker 4: We'll focus on the top five or six teams. We'll

995
00:46:25,000 --> 00:46:27,640
Speaker 4: get to Loyla last when we kind of wrap everything

996
00:46:27,719 --> 00:46:30,760
Speaker 4: up with the NAA tournament, But the team that Loyola

997
00:46:30,800 --> 00:46:33,840
Speaker 4: will face on Saturday, Trake is going for the sweep

998
00:46:34,160 --> 00:46:37,960
Speaker 4: of Loyola on the road Saturday. This is a team. Look,

999
00:46:38,000 --> 00:46:39,840
Speaker 4: they didn't have Roman Penn, they didn't have Hempill for

1000
00:46:39,920 --> 00:46:42,120
Speaker 4: a couple of games. It's a bunch of seniors across

1001
00:46:42,160 --> 00:46:44,920
Speaker 4: the board. I would think that to start making shots eventually,

1002
00:46:45,520 --> 00:46:47,160
Speaker 4: you know, if you just go based on track record,

1003
00:46:47,200 --> 00:46:49,919
Speaker 4: But they haven't been making outside shots in conference play.

1004
00:46:50,160 --> 00:46:52,600
Speaker 4: What are your thoughts on Drake dangerous team? Can they

1005
00:46:52,880 --> 00:46:54,480
Speaker 4: cut down the nets in Arch Madness?

1006
00:46:54,640 --> 00:46:54,879
Speaker 6: Yeah?

1007
00:46:54,880 --> 00:46:57,439
Speaker 9: Absolutely, Like you said, they're a veteran team that yeah,

1008
00:46:57,480 --> 00:47:01,280
Speaker 9: the shot making hasn't been there, but there's definite signs

1009
00:47:01,320 --> 00:47:04,879
Speaker 9: of positive regression lurking there and hopefully that for them

1010
00:47:04,880 --> 00:47:05,479
Speaker 9: that would come.

1011
00:47:05,400 --> 00:47:06,080
Speaker 6: At the right time.

1012
00:47:06,560 --> 00:47:08,719
Speaker 9: Well, you know, they've had injuries to pin to tank

1013
00:47:08,800 --> 00:47:11,880
Speaker 9: him Pill, and they also don't have that kind of

1014
00:47:12,040 --> 00:47:15,799
Speaker 9: like at large drive that they had last year. And

1015
00:47:15,840 --> 00:47:18,520
Speaker 9: so you know, I think they're kind of a sleeping

1016
00:47:18,560 --> 00:47:22,880
Speaker 9: giant just because of the they're veteran players and the

1017
00:47:22,920 --> 00:47:25,680
Speaker 9: fact that they should in theory start hitting some shots

1018
00:47:25,719 --> 00:47:26,239
Speaker 9: at some point.

1019
00:47:26,480 --> 00:47:28,520
Speaker 4: I think they are they big coast. I mean obviously

1020
00:47:28,560 --> 00:47:30,400
Speaker 4: have injuries, but they coast at times. They've been playing

1021
00:47:30,520 --> 00:47:32,440
Speaker 4: so many close games, but that's kind of the nature

1022
00:47:33,239 --> 00:47:34,960
Speaker 4: of the valley. We've gone to one of the other

1023
00:47:35,000 --> 00:47:37,480
Speaker 4: top teams, Missouri State might be we'll get to little,

1024
00:47:37,520 --> 00:47:39,480
Speaker 4: but they might be the most talented team with Mosley

1025
00:47:39,520 --> 00:47:42,720
Speaker 4: and Prim inside out. What are your thoughts on the Bears.

1026
00:47:43,040 --> 00:47:46,720
Speaker 9: Yeah, absolutely, I think they're the most dangerous team because

1027
00:47:46,760 --> 00:47:49,600
Speaker 9: they can just catch fire in a tournament setting, and

1028
00:47:49,680 --> 00:47:53,080
Speaker 9: they're the best shot making team in the league. You know,

1029
00:47:53,120 --> 00:47:56,720
Speaker 9: we've seen mostly just absolutely takeover games, and like you mentioned,

1030
00:47:56,880 --> 00:48:00,439
Speaker 9: there's balance there with Prim able to establish some stuff

1031
00:48:00,520 --> 00:48:03,600
Speaker 9: on the block, and you know, a lot of the

1032
00:48:03,680 --> 00:48:06,440
Speaker 9: knock on Missouri State during the Ford era has been

1033
00:48:06,520 --> 00:48:09,319
Speaker 9: kind of the mental aspect. And so if they can

1034
00:48:09,560 --> 00:48:12,680
Speaker 9: you know, stay engaged for just a couple of games,

1035
00:48:12,800 --> 00:48:16,319
Speaker 9: they absolutely have, you know, top end talent, the best

1036
00:48:16,320 --> 00:48:19,000
Speaker 9: shot making and it's just a matter of staying engaged

1037
00:48:19,040 --> 00:48:21,680
Speaker 9: on the defensive end. And this, Yeah, Missouri State can

1038
00:48:21,719 --> 00:48:22,920
Speaker 9: absolutely win the tournament.

1039
00:48:23,040 --> 00:48:24,960
Speaker 4: Another team that could and I think that you you

1040
00:48:25,040 --> 00:48:27,239
Speaker 4: might be the highest on this team as far as

1041
00:48:27,320 --> 00:48:29,759
Speaker 4: you know, one of the non loyal Chicagos to potentially win.

1042
00:48:29,800 --> 00:48:32,240
Speaker 4: It is you and I who's going for a sweep

1043
00:48:32,280 --> 00:48:35,080
Speaker 4: of Missouri State. They won at Missouri State earlier this year.

1044
00:48:35,160 --> 00:48:37,520
Speaker 4: I think by one they're trending up. The thing with

1045
00:48:37,800 --> 00:48:39,799
Speaker 4: Northern Island is there's such a high variant team. So

1046
00:48:39,800 --> 00:48:41,759
Speaker 4: they shoot a ton of threes, but they don't get

1047
00:48:41,800 --> 00:48:44,200
Speaker 4: any misses, and then they give up a ton of threes,

1048
00:48:44,400 --> 00:48:46,279
Speaker 4: but they don't allow any second chants point. So it's

1049
00:48:46,320 --> 00:48:48,760
Speaker 4: like if your threes are fall if their threes are falling,

1050
00:48:48,800 --> 00:48:51,120
Speaker 4: good night. And if the other team's threes are falling,

1051
00:48:51,160 --> 00:48:54,239
Speaker 4: it's it's problematic. So very high variant team, but the

1052
00:48:54,280 --> 00:48:56,759
Speaker 4: talent is there. What are your thoughts on You and I?

1053
00:48:57,040 --> 00:48:58,960
Speaker 9: Yeah, you summed it up pretty well there. You know,

1054
00:48:59,000 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 9: we saw on Super Bowl Sunday playing Loyola. If a team,

1055
00:49:03,640 --> 00:49:05,840
Speaker 9: a top end team gets hot like that, it's just

1056
00:49:05,920 --> 00:49:07,560
Speaker 9: curtains for Northern Iowa.

1057
00:49:07,640 --> 00:49:09,360
Speaker 6: You know, they have no recourse on defense.

1058
00:49:09,640 --> 00:49:12,960
Speaker 9: They can't you know, Jacobson will sometimes extend pressure, but

1059
00:49:13,000 --> 00:49:16,280
Speaker 9: it's not very effective. They just you know, it's a

1060
00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:19,440
Speaker 9: soft pack line and they just can't get stops when

1061
00:49:19,480 --> 00:49:22,560
Speaker 9: it matters. But they have guys like Green, you know,

1062
00:49:22,840 --> 00:49:26,960
Speaker 9: can be a human fireball. Carter is a matchup problem

1063
00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:30,880
Speaker 9: for any team in the league except Loyola apparently, you know.

1064
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,320
Speaker 9: And they kind of have that chip on their shoulder

1065
00:49:33,320 --> 00:49:37,160
Speaker 9: from last year's tournament where they got COVID bounced before

1066
00:49:37,200 --> 00:49:40,520
Speaker 9: they could even get going, and Green missed the tournament

1067
00:49:40,640 --> 00:49:43,080
Speaker 9: last you know, missed the whole season last year. So

1068
00:49:43,400 --> 00:49:45,600
Speaker 9: they've kind of got a little extra fire I think

1069
00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:48,960
Speaker 9: coming into Saint Louis and absolutely have the shot making

1070
00:49:49,239 --> 00:49:53,080
Speaker 9: and offensive firepower to win it. It's just, you know,

1071
00:49:53,360 --> 00:49:55,400
Speaker 9: anybody who can hit a jump shot, you're gonna get

1072
00:49:55,440 --> 00:49:56,799
Speaker 9: a ton of open looks against them.

1073
00:49:57,000 --> 00:49:59,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, maybe that works. The yeah, I mean they're their

1074
00:49:59,680 --> 00:50:02,120
Speaker 4: best team is the other team missing threes because exactly

1075
00:50:02,800 --> 00:50:06,000
Speaker 4: the guy glass. But that's the high various nature of them.

1076
00:50:06,040 --> 00:50:08,160
Speaker 4: The other two teams that we didn't mention besides Loyola,

1077
00:50:08,520 --> 00:50:12,160
Speaker 4: two excellent defensive teams in Southern Illinois and Bradley. If

1078
00:50:12,200 --> 00:50:15,440
Speaker 4: you haven't seen Terry Roberts play for Bradley, he's excellent.

1079
00:50:15,520 --> 00:50:17,359
Speaker 4: Jayshawn Henry has been out. I don't know when he's

1080
00:50:17,360 --> 00:50:19,040
Speaker 4: going back, and on how important you think he is.

1081
00:50:19,719 --> 00:50:23,520
Speaker 4: SIU grinds games to an absolute halt. I mean the valley,

1082
00:50:23,520 --> 00:50:25,200
Speaker 4: you're gonna get a lot of half court games. Southern

1083
00:50:25,239 --> 00:50:28,120
Speaker 4: Illinois games are on another level. They are excellent on

1084
00:50:28,120 --> 00:50:31,440
Speaker 4: the defense down, but their offense can go through such droughts.

1085
00:50:31,560 --> 00:50:34,680
Speaker 4: If Domask is not bawling out, it can get ugly.

1086
00:50:34,719 --> 00:50:36,680
Speaker 4: I had them the other night against Bradley almost pull

1087
00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:38,879
Speaker 4: a twenty five point lead, and the way that they play,

1088
00:50:38,920 --> 00:50:41,400
Speaker 4: that's hard to do. Which one of these teams you

1089
00:50:41,400 --> 00:50:43,960
Speaker 4: think is a better shot of making a run in

1090
00:50:43,960 --> 00:50:44,800
Speaker 4: the conference tournament?

1091
00:50:45,040 --> 00:50:48,880
Speaker 9: Bradley, for sure, We've seen them, you know, compete and

1092
00:50:48,960 --> 00:50:51,480
Speaker 9: win against the top half of the league. They have

1093
00:50:51,840 --> 00:50:55,799
Speaker 9: top end athleticism and like you mentioned, Roberts is incredible

1094
00:50:55,840 --> 00:50:59,600
Speaker 9: on the ball, and obviously they're the best defensive team

1095
00:50:59,600 --> 00:51:02,080
Speaker 9: in the league. With Southern Illinois, you know, I think

1096
00:51:02,120 --> 00:51:05,360
Speaker 9: Mullins is a great game planner. They know how to

1097
00:51:05,400 --> 00:51:08,640
Speaker 9: scheme and take you out of your offense. But their

1098
00:51:08,680 --> 00:51:11,880
Speaker 9: own offense is you know, a total mess. If it's

1099
00:51:11,920 --> 00:51:15,480
Speaker 9: not the mass creating a you know, mismatch somewhere in

1100
00:51:15,560 --> 00:51:19,080
Speaker 9: the front court, it's pretty much nothing. Even you know,

1101
00:51:19,120 --> 00:51:21,880
Speaker 9: at this stage in the season, Mullins is still trying

1102
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:25,880
Speaker 9: to tinker with rotations and like moving Jones off the

1103
00:51:25,880 --> 00:51:28,239
Speaker 9: ball and putting Banks on the on the ball, and

1104
00:51:28,719 --> 00:51:32,680
Speaker 9: you know, it's just not working. And I just they

1105
00:51:32,680 --> 00:51:35,200
Speaker 9: don't have the shot making to keep up with you know,

1106
00:51:35,440 --> 00:51:38,240
Speaker 9: even Bradley, like you mentioned.

1107
00:51:38,360 --> 00:51:40,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think they they could. I think they can

1108
00:51:40,200 --> 00:51:41,560
Speaker 4: win it. They're gonna have to win every game, like

1109
00:51:41,640 --> 00:51:46,200
Speaker 4: forty five to forty three on the entire weekend. How

1110
00:51:46,200 --> 00:51:48,759
Speaker 4: important you think Henry is. I know Roberts has a

1111
00:51:48,760 --> 00:51:50,839
Speaker 4: boot on, but I think it's more precautionary. He's been

1112
00:51:50,840 --> 00:51:52,920
Speaker 4: dealing with an ankle issue. But how important is Henry

1113
00:51:52,960 --> 00:51:54,000
Speaker 4: for them? Yeah?

1114
00:51:54,120 --> 00:51:57,680
Speaker 9: You know, he's was kind of like the heart and

1115
00:51:57,719 --> 00:52:00,560
Speaker 9: soul a bit or like what they there of what

1116
00:52:00,600 --> 00:52:03,160
Speaker 9: they have in terms of athleticism on the wing and

1117
00:52:03,239 --> 00:52:06,759
Speaker 9: versatility defensively. So it is a big loss, but you

1118
00:52:06,800 --> 00:52:09,920
Speaker 9: know they've kind of adjusted to life without him, and

1119
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:13,319
Speaker 9: I at this point, I'm not expecting anything from him

1120
00:52:13,360 --> 00:52:14,959
Speaker 9: and I'm not sureing what is either.

1121
00:52:15,440 --> 00:52:17,880
Speaker 4: Yeah, I've seen him like he's doing like the light workouts,

1122
00:52:17,880 --> 00:52:20,640
Speaker 4: but it's late. It's getting late early, all right. So

1123
00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:22,880
Speaker 4: let's go to the team that's projected to be in

1124
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:27,960
Speaker 4: the tournament and number one by most analytics and metrics,

1125
00:52:28,080 --> 00:52:31,359
Speaker 4: is loyal Chicago again. Oh and by the way, they

1126
00:52:31,360 --> 00:52:33,879
Speaker 4: are projected to be a number nine seat, same as

1127
00:52:33,920 --> 00:52:36,160
Speaker 4: last year when they beat or De Tech and then

1128
00:52:36,160 --> 00:52:40,840
Speaker 4: they upset Illinois. Does this team have as high as ceiling?

1129
00:52:40,880 --> 00:52:42,919
Speaker 4: I know the Kennedy has been out for some time.

1130
00:52:42,960 --> 00:52:45,120
Speaker 4: I don't know how important you think he is, But

1131
00:52:45,200 --> 00:52:47,200
Speaker 4: is this the team that you think, Look, if the

1132
00:52:47,280 --> 00:52:49,080
Speaker 4: Valley's only going to get one bid and I could

1133
00:52:49,080 --> 00:52:51,160
Speaker 4: get too, if someone else wins other than Loyola, they

1134
00:52:51,200 --> 00:52:53,640
Speaker 4: have the highest ceiling of getting to the next weeknd

1135
00:52:53,680 --> 00:52:55,840
Speaker 4: or is it Missouri State? What are your thoughts on Loyola,

1136
00:52:56,160 --> 00:52:57,840
Speaker 4: especially compared to the team we saw last.

1137
00:52:57,760 --> 00:53:01,719
Speaker 9: Year Loyola there's nothing with Loyola. It just seems like

1138
00:53:01,800 --> 00:53:06,000
Speaker 9: they're not nearly as invincible last year. And you know,

1139
00:53:06,080 --> 00:53:10,360
Speaker 9: you look at the metrics everything like they're shot selection, spacing,

1140
00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:14,239
Speaker 9: shot making, everything is great, you know, top end of

1141
00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:17,520
Speaker 9: the valley. It's just when you watch them sometimes the offense,

1142
00:53:17,760 --> 00:53:21,160
Speaker 9: they never really get into their offense. They're too easily

1143
00:53:21,239 --> 00:53:23,359
Speaker 9: taken out of it or whatever. They just don't have

1144
00:53:23,400 --> 00:53:27,200
Speaker 9: that air of invincibility about them. And obviously it's structured

1145
00:53:27,200 --> 00:53:31,120
Speaker 9: differently without krut Wig, and so they're kind of issues

1146
00:53:31,160 --> 00:53:35,319
Speaker 9: in the front court, you know, with Knight, Hudson and uh,

1147
00:53:35,840 --> 00:53:38,439
Speaker 9: you know sometimes Schweiger, like it just seems like there's

1148
00:53:38,560 --> 00:53:42,080
Speaker 9: they're taking turns over who's going to be productive. And

1149
00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:45,880
Speaker 9: they're not all the same defensive player either, So then

1150
00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:49,080
Speaker 9: you get into these rotational issues and I think, you know,

1151
00:53:49,520 --> 00:53:53,719
Speaker 9: that exposes some of their weaknesses sometimes. And uh, you know,

1152
00:53:54,000 --> 00:53:57,919
Speaker 9: I've seen Valentine get out schemed a lot. He makes

1153
00:53:57,920 --> 00:54:01,360
Speaker 9: some great in game adjustments, mainly a second half against

1154
00:54:01,360 --> 00:54:06,080
Speaker 9: Missouri State. But you know, I think in a tournament

1155
00:54:06,120 --> 00:54:08,880
Speaker 9: setting they might get exposed a little bit in that regard.

1156
00:54:09,200 --> 00:54:12,080
Speaker 4: So if you got to buy stock in one Valley team,

1157
00:54:12,440 --> 00:54:14,319
Speaker 4: you can say you're the stock they're going to get

1158
00:54:14,320 --> 00:54:16,000
Speaker 4: in to make the deepest run.

1159
00:54:16,160 --> 00:54:17,680
Speaker 6: Who would be Missouri State?

1160
00:54:17,880 --> 00:54:20,920
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree, they definitely the most talent. If they

1161
00:54:20,920 --> 00:54:23,600
Speaker 4: put it together in any given night, they are a

1162
00:54:23,600 --> 00:54:26,000
Speaker 4: scary team, especially once they get I think once they

1163
00:54:26,040 --> 00:54:30,080
Speaker 4: get out of like the just the absolute grinders in

1164
00:54:30,120 --> 00:54:33,560
Speaker 4: the Valley, I think they might drive even more.

1165
00:54:35,120 --> 00:54:35,160
Speaker 6: No.

1166
00:54:35,520 --> 00:54:37,440
Speaker 4: One that we didn't mention from the bottom, I mean

1167
00:54:37,480 --> 00:54:42,959
Speaker 4: Illinois State, Valpo Evansville, who just can be a dumpster fire.

1168
00:54:43,160 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 4: None of them interest you for making a sleeper to

1169
00:54:45,520 --> 00:54:47,120
Speaker 4: make just eating some noise in the tournament.

1170
00:54:47,320 --> 00:54:50,240
Speaker 9: Yeah, Illinois State's kind of weird obviously with a new coach,

1171
00:54:50,280 --> 00:54:54,040
Speaker 9: Brian Jones. Uh last saw him at North Dakota. They

1172
00:54:54,040 --> 00:54:57,239
Speaker 9: play at North Dakota. They played super fast, pressured the ball,

1173
00:54:57,520 --> 00:55:00,319
Speaker 9: so you know, there's and they Illinois State has some

1174
00:55:00,360 --> 00:55:01,680
Speaker 9: shot makers too, you know.

1175
00:55:02,000 --> 00:55:04,480
Speaker 6: Uh so there's a little bit of intrigue there.

1176
00:55:05,200 --> 00:55:08,040
Speaker 9: You know, I'm not saying they even survive Thursday night,

1177
00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:11,480
Speaker 9: but uh, it's just weird, you know. And they have

1178
00:55:11,640 --> 00:55:15,080
Speaker 9: some ability to play the way that Jones wants to

1179
00:55:15,080 --> 00:55:19,320
Speaker 9: play and maybe you know, catch a team off guard

1180
00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:20,480
Speaker 9: a little bit with that style.

1181
00:55:21,280 --> 00:55:23,400
Speaker 4: Yeah. I mean, Reeves is capable of going for thirty

1182
00:55:23,520 --> 00:55:27,320
Speaker 4: on any given night. I think if they had sy Chapman,

1183
00:55:27,440 --> 00:55:28,920
Speaker 4: I think they would be even.

1184
00:55:28,680 --> 00:55:30,759
Speaker 6: More side Chapman Moss is huge. Yep.

1185
00:55:31,360 --> 00:55:33,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, all right, good stuff. I'll give you. Let me

1186
00:55:33,880 --> 00:55:35,319
Speaker 4: give me a prediction right now. You're gonna go with

1187
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:38,759
Speaker 4: Missouri State to win it. Yep, that's I think so too.

1188
00:55:38,760 --> 00:55:40,680
Speaker 4: In Louela, Chicago, you know they're in and you're right,

1189
00:55:40,680 --> 00:55:42,000
Speaker 4: they have. I mean there's six and three over the

1190
00:55:42,080 --> 00:55:45,839
Speaker 4: past nine. They two overtime wins you know before then

1191
00:55:45,880 --> 00:55:48,560
Speaker 4: in conference, So it just hasn't been overwhelming, and the

1192
00:55:48,640 --> 00:55:51,400
Speaker 4: sense of urgency might not be there because they're you know,

1193
00:55:51,480 --> 00:55:54,719
Speaker 4: most likely going to be in the tournament regardless. Jordan,

1194
00:55:54,800 --> 00:55:58,080
Speaker 4: always appreciate your insight, appreciate you taking time out of

1195
00:55:58,080 --> 00:55:59,880
Speaker 4: your visitoray to join us before I let you go.

1196
00:56:00,040 --> 00:56:02,319
Speaker 4: So I asked you this last year when you're on

1197
00:56:02,360 --> 00:56:05,200
Speaker 4: the podcast, if you had to take four teams right now,

1198
00:56:05,440 --> 00:56:08,160
Speaker 4: you get a million dollars of one of them wins

1199
00:56:08,160 --> 00:56:09,759
Speaker 4: it all. Who you take it?

1200
00:56:09,920 --> 00:56:14,400
Speaker 9: Gonzaga tier one, They're I think clearly the team to be.

1201
00:56:15,520 --> 00:56:19,479
Speaker 9: I'll take Villanova, I will take It's a little dicey here.

1202
00:56:20,000 --> 00:56:24,800
Speaker 9: I'll take a healthy Kentucky and Man, I love Houston,

1203
00:56:24,880 --> 00:56:27,759
Speaker 9: but I think they're running on fumes already and that

1204
00:56:27,800 --> 00:56:33,319
Speaker 9: doesn't pretend great things for March. Yeah, I'll do those three,

1205
00:56:33,400 --> 00:56:35,520
Speaker 9: and uh, let's throw Zona in there.

1206
00:56:35,520 --> 00:56:38,480
Speaker 4: I guess question for you with this Gonzaga team because

1207
00:56:38,560 --> 00:56:40,439
Speaker 4: you know, we saw them play earlier this year and they're

1208
00:56:40,400 --> 00:56:42,239
Speaker 4: gett they're getting better, you know, even though they don't

1209
00:56:42,280 --> 00:56:44,920
Speaker 4: they're not playing better competition, but if you just look

1210
00:56:44,960 --> 00:56:48,479
Speaker 4: at margins and against expectations, but they're you know, home

1211
00:56:48,520 --> 00:56:51,160
Speaker 4: goods coming on. In order to stop them, do you think,

1212
00:56:51,239 --> 00:56:53,239
Speaker 4: because I was looking into their profile, right, you have

1213
00:56:53,280 --> 00:56:55,080
Speaker 4: to keep them out of transition somehow, right, I mean,

1214
00:56:55,120 --> 00:56:57,040
Speaker 4: they're just a juggernaut in transition. They're juggernut in the

1215
00:56:57,040 --> 00:56:59,400
Speaker 4: AFP wart too, but is just unstoppable transition. So you

1216
00:56:59,400 --> 00:57:00,920
Speaker 4: have to like kind of slow them down and then

1217
00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:05,120
Speaker 4: maybe play zone against them or pack it in. Like,

1218
00:57:05,120 --> 00:57:07,800
Speaker 4: what is the defense that you would go with against Gonzaga?

1219
00:57:07,960 --> 00:57:11,160
Speaker 4: Their zone numbers aren't great, but I just don't know

1220
00:57:11,160 --> 00:57:12,680
Speaker 4: how you would the best way to defend this. I'm

1221
00:57:12,680 --> 00:57:15,239
Speaker 4: trying to figure out, like who could potentially give them

1222
00:57:15,239 --> 00:57:17,240
Speaker 4: a scare in like the Sweet sixteen or e lead eight.

1223
00:57:17,280 --> 00:57:18,480
Speaker 4: What type of team, right?

1224
00:57:18,680 --> 00:57:21,760
Speaker 9: Yeah, well, you know they, like you're saying, they just

1225
00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:26,560
Speaker 9: haven't had to face very many set defenses because they

1226
00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:30,919
Speaker 9: just blow by everybody. You know, I didn't really gain

1227
00:57:31,000 --> 00:57:34,440
Speaker 9: that much from the Alabama loss or the Duke loss.

1228
00:57:35,280 --> 00:57:37,120
Speaker 9: You know, they could have won either of those games,

1229
00:57:37,320 --> 00:57:39,600
Speaker 9: but I think it takes a team that can match

1230
00:57:39,680 --> 00:57:43,200
Speaker 9: their shot making, which or you know, which is Duke

1231
00:57:43,360 --> 00:57:47,000
Speaker 9: Alabama if they ever hit a jump shot again.

1232
00:57:47,520 --> 00:57:49,880
Speaker 6: But yeah, you know, I.

1233
00:57:49,640 --> 00:57:51,120
Speaker 4: Hear that you're not going to slow them down. You

1234
00:57:51,160 --> 00:57:51,920
Speaker 4: just got to outscore.

1235
00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:53,840
Speaker 6: Yeah, that seems to be the case.

1236
00:57:53,880 --> 00:57:58,240
Speaker 9: But you know they against Baylor obviously they got stuck

1237
00:57:58,240 --> 00:58:01,560
Speaker 9: defending you know, uh pick and roll and just you know,

1238
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:04,480
Speaker 9: Timmy got exposed in a major way, which isn't so

1239
00:58:04,600 --> 00:58:05,800
Speaker 9: much of an issue this year.

1240
00:58:07,280 --> 00:58:08,800
Speaker 6: So yeah, I don't know.

1241
00:58:09,000 --> 00:58:11,560
Speaker 9: I don't know who can slow them down exactly and

1242
00:58:11,600 --> 00:58:15,040
Speaker 9: make them because you know, their shot making has improved

1243
00:58:15,120 --> 00:58:18,680
Speaker 9: this year as well, so I would be fearful of

1244
00:58:18,800 --> 00:58:22,840
Speaker 9: zoning them or even trying to. Yeah, I guess that's

1245
00:58:22,840 --> 00:58:25,800
Speaker 9: why they're my Tier one team right now, as well

1246
00:58:25,800 --> 00:58:26,800
Speaker 9: as everybody else.

1247
00:58:26,840 --> 00:58:27,400
Speaker 6: I guess.

1248
00:58:27,680 --> 00:58:31,040
Speaker 4: Well, as I'm a Kentucky fan with a Kentucky future,

1249
00:58:31,040 --> 00:58:34,840
Speaker 4: I would love to see a fully healthy Kentucky go

1250
00:58:35,000 --> 00:58:37,520
Speaker 4: up against Gonzaga. I think that would be hell of

1251
00:58:37,560 --> 00:58:40,480
Speaker 4: a game. They're going to be there in the end.

1252
00:58:41,440 --> 00:58:44,640
Speaker 4: Well that's all I needed for me today. I appreciate

1253
00:58:44,680 --> 00:58:47,640
Speaker 4: your time, and if you don't already, make sure you

1254
00:58:47,680 --> 00:58:52,959
Speaker 4: follow at Jordan at your Cubs Dan on Twitter. We're

1255
00:58:52,960 --> 00:58:54,880
Speaker 4: going down the stretch. There's no one else you want

1256
00:58:54,880 --> 00:58:58,080
Speaker 4: to follow other than Jordan, who's watching as many games

1257
00:58:58,080 --> 00:59:00,840
Speaker 4: as humanly possible each and every night. Good luck the

1258
00:59:00,840 --> 00:59:02,680
Speaker 4: rest of the way, brother, appreciate your time and now

1259
00:59:02,720 --> 00:59:03,360
Speaker 4: we'll talk soon.

1260
00:59:03,800 --> 00:59:05,439
Speaker 6: Absolutely, thanks for having me, all.

1261
00:59:05,400 --> 00:59:07,680
Speaker 4: Right, that'll do it for us. Thanks to mister Colin

1262
00:59:07,720 --> 00:59:10,440
Speaker 4: Wilson as always for checking in, the guys from the

1263
00:59:10,480 --> 00:59:13,400
Speaker 4: Three Man Weave for the Friday Night six pack, Jordan

1264
00:59:13,520 --> 00:59:15,880
Speaker 4: for joining us to talk some Valley, and of course

1265
00:59:16,200 --> 00:59:19,040
Speaker 4: the co host Bj Cunningham were going through Saturday's card.

1266
00:59:19,080 --> 00:59:21,320
Speaker 4: Make sure you download the word winning Action Ofworkap. Check

1267
00:59:21,360 --> 00:59:23,480
Speaker 4: out actionork dot com and the action of our gap

1268
00:59:23,480 --> 00:59:25,760
Speaker 4: for tons of college basketball content all weekend and as

1269
00:59:25,800 --> 00:59:29,120
Speaker 4: we enter the stretch run. Thanks for listening. Appreciate the support.

1270
00:59:29,200 --> 00:59:32,280
Speaker 4: Leave a review, subscribe, unsubscribed, subscribe, just do it, leave

1271
00:59:32,320 --> 00:59:34,040
Speaker 4: a review, five star view that really help us. We'll

1272
00:59:34,040 --> 00:59:37,240
Speaker 4: do some giveaways shortly and we will catch you same

1273
00:59:37,280 --> 00:59:41,040
Speaker 4: time next week. Also Monday, myself, Bjay and Mike cal

1274
00:59:41,120 --> 00:59:42,880
Speaker 4: Breese we'll be back for an episode, and the guys

1275
00:59:42,920 --> 00:59:45,600
Speaker 4: in Three Man Week as always, we'll do their Wednesday

1276
00:59:45,600 --> 00:59:49,360
Speaker 4: episode and you can find us Saturday morning Live for

1277
00:59:49,440 --> 00:59:51,480
Speaker 4: Big Bets on Campus Live ten thirty am. You still

1278
00:59:51,520 --> 00:59:55,280
Speaker 4: on Twitter, we will cover the college basketball Saturday Slate,

1279
00:59:55,400 --> 00:59:57,120
Speaker 4: myself and the guys who MEMB meets to make sure

1280
00:59:57,120 --> 01:00:01,840
Speaker 4: you check that out. Good luck this weekend. Cheers,