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Welcome 25 00:01:47,800 --> 00:01:50,880 Speaker 1: to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 26 00:01:50,960 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. 27 00:01:57,840 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: I am joined as I am for every episode by 28 00:02:02,680 --> 00:02:06,800 Speaker 1: my bff, my companion, Mike and Padre, my brother living 29 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: on the West Coast right now, living his best life. 30 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: He's got a fresh haircut, he's looking clean like he 31 00:02:14,120 --> 00:02:17,519 Speaker 1: just dug six, dug out from six months of dirt 32 00:02:19,600 --> 00:02:27,560 Speaker 1: professional better Simon Hunter, Hello Swiman. Yeah, I am on 33 00:02:27,680 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 1: hotel WiFi, so people have to bear with me if 34 00:02:29,600 --> 00:02:36,120 Speaker 1: I'm a little choppy. Shockabra, dude, shocka Bra. It's my 35 00:02:36,160 --> 00:02:39,400 Speaker 1: West Coast buddy. Say you know they hang ten they Shockabra. 36 00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 1: Know what I'm saying. Oh, I know about her brother. 37 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: It's a good time, Like Cali. Everyone. There's people in 38 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 1: California that are still dressing like Sublime is still a 39 00:02:48,680 --> 00:02:51,360 Speaker 1: band that still plays locally. It's great. Dudes are just 40 00:02:51,440 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: locked in. They got the little soul patch. I mean, 41 00:02:54,200 --> 00:02:56,799 Speaker 1: they got the high tube socks. I just love Cali, 42 00:02:56,880 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 1: the vibe. There's just there's just some characters out here 43 00:03:00,000 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 1: and everyone's got a story. But yeah, it's a It 44 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: was a good trip across the country, but a lot 45 00:03:05,280 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 1: of snow. Brother Like, I drove through two blizzards. It 46 00:03:07,960 --> 00:03:11,320 Speaker 1: was pretty insane down here in the Southwest, but made 47 00:03:11,320 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 1: it to San Diego. The only thing that matters is 48 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:17,799 Speaker 1: when you were driving through the blizzards, did you keep 49 00:03:17,880 --> 00:03:22,959 Speaker 1: the top of the BMW convertible down? I did. I did. 50 00:03:23,560 --> 00:03:25,320 Speaker 1: Just you have to drive so fast the snow is 51 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,880 Speaker 1: gonna land inside. So that's my secret. How I drive 52 00:03:28,919 --> 00:03:30,960 Speaker 1: with the top down. I will tell you. My wife 53 00:03:30,960 --> 00:03:32,519 Speaker 1: and I and I want to get to our guest 54 00:03:32,560 --> 00:03:35,600 Speaker 1: and the most important part of the Today's show. My 55 00:03:35,640 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 1: wife and I were in Philadelphia this past weekend, the 56 00:03:37,840 --> 00:03:41,240 Speaker 1: fighting city of Philadelphia, visiting our kid at Trexel, and 57 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 1: we met some friends down there. Saturday afternoon. It was 58 00:03:44,400 --> 00:03:48,400 Speaker 1: about twenty degrees outside, really cold, and we were going 59 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:51,160 Speaker 1: to the Philadelphia Museum of Art. We were walking up 60 00:03:51,160 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 1: to the steps and in the street, going around the 61 00:03:53,600 --> 00:04:00,000 Speaker 1: museum there was a dude in a Volkswagen convertible top 62 00:04:00,080 --> 00:04:05,080 Speaker 1: all the way down Springsteen at full blast. You would 63 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:07,040 Speaker 1: have thought it was eighty five and he was on 64 00:04:07,080 --> 00:04:11,120 Speaker 1: the Jersey shore. Yeah no, that's just like I was joking. 65 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:12,680 Speaker 1: By the way, people, I didn't have my top down 66 00:04:12,760 --> 00:04:16,480 Speaker 1: during a blizzard. But yeah, I think it's what one 67 00:04:16,520 --> 00:04:18,840 Speaker 1: of those Finally, one of those storms came through on 68 00:04:18,880 --> 00:04:20,520 Speaker 1: snow to the northeast. So I think you guys got 69 00:04:20,520 --> 00:04:23,320 Speaker 1: the same snow I drove through. Chat right, dude, I 70 00:04:23,400 --> 00:04:25,560 Speaker 1: got a snow day going on right now. There you go, 71 00:04:26,279 --> 00:04:29,000 Speaker 1: snow day. Right now. It's about six inches of snow 72 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 1: outside of my window. Listen, we have a very important 73 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:35,000 Speaker 1: show because one of the most important things we do 74 00:04:35,120 --> 00:04:38,200 Speaker 1: here in the off season is cover the Draft. Betting 75 00:04:38,200 --> 00:04:40,920 Speaker 1: on the Draft has gotten bigger and bigger every year. 76 00:04:41,320 --> 00:04:46,640 Speaker 1: Anyone who listens to this show cannot forget a few 77 00:04:46,720 --> 00:04:51,880 Speaker 1: years ago the Trey Lance mac Jones drama. Everyone was 78 00:04:51,920 --> 00:04:54,800 Speaker 1: saying Mac Jones. Adam Schefter is out there saying mac 79 00:04:54,920 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 1: Jones to the Niners. Simon Hunter the entire time was like, 80 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,800 Speaker 1: I got sources, it's not going to be mac Jones. 81 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:07,200 Speaker 1: You ended up betting significant like six figures on Trey 82 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:11,120 Speaker 1: Lance to go to mac Jones, not go top three, 83 00:05:11,160 --> 00:05:16,000 Speaker 1: I believe was the bet. And in the final forty 84 00:05:16,000 --> 00:05:18,800 Speaker 1: eight hours the market started to flip and it all 85 00:05:18,880 --> 00:05:23,360 Speaker 1: started going your way and ended up mac Jones when 86 00:05:23,440 --> 00:05:27,039 Speaker 1: fifteen you want a crapload of money. I got a 87 00:05:27,080 --> 00:05:34,159 Speaker 1: call from one particular state's Division of Enforcement trying to 88 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:37,320 Speaker 1: grill me on your sources, and I'm like, dudes, listen 89 00:05:37,320 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 1: to me. We're reporting just like anybody else. Schefter had 90 00:05:40,560 --> 00:05:43,440 Speaker 1: his sources. They were wrong. We had our sources, they 91 00:05:43,440 --> 00:05:46,280 Speaker 1: were right. Don't come after me. That's the game or 92 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:50,479 Speaker 1: playing now. Anyways. We love betting on the Draft and 93 00:05:50,480 --> 00:05:54,839 Speaker 1: today's guests. Former Action Network colleague, one of my favorite 94 00:05:54,960 --> 00:05:58,839 Speaker 1: nemesis in the world now the director of content for 95 00:05:59,000 --> 00:06:04,120 Speaker 1: Fantasy Pros for Betting Pros, he does amazing work. We 96 00:06:04,240 --> 00:06:08,920 Speaker 1: tylerate him. Matthew Freedman, my man, Chad, thanks for that introduction. 97 00:06:08,960 --> 00:06:11,960 Speaker 1: Talk about no having no outline. I can tell there's 98 00:06:11,960 --> 00:06:14,440 Speaker 1: no outline for the show. I mean five minutes of 99 00:06:14,480 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 1: banter up at the top. Simon, Don't tell Sean Kerner. 100 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: I think that's his last night. Don't tell him. That 101 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:23,680 Speaker 1: Sublie still isn't a band, Chad. I don't remember what 102 00:06:23,760 --> 00:06:25,960 Speaker 1: phrases you were throwing around at the top of the show, 103 00:06:26,080 --> 00:06:28,600 Speaker 1: but I don't know if you could sound any older. 104 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: By the way, happy birthday and then Simon Hotel Internet, 105 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:35,560 Speaker 1: I'm doing with middle of nowhere Texas Internet, so I 106 00:06:35,720 --> 00:06:38,560 Speaker 1: think I might have you beat for that. I'm so 107 00:06:38,600 --> 00:06:40,760 Speaker 1: old now, Freedman, thank you for the birthday wishes. I 108 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:44,359 Speaker 1: can't even remember what I said, but do you know 109 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,560 Speaker 1: what I do remember? I remember how much I love 110 00:06:47,680 --> 00:06:50,839 Speaker 1: the game Time App. How's that for a segue? You 111 00:06:50,839 --> 00:06:52,760 Speaker 1: guys have heard us talk about the game Time app 112 00:06:52,960 --> 00:06:55,320 Speaker 1: in the past couple of weeks. It's the fastest growing 113 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,400 Speaker 1: ticketing app in the US. I actually use game Time 114 00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:00,880 Speaker 1: a lot. If you're looking to get out to any 115 00:07:01,160 --> 00:07:05,760 Speaker 1: NBA or NHL games this week, or even a concert, 116 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:11,640 Speaker 1: game Time has amazing last minute deals for all of these. 117 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:16,400 Speaker 1: I'm actually going to open game Time right now in 118 00:07:16,440 --> 00:07:20,920 Speaker 1: my area from my house in Connecticut. Here's what I 119 00:07:20,960 --> 00:07:28,000 Speaker 1: can go see right now. Hello, Yukon men's basketball. I 120 00:07:28,040 --> 00:07:33,760 Speaker 1: can see it tomorrow night for only twenty four dollars. 121 00:07:33,960 --> 00:07:36,200 Speaker 1: What do we think of that? That's going to be 122 00:07:36,240 --> 00:07:39,080 Speaker 1: an amazing experience. It's that easy no matter where you live. 123 00:07:39,840 --> 00:07:42,280 Speaker 1: Download the Game Time app, get out and have some 124 00:07:42,320 --> 00:07:44,679 Speaker 1: fun this week. You deserve it, and you can redeem 125 00:07:44,720 --> 00:07:48,360 Speaker 1: code favorites for twenty dollars off your first purchase terms 126 00:07:48,400 --> 00:07:52,200 Speaker 1: apply again. Download the app and enter code favorites for 127 00:07:52,280 --> 00:07:56,080 Speaker 1: twenty dollars off. Download Game Time Today, last minute tickets, 128 00:07:56,080 --> 00:08:00,640 Speaker 1: lowest price guaranteed. I truly do love it. Freemen, you're back. 129 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:04,320 Speaker 1: We're betting. You've already made some very interesting top of 130 00:08:04,360 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 1: the board bets. Give it to me right now. The 131 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:11,320 Speaker 1: combine is going on this week. Tell me what you've 132 00:08:11,360 --> 00:08:15,720 Speaker 1: already bet before we even start getting combined bus. Yeah, 133 00:08:15,760 --> 00:08:18,800 Speaker 1: so you can bet on the combine. That's a separate 134 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:22,240 Speaker 1: thing talking about just the draft. You know, I know 135 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:25,400 Speaker 1: that Simon is already on. Anthony Richardson, I believe to 136 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:28,560 Speaker 1: go number one overall. Got that at a great number 137 00:08:28,560 --> 00:08:30,080 Speaker 1: of timing. Did you get that at one hundred to one? 138 00:08:30,600 --> 00:08:32,839 Speaker 1: Was that where you bet it? Yeah? I got a 139 00:08:32,840 --> 00:08:35,200 Speaker 1: bunch of different numbers. But like we always talked about 140 00:08:35,240 --> 00:08:37,560 Speaker 1: the books limits, So the biggest bat to get down 141 00:08:37,559 --> 00:08:40,040 Speaker 1: it was two fifty at a book I can't name 142 00:08:40,080 --> 00:08:43,319 Speaker 1: because we're not sponsored by them, but yeah, I think 143 00:08:43,360 --> 00:08:44,679 Speaker 1: you're about the touch on it. It's like one of 144 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:46,440 Speaker 1: these things where you're just betting these now just to 145 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:49,040 Speaker 1: get the value for later on, right. I feel like 146 00:08:49,040 --> 00:08:51,920 Speaker 1: that's you have to dive into. Yeah, and so even 147 00:08:52,040 --> 00:08:54,520 Speaker 1: at ten to one at FanDuel, I think that that's 148 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,000 Speaker 1: a book that we can mention here. Ten to one 149 00:08:57,000 --> 00:08:59,160 Speaker 1: at FanDuel, that is still the best number that is 150 00:08:59,200 --> 00:09:01,920 Speaker 1: in the market for Anthony Richardson. And I think that 151 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 1: there's still some value there. You know, he's five to one, 152 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:07,360 Speaker 1: seven to one across the market, so there's some line 153 00:09:07,360 --> 00:09:10,280 Speaker 1: shopping value there. And I gotta say each of these 154 00:09:10,320 --> 00:09:13,000 Speaker 1: four quarterbacks at the top of the board has a 155 00:09:13,080 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 1: significant flaw. You look at Bryce Young and he would 156 00:09:15,520 --> 00:09:18,440 Speaker 1: be hands down the smallest quarterback that we've ever seen 157 00:09:18,480 --> 00:09:21,920 Speaker 1: taken this high in the NFL draft. CJ. Strout, he's 158 00:09:21,920 --> 00:09:24,880 Speaker 1: getting some of the justin Fields, Ohio state based treatments. 159 00:09:25,559 --> 00:09:29,080 Speaker 1: Will levis incredibly raw. And then you look at Anthony Richardson, 160 00:09:29,679 --> 00:09:32,840 Speaker 1: really raw, but he's got all of the talent, Like 161 00:09:32,880 --> 00:09:34,719 Speaker 1: he's got the arm strength, he's got the size, he's 162 00:09:34,760 --> 00:09:37,320 Speaker 1: got that mobility. Out of these quarterbacks, he's the one 163 00:09:37,360 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 1: who looks the most like Josh Allen and he's going 164 00:09:40,320 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: to be participating fully at the combine, and so he's 165 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:46,040 Speaker 1: going to have kind of two bites of the apple. Right. 166 00:09:46,080 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 1: Bryce Young isn't going to be participating at the combine. 167 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,839 Speaker 1: If Anthony Richardson goes out there and looks awesome, then 168 00:09:51,960 --> 00:09:54,160 Speaker 1: he can rest with his pro day, not do anything, 169 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:55,840 Speaker 1: and he can say, hey, I did it with receivers 170 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,480 Speaker 1: I don't even know. Or if he doesn't look that great, 171 00:09:58,520 --> 00:10:00,720 Speaker 1: it's fine, he can say I didn't know these receivers. 172 00:10:01,040 --> 00:10:03,800 Speaker 1: What counts is my pro day. So Anthony Richardson at 173 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:06,800 Speaker 1: ten to one, he's the furthest down to board. I 174 00:10:06,840 --> 00:10:09,520 Speaker 1: think it's I mean, he's not likely to be the 175 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,840 Speaker 1: number one pick, but I think there's still some value 176 00:10:11,840 --> 00:10:13,480 Speaker 1: there and it is much more of a toss up 177 00:10:13,520 --> 00:10:16,680 Speaker 1: between these four guys than I think the mock draft 178 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 1: mix would probably consider it to be accurate. This is 179 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:25,840 Speaker 1: what's so interesting to me about the draft versus betting 180 00:10:25,840 --> 00:10:28,840 Speaker 1: on the draft. And we had a similar conversation a 181 00:10:28,880 --> 00:10:33,840 Speaker 1: couple of years ago around Justin Fields and Trevor Lawrence 182 00:10:34,000 --> 00:10:39,320 Speaker 1: and Zach Wilson. It makes no sense to me that 183 00:10:39,400 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: Anthony Richardson is in this conversation. It just doesn't like 184 00:10:45,840 --> 00:10:50,960 Speaker 1: the experts become enamored with potential, they become enamored with 185 00:10:51,080 --> 00:10:55,720 Speaker 1: raw talent. The NFL is not where you go to 186 00:10:55,800 --> 00:11:01,120 Speaker 1: learn to play quarterback. Okay, it's just too freaking hard. 187 00:11:01,360 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 1: And we can talk about Josh Allen. Josh Allen is 188 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:08,719 Speaker 1: an outlier, Okay, number one, number two. Josh Allen got 189 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:12,440 Speaker 1: good when he finally got a great receiver in Stefan Diggs. 190 00:11:12,720 --> 00:11:15,480 Speaker 1: If the Bills are not smart enough to trade for 191 00:11:15,600 --> 00:11:20,000 Speaker 1: Stefan Diggs, Josh Allen is not a guy we're talking 192 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:25,160 Speaker 1: about as a paradigm for whatever we think Anthony Richardson 193 00:11:25,679 --> 00:11:27,440 Speaker 1: can be, he will be the guy everyone talks about 194 00:11:27,440 --> 00:11:30,760 Speaker 1: every single year. Oh, he's a Josh Allen type. If 195 00:11:30,760 --> 00:11:34,360 Speaker 1: you're not taking CJ. Stroud in this draft as the 196 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 1: number one pick, then you're not paying attention to history. 197 00:11:39,000 --> 00:11:42,400 Speaker 1: You're not paying attention to precedent. It's the same reason 198 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:44,920 Speaker 1: why we were saying you take Trevor Lawrence, you take 199 00:11:44,960 --> 00:11:48,640 Speaker 1: justin fields. He performed on the field at an elite 200 00:11:48,720 --> 00:11:51,840 Speaker 1: level in big spots we have a lot of film. 201 00:11:52,240 --> 00:11:53,920 Speaker 1: We know what his flaws are, we know what his 202 00:11:53,960 --> 00:11:56,319 Speaker 1: strengths are. We put him in the right system with 203 00:11:56,360 --> 00:11:59,880 Speaker 1: the right talent, the guy succeeds. End of the conversation. 204 00:12:01,080 --> 00:12:03,280 Speaker 1: So this is why I gave out Anthony Richardson though, 205 00:12:03,320 --> 00:12:06,040 Speaker 1: is because all these guys have flaws. Like I could 206 00:12:06,040 --> 00:12:08,400 Speaker 1: literally pick apart each one of these guys. I mean 207 00:12:09,400 --> 00:12:11,959 Speaker 1: to me, I just wouldn't already talked about Braystring. I 208 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:13,840 Speaker 1: just wouldn't touch him because of his body type. Like 209 00:12:14,040 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 1: you just saw Twa basically almost die. Like this kid 210 00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: couldn't last the season, basically the same body type you 211 00:12:20,679 --> 00:12:23,640 Speaker 1: see smaller guys where yes I get the Russell Wilson 212 00:12:23,760 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 1: Drew Brees comparisons, But if you think Josh owns a unicorn, 213 00:12:27,440 --> 00:12:29,640 Speaker 1: so are those guys. So that's why it's like Bryce Young, 214 00:12:30,559 --> 00:12:32,040 Speaker 1: I don't really believe in it, Like I love the 215 00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,280 Speaker 1: kids talent, but I'm looking for all these teams, Like 216 00:12:35,280 --> 00:12:37,240 Speaker 1: this is my pitch. The team I'm consulting for is 217 00:12:37,880 --> 00:12:40,760 Speaker 1: you're looking for the unicorn. You're not looking for a 218 00:12:40,880 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins. Like Kirk Cousins gets you nothing. You have 219 00:12:44,280 --> 00:12:46,600 Speaker 1: to pay the guy, he's not winning any games, and 220 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:48,240 Speaker 1: you guys are gonna go out there and be unicorns 221 00:12:48,240 --> 00:12:50,559 Speaker 1: like an win you games. So the Anthony Richardson thing 222 00:12:50,640 --> 00:12:53,960 Speaker 1: is just the bodies there, the arms there, if you 223 00:12:53,960 --> 00:12:56,400 Speaker 1: can get his mind right and coach him up. I mean, 224 00:12:56,400 --> 00:12:59,160 Speaker 1: I think the kids twenty like that. To me, that's 225 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,520 Speaker 1: why you take him at one where it's like, I 226 00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:03,480 Speaker 1: get the CJ shrouds thing. What you're saying, like that 227 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:06,640 Speaker 1: Georgia game was incredible. Chat his other games, brother, they're 228 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 1: not that great. Like you put on some of his 229 00:13:08,559 --> 00:13:11,440 Speaker 1: tape against the Big ten competition. He should been lighting 230 00:13:11,440 --> 00:13:13,280 Speaker 1: those kids up, and he wasn't doing exactly what he 231 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:15,959 Speaker 1: should have been doing. Like Justin Fields that year he 232 00:13:16,000 --> 00:13:18,760 Speaker 1: came out his tape was way better than CJ. So 233 00:13:19,520 --> 00:13:21,240 Speaker 1: that's again, that's another thing we talked about at the 234 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 1: time where I don't want to say that race played 235 00:13:23,600 --> 00:13:25,720 Speaker 1: a factor in the Justin Fields thing, but how the 236 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:28,199 Speaker 1: hell did Zach Wilson go to and Justin and Justin 237 00:13:28,200 --> 00:13:30,559 Speaker 1: Fields with a fourth quarterback take? And it will never 238 00:13:30,640 --> 00:13:32,920 Speaker 1: make sense to me, But it's again, I think these 239 00:13:32,960 --> 00:13:35,520 Speaker 1: teams build that stuff into it. So the will the 240 00:13:35,559 --> 00:13:40,079 Speaker 1: will Leavis thing is Levis thing is interesting where the 241 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 1: kid couldn't last the season, his body broke down in 242 00:13:42,280 --> 00:13:45,320 Speaker 1: college football. Now we got mel Kiper and other people 243 00:13:45,320 --> 00:13:47,040 Speaker 1: I got pitching him to be their first quarterback. Take 244 00:13:47,080 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 1: and it's just like I don't really trust that, Like 245 00:13:50,040 --> 00:13:53,040 Speaker 1: a kid couldn't last in college football. The number one 246 00:13:53,080 --> 00:13:55,760 Speaker 1: thing an NFL is availability. Like Eli Manning. We can 247 00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:57,800 Speaker 1: talk all this ship we wonted hout good. Eli Manning was. 248 00:13:58,120 --> 00:14:01,240 Speaker 1: He was available. That's what made him so important. Brett Fahr, 249 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 1: we can talk about all his interceptions. The man was available. 250 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:06,959 Speaker 1: So there's certain guys where if they can't last in 251 00:14:07,000 --> 00:14:09,240 Speaker 1: college I just wouldn't touch him. And that's my biggest 252 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:11,480 Speaker 1: issue with a couple of these guys. Where Bryce Young. 253 00:14:12,200 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: I love his tape the kids incredibly, he's arguably the 254 00:14:14,760 --> 00:14:17,320 Speaker 1: best player in this draft. I just couldn't do it. 255 00:14:17,360 --> 00:14:19,680 Speaker 1: The kid's body's not built for this league and he 256 00:14:19,720 --> 00:14:21,640 Speaker 1: can take all the weight gainer he wants and goes 257 00:14:21,680 --> 00:14:24,200 Speaker 1: to this combine and ways it at two ten. I 258 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,760 Speaker 1: feel like Freeman nail on the head. If Anthony Richardson 259 00:14:26,800 --> 00:14:29,840 Speaker 1: goes to this combine and lights it up and he's 260 00:14:29,840 --> 00:14:32,480 Speaker 1: got the speed in the forty, he's got the arm 261 00:14:32,520 --> 00:14:35,040 Speaker 1: and just again, they're just gonna wearing an underwear chad. 262 00:14:35,040 --> 00:14:37,400 Speaker 1: You've seen it. They're no pads, no one's touched him. 263 00:14:37,480 --> 00:14:40,240 Speaker 1: If Anthony's throwing the ball downfield off one foot like 264 00:14:40,320 --> 00:14:42,920 Speaker 1: Zach Wilson did, and by guys just fall in love 265 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:44,480 Speaker 1: with him, I could see him being the number one pick. 266 00:14:44,560 --> 00:14:46,600 Speaker 1: So if you didn't get it at forty to one, 267 00:14:47,080 --> 00:14:49,200 Speaker 1: I'm with Matt. I'd still grab Anthony chard ten to one. 268 00:14:49,240 --> 00:14:51,400 Speaker 1: But any one of these quarterbacks could be the first 269 00:14:51,400 --> 00:14:54,640 Speaker 1: pick because all these guys have such falls. One more 270 00:14:54,680 --> 00:14:56,880 Speaker 1: thought here, or a couple more thoughts are on the 271 00:14:56,960 --> 00:15:02,440 Speaker 1: quarterback conversation. Quarterback is such a trade specific position where 272 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:05,120 Speaker 1: you know, even if a guy doesn't fit, even if 273 00:15:05,160 --> 00:15:08,520 Speaker 1: he's not perfect, if he fits within a particular offense, 274 00:15:08,560 --> 00:15:12,040 Speaker 1: a scheme, like specific traits. Maybe he's a good runner 275 00:15:12,040 --> 00:15:14,040 Speaker 1: and a team wants to focus more on the run, 276 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 1: they might lean more towards that guy than towards another 277 00:15:17,160 --> 00:15:20,840 Speaker 1: quarterback who might be a better overall prospect, but who 278 00:15:21,080 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 1: in terms of how this evaluator looks at him, doesn't 279 00:15:25,200 --> 00:15:27,760 Speaker 1: fit the system. And so you know, I think that's 280 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 1: another reason why you could see almost any of these 281 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:32,960 Speaker 1: guys go number one or be the first quarterback selected, 282 00:15:32,960 --> 00:15:35,240 Speaker 1: because a team is going to be selecting these guys 283 00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:38,760 Speaker 1: more for their offense or for a particular trait than 284 00:15:38,880 --> 00:15:42,680 Speaker 1: like the overall grade that they might place on a guy. 285 00:15:42,920 --> 00:15:45,200 Speaker 1: One thing that I think Anthony Richardson has is that 286 00:15:45,240 --> 00:15:47,360 Speaker 1: he does have the running capability. And we saw with 287 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:49,120 Speaker 1: Josh Allen early in his career. We saw it with 288 00:15:49,200 --> 00:15:52,000 Speaker 1: Jalen Hurts early in his career. If a guy has 289 00:15:52,080 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: that capability, that gives him an extended runway to be 290 00:15:55,600 --> 00:15:58,800 Speaker 1: able to develop as a passer. If a guy can't run, 291 00:15:59,080 --> 00:16:01,200 Speaker 1: he has to be a really good passer right away, 292 00:16:01,240 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 1: so he doesn't have quite as long of a development period. 293 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:07,200 Speaker 1: One thing with will Leavis is that he is in 294 00:16:07,280 --> 00:16:10,720 Speaker 1: a pro style offense, so at least like evaluators can say, 295 00:16:10,760 --> 00:16:13,720 Speaker 1: all right, we've seen him theoretically do it in something 296 00:16:13,800 --> 00:16:17,120 Speaker 1: that can kind of translate to the NFL. And then 297 00:16:17,160 --> 00:16:20,240 Speaker 1: I think Simon was right. Like Young, he's got a 298 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:22,840 Speaker 1: different body type than Wilson and Kyler, Like those guys 299 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 1: are at least muscular, you know, like they're built like 300 00:16:25,360 --> 00:16:28,800 Speaker 1: second baseman. Young isn't built like that at all. He's 301 00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:31,960 Speaker 1: built like a seventh grade outfielder, you know. So I 302 00:16:32,040 --> 00:16:34,160 Speaker 1: just I don't see him even being able to put 303 00:16:34,160 --> 00:16:36,280 Speaker 1: on the weight, and even if he does, he's not 304 00:16:36,280 --> 00:16:39,560 Speaker 1: gonna be playing it that way. I love the way 305 00:16:39,560 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 1: you describe him as a second baseman like Kyler and 306 00:16:43,440 --> 00:16:47,520 Speaker 1: those guys. That's really app description and also an app 307 00:16:47,560 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 1: description of Bryce Young. It's actually get despite all his talent, 308 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 1: It's still amazing to me that people would consider someone 309 00:16:56,480 --> 00:16:59,040 Speaker 1: who's potentially that fragile at the top of the board. 310 00:16:59,160 --> 00:17:03,200 Speaker 1: Right now, Kuiper just did a new mock draft. He's 311 00:17:03,240 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 1: got the Textans trading up to number one overall and 312 00:17:06,320 --> 00:17:10,040 Speaker 1: taking Bryce Young, and he's got the Colts trading up 313 00:17:10,359 --> 00:17:18,680 Speaker 1: to number two overall and taking c. J. Strout, which 314 00:17:18,720 --> 00:17:25,320 Speaker 1: is interesting, Freedman, the whole Mitchell, we gotta get Jordan 315 00:17:25,400 --> 00:17:28,680 Speaker 1: Palmer back on the podcast before the draft, because obviously 316 00:17:28,720 --> 00:17:31,600 Speaker 1: he's done such a good job with quarterback coaching and 317 00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:34,440 Speaker 1: quarterback analysis, and this is a great year to talk 318 00:17:34,440 --> 00:17:38,639 Speaker 1: about quarterbacks and analysis and the idiocy in trying to 319 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:44,640 Speaker 1: scout and predict quarterback success. Because I'm not buying Anthony 320 00:17:44,840 --> 00:17:47,360 Speaker 1: Richardson just not buying it, not buying it at all. 321 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:50,119 Speaker 1: Your Bears fan, Chad, you've never seen a good quarterback 322 00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:53,760 Speaker 1: in your life. Well, the problem is I have seen 323 00:17:53,800 --> 00:17:57,240 Speaker 1: good quarterbacks. They just always beat the Bears. That's true, 324 00:17:57,359 --> 00:18:00,800 Speaker 1: that's true. I've had a generation of Brett five and 325 00:18:00,800 --> 00:18:04,840 Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. We got two rings combined though, and don't 326 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:11,600 Speaker 1: forget I had all those Scott Mitchell years, which was amazing. Freeman, 327 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:16,199 Speaker 1: give me some guys right now, who you think with 328 00:18:16,280 --> 00:18:21,000 Speaker 1: the combine going on, we should be, you know, putting 329 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:25,040 Speaker 1: a couple of Ducats on because they could come out 330 00:18:25,040 --> 00:18:27,800 Speaker 1: of the combine with much higher grades. And it could 331 00:18:27,800 --> 00:18:30,520 Speaker 1: be anything. It could be guys who will make it 332 00:18:30,840 --> 00:18:33,400 Speaker 1: three overall receivers taken in the first round. It could 333 00:18:33,440 --> 00:18:36,159 Speaker 1: be a defensive back who's going to fly high, you know, 334 00:18:36,640 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 1: over under, top ten, whatever. Give me some guys you're 335 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:42,680 Speaker 1: thinking about from the combine. So you mentioned defensive back there, 336 00:18:42,760 --> 00:18:44,960 Speaker 1: and the guy who stands out to me is Christian Gonzalez. 337 00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 1: And right now at fan Duel, you can get sixty 338 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:50,440 Speaker 1: to one odds for him to be the number one 339 00:18:50,480 --> 00:18:53,280 Speaker 1: defender taken. Now, I'll just say it's not likely it happened, 340 00:18:53,320 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 1: like that's implied in the sixty to one odds. It 341 00:18:55,720 --> 00:18:58,399 Speaker 1: is probably not going to happen, but there isn't a 342 00:18:58,520 --> 00:19:02,920 Speaker 1: market yet for number one cornerback selected, and so this 343 00:19:03,000 --> 00:19:04,639 Speaker 1: is a way of kind of trying to get ahead 344 00:19:04,720 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 1: of the skyrocketing that we could see in his draft 345 00:19:08,280 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: stock if he does really well at the combine. Christen Gonzalez, 346 00:19:12,840 --> 00:19:15,800 Speaker 1: he was nobody a year ago, Like no one was 347 00:19:15,840 --> 00:19:19,520 Speaker 1: thinking about him as the top cornerback in this class, 348 00:19:20,000 --> 00:19:21,840 Speaker 1: you know when the season started. But he had a 349 00:19:21,880 --> 00:19:25,000 Speaker 1: fantastic twenty twenty two campaign and you look at all 350 00:19:25,040 --> 00:19:27,720 Speaker 1: of the other things and he checks the boxes. He 351 00:19:27,840 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 1: was a four star recruit. He's going to be super young, 352 00:19:30,680 --> 00:19:32,879 Speaker 1: twenty one years old as a rookie. He had a 353 00:19:32,960 --> 00:19:36,320 Speaker 1: great breakout campaign this past year. And he's got size. 354 00:19:36,359 --> 00:19:39,440 Speaker 1: He's six one over two hundred pounds, so he can 355 00:19:39,520 --> 00:19:43,040 Speaker 1: play with those big bodied NFL wide receivers. And the 356 00:19:43,040 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 1: thing is like he could be a fantastic athlete, like 357 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 1: you see it on the tape, you see it in 358 00:19:47,920 --> 00:19:50,480 Speaker 1: what he did as a recruit when he was entering college, 359 00:19:50,720 --> 00:19:53,760 Speaker 1: and I mean people are expecting him to be around 360 00:19:53,800 --> 00:19:56,720 Speaker 1: the four three range in his forty time, which is 361 00:19:56,760 --> 00:20:00,399 Speaker 1: absolutely ridiculous for a guy of that size. If I 362 00:20:00,440 --> 00:20:02,240 Speaker 1: had to bet on that, I would take the over. 363 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:04,320 Speaker 1: I don't think he's going to be exactly that low, 364 00:20:04,359 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 1: but he can still be four three five. And if 365 00:20:06,320 --> 00:20:09,480 Speaker 1: a guy that big is running four three fives and 366 00:20:09,560 --> 00:20:12,320 Speaker 1: we're already projecting him to be, you know, maybe off 367 00:20:12,359 --> 00:20:15,639 Speaker 1: the board at number six, it's not all that outrageous 368 00:20:15,680 --> 00:20:18,000 Speaker 1: to think that if a whole bunch of quarterbacks go 369 00:20:18,160 --> 00:20:20,480 Speaker 1: up at the top of the draft, then some of 370 00:20:20,480 --> 00:20:23,600 Speaker 1: these defenders fall down the board and a team likes him. 371 00:20:24,280 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 1: Think of Jeff Acuta going number three to the Lions 372 00:20:26,960 --> 00:20:30,360 Speaker 1: a few years ago. It wouldn't be unreasonable to think 373 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:34,399 Speaker 1: that somehow Christen Gonzalez starts getting Jalen Ramsey hype, Patrick 374 00:20:34,480 --> 00:20:37,119 Speaker 1: certan type of hype and ends up being the number 375 00:20:37,119 --> 00:20:40,199 Speaker 1: one defender taken. If he has an awesome combine, and 376 00:20:40,400 --> 00:20:44,280 Speaker 1: I think he has a real chance of doing that, well, 377 00:20:44,480 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 1: that would imply then that Will Anderson or Jalen Carter 378 00:20:51,359 --> 00:20:54,920 Speaker 1: are not going to be the first player taken. Simon, 379 00:20:55,240 --> 00:21:00,320 Speaker 1: do you see any value in betting Will Anderson or 380 00:21:00,480 --> 00:21:04,919 Speaker 1: Jalen Carter number one overall, No, because I mean, we 381 00:21:04,920 --> 00:21:06,720 Speaker 1: can even I would love your review on it chat 382 00:21:06,840 --> 00:21:08,639 Speaker 1: just because I would like to get a monthly updating 383 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,600 Speaker 1: review on this number one pick with the Bears because 384 00:21:11,040 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 1: it is so crazy to me as a fan, I'd 385 00:21:13,040 --> 00:21:15,920 Speaker 1: be going crazy, like I wouldn't there Gar is enough 386 00:21:15,960 --> 00:21:17,359 Speaker 1: podcast for me to listen to. When you have the 387 00:21:17,400 --> 00:21:19,719 Speaker 1: number one pick, could you just your heads all over 388 00:21:19,760 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 1: the place where it's like, this is life changing time 389 00:21:21,880 --> 00:21:24,280 Speaker 1: right now? You either get five draft picks, you could 390 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,960 Speaker 1: stay there and just I mean again, a lot of 391 00:21:26,960 --> 00:21:29,159 Speaker 1: really smart people chat think you guys should take the 392 00:21:29,240 --> 00:21:32,720 Speaker 1: quarterback you reas the contract and move off fields. So 393 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,879 Speaker 1: it's gonna be really crazy here what the Bears actually do? 394 00:21:36,000 --> 00:21:39,320 Speaker 1: Where are you gonna support fields and move the picks 395 00:21:39,400 --> 00:21:41,399 Speaker 1: or you just canna stay put because to me, if 396 00:21:41,440 --> 00:21:43,479 Speaker 1: you don't, yeah, I'd take the D Tack whatever. If 397 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:45,159 Speaker 1: you guys trade the fourth or whoever you get the 398 00:21:45,200 --> 00:21:47,840 Speaker 1: Colts pick or you get Houston's pick, you take the 399 00:21:47,920 --> 00:21:50,639 Speaker 1: D Tack or D Lineman there. But I want to 400 00:21:50,680 --> 00:21:53,240 Speaker 1: hear from your point of view, are you still trade 401 00:21:53,280 --> 00:21:54,720 Speaker 1: the pick hold on the fields? Are you are you 402 00:21:54,800 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 1: leaning towards any of these quarterbacks. I'm leaning towards trade 403 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:01,399 Speaker 1: the pick hold on the Fields because I'm not a 404 00:22:01,400 --> 00:22:05,280 Speaker 1: fan of Bryce Young. I think he's too small. If 405 00:22:05,320 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 1: I want to get C J. Shroud, why wouldn't I 406 00:22:07,160 --> 00:22:10,480 Speaker 1: keep Justin Fields, who I've seen develop and has you know, 407 00:22:10,520 --> 00:22:15,040 Speaker 1: he's two years ahead. I'm not a buyer on Anthony Richardson. 408 00:22:15,040 --> 00:22:16,720 Speaker 1: I don't want to go develop someone. I'm not a 409 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:21,320 Speaker 1: buyer on Will Levis, to be honest, I feel like 410 00:22:23,160 --> 00:22:27,240 Speaker 1: beautiful talent, not enough production. I know it was injured 411 00:22:27,240 --> 00:22:30,639 Speaker 1: a lot this year, but we've seen quarterbacks who come 412 00:22:30,680 --> 00:22:32,879 Speaker 1: out of these pro systems and get a lot of 413 00:22:32,960 --> 00:22:35,240 Speaker 1: hype and then don't develop into what we think they 414 00:22:35,240 --> 00:22:37,880 Speaker 1: can and we fall in love with their arm mel 415 00:22:37,960 --> 00:22:41,360 Speaker 1: kiper right now, I just mentioned he's got the Bears 416 00:22:41,359 --> 00:22:44,119 Speaker 1: trading down number one to the Houston Texans and then 417 00:22:44,560 --> 00:22:49,360 Speaker 1: trading down number two to the Colts and moving down 418 00:22:49,359 --> 00:22:53,439 Speaker 1: to four, and and what's that I would? I mean, 419 00:22:53,440 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 1: that would be the dream scenario and just keep the 420 00:22:56,920 --> 00:23:01,119 Speaker 1: Actually the most interesting take I've heard so far. Credit 421 00:23:01,200 --> 00:23:09,040 Speaker 1: to our volume colleague Kylin Cowherd. Trade Justin Fields to 422 00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:16,080 Speaker 1: the Atlanta Falcons, get the eighth overall pick. Get Drake 423 00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:22,480 Speaker 1: London and Kyle Pitts. Then what's that there? There'd be 424 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:25,080 Speaker 1: no way they do that. Then trade the number one 425 00:23:25,119 --> 00:23:29,480 Speaker 1: overall pick down to three or four whatever, get Will 426 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:34,359 Speaker 1: Anderson or Jalen Carter. Then take a package of picks, 427 00:23:35,359 --> 00:23:39,600 Speaker 1: trade it to the Ravens, get Lamar Jackson. That'd be 428 00:23:39,600 --> 00:23:44,280 Speaker 1: a pretty insane No. I like the first part of that. 429 00:23:44,520 --> 00:23:48,159 Speaker 1: I like the idea. It's galaxy brain. But trading Justin Philips, 430 00:23:49,359 --> 00:23:51,879 Speaker 1: trading the one on one, and then I think that 431 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:54,440 Speaker 1: puts you in perfect position for the one oh one 432 00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:57,439 Speaker 1: next year, where it is a much better quarterback lass. 433 00:23:57,800 --> 00:24:00,400 Speaker 1: I think, don't say that, don't say that free, don't 434 00:24:00,400 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 1: be that guy. No, but it is. It is a 435 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:05,160 Speaker 1: better quarterback class. If you trade Fields eight, you trade 436 00:24:05,160 --> 00:24:07,399 Speaker 1: the one on one, you're putting your team in a 437 00:24:07,480 --> 00:24:09,200 Speaker 1: much better position to get the one on one next 438 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 1: year when it's a better quarterback lass. And when that 439 00:24:11,840 --> 00:24:15,119 Speaker 1: guy enters, he will have a much better situation around 440 00:24:15,200 --> 00:24:17,960 Speaker 1: him than Justin Fields had a couple of years ago 441 00:24:18,119 --> 00:24:19,960 Speaker 1: or even this year. Here's one thing I will say, 442 00:24:20,680 --> 00:24:25,120 Speaker 1: the idea of the Bears being competent enough, we'll use 443 00:24:25,160 --> 00:24:28,320 Speaker 1: that word competent to move down from number one to 444 00:24:28,440 --> 00:24:33,120 Speaker 1: number two, and then again to move from two to four. 445 00:24:33,920 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 1: You're putting a lot of faith in a team that 446 00:24:36,440 --> 00:24:40,480 Speaker 1: just traded the number thirty two overall pick for a 447 00:24:40,560 --> 00:24:43,000 Speaker 1: wide receiver that they really didn't even use. Like, I 448 00:24:43,040 --> 00:24:47,080 Speaker 1: don't think that they actually have the ability to maneuver 449 00:24:47,520 --> 00:24:50,000 Speaker 1: like that through the draft. If they do, I will 450 00:24:50,040 --> 00:24:53,439 Speaker 1: be impressed, But like, we shouldn't have any faith in 451 00:24:53,480 --> 00:24:58,080 Speaker 1: their ability to do that. Two things. One bear down 452 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 1: to new era Chicago, where the monsters of the Midway 453 00:25:03,880 --> 00:25:07,320 Speaker 1: not the mistakes by the lake. Okay, that's how that's 454 00:25:07,320 --> 00:25:11,000 Speaker 1: going to roll number two one oh one? Is this 455 00:25:11,080 --> 00:25:15,880 Speaker 1: like new geek terminology for for for like, first overall, 456 00:25:16,119 --> 00:25:18,720 Speaker 1: what do you bring it to the table here? Freeman? Yes, 457 00:25:18,800 --> 00:25:21,480 Speaker 1: that is the new geek terminology. But this is common 458 00:25:21,560 --> 00:25:25,160 Speaker 1: for people who actually talk about the draft, because each 459 00:25:25,240 --> 00:25:27,800 Speaker 1: round has its own So you would say two point 460 00:25:27,880 --> 00:25:31,600 Speaker 1: zero one to differ from two twelve, right, so round 461 00:25:31,640 --> 00:25:35,400 Speaker 1: two pick twelve. This is a common thing, Chad, Yeah, 462 00:25:35,560 --> 00:25:40,480 Speaker 1: common thing amongst the geek class. Sure you mentioned that 463 00:25:40,520 --> 00:25:45,280 Speaker 1: you should just get mel kiper Okay, remember these insults. 464 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,600 Speaker 1: Remember we had melk Kiper round a couple of years ago. 465 00:25:48,000 --> 00:25:51,040 Speaker 1: You could barely keep it together. You were in like 466 00:25:51,240 --> 00:25:54,640 Speaker 1: mel Kiper referred to your name, and it's almost like 467 00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:58,440 Speaker 1: I thought you were going to like just crumble into 468 00:25:59,119 --> 00:26:02,639 Speaker 1: a dust pan because you were so overwhelmed with mel 469 00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:07,520 Speaker 1: Kiper referencing you on a first name basis and acknowledging 470 00:26:07,560 --> 00:26:11,320 Speaker 1: your work in the draft. Yes, a highlight moment for me. 471 00:26:11,359 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: I wouldn't say crumble into dust I would say melt 472 00:26:14,320 --> 00:26:17,040 Speaker 1: away into the ether. That's the way I would phrase it. 473 00:26:17,840 --> 00:26:20,399 Speaker 1: You and I have always differed on how we see things. 474 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:23,879 Speaker 1: The NBA season is heating up, and now is the 475 00:26:23,960 --> 00:26:27,840 Speaker 1: perfect time to download FanDuel America's number one sportsbook because 476 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:30,520 Speaker 1: new customers get a no sweat first bet up to 477 00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:34,440 Speaker 1: one thousand dollars. That's bonus bets back if your first 478 00:26:34,480 --> 00:26:37,840 Speaker 1: bet doesn't win, Just download the FanDuel sports Book app. 479 00:26:37,840 --> 00:26:40,959 Speaker 1: It's safe, secure, and super easy to use. Then you 480 00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:43,040 Speaker 1: can bet on everything from the money line to point 481 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:47,280 Speaker 1: scorers and threes drained. 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You mentioned that you 511 00:28:29,520 --> 00:28:32,760 Speaker 1: have studied Christian Gonzales and you looked at his tape 512 00:28:33,080 --> 00:28:36,560 Speaker 1: before he went to Oregon. Explain that to me, Well, 513 00:28:36,560 --> 00:28:38,440 Speaker 1: I haven't. I didn't look at his tape. I looked 514 00:28:38,440 --> 00:28:42,520 Speaker 1: at his numbers. Okay. You can see the numbers, the 515 00:28:42,600 --> 00:28:45,280 Speaker 1: testing numbers for a lot of these guys when they 516 00:28:45,320 --> 00:28:48,480 Speaker 1: were recruits, so you can see how fast they were 517 00:28:48,480 --> 00:28:51,360 Speaker 1: in forties. Back in the day. There are agility drills, 518 00:28:51,440 --> 00:28:54,640 Speaker 1: everything like that. So for a number of these guys, 519 00:28:54,680 --> 00:28:57,160 Speaker 1: we already have a pretty good sense of the range 520 00:28:57,200 --> 00:28:59,920 Speaker 1: of athleticism they have. Now, every once in a while 521 00:29:00,320 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 1: you get someone like Justin Jefferson who just absolutely destroys 522 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:08,200 Speaker 1: the expectations. Justin Jefferson, despite being a four star recruit, 523 00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:11,760 Speaker 1: had some of the worst athleticism I have ever seen 524 00:29:11,880 --> 00:29:15,800 Speaker 1: from any like highly ranked, highly recruited wide receiver. The 525 00:29:15,800 --> 00:29:18,640 Speaker 1: guy was one hundred and eighty pounds entering LSU and 526 00:29:18,760 --> 00:29:21,800 Speaker 1: ran a four point eight eight second forty time, Like 527 00:29:22,040 --> 00:29:26,360 Speaker 1: that is unbelievably bad. And then think of the amount 528 00:29:26,360 --> 00:29:29,120 Speaker 1: of training and discipline that he had to put into 529 00:29:29,160 --> 00:29:32,520 Speaker 1: developing his body so that three years after entering LSU 530 00:29:32,840 --> 00:29:35,120 Speaker 1: he goes to the combine and he's put on twenty 531 00:29:35,120 --> 00:29:39,600 Speaker 1: pounds of muscle and shaved off like not like half 532 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 1: a second from his forty time, but getting it down 533 00:29:42,160 --> 00:29:44,200 Speaker 1: to like a four to four. I mean that is 534 00:29:44,680 --> 00:29:48,600 Speaker 1: that is some serious physical training that he did in 535 00:29:48,680 --> 00:29:51,760 Speaker 1: three years. But I mean so like, but he's the outlier. 536 00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,400 Speaker 1: Like we have a general range of Like if a 537 00:29:54,480 --> 00:29:58,080 Speaker 1: guy ran a four point four when he was a recruit, 538 00:29:58,360 --> 00:30:01,120 Speaker 1: maybe he can do a four point three three years 539 00:30:01,160 --> 00:30:03,520 Speaker 1: later when he's at the combine. So we have a 540 00:30:03,560 --> 00:30:07,040 Speaker 1: general sense already of where these guys stack up athletically. 541 00:30:08,120 --> 00:30:13,000 Speaker 1: All right, give me some other bets, Simon that you're 542 00:30:13,840 --> 00:30:16,760 Speaker 1: thinking about. Are you thinking about wide receiver? Are you 543 00:30:16,800 --> 00:30:23,320 Speaker 1: thinking about overall defensive player? Taken in the Christian Gonzalez, 544 00:30:23,400 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 1: Will Anderson, Jalen Carter range. What are you starting to 545 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:28,240 Speaker 1: look at right now? What did you think about on 546 00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 1: your cross country trip. I'll let Matt Freeman dive into 547 00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:33,760 Speaker 1: it here because I think we're on the same page. 548 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:35,800 Speaker 1: There's a receiver drive in Iron up for the first 549 00:30:35,960 --> 00:30:38,280 Speaker 1: she were drafted. I feel like he really nailed them 550 00:30:38,320 --> 00:30:40,360 Speaker 1: the head in our notes here about why he likes them. 551 00:30:40,360 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 1: And I'm on the same page where last year watching 552 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:45,680 Speaker 1: college football, this guy really jumped out to me. So 553 00:30:45,880 --> 00:30:48,000 Speaker 1: I mentioned here Freeman's takeaway he moved him up his 554 00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:49,720 Speaker 1: board to be the first wide receiver d he didn't 555 00:30:49,800 --> 00:30:51,680 Speaker 1: name him. Are you are you holding back on the 556 00:30:51,720 --> 00:30:53,480 Speaker 1: reveal for Freedman to get it or did you want 557 00:30:53,520 --> 00:30:56,440 Speaker 1: me to name him? Yeah? I want Freeman to say it. Okay, 558 00:30:57,120 --> 00:31:00,480 Speaker 1: I'm hoping this is Jaln Hyatt or to be leading 559 00:31:00,520 --> 00:31:04,360 Speaker 1: in the wrong direction. Yeah, Jalen Hyatt. I mean he 560 00:31:04,480 --> 00:31:08,080 Speaker 1: was fantastic last year at Tennessee, kind of coming from 561 00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:11,600 Speaker 1: nowhere Central Tillman entering the year looked like the number 562 00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:13,560 Speaker 1: one wide receiver. He suffered an injury and then all 563 00:31:13,560 --> 00:31:16,000 Speaker 1: of a sudden, hyaha just explodes. And you look at 564 00:31:16,000 --> 00:31:18,160 Speaker 1: the wide receivers in this class and there's not a 565 00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:21,000 Speaker 1: guy who is going to go in the top ten, right, 566 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 1: There's not like that kind of marque wide receiver. And 567 00:31:23,960 --> 00:31:25,720 Speaker 1: so I think it's a little bit of a toss 568 00:31:25,800 --> 00:31:29,520 Speaker 1: up for who goes number one. But Jalen Hyatt, like, 569 00:31:29,560 --> 00:31:32,120 Speaker 1: you can't teach speed, and he is probably the fastest 570 00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:34,880 Speaker 1: of these wide receivers. And we have seen over the 571 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:39,280 Speaker 1: past five six years wide receivers who tear up the combine, 572 00:31:39,480 --> 00:31:41,520 Speaker 1: they shoot up the draft board in a number of 573 00:31:41,520 --> 00:31:43,760 Speaker 1: these guys end up going in the top half of 574 00:31:43,800 --> 00:31:46,280 Speaker 1: the first round, and it feels like Jalen Hyatt has 575 00:31:46,320 --> 00:31:49,920 Speaker 1: a real chance to do that. People are projecting in 576 00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:53,160 Speaker 1: the four point three, maybe even four point two, like 577 00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:55,280 Speaker 1: four point two five to four point two eight kind 578 00:31:55,280 --> 00:31:58,560 Speaker 1: of range for Jalen Hyatt. That feels a little bit aggressive. 579 00:31:58,560 --> 00:32:01,120 Speaker 1: But if he's in the four threes, I mean, game on, Like, 580 00:32:01,200 --> 00:32:03,440 Speaker 1: he's got a very real chance to go as the 581 00:32:03,520 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: number one wide receiver. He's available at plus six fifty 582 00:32:06,640 --> 00:32:10,080 Speaker 1: at fan duel I think there's value there for him, 583 00:32:10,240 --> 00:32:12,680 Speaker 1: and I will say, like the combine matters a lot 584 00:32:12,960 --> 00:32:15,200 Speaker 1: for him. If he's fast, if he's in the four threes, 585 00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:17,760 Speaker 1: then I think he could be a fantastic NFL receiver. 586 00:32:18,080 --> 00:32:21,160 Speaker 1: If he's in the four fours, then he's like Paul Richardson, 587 00:32:21,320 --> 00:32:24,320 Speaker 1: who was like a fantastic college player, but no one 588 00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:27,400 Speaker 1: remembers him, like got drafted on Day two. That's kind 589 00:32:27,400 --> 00:32:29,560 Speaker 1: of what's at stake for Jalen High right here. If 590 00:32:29,560 --> 00:32:31,719 Speaker 1: he's fast, he could be the first wide receiver drafted. 591 00:32:31,800 --> 00:32:33,880 Speaker 1: If he's in the four fours, he could be drafted 592 00:32:33,920 --> 00:32:35,840 Speaker 1: at the end of the second round. And to me, 593 00:32:35,920 --> 00:32:37,760 Speaker 1: that's why you make the bet. Now though it's where 594 00:32:38,080 --> 00:32:40,080 Speaker 1: he's another guy where combin is gonna be huge for him. 595 00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:41,880 Speaker 1: If he goes out and he does run that four two, 596 00:32:42,240 --> 00:32:45,040 Speaker 1: I can easily see him go steaming up the draft 597 00:32:45,040 --> 00:32:47,680 Speaker 1: board because on tape the kids incredibly he's high. He 598 00:32:47,760 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 1: high points the ball, which you talked almost any scout. 599 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:52,120 Speaker 1: That's one of the biggest things I look for kids 600 00:32:52,120 --> 00:32:54,600 Speaker 1: coming out of college, kids who actually attack the ball. 601 00:32:54,880 --> 00:32:58,240 Speaker 1: He does that, so he has the speed. I love 602 00:32:58,280 --> 00:33:00,200 Speaker 1: those kids chat especially. I think must people if they 603 00:33:00,200 --> 00:33:02,280 Speaker 1: watched Tennessee last year, they kind of came out of nowhere. 604 00:33:02,480 --> 00:33:03,640 Speaker 1: He was a big part of that. I mean, this 605 00:33:03,720 --> 00:33:05,640 Speaker 1: kid was uncoverable in a lot of those games. So 606 00:33:06,400 --> 00:33:08,480 Speaker 1: the fact that you can get him now at plus 607 00:33:08,560 --> 00:33:10,880 Speaker 1: over six hundred a fandel I would just take the 608 00:33:10,920 --> 00:33:12,560 Speaker 1: value before the combine, because I do think if he 609 00:33:12,600 --> 00:33:15,200 Speaker 1: can run in the combine, which we talk all the time, 610 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:17,240 Speaker 1: these guys will last two to three months, all they've 611 00:33:17,280 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 1: been doing is training for this combine. So all he's 612 00:33:19,680 --> 00:33:21,360 Speaker 1: been doing is working with a track coach to get 613 00:33:21,400 --> 00:33:23,360 Speaker 1: his speed up. So to me, the value is there 614 00:33:23,360 --> 00:33:25,320 Speaker 1: when you bet on these kind of you know, there's 615 00:33:25,360 --> 00:33:27,720 Speaker 1: a bunch of guys all in the same spot of 616 00:33:27,760 --> 00:33:30,600 Speaker 1: these positions coming in the combine. You bet the value 617 00:33:30,600 --> 00:33:31,920 Speaker 1: of the guys who have the tape, and you just 618 00:33:31,920 --> 00:33:33,520 Speaker 1: need to see them do it in the combine. So 619 00:33:33,760 --> 00:33:36,120 Speaker 1: to me, he's one of those guys. He has the tape. 620 00:33:35,760 --> 00:33:37,760 Speaker 1: Can you show up with the speed in the combine 621 00:33:37,800 --> 00:33:40,120 Speaker 1: not drop any balls in the passengers. It's a lot 622 00:33:40,120 --> 00:33:43,280 Speaker 1: to ask, but it's six fifty. That's good value. I know, 623 00:33:43,280 --> 00:33:45,720 Speaker 1: will say go ahead for it is that it's not 624 00:33:46,160 --> 00:33:48,280 Speaker 1: certain that he is going to run at the combines, 625 00:33:48,280 --> 00:33:50,320 Speaker 1: so I would wait to hear news on whether he's 626 00:33:50,360 --> 00:33:52,240 Speaker 1: running or not. If they say he's going to run, 627 00:33:52,360 --> 00:33:54,600 Speaker 1: then I would bet the six fifty. If he's not running, 628 00:33:54,640 --> 00:33:57,400 Speaker 1: I would wait because his odds might drop a little bit, 629 00:33:58,000 --> 00:34:02,040 Speaker 1: as other wide receivers do run at the online All right, 630 00:34:02,080 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 1: I know Freeman's gotta get out of here. So the 631 00:34:04,120 --> 00:34:07,800 Speaker 1: last question I want to ask, believe it or not, 632 00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:14,839 Speaker 1: specifically about the Chicago Bears. So let's say let's say 633 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:18,600 Speaker 1: they are smart enough to make some moves and mel 634 00:34:18,680 --> 00:34:21,480 Speaker 1: Kiper has already given them the blueprint to trade to 635 00:34:21,480 --> 00:34:24,400 Speaker 1: two and then trade to three. And let's say that 636 00:34:24,480 --> 00:34:28,760 Speaker 1: they have the option to draft Will Anderson from Alabama, 637 00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:33,880 Speaker 1: the edge rusher, or Jalen Carter, the defensive tackle from Georgia. Freeman, 638 00:34:34,000 --> 00:34:37,960 Speaker 1: you first, who do you taken? Why? I take Will Anderson? 639 00:34:38,200 --> 00:34:42,200 Speaker 1: And I get that Jalen Carter might might be the 640 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:46,400 Speaker 1: better prospect, but it is very close between them. And 641 00:34:47,239 --> 00:34:49,400 Speaker 1: I get that there's this theory that if you have 642 00:34:49,480 --> 00:34:53,359 Speaker 1: an Aaron Donald type of talents and he's able to 643 00:34:53,440 --> 00:34:57,040 Speaker 1: get pressure in the middle, that might mean more for 644 00:34:57,400 --> 00:35:00,600 Speaker 1: your overall defensive line. But I don't think you can 645 00:35:00,640 --> 00:35:04,040 Speaker 1: project a Jalen Carter to be Aaron Donald, Like no 646 00:35:04,080 --> 00:35:06,600 Speaker 1: one is Aaron Donald, but you can't project Will Anderson 647 00:35:06,800 --> 00:35:09,640 Speaker 1: to be a pretty good pass rusher. And a pretty 648 00:35:09,640 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 1: good pass rusher off of the edge does make a 649 00:35:12,000 --> 00:35:14,840 Speaker 1: significant difference to your team. So I would still go 650 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,560 Speaker 1: with Will Anderson because even last year he was like 651 00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:21,640 Speaker 1: a near Heisman type of performer. We've had since a 652 00:35:21,680 --> 00:35:24,800 Speaker 1: strong sense for multiple seasons of who he is. Jalen 653 00:35:24,840 --> 00:35:27,359 Speaker 1: Carter is great, but I think in the end, edge 654 00:35:27,440 --> 00:35:31,400 Speaker 1: rusher means more to your team than defensive tackle Simon. 655 00:35:32,880 --> 00:35:34,600 Speaker 1: I would say it's all about what the GM style is. 656 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:36,520 Speaker 1: It's the Carter is a safer play. You can know 657 00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:38,960 Speaker 1: exactly what he's gonna be in this league. He's an 658 00:35:38,960 --> 00:35:41,440 Speaker 1: eater of blocks. You'll always be double blocked. He's just 659 00:35:41,560 --> 00:35:44,319 Speaker 1: such a big body. He pans out, which he will 660 00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,359 Speaker 1: because he's just such a freak. I mean, you can 661 00:35:46,400 --> 00:35:48,319 Speaker 1: go back and watch him play high school running back chat. 662 00:35:48,400 --> 00:35:51,799 Speaker 1: This kid was an absolute freak and he put on 663 00:35:51,840 --> 00:35:54,560 Speaker 1: the weight just to be a d tackle a Georgia 664 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:59,120 Speaker 1: So Anderson, you know, that's the hardest part where I 665 00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:01,360 Speaker 1: love his tape he played at Bama, and it's the 666 00:36:01,400 --> 00:36:02,960 Speaker 1: same thing with this kid at Georgia, where it's it's 667 00:36:03,000 --> 00:36:05,680 Speaker 1: like they're surrounded by studs and it's really hard making 668 00:36:05,719 --> 00:36:08,920 Speaker 1: a pick. But in your division, Chad, I guess I 669 00:36:08,960 --> 00:36:12,080 Speaker 1: would go with the d tackle just because I get 670 00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:14,640 Speaker 1: I know past rush is a big deal. It's just 671 00:36:14,680 --> 00:36:17,080 Speaker 1: your division don't really have any quarterbacks anymore. Like Kirk 672 00:36:17,080 --> 00:36:19,640 Speaker 1: Cousins and golf are the kind of two staples, and 673 00:36:19,680 --> 00:36:22,600 Speaker 1: your your your division. I feel like it's probably smarter 674 00:36:22,640 --> 00:36:25,879 Speaker 1: to just go to safe play. Where the Bears when 675 00:36:26,280 --> 00:36:31,680 Speaker 1: when was your best pass rusher? You guys drafted Chad drafted. Yes, 676 00:36:32,320 --> 00:36:35,719 Speaker 1: I feel like I went through your guy's list one 677 00:36:36,880 --> 00:36:41,840 Speaker 1: three years. Who Richard dent in nineteen eighty three. I 678 00:36:41,840 --> 00:36:44,000 Speaker 1: couldn't find one. I only looked back fifteen years. So 679 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:47,040 Speaker 1: that's my fear with Chicago. They should have just played safe. 680 00:36:47,280 --> 00:36:49,240 Speaker 1: Ms have just swung and miss. And this new regime 681 00:36:49,520 --> 00:36:52,160 Speaker 1: you hit on a couple really good picks last year 682 00:36:52,200 --> 00:36:55,520 Speaker 1: in the draft, this Bears group, so um, that's the hope, 683 00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,359 Speaker 1: all right, Listen, I was leaning towards will Anderson when 684 00:36:58,360 --> 00:37:01,960 Speaker 1: Friedman was talking, and now I'm leading towards Jalen Carter 685 00:37:02,200 --> 00:37:05,279 Speaker 1: after Simon. I guess, I guess. My feeling on this 686 00:37:05,440 --> 00:37:09,320 Speaker 1: is there's something really exciting about a dominant pass rush 687 00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:13,440 Speaker 1: up the middle and having a dominant defender who can 688 00:37:13,480 --> 00:37:15,480 Speaker 1: help with the run. Oh my god, you know what. 689 00:37:15,560 --> 00:37:17,560 Speaker 1: This is so hard. I can't believe I have to 690 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:20,640 Speaker 1: make this decision for the entirety of Chicago. I will 691 00:37:20,680 --> 00:37:22,200 Speaker 1: have to decide what it's going to be next time. 692 00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 1: We're gonna leave people in suspense because I just can't decide. 693 00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:28,279 Speaker 1: And I don't have to decide yet, Freeman, because I 694 00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:31,359 Speaker 1: don't have all the information yet. That's fair. Don't give 695 00:37:31,360 --> 00:37:33,200 Speaker 1: me that look you're looking at before you run, though, 696 00:37:33,239 --> 00:37:35,160 Speaker 1: before you run, Freeman, give us your favorite long shot 697 00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:37,560 Speaker 1: we didn't talk about. I would say, Christian Gansall is 698 00:37:37,600 --> 00:37:41,240 Speaker 1: probably there aren't enough posted yet. There aren't enough lines 699 00:37:41,280 --> 00:37:43,440 Speaker 1: posted yet. But I will say if there is a 700 00:37:43,560 --> 00:37:47,280 Speaker 1: line posted at some point for like number three running 701 00:37:47,280 --> 00:37:52,520 Speaker 1: back selected them on a chain from from Texas, A 702 00:37:52,600 --> 00:37:55,360 Speaker 1: and M. If he tears up the combine like runs 703 00:37:55,360 --> 00:37:57,120 Speaker 1: in the four twos, I think he would be a 704 00:37:57,120 --> 00:37:59,640 Speaker 1: really intriguing guy who ends up going much much higher 705 00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:03,840 Speaker 1: than any you want expect all right, Matthew Friedman direct 706 00:38:03,880 --> 00:38:07,480 Speaker 1: your content for Fantasy Prose and Betting Prose. I don't 707 00:38:07,520 --> 00:38:09,480 Speaker 1: like him, but he brings good information and that's why 708 00:38:09,520 --> 00:38:11,480 Speaker 1: we have him come back on the podcast again and 709 00:38:11,520 --> 00:38:14,560 Speaker 1: again and again. Simon Hunter, thank you so much from 710 00:38:14,560 --> 00:38:19,800 Speaker 1: the West Coast. Matt Mitchell, producer extraordinaire. Great work. As always, 711 00:38:19,840 --> 00:38:23,080 Speaker 1: This has been the Favorites podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. 712 00:38:23,480 --> 00:38:26,800 Speaker 1: I am Shadowman. Download us from Apple podcasts, from Spotify, 713 00:38:26,840 --> 00:38:31,520 Speaker 1: wherever you get your podcast, rate review, subscribe, folks. I've 714 00:38:31,560 --> 00:38:34,279 Speaker 1: said it before, I'll say it again. Do the right thing. 715 00:38:34,400 --> 00:38:37,439 Speaker 1: Subscribe to the Favorites. You get it fast, you get 716 00:38:37,440 --> 00:38:41,440 Speaker 1: it early. Subscribe to the Favorites on Apple Podcasts, Spotify podcast, 717 00:38:41,480 --> 00:38:44,239 Speaker 1: wherever you get him. Leave us five stars, say whatever 718 00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:47,479 Speaker 1: you want feedback as a gift until next time. Love you. 719 00:38:52,800 --> 00:38:56,920 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. 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