WEBVTT - Wedbush's Dan Ives Talks Nvidia Earnings

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news, joining us down.

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<v Speaker 2>Have you hit her?

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<v Speaker 1>Dan Ives from Scottsdale, Arizona.

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<v Speaker 3>Dan, You've got Dodgers giants, I believe tomorrow right, Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>So look it's uh, we got some AI, some Nvidio

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<v Speaker 2>and then you got some baseball.

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<v Speaker 3>Well have to see on it translated video. We've really

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<v Speaker 3>had a focus on the show.

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<v Speaker 1>On it. You put out a real reaffirmation.

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<v Speaker 3>Now how far out are you looking on Dan Ives

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<v Speaker 3>on invidious?

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<v Speaker 1>Excuse me?

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<v Speaker 4>I look, these are Michael Jordan like numbers.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, if you look on the data center side,

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<v Speaker 2>I mean you're talking about, you know, five to seven

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<v Speaker 2>hundred BIPs above street whisper numbers into next quarter seventy

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<v Speaker 2>percent growth it's seventy seven percent. I mean you talk

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<v Speaker 2>about love of large numbers, it doesn't apply within video.

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<v Speaker 2>And I think as it poys out, this is showing

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<v Speaker 2>the five hundred billion they talked about with Blackwell and Rubin.

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<v Speaker 2>It's conservative and I think his numbers look out thirty

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<v Speaker 2>percent growth next year probably goes close to forty percent.

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<v Speaker 4>And that's why I think there's a stock that.

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<v Speaker 2>Should be up significantly as we look into the coming

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<v Speaker 2>weeks and months, how.

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<v Speaker 5>Do you put in video Visa VI AMD. These days,

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<v Speaker 5>AMD seems to be really stepping up its cadence of announcements.

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<v Speaker 5>Obviously they deal with meta. They made another announcement today.

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<v Speaker 5>I know in video is the big big player there, Dan,

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<v Speaker 5>but how do you size up just the competitive landscape?

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<v Speaker 4>Look Liza's suit.

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<v Speaker 2>Look if Lisa's suit is flying the plane, you're in

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<v Speaker 2>three a drinking cabernet, watching Netflix, feeling really good. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>so you know she making all the right moves from

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<v Speaker 2>narrow the gap because in video that's obviously the one

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<v Speaker 2>chip in the world fueling the AI revolution. But AMD,

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<v Speaker 2>you know they're going to get fifteen to twenty percent

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<v Speaker 2>of this market over the coming years.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the.

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<v Speaker 3>Theme I see in the research notes this morning is

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<v Speaker 3>most people like Dan ives lift up their price target.

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<v Speaker 3>It's some concervatively, some with a little more aggression. Is Dan,

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<v Speaker 3>I's the idea that they will expand beyond five or

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<v Speaker 3>six vendors.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that an assured thing? Or is it?

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<v Speaker 3>Would you put that under risk factors that they can't

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<v Speaker 3>get the rest of the world to pay up for

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<v Speaker 3>in Vidia?

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, look, I think right now yeah, you don't have

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<v Speaker 4>a choice.

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<v Speaker 2>And that's when you look at margins, gross margins seventy

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<v Speaker 2>five percent. Over the coming years, you will have competition.

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<v Speaker 2>Big tech companies are gonna try building own chips, obviously AMD,

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<v Speaker 2>you see Huawei and China and others. But the reality is,

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<v Speaker 2>especially when it comes like physical AI autonomous robotics, you're

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<v Speaker 2>gonna have no choice right now where in VIDIA. You're

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<v Speaker 2>gonna ultimately have to go down that route within Vidia.

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<v Speaker 2>But this is gonna spread five, seven, ten vendors over time,

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<v Speaker 2>but at least the next eighteen twenty four months, probably

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<v Speaker 2>thirty six months. If you're calling the red phone for

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<v Speaker 2>a chip, it's the godfather of AI, black.

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<v Speaker 4>Leather Jack of Jensen. Who's answering that phone?

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<v Speaker 5>Dan, what's the uh, what's the conversation you're having these

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<v Speaker 5>days with your tech clients as it relates to software

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<v Speaker 5>and just the threat potential real? I don't know, uh,

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<v Speaker 5>that AI may pose to some of these software vendors,

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<v Speaker 5>because boy, those stocks have been taken out to the woodshit.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Paul, it's it's the most in my opinion, disconnected

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<v Speaker 2>trade that I've seen in my career. Because and Jensen

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<v Speaker 2>hit on it last night on the Earnings called software

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<v Speaker 2>will be the hearts and lungs from a data perspective

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<v Speaker 2>and use.

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<v Speaker 4>Cases of AI. So the concept that Claw and.

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<v Speaker 2>Others are going to unseat these you know when you

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<v Speaker 2>look at sales for a service now, Microsoft, others, it's

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<v Speaker 2>a fictional tell and I think investors trying to figure out, like,

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<v Speaker 2>how do you play software? Right now? Everyone's running for

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<v Speaker 2>the hills. You're owning Semi's in hardware, no one's in

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<v Speaker 2>touch and software. But I viewed as the opportunity to

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<v Speaker 2>own some of these core winners.

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<v Speaker 5>I mean, what's the conversation you're having. I would think

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<v Speaker 5>the hedge funds would be really If I'm a hedge

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<v Speaker 5>fund manager, I'm going right to my tech ontos and saying,

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<v Speaker 5>I think this might be once in a lifetime opportunity

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<v Speaker 5>to buy some of these names. I mean, but you

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<v Speaker 5>can be obviously really right or really wrong here.

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<v Speaker 4>What do you think the conversation is the conversation?

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<v Speaker 2>You'd think it's that, but it's actually I think it's

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<v Speaker 2>almost the opposite. You're saying, everyone just run to Semis

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<v Speaker 2>and arms.

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<v Speaker 1>This is important, Dan.

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<v Speaker 3>On this Thursday, you can report right now that what

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<v Speaker 3>you what you're observing is people are still running.

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<v Speaker 2>Running for the hills like you know they're being chased

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<v Speaker 2>by a dinosaur.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, well let me let me interrupt here because you

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<v Speaker 3>killed this in April. We were running for the hills

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<v Speaker 3>on April, the first week of April.

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<v Speaker 1>Last year, and you know you nailed that along with

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<v Speaker 1>some other people. You weren't alone.

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<v Speaker 3>Is this the same equivalent, the same analog now? Is

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<v Speaker 3>the running there of April, you know a year ago?

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<v Speaker 2>Generally it would be like being negative on Aaron Judge

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<v Speaker 2>because of the way you play.

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<v Speaker 4>Is the first week of a season.

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<v Speaker 2>The point is if you look at this over years,

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<v Speaker 2>right service now, salesforce, what Arvin doing at IBM, you

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<v Speaker 2>look at Microsoft, I viewed these generational opportunities and as is,

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<v Speaker 2>all plays out and that's why right now, like the

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<v Speaker 2>Bears are winning the narrative in the day that's going

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<v Speaker 2>to be short lived. That's how you ultimately, that's how

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<v Speaker 2>you make money in this market.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, let's switch yours, Dan As with the stock go

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<v Speaker 3>out of Tech Research and Webbish Security from Scottsdale, Arizona.

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<v Speaker 1>This morning.

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<v Speaker 3>We welcome all of you around the world and across

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<v Speaker 3>the nation. Apple's going to do some soire right now.

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<v Speaker 3>I see all the Apple gossip. I think they did

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<v Speaker 3>a product refresh last year. What's the product refresh look

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<v Speaker 3>like this year?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean that'll be like on when you look

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<v Speaker 2>at different models from the iPhone, the sc You're gonna

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<v Speaker 2>have some lower cost models that they release. And I

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<v Speaker 2>think this is one where they start to tiptoe into iOS.

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<v Speaker 2>We talk about twenty six four to twenty sixty five

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<v Speaker 2>where that's gonna finally be Serie AI, which all leads

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<v Speaker 2>into WWDC and iPhone eighteen. Look at the way, and

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<v Speaker 2>like we obviously thought about all the time, look at

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<v Speaker 2>the way Apple's trading.

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<v Speaker 4>I am telling you right now, this.

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<v Speaker 2>Is the stock Google in twenty twenty five will be

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<v Speaker 2>Apple in twenty twenty six.

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<v Speaker 4>Between the proc refreshers in AI.

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<v Speaker 3>I'll listen to you, Okay, I've been using AI here

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<v Speaker 3>and all I know is Penn State has to play

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<v Speaker 3>Wisconsin USC and October seventeenth Michigan.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, Penn State State is a tough schedule.

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<v Speaker 5>But they don't have to play Ohio State.

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<v Speaker 4>That's big.

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<v Speaker 3>Okay, that's we now report from State College Pennsylvania with

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<v Speaker 3>Daniel Ives as well.

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<v Speaker 1>Are they beyond the coaching.

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<v Speaker 2>Tobaccle Oh and we we we got the golden ticket

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<v Speaker 2>with Campbell's coach. Now, I told you, like we've talked

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<v Speaker 2>about it. It's the rebuild to a Natty in the

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<v Speaker 2>next few years. Big ten right now, I hate to

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<v Speaker 2>say for the SEC. I mean it's a Big ten

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<v Speaker 2>dominant league. I think Penn State is in just a

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<v Speaker 2>phenomenal position going into twenty six and beyond.

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<v Speaker 5>You know, tell them at Penn State football is good,

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<v Speaker 5>but the wrestling program is it like like I went back.

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<v Speaker 1>In kids were kids.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, and people go to the matches, they go to

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<v Speaker 5>like ends that Dane.

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<v Speaker 3>I seriously here, You've been a huge supporter as an

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<v Speaker 3>alumni of Penn State. You're down on the field and

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<v Speaker 3>all their rock star stuff. If they ruined college football,

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<v Speaker 3>is it now becomes so commercial it's just not the

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<v Speaker 3>same that you and I and Paul new years ago.

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<v Speaker 2>I actually I think they even the playing When I

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<v Speaker 2>look at Nil, I mean now it actually comes down

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<v Speaker 2>to like you're seeing more, You're seeing the ability. That's

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<v Speaker 2>why I think Big ten is obviously started becoming dominant levers,

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<v Speaker 2>sec look the competition and the.

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<v Speaker 4>Athletes ultimately, you know, they deserve to get paid.

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<v Speaker 2>And it just comes down to like, you know, it's

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<v Speaker 2>a new world, but I think it's it's it's not

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<v Speaker 2>going to be changing anytime soon.

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<v Speaker 1>You got to go, what's your single best buy this morning?

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<v Speaker 4>Oh, single best buy to me right here is Microsoft. Microsoft.

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<v Speaker 2>The way that that stocks trading, it's it's almost the

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<v Speaker 2>most disconnected tech stock that I've seen, probably in the

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<v Speaker 2>last two years.

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<v Speaker 1>Dennis, thank you so much. Tropper from Scott Still this morning,