WEBVTT - Beating The Book: Guessing Lines Week 16 0:00:03.440 --> 0:00:13.000 Check it on Man, no down Man, Happy Holiday, Good Monday. 0:00:13.039 --> 0:00:15.079 Mornay is a numbers game right here in Visa and 0:00:15.120 --> 0:00:17.160 the Sports Betting Network and Visa dot Com. The Visa 0:00:17.239 --> 0:00:21.639 have Fubo Sling and Game Plus guessing lines for Week 0:00:21.720 --> 0:00:23.800 sixteen of the National Football League. That's what we're here for. 0:00:23.880 --> 0:00:26.800 Christie Andrews have joined us momentarily to do that. Within 0:00:26.840 --> 0:00:29.960 the exercise, we hope to extract some value. First look 0:00:30.000 --> 0:00:33.880 at week sixteen lines. But first, yeah, I wasn't watching 0:00:33.920 --> 0:00:35.920 anything yesterday. As soon the Rams got through, right, Jason, 0:00:35.960 --> 0:00:45.440 that was Yeah, they didn't get through. They didn't get through. Yeah. Well, 0:00:45.520 --> 0:00:47.599 let me just say this, by the way, I had 0:00:47.640 --> 0:00:52.040 the Rams, in case you're wondering, uh as brutal as 0:00:52.080 --> 0:00:55.760 that was as big as the disappointment is of running 0:00:55.760 --> 0:01:00.680 into that iceberg in week number fifteen. I can only 0:01:00.720 --> 0:01:03.320 take solace in the fact that, for not one second 0:01:03.400 --> 0:01:06.440 was I gonna pick anyone else, Not one second. The 0:01:06.520 --> 0:01:09.360 Rams were always the planned team. By the way, the 0:01:09.440 --> 0:01:11.440 sixteen of us remaining that had the Rams, all of 0:01:11.520 --> 0:01:15.360 us took the Rams correctly. There was no other option, 0:01:15.920 --> 0:01:18.880 was not even for not even a moment's thought. So 0:01:18.920 --> 0:01:21.319 in that respect, you kind of just taken You're like, 0:01:21.400 --> 0:01:24.280 well planned it as well as it could was. It 0:01:24.319 --> 0:01:26.880 wasn't like there's any self loathing involved, which is different 0:01:26.920 --> 0:01:29.200 from previous weeks had you lost, because there were other 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:31.119 options and there would have been a big self loathing 0:01:31.160 --> 0:01:37.560 factor as you lost. But yesterday, uh nope, any given Sunday, 0:01:37.600 --> 0:01:40.880 that's the old phrase. And the Rams couldn't get it 0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:43.800 done as seventeen and a half point favorites against the 0:01:43.800 --> 0:01:47.480 New York Jets couldn't get it done. Total no show. 0:01:47.560 --> 0:01:52.960 First half. The Jared golf face got us reminiscent of 0:01:52.960 --> 0:01:55.720 the j Cutler face and the Joe Flacco face which 0:01:55.760 --> 0:02:00.480 preceded it in its ancestry, the Jared Goff face. We'll 0:02:00.480 --> 0:02:02.080 get it in all that more and more as the 0:02:02.280 --> 0:02:04.400 as the show goes on. But that's it. I'm out. 0:02:05.360 --> 0:02:09.480 I'm Cramer. I'm out. Sixty five left, by the way, 0:02:09.520 --> 0:02:13.200 sixteen Rams and one Niners, one Bold Niners player yesterday 0:02:13.240 --> 0:02:17.680 in Circus Survivor, so sixty five remain headed into well 0:02:17.720 --> 0:02:20.360 those Steelers tonight. I suppose that could happen also, but 0:02:20.440 --> 0:02:23.240 sixty five, as of this moment, remaining in Circus survivor. 0:02:23.320 --> 0:02:26.480 Congratulations to all of them. Uh, and good for you 0:02:26.560 --> 0:02:30.679 to have avoided the rams pitfall yesterday. By the way, 0:02:31.000 --> 0:02:33.640 I said many times on this show, Week sixteen was 0:02:33.639 --> 0:02:37.320 gonna be dicey. Week seventeen was certainly going to be squirrely. 0:02:37.440 --> 0:02:40.840 There was no guarantee we're gonna get through the whole way. 0:02:40.880 --> 0:02:44.959 But I never saw Week fifty coming, never never gave 0:02:45.000 --> 0:02:49.200 it a moment's thought. Buddy, he's out too. He had 0:02:49.200 --> 0:02:53.240 the rams A mall still in it. Someone else we 0:02:53.240 --> 0:02:55.440 know who doesn't want to talk about it. Let's bring 0:02:55.520 --> 0:02:57.280 him in to do some guestig lines. Week sixteen, we'll 0:02:57.280 --> 0:02:59.480 talk more about survivors. They show goes on. I'm sure 0:02:59.760 --> 0:03:01.600 he is, my misch book. He runs the south Point 0:03:01.600 --> 0:03:04.480 Hotel Casino right here behind us, at the lovely south 0:03:04.520 --> 0:03:06.799 Point Hotel Casino, the tip of the strip. It's chrisy Andrews. 0:03:06.800 --> 0:03:12.480 Good morning to you, Chris. What's going on, pam um 0:03:12.680 --> 0:03:15.399 Let me, let's just put it this way. I personally 0:03:15.520 --> 0:03:19.120 was very happy with the RAM outcome. Yes, I'm sure 0:03:19.160 --> 0:03:24.360 you are. I'm sure you are. People can draw from that, 0:03:24.400 --> 0:03:28.280 but they will. People can understand a Chris he hates 0:03:28.320 --> 0:03:32.920 me be he has no heart or see, maybe he 0:03:32.919 --> 0:03:36.160 doesn't want to talk about something that's a uh well, 0:03:36.200 --> 0:03:38.800 congratulations to all again who went through. But but as 0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:42.840 I said, you know, hey, that's the game. That's the game. 0:03:42.880 --> 0:03:44.800 That's how hard it is to get through to the end. 0:03:44.840 --> 0:03:47.800 There's always pitfalls. You can't see. How did you do 0:03:47.920 --> 0:03:54.400 as a book? Yesterday and this weekend in football? Yesterday 0:03:54.680 --> 0:03:59.960 was terrible, terrible. Uh. From the beginning of the week 0:04:00.760 --> 0:04:04.920 we had lots of teasers running, not not so much. 0:04:04.920 --> 0:04:09.800 From Thursday that wasn't much. But Saturday, both favorites one 0:04:10.440 --> 0:04:13.280 and you know, one covered one didn't. But you have 0:04:13.400 --> 0:04:16.640 to start looking at teasers and the teasers and a 0:04:16.640 --> 0:04:19.479 couple of ball rams blocked out a bunch of teasers. No, no, 0:04:19.600 --> 0:04:23.479 they didn't have that many people teased from seventeen down 0:04:23.560 --> 0:04:27.760 to eleven. I mean, it's not a brilliant teaser. I 0:04:27.800 --> 0:04:29.600 don't know what you would be thinking if you did that, 0:04:29.640 --> 0:04:31.200 but I think I'm sure a couple of guys did. 0:04:31.200 --> 0:04:35.560 But otherwise, you look up and down the slate. You know, 0:04:35.640 --> 0:04:37.880 the favorites won a lot of games. I didn't cover 0:04:38.160 --> 0:04:40.920 all that many, but that's what really hurt us, and 0:04:40.960 --> 0:04:44.560 of course the biggest, you know, one of the biggest 0:04:44.600 --> 0:04:47.880 action games the year was the Saints in Kansas City. 0:04:48.400 --> 0:04:50.880 You know, we're I'm trying to look with it. We 0:04:51.040 --> 0:04:53.760 open I think we opened three. We opened three and 0:04:53.760 --> 0:04:56.400 a half. It took the three and a half down three, 0:04:56.480 --> 0:04:58.719 back up to three and a half, back down the three. 0:04:59.160 --> 0:05:00.920 Then all of a sudden, breeze is planned, so we 0:05:00.960 --> 0:05:03.000 go to two and a half. You know, we're stated 0:05:03.000 --> 0:05:05.360 at three. So we got bad, but we went back, 0:05:05.560 --> 0:05:07.040 we went down to three and a half. We a 0:05:07.080 --> 0:05:08.880 lot of guys taking the plus three. I finally had 0:05:08.920 --> 0:05:10.560 to go to an half. They laid it back up. 0:05:11.160 --> 0:05:15.640 I mean it. That game could not possibly have come worse. 0:05:16.320 --> 0:05:20.520 It was, you know, so huge action and from three 0:05:20.600 --> 0:05:22.440 and a half to two and a half because of 0:05:22.760 --> 0:05:27.200 you know, action of course, but and uh quarterback decision 0:05:27.240 --> 0:05:31.520 on the part of New Orleans. Um, just everything played 0:05:31.560 --> 0:05:35.640 into the hands of killing us, and and that that 0:05:35.760 --> 0:05:38.920 really hurt bad. I know exactly what that game crossed us, 0:05:38.920 --> 0:05:42.279 and it was I'll watch, So what are you gonna do? 0:05:42.400 --> 0:05:45.240 Crimere River, as I would say, Gil Alexander Christy ed, 0:05:45.680 --> 0:05:47.479 this is a numbers game right here at Visa, the 0:05:47.480 --> 0:05:49.680 sports betting network, Visa dot Com, the Visa that Food 0:05:49.720 --> 0:05:53.040 Boast linking game plus reviewing the week gone by heading 0:05:53.040 --> 0:05:55.680 into Guessing Lives for Week sixteen, I will say this, 0:05:56.080 --> 0:05:58.640 you know again, I was able to I didn't pre 0:05:58.760 --> 0:06:02.359 flop in terms of Survivor play, didn't pre flop the Jets, 0:06:02.680 --> 0:06:04.200 but I did get them in game when they were 0:06:04.240 --> 0:06:05.920 up thirteen to nothing. It was a coin flip. So 0:06:05.960 --> 0:06:08.520 I was able to make money on the Jets and 0:06:08.680 --> 0:06:12.360 my entire weekend, just to what you're talking about, Saturday 0:06:12.400 --> 0:06:14.840 was a massive winner for me, like one of my 0:06:14.960 --> 0:06:18.280 top ten of all time. Every college football game ended 0:06:18.360 --> 0:06:20.000 up going my way with the team. But the teasers 0:06:20.000 --> 0:06:22.280 that we talked about here on this show, and I said, 0:06:22.440 --> 0:06:24.599 I'm gonna do the teaser that everybody ought to be 0:06:24.680 --> 0:06:28.600 doing Buffalo Green Bay on Saturday and if you want 0:06:28.600 --> 0:06:31.000 to get frisky, put an Indie on Sunday. All of 0:06:31.040 --> 0:06:33.600 that worked out. So it just ended up being this 0:06:33.800 --> 0:06:36.960 great haul on the one side, and then this massive 0:06:37.000 --> 0:06:41.159 Survivor disappointment, which is absolutely brutal disappointment. But again for 0:06:41.200 --> 0:06:43.240 all the reasons I stated, there was never there was 0:06:43.279 --> 0:06:44.760 never a second I wasn't gonna pick the ramps, so 0:06:44.800 --> 0:06:46.960 you just gotta eat it. You gotta eat it. That's 0:06:46.960 --> 0:06:50.160 how it works. All right. Let's talk week sixteen. Let 0:06:50.200 --> 0:06:57.680 us start with Thursday night football. Where is it Friday? 0:06:57.839 --> 0:07:00.760 How's it worked this week? Yeah, it's Friday, Christmas Day, 0:07:00.839 --> 0:07:06.000 that's right. We have the Vikings at the st alright. 0:07:06.040 --> 0:07:08.120 Not much to say about the Vikings game yesterday. They 0:07:08.160 --> 0:07:11.320 lose to the Bears. Uh, and they lose in a 0:07:11.400 --> 0:07:15.440 game where they never they never led, they trailed the 0:07:15.480 --> 0:07:19.720 whole way versus Chicago. Chicago punted only once on the 0:07:19.720 --> 0:07:21.840 opening possession of the game. I think Minnesota had a 0:07:21.880 --> 0:07:23.520 had a pick in the end zone at one point, 0:07:23.720 --> 0:07:26.120 but other than that, really that was the only time 0:07:26.160 --> 0:07:28.880 they stopped the Bears the punt on their first possession. 0:07:29.320 --> 0:07:32.640 Cousins thirty five two seventy one, two touchdowns, one pick, 0:07:32.920 --> 0:07:35.920 sack three times, Cook for one thirty two in a touchdown. 0:07:35.960 --> 0:07:38.360 He always fills up a box score, so does Jefferson 0:07:38.400 --> 0:07:41.200 eight catches for one oh four four seven total yards. 0:07:41.280 --> 0:07:43.200 But if you're not stopping the other team doesn't matter. 0:07:43.720 --> 0:07:47.760 So Minnesota, yes, mathematically they're still alive at six and eight, 0:07:47.760 --> 0:07:51.440 but they're done zo. They're done zo. Now Bears very 0:07:51.480 --> 0:07:53.240 much alive. Will get to the Bears when we get there. 0:07:53.520 --> 0:07:57.360 And then, as you mentioned, New Orleans, New Orleans loses 0:07:57.480 --> 0:08:01.400 to the Chiefs by three. Uh. And when you look 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:05.080 at this box score, Chris, I don't really understand how 0:08:05.120 --> 0:08:09.080 they lost by only three. It's amazing they they marquee 0:08:09.080 --> 0:08:10.640 game of the week by far. As you mentioned, they 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:14.600 lose it thirty two to twenty nine. Um Breeze was 0:08:14.760 --> 0:08:18.880 fifteen of thirty four for two thirty four, three touchdowns 0:08:18.880 --> 0:08:20.440 are one pick, and he was sacked once. But he 0:08:20.480 --> 0:08:22.680 needed more than a full quarter to complete a pass 0:08:23.280 --> 0:08:25.000 or lead the Saints to a first down. His first 0:08:25.040 --> 0:08:26.880 completion came on his seventh pass of the game. It 0:08:26.960 --> 0:08:30.160 was in the second quarter. Alvin Kamaro yes eleven for 0:08:30.200 --> 0:08:32.719 fifty four on the ground, three catches forty yards and 0:08:32.760 --> 0:08:36.240 a touchdown through the air. But the the Saints had 0:08:36.320 --> 0:08:40.240 fifteen first downs to Kansas City's thirty three. They were 0:08:40.320 --> 0:08:44.000 one of ten on third down. Contrast that with Casey 0:08:44.040 --> 0:08:47.440 going nine of seventeen. They had ten penalties for ninety 0:08:47.520 --> 0:08:51.280 three yards. They were out time of possessioned if you will, 0:08:51.320 --> 0:08:55.280 by Kansas City forty one, fourteen to eighteen forty six, 0:08:56.000 --> 0:08:59.280 and yet they lost by three. They can clinch the 0:08:59.360 --> 0:09:01.679 NFC South with a win or a Tampa Bay loss 0:09:01.679 --> 0:09:03.640 next week, but as far as the number one seed, 0:09:04.160 --> 0:09:07.600 that is virtually done. So I'll say Saints by a touchdown, 0:09:07.640 --> 0:09:11.920 Saints by seven. Yeah, you're right on. You know, it's 0:09:12.040 --> 0:09:14.640 seven my numbers come day eight and a half, mostly 0:09:14.640 --> 0:09:21.200 because I just downgraded Minnesota. Uh, you know, they just 0:09:21.240 --> 0:09:23.600 look like they're ready to head south. You know, that's 0:09:23.600 --> 0:09:26.720 that's you know that that that's that for me. I mean, 0:09:26.960 --> 0:09:31.040 I think we know what New Orleans is, even though um, yeah, 0:09:31.080 --> 0:09:33.800 it was kind of miraculous yesterday. Yeah, breeze come out 0:09:33.840 --> 0:09:36.480 over six. You know when you see that from the 0:09:36.559 --> 0:09:41.199 Drew Brees, you know, uh, you know, yeah, they struggled. 0:09:41.240 --> 0:09:44.080 It was very difficult for them, but you know, they 0:09:44.320 --> 0:09:47.520 wound up hanging in there. And I'm I'm like, you listen, 0:09:47.640 --> 0:09:49.679 we need we didn't. We didn't have a big need 0:09:49.720 --> 0:09:51.679 in that game. Kind of needed New Orleans a little bit, 0:09:51.720 --> 0:09:53.840 you know, but not not much. Doesn't needed anything but 0:09:53.880 --> 0:09:56.960 a three, and of course that's what happened. But Minnesota, Yeah, 0:09:57.000 --> 0:09:59.320 I just I don't like this team, and you know 0:09:59.480 --> 0:10:03.680 every wise guy in town bet against them yesterday. Um, 0:10:04.000 --> 0:10:06.480 I see this. I see this team just heading south. 0:10:06.520 --> 0:10:08.520 So I'm gonna open seven. That's what it is. I 0:10:08.600 --> 0:10:11.280 even see one six and a half out there. But 0:10:11.320 --> 0:10:13.480 if I've see this trending higher, I'm gonna go higher 0:10:13.480 --> 0:10:16.120 because I think, uh not so much of the Saints 0:10:16.160 --> 0:10:18.240 are so much the right side of the Minnesota is 0:10:18.240 --> 0:10:21.679 the wrong side. It appears another Kirk Cousins season will 0:10:21.800 --> 0:10:26.880 end in middling nothingness. But we'll see Minnesota mathematically alive, 0:10:26.880 --> 0:10:30.199 but not much more than that. All right, Uh, Saturday games? 0:10:30.200 --> 0:10:34.600 Do we have Saturday? Yeah? It was Saturday morning? Yeah? 0:10:34.880 --> 0:10:40.600 All right? What we got Tampa at Detroit Tampa Bay 0:10:40.679 --> 0:10:44.320 yesterday sixty total yards in the first half versus Atlanta. 0:10:45.040 --> 0:10:47.520 Atlanta had a seventeen to nothing lead at the half 0:10:48.440 --> 0:10:51.520 um and then they had to seven lead, And as 0:10:51.640 --> 0:10:53.760 Ryan Clark said this morning, he said, you know, it's 0:10:53.760 --> 0:10:55.880 it's arians team when the game starts, and then when 0:10:55.920 --> 0:11:00.559 you fall seventeen down, then it becomes Brady's team. Rallies 0:11:00.600 --> 0:11:02.600 the Bucks from a pair of those uh those pair 0:11:02.640 --> 0:11:05.400 of seventeen point deficits. They trailed by seventeen and the 0:11:05.440 --> 0:11:08.920 third quarter that seven deficit lad the Bucks on five 0:11:08.960 --> 0:11:11.160 straight scoring drives four touchdowns in the field goal in 0:11:11.160 --> 0:11:13.920 the second half for a thirty one to twenty seven 0:11:13.920 --> 0:11:17.880 win over the stun Falcons included a first down given 0:11:17.920 --> 0:11:21.959 Shenan again on a measurement, but four hundred sixteen total 0:11:22.120 --> 0:11:25.079 yards UH for the Bucks. Brady was thirty one of 0:11:25.160 --> 0:11:27.760 forty five for three ninety two touchdowns note picks. He 0:11:27.800 --> 0:11:30.439 was sacked three times, Evans six for one ten eight 0:11:30.640 --> 0:11:33.520 excuse me, Antonio Brown five for ninety three and a touchdown. 0:11:33.559 --> 0:11:36.400 Devin White had three sacks. So Tampa Bay gets it done. 0:11:36.679 --> 0:11:39.280 We're the Falcons fans rank do you think in the 0:11:39.360 --> 0:11:43.679 Tom we hate Tom Brady mythology right behind all the 0:11:43.679 --> 0:11:48.320 A f c S teams right up there. Just brutal 0:11:48.559 --> 0:11:52.040 of course, to three deficit in the Super Bowl. Leaping 0:11:52.040 --> 0:11:54.720 to mind you said they're at Detroit. Detroit eliminated from 0:11:54.760 --> 0:11:58.280 playoff contention. Yesterday, They've allowed thirty plus points in four 0:11:58.320 --> 0:12:01.079 straight games. They've allowed forty plus US points four times 0:12:01.120 --> 0:12:03.920 this season, the most in the NFL, including yesterday when 0:12:03.960 --> 0:12:07.320 they lose the Tennessee forty six in a game quite 0:12:07.320 --> 0:12:10.880 frankly where Detroit had their opportunities but just couldn't keep 0:12:11.000 --> 0:12:14.000 up in the end. Stafford was thirty two for two 0:12:14.040 --> 0:12:16.959 fifty two, one touchdown, note picks. He was sacked zero times. 0:12:17.559 --> 0:12:21.640 Remember he played with UH with center Frank Ragnow and 0:12:21.760 --> 0:12:25.560 right tackle Tyrrell Crosby both out. Rag Now had the 0:12:25.640 --> 0:12:29.959 fractured throat. For those again scoring at home, Chase Daniel 0:12:30.000 --> 0:12:31.520 came in. He was five of six or fifty five, 0:12:31.520 --> 0:12:34.319 no touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked to zero as well. No, 0:12:34.400 --> 0:12:36.600 I was not sacked at all. Marvin Jones Jr. Ten 0:12:36.640 --> 0:12:38.600 for one twelve and a touchdown. But but the Lions 0:12:38.640 --> 0:12:41.160 were minus three in turnovers. That's all you need to 0:12:41.160 --> 0:12:43.280 know against the Titans. So they got housed in the 0:12:43.400 --> 0:12:47.000 end by three touchdowns. Uh, Tampa Bay minus seven. I 0:12:47.040 --> 0:12:52.760 will say at Detroit, I a little light. It's most eight. 0:12:53.320 --> 0:12:59.400 I see I see a seven and a half the nine. Um, well, 0:12:59.480 --> 0:13:02.960 I say, you know, I'm you can't be totally sold 0:13:03.000 --> 0:13:05.040 on this, Tampa baby. I think you know. Ryan Clark, 0:13:05.160 --> 0:13:08.600 you hit it right. Becomes Tom's team in the fourth 0:13:08.679 --> 0:13:10.640 quarter when they're losing and they might be losing by 0:13:10.640 --> 0:13:13.040 too much. I'm gonna open eight and a half. My 0:13:13.120 --> 0:13:15.880 numbers came to eleven in this game. Detroy just another 0:13:15.920 --> 0:13:19.160 team that I think has gone south. I don't see 0:13:19.160 --> 0:13:22.280 them having much to play for here. So, like I said, 0:13:22.280 --> 0:13:24.439 I'm gonna open at eight and a half. And by 0:13:24.440 --> 0:13:27.800 the way, that Tampa game was one I kind of 0:13:28.200 --> 0:13:30.160 I kind of turned away in the third in the 0:13:30.240 --> 0:13:33.680 third quarter, you know, thinking well, here's one we need 0:13:33.679 --> 0:13:36.200 to knock out one teaser. We didn't knock out any 0:13:36.240 --> 0:13:38.520 we need to look out knock out one teaser game. 0:13:38.800 --> 0:13:40.400 I thought this was our game, you know, we had 0:13:40.440 --> 0:13:44.400 a lead. Um Campbell wasn't playing well, and it was 0:13:46.160 --> 0:13:49.559 but just didn't happen. But nonetheless, my numbers come a lot. 0:13:49.559 --> 0:13:52.000 Are my numbers come to eleven that I could be 0:13:52.080 --> 0:13:55.640 diminishing returns on that game, on that favorite, But I'm 0:13:55.640 --> 0:13:57.520 gonna open eight and half. I just think the Lions 0:13:57.559 --> 0:13:59.880 team just terrible. Nobody wants a bet and nobody wants 0:13:59.880 --> 0:14:01.920 a walks. No one wants anything to do with them. 0:14:01.960 --> 0:14:04.440 Someone opening the app, they'll probably bet me down. But 0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:08.040 it is the opening number. If you look around the internet, yeah, 0:14:08.080 --> 0:14:10.560 you know better about the betting activity at your shop 0:14:10.559 --> 0:14:12.760 of the on the lines of their defense is just atrocious, 0:14:12.840 --> 0:14:17.840 just absolutely atrocious. So I can't blame anyone Next Saturday. Also, 0:14:17.840 --> 0:14:22.640 I would assume, yes, we've got three on Saturday Night. 0:14:23.640 --> 0:14:29.640 I like that schedule. Niners at the Cardinals, Niners at 0:14:29.680 --> 0:14:33.760 the Cardinals. Uh Niners eliminated from playoff contention. They become 0:14:33.840 --> 0:14:36.600 the second Super Bowl runner up in the past thirteen 0:14:36.680 --> 0:14:40.240 seasons to finish with a losing record the next year, 0:14:40.680 --> 0:14:44.640 just the second and thirteen. Mullins thirty six. By the way, 0:14:44.640 --> 0:14:47.040 they lose to the Cowboys. I should mention that knocked 0:14:47.040 --> 0:14:50.560 out one brave survivor forty one to thirty three. They 0:14:50.600 --> 0:14:54.800 lose to Dallas. Mullins six for two nineteen two touchdowns, 0:14:54.840 --> 0:14:57.560 two picks, ack twice, Beth third in relief five of seven, 0:14:57.560 --> 0:14:59.080 but through the hail Mary at the end they got 0:14:59.120 --> 0:15:00.320 caught in the end zone. So it it up with 0:15:00.320 --> 0:15:03.080 a hundred yards and a touchdown. Born was on the 0:15:03.080 --> 0:15:05.080 receiving end of that four eight six at a touchdown. 0:15:05.120 --> 0:15:07.040 I can nine up set nine for seventy three at 0:15:07.080 --> 0:15:10.120 a touchdown. Four fifty eight total yards didn't matter. They lost, 0:15:10.200 --> 0:15:12.760 you know why because they were minus four in turnovers, 0:15:13.240 --> 0:15:16.120 all of which set up Dallas scores. That'll do it. 0:15:16.120 --> 0:15:19.720 It's all it takes. UH six This this coming game 0:15:19.760 --> 0:15:23.160 against Arizona will be the sixth of seven straight games 0:15:23.160 --> 0:15:25.960 outside of California for the Niners to finish the season 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.920 after Santa Clara County band contact Sports over COVID nineteen issues. 0:15:30.200 --> 0:15:34.800 So they're vagabonds and remember um already Kyle Shanahana's on 0:15:34.840 --> 0:15:36.760 record as saying, Oh, my team's gonna be with their 0:15:36.760 --> 0:15:39.200 families on the holiday. So who knows how locked in 0:15:39.240 --> 0:15:44.520 the Niners will be for this game Arizona UH Eagles 0:15:44.520 --> 0:15:47.080 trailed them sixteen to nothing in the first quarter. I mean, 0:15:47.120 --> 0:15:50.280 Cardinals let it sixteen to nothing, but the Eagles rallied 0:15:50.280 --> 0:15:52.600 to tide at twenty six and the third quarter, Arizona 0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:55.440 responded with a go ahead touchdown drive cap by Kyler 0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:59.720 Murray's touchdown pass did DeAndre Hopkins corner Michael Jacquette was 0:15:59.760 --> 0:16:02.680 playing tight d on the play. Hopkins took the ball 0:16:02.720 --> 0:16:04.800 away anyway, held it with one hand as he fell 0:16:04.840 --> 0:16:07.200 past the pilot into the end zone. That made a 0:16:07.200 --> 0:16:11.600 lot of Arizona survivor players very happy, very sweaty game 0:16:11.680 --> 0:16:14.960 for them. Murray thirty six for four oh six, a 0:16:15.040 --> 0:16:17.960 career high three touchdowns, one pick. He was sacked once. 0:16:18.160 --> 0:16:20.080 First half, he threw for two dred sixty four yards 0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:22.920 and two touchdowns. Hurts by the way one seventy seven 0:16:22.920 --> 0:16:25.160 and three touchdowns in the first half. Philadelphia was playing 0:16:25.200 --> 0:16:27.480 without three of its four starters in the secondary because 0:16:27.480 --> 0:16:30.120 of injuries that ended up helping Hopkins nine catches for 0:16:30.200 --> 0:16:33.200 one s nited a touchdown, five hundred and twenty six 0:16:33.600 --> 0:16:36.680 total yards for the Cardinals to four twenty two for 0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:40.840 Philly in in in in a box score anomaly, the 0:16:41.000 --> 0:16:44.080 Cardinals were minus three in turnovers. They should have won 0:16:44.080 --> 0:16:46.600 this game going away, and a couple of those were 0:16:46.600 --> 0:16:49.840 in the red zone. But they do clinch a playoff 0:16:49.920 --> 0:16:51.880 berth with a win in the Chicago loss this coming 0:16:51.920 --> 0:16:57.360 week Arizona, I'll say minus m hmm. Let's see, this 0:16:57.440 --> 0:16:59.840 is a no man's land line for me. Somewhere between 0:16:59.840 --> 0:17:02.280 the re in the seven, I'll say five and a half. 0:17:03.960 --> 0:17:06.159 It's a hard one. Well, you're a little you're a 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:08.840 little high. My numbers come to five, so I'm kind 0:17:08.840 --> 0:17:11.080 of with you. But this I'm looking around at two 0:17:11.160 --> 0:17:14.359 and a half and four, and I'm gonna open four. 0:17:14.359 --> 0:17:17.320 I'm gonna stay high on this one. I think a 0:17:17.359 --> 0:17:21.199 lot of things, you know, pan against the Niners. I 0:17:21.200 --> 0:17:24.640 would say more than point for the Cardinals. You mentioned 0:17:24.640 --> 0:17:28.480 Shanahan already talking about how his team is going to 0:17:28.520 --> 0:17:30.520 be able to spend time with his family, with their 0:17:30.560 --> 0:17:35.359 families over Christmas, and uh I think that. You know, 0:17:35.480 --> 0:17:37.920 they are vagabonds. They've been on the road, what six 0:17:38.119 --> 0:17:41.199 six weeks or something like that. Uh yeah, I just 0:17:41.560 --> 0:17:43.359 there's I see a lot of things pointing against the 0:17:43.400 --> 0:17:46.520 forty Niners and Cardinals coming off. You know, a nice win. 0:17:46.640 --> 0:17:49.399 They played, They played well, they had to turnovers that 0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:52.119 kept that game close. By the way, I thought that 0:17:52.160 --> 0:17:54.440 was another game where we might knock out a few teasers, 0:17:54.520 --> 0:17:57.639 but what wasn't to be. I'm gonna stay high. I'm 0:17:57.640 --> 0:17:59.720 gonna use four, but mostly three and a half is 0:17:59.760 --> 0:18:05.240 what seems low to me. Does seem low? Yeah, absolutely, 0:18:05.480 --> 0:18:08.520 specially knowing what we know about shanahan stance and the 0:18:08.560 --> 0:18:11.800 families of those Niners players. Let's do the last Saturday 0:18:11.880 --> 0:18:15.200 game here. Let's get this one before the break, Okay, 0:18:15.280 --> 0:18:20.280 Miami at the Las Vegas Races. Miami wins, again one 0:18:20.400 --> 0:18:23.200 they've They've won eight of ten nows and starting one 0:18:23.200 --> 0:18:26.440 in three. I had Miami yesterday. I did not understand 0:18:26.480 --> 0:18:30.119 that the New England Patriots lines all year long have 0:18:30.320 --> 0:18:33.000 made no sense to me. Week after week we've been 0:18:33.000 --> 0:18:35.040 in here, and that's the one team that I just 0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:38.000 do not understand. The lines on two was twenty of 0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:41.760 twenty six yesterday for one. That's it. That's it. Didn't 0:18:41.760 --> 0:18:44.600 throw the ball more than fifteen yards down field, no touchdowns, 0:18:44.640 --> 0:18:48.160 one pick, sack twice Ahmed twenty three for one touchdown. 0:18:48.359 --> 0:18:50.520 The Dolphins were seven of twelve on third down, one 0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:52.800 of one on fourth down against the past two hundred 0:18:52.840 --> 0:18:55.600 fifty rushing yards. They didn't have any of the receivers, 0:18:56.000 --> 0:18:58.040 so they went to the ground. It's not like New 0:18:58.040 --> 0:19:00.880 England didn't know that was gonna happen. Undrafted key Salvan 0:19:00.960 --> 0:19:03.800 Amen and veteran Matt Berrita combining for two hundred eight 0:19:03.880 --> 0:19:06.879 yards together to lead Miami to the two to twelve 0:19:06.880 --> 0:19:09.800 win over the Patriots. Thirty seven minutes twenty six seconds 0:19:10.080 --> 0:19:13.120 in time of possession over four for the Pats. They 0:19:13.240 --> 0:19:15.240 entered the game last in the league. The Dolphins did 0:19:15.280 --> 0:19:17.800 in yards per carry and Ahmed became the first a 0:19:17.840 --> 0:19:21.160 hundred yard rusher since twenty eighteen. Again, three most productive 0:19:21.160 --> 0:19:23.880 receivers were out. Davonte Parker with the Hamstringer came Grant 0:19:23.880 --> 0:19:26.440 with the hamstring, Mike Gatsicki the tight end with the shoulder. 0:19:26.960 --> 0:19:29.159 They're playing the Raiders. Raiders gonna be a little bit 0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:31.280 on extra rest here, but remember they lost Derek Carter 0:19:31.320 --> 0:19:35.160 the groin injury Thursday night against uh against the Chargers 0:19:35.160 --> 0:19:39.919 and that ridiculous coaching opera between Anthony Lynn and John Bruden. 0:19:40.240 --> 0:19:42.719 Mariotta was really good in relief seventeen of twenty eight 0:19:42.880 --> 0:19:45.400 two twenty six was a financial boon for him. Nine 0:19:45.400 --> 0:19:47.360 for eight eight and a touchdown on the ground. Waller 0:19:47.440 --> 0:19:50.000 unstoppable nine for one fifty and a touchdown four hundred 0:19:50.000 --> 0:19:51.800 forty nine totally yard. They could have won in overtime, 0:19:51.800 --> 0:19:54.200 but John Gruden just refused to continue with the read 0:19:54.240 --> 0:19:58.200 option um. All four of the Raiders games against the 0:19:58.560 --> 0:20:01.240 Chargers and the Chief have come down of the final play. 0:20:02.080 --> 0:20:05.360 I will say the Dolphins by three because I don't 0:20:05.359 --> 0:20:10.480 think home field matters. Yeah, it's two and a half. 0:20:10.600 --> 0:20:14.240 My numbers come to four. One of the mess with 0:20:14.240 --> 0:20:15.680 a three on this game, So I might open the 0:20:15.720 --> 0:20:17.520 two and a half unless I see it going higher. 0:20:17.760 --> 0:20:21.879 But that the Dolphins game yesterday, that was probably our 0:20:21.880 --> 0:20:24.840 best game today and it was I want to like you, Gil, 0:20:25.280 --> 0:20:29.359 I could not understand the theory behind that move. I 0:20:29.480 --> 0:20:33.000 just didn't get it. Uh. But it's kind of with 0:20:33.080 --> 0:20:36.480 the Dolphins all year that they seem to be betting 0:20:36.920 --> 0:20:39.440 against them quite a bit. I know my numbers are 0:20:39.440 --> 0:20:42.560 always way higher on the Dolphins. It's been a good 0:20:42.560 --> 0:20:44.880 team for us this year. Like I said, I will 0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:46.960 open to an half, but if I see it going higher, 0:20:47.000 --> 0:20:49.760 I'm gonna go and get up that at three. Uh 0:20:50.000 --> 0:20:52.320 you got. I'm not sure who's gonna start. It looks 0:20:52.359 --> 0:20:54.800 like a good chance is gonna be Marriota for the Raiders. 0:20:54.840 --> 0:20:57.240 I'm not sure that influences the number all that much. 0:20:57.280 --> 0:21:01.840 He played pretty well. Um, but uh yeah, I like 0:21:01.920 --> 0:21:03.920 the Dolphins. Hearing this spot, I think, to Apps and 0:21:04.000 --> 0:21:05.920 Shade Cheap, I think there should be at least three, 0:21:05.920 --> 0:21:08.040 and like I said, my numbers from the four, I 0:21:08.080 --> 0:21:09.880 think it should be over the three. Yeah. I didn't 0:21:09.920 --> 0:21:12.399 get the New England move. I didn't get the Broncos 0:21:12.480 --> 0:21:14.720 move against the Bills on Saturday. Those were two of 0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:18.719 my contest picks. Didn't understand either of those. Just funny 0:21:18.880 --> 0:21:22.440 like almost overthinking kind of things by the market. Those two, uh, 0:21:22.600 --> 0:21:24.400