WEBVTT - Norges Bank Investment CEO Nicolai Tangen Talks Going Green

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, podcasts, radio news.

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<v Speaker 2>The journey to net zero is one of the biggest

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<v Speaker 2>challenges humanity has ever faced. As temperatures keep rising, the

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<v Speaker 2>devastating effects of climate change are becoming more severe. In

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<v Speaker 2>this new series of Leaders with Lacwago's Green, we go

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<v Speaker 2>beyond the headlines and speak to the people who are

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<v Speaker 2>confronting the climate crisis through their work to learn how

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<v Speaker 2>they're positioning.

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<v Speaker 1>For the future.

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<v Speaker 2>I begin with the man in charge of the world's

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<v Speaker 2>largest sovereign wealth fund, valued at almost one point six

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<v Speaker 2>trillion dollars. Norges Bank Investment Management is the biggest owner

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<v Speaker 2>of stocks globally, with stakes in almost nine thousand companies.

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<v Speaker 2>It was established to invest Norway's vast fossil fuel riches,

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<v Speaker 2>but as the energy transition gains momentum, it's sought to

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<v Speaker 2>reduce exposure to oil and gas. Instead of divesting, its

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<v Speaker 2>strategy is to apply pressure from within. Nikolai Tangen has

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<v Speaker 2>been at the top of finance for over three decades,

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<v Speaker 2>but his toughest test may lie ahead. Thank you so

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<v Speaker 2>much for joining us on Leaders with Lack What goes Green?

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<v Speaker 2>So what does it take to be a leader in

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty four.

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<v Speaker 3>I think what it takes is more emphasis on empathy

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<v Speaker 3>and in a world which is leading towards whether it's

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<v Speaker 3>more machines, more AI, we need to lean more towards

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<v Speaker 3>what is it that makes us human?

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<v Speaker 2>So that whole thing is more important than ever before.

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<v Speaker 2>But the world is so complex at the moment. How

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<v Speaker 2>do you distinguish the noise from the facts. Well, that

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<v Speaker 2>is also more important than ever before.

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<v Speaker 3>It's to make that distinction and to just establish the facts,

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<v Speaker 3>talk to people and just exclude all the noise, all

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<v Speaker 3>the social media, all these.

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<v Speaker 4>Kind of things.

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<v Speaker 2>You're a leader almost like no other because you lead

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<v Speaker 2>the largest sovereign wealth one in the world. You want

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<v Speaker 2>to explain to everyone that's interested in what the Fund does,

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<v Speaker 2>and you also have a podcast, you do investments.

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<v Speaker 1>Like what kind of leader do you think you are?

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<v Speaker 3>I think I am a very including leader. And the

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<v Speaker 3>good thing by leading the people in the Fund is

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<v Speaker 3>that they are just so smart and so clever, and

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<v Speaker 3>so they don't need much leadership. They just need a

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<v Speaker 3>bit of direction and then they figure it out themselves.

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<v Speaker 2>But you've done quite a lot since since joining the Fund,

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<v Speaker 2>and that was during the pandemic, how do you see

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<v Speaker 2>the fund changing?

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<v Speaker 3>It's interesting, but in some ways it's easier to make

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<v Speaker 3>changes during a period like the pandemic, because people are

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<v Speaker 3>at home and they are spread out, and so when

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<v Speaker 3>you suggest some things, it's perhaps easier to get them to.

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<v Speaker 4>Do the new thing.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't believe that for one second. It's always hard.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, if it's hard to change culture, it's hard

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<v Speaker 2>to change people.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, you have to explain why you do it, and

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<v Speaker 3>I think make even more sure than before that people

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<v Speaker 3>have a true purpose.

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<v Speaker 4>And so you have to distill down what is.

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<v Speaker 3>The purpose of what you do, what is the purpose

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<v Speaker 3>of your company, and make that very clear and repeat

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<v Speaker 3>it and repeat it and repeat it. And it's very

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<v Speaker 3>clear what all purposes is to make money for the

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<v Speaker 3>Norwegian population.

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<v Speaker 2>So why do you accept the job you were You

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<v Speaker 2>had a great life, I mean, you had a.

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<v Speaker 1>Hedge fund that was doing very well, you were earning

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<v Speaker 1>lots of money. Well, I had a great love, I

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<v Speaker 1>had a great life.

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<v Speaker 4>But I still have a great life and you know,

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<v Speaker 4>really good life.

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<v Speaker 3>Now. I was very keen on that job because one

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<v Speaker 3>I think it's one of the most important positions in

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<v Speaker 3>as at management, Right, I love as at management in

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<v Speaker 3>terms of the opportunity to develop that organization further. There

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<v Speaker 3>was there were great opportunities, and I love organizational development.

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<v Speaker 3>And then to do something nice for the country. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>these three things came together in the same job.

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<v Speaker 2>Why do you love asset management because you can influence

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<v Speaker 2>and change the future? Or is it being clever than

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<v Speaker 2>anyone else?

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<v Speaker 3>Asset management is the most interesting job in the world,

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<v Speaker 3>perhaps after being at journalists.

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<v Speaker 4>Why is that?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, everything you eat, drink, drive, all these kind of

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<v Speaker 3>things is made by a company. You have you need

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<v Speaker 3>to understand psychology in terms of the companies. You need

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<v Speaker 3>to understand the corporate culture of companies. And then these

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<v Speaker 3>things change all the time. Right, you have the macroeconomies changing,

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<v Speaker 3>interest is changing, currencies are changing, and you know, the

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<v Speaker 3>data points are just changing all the time. You just

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<v Speaker 3>couldn't invent a more fascinating game even if you try it.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's harder now, I think, I feel it feels

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<v Speaker 2>like things are changing faster. Right, Inflation forecasts straight forecasts

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<v Speaker 2>are changing.

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<v Speaker 4>Is changing very fast.

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<v Speaker 3>So on the one hand, that means that you need

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<v Speaker 3>to be very observant and agile At the same time,

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<v Speaker 3>I think there is even more scope if you managed

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<v Speaker 3>to be contrarian in what you do, and if you

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<v Speaker 3>managed to be long term. I think that's where the

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<v Speaker 3>money is. The big arbitrage now is to be contrariant

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<v Speaker 3>and long term.

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<v Speaker 2>What do you think markets are getting wrong right now?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, it's a bit kind of arrogant to say that

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<v Speaker 3>the market is wrong, because what is the market. The

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<v Speaker 3>market is the total IQ of all the people in

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<v Speaker 3>the world, right, So that's a tough one.

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<v Speaker 4>I do.

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<v Speaker 3>I do think that inflation will be tough to get done.

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<v Speaker 3>There is more near shoring. We are seeing some well,

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<v Speaker 3>we have recently seen some more pressure on raw materials.

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<v Speaker 4>Way increases are quite high.

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<v Speaker 3>So I suspect that we won't see the type of

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<v Speaker 3>breakouts that many people expect.

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<v Speaker 1>What do you see?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, there's this US exceptionalism, which is what we're

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<v Speaker 2>seeing in the US economy, the inflation data, what the

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<v Speaker 2>FED does. What have we gotten wrong on the US economy?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, the US economy is actually pretty good, certainly relative

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<v Speaker 3>to Europe, right and we see it as well when

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<v Speaker 3>I have when I see US CEOs, they are just

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<v Speaker 3>seeing the backjob for doing business in America is so

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<v Speaker 3>much better than doing business in Europe. So a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of things are going right in America.

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<v Speaker 2>How much time do you spend looking at what the

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<v Speaker 2>Fed does or what the economy does? And how much

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<v Speaker 2>time do you spend understanding your companies and thinking about

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<v Speaker 2>what themes you need to be invested in.

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<v Speaker 3>No, I think they go They kind of go together.

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<v Speaker 3>I think you understand the economy through the companies. So

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<v Speaker 3>my job, in a way is to speak to companies

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<v Speaker 3>and try to create this kind of mosaic of information.

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<v Speaker 2>What do you see as the biggest change for our economies?

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<v Speaker 2>Is it AI which is being priced in? Or is

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<v Speaker 2>it geopolitics.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think you can differentiate AI from geopolitics anymore.

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<v Speaker 3>They are so deeply intertwined because AI is now an

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<v Speaker 3>important part of weapons, systems, of healthcare, research, of car technology,

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<v Speaker 3>EV technology, So they just go together.

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<v Speaker 4>So it's a new thing now. Micro chips is also.

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<v Speaker 3>An important part of the geopolitics wasn't to the same

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<v Speaker 3>extent before. So all these things are just much more

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<v Speaker 3>complicated than they have been.

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<v Speaker 2>You're tantalized right by this exciting change, when many people

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<v Speaker 2>are actually really worried about what's coming.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I think the world has never been more has

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<v Speaker 3>never been more exciting. Right, what's happening in AI is

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<v Speaker 3>leading to some tremendous change, leading to some huge progress,

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<v Speaker 3>for instance, in in the way we do research in

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<v Speaker 3>an R and D, in the farmer industry. It's improving

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<v Speaker 3>the you know, the weather forecast, It's improving a lot

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<v Speaker 3>of things. Right, It's just a tremendous increase in compute power.

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<v Speaker 3>So generally it's a positive thing.

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<v Speaker 1>Are you mainly positive or do you also worry about

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<v Speaker 1>you know, it's.

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<v Speaker 3>Mainly I think it's mainly positive. And then the question,

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<v Speaker 3>of course is how do you regulate this? I think

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<v Speaker 3>it's going to be very tough to regulate because it's

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<v Speaker 3>so embedded into kind of the competitive landscape between the superpowers.

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<v Speaker 2>What's it mean for your investments in AI? You don't,

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<v Speaker 2>of course, you don't choose one hundred percent? Will you

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<v Speaker 2>invest because you have you know, a framework, but by

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<v Speaker 2>the government. But how do you see the adoption of

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<v Speaker 2>AI going forward?

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<v Speaker 4>We are seeing the adoption we say fast adoption.

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<v Speaker 3>And it's also interesting what are the applications for productivity?

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<v Speaker 4>So on the podcast we have.

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<v Speaker 3>I asked Samult, and you know, what kind of productivity

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<v Speaker 3>growth should we see in our company over the next

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<v Speaker 3>felve months, and he thought we should see twenty percent.

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<v Speaker 4>Right, So I will.

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<v Speaker 3>Around in the office and say, hey, how are you

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<v Speaker 3>going to become twenty percent more efficient?

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<v Speaker 4>What exactly are you doing? And I think we all

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<v Speaker 4>need to ask ourselves about that.

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<v Speaker 1>How are you?

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<v Speaker 4>How are you doing?

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<v Speaker 3>How?

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<v Speaker 4>I was just asking you first?

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<v Speaker 1>So for me maybe I can have multiple language.

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<v Speaker 2>Skills exactly, which is something that actually you were mentioning.

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<v Speaker 2>You have this podcast, which I know you enjoy doing.

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<v Speaker 2>Why do you enjoy it so much?

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<v Speaker 4>Oh? Why? I mean?

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<v Speaker 3>So we started the podcast in order to give the

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<v Speaker 3>Norwegian population insight into the type of companies they own, right,

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<v Speaker 3>And it's basically we just learn a lot. We learn

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<v Speaker 3>a lot which is relevant for students to listen to

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<v Speaker 3>the podcast business leaders, we ourselves. It's important and you

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<v Speaker 3>have the ability to talk to the people who actually

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<v Speaker 3>kind of leave the world.

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<v Speaker 4>It's fascinating, right.

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<v Speaker 3>And also I need to read up on all these industries,

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<v Speaker 3>so that's what I do during the weekends.

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<v Speaker 4>Many of them have written books.

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<v Speaker 3>I have to read the books, you know, you have

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<v Speaker 3>to the insight into various industries.

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<v Speaker 4>It's it's fantastic for learning.

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<v Speaker 1>Who's the toughest interview you've done? Well?

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<v Speaker 3>We had a pretty tough one with with Elon Musk

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<v Speaker 3>because we had some technical issues, and of course that

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<v Speaker 3>you need to kind of keep concentration whilst you have

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<v Speaker 3>some technical issues. That's not so that's not so easy.

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<v Speaker 3>But I think they're all they're all very good. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>these are great people and it's fascinating to talk to

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<v Speaker 3>talk to them.

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<v Speaker 2>You're a big investor in test, do you do you

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<v Speaker 2>get into the nitty gritty of actually what a company does,

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<v Speaker 2>what they're promising, to see whether your investment continues.

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<v Speaker 4>Well, we don't. We don't really, I don't really do

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<v Speaker 4>that kind.

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<v Speaker 3>Of nitty gritty, like how many cars are you going

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<v Speaker 3>to tell? How many of them are red, how many

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<v Speaker 3>of them are blue? You know, all that kind of stuff.

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<v Speaker 4>I don't.

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<v Speaker 3>I just don't think that's necessarily important for the long

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<v Speaker 3>term success of the company. But so why what where

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<v Speaker 3>I spend time is on the business model to try

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<v Speaker 3>to understand where where they make money and why they

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<v Speaker 3>should continue to do well in the future.

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<v Speaker 4>And a lot of time on corporate culture leadership.

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<v Speaker 3>I think corporate culture is is completely underrat you know,

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<v Speaker 3>it's just underestimated because you can have two companies which

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<v Speaker 3>do exactly the same, or at least that's what looks

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<v Speaker 3>like on the surface.

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<v Speaker 4>One is hugely successful, one is a complete failure. What

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<v Speaker 4>is it?

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<v Speaker 3>You know, there is just something in the company and

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<v Speaker 3>the way they conduct business which is so important.

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<v Speaker 2>Coming up Nikolay Tangen on why the world has stumbled

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<v Speaker 2>on the path to a greener future. The commitment of

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<v Speaker 2>oil and gas companies is crucial to achieving net zero.

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<v Speaker 2>The industry supplies more than half of the world's energy

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<v Speaker 2>and is one of the planet's biggest polluters. Oil majors

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<v Speaker 2>have vowed to cut production and slash emissions, but recently,

0:10:47.559 --> 0:10:51.360
<v Speaker 2>after record breaking profits, some have walked back on those pledges,

0:10:51.720 --> 0:10:55.959
<v Speaker 2>despite pressure from institutional investors like Norway Sovereign Wealth Fund.

0:10:56.360 --> 0:11:02.920
<v Speaker 2>I continue the conversation with Nikolai Tangan. You've been one

0:11:02.920 --> 0:11:07.760
<v Speaker 2>of the most committed to climate change and to ESG matters.

0:11:08.120 --> 0:11:10.280
<v Speaker 1>Are we taking a backstep as a world?

0:11:10.520 --> 0:11:16.920
<v Speaker 3>Yes, we have done unfortunately, very unfortunate, but yes, the

0:11:16.960 --> 0:11:20.600
<v Speaker 3>world has taken a step back and I guess we

0:11:20.640 --> 0:11:24.160
<v Speaker 3>are one of the few big investors out there now

0:11:24.200 --> 0:11:28.959
<v Speaker 3>who continue to be consistent and who continued to talk

0:11:28.960 --> 0:11:31.760
<v Speaker 3>about these things the way we have done all the time.

0:11:32.280 --> 0:11:34.760
<v Speaker 3>But many people have kind of turned on the volume

0:11:34.800 --> 0:11:36.000
<v Speaker 3>on that messaging.

0:11:36.240 --> 0:11:37.720
<v Speaker 1>Why have we taken a step back?

0:11:39.640 --> 0:11:42.600
<v Speaker 3>Well, I think on the back of higher energy prices,

0:11:42.800 --> 0:11:49.280
<v Speaker 3>the energy sector got more confidence, there was more focus

0:11:49.400 --> 0:11:53.600
<v Speaker 3>on energy security, and that's kind of what started it, right,

0:11:54.000 --> 0:11:56.280
<v Speaker 3>And then you have had some political movements as well

0:11:56.320 --> 0:11:58.240
<v Speaker 3>which have moved in the same direction.

0:11:58.440 --> 0:12:01.000
<v Speaker 2>Nicolete, when you look on on some of your investments,

0:12:01.040 --> 0:12:04.160
<v Speaker 2>how difficult is it to take a company, a big company,

0:12:04.240 --> 0:12:07.480
<v Speaker 2>an oil major and change it from within as an investor,

0:12:07.679 --> 0:12:10.040
<v Speaker 2>and therefore how difficult is it to decide to stay

0:12:10.040 --> 0:12:11.120
<v Speaker 2>invested in that company?

0:12:11.160 --> 0:12:13.520
<v Speaker 3>Well, it's an important question because you can do two things.

0:12:13.720 --> 0:12:15.880
<v Speaker 3>If a company doesn't quite do what you think they

0:12:15.920 --> 0:12:19.160
<v Speaker 3>should be doing, you can sell it, or you can

0:12:19.440 --> 0:12:21.800
<v Speaker 3>continue to have a dialogue with them and try to

0:12:21.960 --> 0:12:23.160
<v Speaker 3>get them to change tech.

0:12:23.240 --> 0:12:25.000
<v Speaker 4>Right now, what do you achieve if you sell it?

0:12:25.480 --> 0:12:27.400
<v Speaker 3>You basically end up with a company which is owned

0:12:27.400 --> 0:12:30.520
<v Speaker 3>by investors who don't care. That doesn't make a lot

0:12:30.559 --> 0:12:32.760
<v Speaker 3>of sense. So therefore, we continue to have a dialogue

0:12:32.800 --> 0:12:37.000
<v Speaker 3>with these company's, show understanding and remain invested whilst they

0:12:37.000 --> 0:12:38.240
<v Speaker 3>are in that transition period.

0:12:38.480 --> 0:12:40.800
<v Speaker 2>Where do you feel you've made a difference and where

0:12:40.840 --> 0:12:41.880
<v Speaker 2>have you been disappointed?

0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:45.040
<v Speaker 3>I think we made a difference many places. Now I

0:12:45.040 --> 0:12:47.880
<v Speaker 3>wouldn't say we have revolutionized the oil and gas industry,

0:12:47.880 --> 0:12:52.000
<v Speaker 3>but we have been been supportive and helpful in many cases.

0:12:52.000 --> 0:12:54.000
<v Speaker 3>And that's also what we hear back from the companies.

0:12:54.800 --> 0:12:56.960
<v Speaker 2>When you look at I think you have a commitment

0:12:57.120 --> 0:12:59.600
<v Speaker 2>to make all your portfolio and at zero by twenty fifty.

0:13:00.400 --> 0:13:03.280
<v Speaker 1>Is that achievable? Certainly a goal we have.

0:13:04.600 --> 0:13:09.280
<v Speaker 2>Why are you so committed to climate change in twenty twenty.

0:13:09.000 --> 0:13:14.160
<v Speaker 3>Four because there are There are two things which is important.

0:13:14.400 --> 0:13:19.920
<v Speaker 3>One is to not let small problems become big. But

0:13:19.960 --> 0:13:23.360
<v Speaker 3>it's also important not to let big problems become small. Now,

0:13:23.400 --> 0:13:26.000
<v Speaker 3>the climate situation we're in, it's clearly a very, very

0:13:26.080 --> 0:13:30.640
<v Speaker 3>big problem. We had the hottest year on record last year.

0:13:31.000 --> 0:13:33.480
<v Speaker 3>It started to have impact in many, many different ways.

0:13:33.559 --> 0:13:35.800
<v Speaker 3>You see it in the reinsurance prices, you see it

0:13:35.840 --> 0:13:40.040
<v Speaker 3>in a lot of you know, worse harvests. It's leading

0:13:40.200 --> 0:13:44.440
<v Speaker 3>in some cases to increase immigration immigration, so it's impacting

0:13:44.480 --> 0:13:47.640
<v Speaker 3>the world in very many different ways. Now, at the

0:13:47.720 --> 0:13:49.840
<v Speaker 3>end of the day, this is actually a financial risk

0:13:50.679 --> 0:13:52.679
<v Speaker 3>because it's a risk to the value of the fund.

0:13:53.360 --> 0:13:56.240
<v Speaker 3>And if you're invested across the world and one company pollutes,

0:13:56.600 --> 0:13:58.880
<v Speaker 3>you can't hide it, right because you capture that pollution

0:13:59.000 --> 0:14:01.160
<v Speaker 3>in all the other mean as your own. So it's

0:14:01.240 --> 0:14:03.640
<v Speaker 3>very very important that the main shareholder is engaged in this.

0:14:03.880 --> 0:14:06.959
<v Speaker 2>Do you worry that actually, you know, investors don't engage

0:14:06.960 --> 0:14:08.680
<v Speaker 2>with some of these companies. And I know you also

0:14:08.679 --> 0:14:12.839
<v Speaker 2>have an ethics basically committee, the ethics Council whether you

0:14:12.960 --> 0:14:15.760
<v Speaker 2>can invest, which is independent but gives you advice or

0:14:15.800 --> 0:14:19.280
<v Speaker 2>actually forces you to either sell investments or not invest

0:14:19.320 --> 0:14:22.680
<v Speaker 2>in companies that are not ethical. How does that relationship work?

0:14:23.120 --> 0:14:25.960
<v Speaker 3>No, it works really well. So this is a separate

0:14:25.960 --> 0:14:29.840
<v Speaker 3>counsel of ethics. They have various criteria they look at

0:14:30.440 --> 0:14:35.320
<v Speaker 3>for instance, human the human rights criteria, the cold criteria,

0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:39.520
<v Speaker 3>Uklear weapon criteria, and then they would go into deep

0:14:39.520 --> 0:14:42.120
<v Speaker 3>research with various companies to see what do they whether

0:14:42.160 --> 0:14:43.960
<v Speaker 3>they breach their criteria and if they do, they would

0:14:44.000 --> 0:14:45.520
<v Speaker 3>advise us to exit.

0:14:45.920 --> 0:14:48.880
<v Speaker 1>And has that happened? Yeah, sure on climate change.

0:14:49.000 --> 0:14:53.920
<v Speaker 3>On climate change, we do exclude some companies over selves,

0:14:55.280 --> 0:14:57.400
<v Speaker 3>and it can be various parts of that they can be.

0:14:58.480 --> 0:15:03.600
<v Speaker 4>That could be, for instance, people use water resources and

0:15:03.640 --> 0:15:03.960
<v Speaker 4>so on.

0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:06.440
<v Speaker 2>I think you're also invested in like physical assets like

0:15:07.360 --> 0:15:11.400
<v Speaker 2>not went sure, but renewables. What makes more sense for

0:15:11.440 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 2>an investor like yourselves being a shareholder actually.

0:15:14.640 --> 0:15:17.400
<v Speaker 1>Owning the parks. I think you can do both.

0:15:17.440 --> 0:15:18.640
<v Speaker 4>You know, we do both.

0:15:18.720 --> 0:15:22.000
<v Speaker 3>We own some of the companies who are involved in

0:15:22.080 --> 0:15:25.680
<v Speaker 3>these projects, but we also own particular projections, not that

0:15:25.760 --> 0:15:28.520
<v Speaker 3>many because it recently came into our mandate, so we

0:15:28.600 --> 0:15:31.120
<v Speaker 3>have we've done it. And then also in the beginning

0:15:31.640 --> 0:15:34.120
<v Speaker 3>the returns weren't that's attractive. We think the returns are

0:15:34.160 --> 0:15:36.280
<v Speaker 3>better now and so we have accelerated that activity.

0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:39.320
<v Speaker 2>And this is better returns better in Europe because there's

0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:43.480
<v Speaker 2>more regulation to push towards green energy or actually does

0:15:43.480 --> 0:15:46.960
<v Speaker 2>the Inflation Production Act means that there's going to be

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:49.840
<v Speaker 2>more on shore and more appeal for green technology in

0:15:49.840 --> 0:15:50.080
<v Speaker 2>the UN.

0:15:50.200 --> 0:15:53.000
<v Speaker 3>I think what we've seen is that the Inflation Reduction

0:15:53.040 --> 0:15:55.880
<v Speaker 3>Act has made the many of the investments in the

0:15:56.000 --> 0:15:59.640
<v Speaker 3>US more attractive than what the score is in Europe.

0:16:00.280 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and will that change with the mean China is

0:16:03.880 --> 0:16:05.640
<v Speaker 2>also doing a lot of evs. So when you look

0:16:05.680 --> 0:16:09.560
<v Speaker 2>at all of all of this competition across the energy sectors,

0:16:09.600 --> 0:16:11.200
<v Speaker 2>where do you think you will be invested in five

0:16:11.280 --> 0:16:12.000
<v Speaker 2>six years from now?

0:16:12.200 --> 0:16:13.680
<v Speaker 4>Well, it's difficult to say.

0:16:13.680 --> 0:16:17.080
<v Speaker 3>And also we don't know whether the inflation reduction will

0:16:17.200 --> 0:16:19.000
<v Speaker 3>remain or whether it's going to be renewed, or whether

0:16:19.040 --> 0:16:21.080
<v Speaker 3>it's going to be you know, changed, So I don't

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:23.320
<v Speaker 3>I don't think. I don't think we really know that.

0:16:23.600 --> 0:16:25.800
<v Speaker 3>But for the time being in the US looks looks

0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:28.760
<v Speaker 3>pretty good. How do you see the US political cycle

0:16:29.320 --> 0:16:30.280
<v Speaker 3>and the rest.

0:16:30.640 --> 0:16:32.440
<v Speaker 4>So we have no view on that.

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:36.240
<v Speaker 3>We are a very long term investor and we remain

0:16:36.320 --> 0:16:39.000
<v Speaker 3>invested throughout political cycles.

0:16:39.200 --> 0:16:41.240
<v Speaker 2>But does this year, I think four and a half

0:16:41.320 --> 0:16:44.600
<v Speaker 2>billion people go to vote, does that test AI or

0:16:44.600 --> 0:16:46.359
<v Speaker 2>does that test your investment strategy?

0:16:46.680 --> 0:16:48.920
<v Speaker 3>I don't think you test our investment strategy because we

0:16:48.960 --> 0:16:51.920
<v Speaker 3>generally are invested over these type of cycles. I don't

0:16:51.960 --> 0:16:54.600
<v Speaker 3>think you can kind of change your portfolio according to

0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:58.760
<v Speaker 3>where the election is. And also markets are pretty sophisticated, right,

0:16:58.800 --> 0:17:03.440
<v Speaker 3>so they are their account they are basically discounting, you know,

0:17:03.680 --> 0:17:08.399
<v Speaker 3>the current probability of the various elections we are seeing.

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:13.160
<v Speaker 3>It is questioning the use of AI in social media,

0:17:13.480 --> 0:17:15.520
<v Speaker 3>for sure, we are seeing that in many places.

0:17:16.400 --> 0:17:18.879
<v Speaker 2>Does it matter to you know, to you being the

0:17:18.960 --> 0:17:21.480
<v Speaker 2>largest sovereign wealth fund in the world, does it gives

0:17:21.480 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 2>you more access, for example, and political cloud to invest

0:17:25.440 --> 0:17:26.200
<v Speaker 2>in places?

0:17:26.320 --> 0:17:27.840
<v Speaker 4>No, we would not have political cloud.

0:17:28.119 --> 0:17:32.160
<v Speaker 3>It's very important that the fund remains not political and

0:17:32.200 --> 0:17:35.520
<v Speaker 3>so we are very very careful staring that balance.

0:17:35.800 --> 0:17:38.280
<v Speaker 1>But do you see it as a force for good?

0:17:38.880 --> 0:17:40.920
<v Speaker 3>I wouldn't say the fund is a force for good,

0:17:41.000 --> 0:17:45.000
<v Speaker 3>but we are trying to care about the important things

0:17:45.320 --> 0:17:47.000
<v Speaker 3>when it comes to future returns for the fund.

0:17:47.960 --> 0:17:51.919
<v Speaker 2>Coming up, Nikolay Tangen on his love for learning and

0:17:52.000 --> 0:18:00.240
<v Speaker 2>why combining knowledge is key to innovation. Nikolai tang Again

0:18:00.280 --> 0:18:03.040
<v Speaker 2>has been in charge of Norway's sovereign wealth fund since

0:18:03.080 --> 0:18:07.280
<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty, but the former hedge fund manager turned podcast

0:18:07.320 --> 0:18:11.600
<v Speaker 2>host and philanthropist has other passions. Tangan owns the biggest

0:18:11.600 --> 0:18:14.480
<v Speaker 2>private collection of Nordic Modernist.

0:18:14.119 --> 0:18:15.679
<v Speaker 1>Art and even took.

0:18:15.560 --> 0:18:19.440
<v Speaker 2>A career break to study art history. I continue the conversation.

0:18:23.480 --> 0:18:25.760
<v Speaker 2>You love also going back to school and you know,

0:18:26.000 --> 0:18:28.080
<v Speaker 2>learning about leadership, what drives you.

0:18:28.400 --> 0:18:30.920
<v Speaker 3>I just love learning, right, I think we just need

0:18:30.960 --> 0:18:36.000
<v Speaker 3>to learn otherwise, what's the point. So you'd go back

0:18:36.040 --> 0:18:38.720
<v Speaker 3>to school. I've been back to school a few times.

0:18:38.720 --> 0:18:41.040
<v Speaker 3>I did a degree when I was thirty six in

0:18:41.119 --> 0:18:43.879
<v Speaker 3>art history. I did one in social psychology when I

0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:46.280
<v Speaker 3>was you know, fifty.

0:18:46.920 --> 0:18:48.520
<v Speaker 4>I'd love to go back to school. What would you

0:18:48.520 --> 0:18:49.120
<v Speaker 4>study this time?

0:18:50.960 --> 0:18:54.080
<v Speaker 3>So many cool things. I think anthropology will be quite fun.

0:18:54.840 --> 0:19:00.280
<v Speaker 3>We're fun to study music looked so many things worry

0:19:00.280 --> 0:19:03.800
<v Speaker 3>about though. I mean, you seem very optimistic by nature.

0:19:04.480 --> 0:19:07.240
<v Speaker 3>You love your job, but it also feels like the

0:19:07.280 --> 0:19:10.840
<v Speaker 3>world is being tested. What do people need to study

0:19:10.880 --> 0:19:14.159
<v Speaker 3>today to make sure that whatever comes our way, we

0:19:14.280 --> 0:19:17.080
<v Speaker 3>take the right decision. I think the more, in my mind,

0:19:17.119 --> 0:19:19.080
<v Speaker 3>the more different type of things you know, the better

0:19:19.119 --> 0:19:19.520
<v Speaker 3>it is.

0:19:19.840 --> 0:19:22.000
<v Speaker 4>I personally value.

0:19:22.240 --> 0:19:24.840
<v Speaker 3>I'd rather have several miles degrees than want pH D,

0:19:24.960 --> 0:19:28.160
<v Speaker 3>for instance, because I think the way you combine knowledge,

0:19:29.119 --> 0:19:32.480
<v Speaker 3>that's how you create innovation, That's how you create new solutions.

0:19:32.560 --> 0:19:36.080
<v Speaker 3>I think that's really interesting. It the more different type

0:19:36.160 --> 0:19:39.760
<v Speaker 3>of these type of languages you know, the more you

0:19:39.800 --> 0:19:43.359
<v Speaker 3>can communicate with various types of people in the organization.

0:19:43.440 --> 0:19:45.040
<v Speaker 4>And I think it's really valuable.

0:19:44.920 --> 0:19:47.240
<v Speaker 2>Because of what that makes you understand investment better because

0:19:47.280 --> 0:19:49.879
<v Speaker 2>everything's connected, or it's just enriching your mind.

0:19:50.280 --> 0:19:52.480
<v Speaker 4>No, you just I think you understand the world much better.

0:19:52.920 --> 0:19:54.280
<v Speaker 1>Is there an investor you admire?

0:19:54.920 --> 0:19:57.600
<v Speaker 4>There are many good investors out there. There are many

0:19:57.600 --> 0:19:58.760
<v Speaker 4>good investors out there.

0:19:59.119 --> 0:20:01.080
<v Speaker 3>I think the more low term you are and the

0:20:01.080 --> 0:20:03.680
<v Speaker 3>more your ability to take contra and investments, the better

0:20:03.720 --> 0:20:05.560
<v Speaker 3>you the better you are, and the better returns you'll have.

0:20:06.520 --> 0:20:09.679
<v Speaker 2>Is it more difficult now to make long term investments

0:20:09.800 --> 0:20:12.360
<v Speaker 2>just because of everything that's been thrown at us? I mean,

0:20:12.400 --> 0:20:14.239
<v Speaker 2>do you know, can you say with certainty that you

0:20:14.280 --> 0:20:15.800
<v Speaker 2>know what our world looks like in ten years?

0:20:15.880 --> 0:20:17.280
<v Speaker 4>Of course not. I haven't got a cure. I don't

0:20:17.280 --> 0:20:18.800
<v Speaker 4>even know what the world is going to look like tomorrow.

0:20:19.760 --> 0:20:22.040
<v Speaker 4>So it is sunny, So it is. It is.

0:20:22.280 --> 0:20:25.480
<v Speaker 3>It is difficult to be a long term investor. It's

0:20:25.520 --> 0:20:29.000
<v Speaker 3>it's difficult because for two reasons, everything moves faster. Right,

0:20:29.280 --> 0:20:33.080
<v Speaker 3>So we we basically talk and walk ten percent faster

0:20:33.119 --> 0:20:35.399
<v Speaker 3>than we did thirty years ago. It's incredible, right, So

0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:38.240
<v Speaker 3>the whole everything we do is moving faster, and sometimes

0:20:38.280 --> 0:20:41.159
<v Speaker 3>it's the most difficult thing is not to do anything okay.

0:20:41.280 --> 0:20:43.119
<v Speaker 3>So to be long term means that there are periods

0:20:43.119 --> 0:20:44.880
<v Speaker 3>where you don't do anything. So you come home from

0:20:44.880 --> 0:20:46.320
<v Speaker 3>work and it's just like, hey, what do you do today?

0:20:46.400 --> 0:20:49.520
<v Speaker 3>I did nothing? Tuesday I did nothing, Wednesday I did nothing.

0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:51.479
<v Speaker 3>You have to you know your your partner is going

0:20:51.520 --> 0:20:53.680
<v Speaker 3>to start to wander by Friday. What's what are you

0:20:53.680 --> 0:20:54.600
<v Speaker 3>actually doing at work?

0:20:54.680 --> 0:20:54.920
<v Speaker 4>Right?

0:20:55.119 --> 0:20:58.400
<v Speaker 3>So it's very complicated not to do something. And also

0:20:58.480 --> 0:21:04.280
<v Speaker 3>incentive structures also is they are also often encouraging people

0:21:04.320 --> 0:21:04.840
<v Speaker 3>to do something.

0:21:05.640 --> 0:21:07.360
<v Speaker 4>So but the more you can, the more you can

0:21:07.840 --> 0:21:08.640
<v Speaker 4>live in your old world.

0:21:08.760 --> 0:21:11.440
<v Speaker 3>Do you make your own decisions independent of what other

0:21:11.440 --> 0:21:12.600
<v Speaker 3>people think, the better they will be.

0:21:12.640 --> 0:21:14.720
<v Speaker 2>I think I think everyone's talking about real estate at

0:21:14.720 --> 0:21:16.280
<v Speaker 2>the moment, how it's going to crash again. How do

0:21:16.320 --> 0:21:19.400
<v Speaker 2>you deal with if not the historia, certainly a lot

0:21:19.440 --> 0:21:21.920
<v Speaker 2>of market whispers about things going wrong.

0:21:22.240 --> 0:21:26.320
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it's a complicated issue. You know, we have we

0:21:26.440 --> 0:21:29.720
<v Speaker 3>have big real estate holdings in many of the main

0:21:29.800 --> 0:21:33.760
<v Speaker 3>cities in the world. We've got nearly a thousand, you know,

0:21:34.040 --> 0:21:39.040
<v Speaker 3>investments in places like New York and you know, Washington

0:21:39.200 --> 0:21:44.080
<v Speaker 3>and Boston and so on, London, Paris that we probably

0:21:44.160 --> 0:21:48.880
<v Speaker 3>adjusted the values down by a quarter at least, and

0:21:48.920 --> 0:21:50.520
<v Speaker 3>whether they will continue down it is difficult to say.

0:21:50.560 --> 0:21:54.440
<v Speaker 3>It depends on interest rates, It depends on it depends

0:21:54.480 --> 0:21:55.480
<v Speaker 3>on various factors.

0:21:55.680 --> 0:21:56.840
<v Speaker 1>So you get interest.

0:21:56.680 --> 0:22:01.440
<v Speaker 2>Rates right, longer term and your portfolio, of course, isn't

0:22:01.440 --> 0:22:02.919
<v Speaker 2>a much better place.

0:22:03.000 --> 0:22:04.800
<v Speaker 1>Is that what you try and understand and focus on

0:22:04.840 --> 0:22:05.359
<v Speaker 1>every day?

0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:07.640
<v Speaker 3>I think I think where rates are going is it's

0:22:08.840 --> 0:22:12.080
<v Speaker 3>it's very important. I'm so understanding whether returns will come.

0:22:12.359 --> 0:22:13.920
<v Speaker 2>I think one of the questions you probably get asked

0:22:13.960 --> 0:22:15.600
<v Speaker 2>the most is how you build a good team around you?

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:18.520
<v Speaker 1>Is that also the most difficult question to answer?

0:22:18.760 --> 0:22:22.240
<v Speaker 4>No, I think that's that's pretty straightforward. You you hire them.

0:22:22.560 --> 0:22:24.560
<v Speaker 4>You hire the best people you can get. You hire

0:22:24.560 --> 0:22:25.800
<v Speaker 4>people who are better than yourself.

0:22:26.320 --> 0:22:29.600
<v Speaker 3>You hire people who have integrity and who are long

0:22:29.680 --> 0:22:33.720
<v Speaker 3>term figures, who don't jump jobs, but who've shown that

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<v Speaker 3>they are loyal and can stay.

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<v Speaker 4>In a job for you know, at least five years.

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<v Speaker 3>And then you when you have clever people, you don't

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<v Speaker 3>need to particularly manage them.

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<v Speaker 4>You just figure out where you're going and you and

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<v Speaker 4>you go there together. Do you make sure you have

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<v Speaker 4>some fun?

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<v Speaker 1>But so, what's your so if you don't have to

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<v Speaker 1>manage them.

0:22:51.960 --> 0:22:56.240
<v Speaker 2>What's your what's your kind of resondet you're there to steer.

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<v Speaker 3>Can figure out you to kind of figure out well

0:22:58.440 --> 0:23:04.720
<v Speaker 3>the direction you should go in right and encourage, encourage them,

0:23:05.400 --> 0:23:09.040
<v Speaker 3>give them praise when they do good things, and make

0:23:09.040 --> 0:23:11.040
<v Speaker 3>sure they thrive, make sure they are in the right position.

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<v Speaker 3>I have seen people who have been miserable and then

0:23:14.240 --> 0:23:18.520
<v Speaker 3>you you change their their job, and then they flourish

0:23:18.920 --> 0:23:22.119
<v Speaker 3>and they thrive and they love it. And that's in

0:23:22.160 --> 0:23:23.879
<v Speaker 3>a way one of the most fulfilling things you can

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<v Speaker 3>do as as a manager.

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<v Speaker 2>I think, Okay, where will you being in three years?

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<v Speaker 2>I don't all where would you like to be in

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<v Speaker 2>three years?

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<v Speaker 3>So my my current job, you know, has a has

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<v Speaker 3>a time limit. And to extend beyond that, they would

0:23:44.800 --> 0:23:46.359
<v Speaker 3>I would do They would need to ask me right,

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<v Speaker 3>and then I saw that would need to be an

0:23:48.280 --> 0:23:48.879
<v Speaker 3>agreement that we.

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<v Speaker 1>Get to together, but you'd like to stay.

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<v Speaker 4>I have no officially on this.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you so much for joining us. I like that.

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<v Speaker 1>It's very c I A I can either deny, no, confirm.

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<v Speaker 1>Thank you you beques. Thank you so much. M HM