1 00:00:00,280 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: Hello everyone, and welcome on into the Betting Pros Podcast. 2 00:00:03,800 --> 00:00:07,120 Speaker 1: I'm your host Thomas Viola, and today we are talking 3 00:00:07,280 --> 00:00:09,840 Speaker 1: about the U WAYFAO Champions League Final. 4 00:00:09,920 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 2: It is the super Bowl of. 5 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,640 Speaker 1: Soccer and so we have to bring on a true expert. 6 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,319 Speaker 1: You can hear it just from his accent. He knows 7 00:00:17,360 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 1: what he's doing. Nigel seely of Bette Rivers. Nigel, how 8 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:21,160 Speaker 1: are you doing. 9 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:23,840 Speaker 3: I'm very well, so I don't know about my accent. 10 00:00:23,880 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 3: My accent's a London accent. This is Liverpool accent against 11 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,479 Speaker 3: the capital of Spain. Show god, big more Spanish. It's 12 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:33,400 Speaker 3: a very good, nice full football for me? Or should 13 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 3: I got a bit Liverpool? Uh? I like the mates, 14 00:00:36,000 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 3: We're gonna go there for Liverpool. 15 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:41,479 Speaker 2: To me, it surely shows the American accent. 16 00:00:41,680 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: I just I don't hear the difference between the Liverpool 17 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:45,040 Speaker 1: and the London done. 18 00:00:45,560 --> 00:00:49,880 Speaker 3: No, honestly, I just it doesn't. 19 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 1: It doesn't come across to us the same way. It's 20 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:54,000 Speaker 1: it's like we don't have the same ear for it. 21 00:00:54,000 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: It's kind of like how I don't know, I don't 22 00:00:56,000 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: think of California and New Jersey accent sound overall that 23 00:00:59,400 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: much too different. 24 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 3: To you, well, what is funny really, because the Liverpool 25 00:01:04,000 --> 00:01:06,440 Speaker 3: acts is probably one of the most sort of broadest 26 00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:09,679 Speaker 3: accents that you can possibly hear defining an accent. So 27 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:12,479 Speaker 3: you know, if someone would ask me a question wearing 28 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 3: my phone, they probably know from the South of England. 29 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:18,080 Speaker 3: I was from London specifically, but Liverpool acts you know 30 00:01:18,120 --> 00:01:21,320 Speaker 3: straight away the guys from Liverpool. So yeah, I'm very 31 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 3: but it was a bad liverple accent. It was at 32 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:26,840 Speaker 3: a very good one, so so don't worry about that. 33 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:29,679 Speaker 1: I just don't have the ear for him. I guess 34 00:01:29,720 --> 00:01:31,559 Speaker 1: I just need to spend more time across the pond. 35 00:01:31,560 --> 00:01:32,559 Speaker 1: I think that's the best solution. 36 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:33,760 Speaker 3: Sure, sure, sure. 37 00:01:34,000 --> 00:01:35,319 Speaker 2: I do need to make a trip out. 38 00:01:35,360 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 1: But of course Liverpool versus Real Madrid in the final, 39 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:44,000 Speaker 1: I am full on the Real Madrid train for several reasons, 40 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,240 Speaker 1: number one being I'm an Everton fan, so of course 41 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 1: I can't stand to see Liverpool hoisting any trophies. But 42 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: I also have a little bit of juice riding on 43 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: this game already. I have Real Madrid to win the trophy. 44 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:57,520 Speaker 1: I stand to win a little bit of money there. 45 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,000 Speaker 1: I've managed to create a nice little parlay the first 46 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:02,640 Speaker 1: three legs hitting, So now I'm just waiting on that. 47 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:05,720 Speaker 1: I'm excited. Who do you think right off the bat 48 00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:06,760 Speaker 1: is hoisting the Trailphy. 49 00:02:08,520 --> 00:02:10,000 Speaker 3: To be honest with you, tom Me, it's a real 50 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 3: difficult betting this conundrum to solve. The one thing I 51 00:02:13,440 --> 00:02:16,480 Speaker 3: would say the value is definitely Real Madrid. Yeah. I 52 00:02:16,480 --> 00:02:19,200 Speaker 3: don't believe for one minute that Liverpool and Real Madrid 53 00:02:20,120 --> 00:02:22,519 Speaker 3: that much different from the odds. That suggests that we're 54 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 3: coming into this final with For me, watching Premier League 55 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 3: football week in and week out and watching Liverpool sort 56 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:30,239 Speaker 3: of looking at the psychology of football as well. I 57 00:02:30,240 --> 00:02:32,400 Speaker 3: look at a lot of the psychology of football, and 58 00:02:32,480 --> 00:02:33,919 Speaker 3: I look at a bit I break things down a 59 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,079 Speaker 3: little bit different from just actually looking at results. Liverpool 60 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:39,640 Speaker 3: have looked a very very tired side over the last 61 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:43,239 Speaker 3: few weeks. They've been involved in so many competitions. Domestically, 62 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:45,400 Speaker 3: they won the FA Cup over a one hundred and 63 00:02:45,440 --> 00:02:47,880 Speaker 3: twenty minutes in extra time, went to penalties. They won 64 00:02:47,919 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 3: the Caribou Cup against Chelsea, high intensity games, big big games. 65 00:02:52,120 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 3: They've gone through big, big European games as well, and 66 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:58,360 Speaker 3: they've had a title run which has lasted all the 67 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:02,680 Speaker 3: way to the final seats a season and also emotionally 68 00:03:02,720 --> 00:03:04,280 Speaker 3: they thought that one stage they were going to win 69 00:03:04,320 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 3: the title because they've felt that mages City were losing 70 00:03:07,680 --> 00:03:10,720 Speaker 3: toil against a Stavin they scored a third. So it's 71 00:03:10,760 --> 00:03:13,519 Speaker 3: been a really, really really long hard season. And in 72 00:03:13,720 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 3: throwing to the mix as well, halfway through the season, 73 00:03:17,160 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 3: Marlee and Sala, their two best players, arguably offensive players, 74 00:03:21,840 --> 00:03:24,360 Speaker 3: both been at the African Cup of Nations. You've got 75 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 3: the Copra America, You've got the European Championships as well. 76 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:30,480 Speaker 3: Last summer Liverpool have looked tired. If you look at 77 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:33,160 Speaker 3: the data of Liverpool, the analytic called data of them, 78 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:35,680 Speaker 3: they haven't run so much over the last few matches. 79 00:03:36,280 --> 00:03:39,960 Speaker 3: The Salah doesn't look fit to me. Robertson went off 80 00:03:40,240 --> 00:03:44,000 Speaker 3: in the FA Cup final, Vandyke went off in the 81 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,480 Speaker 3: FA Cup final, and they look aside to me that 82 00:03:46,520 --> 00:03:49,280 Speaker 3: are completely running on empty. Coming into the biggest game 83 00:03:49,320 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 3: of the season, Klopp, could you know any manager could 84 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 3: motivate aside and get everybody completely pumped, then Jogen kop 85 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,720 Speaker 3: is certainly that man. But just from the evidence of 86 00:03:59,760 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 3: the games coming into the final stretch of the Premier League. 87 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,480 Speaker 3: Liverpool aren't the same Liverpool as we saw in the 88 00:04:04,520 --> 00:04:07,240 Speaker 3: early part of the season September, October, November, they were flying. 89 00:04:07,680 --> 00:04:10,400 Speaker 3: They're not that side. Real Madrid, on the other hand, 90 00:04:10,840 --> 00:04:14,760 Speaker 3: have won the title. They've had two weeks. They've Carlo 91 00:04:14,800 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 3: Ancelotti and his teammates were smoking cigars on the top 92 00:04:17,400 --> 00:04:19,920 Speaker 3: of the of the bus celebrating with the title. They 93 00:04:19,960 --> 00:04:22,800 Speaker 3: have had two weeks off against mediocre opposition. They've been 94 00:04:22,800 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 3: able to arrest players where to get players back from fitness, 95 00:04:26,120 --> 00:04:29,160 Speaker 3: and they looked like someone said, it's very important that 96 00:04:29,360 --> 00:04:32,359 Speaker 3: the cup. Not the best teams win cups. You know, 97 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 3: the best teams win leagues. The best freak results happen 98 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 3: in cups. And to be fair, Real Madrid will come 99 00:04:38,279 --> 00:04:40,680 Speaker 3: here and think, how on earth have we got to 100 00:04:41,080 --> 00:04:45,120 Speaker 3: Paris this weekend they were outplayed against Paris Eginy Man 101 00:04:45,200 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 3: for the long periods of that game. They were completely 102 00:04:47,560 --> 00:04:50,359 Speaker 3: outplayed for Chelsea in the second end, and what Man City. 103 00:04:50,880 --> 00:04:53,880 Speaker 3: The capitulation happened to Man City will never happen again. 104 00:04:54,240 --> 00:04:57,040 Speaker 3: So they're extremely lucky to be here. But I feel 105 00:04:57,080 --> 00:04:59,400 Speaker 3: that some of it. Sometimes someone's name is on the 106 00:04:59,400 --> 00:05:02,480 Speaker 3: cup and I can see why you bet Real Madrid 107 00:05:02,520 --> 00:05:04,600 Speaker 3: because I think there is no difference. 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See Sleeper 141 00:06:28,480 --> 00:06:29,279 Speaker 1: dot com for details. 142 00:06:30,320 --> 00:06:32,000 Speaker 2: I completely agree with you here. 143 00:06:32,040 --> 00:06:34,719 Speaker 1: I mean when I looked at the odds Liverpool plus 144 00:06:34,720 --> 00:06:37,440 Speaker 1: one tenet Bett rivers Real plus two to fifty five, 145 00:06:37,480 --> 00:06:40,120 Speaker 1: the draw it plus two seventy through ninety minutes. I'll 146 00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:43,320 Speaker 1: get into that in a second, but that line just 147 00:06:43,400 --> 00:06:45,960 Speaker 1: seems so mind blowing to me that obviously all the 148 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:49,200 Speaker 1: values on Real Madrid here are these teams are really 149 00:06:49,360 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 1: quite evenly matched. When it comes to talent. Kareem Benzam 150 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:54,560 Speaker 1: is playing like the best player in the world right now. 151 00:06:54,680 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: Like you said, Liverpool is coming in this game, tired. 152 00:06:57,040 --> 00:06:59,479 Speaker 1: I was honestly surprised to see them favored by this much. 153 00:07:00,040 --> 00:07:01,840 Speaker 3: Well, let me tell you one thing. If you can 154 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:04,600 Speaker 3: get plus one ten Liverpool to win in ninety minutes, 155 00:07:04,680 --> 00:07:08,200 Speaker 3: now you want to take it because there's the money 156 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 3: in England now is all coming for Liverpool, which you 157 00:07:10,280 --> 00:07:13,800 Speaker 3: would expect, and that will filter into the US market. 158 00:07:13,840 --> 00:07:16,720 Speaker 3: I expect Liverpool to start this game at Evans plus 159 00:07:16,880 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 3: one don potentially even minus money. That there is money 160 00:07:20,800 --> 00:07:22,960 Speaker 3: coming from from the Far East. Is money coming in 161 00:07:22,960 --> 00:07:25,880 Speaker 3: for Liverpool now. So if you've got that plus one ten, 162 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:28,320 Speaker 3: if you want to better Liverpool supporter to take it 163 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:32,600 Speaker 3: for real, Madrid betters, I would hold fire, hang on 164 00:07:32,800 --> 00:07:34,560 Speaker 3: to your slip, wait till the last minute, because I 165 00:07:34,560 --> 00:07:36,480 Speaker 3: think you're going to get much better price, much bit 166 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:39,280 Speaker 3: more juice in your price for me when it gets 167 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:41,200 Speaker 3: to these major finals. I mean, we've had two major 168 00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:44,120 Speaker 3: finances to come in this country this season, both of 169 00:07:44,160 --> 00:07:48,120 Speaker 3: them ending draws. We had a very low scoring conference 170 00:07:48,360 --> 00:07:51,400 Speaker 3: at Europa Conference Final that could have quite easy in 171 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:54,160 Speaker 3: the draw a couple of nights ago, and I feel 172 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:56,720 Speaker 3: that the draw here represents the best value in nineteen minutes. 173 00:07:56,800 --> 00:07:58,040 Speaker 3: I think this is going to be a long game. 174 00:07:58,760 --> 00:08:01,480 Speaker 3: To get plus two seventy five or to seventy to 175 00:08:01,600 --> 00:08:04,840 Speaker 3: draw seems ludicrous to me. The one thing both the 176 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:08,960 Speaker 3: sides have got his goals. The goals is where this 177 00:08:09,200 --> 00:08:11,080 Speaker 3: you know. I don't think we sit and watch another 178 00:08:11,120 --> 00:08:12,800 Speaker 3: Neil Neil. I think both sides are going to go 179 00:08:12,960 --> 00:08:16,040 Speaker 3: all out to score goals. Both defenses are probably their 180 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,320 Speaker 3: weakest link, but they're still equally. They're still fantastic, but 181 00:08:19,400 --> 00:08:21,840 Speaker 3: the defense is their weakest think, but their biggest abilities 182 00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 3: there strength in attack. And I believe that both managers 183 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:27,200 Speaker 3: only know how to play for win one way. And 184 00:08:27,200 --> 00:08:28,920 Speaker 3: I think we've got a very good final. But I 185 00:08:28,960 --> 00:08:31,160 Speaker 3: would think it could be a goal scoring draw and 186 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,280 Speaker 3: then that really helps you real Madrid ticket. I don't 187 00:08:33,280 --> 00:08:35,920 Speaker 3: know if your bet Tom was on the Real Madrid 188 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:38,680 Speaker 3: to winning ninety minutes or lift the trophy, but I 189 00:08:38,679 --> 00:08:40,280 Speaker 3: think if you're going to be a Real Madrid better, 190 00:08:40,320 --> 00:08:42,080 Speaker 3: you've got to bet Real Madrid to lift the trophy 191 00:08:42,280 --> 00:08:44,160 Speaker 3: rather than better them to rely nineteen minutes, because I 192 00:08:44,200 --> 00:08:45,720 Speaker 3: think the draw is a big, big run here. 193 00:08:46,160 --> 00:08:48,240 Speaker 1: That is exactly what I was thinking about this game. 194 00:08:48,280 --> 00:08:49,840 Speaker 1: It feels like one of those games that's going to 195 00:08:49,840 --> 00:08:52,480 Speaker 1: go into extra time to me, especially with the way 196 00:08:52,559 --> 00:08:54,880 Speaker 1: Real Madrid has played this season, They've saved it for 197 00:08:55,000 --> 00:08:57,280 Speaker 1: late in the Champions League. I took them to just 198 00:08:57,320 --> 00:08:59,480 Speaker 1: lift the trophy. I got them plus one forty to 199 00:08:59,520 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 1: do that. At bet rivers they are still plus one 200 00:09:02,160 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 1: forty to lift the trophy Liverpool minus one seventy five. 201 00:09:05,120 --> 00:09:08,880 Speaker 1: There and real quick for maybe some of our inexperienced 202 00:09:08,960 --> 00:09:12,200 Speaker 1: soccer betters listening to this, a quick explanation on the 203 00:09:12,200 --> 00:09:15,040 Speaker 1: difference here. If you're betting the full time bet, it's 204 00:09:15,040 --> 00:09:17,400 Speaker 1: what's called a three way bet. You can bet Liverpool, 205 00:09:17,400 --> 00:09:19,280 Speaker 1: you can bet Real Madrid, or you can bet the draw. 206 00:09:19,559 --> 00:09:21,640 Speaker 1: Now it's a Champions League final, there has to be 207 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:24,640 Speaker 1: a winner. What the draw means is after ninety minutes 208 00:09:24,880 --> 00:09:26,680 Speaker 1: the teams are tied and go to overtime, your bet 209 00:09:26,720 --> 00:09:28,200 Speaker 1: is over. If you bet the draw, you in. If 210 00:09:28,200 --> 00:09:30,480 Speaker 1: you bet one of the sides, you lose. If you 211 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:33,840 Speaker 1: bet to win the trophy, you're eliminating any sort of 212 00:09:33,880 --> 00:09:36,040 Speaker 1: worry there. You are just betting on which team is 213 00:09:36,080 --> 00:09:37,839 Speaker 1: going to be hoisting the trophy at the end of 214 00:09:37,880 --> 00:09:40,160 Speaker 1: the night. As the name implies, and you don't have 215 00:09:40,200 --> 00:09:42,160 Speaker 1: to worry if they win it an extra time or 216 00:09:42,240 --> 00:09:44,720 Speaker 1: regular time. That can be a little bit confusing for 217 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:46,560 Speaker 1: some people who are first time soccer betters. 218 00:09:47,120 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 3: It's probably been the biggest question of had in my 219 00:09:49,280 --> 00:09:52,960 Speaker 3: DMS ever since where did you get your haircut? I 220 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 3: think that's the big question that a lot of people 221 00:09:56,040 --> 00:09:58,520 Speaker 3: ask me all the time. They're gonna understand the ninety 222 00:09:58,559 --> 00:10:01,840 Speaker 3: minute bessing rule. There did my bet was graded as 223 00:10:01,840 --> 00:10:04,640 Speaker 3: a loser? Well, ninety minutes is exactly what it says, 224 00:10:04,640 --> 00:10:06,960 Speaker 3: you know, at the full time regulation time, when the 225 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,000 Speaker 3: game is, the whistle was blown. If the game is 226 00:10:09,000 --> 00:10:11,520 Speaker 3: a drawer goes into that market closes and a new 227 00:10:11,559 --> 00:10:14,160 Speaker 3: market reforms. To win the trophy, to win the trophy. 228 00:10:14,200 --> 00:10:16,839 Speaker 3: If it's always good to bet win the trophy, if 229 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:19,120 Speaker 3: you like the dog, I think it's the best if 230 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 3: you like the favorite. Yet the favorite done in ninety minutes, 231 00:10:21,520 --> 00:10:24,079 Speaker 3: not the favorite to win because because you'll lower you 232 00:10:24,120 --> 00:10:27,800 Speaker 3: odds decrease, but so that brings in penalty shootouts, that 233 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:29,520 Speaker 3: brings you an extra time or in your extra time, 234 00:10:29,559 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 3: and that's pretty much what Real Madrid have done a 235 00:10:32,920 --> 00:10:35,200 Speaker 3: couple of times this season in games against Chelsea and 236 00:10:35,440 --> 00:10:36,000 Speaker 3: magest City. 237 00:10:36,040 --> 00:10:38,880 Speaker 2: You've done it in extra time exactly. 238 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:41,800 Speaker 1: I mean, the thing that worries me the most about 239 00:10:41,800 --> 00:10:44,600 Speaker 1: this Real Madrid team is the fact that they have 240 00:10:44,760 --> 00:10:47,320 Speaker 1: waited so late. They have been the comeback kids. They've 241 00:10:47,360 --> 00:10:50,360 Speaker 1: been down in most of their Champions League games and 242 00:10:50,400 --> 00:10:53,360 Speaker 1: had to come back. If Liverpool can score first, would 243 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:55,560 Speaker 1: you be thinking about a real Madrid in game or 244 00:10:55,600 --> 00:10:57,600 Speaker 1: is ninety minutes just not enough time when you have 245 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:00,240 Speaker 1: that second leg that has come into play all the 246 00:11:00,280 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: other games that you don't have here for real. 247 00:11:02,320 --> 00:11:04,360 Speaker 3: Well, I think it's an interesting thing thing you said, 248 00:11:04,400 --> 00:11:05,839 Speaker 3: because I looked at a couple of props that bed 249 00:11:05,920 --> 00:11:08,720 Speaker 3: rivers had up on the website and in the game 250 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:10,880 Speaker 3: that I expect goals. I think, you know, my biggest 251 00:11:10,920 --> 00:11:12,520 Speaker 3: bet would be over two and a half goals. We 252 00:11:12,600 --> 00:11:14,120 Speaker 3: might come on to that in a minute, but I 253 00:11:14,120 --> 00:11:16,200 Speaker 3: think that I do expect goals here. So where any 254 00:11:16,280 --> 00:11:18,720 Speaker 3: any goal angle I think is value over two and 255 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,079 Speaker 3: a half over three and a half both teams to score. Yes, 256 00:11:21,440 --> 00:11:23,920 Speaker 3: you can do it in game parlays, you know you can. 257 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:25,840 Speaker 3: You can maxim all at the same game parlo as 258 00:11:25,840 --> 00:11:28,840 Speaker 3: you can. You can maxim all up. But I think 259 00:11:28,880 --> 00:11:32,240 Speaker 3: here we've got goals and carlo An Chartti was that 260 00:11:32,280 --> 00:11:34,400 Speaker 3: he's the manager of Real Madrid. He was the manager 261 00:11:34,440 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 3: of AC Milan in that game in is stanin bull 262 00:11:36,679 --> 00:11:39,440 Speaker 3: where Liverpool were three, meel down at halftime and come back. 263 00:11:39,880 --> 00:11:42,160 Speaker 3: I like there's a prop they have here where a 264 00:11:42,280 --> 00:11:44,280 Speaker 3: side goes in the lead at one stage in the 265 00:11:44,320 --> 00:11:46,520 Speaker 3: game and the other team win. I think that's the 266 00:11:46,600 --> 00:11:48,240 Speaker 3: kind of game we're going to see. And I think 267 00:11:48,240 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 3: we'd have a basketball soccer match. So I like Liverpool 268 00:11:51,559 --> 00:11:55,400 Speaker 3: to win after falling behind, which is nine nine dollars, 269 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:58,960 Speaker 3: and Real Madrid to win after falling behind his thirteen dollars. 270 00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 3: So I think if you can bet both of those 271 00:12:01,559 --> 00:12:03,560 Speaker 3: for a very very small stakes, a piece of money 272 00:12:03,559 --> 00:12:05,000 Speaker 3: on those, I think you're gonna have a good run 273 00:12:05,040 --> 00:12:06,920 Speaker 3: for your money because I feel that's the kind of 274 00:12:06,920 --> 00:12:08,280 Speaker 3: game we're going to see. I don't think we're going 275 00:12:08,280 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 3: to see European Cup finals. Before you see the team 276 00:12:10,280 --> 00:12:12,599 Speaker 3: go wander up. They sat back and defended, let the 277 00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:15,280 Speaker 3: opposition come on to them. You can't do that in 278 00:12:15,320 --> 00:12:18,160 Speaker 3: this game. This game, if one team goes one like 279 00:12:18,200 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 3: the other team, we're going to throw everything at them 280 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:23,520 Speaker 3: and they will likely score. So you're going to in play. 281 00:12:23,520 --> 00:12:26,400 Speaker 3: You're going to have a very nice ticket because I 282 00:12:26,440 --> 00:12:28,160 Speaker 3: don't see one team just sitting on a one. They'll 283 00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:29,480 Speaker 3: leading and winning one. 284 00:12:29,520 --> 00:12:29,679 Speaker 1: Deal. 285 00:12:29,720 --> 00:12:31,240 Speaker 3: I think if it goes one, they're learning, it'll be 286 00:12:31,240 --> 00:12:32,880 Speaker 3: one one, then it'll be two one and three one. 287 00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,640 Speaker 3: Then we have a great game. So that's a nice 288 00:12:35,640 --> 00:12:38,160 Speaker 3: little parlay I like. But I think the angle really 289 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:41,760 Speaker 3: for any neutral watching this game, anybody come in here 290 00:12:43,320 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 3: looking for betting for the very first time, I think 291 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:48,000 Speaker 3: you're going to on soccer betting. I think we're going 292 00:12:48,040 --> 00:12:50,199 Speaker 3: to see goals. So I think if you can, if 293 00:12:50,200 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 3: we can make you a nice in play parlat or 294 00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:56,000 Speaker 3: a same match parlor here with the goals market, because 295 00:12:56,000 --> 00:12:58,440 Speaker 3: the goals markets are very low, that that would be 296 00:12:58,440 --> 00:12:59,200 Speaker 3: your best interest. 297 00:13:00,120 --> 00:13:02,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, that is one thing that's really different about most 298 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:05,560 Speaker 1: Cup finals versus what we're kind of expecting here. A 299 00:13:05,559 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 1: lot of the times you're expecting these to be cag matches. 300 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:09,800 Speaker 1: Both teams are really playing not to lose, they play 301 00:13:09,840 --> 00:13:12,800 Speaker 1: more defensive ball. Neither of these teams really likes to 302 00:13:12,920 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: do that, and it's reflected in the market. Two and 303 00:13:15,559 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 1: a half goals as minus one thirty nine at Bette Rivers. 304 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:21,760 Speaker 1: Right now, we're expecting goals in this game. We're expecting 305 00:13:21,760 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 1: this one to probably hit the over. 306 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:27,560 Speaker 3: Yeah, but that's also a very Sometimes when you expect 307 00:13:27,640 --> 00:13:30,560 Speaker 3: so much, you always get disappointed. So I think that 308 00:13:30,600 --> 00:13:32,120 Speaker 3: could be an in play bit. I mean, a lot 309 00:13:32,120 --> 00:13:33,880 Speaker 3: of stuff I do is in play. I mean, I 310 00:13:33,920 --> 00:13:36,440 Speaker 3: probably wouldn't bet the minus one thirty nine now, but 311 00:13:36,520 --> 00:13:38,640 Speaker 3: I probably waits about fifteen twenty minutes and if that 312 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:42,160 Speaker 3: hit minus one ten or hit even money, then I'd 313 00:13:42,160 --> 00:13:45,040 Speaker 3: probably play because I feel once we get one goal here, 314 00:13:45,360 --> 00:13:47,920 Speaker 3: they are going to just explode, and I think we're 315 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,920 Speaker 3: going for a real, real exciting game. So at minus 316 00:13:50,920 --> 00:13:53,320 Speaker 3: one thirty nine, I would I probably wouldn't play, but 317 00:13:53,440 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 3: I would certainly throw that into the mix with a 318 00:13:56,160 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 3: couple of parlays in the match and a couple of 319 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,320 Speaker 3: markets I like. I mean, if we look at Liverpool, 320 00:14:01,360 --> 00:14:05,920 Speaker 3: for example, Liverpool have conceding this competition a lot of goals. 321 00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,079 Speaker 3: Unfamiliar with a lot of goals. They concede three against 322 00:14:09,080 --> 00:14:11,920 Speaker 3: ben Fika, they conceded two against that beat's Gune Madrid. 323 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 3: They're considering against Inter Milan and conceded against AC Milan 324 00:14:15,600 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 3: in their last four Premier League games. Regular Premier League games, 325 00:14:18,640 --> 00:14:22,400 Speaker 3: they concede in all four against Tottenham. Admittedly Tottenham Harry 326 00:14:22,440 --> 00:14:25,560 Speaker 3: Kane and son of the best formation in the Premier 327 00:14:25,640 --> 00:14:28,080 Speaker 3: League in my opinion, but they con seeded against aston Villa. 328 00:14:28,240 --> 00:14:30,000 Speaker 3: They can see it against Wolves, they can see it 329 00:14:30,040 --> 00:14:33,840 Speaker 3: against Southampton who were going through a torrid time. And 330 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:36,320 Speaker 3: now they're playing arguably up against one of the most 331 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:40,480 Speaker 3: the best offensive units in European football, with a striker 332 00:14:40,720 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 3: in Kareem Benzamar who is at the top of his game, 333 00:14:43,200 --> 00:14:45,240 Speaker 3: who's probably the favorite of mind the ball on door 334 00:14:45,280 --> 00:14:49,360 Speaker 3: this year, and that's going to be quite half of 335 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:51,560 Speaker 3: them to shut that down. And Benzo has always been 336 00:14:51,560 --> 00:14:53,360 Speaker 3: a great player, but he's lacked a bit of confidence. 337 00:14:53,680 --> 00:14:55,880 Speaker 3: He lacked confidents at Real Madrid because he he had 338 00:14:55,960 --> 00:14:58,440 Speaker 3: Ronaldo with him once. Now Tho's gone, he's the main 339 00:14:58,440 --> 00:15:01,680 Speaker 3: man and suddenly he's now playing to his full potential. 340 00:15:02,200 --> 00:15:07,000 Speaker 3: So I think that most teams will score here. I 341 00:15:07,040 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 3: think I think we can throw in a couple of 342 00:15:09,480 --> 00:15:12,440 Speaker 3: high scoring I like correct scores. I like one to one, 343 00:15:12,480 --> 00:15:14,240 Speaker 3: I like two to that kind of stuff. I think 344 00:15:14,320 --> 00:15:17,320 Speaker 3: it's going to be a real good entertaining game. But 345 00:15:17,360 --> 00:15:20,440 Speaker 3: the other proper like is the on the on the bookings. 346 00:15:20,440 --> 00:15:22,840 Speaker 3: Bett rivers have cars on bookings. I do a lot 347 00:15:22,840 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 3: of work on booking markets. It's my second but I 348 00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 3: bet primarily on the teams to win. After that I 349 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:33,240 Speaker 3: bet on over z unders of goals and my third 350 00:15:33,280 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 3: market will be bookings. I don't really look at goal 351 00:15:35,360 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 3: scorers are much because they're all done for algorithms. They're 352 00:15:38,200 --> 00:15:41,360 Speaker 3: all done by computer generated things that are quite quite 353 00:15:41,760 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 3: very hard to beat. But referees I quite look at 354 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,240 Speaker 3: referees and I try to like break down the science 355 00:15:46,800 --> 00:15:51,040 Speaker 3: of how a referee thinks. The referee here is Clement Tupin, 356 00:15:51,800 --> 00:15:57,680 Speaker 3: a French referee. He doesn't really give many bookings. His 357 00:15:57,760 --> 00:16:02,520 Speaker 3: averages three point six eight cards this season in all 358 00:16:02,560 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 3: his matches, and when you break down the four high 359 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:08,960 Speaker 3: profile matches he's refereed, he refereed Chelsea against Real Madrid 360 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:12,400 Speaker 3: and he gave two bookings. He refereed west Ham against 361 00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:14,400 Speaker 3: Seville in the Europa League, which was a real, real 362 00:16:14,640 --> 00:16:18,680 Speaker 3: high intensity game, hostile atmosphere. He gave three bookings. He 363 00:16:18,760 --> 00:16:21,480 Speaker 3: refereed Dortmund against Rangers in the Europa League gave two 364 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:24,480 Speaker 3: bookings and he refereed Italy against North Macedonia in the 365 00:16:24,520 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 3: game that Italy were eliminated from the World Cup in 366 00:16:27,160 --> 00:16:29,880 Speaker 3: qualification and he only gave one booking. So in the 367 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:32,400 Speaker 3: in the high the real high profile games, this guy 368 00:16:32,480 --> 00:16:35,240 Speaker 3: talks to him. He's a lawyer by trade. He would 369 00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:36,800 Speaker 3: rather give you a good telling off and a good 370 00:16:36,840 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 3: talking to and Stanley's authority rather than giving you a card. 371 00:16:40,400 --> 00:16:44,120 Speaker 3: And when you look at Liverpool's history in Champions League 372 00:16:44,120 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 3: fires or recent history Champion League files, I know it 373 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,920 Speaker 3: doesn't really mean much from from a few years back 374 00:16:49,960 --> 00:16:52,560 Speaker 3: to what it is now. But when Liverpool played Tottenham 375 00:16:52,640 --> 00:16:56,680 Speaker 3: in an all England English Champions League final, there wasn't 376 00:16:56,720 --> 00:16:58,720 Speaker 3: a card, there was no yellow card, and when they 377 00:16:58,720 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 3: played Real Madrid a few years back in the Champions 378 00:17:01,360 --> 00:17:03,920 Speaker 3: League final there was only one yellow card. I think 379 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 3: these two sides will pay each other so much respect 380 00:17:07,160 --> 00:17:10,359 Speaker 3: from football in respect rather than rolling on the floor 381 00:17:10,440 --> 00:17:12,280 Speaker 3: rather than you know, if you see the Italian side 382 00:17:12,280 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 3: planning against the Spanish side, I think they're all trying 383 00:17:14,600 --> 00:17:16,880 Speaker 3: to get a gainsmanship one up in ship and try 384 00:17:16,920 --> 00:17:18,800 Speaker 3: to get the referee once side. I don't think this 385 00:17:18,880 --> 00:17:20,919 Speaker 3: is the case. I think this is a group of 386 00:17:20,960 --> 00:17:23,679 Speaker 3: set of players with two managers that like teams to 387 00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:25,879 Speaker 3: get up, get on with it, played football. So I 388 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 3: think for the parlay, we're going to throw in under 389 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:30,280 Speaker 3: four and a half cards in this game, so over 390 00:17:30,320 --> 00:17:32,639 Speaker 3: two and a half goals or both teams have scored, yes, 391 00:17:32,800 --> 00:17:35,080 Speaker 3: under four and a half cars, throw that into the 392 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:38,399 Speaker 3: second leg of the parlor to boost up your odds. 393 00:17:39,160 --> 00:17:41,080 Speaker 1: There you go that that is really a market that 394 00:17:41,200 --> 00:17:43,639 Speaker 1: a lot of people don't necessarily think of because it 395 00:17:43,720 --> 00:17:46,560 Speaker 1: doesn't exist. You can't bet the number of flags thrown 396 00:17:46,600 --> 00:17:48,639 Speaker 1: in a football game or the number of penalties in 397 00:17:48,680 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 1: a hockey game. It's it's not something that people really 398 00:17:51,680 --> 00:17:53,200 Speaker 1: think about that they can go and bet on. But 399 00:17:53,320 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 1: in soccer, it's such an untapped market where you can 400 00:17:55,840 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 1: find some potential. 401 00:17:57,560 --> 00:17:59,919 Speaker 3: Definitely, yeah, I mean it's it's probably over here. It's 402 00:18:00,119 --> 00:18:03,600 Speaker 3: it's one of our big markets. You know, it's you know, 403 00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:06,520 Speaker 3: the referee because you look at the it's quite interesting 404 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:08,440 Speaker 3: market because you look at the average of the referee, 405 00:18:08,800 --> 00:18:10,760 Speaker 3: you look at the average of the seam, and then 406 00:18:10,760 --> 00:18:13,040 Speaker 3: you take in the consideration the high profile of the game. 407 00:18:13,119 --> 00:18:15,440 Speaker 3: And you know, I always like going over some second 408 00:18:15,480 --> 00:18:17,760 Speaker 3: legs of football matches, not first legs. The first leggs 409 00:18:17,760 --> 00:18:20,000 Speaker 3: are quite cage. You play respect and suddenly second legs 410 00:18:20,080 --> 00:18:23,840 Speaker 3: everything goes crazy. Then average doesn't mean anything. But I 411 00:18:23,960 --> 00:18:26,920 Speaker 3: just look at the I know this guy's given bookings 412 00:18:27,320 --> 00:18:29,680 Speaker 3: and yellow cars and red cars in other games. When 413 00:18:29,680 --> 00:18:32,320 Speaker 3: you look at the high profile matches, it seems a 414 00:18:32,440 --> 00:18:35,600 Speaker 3: rather sensible chap. So I won't be. I won't be. 415 00:18:35,680 --> 00:18:37,199 Speaker 3: I don't think it's going to be dishing out those 416 00:18:37,280 --> 00:18:40,680 Speaker 3: cards with regularities you expect in other games. 417 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:43,080 Speaker 2: Which is a good thing to see. 418 00:18:43,160 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 1: I mean, how many times we saw in the Liverpool 419 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:48,760 Speaker 1: Tottenham Champions League final wasn't necessarily a card, but that 420 00:18:49,320 --> 00:18:51,520 Speaker 1: handball penalty at the beginning of the game kind of 421 00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 1: ruined the entire thing. We got the penalty kick and 422 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:56,440 Speaker 1: it finished one nail after that and it took the 423 00:18:56,600 --> 00:18:58,400 Speaker 1: entire air out of it. It's great when the ref 424 00:18:58,480 --> 00:19:00,640 Speaker 1: doesn't play a huge part exactly. 425 00:19:01,600 --> 00:19:02,400 Speaker 2: Guys, real quick. 426 00:19:02,480 --> 00:19:05,240 Speaker 1: Remember when you're looking for free picks and sports betting advice, 427 00:19:05,359 --> 00:19:08,280 Speaker 1: bettingpros dot com has you covered with tips from over 428 00:19:08,359 --> 00:19:10,800 Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty experts to make it easy for 429 00:19:10,920 --> 00:19:13,480 Speaker 1: you to cash out. Download the app to get sports 430 00:19:13,520 --> 00:19:16,880 Speaker 1: betting alerts. You'll get notified of favorable bets based online movements, 431 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:20,640 Speaker 1: consensus picks from the most accurate experts and vetted systems. 432 00:19:20,680 --> 00:19:23,879 Speaker 1: In play, Betting Pros monitors all of the major sports books, 433 00:19:23,960 --> 00:19:27,720 Speaker 1: most accurate experts, and top systems to identify the best 434 00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:31,919 Speaker 1: betting opportunities. So download today in the Apple or Google 435 00:19:31,960 --> 00:19:36,280 Speaker 1: Play stores. Now, I know that you're not too big 436 00:19:36,440 --> 00:19:39,359 Speaker 1: on the players to score market, but there is one 437 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:40,480 Speaker 1: guy that we have to bring up. 438 00:19:40,520 --> 00:19:43,639 Speaker 2: We've already brought him up plenty here. It is Kareem Benzema. 439 00:19:44,119 --> 00:19:47,480 Speaker 1: You're only getting him around plus one forty one thirty 440 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:50,320 Speaker 1: or so to score a goal at any time. But 441 00:19:50,480 --> 00:19:52,680 Speaker 1: I was thinking of sprinkling something on him at plus 442 00:19:52,720 --> 00:19:55,040 Speaker 1: four to fifty to be the last goal scorer. How 443 00:19:55,080 --> 00:19:57,400 Speaker 1: many times have we seen him pull off these heroics 444 00:19:57,480 --> 00:19:59,920 Speaker 1: so far in this Champions League run. I think they're 445 00:20:00,160 --> 00:20:02,440 Speaker 1: might actually be a tiny bit of value on that 446 00:20:02,520 --> 00:20:04,399 Speaker 1: because you know he's most likely going to find the 447 00:20:04,440 --> 00:20:06,320 Speaker 1: back of the net in this game. I think that 448 00:20:06,480 --> 00:20:08,159 Speaker 1: he's going to be the guy that comes up in 449 00:20:08,280 --> 00:20:10,160 Speaker 1: that clutch moment and maybe seals the deal. 450 00:20:10,840 --> 00:20:12,920 Speaker 3: Well, he's the opporte choice, is the top goal scorer 451 00:20:13,000 --> 00:20:16,359 Speaker 3: in the in the competition. Yeah, but I mean I 452 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 3: always and I could never understand why people don't bet 453 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 3: the last goal scorer rather than the first goal scorer, 454 00:20:21,440 --> 00:20:24,040 Speaker 3: because if you if you make your play, then it's 455 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,280 Speaker 3: you know there's a goal in ten minutes. You're sitting 456 00:20:26,280 --> 00:20:29,760 Speaker 3: there for eighty eighty minutes with no voucher, no ticket, 457 00:20:30,080 --> 00:20:32,600 Speaker 3: no interest. But at least if you bet the person 458 00:20:32,680 --> 00:20:35,280 Speaker 3: to score the last goal, you've got to you've got 459 00:20:35,320 --> 00:20:39,200 Speaker 3: a voucher that runs quite a lot. So I'm always 460 00:20:39,200 --> 00:20:42,800 Speaker 3: surprised by that. I don't like the favorites, and I've 461 00:20:42,840 --> 00:20:45,680 Speaker 3: made my point about it. I think there artificially low 462 00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:49,600 Speaker 3: because I feel that the public bet them. It's a 463 00:20:49,680 --> 00:20:52,920 Speaker 3: big game. Benza Morle is a big player. You would 464 00:20:52,920 --> 00:20:54,399 Speaker 3: expect him to turn up, but I don't think you 465 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:57,959 Speaker 3: need to get much value. I look for alternatives against 466 00:20:58,000 --> 00:21:01,120 Speaker 3: the favorites, and the one I I like a really 467 00:21:01,160 --> 00:21:03,480 Speaker 3: big price. I think you're looking at a game there 468 00:21:03,640 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 3: could be I think Real Madrid can see a lot 469 00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:08,320 Speaker 3: of goals from set pieces. If you look at them 470 00:21:08,359 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 3: their set pieces, they don't really defend set pieces very well. 471 00:21:10,960 --> 00:21:13,520 Speaker 3: Free kicks into the box, corner kicks they don't defend 472 00:21:13,560 --> 00:21:16,640 Speaker 3: at all well and at a big price. I think 473 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:21,400 Speaker 3: the Liverpool defender Knati acts. I think he's a huge price. 474 00:21:21,440 --> 00:21:24,040 Speaker 3: I think he's fourteen to one to score any time. 475 00:21:24,480 --> 00:21:27,520 Speaker 3: When this guy scored in both games against Benfica, He's 476 00:21:27,520 --> 00:21:30,560 Speaker 3: scored against Manchester City in the FA Cup. He's a 477 00:21:30,600 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 3: big game player and a lot of lot of goals 478 00:21:34,800 --> 00:21:38,760 Speaker 3: in big matches come from set plays and defenders going 479 00:21:38,840 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 3: up for corners. The big players like the Benz and Mars, 480 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,840 Speaker 3: and the big players are Seller usually a mark completely 481 00:21:44,880 --> 00:21:46,600 Speaker 3: out of the game where they don't get a touch. 482 00:21:48,040 --> 00:21:50,160 Speaker 3: You know they might get touched with later on when 483 00:21:50,200 --> 00:21:52,080 Speaker 3: tid legs come in, which I can understand why your 484 00:21:52,160 --> 00:21:54,760 Speaker 3: last play is, but I feel that we might look 485 00:21:54,840 --> 00:21:58,480 Speaker 3: for something I would rather always rather look for a 486 00:21:58,560 --> 00:22:01,160 Speaker 3: little bit of a value player. And the other one 487 00:22:01,200 --> 00:22:04,119 Speaker 3: I think he's probably a good player is Lewis Das. 488 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,560 Speaker 3: I think Seller looks tired. I don't think he looks fit. 489 00:22:09,680 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 3: I don't believe you'll play the whole nineteen minutes. He 490 00:22:11,840 --> 00:22:13,320 Speaker 3: might not even start. I think he might come on 491 00:22:13,400 --> 00:22:14,960 Speaker 3: with twenty minutes to go. I don't think he's fit, 492 00:22:15,320 --> 00:22:19,000 Speaker 3: but Lewis Dias from Liverpool, he's got so much pace. 493 00:22:19,000 --> 00:22:21,240 Speaker 3: I've never seen a player for many years come into 494 00:22:21,280 --> 00:22:23,639 Speaker 3: the Premier League and make a bigger impact than him. 495 00:22:23,720 --> 00:22:26,960 Speaker 3: I think he's just a justice straight away on the break. 496 00:22:27,040 --> 00:22:30,160 Speaker 3: He's frightening and I feel that as the game goes 497 00:22:30,240 --> 00:22:32,600 Speaker 3: late on, Lewis Diaz could be an alternative for the 498 00:22:33,080 --> 00:22:34,879 Speaker 3: any time goal scorer or the last goal scorer. 499 00:22:35,680 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 2: There you go. 500 00:22:36,119 --> 00:22:37,679 Speaker 1: You can get him for last goal scorer right now 501 00:22:37,720 --> 00:22:42,240 Speaker 1: plus seven and fifty at Bettrivers Canaate is eleven to 502 00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:43,760 Speaker 1: one to be an anytime goalscorer. 503 00:22:44,440 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 2: There's some value there. You can only be so wrong 504 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:47,080 Speaker 2: at eleven to one. 505 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 3: Right, I'd rather bet that than a very low price 506 00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:54,480 Speaker 3: on Venzm. I would I just look for a value. 507 00:22:54,640 --> 00:22:56,960 Speaker 3: I think you're playing a novelty market. I think you 508 00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:58,560 Speaker 3: know you've got to have everything to go for you. 509 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:00,920 Speaker 3: You know, if if you can look at if you 510 00:23:01,000 --> 00:23:05,240 Speaker 3: look at Benzamar's goal scoring stats and his record, a 511 00:23:05,280 --> 00:23:07,520 Speaker 3: lot of them against a lot weaker opposition in the Liverpool, 512 00:23:07,960 --> 00:23:09,920 Speaker 3: so you've got to take that into account. If you 513 00:23:09,960 --> 00:23:12,040 Speaker 3: look at his goal per game average, A lot of 514 00:23:12,119 --> 00:23:13,800 Speaker 3: it is in the Spanish league. We're playing a lot 515 00:23:13,800 --> 00:23:16,399 Speaker 3: of teams. With Real Madrid the two goal favorites, two 516 00:23:16,400 --> 00:23:18,800 Speaker 3: and a half goal favorites to win in the big matches. 517 00:23:19,080 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 3: Benzamara up until this season hasn't really turned up. But 518 00:23:23,080 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 3: he's a very different player. He's going to be around. 519 00:23:25,400 --> 00:23:27,280 Speaker 3: You know, I like your idea of taking the last goal, 520 00:23:27,720 --> 00:23:32,159 Speaker 3: but for me, I look for alternatives Cane and d s. 521 00:23:32,680 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, it can be tough, Like your true value on 522 00:23:34,600 --> 00:23:36,440 Speaker 1: a player to score a ball. I'm never going to 523 00:23:36,520 --> 00:23:39,359 Speaker 1: take someone anytime goals score in the when there's when 524 00:23:39,400 --> 00:23:42,159 Speaker 1: it's plus one forty something like that, like Benzema is 525 00:23:42,200 --> 00:23:45,240 Speaker 1: in this game. You're just there aren't enough goals in 526 00:23:45,359 --> 00:23:47,440 Speaker 1: soccer to make that a valuable player. 527 00:23:47,440 --> 00:23:52,280 Speaker 3: You're not. When Harry Kane plays for or Son plays 528 00:23:52,400 --> 00:23:55,800 Speaker 3: for Tottenham, when they score seventy percent of their goals. 529 00:23:56,240 --> 00:23:59,680 Speaker 3: You can bet Harry Kane against Burnley at plus one 530 00:23:59,760 --> 00:24:03,000 Speaker 3: ten or at even money. That's a bet in this 531 00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,120 Speaker 3: Champions League final Liverpool against Real Madrid. To better say, 532 00:24:06,160 --> 00:24:08,200 Speaker 3: a player like Men's amount plus one twenty five with 533 00:24:08,280 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 3: some book plus one forty. That's no bet for me. 534 00:24:11,000 --> 00:24:13,840 Speaker 3: You bet those players to score when they play against 535 00:24:13,840 --> 00:24:15,520 Speaker 3: a team in the bottom half of La League or 536 00:24:15,560 --> 00:24:17,760 Speaker 3: the Premier League, and then you'll be picking up cash. 537 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:21,120 Speaker 1: Want to track all of your wagers in one place, 538 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:24,760 Speaker 1: check out the Betting prospicktracker at bettingpros dot com slash 539 00:24:24,880 --> 00:24:27,359 Speaker 1: pick tracking. It syncs up with your sports books to 540 00:24:27,440 --> 00:24:30,399 Speaker 1: tally which picks hit, which miss, and gives you a 541 00:24:30,480 --> 00:24:32,720 Speaker 1: live look at what the public is doing. So you 542 00:24:32,800 --> 00:24:35,440 Speaker 1: can use real time tracking to determine which place to 543 00:24:35,520 --> 00:24:38,480 Speaker 1: make and which to fade. Get on the leaderboard and 544 00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:40,920 Speaker 1: quickly become a sharp by using the free advice we 545 00:24:41,040 --> 00:24:45,440 Speaker 1: offer it bettingpros dot com slash Picktracking. Nigel, my last 546 00:24:45,520 --> 00:24:48,760 Speaker 1: question for you here, who is hoisting the trophy? You 547 00:24:48,800 --> 00:24:49,479 Speaker 1: gotta tell us. 548 00:24:50,240 --> 00:24:52,520 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go for Real Madrid to win it, and 549 00:24:52,560 --> 00:24:54,720 Speaker 3: I'm gonna go for Real Madrid to win it. On 550 00:24:54,840 --> 00:24:57,520 Speaker 3: the penalties. I think Liverpool wrote their luck on penalties. 551 00:24:57,720 --> 00:25:01,200 Speaker 3: I think they've They've won to two penalty shootouts against 552 00:25:01,280 --> 00:25:04,040 Speaker 3: Chelsea and I think Real Madrid will just have a 553 00:25:04,080 --> 00:25:06,159 Speaker 3: wit too much. I think the names on the trophy 554 00:25:06,600 --> 00:25:08,480 Speaker 3: on their performances and how they've got out of jail 555 00:25:08,520 --> 00:25:11,160 Speaker 3: all the way through and I think they'll probably just Edgit. 556 00:25:11,480 --> 00:25:14,240 Speaker 3: That's a purely value play I think from value perspective, 557 00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,399 Speaker 3: A tight one draw in ninety minutes Real Madrid to 558 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:19,320 Speaker 3: win it after extra time pins. 559 00:25:19,600 --> 00:25:22,159 Speaker 1: I'm here for that to happen, and with Carlo Ancelotti 560 00:25:22,280 --> 00:25:25,879 Speaker 1: coaching this Real Madrid team, if they do win, I 561 00:25:26,000 --> 00:25:29,119 Speaker 1: am counting that as an Everton win over Liverpool. 562 00:25:29,200 --> 00:25:30,920 Speaker 3: In this spot, I was going to say that's the 563 00:25:30,960 --> 00:25:32,720 Speaker 3: only time at Everson shirt we'll be in the Champier's 564 00:25:32,760 --> 00:25:36,040 Speaker 3: League Final show for the next fifty years. It's obviously 565 00:25:36,040 --> 00:25:38,000 Speaker 3: you've done something for everything there. 566 00:25:38,400 --> 00:25:41,160 Speaker 1: Hey, we're still in the Premier League. That is all 567 00:25:41,280 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 1: I will take. It's all I can ask for this season. 568 00:25:43,560 --> 00:25:46,080 Speaker 1: It's been a sorry state of affairs for us. Nigel, 569 00:25:46,119 --> 00:25:48,399 Speaker 1: thank you so much for joining me today. Where can 570 00:25:48,440 --> 00:25:50,160 Speaker 1: people find you in the awesome work you're doing. 571 00:25:50,480 --> 00:25:52,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, you can find me how much Twitter account is 572 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,920 Speaker 3: at seay underscore Nigel and obviously working for Bett Rivers 573 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:58,360 Speaker 3: now providing all the contentagy you're doing a brilliant job 574 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,320 Speaker 3: along with Taylor on the EMLIS shows. To check that out. 575 00:26:01,320 --> 00:26:04,240 Speaker 3: I'll be following you guys religiously making a few quids. 576 00:26:04,680 --> 00:26:07,359 Speaker 3: So yeah, you can follow us on the Bette Rivers network, 577 00:26:07,440 --> 00:26:09,760 Speaker 3: on the YouTube show downloaded the shows that Thomas and 578 00:26:09,800 --> 00:26:11,520 Speaker 3: Bulk as well on the podcast. 579 00:26:12,320 --> 00:26:14,520 Speaker 1: Thank you so much, thank you for plugging my show 580 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:16,199 Speaker 1: as well. And guys, if you want to sign up 581 00:26:16,200 --> 00:26:18,119 Speaker 1: for a Bette Rivers account today, use the pot two 582 00:26:18,119 --> 00:26:20,879 Speaker 1: point fifty match. They will match your first deposit up 583 00:26:20,920 --> 00:26:24,120 Speaker 1: to two hundred and fifty dollars, so get on that now. 584 00:26:24,320 --> 00:26:26,399 Speaker 2: Nigel, thank you so much for joining me. 585 00:26:26,800 --> 00:26:27,040 Speaker 3: Guys. 586 00:26:27,160 --> 00:26:29,960 Speaker 1: Best of luck in the Champions League Final and beyond. 587 00:26:30,440 --> 00:26:31,560 Speaker 1: Let's cash some tickets