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Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast Podcast podcast.

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Speaker 2: All right, here we go.

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Speaker 1: Spreading the court ten seconds of eight, So just go

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Speaker 1: throw me under the basket.

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Speaker 3: Under the basket, it's.

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Speaker 4: The truth for the wind a miracle.

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Speaker 1: I water hit that.

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Speaker 3: One from the parking lot.

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Speaker 2: What's up the general nation? Welcome to the Big Bets

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Speaker 2: on Campus Podcast presented by Bett MGM. This is the

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Speaker 2: weekend college basketball betting Preview. I'm stuck in. Joining me

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Speaker 2: as always are Mike and Mike, Mike rand O, Mike Calabaris.

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Speaker 2: This will be the last episode of its kind this season.

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Speaker 2: We will add our final future to our portfolio. In

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Speaker 2: the Futures round Table, we will recap quick recap for

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Speaker 2: the week that was, if you want to rant, key

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Speaker 2: takeaway wherever you want to go with it, and then

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Speaker 2: of course we'll get to some weekend spots that we

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Speaker 2: have circled. And then starting Monday, we will record the

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Speaker 2: first couple. Sunday night, we will have ten a ten

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Speaker 2: part conference tournament betting preview with US three. Greg Wadale

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Speaker 2: even got Tana McGrath to come in. The America East

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Speaker 2: Expert and the guys from the Three Man Weave will

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Speaker 2: tackle every single Conference tournament to get you prepared, whether

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Speaker 2: you're betting them, watching them as a fan, are taking

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Speaker 2: in pools, whatever it may be. But let's get right

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Speaker 2: into it. Let's talk the week that was. Like guys

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Speaker 2: mentioned before, anywhere you want to go with it, Rand,

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Speaker 2: I'll start with you. What's going on? Brother?

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Speaker 5: What's going on? Brother?

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Speaker 4: Look?

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Speaker 5: I am where the Kentucky is flying and they look

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Speaker 5: great and they're hitting their stride and their offense has

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Speaker 5: been tremendous. But Chris Chians that must have been the

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Speaker 5: worst coaching decision by a really good coach that I've

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Speaker 5: seen in a while. So you're in Mississippi State and

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Speaker 5: you're gonna try to match offense for offense with Kentucky,

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Speaker 5: and then in that game, you're running up and down

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Speaker 5: the court, stuck, they're running off of Missus, running off

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Speaker 5: of makes sideline break pull up for three. I'm like,

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Speaker 5: what are they doing? And they're still up forty three

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Speaker 5: point thirty five at the half, and I said, maybe

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Speaker 5: they'll adjust, they'll slow it down. They double down on it.

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Speaker 5: And it was a brilliant performance by Kentucky read Chepper,

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Speaker 5: just absolutely unreal. Thirty two points, great three pointers, but Folks,

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Speaker 5: Kentucky is a sleeping dog that is sleeping no longer.

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Speaker 5: They are starting to get it together. If you think

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Speaker 5: all you people are going to face them in March Madison,

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Speaker 5: the Conference tournament, that the solution is to try to

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Speaker 5: outrun them, you're gonna be very disappointed. Guys. Kentucky is

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Speaker 5: probably the biggest enigma we've seen from a big team

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Speaker 5: coming in the tournament in a very long time, because

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Speaker 5: I don't know if they've solved their defensive problems. They

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Speaker 5: did for a couple of games against Auburn. They look good,

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Speaker 5: but they're just going up and down the floor. I

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Speaker 5: don't know what Mississippi State was doing. Just a bizarre choice,

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Speaker 5: but you're giving Kentucky momentum making them extremely dangerous.

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Speaker 1: Stuck.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, hell of a game from Reed Shepard. I actually

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Speaker 2: had some Mississippi State money line, So mine is a rant.

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Speaker 1: I remember this is a safe space. You know what

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Speaker 1: pisses me off most of all?

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Speaker 4: Okay, baby, Yeah, I'm ruan, why not?

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Speaker 2: You gotta let it out somehow. I it's I'm actually

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Speaker 2: looked this the last day of February. I'm looking forward

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Speaker 2: to March because I had a decent February. But it's

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Speaker 2: been a joyless season because I've I think I'm I've

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Speaker 2: had seventeen shots at the buzzer for covers or non covers,

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Speaker 2: and I had one go my way, which was UCSD

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Speaker 2: shot to u UCSD forced overtime with a shot a

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Speaker 2: crazy three last Saturday. But on Tuesday night alone, I

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Speaker 2: had that I had some Colorado State money line and

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Speaker 2: then the kicker was I had Wyoming. I mean, give

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Speaker 2: me a Wyoming plus five and a half the you

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Speaker 2: know you and Alvigo's ninety percent from the line forty

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Speaker 2: five percent from three, but Wyoming the fifty free throw shooter,

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Speaker 2: of course makes both the tie it when I just

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Speaker 2: needed to miss one, and then they missed the jumper

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Speaker 2: to win it, and then in overtime they miss a

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Speaker 2: layout to clinch the cover, and then of course they

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Speaker 2: missed a wide up in three at the end they

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Speaker 2: lose by six. That I mean there there is not

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Speaker 2: many things more painful in betting than a college basketball

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Speaker 2: underdog going to overtime and dying a slow death and

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Speaker 2: losing by the hook. So that was painful. But I

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Speaker 2: feel like now it might not come this season. It

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Speaker 2: might be next season. These things even out of time,

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Speaker 2: but we'll overdue for some buzzer beaters. So I'm hoping

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Speaker 2: to have an exciting March, and I cannot wait for March.

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Speaker 2: And my other rent is kind of just a throw

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Speaker 2: middle fingers up at Texas A and m What a

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Speaker 2: sad couple of weeks for them and that offense, which

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Speaker 2: is it was already in the dumps, it's gone further

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Speaker 2: into the dumps. They're done. Let's say, win the SEC

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Speaker 2: tournament and magically find ways to make shots. They're out

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Speaker 2: of it. On the positive side, and I'll get to

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Speaker 2: our futures portfolio in just a second. Saint John's in

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Speaker 2: in my opinion. They're peaking at the right time. Huge

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Speaker 2: win over Butler and a blowout win two, which helps

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Speaker 2: the net rankings to follow up that Creighton. All we

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Speaker 2: gotta do, beat Georgetown, beat the Paul goes out the year,

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Speaker 2: and I think they're in, which is good for a

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Speaker 2: future portfolio because I think John's could be a dangerous

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Speaker 2: team once they get in Calvarys. How are you? Where

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Speaker 2: do you want to go?

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Speaker 1: From the week that was well, Just to cap that

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Speaker 1: Saint John slought, I was at Nova Georgetown earlier this week.

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Speaker 4: Man, is Georgetown down? Like I still can't believe sometimes.

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Speaker 1: The flash like the March Madness moments or the Big

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Speaker 1: East Tournament moments, like this was such a proud program,

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Speaker 1: and the fact that it's fallen so far in a

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Speaker 1: sport where you should be able to with the transfer

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Speaker 1: portal get two quality starters in and turn your program

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Speaker 1: around in one year. That no more of this like

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Speaker 1: four to five year rebuilt situations. So it's just it's

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Speaker 1: just really sad to see. To be honest as a

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Speaker 1: biggiest basketball fan.

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Speaker 2: They should they have like a somewhat decent town. They

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Speaker 2: should be better than they are. They're not like the

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Speaker 2: Paul like the ball is voy to town if you

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Speaker 2: just look at their roster. But I agree, college basketball

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Speaker 2: is so much better.

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Speaker 1: When Georgetown is, and it's so rare because the commitment

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Speaker 1: by the school, the administration, and it's the only sport

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Speaker 1: that their fans care about.

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Speaker 4: So it just doesn't make sense to me that it

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Speaker 4: hasn't clicked.

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Speaker 1: I know that this is just a year one of

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Speaker 1: Coolly and we got to give them some time, but

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Speaker 1: I'm a little bit surprised. As you alluded to, the

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Speaker 1: overall roster talent should have been good enough to play

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Speaker 1: what five hundred ball in.

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Speaker 2: The Big East something like that. To us, We'll take

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Speaker 2: that Georgetown football slander.

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Speaker 4: The baseball team is fun.

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Speaker 1: My cousin actually pitched for them back in the day. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: So essentially, there's two teams that I am interested to

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Speaker 1: talk about with you guys and just kind of put

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Speaker 1: this out there.

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Speaker 4: Is Kansas officially dead or are we.

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Speaker 1: Happy to write them off as a team that can

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Speaker 1: go to the Final four? Even because losing to BYU stuck.

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Speaker 1: You tweeted about it. That was the first blown lead

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Speaker 1: for Kansas at home and what you know, one hundred

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Speaker 1: games something like that, Like to lose a game like

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Speaker 1: that just seemed unthinkable. And I think the mystique and

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Speaker 1: luster is just totally off of them at the wrong time,

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Speaker 1: headed into the Big twelve tournament, headed into March madness,

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Speaker 1: you would think that they want to be playing their

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Speaker 1: best basketball. I understand they've had injury issues with mccullor.

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Speaker 1: Maybe that provides an opportunity to buy low on them

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Speaker 1: at least against the spread moving forward. But I just

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Speaker 1: don't see them magically putting it all together in March,

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Speaker 1: and then the other team is I just like, I

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Speaker 1: don't know because I look at the metrics and then

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Speaker 1: I watch the games. What I truly think about Tennessee

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Speaker 1: because Dolton connects playing the way that he's playing, you

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Speaker 1: have that feeling like he can just go and play

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Speaker 1: hero ball and take them all the way to the

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Speaker 1: final four or maybe a national title. But then also

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Speaker 1: they're underlying defensive metrics and giving up as many points

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Speaker 1: as they have in certain games this year, I worry

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Speaker 1: maybe they're more like a candidate to get shocked in

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Speaker 1: the first weekend. So I'll putch that to you guys

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Speaker 1: real quick. What are your thoughts on Tennessee? Are you

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Speaker 1: believing what you're seeing on the high end or do

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Speaker 1: you think that there's enough deficiencies plus Rick Barnes in

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Speaker 1: March kind of holding you back from being a ballbacker?

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Speaker 2: Well, I think we're gonna say that. I think because Randall,

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Speaker 2: you're gonna have something in the futures portfolio.

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Speaker 5: Fighting as hard as I can for it.

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Speaker 2: Yes, sir, okay, all right? Uh I will say with

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Speaker 2: Kansas like, look Texas, but are really impressive. Went to

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Speaker 2: Texas Tech Warren Washington matters a lot for Texas Tech.

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Speaker 2: Kevin mccullor matters a lot for Kansas. It was just

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Speaker 2: one game that ever, and you know, people were saying, Ah,

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Speaker 2: they don't need mccullor. Mccullor is the best perimeter defender.

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Speaker 2: He is significantly better than Timberlake. He's a great shooter.

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Speaker 2: He brings so much to both ends the floor. And

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Speaker 2: it's not a deep Kansas team, and you know, you

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Speaker 2: get a lot more Timberlake, you get a lot more

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Speaker 2: on Ar, Malkar, El, Marco Jackson, excuse me. And the

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Speaker 2: team is nowhere close to the caliboard that they were

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Speaker 2: with mccullor. So his status, I don't think we've gotten

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Speaker 2: any more clarity, but his status fro himself. He was

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Speaker 2: just kind of like a little cryptic. We don't know

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Speaker 2: when we're gonna get him back. You know he's gonna

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Speaker 2: he's a guy that's gonna be a three he got

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Speaker 2: in the NBA, so that he's critical to Kansas and

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Speaker 2: Kansas's six losses in the Big Twelve. Bill Self's tenure

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Speaker 2: never has had seven losses, which could happen this weekend

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Speaker 2: against Baylor. So before we get to futures, portfolio and

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Speaker 2: we'll circle back on Tennessee. For you Calvaries. I got

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Speaker 2: a quick, quick trivia question for you guys. All right,

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Speaker 2: name the can you name the three Power Conference teams?

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Speaker 2: So current Power Conference teams that have never made the

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Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen?

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Speaker 5: Ooh, sweet sixteen? Okay, b y, you make one?

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Speaker 4: They did yeah with Danny Ainge.

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Speaker 2: Is that right?

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Speaker 4: We're not Danny Ainge A long time ago. Yeah.

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Speaker 2: I think BYU did it in twenty ten, twenty eleven,

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Speaker 2: and they did it a bunch way back in the day.

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Speaker 5: Breaks of PAC twelve.

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Speaker 2: I'll give you a hit. There's no Pac twelve really?

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Speaker 5: All right?

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Speaker 2: Over two?

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Speaker 5: Well, I know my b Seagulls did it once.

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Speaker 2: Second, all right.

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Speaker 4: I'm gonna throwing in Rutgers.

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Speaker 2: Rutgers is incorrect. Rutgers made a Final four way back

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Speaker 2: in the day, but they have not made a Sweet

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Speaker 2: sixteen since.

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Speaker 5: Stuck Vanderbilt.

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Speaker 2: Vanderbilt is incorrect.

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Speaker 1: I wonder if, like Minnesota's vacated run in ninety seven,

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Speaker 1: does that qualify them?

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Speaker 2: So the the interesting thing. The BYU team that made

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Speaker 2: the Sweet sixteen in twenty eleven was the Ford team,

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Speaker 2: and they were really good. They lost to Florida in

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Speaker 2: overtime in the Sweet sixteen. And that team, if you remember,

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Speaker 2: had Brandon Davies. They're big Man. But he got dismissed

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Speaker 2: from the team for the under code violation on March first,

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Speaker 2: and he was one of their besides for that, one

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Speaker 2: of the better players. I'll give you a hint. Uh No,

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Speaker 2: not PAC twelve, not a c C and not SEC.

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Speaker 2: Is it sad?

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Speaker 5: God? So one's in the Big East, not necessarily what

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Speaker 5: did you say, not SEC?

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Speaker 2: Not not a CC, No.

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Speaker 4: Pack twelve, pack twelve, So yeah, Big twelve.

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Speaker 2: One of these teams is the power coffers team. Never one,

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Speaker 2: oh not SEC. Never won a mar One of these

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Speaker 2: teams has never won a tournament game. All right, I'll

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Speaker 2: give you another. One is in the Big twelve, and

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Speaker 2: two are in the Big ten.

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Speaker 5: U c F made a couple of years ago.

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Speaker 2: Right, NOPECF is correct?

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Speaker 5: What's that all that gamers? Round to thirty two? That

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Speaker 5: game was around Yeah against Duke, but that was a

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Speaker 5: round thirty two game.

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Speaker 2: Actually, no, they made the Sweet sixteen. Who was the

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Speaker 2: third They did it way back?

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Speaker 4: Hold on Nebraska. No Sweet sixteen for Nebraska?

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Speaker 2: Correct? Okay, Bresca's never won off the schneid a tournament game.

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Speaker 2: I guess this is since the field expanded. I guess

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Speaker 2: because I just looked up UCF, Nebraska, Northwestern, and UCF

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Speaker 2: you step apparently made.

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Speaker 5: A Oh yeah, Northwestern got knocked out in the round

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Speaker 5: thirty two. Also, that's right, they had that really good game.

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Speaker 2: Yep. Northwestern apparently made one sweet sixteen in like nineteen eighty.

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Speaker 2: All right, anyway, let's move on our futures portfolio. Our

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Speaker 2: last futures ad profitable last year, hoping to be profitable

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Speaker 2: again this year. Let's recap the first eight before we

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Speaker 2: add the ninth and final future to our portfolio. Houston

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Speaker 2: to win the Big twelve plus one forty five, I

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Speaker 2: think we got it. That looks great. That should be

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Speaker 2: a winner. Houston to win the national title plus nine fifty.

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Speaker 2: Got a good price there to think it's sound to

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Speaker 2: plus seven fifty everywhere now Kentucky National title right around

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Speaker 2: the pricing gets still fine? Now fine. And then a

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Speaker 2: bunch of final four bets South Carolina, Wisconsin, Clemson, Saint

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Speaker 2: John's all longer shots, and then fart NOI's Texas, A

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Speaker 2: and M. That's my bad on that one. Hopefully John's

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Speaker 2: gets there and mixed up for it, or Clemson or

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Speaker 2: any of them, and then we'll be in. We'll be

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Speaker 2: sitting pretty, but we're gonna add one more. Randall was

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Speaker 2: itching to get his off of his chest, so I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna let him go first.

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Speaker 5: What do you got, I'm gonna follow your lead, stuck,

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Speaker 5: which has never led me wrong. You were great last

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Speaker 5: week in saying we need some hardcore teams. We need

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Speaker 5: teams that have a chance to go far. We've messed

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Speaker 5: around with some Final four, messed around with some conferences,

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Speaker 5: and we were solid with Houston, which was a great call.

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Speaker 5: I am begging you guys to take Tennessee plus thirteen

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Speaker 5: hundred to win the national title. I really believe this

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Speaker 5: team has it this year. Everything is falling into place

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Speaker 5: for them. Sixteen strength to schedule, sixteenth non conference strength,

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Speaker 5: to schedule twenty two wins competing in the Southeast Conference.

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Speaker 5: You want to say second best, whatever you want to say,

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Speaker 5: that they are right there. Their top twenty in adjusted

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Speaker 5: offensifficiently top three and just defensive ficihenty, Mike. I recognize

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Speaker 5: their defense is not where it normally is that's fair,

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Speaker 5: but they still lock down inside the ark and finally

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Speaker 5: have the late game killer in Dalton connect He can

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Speaker 5: be exposed defensively, that's fair, but they can go to him,

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Speaker 5: which is something they've never had. Rick Barnes five straight

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Speaker 5: tournament Sweet sixteen last year, I was at Masters Square Garden,

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Speaker 5: ten point lead over Florida Atlantic. This team plays well.

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Speaker 5: They have chemistry, they have balanced, they can run. They've

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Speaker 5: gotten up and down the floor. They've beaten Kentucky in Kentucky.

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Speaker 5: This is the team we need to choose. We need

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Speaker 5: a piece of the Tennessee volunteers and guys final part,

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Speaker 5: if you want to get into it. Yes, they were

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Speaker 5: in the week six AP poll. They were ranked in

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Speaker 5: the top twelve. Hey, we're number twelve. Last nineteen national

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Speaker 5: champions have come from that guys. Just like we got

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Speaker 5: a piece of Houston, I think we need a piece

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Speaker 5: of Tennessee. It's only plus thirteen hundred. I wish it

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Speaker 5: was a little higher, but I still think that's really

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Speaker 5: good value on a team that really can only be

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Speaker 5: exposed if someone can bang the boards against them, which

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Speaker 5: is a very unique style. I think they have a

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Speaker 5: run in them. I am begging you for the Tennessee

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Speaker 5: Volunteers national title future.

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Speaker 1: Calbrey's I am going to stick in the SEC.

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Speaker 4: But I have a different suggestion.

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Speaker 1: This team fourteen to one to make the final four,

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Speaker 1: may present the Florida Gators. All right, they are nine

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Speaker 1: to two straight up in their last eleven. You know,

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Speaker 1: with South Carolina Alabama at home, they got the SEC.

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Speaker 1: These are games coming up south South Carolina Alabama home

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Speaker 1: the SEC tournament, so they could play their way onto

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Speaker 1: the sixth line. I think it's a critical differential between

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Speaker 1: these kind of teams you're going to face in the

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Speaker 1: second round, the round of thirty two, as opposed to

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Speaker 1: having to go up against a two seed. They're an

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Speaker 1: elite rebounding team, particularly in the offensive glass. They grabbed

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Speaker 1: fourteen per game, which is second nationally. They're thirtieth and

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Speaker 1: tempo fifteenth in offensive efficiency. And then when you drill

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Speaker 1: into who they are lately, since January first, twenty first

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Speaker 1: nationally according to Torbik, and since February first, their defense

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Speaker 1: has cracked the top fifty. They're forty fourth in Torbick's metrics,

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Speaker 1: so they're starting to play better on that side.

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Speaker 4: I trust their collection of guards as a whole. Clayton

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Speaker 4: Junior Polling Richard.

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Speaker 1: The big question for me is can they get anything

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Speaker 1: from Riley Kugle off the bench?

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Speaker 4: Is he completely broken?

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Speaker 1: Because the end of last year he seems like he

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Speaker 1: was a player that was ascending, he was starting to

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Speaker 1: come on strong. He started this year playing very well

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Speaker 1: on the offensive end. Just forty nine minutes in the

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Speaker 1: last four games and only ten total points coming off

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Speaker 1: the bench, He's looked completely lost.

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Speaker 4: I think he could be a difference maker off the bench.

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Speaker 1: I'm hoping that he can get a little bit of

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Speaker 1: confidence in the end of the regular seat and the

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Speaker 1: SEC tournament to give them anything in March. And then

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Speaker 1: when you look at their resume neutral court wins against

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Speaker 1: pitt against Richmond, they played Baylor really well and scored

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Speaker 1: in the nineties. They got to win it Rup and

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Speaker 1: an overtime loss on the road at Alabama, which I

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Speaker 1: view basically as like a quality performance. So this is

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Speaker 1: a year where there's very few teams that have demonstrated

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Speaker 1: multiple times over that they can play at a high

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Speaker 1: level and be quality teams on a neutral floor or

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Speaker 1: away from home. Florida is not quite a team that

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Speaker 1: has that huge you know, Marquee win on the road,

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Speaker 1: But I think overall their resume indicates to me that

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Speaker 1: they can put it together. So I like Golden here

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Speaker 1: finally getting his best Florida team together. I think he

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Speaker 1: played the transfer portal perfectly. I really like this front court.

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Speaker 1: Fourteen to one, I think is a pretty decent value.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, great coach, a team that kind of fits in

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Speaker 2: our mold of like not three point reliant, but they

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Speaker 2: have they are capable from the outside when you know,

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Speaker 2: I mean, it'll be a you said to be a

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Speaker 2: big bonus of Google gets going. But you know, if

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Speaker 2: Poland obviously can and if Clayton gets hot, they're pretty

362
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Speaker 2: unstoppable because they can really dominate the offensive. Last, worry

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Speaker 2: a little bit about the free throw shooting. They're bigs

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Speaker 2: at the line or think they do. Scare me. But yeah,

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Speaker 2: I mean, Florida is definitely gonna be a team to

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Speaker 2: be reckoned with come tournament time. Uh, all right, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna throw out. I'm gonna throw up. You can find

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Speaker 2: forty five to one out there failure to win the

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Speaker 2: national title. Here's my case. They they do have defensive issues,

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Speaker 2: but you're seeing the zone back, and we've seen Drew

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Speaker 2: make runs with way less talented teams to the Elite

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Speaker 2: eight multiple times on the back of that zone, right,

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Speaker 2: unique zone. You don't see it often, you're out of conference,

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Speaker 2: tougher to prepare for. But mainly this Baylor team, I'm

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Speaker 2: buying the upside out of all the teams in the

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Speaker 2: country that you look at, I mean, how many have

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Speaker 2: two freshmen that are going to be draft picks who

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Speaker 2: are uber talented and they're going to get Lengthston Love

379
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Speaker 2: back who's just you know, so they're kind of building

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00:20:30,400 --> 00:20:33,119
Speaker 2: more depth right now with him out, but he's one

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Speaker 2: of the best six men in the entire country. But

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Speaker 2: I think with those two freshmen they can add I

383
00:20:40,840 --> 00:20:43,200
Speaker 2: feel like they're only going to continue to get better.

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Speaker 2: The ceiling is higher than I think if you look

385
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Speaker 2: at if he took the bands of most teams, like

386
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Speaker 2: I don't think we've seen the ceiling. The ceiling like

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Speaker 2: compared to where they are now, might be the highest

388
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Speaker 2: for Baylor. So I think there's a lot of upside there.

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Speaker 2: The zone I think can help fit some of their

390
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Speaker 2: defensive issues and could cause problems for teams on a

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00:21:04,160 --> 00:21:10,360
Speaker 2: quick turnaround come tournament time. So I'm proposing Baylor forty

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Speaker 2: five to one to win the national title. All right,

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Speaker 2: sign the vote. We have pulled up one for the

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Speaker 2: Tennessee Volunteers to win the national title, two for Florida

395
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Speaker 2: to make the Final four, and three for Baylor to

396
00:21:31,600 --> 00:21:36,280
Speaker 2: win the national title. One for Tennessee, two for Florida,

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00:21:37,040 --> 00:21:40,240
Speaker 2: three for Baylor, three two one.

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00:21:44,800 --> 00:21:48,160
Speaker 6: This podcast is probably resented by BETTMGM use bonus code

399
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Speaker 6: the Louisiana, Marylandssachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia,

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Speaker 6: West Virginia, Wyoming.

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00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:04,200
Speaker 2: Terms causes supply must be twenty one or older. Gambling

405
00:22:04,240 --> 00:22:09,840
Speaker 2: problem call one eight hundred gambler Randall wins Rocky Top.

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00:22:10,800 --> 00:22:12,160
Speaker 2: We talked trivia earlier.

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Speaker 1: The last time Rick Barnes won a game in my

408
00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:18,560
Speaker 1: New Calgaryes, George W. Bush was the President of the

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00:22:18,640 --> 00:22:20,880
Speaker 1: United States, so it has been a minute since he's

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00:22:20,920 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 1: done any damage in the second weekends.

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Speaker 4: I'm not even I'm not being.

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Speaker 1: Facetious, like I was trying to play out both sides

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Speaker 1: at the beginning of this episode, because there is so

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Speaker 1: much to love and like, all you have to do

415
00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,680
Speaker 1: is watch Connects play and you're like, if he scores

416
00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:37,359
Speaker 1: twenty eight per game in the tournament, they're gonna be

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Speaker 1: able to beat just about everybody that they play. So

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Speaker 1: there's certainly a path to victory. There's no you know,

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00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:45,479
Speaker 1: mental gymnastics that you have to go through, and I

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Speaker 1: do think defensively, it kind of ebbs and flows a

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Speaker 1: little bit. They've allowed themselves to play faster and up

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Speaker 1: tempo in some games. I think they can protect themselves

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Speaker 1: by playing a little bit slower.

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Speaker 4: But in a year that a lot of the top

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Speaker 4: teams have a.

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Speaker 1: Glaring weakness, don't think gets ridiculous, particularly this price to go.

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Speaker 4: Ahead and grab the ball, So I don't hate it

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Speaker 4: at all.

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Speaker 5: What I'd say, Mike is I wish we could find

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Speaker 5: out how Ziggler plays in the tournament, because I really

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Speaker 5: think he's the bell Weather of this team. When he's

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Speaker 5: hot three to six from three point range, they almost

433
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:16,399
Speaker 5: never lose. He is the option he's the engine. You

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Speaker 5: know they're going to connect. Suyll got a couple bigs

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Speaker 5: on the on the post hooks, but like that's that's it.

436
00:23:21,720 --> 00:23:23,600
Speaker 5: I just I think they have enough. I really do.

437
00:23:23,720 --> 00:23:25,720
Speaker 5: And maybe I'm fall in love with the narrative too

438
00:23:25,760 --> 00:23:28,480
Speaker 5: that I know Barnes is terribly he does have sustained success.

439
00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:30,920
Speaker 5: All of a sudden, we're selling shorts the same success.

440
00:23:30,960 --> 00:23:33,040
Speaker 5: I get it. He got there with TJ. Ford. Can

441
00:23:33,080 --> 00:23:34,760
Speaker 5: he get there with Dulton connect? That's the question.

442
00:23:35,320 --> 00:23:38,159
Speaker 2: Yeah. And I also will say I really think, like

443
00:23:38,320 --> 00:23:42,719
Speaker 2: right now, if and look, that narrative used to exist

444
00:23:42,720 --> 00:23:46,800
Speaker 2: about so many coaches, right, used to be just about

445
00:23:46,800 --> 00:23:51,680
Speaker 2: Bill self, Jay right, J Right, J Wright, Tony Bennett.

446
00:23:51,720 --> 00:23:54,840
Speaker 2: So you know it's a it's a tournament of random stuff.

447
00:23:55,280 --> 00:23:57,639
Speaker 2: Random shit happens, and a lot of coaches go a

448
00:23:57,640 --> 00:24:00,000
Speaker 2: long time without winning. I will say, if you look

449
00:24:00,080 --> 00:24:03,679
Speaker 2: at Tennessee in Arizona right now, like this for the

450
00:24:03,720 --> 00:24:06,080
Speaker 2: one seed. So there's a chance, a really good chance,

451
00:24:06,080 --> 00:24:08,560
Speaker 2: that Tennessee gets up to the one seed. We'll probably

452
00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:10,840
Speaker 2: come down to, like do either of them suffer another

453
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:13,440
Speaker 2: loss in the regro season or does only one of

454
00:24:13,480 --> 00:24:15,640
Speaker 2: them win their conference? Tournament and then in which case

455
00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:17,360
Speaker 2: they would get the one. But I would I would

456
00:24:17,400 --> 00:24:20,280
Speaker 2: probably say that Tennessee fifty to fifty shot to get

457
00:24:20,280 --> 00:24:24,080
Speaker 2: a one seed with Arizona. So it looks like Houston, Yukon,

458
00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:26,320
Speaker 2: and Purdue are pretty long, so that would only help

459
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:32,080
Speaker 2: as well. All right, good stuff, our final future Tennessee volunteers.

460
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:36,520
Speaker 2: We've got Tennessee and Kentucky. Tennessee fanas are not gonna

461
00:24:36,520 --> 00:24:39,040
Speaker 2: be happy with having Kentucky that are following along, and

462
00:24:39,119 --> 00:24:43,360
Speaker 2: vice versa. And then we got a good, reliable Houston.

463
00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:48,560
Speaker 2: All right, good stuff. Let's get to the weekend and

464
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:51,960
Speaker 2: we'll talk about some spots that we had circled Randall

465
00:24:52,000 --> 00:24:59,359
Speaker 2: as the winner of the Final Futures Roundtable, I'll let

466
00:24:59,400 --> 00:25:01,440
Speaker 2: you start. What do you got, Yeah, I'll.

467
00:25:01,320 --> 00:25:04,400
Speaker 5: Start on Saturday here. I'll piggyback off what you said

468
00:25:04,440 --> 00:25:07,959
Speaker 5: about Baylor. They're playing Kansas at home. I don't think

469
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,199
Speaker 5: they're messing around that you end up having a Baylor

470
00:25:11,240 --> 00:25:14,160
Speaker 5: team now that you've seen. They've gone up and down,

471
00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:17,919
Speaker 5: but they have the potential. They're playing Kansas here. It

472
00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:20,119
Speaker 5: looks like they have Kansas and they have Texas, and

473
00:25:20,200 --> 00:25:22,800
Speaker 5: they have Texas Tech remaining. They did lose a close

474
00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,760
Speaker 5: game of Kansas sixty four to sixty one. I project

475
00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:27,960
Speaker 5: this line. Ken Palm has it at five and probably

476
00:25:27,960 --> 00:25:31,199
Speaker 5: about six or seven. I just I don't Kansas on

477
00:25:31,280 --> 00:25:33,320
Speaker 5: the road. Furfy has been a different player on the

478
00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,800
Speaker 5: road than he's been at home. They're coming off the

479
00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:37,920
Speaker 5: bin win over TCU. They lost the game at home

480
00:25:38,000 --> 00:25:41,320
Speaker 5: in Houston. They're certainly battling for seating here. Kansas without

481
00:25:41,400 --> 00:25:44,000
Speaker 5: mccullor is just a different, different team. That was a

482
00:25:44,000 --> 00:25:46,359
Speaker 5: bad loss to BYU b why you needed it badly,

483
00:25:47,080 --> 00:25:50,120
Speaker 5: but you saw that they've been fantastic at home even

484
00:25:50,160 --> 00:25:52,640
Speaker 5: without mccullor. But they're starting to come back to earth.

485
00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:54,920
Speaker 5: The zone is causing problems. Losing one of your best

486
00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 5: three point shooters really playing at a first team All

487
00:25:57,280 --> 00:25:59,399
Speaker 5: American level is going to hurt them. I think it's

488
00:25:59,440 --> 00:26:03,320
Speaker 5: a Baylor comfortable win on Saturday, March second against the Jayhawks.

489
00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:06,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, and Kansas doesn't shoot threes. I feel like they're

490
00:26:08,000 --> 00:26:12,280
Speaker 2: a zone candidate, and yeah without especially without mccullor, and

491
00:26:12,440 --> 00:26:14,520
Speaker 2: from reports I read today, there's a decent chance they

492
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,560
Speaker 2: gets leangths and love back on Saturday. Who's ramping up

493
00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:21,720
Speaker 2: at practice be a huge addition off the bench, a

494
00:26:21,720 --> 00:26:24,080
Speaker 2: guy who can fill a box score as well as

495
00:26:24,119 --> 00:26:27,200
Speaker 2: anyone coming off the bench. Cab reize what you got.

496
00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:29,800
Speaker 1: One more trip to the IVY League Friday night, Cornell

497
00:26:29,840 --> 00:26:31,920
Speaker 1: laying three and a half at Penn. There's a three

498
00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 1: way tie atop the IVY at nine and two between Cornell, Princeton,

499
00:26:36,359 --> 00:26:39,240
Speaker 1: and Yale. Cornell split with the Ale and can complete

500
00:26:39,280 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 1: the two games sweep on Saturday over Princeton, but it's

501
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:43,240
Speaker 1: all for not at this trip. If they trip up

502
00:26:43,240 --> 00:26:45,640
Speaker 1: against Penn on the road, this is just a really

503
00:26:45,680 --> 00:26:48,720
Speaker 1: good matchup for them. They hammered Penn by seventeen in Ehaica,

504
00:26:48,800 --> 00:26:50,919
Speaker 1: and critically, Penn has nothing left to play for.

505
00:26:51,080 --> 00:26:52,320
Speaker 4: They're in the middle of a nose dive.

506
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:54,600
Speaker 1: They've lost nine to ten straight up, seven of those

507
00:26:54,640 --> 00:26:57,879
Speaker 1: losses by seven points or more, three straight home losses

508
00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,000
Speaker 1: against the spread to Harvard by nine, the Ale by fourteen,

509
00:27:01,080 --> 00:27:02,000
Speaker 1: Brown by thirteen.

510
00:27:02,480 --> 00:27:05,399
Speaker 4: And this Penn team is so bad defensively.

511
00:27:05,440 --> 00:27:08,120
Speaker 1: This is actually going to be, according to my spreadsheet,

512
00:27:08,359 --> 00:27:11,359
Speaker 1: my biggest bet in terms of a disparity this year

513
00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:15,800
Speaker 1: between shooting defense and shot making. Opponents make nearly fifty

514
00:27:16,119 --> 00:27:18,560
Speaker 1: four percent of their attempts against the Quakers. That's three

515
00:27:18,600 --> 00:27:22,000
Speaker 1: and fourteenth in the country. Cornell the best shooting team

516
00:27:22,040 --> 00:27:25,000
Speaker 1: inside the arc at sixty two percent, that's number one

517
00:27:25,280 --> 00:27:28,200
Speaker 1: in the USA. Penn's not going to force any turnovers,

518
00:27:28,200 --> 00:27:30,399
Speaker 1: so they got no opportunity really to slow down this

519
00:27:30,480 --> 00:27:31,760
Speaker 1: Cornell attack in this one.

520
00:27:31,880 --> 00:27:33,119
Speaker 4: I would play this up to five.

521
00:27:33,440 --> 00:27:36,399
Speaker 1: I think this is only priced in this kind of

522
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,800
Speaker 1: range because it's a look ahead moment with Princeton on deck.

523
00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:41,760
Speaker 1: But I still see this as a game that they

524
00:27:41,800 --> 00:27:43,520
Speaker 1: need and I think they're gonna win comfortably.

525
00:27:44,600 --> 00:27:47,080
Speaker 2: Yeah. The most interesting part of the race, I believe

526
00:27:47,119 --> 00:27:49,520
Speaker 2: is just for the fourth spot, and that's going to

527
00:27:49,720 --> 00:27:54,320
Speaker 2: come down between what Harvard and Brown, who played other

528
00:27:55,160 --> 00:28:02,000
Speaker 2: hm they're both at five and six, so massive game. Actually,

529
00:28:02,080 --> 00:28:04,160
Speaker 2: like Brown, I haven't seen a line, but open it's

530
00:28:04,800 --> 00:28:06,920
Speaker 2: around a pick. Probably won't be a probably nice two.

531
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:11,400
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go. Let's it's not a buyer Badgers. Let's

532
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:15,800
Speaker 2: buy our Badgers. They've they're two and six in February.

533
00:28:15,720 --> 00:28:20,119
Speaker 2: They're they're hosting Illinois. Here. Sounds bad, but five of

534
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,280
Speaker 2: those six losses came by two possessions or less or

535
00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,240
Speaker 2: in overtime. They lost two overtime games. Five of the

536
00:28:26,280 --> 00:28:29,360
Speaker 2: eight games they played were on the road. Now they're

537
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:32,560
Speaker 2: back home. They've lost twice at home this year to

538
00:28:33,200 --> 00:28:38,080
Speaker 2: Tennessee and Purdue, two potential one seeds. That's it. And

539
00:28:38,880 --> 00:28:40,880
Speaker 2: during that eight game stretch, a lot of it's just

540
00:28:40,880 --> 00:28:43,000
Speaker 2: three point batage. They shoot twenty eight percent from three.

541
00:28:43,640 --> 00:28:46,440
Speaker 2: That's three hundred and twenty six in the country. Before that,

542
00:28:46,560 --> 00:28:49,080
Speaker 2: over their first twenty games, they shot over thirty six percent,

543
00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 2: which was seventieth in the country. Shots are gonna start falling.

544
00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:56,880
Speaker 2: Most importantly, though, the Illinois defense is broken.

545
00:28:57,520 --> 00:28:58,960
Speaker 4: I mean, that's awful. They stuck.

546
00:28:59,120 --> 00:29:04,800
Speaker 2: They can't defend any dambushrimp month of February two hundred

547
00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:08,920
Speaker 2: and forty ninth and adjusted defensive efficiency per TORVIC. They

548
00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 2: can't defend at the rim, can't defend on the post.

549
00:29:11,680 --> 00:29:15,880
Speaker 2: That's trouble against Wisconsin ninety fifth percentile and post upbreak

550
00:29:15,920 --> 00:29:21,400
Speaker 2: per Synergy, Illinois allowing post up frequency the ninety seventh

551
00:29:21,440 --> 00:29:27,160
Speaker 2: percentile with below average efficiency. Wisconsin can keep Illinois off

552
00:29:27,200 --> 00:29:29,440
Speaker 2: the offensive glass, and they can keep them out of transition,

553
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:34,840
Speaker 2: which is where Illinois really thrives. So I think that

554
00:29:34,880 --> 00:29:38,840
Speaker 2: This is a great opportunity to buy Wisconsin at home.

555
00:29:40,160 --> 00:29:43,120
Speaker 2: They haven't also their seniors, they haven't beat Illinois ever.

556
00:29:43,240 --> 00:29:45,600
Speaker 2: They've lost six straight. I think they'll be up for

557
00:29:45,640 --> 00:29:50,440
Speaker 2: this game. And Illinois, you know they're not. Haven't necessarily

558
00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,400
Speaker 2: been road warriors this year. We saw them below the

559
00:29:52,440 --> 00:29:54,040
Speaker 2: lead to Penn State. They the road wins have come

560
00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:59,360
Speaker 2: against Rutgers, Michigan, Ohio State, and Maryland. So yeah, two offenses.

561
00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:01,720
Speaker 2: I want to get to the I trust the Wisconsin

562
00:30:01,800 --> 00:30:06,920
Speaker 2: defense much more than this Illinois reeling defense. And for

563
00:30:06,960 --> 00:30:10,800
Speaker 2: what it's worth, Illinois Purdue at home on deck, so

564
00:30:11,320 --> 00:30:15,800
Speaker 2: not the best situational spot as well, Rand what else

565
00:30:15,800 --> 00:30:16,120
Speaker 2: you got?

566
00:30:17,160 --> 00:30:20,080
Speaker 5: South Carolina's done with their little stumble, a little stumble

567
00:30:20,080 --> 00:30:23,760
Speaker 5: their against Auburn and LSU. They are back, Michie Johnson

568
00:30:23,840 --> 00:30:26,400
Speaker 5: pumping in twenty two against Texas A and M. When

569
00:30:26,400 --> 00:30:28,280
Speaker 5: they are home, they are hard to score on. Here

570
00:30:28,320 --> 00:30:30,400
Speaker 5: comes Florida. You mention it with the free throw stuck.

571
00:30:30,560 --> 00:30:33,360
Speaker 5: I don't like battle of backing teams that struggle from

572
00:30:33,400 --> 00:30:35,240
Speaker 5: the free throw line to cover on the road. This

573
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:37,840
Speaker 5: line should be low enough and Florida is hot enough

574
00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:40,240
Speaker 5: that people are buying into them. But their defense is

575
00:30:40,280 --> 00:30:43,040
Speaker 5: not nearly going to be inside the arc enough to

576
00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,720
Speaker 5: prevent this South Carolina team. And South Carolina has proven

577
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:47,960
Speaker 5: time and time again that at home they will lock

578
00:30:48,000 --> 00:30:51,320
Speaker 5: you down. They step out, they hit timely threes like

579
00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:53,800
Speaker 5: this South Carolina team a lot. They're playing well, very

580
00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 5: big win Texas A and M, who absolutely needed. I

581
00:30:56,200 --> 00:30:58,200
Speaker 5: think they've righted the ship. You'll get a low line here,

582
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:00,920
Speaker 5: maybe South Carolina by one or two. I think they

583
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:03,160
Speaker 5: win this game out right like Florida. I just think

584
00:31:03,160 --> 00:31:05,959
Speaker 5: there's a difference here in the toughness and the defensive mindset.

585
00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:09,360
Speaker 5: Lamont Paris. Every team goes through stumble. They've righted the ship.

586
00:31:09,360 --> 00:31:11,200
Speaker 5: They're ready to go. I don't think Florida pulls the

587
00:31:11,240 --> 00:31:13,080
Speaker 5: upset on the road, so the line will be low enough.

588
00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:14,000
Speaker 5: I'll take a game, Cocks.

589
00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:16,040
Speaker 2: What do you got Cowrey's.

590
00:31:16,720 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 1: My two Saturday players are like dogs catching points. Let's

591
00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:22,040
Speaker 1: go South Florida plus three and a half at Charlotte.

592
00:31:22,040 --> 00:31:23,760
Speaker 1: The Bulls are nineteen and one straight up in their

593
00:31:23,800 --> 00:31:25,479
Speaker 1: last twenty, but they got to keep winning if they

594
00:31:25,520 --> 00:31:27,520
Speaker 1: have any at large hopes that they want to keep alive.

595
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:31,120
Speaker 1: Charlotte nearly upset the Bulls down in Tampa. But when

596
00:31:31,160 --> 00:31:33,200
Speaker 1: you look at that game, I still view it as

597
00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:35,200
Speaker 1: a positive because the Bulls found a way to win

598
00:31:35,480 --> 00:31:37,560
Speaker 1: during an off shooting night. They're plus four in the

599
00:31:37,560 --> 00:31:40,240
Speaker 1: offense and rebounding margin, plus six in the turnover margin.

600
00:31:40,440 --> 00:31:42,480
Speaker 1: This is a team that just finds ways to win.

601
00:31:42,520 --> 00:31:46,480
Speaker 1: Grinds out w's. They've been consistent because they defend so well,

602
00:31:46,480 --> 00:31:49,720
Speaker 1: the thirty seventh in opponent of a shooting efficiency, and

603
00:31:49,760 --> 00:31:51,840
Speaker 1: they play up. This is my new favorite stat from

604
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:56,040
Speaker 1: Evan Maya on his website. It's called opponent adjust metric

605
00:31:56,360 --> 00:31:58,480
Speaker 1: and it basically measures if a team plays better or

606
00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:01,560
Speaker 1: worse when punching up or punch down. USF is the

607
00:32:01,600 --> 00:32:04,360
Speaker 1: fifth team nationally when it comes to their play improving

608
00:32:04,760 --> 00:32:07,280
Speaker 1: against good teams. So Charlotte's a good one. They have

609
00:32:07,360 --> 00:32:09,760
Speaker 1: their attention by almost upsetting them at home. I think

610
00:32:09,800 --> 00:32:11,320
Speaker 1: they're going to play well on the road and I'll

611
00:32:11,320 --> 00:32:12,240
Speaker 1: take the three and a half.

612
00:32:13,160 --> 00:32:16,960
Speaker 2: I'm gonna go. I'm gonna throw out Iowa against Northwestern.

613
00:32:18,040 --> 00:32:20,040
Speaker 2: I was playing better of late, and I think they

614
00:32:20,080 --> 00:32:23,240
Speaker 2: just match up really well with Northwestern. More importantly, Northwestern,

615
00:32:23,800 --> 00:32:28,040
Speaker 2: they already lost Tyberry and they might be without Langboord

616
00:32:28,400 --> 00:32:31,920
Speaker 2: again and as a result they had to start a

617
00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:35,200
Speaker 2: walk on. Well they still want it Maryland, why because

618
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:39,880
Speaker 2: Maryland cannot throw the ball into an ocean. They went

619
00:32:39,920 --> 00:32:42,800
Speaker 2: two of twenty two from three. Most of them were

620
00:32:43,120 --> 00:32:48,480
Speaker 2: wide open. Northwestern's defense is bad. The only thing they do,

621
00:32:48,880 --> 00:32:51,840
Speaker 2: you know, they can pull double the post. They do

622
00:32:51,920 --> 00:32:55,440
Speaker 2: play big men very well, and they cause a lot

623
00:32:55,440 --> 00:32:58,920
Speaker 2: of turnovers well. Iowa top ten in the country in

624
00:32:58,960 --> 00:33:02,720
Speaker 2: turnover rate. They do not give the ball away and

625
00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:07,600
Speaker 2: they Northwestern's gonna value a ton bottom fifty in the country.

626
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:10,440
Speaker 2: Iowa can take advantage of their top twenty in the country

627
00:33:10,440 --> 00:33:14,880
Speaker 2: from the line and Northwestern's in the tourney. And by

628
00:33:14,880 --> 00:33:17,560
Speaker 2: the way, all these injuries, everyone is playing like forty

629
00:33:17,640 --> 00:33:21,960
Speaker 2: minutes a night. I worry about their legs and Iowa

630
00:33:22,800 --> 00:33:25,320
Speaker 2: I think that they have a chance to get in.

631
00:33:25,440 --> 00:33:28,680
Speaker 2: They could be the team that everyone says, what the

632
00:33:29,120 --> 00:33:31,480
Speaker 2: how do they get in? They're not on anyone's radar,

633
00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,400
Speaker 2: They're not in like bracket matrix. But if you look

634
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:37,600
Speaker 2: at there now, they have to win this game and

635
00:33:37,640 --> 00:33:41,760
Speaker 2: they sold more work to do, but they're sneakily playing

636
00:33:41,840 --> 00:33:45,640
Speaker 2: better of late. And Northwestern also loves to work in

637
00:33:45,680 --> 00:33:48,960
Speaker 2: the mid range. I was defense ninth nationally in mid

638
00:33:49,040 --> 00:33:53,160
Speaker 2: range field goal percentage allowed. And Northwestern They're just not

639
00:33:53,960 --> 00:33:57,680
Speaker 2: going to keep shooting at this rate. They're shooting forty

640
00:33:57,680 --> 00:34:00,640
Speaker 2: five percent from three over their past ten games. That's

641
00:34:00,720 --> 00:34:03,080
Speaker 2: number one in the country. That won't last. I like

642
00:34:03,160 --> 00:34:06,000
Speaker 2: Iowa your matchup and Northrust is just not healthy. And

643
00:34:06,040 --> 00:34:08,640
Speaker 2: they've gotten away with it because no one has made

644
00:34:08,640 --> 00:34:11,920
Speaker 2: shots or teams have gotten in foul trouble. But I

645
00:34:12,040 --> 00:34:13,800
Speaker 2: like Iowa here, you got anything else.

646
00:34:13,680 --> 00:34:17,480
Speaker 5: Metal last one? Maybe because I sat and watched them

647
00:34:17,640 --> 00:34:20,920
Speaker 5: last week. Guys. Saint Bonaventure, of course, we know is

648
00:34:21,000 --> 00:34:23,319
Speaker 5: so well coached by Mark Schmidt. He had a plan.

649
00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:26,080
Speaker 5: He was gonna take his big man, Chad Venning, and

650
00:34:26,120 --> 00:34:29,239
Speaker 5: he was gonna go at Josh Cohen all game long.

651
00:34:29,320 --> 00:34:31,440
Speaker 5: It was obvious he had to touch the ball. I

652
00:34:31,480 --> 00:34:33,919
Speaker 5: was sitting right behind the bench. Make sure Chad gets

653
00:34:33,960 --> 00:34:36,200
Speaker 5: to touch. Make sure Chad gets to touch. That got

654
00:34:36,280 --> 00:34:39,120
Speaker 5: Josh Cone of Hu masson foul trouble and that throws

655
00:34:39,160 --> 00:34:42,279
Speaker 5: them off. Saint Bonaventure is a terrible matchup for the

656
00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:44,640
Speaker 5: minute men. If they face them in the A ten tournament,

657
00:34:44,880 --> 00:34:48,040
Speaker 5: it's good night. They're not moving on, but they're playing

658
00:34:48,080 --> 00:34:50,719
Speaker 5: now on the road. You masson Davidson team that is

659
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,759
Speaker 5: not going to bring that level and that structure against them.

660
00:34:54,000 --> 00:34:56,600
Speaker 5: They've done a pretty decent job overall. They just need

661
00:34:56,640 --> 00:34:59,880
Speaker 5: to make some threes. Diggins was invisible for them. Curry

662
00:35:00,120 --> 00:35:01,480
Speaker 5: are really good freshman guys for U.

663
00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:01,759
Speaker 2: Mass.

664
00:35:01,800 --> 00:35:04,239
Speaker 5: He's a legit score for them. They're going to hit

665
00:35:04,239 --> 00:35:07,440
Speaker 5: a couple threes. They rebounded nicely against George Washington. That

666
00:35:07,520 --> 00:35:09,600
Speaker 5: was an easy win. I like the way this U

667
00:35:09,680 --> 00:35:11,719
Speaker 5: Mass team is with Frank Martin. Now they're moving to

668
00:35:11,760 --> 00:35:15,319
Speaker 5: the MAC. The basketball people may not be happy about that,

669
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:17,759
Speaker 5: but we are because I think with some good talent

670
00:35:17,800 --> 00:35:18,160
Speaker 5: in the MAC.

671
00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:19,200
Speaker 2: But I like U.

672
00:35:19,280 --> 00:35:22,279
Speaker 5: Mass on the road at Davidson on Saturday. I don't

673
00:35:22,320 --> 00:35:25,520
Speaker 5: believe in Davidson. They can be pushed around. Cowen doesn't

674
00:35:25,560 --> 00:35:27,840
Speaker 5: get in foul trouble guys. They beat Saint Bonaventure. They

675
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:29,520
Speaker 5: win that game. They are ten and six in the

676
00:35:29,560 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 5: A ten. But that's the key. Matt Cross had an

677
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:34,680
Speaker 5: off game. They couldn't make any shots at home. Saint

678
00:35:34,760 --> 00:35:37,359
Speaker 5: Bonaventure just a different matchup than Davidson. I think they

679
00:35:37,360 --> 00:35:39,920
Speaker 5: go on the road. Their physicality showed through at Richmond.

680
00:35:40,000 --> 00:35:42,400
Speaker 5: Their physicality showed through a Dayton where they hung around.

681
00:35:42,600 --> 00:35:44,560
Speaker 5: I think they get the job done here with Frank

682
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:46,839
Speaker 5: Martin on the road at Davidson. I will take them

683
00:35:46,840 --> 00:35:49,880
Speaker 5: as a slight underdog against Davidson on Saturday.

684
00:35:51,239 --> 00:35:55,239
Speaker 2: What are Yeah, Davison can't shoot, so their offense just

685
00:35:55,239 --> 00:35:58,640
Speaker 2: doesn't work. They usually can shoot, and those McKillop offenses

686
00:35:59,239 --> 00:36:02,719
Speaker 2: are well ol in, but nothing works that they can't

687
00:36:02,719 --> 00:36:04,720
Speaker 2: shoot it and they can't shoot. The year given credit

688
00:36:04,719 --> 00:36:06,879
Speaker 2: for their defense. The defense is actually one of their

689
00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:10,319
Speaker 2: better defensive teams they'd had in a while. But they

690
00:36:10,400 --> 00:36:15,200
Speaker 2: just can't shoot. Simple as that. Riddall. What are your

691
00:36:15,200 --> 00:36:18,880
Speaker 2: thoughts or others thoughts on the move from a U

692
00:36:18,960 --> 00:36:20,520
Speaker 2: mass perspective? Do you have any Yes?

693
00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:22,720
Speaker 5: Stuck only because I went through this at Boston College.

694
00:36:22,800 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 5: And here's my thing. We were all excited when I

695
00:36:25,440 --> 00:36:27,120
Speaker 5: was at BC and they announced they were going to

696
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:31,000
Speaker 5: the ACC. The problem is the school has to adjust,

697
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,120
Speaker 5: So Boston College has never lowered their admission standards when

698
00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:36,680
Speaker 5: they went to the ACC, which is why even though

699
00:36:36,680 --> 00:36:38,520
Speaker 5: they went right away. I had Matt Ryan, I had

700
00:36:38,520 --> 00:36:40,479
Speaker 5: a little bit of a bump a hangover from being

701
00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,880
Speaker 5: in the Big East. They've never succeeded really since, because

702
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:46,760
Speaker 5: they're not attracting the players, they're not expanding their recruiting

703
00:36:46,800 --> 00:36:49,960
Speaker 5: base and maybe just giving reasonable admission standards. I still

704
00:36:50,000 --> 00:36:52,759
Speaker 5: remember when Jim O'Brien was at Boston College. They lost

705
00:36:52,840 --> 00:36:55,640
Speaker 5: three players because the admissions department wouldn't let them in

706
00:36:56,000 --> 00:36:58,799
Speaker 5: Mike Bradley who went to Kentucky, Jonathan de Pino who

707
00:36:58,840 --> 00:37:01,720
Speaker 5: went to Harvard, and Elton Tyler who went to Miami.

708
00:37:01,920 --> 00:37:04,000
Speaker 5: And after that O'Brien pretty much was done and that

709
00:37:04,120 --> 00:37:06,560
Speaker 5: was it. So my comment will be if UMass is

710
00:37:06,600 --> 00:37:08,399
Speaker 5: able to adjust going to the MAC. We know it's

711
00:37:08,400 --> 00:37:10,960
Speaker 5: because of football, I get that, but they can become

712
00:37:10,960 --> 00:37:15,080
Speaker 5: a dominant program there in the MAC and really improve themselves.

713
00:37:15,360 --> 00:37:17,600
Speaker 5: The problem is the fans are frustrated right now because

714
00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:19,879
Speaker 5: the A ten Chas Williams went on Twitter and said

715
00:37:19,880 --> 00:37:21,799
Speaker 5: he probably would not have come to U Mass if

716
00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:23,840
Speaker 5: they were in the MAC because he was already I

717
00:37:23,840 --> 00:37:26,080
Speaker 5: think in the CAAA he was looking for a bigger exposure.

718
00:37:26,400 --> 00:37:28,680
Speaker 5: So I think if they have the right mindset, they

719
00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:31,680
Speaker 5: can become a dominant program in that league. But you know,

720
00:37:31,719 --> 00:37:34,319
Speaker 5: it's because of football. The question is will the administration

721
00:37:34,520 --> 00:37:36,640
Speaker 5: and the program do what they have to do to

722
00:37:36,680 --> 00:37:39,200
Speaker 5: become now with big fish in a small pond instead

723
00:37:39,200 --> 00:37:40,960
Speaker 5: of being in the ACC with the head history.

724
00:37:41,680 --> 00:37:45,160
Speaker 2: Yeah, I still don't understand why. I don't pretend to

725
00:37:45,200 --> 00:37:48,440
Speaker 2: be an expert on this of how all this works.

726
00:37:48,440 --> 00:37:52,759
Speaker 2: But like U Mass, which makes sense, they petitioned for

727
00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 2: the men's and women's lacrosse to stay in the A ten.

728
00:37:59,480 --> 00:38:05,879
Speaker 2: So I can't great lacrosse teams. But why why can't

729
00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:08,680
Speaker 2: the football team just go and the basketball team stay?

730
00:38:09,320 --> 00:38:11,000
Speaker 2: I guess that's like part of the MAC.

731
00:38:10,880 --> 00:38:12,799
Speaker 4: Is requiring that the MAC wants both.

732
00:38:13,400 --> 00:38:16,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, gotcha, cowboy? You say anything else from you?

733
00:38:16,560 --> 00:38:19,719
Speaker 1: Yeah? Just I mean, I think the hardest thing for

734
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,560
Speaker 1: UMAs and their fans is to try to build any

735
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:27,400
Speaker 1: kind of rivalries with their new you know, conference partners,

736
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:31,280
Speaker 1: and beyond football, at least football, there is a path,

737
00:38:31,400 --> 00:38:35,680
Speaker 1: there's a brands, there's maction, you have national notoriety in basketball.

738
00:38:35,800 --> 00:38:37,720
Speaker 1: I agree with the assessment of some of these players.

739
00:38:37,719 --> 00:38:41,359
Speaker 1: You're taking a step down because ironically they've been able

740
00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:43,840
Speaker 1: to figure it out in football but not in basketball.

741
00:38:44,239 --> 00:38:47,520
Speaker 1: Why aren't there you know, standalone games for action on

742
00:38:47,560 --> 00:38:50,600
Speaker 1: the hardwood on Friday, like no one's playing basketball on

743
00:38:50,600 --> 00:38:53,800
Speaker 1: Friday anymore. Get back to that, give yourself an opportunity

744
00:38:53,880 --> 00:38:55,959
Speaker 1: to be on some of these major networks and build

745
00:38:56,040 --> 00:38:57,759
Speaker 1: things up. And then the last piece of it for me,

746
00:38:58,000 --> 00:39:00,640
Speaker 1: when you were talking about Boston College, A big part

747
00:39:00,640 --> 00:39:04,000
Speaker 1: of it is when you move conferences geographically. This won't

748
00:39:04,000 --> 00:39:06,880
Speaker 1: impact UMass because they're already so low in recruiting anyway,

749
00:39:07,239 --> 00:39:11,960
Speaker 1: but when BC left, you lose those regional partners and

750
00:39:12,000 --> 00:39:14,520
Speaker 1: an opportunity to be able to say to families like,

751
00:39:14,560 --> 00:39:16,520
Speaker 1: all right, we're going to play at Rutgers, and we're

752
00:39:16,520 --> 00:39:18,120
Speaker 1: going to play at Syracuse, and we're going to be

753
00:39:18,160 --> 00:39:21,080
Speaker 1: in these states, and that gives you a better chance

754
00:39:21,080 --> 00:39:24,120
Speaker 1: of creating pipelines there. When the majority of your conference

755
00:39:24,160 --> 00:39:27,239
Speaker 1: partners are five hundred and six hundred miles away and

756
00:39:27,280 --> 00:39:30,000
Speaker 1: you don't hire somebody who has a pipeline into South

757
00:39:30,040 --> 00:39:32,960
Speaker 1: Florida or some kind of connections, or hires a recruiting coordinator,

758
00:39:33,200 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 1: then you're already.

759
00:39:33,920 --> 00:39:34,640
Speaker 4: Behind the eight ball.

760
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:36,759
Speaker 1: And I think you're really seeing that and why it's

761
00:39:36,800 --> 00:39:39,720
Speaker 1: you know, put this artificial cap on where BC football

762
00:39:39,760 --> 00:39:42,440
Speaker 1: can be because they have not gone out and tried

763
00:39:42,480 --> 00:39:45,040
Speaker 1: to game the system a little bit, and by not

764
00:39:45,239 --> 00:39:48,319
Speaker 1: having those regional rivalries, they don't get the Jersey kids

765
00:39:48,360 --> 00:39:49,360
Speaker 1: in the same way they used to it.

766
00:39:49,480 --> 00:39:51,840
Speaker 4: Or when New York has a top three hundred player, like,

767
00:39:51,840 --> 00:39:54,000
Speaker 4: they're just not even in the conversation. So I think

768
00:39:54,000 --> 00:39:55,480
Speaker 4: that's long term what hurt the Eagles.

769
00:39:55,719 --> 00:39:57,719
Speaker 5: Yeah, the move of Bill Obrien is I'm sorry, suck.

770
00:39:57,760 --> 00:39:59,399
Speaker 5: The move of Bill Obrien is a good one because

771
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:01,200
Speaker 5: now we have our ourselves that coach that's been in

772
00:40:01,239 --> 00:40:03,640
Speaker 5: the NFL, so players feel like they can go there

773
00:40:03,680 --> 00:40:06,279
Speaker 5: and be recruited up. The problem with Boston colleges they

774
00:40:06,280 --> 00:40:09,520
Speaker 5: were getting small time coaches without connections moving to the ACC.

775
00:40:09,920 --> 00:40:12,000
Speaker 5: Who in the warm weather wants to go to BC.

776
00:40:12,440 --> 00:40:14,759
Speaker 5: Plus you had the admission standards again and I'm not

777
00:40:14,800 --> 00:40:16,960
Speaker 5: saying lower, but you have to be reasonable. You have

778
00:40:17,000 --> 00:40:19,120
Speaker 5: to compete. That's what it is. And listen, I went

779
00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:22,560
Speaker 5: down to the the ACC championship game at Jacksonville stuck

780
00:40:22,640 --> 00:40:24,719
Speaker 5: years ago. I'm going back fifteen years. I mean, it

781
00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:29,680
Speaker 5: was like nine tenths Virginia Tech fans, you know, So

782
00:40:29,760 --> 00:40:30,960
Speaker 5: that's another issue as well.

783
00:40:31,719 --> 00:40:35,000
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I mean, I'm curious to see the Bans.

784
00:40:35,120 --> 00:40:39,120
Speaker 2: Obviously a little a step down for basketball, but it

785
00:40:39,120 --> 00:40:42,320
Speaker 2: actually might work out now this is the double edged sword.

786
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:44,759
Speaker 2: Like they might have an easier path now to the

787
00:40:44,880 --> 00:40:48,279
Speaker 2: NCAA tournament, but now playing in the MAC and they

788
00:40:48,280 --> 00:40:51,319
Speaker 2: still get draw all the same calbary players. Yeah, but

789
00:40:51,400 --> 00:40:54,760
Speaker 2: like does more success end up leading to higher calb

790
00:40:54,880 --> 00:40:57,800
Speaker 2: So that'll be really interesting to watch. And the football

791
00:40:57,800 --> 00:40:59,920
Speaker 2: team just has to be better. They're kind of had

792
00:41:00,080 --> 00:41:03,080
Speaker 2: the right direction. They were so bad before. You can't

793
00:41:03,120 --> 00:41:05,920
Speaker 2: develop any rivalries when you suck, like, you gotta be

794
00:41:05,960 --> 00:41:08,319
Speaker 2: good and then like you'll have wars with teams and

795
00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:11,560
Speaker 2: then they'll have meaningful games and everyone just walks all

796
00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:16,040
Speaker 2: over you. You're obviously not gonna develop any new rivalries anyway,

797
00:41:16,120 --> 00:41:18,840
Speaker 2: I digress. Do you have any anything else on this weekend? Cabreys?

798
00:41:19,280 --> 00:41:20,239
Speaker 4: Yeah, I got one more.

799
00:41:20,360 --> 00:41:23,719
Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with UMAs Lowell Ketchen probably seven at

800
00:41:23,800 --> 00:41:26,040
Speaker 1: Vermont's up in Burlington. You know the river Hawks when

801
00:41:26,040 --> 00:41:28,160
Speaker 1: they played the top teams from the America East, they

802
00:41:28,200 --> 00:41:30,920
Speaker 1: played well. They you know, they beat Bryant. They took

803
00:41:31,040 --> 00:41:33,480
Speaker 1: Vermont overtime in their first meeting. They actually beat Bryant

804
00:41:33,520 --> 00:41:35,719
Speaker 1: by nine on the road, and a big part of

805
00:41:35,760 --> 00:41:37,960
Speaker 1: that's the continuity with their lineup and their rotation. Their

806
00:41:37,960 --> 00:41:40,640
Speaker 1: starters have started every game together this season. They all

807
00:41:40,680 --> 00:41:43,080
Speaker 1: average over ten points per game as a team. They

808
00:41:43,560 --> 00:41:46,160
Speaker 1: defend the three point line really well, better than just

809
00:41:46,160 --> 00:41:48,880
Speaker 1: about anybody in the America East. They rebound well, and

810
00:41:48,920 --> 00:41:50,719
Speaker 1: they get to the line a whole lot. I like

811
00:41:50,880 --> 00:41:52,960
Speaker 1: the being able to get to the line element for

812
00:41:53,040 --> 00:41:55,719
Speaker 1: taking your show on the road, particularly when you're trying

813
00:41:55,719 --> 00:41:57,919
Speaker 1: to hang around with a team that's on the cusp

814
00:41:58,000 --> 00:42:00,600
Speaker 1: of two three possessions in terms of being favorite. So

815
00:42:00,760 --> 00:42:03,040
Speaker 1: I just don't see UVM running them off the floor

816
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:05,240
Speaker 1: in this game. So I'll take the river Hawks plus seven.

817
00:42:05,560 --> 00:42:07,839
Speaker 5: You're carrious, Mike. What you read tonight on Brian at

818
00:42:07,920 --> 00:42:09,360
Speaker 5: UMass Low look ahead?

819
00:42:10,080 --> 00:42:12,480
Speaker 4: I think it could be a look ahead moment. I

820
00:42:12,719 --> 00:42:14,000
Speaker 4: think in general.

821
00:42:13,640 --> 00:42:17,239
Speaker 2: Too, they both need it though for that for you

822
00:42:17,360 --> 00:42:19,000
Speaker 2: want to get as high at seat as possible, right,

823
00:42:19,040 --> 00:42:22,600
Speaker 2: and because you host games for as long as possible.

824
00:42:23,880 --> 00:42:25,799
Speaker 2: But yeah, I'm sure they want that Vermont game too,

825
00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:28,040
Speaker 2: and they should have beat Vermont. That was one of

826
00:42:28,040 --> 00:42:30,560
Speaker 2: the buzzer beeaners that got stolen from me. They had

827
00:42:30,560 --> 00:42:34,200
Speaker 2: a layout, and they called a time out and then

828
00:42:34,360 --> 00:42:36,640
Speaker 2: caught a time out with one second laugh. They had

829
00:42:36,640 --> 00:42:40,040
Speaker 2: a layout and then it was awful, and then they

830
00:42:40,080 --> 00:42:42,080
Speaker 2: just inbounded it and did nothing, and then went to

831
00:42:42,080 --> 00:42:44,680
Speaker 2: overtime and they lost. Typical dog.

832
00:42:45,480 --> 00:42:47,040
Speaker 4: I swear I wasn't trying to trigger you there.

833
00:42:47,120 --> 00:42:49,480
Speaker 1: It was just coincidental that that was one of your

834
00:42:49,480 --> 00:42:51,960
Speaker 1: many bad beats on the final possession.

835
00:42:52,840 --> 00:42:56,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I'll have By the way, I'll have my

836
00:42:56,320 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 2: right up for Saturday's card out on Action network dot Com,

837
00:42:59,120 --> 00:43:01,719
Speaker 2: the Action Work Gap. I'll also include, like I'm gonna

838
00:43:01,719 --> 00:43:06,240
Speaker 2: wait for today's results Marrow's, some of the conference tournaments

839
00:43:06,239 --> 00:43:10,080
Speaker 2: that are ending this weekend. What I'll include a bunch

840
00:43:10,080 --> 00:43:14,840
Speaker 2: of just scenarios. And for example, you know the Patriot

841
00:43:14,960 --> 00:43:19,640
Speaker 2: Lea Colgate is everything locked up, They're going to Lehigh,

842
00:43:19,960 --> 00:43:20,879
Speaker 2: Cogan has nothing to.

843
00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:24,839
Speaker 1: Play for Leim the last time they met. The only

844
00:43:24,880 --> 00:43:26,719
Speaker 1: thing I'll push back on, you know, before you get

845
00:43:26,760 --> 00:43:28,920
Speaker 1: into the weeds on that game, is that Colgate was

846
00:43:28,920 --> 00:43:30,759
Speaker 1: in the exact same situation last year and they just

847
00:43:30,840 --> 00:43:33,000
Speaker 1: kept blasting everybody down the stretch like they locked it

848
00:43:33,120 --> 00:43:34,880
Speaker 1: up with like three or four games to go. But

849
00:43:35,360 --> 00:43:38,439
Speaker 1: I do think that's a situational element to understand. Once

850
00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:41,560
Speaker 1: these autobid teams are in like they have zero at

851
00:43:41,600 --> 00:43:42,840
Speaker 1: large hope, so it doesn't matter.

852
00:43:43,800 --> 00:43:46,200
Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll get into the patriogues of the night because

853
00:43:46,239 --> 00:43:49,640
Speaker 2: Lee I almost beaten with up arguably their best player. Yeah,

854
00:43:49,680 --> 00:43:53,759
Speaker 2: who's back, and they are significantly better now with Higgins. Uh,

855
00:43:54,040 --> 00:43:55,959
Speaker 2: you know, like Charleston Aready is the ones he locked

856
00:43:56,000 --> 00:44:02,520
Speaker 2: up Stamford High Point, but from is already clinched. But

857
00:44:02,719 --> 00:44:05,120
Speaker 2: I'll note some of those one the last one I'll

858
00:44:05,120 --> 00:44:10,680
Speaker 2: give out. Well, I think I might be on Gonzaga

859
00:44:10,719 --> 00:44:13,479
Speaker 2: Saint Mary's shooting. I mean, Kenzag is playing a lot better.

860
00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:16,719
Speaker 2: They need this game much more than Saint Mary's. But

861
00:44:16,719 --> 00:44:19,719
Speaker 2: more importantly, Saint Mary's isn't healthy. I think the loss

862
00:44:19,719 --> 00:44:23,560
Speaker 2: of Jefferson matters. Their other big has been out, one

863
00:44:23,560 --> 00:44:27,200
Speaker 2: of their reserve bigs, and they're shooting forty five percent

864
00:44:27,280 --> 00:44:31,040
Speaker 2: from three in the month of February. That's not sustainable.

865
00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:33,640
Speaker 2: Kenzag is playing much better. I don't think Saint Mary's

866
00:44:33,680 --> 00:44:37,000
Speaker 2: is going undefeated. I think it Zaga gets that win

867
00:44:38,000 --> 00:44:39,799
Speaker 2: and I'll look for an inflated number with San Jose

868
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:42,640
Speaker 2: State against UNLV, you NV playing really well. There's six

869
00:44:42,680 --> 00:44:44,840
Speaker 2: and one in February. They're like in the running somehow

870
00:44:44,880 --> 00:44:48,799
Speaker 2: for the Mountain West regular season title. But no one

871
00:44:48,800 --> 00:44:50,960
Speaker 2: can make a shot against them. Teams are shooting twenty

872
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:53,319
Speaker 2: three percent from three with a high volume. They give

873
00:44:53,400 --> 00:44:56,120
Speaker 2: up a bunch of threes. San Jose State, there's one

874
00:44:56,120 --> 00:44:58,359
Speaker 2: thing they can do. They have some shooters. They'll chuck

875
00:44:58,400 --> 00:45:00,839
Speaker 2: it out and you know, and I'll be coming off

876
00:45:00,880 --> 00:45:04,279
Speaker 2: that overtime win in Altitude and Wyoming and guess what,

877
00:45:04,320 --> 00:45:07,520
Speaker 2: they have San Diego State and Nevada on deck. So

878
00:45:07,600 --> 00:45:09,759
Speaker 2: this is just like a sleepy home spot. We'll we'll

879
00:45:09,920 --> 00:45:14,640
Speaker 2: probably go through the motions so I'll hopefully get a

880
00:45:14,800 --> 00:45:19,440
Speaker 2: decent number on San Jose State. But that'll do it

881
00:45:19,480 --> 00:45:24,000
Speaker 2: for us. We now will go prepare for all of

882
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:27,000
Speaker 2: our conference tournament previews. The first two episodes will be

883
00:45:27,080 --> 00:45:33,240
Speaker 2: out on Monday. We will cover three conferences in each

884
00:45:34,719 --> 00:45:39,600
Speaker 2: caliberize Greg and I will be doing OVC, ASUN and Patriot,

885
00:45:39,880 --> 00:45:42,680
Speaker 2: and then Randall and I will handle Horizon. It's a

886
00:45:42,719 --> 00:45:47,479
Speaker 2: fascinating conference from contrasting styles and matchup perspective, the fun

887
00:45:47,560 --> 00:45:51,200
Speaker 2: Belt and the good old NEC to check those out.

888
00:45:51,200 --> 00:45:55,600
Speaker 2: On Monday, and then we'll continue rolling out episodes over

889
00:45:57,080 --> 00:46:00,759
Speaker 2: the next week and a half ten and covering all

890
00:46:00,800 --> 00:46:04,880
Speaker 2: the conference tournaments. But before I close things off up here,

891
00:46:06,320 --> 00:46:12,280
Speaker 2: let's throw it to Colin Wilson, our good old friend Colin,

892
00:46:12,960 --> 00:46:16,000
Speaker 2: and Mike Calvary's on here. Now we're going to get

893
00:46:16,000 --> 00:46:22,760
Speaker 2: a little update on the college baseball futures market, power ratings,

894
00:46:22,880 --> 00:46:23,720
Speaker 2: just a little snippet.

895
00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:31,399
Speaker 1: College baseball is back and getting more love than ever,

896
00:46:31,480 --> 00:46:34,799
Speaker 1: particularly from TV networks. So with ratings and interests ticking up,

897
00:46:34,800 --> 00:46:36,839
Speaker 1: we want to provide an overview on the futures market,

898
00:46:36,880 --> 00:46:38,600
Speaker 1: and there's no better person to do it than our

899
00:46:38,640 --> 00:46:41,759
Speaker 1: college baseball expert. He's dedicated to the diamonds. He's our

900
00:46:41,800 --> 00:46:43,920
Speaker 1: meteorologist in the Midwest, our very.

901
00:46:43,800 --> 00:46:44,720
Speaker 4: Own Colin Wilson.

902
00:46:44,719 --> 00:46:47,600
Speaker 1: If you're looking for Friday probables, if the wind's blowing

903
00:46:47,600 --> 00:46:49,719
Speaker 1: in or out in a small college town, or you

904
00:46:49,800 --> 00:46:51,359
Speaker 1: just want to cut it up and talk anything from

905
00:46:51,400 --> 00:46:53,399
Speaker 1: more to x FIP, Colin is your man.

906
00:46:53,400 --> 00:46:56,080
Speaker 3: How you doing I'm doing great, except for the thirty

907
00:46:56,080 --> 00:46:57,640
Speaker 3: dollars it's out of my pocket because I had to

908
00:46:57,640 --> 00:47:00,759
Speaker 3: buy Flow Sports last weekend. It's like, you man, some

909
00:47:00,840 --> 00:47:02,960
Speaker 3: of the college baseball like you have to go and

910
00:47:03,000 --> 00:47:05,880
Speaker 3: buy an additional subscription. It kind of stinks, but you

911
00:47:05,880 --> 00:47:08,440
Speaker 3: know what, I will pay anything to watch college sports

912
00:47:08,440 --> 00:47:11,040
Speaker 3: doesn't make it doesn't even matter as basketball, baseball or football.

913
00:47:11,239 --> 00:47:13,920
Speaker 1: I've done something similar with Mississippi Valley State basketball. But

914
00:47:13,960 --> 00:47:15,680
Speaker 1: let's talk about some of the top teams in the

915
00:47:15,680 --> 00:47:18,040
Speaker 1: country in this particular sport. We're gonna go down the

916
00:47:18,080 --> 00:47:20,799
Speaker 1: futures board and look at the top eight teams and

917
00:47:20,840 --> 00:47:22,600
Speaker 1: who you think have value at this point, and we'll

918
00:47:22,600 --> 00:47:24,560
Speaker 1: get it started with Wake at the very top of

919
00:47:24,560 --> 00:47:26,440
Speaker 1: the board. They're currently plus seven to fifty to win

920
00:47:26,440 --> 00:47:28,880
Speaker 1: it all. Last season, they entered the College World Series

921
00:47:28,880 --> 00:47:30,560
Speaker 1: as the top seed, but they couldn't get past the

922
00:47:30,560 --> 00:47:33,880
Speaker 1: eventual champs at LSU. And a reminder to anyone not

923
00:47:34,000 --> 00:47:36,640
Speaker 1: in the know, the preseason number one team has not

924
00:47:36,640 --> 00:47:39,200
Speaker 1: won the whole thing since Miami back in nineteen ninety nine,

925
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:41,360
Speaker 1: So it is no sure thing that you're even going

926
00:47:41,440 --> 00:47:43,720
Speaker 1: to make a deep run when you're the preseason number one.

927
00:47:43,920 --> 00:47:46,520
Speaker 1: Then on the personnel front, Ret louder leaves, Josh Hartle

928
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,759
Speaker 1: takes over as the ace and the rotation. So I'll

929
00:47:48,800 --> 00:47:51,040
Speaker 1: pitch this question to you, why could that team last

930
00:47:51,080 --> 00:47:54,160
Speaker 1: year not do it? And is there a little bit

931
00:47:54,200 --> 00:47:56,359
Speaker 1: of magic for the Demon Deacons this season to finally

932
00:47:56,360 --> 00:47:57,120
Speaker 1: get over the hump?

933
00:47:57,320 --> 00:47:57,560
Speaker 5: Yeah.

934
00:47:57,560 --> 00:48:00,000
Speaker 3: Wake Force is right now seven to one in the market.

935
00:48:00,000 --> 00:48:01,799
Speaker 3: I don't think that's ever going to change leading up

936
00:48:01,840 --> 00:48:03,839
Speaker 3: to regionals. And the thing is they're about to enter

937
00:48:03,880 --> 00:48:06,960
Speaker 3: an ACC play and they'll dominate the teams that they should.

938
00:48:07,400 --> 00:48:09,560
Speaker 3: But there are two best pitching staffs in the nation,

939
00:48:09,640 --> 00:48:10,920
Speaker 3: A one A and a one B, and this is

940
00:48:10,960 --> 00:48:14,400
Speaker 3: definitely one A with Hartle Chase Burns transferred in from Tennessee.

941
00:48:14,440 --> 00:48:17,120
Speaker 3: He goes on Saturdays and Michael Massey goes on Sundays,

942
00:48:17,640 --> 00:48:19,400
Speaker 3: and they can win it all. It's just that they

943
00:48:19,440 --> 00:48:22,040
Speaker 3: ran into LSU last year and nobody was beating LSU

944
00:48:22,040 --> 00:48:24,600
Speaker 3: and the heater that they were on. So sadly, we

945
00:48:24,640 --> 00:48:26,759
Speaker 3: still have that streak that you talked about where the

946
00:48:26,880 --> 00:48:30,040
Speaker 3: number one overall seed in the postseason hasn't won it

947
00:48:30,040 --> 00:48:31,759
Speaker 3: all since ninety nine. They haven't even played in the

948
00:48:31,800 --> 00:48:34,040
Speaker 3: championship game since I think like two thousand and eight.

949
00:48:34,480 --> 00:48:37,880
Speaker 3: So you don't want this spot. Well, Wake Force is

950
00:48:37,920 --> 00:48:39,360
Speaker 3: the best team in the nation, but you still you

951
00:48:39,360 --> 00:48:40,160
Speaker 3: don't want the spot.

952
00:48:41,200 --> 00:48:43,320
Speaker 1: All right, You mentioned LSU plus seven to fifty in

953
00:48:43,360 --> 00:48:46,160
Speaker 1: the market to repeat as defending champions, but they lose

954
00:48:46,280 --> 00:48:49,359
Speaker 1: the huge star power Paul Skins, Dylan Cruz. My first

955
00:48:49,400 --> 00:48:50,800
Speaker 1: question did they fully reload?

956
00:48:50,880 --> 00:48:51,600
Speaker 4: And second?

957
00:48:51,800 --> 00:48:53,680
Speaker 1: How good could this bullpen be? Could this be their

958
00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:54,880
Speaker 1: calling card this time around?

959
00:48:55,200 --> 00:48:57,840
Speaker 3: Well, the bullpen is marginally better than last year, but

960
00:48:57,880 --> 00:49:01,120
Speaker 3: it was a dumpster fire last year. Who's biggest problem

961
00:49:01,160 --> 00:49:03,600
Speaker 3: was giving up games once their starters went out. Now

962
00:49:03,680 --> 00:49:06,399
Speaker 3: Thatcher Hurd has moved from Saturday over to Friday, he's

963
00:49:06,440 --> 00:49:08,879
Speaker 3: putting up some pretty electric numbers, but the season may

964
00:49:08,960 --> 00:49:12,319
Speaker 3: depend on Alabama transfer Luke Holeman going on Saturday night

965
00:49:12,520 --> 00:49:14,920
Speaker 3: because the bullpen hasn't taken a huge step forward. The

966
00:49:15,000 --> 00:49:18,000
Speaker 3: numbers are fine right now, but we haven't started having

967
00:49:18,040 --> 00:49:21,560
Speaker 3: conference play against other SEC teams. Don't see the lineup

968
00:49:21,600 --> 00:49:23,799
Speaker 3: being as potent, although we've gotten twenty runs on the

969
00:49:23,800 --> 00:49:27,120
Speaker 3: board so far. But it's really hard to replace Dylan Cruz,

970
00:49:27,160 --> 00:49:29,640
Speaker 3: Paul Skeins. This is just impossible to replace that production.

971
00:49:29,760 --> 00:49:32,279
Speaker 3: So that number also plus seven to fifty, I don't

972
00:49:32,280 --> 00:49:34,359
Speaker 3: see that tailing off at all. That then numbers gonna

973
00:49:34,360 --> 00:49:35,239
Speaker 3: be around for another month.

974
00:49:35,960 --> 00:49:38,640
Speaker 1: Speaking of other SEC teams, there's a few bundled here

975
00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:40,759
Speaker 1: in the ten to one eleven to one range. Let's

976
00:49:40,760 --> 00:49:44,360
Speaker 1: start with the Arkansas at Razorbacks your Hogs. You've written

977
00:49:44,400 --> 00:49:46,480
Speaker 1: that this is the deepest pitching staff. Dave van Horden's

978
00:49:46,480 --> 00:49:49,200
Speaker 1: having three decades in Fayeville. Hagan Smith has a look

979
00:49:49,200 --> 00:49:51,160
Speaker 1: of an All American already. But do you think they'll

980
00:49:51,200 --> 00:49:52,839
Speaker 1: have enough from the plate to get it done? They

981
00:49:52,840 --> 00:49:54,920
Speaker 1: were ninety eighth nationally and slugging last year and they're

982
00:49:54,920 --> 00:49:57,000
Speaker 1: off to a quiet start to the season with four

983
00:49:57,080 --> 00:49:59,480
Speaker 1: runs or few in five of their first eight games.

984
00:49:59,640 --> 00:50:01,160
Speaker 4: Do they get it done at the dish.

985
00:50:00,960 --> 00:50:03,280
Speaker 1: To make a deep run in the College World Series?

986
00:50:03,600 --> 00:50:03,839
Speaker 2: Yeah.

987
00:50:03,840 --> 00:50:07,720
Speaker 3: The entire lineup has basically been Juco transfers and transfer

988
00:50:07,760 --> 00:50:09,759
Speaker 3: portal guy some of the best ones that were out there.

989
00:50:09,840 --> 00:50:12,839
Speaker 3: Dave Van Horne got a men to come play in Fayeville. Specifically,

990
00:50:12,840 --> 00:50:16,160
Speaker 3: our shortstop A Lloyd came from Sacramento State. Yi, kid,

991
00:50:16,160 --> 00:50:18,680
Speaker 3: everybody should check him out. He is going to be lethal.

992
00:50:19,000 --> 00:50:21,000
Speaker 3: And you're right, Arkansas is one B. When I mentioned

993
00:50:21,000 --> 00:50:23,120
Speaker 3: the best pitching stabs of the nation, Hagen Smith is

994
00:50:23,160 --> 00:50:26,880
Speaker 3: a Randy Johnson reincarnation. We've got our former closer Brady

995
00:50:26,880 --> 00:50:29,359
Speaker 3: Tiger going on Saturdays, and then on Sundays. We got

996
00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:31,840
Speaker 3: Texas Tech Friday Night guy Mason Molina to come in

997
00:50:31,840 --> 00:50:34,640
Speaker 3: and he's throwing just as many strikeouts as Hagen Smith.

998
00:50:34,680 --> 00:50:36,760
Speaker 3: So it's all there for Arkansas, but they've already blown

999
00:50:36,800 --> 00:50:40,399
Speaker 3: two games because of misproper use of the bullpen, which

1000
00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:43,399
Speaker 3: is a part of Dave Van Horne's entire career as

1001
00:50:43,400 --> 00:50:46,520
Speaker 3: the head coach of Arkansas. I have zero dollars and

1002
00:50:46,640 --> 00:50:49,160
Speaker 3: zero cents on my alma mater. I can't even believe

1003
00:50:49,200 --> 00:50:51,880
Speaker 3: it because we've already lost two games to bullpen meltdowns.

1004
00:50:52,239 --> 00:50:53,880
Speaker 3: So sadly, I won't have any money on them for

1005
00:50:53,880 --> 00:50:54,480
Speaker 3: the next month.

1006
00:50:55,440 --> 00:50:56,759
Speaker 1: On the other side of the coin, it's a team

1007
00:50:56,760 --> 00:50:59,560
Speaker 1: that has different strengths and weaknesses. That's Tennessee also ten

1008
00:50:59,640 --> 00:51:02,520
Speaker 1: to one the market. They have a potentially elite lineup,

1009
00:51:02,640 --> 00:51:04,799
Speaker 1: but they have depth issues on their staff. You get

1010
00:51:04,840 --> 00:51:07,120
Speaker 1: Drew Beam on Friday nights, but who else can you

1011
00:51:07,160 --> 00:51:08,680
Speaker 1: rely upon in their rotation.

1012
00:51:09,040 --> 00:51:11,520
Speaker 3: Yeah, Aj Russell has proven himself so far. He'll be

1013
00:51:11,640 --> 00:51:14,320
Speaker 3: He's He's gone on Friday nights and Saturday nights with

1014
00:51:14,400 --> 00:51:17,440
Speaker 3: Drew Beam. Those definitely are one to two on the staff,

1015
00:51:17,680 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 3: just as good, just a tier below Arkansas and Wake Forest.

1016
00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:23,359
Speaker 3: From a pitching perspective, the lineup has so far been

1017
00:51:23,360 --> 00:51:24,959
Speaker 3: good enough to put runs up on the board. They're

1018
00:51:24,960 --> 00:51:27,120
Speaker 3: cruising right now. We're gonna have to get to SEC

1019
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:29,640
Speaker 3: play to see what they do against the Vanderbilts, the Tennessee's.

1020
00:51:29,719 --> 00:51:31,960
Speaker 3: I'm sorry the LSUS to see how good this whole team.

1021
00:51:31,960 --> 00:51:34,480
Speaker 3: But I love Tony Thetello as a coach. I just

1022
00:51:34,600 --> 00:51:36,320
Speaker 3: wish he would take it easy on making fun of

1023
00:51:36,400 --> 00:51:39,919
Speaker 3: Arkansas his former coaching position that he had all.

1024
00:51:39,840 --> 00:51:41,759
Speaker 1: Right, Florida eleven to one to win it all. I

1025
00:51:41,760 --> 00:51:43,200
Speaker 1: know this is a team sport, but we got to

1026
00:51:43,200 --> 00:51:45,720
Speaker 1: start with Jack Caglion. Is he the next so Tani?

1027
00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:48,200
Speaker 1: Because he can throw ninety nine from the bump, He's

1028
00:51:48,200 --> 00:51:49,960
Speaker 1: a bit of a free swinger, but when he connects,

1029
00:51:50,040 --> 00:51:52,879
Speaker 1: my god led the nation with thirty three homers last year.

1030
00:51:53,080 --> 00:51:55,360
Speaker 1: The question here is simple, is he good enough to

1031
00:51:55,360 --> 00:51:57,600
Speaker 1: put the whole team on his back? Is he truly

1032
00:51:57,640 --> 00:51:58,960
Speaker 1: that generational talent?

1033
00:51:59,160 --> 00:52:01,200
Speaker 4: Where is a little bit overblown? In Gainesville?

1034
00:52:01,560 --> 00:52:03,920
Speaker 3: Yeah, they lost some of their best pitchers. The pitching

1035
00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:06,120
Speaker 3: staff was the big questions here. But Jack Hagley Owen

1036
00:52:06,239 --> 00:52:09,000
Speaker 3: throws on Sunday and that's after he's jacking thirty home

1037
00:52:09,080 --> 00:52:11,560
Speaker 3: runs after playing in the field in Game one in

1038
00:52:11,640 --> 00:52:14,640
Speaker 3: Game two. So Florida is definitely deserves to be in

1039
00:52:14,640 --> 00:52:16,920
Speaker 3: the top five. They deserve a nine to one number.

1040
00:52:17,280 --> 00:52:20,200
Speaker 3: But they have the biggest thing that everybody needs to

1041
00:52:20,200 --> 00:52:22,720
Speaker 3: watch over the next month is Saturday nights with freshman

1042
00:52:22,800 --> 00:52:25,160
Speaker 3: pitcher Liam Peterson. This team is not going to make

1043
00:52:25,200 --> 00:52:27,759
Speaker 3: a deep run unless Liam Peterson is dominating in game

1044
00:52:27,800 --> 00:52:28,720
Speaker 3: two of every series.

1045
00:52:29,400 --> 00:52:31,200
Speaker 1: All right, let's finally go out west for a team

1046
00:52:31,239 --> 00:52:33,040
Speaker 1: Oregon State sixteen to one to.

1047
00:52:33,000 --> 00:52:33,520
Speaker 4: Win it all.

1048
00:52:33,719 --> 00:52:35,640
Speaker 1: This is a team that lacks star power, but they

1049
00:52:35,640 --> 00:52:38,239
Speaker 1: have no appreciable weaknesses. They sound defensively they can run

1050
00:52:38,239 --> 00:52:40,319
Speaker 1: on you, but is there lack of a true ace

1051
00:52:40,400 --> 00:52:42,600
Speaker 1: gonna hold them back? And the way I'll phrase this question,

1052
00:52:42,880 --> 00:52:44,759
Speaker 1: is there a president set for a team to win

1053
00:52:44,800 --> 00:52:46,839
Speaker 1: it all without a dominant number one at the top

1054
00:52:46,840 --> 00:52:47,440
Speaker 1: of the rotation.

1055
00:52:47,960 --> 00:52:50,839
Speaker 3: Hostal Carolina won it all without a dominant rotation. That's

1056
00:52:50,880 --> 00:52:52,960
Speaker 3: something I could think of, but it you know, if

1057
00:52:52,960 --> 00:52:55,240
Speaker 3: you get hot at the right time coming into Omaha.

1058
00:52:55,360 --> 00:52:56,880
Speaker 3: You can do anything in Oregon State. It's one of

1059
00:52:56,880 --> 00:53:00,239
Speaker 3: those teams now. They certainly needed aid and May Theriday

1060
00:53:00,320 --> 00:53:02,879
Speaker 3: Night starter. He transferred in from Arizona. They need him

1061
00:53:02,880 --> 00:53:05,839
Speaker 3: to fill that spot as staff anchor. He came out

1062
00:53:05,880 --> 00:53:08,720
Speaker 3: of the game early against Arkansas and Arlington last weekend,

1063
00:53:09,080 --> 00:53:11,560
Speaker 3: grabbing his wrist, grabbing his elbow. He had a trainer

1064
00:53:11,600 --> 00:53:14,040
Speaker 3: walk off with him. If Aiden May is not pitching

1065
00:53:14,080 --> 00:53:18,040
Speaker 3: on Friday Night this weekend, Oregon State's overall chances for

1066
00:53:18,080 --> 00:53:20,440
Speaker 3: a postseason and for a deep run are going to

1067
00:53:20,480 --> 00:53:23,440
Speaker 3: be very limited without their transfer star pitcher that's on

1068
00:53:23,480 --> 00:53:25,040
Speaker 3: Friday Night. So keep an eye on Aid and May.

1069
00:53:25,719 --> 00:53:28,000
Speaker 1: Another team at sixteen to one, that's actually my pick

1070
00:53:28,120 --> 00:53:30,160
Speaker 1: right now to add to my future's portfolio.

1071
00:53:30,239 --> 00:53:31,000
Speaker 4: That's TCU.

1072
00:53:31,440 --> 00:53:33,239
Speaker 1: This is a team that I've been bullish on dating

1073
00:53:33,239 --> 00:53:36,080
Speaker 1: back to last season really because they're pitching Cole Klecker

1074
00:53:36,239 --> 00:53:38,400
Speaker 1: as your Friday Night star and then Peyton Toll. I

1075
00:53:38,440 --> 00:53:39,960
Speaker 1: think that's a great one two punch and a great

1076
00:53:39,960 --> 00:53:42,640
Speaker 1: place to start things off. The Staft's already top ten

1077
00:53:42,640 --> 00:53:45,040
Speaker 1: in strikeouts with nearly twelve per game. What do they

1078
00:53:45,080 --> 00:53:47,000
Speaker 1: have to do to be considered in the same breath

1079
00:53:47,040 --> 00:53:49,160
Speaker 1: as a WAKE or an LSU. By the time we

1080
00:53:49,160 --> 00:53:49,760
Speaker 1: get to late.

1081
00:53:49,640 --> 00:53:51,879
Speaker 3: April, they're gonna have to dominate the Big twelve. They're

1082
00:53:51,920 --> 00:53:53,880
Speaker 3: gonna have to show up against their SEC teams that

1083
00:53:53,920 --> 00:53:56,720
Speaker 3: they play midweek. They're going to have to dominate this schedule.

1084
00:53:56,719 --> 00:53:58,279
Speaker 3: The RPI is going to be a big deal of it.

1085
00:53:58,320 --> 00:54:00,839
Speaker 3: But they have the talent all the way. Whether it's

1086
00:54:00,840 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 3: Peyton Taly who also plays in the field. He's sort

1087
00:54:03,160 --> 00:54:06,680
Speaker 3: of a light Jack Cagleon from Florida, who's a light show,

1088
00:54:06,680 --> 00:54:09,319
Speaker 3: a tany Peyton Taly can do the same thing. Cole

1089
00:54:09,360 --> 00:54:11,640
Speaker 3: Klucker is the one where I've got real worries because

1090
00:54:11,640 --> 00:54:14,240
Speaker 3: he has a very high ERA FIP and x FIP.

1091
00:54:14,360 --> 00:54:15,880
Speaker 3: There's always a lot of runs in his game. But

1092
00:54:15,920 --> 00:54:18,560
Speaker 3: the good news is this TC lineup is loaded. They

1093
00:54:18,560 --> 00:54:20,200
Speaker 3: can throw a ton of runs up on the board

1094
00:54:20,520 --> 00:54:23,160
Speaker 3: and maybe the best closer of all top ten teams.

1095
00:54:23,200 --> 00:54:25,279
Speaker 3: With Ben a Belt coming in at the end, TC

1096
00:54:25,480 --> 00:54:28,359
Speaker 3: was a legitimate national title threat. This number is only

1097
00:54:28,360 --> 00:54:30,560
Speaker 3: going to get shorter as we go along. So we

1098
00:54:30,640 --> 00:54:32,000
Speaker 3: mentioned seven teams so far.

1099
00:54:32,080 --> 00:54:33,960
Speaker 1: From here, the odds really start to jump up in

1100
00:54:34,000 --> 00:54:36,520
Speaker 1: the twenty to one and longer range of the grouping.

1101
00:54:36,600 --> 00:54:39,600
Speaker 1: Let's call it A and M Bama Vandy, Uva, Clempson, Duke.

1102
00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:41,960
Speaker 1: Who do you like there as a team to potentially

1103
00:54:42,000 --> 00:54:44,319
Speaker 1: keep an eye on and add to a portfolio of

1104
00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:45,480
Speaker 1: futures moving forward.

1105
00:54:45,960 --> 00:54:49,120
Speaker 3: The bet right now, by far is the Alabama Crimson Tide.

1106
00:54:49,160 --> 00:54:51,800
Speaker 3: They're thirty five to one out there if they sweep

1107
00:54:51,840 --> 00:54:54,480
Speaker 3: this weekend. There's a big weekend going on in Frisco.

1108
00:54:54,840 --> 00:54:58,200
Speaker 3: They're going to be taking on Arizona, Dallas Baptist, and

1109
00:54:58,280 --> 00:55:01,600
Speaker 3: a rising top twenty five indie. If Alabama comes out

1110
00:55:01,600 --> 00:55:04,280
Speaker 3: of this weekend from Frisco undefeated, I expect this number

1111
00:55:04,280 --> 00:55:06,440
Speaker 3: to be twenty to one. It will never look back

1112
00:55:06,440 --> 00:55:09,080
Speaker 3: as they get into SEC play. This is a team

1113
00:55:09,120 --> 00:55:11,920
Speaker 3: that challenged or run to Omaha last year. They brought

1114
00:55:11,960 --> 00:55:14,040
Speaker 3: a lot of that back. They have a fantastic closer,

1115
00:55:14,160 --> 00:55:15,839
Speaker 3: have a fantastic lineup. They're going to be able to

1116
00:55:15,840 --> 00:55:19,200
Speaker 3: hang inside of SEC play. And you know, after this

1117
00:55:19,320 --> 00:55:22,280
Speaker 3: scandal and everything and Luke Holman the pitcher transferring to LSU,

1118
00:55:22,280 --> 00:55:24,520
Speaker 3: this team still has enough to not just make a

1119
00:55:24,560 --> 00:55:26,360
Speaker 3: deep run, but to get to Omaha and challenge for

1120
00:55:26,400 --> 00:55:28,480
Speaker 3: the national title. So give me Alabama thirty five to

1121
00:55:28,480 --> 00:55:30,640
Speaker 3: one they sweep this weekend. That's going to be a

1122
00:55:30,680 --> 00:55:33,000
Speaker 3: lot shorter roll Tide role.

1123
00:55:33,120 --> 00:55:35,000
Speaker 4: Anybody else peak your interest.

1124
00:55:35,400 --> 00:55:37,920
Speaker 3: I Virginia almost made the top ten. I know, we

1125
00:55:37,920 --> 00:55:40,880
Speaker 3: put out a top ten Action Network power ranking. Virginia

1126
00:55:40,960 --> 00:55:43,480
Speaker 3: is almost there. The problem with Virginia they have one

1127
00:55:43,520 --> 00:55:46,080
Speaker 3: of the highest park factors of any team, not just

1128
00:55:46,120 --> 00:55:48,880
Speaker 3: the ACC of all division. Ie. They average one point

1129
00:55:48,880 --> 00:55:51,120
Speaker 3: four more runs at home than they two on the road.

1130
00:55:51,320 --> 00:55:53,600
Speaker 3: So you're gonna see like these crazy numbers of Virginia

1131
00:55:53,640 --> 00:55:55,840
Speaker 3: beating teams by fifteen to twenty. But we don't know

1132
00:55:55,880 --> 00:55:57,560
Speaker 3: how good they are on a national scale until they

1133
00:55:57,600 --> 00:55:59,560
Speaker 3: play Wake Forest for some of the big boys in

1134
00:55:59,560 --> 00:56:01,960
Speaker 3: the ACC. So I love Virginia. We got to see

1135
00:56:01,960 --> 00:56:03,000
Speaker 3: some competition out of them.

1136
00:56:03,120 --> 00:56:06,040
Speaker 1: So I'll be serving as Collins bullpen catcher, keeping him fresh,

1137
00:56:06,120 --> 00:56:08,719
Speaker 1: keeping him warm so he can come into these BBOC

1138
00:56:08,800 --> 00:56:11,680
Speaker 1: segments give you some actionable intel. Also be sure to

1139
00:56:11,760 --> 00:56:14,280
Speaker 1: check them out on the Action Network website and award

1140
00:56:14,280 --> 00:56:17,560
Speaker 1: winning app. He goes through pitching probables, matchups as well

1141
00:56:17,560 --> 00:56:19,640
Speaker 1: as his power rankings, and there'll be more of that

1142
00:56:19,719 --> 00:56:21,560
Speaker 1: coming in the next six weeks, so be sure to

1143
00:56:21,640 --> 00:56:22,480
Speaker 1: keep an eye out for that.

1144
00:56:22,719 --> 00:56:23,080
Speaker 2: All right.

1145
00:56:23,120 --> 00:56:34,200
Speaker 1: Back to the college hoops, grinds and Stucky.

1146
00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:35,720
Speaker 2: All right, thanks Colin, nice to hear your voice again,

1147
00:56:35,800 --> 00:56:42,320
Speaker 2: and just as an FYI college baseball episodes right here

1148
00:56:42,880 --> 00:56:47,920
Speaker 2: on this podcast channel. We'll be starting in mid April,

1149
00:56:48,000 --> 00:56:49,560
Speaker 2: right Mike, through the College World Series.

1150
00:56:49,680 --> 00:56:51,320
Speaker 4: That's right, We're gonna start a little bit earlier.

1151
00:56:51,320 --> 00:56:53,560
Speaker 1: Everyone was, you know, really fell in love with him

1152
00:56:53,640 --> 00:56:56,319
Speaker 1: last year going through the super regionals and giving out

1153
00:56:56,480 --> 00:56:59,760
Speaker 1: our future's portfolio as it went. So we're just responding

1154
00:56:59,760 --> 00:57:02,880
Speaker 1: to the demand. Teeny ratings are up. You know, ESPN's

1155
00:57:02,920 --> 00:57:05,800
Speaker 1: giving them more love with national telecasts, so we're happy

1156
00:57:05,800 --> 00:57:06,480
Speaker 1: to oblige.

1157
00:57:07,600 --> 00:57:10,400
Speaker 2: All right, look forward to those episodes. Thanks to Mike

1158
00:57:10,440 --> 00:57:11,960
Speaker 2: and Mike for joining me. Thanks to our producer Matt

1159
00:57:12,000 --> 00:57:13,640
Speaker 2: Mitchell on the back end, most sportly, thanks to all

1160
00:57:13,680 --> 00:57:17,080
Speaker 2: of you for tuning in. By the time you're listening

1161
00:57:17,080 --> 00:57:20,840
Speaker 2: to this, it will be March. March is here. It's

1162
00:57:20,880 --> 00:57:22,640
Speaker 2: the most wonderful time of the year. Good luck on

1163
00:57:22,680 --> 00:57:26,160
Speaker 2: all of your wagers this weekend and throughout the month.

1164
00:57:26,680 --> 00:57:29,440
Speaker 2: We'll be back Saturday morning, tenth thir day am Eastern

1165
00:57:29,920 --> 00:57:33,160
Speaker 2: BBOC Live and then we'll be back with all those

1166
00:57:33,200 --> 00:57:37,800
Speaker 2: conference tournament previews episodes next week starting Monday. Make sure

1167
00:57:37,800 --> 00:57:40,000
Speaker 2: you subscribe on subscribe, subscribe to a friend, telling enemy

1168
00:57:40,800 --> 00:57:42,560
Speaker 2: thanks listening again, We'll catch all every cheers.

1169
00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:58,800
Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or

1170
00:57:58,840 --> 00:58:01,600
Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is

1171
00:58:01,640 --> 00:58:04,720
Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler