WEBVTT - Interview With Michael Lewis: Masters in Business (Audio)

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<v Speaker 1>Brought to you by Bank of America Merrill Lynch, committed

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<v Speaker 1>That's the power of Global Connections. Bank of America North

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<v Speaker 1>America member f D I C. This is Masters in

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<v Speaker 1>Business with Barry Ridholts on Bloomberg Radio. This week on

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<v Speaker 1>the podcast, I have none other than Michael Lewis, and

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<v Speaker 1>let me tell you I had a blast talking to him.

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<v Speaker 1>He is just eloquent and charming and full of great stories. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>It was if you can imagine how much fun it

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<v Speaker 1>would be to sit in a room and just chew

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<v Speaker 1>the fat with Michael Lewis overall his books. Yes, it

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<v Speaker 1>was that much fun. So rather than me give you

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<v Speaker 1>a whole song and dance about his background, because you

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<v Speaker 1>already know his background, you've already read most of his books,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm just gonna shut up and with no further ado,

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<v Speaker 1>my conversation with Michael Lewis. This is Masters in Business

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<v Speaker 1>with Barry Ridholtz on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest this

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<v Speaker 1>week is none other than Michael Lewis. He is the

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<v Speaker 1>author of such best selling financial stories as Moneyball, the

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<v Speaker 1>Big Short Flashboys UH. Most recently he wrote The Undoing Project,

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<v Speaker 1>a story about UH, Danny Kahneman and Amos Tversky, the

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<v Speaker 1>people who were essentially invented the field of behavioral economics. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>I could talk about your resume forever, but let's jump

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<v Speaker 1>right into this. Michael Lewis welcome to Bloomer. Pleasure to

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<v Speaker 1>be back here. So let's let's jump right into a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit about your background. So you you come out

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<v Speaker 1>of the London School of Economics, you get a job

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<v Speaker 1>at Solomon Brothers in the nine eighties, markets on fire,

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<v Speaker 1>Sally's one of the hottest firms on the street, and

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<v Speaker 1>you just walk away from that. What sort of pushed

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<v Speaker 1>back did you get from your friends and family about yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>making a ton of money, but this sort of stuff

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<v Speaker 1>is not for me. It was a funny situation because

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<v Speaker 1>through a lot of accident, I had had some success

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<v Speaker 1>as Solomon Brothers. I got there and UM, I was

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<v Speaker 1>taking under the wing of a big hedge fund manager

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<v Speaker 1>in Europe, where where I was based. He did all

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<v Speaker 1>his business through me, so I looked like a very

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<v Speaker 1>profitable salesperson. I was. I was a derivatives person at

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<v Speaker 1>Solomon Brothers. Really yeah, I was the I was the

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<v Speaker 1>arm of John Merryweather's desk in London, and my job

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<v Speaker 1>was explain options and futures to everybody because they were

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<v Speaker 1>new and uh, and dream up new kinds of securities,

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<v Speaker 1>which I did, and sell whatever I could sell to

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<v Speaker 1>whoever I talked to. And uh. And that's the guy

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<v Speaker 1>who eventually writes the big short. That's the guy eventually

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<v Speaker 1>writes a BA shorn. You know it was? It was

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<v Speaker 1>UM extremely useful that training in in in coming to

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<v Speaker 1>grips with collateralized obligations and credit, the fault swaps and

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<v Speaker 1>all the rest. But what ifs? So what happened was

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<v Speaker 1>I UM, I knew going in that I wanted to

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<v Speaker 1>write for a living. I had no idea if it

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<v Speaker 1>was even possible. I was. I was writing magazine articles

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<v Speaker 1>while I was at Solomon Brothers. Um the economists published

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<v Speaker 1>the first I don't know, fifteen or twenty of them

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<v Speaker 1>and with no byline. But then I'd I'd bundle up

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<v Speaker 1>the clips and I'd send them off to editors and say,

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<v Speaker 1>I actually wrote this. You can call this guy and check.

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<v Speaker 1>And Michael Kinsley, who was the editor of The New Republic,

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<v Speaker 1>and Amity Schlace, who was then the op ed editor

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<v Speaker 1>of the Wall Street Journal Europe, encouraged me and and

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<v Speaker 1>a magazine in England too, so I had several outlets. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and the stuff started getting attention. The stuff with my

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<v Speaker 1>byline got me in trouble. I mean I wrote a work. Well, yeah,

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<v Speaker 1>I wrote a piece for the Wall Street Journal that

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<v Speaker 1>ended up being reprinted in the U. S Journal on

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<v Speaker 1>the op ed page. That's that argued that investment bankers

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<v Speaker 1>were overpaid and at the bottom it it's at the bottom,

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<v Speaker 1>it said. Michael Lewis is an associated Solomon Brothers in London.

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<v Speaker 1>And when I came in the next day, Uh, the

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<v Speaker 1>guy who ran Solomon belle As Europe was ashen face

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<v Speaker 1>sitting at my desk and he and he said, I've

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<v Speaker 1>been on the phone all night with members of the boards,

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<v Speaker 1>board of directors that this is the things being reprinted

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<v Speaker 1>across the country and and we can't have he was pleading.

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<v Speaker 1>It was it was more in sorrow than an anger.

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<v Speaker 1>It was you can't go in the Wall Street Journal

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<v Speaker 1>and say you're with us and that we're overpaid. And

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<v Speaker 1>I said, and I said, well, it's true, and he

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<v Speaker 1>said it is true, but you know, you know but

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<v Speaker 1>and then he said, he said, is there And he said,

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<v Speaker 1>could you just you gotta stop writing? And I said,

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<v Speaker 1>I I'm not gonna do that. And he said he

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<v Speaker 1>was great. Actually was Charlie mcphaz's name. He was wonderful guy.

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<v Speaker 1>And he says, well, is there anyway, um you could

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<v Speaker 1>do it um under a different name so that nobody

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<v Speaker 1>connects it back to us? And I said fine, And

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<v Speaker 1>I wrote under the name Diana Bleaker, which was my

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<v Speaker 1>mother's name, and my my definished the story. I STI,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm writing under Diana Blinker. And Diana Bleaker publishes something

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<v Speaker 1>in the New Republic. And I get a call from

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<v Speaker 1>Chevy Chase's dad, who's an editor at Simon and Schuster,

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<v Speaker 1>and he says, I figured out you're Diana Bleaker, uh,

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<v Speaker 1>and you should write a book. And I thought, oh

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<v Speaker 1>my god, someone will We'll pay me to write a book.

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<v Speaker 1>And it wasn't much, but that at that moment, I

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<v Speaker 1>went and I said to the my bosses, I'm out

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<v Speaker 1>of here. I'm gonna'm gonna be gonna be a writer.

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<v Speaker 1>And they thought I was insane. That didn't answer your question.

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<v Speaker 1>They actually tried to talk me off the ledge And

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<v Speaker 1>it was not really it was not, oh, you can't

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<v Speaker 1>go write a book about Solomon Brothers. Nobody we even

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<v Speaker 1>thought about that or even cared. It was more we

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<v Speaker 1>need you here and I'm we're really worried about your

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<v Speaker 1>mental health. You're not gonna I mean, you're not gonna

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<v Speaker 1>be a writer. It was that kind of they were

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<v Speaker 1>trying to help me. Uh So we had kind of

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<v Speaker 1>these amount of to a therapy session with the guys

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<v Speaker 1>who ran the European office. So you're just yuessing them.

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<v Speaker 1>But I recall reading that you kept a diary most

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<v Speaker 1>of the time. Was it's the whole four years you

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<v Speaker 1>had Solomon Brothers. So I wasn't there four years. I

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<v Speaker 1>was there just shy a three And uh it wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>a diary in the way that I don't know you

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<v Speaker 1>might imagine Jane Austin, because I was writing about it.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, so yeah, I started taking an interest in

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<v Speaker 1>the what was specifically going on around me, uh as

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<v Speaker 1>possible literary material maybe six months before I left, So

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<v Speaker 1>not the whole time. What I did is I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>during the training program, I wrote down everything, and so

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<v Speaker 1>I had all that on all that stuff. Um, I

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<v Speaker 1>actually the firm. I mean it would just it would.

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<v Speaker 1>Public relations people of Wall Street firms today would not

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<v Speaker 1>believe how loose it was. When I left, I called

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<v Speaker 1>and said, I get some videotapes from the training program,

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<v Speaker 1>just so I get the dialogue right. And then they

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<v Speaker 1>were friends. When got me a couple of videos I needed,

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<v Speaker 1>and uh, and people Louis Ronieri, who ran the mortgage

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<v Speaker 1>right exactly helped me, uh, you know, kind of come

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<v Speaker 1>to come to term with what had happened in his department.

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<v Speaker 1>I went and interviewed all the mortgage traders. Everybody's just

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<v Speaker 1>nobody said you can't write a we can't write a

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<v Speaker 1>book about us, you know, nobody said you know, it

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<v Speaker 1>was no there was no free sty of scandal around it.

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<v Speaker 1>It was just like, it's kind of cool, you're gonna

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<v Speaker 1>write a book. But I'm a good luck guy with

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<v Speaker 1>that right Who wants who cares about a book that?

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<v Speaker 1>Everybody couldn't be sweeter about it? So you leave an

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<v Speaker 1>eight eight right now? I got to let me make

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<v Speaker 1>sure I got the dates right and the book comes

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<v Speaker 1>out in eighty nine. No, I left what I do.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right. I left in. I waited the boy, but

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<v Speaker 1>I actually I waited enough for me. I waited till

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<v Speaker 1>the bonus hit the bank account in the end of

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<v Speaker 1>January early February and left. I wrote the book in

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<v Speaker 1>a year, and so the book was done by early

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<v Speaker 1>eighty nine. It came at the end of eighty nine. Wow,

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<v Speaker 1>that's amazing. I'm Barry rid Hults. You're listening to Masters

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<v Speaker 1>in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is

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<v Speaker 1>one of my favorite authors. His name is Michael Lewis,

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<v Speaker 1>and you're probably familiar with him from books such as

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<v Speaker 1>Liars Poker, The Big Short, Moneyball, and more recently The

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<v Speaker 1>Undoing Project, A Story of two uh is reely psychologist

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<v Speaker 1>who very much change the way we look at cognition

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<v Speaker 1>and thinking. A friendship that changed our minds. So let's

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<v Speaker 1>let's jump right into this, because first of all, I

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<v Speaker 1>really enjoyed the book. I found it fascinating. We've had

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<v Speaker 1>Failor and Conomon and other behaviorists on the show, and

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<v Speaker 1>I love that sort of approach to thinking about thinking.

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<v Speaker 1>And what I really liked was your introduction in the book.

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<v Speaker 1>You explain how Failor and Cass Sunstein wrote a review

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<v Speaker 1>of money Ball published in the New Republic, and they

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<v Speaker 1>kind of call you out for saying, Hey, this is

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<v Speaker 1>really all about cognition, and how did you ignore the

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<v Speaker 1>works of the people who created the science and most

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<v Speaker 1>of Versking and Danny Knoman. So the question is, was

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<v Speaker 1>this book a little bit of a mia kulpa for

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<v Speaker 1>that oversight in in money Ball? You know, it wasn't

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<v Speaker 1>And I wasn't really feeling guilty about it. I felt

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<v Speaker 1>I felt um, I felt Uh. I was surprised that

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<v Speaker 1>there there had been working psychology that that explained what

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<v Speaker 1>was going on in the minds of baseball scouts when

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<v Speaker 1>they missed judge baseball players and among other things. I

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<v Speaker 1>was surprised I'd never heard of these guys, because I

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<v Speaker 1>did do a master's in economics. But it was before

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<v Speaker 1>that all has happened, you know, And when when did

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<v Speaker 1>you When I got out of the the LC and

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<v Speaker 1>so nobody talked about this kind of stuff. You were

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<v Speaker 1>being taught rational expectation, it was just starting to and um,

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<v Speaker 1>and then uh, what happens is that I was out

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<v Speaker 1>drinking with a friend. Uh, I got named dak Or

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<v Speaker 1>Keltner who was a psychologist of the Berkeley uh in

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<v Speaker 1>the Berkeley at cal and he's he's like a wonderful

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<v Speaker 1>guy and it and I told him, I said, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>it's odd that your field somehow has something to say

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<v Speaker 1>about this book I wrote. And he said, Danny lives

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<v Speaker 1>just up the hill. You can go. You can go

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<v Speaker 1>see him. And he's a friend. I said, really. And

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<v Speaker 1>it took me. I took me sometime to take him

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<v Speaker 1>up on that offer. But he introduced me to Danny

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<v Speaker 1>and when who By the way, he had won the

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<v Speaker 1>Nobel Prize for his work the year before money Bull comes.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right, that's right in economics and act. That was weird.

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<v Speaker 1>You nobody said, how is the psychologist winning the Nobel

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<v Speaker 1>Prize in economics? This nobody? Nobody. You look at the

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<v Speaker 1>descriptions of his Nobel Prize and it says, oh, this

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<v Speaker 1>is normal. It's bizarre. Uh. Well, the underlying premise for

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<v Speaker 1>all of economics is that humans are are rational, optimized,

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<v Speaker 1>nothing of the sort. I'm not saying it's not deserved.

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<v Speaker 1>I'm saying that if you told him when he was

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<v Speaker 1>doing his work that he's gonna win a Nobel Prize

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<v Speaker 1>in economics. He looked at you like you had three heads.

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<v Speaker 1>But uh, what happened? Really it was organic. It's kind

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<v Speaker 1>of curious. I want to meet a guy who win

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<v Speaker 1>the Nobel Prize. That was probably the first thought, was

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<v Speaker 1>I to go meet somebody who won a Nobel Prize.

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<v Speaker 1>And I didn't go up thinking I'm gonna write a

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<v Speaker 1>book about him, and I gotten. We just became friends.

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<v Speaker 1>I started following him. I started I'd see him when

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<v Speaker 1>he was in town. We go on along walks, uh

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<v Speaker 1>in the hills, and he would talk about his relationship

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<v Speaker 1>with Amos. And that's what interested me that I thought

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<v Speaker 1>these guys had this incredible love affair. I mean, it

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<v Speaker 1>wasn't there was no sex. The sex was having the ideas,

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<v Speaker 1>but it was there was a drama to their relationship

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<v Speaker 1>that got me interested. I called it an intellectual romance

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<v Speaker 1>in the review you haven't read, um, But since you

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<v Speaker 1>mentioned Amos, let's let's talk a little bit about him,

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<v Speaker 1>because there's this really bizarre thing you mentioned in the afterward. So,

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<v Speaker 1>and I'm not giving away the ending to any of this. So,

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<v Speaker 1>both Kneman and Tversky talked about the role of luck

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<v Speaker 1>in people's lives, coincidentally, when you start thinking about doing

0:11:55.559 --> 0:12:02.880
<v Speaker 1>this book you had previously taught or coached Amos Tversky's son. Well,

0:12:02.880 --> 0:12:07.080
<v Speaker 1>this gets weird, right, I mean, that's really well. When

0:12:07.440 --> 0:12:09.800
<v Speaker 1>at some point I can't remember when the penny dropped,

0:12:09.840 --> 0:12:12.480
<v Speaker 1>I realized I had a kid in the year I

0:12:12.559 --> 0:12:17.720
<v Speaker 1>taught writing a cow whose last name was Tversky, and

0:12:18.160 --> 0:12:21.480
<v Speaker 1>he was about my favorite student, and we had a friendship.

0:12:21.520 --> 0:12:23.720
<v Speaker 1>I'd see him every year for dinner, and he never

0:12:23.800 --> 0:12:27.600
<v Speaker 1>mentioned anything about his dad. I wouldn't even known who

0:12:27.600 --> 0:12:30.439
<v Speaker 1>he was anyway, so there would be no reason. Uh.

0:12:31.440 --> 0:12:34.679
<v Speaker 1>But then I wrote I remember writing or in Diversky notes, saying,

0:12:34.920 --> 0:12:37.440
<v Speaker 1>is Amos your dad? And he said yeah, yeah, And

0:12:37.480 --> 0:12:39.680
<v Speaker 1>I said, well, I'm toying with the idea of writing

0:12:39.679 --> 0:12:42.000
<v Speaker 1>a book about his collaboration with Danny. And he goes,

0:12:42.040 --> 0:12:45.240
<v Speaker 1>oh really. It was kind of like he said, my mom,

0:12:45.240 --> 0:12:47.000
<v Speaker 1>I'm sure my mom will be happy to help. It

0:12:47.000 --> 0:12:50.439
<v Speaker 1>was basically what he said, but but it was it

0:12:50.520 --> 0:12:54.199
<v Speaker 1>was serendipitous, to say the least. So you you teach

0:12:54.280 --> 0:12:59.400
<v Speaker 1>Amos Tversky's son, Danny Conuman lives up the street from you.

0:12:59.400 --> 0:13:04.120
<v Speaker 1>You spend five years softening up Kneman in order to

0:13:04.200 --> 0:13:06.520
<v Speaker 1>do the book that he was really reluctant. There were

0:13:06.520 --> 0:13:11.080
<v Speaker 1>two stages of this assault. The first was um getting

0:13:11.320 --> 0:13:18.600
<v Speaker 1>helping him a little bit, uh right, because his publisher's

0:13:18.640 --> 0:13:20.679
<v Speaker 1>agent thought it was insane for him to be talking

0:13:20.679 --> 0:13:22.960
<v Speaker 1>to me about a book before he wrote his, and

0:13:23.240 --> 0:13:25.480
<v Speaker 1>you're going to steal the idea? Yeah, yeah, I wouldn't.

0:13:25.520 --> 0:13:27.400
<v Speaker 1>It was so different, it didn't matter to me. But

0:13:27.440 --> 0:13:29.080
<v Speaker 1>he said, we could you just wait until I'm done

0:13:29.080 --> 0:13:31.880
<v Speaker 1>with this and so so that that was the first.

0:13:31.920 --> 0:13:33.920
<v Speaker 1>So there was not even possibility of doing the thing

0:13:34.000 --> 0:13:36.920
<v Speaker 1>until after he was done with that. And then he

0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:39.360
<v Speaker 1>never really ever said no, you're not going to write

0:13:39.360 --> 0:13:44.360
<v Speaker 1>a book about us, But he expressed extreme skepticism and

0:13:44.840 --> 0:13:49.680
<v Speaker 1>uh and and concern whenever I'd kind of bring it up,

0:13:49.720 --> 0:13:52.440
<v Speaker 1>and he was UM. I wanted him to want to

0:13:52.480 --> 0:13:55.319
<v Speaker 1>do it, and I never got him there. I never

0:13:55.320 --> 0:13:58.199
<v Speaker 1>got him there at best. And so but I got

0:13:58.240 --> 0:13:59.959
<v Speaker 1>him to the point where he would answer my question

0:14:00.760 --> 0:14:05.480
<v Speaker 1>and uh, and he was um. He was wonderful about

0:14:05.520 --> 0:14:07.480
<v Speaker 1>it in the end, But it did. Yes, if I

0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:09.320
<v Speaker 1>would say five years, I went and saw him an

0:14:09.320 --> 0:14:12.920
<v Speaker 1>O seven. It was about two thousand twelve when it

0:14:13.000 --> 0:14:15.679
<v Speaker 1>became very earnest. So here's where I'm going to call

0:14:15.760 --> 0:14:18.040
<v Speaker 1>you out for a little bs in the book. And

0:14:18.080 --> 0:14:21.400
<v Speaker 1>you write, you know, the book didn't require a writer

0:14:21.520 --> 0:14:24.920
<v Speaker 1>as much as a stenographer, And based on everything we've

0:14:24.960 --> 0:14:29.400
<v Speaker 1>just said, that line is pure nonsense because it's clear

0:14:29.520 --> 0:14:32.680
<v Speaker 1>from everything you just said, and I'm not blowing smoke,

0:14:33.320 --> 0:14:36.840
<v Speaker 1>nobody else could have done this book except you because

0:14:36.880 --> 0:14:41.280
<v Speaker 1>of your relationship with Orange Diversity and your friendship with Danny.

0:14:41.360 --> 0:14:44.080
<v Speaker 1>Who else could have put these pieces together the way

0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:47.760
<v Speaker 1>you did. Well. When I said that it required a stenographer,

0:14:47.840 --> 0:14:50.720
<v Speaker 1>what I meant was the people I was interviewing, these

0:14:51.280 --> 0:14:55.560
<v Speaker 1>these seventy five year old, eighty year old Israeli people, intellectuals.

0:14:56.160 --> 0:14:59.520
<v Speaker 1>What was coming out of their mouths was it was

0:14:59.560 --> 0:15:00.960
<v Speaker 1>all I want to do it. I didn't. I don't

0:15:01.000 --> 0:15:04.320
<v Speaker 1>use a tape recorder. Every one of them had a

0:15:04.440 --> 0:15:08.040
<v Speaker 1>chilling war story, women and men. Everything was everybody had

0:15:08.080 --> 0:15:11.600
<v Speaker 1>almost died many times in the most dramatic ways, and

0:15:11.800 --> 0:15:15.240
<v Speaker 1>all of them had exquisite ideas and observations about my

0:15:15.280 --> 0:15:17.800
<v Speaker 1>main characters. So what I meant was they did a

0:15:17.840 --> 0:15:20.280
<v Speaker 1>lot of the work for me, and that work normally

0:15:20.320 --> 0:15:23.320
<v Speaker 1>I would have to do insight into the characters. It

0:15:23.440 --> 0:15:28.120
<v Speaker 1>had been done for me and by by intellectual bulldozers. However,

0:15:28.240 --> 0:15:30.800
<v Speaker 1>your point is well taken that I was positioned to

0:15:30.840 --> 0:15:35.000
<v Speaker 1>do it, and when I finally I some The last

0:15:35.040 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 1>little hurdle I had to get over was in my

0:15:36.680 --> 0:15:38.960
<v Speaker 1>own mind. I was afraid of the material because I

0:15:39.000 --> 0:15:41.360
<v Speaker 1>didn't know I well, I didn't know anyth about psychology.

0:15:41.400 --> 0:15:43.520
<v Speaker 1>I didn't know much about Israel. I was walking into

0:15:43.520 --> 0:15:46.920
<v Speaker 1>a really new territory for me, and I thought, I

0:15:47.000 --> 0:15:50.320
<v Speaker 1>kept thinking, who who should write this book? And maybe

0:15:50.360 --> 0:15:52.440
<v Speaker 1>Malcolm got Gladwall should write this book. You'd do a

0:15:52.480 --> 0:15:57.920
<v Speaker 1>great job. He's got uh, he's really facile with complicated ideas.

0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:01.000
<v Speaker 1>He's he'd be perfect for it. Didn't see it didn't

0:16:01.000 --> 0:16:04.280
<v Speaker 1>seem like my book. And then I realized that it's

0:16:04.320 --> 0:16:05.680
<v Speaker 1>got to be my book, because the only way you

0:16:05.680 --> 0:16:08.320
<v Speaker 1>tell the stories if you're inside these people, and no

0:16:08.360 --> 0:16:10.480
<v Speaker 1>one else is going to get inside these people. Brought

0:16:10.520 --> 0:16:13.320
<v Speaker 1>to you by Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Seeing what

0:16:13.440 --> 0:16:17.080
<v Speaker 1>others have seen, but uncovering what others may not. Global

0:16:17.120 --> 0:16:20.760
<v Speaker 1>Research that helps you Harness disruption voted top global research

0:16:20.800 --> 0:16:25.000
<v Speaker 1>firm five years running. Merrill Lynch Pierce, Fenner and Smith Incorporated.

0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:28.840
<v Speaker 1>I'm Barry Hults. You're listening to Masters in Business on

0:16:28.880 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. My special guest today is Michael Lewis. He

0:16:33.120 --> 0:16:36.880
<v Speaker 1>is the Poet Laureate of Financial nonfiction UH and Wall

0:16:36.920 --> 0:16:40.760
<v Speaker 1>Street related narratives. Uh. Let's jump right into some of

0:16:40.800 --> 0:16:44.280
<v Speaker 1>the really interesting books you've written in the past and

0:16:44.280 --> 0:16:47.080
<v Speaker 1>and some of the responses to them. Um. I was

0:16:47.120 --> 0:16:51.160
<v Speaker 1>watching UH sixty minutes when you were talking about Flashboys,

0:16:51.240 --> 0:16:54.240
<v Speaker 1>and you came out and said the markets were rigged

0:16:54.720 --> 0:16:57.920
<v Speaker 1>and all hell breaks loose? What what was the pushback

0:16:57.960 --> 0:17:00.680
<v Speaker 1>like to that? Wait? Was funny because it didn't even

0:17:00.680 --> 0:17:02.600
<v Speaker 1>occur to me I was saying anything controversial. I thought

0:17:02.600 --> 0:17:05.480
<v Speaker 1>everybody knew it. The writ and they pretty much always

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:07.760
<v Speaker 1>be read and but the way they it was just

0:17:07.880 --> 0:17:10.960
<v Speaker 1>the way they're rigged has changed. And uh, really it's

0:17:11.040 --> 0:17:14.160
<v Speaker 1>it's so if you sit with the people who at

0:17:14.160 --> 0:17:17.159
<v Speaker 1>I X, the the exchange I was writing about, and

0:17:17.200 --> 0:17:19.720
<v Speaker 1>have them show you in real time kind of what's

0:17:19.720 --> 0:17:22.840
<v Speaker 1>going on in the market, you say, well, that's rigged. Uh.

0:17:23.119 --> 0:17:25.159
<v Speaker 1>So I didn't think it was a kind of surprised

0:17:25.160 --> 0:17:28.320
<v Speaker 1>that it generated the response it did. But the blowback.

0:17:29.040 --> 0:17:33.720
<v Speaker 1>It's the book that was the most unpleasant to publish. Really, Yes,

0:17:34.160 --> 0:17:36.800
<v Speaker 1>in that, by the way, fascinating book. I love the

0:17:36.840 --> 0:17:40.040
<v Speaker 1>opening about the line of sight with running the fiber

0:17:40.080 --> 0:17:43.640
<v Speaker 1>optic cables and and how milliseconds make a difference. So

0:17:43.800 --> 0:17:47.400
<v Speaker 1>the the it was the most unpleasant to publish because

0:17:47.400 --> 0:17:50.280
<v Speaker 1>it made so many people so angry, who were angry,

0:17:50.280 --> 0:17:52.840
<v Speaker 1>who who were going to try to do something about it,

0:17:53.080 --> 0:17:54.960
<v Speaker 1>And the reason was It took me about a moment

0:17:55.000 --> 0:17:57.000
<v Speaker 1>to realize that what the reason was. It's the first

0:17:57.040 --> 0:17:59.119
<v Speaker 1>time and the only time I've written a book that

0:17:59.160 --> 0:18:01.119
<v Speaker 1>was going to take money away from Wall Street people

0:18:01.640 --> 0:18:05.840
<v Speaker 1>that that that it was. It was it came as news, uh,

0:18:05.920 --> 0:18:08.120
<v Speaker 1>to some extent the story I told the guys who

0:18:08.119 --> 0:18:11.119
<v Speaker 1>were my main characters had news in their hands that

0:18:11.119 --> 0:18:15.000
<v Speaker 1>they didn't hadn't given anybody else. And unlike the big

0:18:15.040 --> 0:18:19.359
<v Speaker 1>short liars poker um, the money hadn't all been made.

0:18:19.880 --> 0:18:22.600
<v Speaker 1>I wasn't I wasn't writing something retrospectively. I was writing

0:18:22.640 --> 0:18:24.880
<v Speaker 1>something that was going on that if it was shut down,

0:18:24.920 --> 0:18:27.800
<v Speaker 1>would cost people billions of dollars and it and all

0:18:27.840 --> 0:18:30.560
<v Speaker 1>of a sudden, people are furious. They're hiring lobbyists to

0:18:30.560 --> 0:18:33.600
<v Speaker 1>go to Washington and spread stuff on the internet, and

0:18:33.840 --> 0:18:35.320
<v Speaker 1>it was like being on the receiving end of a

0:18:35.320 --> 0:18:40.000
<v Speaker 1>political campaign. Very it was. It was a crude and

0:18:40.160 --> 0:18:42.480
<v Speaker 1>kind of if you knew anything about the subject, and

0:18:42.760 --> 0:18:46.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of intellectually embarrassing one. But nevertheless it was it

0:18:46.560 --> 0:18:49.080
<v Speaker 1>was just weird have people so hostile. So you you

0:18:49.119 --> 0:18:51.480
<v Speaker 1>go on TV, you get into a debate with the

0:18:51.520 --> 0:18:54.639
<v Speaker 1>CEO of the Bats exchange. He says a bunch of

0:18:54.680 --> 0:18:57.840
<v Speaker 1>things that turned out to be not so true. Ultimately

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:03.080
<v Speaker 1>he steps down from the vision. I said, you essentially

0:19:03.560 --> 0:19:06.880
<v Speaker 1>are to blame for him getting fired. What other crazy

0:19:06.920 --> 0:19:10.280
<v Speaker 1>sort of stuff came out of that book? We know.

0:19:11.040 --> 0:19:14.240
<v Speaker 1>Brad Katayama was a guest on the show and was

0:19:14.359 --> 0:19:17.280
<v Speaker 1>quite delightful. The main character of the book was on

0:19:17.320 --> 0:19:20.960
<v Speaker 1>that CNBC show with me, and he's the reason the

0:19:21.000 --> 0:19:23.120
<v Speaker 1>guy from Bat Bats he called him out. He called

0:19:23.160 --> 0:19:24.800
<v Speaker 1>him out, and he had he had ability to call

0:19:24.840 --> 0:19:26.760
<v Speaker 1>h out in a way I did not, because once

0:19:26.800 --> 0:19:29.800
<v Speaker 1>you get into the weeds of the subject that unless

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:33.879
<v Speaker 1>you are the world's authority defending yourself again against whatever,

0:19:34.560 --> 0:19:39.080
<v Speaker 1>he has the world's authority absolutely and so um, what

0:19:39.200 --> 0:19:44.119
<v Speaker 1>other stuff. It's mainly like calls from lawyers, yeahs or

0:19:44.400 --> 0:19:49.119
<v Speaker 1>hey Mike Needle, lawyer. But also um, just just the

0:19:49.200 --> 0:19:53.080
<v Speaker 1>idea that people are being hired, people have now jobs

0:19:53.400 --> 0:19:56.760
<v Speaker 1>to attack a book. That that just was weird and

0:19:57.880 --> 0:20:00.400
<v Speaker 1>grease balls. I mean people you just would not really

0:20:00.480 --> 0:20:03.480
<v Speaker 1>you wouldn't think anybody would want on their side who

0:20:03.560 --> 0:20:07.240
<v Speaker 1>are I mean transparently kind of like making it up

0:20:07.240 --> 0:20:10.600
<v Speaker 1>as they go along. Uh. That that was just an

0:20:10.600 --> 0:20:12.480
<v Speaker 1>odd experience. I've never had anything like that. I mean

0:20:12.520 --> 0:20:14.440
<v Speaker 1>you would think maybe Solomon Brothers would have done something

0:20:14.480 --> 0:20:16.840
<v Speaker 1>like that after Liar's Poker, but nothing, nothing, They were

0:20:16.880 --> 0:20:19.040
<v Speaker 1>great kind of I mean there was people were upset,

0:20:19.280 --> 0:20:22.760
<v Speaker 1>some people, but they did they would have done something

0:20:22.800 --> 0:20:26.480
<v Speaker 1>like that. It felt the world of big shot Wall

0:20:26.480 --> 0:20:31.960
<v Speaker 1>Street people has become much more um sneaky and manipulative

0:20:32.000 --> 0:20:34.919
<v Speaker 1>and and dark in the sense that brad cotts the

0:20:34.920 --> 0:20:37.840
<v Speaker 1>other points us out. He says, it's amazing how people

0:20:37.840 --> 0:20:41.240
<v Speaker 1>think it's just the done thing to create a propaganda

0:20:41.280 --> 0:20:44.960
<v Speaker 1>campaign filled lies, because the lies travel so fast and

0:20:45.000 --> 0:20:47.480
<v Speaker 1>the truth is complicated, and so you can just you

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:51.760
<v Speaker 1>can just paper the paper the internet with with all

0:20:51.840 --> 0:20:55.560
<v Speaker 1>this nonsense and nobody knows the difference between this this

0:20:55.560 --> 0:20:57.960
<v Speaker 1>this statement and this statement. Well, thank thank goodness, something

0:20:57.960 --> 0:21:01.439
<v Speaker 1>like that would never happen in a political So, you know,

0:21:01.880 --> 0:21:05.560
<v Speaker 1>Matt was my experience of seeing I've always ten assume

0:21:05.600 --> 0:21:07.480
<v Speaker 1>that like most people would look and say, well, clearly

0:21:07.480 --> 0:21:09.959
<v Speaker 1>he's lying. Clearly he's been hired to say this credit

0:21:10.359 --> 0:21:14.919
<v Speaker 1>and uh, that's not how it works. Uh. It's people

0:21:14.960 --> 0:21:16.720
<v Speaker 1>to say, oh, it must be two stories there, the

0:21:16.760 --> 0:21:19.640
<v Speaker 1>classic false equivalence, Well, the Earth is around, the Earth

0:21:19.720 --> 0:21:22.760
<v Speaker 1>is flat. They both made yes, yes, and and uh.

0:21:23.000 --> 0:21:25.840
<v Speaker 1>On the other hand, Joe says the Earth is flat

0:21:26.280 --> 0:21:28.520
<v Speaker 1>and you could see it's flat. You know, you can't

0:21:28.560 --> 0:21:31.520
<v Speaker 1>really see any curvature. It is flat. Yeah, So that's

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:34.080
<v Speaker 1>but that is how that's how it felt. And I

0:21:34.080 --> 0:21:35.879
<v Speaker 1>thought at some point, I thought, you know, unless I

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:40.600
<v Speaker 1>devote my life full time to to waging a counter campaign,

0:21:40.800 --> 0:21:42.919
<v Speaker 1>which I don't have the time or inclination to do

0:21:43.960 --> 0:21:47.800
<v Speaker 1>or interest now that it's just it was that, thank

0:21:47.880 --> 0:21:51.520
<v Speaker 1>god that I had characters who had a big interest

0:21:51.560 --> 0:21:54.560
<v Speaker 1>in doing so that if I X wasn't around and

0:21:54.600 --> 0:21:57.080
<v Speaker 1>with serious backers, I mean, all of this would have

0:21:57.119 --> 0:22:00.879
<v Speaker 1>just I look like I look like a quack. I

0:22:00.960 --> 0:22:04.320
<v Speaker 1>look like a crank who wrote this. Um, so you've

0:22:04.359 --> 0:22:08.240
<v Speaker 1>written enough really interesting things about unusual circumstances that I

0:22:08.280 --> 0:22:10.760
<v Speaker 1>think most people give you the benefit of the doubt.

0:22:11.720 --> 0:22:15.320
<v Speaker 1>Um not most people of the sec not most people

0:22:15.320 --> 0:22:17.080
<v Speaker 1>who are paid not to give me the benefit of

0:22:17.119 --> 0:22:20.720
<v Speaker 1>the doubt. So I think that, uh that the if

0:22:20.880 --> 0:22:23.720
<v Speaker 1>that public policy would not have had any would would

0:22:23.720 --> 0:22:26.399
<v Speaker 1>not have responded at all to the story if it

0:22:26.440 --> 0:22:29.719
<v Speaker 1>were even if it were completely true, unless there were

0:22:30.200 --> 0:22:33.639
<v Speaker 1>an agent out there, namely I X pushing and pushing

0:22:33.640 --> 0:22:37.160
<v Speaker 1>and pushing and pushing and uh so, so it's just disturbing.

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:39.600
<v Speaker 1>It just think you think the truth will set you free,

0:22:40.160 --> 0:22:44.159
<v Speaker 1>and it's really clear what's true, and nobody, you know,

0:22:44.400 --> 0:22:46.159
<v Speaker 1>it doesn't get to people in the way that you

0:22:46.200 --> 0:22:49.480
<v Speaker 1>would think. Um, that's that's unbelievable. So that's that was

0:22:49.560 --> 0:22:52.399
<v Speaker 1>my That was my That was the most it was

0:22:52.480 --> 0:22:56.480
<v Speaker 1>the most disturbing publishing experience. I'm Barry Hults. You're listening

0:22:56.520 --> 0:22:59.680
<v Speaker 1>to Master's in Business on Bloomberg Radio. My special guest

0:22:59.720 --> 0:23:03.600
<v Speaker 1>today is author Michael Lewis. Most recently he wrote the

0:23:03.600 --> 0:23:07.159
<v Speaker 1>book The Undoing Project, The Friendship That Changed Our Minds,

0:23:07.520 --> 0:23:12.880
<v Speaker 1>but he's also written such classic Wall Street Books as Liars, Poker, Moneyball,

0:23:13.200 --> 0:23:16.920
<v Speaker 1>The Blindside, Flashboys, The Big Short. You did a book

0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:21.520
<v Speaker 1>on the election right after The Losers. It's that wasn't

0:23:21.520 --> 0:23:25.240
<v Speaker 1>the original That's that wasn't my title. I want to

0:23:25.280 --> 0:23:27.040
<v Speaker 1>call it loses because I followed all the people who lost.

0:23:28.040 --> 0:23:29.840
<v Speaker 1>By the way, was there an original title for The

0:23:29.840 --> 0:23:32.520
<v Speaker 1>Big Short? Or was it always always the Big Short? Alright,

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:35.400
<v Speaker 1>I'll share something with you later that I think you'll appreciate.

0:23:35.600 --> 0:23:38.480
<v Speaker 1>So let's talk a little bit about your writing process.

0:23:38.760 --> 0:23:41.439
<v Speaker 1>So where do you begin? I know you have an

0:23:41.480 --> 0:23:44.399
<v Speaker 1>office at home with a desk and a computer. Do

0:23:44.440 --> 0:23:46.679
<v Speaker 1>you just sit down and say, let me start banging

0:23:46.720 --> 0:23:50.720
<v Speaker 1>something out? How do these ideas German social interaction in

0:23:50.760 --> 0:23:54.119
<v Speaker 1>the beginning? Really? Yeah? So I don't. I'm not a novelist,

0:23:54.400 --> 0:23:56.320
<v Speaker 1>and my material is not just in my head. It's

0:23:56.320 --> 0:23:58.359
<v Speaker 1>out there in the world. And so I spent I

0:23:58.440 --> 0:24:01.800
<v Speaker 1>spend three times in much time I'm gathering the material

0:24:02.200 --> 0:24:04.840
<v Speaker 1>as I do actually writing it. So typical book takes

0:24:05.160 --> 0:24:08.200
<v Speaker 1>a year and a half to report and research, maybe

0:24:08.200 --> 0:24:10.720
<v Speaker 1>a bit more and six months to write. Is it

0:24:10.840 --> 0:24:14.080
<v Speaker 1>research right? Research right? Or research research research right right? Right?

0:24:14.119 --> 0:24:17.600
<v Speaker 1>It's nothing but research for a long time, and when

0:24:17.600 --> 0:24:19.879
<v Speaker 1>I start writing, I'm usually still doing bits and pieces

0:24:19.880 --> 0:24:21.959
<v Speaker 1>of research, and in the end I'm doing no research

0:24:22.000 --> 0:24:25.199
<v Speaker 1>and of just writing. So it's the writing of it is.

0:24:25.560 --> 0:24:27.200
<v Speaker 1>I don't want to say it's an afterthought, but by

0:24:27.200 --> 0:24:30.520
<v Speaker 1>the time that's right, I'm constantly thinking about how the

0:24:30.560 --> 0:24:33.280
<v Speaker 1>story goes, and by the time I sit down to

0:24:33.320 --> 0:24:35.640
<v Speaker 1>actually start a book, I at least think I know

0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:38.159
<v Speaker 1>exactly where it ends. Like I had the last sentence

0:24:38.240 --> 0:24:40.800
<v Speaker 1>to this book in my head pretty much, and I

0:24:40.880 --> 0:24:43.439
<v Speaker 1>usually have a title. Sometimes I don't, and it like

0:24:43.560 --> 0:24:46.480
<v Speaker 1>drives me crazy because I think that it crystallizes for

0:24:46.520 --> 0:24:48.760
<v Speaker 1>you with the books about to have the title. There's

0:24:48.800 --> 0:24:50.639
<v Speaker 1>a buzz in my head that bothers me if I

0:24:50.640 --> 0:24:52.560
<v Speaker 1>don't have the title in my head, So it takes

0:24:52.560 --> 0:24:54.760
<v Speaker 1>sometimes it takes a while to find that title, but

0:24:54.880 --> 0:24:56.879
<v Speaker 1>usually I have that. So at the blind side, I

0:24:56.880 --> 0:24:59.280
<v Speaker 1>had the big short The Undoing Project came pretty early

0:24:59.320 --> 0:25:02.080
<v Speaker 1>as a as a title undoing what we previously thought

0:25:02.080 --> 0:25:04.400
<v Speaker 1>about cognition, Yes, and it was also what they were

0:25:04.400 --> 0:25:06.720
<v Speaker 1>working on when they broke up. They had a project

0:25:06.720 --> 0:25:09.919
<v Speaker 1>they had tentatively titled the Undoing Project. And so and

0:25:09.960 --> 0:25:13.199
<v Speaker 1>I like the phrase. So anyway, the and then when

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:16.080
<v Speaker 1>the writing starts always goes in slightly different ways than

0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:18.639
<v Speaker 1>I imagine. Things drop that I thought were important you

0:25:18.680 --> 0:25:20.680
<v Speaker 1>see in print, and they no longer resonate the word

0:25:20.680 --> 0:25:22.399
<v Speaker 1>I don't even get him into print. I get to

0:25:22.400 --> 0:25:23.960
<v Speaker 1>the point in the story where I thought they belong.

0:25:24.080 --> 0:25:26.919
<v Speaker 1>I realized, as it did boring, this is unnecessary. So

0:25:27.160 --> 0:25:30.320
<v Speaker 1>things fall away. Is a lot of that numb and

0:25:30.320 --> 0:25:34.280
<v Speaker 1>and sometimes internally things swell all of a sudden, things

0:25:34.320 --> 0:25:37.159
<v Speaker 1>I thought were words on the page, we're end up

0:25:37.200 --> 0:25:40.880
<v Speaker 1>being eight thousand words on the page. And it's this

0:25:40.920 --> 0:25:44.199
<v Speaker 1>book surprised me that way that things everything that I

0:25:44.359 --> 0:25:48.160
<v Speaker 1>whole sections did fall away, and things that I thought

0:25:48.160 --> 0:25:50.560
<v Speaker 1>were short ended up being long. So that's a that

0:25:50.640 --> 0:25:53.280
<v Speaker 1>raises a really interesting point when when you're playing with

0:25:53.320 --> 0:25:57.600
<v Speaker 1>an idea, do you know from the beginning this is

0:25:57.960 --> 0:26:02.160
<v Speaker 1>a Bloomberg View post, this is a long Younger magazine story. Oh,

0:26:02.280 --> 0:26:05.760
<v Speaker 1>this is a full blown book. At what point do

0:26:05.840 --> 0:26:09.680
<v Speaker 1>you have a sense that, hey, there's legs here. A

0:26:09.680 --> 0:26:12.600
<v Speaker 1>column of the length of the Bloomberg View thing is

0:26:12.640 --> 0:26:16.960
<v Speaker 1>always just a columns an opinion. It's preciually a humorous

0:26:17.000 --> 0:26:19.760
<v Speaker 1>take on something, and uh, I've never had one of

0:26:19.800 --> 0:26:22.480
<v Speaker 1>those become something I didn't think it was. But magazine

0:26:22.480 --> 0:26:25.760
<v Speaker 1>pieces sometimes blow up and get much much bigger. Moneyball

0:26:25.880 --> 0:26:28.159
<v Speaker 1>started as a magazine piece because I just had a

0:26:28.240 --> 0:26:30.040
<v Speaker 1>question for the Oakland A's like, how are you winning?

0:26:30.600 --> 0:26:32.360
<v Speaker 1>And I thought, well, that would be a cute little story.

0:26:32.400 --> 0:26:34.600
<v Speaker 1>Actually it wasn't even be a long magazine piece. And

0:26:34.640 --> 0:26:36.520
<v Speaker 1>after a day with the front office and I went,

0:26:36.560 --> 0:26:39.400
<v Speaker 1>oh my god, this is something big here. I don't

0:26:39.400 --> 0:26:41.680
<v Speaker 1>know what it is, but it's not a short magazine piece.

0:26:42.040 --> 0:26:43.800
<v Speaker 1>It took me six weeks to figure out what it

0:26:43.880 --> 0:26:46.320
<v Speaker 1>was and just talking to him, and then now the

0:26:46.400 --> 0:26:48.800
<v Speaker 1>year to report it. I gotta assume. So if people

0:26:48.800 --> 0:26:51.399
<v Speaker 1>who are not familiar with the story, Oakland a is

0:26:51.400 --> 0:26:55.160
<v Speaker 1>one of the smallest budgets in the entire baseball league,

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:58.800
<v Speaker 1>and suddenly they start a new approach to let's throw

0:26:58.800 --> 0:27:01.560
<v Speaker 1>away the old nonsense of evaluating players, so they didn't

0:27:01.600 --> 0:27:03.560
<v Speaker 1>talk about any of that. You all you saw as

0:27:03.600 --> 0:27:06.159
<v Speaker 1>a fan where wow, they look a little strange. They

0:27:06.160 --> 0:27:08.439
<v Speaker 1>look like a Beer league softball team. They're all these

0:27:08.520 --> 0:27:10.240
<v Speaker 1>kind of fat guys who hit home runs and can't

0:27:10.280 --> 0:27:12.560
<v Speaker 1>catch the ball, and they're winning all these games? How's

0:27:12.600 --> 0:27:15.760
<v Speaker 1>this happening? And uh? And then you when you see

0:27:15.800 --> 0:27:18.440
<v Speaker 1>the budgets, like they're paying for their players a fifth

0:27:18.440 --> 0:27:20.600
<v Speaker 1>of what the Yankees are and they're winning as many games.

0:27:20.960 --> 0:27:24.040
<v Speaker 1>If the market's efficient, that makes no sense that you

0:27:24.040 --> 0:27:25.800
<v Speaker 1>should buy all the best players and just beat the A's.

0:27:25.960 --> 0:27:28.440
<v Speaker 1>So what's going on there? And it was a market

0:27:28.440 --> 0:27:31.800
<v Speaker 1>efficiency story. It's like something's wrong there. And I thought

0:27:31.800 --> 0:27:34.280
<v Speaker 1>there would be an easy explanation. I didn't know what

0:27:34.320 --> 0:27:37.040
<v Speaker 1>it was gonna be. And the explanation was very involved.

0:27:37.359 --> 0:27:40.439
<v Speaker 1>And and the big thing was the A's front office

0:27:40.720 --> 0:27:42.919
<v Speaker 1>had never been asked the question because of the sports

0:27:43.000 --> 0:27:45.800
<v Speaker 1>journalists were not at all focused on this on the

0:27:45.840 --> 0:27:48.480
<v Speaker 1>money side of things. They you know, some have some money,

0:27:48.520 --> 0:27:50.040
<v Speaker 1>someone don't have some money. But they didn't think in

0:27:50.160 --> 0:27:53.000
<v Speaker 1>terms of like market efficiency. And so Billy Bean, who

0:27:53.119 --> 0:27:55.080
<v Speaker 1>ran the Oakland A's, had never had a chance to

0:27:55.160 --> 0:27:57.960
<v Speaker 1>download on anybody all these thoughts he had about the

0:27:58.240 --> 0:28:01.399
<v Speaker 1>how screwed up the evaluations? So I had, so it

0:28:01.480 --> 0:28:03.880
<v Speaker 1>was completely fresh material. He said to me. No one's

0:28:03.880 --> 0:28:06.800
<v Speaker 1>asked that question. Where the sports journalists drinking from the

0:28:06.840 --> 0:28:08.880
<v Speaker 1>same kool aid as everybody else? They just didn't think

0:28:08.880 --> 0:28:10.400
<v Speaker 1>it was interesting. You know, it really is a matter

0:28:10.400 --> 0:28:12.840
<v Speaker 1>of what you find interesting. What was interesting is who

0:28:12.840 --> 0:28:15.760
<v Speaker 1>they traded for or whether they went last night or

0:28:15.760 --> 0:28:18.199
<v Speaker 1>who had not. Here's a giant philosophical shift in the

0:28:18.200 --> 0:28:21.040
<v Speaker 1>way baseball team should be assembled that we don't care about. That.

0:28:21.080 --> 0:28:24.160
<v Speaker 1>Tell me about your new second basement. In fairness, wasn't

0:28:24.240 --> 0:28:26.160
<v Speaker 1>as if the Oakland front office was trying to tell

0:28:26.200 --> 0:28:28.800
<v Speaker 1>their story. They just no one asked them for it,

0:28:28.920 --> 0:28:31.399
<v Speaker 1>and they had not been approached by anybody saying I

0:28:31.440 --> 0:28:33.720
<v Speaker 1>want to know what you're doing here, because something's going on.

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:36.800
<v Speaker 1>Except the owner of the Boston Red Sox, the new

0:28:36.840 --> 0:28:39.520
<v Speaker 1>owner of the Boston Red Sox, who was trying to yeah,

0:28:39.560 --> 0:28:42.200
<v Speaker 1>he he knew something was He was a financial guy.

0:28:42.840 --> 0:28:45.720
<v Speaker 1>Something's going on there, and and so he was already

0:28:45.720 --> 0:28:48.160
<v Speaker 1>sniffing around a little bit. So not a coincidence that

0:28:48.360 --> 0:28:52.600
<v Speaker 1>a financial ride recognized. So that's statistical side of this,

0:28:52.680 --> 0:28:55.560
<v Speaker 1>And a quantz running another baseball team said hey, there's

0:28:55.600 --> 0:28:58.520
<v Speaker 1>some something here that's right. That's that that's not a coincidence,

0:28:58.560 --> 0:29:00.840
<v Speaker 1>And the a's were it was atharctic for them to

0:29:01.000 --> 0:29:03.000
<v Speaker 1>just talk have someone to talk to you about it,

0:29:03.120 --> 0:29:05.200
<v Speaker 1>because it was what they thought about all the time

0:29:05.600 --> 0:29:08.440
<v Speaker 1>is how you make your resources go further, how you

0:29:08.480 --> 0:29:11.280
<v Speaker 1>find bargains in baseball, what's going on in the mind

0:29:11.280 --> 0:29:14.760
<v Speaker 1>of baseball scouts, what's wrong with old fashioned baseball strategies?

0:29:14.800 --> 0:29:17.280
<v Speaker 1>All they were rethinking the game. So money Ball became

0:29:17.320 --> 0:29:19.720
<v Speaker 1>Billy Bean's confessional to you. It wasn't so much a

0:29:19.760 --> 0:29:23.560
<v Speaker 1>confessional because that implies that he feels no. No, it

0:29:23.640 --> 0:29:27.080
<v Speaker 1>was it was Billy be but it was Moneyball becomes

0:29:28.040 --> 0:29:30.680
<v Speaker 1>story outlet for Billy to kind of get things off

0:29:30.720 --> 0:29:34.240
<v Speaker 1>his chest about what he's seen. Yes, he tells the story.

0:29:34.600 --> 0:29:36.960
<v Speaker 1>It took him a little while to get comfortable telling

0:29:36.960 --> 0:29:39.080
<v Speaker 1>me a story, but not that long. You're pretty good

0:29:39.080 --> 0:29:42.120
<v Speaker 1>at ingratiating yourself with people to get them to to

0:29:42.200 --> 0:29:44.760
<v Speaker 1>come out and speak with you. You know. I try

0:29:44.800 --> 0:29:46.680
<v Speaker 1>to let him get to know me a bit so

0:29:46.720 --> 0:29:49.440
<v Speaker 1>they feel more comfortable. And the truth is that if

0:29:49.440 --> 0:29:51.520
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to do a long thing, a long piece

0:29:51.560 --> 0:29:54.440
<v Speaker 1>of writing about someone, I have to genuinely feel basically

0:29:54.480 --> 0:29:57.080
<v Speaker 1>positively disposed to them. That if I actually thought he

0:29:57.160 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 1>was a creep or dishonest or whatever, I just I

0:30:00.160 --> 0:30:01.920
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't want to spend the time with him necessary for

0:30:01.960 --> 0:30:05.080
<v Speaker 1>the book. So it becomes a kind of easy relationship

0:30:05.080 --> 0:30:07.280
<v Speaker 1>because he senses I basically like him, and he says

0:30:07.280 --> 0:30:10.560
<v Speaker 1>that I'm basically a sane person, and he says I

0:30:10.600 --> 0:30:14.360
<v Speaker 1>might do anything really creepy, and so there's a trust develops,

0:30:14.360 --> 0:30:16.000
<v Speaker 1>and it's just a very broad trust. I don't want

0:30:16.000 --> 0:30:17.800
<v Speaker 1>anybody see what I write about them or anything. But

0:30:18.080 --> 0:30:20.040
<v Speaker 1>at some points starts to feel comfortable with me, and

0:30:20.200 --> 0:30:22.240
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna tell my story. Somebody might as well be him.

0:30:22.360 --> 0:30:25.000
<v Speaker 1>That's what you're gunning for. Nobody's ever gonna feel completely

0:30:25.040 --> 0:30:27.480
<v Speaker 1>comfortable with it. You just say someone's gonna get this story,

0:30:27.560 --> 0:30:29.280
<v Speaker 1>might as well be him. Let's stay with the idea

0:30:29.320 --> 0:30:33.120
<v Speaker 1>of a magazine story that would have or could have

0:30:33.200 --> 0:30:38.040
<v Speaker 1>become a book. In the Sunday New York Times magazine,

0:30:38.640 --> 0:30:42.680
<v Speaker 1>you published How the egg Heads Cracked. It's a nine

0:30:42.720 --> 0:30:47.440
<v Speaker 1>thousand word opus about long term capital management. My former boss.

0:30:47.920 --> 0:30:52.280
<v Speaker 1>Oh really, John Merryweather, That's that's right. So the question is,

0:30:52.320 --> 0:30:55.560
<v Speaker 1>and with all due respect to Roger Lowenstein, I love

0:30:55.640 --> 0:30:57.960
<v Speaker 1>when when Genius failed he was a guest on the show,

0:30:58.240 --> 0:31:01.600
<v Speaker 1>But really you could have it in that book as well. Yes,

0:31:01.840 --> 0:31:05.160
<v Speaker 1>why didn't that become a book. Because when I went back,

0:31:05.200 --> 0:31:07.520
<v Speaker 1>when I'm researching this and I'm looking at that, my

0:31:07.560 --> 0:31:10.680
<v Speaker 1>head of research says, hey, check out this article. I'm like, wow,

0:31:10.720 --> 0:31:12.920
<v Speaker 1>this could easily have been a Michael Lewis book. I

0:31:12.960 --> 0:31:15.200
<v Speaker 1>turned the question on his head. Why even bothered it?

0:31:15.320 --> 0:31:17.880
<v Speaker 1>Right that? Because I really thought I was done writing

0:31:17.880 --> 0:31:20.160
<v Speaker 1>about Wall Street in a big way, and you never

0:31:20.160 --> 0:31:22.360
<v Speaker 1>want to write the same book twice. And while that's

0:31:22.400 --> 0:31:26.000
<v Speaker 1>just too close in time, Yeah, yeah, it was a decade,

0:31:26.000 --> 0:31:29.240
<v Speaker 1>but I just thought, been there, done that. The question

0:31:29.400 --> 0:31:31.719
<v Speaker 1>that I actually asked was is this worth doing? And

0:31:31.760 --> 0:31:35.000
<v Speaker 1>I thought, well, you know, these guys are being demonized

0:31:35.080 --> 0:31:38.040
<v Speaker 1>in the press. Nobody really understands what they did. I

0:31:38.120 --> 0:31:40.320
<v Speaker 1>kind of understand what they did, and they can explain

0:31:40.360 --> 0:31:42.080
<v Speaker 1>it to me in a way I can explain to people.

0:31:42.240 --> 0:31:45.240
<v Speaker 1>So it just like takes some of the weirdness out

0:31:45.240 --> 0:31:47.440
<v Speaker 1>of the environment around them. So I just thought it

0:31:47.480 --> 0:31:50.239
<v Speaker 1>would be it would be useful for me to go

0:31:50.320 --> 0:31:52.520
<v Speaker 1>in have them explain it to me, and then explain

0:31:52.560 --> 0:31:55.800
<v Speaker 1>it to a broader audience. And they didn't exactly trust

0:31:55.880 --> 0:31:58.720
<v Speaker 1>me because I had written Liars Poker. I mean, that's

0:31:58.760 --> 0:32:00.960
<v Speaker 1>that's trust is they they were. Some of them were

0:32:01.080 --> 0:32:04.960
<v Speaker 1>irritated about that. Really, not a lot of the solid guys. Yeah,

0:32:05.040 --> 0:32:07.760
<v Speaker 1>well they were. They were in my immediate colleagues, Hans

0:32:07.800 --> 0:32:11.400
<v Speaker 1>hoffen Schmidt, hushmid Humid. So I gotta ask you about that.

0:32:11.520 --> 0:32:15.520
<v Speaker 1>So he became your frame of reference for did I

0:32:15.600 --> 0:32:20.080
<v Speaker 1>do the right thing? Leaving Sally was early. Well, we

0:32:20.320 --> 0:32:22.840
<v Speaker 1>kind of tracked through the training program together, right, and

0:32:22.840 --> 0:32:24.920
<v Speaker 1>we ended up kind of in a similar sort of role.

0:32:25.000 --> 0:32:26.960
<v Speaker 1>He was in the foreign exchange department. I was with

0:32:27.040 --> 0:32:29.680
<v Speaker 1>John Merryweather's a group, and we're kind of getting paid

0:32:29.720 --> 0:32:31.760
<v Speaker 1>the same amount of money. And I did kind of think, well,

0:32:31.800 --> 0:32:34.360
<v Speaker 1>if I'd stayed at Solomon Brothers, I'd kind of done

0:32:34.400 --> 0:32:37.320
<v Speaker 1>how Hans did. And he killed and he made a

0:32:37.320 --> 0:32:39.560
<v Speaker 1>ton of money, put it into the longtime capital. He

0:32:39.600 --> 0:32:42.040
<v Speaker 1>was putting fifty million dollar bonuses, and then it all

0:32:42.720 --> 0:32:44.600
<v Speaker 1>up to that point I thought, Jesus, did did I

0:32:44.640 --> 0:32:47.520
<v Speaker 1>make a mistake becoming a writer? I never really felt

0:32:47.560 --> 0:32:49.640
<v Speaker 1>that way, but it was like he was my measure

0:32:49.640 --> 0:32:53.080
<v Speaker 1>of the opportunity cost. So the line in when the

0:32:53.320 --> 0:32:57.280
<v Speaker 1>heads cracked after LTCM blows up and he's tens of

0:32:57.320 --> 0:33:00.040
<v Speaker 1>millions of dollars go to zero. You're tracking this and

0:33:00.160 --> 0:33:03.120
<v Speaker 1>you say, I once again was satisfied to be paid

0:33:03.160 --> 0:33:06.760
<v Speaker 1>by the word do you. I don't remember writing it,

0:33:06.800 --> 0:33:09.680
<v Speaker 1>but it's absolutely try. I felt that way. Thank God.

0:33:09.680 --> 0:33:13.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm a camera writer, so financially sound decision. For people

0:33:13.120 --> 0:33:16.160
<v Speaker 1>who would like to find more Michael Lewis, you can

0:33:16.200 --> 0:33:19.720
<v Speaker 1>go to either his website, which is Michael Lewis. I

0:33:19.720 --> 0:33:23.760
<v Speaker 1>don't have a website. Michael Lewis rights some my publisher

0:33:23.760 --> 0:33:26.920
<v Speaker 1>has a website for you. But bonds and normal Amazon,

0:33:27.080 --> 0:33:30.160
<v Speaker 1>wherever fine books are sold, you can find the works

0:33:30.320 --> 0:33:32.960
<v Speaker 1>of Michael Lewis. You can check out my daily column

0:33:32.960 --> 0:33:35.680
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg View dot com or follow me on Twitter

0:33:35.840 --> 0:33:39.280
<v Speaker 1>at rid Halts. I'm Barry rid Halts. You're listening to

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:42.840
<v Speaker 1>Masters in Business on Bloomberg Radio, brought to you by

0:33:42.880 --> 0:33:46.440
<v Speaker 1>Bank of America Merrill Lynch committed to bringing higher finance

0:33:46.520 --> 0:33:49.560
<v Speaker 1>to lower carbon named the most innovative investment bank for

0:33:49.600 --> 0:33:53.320
<v Speaker 1>climate change and sustainability by the Banker. That's the power

0:33:53.320 --> 0:33:57.000
<v Speaker 1>of global connections. Bank of America, North America. Remember F

0:33:57.120 --> 0:33:57.480
<v Speaker 1>D I C