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Speaker 2: We are finally here. Welcome in What's Right with Nick
Speaker 2: Great Episode two sixty, Week one NFL Gambling Show. If
Speaker 2: you're new to the pod. Every Thursday, first half of
Speaker 2: the show we do storylines. Second half of the show,
Speaker 2: we do gambling lines. And I've been doing this in
Speaker 2: one form or another my entire broadcast career. Last year
Speaker 2: was my first documented sub five hundred season. We didn't
Speaker 2: get crushed, but we were still sub five hundred. We
Speaker 2: have to own it. Forty two, forty six and four
Speaker 2: was our ultimate record. I do think we clawed out
Speaker 2: a bit in the postseason because we were certainly I
Speaker 2: mean their thirteen playoff games, we went four and zero
Speaker 2: with the Chiefs because they covered against the Dolphins and
Speaker 2: then they were underdogs in every other game, so they
Speaker 2: won every game, so they obviously covered those but I don't.
Speaker 2: But either way, we lost money last year. We lost
Speaker 2: money on our futures, We lost money on the season bets.
Speaker 2: And that doesn't even get into Demons, who had a
Speaker 2: stretch of America's worst teasers. He's learned his lesson. He's
Speaker 2: gonna do better. Demanse's better at everything pod related except
Speaker 2: for ear piece cord management. That one he has somehow
Speaker 2: gotten far worse on. But everything else he's crushing and
Speaker 2: he looks great. I'm wearing my Shrouds Kansas City, one
Speaker 2: of my favorite restaurants in the world T shirt. We
Speaker 2: actually told a story oddly about Strouds a couple of
Speaker 2: podcasts ago. I'm also wearing red Air Force ones because
Speaker 2: the Chiefs season kicks off today. At the parade. Last year,
Speaker 2: we didn't. We have so much video and cool stuff
Speaker 2: from the parade last year, but obviously there was a tragedy,
Speaker 2: so we you know what I mean, we didn't share
Speaker 2: any of it. But I was walking around De Monse
Speaker 2: with the Red Air Force one on my left foot
Speaker 2: and a Yellow Air Force one on my right foot,
Speaker 2: just the the I bought too. I mean it was great,
Speaker 2: it was a leak. It was elite. I got a
Speaker 2: new for that. For the parade. I got a new
Speaker 2: Louis Vton fleece that was actually Chiefs colors on like
Speaker 2: the previous years. But that's all lost to history such
Speaker 2: as life. Uh okay, before we get to the gambling,
Speaker 2: let's get to what missed the cut. Caitlyn Clark continues
Speaker 2: elite play. She now has another triple double. The only
Speaker 2: two by rookies in WNBA history, I believe are Caitlyn
Speaker 2: Clark this season twenty four to ten and ten as
Speaker 2: the Fever win again. Steph Curry talking about potentially owning
Speaker 2: an NFL an NBA team, and Bill Belichick joins Instagram,
Speaker 2: which is something other people are so much more interested
Speaker 2: in than I am. But Demons, we are ten nine
Speaker 2: hours and forty ish minutes away from kickoff of the
Speaker 2: NFL season. It is my hometown team, my favorite team,
Speaker 2: against your adopted team, the Baltimore Ravens. It is a
Speaker 2: rematch of last year's AFC championship game, and it is
Speaker 2: how the NFL is starting the season.
Speaker 3: Go right ahead, Yeah, so the Chiefs are opening up
Speaker 3: for the fourth time in eight years. They're two and
Speaker 3: one in those games, by the way, and as you said,
Speaker 3: it's an AFC rematch. Both teams have had like relatively
Speaker 3: pretty good off seasons compared to all the good teams.
Speaker 3: You call this a no lose for Kansas City. So
Speaker 3: what do you think are going to be the biggest
Speaker 3: takeaways from this game?
Speaker 2: Well, I mean the reason I said it's a no lose,
Speaker 2: to be clear, is I just I don't see scenario,
Speaker 2: you know, obviously, just let's just bar injury from it.
Speaker 2: Bar devastating injury for all of our analysis about all
Speaker 2: these games across the board in the NFL, throw it
Speaker 2: in the trash. If a key player suffers a season
Speaker 2: ending injury, that obviously, you know, changes everybody's outlook. But
Speaker 2: aside from that, even if the Chiefs lose, no one's
Speaker 2: going to lose faith in them. No one with a
Speaker 2: brain is going to lose faith in them. And if
Speaker 2: they win, it's now Mahomes five and one against Lamar
Speaker 2: it's the it's back to back losses for the Ravens
Speaker 2: against the Chiefs, one in Baltimore, won in Kansas City.
Speaker 2: But I think the story for tonight is going to
Speaker 2: be how dominant the Chiefs offense looks once again. So
Speaker 2: I think last year muddy the Water's a bit in
Speaker 2: people's brain about how elite early in the year Andy
Speaker 2: Reid Patrick Mahomes offenses have been. Here is prior to
Speaker 2: last year. Patrick Mahomes five career we ones. Week one
Speaker 2: his first year is a starter. Two hundred and fifty yards,
Speaker 2: four touchdowns, no picks, a one twenty eight rating in
Speaker 2: a win. Week one. His second years a starter, three
Speaker 2: hundred and eighty yards, three touchdowns, no picks, a one
Speaker 2: forty three rating in a win. Year three is a
Speaker 2: starter only two hundred and eleven yards, three touchdowns, a
Speaker 2: one to twenty three rating in a wine. Four is
Speaker 2: a starter. Three hundred and thirty seven yards, three touchdowns,
Speaker 2: no picks, a one thirty one rating in a win.
Speaker 2: Year five is a starter. Three hundred and sixty yards,
Speaker 2: five touchdowns, a one forty four rating in a win,
Speaker 2: and then last year two hundred and twenty six yards
Speaker 2: two touchdowns, one pick, a seventy eight rate in a loss.
Speaker 2: Prior to last year, the average mahomes first game of
Speaker 2: the season was three three hundred yards, four touchdowns, zero picks,
Speaker 2: a one to thirty rating, and the Chiefs averaged thirty
Speaker 2: five points per game. That was the average performance for
Speaker 2: his whole career. I have no reason to believe it's
Speaker 2: going to be I don't know if it will be
Speaker 2: thirty five points and a laser show against an elite
Speaker 2: Baltimore team, But the Chiefs take the preseason so seriously,
Speaker 2: Andy Reid extra time to prepare Baltimore new pieces on defense,
Speaker 2: Baltimore new defensive coordinator. If your Ravens Demanse are going
Speaker 2: to have a chance in this game, they're going to
Speaker 2: have to score thirty points. That's where I come out
Speaker 2: on this. I do not think it's going to be
Speaker 2: anything close to the script of last year's AFC Championship game,
Speaker 2: where it was a race to twenty and neither team
Speaker 2: got there seventeen to ten. Man. The Chiefs scored all
Speaker 2: the points they needed in that game on their opening
Speaker 2: two drives, which was crazy given how elite Baltimore's offense
Speaker 2: was all year. Here's so. I also think real quick
Speaker 2: because I'm gonna give the Chiefs angle that I want
Speaker 2: to ask you some Ravens questions. Just the threat of
Speaker 2: Xavier Worthy out on the field is going to open
Speaker 2: things up so much for Rashi Rice and Travis Kelcey
Speaker 2: over the middle Kelsey people, there was no speed that
Speaker 2: people were afraid of on the Chiefs last year. They
Speaker 2: bracketed Kelsey. They kept a cloud over him when they
Speaker 2: wanted to. And he's still had damn near thousand yards
Speaker 2: and obviously a dominant playoff run, but a lot of
Speaker 2: that was impromptu, off script. He and Mahomes mind meld stuff,
Speaker 2: not oh, this guy's running open. This year, he's going
Speaker 2: to be running open. I also think Isaiah Pacheco is
Speaker 2: one of the more at this point underrated backs in football.
Speaker 2: I do think one of the more underrated stories in
Speaker 2: football this year is the Chiefs starting left tackle is
Speaker 2: a rookie second round pick, the kid from BYU Kingsley.
Speaker 2: I might mispronounce his last name Suamada. Apologies if I do. Now.
Speaker 2: They love him and Andy has you know, a great
Speaker 2: history with BYU. But that's a big responsibility. You have
Speaker 2: a rookie second round or protecting Mahomes' blind site. Flip
Speaker 2: side to that coin is if that kid's good, that
Speaker 2: is thirty million of cap savings every year for the
Speaker 2: next five years, four years if you have a starting
Speaker 2: caliber left tackle, maybe not thirty million caps s even
Speaker 2: call it twenty five million on a second round pick
Speaker 2: salary for the next four years. That is so incredibly valuable.
Speaker 2: So there is so there's that piece of it. Now
Speaker 2: to the Ravens. Their big offseason addition was Derrick Henry Demons.
Speaker 2: They obviously replace the offensive linemen. Everything else offensively is
Speaker 2: basically the same. The question I have for you is
Speaker 2: this That knock on the Ravens in the AFC Championship
Speaker 2: game was man, they didn't run the ball? Yeah, six
Speaker 2: runs by running backs. They now add Derrick Henry. However,
Speaker 2: Lamar has slimmed down. You know, Lamar is the defending MVP.
Speaker 2: Lamar is playing pardon me, Patrick mahonemes. The whole narrative
Speaker 2: going into last season was We're gonna show Lamar can
Speaker 2: be elite as a passer. What do you want forget
Speaker 2: what you think is going to happen? What do you
Speaker 2: want the Ravens approach to be lean into the run,
Speaker 2: try to pound the Chiefs, or have Lamar drop back,
Speaker 2: or a little mick like where, how do you how
Speaker 2: do you want this game to play out? And how
Speaker 2: do you see it playing out?
Speaker 3: I think we should take what the defense gives us.
Speaker 3: If if Lamar wants to run, yeah, I mean, then
Speaker 3: he should be able to run. I'm cool with him
Speaker 3: doing whatever it is to to get the win. I
Speaker 3: don't really prefer any type, but yeah, I mean, I
Speaker 3: think that they'll go out and let Lamar Jackson play football.
Speaker 3: I don't think that they're gonna try to, you know,
Speaker 3: put any any chains on him, so to speak, like
Speaker 3: they did last year. But but yeah.
Speaker 2: Do you so? Brewce the You and Brew the two
Speaker 2: biggest Ravens folks in my life. Brew is incredibly high
Speaker 2: on the Derrick Henry edition. I don't love aging running
Speaker 2: backs on another team. Even though Derrick Henry is a
Speaker 2: Hall of Fame caliber player. Derek now Derrick Henry. To
Speaker 2: be fair to him, I'm gonna throw a number at
Speaker 2: you real quick. Derrick Henry in his career against Kansas
Speaker 2: City has been a dominant player. Derrick Henry against the
Speaker 2: Chiefs in the regular season four games, by the way,
Speaker 2: three and one against the Chiefs in his career with
Speaker 2: the Titans in the regular season, which is crazy, averaging
Speaker 2: one hundred and eleven yards per game. That's in the
Speaker 2: regular season. His one playoff game against Kansas City. Oh
Speaker 2: the he you know what that's wrong? He actually has
Speaker 2: two playoff games against Kansas City because he has won
Speaker 2: in the pre Mahomes era, His first one against Kansas
Speaker 2: City one hundred and fifty six yards in a touchdown
Speaker 2: in a win. His second one against Kansas City sixty
Speaker 2: nine yards in a touchdown in the AFC Championship Game loss.
Speaker 2: But that does mean Derek Henry's four and two in
Speaker 2: his career, including a playoff win against the Chiefs. I
Speaker 2: forgot that he was on the Titans team that beat
Speaker 2: Kansas City in the pre Mahomes era.
Speaker 3: That was the last running back as far as age
Speaker 3: if he was played, if he played against then, I
Speaker 3: didn't know he was that.
Speaker 2: Oh age, No, so he I think I think he
Speaker 2: turns thirty one during the season. He turns thirty one
Speaker 2: in jan January fourth, so he's he's thirty all year,
Speaker 2: you know what I mean? He'll be thirty one right
Speaker 2: at the end of the season.
Speaker 3: I feel like I've always been a little I feel
Speaker 3: like it's a little gluttonous. I was telling Matt like
Speaker 3: it's like too much of one good thing. But I
Speaker 3: do think it it gives him the ability to, you know,
Speaker 3: confuse the defense. I think Lamar Jackson's really good at
Speaker 3: that like fake handoff, like the RP or what you
Speaker 3: want to call it. I think he's really good at
Speaker 3: making it seem like, you know, is he passing here,
Speaker 3: is he giving an offer? Is he any pass it?
Speaker 3: But yeah, no, I like Derrick Henry back there. But
Speaker 3: I hope it works the way it should. It should
Speaker 3: work looking at it on paper, but I could see
Speaker 3: it getting a little tricky.
Speaker 2: But yeah, So here's the concern for Derrick Henry. Derrick Henry,
Speaker 2: if we just go through his career four years ago,
Speaker 2: two thousand yards, one hundred and twenty six yards per game,
Speaker 2: five point four yards per carry, a one of the
Speaker 2: best seasons any running backs had in the history of football.
Speaker 2: The following year, missed half the season with injury, still though,
Speaker 2: when he played one hundred and seventeen yards per game,
Speaker 2: but from five point four yards per carry to four
Speaker 2: point three yards per carry two years ago, played the
Speaker 2: whole year ninety six yards per game, still really good,
Speaker 2: and four point four yards per carry. Last year, played
Speaker 2: the whole year sixty eight yards per game, four point
Speaker 2: two yards per carry. Derrick Henry has led the NFL
Speaker 2: in rushing attempts four of the last five years. It
Speaker 2: is just now. Adrian Peterson was like that. And Adrian
Speaker 2: Peterson had a fifteen hundred yard season I think at
Speaker 2: age thirty three. So some guys are just different.
Speaker 3: I just and he's also got the size on him.
Speaker 3: Is that a thing that I feel like is a program.
Speaker 3: He's a big dude, So like, I.
Speaker 2: Mean he's I mean, he's massive, He's durable, and he's massive.
Speaker 2: If the Ravens have still, you know, prime ish Derrick Henry,
Speaker 2: it's obviously a massive asset. I'm skeptical of that tonight.
Speaker 2: We'll see because the Chiefs, as great as the defense
Speaker 2: was last year, their run defense has never been great.
Speaker 2: Their past defense was out of this world last year.
Speaker 2: The run defense hadn't hasn't always been great. All right,
Speaker 2: let's go to the next game.
Speaker 3: Yeah, So, my guys, Jordan loves looking to capitalize on
Speaker 3: the end of that last season, and Philadelphia and Jalen
Speaker 3: Hurts are looking to prove that that offseason didn't kill them.
Speaker 3: Does any team need a hot start to need a
Speaker 3: hot start to their season more than the Eagles.
Speaker 2: So this is I mean, I think this is pretty
Speaker 2: obvious that the Eagles have to unequivocally start the season
Speaker 2: well or else I think Sirianni could be fired early
Speaker 2: so the Eagles. The Eagles are in Brazil for the
Speaker 2: Packers game. Everyone on the Eagles is complaining about going
Speaker 2: to Brazil. They then host the Falcons. Now they get
Speaker 2: a little extra rest, but they are you know, it's
Speaker 2: long flight. Obviously, they absolutely could start O in two.
Speaker 2: You start oh in two, and then you're at the Saints,
Speaker 2: at the Bucks, host the Browns. Man, you better, you
Speaker 2: better sweep that set. If an Eagles team that barely
Speaker 2: lost it all two years ago last year started ten
Speaker 2: to one and now has lost six of seven games,
Speaker 2: you've already fired both coordinators. I happen to believe the
Speaker 2: loss of Jason Kelsey is absolutely massive for my purposes.
Speaker 2: There is no team that needs a hotter start in
Speaker 2: the NFL this year than Philadelphia, and I don't like
Speaker 2: and listen, I'm not as high on the Packers as
Speaker 2: you are, but I am not bullish on the Eagle
Speaker 2: in this game. That game might show up in the
Speaker 2: gambling section of the show. So we'll wait about.
Speaker 3: Would you put money on Siriani being the first head
Speaker 3: coach to be fired this year?
Speaker 2: So the problem with that is Dennis Allen exists. So
Speaker 2: Dennis Allen and the Saints, I just the Saints. They
Speaker 2: do get the Panthers in week one, but week two,
Speaker 2: they're out the Cowboys. Week three, they're home for Philly.
Speaker 2: Week four, they're at the Falcons. Week five, they're at
Speaker 2: the Chiefs. Week six they're home for the Bucks. They
Speaker 2: could start one and five and then you got it.
Speaker 2: So Dennis Allen's seat is very hot, and Bobby Sala's
Speaker 2: seat is warm adjacent. And so I don't know about
Speaker 2: first coach fired, but it's he's He's on the very
Speaker 2: short list in my opinion, Okay, the very short list.
Speaker 2: And it's not so much that I think, like, like
Speaker 2: McCarthy's on the hot seat as well, but I don't
Speaker 2: think he's gonna get fired during the year. For Sirianni McCarthy.
Speaker 2: It's more are you going to be brought back next
Speaker 2: year than it is are you gonna be fired early?
Speaker 2: But Sirianni absolutely could be fired during the season if
Speaker 2: it starts going poorly. All right, let's go to the Cowboys.
Speaker 2: All right?
Speaker 3: Yeah, Dallas going into the season without Dak extended, which
Speaker 3: means that the chip on Dak's shoulder will probably be
Speaker 3: the biggest it's ever been. So do you think we're
Speaker 3: in for Dak's best year ever? Or does Jerry Jones
Speaker 3: seeing something with not extending him and he is waiting
Speaker 3: for his value to go down.
Speaker 2: Well, his value is not gonna go down. I think
Speaker 2: Jerry wants to see I listen, Dak, Dak is going
Speaker 2: I've been telling you guys all off season. The offers
Speaker 2: that Cowboys have been making Dak are offers they know
Speaker 2: he will not accept because they are skeptical on whether
Speaker 2: or not Dak Prescott at sixty plus million dollars a
Speaker 2: year without superstar talent around him, can be a championship
Speaker 2: caliber quarterback, and that if they're better off resetting the
Speaker 2: quarterback salary scale with a rookie contract quarterback. I think
Speaker 2: they hoped that Trey Lance was gonna show more than
Speaker 2: he did and be able to keep and retain star
Speaker 2: players on both sides of the ball. I do think
Speaker 2: here is the glass half full version for the Cowboys
Speaker 2: this year. Dak and Mike McCarthy have been elite throughout
Speaker 2: their careers in the regular season and then tightened up
Speaker 2: and not coached or played their best come the postseason. Again,
Speaker 2: I'm not even saying I predict this, but this is
Speaker 2: just a you know, maybe a different way to look
Speaker 2: at it. Maybe the fact that they both know they're
Speaker 2: likely going to be somewhere else next year, that they
Speaker 2: don't have long term deals is almost freeing. And that
Speaker 2: come the playoffs, because I think the Cowboys will be
Speaker 2: in the playoffs. There's almost a you know what, nothing
Speaker 2: to lose mentality because no matter what Dak does this year,
Speaker 2: he's getting sixty five million a year next year. That's
Speaker 2: what he's getting. I know, people have a hard time
Speaker 2: wrapping their minds around it. Dak Prescott, if he wants
Speaker 2: to this offseason, is going to sign a three year,
Speaker 2: two hundred million dollar contract that's sixty seven million a year,
Speaker 2: basically fully guaranteed. If he wants it, that'll be there,
Speaker 2: a four year, two hundred and sixty million dollar contract,
Speaker 2: that sixty five million a year will be there if
Speaker 2: he wants it. And so I listen, I think I
Speaker 2: don't blame the Cowboys for not wanting to pay down
Speaker 2: Prescott sixty five million dollars a year. I blame them
Speaker 2: for giving him his previous contract that gave him a
Speaker 2: no tag and no trade clause. So they're in this
Speaker 2: position where they might lose their franchise quarterback for no
Speaker 2: reason whatsoever. What's your follow up here, demant say.
Speaker 3: Do you think any Week one game has has has
Speaker 3: the potential for a more overreaction.
Speaker 2: I mean, this is high on the list, but so
Speaker 2: is the next game. We're gonna talk about the fact
Speaker 2: that this game is gonna be Tom Brady's first broadcast
Speaker 2: all of it. Here's where I don't think people will overreact.
Speaker 2: If the Cowboys win because their defense dominates the Browns
Speaker 2: and Deshaun Watson, I don't think people are gonna overreact
Speaker 2: to that. I think he's gonna be like the Browns
Speaker 2: offense is gonna be in trouble if the Cowboys lose
Speaker 2: and they can't run the ball, and you know the
Speaker 2: their two rookie offensive linemen get beat up by that
Speaker 2: Browns defensive front, then I think people will probably at
Speaker 2: least slightly overreact. All right, let's get to the last
Speaker 2: game before we get to the gambling show.
Speaker 3: So there is one holdout left in the NFL, and
Speaker 3: that is a Hassan Reddick with the Jets. Chris Jones
Speaker 3: held out Week one last year and the Chiefs went
Speaker 3: on to win the Super Bowl. So it can be done.
Speaker 3: But you're very down on the Jets. Is this a
Speaker 3: big Is this a no big deal? Or as signed
Speaker 3: for bigger problems?
Speaker 2: Oh? I think it's a sign of bigger problems that
Speaker 2: the only guy who hasn't shown up is a guy
Speaker 2: you traded for. I think it's an organizational issue, and
Speaker 2: I think the Jets defense right now is a touch overrated.
Speaker 2: Doesn't mean they're not good, but a touch overrated because
Speaker 2: I don't love their edge spot. They didn't they don't
Speaker 2: love their edge spot. Guys they drafted Will McDonald in
Speaker 2: the first round a year ago. He hasn't hit yet.
Speaker 2: We'll see. They traded for a Son Reddick because they
Speaker 2: knew they needed to help their Hassan Reddick hasn't shown up,
Speaker 2: and I thought it was a bad decision by Bob
Speaker 2: Salah to not play Aaron at all in the preseason.
Speaker 2: Now he has played four snaps of real football in
Speaker 2: the last since January of twenty what would that be
Speaker 2: twenty three in the last nineteen months before this season starts.
Speaker 2: I think that's a mistake. In the last twenty one months,
Speaker 2: I guess I think Flatley, it's a mistake. I am fading.
Speaker 2: A lot of smart people love the Jets. Peter Schrager
Speaker 2: has Aaron Rodgers winning League MVP. Coach Mangini as the
Speaker 2: Jets in the playoffs, Brew has him winning the division.
Speaker 2: A lot of people love the Jets. Eight wins, eight wins,
Speaker 2: maybe a coaching change, and then Rogers a real moment
Speaker 2: where Rogers decides if he wants to keep playing. That's
Speaker 2: my projection for the Jets. I don't trust the health
Speaker 2: of the offensive line. I don't trust the head coach.
Speaker 2: I don't trust the organization. I do trust that the
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator doesn't know what he's doing, and I don't
Speaker 2: know that Aaron Rodgers is still good. So all put
Speaker 2: more chips into the middle of the table. That as
Speaker 2: you would say, Demonse, the Jets are gonna be mid
Speaker 2: just ah, they're gonna be fun. And I don't think
Speaker 2: I don't think Rogers is all of a sudden going
Speaker 2: to revert back to thirty eight year old pre torn
Speaker 2: Achilles Aaron Rodgers. I think he's more likely to look
Speaker 2: like thirty nine year old pre torn Achilles Aaron Rodgers,
Speaker 2: who wasn't good enough. They were eight and nine and
Speaker 2: lost a home game at the end of the year
Speaker 2: to Detroit. And this is a guy who turns forty
Speaker 2: one years old in two months or three months. Good
Speaker 2: luck with that. We'll see how it works out. Our
Speaker 2: gambling show, all five of our bets and Demons's return
Speaker 2: to triumphant teasers, What's Right? Welcome back in What's Right
Speaker 2: with Nick Right, and it is now time for our
Speaker 2: gambling show. Demon say take it away.
Speaker 3: Yes, it's the first Thursday of football season, so you
Speaker 3: know what time it is. It's time for the return
Speaker 3: of the What's Right Gambling Show. Last year, the Process
Speaker 3: TM took a bit of a hit. You went forty two,
Speaker 3: forty six and two in the regular season. What changes
Speaker 3: have you made to the Process TM this year to
Speaker 3: turn things around the TM. I know it's trademarkmark, but yeah,
Speaker 3: I know what it means. I just wanted to add
Speaker 3: the bit you're adding it.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I got it. Okay, let people know it's you. Yeah, yeah,
Speaker 2: I'm right. No, I got that. But then that's what
Speaker 2: I thought you were doing. But I wanted to make
Speaker 2: sure the audience understood as well. I'm not changing anything,
Speaker 2: not changing anything to be to be clear, I'm the
Speaker 2: only actual change I'm making is the self U mandated
Speaker 2: ban on betting the Jags until did I say Halloween
Speaker 2: that that.
Speaker 3: They when they get back from there in an out.
Speaker 2: Oh no, right, until they get back from me, until
Speaker 2: they go to England or they get back from England,
Speaker 2: one of the two. Uh, this process of stay aways,
Speaker 2: be careful. The whole thing that I do, where I
Speaker 2: sort every game has served me well for years and
Speaker 2: years and years. So I'm not going to all of
Speaker 2: a sudden change it. Because and by the way, as
Speaker 2: you know, to to misquote jay Z a bit, for
Speaker 2: a lot of people, you know, our down years would
Speaker 2: be some people's career years. A lot of folks who
Speaker 2: do this would kill for their worst year ever to
Speaker 2: be right, basically dead at five hundred, so even in
Speaker 2: a terror, we were once the playoffs were included right
Speaker 2: at five hundred for the season and then just lost
Speaker 2: the VIG. Now before we demand's a get to the
Speaker 2: actual games. Uh, we'll go ahead and do the preseason
Speaker 2: bets recap part and then then we'll do something else.
Speaker 3: Yeah, so we're gonna take a look back at your
Speaker 3: preseason bets in case anybody's still trying to lock in
Speaker 3: their futures before kickoff. Were there any late.
Speaker 2: Editions of this? No, no, you're fine, pal, there's no
Speaker 2: late additions. I'll just run through them real quick. And again,
Speaker 2: you can follow me on Twitter if you wanted to
Speaker 2: see it. You can also right now it's on the screen,
Speaker 2: all of the bets with the unit size and the VIIG.
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna so if you want to see the
Speaker 2: real VIG and all the units all of that, that's
Speaker 2: more of a reading than a listening thing. I'll just
Speaker 2: tell you what the bets are, the win totals. I'm
Speaker 2: on Chiefs eleven and a half, Bears eight and a half,
Speaker 2: Rams eight and a half, Broncos five and a half,
Speaker 2: the Unders I'm on Eagles ten and a half. Jets
Speaker 2: nine and a half, Raiders six and a half, Giant
Speaker 2: six and a half. The division championship bets I'm on
Speaker 2: the Bears plus three forty, the Rams plus three thirty,
Speaker 2: the Bengals plus one sixty five, and then essentially a
Speaker 2: combo bet of the Eagles aren't winning the NFC East.
Speaker 2: And the way I did it was I bet the
Speaker 2: Cowboys at plus one seventy five and Washington at plus
Speaker 2: eleven hundred and then one division bet parlay Chiefs, Bills, Bengals,
Speaker 2: the three best quarterbacks in the conference, the three teams
Speaker 2: that have had the most success in the conference over
Speaker 2: the last five years, all to win their division. That's
Speaker 2: basically ten to one. Make miss playoff bets to miss
Speaker 2: the playoffs the Jets at plus one forty, the Eagles
Speaker 2: at plus us two thirty, the Dolphins at plus one thirty.
Speaker 2: My favorite bet of the year, the Giants, Raiders, Steelers,
Speaker 2: Saints all to miss the playoffs at two to one.
Speaker 2: A little flyer bet Chiefs, Bills, Rams, Bears all to
Speaker 2: make the playoffs at seven to one, and then a
Speaker 2: long shot flyer Packers, Jets, Eagles all to miss at
Speaker 2: seventeen to one. And then of course a Bears Chief
Speaker 2: Super Bowl at sixty six to one and a Chief's
Speaker 2: over Bears super Bowl at ninety five to one. Now,
Speaker 2: before we get to our picks, I want to quickly
Speaker 2: go through the eleven games that I'm not picking and
Speaker 2: tell you if I have a lean or a feel
Speaker 2: on it. Okay, So Titans Bears, Bears are four and
Speaker 2: a half point favorites. Rookie quarterback first start laying four
Speaker 2: and a half points. Don't love it. I also am
Speaker 2: not gonna bet Will Levis on the road, so I'm
Speaker 2: just staying away from that one. Steelers Falcons, Falcons laying
Speaker 2: three and a half. I like Atlanta this year. I
Speaker 2: don't like Pittsburgh at all, but Mike tom I'm not
Speaker 2: going to you know. I the smart bet is probably
Speaker 2: Tomlin a little Arthur Smith revenge on his former employer.
Speaker 2: But I really don't think Russell Wilson is a competent
Speaker 2: quarterback at this point. If I had to bet a side,
Speaker 2: I would have bet the Steelers just because Tomlin getting
Speaker 2: more than a field goal. But I'm staying away from it.
Speaker 2: I know this will shock no one, but JAG's at
Speaker 2: Dolphins Dolphins getting three and a half. The Dolphins injury
Speaker 2: report is already ten guys long. It looks like Jalen
Speaker 2: Ramsey might not play. I'm getting more than a field goal.
Speaker 2: I absolutely love Jacksonville, However, self imposed ban I'm staying.
Speaker 2: I'm staying away from it. Uh. Texans at Cults. The
Speaker 2: Texans laying two and a half on the road, just
Speaker 2: road team, divisional game favored. The Anthony Richardson factor scares me.
Speaker 2: And the fact that Vegas is begging you to bet
Speaker 2: the Texans, They're like not, you don't even have to
Speaker 2: lay a full three points. That is a that is
Speaker 2: a vintage stay away from me. Vikings at Giants, Vikings
Speaker 2: laying one and a half on the road. I listen,
Speaker 2: I'm not betting on Daniel Jones getting less than a
Speaker 2: field goal. I'm also not laying points with Sam Darnold
Speaker 2: on the road. I'm staying away. Panthers at Saints. The
Speaker 2: Saints are three and a half point favorite. I just
Speaker 2: that's this is one of my weaknesses. Panthers Saints. There
Speaker 2: is not a single game on the schedule I am
Speaker 2: less interested in watching, So I'm just flatly staying. I
Speaker 2: don't want to have anything to do with that game.
Speaker 2: Cardinals Bills. The Bills are six and a half point favorites.
Speaker 2: I think that line is perfect, so that's a stay
Speaker 2: away game for me entirely. I think the line is
Speaker 2: just right. Raiders Chargers, Chargers laying three. I lean Chargers there,
Speaker 2: but it also feels like they're just that the Herbert injury.
Speaker 2: I want to see him play before I bet on him.
Speaker 2: I'm also not betting on Gardner Minshew on the road,
Speaker 2: so that's a stay away this Broncos at Seahawks demanse was.
Speaker 2: I stared at it for a long time. I really
Speaker 2: like Denver getting the points. I know that will surprise people,
Speaker 2: but I think Sean Payton, oh I'm sorry, thank you.
Speaker 2: Seattle's favored by five and a half. So I really
Speaker 2: liked Denver getting five and a half to rookie head
Speaker 2: coach and Seattle. I think again. I think Sean Payton's
Speaker 2: gonna have the full training wheels on bo Nicks and
Speaker 2: get a competent offense out of it. However, the Mike
Speaker 2: McDonald factor of those exotic blitzes and what he was
Speaker 2: able to do with Baltimore, him coming over to Seattle
Speaker 2: now as the head coach and being able to throw
Speaker 2: that at bow Nicks in week one scared me. But
Speaker 2: I did like Denver plus five and a half, and
Speaker 2: if I were a teaser guy, Denver teasing them up
Speaker 2: to plus eleven and a half getting it through the six, seven, eight,
Speaker 2: and ten would be moderately attractive to me. Commanders at Bucks,
Speaker 2: the Bucks are laying three and a half. I think
Speaker 2: that line's exactly right. Jets at Niners, the Niners are
Speaker 2: laying four and a half. Again, this is maybe a
Speaker 2: weakness as a gambler a bit. I just do kind
Speaker 2: of want to be able to watch this game totally
Speaker 2: unmolested by a bet because I have so much take
Speaker 2: equity in the if we're being honest kind of you know,
Speaker 2: both of these teams underachieving. So I just was that
Speaker 2: was a stay away for me. But there's my leans
Speaker 2: on all those games that the most attractive teaser legs
Speaker 2: for me would be the following. The Packers going from
Speaker 2: plus two and a half to plus eight and a
Speaker 2: half would be attractive to me. You're getting them. I
Speaker 2: always think in terms of six point teasers. Demanse, I
Speaker 2: know you're more of a seven point teaser guy, but
Speaker 2: I think in terms of six point teasers, but just
Speaker 2: for me and for the audience, So the Packers would
Speaker 2: be an attractive teaser leg. The Bengals from minus eight
Speaker 2: and a half down to minus two and a half
Speaker 2: would be a very attractive teaser leg to me, getting
Speaker 2: them against the Patriots to just have to win by
Speaker 2: a field goal. That one, to me, Yeah, they're playing
Speaker 2: the Patriots. That one, to me is at least semi intriguing.
Speaker 2: I already mentioned, Uh, did I mention Denver? Denver is
Speaker 2: a teaser leg potentially getting them up to plus eleven
Speaker 2: and a half. Uh, And that's probably it as far
Speaker 2: as for me, the super attractive teaser legs. And now
Speaker 2: now before we get on, well, I'm just well, I
Speaker 2: don't know who you've picked. I don't know who you've picked.
Speaker 2: I'm just saying just gut reaction. I know that is
Speaker 2: your game. But I do think it's interesting if I
Speaker 2: unknowingly because I haven't seen your pick, If I just
Speaker 2: say the legs that I think are intriguing, and then
Speaker 2: we find out if we're on opposite sides or same
Speaker 2: side or whatever it is. But before we do that,
Speaker 2: my five actual picks of the week. Uh, A couple
Speaker 2: of them might have been revealed a bit, and the
Speaker 2: teasers I like, but go ahead.
Speaker 3: So first off, you've got Kansas City minus three versus Baltimore.
Speaker 3: Have seen that one coming?
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, well, under injury, the Chiefs are nine
Speaker 2: and two in season openers. Mahomes is five and one
Speaker 2: in week one and five fifteen and four in September.
Speaker 2: I'm not I think it is uh a little insulting
Speaker 2: that the Chiefs are only three point favorites. This should
Speaker 2: be three and a half. I'm not saying it should
Speaker 2: be huge favorites. But they're at home, They're the they.
Speaker 2: I it is a little insulting that you're telling me
Speaker 2: you think Chiefs Baltimore on a neutral field is a
Speaker 2: coin flip.
Speaker 3: Vaca saw the Kansas stats.
Speaker 2: They yeah, well maybe that's what it is. Lamar Lamar
Speaker 2: as an underdog against the spread the last three seasons
Speaker 2: is seven to zero. But I think we don't do
Speaker 2: totals on this show. I like over forty six and
Speaker 2: a half more than I like Kansas City minus three,
Speaker 2: but I don't bet totals in general. Kansas City minus
Speaker 2: three Chiefs laser show offense returns. That's my first bet
Speaker 2: of the year, first game of the year.
Speaker 3: Next, all right, next, you have green Bay plus two
Speaker 3: and a half at Philly.
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is I think green Bay is
Speaker 2: gonna win the game. And I mean it says at Philly,
Speaker 2: but obviously it's a neutral site in Brazil. But I
Speaker 2: just think green Bay is gonna win. I think Philly
Speaker 2: has had half a dozen players complain about going to Brazil.
Speaker 2: I don't know what. No one has explained to me adequately.
Speaker 2: Why early in the year the defense is gonna be fixed.
Speaker 2: Maybe late in the year when those rookie they drafted
Speaker 2: in the first and second round in the secondary get
Speaker 2: their feet underneath them. But I don't think Quinyan Mitchell
Speaker 2: and Cooper Degen in Week one are gonna be super
Speaker 2: impact players. The Philly's defense was brutal all of last year.
Speaker 2: I know they brought in Vic Fangio, but he got
Speaker 2: run out on a rail in Miami. Green Bay, on
Speaker 2: the other hand, has as good a vibes going into
Speaker 2: this year as any team in the league. They have
Speaker 2: all those receiving threats that I think really can punish
Speaker 2: the Eagles Week back seven Hurts by the way ten
Speaker 2: eighteen and one against the spread in road or neutral
Speaker 2: site games. That's the worst of any quarterback since twenty twenty.
Speaker 2: Hurts is also six to fourteen and one against the
Speaker 2: spread as a favorite away from home. Matt Lafleur is
Speaker 2: a covering machine the last five years fifty three and
Speaker 2: thirty seven, and Philly again has lost six of their
Speaker 2: last seven, seven straight against the spread. I know that
Speaker 2: was last year. I like green Bay in this spot
Speaker 2: a lot. I think Green Bay is not as good
Speaker 2: as a lot of people think they are, But in
Speaker 2: this spot, I believe in them, and I think Philly
Speaker 2: is the single most overvalued team in the NFL. People
Speaker 2: have just washed away two months of football. Two months
Speaker 2: of football. All right, you seem to agree with me
Speaker 2: on that one, Demonse, I appreciate.
Speaker 3: You having a little bit of faith in them, But yeah,
Speaker 3: I definitely think they'll win as well. I feel very
Speaker 3: good about that pick. This next pick, I'm a little
Speaker 3: a lot of points.
Speaker 2: You're okay, all right? What's the next one?
Speaker 3: The next one? Cincinnati minus eight and a half versus
Speaker 3: New England.
Speaker 2: All right, here's the thing on this. To me, this
Speaker 2: is simply a question of can the Bengals get to
Speaker 2: twenty points? Okay, New England's not getting to thirteen. New
Speaker 2: England is capped out in this game at ten points,
Speaker 2: caped out. Their offensive line might be the worst in
Speaker 2: the NFL. They're starting quarterback might be the worst in
Speaker 2: the NFL. They have a rookie head coach. And so
Speaker 2: it is Jacoby Verssett on the road against the Bengals
Speaker 2: defense that needs to prove last year was an aberration.
Speaker 2: I understand that the Bengals historically stink early in the year.
Speaker 2: Burrow's two and six against the spread the first two
Speaker 2: weeks of the year thirty six and fourteen. After the
Speaker 2: first two weeks of the year, teams that are six
Speaker 2: and a half point well hold on the I don't
Speaker 2: know if how to read that stat so I'm gonna
Speaker 2: throw that one out. I know what it says, but
Speaker 2: I don't know if it's right, So just ignore it.
Speaker 2: Burrow historically has been great against the spread. But that's
Speaker 2: not what this is. That the fact that this is
Speaker 2: simply that I do not think New England is going
Speaker 2: to have a functional NFL offense, and so I think
Speaker 2: that if Cincinnati gets to twenty they cover, And what
Speaker 2: is the total in this game? Again, I'm not betting totals,
Speaker 2: but it does it's forty and a half. So I
Speaker 2: gotta do quick math on the fly here. So that
Speaker 2: means Vegas thinks this game is basically twenty four to
Speaker 2: sixteen is what they're telling us. And I'm telling you
Speaker 2: New England's not getting to sixteen points. And so I
Speaker 2: don't love laying huge numbers. I don't mind laying big
Speaker 2: numbers here. And so Cincinnati minus eight and a half
Speaker 2: against New England, let's go to the You said it's
Speaker 2: a lot of points. I think New England might be
Speaker 2: the worst team in the entire NFL this year.
Speaker 3: All right, Yeah, that's that's fair. I was thinking of Cincinnati, no,
Speaker 3: not being known for gidding, no, going to.
Speaker 2: Be everyone's survivor pick. Everyone survived is gonna be Cincinnati.
Speaker 2: I mean that's that is without a doubt. I mean
Speaker 2: it's yeah, I mean it's just going to be everyone's pick.
Speaker 2: All right.
Speaker 3: Next, So next, you've got Dallas plus two and a
Speaker 3: half at Cleveland.
Speaker 2: Yeah. I I don't believe in the Browns this year.
Speaker 2: Their defense last year was elite at home and this
Speaker 2: is obviously in Cleveland, and this is you know, and
Speaker 2: bad on the road. But defense doesn't tend to carry
Speaker 2: over year to year as much as offense. And I
Speaker 2: they still have offensive line injuries in Cleveland, and I
Speaker 2: think Deshaun Watson is cooked. I think.
Speaker 3: Game sorry that that.
Speaker 2: Well, it's because they won. They won eleven games last
Speaker 2: year with five different quarterbacks, you know, like that's that's why.
Speaker 2: But I don't know that we can expect the defense
Speaker 2: to be quite as dominant. And I don't think Cleveland's
Speaker 2: offense is gonna be able to deal with the Dallas
Speaker 2: defensive front Micah Parsons and Tank Lawrence. So I listen,
Speaker 2: the Cowboys are starting two rookie offensive linemen against this
Speaker 2: Cleveland front. That is concerning. But I think Dak and
Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb will be a great uh you know uh connection.
Speaker 2: Once again, I'm getting points like yeah, I just think
Speaker 2: I think Dallas is better than Cleveland. And I think
Speaker 2: that even if Dallas is not as good as they
Speaker 2: were last year, I think Deshaun Watson could just be finished,
Speaker 2: just finished. And so Dallas plus two and a half
Speaker 2: is one I like a lot. As I mentioned before,
Speaker 2: I really like that as a teaser. Leg Getting Dallas
Speaker 2: all the way up to plus eight and a half
Speaker 2: I think is attractive. All right, last.
Speaker 3: One, last when you got the Rams plus three and
Speaker 3: a half at the two at Detroit.
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I just think there's a field goal game.
Speaker 2: I think Detroit could win this game. Don't get me wrong,
Speaker 2: but I just think this is twenty seven, twenty four,
Speaker 2: thirty to twenty seven, and I'm getting the half point.
Speaker 2: I think the Rams are as good as the Lions
Speaker 2: right now. Now you know, I'm bullish on the Rams
Speaker 2: if they stay healthy that's obviously a huge if, and
Speaker 2: Stafford's elbow and all that stuff. But it's Week one.
Speaker 2: So in week one, these two teams both at full strength,
Speaker 2: I like them. I think the Rams obviously can win
Speaker 2: this game, and I don't think either one's blowing the
Speaker 2: other one out. So I'm getting the extra half point. McVeigh.
Speaker 2: The Rams are six and one straight up and against
Speaker 2: the spread in week one they cover by an average
Speaker 2: of nine points. Stafford, I thought played great in that
Speaker 2: wild card game that Detroit won, but they won by
Speaker 2: a point. Now, goff is great in openers, but a
Speaker 2: lot of that is when he was with McVeigh. And
Speaker 2: now this is the last kind of against the spread
Speaker 2: note for the Lions, but I think this one can
Speaker 2: be misleading. The Lions are thirty five and sixteen against
Speaker 2: the spread over the last three years, which is the
Speaker 2: best in the NFL. I personally am gonna throw that
Speaker 2: out entirely because the Lions have been so great against
Speaker 2: the spread the last three years because they were people
Speaker 2: did not believe in them. Yet now I think people
Speaker 2: believe in them a little too much. They're a very
Speaker 2: popular pick to make or win the Super Bowl. So now,
Speaker 2: I you know, so if this I understand different teams,
Speaker 2: but this game last year would have been in fact,
Speaker 2: let me let me just check hold on Rams at
Speaker 2: Lions playoff game. The I'm just trying to check what
Speaker 2: the point spread. So last year in the playoffs it
Speaker 2: was a three and a half point line. I was
Speaker 2: gonna say I thought it would have been three, but
Speaker 2: it was a three and a half point line, And
Speaker 2: so I just don't think that you're gonna get line
Speaker 2: value with the Lions right now. Again, like I said,
Speaker 2: I think the Rams can win, and it's a field
Speaker 2: goal game and either in either way, So that's where
Speaker 2: I land, all right, demonse So there's the five picks.
Speaker 2: The five picks to week one, can City minus three,
Speaker 2: Green Bay plus two and a half, Cincinnati minus eight
Speaker 2: and a half, Dallas plus two and a half, and
Speaker 2: the Rams plus three and a half. Demonsey, you know
Speaker 2: what that looks like to me?
Speaker 3: You're starting off five.
Speaker 2: You know what it looks like. It looks like it's
Speaker 2: it's it's been a long time since we got a five.
Speaker 2: And oh but it's looking like five. And oh what
Speaker 2: your teaser looking like?
Speaker 3: All right, so we start doing this. Oh, that's pretty
Speaker 3: pretty cool. I just want to I like that, come
Speaker 3: out and say it's gonna get to about week eight.
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have not lost a teaser. I don't need
Speaker 3: anybody hitting me up and being like, oh, Demonsy's got
Speaker 3: some inside information with the NFL. The game's rigged. Oh
Speaker 3: he knows too much. I'm starting off with two teams.
Speaker 3: This is what's gonna happen. Now.
Speaker 2: Can I just say this real quick? He? Can I
Speaker 2: just say this real quick?
Speaker 3: Yeah?
Speaker 2: I will be beyond thrilled if going into week eight
Speaker 2: you're four and three that you're you're saying seven and oh,
Speaker 2: but if we can get four and three going into
Speaker 2: Week eight, it will I will have so much immense pride.
Speaker 2: Anything better than four and three is out of this world.
Speaker 2: But okay, Demante is saying seven and oh. All right, now,
Speaker 2: go I'm not doubting you. I'm just saying where my
Speaker 2: expectations are versus where your expectations are.
Speaker 3: All right, what's the It's a two team seven pointer
Speaker 3: minus one point fifty. We're teasing Green Bay from plus
Speaker 3: two and a half to nine and a half at Philly,
Speaker 3: and we're teasing Washington from plus three and a half
Speaker 3: to plus ten and a half at Tampa. I wanted
Speaker 3: to bet Commanders straight up money line to win that game,
Speaker 3: so I felt very comfortable putting the money on the teaser.
Speaker 3: I think Jaye Daniel was gonna get that offensive Rookie
Speaker 3: of the Year. So yeah, that's that's the Week one teaser.
Speaker 3: I didn't want to throw Kansas City. I wanted to
Speaker 3: do something with Ravens Kansas City. But teasing Kansas City
Speaker 3: meant teasing cross a zero or it meant teasing the
Speaker 3: Ravens up to ten correct, And I just didn't betting
Speaker 3: against Patrick. No, these are good numbers.
Speaker 2: These are good numbers, don't I A rookie quarterback in
Speaker 2: his first start on the road is a little nerve racking,
Speaker 2: just to be honest, it's just a little nerve wracking.
Speaker 2: But you're getting ten and a half points. I obviously
Speaker 2: loved the Green Bay side of it. Uh. I'm gonna
Speaker 2: give your teasing across as many key numbers as as possible.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give this teaser an a.
Speaker 3: Minus because of the rookie quarterback situation on the road.
Speaker 2: But you're getting ten and a half points, and it's
Speaker 2: Tampa's not a juggernaut.
Speaker 3: Uh.
Speaker 2: And I do think that there's also, even if it
Speaker 2: is getting away from Jaden early on this, there's a
Speaker 2: lot of back door cover potential. At the ten and
Speaker 2: a half, you know, they're gonna let him keep throwing.
Speaker 2: They're gonna want to get him as much experience as possible.
Speaker 2: So even down seventeen points, you're a lot They're not
Speaker 2: gonna be like as run the clock out. So yeah,
Speaker 2: give it an a minus. I like it, all right.
Speaker 2: What's the offer this week?
Speaker 3: Uh? The offer we are calling this? Uh calling this
Speaker 3: one that it's really happening. Parlay your best case scenario,
Speaker 3: the Chiefs to beat the Ravens straight up, the trendy
Speaker 3: Cardinals to upset the Bills straight up, the Jaguars have
Speaker 3: set the Dolphins straight up, and Caleb and the Bears
Speaker 3: to cover four and a half, the biggest spread in
Speaker 3: their favor since twenty fourteen. Oh, this is at a
Speaker 3: plus two seven hundred and forty. How much are you
Speaker 3: in for or are you in.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna turn this down because I don't think the
Speaker 2: Cardinals are beating the Bills. I also sneaky am not
Speaker 2: really anti Bills this year because people have over corrected
Speaker 2: on the Bills and now they're a little underrated. I
Speaker 2: have the Bills winning the division. They're not even the
Speaker 2: favorites to win their division. So with respect, I decline
Speaker 2: the week one, offer quick break, right back, answer some
Speaker 2: listener questions. Next we'll right welcome back in. We'll dry
Speaker 2: with Nick right DeMont, Let's go through handful of listener questions.
Speaker 3: Here, a negative four and two says who will be
Speaker 3: missed more? Jason Kelsey or Aaron Donald.
Speaker 2: So it's really close. I'm going to say Kelsey because
Speaker 2: of his pre snap job of calling out the protections.
Speaker 2: I think they were both still the best or the
Speaker 2: second best in the world at their position when they retired,
Speaker 2: and so they will be missed. But Eric as a
Speaker 2: D lineman less responsibility pre snap. Kelsey did all of
Speaker 2: the protections for Jalen pre snap because he was so
Speaker 2: great at it. So I'm gonna say Jason Kelcey.
Speaker 3: Next Scott Frazier. If Rogers doesn't get the Jets to
Speaker 3: the playoffs, do they keep him? And if not, where
Speaker 3: do you think he goes? And or does he retire?
Speaker 2: No? I think probably retires. I think that if if
Speaker 2: the Jets are awesome and they don't win the I
Speaker 2: think if the Jets win the Super Bowl, he's retiring.
Speaker 2: And I think if they're mediocre or bad, he's retiring.
Speaker 2: The only scenario I see where he comes back is
Speaker 2: if they're good, make the playoffs, go on a run
Speaker 2: but come up just short, and he's like, man, next year,
Speaker 2: we can do it. I think all the other outcomes,
Speaker 2: he's probably retiring. Next.
Speaker 3: Tory Spears. Is there a college football quarterback you like
Speaker 3: as the next Kayleb Williams threatening to get on Mahomes Mountain?
Speaker 2: Well, I'll answer that along with ask Kevin Gillen's question.
Speaker 3: Kevin Gillan Nick score prediction for what's it?
Speaker 2: Raska Colorado?
Speaker 3: Yeah, versus Colorado is Miny. Mahomes gonna go off?
Speaker 2: Dylan Ryola is the answer for the quarterback who could
Speaker 2: show up at some point on Mahomes Mountain. Number two
Speaker 2: recruit in the country, highest ranked recruit in the history
Speaker 2: of Nebraska football. He trains with Patrick, he tries to
Speaker 2: look like Patrick, he tries to play like Patrick, and
Speaker 2: he's gonna light Deon Sanders team on fire this weekend.
Speaker 2: So score prediction thirty four twenty one, thirty four to
Speaker 2: twenty four, something like that, Nebraska. So yeah, I like
Speaker 2: Riola a lot. I like him a lot. All right,
Speaker 2: let's do these last two and then we gotta.
Speaker 3: Go Jeffrey Petrino. Hey, Nick, do you think it's possible
Speaker 3: that josh Allen wins MVP this year if his tight
Speaker 3: end group is very good to great and his rookie
Speaker 3: Rye receiver can be at least decent.
Speaker 2: Yeah, Listen. Voters have been dying to give Josh Allen
Speaker 2: an MVP the last few years. This year, he could
Speaker 2: actually be set up in a position where It's like, Wow,
Speaker 2: look at what he did without all those weapons. He's
Speaker 2: gonna have to be an offense unto himself. So yeah,
Speaker 2: I think Josh, if they win twelve games, which I
Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna win twelve, but I do think
Speaker 2: they're gonna win eleven. Yeah, I think he's a very
Speaker 2: viable MVP candidate.
Speaker 3: All right, Next, Austin are hey, Nick. With the NFL
Speaker 3: starting up, we're bound to have some newer listeners who
Speaker 3: may not be familiar with the right lexicon. Would you
Speaker 3: consider taking a few explain stuff like three opinion types,
Speaker 3: et cetera.
Speaker 2: Well, the three opinion types is category one, category two.
Speaker 2: In category three, category one is instantly correct, So like
Speaker 2: if the Chiefs score thirty points and beat the Ravens
Speaker 2: tonight to category one, take I said it was gonna happen,
Speaker 2: and instantly happened. Category two is eventually correct. Usually people
Speaker 2: doubt it in the you know, shortly after I say it,
Speaker 2: and then eventually I'm proven correct. And category three is
Speaker 2: clearly incontrovertibly wrong, whether instantly wrong or eventually wrong, flatly wrong.
Speaker 2: A category three example would be if brock Perty ends
Speaker 2: up in being awesome, for his whole career. That I shouldn't.
Speaker 2: He didn't have to be awesome for his whole career,
Speaker 2: but for years and even without the Niners, you know, avengers,
Speaker 2: I've been striding on that, and if I were wrong,
Speaker 2: I maybe should create almost like a glossary of the
Speaker 2: different things we say in what the definitions are. Don't
Speaker 2: have time to do that right now. Now, I've got
Speaker 2: to get to the studio. Chiefs Ravens kicks off in
Speaker 2: just under nine hours, and I truly cannot wait. Demand's
Speaker 2: great job. Good luck to everyone on the bets. Talk
Speaker 2: to you guys soon. What's right? Hey, thanks for watching.
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