WEBVTT - NFL Season Kickoff, Dak’s Expectations & Nick’s Picks

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<v Speaker 2>We are finally here. Welcome in What's Right with Nick

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<v Speaker 2>Great Episode two sixty, Week one NFL Gambling Show. If

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<v Speaker 2>you're new to the pod. Every Thursday, first half of

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<v Speaker 2>the show we do storylines. Second half of the show,

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<v Speaker 2>we do gambling lines. And I've been doing this in

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<v Speaker 2>one form or another my entire broadcast career. Last year

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<v Speaker 2>was my first documented sub five hundred season. We didn't

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<v Speaker 2>get crushed, but we were still sub five hundred. We

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<v Speaker 2>have to own it. Forty two, forty six and four

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<v Speaker 2>was our ultimate record. I do think we clawed out

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<v Speaker 2>a bit in the postseason because we were certainly I

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<v Speaker 2>mean their thirteen playoff games, we went four and zero

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<v Speaker 2>with the Chiefs because they covered against the Dolphins and

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<v Speaker 2>then they were underdogs in every other game, so they

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<v Speaker 2>won every game, so they obviously covered those but I don't.

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<v Speaker 2>But either way, we lost money last year. We lost

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<v Speaker 2>money on our futures, We lost money on the season bets.

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<v Speaker 2>And that doesn't even get into Demons, who had a

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<v Speaker 2>stretch of America's worst teasers. He's learned his lesson. He's

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<v Speaker 2>gonna do better. Demanse's better at everything pod related except

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<v Speaker 2>for ear piece cord management. That one he has somehow

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<v Speaker 2>gotten far worse on. But everything else he's crushing and

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<v Speaker 2>he looks great. I'm wearing my Shrouds Kansas City, one

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<v Speaker 2>of my favorite restaurants in the world T shirt. We

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<v Speaker 2>actually told a story oddly about Strouds a couple of

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<v Speaker 2>podcasts ago. I'm also wearing red Air Force ones because

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<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs season kicks off today. At the parade. Last year,

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<v Speaker 2>we didn't. We have so much video and cool stuff

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<v Speaker 2>from the parade last year, but obviously there was a tragedy,

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<v Speaker 2>so we you know what I mean, we didn't share

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<v Speaker 2>any of it. But I was walking around De Monse

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<v Speaker 2>with the Red Air Force one on my left foot

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<v Speaker 2>and a Yellow Air Force one on my right foot,

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<v Speaker 2>just the the I bought too. I mean it was great,

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<v Speaker 2>it was a leak. It was elite. I got a

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<v Speaker 2>new for that. For the parade. I got a new

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<v Speaker 2>Louis Vton fleece that was actually Chiefs colors on like

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<v Speaker 2>the previous years. But that's all lost to history such

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<v Speaker 2>as life. Uh okay, before we get to the gambling,

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<v Speaker 2>let's get to what missed the cut. Caitlyn Clark continues

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<v Speaker 2>elite play. She now has another triple double. The only

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<v Speaker 2>two by rookies in WNBA history, I believe are Caitlyn

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<v Speaker 2>Clark this season twenty four to ten and ten as

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<v Speaker 2>the Fever win again. Steph Curry talking about potentially owning

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<v Speaker 2>an NFL an NBA team, and Bill Belichick joins Instagram,

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<v Speaker 2>which is something other people are so much more interested

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<v Speaker 2>in than I am. But Demons, we are ten nine

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<v Speaker 2>hours and forty ish minutes away from kickoff of the

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<v Speaker 2>NFL season. It is my hometown team, my favorite team,

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<v Speaker 2>against your adopted team, the Baltimore Ravens. It is a

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<v Speaker 2>rematch of last year's AFC championship game, and it is

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<v Speaker 2>how the NFL is starting the season.

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<v Speaker 3>Go right ahead, Yeah, so the Chiefs are opening up

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<v Speaker 3>for the fourth time in eight years. They're two and

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<v Speaker 3>one in those games, by the way, and as you said,

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<v Speaker 3>it's an AFC rematch. Both teams have had like relatively

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<v Speaker 3>pretty good off seasons compared to all the good teams.

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<v Speaker 3>You call this a no lose for Kansas City. So

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<v Speaker 3>what do you think are going to be the biggest

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<v Speaker 3>takeaways from this game?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, I mean the reason I said it's a no lose,

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<v Speaker 2>to be clear, is I just I don't see scenario,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, obviously, just let's just bar injury from it.

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<v Speaker 2>Bar devastating injury for all of our analysis about all

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<v Speaker 2>these games across the board in the NFL, throw it

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<v Speaker 2>in the trash. If a key player suffers a season

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<v Speaker 2>ending injury, that obviously, you know, changes everybody's outlook. But

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<v Speaker 2>aside from that, even if the Chiefs lose, no one's

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<v Speaker 2>going to lose faith in them. No one with a

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<v Speaker 2>brain is going to lose faith in them. And if

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<v Speaker 2>they win, it's now Mahomes five and one against Lamar

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<v Speaker 2>it's the it's back to back losses for the Ravens

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<v Speaker 2>against the Chiefs, one in Baltimore, won in Kansas City.

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<v Speaker 2>But I think the story for tonight is going to

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<v Speaker 2>be how dominant the Chiefs offense looks once again. So

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<v Speaker 2>I think last year muddy the Water's a bit in

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<v Speaker 2>people's brain about how elite early in the year Andy

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<v Speaker 2>Reid Patrick Mahomes offenses have been. Here is prior to

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<v Speaker 2>last year. Patrick Mahomes five career we ones. Week one

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<v Speaker 2>his first year is a starter. Two hundred and fifty yards,

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<v Speaker 2>four touchdowns, no picks, a one twenty eight rating in

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<v Speaker 2>a win. Week one. His second years a starter, three

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<v Speaker 2>hundred and eighty yards, three touchdowns, no picks, a one

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<v Speaker 2>forty three rating in a win. Year three is a

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<v Speaker 2>starter only two hundred and eleven yards, three touchdowns, a

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<v Speaker 2>one to twenty three rating in a wine. Four is

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<v Speaker 2>a starter. Three hundred and thirty seven yards, three touchdowns,

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<v Speaker 2>no picks, a one thirty one rating in a win.

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<v Speaker 2>Year five is a starter. Three hundred and sixty yards,

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<v Speaker 2>five touchdowns, a one forty four rating in a win,

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<v Speaker 2>and then last year two hundred and twenty six yards

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<v Speaker 2>two touchdowns, one pick, a seventy eight rate in a loss.

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<v Speaker 2>Prior to last year, the average mahomes first game of

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<v Speaker 2>the season was three three hundred yards, four touchdowns, zero picks,

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<v Speaker 2>a one to thirty rating, and the Chiefs averaged thirty

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<v Speaker 2>five points per game. That was the average performance for

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<v Speaker 2>his whole career. I have no reason to believe it's

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<v Speaker 2>going to be I don't know if it will be

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<v Speaker 2>thirty five points and a laser show against an elite

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<v Speaker 2>Baltimore team, But the Chiefs take the preseason so seriously,

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<v Speaker 2>Andy Reid extra time to prepare Baltimore new pieces on defense,

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<v Speaker 2>Baltimore new defensive coordinator. If your Ravens Demanse are going

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<v Speaker 2>to have a chance in this game, they're going to

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<v Speaker 2>have to score thirty points. That's where I come out

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<v Speaker 2>on this. I do not think it's going to be

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<v Speaker 2>anything close to the script of last year's AFC Championship game,

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<v Speaker 2>where it was a race to twenty and neither team

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<v Speaker 2>got there seventeen to ten. Man. The Chiefs scored all

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<v Speaker 2>the points they needed in that game on their opening

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<v Speaker 2>two drives, which was crazy given how elite Baltimore's offense

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<v Speaker 2>was all year. Here's so. I also think real quick

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<v Speaker 2>because I'm gonna give the Chiefs angle that I want

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<v Speaker 2>to ask you some Ravens questions. Just the threat of

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<v Speaker 2>Xavier Worthy out on the field is going to open

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<v Speaker 2>things up so much for Rashi Rice and Travis Kelcey

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<v Speaker 2>over the middle Kelsey people, there was no speed that

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<v Speaker 2>people were afraid of on the Chiefs last year. They

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<v Speaker 2>bracketed Kelsey. They kept a cloud over him when they

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<v Speaker 2>wanted to. And he's still had damn near thousand yards

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<v Speaker 2>and obviously a dominant playoff run, but a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>that was impromptu, off script. He and Mahomes mind meld stuff,

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<v Speaker 2>not oh, this guy's running open. This year, he's going

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<v Speaker 2>to be running open. I also think Isaiah Pacheco is

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<v Speaker 2>one of the more at this point underrated backs in football.

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<v Speaker 2>I do think one of the more underrated stories in

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<v Speaker 2>football this year is the Chiefs starting left tackle is

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<v Speaker 2>a rookie second round pick, the kid from BYU Kingsley.

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<v Speaker 2>I might mispronounce his last name Suamada. Apologies if I do. Now.

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<v Speaker 2>They love him and Andy has you know, a great

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<v Speaker 2>history with BYU. But that's a big responsibility. You have

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<v Speaker 2>a rookie second round or protecting Mahomes' blind site. Flip

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<v Speaker 2>side to that coin is if that kid's good, that

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<v Speaker 2>is thirty million of cap savings every year for the

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<v Speaker 2>next five years, four years if you have a starting

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<v Speaker 2>caliber left tackle, maybe not thirty million caps s even

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<v Speaker 2>call it twenty five million on a second round pick

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<v Speaker 2>salary for the next four years. That is so incredibly valuable.

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<v Speaker 2>So there is so there's that piece of it. Now

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<v Speaker 2>to the Ravens. Their big offseason addition was Derrick Henry Demons.

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<v Speaker 2>They obviously replace the offensive linemen. Everything else offensively is

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<v Speaker 2>basically the same. The question I have for you is

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<v Speaker 2>this That knock on the Ravens in the AFC Championship

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<v Speaker 2>game was man, they didn't run the ball? Yeah, six

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<v Speaker 2>runs by running backs. They now add Derrick Henry. However,

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<v Speaker 2>Lamar has slimmed down. You know, Lamar is the defending MVP.

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<v Speaker 2>Lamar is playing pardon me, Patrick mahonemes. The whole narrative

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<v Speaker 2>going into last season was We're gonna show Lamar can

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<v Speaker 2>be elite as a passer. What do you want forget

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<v Speaker 2>what you think is going to happen? What do you

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<v Speaker 2>want the Ravens approach to be lean into the run,

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<v Speaker 2>try to pound the Chiefs, or have Lamar drop back,

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<v Speaker 2>or a little mick like where, how do you how

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<v Speaker 2>do you want this game to play out? And how

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<v Speaker 2>do you see it playing out?

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<v Speaker 3>I think we should take what the defense gives us.

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<v Speaker 3>If if Lamar wants to run, yeah, I mean, then

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<v Speaker 3>he should be able to run. I'm cool with him

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<v Speaker 3>doing whatever it is to to get the win. I

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<v Speaker 3>don't really prefer any type, but yeah, I mean, I

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<v Speaker 3>think that they'll go out and let Lamar Jackson play football.

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<v Speaker 3>I don't think that they're gonna try to, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>put any any chains on him, so to speak, like

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<v Speaker 3>they did last year. But but yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you so? Brewce the You and Brew the two

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<v Speaker 2>biggest Ravens folks in my life. Brew is incredibly high

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<v Speaker 2>on the Derrick Henry edition. I don't love aging running

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<v Speaker 2>backs on another team. Even though Derrick Henry is a

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<v Speaker 2>Hall of Fame caliber player. Derek now Derrick Henry. To

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<v Speaker 2>be fair to him, I'm gonna throw a number at

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<v Speaker 2>you real quick. Derrick Henry in his career against Kansas

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<v Speaker 2>City has been a dominant player. Derrick Henry against the

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<v Speaker 2>Chiefs in the regular season four games, by the way,

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<v Speaker 2>three and one against the Chiefs in his career with

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<v Speaker 2>the Titans in the regular season, which is crazy, averaging

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<v Speaker 2>one hundred and eleven yards per game. That's in the

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<v Speaker 2>regular season. His one playoff game against Kansas City. Oh

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<v Speaker 2>the he you know what that's wrong? He actually has

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<v Speaker 2>two playoff games against Kansas City because he has won

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<v Speaker 2>in the pre Mahomes era, His first one against Kansas

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<v Speaker 2>City one hundred and fifty six yards in a touchdown

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<v Speaker 2>in a win. His second one against Kansas City sixty

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<v Speaker 2>nine yards in a touchdown in the AFC Championship Game loss.

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<v Speaker 2>But that does mean Derek Henry's four and two in

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<v Speaker 2>his career, including a playoff win against the Chiefs. I

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<v Speaker 2>forgot that he was on the Titans team that beat

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<v Speaker 2>Kansas City in the pre Mahomes era.

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<v Speaker 3>That was the last running back as far as age

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<v Speaker 3>if he was played, if he played against then, I

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<v Speaker 3>didn't know he was that.

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<v Speaker 2>Oh age, No, so he I think I think he

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<v Speaker 2>turns thirty one during the season. He turns thirty one

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<v Speaker 2>in jan January fourth, so he's he's thirty all year,

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<v Speaker 2>you know what I mean? He'll be thirty one right

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<v Speaker 2>at the end of the season.

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<v Speaker 3>I feel like I've always been a little I feel

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<v Speaker 3>like it's a little gluttonous. I was telling Matt like

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<v Speaker 3>it's like too much of one good thing. But I

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<v Speaker 3>do think it it gives him the ability to, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>confuse the defense. I think Lamar Jackson's really good at

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<v Speaker 3>that like fake handoff, like the RP or what you

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<v Speaker 3>want to call it. I think he's really good at

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<v Speaker 3>making it seem like, you know, is he passing here,

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<v Speaker 3>is he giving an offer? Is he any pass it?

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<v Speaker 3>But yeah, no, I like Derrick Henry back there. But

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<v Speaker 3>I hope it works the way it should. It should

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<v Speaker 3>work looking at it on paper, but I could see

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<v Speaker 3>it getting a little tricky.

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<v Speaker 2>But yeah, So here's the concern for Derrick Henry. Derrick Henry,

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<v Speaker 2>if we just go through his career four years ago,

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<v Speaker 2>two thousand yards, one hundred and twenty six yards per game,

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<v Speaker 2>five point four yards per carry, a one of the

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<v Speaker 2>best seasons any running backs had in the history of football.

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<v Speaker 2>The following year, missed half the season with injury, still though,

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<v Speaker 2>when he played one hundred and seventeen yards per game,

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<v Speaker 2>but from five point four yards per carry to four

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<v Speaker 2>point three yards per carry two years ago, played the

0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:06.360
<v Speaker 2>whole year ninety six yards per game, still really good,

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:11.080
<v Speaker 2>and four point four yards per carry. Last year, played

0:15:11.080 --> 0:15:15.480
<v Speaker 2>the whole year sixty eight yards per game, four point

0:15:15.520 --> 0:15:19.240
<v Speaker 2>two yards per carry. Derrick Henry has led the NFL

0:15:19.280 --> 0:15:23.200
<v Speaker 2>in rushing attempts four of the last five years. It

0:15:23.360 --> 0:15:27.120
<v Speaker 2>is just now. Adrian Peterson was like that. And Adrian

0:15:27.120 --> 0:15:29.960
<v Speaker 2>Peterson had a fifteen hundred yard season I think at

0:15:30.000 --> 0:15:33.680
<v Speaker 2>age thirty three. So some guys are just different.

0:15:34.840 --> 0:15:38.600
<v Speaker 3>I just and he's also got the size on him.

0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 3>Is that a thing that I feel like is a program.

0:15:41.240 --> 0:15:43.880
<v Speaker 3>He's a big dude, So like, I.

0:15:43.880 --> 0:15:47.600
<v Speaker 2>Mean he's I mean, he's massive, He's durable, and he's massive.

0:15:48.200 --> 0:15:53.840
<v Speaker 2>If the Ravens have still, you know, prime ish Derrick Henry,

0:15:54.560 --> 0:15:59.840
<v Speaker 2>it's obviously a massive asset. I'm skeptical of that tonight.

0:16:00.080 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 2>We'll see because the Chiefs, as great as the defense

0:16:02.600 --> 0:16:06.520
<v Speaker 2>was last year, their run defense has never been great.

0:16:06.960 --> 0:16:09.880
<v Speaker 2>Their past defense was out of this world last year.

0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:12.560
<v Speaker 2>The run defense hadn't hasn't always been great. All right,

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:13.480
<v Speaker 2>let's go to the next game.

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:17.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, So, my guys, Jordan loves looking to capitalize on

0:16:17.640 --> 0:16:21.000
<v Speaker 3>the end of that last season, and Philadelphia and Jalen

0:16:21.080 --> 0:16:24.160
<v Speaker 3>Hurts are looking to prove that that offseason didn't kill them.

0:16:24.560 --> 0:16:27.240
<v Speaker 3>Does any team need a hot start to need a

0:16:27.240 --> 0:16:29.400
<v Speaker 3>hot start to their season more than the Eagles.

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:37.440
<v Speaker 2>So this is I mean, I think this is pretty

0:16:37.440 --> 0:16:47.120
<v Speaker 2>obvious that the Eagles have to unequivocally start the season

0:16:47.160 --> 0:16:52.120
<v Speaker 2>well or else I think Sirianni could be fired early

0:16:53.080 --> 0:16:57.160
<v Speaker 2>so the Eagles. The Eagles are in Brazil for the

0:16:57.200 --> 0:17:00.400
<v Speaker 2>Packers game. Everyone on the Eagles is complaining about going

0:17:00.400 --> 0:17:04.520
<v Speaker 2>to Brazil. They then host the Falcons. Now they get

0:17:04.560 --> 0:17:06.960
<v Speaker 2>a little extra rest, but they are you know, it's

0:17:07.000 --> 0:17:12.120
<v Speaker 2>long flight. Obviously, they absolutely could start O in two.

0:17:13.400 --> 0:17:16.080
<v Speaker 2>You start oh in two, and then you're at the Saints,

0:17:16.160 --> 0:17:22.359
<v Speaker 2>at the Bucks, host the Browns. Man, you better, you

0:17:22.480 --> 0:17:26.960
<v Speaker 2>better sweep that set. If an Eagles team that barely

0:17:27.040 --> 0:17:30.280
<v Speaker 2>lost it all two years ago last year started ten

0:17:30.320 --> 0:17:33.400
<v Speaker 2>to one and now has lost six of seven games,

0:17:33.640 --> 0:17:38.040
<v Speaker 2>you've already fired both coordinators. I happen to believe the

0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:43.640
<v Speaker 2>loss of Jason Kelsey is absolutely massive for my purposes.

0:17:44.160 --> 0:17:47.760
<v Speaker 2>There is no team that needs a hotter start in

0:17:47.840 --> 0:17:53.320
<v Speaker 2>the NFL this year than Philadelphia, and I don't like

0:17:53.440 --> 0:17:55.440
<v Speaker 2>and listen, I'm not as high on the Packers as

0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:59.960
<v Speaker 2>you are, but I am not bullish on the Eagle

0:18:00.240 --> 0:18:02.000
<v Speaker 2>in this game. That game might show up in the

0:18:02.040 --> 0:18:04.920
<v Speaker 2>gambling section of the show. So we'll wait about.

0:18:06.600 --> 0:18:09.000
<v Speaker 3>Would you put money on Siriani being the first head

0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:10.120
<v Speaker 3>coach to be fired this year?

0:18:12.119 --> 0:18:19.240
<v Speaker 2>So the problem with that is Dennis Allen exists. So

0:18:19.320 --> 0:18:25.480
<v Speaker 2>Dennis Allen and the Saints, I just the Saints. They

0:18:25.520 --> 0:18:28.560
<v Speaker 2>do get the Panthers in week one, but week two,

0:18:28.560 --> 0:18:31.560
<v Speaker 2>they're out the Cowboys. Week three, they're home for Philly.

0:18:31.960 --> 0:18:35.120
<v Speaker 2>Week four, they're at the Falcons. Week five, they're at

0:18:35.160 --> 0:18:39.000
<v Speaker 2>the Chiefs. Week six they're home for the Bucks. They

0:18:39.040 --> 0:18:42.280
<v Speaker 2>could start one and five and then you got it.

0:18:42.400 --> 0:18:46.600
<v Speaker 2>So Dennis Allen's seat is very hot, and Bobby Sala's

0:18:46.680 --> 0:18:50.480
<v Speaker 2>seat is warm adjacent. And so I don't know about

0:18:50.520 --> 0:18:55.359
<v Speaker 2>first coach fired, but it's he's He's on the very

0:18:55.440 --> 0:18:59.040
<v Speaker 2>short list in my opinion, Okay, the very short list.

0:18:59.400 --> 0:19:02.080
<v Speaker 2>And it's not so much that I think, like, like

0:19:02.200 --> 0:19:04.800
<v Speaker 2>McCarthy's on the hot seat as well, but I don't

0:19:04.840 --> 0:19:08.800
<v Speaker 2>think he's gonna get fired during the year. For Sirianni McCarthy.

0:19:09.040 --> 0:19:12.639
<v Speaker 2>It's more are you going to be brought back next

0:19:12.720 --> 0:19:16.159
<v Speaker 2>year than it is are you gonna be fired early?

0:19:16.240 --> 0:19:20.920
<v Speaker 2>But Sirianni absolutely could be fired during the season if

0:19:20.920 --> 0:19:23.560
<v Speaker 2>it starts going poorly. All right, let's go to the Cowboys.

0:19:23.920 --> 0:19:24.199
<v Speaker 2>All right?

0:19:24.240 --> 0:19:27.760
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, Dallas going into the season without Dak extended, which

0:19:27.800 --> 0:19:30.119
<v Speaker 3>means that the chip on Dak's shoulder will probably be

0:19:30.160 --> 0:19:32.720
<v Speaker 3>the biggest it's ever been. So do you think we're

0:19:32.760 --> 0:19:36.000
<v Speaker 3>in for Dak's best year ever? Or does Jerry Jones

0:19:36.000 --> 0:19:38.520
<v Speaker 3>seeing something with not extending him and he is waiting

0:19:38.520 --> 0:19:39.640
<v Speaker 3>for his value to go down.

0:19:41.080 --> 0:19:43.640
<v Speaker 2>Well, his value is not gonna go down. I think

0:19:43.760 --> 0:19:50.440
<v Speaker 2>Jerry wants to see I listen, Dak, Dak is going

0:19:50.480 --> 0:19:53.320
<v Speaker 2>I've been telling you guys all off season. The offers

0:19:53.320 --> 0:19:56.639
<v Speaker 2>that Cowboys have been making Dak are offers they know

0:19:56.800 --> 0:20:01.639
<v Speaker 2>he will not accept because they are skeptical on whether

0:20:01.720 --> 0:20:06.520
<v Speaker 2>or not Dak Prescott at sixty plus million dollars a

0:20:06.600 --> 0:20:11.800
<v Speaker 2>year without superstar talent around him, can be a championship

0:20:11.840 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 2>caliber quarterback, and that if they're better off resetting the

0:20:16.560 --> 0:20:21.480
<v Speaker 2>quarterback salary scale with a rookie contract quarterback. I think

0:20:21.520 --> 0:20:23.840
<v Speaker 2>they hoped that Trey Lance was gonna show more than

0:20:23.880 --> 0:20:27.200
<v Speaker 2>he did and be able to keep and retain star

0:20:27.320 --> 0:20:31.320
<v Speaker 2>players on both sides of the ball. I do think

0:20:31.359 --> 0:20:36.600
<v Speaker 2>here is the glass half full version for the Cowboys

0:20:36.600 --> 0:20:43.840
<v Speaker 2>this year. Dak and Mike McCarthy have been elite throughout

0:20:43.880 --> 0:20:48.320
<v Speaker 2>their careers in the regular season and then tightened up

0:20:48.880 --> 0:20:52.639
<v Speaker 2>and not coached or played their best come the postseason. Again,

0:20:52.720 --> 0:20:54.800
<v Speaker 2>I'm not even saying I predict this, but this is

0:20:55.040 --> 0:20:57.600
<v Speaker 2>just a you know, maybe a different way to look

0:20:57.640 --> 0:21:02.520
<v Speaker 2>at it. Maybe the fact that they both know they're

0:21:02.960 --> 0:21:05.959
<v Speaker 2>likely going to be somewhere else next year, that they

0:21:07.400 --> 0:21:11.280
<v Speaker 2>don't have long term deals is almost freeing. And that

0:21:11.359 --> 0:21:13.280
<v Speaker 2>come the playoffs, because I think the Cowboys will be

0:21:13.359 --> 0:21:16.520
<v Speaker 2>in the playoffs. There's almost a you know what, nothing

0:21:16.560 --> 0:21:21.120
<v Speaker 2>to lose mentality because no matter what Dak does this year,

0:21:21.320 --> 0:21:24.560
<v Speaker 2>he's getting sixty five million a year next year. That's

0:21:24.600 --> 0:21:27.160
<v Speaker 2>what he's getting. I know, people have a hard time

0:21:27.280 --> 0:21:30.720
<v Speaker 2>wrapping their minds around it. Dak Prescott, if he wants

0:21:30.760 --> 0:21:35.479
<v Speaker 2>to this offseason, is going to sign a three year,

0:21:35.920 --> 0:21:39.680
<v Speaker 2>two hundred million dollar contract that's sixty seven million a year,

0:21:40.119 --> 0:21:44.800
<v Speaker 2>basically fully guaranteed. If he wants it, that'll be there,

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:49.560
<v Speaker 2>a four year, two hundred and sixty million dollar contract,

0:21:49.560 --> 0:21:52.320
<v Speaker 2>that sixty five million a year will be there if

0:21:52.359 --> 0:21:56.840
<v Speaker 2>he wants it. And so I listen, I think I

0:21:56.880 --> 0:21:59.960
<v Speaker 2>don't blame the Cowboys for not wanting to pay down

0:22:00.160 --> 0:22:03.760
<v Speaker 2>Prescott sixty five million dollars a year. I blame them

0:22:04.160 --> 0:22:07.560
<v Speaker 2>for giving him his previous contract that gave him a

0:22:07.680 --> 0:22:12.320
<v Speaker 2>no tag and no trade clause. So they're in this

0:22:12.520 --> 0:22:16.439
<v Speaker 2>position where they might lose their franchise quarterback for no

0:22:16.600 --> 0:22:19.840
<v Speaker 2>reason whatsoever. What's your follow up here, demant say.

0:22:20.280 --> 0:22:23.800
<v Speaker 3>Do you think any Week one game has has has

0:22:23.880 --> 0:22:26.000
<v Speaker 3>the potential for a more overreaction.

0:22:28.280 --> 0:22:30.320
<v Speaker 2>I mean, this is high on the list, but so

0:22:30.560 --> 0:22:33.040
<v Speaker 2>is the next game. We're gonna talk about the fact

0:22:33.080 --> 0:22:35.960
<v Speaker 2>that this game is gonna be Tom Brady's first broadcast

0:22:36.040 --> 0:22:39.240
<v Speaker 2>all of it. Here's where I don't think people will overreact.

0:22:39.840 --> 0:22:43.760
<v Speaker 2>If the Cowboys win because their defense dominates the Browns

0:22:44.040 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 2>and Deshaun Watson, I don't think people are gonna overreact

0:22:47.359 --> 0:22:49.400
<v Speaker 2>to that. I think he's gonna be like the Browns

0:22:49.480 --> 0:22:52.600
<v Speaker 2>offense is gonna be in trouble if the Cowboys lose

0:22:53.880 --> 0:22:57.359
<v Speaker 2>and they can't run the ball, and you know the

0:22:57.359 --> 0:23:00.920
<v Speaker 2>their two rookie offensive linemen get beat up by that

0:23:01.000 --> 0:23:04.679
<v Speaker 2>Browns defensive front, then I think people will probably at

0:23:04.760 --> 0:23:07.600
<v Speaker 2>least slightly overreact. All right, let's get to the last

0:23:07.640 --> 0:23:09.280
<v Speaker 2>game before we get to the gambling show.

0:23:09.359 --> 0:23:12.479
<v Speaker 3>So there is one holdout left in the NFL, and

0:23:12.520 --> 0:23:16.040
<v Speaker 3>that is a Hassan Reddick with the Jets. Chris Jones

0:23:16.040 --> 0:23:17.960
<v Speaker 3>held out Week one last year and the Chiefs went

0:23:17.960 --> 0:23:19.959
<v Speaker 3>on to win the Super Bowl. So it can be done.

0:23:20.560 --> 0:23:23.239
<v Speaker 3>But you're very down on the Jets. Is this a

0:23:23.280 --> 0:23:25.800
<v Speaker 3>big Is this a no big deal? Or as signed

0:23:25.800 --> 0:23:26.760
<v Speaker 3>for bigger problems?

0:23:28.280 --> 0:23:30.239
<v Speaker 2>Oh? I think it's a sign of bigger problems that

0:23:30.280 --> 0:23:32.560
<v Speaker 2>the only guy who hasn't shown up is a guy

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:37.000
<v Speaker 2>you traded for. I think it's an organizational issue, and

0:23:37.480 --> 0:23:42.080
<v Speaker 2>I think the Jets defense right now is a touch overrated.

0:23:42.119 --> 0:23:45.359
<v Speaker 2>Doesn't mean they're not good, but a touch overrated because

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:49.160
<v Speaker 2>I don't love their edge spot. They didn't they don't

0:23:49.200 --> 0:23:52.280
<v Speaker 2>love their edge spot. Guys they drafted Will McDonald in

0:23:52.280 --> 0:23:54.360
<v Speaker 2>the first round a year ago. He hasn't hit yet.

0:23:54.359 --> 0:23:56.800
<v Speaker 2>We'll see. They traded for a Son Reddick because they

0:23:56.840 --> 0:23:59.520
<v Speaker 2>knew they needed to help their Hassan Reddick hasn't shown up,

0:24:00.200 --> 0:24:04.320
<v Speaker 2>and I thought it was a bad decision by Bob

0:24:04.440 --> 0:24:07.400
<v Speaker 2>Salah to not play Aaron at all in the preseason.

0:24:07.800 --> 0:24:12.199
<v Speaker 2>Now he has played four snaps of real football in

0:24:12.240 --> 0:24:18.159
<v Speaker 2>the last since January of twenty what would that be

0:24:18.280 --> 0:24:24.600
<v Speaker 2>twenty three in the last nineteen months before this season starts.

0:24:24.640 --> 0:24:27.200
<v Speaker 2>I think that's a mistake. In the last twenty one months,

0:24:27.240 --> 0:24:30.520
<v Speaker 2>I guess I think Flatley, it's a mistake. I am fading.

0:24:30.880 --> 0:24:34.760
<v Speaker 2>A lot of smart people love the Jets. Peter Schrager

0:24:35.200 --> 0:24:39.159
<v Speaker 2>has Aaron Rodgers winning League MVP. Coach Mangini as the

0:24:39.200 --> 0:24:41.760
<v Speaker 2>Jets in the playoffs, Brew has him winning the division.

0:24:42.000 --> 0:24:46.480
<v Speaker 2>A lot of people love the Jets. Eight wins, eight wins,

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:53.840
<v Speaker 2>maybe a coaching change, and then Rogers a real moment

0:24:53.880 --> 0:24:56.760
<v Speaker 2>where Rogers decides if he wants to keep playing. That's

0:24:56.800 --> 0:24:59.800
<v Speaker 2>my projection for the Jets. I don't trust the health

0:24:59.800 --> 0:25:02.720
<v Speaker 2>of the offensive line. I don't trust the head coach.

0:25:03.040 --> 0:25:06.199
<v Speaker 2>I don't trust the organization. I do trust that the

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:09.200
<v Speaker 2>offensive coordinator doesn't know what he's doing, and I don't

0:25:09.200 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 2>know that Aaron Rodgers is still good. So all put

0:25:13.359 --> 0:25:16.040
<v Speaker 2>more chips into the middle of the table. That as

0:25:16.080 --> 0:25:19.160
<v Speaker 2>you would say, Demonse, the Jets are gonna be mid

0:25:19.960 --> 0:25:23.639
<v Speaker 2>just ah, they're gonna be fun. And I don't think

0:25:24.880 --> 0:25:27.480
<v Speaker 2>I don't think Rogers is all of a sudden going

0:25:27.520 --> 0:25:32.040
<v Speaker 2>to revert back to thirty eight year old pre torn

0:25:32.080 --> 0:25:35.560
<v Speaker 2>Achilles Aaron Rodgers. I think he's more likely to look

0:25:35.680 --> 0:25:39.800
<v Speaker 2>like thirty nine year old pre torn Achilles Aaron Rodgers,

0:25:39.920 --> 0:25:42.560
<v Speaker 2>who wasn't good enough. They were eight and nine and

0:25:42.640 --> 0:25:44.200
<v Speaker 2>lost a home game at the end of the year

0:25:44.240 --> 0:25:47.200
<v Speaker 2>to Detroit. And this is a guy who turns forty

0:25:47.240 --> 0:25:51.240
<v Speaker 2>one years old in two months or three months. Good

0:25:51.359 --> 0:25:54.080
<v Speaker 2>luck with that. We'll see how it works out. Our

0:25:54.240 --> 0:25:58.600
<v Speaker 2>gambling show, all five of our bets and Demons's return

0:25:58.680 --> 0:26:08.119
<v Speaker 2>to triumphant teasers, What's Right? Welcome back in What's Right

0:26:08.160 --> 0:26:10.679
<v Speaker 2>with Nick Right, and it is now time for our

0:26:10.840 --> 0:26:12.960
<v Speaker 2>gambling show. Demon say take it away.

0:26:13.800 --> 0:26:16.439
<v Speaker 3>Yes, it's the first Thursday of football season, so you

0:26:16.440 --> 0:26:18.720
<v Speaker 3>know what time it is. It's time for the return

0:26:18.760 --> 0:26:22.560
<v Speaker 3>of the What's Right Gambling Show. Last year, the Process

0:26:22.640 --> 0:26:25.360
<v Speaker 3>TM took a bit of a hit. You went forty two,

0:26:25.520 --> 0:26:29.119
<v Speaker 3>forty six and two in the regular season. What changes

0:26:29.160 --> 0:26:31.480
<v Speaker 3>have you made to the Process TM this year to

0:26:31.520 --> 0:26:35.680
<v Speaker 3>turn things around the TM. I know it's trademarkmark, but yeah,

0:26:35.680 --> 0:26:37.480
<v Speaker 3>I know what it means. I just wanted to add

0:26:37.520 --> 0:26:39.959
<v Speaker 3>the bit you're adding it.

0:26:40.119 --> 0:26:44.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I got it. Okay, let people know it's you. Yeah, yeah,

0:26:45.000 --> 0:26:48.199
<v Speaker 2>I'm right. No, I got that. But then that's what

0:26:48.280 --> 0:26:49.959
<v Speaker 2>I thought you were doing. But I wanted to make

0:26:49.960 --> 0:26:54.200
<v Speaker 2>sure the audience understood as well. I'm not changing anything,

0:26:54.840 --> 0:27:00.560
<v Speaker 2>not changing anything to be to be clear, I'm the

0:27:00.640 --> 0:27:05.959
<v Speaker 2>only actual change I'm making is the self U mandated

0:27:06.000 --> 0:27:09.080
<v Speaker 2>ban on betting the Jags until did I say Halloween

0:27:10.080 --> 0:27:10.560
<v Speaker 2>that that.

0:27:10.960 --> 0:27:13.280
<v Speaker 3>They when they get back from there in an out.

0:27:13.480 --> 0:27:16.240
<v Speaker 2>Oh no, right, until they get back from me, until

0:27:16.280 --> 0:27:19.200
<v Speaker 2>they go to England or they get back from England,

0:27:19.200 --> 0:27:25.320
<v Speaker 2>one of the two. Uh, this process of stay aways,

0:27:25.800 --> 0:27:28.760
<v Speaker 2>be careful. The whole thing that I do, where I

0:27:28.840 --> 0:27:32.080
<v Speaker 2>sort every game has served me well for years and

0:27:32.160 --> 0:27:34.720
<v Speaker 2>years and years. So I'm not going to all of

0:27:34.760 --> 0:27:38.680
<v Speaker 2>a sudden change it. Because and by the way, as

0:27:38.800 --> 0:27:44.240
<v Speaker 2>you know, to to misquote jay Z a bit, for

0:27:44.280 --> 0:27:47.000
<v Speaker 2>a lot of people, you know, our down years would

0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:50.520
<v Speaker 2>be some people's career years. A lot of folks who

0:27:50.560 --> 0:27:54.320
<v Speaker 2>do this would kill for their worst year ever to

0:27:54.440 --> 0:27:59.320
<v Speaker 2>be right, basically dead at five hundred, so even in

0:27:59.400 --> 0:28:03.840
<v Speaker 2>a terror, we were once the playoffs were included right

0:28:03.880 --> 0:28:07.040
<v Speaker 2>at five hundred for the season and then just lost

0:28:07.080 --> 0:28:11.000
<v Speaker 2>the VIG. Now before we demand's a get to the

0:28:11.160 --> 0:28:14.679
<v Speaker 2>actual games. Uh, we'll go ahead and do the preseason

0:28:14.720 --> 0:28:17.280
<v Speaker 2>bets recap part and then then we'll do something else.

0:28:18.040 --> 0:28:19.960
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, so we're gonna take a look back at your

0:28:20.440 --> 0:28:23.080
<v Speaker 3>preseason bets in case anybody's still trying to lock in

0:28:23.119 --> 0:28:26.920
<v Speaker 3>their futures before kickoff. Were there any late.

0:28:26.880 --> 0:28:32.159
<v Speaker 2>Editions of this? No, no, you're fine, pal, there's no

0:28:32.280 --> 0:28:36.680
<v Speaker 2>late additions. I'll just run through them real quick. And again,

0:28:36.840 --> 0:28:39.520
<v Speaker 2>you can follow me on Twitter if you wanted to

0:28:39.600 --> 0:28:42.160
<v Speaker 2>see it. You can also right now it's on the screen,

0:28:43.880 --> 0:28:48.280
<v Speaker 2>all of the bets with the unit size and the VIIG.

0:28:48.760 --> 0:28:50.600
<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna so if you want to see the

0:28:50.600 --> 0:28:55.400
<v Speaker 2>real VIG and all the units all of that, that's

0:28:55.480 --> 0:28:58.000
<v Speaker 2>more of a reading than a listening thing. I'll just

0:28:58.040 --> 0:29:01.720
<v Speaker 2>tell you what the bets are, the win totals. I'm

0:29:01.840 --> 0:29:05.000
<v Speaker 2>on Chiefs eleven and a half, Bears eight and a half,

0:29:05.160 --> 0:29:08.240
<v Speaker 2>Rams eight and a half, Broncos five and a half,

0:29:08.600 --> 0:29:12.320
<v Speaker 2>the Unders I'm on Eagles ten and a half. Jets

0:29:12.400 --> 0:29:15.280
<v Speaker 2>nine and a half, Raiders six and a half, Giant

0:29:15.360 --> 0:29:18.880
<v Speaker 2>six and a half. The division championship bets I'm on

0:29:19.480 --> 0:29:23.360
<v Speaker 2>the Bears plus three forty, the Rams plus three thirty,

0:29:23.760 --> 0:29:27.600
<v Speaker 2>the Bengals plus one sixty five, and then essentially a

0:29:27.640 --> 0:29:31.840
<v Speaker 2>combo bet of the Eagles aren't winning the NFC East.

0:29:32.240 --> 0:29:33.840
<v Speaker 2>And the way I did it was I bet the

0:29:33.840 --> 0:29:37.760
<v Speaker 2>Cowboys at plus one seventy five and Washington at plus

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:42.760
<v Speaker 2>eleven hundred and then one division bet parlay Chiefs, Bills, Bengals,

0:29:43.000 --> 0:29:46.280
<v Speaker 2>the three best quarterbacks in the conference, the three teams

0:29:46.280 --> 0:29:48.400
<v Speaker 2>that have had the most success in the conference over

0:29:48.440 --> 0:29:51.400
<v Speaker 2>the last five years, all to win their division. That's

0:29:51.440 --> 0:29:56.240
<v Speaker 2>basically ten to one. Make miss playoff bets to miss

0:29:56.280 --> 0:29:59.640
<v Speaker 2>the playoffs the Jets at plus one forty, the Eagles

0:29:59.640 --> 0:30:02.880
<v Speaker 2>at plus us two thirty, the Dolphins at plus one thirty.

0:30:03.240 --> 0:30:07.480
<v Speaker 2>My favorite bet of the year, the Giants, Raiders, Steelers,

0:30:07.520 --> 0:30:10.360
<v Speaker 2>Saints all to miss the playoffs at two to one.

0:30:10.960 --> 0:30:15.880
<v Speaker 2>A little flyer bet Chiefs, Bills, Rams, Bears all to

0:30:15.960 --> 0:30:18.560
<v Speaker 2>make the playoffs at seven to one, and then a

0:30:18.560 --> 0:30:23.440
<v Speaker 2>long shot flyer Packers, Jets, Eagles all to miss at

0:30:23.480 --> 0:30:26.480
<v Speaker 2>seventeen to one. And then of course a Bears Chief

0:30:26.560 --> 0:30:29.160
<v Speaker 2>Super Bowl at sixty six to one and a Chief's

0:30:29.240 --> 0:30:32.200
<v Speaker 2>over Bears super Bowl at ninety five to one. Now,

0:30:32.480 --> 0:30:35.840
<v Speaker 2>before we get to our picks, I want to quickly

0:30:35.920 --> 0:30:39.160
<v Speaker 2>go through the eleven games that I'm not picking and

0:30:39.240 --> 0:30:41.040
<v Speaker 2>tell you if I have a lean or a feel

0:30:41.120 --> 0:30:45.760
<v Speaker 2>on it. Okay, So Titans Bears, Bears are four and

0:30:45.800 --> 0:30:51.800
<v Speaker 2>a half point favorites. Rookie quarterback first start laying four

0:30:51.800 --> 0:30:55.760
<v Speaker 2>and a half points. Don't love it. I also am

0:30:55.760 --> 0:30:58.360
<v Speaker 2>not gonna bet Will Levis on the road, so I'm

0:30:58.400 --> 0:31:03.840
<v Speaker 2>just staying away from that one. Steelers Falcons, Falcons laying

0:31:03.920 --> 0:31:07.479
<v Speaker 2>three and a half. I like Atlanta this year. I

0:31:07.560 --> 0:31:10.760
<v Speaker 2>don't like Pittsburgh at all, but Mike tom I'm not

0:31:10.960 --> 0:31:15.680
<v Speaker 2>going to you know. I the smart bet is probably

0:31:15.760 --> 0:31:19.720
<v Speaker 2>Tomlin a little Arthur Smith revenge on his former employer.

0:31:20.080 --> 0:31:24.440
<v Speaker 2>But I really don't think Russell Wilson is a competent

0:31:24.520 --> 0:31:27.880
<v Speaker 2>quarterback at this point. If I had to bet a side,

0:31:27.960 --> 0:31:30.400
<v Speaker 2>I would have bet the Steelers just because Tomlin getting

0:31:30.400 --> 0:31:32.880
<v Speaker 2>more than a field goal. But I'm staying away from it.

0:31:33.400 --> 0:31:36.520
<v Speaker 2>I know this will shock no one, but JAG's at

0:31:36.560 --> 0:31:40.959
<v Speaker 2>Dolphins Dolphins getting three and a half. The Dolphins injury

0:31:41.000 --> 0:31:45.400
<v Speaker 2>report is already ten guys long. It looks like Jalen

0:31:45.520 --> 0:31:48.800
<v Speaker 2>Ramsey might not play. I'm getting more than a field goal.

0:31:49.200 --> 0:31:55.480
<v Speaker 2>I absolutely love Jacksonville, However, self imposed ban I'm staying.

0:31:57.160 --> 0:32:02.040
<v Speaker 2>I'm staying away from it. Uh. Texans at Cults. The

0:32:02.040 --> 0:32:06.040
<v Speaker 2>Texans laying two and a half on the road, just

0:32:06.680 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 2>road team, divisional game favored. The Anthony Richardson factor scares me.

0:32:13.520 --> 0:32:17.600
<v Speaker 2>And the fact that Vegas is begging you to bet

0:32:17.640 --> 0:32:20.520
<v Speaker 2>the Texans, They're like not, you don't even have to

0:32:20.560 --> 0:32:24.680
<v Speaker 2>lay a full three points. That is a that is

0:32:24.720 --> 0:32:30.280
<v Speaker 2>a vintage stay away from me. Vikings at Giants, Vikings

0:32:30.400 --> 0:32:33.400
<v Speaker 2>laying one and a half on the road. I listen,

0:32:33.440 --> 0:32:36.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm not betting on Daniel Jones getting less than a

0:32:36.200 --> 0:32:39.120
<v Speaker 2>field goal. I'm also not laying points with Sam Darnold

0:32:39.160 --> 0:32:42.840
<v Speaker 2>on the road. I'm staying away. Panthers at Saints. The

0:32:42.880 --> 0:32:46.000
<v Speaker 2>Saints are three and a half point favorite. I just

0:32:46.120 --> 0:32:50.360
<v Speaker 2>that's this is one of my weaknesses. Panthers Saints. There

0:32:50.440 --> 0:32:52.800
<v Speaker 2>is not a single game on the schedule I am

0:32:52.880 --> 0:32:56.520
<v Speaker 2>less interested in watching, So I'm just flatly staying. I

0:32:56.520 --> 0:32:58.360
<v Speaker 2>don't want to have anything to do with that game.

0:32:59.200 --> 0:33:02.760
<v Speaker 2>Cardinals Bills. The Bills are six and a half point favorites.

0:33:03.080 --> 0:33:05.920
<v Speaker 2>I think that line is perfect, so that's a stay

0:33:05.960 --> 0:33:08.360
<v Speaker 2>away game for me entirely. I think the line is

0:33:08.480 --> 0:33:15.120
<v Speaker 2>just right. Raiders Chargers, Chargers laying three. I lean Chargers there,

0:33:15.840 --> 0:33:20.520
<v Speaker 2>but it also feels like they're just that the Herbert injury.

0:33:20.600 --> 0:33:23.240
<v Speaker 2>I want to see him play before I bet on him.

0:33:23.520 --> 0:33:26.640
<v Speaker 2>I'm also not betting on Gardner Minshew on the road,

0:33:27.000 --> 0:33:32.560
<v Speaker 2>so that's a stay away this Broncos at Seahawks demanse was.

0:33:34.400 --> 0:33:38.840
<v Speaker 2>I stared at it for a long time. I really

0:33:39.000 --> 0:33:43.040
<v Speaker 2>like Denver getting the points. I know that will surprise people,

0:33:44.280 --> 0:33:48.320
<v Speaker 2>but I think Sean Payton, oh I'm sorry, thank you.

0:33:48.400 --> 0:33:55.600
<v Speaker 2>Seattle's favored by five and a half. So I really

0:33:55.680 --> 0:33:59.520
<v Speaker 2>liked Denver getting five and a half to rookie head

0:33:59.520 --> 0:34:02.600
<v Speaker 2>coach and Seattle. I think again. I think Sean Payton's

0:34:02.640 --> 0:34:07.080
<v Speaker 2>gonna have the full training wheels on bo Nicks and

0:34:07.520 --> 0:34:11.600
<v Speaker 2>get a competent offense out of it. However, the Mike

0:34:11.760 --> 0:34:16.000
<v Speaker 2>McDonald factor of those exotic blitzes and what he was

0:34:16.040 --> 0:34:19.480
<v Speaker 2>able to do with Baltimore, him coming over to Seattle

0:34:19.719 --> 0:34:22.919
<v Speaker 2>now as the head coach and being able to throw

0:34:23.000 --> 0:34:26.719
<v Speaker 2>that at bow Nicks in week one scared me. But

0:34:26.840 --> 0:34:30.000
<v Speaker 2>I did like Denver plus five and a half, and

0:34:30.680 --> 0:34:35.680
<v Speaker 2>if I were a teaser guy, Denver teasing them up

0:34:35.719 --> 0:34:40.080
<v Speaker 2>to plus eleven and a half getting it through the six, seven, eight,

0:34:40.120 --> 0:34:45.920
<v Speaker 2>and ten would be moderately attractive to me. Commanders at Bucks,

0:34:46.520 --> 0:34:48.440
<v Speaker 2>the Bucks are laying three and a half. I think

0:34:48.480 --> 0:34:53.040
<v Speaker 2>that line's exactly right. Jets at Niners, the Niners are

0:34:53.080 --> 0:34:56.359
<v Speaker 2>laying four and a half. Again, this is maybe a

0:34:56.360 --> 0:34:59.560
<v Speaker 2>weakness as a gambler a bit. I just do kind

0:34:59.560 --> 0:35:03.160
<v Speaker 2>of want to be able to watch this game totally

0:35:03.320 --> 0:35:07.040
<v Speaker 2>unmolested by a bet because I have so much take

0:35:07.160 --> 0:35:12.160
<v Speaker 2>equity in the if we're being honest kind of you know,

0:35:12.280 --> 0:35:15.600
<v Speaker 2>both of these teams underachieving. So I just was that

0:35:15.760 --> 0:35:18.240
<v Speaker 2>was a stay away for me. But there's my leans

0:35:18.320 --> 0:35:24.360
<v Speaker 2>on all those games that the most attractive teaser legs

0:35:25.200 --> 0:35:32.239
<v Speaker 2>for me would be the following. The Packers going from

0:35:32.239 --> 0:35:33.960
<v Speaker 2>plus two and a half to plus eight and a

0:35:34.000 --> 0:35:37.400
<v Speaker 2>half would be attractive to me. You're getting them. I

0:35:37.440 --> 0:35:40.480
<v Speaker 2>always think in terms of six point teasers. Demanse, I

0:35:40.520 --> 0:35:42.440
<v Speaker 2>know you're more of a seven point teaser guy, but

0:35:42.680 --> 0:35:44.680
<v Speaker 2>I think in terms of six point teasers, but just

0:35:44.920 --> 0:35:47.279
<v Speaker 2>for me and for the audience, So the Packers would

0:35:47.280 --> 0:35:52.839
<v Speaker 2>be an attractive teaser leg. The Bengals from minus eight

0:35:52.840 --> 0:35:55.440
<v Speaker 2>and a half down to minus two and a half

0:35:56.120 --> 0:35:59.720
<v Speaker 2>would be a very attractive teaser leg to me, getting

0:35:59.760 --> 0:36:03.279
<v Speaker 2>them against the Patriots to just have to win by

0:36:03.280 --> 0:36:07.280
<v Speaker 2>a field goal. That one, to me, Yeah, they're playing

0:36:07.320 --> 0:36:12.080
<v Speaker 2>the Patriots. That one, to me is at least semi intriguing.

0:36:12.640 --> 0:36:17.560
<v Speaker 2>I already mentioned, Uh, did I mention Denver? Denver is

0:36:17.600 --> 0:36:20.360
<v Speaker 2>a teaser leg potentially getting them up to plus eleven

0:36:20.400 --> 0:36:27.680
<v Speaker 2>and a half. Uh, And that's probably it as far

0:36:27.760 --> 0:36:32.120
<v Speaker 2>as for me, the super attractive teaser legs. And now

0:36:32.239 --> 0:36:36.880
<v Speaker 2>now before we get on, well, I'm just well, I

0:36:36.920 --> 0:36:39.480
<v Speaker 2>don't know who you've picked. I don't know who you've picked.

0:36:39.480 --> 0:36:43.680
<v Speaker 2>I'm just saying just gut reaction. I know that is

0:36:43.719 --> 0:36:48.280
<v Speaker 2>your game. But I do think it's interesting if I

0:36:48.400 --> 0:36:52.640
<v Speaker 2>unknowingly because I haven't seen your pick, If I just

0:36:52.760 --> 0:36:56.359
<v Speaker 2>say the legs that I think are intriguing, and then

0:36:56.400 --> 0:36:59.600
<v Speaker 2>we find out if we're on opposite sides or same

0:36:59.680 --> 0:37:02.319
<v Speaker 2>side or whatever it is. But before we do that,

0:37:02.840 --> 0:37:06.480
<v Speaker 2>my five actual picks of the week. Uh, A couple

0:37:06.520 --> 0:37:08.200
<v Speaker 2>of them might have been revealed a bit, and the

0:37:08.239 --> 0:37:10.000
<v Speaker 2>teasers I like, but go ahead.

0:37:10.480 --> 0:37:14.319
<v Speaker 3>So first off, you've got Kansas City minus three versus Baltimore.

0:37:15.280 --> 0:37:16.319
<v Speaker 3>Have seen that one coming?

0:37:16.520 --> 0:37:20.239
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean, well, under injury, the Chiefs are nine

0:37:20.239 --> 0:37:23.439
<v Speaker 2>and two in season openers. Mahomes is five and one

0:37:23.480 --> 0:37:26.839
<v Speaker 2>in week one and five fifteen and four in September.

0:37:27.680 --> 0:37:33.200
<v Speaker 2>I'm not I think it is uh a little insulting

0:37:34.040 --> 0:37:37.120
<v Speaker 2>that the Chiefs are only three point favorites. This should

0:37:37.160 --> 0:37:39.640
<v Speaker 2>be three and a half. I'm not saying it should

0:37:39.640 --> 0:37:43.600
<v Speaker 2>be huge favorites. But they're at home, They're the they.

0:37:43.680 --> 0:37:47.319
<v Speaker 2>I it is a little insulting that you're telling me

0:37:47.440 --> 0:37:50.040
<v Speaker 2>you think Chiefs Baltimore on a neutral field is a

0:37:50.160 --> 0:37:50.640
<v Speaker 2>coin flip.

0:37:50.760 --> 0:37:53.640
<v Speaker 3>Vaca saw the Kansas stats.

0:37:54.360 --> 0:37:58.200
<v Speaker 2>They yeah, well maybe that's what it is. Lamar Lamar

0:37:58.440 --> 0:38:02.200
<v Speaker 2>as an underdog against the spread the last three seasons

0:38:02.320 --> 0:38:06.200
<v Speaker 2>is seven to zero. But I think we don't do

0:38:06.360 --> 0:38:11.320
<v Speaker 2>totals on this show. I like over forty six and

0:38:11.400 --> 0:38:15.040
<v Speaker 2>a half more than I like Kansas City minus three,

0:38:15.360 --> 0:38:19.680
<v Speaker 2>but I don't bet totals in general. Kansas City minus

0:38:19.680 --> 0:38:24.640
<v Speaker 2>three Chiefs laser show offense returns. That's my first bet

0:38:24.800 --> 0:38:27.040
<v Speaker 2>of the year, first game of the year.

0:38:27.280 --> 0:38:30.560
<v Speaker 3>Next, all right, next, you have green Bay plus two

0:38:30.600 --> 0:38:33.960
<v Speaker 3>and a half at Philly.

0:38:34.120 --> 0:38:37.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I mean this is I think green Bay is

0:38:37.520 --> 0:38:41.320
<v Speaker 2>gonna win the game. And I mean it says at Philly,

0:38:41.360 --> 0:38:43.960
<v Speaker 2>but obviously it's a neutral site in Brazil. But I

0:38:44.040 --> 0:38:46.400
<v Speaker 2>just think green Bay is gonna win. I think Philly

0:38:46.440 --> 0:38:49.280
<v Speaker 2>has had half a dozen players complain about going to Brazil.

0:38:49.800 --> 0:38:53.440
<v Speaker 2>I don't know what. No one has explained to me adequately.

0:38:53.960 --> 0:38:57.080
<v Speaker 2>Why early in the year the defense is gonna be fixed.

0:38:57.600 --> 0:39:00.760
<v Speaker 2>Maybe late in the year when those rookie they drafted

0:39:00.760 --> 0:39:02.560
<v Speaker 2>in the first and second round in the secondary get

0:39:02.560 --> 0:39:05.480
<v Speaker 2>their feet underneath them. But I don't think Quinyan Mitchell

0:39:05.480 --> 0:39:08.160
<v Speaker 2>and Cooper Degen in Week one are gonna be super

0:39:08.200 --> 0:39:13.520
<v Speaker 2>impact players. The Philly's defense was brutal all of last year.

0:39:13.840 --> 0:39:15.719
<v Speaker 2>I know they brought in Vic Fangio, but he got

0:39:15.840 --> 0:39:19.239
<v Speaker 2>run out on a rail in Miami. Green Bay, on

0:39:19.320 --> 0:39:22.160
<v Speaker 2>the other hand, has as good a vibes going into

0:39:22.160 --> 0:39:24.600
<v Speaker 2>this year as any team in the league. They have

0:39:24.760 --> 0:39:28.680
<v Speaker 2>all those receiving threats that I think really can punish

0:39:28.920 --> 0:39:33.040
<v Speaker 2>the Eagles Week back seven Hurts by the way ten

0:39:33.120 --> 0:39:35.960
<v Speaker 2>eighteen and one against the spread in road or neutral

0:39:36.000 --> 0:39:40.720
<v Speaker 2>site games. That's the worst of any quarterback since twenty twenty.

0:39:41.000 --> 0:39:43.680
<v Speaker 2>Hurts is also six to fourteen and one against the

0:39:43.719 --> 0:39:47.319
<v Speaker 2>spread as a favorite away from home. Matt Lafleur is

0:39:47.360 --> 0:39:50.520
<v Speaker 2>a covering machine the last five years fifty three and

0:39:50.600 --> 0:39:55.080
<v Speaker 2>thirty seven, and Philly again has lost six of their

0:39:55.200 --> 0:39:59.319
<v Speaker 2>last seven, seven straight against the spread. I know that

0:39:59.440 --> 0:40:02.120
<v Speaker 2>was last year. I like green Bay in this spot

0:40:02.160 --> 0:40:04.960
<v Speaker 2>a lot. I think Green Bay is not as good

0:40:05.000 --> 0:40:07.319
<v Speaker 2>as a lot of people think they are, But in

0:40:07.360 --> 0:40:10.400
<v Speaker 2>this spot, I believe in them, and I think Philly

0:40:11.080 --> 0:40:15.200
<v Speaker 2>is the single most overvalued team in the NFL. People

0:40:15.239 --> 0:40:19.600
<v Speaker 2>have just washed away two months of football. Two months

0:40:19.600 --> 0:40:23.120
<v Speaker 2>of football. All right, you seem to agree with me

0:40:23.160 --> 0:40:25.160
<v Speaker 2>on that one, Demonse, I appreciate.

0:40:24.840 --> 0:40:26.920
<v Speaker 3>You having a little bit of faith in them, But yeah,

0:40:27.160 --> 0:40:31.040
<v Speaker 3>I definitely think they'll win as well. I feel very

0:40:31.040 --> 0:40:33.160
<v Speaker 3>good about that pick. This next pick, I'm a little

0:40:33.880 --> 0:40:34.640
<v Speaker 3>a lot of points.

0:40:35.280 --> 0:40:37.640
<v Speaker 2>You're okay, all right? What's the next one?

0:40:38.640 --> 0:40:41.680
<v Speaker 3>The next one? Cincinnati minus eight and a half versus

0:40:41.760 --> 0:40:42.600
<v Speaker 3>New England.

0:40:44.200 --> 0:40:48.000
<v Speaker 2>All right, here's the thing on this. To me, this

0:40:48.160 --> 0:40:51.840
<v Speaker 2>is simply a question of can the Bengals get to

0:40:51.960 --> 0:40:58.439
<v Speaker 2>twenty points? Okay, New England's not getting to thirteen. New

0:40:58.440 --> 0:41:01.280
<v Speaker 2>England is capped out in this game at ten points,

0:41:01.280 --> 0:41:04.560
<v Speaker 2>caped out. Their offensive line might be the worst in

0:41:04.600 --> 0:41:07.960
<v Speaker 2>the NFL. They're starting quarterback might be the worst in

0:41:08.000 --> 0:41:11.640
<v Speaker 2>the NFL. They have a rookie head coach. And so

0:41:12.680 --> 0:41:16.440
<v Speaker 2>it is Jacoby Verssett on the road against the Bengals

0:41:16.440 --> 0:41:19.040
<v Speaker 2>defense that needs to prove last year was an aberration.

0:41:20.080 --> 0:41:24.520
<v Speaker 2>I understand that the Bengals historically stink early in the year.

0:41:24.560 --> 0:41:26.920
<v Speaker 2>Burrow's two and six against the spread the first two

0:41:26.960 --> 0:41:29.640
<v Speaker 2>weeks of the year thirty six and fourteen. After the

0:41:29.719 --> 0:41:34.919
<v Speaker 2>first two weeks of the year, teams that are six

0:41:34.960 --> 0:41:40.040
<v Speaker 2>and a half point well hold on the I don't

0:41:40.040 --> 0:41:42.239
<v Speaker 2>know if how to read that stat so I'm gonna

0:41:42.239 --> 0:41:46.000
<v Speaker 2>throw that one out. I know what it says, but

0:41:46.239 --> 0:41:48.879
<v Speaker 2>I don't know if it's right, So just ignore it.

0:41:49.560 --> 0:41:54.040
<v Speaker 2>Burrow historically has been great against the spread. But that's

0:41:54.080 --> 0:41:58.080
<v Speaker 2>not what this is. That the fact that this is

0:41:58.160 --> 0:42:01.239
<v Speaker 2>simply that I do not think New England is going

0:42:01.280 --> 0:42:05.960
<v Speaker 2>to have a functional NFL offense, and so I think

0:42:06.040 --> 0:42:11.840
<v Speaker 2>that if Cincinnati gets to twenty they cover, And what

0:42:12.040 --> 0:42:15.280
<v Speaker 2>is the total in this game? Again, I'm not betting totals,

0:42:15.320 --> 0:42:18.160
<v Speaker 2>but it does it's forty and a half. So I

0:42:18.200 --> 0:42:20.799
<v Speaker 2>gotta do quick math on the fly here. So that

0:42:20.880 --> 0:42:25.480
<v Speaker 2>means Vegas thinks this game is basically twenty four to

0:42:25.480 --> 0:42:29.120
<v Speaker 2>sixteen is what they're telling us. And I'm telling you

0:42:29.440 --> 0:42:33.759
<v Speaker 2>New England's not getting to sixteen points. And so I

0:42:33.760 --> 0:42:37.000
<v Speaker 2>don't love laying huge numbers. I don't mind laying big

0:42:37.120 --> 0:42:43.000
<v Speaker 2>numbers here. And so Cincinnati minus eight and a half

0:42:43.120 --> 0:42:45.640
<v Speaker 2>against New England, let's go to the You said it's

0:42:45.680 --> 0:42:47.960
<v Speaker 2>a lot of points. I think New England might be

0:42:48.000 --> 0:42:49.799
<v Speaker 2>the worst team in the entire NFL this year.

0:42:50.840 --> 0:42:55.080
<v Speaker 3>All right, Yeah, that's that's fair. I was thinking of Cincinnati, no,

0:42:55.360 --> 0:42:57.279
<v Speaker 3>not being known for gidding, no, going to.

0:42:57.239 --> 0:43:03.400
<v Speaker 2>Be everyone's survivor pick. Everyone survived is gonna be Cincinnati.

0:43:03.719 --> 0:43:09.080
<v Speaker 2>I mean that's that is without a doubt. I mean

0:43:09.400 --> 0:43:12.000
<v Speaker 2>it's yeah, I mean it's just going to be everyone's pick.

0:43:12.000 --> 0:43:12.359
<v Speaker 2>All right.

0:43:12.360 --> 0:43:15.640
<v Speaker 3>Next, So next, you've got Dallas plus two and a

0:43:15.680 --> 0:43:17.560
<v Speaker 3>half at Cleveland.

0:43:18.560 --> 0:43:22.279
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. I I don't believe in the Browns this year.

0:43:23.760 --> 0:43:27.239
<v Speaker 2>Their defense last year was elite at home and this

0:43:27.320 --> 0:43:30.680
<v Speaker 2>is obviously in Cleveland, and this is you know, and

0:43:30.719 --> 0:43:34.000
<v Speaker 2>bad on the road. But defense doesn't tend to carry

0:43:34.000 --> 0:43:36.840
<v Speaker 2>over year to year as much as offense. And I

0:43:36.880 --> 0:43:39.880
<v Speaker 2>they still have offensive line injuries in Cleveland, and I

0:43:39.880 --> 0:43:43.160
<v Speaker 2>think Deshaun Watson is cooked. I think.

0:43:45.160 --> 0:43:48.000
<v Speaker 3>Game sorry that that.

0:43:48.360 --> 0:43:51.919
<v Speaker 2>Well, it's because they won. They won eleven games last

0:43:52.000 --> 0:43:57.560
<v Speaker 2>year with five different quarterbacks, you know, like that's that's why.

0:43:57.960 --> 0:44:00.800
<v Speaker 2>But I don't know that we can expect the defense

0:44:00.840 --> 0:44:04.400
<v Speaker 2>to be quite as dominant. And I don't think Cleveland's

0:44:04.440 --> 0:44:06.719
<v Speaker 2>offense is gonna be able to deal with the Dallas

0:44:06.760 --> 0:44:12.000
<v Speaker 2>defensive front Micah Parsons and Tank Lawrence. So I listen,

0:44:12.080 --> 0:44:16.560
<v Speaker 2>the Cowboys are starting two rookie offensive linemen against this

0:44:16.680 --> 0:44:20.279
<v Speaker 2>Cleveland front. That is concerning. But I think Dak and

0:44:20.360 --> 0:44:24.280
<v Speaker 2>Ceedee Lamb will be a great uh you know uh connection.

0:44:24.440 --> 0:44:29.239
<v Speaker 2>Once again, I'm getting points like yeah, I just think

0:44:29.280 --> 0:44:33.120
<v Speaker 2>I think Dallas is better than Cleveland. And I think

0:44:33.160 --> 0:44:36.560
<v Speaker 2>that even if Dallas is not as good as they

0:44:36.600 --> 0:44:41.160
<v Speaker 2>were last year, I think Deshaun Watson could just be finished,

0:44:42.000 --> 0:44:45.600
<v Speaker 2>just finished. And so Dallas plus two and a half

0:44:45.920 --> 0:44:48.880
<v Speaker 2>is one I like a lot. As I mentioned before,

0:44:49.000 --> 0:44:51.920
<v Speaker 2>I really like that as a teaser. Leg Getting Dallas

0:44:52.000 --> 0:44:53.560
<v Speaker 2>all the way up to plus eight and a half

0:44:53.640 --> 0:44:56.319
<v Speaker 2>I think is attractive. All right, last.

0:44:56.000 --> 0:44:59.120
<v Speaker 3>One, last when you got the Rams plus three and

0:44:59.200 --> 0:45:00.920
<v Speaker 3>a half at the two at Detroit.

0:45:02.880 --> 0:45:04.879
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so I just think there's a field goal game.

0:45:05.080 --> 0:45:07.840
<v Speaker 2>I think Detroit could win this game. Don't get me wrong,

0:45:08.239 --> 0:45:10.640
<v Speaker 2>but I just think this is twenty seven, twenty four,

0:45:10.760 --> 0:45:13.640
<v Speaker 2>thirty to twenty seven, and I'm getting the half point.

0:45:14.360 --> 0:45:17.000
<v Speaker 2>I think the Rams are as good as the Lions

0:45:17.120 --> 0:45:21.760
<v Speaker 2>right now. Now you know, I'm bullish on the Rams

0:45:21.840 --> 0:45:25.520
<v Speaker 2>if they stay healthy that's obviously a huge if, and

0:45:25.560 --> 0:45:28.279
<v Speaker 2>Stafford's elbow and all that stuff. But it's Week one.

0:45:29.200 --> 0:45:32.400
<v Speaker 2>So in week one, these two teams both at full strength,

0:45:32.960 --> 0:45:35.680
<v Speaker 2>I like them. I think the Rams obviously can win

0:45:35.719 --> 0:45:39.000
<v Speaker 2>this game, and I don't think either one's blowing the

0:45:39.040 --> 0:45:43.520
<v Speaker 2>other one out. So I'm getting the extra half point. McVeigh.

0:45:43.760 --> 0:45:46.640
<v Speaker 2>The Rams are six and one straight up and against

0:45:46.680 --> 0:45:48.800
<v Speaker 2>the spread in week one they cover by an average

0:45:48.800 --> 0:45:52.920
<v Speaker 2>of nine points. Stafford, I thought played great in that

0:45:53.080 --> 0:45:55.879
<v Speaker 2>wild card game that Detroit won, but they won by

0:45:55.920 --> 0:46:01.000
<v Speaker 2>a point. Now, goff is great in openers, but a

0:46:01.040 --> 0:46:04.239
<v Speaker 2>lot of that is when he was with McVeigh. And

0:46:04.280 --> 0:46:07.400
<v Speaker 2>now this is the last kind of against the spread

0:46:07.440 --> 0:46:09.799
<v Speaker 2>note for the Lions, but I think this one can

0:46:09.840 --> 0:46:13.080
<v Speaker 2>be misleading. The Lions are thirty five and sixteen against

0:46:13.080 --> 0:46:14.920
<v Speaker 2>the spread over the last three years, which is the

0:46:14.960 --> 0:46:19.640
<v Speaker 2>best in the NFL. I personally am gonna throw that

0:46:19.920 --> 0:46:25.520
<v Speaker 2>out entirely because the Lions have been so great against

0:46:25.520 --> 0:46:29.360
<v Speaker 2>the spread the last three years because they were people

0:46:29.400 --> 0:46:33.640
<v Speaker 2>did not believe in them. Yet now I think people

0:46:33.680 --> 0:46:36.560
<v Speaker 2>believe in them a little too much. They're a very

0:46:36.680 --> 0:46:41.399
<v Speaker 2>popular pick to make or win the Super Bowl. So now,

0:46:41.440 --> 0:46:45.120
<v Speaker 2>I you know, so if this I understand different teams,

0:46:45.400 --> 0:46:49.839
<v Speaker 2>but this game last year would have been in fact,

0:46:50.400 --> 0:46:53.680
<v Speaker 2>let me let me just check hold on Rams at

0:46:54.000 --> 0:47:01.920
<v Speaker 2>Lions playoff game. The I'm just trying to check what

0:47:02.760 --> 0:47:06.279
<v Speaker 2>the point spread. So last year in the playoffs it

0:47:06.360 --> 0:47:08.040
<v Speaker 2>was a three and a half point line. I was

0:47:08.040 --> 0:47:10.319
<v Speaker 2>gonna say I thought it would have been three, but

0:47:10.400 --> 0:47:13.160
<v Speaker 2>it was a three and a half point line, And

0:47:14.080 --> 0:47:18.200
<v Speaker 2>so I just don't think that you're gonna get line

0:47:18.360 --> 0:47:21.240
<v Speaker 2>value with the Lions right now. Again, like I said,

0:47:21.400 --> 0:47:24.440
<v Speaker 2>I think the Rams can win, and it's a field

0:47:24.440 --> 0:47:27.439
<v Speaker 2>goal game and either in either way, So that's where

0:47:27.480 --> 0:47:29.960
<v Speaker 2>I land, all right, demonse So there's the five picks.

0:47:30.000 --> 0:47:33.520
<v Speaker 2>The five picks to week one, can City minus three,

0:47:33.960 --> 0:47:36.879
<v Speaker 2>Green Bay plus two and a half, Cincinnati minus eight

0:47:36.880 --> 0:47:39.239
<v Speaker 2>and a half, Dallas plus two and a half, and

0:47:39.280 --> 0:47:41.440
<v Speaker 2>the Rams plus three and a half. Demonsey, you know

0:47:41.480 --> 0:47:42.400
<v Speaker 2>what that looks like to me?

0:47:43.080 --> 0:47:43.879
<v Speaker 3>You're starting off five.

0:47:44.000 --> 0:47:48.480
<v Speaker 2>You know what it looks like. It looks like it's

0:47:48.600 --> 0:47:51.200
<v Speaker 2>it's it's been a long time since we got a five.

0:47:51.239 --> 0:47:54.520
<v Speaker 2>And oh but it's looking like five. And oh what

0:47:54.719 --> 0:47:55.920
<v Speaker 2>your teaser looking like?

0:47:57.640 --> 0:48:02.480
<v Speaker 3>All right, so we start doing this. Oh, that's pretty

0:48:02.600 --> 0:48:05.839
<v Speaker 3>pretty cool. I just want to I like that, come

0:48:05.880 --> 0:48:07.919
<v Speaker 3>out and say it's gonna get to about week eight.

0:48:08.280 --> 0:48:10.279
<v Speaker 3>I'm gonna have not lost a teaser. I don't need

0:48:10.320 --> 0:48:12.879
<v Speaker 3>anybody hitting me up and being like, oh, Demonsy's got

0:48:12.880 --> 0:48:16.359
<v Speaker 3>some inside information with the NFL. The game's rigged. Oh

0:48:16.400 --> 0:48:20.000
<v Speaker 3>he knows too much. I'm starting off with two teams.

0:48:20.120 --> 0:48:21.319
<v Speaker 3>This is what's gonna happen. Now.

0:48:21.880 --> 0:48:24.520
<v Speaker 2>Can I just say this real quick? He? Can I

0:48:24.560 --> 0:48:25.560
<v Speaker 2>just say this real quick?

0:48:25.920 --> 0:48:26.120
<v Speaker 3>Yeah?

0:48:27.200 --> 0:48:31.480
<v Speaker 2>I will be beyond thrilled if going into week eight

0:48:31.840 --> 0:48:36.440
<v Speaker 2>you're four and three that you're you're saying seven and oh,

0:48:37.440 --> 0:48:40.720
<v Speaker 2>but if we can get four and three going into

0:48:40.719 --> 0:48:45.680
<v Speaker 2>Week eight, it will I will have so much immense pride.

0:48:45.719 --> 0:48:49.200
<v Speaker 2>Anything better than four and three is out of this world.

0:48:49.200 --> 0:48:52.239
<v Speaker 2>But okay, Demante is saying seven and oh. All right, now,

0:48:52.280 --> 0:48:55.160
<v Speaker 2>go I'm not doubting you. I'm just saying where my

0:48:55.320 --> 0:48:58.200
<v Speaker 2>expectations are versus where your expectations are.

0:48:58.480 --> 0:49:03.200
<v Speaker 3>All right, what's the It's a two team seven pointer

0:49:03.760 --> 0:49:07.080
<v Speaker 3>minus one point fifty. We're teasing Green Bay from plus

0:49:07.120 --> 0:49:10.440
<v Speaker 3>two and a half to nine and a half at Philly,

0:49:11.200 --> 0:49:13.959
<v Speaker 3>and we're teasing Washington from plus three and a half

0:49:14.040 --> 0:49:19.360
<v Speaker 3>to plus ten and a half at Tampa. I wanted

0:49:19.360 --> 0:49:22.600
<v Speaker 3>to bet Commanders straight up money line to win that game,

0:49:22.680 --> 0:49:25.240
<v Speaker 3>so I felt very comfortable putting the money on the teaser.

0:49:25.280 --> 0:49:27.640
<v Speaker 3>I think Jaye Daniel was gonna get that offensive Rookie

0:49:27.680 --> 0:49:30.960
<v Speaker 3>of the Year. So yeah, that's that's the Week one teaser.

0:49:31.360 --> 0:49:33.279
<v Speaker 3>I didn't want to throw Kansas City. I wanted to

0:49:33.280 --> 0:49:37.000
<v Speaker 3>do something with Ravens Kansas City. But teasing Kansas City

0:49:37.120 --> 0:49:39.360
<v Speaker 3>meant teasing cross a zero or it meant teasing the

0:49:39.440 --> 0:49:42.120
<v Speaker 3>Ravens up to ten correct, And I just didn't betting

0:49:42.120 --> 0:49:44.360
<v Speaker 3>against Patrick. No, these are good numbers.

0:49:44.760 --> 0:49:49.799
<v Speaker 2>These are good numbers, don't I A rookie quarterback in

0:49:49.880 --> 0:49:53.320
<v Speaker 2>his first start on the road is a little nerve racking,

0:49:53.760 --> 0:49:55.560
<v Speaker 2>just to be honest, it's just a little nerve wracking.

0:49:55.600 --> 0:49:58.799
<v Speaker 2>But you're getting ten and a half points. I obviously

0:49:58.840 --> 0:50:02.440
<v Speaker 2>loved the Green Bay side of it. Uh. I'm gonna

0:50:02.440 --> 0:50:05.880
<v Speaker 2>give your teasing across as many key numbers as as possible.

0:50:06.560 --> 0:50:07.960
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna give this teaser an a.

0:50:08.000 --> 0:50:13.680
<v Speaker 3>Minus because of the rookie quarterback situation on the road.

0:50:14.280 --> 0:50:17.120
<v Speaker 2>But you're getting ten and a half points, and it's

0:50:17.280 --> 0:50:18.640
<v Speaker 2>Tampa's not a juggernaut.

0:50:19.120 --> 0:50:19.239
<v Speaker 3>Uh.

0:50:19.480 --> 0:50:23.440
<v Speaker 2>And I do think that there's also, even if it

0:50:23.600 --> 0:50:27.960
<v Speaker 2>is getting away from Jaden early on this, there's a

0:50:28.040 --> 0:50:30.560
<v Speaker 2>lot of back door cover potential. At the ten and

0:50:30.640 --> 0:50:33.320
<v Speaker 2>a half, you know, they're gonna let him keep throwing.

0:50:33.360 --> 0:50:35.920
<v Speaker 2>They're gonna want to get him as much experience as possible.

0:50:36.200 --> 0:50:40.279
<v Speaker 2>So even down seventeen points, you're a lot They're not

0:50:40.280 --> 0:50:42.759
<v Speaker 2>gonna be like as run the clock out. So yeah,

0:50:42.840 --> 0:50:44.359
<v Speaker 2>give it an a minus. I like it, all right.

0:50:44.400 --> 0:50:45.680
<v Speaker 2>What's the offer this week?

0:50:46.560 --> 0:50:49.799
<v Speaker 3>Uh? The offer we are calling this? Uh calling this

0:50:49.840 --> 0:50:54.080
<v Speaker 3>one that it's really happening. Parlay your best case scenario,

0:50:54.719 --> 0:50:57.960
<v Speaker 3>the Chiefs to beat the Ravens straight up, the trendy

0:50:58.040 --> 0:51:01.759
<v Speaker 3>Cardinals to upset the Bills straight up, the Jaguars have

0:51:01.840 --> 0:51:04.840
<v Speaker 3>set the Dolphins straight up, and Caleb and the Bears

0:51:04.880 --> 0:51:06.960
<v Speaker 3>to cover four and a half, the biggest spread in

0:51:07.000 --> 0:51:10.680
<v Speaker 3>their favor since twenty fourteen. Oh, this is at a

0:51:10.680 --> 0:51:13.840
<v Speaker 3>plus two seven hundred and forty. How much are you

0:51:13.920 --> 0:51:15.600
<v Speaker 3>in for or are you in.

0:51:15.600 --> 0:51:18.120
<v Speaker 2>I'm gonna turn this down because I don't think the

0:51:18.160 --> 0:51:22.040
<v Speaker 2>Cardinals are beating the Bills. I also sneaky am not

0:51:22.160 --> 0:51:26.400
<v Speaker 2>really anti Bills this year because people have over corrected

0:51:26.560 --> 0:51:29.480
<v Speaker 2>on the Bills and now they're a little underrated. I

0:51:29.520 --> 0:51:31.360
<v Speaker 2>have the Bills winning the division. They're not even the

0:51:31.360 --> 0:51:35.920
<v Speaker 2>favorites to win their division. So with respect, I decline

0:51:35.960 --> 0:51:38.880
<v Speaker 2>the week one, offer quick break, right back, answer some

0:51:38.920 --> 0:51:48.080
<v Speaker 2>listener questions. Next we'll right welcome back in. We'll dry

0:51:48.120 --> 0:51:51.520
<v Speaker 2>with Nick right DeMont, Let's go through handful of listener questions.

0:51:51.560 --> 0:51:54.440
<v Speaker 3>Here, a negative four and two says who will be

0:51:54.480 --> 0:51:57.520
<v Speaker 3>missed more? Jason Kelsey or Aaron Donald.

0:51:58.880 --> 0:52:04.160
<v Speaker 2>So it's really close. I'm going to say Kelsey because

0:52:05.160 --> 0:52:09.760
<v Speaker 2>of his pre snap job of calling out the protections.

0:52:10.400 --> 0:52:13.600
<v Speaker 2>I think they were both still the best or the

0:52:13.640 --> 0:52:16.560
<v Speaker 2>second best in the world at their position when they retired,

0:52:17.200 --> 0:52:21.960
<v Speaker 2>and so they will be missed. But Eric as a

0:52:22.040 --> 0:52:26.520
<v Speaker 2>D lineman less responsibility pre snap. Kelsey did all of

0:52:26.600 --> 0:52:30.000
<v Speaker 2>the protections for Jalen pre snap because he was so

0:52:30.080 --> 0:52:32.839
<v Speaker 2>great at it. So I'm gonna say Jason Kelcey.

0:52:32.840 --> 0:52:36.960
<v Speaker 3>Next Scott Frazier. If Rogers doesn't get the Jets to

0:52:36.960 --> 0:52:39.399
<v Speaker 3>the playoffs, do they keep him? And if not, where

0:52:39.440 --> 0:52:41.600
<v Speaker 3>do you think he goes? And or does he retire?

0:52:42.840 --> 0:52:47.040
<v Speaker 2>No? I think probably retires. I think that if if

0:52:47.080 --> 0:52:51.360
<v Speaker 2>the Jets are awesome and they don't win the I

0:52:51.440 --> 0:52:53.840
<v Speaker 2>think if the Jets win the Super Bowl, he's retiring.

0:52:54.680 --> 0:52:57.840
<v Speaker 2>And I think if they're mediocre or bad, he's retiring.

0:52:58.239 --> 0:53:00.960
<v Speaker 2>The only scenario I see where he comes back is

0:53:01.000 --> 0:53:04.560
<v Speaker 2>if they're good, make the playoffs, go on a run

0:53:04.640 --> 0:53:06.960
<v Speaker 2>but come up just short, and he's like, man, next year,

0:53:07.000 --> 0:53:09.400
<v Speaker 2>we can do it. I think all the other outcomes,

0:53:09.400 --> 0:53:10.960
<v Speaker 2>he's probably retiring. Next.

0:53:12.120 --> 0:53:15.480
<v Speaker 3>Tory Spears. Is there a college football quarterback you like

0:53:15.520 --> 0:53:19.000
<v Speaker 3>as the next Kayleb Williams threatening to get on Mahomes Mountain?

0:53:20.719 --> 0:53:24.359
<v Speaker 2>Well, I'll answer that along with ask Kevin Gillen's question.

0:53:24.920 --> 0:53:28.520
<v Speaker 3>Kevin Gillan Nick score prediction for what's it?

0:53:29.840 --> 0:53:30.680
<v Speaker 2>Raska Colorado?

0:53:31.239 --> 0:53:34.400
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, versus Colorado is Miny. Mahomes gonna go off?

0:53:35.600 --> 0:53:38.839
<v Speaker 2>Dylan Ryola is the answer for the quarterback who could

0:53:38.880 --> 0:53:41.399
<v Speaker 2>show up at some point on Mahomes Mountain. Number two

0:53:41.480 --> 0:53:44.280
<v Speaker 2>recruit in the country, highest ranked recruit in the history

0:53:44.360 --> 0:53:48.840
<v Speaker 2>of Nebraska football. He trains with Patrick, he tries to

0:53:48.880 --> 0:53:51.719
<v Speaker 2>look like Patrick, he tries to play like Patrick, and

0:53:51.800 --> 0:53:55.480
<v Speaker 2>he's gonna light Deon Sanders team on fire this weekend.

0:53:55.760 --> 0:54:02.120
<v Speaker 2>So score prediction thirty four twenty one, thirty four to

0:54:02.160 --> 0:54:05.560
<v Speaker 2>twenty four, something like that, Nebraska. So yeah, I like

0:54:05.680 --> 0:54:10.120
<v Speaker 2>Riola a lot. I like him a lot. All right,

0:54:10.440 --> 0:54:12.440
<v Speaker 2>let's do these last two and then we gotta.

0:54:12.239 --> 0:54:16.320
<v Speaker 3>Go Jeffrey Petrino. Hey, Nick, do you think it's possible

0:54:16.320 --> 0:54:18.879
<v Speaker 3>that josh Allen wins MVP this year if his tight

0:54:19.000 --> 0:54:21.760
<v Speaker 3>end group is very good to great and his rookie

0:54:21.800 --> 0:54:23.640
<v Speaker 3>Rye receiver can be at least decent.

0:54:25.280 --> 0:54:28.960
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Listen. Voters have been dying to give Josh Allen

0:54:29.000 --> 0:54:32.399
<v Speaker 2>an MVP the last few years. This year, he could

0:54:32.400 --> 0:54:34.680
<v Speaker 2>actually be set up in a position where It's like, Wow,

0:54:34.760 --> 0:54:37.680
<v Speaker 2>look at what he did without all those weapons. He's

0:54:37.680 --> 0:54:40.040
<v Speaker 2>gonna have to be an offense unto himself. So yeah,

0:54:40.239 --> 0:54:42.840
<v Speaker 2>I think Josh, if they win twelve games, which I

0:54:42.880 --> 0:54:44.440
<v Speaker 2>don't think they're gonna win twelve, but I do think

0:54:44.480 --> 0:54:47.200
<v Speaker 2>they're gonna win eleven. Yeah, I think he's a very

0:54:47.280 --> 0:54:48.719
<v Speaker 2>viable MVP candidate.

0:54:48.800 --> 0:54:53.320
<v Speaker 3>All right, Next, Austin are hey, Nick. With the NFL

0:54:53.400 --> 0:54:55.879
<v Speaker 3>starting up, we're bound to have some newer listeners who

0:54:55.920 --> 0:54:58.840
<v Speaker 3>may not be familiar with the right lexicon. Would you

0:54:58.920 --> 0:55:02.000
<v Speaker 3>consider taking a few explain stuff like three opinion types,

0:55:02.040 --> 0:55:02.439
<v Speaker 3>et cetera.

0:55:04.160 --> 0:55:07.000
<v Speaker 2>Well, the three opinion types is category one, category two.

0:55:07.040 --> 0:55:10.520
<v Speaker 2>In category three, category one is instantly correct, So like

0:55:10.600 --> 0:55:14.120
<v Speaker 2>if the Chiefs score thirty points and beat the Ravens

0:55:14.120 --> 0:55:16.799
<v Speaker 2>tonight to category one, take I said it was gonna happen,

0:55:16.800 --> 0:55:22.360
<v Speaker 2>and instantly happened. Category two is eventually correct. Usually people

0:55:22.480 --> 0:55:25.319
<v Speaker 2>doubt it in the you know, shortly after I say it,

0:55:25.600 --> 0:55:29.000
<v Speaker 2>and then eventually I'm proven correct. And category three is

0:55:29.480 --> 0:55:35.040
<v Speaker 2>clearly incontrovertibly wrong, whether instantly wrong or eventually wrong, flatly wrong.

0:55:35.320 --> 0:55:37.920
<v Speaker 2>A category three example would be if brock Perty ends

0:55:38.000 --> 0:55:43.040
<v Speaker 2>up in being awesome, for his whole career. That I shouldn't.

0:55:43.080 --> 0:55:44.680
<v Speaker 2>He didn't have to be awesome for his whole career,

0:55:44.920 --> 0:55:48.600
<v Speaker 2>but for years and even without the Niners, you know, avengers,

0:55:48.600 --> 0:55:51.640
<v Speaker 2>I've been striding on that, and if I were wrong,

0:55:51.920 --> 0:55:55.279
<v Speaker 2>I maybe should create almost like a glossary of the

0:55:55.320 --> 0:55:59.080
<v Speaker 2>different things we say in what the definitions are. Don't

0:55:59.120 --> 0:56:01.120
<v Speaker 2>have time to do that right now. Now, I've got

0:56:01.120 --> 0:56:06.359
<v Speaker 2>to get to the studio. Chiefs Ravens kicks off in

0:56:06.560 --> 0:56:12.080
<v Speaker 2>just under nine hours, and I truly cannot wait. Demand's

0:56:12.080 --> 0:56:14.560
<v Speaker 2>great job. Good luck to everyone on the bets. Talk

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<v Speaker 2>to you guys soon. What's right? Hey, thanks for watching.

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<v Speaker 2>We're right around one hundred and fifty thousand. We'd love

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<v Speaker 2>to get to two hundred thousand. Get demanday another plaque,

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