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Speaker 2: We are finally here. Welcome in What's Right with Nick

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Speaker 2: Great Episode two sixty, Week one NFL Gambling Show. If

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Speaker 2: you're new to the pod. Every Thursday, first half of

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Speaker 2: the show we do storylines. Second half of the show,

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Speaker 2: we do gambling lines. And I've been doing this in

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Speaker 2: one form or another my entire broadcast career. Last year

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Speaker 2: was my first documented sub five hundred season. We didn't

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Speaker 2: get crushed, but we were still sub five hundred. We

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Speaker 2: have to own it. Forty two, forty six and four

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Speaker 2: was our ultimate record. I do think we clawed out

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Speaker 2: a bit in the postseason because we were certainly I

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Speaker 2: mean their thirteen playoff games, we went four and zero

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Speaker 2: with the Chiefs because they covered against the Dolphins and

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Speaker 2: then they were underdogs in every other game, so they

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Speaker 2: won every game, so they obviously covered those but I don't.

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Speaker 2: But either way, we lost money last year. We lost

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Speaker 2: money on our futures, We lost money on the season bets.

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Speaker 2: And that doesn't even get into Demons, who had a

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Speaker 2: stretch of America's worst teasers. He's learned his lesson. He's

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Speaker 2: gonna do better. Demanse's better at everything pod related except

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Speaker 2: for ear piece cord management. That one he has somehow

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Speaker 2: gotten far worse on. But everything else he's crushing and

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Speaker 2: he looks great. I'm wearing my Shrouds Kansas City, one

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Speaker 2: of my favorite restaurants in the world T shirt. We

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Speaker 2: actually told a story oddly about Strouds a couple of

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Speaker 2: podcasts ago. I'm also wearing red Air Force ones because

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs season kicks off today. At the parade. Last year,

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Speaker 2: we didn't. We have so much video and cool stuff

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Speaker 2: from the parade last year, but obviously there was a tragedy,

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Speaker 2: so we you know what I mean, we didn't share

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Speaker 2: any of it. But I was walking around De Monse

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Speaker 2: with the Red Air Force one on my left foot

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Speaker 2: and a Yellow Air Force one on my right foot,

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Speaker 2: just the the I bought too. I mean it was great,

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Speaker 2: it was a leak. It was elite. I got a

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Speaker 2: new for that. For the parade. I got a new

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Speaker 2: Louis Vton fleece that was actually Chiefs colors on like

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Speaker 2: the previous years. But that's all lost to history such

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Speaker 2: as life. Uh okay, before we get to the gambling,

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Speaker 2: let's get to what missed the cut. Caitlyn Clark continues

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Speaker 2: elite play. She now has another triple double. The only

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Speaker 2: two by rookies in WNBA history, I believe are Caitlyn

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Speaker 2: Clark this season twenty four to ten and ten as

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Speaker 2: the Fever win again. Steph Curry talking about potentially owning

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Speaker 2: an NFL an NBA team, and Bill Belichick joins Instagram,

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Speaker 2: which is something other people are so much more interested

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Speaker 2: in than I am. But Demons, we are ten nine

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Speaker 2: hours and forty ish minutes away from kickoff of the

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Speaker 2: NFL season. It is my hometown team, my favorite team,

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Speaker 2: against your adopted team, the Baltimore Ravens. It is a

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Speaker 2: rematch of last year's AFC championship game, and it is

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Speaker 2: how the NFL is starting the season.

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Speaker 3: Go right ahead, Yeah, so the Chiefs are opening up

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Speaker 3: for the fourth time in eight years. They're two and

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Speaker 3: one in those games, by the way, and as you said,

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Speaker 3: it's an AFC rematch. Both teams have had like relatively

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Speaker 3: pretty good off seasons compared to all the good teams.

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Speaker 3: You call this a no lose for Kansas City. So

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Speaker 3: what do you think are going to be the biggest

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Speaker 3: takeaways from this game?

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Speaker 2: Well, I mean the reason I said it's a no lose,

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Speaker 2: to be clear, is I just I don't see scenario,

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Speaker 2: you know, obviously, just let's just bar injury from it.

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Speaker 2: Bar devastating injury for all of our analysis about all

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Speaker 2: these games across the board in the NFL, throw it

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Speaker 2: in the trash. If a key player suffers a season

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Speaker 2: ending injury, that obviously, you know, changes everybody's outlook. But

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Speaker 2: aside from that, even if the Chiefs lose, no one's

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Speaker 2: going to lose faith in them. No one with a

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Speaker 2: brain is going to lose faith in them. And if

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Speaker 2: they win, it's now Mahomes five and one against Lamar

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Speaker 2: it's the it's back to back losses for the Ravens

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Speaker 2: against the Chiefs, one in Baltimore, won in Kansas City.

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Speaker 2: But I think the story for tonight is going to

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Speaker 2: be how dominant the Chiefs offense looks once again. So

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Speaker 2: I think last year muddy the Water's a bit in

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Speaker 2: people's brain about how elite early in the year Andy

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Speaker 2: Reid Patrick Mahomes offenses have been. Here is prior to

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Speaker 2: last year. Patrick Mahomes five career we ones. Week one

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Speaker 2: his first year is a starter. Two hundred and fifty yards,

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Speaker 2: four touchdowns, no picks, a one twenty eight rating in

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Speaker 2: a win. Week one. His second years a starter, three

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Speaker 2: hundred and eighty yards, three touchdowns, no picks, a one

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Speaker 2: forty three rating in a win. Year three is a

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Speaker 2: starter only two hundred and eleven yards, three touchdowns, a

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Speaker 2: one to twenty three rating in a wine. Four is

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Speaker 2: a starter. Three hundred and thirty seven yards, three touchdowns,

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Speaker 2: no picks, a one thirty one rating in a win.

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Speaker 2: Year five is a starter. Three hundred and sixty yards,

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Speaker 2: five touchdowns, a one forty four rating in a win,

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Speaker 2: and then last year two hundred and twenty six yards

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Speaker 2: two touchdowns, one pick, a seventy eight rate in a loss.

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Speaker 2: Prior to last year, the average mahomes first game of

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Speaker 2: the season was three three hundred yards, four touchdowns, zero picks,

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Speaker 2: a one to thirty rating, and the Chiefs averaged thirty

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Speaker 2: five points per game. That was the average performance for

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Speaker 2: his whole career. I have no reason to believe it's

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Speaker 2: going to be I don't know if it will be

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Speaker 2: thirty five points and a laser show against an elite

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Speaker 2: Baltimore team, But the Chiefs take the preseason so seriously,

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Speaker 2: Andy Reid extra time to prepare Baltimore new pieces on defense,

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Speaker 2: Baltimore new defensive coordinator. If your Ravens Demanse are going

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Speaker 2: to have a chance in this game, they're going to

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Speaker 2: have to score thirty points. That's where I come out

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Speaker 2: on this. I do not think it's going to be

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Speaker 2: anything close to the script of last year's AFC Championship game,

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Speaker 2: where it was a race to twenty and neither team

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Speaker 2: got there seventeen to ten. Man. The Chiefs scored all

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Speaker 2: the points they needed in that game on their opening

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Speaker 2: two drives, which was crazy given how elite Baltimore's offense

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Speaker 2: was all year. Here's so. I also think real quick

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Speaker 2: because I'm gonna give the Chiefs angle that I want

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Speaker 2: to ask you some Ravens questions. Just the threat of

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Speaker 2: Xavier Worthy out on the field is going to open

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Speaker 2: things up so much for Rashi Rice and Travis Kelcey

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Speaker 2: over the middle Kelsey people, there was no speed that

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Speaker 2: people were afraid of on the Chiefs last year. They

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Speaker 2: bracketed Kelsey. They kept a cloud over him when they

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Speaker 2: wanted to. And he's still had damn near thousand yards

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Speaker 2: and obviously a dominant playoff run, but a lot of

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Speaker 2: that was impromptu, off script. He and Mahomes mind meld stuff,

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Speaker 2: not oh, this guy's running open. This year, he's going

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Speaker 2: to be running open. I also think Isaiah Pacheco is

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Speaker 2: one of the more at this point underrated backs in football.

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Speaker 2: I do think one of the more underrated stories in

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Speaker 2: football this year is the Chiefs starting left tackle is

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Speaker 2: a rookie second round pick, the kid from BYU Kingsley.

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Speaker 2: I might mispronounce his last name Suamada. Apologies if I do. Now.

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Speaker 2: They love him and Andy has you know, a great

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Speaker 2: history with BYU. But that's a big responsibility. You have

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Speaker 2: a rookie second round or protecting Mahomes' blind site. Flip

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Speaker 2: side to that coin is if that kid's good, that

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Speaker 2: is thirty million of cap savings every year for the

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Speaker 2: next five years, four years if you have a starting

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Speaker 2: caliber left tackle, maybe not thirty million caps s even

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Speaker 2: call it twenty five million on a second round pick

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Speaker 2: salary for the next four years. That is so incredibly valuable.

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Speaker 2: So there is so there's that piece of it. Now

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Speaker 2: to the Ravens. Their big offseason addition was Derrick Henry Demons.

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Speaker 2: They obviously replace the offensive linemen. Everything else offensively is

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Speaker 2: basically the same. The question I have for you is

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Speaker 2: this That knock on the Ravens in the AFC Championship

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Speaker 2: game was man, they didn't run the ball? Yeah, six

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Speaker 2: runs by running backs. They now add Derrick Henry. However,

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Speaker 2: Lamar has slimmed down. You know, Lamar is the defending MVP.

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Speaker 2: Lamar is playing pardon me, Patrick mahonemes. The whole narrative

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Speaker 2: going into last season was We're gonna show Lamar can

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Speaker 2: be elite as a passer. What do you want forget

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Speaker 2: what you think is going to happen? What do you

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Speaker 2: want the Ravens approach to be lean into the run,

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Speaker 2: try to pound the Chiefs, or have Lamar drop back,

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Speaker 2: or a little mick like where, how do you how

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Speaker 2: do you want this game to play out? And how

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Speaker 2: do you see it playing out?

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Speaker 3: I think we should take what the defense gives us.

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Speaker 3: If if Lamar wants to run, yeah, I mean, then

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Speaker 3: he should be able to run. I'm cool with him

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Speaker 3: doing whatever it is to to get the win. I

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Speaker 3: don't really prefer any type, but yeah, I mean, I

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Speaker 3: think that they'll go out and let Lamar Jackson play football.

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Speaker 3: I don't think that they're gonna try to, you know,

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Speaker 3: put any any chains on him, so to speak, like

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Speaker 3: they did last year. But but yeah.

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Speaker 2: Do you so? Brewce the You and Brew the two

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Speaker 2: biggest Ravens folks in my life. Brew is incredibly high

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Speaker 2: on the Derrick Henry edition. I don't love aging running

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Speaker 2: backs on another team. Even though Derrick Henry is a

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Speaker 2: Hall of Fame caliber player. Derek now Derrick Henry. To

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Speaker 2: be fair to him, I'm gonna throw a number at

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Speaker 2: you real quick. Derrick Henry in his career against Kansas

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Speaker 2: City has been a dominant player. Derrick Henry against the

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Speaker 2: Chiefs in the regular season four games, by the way,

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Speaker 2: three and one against the Chiefs in his career with

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Speaker 2: the Titans in the regular season, which is crazy, averaging

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Speaker 2: one hundred and eleven yards per game. That's in the

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Speaker 2: regular season. His one playoff game against Kansas City. Oh

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Speaker 2: the he you know what that's wrong? He actually has

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Speaker 2: two playoff games against Kansas City because he has won

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Speaker 2: in the pre Mahomes era, His first one against Kansas

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Speaker 2: City one hundred and fifty six yards in a touchdown

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Speaker 2: in a win. His second one against Kansas City sixty

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Speaker 2: nine yards in a touchdown in the AFC Championship Game loss.

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Speaker 2: But that does mean Derek Henry's four and two in

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Speaker 2: his career, including a playoff win against the Chiefs. I

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Speaker 2: forgot that he was on the Titans team that beat

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Speaker 2: Kansas City in the pre Mahomes era.

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Speaker 3: That was the last running back as far as age

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Speaker 3: if he was played, if he played against then, I

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Speaker 3: didn't know he was that.

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Speaker 2: Oh age, No, so he I think I think he

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Speaker 2: turns thirty one during the season. He turns thirty one

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Speaker 2: in jan January fourth, so he's he's thirty all year,

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Speaker 2: you know what I mean? He'll be thirty one right

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Speaker 2: at the end of the season.

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Speaker 3: I feel like I've always been a little I feel

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Speaker 3: like it's a little gluttonous. I was telling Matt like

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Speaker 3: it's like too much of one good thing. But I

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Speaker 3: do think it it gives him the ability to, you know,

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Speaker 3: confuse the defense. I think Lamar Jackson's really good at

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Speaker 3: that like fake handoff, like the RP or what you

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Speaker 3: want to call it. I think he's really good at

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Speaker 3: making it seem like, you know, is he passing here,

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Speaker 3: is he giving an offer? Is he any pass it?

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Speaker 3: But yeah, no, I like Derrick Henry back there. But

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Speaker 3: I hope it works the way it should. It should

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Speaker 3: work looking at it on paper, but I could see

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Speaker 3: it getting a little tricky.

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Speaker 2: But yeah, So here's the concern for Derrick Henry. Derrick Henry,

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Speaker 2: if we just go through his career four years ago,

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Speaker 2: two thousand yards, one hundred and twenty six yards per game,

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Speaker 2: five point four yards per carry, a one of the

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Speaker 2: best seasons any running backs had in the history of football.

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Speaker 2: The following year, missed half the season with injury, still though,

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Speaker 2: when he played one hundred and seventeen yards per game,

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Speaker 2: but from five point four yards per carry to four

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Speaker 2: point three yards per carry two years ago, played the

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Speaker 2: whole year ninety six yards per game, still really good,

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Speaker 2: and four point four yards per carry. Last year, played

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Speaker 2: the whole year sixty eight yards per game, four point

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Speaker 2: two yards per carry. Derrick Henry has led the NFL

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Speaker 2: in rushing attempts four of the last five years. It

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Speaker 2: is just now. Adrian Peterson was like that. And Adrian

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Speaker 2: Peterson had a fifteen hundred yard season I think at

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Speaker 2: age thirty three. So some guys are just different.

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Speaker 3: I just and he's also got the size on him.

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Speaker 3: Is that a thing that I feel like is a program.

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Speaker 3: He's a big dude, So like, I.

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Speaker 2: Mean he's I mean, he's massive, He's durable, and he's massive.

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Speaker 2: If the Ravens have still, you know, prime ish Derrick Henry,

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Speaker 2: it's obviously a massive asset. I'm skeptical of that tonight.

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Speaker 2: We'll see because the Chiefs, as great as the defense

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Speaker 2: was last year, their run defense has never been great.

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Speaker 2: Their past defense was out of this world last year.

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Speaker 2: The run defense hadn't hasn't always been great. All right,

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Speaker 2: let's go to the next game.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, So, my guys, Jordan loves looking to capitalize on

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Speaker 3: the end of that last season, and Philadelphia and Jalen

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Speaker 3: Hurts are looking to prove that that offseason didn't kill them.

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Speaker 3: Does any team need a hot start to need a

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Speaker 3: hot start to their season more than the Eagles.

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Speaker 2: So this is I mean, I think this is pretty

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Speaker 2: obvious that the Eagles have to unequivocally start the season

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Speaker 2: well or else I think Sirianni could be fired early

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Speaker 2: so the Eagles. The Eagles are in Brazil for the

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Speaker 2: Packers game. Everyone on the Eagles is complaining about going

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Speaker 2: to Brazil. They then host the Falcons. Now they get

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Speaker 2: a little extra rest, but they are you know, it's

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Speaker 2: long flight. Obviously, they absolutely could start O in two.

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Speaker 2: You start oh in two, and then you're at the Saints,

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Speaker 2: at the Bucks, host the Browns. Man, you better, you

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Speaker 2: better sweep that set. If an Eagles team that barely

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Speaker 2: lost it all two years ago last year started ten

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Speaker 2: to one and now has lost six of seven games,

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Speaker 2: you've already fired both coordinators. I happen to believe the

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Speaker 2: loss of Jason Kelsey is absolutely massive for my purposes.

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Speaker 2: There is no team that needs a hotter start in

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Speaker 2: the NFL this year than Philadelphia, and I don't like

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Speaker 2: and listen, I'm not as high on the Packers as

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Speaker 2: you are, but I am not bullish on the Eagle

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Speaker 2: in this game. That game might show up in the

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Speaker 2: gambling section of the show. So we'll wait about.

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Speaker 3: Would you put money on Siriani being the first head

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Speaker 3: coach to be fired this year?

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Speaker 2: So the problem with that is Dennis Allen exists. So

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Speaker 2: Dennis Allen and the Saints, I just the Saints. They

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Speaker 2: do get the Panthers in week one, but week two,

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Speaker 2: they're out the Cowboys. Week three, they're home for Philly.

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Speaker 2: Week four, they're at the Falcons. Week five, they're at

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Speaker 2: the Chiefs. Week six they're home for the Bucks. They

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Speaker 2: could start one and five and then you got it.

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Speaker 2: So Dennis Allen's seat is very hot, and Bobby Sala's

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Speaker 2: seat is warm adjacent. And so I don't know about

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Speaker 2: first coach fired, but it's he's He's on the very

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Speaker 2: short list in my opinion, Okay, the very short list.

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Speaker 2: And it's not so much that I think, like, like

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Speaker 2: McCarthy's on the hot seat as well, but I don't

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Speaker 2: think he's gonna get fired during the year. For Sirianni McCarthy.

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Speaker 2: It's more are you going to be brought back next

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Speaker 2: year than it is are you gonna be fired early?

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Speaker 2: But Sirianni absolutely could be fired during the season if

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Speaker 2: it starts going poorly. All right, let's go to the Cowboys.

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Speaker 2: All right?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Dallas going into the season without Dak extended, which

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Speaker 3: means that the chip on Dak's shoulder will probably be

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Speaker 3: the biggest it's ever been. So do you think we're

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Speaker 3: in for Dak's best year ever? Or does Jerry Jones

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Speaker 3: seeing something with not extending him and he is waiting

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Speaker 3: for his value to go down.

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Speaker 2: Well, his value is not gonna go down. I think

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Speaker 2: Jerry wants to see I listen, Dak, Dak is going

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Speaker 2: I've been telling you guys all off season. The offers

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Speaker 2: that Cowboys have been making Dak are offers they know

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Speaker 2: he will not accept because they are skeptical on whether

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Speaker 2: or not Dak Prescott at sixty plus million dollars a

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Speaker 2: year without superstar talent around him, can be a championship

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Speaker 2: caliber quarterback, and that if they're better off resetting the

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Speaker 2: quarterback salary scale with a rookie contract quarterback. I think

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Speaker 2: they hoped that Trey Lance was gonna show more than

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Speaker 2: he did and be able to keep and retain star

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Speaker 2: players on both sides of the ball. I do think

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Speaker 2: here is the glass half full version for the Cowboys

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Speaker 2: this year. Dak and Mike McCarthy have been elite throughout

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Speaker 2: their careers in the regular season and then tightened up

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Speaker 2: and not coached or played their best come the postseason. Again,

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Speaker 2: I'm not even saying I predict this, but this is

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Speaker 2: just a you know, maybe a different way to look

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Speaker 2: at it. Maybe the fact that they both know they're

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Speaker 2: likely going to be somewhere else next year, that they

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Speaker 2: don't have long term deals is almost freeing. And that

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Speaker 2: come the playoffs, because I think the Cowboys will be

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Speaker 2: in the playoffs. There's almost a you know what, nothing

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Speaker 2: to lose mentality because no matter what Dak does this year,

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Speaker 2: he's getting sixty five million a year next year. That's

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Speaker 2: what he's getting. I know, people have a hard time

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Speaker 2: wrapping their minds around it. Dak Prescott, if he wants

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Speaker 2: to this offseason, is going to sign a three year,

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Speaker 2: two hundred million dollar contract that's sixty seven million a year,

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Speaker 2: basically fully guaranteed. If he wants it, that'll be there,

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Speaker 2: a four year, two hundred and sixty million dollar contract,

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Speaker 2: that sixty five million a year will be there if

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Speaker 2: he wants it. And so I listen, I think I

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Speaker 2: don't blame the Cowboys for not wanting to pay down

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Speaker 2: Prescott sixty five million dollars a year. I blame them

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Speaker 2: for giving him his previous contract that gave him a

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Speaker 2: no tag and no trade clause. So they're in this

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Speaker 2: position where they might lose their franchise quarterback for no

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Speaker 2: reason whatsoever. What's your follow up here, demant say.

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Speaker 3: Do you think any Week one game has has has

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Speaker 3: the potential for a more overreaction.

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Speaker 2: I mean, this is high on the list, but so

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Speaker 2: is the next game. We're gonna talk about the fact

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Speaker 2: that this game is gonna be Tom Brady's first broadcast

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Speaker 2: all of it. Here's where I don't think people will overreact.

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Speaker 2: If the Cowboys win because their defense dominates the Browns

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Speaker 2: and Deshaun Watson, I don't think people are gonna overreact

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Speaker 2: to that. I think he's gonna be like the Browns

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Speaker 2: offense is gonna be in trouble if the Cowboys lose

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Speaker 2: and they can't run the ball, and you know the

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Speaker 2: their two rookie offensive linemen get beat up by that

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Speaker 2: Browns defensive front, then I think people will probably at

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Speaker 2: least slightly overreact. All right, let's get to the last

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Speaker 2: game before we get to the gambling show.

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Speaker 3: So there is one holdout left in the NFL, and

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Speaker 3: that is a Hassan Reddick with the Jets. Chris Jones

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Speaker 3: held out Week one last year and the Chiefs went

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Speaker 3: on to win the Super Bowl. So it can be done.

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Speaker 3: But you're very down on the Jets. Is this a

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Speaker 3: big Is this a no big deal? Or as signed

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Speaker 3: for bigger problems?

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Speaker 2: Oh? I think it's a sign of bigger problems that

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Speaker 2: the only guy who hasn't shown up is a guy

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Speaker 2: you traded for. I think it's an organizational issue, and

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Speaker 2: I think the Jets defense right now is a touch overrated.

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Speaker 2: Doesn't mean they're not good, but a touch overrated because

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Speaker 2: I don't love their edge spot. They didn't they don't

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Speaker 2: love their edge spot. Guys they drafted Will McDonald in

365
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Speaker 2: the first round a year ago. He hasn't hit yet.

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Speaker 2: We'll see. They traded for a Son Reddick because they

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Speaker 2: knew they needed to help their Hassan Reddick hasn't shown up,

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Speaker 2: and I thought it was a bad decision by Bob

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Speaker 2: Salah to not play Aaron at all in the preseason.

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Speaker 2: Now he has played four snaps of real football in

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Speaker 2: the last since January of twenty what would that be

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Speaker 2: twenty three in the last nineteen months before this season starts.

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Speaker 2: I think that's a mistake. In the last twenty one months,

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Speaker 2: I guess I think Flatley, it's a mistake. I am fading.

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Speaker 2: A lot of smart people love the Jets. Peter Schrager

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Speaker 2: has Aaron Rodgers winning League MVP. Coach Mangini as the

377
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Speaker 2: Jets in the playoffs, Brew has him winning the division.

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Speaker 2: A lot of people love the Jets. Eight wins, eight wins,

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Speaker 2: maybe a coaching change, and then Rogers a real moment

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Speaker 2: where Rogers decides if he wants to keep playing. That's

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Speaker 2: my projection for the Jets. I don't trust the health

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Speaker 2: of the offensive line. I don't trust the head coach.

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Speaker 2: I don't trust the organization. I do trust that the

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Speaker 2: offensive coordinator doesn't know what he's doing, and I don't

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Speaker 2: know that Aaron Rodgers is still good. So all put

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Speaker 2: more chips into the middle of the table. That as

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Speaker 2: you would say, Demonse, the Jets are gonna be mid

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Speaker 2: just ah, they're gonna be fun. And I don't think

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Speaker 2: I don't think Rogers is all of a sudden going

390
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Speaker 2: to revert back to thirty eight year old pre torn

391
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Speaker 2: Achilles Aaron Rodgers. I think he's more likely to look

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Speaker 2: like thirty nine year old pre torn Achilles Aaron Rodgers,

393
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Speaker 2: who wasn't good enough. They were eight and nine and

394
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Speaker 2: lost a home game at the end of the year

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Speaker 2: to Detroit. And this is a guy who turns forty

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Speaker 2: one years old in two months or three months. Good

397
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Speaker 2: luck with that. We'll see how it works out. Our

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Speaker 2: gambling show, all five of our bets and Demons's return

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00:25:58,680 --> 00:26:08,119
Speaker 2: to triumphant teasers, What's Right? Welcome back in What's Right

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00:26:08,160 --> 00:26:10,679
Speaker 2: with Nick Right, and it is now time for our

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Speaker 2: gambling show. Demon say take it away.

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Speaker 3: Yes, it's the first Thursday of football season, so you

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Speaker 3: know what time it is. It's time for the return

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Speaker 3: of the What's Right Gambling Show. Last year, the Process

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00:26:22,640 --> 00:26:25,360
Speaker 3: TM took a bit of a hit. You went forty two,

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00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:29,119
Speaker 3: forty six and two in the regular season. What changes

407
00:26:29,160 --> 00:26:31,480
Speaker 3: have you made to the Process TM this year to

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00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,680
Speaker 3: turn things around the TM. I know it's trademarkmark, but yeah,

409
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Speaker 3: I know what it means. I just wanted to add

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Speaker 3: the bit you're adding it.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, I got it. Okay, let people know it's you. Yeah, yeah,

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Speaker 2: I'm right. No, I got that. But then that's what

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Speaker 2: I thought you were doing. But I wanted to make

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Speaker 2: sure the audience understood as well. I'm not changing anything,

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Speaker 2: not changing anything to be to be clear, I'm the

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00:27:00,640 --> 00:27:05,959
Speaker 2: only actual change I'm making is the self U mandated

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00:27:06,000 --> 00:27:09,080
Speaker 2: ban on betting the Jags until did I say Halloween

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Speaker 2: that that.

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Speaker 3: They when they get back from there in an out.

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Speaker 2: Oh no, right, until they get back from me, until

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00:27:16,280 --> 00:27:19,200
Speaker 2: they go to England or they get back from England,

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00:27:19,200 --> 00:27:25,320
Speaker 2: one of the two. Uh, this process of stay aways,

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Speaker 2: be careful. The whole thing that I do, where I

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00:27:28,840 --> 00:27:32,080
Speaker 2: sort every game has served me well for years and

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Speaker 2: years and years. So I'm not going to all of

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Speaker 2: a sudden change it. Because and by the way, as

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00:27:38,800 --> 00:27:44,240
Speaker 2: you know, to to misquote jay Z a bit, for

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Speaker 2: a lot of people, you know, our down years would

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Speaker 2: be some people's career years. A lot of folks who

430
00:27:50,560 --> 00:27:54,320
Speaker 2: do this would kill for their worst year ever to

431
00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:59,320
Speaker 2: be right, basically dead at five hundred, so even in

432
00:27:59,400 --> 00:28:03,840
Speaker 2: a terror, we were once the playoffs were included right

433
00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:07,040
Speaker 2: at five hundred for the season and then just lost

434
00:28:07,080 --> 00:28:11,000
Speaker 2: the VIG. Now before we demand's a get to the

435
00:28:11,160 --> 00:28:14,679
Speaker 2: actual games. Uh, we'll go ahead and do the preseason

436
00:28:14,720 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 2: bets recap part and then then we'll do something else.

437
00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:19,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, so we're gonna take a look back at your

438
00:28:20,440 --> 00:28:23,080
Speaker 3: preseason bets in case anybody's still trying to lock in

439
00:28:23,119 --> 00:28:26,920
Speaker 3: their futures before kickoff. Were there any late.

440
00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:32,159
Speaker 2: Editions of this? No, no, you're fine, pal, there's no

441
00:28:32,280 --> 00:28:36,680
Speaker 2: late additions. I'll just run through them real quick. And again,

442
00:28:36,840 --> 00:28:39,520
Speaker 2: you can follow me on Twitter if you wanted to

443
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:42,160
Speaker 2: see it. You can also right now it's on the screen,

444
00:28:43,880 --> 00:28:48,280
Speaker 2: all of the bets with the unit size and the VIIG.

445
00:28:48,760 --> 00:28:50,600
Speaker 2: I'm not gonna so if you want to see the

446
00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 2: real VIG and all the units all of that, that's

447
00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 2: more of a reading than a listening thing. I'll just

448
00:28:58,040 --> 00:29:01,720
Speaker 2: tell you what the bets are, the win totals. I'm

449
00:29:01,840 --> 00:29:05,000
Speaker 2: on Chiefs eleven and a half, Bears eight and a half,

450
00:29:05,160 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 2: Rams eight and a half, Broncos five and a half,

451
00:29:08,600 --> 00:29:12,320
Speaker 2: the Unders I'm on Eagles ten and a half. Jets

452
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,280
Speaker 2: nine and a half, Raiders six and a half, Giant

453
00:29:15,360 --> 00:29:18,880
Speaker 2: six and a half. The division championship bets I'm on

454
00:29:19,480 --> 00:29:23,360
Speaker 2: the Bears plus three forty, the Rams plus three thirty,

455
00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:27,600
Speaker 2: the Bengals plus one sixty five, and then essentially a

456
00:29:27,640 --> 00:29:31,840
Speaker 2: combo bet of the Eagles aren't winning the NFC East.

457
00:29:32,240 --> 00:29:33,840
Speaker 2: And the way I did it was I bet the

458
00:29:33,840 --> 00:29:37,760
Speaker 2: Cowboys at plus one seventy five and Washington at plus

459
00:29:37,840 --> 00:29:42,760
Speaker 2: eleven hundred and then one division bet parlay Chiefs, Bills, Bengals,

460
00:29:43,000 --> 00:29:46,280
Speaker 2: the three best quarterbacks in the conference, the three teams

461
00:29:46,280 --> 00:29:48,400
Speaker 2: that have had the most success in the conference over

462
00:29:48,440 --> 00:29:51,400
Speaker 2: the last five years, all to win their division. That's

463
00:29:51,440 --> 00:29:56,240
Speaker 2: basically ten to one. Make miss playoff bets to miss

464
00:29:56,280 --> 00:29:59,640
Speaker 2: the playoffs the Jets at plus one forty, the Eagles

465
00:29:59,640 --> 00:30:02,880
Speaker 2: at plus us two thirty, the Dolphins at plus one thirty.

466
00:30:03,240 --> 00:30:07,480
Speaker 2: My favorite bet of the year, the Giants, Raiders, Steelers,

467
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 2: Saints all to miss the playoffs at two to one.

468
00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:15,880
Speaker 2: A little flyer bet Chiefs, Bills, Rams, Bears all to

469
00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:18,560
Speaker 2: make the playoffs at seven to one, and then a

470
00:30:18,560 --> 00:30:23,440
Speaker 2: long shot flyer Packers, Jets, Eagles all to miss at

471
00:30:23,480 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 2: seventeen to one. And then of course a Bears Chief

472
00:30:26,560 --> 00:30:29,160
Speaker 2: Super Bowl at sixty six to one and a Chief's

473
00:30:29,240 --> 00:30:32,200
Speaker 2: over Bears super Bowl at ninety five to one. Now,

474
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:35,840
Speaker 2: before we get to our picks, I want to quickly

475
00:30:35,920 --> 00:30:39,160
Speaker 2: go through the eleven games that I'm not picking and

476
00:30:39,240 --> 00:30:41,040
Speaker 2: tell you if I have a lean or a feel

477
00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:45,760
Speaker 2: on it. Okay, So Titans Bears, Bears are four and

478
00:30:45,800 --> 00:30:51,800
Speaker 2: a half point favorites. Rookie quarterback first start laying four

479
00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:55,760
Speaker 2: and a half points. Don't love it. I also am

480
00:30:55,760 --> 00:30:58,360
Speaker 2: not gonna bet Will Levis on the road, so I'm

481
00:30:58,400 --> 00:31:03,840
Speaker 2: just staying away from that one. Steelers Falcons, Falcons laying

482
00:31:03,920 --> 00:31:07,479
Speaker 2: three and a half. I like Atlanta this year. I

483
00:31:07,560 --> 00:31:10,760
Speaker 2: don't like Pittsburgh at all, but Mike tom I'm not

484
00:31:10,960 --> 00:31:15,680
Speaker 2: going to you know. I the smart bet is probably

485
00:31:15,760 --> 00:31:19,720
Speaker 2: Tomlin a little Arthur Smith revenge on his former employer.

486
00:31:20,080 --> 00:31:24,440
Speaker 2: But I really don't think Russell Wilson is a competent

487
00:31:24,520 --> 00:31:27,880
Speaker 2: quarterback at this point. If I had to bet a side,

488
00:31:27,960 --> 00:31:30,400
Speaker 2: I would have bet the Steelers just because Tomlin getting

489
00:31:30,400 --> 00:31:32,880
Speaker 2: more than a field goal. But I'm staying away from it.

490
00:31:33,400 --> 00:31:36,520
Speaker 2: I know this will shock no one, but JAG's at

491
00:31:36,560 --> 00:31:40,959
Speaker 2: Dolphins Dolphins getting three and a half. The Dolphins injury

492
00:31:41,000 --> 00:31:45,400
Speaker 2: report is already ten guys long. It looks like Jalen

493
00:31:45,520 --> 00:31:48,800
Speaker 2: Ramsey might not play. I'm getting more than a field goal.

494
00:31:49,200 --> 00:31:55,480
Speaker 2: I absolutely love Jacksonville, However, self imposed ban I'm staying.

495
00:31:57,160 --> 00:32:02,040
Speaker 2: I'm staying away from it. Uh. Texans at Cults. The

496
00:32:02,040 --> 00:32:06,040
Speaker 2: Texans laying two and a half on the road, just

497
00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:13,040
Speaker 2: road team, divisional game favored. The Anthony Richardson factor scares me.

498
00:32:13,520 --> 00:32:17,600
Speaker 2: And the fact that Vegas is begging you to bet

499
00:32:17,640 --> 00:32:20,520
Speaker 2: the Texans, They're like not, you don't even have to

500
00:32:20,560 --> 00:32:24,680
Speaker 2: lay a full three points. That is a that is

501
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:30,280
Speaker 2: a vintage stay away from me. Vikings at Giants, Vikings

502
00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:33,400
Speaker 2: laying one and a half on the road. I listen,

503
00:32:33,440 --> 00:32:36,200
Speaker 2: I'm not betting on Daniel Jones getting less than a

504
00:32:36,200 --> 00:32:39,120
Speaker 2: field goal. I'm also not laying points with Sam Darnold

505
00:32:39,160 --> 00:32:42,840
Speaker 2: on the road. I'm staying away. Panthers at Saints. The

506
00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:46,000
Speaker 2: Saints are three and a half point favorite. I just

507
00:32:46,120 --> 00:32:50,360
Speaker 2: that's this is one of my weaknesses. Panthers Saints. There

508
00:32:50,440 --> 00:32:52,800
Speaker 2: is not a single game on the schedule I am

509
00:32:52,880 --> 00:32:56,520
Speaker 2: less interested in watching, So I'm just flatly staying. I

510
00:32:56,520 --> 00:32:58,360
Speaker 2: don't want to have anything to do with that game.

511
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,760
Speaker 2: Cardinals Bills. The Bills are six and a half point favorites.

512
00:33:03,080 --> 00:33:05,920
Speaker 2: I think that line is perfect, so that's a stay

513
00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 2: away game for me entirely. I think the line is

514
00:33:08,480 --> 00:33:15,120
Speaker 2: just right. Raiders Chargers, Chargers laying three. I lean Chargers there,

515
00:33:15,840 --> 00:33:20,520
Speaker 2: but it also feels like they're just that the Herbert injury.

516
00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,240
Speaker 2: I want to see him play before I bet on him.

517
00:33:23,520 --> 00:33:26,640
Speaker 2: I'm also not betting on Gardner Minshew on the road,

518
00:33:27,000 --> 00:33:32,560
Speaker 2: so that's a stay away this Broncos at Seahawks demanse was.

519
00:33:34,400 --> 00:33:38,840
Speaker 2: I stared at it for a long time. I really

520
00:33:39,000 --> 00:33:43,040
Speaker 2: like Denver getting the points. I know that will surprise people,

521
00:33:44,280 --> 00:33:48,320
Speaker 2: but I think Sean Payton, oh I'm sorry, thank you.

522
00:33:48,400 --> 00:33:55,600
Speaker 2: Seattle's favored by five and a half. So I really

523
00:33:55,680 --> 00:33:59,520
Speaker 2: liked Denver getting five and a half to rookie head

524
00:33:59,520 --> 00:34:02,600
Speaker 2: coach and Seattle. I think again. I think Sean Payton's

525
00:34:02,640 --> 00:34:07,080
Speaker 2: gonna have the full training wheels on bo Nicks and

526
00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:11,600
Speaker 2: get a competent offense out of it. However, the Mike

527
00:34:11,760 --> 00:34:16,000
Speaker 2: McDonald factor of those exotic blitzes and what he was

528
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:19,480
Speaker 2: able to do with Baltimore, him coming over to Seattle

529
00:34:19,719 --> 00:34:22,919
Speaker 2: now as the head coach and being able to throw

530
00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,719
Speaker 2: that at bow Nicks in week one scared me. But

531
00:34:26,840 --> 00:34:30,000
Speaker 2: I did like Denver plus five and a half, and

532
00:34:30,680 --> 00:34:35,680
Speaker 2: if I were a teaser guy, Denver teasing them up

533
00:34:35,719 --> 00:34:40,080
Speaker 2: to plus eleven and a half getting it through the six, seven, eight,

534
00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:45,920
Speaker 2: and ten would be moderately attractive to me. Commanders at Bucks,

535
00:34:46,520 --> 00:34:48,440
Speaker 2: the Bucks are laying three and a half. I think

536
00:34:48,480 --> 00:34:53,040
Speaker 2: that line's exactly right. Jets at Niners, the Niners are

537
00:34:53,080 --> 00:34:56,359
Speaker 2: laying four and a half. Again, this is maybe a

538
00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,560
Speaker 2: weakness as a gambler a bit. I just do kind

539
00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:03,160
Speaker 2: of want to be able to watch this game totally

540
00:35:03,320 --> 00:35:07,040
Speaker 2: unmolested by a bet because I have so much take

541
00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:12,160
Speaker 2: equity in the if we're being honest kind of you know,

542
00:35:12,280 --> 00:35:15,600
Speaker 2: both of these teams underachieving. So I just was that

543
00:35:15,760 --> 00:35:18,240
Speaker 2: was a stay away for me. But there's my leans

544
00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:24,360
Speaker 2: on all those games that the most attractive teaser legs

545
00:35:25,200 --> 00:35:32,239
Speaker 2: for me would be the following. The Packers going from

546
00:35:32,239 --> 00:35:33,960
Speaker 2: plus two and a half to plus eight and a

547
00:35:34,000 --> 00:35:37,400
Speaker 2: half would be attractive to me. You're getting them. I

548
00:35:37,440 --> 00:35:40,480
Speaker 2: always think in terms of six point teasers. Demanse, I

549
00:35:40,520 --> 00:35:42,440
Speaker 2: know you're more of a seven point teaser guy, but

550
00:35:42,680 --> 00:35:44,680
Speaker 2: I think in terms of six point teasers, but just

551
00:35:44,920 --> 00:35:47,279
Speaker 2: for me and for the audience, So the Packers would

552
00:35:47,280 --> 00:35:52,839
Speaker 2: be an attractive teaser leg. The Bengals from minus eight

553
00:35:52,840 --> 00:35:55,440
Speaker 2: and a half down to minus two and a half

554
00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:59,720
Speaker 2: would be a very attractive teaser leg to me, getting

555
00:35:59,760 --> 00:36:03,279
Speaker 2: them against the Patriots to just have to win by

556
00:36:03,280 --> 00:36:07,280
Speaker 2: a field goal. That one, to me, Yeah, they're playing

557
00:36:07,320 --> 00:36:12,080
Speaker 2: the Patriots. That one, to me is at least semi intriguing.

558
00:36:12,640 --> 00:36:17,560
Speaker 2: I already mentioned, Uh, did I mention Denver? Denver is

559
00:36:17,600 --> 00:36:20,360
Speaker 2: a teaser leg potentially getting them up to plus eleven

560
00:36:20,400 --> 00:36:27,680
Speaker 2: and a half. Uh, And that's probably it as far

561
00:36:27,760 --> 00:36:32,120
Speaker 2: as for me, the super attractive teaser legs. And now

562
00:36:32,239 --> 00:36:36,880
Speaker 2: now before we get on, well, I'm just well, I

563
00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,480
Speaker 2: don't know who you've picked. I don't know who you've picked.

564
00:36:39,480 --> 00:36:43,680
Speaker 2: I'm just saying just gut reaction. I know that is

565
00:36:43,719 --> 00:36:48,280
Speaker 2: your game. But I do think it's interesting if I

566
00:36:48,400 --> 00:36:52,640
Speaker 2: unknowingly because I haven't seen your pick, If I just

567
00:36:52,760 --> 00:36:56,359
Speaker 2: say the legs that I think are intriguing, and then

568
00:36:56,400 --> 00:36:59,600
Speaker 2: we find out if we're on opposite sides or same

569
00:36:59,680 --> 00:37:02,319
Speaker 2: side or whatever it is. But before we do that,

570
00:37:02,840 --> 00:37:06,480
Speaker 2: my five actual picks of the week. Uh, A couple

571
00:37:06,520 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 2: of them might have been revealed a bit, and the

572
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:10,000
Speaker 2: teasers I like, but go ahead.

573
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:14,319
Speaker 3: So first off, you've got Kansas City minus three versus Baltimore.

574
00:37:15,280 --> 00:37:16,319
Speaker 3: Have seen that one coming?

575
00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, well, under injury, the Chiefs are nine

576
00:37:20,239 --> 00:37:23,439
Speaker 2: and two in season openers. Mahomes is five and one

577
00:37:23,480 --> 00:37:26,839
Speaker 2: in week one and five fifteen and four in September.

578
00:37:27,680 --> 00:37:33,200
Speaker 2: I'm not I think it is uh a little insulting

579
00:37:34,040 --> 00:37:37,120
Speaker 2: that the Chiefs are only three point favorites. This should

580
00:37:37,160 --> 00:37:39,640
Speaker 2: be three and a half. I'm not saying it should

581
00:37:39,640 --> 00:37:43,600
Speaker 2: be huge favorites. But they're at home, They're the they.

582
00:37:43,680 --> 00:37:47,319
Speaker 2: I it is a little insulting that you're telling me

583
00:37:47,440 --> 00:37:50,040
Speaker 2: you think Chiefs Baltimore on a neutral field is a

584
00:37:50,160 --> 00:37:50,640
Speaker 2: coin flip.

585
00:37:50,760 --> 00:37:53,640
Speaker 3: Vaca saw the Kansas stats.

586
00:37:54,360 --> 00:37:58,200
Speaker 2: They yeah, well maybe that's what it is. Lamar Lamar

587
00:37:58,440 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 2: as an underdog against the spread the last three seasons

588
00:38:02,320 --> 00:38:06,200
Speaker 2: is seven to zero. But I think we don't do

589
00:38:06,360 --> 00:38:11,320
Speaker 2: totals on this show. I like over forty six and

590
00:38:11,400 --> 00:38:15,040
Speaker 2: a half more than I like Kansas City minus three,

591
00:38:15,360 --> 00:38:19,680
Speaker 2: but I don't bet totals in general. Kansas City minus

592
00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:24,640
Speaker 2: three Chiefs laser show offense returns. That's my first bet

593
00:38:24,800 --> 00:38:27,040
Speaker 2: of the year, first game of the year.

594
00:38:27,280 --> 00:38:30,560
Speaker 3: Next, all right, next, you have green Bay plus two

595
00:38:30,600 --> 00:38:33,960
Speaker 3: and a half at Philly.

596
00:38:34,120 --> 00:38:37,520
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean this is I think green Bay is

597
00:38:37,520 --> 00:38:41,320
Speaker 2: gonna win the game. And I mean it says at Philly,

598
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:43,960
Speaker 2: but obviously it's a neutral site in Brazil. But I

599
00:38:44,040 --> 00:38:46,400
Speaker 2: just think green Bay is gonna win. I think Philly

600
00:38:46,440 --> 00:38:49,280
Speaker 2: has had half a dozen players complain about going to Brazil.

601
00:38:49,800 --> 00:38:53,440
Speaker 2: I don't know what. No one has explained to me adequately.

602
00:38:53,960 --> 00:38:57,080
Speaker 2: Why early in the year the defense is gonna be fixed.

603
00:38:57,600 --> 00:39:00,760
Speaker 2: Maybe late in the year when those rookie they drafted

604
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:02,560
Speaker 2: in the first and second round in the secondary get

605
00:39:02,560 --> 00:39:05,480
Speaker 2: their feet underneath them. But I don't think Quinyan Mitchell

606
00:39:05,480 --> 00:39:08,160
Speaker 2: and Cooper Degen in Week one are gonna be super

607
00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:13,520
Speaker 2: impact players. The Philly's defense was brutal all of last year.

608
00:39:13,840 --> 00:39:15,719
Speaker 2: I know they brought in Vic Fangio, but he got

609
00:39:15,840 --> 00:39:19,239
Speaker 2: run out on a rail in Miami. Green Bay, on

610
00:39:19,320 --> 00:39:22,160
Speaker 2: the other hand, has as good a vibes going into

611
00:39:22,160 --> 00:39:24,600
Speaker 2: this year as any team in the league. They have

612
00:39:24,760 --> 00:39:28,680
Speaker 2: all those receiving threats that I think really can punish

613
00:39:28,920 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 2: the Eagles Week back seven Hurts by the way ten

614
00:39:33,120 --> 00:39:35,960
Speaker 2: eighteen and one against the spread in road or neutral

615
00:39:36,000 --> 00:39:40,720
Speaker 2: site games. That's the worst of any quarterback since twenty twenty.

616
00:39:41,000 --> 00:39:43,680
Speaker 2: Hurts is also six to fourteen and one against the

617
00:39:43,719 --> 00:39:47,319
Speaker 2: spread as a favorite away from home. Matt Lafleur is

618
00:39:47,360 --> 00:39:50,520
Speaker 2: a covering machine the last five years fifty three and

619
00:39:50,600 --> 00:39:55,080
Speaker 2: thirty seven, and Philly again has lost six of their

620
00:39:55,200 --> 00:39:59,319
Speaker 2: last seven, seven straight against the spread. I know that

621
00:39:59,440 --> 00:40:02,120
Speaker 2: was last year. I like green Bay in this spot

622
00:40:02,160 --> 00:40:04,960
Speaker 2: a lot. I think Green Bay is not as good

623
00:40:05,000 --> 00:40:07,319
Speaker 2: as a lot of people think they are, But in

624
00:40:07,360 --> 00:40:10,400
Speaker 2: this spot, I believe in them, and I think Philly

625
00:40:11,080 --> 00:40:15,200
Speaker 2: is the single most overvalued team in the NFL. People

626
00:40:15,239 --> 00:40:19,600
Speaker 2: have just washed away two months of football. Two months

627
00:40:19,600 --> 00:40:23,120
Speaker 2: of football. All right, you seem to agree with me

628
00:40:23,160 --> 00:40:25,160
Speaker 2: on that one, Demonse, I appreciate.

629
00:40:24,840 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 3: You having a little bit of faith in them, But yeah,

630
00:40:27,160 --> 00:40:31,040
Speaker 3: I definitely think they'll win as well. I feel very

631
00:40:31,040 --> 00:40:33,160
Speaker 3: good about that pick. This next pick, I'm a little

632
00:40:33,880 --> 00:40:34,640
Speaker 3: a lot of points.

633
00:40:35,280 --> 00:40:37,640
Speaker 2: You're okay, all right? What's the next one?

634
00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:41,680
Speaker 3: The next one? Cincinnati minus eight and a half versus

635
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:42,600
Speaker 3: New England.

636
00:40:44,200 --> 00:40:48,000
Speaker 2: All right, here's the thing on this. To me, this

637
00:40:48,160 --> 00:40:51,840
Speaker 2: is simply a question of can the Bengals get to

638
00:40:51,960 --> 00:40:58,439
Speaker 2: twenty points? Okay, New England's not getting to thirteen. New

639
00:40:58,440 --> 00:41:01,280
Speaker 2: England is capped out in this game at ten points,

640
00:41:01,280 --> 00:41:04,560
Speaker 2: caped out. Their offensive line might be the worst in

641
00:41:04,600 --> 00:41:07,960
Speaker 2: the NFL. They're starting quarterback might be the worst in

642
00:41:08,000 --> 00:41:11,640
Speaker 2: the NFL. They have a rookie head coach. And so

643
00:41:12,680 --> 00:41:16,440
Speaker 2: it is Jacoby Verssett on the road against the Bengals

644
00:41:16,440 --> 00:41:19,040
Speaker 2: defense that needs to prove last year was an aberration.

645
00:41:20,080 --> 00:41:24,520
Speaker 2: I understand that the Bengals historically stink early in the year.

646
00:41:24,560 --> 00:41:26,920
Speaker 2: Burrow's two and six against the spread the first two

647
00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:29,640
Speaker 2: weeks of the year thirty six and fourteen. After the

648
00:41:29,719 --> 00:41:34,919
Speaker 2: first two weeks of the year, teams that are six

649
00:41:34,960 --> 00:41:40,040
Speaker 2: and a half point well hold on the I don't

650
00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:42,239
Speaker 2: know if how to read that stat so I'm gonna

651
00:41:42,239 --> 00:41:46,000
Speaker 2: throw that one out. I know what it says, but

652
00:41:46,239 --> 00:41:48,879
Speaker 2: I don't know if it's right, So just ignore it.

653
00:41:49,560 --> 00:41:54,040
Speaker 2: Burrow historically has been great against the spread. But that's

654
00:41:54,080 --> 00:41:58,080
Speaker 2: not what this is. That the fact that this is

655
00:41:58,160 --> 00:42:01,239
Speaker 2: simply that I do not think New England is going

656
00:42:01,280 --> 00:42:05,960
Speaker 2: to have a functional NFL offense, and so I think

657
00:42:06,040 --> 00:42:11,840
Speaker 2: that if Cincinnati gets to twenty they cover, And what

658
00:42:12,040 --> 00:42:15,280
Speaker 2: is the total in this game? Again, I'm not betting totals,

659
00:42:15,320 --> 00:42:18,160
Speaker 2: but it does it's forty and a half. So I

660
00:42:18,200 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 2: gotta do quick math on the fly here. So that

661
00:42:20,880 --> 00:42:25,480
Speaker 2: means Vegas thinks this game is basically twenty four to

662
00:42:25,480 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 2: sixteen is what they're telling us. And I'm telling you

663
00:42:29,440 --> 00:42:33,759
Speaker 2: New England's not getting to sixteen points. And so I

664
00:42:33,760 --> 00:42:37,000
Speaker 2: don't love laying huge numbers. I don't mind laying big

665
00:42:37,120 --> 00:42:43,000
Speaker 2: numbers here. And so Cincinnati minus eight and a half

666
00:42:43,120 --> 00:42:45,640
Speaker 2: against New England, let's go to the You said it's

667
00:42:45,680 --> 00:42:47,960
Speaker 2: a lot of points. I think New England might be

668
00:42:48,000 --> 00:42:49,799
Speaker 2: the worst team in the entire NFL this year.

669
00:42:50,840 --> 00:42:55,080
Speaker 3: All right, Yeah, that's that's fair. I was thinking of Cincinnati, no,

670
00:42:55,360 --> 00:42:57,279
Speaker 3: not being known for gidding, no, going to.

671
00:42:57,239 --> 00:43:03,400
Speaker 2: Be everyone's survivor pick. Everyone survived is gonna be Cincinnati.

672
00:43:03,719 --> 00:43:09,080
Speaker 2: I mean that's that is without a doubt. I mean

673
00:43:09,400 --> 00:43:12,000
Speaker 2: it's yeah, I mean it's just going to be everyone's pick.

674
00:43:12,000 --> 00:43:12,359
Speaker 2: All right.

675
00:43:12,360 --> 00:43:15,640
Speaker 3: Next, So next, you've got Dallas plus two and a

676
00:43:15,680 --> 00:43:17,560
Speaker 3: half at Cleveland.

677
00:43:18,560 --> 00:43:22,279
Speaker 2: Yeah. I I don't believe in the Browns this year.

678
00:43:23,760 --> 00:43:27,239
Speaker 2: Their defense last year was elite at home and this

679
00:43:27,320 --> 00:43:30,680
Speaker 2: is obviously in Cleveland, and this is you know, and

680
00:43:30,719 --> 00:43:34,000
Speaker 2: bad on the road. But defense doesn't tend to carry

681
00:43:34,000 --> 00:43:36,840
Speaker 2: over year to year as much as offense. And I

682
00:43:36,880 --> 00:43:39,880
Speaker 2: they still have offensive line injuries in Cleveland, and I

683
00:43:39,880 --> 00:43:43,160
Speaker 2: think Deshaun Watson is cooked. I think.

684
00:43:45,160 --> 00:43:48,000
Speaker 3: Game sorry that that.

685
00:43:48,360 --> 00:43:51,919
Speaker 2: Well, it's because they won. They won eleven games last

686
00:43:52,000 --> 00:43:57,560
Speaker 2: year with five different quarterbacks, you know, like that's that's why.

687
00:43:57,960 --> 00:44:00,800
Speaker 2: But I don't know that we can expect the defense

688
00:44:00,840 --> 00:44:04,400
Speaker 2: to be quite as dominant. And I don't think Cleveland's

689
00:44:04,440 --> 00:44:06,719
Speaker 2: offense is gonna be able to deal with the Dallas

690
00:44:06,760 --> 00:44:12,000
Speaker 2: defensive front Micah Parsons and Tank Lawrence. So I listen,

691
00:44:12,080 --> 00:44:16,560
Speaker 2: the Cowboys are starting two rookie offensive linemen against this

692
00:44:16,680 --> 00:44:20,279
Speaker 2: Cleveland front. That is concerning. But I think Dak and

693
00:44:20,360 --> 00:44:24,280
Speaker 2: Ceedee Lamb will be a great uh you know uh connection.

694
00:44:24,440 --> 00:44:29,239
Speaker 2: Once again, I'm getting points like yeah, I just think

695
00:44:29,280 --> 00:44:33,120
Speaker 2: I think Dallas is better than Cleveland. And I think

696
00:44:33,160 --> 00:44:36,560
Speaker 2: that even if Dallas is not as good as they

697
00:44:36,600 --> 00:44:41,160
Speaker 2: were last year, I think Deshaun Watson could just be finished,

698
00:44:42,000 --> 00:44:45,600
Speaker 2: just finished. And so Dallas plus two and a half

699
00:44:45,920 --> 00:44:48,880
Speaker 2: is one I like a lot. As I mentioned before,

700
00:44:49,000 --> 00:44:51,920
Speaker 2: I really like that as a teaser. Leg Getting Dallas

701
00:44:52,000 --> 00:44:53,560
Speaker 2: all the way up to plus eight and a half

702
00:44:53,640 --> 00:44:56,319
Speaker 2: I think is attractive. All right, last.

703
00:44:56,000 --> 00:44:59,120
Speaker 3: One, last when you got the Rams plus three and

704
00:44:59,200 --> 00:45:00,920
Speaker 3: a half at the two at Detroit.

705
00:45:02,880 --> 00:45:04,879
Speaker 2: Yeah, so I just think there's a field goal game.

706
00:45:05,080 --> 00:45:07,840
Speaker 2: I think Detroit could win this game. Don't get me wrong,

707
00:45:08,239 --> 00:45:10,640
Speaker 2: but I just think this is twenty seven, twenty four,

708
00:45:10,760 --> 00:45:13,640
Speaker 2: thirty to twenty seven, and I'm getting the half point.

709
00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:17,000
Speaker 2: I think the Rams are as good as the Lions

710
00:45:17,120 --> 00:45:21,760
Speaker 2: right now. Now you know, I'm bullish on the Rams

711
00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:25,520
Speaker 2: if they stay healthy that's obviously a huge if, and

712
00:45:25,560 --> 00:45:28,279
Speaker 2: Stafford's elbow and all that stuff. But it's Week one.

713
00:45:29,200 --> 00:45:32,400
Speaker 2: So in week one, these two teams both at full strength,

714
00:45:32,960 --> 00:45:35,680
Speaker 2: I like them. I think the Rams obviously can win

715
00:45:35,719 --> 00:45:39,000
Speaker 2: this game, and I don't think either one's blowing the

716
00:45:39,040 --> 00:45:43,520
Speaker 2: other one out. So I'm getting the extra half point. McVeigh.

717
00:45:43,760 --> 00:45:46,640
Speaker 2: The Rams are six and one straight up and against

718
00:45:46,680 --> 00:45:48,800
Speaker 2: the spread in week one they cover by an average

719
00:45:48,800 --> 00:45:52,920
Speaker 2: of nine points. Stafford, I thought played great in that

720
00:45:53,080 --> 00:45:55,879
Speaker 2: wild card game that Detroit won, but they won by

721
00:45:55,920 --> 00:46:01,000
Speaker 2: a point. Now, goff is great in openers, but a

722
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:04,239
Speaker 2: lot of that is when he was with McVeigh. And

723
00:46:04,280 --> 00:46:07,400
Speaker 2: now this is the last kind of against the spread

724
00:46:07,440 --> 00:46:09,799
Speaker 2: note for the Lions, but I think this one can

725
00:46:09,840 --> 00:46:13,080
Speaker 2: be misleading. The Lions are thirty five and sixteen against

726
00:46:13,080 --> 00:46:14,920
Speaker 2: the spread over the last three years, which is the

727
00:46:14,960 --> 00:46:19,640
Speaker 2: best in the NFL. I personally am gonna throw that

728
00:46:19,920 --> 00:46:25,520
Speaker 2: out entirely because the Lions have been so great against

729
00:46:25,520 --> 00:46:29,360
Speaker 2: the spread the last three years because they were people

730
00:46:29,400 --> 00:46:33,640
Speaker 2: did not believe in them. Yet now I think people

731
00:46:33,680 --> 00:46:36,560
Speaker 2: believe in them a little too much. They're a very

732
00:46:36,680 --> 00:46:41,399
Speaker 2: popular pick to make or win the Super Bowl. So now,

733
00:46:41,440 --> 00:46:45,120
Speaker 2: I you know, so if this I understand different teams,

734
00:46:45,400 --> 00:46:49,839
Speaker 2: but this game last year would have been in fact,

735
00:46:50,400 --> 00:46:53,680
Speaker 2: let me let me just check hold on Rams at

736
00:46:54,000 --> 00:47:01,920
Speaker 2: Lions playoff game. The I'm just trying to check what

737
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:06,279
Speaker 2: the point spread. So last year in the playoffs it

738
00:47:06,360 --> 00:47:08,040
Speaker 2: was a three and a half point line. I was

739
00:47:08,040 --> 00:47:10,319
Speaker 2: gonna say I thought it would have been three, but

740
00:47:10,400 --> 00:47:13,160
Speaker 2: it was a three and a half point line, And

741
00:47:14,080 --> 00:47:18,200
Speaker 2: so I just don't think that you're gonna get line

742
00:47:18,360 --> 00:47:21,240
Speaker 2: value with the Lions right now. Again, like I said,

743
00:47:21,400 --> 00:47:24,440
Speaker 2: I think the Rams can win, and it's a field

744
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:27,439
Speaker 2: goal game and either in either way, So that's where

745
00:47:27,480 --> 00:47:29,960
Speaker 2: I land, all right, demonse So there's the five picks.

746
00:47:30,000 --> 00:47:33,520
Speaker 2: The five picks to week one, can City minus three,

747
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,879
Speaker 2: Green Bay plus two and a half, Cincinnati minus eight

748
00:47:36,880 --> 00:47:39,239
Speaker 2: and a half, Dallas plus two and a half, and

749
00:47:39,280 --> 00:47:41,440
Speaker 2: the Rams plus three and a half. Demonsey, you know

750
00:47:41,480 --> 00:47:42,400
Speaker 2: what that looks like to me?

751
00:47:43,080 --> 00:47:43,879
Speaker 3: You're starting off five.

752
00:47:44,000 --> 00:47:48,480
Speaker 2: You know what it looks like. It looks like it's

753
00:47:48,600 --> 00:47:51,200
Speaker 2: it's it's been a long time since we got a five.

754
00:47:51,239 --> 00:47:54,520
Speaker 2: And oh but it's looking like five. And oh what

755
00:47:54,719 --> 00:47:55,920
Speaker 2: your teaser looking like?

756
00:47:57,640 --> 00:48:02,480
Speaker 3: All right, so we start doing this. Oh, that's pretty

757
00:48:02,600 --> 00:48:05,839
Speaker 3: pretty cool. I just want to I like that, come

758
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:07,919
Speaker 3: out and say it's gonna get to about week eight.

759
00:48:08,280 --> 00:48:10,279
Speaker 3: I'm gonna have not lost a teaser. I don't need

760
00:48:10,320 --> 00:48:12,879
Speaker 3: anybody hitting me up and being like, oh, Demonsy's got

761
00:48:12,880 --> 00:48:16,359
Speaker 3: some inside information with the NFL. The game's rigged. Oh

762
00:48:16,400 --> 00:48:20,000
Speaker 3: he knows too much. I'm starting off with two teams.

763
00:48:20,120 --> 00:48:21,319
Speaker 3: This is what's gonna happen. Now.

764
00:48:21,880 --> 00:48:24,520
Speaker 2: Can I just say this real quick? He? Can I

765
00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:25,560
Speaker 2: just say this real quick?

766
00:48:25,920 --> 00:48:26,120
Speaker 3: Yeah?

767
00:48:27,200 --> 00:48:31,480
Speaker 2: I will be beyond thrilled if going into week eight

768
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:36,440
Speaker 2: you're four and three that you're you're saying seven and oh,

769
00:48:37,440 --> 00:48:40,720
Speaker 2: but if we can get four and three going into

770
00:48:40,719 --> 00:48:45,680
Speaker 2: Week eight, it will I will have so much immense pride.

771
00:48:45,719 --> 00:48:49,200
Speaker 2: Anything better than four and three is out of this world.

772
00:48:49,200 --> 00:48:52,239
Speaker 2: But okay, Demante is saying seven and oh. All right, now,

773
00:48:52,280 --> 00:48:55,160
Speaker 2: go I'm not doubting you. I'm just saying where my

774
00:48:55,320 --> 00:48:58,200
Speaker 2: expectations are versus where your expectations are.

775
00:48:58,480 --> 00:49:03,200
Speaker 3: All right, what's the It's a two team seven pointer

776
00:49:03,760 --> 00:49:07,080
Speaker 3: minus one point fifty. We're teasing Green Bay from plus

777
00:49:07,120 --> 00:49:10,440
Speaker 3: two and a half to nine and a half at Philly,

778
00:49:11,200 --> 00:49:13,959
Speaker 3: and we're teasing Washington from plus three and a half

779
00:49:14,040 --> 00:49:19,360
Speaker 3: to plus ten and a half at Tampa. I wanted

780
00:49:19,360 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 3: to bet Commanders straight up money line to win that game,

781
00:49:22,680 --> 00:49:25,240
Speaker 3: so I felt very comfortable putting the money on the teaser.

782
00:49:25,280 --> 00:49:27,640
Speaker 3: I think Jaye Daniel was gonna get that offensive Rookie

783
00:49:27,680 --> 00:49:30,960
Speaker 3: of the Year. So yeah, that's that's the Week one teaser.

784
00:49:31,360 --> 00:49:33,279
Speaker 3: I didn't want to throw Kansas City. I wanted to

785
00:49:33,280 --> 00:49:37,000
Speaker 3: do something with Ravens Kansas City. But teasing Kansas City

786
00:49:37,120 --> 00:49:39,360
Speaker 3: meant teasing cross a zero or it meant teasing the

787
00:49:39,440 --> 00:49:42,120
Speaker 3: Ravens up to ten correct, And I just didn't betting

788
00:49:42,120 --> 00:49:44,360
Speaker 3: against Patrick. No, these are good numbers.

789
00:49:44,760 --> 00:49:49,799
Speaker 2: These are good numbers, don't I A rookie quarterback in

790
00:49:49,880 --> 00:49:53,320
Speaker 2: his first start on the road is a little nerve racking,

791
00:49:53,760 --> 00:49:55,560
Speaker 2: just to be honest, it's just a little nerve wracking.

792
00:49:55,600 --> 00:49:58,799
Speaker 2: But you're getting ten and a half points. I obviously

793
00:49:58,840 --> 00:50:02,440
Speaker 2: loved the Green Bay side of it. Uh. I'm gonna

794
00:50:02,440 --> 00:50:05,880
Speaker 2: give your teasing across as many key numbers as as possible.

795
00:50:06,560 --> 00:50:07,960
Speaker 2: I'm gonna give this teaser an a.

796
00:50:08,000 --> 00:50:13,680
Speaker 3: Minus because of the rookie quarterback situation on the road.

797
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:17,120
Speaker 2: But you're getting ten and a half points, and it's

798
00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:18,640
Speaker 2: Tampa's not a juggernaut.

799
00:50:19,120 --> 00:50:19,239
Speaker 3: Uh.

800
00:50:19,480 --> 00:50:23,440
Speaker 2: And I do think that there's also, even if it

801
00:50:23,600 --> 00:50:27,960
Speaker 2: is getting away from Jaden early on this, there's a

802
00:50:28,040 --> 00:50:30,560
Speaker 2: lot of back door cover potential. At the ten and

803
00:50:30,640 --> 00:50:33,320
Speaker 2: a half, you know, they're gonna let him keep throwing.

804
00:50:33,360 --> 00:50:35,920
Speaker 2: They're gonna want to get him as much experience as possible.

805
00:50:36,200 --> 00:50:40,279
Speaker 2: So even down seventeen points, you're a lot They're not

806
00:50:40,280 --> 00:50:42,759
Speaker 2: gonna be like as run the clock out. So yeah,

807
00:50:42,840 --> 00:50:44,359
Speaker 2: give it an a minus. I like it, all right.

808
00:50:44,400 --> 00:50:45,680
Speaker 2: What's the offer this week?

809
00:50:46,560 --> 00:50:49,799
Speaker 3: Uh? The offer we are calling this? Uh calling this

810
00:50:49,840 --> 00:50:54,080
Speaker 3: one that it's really happening. Parlay your best case scenario,

811
00:50:54,719 --> 00:50:57,960
Speaker 3: the Chiefs to beat the Ravens straight up, the trendy

812
00:50:58,040 --> 00:51:01,759
Speaker 3: Cardinals to upset the Bills straight up, the Jaguars have

813
00:51:01,840 --> 00:51:04,840
Speaker 3: set the Dolphins straight up, and Caleb and the Bears

814
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:06,960
Speaker 3: to cover four and a half, the biggest spread in

815
00:51:07,000 --> 00:51:10,680
Speaker 3: their favor since twenty fourteen. Oh, this is at a

816
00:51:10,680 --> 00:51:13,840
Speaker 3: plus two seven hundred and forty. How much are you

817
00:51:13,920 --> 00:51:15,600
Speaker 3: in for or are you in.

818
00:51:15,600 --> 00:51:18,120
Speaker 2: I'm gonna turn this down because I don't think the

819
00:51:18,160 --> 00:51:22,040
Speaker 2: Cardinals are beating the Bills. I also sneaky am not

820
00:51:22,160 --> 00:51:26,400
Speaker 2: really anti Bills this year because people have over corrected

821
00:51:26,560 --> 00:51:29,480
Speaker 2: on the Bills and now they're a little underrated. I

822
00:51:29,520 --> 00:51:31,360
Speaker 2: have the Bills winning the division. They're not even the

823
00:51:31,360 --> 00:51:35,920
Speaker 2: favorites to win their division. So with respect, I decline

824
00:51:35,960 --> 00:51:38,880
Speaker 2: the week one, offer quick break, right back, answer some

825
00:51:38,920 --> 00:51:48,080
Speaker 2: listener questions. Next we'll right welcome back in. We'll dry

826
00:51:48,120 --> 00:51:51,520
Speaker 2: with Nick right DeMont, Let's go through handful of listener questions.

827
00:51:51,560 --> 00:51:54,440
Speaker 3: Here, a negative four and two says who will be

828
00:51:54,480 --> 00:51:57,520
Speaker 3: missed more? Jason Kelsey or Aaron Donald.

829
00:51:58,880 --> 00:52:04,160
Speaker 2: So it's really close. I'm going to say Kelsey because

830
00:52:05,160 --> 00:52:09,760
Speaker 2: of his pre snap job of calling out the protections.

831
00:52:10,400 --> 00:52:13,600
Speaker 2: I think they were both still the best or the

832
00:52:13,640 --> 00:52:16,560
Speaker 2: second best in the world at their position when they retired,

833
00:52:17,200 --> 00:52:21,960
Speaker 2: and so they will be missed. But Eric as a

834
00:52:22,040 --> 00:52:26,520
Speaker 2: D lineman less responsibility pre snap. Kelsey did all of

835
00:52:26,600 --> 00:52:30,000
Speaker 2: the protections for Jalen pre snap because he was so

836
00:52:30,080 --> 00:52:32,839
Speaker 2: great at it. So I'm gonna say Jason Kelcey.

837
00:52:32,840 --> 00:52:36,960
Speaker 3: Next Scott Frazier. If Rogers doesn't get the Jets to

838
00:52:36,960 --> 00:52:39,399
Speaker 3: the playoffs, do they keep him? And if not, where

839
00:52:39,440 --> 00:52:41,600
Speaker 3: do you think he goes? And or does he retire?

840
00:52:42,840 --> 00:52:47,040
Speaker 2: No? I think probably retires. I think that if if

841
00:52:47,080 --> 00:52:51,360
Speaker 2: the Jets are awesome and they don't win the I

842
00:52:51,440 --> 00:52:53,840
Speaker 2: think if the Jets win the Super Bowl, he's retiring.

843
00:52:54,680 --> 00:52:57,840
Speaker 2: And I think if they're mediocre or bad, he's retiring.

844
00:52:58,239 --> 00:53:00,960
Speaker 2: The only scenario I see where he comes back is

845
00:53:01,000 --> 00:53:04,560
Speaker 2: if they're good, make the playoffs, go on a run

846
00:53:04,640 --> 00:53:06,960
Speaker 2: but come up just short, and he's like, man, next year,

847
00:53:07,000 --> 00:53:09,400
Speaker 2: we can do it. I think all the other outcomes,

848
00:53:09,400 --> 00:53:10,960
Speaker 2: he's probably retiring. Next.

849
00:53:12,120 --> 00:53:15,480
Speaker 3: Tory Spears. Is there a college football quarterback you like

850
00:53:15,520 --> 00:53:19,000
Speaker 3: as the next Kayleb Williams threatening to get on Mahomes Mountain?

851
00:53:20,719 --> 00:53:24,359
Speaker 2: Well, I'll answer that along with ask Kevin Gillen's question.

852
00:53:24,920 --> 00:53:28,520
Speaker 3: Kevin Gillan Nick score prediction for what's it?

853
00:53:29,840 --> 00:53:30,680
Speaker 2: Raska Colorado?

854
00:53:31,239 --> 00:53:34,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, versus Colorado is Miny. Mahomes gonna go off?

855
00:53:35,600 --> 00:53:38,839
Speaker 2: Dylan Ryola is the answer for the quarterback who could

856
00:53:38,880 --> 00:53:41,399
Speaker 2: show up at some point on Mahomes Mountain. Number two

857
00:53:41,480 --> 00:53:44,280
Speaker 2: recruit in the country, highest ranked recruit in the history

858
00:53:44,360 --> 00:53:48,840
Speaker 2: of Nebraska football. He trains with Patrick, he tries to

859
00:53:48,880 --> 00:53:51,719
Speaker 2: look like Patrick, he tries to play like Patrick, and

860
00:53:51,800 --> 00:53:55,480
Speaker 2: he's gonna light Deon Sanders team on fire this weekend.

861
00:53:55,760 --> 00:54:02,120
Speaker 2: So score prediction thirty four twenty one, thirty four to

862
00:54:02,160 --> 00:54:05,560
Speaker 2: twenty four, something like that, Nebraska. So yeah, I like

863
00:54:05,680 --> 00:54:10,120
Speaker 2: Riola a lot. I like him a lot. All right,

864
00:54:10,440 --> 00:54:12,440
Speaker 2: let's do these last two and then we gotta.

865
00:54:12,239 --> 00:54:16,320
Speaker 3: Go Jeffrey Petrino. Hey, Nick, do you think it's possible

866
00:54:16,320 --> 00:54:18,879
Speaker 3: that josh Allen wins MVP this year if his tight

867
00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:21,760
Speaker 3: end group is very good to great and his rookie

868
00:54:21,800 --> 00:54:23,640
Speaker 3: Rye receiver can be at least decent.

869
00:54:25,280 --> 00:54:28,960
Speaker 2: Yeah, Listen. Voters have been dying to give Josh Allen

870
00:54:29,000 --> 00:54:32,399
Speaker 2: an MVP the last few years. This year, he could

871
00:54:32,400 --> 00:54:34,680
Speaker 2: actually be set up in a position where It's like, Wow,

872
00:54:34,760 --> 00:54:37,680
Speaker 2: look at what he did without all those weapons. He's

873
00:54:37,680 --> 00:54:40,040
Speaker 2: gonna have to be an offense unto himself. So yeah,

874
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:42,840
Speaker 2: I think Josh, if they win twelve games, which I

875
00:54:42,880 --> 00:54:44,440
Speaker 2: don't think they're gonna win twelve, but I do think

876
00:54:44,480 --> 00:54:47,200
Speaker 2: they're gonna win eleven. Yeah, I think he's a very

877
00:54:47,280 --> 00:54:48,719
Speaker 2: viable MVP candidate.

878
00:54:48,800 --> 00:54:53,320
Speaker 3: All right, Next, Austin are hey, Nick. With the NFL

879
00:54:53,400 --> 00:54:55,879
Speaker 3: starting up, we're bound to have some newer listeners who

880
00:54:55,920 --> 00:54:58,840
Speaker 3: may not be familiar with the right lexicon. Would you

881
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:02,000
Speaker 3: consider taking a few explain stuff like three opinion types,

882
00:55:02,040 --> 00:55:02,439
Speaker 3: et cetera.

883
00:55:04,160 --> 00:55:07,000
Speaker 2: Well, the three opinion types is category one, category two.

884
00:55:07,040 --> 00:55:10,520
Speaker 2: In category three, category one is instantly correct, So like

885
00:55:10,600 --> 00:55:14,120
Speaker 2: if the Chiefs score thirty points and beat the Ravens

886
00:55:14,120 --> 00:55:16,799
Speaker 2: tonight to category one, take I said it was gonna happen,

887
00:55:16,800 --> 00:55:22,360
Speaker 2: and instantly happened. Category two is eventually correct. Usually people

888
00:55:22,480 --> 00:55:25,319
Speaker 2: doubt it in the you know, shortly after I say it,

889
00:55:25,600 --> 00:55:29,000
Speaker 2: and then eventually I'm proven correct. And category three is

890
00:55:29,480 --> 00:55:35,040
Speaker 2: clearly incontrovertibly wrong, whether instantly wrong or eventually wrong, flatly wrong.

891
00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:37,920
Speaker 2: A category three example would be if brock Perty ends

892
00:55:38,000 --> 00:55:43,040
Speaker 2: up in being awesome, for his whole career. That I shouldn't.

893
00:55:43,080 --> 00:55:44,680
Speaker 2: He didn't have to be awesome for his whole career,

894
00:55:44,920 --> 00:55:48,600
Speaker 2: but for years and even without the Niners, you know, avengers,

895
00:55:48,600 --> 00:55:51,640
Speaker 2: I've been striding on that, and if I were wrong,

896
00:55:51,920 --> 00:55:55,279
Speaker 2: I maybe should create almost like a glossary of the

897
00:55:55,320 --> 00:55:59,080
Speaker 2: different things we say in what the definitions are. Don't

898
00:55:59,120 --> 00:56:01,120
Speaker 2: have time to do that right now. Now, I've got

899
00:56:01,120 --> 00:56:06,359
Speaker 2: to get to the studio. Chiefs Ravens kicks off in

900
00:56:06,560 --> 00:56:12,080
Speaker 2: just under nine hours, and I truly cannot wait. Demand's

901
00:56:12,080 --> 00:56:14,560
Speaker 2: great job. Good luck to everyone on the bets. Talk

902
00:56:14,600 --> 00:56:18,440
Speaker 2: to you guys soon. What's right? Hey, thanks for watching.

903
00:56:18,480 --> 00:56:20,880
Speaker 2: If you're still here, do me a favor. Hit the

904
00:56:20,920 --> 00:56:23,440
Speaker 2: subscribe button, then hit the bell so you can be

905
00:56:23,520 --> 00:56:27,040
Speaker 2: notified when we have new episodes. After you've done that,

906
00:56:27,080 --> 00:56:29,880
Speaker 2: one more favor, go to your favorite audio platform of

907
00:56:30,000 --> 00:56:34,000
Speaker 2: choice and subscribe there as well. Don't forget. We're live

908
00:56:34,200 --> 00:56:38,480
Speaker 2: every Tuesday and Thursday ten thirty am Eastern Ish ten

909
00:56:38,560 --> 00:56:41,600
Speaker 2: thirty five, ten forty. It sometimes changes, but that's why

910
00:56:41,640 --> 00:56:44,360
Speaker 2: you hit the bell. You hit the bell so you're notified.

911
00:56:44,440 --> 00:56:48,360
Speaker 2: You subscribe so we can get to two hundred thousand followers.

912
00:56:48,360 --> 00:56:50,680
Speaker 2: We're right around one hundred and fifty thousand. We'd love

913
00:56:50,719 --> 00:56:53,400
Speaker 2: to get to two hundred thousand. Get demanday another plaque,

914
00:56:53,440 --> 00:56:56,879
Speaker 2: so like subscribe rate, send a rating to do all

915
00:56:56,880 --> 00:56:58,120
Speaker 2: that cool stuff. Thanks guys,