1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,160 Speaker 1: We had another development today out of the U S 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:06,440 Speaker 1: Commerce Department that puts the relationship, you know, more into 3 00:00:06,519 --> 00:00:08,959 Speaker 1: focus even than it was so. First of all, the 4 00:00:09,000 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: basic story was that the top US official overseeing export 5 00:00:13,320 --> 00:00:17,159 Speaker 1: controls said he expects to deal with global allies to 6 00:00:17,320 --> 00:00:21,240 Speaker 1: limit further shipments of chip production equipment to China in 7 00:00:21,280 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: the near term. But what also came out of that, 8 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:26,799 Speaker 1: and credit the South China Morning Post for splashing this 9 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 1: across the front page, that the semi conductor export curbs 10 00:00:31,440 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: would be followed by biotech and AI restrictions and and 11 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:38,960 Speaker 1: this was the comments coming from Alan Estevez, who's the 12 00:00:39,320 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: Under Secretary of Commerce for Industry and Security, and he 13 00:00:43,320 --> 00:00:46,240 Speaker 1: is that top official UH in this area at the 14 00:00:46,280 --> 00:00:49,279 Speaker 1: Commerce Department. So it does raise a lot of questions, 15 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 1: and it also raises some questions about how some of 16 00:00:52,000 --> 00:00:55,800 Speaker 1: those stocks might trade today. Companies like wush Aptech and 17 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:59,600 Speaker 1: wush Biologics UH the trade in Hong Kong that are 18 00:00:59,640 --> 00:01:02,800 Speaker 1: in that biotech sector in China. Be interesting to see 19 00:01:02,800 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 1: how they tread the Nastack, Gold and Dragon Index. By 20 00:01:05,280 --> 00:01:09,199 Speaker 1: the way, the US listed China starts down three point 21 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:13,720 Speaker 1: six in the session today, alright, nine minutes here before 22 00:01:13,720 --> 00:01:15,920 Speaker 1: the top of the hour. That's a quick snapshot of 23 00:01:16,000 --> 00:01:17,800 Speaker 1: some of the things we're looking at. The media were 24 00:01:17,840 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 1: shod to you. Okay, let's find out an Apple. It 25 00:01:20,720 --> 00:01:23,680 Speaker 1: doesn't immuneto a broader slump in tech. In fact, and 26 00:01:23,800 --> 00:01:28,319 Speaker 1: managed to avoid the share slump. But otherwise the company 27 00:01:28,360 --> 00:01:30,760 Speaker 1: did come out and post weaker than expected iPhone and 28 00:01:30,800 --> 00:01:33,919 Speaker 1: services sales, and that's despite an otherwise upbeat earnings report. 29 00:01:34,240 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 1: Mark German's Bloomberg Technology reporter, Mark, thanks are joining us. 30 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:41,600 Speaker 1: It's a I mean, we're looking at the iPhone delivering 31 00:01:41,640 --> 00:01:44,560 Speaker 1: what generating forty two point six billion dollars of revenue 32 00:01:44,560 --> 00:01:48,880 Speaker 1: in the fourth fourth quarter, and Anderson looked at forty 33 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,400 Speaker 1: two points seven that's really a very small miss ultimately, 34 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 1: but the services site perhaps was more of a concern. 35 00:01:54,520 --> 00:01:56,360 Speaker 1: But let's also not forget that the rest of the 36 00:01:56,440 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 1: report was not too bad. So the I thought miss 37 00:02:00,360 --> 00:02:03,400 Speaker 1: was about four million dollars, the services missed was about 38 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:06,400 Speaker 1: eight hundred million dollars. So we're not talking, you know, 39 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: crater of an issue here, right, But investors analysts always 40 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:15,080 Speaker 1: looking for more, right, But I think all things considered, 41 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 1: given what we've seen from Meta from Google, from Amazon 42 00:02:18,280 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 1: earlier today. This is a pretty remarkable report from Apple. 43 00:02:22,120 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: They've clearly dodged the tech route here, but they are 44 00:02:24,960 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 1: worry warning about some sort of holiday slowdown, right, So 45 00:02:28,760 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 1: the growth rate for Q four from the year ago 46 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:34,120 Speaker 1: quarter was eight percent Q one. The upcome holiday quarter 47 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:37,320 Speaker 1: there'll be less than that. They weren't clear if that 48 00:02:37,360 --> 00:02:40,920 Speaker 1: would be the client or just you know, between seven 49 00:02:40,960 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 1: percent growth, but clearly that they are preparing investors and 50 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:49,280 Speaker 1: analysts for not the best holiday quarter that they maybe 51 00:02:49,320 --> 00:02:53,640 Speaker 1: would have imagined otherwise. Very interesting to compare the governance 52 00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,919 Speaker 1: of Apple versus Meta. That's a stark difference there. And 53 00:02:58,000 --> 00:03:02,240 Speaker 1: actually Apple's um margins went up, right, So Tim Cook 54 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:06,079 Speaker 1: is managing the company and and and managing to cut 55 00:03:06,240 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 1: some costs as well. That helps the bottom line. I mean, 56 00:03:09,760 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 1: the difference between Apple and Meta at a very fundamental 57 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,119 Speaker 1: level in terms of margins right now is Meta sort 58 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: of recalibrating this entire business right there, cre organizing the 59 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 1: company around augmented in virtual reality with this Reality Labs division, 60 00:03:23,639 --> 00:03:26,120 Speaker 1: right And anytime you boot up a new company, obviously 61 00:03:26,200 --> 00:03:27,959 Speaker 1: that's going to take it's going to be very capital 62 00:03:28,400 --> 00:03:32,200 Speaker 1: capital intensive process. Whereas you know, Apple is not undergoing 63 00:03:32,280 --> 00:03:36,800 Speaker 1: some sort of big transition here. They're popping out new iPhones, iPads, Apple, watches, max, 64 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:38,800 Speaker 1: you name it, as they have been the last several years. 65 00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:40,840 Speaker 1: So that's the difference of why you see sort of 66 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:42,880 Speaker 1: the you know, the better margins on the Apple side 67 00:03:42,880 --> 00:03:47,040 Speaker 1: than the Meta side, and Mark just there looking at Apple. Okay, 68 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 1: as we got into the holiday season as it were, 69 00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,960 Speaker 1: you know, they're warning a little bit about that. Perhaps 70 00:03:53,040 --> 00:03:55,200 Speaker 1: that's already in the price to some extent, but you 71 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:57,760 Speaker 1: know what is the overall read through from these tech 72 00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 1: all these tech companies, including the likes of Google, Will, 73 00:04:00,240 --> 00:04:03,320 Speaker 1: Meta and the like. Yeah, you know, they're all bracing 74 00:04:03,400 --> 00:04:05,480 Speaker 1: for a pretty bad holiday quarter. They're all talking about 75 00:04:05,480 --> 00:04:10,280 Speaker 1: foreign exchange headwinds, specifically on the Google and Meta storefront. 76 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:15,320 Speaker 1: They're talking about digital advertising. Apples AD business remains very small, 77 00:04:15,320 --> 00:04:17,800 Speaker 1: although they're planning to expand that next year. So I 78 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: think of all the apples in the best shape, right, 79 00:04:20,040 --> 00:04:23,880 Speaker 1: I mean, I think generating nearly at expectations for the 80 00:04:23,960 --> 00:04:26,720 Speaker 1: iPhone in terms of revenue is pretty strong. You haven't 81 00:04:26,720 --> 00:04:29,719 Speaker 1: seen a big creatoring of services revenue despite no more 82 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:31,679 Speaker 1: stay at home orders, in many parts of the world, 83 00:04:32,320 --> 00:04:35,560 Speaker 1: So I think you're seeing a fundamental difference there. Mark, 84 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: I asked this question to a guest earlier, and I 85 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:39,640 Speaker 1: want to put it to you. It's a it's a 86 00:04:39,680 --> 00:04:43,559 Speaker 1: sort of broad type of questions. Detected very well after 87 00:04:44,360 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 1: COVID hit and really the economy was slammed and everything 88 00:04:48,200 --> 00:04:51,360 Speaker 1: looked dire, but these types of companies did very well, 89 00:04:51,480 --> 00:04:54,480 Speaker 1: and and it's it's not going that way this time. 90 00:04:55,240 --> 00:04:57,880 Speaker 1: What's the chief reason for that? Well, I think we're 91 00:04:57,920 --> 00:05:00,160 Speaker 1: going in the opposite direction, right, I mean of it. 92 00:05:00,720 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 1: And Amazon did extremely well because they were offering things 93 00:05:04,839 --> 00:05:08,360 Speaker 1: that you needed from stay at home situations, right shipping services, 94 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: cloud video streaming, prime music, what have you. Google people 95 00:05:13,320 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: are spending more time online on their computers. They were 96 00:05:15,279 --> 00:05:18,400 Speaker 1: using more Google services. You saw the transition to digital 97 00:05:18,480 --> 00:05:24,840 Speaker 1: infrastructure accelerate pretty significantly as well. That benefited Google. Uh, Facebook, Right, Facebook, 98 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 1: what they've done over the past two years of sort 99 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:29,840 Speaker 1: of integrate that transition of a deeper VR and a 100 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:33,840 Speaker 1: R push. And I think that investors are not really 101 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:36,280 Speaker 1: going to want to see a capital intensive reboot of 102 00:05:36,279 --> 00:05:39,480 Speaker 1: a company going into a recession. So I think it 103 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:41,840 Speaker 1: all comes down to timing. Uh, And I think what 104 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 1: Apple has proven over the last you know, three years 105 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,720 Speaker 1: or so, especially during COVID, that its products are really 106 00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:49,839 Speaker 1: indispensable and the elasticity is you know, maybe stronger than 107 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 1: people had anticipated for its devices, and I I seem 108 00:05:53,480 --> 00:05:55,880 Speaker 1: to think that will continue despite the you know, the 109 00:05:55,920 --> 00:05:59,600 Speaker 1: poor outlook economically over the next several months. Yeah, it's 110 00:05:59,600 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 1: about we've got them putting up the prices of some 111 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:05,160 Speaker 1: of the services as well. It's chief you Music and 112 00:06:05,800 --> 00:06:08,440 Speaker 1: Apple Plus. So what you've seen them do is they 113 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: raised in the US two dollars for Apple TV Plus 114 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:13,560 Speaker 1: a month, a dollar for Apple Music. You've also seen 115 00:06:13,600 --> 00:06:16,440 Speaker 1: some of the pricing of their hardware increase internationally as well. 116 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:20,400 Speaker 1: On the music side, there's things because of increased licensing costs. 117 00:06:20,520 --> 00:06:22,839 Speaker 1: On the TV plus side, because they're saying when they 118 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,040 Speaker 1: initially launched at five dollars a month, it was a 119 00:06:25,120 --> 00:06:28,599 Speaker 1: very limited availability of content. Now there's a lot more content, 120 00:06:28,720 --> 00:06:32,520 Speaker 1: which is absolutely true. And the international price likes on hardware. 121 00:06:32,560 --> 00:06:35,000 Speaker 1: That's of course because the foreign exchange had wins when 122 00:06:35,040 --> 00:06:38,640 Speaker 1: they convert the income there to the US dollar. I 123 00:06:38,760 --> 00:06:42,440 Speaker 1: heard that actually Apple provided something like a ten billion 124 00:06:42,480 --> 00:06:46,560 Speaker 1: dollar hit to Meta because of those privacy changes. Yeah, 125 00:06:46,600 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 1: there's you know, an argument to be made about that 126 00:06:48,600 --> 00:06:51,560 Speaker 1: ten billion dollar figure. Meta has argued that the that 127 00:06:51,720 --> 00:06:53,560 Speaker 1: the sales hit there have to do with the Apple 128 00:06:53,600 --> 00:06:56,240 Speaker 1: privacy changes, whereas Apple might argue that the ten billion 129 00:06:56,279 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 1: dollar hit is related to the reality Labs push, and 130 00:07:00,640 --> 00:07:03,360 Speaker 1: that ten billion dollar hit was later to be revealed 131 00:07:03,360 --> 00:07:06,320 Speaker 1: by metas the same amount that they're having been impacted 132 00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:08,320 Speaker 1: by because of Reality Labs in v R and a R. 133 00:07:08,720 --> 00:07:10,920 Speaker 1: So it really isn't expect the truth is probably somewhere 134 00:07:10,920 --> 00:07:12,720 Speaker 1: in the middle, as a typical seems to be with 135 00:07:12,760 --> 00:07:15,280 Speaker 1: these types of things. Okay, and we may see some 136 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:18,480 Speaker 1: better sales out of China coming up. Has China at 137 00:07:18,560 --> 00:07:21,960 Speaker 1: some point has to move beyond COVID, one would think anyway. Mark, 138 00:07:22,000 --> 00:07:24,480 Speaker 1: thanks for joining us, Mark German, Bloomberg Technology. We