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Speaker 1: Hey guys, how are you welcome into a Saturday morning

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Speaker 1: edition of the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Peralt.

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Speaker 1: You can follow me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt.

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Speaker 1: This podcast found wherever you get your audio podcast. YouTube

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Speaker 1: for the video, and I was being brought to you

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Speaker 1: by bet MGM. Okay, so the offer bet MGM ten

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Speaker 1: dollars to win one hundred and fifty dollars any event,

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Speaker 1: or the five dollars bet to win one hundred dollars

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Speaker 1: if you you if you bet on a side total

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Speaker 1: or a touchdown on a game today in college football,

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Speaker 1: if the score touchdown, you win one hundred dollars. Promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice one hundred or ten dollars same bet any event,

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Speaker 1: win one fifty promo code Juice one fifty. Bet MGM

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Speaker 1: new customers Juice one hundred or Juice one fifty for

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Speaker 1: the promo code for us here on a Saturday. Okay,

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Speaker 1: lots to get to from a business standpoint, and then

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Speaker 1: I'll get to picks. I don't love the card today.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you right now. I have three picks.

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Speaker 1: I've got two units in play, I have leans on

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Speaker 1: like eight games, and I just can't get myself to

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Speaker 1: get myself to bet it. So maybe I'll wake up

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Speaker 1: and I'll add But at the time of taping, I'm

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Speaker 1: just not there yet in terms of I can't like Alabama,

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Speaker 1: Missippi State. I lean missip State take the seventeen points.

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Speaker 1: Can I bet it? No Bama in the first half

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Speaker 1: laying ten? Do I want to bet it? Yeah? Can

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Speaker 1: I know? Do I? Well, I just go through it later.

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Speaker 1: It's just a bunch of picks. I can get to

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Speaker 1: it later. I'll talk about But first and foremost, a

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Speaker 1: gigantic and I mean a gigantic thank you to you,

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Speaker 1: the audience of the Daily Juice. I am blown away

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Speaker 1: and I am honored. I am humbled and incredibly thank

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Speaker 1: full for what you guys did with the fundraiser for

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Speaker 1: my sister in law's boyfriend fiance. As I said, they

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Speaker 1: don't go by those labels, but whatever you want to

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Speaker 1: call them. They live together, they bought a condo together,

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Speaker 1: they were going to start a family together. They don't

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Speaker 1: need rings and labels. It's it's twenty twenty one, okay,

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Speaker 1: and we went for twenty four hours. It's still up

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Speaker 1: by the way, and it's going to be the fundraiser

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Speaker 1: is going to be up at case you didn't listen yesterday.

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Speaker 1: My sister in law's boyfriend has a very aggressive form

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Speaker 1: of brain cancer. He's already had brain surgery to remove

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Speaker 1: the tumor. He will have two years of chemotherapy, two

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Speaker 1: years of radiation, and he has to wear a apparatus

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Speaker 1: on his head for eighteen hours a day. That apparatus

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Speaker 1: is extremely expensive, but it literally will keep him alive

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Speaker 1: and keep the cancer from coming back. That apparatus is

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Speaker 1: going to be thousands of dollars a month, and that's

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Speaker 1: why they need the money. You guys in twenty four

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Speaker 1: hours raised twenty thousand dollars at the time of taping.

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Speaker 1: That is just sure. I mean, it was also from

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Speaker 1: my family in Boston and the pushing the odds audience

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Speaker 1: also was involved with this, but the fire that was

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Speaker 1: lit on the fundraiser came from this audience. This is

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Speaker 1: what started it. When I posted it to the Discord channel,

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Speaker 1: I think we had like like eight hundred, nine hundred dollars,

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Speaker 1: like that's it. And by the time I went on

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Speaker 1: the air yesterday to be doing my radio show, we

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Speaker 1: were at like I don't know, fifteen thousand, fourteen thousand,

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Speaker 1: and that's all coming from you, guys. So when I

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Speaker 1: say thank you, I mean that from the bottom of

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Speaker 1: my heart. I really do. I am completely and totally.

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Speaker 1: I don't know your service, like I just I don't

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Speaker 1: know what else to say. It was my wife's been

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Speaker 1: on and off. It has been crying on and off

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Speaker 1: looking at the fundraiser, and my sister said, my sister,

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Speaker 1: my sister in law. My wife talked to her tonight

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Speaker 1: and she got off the phone and she goes, that's

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Speaker 1: the first time I've heard Angela sound like Angela in

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Speaker 1: a long time. She was so worried about how they

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Speaker 1: were going to pay for that apparatus every single month.

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Speaker 1: And this has taken an incredible burden off of their

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Speaker 1: family and my family, And for that, I cannot thank

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Speaker 1: you guys enough. Again, if you've not been involved with this,

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Speaker 1: and you'd like to get involved, we're trying to raise

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Speaker 1: fifty thousand dollars for Darryl, my brother in law. I

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Speaker 1: don't know what, what do you call your sister in

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Speaker 1: law's fiance, Like, what is that? I don't know. He's

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Speaker 1: in our family. The link is underneath me here on

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Speaker 1: YouTube it's going to be there for a while. The

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Speaker 1: guys at Betting Pros just go went ahead and put

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Speaker 1: it as part of the of the static links that

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Speaker 1: are underneath me here YouTube. So if you're listening on

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Speaker 1: on just the audio, you can go to YouTube Betting

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Speaker 1: Pros YouTube channel, or go to my Twitter account at

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Speaker 1: sports Talc Matt and go to the top. It's a

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Speaker 1: pin tweet and you'll see it and you can go

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Speaker 1: ahead and you can one dollar. Seriously, a dollar. I

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Speaker 1: don't care like it, don't feel like I don't have

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Speaker 1: a lot of money. I would like to donate two dollars,

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Speaker 1: three dollars. I don't the amount of money doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: Just you being willing to help out a stranger because

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Speaker 1: it's teas tied to me is really something that I'm

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Speaker 1: incredibly honored and really really thankful. So the fundraise off

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Speaker 1: to a great start. Twenty four hours we've we've raised

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Speaker 1: twenty thousand dollars for Darryl and Angela and thank you

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Speaker 1: so much. Okay, So we have two chats going today.

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Speaker 1: The Discord bet chat will happen at eight o'clock in

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Speaker 1: the morning Pacific eleven am Eastern. Okay, So join me

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Speaker 1: in the Discord channel for that where we will pick

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Speaker 1: a half unit bet we hit last week, right, I

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Speaker 1: think we're four and one. I gotta I forget so

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Speaker 1: much has happened this week. I apologize. I think we

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Speaker 1: hit that last week. I'm pretty confident we did. So

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Speaker 1: we're four one with the Discord bet casing or four

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Speaker 1: and two, maybe four and two, but anyways, it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: We'll do it again. We'll make another bet coming up

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Speaker 1: here today, and then the circum Million chat will happen

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Speaker 1: at three o'clock eastern noon Pacific time. For our Circle

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Speaker 1: million team to two and one last week, so let's

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Speaker 1: get back at it again. Both my teams went to

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Speaker 1: two and one last week, so hopefully we can rebound.

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Speaker 1: But seven to two and one in the last ten

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Speaker 1: picks is pretty good. Okay. That's if we go seven

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Speaker 1: to and one the rest of the way every two weeks,

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Speaker 1: we're gonna be doing really well. Okay. So a lot

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Speaker 1: of people will tell you that they have won the

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Speaker 1: circum Million by being at after like five or six weeks.

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Speaker 1: They've been underwater under five hundred and still come back

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Speaker 1: to win it. We get a lot of football to

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Speaker 1: go a lot of picks. So we are nowhere near

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Speaker 1: out of it, and we're nowhere near having to struggle

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Speaker 1: or you know, we'll get in rhythm here and hopefully

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Speaker 1: we'll come back with a they're big Dame, big card

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Speaker 1: in another big segment for us here. So that's where

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Speaker 1: we're going here. Last night, two and zero over for

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Speaker 1: the Red Sox hit. Unfortunately they lose Key Hernandez is

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Speaker 1: the hottest hitter on the planet. That solo shot cashes

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Speaker 1: the ticket for us, but unfortunately that was a two

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Speaker 1: run shot. Socks were to tiede it. Unfortunately it's a

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Speaker 1: solo shot five to four, the win for the Astros.

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Speaker 1: Same two teams go out again today. I may be

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Speaker 1: back involved again. I don't know yet. Okay, that may

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Speaker 1: be an ad and stay tuned on the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: I may have a baseball bet on both plays, you know,

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Speaker 1: Braves and the Dodgers and Red Sox Astros. I may

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Speaker 1: be involved on one side or the other. But I

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Speaker 1: want to see who's pitching late scratches. Like it's kind

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Speaker 1: of a funky thing that bet baseball right now in

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Speaker 1: the postseason, before the games, before the day of the game.

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Speaker 1: I want to go right up to the game to

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Speaker 1: make sure everyone's playing. No COVID concerns, everything else that

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Speaker 1: may affect a team. So no baseball plays here on

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Speaker 1: the team. But I may add a baseball play coming

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Speaker 1: up in the Discord channel later on today, so stay

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Speaker 1: tuned for that. So then we got the Syracuse plus fourteen.

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Speaker 1: They almost won the game outright. I'm not sure why

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Speaker 1: they kicked that field goal there, but okay, it doesn't matter.

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Speaker 1: They covered the fourteen. That's all I care about. So

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Speaker 1: Syracuse wins. So two half unit bets. They are the

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Speaker 1: cash o two and oh day on Friday. So let's

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Speaker 1: go into the weekend with something good, good, positive momentum

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Speaker 1: into the weekend. So here I am with two units

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Speaker 1: in play, one full unit and two bets that I

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Speaker 1: simply have to break up because I can't make up

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Speaker 1: my mind and I'm not going full unit. All right,

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Speaker 1: let's just start with Ole Miss and Tennessee. I lean

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Speaker 1: towards Tennessee minus two and a half. I also lean

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Speaker 1: towards the over eighty two and a half eighty two

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Speaker 1: and a half, Okay, but I'm not gonna do it.

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Speaker 1: Here's my theory. My theory is that in the first half,

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Speaker 1: both these teams are gonna go up and down, up

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Speaker 1: and down, up and down, and then at halftime they're

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Speaker 1: gonna make adjustments. And when they make adjustments at halftime,

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Speaker 1: I don't know if they get there, they might. I

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Speaker 1: mean it's possible Alabama and ole Miss played and there

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Speaker 1: was one hundred and sixteen points scored last year. I

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Speaker 1: think Alabama and ole Miss is a very interesting precursor

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Speaker 1: for Tennessee, given what Josh Heipel's offense looks like now

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Speaker 1: and what ole Miss's offense looks like now. In college

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Speaker 1: football right now, Tennessee in the first half has the

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Speaker 1: number four scoring offense this season. Tennessee is averaging twenty

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Speaker 1: six point two points per game. Over the last three,

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Speaker 1: they're averaging thirty two point three points per game, and

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Speaker 1: they scored thirty eight points last week in the first half.

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Speaker 1: Ole Miss is averaging twenty one point eight points per

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Speaker 1: game in the first half, twenty point three over the

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Speaker 1: last three and twenty one points last week in the

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Speaker 1: first half. Okay, the total is forty one and a

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Speaker 1: half in the first half for all miss in Tennessee.

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Speaker 1: If we're looking at an up and down game, just

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Speaker 1: a back and forth game. It's gonna happen right from

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Speaker 1: the start. And I know we need six touchdowns, Okay,

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Speaker 1: we need six touchdowns all the extra points. We need

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Speaker 1: forty two points to be scored in the first half.

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Speaker 1: If we're talking about as scoring on every possession or

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Speaker 1: Tennessee scoring on every possession, how many possessions do we

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Speaker 1: think they're gonna get in each quarter? You would think

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Speaker 1: they're gonna get three possessions in each quarter, right, I

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Speaker 1: think there's a chance that we get fifty or more

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Speaker 1: points scored in the first half. I'm not gonna play

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Speaker 1: around halftime. I'm not gonna play around with the second half.

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Speaker 1: I'm just gonna bet the over in the first half

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Speaker 1: for a half a unit all miss Tennessee over forty

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Speaker 1: one and a half for a half a unit here offense, offense,

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Speaker 1: offense in the first half. Don't play around with the game,

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Speaker 1: not gonna play around the total, not gonna play around

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Speaker 1: with the side. I just I can't make up my

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Speaker 1: mind on this game at all. Right, So that's what

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Speaker 1: we're gonna jump in on. We're gonna jump in on that.

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Speaker 1: By the way, the don't bet a parlay parlay. The

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Speaker 1: first leg hit Marshall hit. The football game is still

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Speaker 1: going on. It's ten to seven col right now, so

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Speaker 1: that probably would kill it, but I don't think one,

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Speaker 1: and I'm had a late goalie change and it really

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Speaker 1: made me angry. I told you guys not to bet

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Speaker 1: it because Gibson wasn't playing. Gibson got hurt in game one,

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Speaker 1: which was somewhat like wait what that was why I

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Speaker 1: was making the bet for Anaheim to play well. And

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Speaker 1: let's see the Ducks. They lost two to one. Okay,

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Speaker 1: that was tough loss for them, so that that killed

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Speaker 1: the parley. But I would have punted out of that

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Speaker 1: game anyway. So I'm not even counting that parlay because

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Speaker 1: I told you on the Discord channels that don't play it,

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Speaker 1: because that was really out of nowhere. Gibson came in

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Speaker 1: and it just kind of stunk. And then look, I'll

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Speaker 1: count it if I won't count it if the if

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Speaker 1: Oregon covers, Organ's up ten to seven right now, but

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Speaker 1: if they don't cover, I will count it and say, okay,

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Speaker 1: it's a loss. I don't bet them anyway, So it's

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Speaker 1: all hypothetical anyway, what we're doing here with they don't

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Speaker 1: bet at parley parlay. Okay, a couple things, and so

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Speaker 1: first bet is Ole miss Tennessee over forty one and

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Speaker 1: a half in the first half. What am I doing

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Speaker 1: with the other half unit? A right other hapfy unit

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Speaker 1: Kentucky and Georgia. Man, I'm gonna do it again, gonna

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Speaker 1: do it again. I have Kentucky at plus twenty two

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Speaker 1: and a half up against Georgia. The team total four

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Speaker 1: Kentucky is eleven and a half. Eleven and a half

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Speaker 1: for the team total for Kentucky on the road at Georgia.

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Speaker 1: Georgia's been smashing people, just smashing people. But here's the

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Speaker 1: one interesting thing about what happened against against the Auburn

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Speaker 1: Tigers last week. Okay, we were on we bet against

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Speaker 1: I was on Arkansas against Georgia lost. I was an

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Speaker 1: Auburn against Georgia lost. Now I'm coming back for a

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Speaker 1: third time, only a half a unit this time for

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Speaker 1: Kentucky against Georgia. Against the Auburn Tigers, Auburn's offense had

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Speaker 1: a bunch of drives die in the red zone or

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Speaker 1: near the red zone. In the second half, they turned

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Speaker 1: the ball over on downs from the forty yard line

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Speaker 1: of Georgia when they were down seventeen to three. They

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Speaker 1: were catching sixteen and a half points. Okay, they gotten

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Speaker 1: six points out of that long field goal. They didn't

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Speaker 1: go for it. But if they had converted on that

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Speaker 1: fourth and eight and then maybe got in the ball

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Speaker 1: in the field goal range, maybe they get a field

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Speaker 1: goal in seventeen to six. On their next possession, they

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Speaker 1: gave up a touchdown to Georgia. It was twenty four

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Speaker 1: to three, but then they scored a touchd on themselves,

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Speaker 1: making it twenty four to ten. To the down only

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Speaker 1: by fourteen points, catching sixteen and a half, then a

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Speaker 1: field goal by Georgia making it seventeen ten. Auburn then

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Speaker 1: punts the football back. That's when Georgia comes down and

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Speaker 1: scores a touchdown and it's thirty four to ten. Auburn

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Speaker 1: then punts back and uh, I'm missing one drive. Sorry,

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Speaker 1: oh the other drive before it was seventeen to three.

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Speaker 1: In the second quarter, Auburn got all the way down

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Speaker 1: to the Georgia seven, went forward on fourth and goal

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Speaker 1: and didn't get it. No, sorry, I went for it

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Speaker 1: on fourth and three and didn't get it. Turnover on

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Speaker 1: downs it was seventeen three. They score a touchdown there

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Speaker 1: at seventeen ten, So that's at least thirteen points that

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Speaker 1: Auburn left on the field against Georgia. And when you're

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Speaker 1: talking thirty four to twenty three, that's a cover, all right,

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Speaker 1: that's covering sixteen and a half points. So maybe it's

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Speaker 1: just some bad luck. Maybe we just got we were

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Speaker 1: on the right side and got some bad luck here

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Speaker 1: and that's why Auburn didn't cover that sixteen and a

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Speaker 1: half points. So now we're getting twenty two and a

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Speaker 1: half points. Okay, twenty two and a half points. Kentucky

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Speaker 1: has had some injuries on their defensive line, which I

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Speaker 1: definitely think is a concern. But I don't know. I

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Speaker 1: think this Kentucky team and I've had people on the

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Speaker 1: radio show say lay the points with Georgia, they're gonna

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Speaker 1: kill Kentucky. I've been dead wrong with this, Okay, So

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Speaker 1: you want to fade this bet, I don't blame you, okay,

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Speaker 1: But at some point, at some point, somebody's going to

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Speaker 1: give Georgia a run for their money and keep a

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Speaker 1: game really close and maybe say, well, Matt, that was

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Speaker 1: that was Clemson in Week one yeah, kind of, I

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Speaker 1: guess so. But this game is gonna come down to

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Speaker 1: the tra inches. It's gonna come down to whether or

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Speaker 1: not Kentucky can keep themselves from getting blown off the

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Speaker 1: ball like Arkansas did when they played. If they don't,

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Speaker 1: we may punt out of this bet in the first half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if it gets really ugly, this is a live bet

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Speaker 1: that I may get into, I'll post to the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: If we're watching Georgia run the ball down the thoughts

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Speaker 1: of Kentucky, I'll punt out of it. And so okay, no, no, no,

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Speaker 1: this is gonna be a twenty eight point win. I

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Speaker 1: want no part of it. But to start the game,

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Speaker 1: I am gonna put kind of like what I did

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Speaker 1: with Texas last week. I'm gonna put a marker down.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take Kentucky at plus twenty two and a

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Speaker 1: half and then look to live bet this game if

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Speaker 1: I'm wrong. Okay, So Kentucky twenty two and a half

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Speaker 1: plus twenty two and a half for a half a unit. Okay,

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Speaker 1: so half a unit on Ole Miss Tennessee over forty

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Speaker 1: one and a half. The other half unit goes to

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Speaker 1: Kentucky plus twenty two and a half. The only other

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Speaker 1: play I like, Okay that I have bet and I'm like,

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Speaker 1: I'm going over all these different games and Purdue in Iowa.

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Speaker 1: You guys know better, right, I'm not betting Iowa anymore.

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Speaker 1: I've been I would have been wrong last week, right,

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Speaker 1: I would have been dead wrong last week. So no,

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Speaker 1: not taking that Alabama Missisppi State by the way. I

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Speaker 1: would take Missispi State plus seventeen and a half. But

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Speaker 1: I'm not getting in front of Alabama, no way. Let's see,

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Speaker 1: i would take TCU plus thirteen and a half. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I'm leaning TCU plus thirteen and a half on the

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Speaker 1: road at Oklahoma freshman quarterback, you know, good defense for TCU.

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Speaker 1: Not great, but good enough to maybe confuse a freshman

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Speaker 1: starter who hasn't started a game before, first ever started

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Speaker 1: at home, if that's the way that Oklahoma goes, or

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Speaker 1: if it's Ratler coming out, maybe he's all rattled and

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Speaker 1: he throws picks and whatnot. I would take TCU plus

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Speaker 1: thirteen and a half. But then again, Oklahoma can score

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Speaker 1: sixty on anybody, so I'm very concerned total that game

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Speaker 1: is sixty three and a half. Okay, So I think

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Speaker 1: TCU can hang. No. That concerns me, so can't bet it.

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Speaker 1: I want to bet Iowa State at Kansas State, but

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Speaker 1: Kansas State's been sneaky catching six and a half points

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Speaker 1: at home. Can't do it, don't want to be involved

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Speaker 1: with it. So there's just so many gains I have

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Speaker 1: leans on that I can't bet Coastal Carolina next week.

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Speaker 1: By the way it takes on Appalachian State. Cannot wait

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Speaker 1: to bet that game. But I'm not gonna bet the

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Speaker 1: game now. I'm not betting it now the last game

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Speaker 1: of the night. I do have a one unit play

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Speaker 1: on the last game of the night. If you're a

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Speaker 1: West Coast person, you're gonna love this. If your East Coast,

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Speaker 1: you're gonna hate me. Hawaii at Nevada. Look, this is

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Speaker 1: now time for Nevada to start to put some attention

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Speaker 1: on their quarterback. If we're gonna watch Carson Strong become

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Speaker 1: a top five pick in the draft, which is very possible,

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Speaker 1: the campaign kind of starts now. Okay. Hawaii is a

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Speaker 1: very interesting team who can force turnovers like crazy. They

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Speaker 1: had six of them, six of them in their game

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Speaker 1: their last game. Now on the year, Nevada has turned

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Speaker 1: the ball over a whopping three times. Okay, they don't

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Speaker 1: turn the football over. I don't think Hawaii can keep

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Speaker 1: up here with Nevada on the road without turnovers. And

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Speaker 1: I don't think Nevada is going to turn the football over.

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Speaker 1: And I think Carson Strong's got an unbelievable deep ball.

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Speaker 1: I think he's got some really good weapons to go

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Speaker 1: vertically up and down the field here. And I don't

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Speaker 1: think we're gonna see much resistance from Hawaii. The scouts

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Speaker 1: are out against New Mexico State a week ago. He

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Speaker 1: had a three hundred and seventy seven yard six touchdown day.

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Speaker 1: So far, he's got fourteen touchdown tosses to just three interceptions.

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Speaker 1: And they've got guys coming back. Romeo Dobbs is supposed

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Speaker 1: to come back, their star wide receiver, but otherwise he

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Speaker 1: has other weapons as well. I laid the fourteen points here.

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Speaker 1: I think Nevada is gonna put one on. They got

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Speaker 1: the country to themselves. It's the West Coast country to themselves,

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Speaker 1: and I think Carson Strong gets another Mountain West Offensive

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Speaker 1: Player of the Week award. I think the Warriors are

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Speaker 1: gonna get absolutely trounced here on the road at Nevada.

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Speaker 1: I'm laying the fourteen Nevada minus fourteen against Hawaii. Last

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Speaker 1: game of the night is the only game on betting

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Speaker 1: with a full unit one unit Nevada minus fourteen against Hawaii. Okay,

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Speaker 1: So I will talk to you guys in the Discord

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Speaker 1: channel for both the Discord bet at eleven am Eastern

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Speaker 1: and the CIRCU million conversation at three pm Eastern time.

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Speaker 1: The link for the fundraiser for my sister in law's

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Speaker 1: boyfriend is underneath me here on YouTube, or go to

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Speaker 1: my Twitter account at sports Talk Matt. It's a pinned

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00:19:29,600 --> 00:19:32,160
Speaker 1: tweet right at the top on my account. You'll see

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Speaker 1: the link to get in one dollar any donations. We're

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Speaker 1: trying to raise fifty grand in twenty four hoursrate. We're

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Speaker 1: already raised twenty thousand, so we're well on our way.

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Speaker 1: So thank you so much to anybody and everyone who

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Speaker 1: donated anything to that fundraiser. Kentucky plus twenty two and

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Speaker 1: a half half a unit all miss over forty one

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Speaker 1: and a half half a unit Nevada minus fourteen and

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Speaker 1: home against Hawaii. Full unit. Baseball may be an ad.

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Speaker 1: There may be other football plays. There may be official

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Speaker 1: in game bet it's going as well, but I don't

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Speaker 1: love the slate in college football. I will talk to

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Speaker 1: you later on today in the Discord Channel min's Matt Paroltz.

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Speaker 1: Follow me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Each in

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Speaker 1: the morning, it's the Daily Juice podcast, always being brought

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Speaker 1: to you by bet MGM