Speaker 1: Hello, friends, and welcome into Betting Pros. It's time to
Speaker 1: get our props on. We're propping it and I have
Speaker 1: got Andrew Aeron propping these two up. I got Andrew Rickson,
Speaker 1: Scott Bogman Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros own as we
Speaker 1: are going to make some bets. The bets are on.
Speaker 1: If they're not with Joe Piezapia, he'll be back next week.
Speaker 1: So I am in the host chair. It's Chris Welsh.
Speaker 1: Thank you guys for hanging out with us. Ericson is
Speaker 1: there a potential ladder bet that we might talk about
Speaker 1: here in a little bit? Can we promo and tease
Speaker 1: a ladder bet?
Speaker 2: I think so, but I'm gonna be honest, We're not
Speaker 2: gonna wait that long because it's my first best bet,
Speaker 2: you know, with my my player props. So I want
Speaker 2: to get straight to the point because I'm really excited
Speaker 2: about this particular player.
Speaker 3: Table or chairs bets either, So ladders like.
Speaker 1: A TLC like a table, lighters and chair match.
Speaker 3: Well you know that.
Speaker 1: Actually I came up with this idea. Erics and I
Speaker 1: were doing the live stream on Fantasy Pros on Thursday,
Speaker 1: and I had done this a week prior where I
Speaker 1: took There was one week where I really liked a
Speaker 1: guy for a ladder bet and we also had Christian
Speaker 1: Watson in that week. Didn't work out, But I love
Speaker 1: the idea of taking the alt yards like high, like
Speaker 1: about eighty yards on a guy that usually has one
Speaker 1: around forty, taking your three favorites, and then that gets
Speaker 1: you like thirty five hundred. We should call that the
Speaker 1: TLC the tables, ladders and chairs bet instead of just
Speaker 1: the ladder bet. And it's three guys with high alt
Speaker 1: props that you think can beat their marker. You get
Speaker 1: crazy odds, just like a tables, ladders and chair match.
Speaker 1: So yes, that is officially it. We are jumping from
Speaker 1: the rafters for some of these bets. Bogs is a.
Speaker 1: Is this one of those really exciting good prop weeks.
Speaker 1: Sometimes it's really rough on books. Looks like there's some
Speaker 1: unders that are in play, there's some great reception props.
Speaker 1: There's just a lot of stuff. It feels like to bet.
Speaker 4: I feel, you know, the further we get into the season,
Speaker 4: the more we discover about these teams, more is revealed
Speaker 4: about these teams. Obviously, stuff changes too with coaches leaving
Speaker 4: getting fired, players can geting injured.
Speaker 3: So but this week, I.
Speaker 4: Haven't even looked at the defensive bets yet, and I
Speaker 4: have some for here, I have some for our show
Speaker 4: I bet this league.
Speaker 3: So I feel like there's a lot of stuff to
Speaker 3: pick from this week. I do feel like this is
Speaker 3: a pretty solid proper week. All right.
Speaker 1: Well, if you guys are as ready as we are,
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Speaker 1: always given out awesome prizes, not just picks from manys.
Speaker 1: Speaking of, let's get right to it, Andrew Rickson, you
Speaker 1: tease one of your favorite bets of the week, and
Speaker 1: we might be climbing. Bet Number one on the prop
Speaker 1: market is.
Speaker 2: What Rashid Shaheed over thirty and a half receiving yards
Speaker 2: over at Fandels Sportsbook at minus one fourteen. Look, Shaheed dominates.
Speaker 2: He dominates against zone coverage like that is where he
Speaker 2: scores the most of his fantasy points. He's the best
Speaker 2: in terms of the most efficient receiver on the Saints
Speaker 2: when they're playing zone defenses. Vikings are mostly zone coverage
Speaker 2: top ten zone rate covered rate, third team. Anelsel likes
Speaker 2: the blitz a lot. What happens when you blitz a
Speaker 2: lot get burned deep a lot of the time. So
Speaker 2: the Vikings, with their defense is deployed, they give up
Speaker 2: a lot of yards and targets to number three receivers
Speaker 2: thirteen yards per game to opposing number three receivers. We
Speaker 2: know Shaheed based on snaps and routes as the number
Speaker 2: three guy on the Saints. The Vikings are also allowing
Speaker 2: the fourth most targets to number three receivers. So yes,
Speaker 2: the matchup is perfect. I think for Shahid to just
Speaker 2: go absolutely nuclear in this matchup. We just look at
Speaker 2: trends because the betting shows so obviously we're gonna talk
Speaker 2: about trends. Last two games, Shaheed has gone off road
Speaker 2: games playing in domes after he failed to put up
Speaker 2: thirty yards the week before. That's the rint and repeat
Speaker 2: with rashi Jaheid. That's the pattern we're following here, the
Speaker 2: pattern for a ladder bet because when you look at Shahid,
Speaker 2: he either finished under thirty five receiving yards or gone
Speaker 2: over sixty three years receiving yards in his nine games played.
Speaker 2: So he's like the typical like cookie cutter boom er
Speaker 2: bus receiver that if it's not eighty yards, you.
Speaker 3: Is gonna your last? Is that what you're saying? Yes?
Speaker 2: First, yeah, first, your last, Rashik Jaheid. So when he
Speaker 2: goes over, he goes well over, and all the points
Speaker 2: suggest that it's gonna go over this week. So let's
Speaker 2: ladder bet.
Speaker 1: So the play here is the thirty and a half
Speaker 1: for everybody. But if you want to get into the
Speaker 1: ladder betty market, I happen to be looking on a
Speaker 1: DK sportsbook. You've got twenty five plus yards and minus
Speaker 1: two fifteen. They didn't give you the thirty, but then
Speaker 1: they start at forty plus at plus one thirty fifty
Speaker 1: plus yards to twenty five sixty plus is plus three
Speaker 1: point fifty seventy plus at five fifty. Remember that eighty
Speaker 1: Mark right talked about plus nine hundred nine to one.
Speaker 1: So what is your again? People should know at this point.
Speaker 1: But ladder betting is theoretically taking the lowest number the
Speaker 1: bad odds, doing like a two unit, So you would
Speaker 1: do like twenty five. If you want to do the
Speaker 1: twenty five, you do like two units on twenty five,
Speaker 1: and then at the forty maybe do one unit, fifty,
Speaker 1: do half a unit, sixty to a quarter unit. Those
Speaker 1: are versions of how people like the ladder bet it.
Speaker 1: What would be your ladder bet of choice here, mister Rickson?
Speaker 2: I think it probably just for what you just said,
Speaker 2: you know, I'll just really kind of hammer in at
Speaker 2: the lower amount and he'll get that on one catch
Speaker 2: and then everything after that is just pouring on the gravy. Man.
Speaker 2: Thanksgivings coming up, So I'm looking forward to it.
Speaker 1: All right. I love it, and we'll see if we
Speaker 1: can create the TLC. We'll do Shaheed as one of
Speaker 1: our TLC pieces here. Maybe even just drop like a
Speaker 1: the sixty plus yards because we're getting three and a
Speaker 1: half on our money here and we'll see if we
Speaker 1: can put those together. Bagman, let's go over to you
Speaker 1: your number one or number one on your prop picks
Speaker 1: for the week.
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Rashad White over three and a
Speaker 4: half receptions and he's hit this the last three weeks
Speaker 4: four seven and six. Over the last three weeks. The
Speaker 4: Bucks have been getting him more involved in the passing game.
Speaker 4: And Chris Godwin didn't look right last week. A lot
Speaker 4: didn't look right. But this is against Tennessee as well.
Speaker 4: In Tennessee's defense is you know, I don't know that
Speaker 4: they play better than they probably should because Mike Frabel's
Speaker 4: a good coach and there's a lot of rumors that
Speaker 4: maybe he's gonna be your next head coach, Erickson of
Speaker 4: your Patriots there, but we'll see what happens there. But yeah,
Speaker 4: I mean, Rashad White has been getting more involved in this.
Speaker 4: It's starting to look more like the offense we saw
Speaker 4: last year with Leonard Fournette getting all of these dump offfs.
Speaker 4: And I think Baker Mayfield is tired of scrambling and
Speaker 4: getting hit and taking some of these big shots, so
Speaker 4: he is finding more outlets underneath and Rashad White is
Speaker 4: that guy, So I think that's gonna end up happening
Speaker 4: again this week against Tennessee. So this one's it for
Speaker 4: you because I know you love this bet every single week.
Speaker 1: Wellsh yeah, I do love. I do love running back
Speaker 1: reception receiving yard props when you can get it. I
Speaker 1: love Rashad White every single week Little Juiced minus won twenty.
Speaker 1: But I'm definitely down with that one. And I tend
Speaker 1: to like to find two running backs that have, you know,
Speaker 1: perceivably solid reception yard props. Frankly, I like this, and
Speaker 1: me personally, maybe throw it with ramondre Stevenson receptions, which
Speaker 1: is at three and a half at plus money take that.
Speaker 1: Put those two together, have a little bit of fun
Speaker 1: with it, all right, Coming in at number two on
Speaker 1: your favorite props ericson where are we going?
Speaker 2: Taking an under here, because when you set expectations for
Speaker 2: players to fail, you're gonna come out and agree more
Speaker 2: often than not. So George pickens under three and a
Speaker 2: half receptions because this man does not get targeted nearly
Speaker 2: as much when Deontay Johnson is healthy and active in
Speaker 2: the lineup. Talked about this on the Fantasy show where
Speaker 2: you look at Pickens, what he's done. His fantasy finishes
Speaker 2: with DJ in the lineup by receiver fifty one by
Speaker 2: receiver nineteen barx here forty five sever one hundred and three,
Speaker 2: his seventeen percent target share with healthy Deonta Johnson, He's
Speaker 2: averaging just three point two to five catches per contest.
Speaker 2: Don't like the matchup against the Packers, tougher matchup overall
Speaker 2: seventh best first perimeter receivers the season and overall to
Speaker 2: over all wide receivers, and the way that Pickts gets
Speaker 2: targets and bogs You correct if I'm wrong, Like it's
Speaker 2: just not conducive to him catching a lot of receptions,
Speaker 2: like they're all sideline grabsery is to make highlight reel, right, Yeah,
Speaker 2: And so that is the result that he has the
Speaker 2: third worst catch rate at fifty three percent, the sixth
Speaker 2: worst catchable target rate. So it's not even just on him,
Speaker 2: like the balls are not in his radius where he
Speaker 2: can actually come down with the football. So, and he
Speaker 2: has also struggled again zone coverage for PFF sixty fifth
Speaker 2: among all receivers and fantasy points per route run versus zone.
Speaker 2: Green Bay's a top ten zone defense. So I'm just
Speaker 2: taking the under on George Pickens.
Speaker 4: And I've heard the the thing I've heard this week
Speaker 4: ericson a lot is the squeaky wheel gets the cheese right.
Speaker 3: Because he's complaining. This is not a J. Brown. I
Speaker 3: like George Pickens a lot. I think he's a very
Speaker 3: good player, but this is not a J. Brown. This
Speaker 3: is not that level of player yet.
Speaker 4: So maybe they try to make it a focus to
Speaker 4: get him the ball because he's complaining and being a
Speaker 4: big cry baby and all that stuff. But I just
Speaker 4: don't think that he is at the level where, oh, well,
Speaker 4: we have to get Georgia ball because looking him crying. No, sorry,
Speaker 4: if you're not open, or you're not going to be
Speaker 4: involved in the game plan, or you're just going to
Speaker 4: be a decoy, that's fine.
Speaker 3: You're not a J. Brown.
Speaker 2: So Tom cares about one thing and it's called winning.
Speaker 3: It doesn't matter how And Tom.
Speaker 1: Also had mentioned he said, you know, the crying was nothing.
Speaker 1: He wasn't worried about it. He wants players that want
Speaker 1: the ball. But he's also acknowledging like he's unaffected by
Speaker 1: the crying about it. He's like, great, that's fine that
Speaker 1: you're doing it. It's not going to change anything. With
Speaker 1: Tomlin about.
Speaker 3: He said, it's a great story for you guys, but
Speaker 3: we do not care. Yeah, exactly does.
Speaker 1: Yeah, he's not giving any tissues out. He doesn't care.
Speaker 1: Cry all you want. He's got some work.
Speaker 4: We want volunteers, not hostage hostages. The standard is the standard,
Speaker 4: such his life in the NFL. I just did a
Speaker 4: Mike Tomlin interview.
Speaker 1: You go, all right, Bob, you're up here your second
Speaker 1: prop of the week.
Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Javonte Williams over fifty four
Speaker 4: and a half rushing yards. It's minus one fifteen. They
Speaker 4: are on the road at Buffalo, and this is because
Speaker 4: a couple of things. We talked to Deepak about Javante
Speaker 4: and we know that he is now in the spot
Speaker 4: where he should be one hundred percent recovered from his injury,
Speaker 4: his knee injury. And the workload has gone up fifteen
Speaker 4: for eighty two two weeks ago, twenty seven for eighty five,
Speaker 4: So the massive workload has been moved up and up
Speaker 4: for him. And Buffalo is below average statistically against the run.
Speaker 4: They come in at eighteenth allowing over. I think it's
Speaker 4: one hundred and fourteen yards per game and grade twenty
Speaker 4: first against run on PFF as well, So it's not
Speaker 4: just like a you know, teams have to play catch
Speaker 4: up with them. Maybe that's a little bit part of it,
Speaker 4: but they're just not that good against the run.
Speaker 3: This year.
Speaker 4: They have more pass rushing, you know, better pass rushing
Speaker 4: options on the defensive line than run stoppers. So I
Speaker 4: think if you are the moroncos in this game, knowing
Speaker 4: your defense is weak, you try to run the ball.
Speaker 4: You try to keep Josh Allen on the sideline, try
Speaker 4: to make him panic and throw those picks because he's
Speaker 4: not holding the ball. So I think the strategy is
Speaker 4: going to be to hand the ball off to Javonte
Speaker 4: twenty times. So I think he hits this total fairly easily.
Speaker 1: If you guys have not already gone and checked it out,
Speaker 1: go and get the Betting pros app today over on
Speaker 1: iOS or really anywhere that you can download, whatever phone
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Speaker 1: We got great new features. The community section up. It's
Speaker 1: got top rated betters, betters that are on hot streaks,
Speaker 1: betters that are actual experts. You can follow It's one
Speaker 1: of my favorite things that Betting Pros allows you to do.
Speaker 1: When you bust open the app, you can then follow
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Speaker 1: And you've got prop bet hit rates. You can sort
Speaker 1: out prop bet cheat sheet by overall percentage and under
Speaker 1: percentage the last like fifteen games to be on the
Speaker 1: right side of the recent trends. There is so much
Speaker 1: that you can do with the Betting Pros app, so
Speaker 1: download it today. It is one of the best tools
Speaker 1: to get you not only in the betting market, but
Speaker 1: the prop market. Betting Pros app store, go and do
Speaker 1: it now. One of the things I would love for
Speaker 1: us to add. They've always got great features. I want
Speaker 1: to add our ladder betting on there. We need to
Speaker 1: get that feature added into the near future. So the
Speaker 1: quick break here since we don't have any more. Let
Speaker 1: me present this to you guys for a second for
Speaker 1: our TLC bet. We've already got a ladder bet of
Speaker 1: the day for Rashid Shahed going up to sixty to seventy.
Speaker 1: My TLCT bet is the tables, ladders and chairs of
Speaker 1: alt yards for players. If I present you with Rashid
Speaker 1: Shahed sixty plus receiving yards, Zay Flowers sixty plus receiving
Speaker 1: yards and dare I do this? Andrew Rickson? Christian Watson
Speaker 1: at sixty plus receiving yards only sixty plus on all them?
Speaker 1: I love Zay Flowers this week his prop is around
Speaker 1: forty three. I'm going sixty on all three. We are
Speaker 1: almost getting fifty to one. It is forty nine to
Speaker 1: one to bet those three parlayed together. Can I interest
Speaker 1: in you in a TLC match? And or Andrew Erickson?
Speaker 2: I'm in you in, come.
Speaker 4: In for that fifty I mean throw ten bucks on it,
Speaker 4: you know what I mean?
Speaker 3: Like, what are we doing?
Speaker 1: Kristian Watson, Kristin Watson, Zay Flowers, Rashid Shaheed all yard
Speaker 1: sixty plus, Bogman, You're in.
Speaker 4: Get that blood pumping absolutely, I'm in. Yeah, all right,
Speaker 4: like we said, you know, a quarter, ye and a half,
Speaker 4: you know, whatever, whatever you got, put put it on
Speaker 4: that and have a little fun.
Speaker 1: We're the Dudley Boys over here. It's Matt and Jeff Hard.
Speaker 1: We're jumping off the tables, ladders and chairs. If you
Speaker 1: guys want to have some fun with us. Rashid Shaheed,
Speaker 1: Zay Flowers, Christian Watson sixty plus almost fifty to one.
Speaker 1: Let's go. That is not though on the big bets
Speaker 1: here as far as the top five, so ericson number
Speaker 1: three on your favorite props of the week. What he got?
Speaker 2: Jalen Rager is bad at football, So I'm taking me
Speaker 2: under out his receiving yards. I can't. I was shocked
Speaker 2: they can put a receiving yards prop out for him.
Speaker 2: I was like, this is this is great. Jalen Rager
Speaker 2: under twenty one and a half receiving yards actually opened
Speaker 2: at twenty two and a half. But sharps are all
Speaker 2: over right. They're taking me under on Jalen Rager because
Speaker 2: he sucks at football, Like he's just not very good.
Speaker 2: He was a first round bus for a reason, and
Speaker 2: for some reason, the Patriots are continuing to trot him
Speaker 2: out there. As a starter in their offense because maybe
Speaker 2: they're tanking. I don't know. But even when he's been
Speaker 2: playing in the offense over the last three weeks, he's
Speaker 2: been under this number in three straight games. So I
Speaker 2: know he had six targets last week. I know he
Speaker 2: dropped a long pass that could have easily gotten him over.
Speaker 2: Jalen No, exactly, not Jalen Reager dropping a p What
Speaker 2: are you talking about. The thing that I want to
Speaker 2: point out here is when guys get targets and then
Speaker 2: don't do anything with them. The team doesn't go back
Speaker 2: to the film be like, you know what, we got
Speaker 2: to keep getting in the ball man, Like we gotta
Speaker 2: feed this guy to the ball. It's like no, They're like,
Speaker 2: we need to get this guy on the bench. So
Speaker 2: I was telling the guys before we hopped on here,
Speaker 2: like the only way I see this not hitting for
Speaker 2: us is that Jalen Rager is just like a healthy scratch.
Speaker 2: It doesn't play, which case is a push to get
Speaker 2: your money back. Yeah, yeah, So Jalen Rager. I'm gonna
Speaker 2: spend my Sunday morning watching the Patriots probably lose to
Speaker 2: the Colts, but I'm gonna be a winner. Because Jalen
Speaker 2: Rager is gonna go out put up a goose egg.
Speaker 2: I'm gonna feel great about it.
Speaker 3: What if he's just like the best player in Germany,
Speaker 3: Like how your level of anger?
Speaker 4: If he like goes to Germany and something clicks and
Speaker 4: he has one hundred and fifty receiving Yet if it leads.
Speaker 2: To Patriots victory, then I'll be okay with it.
Speaker 3: By the way, this is how I drown my sorrows here.
Speaker 1: Yes, yes, I'm gonna throw out a seven and a
Speaker 1: half to one bet for Eric's in here. All yards
Speaker 1: Rashid Shaheed sixty plus Jalen Reger under twenty one and
Speaker 1: a half. You get seven and a half to one
Speaker 1: on your money if you parlay those two together. I'm
Speaker 1: not trying to be a big advocate of parlays, by
Speaker 1: the way, because straight out of the safe.
Speaker 3: Way you only mentioned one every single bet. But yeah,
Speaker 3: that's time.
Speaker 1: I'm have some fun here and this sounds like.
Speaker 3: Their that's why we're here, right, I like that bet?
Speaker 1: All right, Bobs, what you got for number? I think
Speaker 1: we're a number three here.
Speaker 3: Yeah, let's go.
Speaker 4: I know it's a big number, but ceedee lamb over
Speaker 4: seventy seventy seventy seven and a half receiving yards against
Speaker 4: the New York Giants.
Speaker 3: That is minus one fifteen. And look for all of our.
Speaker 4: Anger that we've put towards Tony Pollard and him being
Speaker 4: ineffective coming out of the bye, they have been peppering
Speaker 4: Ceedee Lamb with targets this last three games seven for
Speaker 4: one to seventeen on seven targets, fourteen targets, twelve catches,
Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty eight yards and two touchdowns. That
Speaker 4: was off the bye, and then last week sixteen targets
Speaker 4: for eleven catches and one hundred and ninety one yards.
Speaker 4: Like Erickson just said, if it ain't broke, don't fix it, right.
Speaker 4: We want to keep getting the ball to ceed Lamb
Speaker 4: because it keeps making it work. So I mean, maybe
Speaker 4: you have to get your work done in the first
Speaker 4: half here against the Giants because they are so terrible,
Speaker 4: But I mean they're going to get it done, and
Speaker 4: Ceedee Lamb's going to be a big part of it.
Speaker 4: He gets another seven to ten targets and I think
Speaker 4: he easily hits this number. This could be a halftime
Speaker 4: number again for Ceedee Lamb. I would expect it not
Speaker 4: to be. I think third fourth quarter is probably where
Speaker 4: he gets it. But I mean I think, ceedee, Lamb is,
Speaker 4: I've hit this three weeks in a row, so I'm
Speaker 4: just gonna keep taking it till it doesn't hit.
Speaker 1: That's sometimes at the end of the year, you just
Speaker 1: got to take a look at some of the bets
Speaker 1: at work, and you may not hit every single week,
Speaker 1: but you get that sixty five seventy plus percent hit rate,
Speaker 1: you can take some of those losses on some of
Speaker 1: these just chalky bets. So that is that's probably your
Speaker 1: chalkiest of bets that you got going here. Let's go
Speaker 1: to number four on the best props of the week,
Speaker 1: Andrew Rickson. Let's hear it.
Speaker 2: Austin Eckler under fifty one and a half rushing yards.
Speaker 2: So since Eckler's come back from this ankle injury he
Speaker 2: suffered at the beginning of the season, it's been four
Speaker 2: straight unders. You know, under fifty one a half rushing
Speaker 2: yards in four straight games. The Chargers cannot run the football.
Speaker 2: In big surprise, this very ineffective rushing the ball, and
Speaker 2: the lines are not It's not the same lines run
Speaker 2: defense I've picked on for years and years and years
Speaker 2: with fantasy football, like the Lions have one of the
Speaker 2: better run defense in the NFL, playing the second fewest
Speaker 2: rushing yards per game to running backs at fifty seven
Speaker 2: point five. Only two running backs they faced all year
Speaker 2: have gotten over sixty rushing yards against them, So again
Speaker 2: it's a trend. It's four in a row and thinks
Speaker 2: give me five in a row because the Chargers can't
Speaker 2: run the football. So Austin Eckler under fifty one half
Speaker 2: rushing yards to get the set fan duel at minus
Speaker 2: one fourteen.
Speaker 1: I'm gonna have. I'm gonna give you the nickname of
Speaker 1: Andrew Ericksson.
Speaker 3: I love.
Speaker 1: Ericson baby oh.
Speaker 3: My, that is stretching.
Speaker 1: No, I think it's great. It might be stretching great,
Speaker 1: but you know what low like. I think it speaks
Speaker 1: very well to Andrew. Andrew Erickson's complete understand in your face,
Speaker 1: but your understanding of this market because we love overs
Speaker 1: and to be able to pinpoint the unders is a
Speaker 1: complete understanding of game planning and prop betting. I say
Speaker 1: it the best, most affectionate way, because you don't listen
Speaker 1: to a lot of shows where they're smacking unders for props,
Speaker 1: sides and totals. It's kind of a completely different market,
Speaker 1: but there's a very sneaky market out there for the unders.
Speaker 1: So we affectionately say we need like under we need
Speaker 1: like a sound marker too.
Speaker 4: For Andrew Ericsson, we are getting a shirt that says
Speaker 4: life is too short to bet the unders courtesy of
Speaker 4: Joe Pisap and myself. So because I say it all
Speaker 4: the time and Piz and p is like, we got
Speaker 4: to get a shirt, we do. I guess they are
Speaker 4: going to make it.
Speaker 1: So can I can? I request from betting pros and
Speaker 1: fantas bros? Can we get Andrew Erickson? I will wear
Speaker 1: it on a show. I know he's loving that. Andrew Erickson,
Speaker 1: please give me that shirt. I'm betting it, but I
Speaker 1: just hate to say it's two really good undersay Andrew
Speaker 1: has put up there? All right, Bobs, what do you
Speaker 1: got here for number four? On your favorite?
Speaker 4: Let's go Marquise Brown over fifty three and a half
Speaker 4: receiving yards against Atlanta And this one is because we
Speaker 4: got three turn of Marquise Brown of Kyler Murray. Excuse
Speaker 4: me with Marquis Brown and last season in seven games
Speaker 4: they've played together, Marquis Brown averaged seventy five point eight
Speaker 4: yards per game.
Speaker 3: And I know it's a.
Speaker 4: Different offense, of course, but this is a connection that
Speaker 4: has been going together since college at Oklahoma. So I think,
Speaker 4: you know, especially in his first game back, he's gonna
Speaker 4: be looking for familiar targets and stuff like that. So
Speaker 4: I think Marquis Brown is going to get peppered with
Speaker 4: targets in this game against Atlanta. And I think he
Speaker 4: hits this total. I mean, this is fifty three and
Speaker 4: a half. If we get the ball in his hands
Speaker 4: five times, I don't see how he doesn't hit this total.
Speaker 4: And I think he's going to have at least five
Speaker 4: catches in this game. So I think this one's pretty easy.
Speaker 1: You know, one other I just wanted to ask real
Speaker 1: quick ericson do you think there's any play I think
Speaker 1: you and I maybe slightly did this on the live
Speaker 1: stream Michael Wilson, do you think there's anything in play
Speaker 1: for Michael Wilson. It's a low number thirty six and
Speaker 1: a half this week. Is there anything that you would
Speaker 1: jump in on that? Or do you do you like
Speaker 1: that Marquis Brown?
Speaker 2: One I like the Markis Brown one that actually was
Speaker 2: on my on my sheet as well, but I saw
Speaker 2: Box had already taken it, so I don't want to
Speaker 2: have a repeat bet, so I just went with another
Speaker 2: under because you know Andre Erickson, That's what I do.
Speaker 2: Michael Wilson. Michael Wilson, I would say, I guess I
Speaker 2: just don't know what the connection is like between him
Speaker 2: and Murray would be my hesitance about it. He's been
Speaker 2: super efficient with his targets as well. I think he
Speaker 2: still has like a perfect passer rating when he's been
Speaker 2: targeted this season, so he's been super efficient. Now does
Speaker 2: that regress with a new quarterback. I actually really like
Speaker 2: Trade McBride honestly a lot more than as that other
Speaker 2: kind of secondary pass catcher in the Cardinal's office, because
Speaker 2: we saw McBride. McBride's been with the team, he's played
Speaker 2: with Kyler Murray before, whereas Michael Wilson again never seen
Speaker 2: with Murray. So that's the only reason I would be
Speaker 2: slightly hesitant on that one, and.
Speaker 1: That's where I was gonna I was gonna even bring
Speaker 1: in to McBride. It's forty and a half on the
Speaker 1: receiving yards three and a half receptions.
Speaker 2: Now the exceptions is what I like because especially against
Speaker 2: the Falcons, the Falcons defense is bleeds to tight ends.
Speaker 3: It's just juiced.
Speaker 4: Landman isn't good at covering tight ends here, What are
Speaker 4: you sayingelievable?
Speaker 1: I would again like when you get the superjuiced reception,
Speaker 1: it's minus one sixty. So that's a pretty hard bet
Speaker 1: to go with. You want to have a little bit
Speaker 1: of fun. I think that's a pretty chocky one that
Speaker 1: maybe you pair that with another reception prop that you
Speaker 1: really like. Or again, if you just want to in
Speaker 1: Andrew ericson spirit take like Jalen reagor under and pair
Speaker 1: that together with Trey McBride. Maybe receptions all right, final
Speaker 1: ones on the top five. Then we'll look at our
Speaker 1: anytime touchdowns. Andrew, what do you got for your fifth
Speaker 1: on the prop bets?
Speaker 2: Going to go with it over because we want to
Speaker 2: have some fun.
Speaker 1: I shamed you. I shamed you into it.
Speaker 3: I'm too short to bet the unders. Yeah, let's go
Speaker 3: with it over.
Speaker 2: I'm going with Jared Goff over thirty three and a
Speaker 2: half passing attempts. Look at the Chargers this season, they
Speaker 2: have become one of these pass funnel defenses. So they've
Speaker 2: really stifled against running backs, but they've been giving it
Speaker 2: up through the air. You look at the quarterbacks that
Speaker 2: they have faced the season, five of seven have gone
Speaker 2: over their passing attempts. All of them has gone over
Speaker 2: their passing yards props. So Jared Goff, he's gone over
Speaker 2: three to three attempts in three straight games, projected for
Speaker 2: thirty six pass attempts in this spot here. And I
Speaker 2: know that Bogs likes say certain lines wide receiver as well,
Speaker 2: So we've been talking about parlays. This one's just this
Speaker 2: one was made for the show. So I like Jared Goff,
Speaker 2: and I'll throw it to Box with his receiver that
Speaker 2: he likes.
Speaker 3: In his matchup, I'm honors Saint Brown.
Speaker 4: It's over six and a half receptions, it is minus
Speaker 4: one twenty five.
Speaker 3: But it's the Chargers.
Speaker 4: And we just heard Ericson lay out the argument for
Speaker 4: all those pass attempts from Shared Goff, who's catching those?
Speaker 4: Most of them are gonna be caught by Amna Saint Brown,
Speaker 4: who over the last couple of games six, twelve, and thirteen.
Speaker 2: He's been absolute. I was like looking at the game box,
Speaker 2: I was like I was reading, it was like he's
Speaker 2: gone over like eighty yards and like seventy percent of
Speaker 2: his games.
Speaker 4: Like what it's like hundred yards, one hundred yards, one
Speaker 4: hundred Well, we keep waiting for the second guy to
Speaker 4: the second wide receiver to break out. We wanted it
Speaker 4: to be Jamison Williams and that has no worked out.
Speaker 4: Reynolds has come in and disappeared. They just traded for DPJ,
Speaker 4: which makes me think that second wide receiver spot has
Speaker 4: not really been working for them. So what are we
Speaker 4: gonna do? Yeah, so we're gonna go to a minor
Speaker 4: Saint Brown. We're gonna go to Sam Laporta and Jamier Gibbs.
Speaker 4: I think, speaking of funnels, I think that is your
Speaker 4: funnel system if you're the Detroit Lions offense in this game,
Speaker 4: is throw it to our three best players. And I
Speaker 4: think that's what's gonna end up happening a lot in
Speaker 4: this game. And a manra I think this is another,
Speaker 4: you know, somewhere in the neighborhood of fourteen fifteen targets
Speaker 4: game for him, and he's easily going to hit that
Speaker 4: six and a half if he gets that number of targets.
Speaker 1: I've been waiting. These cowards will not release Jamiir Gibbs
Speaker 1: receiving yards or receptions. That's all I'm waiting for because
Speaker 1: I'm with you on what you're saying here. I love
Speaker 1: the honor of Saint Brown, but these cowards release it.
Speaker 1: Grandma's not getting out of the cage until we get
Speaker 1: Jamiir Gibb reception yard prop I'm telling you, I'm looking
Speaker 1: for that. We'll see what the number is. I love
Speaker 1: all of those. I really like those. You could maybe
Speaker 1: same game parlay both golf and a mon ross Saint
Speaker 1: Brown to get.
Speaker 2: We love the Lions.
Speaker 3: The Lions this week, Yeah, that they better not disappoint.
Speaker 1: I think go number one over on like the main slate, right,
Speaker 1: it might be on the week. I think it's near
Speaker 1: the tippy top here the total, yeah yeah on the
Speaker 1: total final up here. We got any time touchdowns ericson
Speaker 1: what's your bet on anytime touchdown?
Speaker 2: Do you get Metcalf. I talked about him on the
Speaker 2: Start Shit Show about how I just love his matchup
Speaker 2: against the Commanders this week. Allowing the second most receiving
Speaker 2: touchdowns to wide receivers, metcalf has tied for fourth in
Speaker 2: the NFL and red zone targets. He hasn't scored since
Speaker 2: Week four. Tyre Lockett's banged up, Jackson's the jig was
Speaker 2: banged up, and No, Metcal's banged up a little bit too.
Speaker 2: But he's a gamer. I think that he's gonna show
Speaker 2: up big in this spot. I think that the Seahawks
Speaker 2: role here against the Commander's defense, and I think Metcalf's
Speaker 2: gonna have a huge game. So anytime touchdown for me
Speaker 2: at plus one to forty.
Speaker 1: Five, bagman, who do you got for your anytime?
Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Taysom Hill because I like the choice.
Speaker 4: It's plus two twenty. This is against Minnesota, and outside
Speaker 4: of some of the like the big time running backs
Speaker 4: like Derrick Henry and Christian McCaffrey, maybe Jalen Hurts obviously
Speaker 4: with the touch push and all that stuff, I don't
Speaker 4: know if there's a player that's more likely to score
Speaker 4: a touchdown than Taysom Hill because they use him in
Speaker 4: all those like jet sweeps and he can catch a touchdown,
Speaker 4: and he can run one in and he can pass
Speaker 4: for one like. They use him around the goal line
Speaker 4: so much, and it's a good way to take Derek
Speaker 4: Carr off the field and know he's not gonna get
Speaker 4: smashed trying to make a play near the end zone.
Speaker 4: So I like Taysom Hill to get in the end
Speaker 4: zone once again this week, and I think there's multiple
Speaker 4: outs to it, and it's doubling up your money.
Speaker 3: So I like that one.
Speaker 1: Since you guys asked, I gonna go with Deebo Samuel,
Speaker 1: give me Deebo Samuel. Forty nine ers coming off the
Speaker 1: by I think they are going to do some Roland
Speaker 1: get back on track. How do you do that? You
Speaker 1: do that with a healthier Deebo Samuel. You end around,
Speaker 1: you throw the ball, he does some damage. I think
Speaker 1: there'll be a lot of focus on Brandon. I you
Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey is the best bet, but you get about
Speaker 1: one and a half on your money for Deebo Samuel.
Speaker 1: So that one's also a shout out to my boy
Speaker 1: d bro who loves debo.
Speaker 2: This week before we saw actually one last thing before
Speaker 2: we signed off. Okay, it's Tony Pollard gonna score a
Speaker 2: touchdown this week. It's it's minus one fifty, despite the
Speaker 2: fact that he still.
Speaker 1: Doesn't score minus one fifty.
Speaker 2: Anytime touchdowns minus one fifty for Tony Pollard?
Speaker 4: How could you bet it? That's my question is how
Speaker 4: could you possibly bet it? The juice is terrible?
Speaker 2: Oh yeah, no, it's horrible.
Speaker 1: But I mean is he gonna score?
Speaker 2: But like ultimately, like we're talking about value, but it's like,
Speaker 2: is he gonna score? Like that's what I want to know.
Speaker 1: I'll say no, I'll say yes, yes, let's go, Yes,
Speaker 1: let's go, let's go. I actually I'm not gonna lie
Speaker 1: while like we were like in the middle of the show,
Speaker 1: I went to look, I was like, what's that rushing
Speaker 1: yard prop for Tony Pollard? Just to look like sixty nine?
Speaker 2: They're gonna be I mean, if they're gonna score like
Speaker 2: forty points, like they might as well give him a touchdown.
Speaker 4: Like come on, yeah, Sneedie Lamb scores three none for
Speaker 4: Tony when.
Speaker 1: Ric O'Donnell's scores, We're gonna scream.
Speaker 2: In the shot.
Speaker 1: So it's gonna happened to yeah exactly. All right, Well,
Speaker 1: thank you guys for hanging out with us. Those are
Speaker 1: your bets. Let me give you a little recap here
Speaker 1: for everybody if you want to get on the props
Speaker 1: here going over to mister Scott Bagman. Scott Bagman has
Speaker 1: got Rashad White over receptions, Javonte Williams over rushing yards
Speaker 1: fifty four and a half, Ceedee Lamb over receiving seventy
Speaker 1: seven and a half, Marquise over receiving fifty three and
Speaker 1: a half, a Monroe Saint Brown six and a half
Speaker 1: on the receptions, and Taysom Hill anytime touchdowns. Rickson's got
Speaker 1: Rashid Shaheed over thirty and a half receiving yards, George
Speaker 1: Pickens under three and a half receptions, Jalen Riger under
Speaker 1: twenty and one and a half receiving yards, Austin Eckler
Speaker 1: under fifty one and a half rushing yards, Jared Goff
Speaker 1: thirty three and over passing attempts, and dk Metcalf anytime touchdown.
Speaker 1: And if you want to t l see it with us,
Speaker 1: you can go Rashid Shaheed sixty plus receiving yards, Ze
Speaker 1: Flowers sixty plus receiving yards and Christian Watson sixty plus
Speaker 1: receiving yards and you can get around forty nine toh
Speaker 1: one on your money. If you want to be a psychopath,
Speaker 1: you can join us and do that. Find these guys
Speaker 1: on the ex Twitter Andrew Ericsson underscore Bogman Sports. You
Speaker 1: can find me at ZiT the Welsh. Make sure you
Speaker 1: guys are subscribed to the YouTube channel your opportunity to
Speaker 1: win cool stuff and go and download the Betting Pros
Speaker 1: apps today. Go in some money. We release you now
Speaker 1: to make all the bets. Until next time it's Betting Pros.
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging with us by friends.
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