WEBVTT - The 10 Best NFL Prop Bets for Week 10: Rashid Shaheed, George Pickens, Javonte Williams & MORE! (Ep. 384) 0:00:00.880 --> 0:00:04.480 Hello, friends, and welcome into Betting Pros. It's time to 0:00:04.519 --> 0:00:07.280 get our props on. We're propping it and I have 0:00:07.400 --> 0:00:10.119 got Andrew Aeron propping these two up. I got Andrew Rickson, 0:00:10.200 --> 0:00:13.560 Scott Bogman Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros own as we 0:00:13.720 --> 0:00:16.400 are going to make some bets. The bets are on. 0:00:16.800 --> 0:00:19.279 If they're not with Joe Piezapia, he'll be back next week. 0:00:19.320 --> 0:00:21.440 So I am in the host chair. It's Chris Welsh. 0:00:21.480 --> 0:00:24.400 Thank you guys for hanging out with us. Ericson is 0:00:25.520 --> 0:00:29.200 there a potential ladder bet that we might talk about 0:00:29.240 --> 0:00:32.080 here in a little bit? Can we promo and tease 0:00:32.400 --> 0:00:33.120 a ladder bet? 0:00:33.920 --> 0:00:36.760 I think so, but I'm gonna be honest, We're not 0:00:36.760 --> 0:00:38.840 gonna wait that long because it's my first best bet, 0:00:38.960 --> 0:00:41.879 you know, with my my player props. So I want 0:00:41.920 --> 0:00:43.640 to get straight to the point because I'm really excited 0:00:43.680 --> 0:00:44.760 about this particular player. 0:00:46.000 --> 0:00:49.159 Table or chairs bets either, So ladders like. 0:00:49.080 --> 0:00:51.240 A TLC like a table, lighters and chair match. 0:00:51.280 --> 0:00:52.000 Well you know that. 0:00:52.120 --> 0:00:54.880 Actually I came up with this idea. Erics and I 0:00:54.960 --> 0:00:57.480 were doing the live stream on Fantasy Pros on Thursday, 0:00:57.840 --> 0:01:00.480 and I had done this a week prior where I 0:01:00.560 --> 0:01:02.320 took There was one week where I really liked a 0:01:02.360 --> 0:01:04.880 guy for a ladder bet and we also had Christian 0:01:04.880 --> 0:01:06.960 Watson in that week. Didn't work out, But I love 0:01:07.000 --> 0:01:10.840 the idea of taking the alt yards like high, like 0:01:10.880 --> 0:01:13.240 about eighty yards on a guy that usually has one 0:01:13.280 --> 0:01:18.000 around forty, taking your three favorites, and then that gets 0:01:18.040 --> 0:01:20.520 you like thirty five hundred. We should call that the 0:01:20.560 --> 0:01:23.440 TLC the tables, ladders and chairs bet instead of just 0:01:23.480 --> 0:01:26.559 the ladder bet. And it's three guys with high alt 0:01:26.600 --> 0:01:29.200 props that you think can beat their marker. You get 0:01:29.240 --> 0:01:32.280 crazy odds, just like a tables, ladders and chair match. 0:01:32.319 --> 0:01:35.080 So yes, that is officially it. We are jumping from 0:01:35.120 --> 0:01:38.000 the rafters for some of these bets. Bogs is a. 0:01:38.440 --> 0:01:40.559 Is this one of those really exciting good prop weeks. 0:01:40.600 --> 0:01:43.399 Sometimes it's really rough on books. Looks like there's some 0:01:43.600 --> 0:01:46.480 unders that are in play, there's some great reception props. 0:01:46.520 --> 0:01:48.720 There's just a lot of stuff. It feels like to bet. 0:01:48.920 --> 0:01:51.360 I feel, you know, the further we get into the season, 0:01:51.400 --> 0:01:54.040 the more we discover about these teams, more is revealed 0:01:54.080 --> 0:01:58.240 about these teams. Obviously, stuff changes too with coaches leaving 0:01:58.280 --> 0:02:00.680 getting fired, players can geting injured. 0:02:01.040 --> 0:02:02.520 So but this week, I. 0:02:03.720 --> 0:02:07.240 Haven't even looked at the defensive bets yet, and I 0:02:07.400 --> 0:02:09.679 have some for here, I have some for our show 0:02:09.720 --> 0:02:10.520 I bet this league. 0:02:10.840 --> 0:02:12.440 So I feel like there's a lot of stuff to 0:02:12.480 --> 0:02:14.040 pick from this week. I do feel like this is 0:02:14.040 --> 0:02:15.760 a pretty solid proper week. All right. 0:02:15.800 --> 0:02:17.920 Well, if you guys are as ready as we are, 0:02:18.040 --> 0:02:20.800 make sure you hit the subscribe button on the YouTube 0:02:20.880 --> 0:02:23.640 channel if you're watching on the YouTube, and if you 0:02:23.680 --> 0:02:26.400 do that while making a comment, you have an opportunity 0:02:26.440 --> 0:02:29.799 to win a free one year premium Betting Pro subscription. 0:02:30.440 --> 0:02:32.960 That's all you gotta do. You're sitting here hanging just 0:02:33.000 --> 0:02:36.280 hit subscribe, make a comment, make it nice, maybe make 0:02:36.320 --> 0:02:37.920 it a bet. Maybe you could throw out some bets 0:02:37.960 --> 0:02:39.920 that you want to do. We'll be announcing winners right 0:02:39.919 --> 0:02:41.359 here on this channel. To make sure you turn on 0:02:41.440 --> 0:02:44.760 notifications so you are alerted when new episodes are up 0:02:44.800 --> 0:02:47.000 and you can claim your prize. And guess what, We're 0:02:47.040 --> 0:02:51.519 always given out awesome prizes, not just picks from manys. 0:02:51.720 --> 0:02:54.840 Speaking of, let's get right to it, Andrew Rickson, you 0:02:55.000 --> 0:02:57.639 tease one of your favorite bets of the week, and 0:02:57.800 --> 0:03:02.919 we might be climbing. Bet Number one on the prop 0:03:02.960 --> 0:03:03.440 market is. 0:03:03.440 --> 0:03:07.680 What Rashid Shaheed over thirty and a half receiving yards 0:03:07.720 --> 0:03:12.320 over at Fandels Sportsbook at minus one fourteen. Look, Shaheed dominates. 0:03:12.680 --> 0:03:15.240 He dominates against zone coverage like that is where he 0:03:15.280 --> 0:03:17.359 scores the most of his fantasy points. He's the best 0:03:17.480 --> 0:03:19.600 in terms of the most efficient receiver on the Saints 0:03:19.760 --> 0:03:23.480 when they're playing zone defenses. Vikings are mostly zone coverage 0:03:23.480 --> 0:03:25.639 top ten zone rate covered rate, third team. Anelsel likes 0:03:25.639 --> 0:03:27.440 the blitz a lot. What happens when you blitz a 0:03:27.480 --> 0:03:30.160 lot get burned deep a lot of the time. So 0:03:30.639 --> 0:03:33.400 the Vikings, with their defense is deployed, they give up 0:03:33.440 --> 0:03:36.560 a lot of yards and targets to number three receivers 0:03:37.000 --> 0:03:39.520 thirteen yards per game to opposing number three receivers. We 0:03:39.560 --> 0:03:41.840 know Shaheed based on snaps and routes as the number 0:03:41.840 --> 0:03:44.560 three guy on the Saints. The Vikings are also allowing 0:03:44.560 --> 0:03:47.800 the fourth most targets to number three receivers. So yes, 0:03:48.120 --> 0:03:49.920 the matchup is perfect. I think for Shahid to just 0:03:49.960 --> 0:03:52.120 go absolutely nuclear in this matchup. We just look at 0:03:52.320 --> 0:03:54.440 trends because the betting shows so obviously we're gonna talk 0:03:54.440 --> 0:03:57.680 about trends. Last two games, Shaheed has gone off road 0:03:57.720 --> 0:04:01.560 games playing in domes after he failed to put up 0:04:01.600 --> 0:04:05.280 thirty yards the week before. That's the rint and repeat 0:04:05.320 --> 0:04:08.160 with rashi Jaheid. That's the pattern we're following here, the 0:04:08.240 --> 0:04:10.920 pattern for a ladder bet because when you look at Shahid, 0:04:11.160 --> 0:04:14.240 he either finished under thirty five receiving yards or gone 0:04:14.320 --> 0:04:17.240 over sixty three years receiving yards in his nine games played. 0:04:17.240 --> 0:04:19.600 So he's like the typical like cookie cutter boom er 0:04:19.640 --> 0:04:23.080 bus receiver that if it's not eighty yards, you. 0:04:23.080 --> 0:04:25.440 Is gonna your last? Is that what you're saying? Yes? 0:04:25.720 --> 0:04:28.240 First, yeah, first, your last, Rashik Jaheid. So when he 0:04:28.279 --> 0:04:30.760 goes over, he goes well over, and all the points 0:04:30.839 --> 0:04:33.279 suggest that it's gonna go over this week. So let's 0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:33.839 ladder bet. 0:04:34.320 --> 0:04:37.200 So the play here is the thirty and a half 0:04:37.200 --> 0:04:38.840 for everybody. But if you want to get into the 0:04:38.920 --> 0:04:41.000 ladder betty market, I happen to be looking on a 0:04:41.120 --> 0:04:45.720 DK sportsbook. You've got twenty five plus yards and minus 0:04:45.760 --> 0:04:48.920 two fifteen. They didn't give you the thirty, but then 0:04:48.960 --> 0:04:52.279 they start at forty plus at plus one thirty fifty 0:04:52.279 --> 0:04:55.480 plus yards to twenty five sixty plus is plus three 0:04:55.480 --> 0:04:58.640 point fifty seventy plus at five fifty. Remember that eighty 0:04:58.680 --> 0:05:02.719 Mark right talked about plus nine hundred nine to one. 0:05:02.960 --> 0:05:06.120 So what is your again? People should know at this point. 0:05:06.160 --> 0:05:11.040 But ladder betting is theoretically taking the lowest number the 0:05:11.040 --> 0:05:13.440 bad odds, doing like a two unit, So you would 0:05:13.440 --> 0:05:14.839 do like twenty five. If you want to do the 0:05:14.880 --> 0:05:17.440 twenty five, you do like two units on twenty five, 0:05:17.760 --> 0:05:20.560 and then at the forty maybe do one unit, fifty, 0:05:20.640 --> 0:05:23.760 do half a unit, sixty to a quarter unit. Those 0:05:23.800 --> 0:05:25.760 are versions of how people like the ladder bet it. 0:05:26.160 --> 0:05:30.040 What would be your ladder bet of choice here, mister Rickson? 0:05:30.800 --> 0:05:32.440 I think it probably just for what you just said, 0:05:32.520 --> 0:05:34.360 you know, I'll just really kind of hammer in at 0:05:34.400 --> 0:05:36.880 the lower amount and he'll get that on one catch 0:05:37.120 --> 0:05:40.320 and then everything after that is just pouring on the gravy. Man. 0:05:40.360 --> 0:05:42.679 Thanksgivings coming up, So I'm looking forward to it. 0:05:43.600 --> 0:05:45.320 All right. I love it, and we'll see if we 0:05:45.360 --> 0:05:48.400 can create the TLC. We'll do Shaheed as one of 0:05:48.400 --> 0:05:52.200 our TLC pieces here. Maybe even just drop like a 0:05:52.640 --> 0:05:54.760 the sixty plus yards because we're getting three and a 0:05:54.800 --> 0:05:56.880 half on our money here and we'll see if we 0:05:56.920 --> 0:05:59.040 can put those together. Bagman, let's go over to you 0:05:59.040 --> 0:06:01.839 your number one or number one on your prop picks 0:06:01.839 --> 0:06:02.320 for the week. 0:06:02.880 --> 0:06:05.400 I'm gonna go with Rashad White over three and a 0:06:05.440 --> 0:06:09.159 half receptions and he's hit this the last three weeks 0:06:09.200 --> 0:06:12.120 four seven and six. Over the last three weeks. The 0:06:12.960 --> 0:06:15.840 Bucks have been getting him more involved in the passing game. 0:06:16.080 --> 0:06:20.080 And Chris Godwin didn't look right last week. A lot 0:06:20.120 --> 0:06:22.520 didn't look right. But this is against Tennessee as well. 0:06:22.560 --> 0:06:26.400 In Tennessee's defense is you know, I don't know that 0:06:26.440 --> 0:06:29.760 they play better than they probably should because Mike Frabel's 0:06:29.800 --> 0:06:31.440 a good coach and there's a lot of rumors that 0:06:31.480 --> 0:06:34.400 maybe he's gonna be your next head coach, Erickson of 0:06:34.440 --> 0:06:37.760 your Patriots there, but we'll see what happens there. But yeah, 0:06:37.760 --> 0:06:40.040 I mean, Rashad White has been getting more involved in this. 0:06:41.360 --> 0:06:43.640 It's starting to look more like the offense we saw 0:06:43.720 --> 0:06:46.440 last year with Leonard Fournette getting all of these dump offfs. 0:06:46.480 --> 0:06:49.280 And I think Baker Mayfield is tired of scrambling and 0:06:49.320 --> 0:06:52.400 getting hit and taking some of these big shots, so 0:06:52.520 --> 0:06:55.800 he is finding more outlets underneath and Rashad White is 0:06:55.800 --> 0:06:57.919 that guy, So I think that's gonna end up happening 0:06:57.960 --> 0:07:00.359 again this week against Tennessee. So this one's it for 0:07:00.360 --> 0:07:02.640 you because I know you love this bet every single week. 0:07:02.680 --> 0:07:05.160 Wellsh yeah, I do love. I do love running back 0:07:05.320 --> 0:07:07.800 reception receiving yard props when you can get it. I 0:07:07.880 --> 0:07:12.280 love Rashad White every single week Little Juiced minus won twenty. 0:07:12.320 --> 0:07:14.760 But I'm definitely down with that one. And I tend 0:07:14.800 --> 0:07:18.080 to like to find two running backs that have, you know, 0:07:18.240 --> 0:07:22.080 perceivably solid reception yard props. Frankly, I like this, and 0:07:22.320 --> 0:07:26.480 me personally, maybe throw it with ramondre Stevenson receptions, which 0:07:26.520 --> 0:07:29.080 is at three and a half at plus money take that. 0:07:29.160 --> 0:07:30.880 Put those two together, have a little bit of fun 0:07:30.920 --> 0:07:33.720 with it, all right, Coming in at number two on 0:07:33.760 --> 0:07:35.880 your favorite props ericson where are we going? 0:07:36.480 --> 0:07:40.280 Taking an under here, because when you set expectations for 0:07:40.280 --> 0:07:42.960 players to fail, you're gonna come out and agree more 0:07:43.000 --> 0:07:45.080 often than not. So George pickens under three and a 0:07:45.120 --> 0:07:48.000 half receptions because this man does not get targeted nearly 0:07:48.000 --> 0:07:50.080 as much when Deontay Johnson is healthy and active in 0:07:50.080 --> 0:07:52.720 the lineup. Talked about this on the Fantasy show where 0:07:52.960 --> 0:07:55.640 you look at Pickens, what he's done. His fantasy finishes 0:07:55.720 --> 0:07:58.120 with DJ in the lineup by receiver fifty one by 0:07:58.160 --> 0:08:00.960 receiver nineteen barx here forty five sever one hundred and three, 0:08:01.440 --> 0:08:03.960 his seventeen percent target share with healthy Deonta Johnson, He's 0:08:03.960 --> 0:08:07.120 averaging just three point two to five catches per contest. 0:08:07.520 --> 0:08:10.280 Don't like the matchup against the Packers, tougher matchup overall 0:08:10.640 --> 0:08:14.000 seventh best first perimeter receivers the season and overall to 0:08:14.200 --> 0:08:18.080 over all wide receivers, and the way that Pickts gets 0:08:18.080 --> 0:08:20.840 targets and bogs You correct if I'm wrong, Like it's 0:08:20.880 --> 0:08:23.400 just not conducive to him catching a lot of receptions, 0:08:23.400 --> 0:08:29.000 like they're all sideline grabsery is to make highlight reel, right, Yeah, 0:08:29.040 --> 0:08:30.400 And so that is the result that he has the 0:08:30.440 --> 0:08:32.720 third worst catch rate at fifty three percent, the sixth 0:08:32.760 --> 0:08:35.760 worst catchable target rate. So it's not even just on him, 0:08:35.880 --> 0:08:38.240 like the balls are not in his radius where he 0:08:38.240 --> 0:08:41.000 can actually come down with the football. So, and he 0:08:41.040 --> 0:08:44.440 has also struggled again zone coverage for PFF sixty fifth 0:08:44.440 --> 0:08:47.320 among all receivers and fantasy points per route run versus zone. 0:08:47.559 --> 0:08:51.079 Green Bay's a top ten zone defense. So I'm just 0:08:51.080 --> 0:08:52.559 taking the under on George Pickens. 0:08:53.320 --> 0:08:55.920 And I've heard the the thing I've heard this week 0:08:56.000 --> 0:08:58.920 ericson a lot is the squeaky wheel gets the cheese right. 0:08:58.920 --> 0:09:01.960 Because he's complaining. This is not a J. Brown. I 0:09:02.080 --> 0:09:03.600 like George Pickens a lot. I think he's a very 0:09:03.640 --> 0:09:05.800 good player, but this is not a J. Brown. This 0:09:05.880 --> 0:09:07.679 is not that level of player yet. 0:09:07.920 --> 0:09:11.040 So maybe they try to make it a focus to 0:09:11.040 --> 0:09:12.880 get him the ball because he's complaining and being a 0:09:12.880 --> 0:09:15.320 big cry baby and all that stuff. But I just 0:09:15.400 --> 0:09:17.840 don't think that he is at the level where, oh, well, 0:09:17.840 --> 0:09:21.560 we have to get Georgia ball because looking him crying. No, sorry, 0:09:21.600 --> 0:09:23.800 if you're not open, or you're not going to be 0:09:23.800 --> 0:09:25.480 involved in the game plan, or you're just going to 0:09:25.520 --> 0:09:26.800 be a decoy, that's fine. 0:09:26.840 --> 0:09:27.720 You're not a J. Brown. 0:09:27.880 --> 0:09:31.120 So Tom cares about one thing and it's called winning. 0:09:31.760 --> 0:09:34.240 It doesn't matter how And Tom. 0:09:34.280 --> 0:09:37.800 Also had mentioned he said, you know, the crying was nothing. 0:09:37.840 --> 0:09:40.720 He wasn't worried about it. He wants players that want 0:09:40.760 --> 0:09:45.000 the ball. But he's also acknowledging like he's unaffected by 0:09:45.000 --> 0:09:46.520 the crying about it. He's like, great, that's fine that 0:09:46.559 --> 0:09:48.320 you're doing it. It's not going to change anything. With 0:09:48.400 --> 0:09:49.320 Tomlin about. 0:09:49.120 --> 0:09:51.040 He said, it's a great story for you guys, but 0:09:51.120 --> 0:09:53.160 we do not care. Yeah, exactly does. 0:09:53.360 --> 0:09:56.080 Yeah, he's not giving any tissues out. He doesn't care. 0:09:56.200 --> 0:09:57.959 Cry all you want. He's got some work. 0:09:58.160 --> 0:10:02.120 We want volunteers, not hostage hostages. The standard is the standard, 0:10:02.280 --> 0:10:04.360 such his life in the NFL. I just did a 0:10:04.440 --> 0:10:05.360 Mike Tomlin interview. 0:10:05.640 --> 0:10:08.360 You go, all right, Bob, you're up here your second 0:10:08.400 --> 0:10:09.400 prop of the week. 0:10:09.640 --> 0:10:11.760 Yeah, I'm gonna go with Javonte Williams over fifty four 0:10:11.760 --> 0:10:14.040 and a half rushing yards. It's minus one fifteen. They 0:10:14.040 --> 0:10:16.560 are on the road at Buffalo, and this is because 0:10:16.600 --> 0:10:19.040 a couple of things. We talked to Deepak about Javante 0:10:19.080 --> 0:10:21.720 and we know that he is now in the spot 0:10:21.760 --> 0:10:25.840 where he should be one hundred percent recovered from his injury, 0:10:26.240 --> 0:10:28.679 his knee injury. And the workload has gone up fifteen 0:10:28.720 --> 0:10:32.319 for eighty two two weeks ago, twenty seven for eighty five, 0:10:33.200 --> 0:10:37.240 So the massive workload has been moved up and up 0:10:37.280 --> 0:10:40.760 for him. And Buffalo is below average statistically against the run. 0:10:40.800 --> 0:10:43.240 They come in at eighteenth allowing over. I think it's 0:10:43.240 --> 0:10:45.880 one hundred and fourteen yards per game and grade twenty 0:10:45.920 --> 0:10:48.160 first against run on PFF as well, So it's not 0:10:48.280 --> 0:10:50.720 just like a you know, teams have to play catch 0:10:50.760 --> 0:10:52.920 up with them. Maybe that's a little bit part of it, 0:10:53.360 --> 0:10:54.880 but they're just not that good against the run. 0:10:54.920 --> 0:10:55.320 This year. 0:10:55.360 --> 0:10:58.960 They have more pass rushing, you know, better pass rushing 0:10:59.000 --> 0:11:01.520 options on the defensive line than run stoppers. So I 0:11:01.559 --> 0:11:04.240 think if you are the moroncos in this game, knowing 0:11:04.280 --> 0:11:06.600 your defense is weak, you try to run the ball. 0:11:06.640 --> 0:11:08.520 You try to keep Josh Allen on the sideline, try 0:11:08.559 --> 0:11:10.640 to make him panic and throw those picks because he's 0:11:10.679 --> 0:11:12.800 not holding the ball. So I think the strategy is 0:11:12.800 --> 0:11:14.280 going to be to hand the ball off to Javonte 0:11:14.360 --> 0:11:17.240 twenty times. So I think he hits this total fairly easily. 0:11:18.040 --> 0:11:20.319 If you guys have not already gone and checked it out, 0:11:20.360 --> 0:11:23.520 go and get the Betting pros app today over on 0:11:23.600 --> 0:11:27.040 iOS or really anywhere that you can download, whatever phone 0:11:27.080 --> 0:11:29.800 service you're using. Go and check out Betting Pros Now. 0:11:29.800 --> 0:11:32.800 We got great new features. The community section up. It's 0:11:32.840 --> 0:11:35.559 got top rated betters, betters that are on hot streaks, 0:11:35.600 --> 0:11:40.320 betters that are actual experts. You can follow It's one 0:11:40.360 --> 0:11:43.000 of my favorite things that Betting Pros allows you to do. 0:11:43.280 --> 0:11:45.880 When you bust open the app, you can then follow 0:11:45.920 --> 0:11:48.000 some of your favorite people. You can follow ericson, you 0:11:48.000 --> 0:11:50.360 can follow Bagman, you can see what people are betting, 0:11:50.400 --> 0:11:53.319 and you can tail it yourself. You can follow the feed, 0:11:53.559 --> 0:11:55.840 view a feed of bets from everyone that you follow. 0:11:56.400 --> 0:11:59.120 You can get instant notification when new bets are placed. 0:11:59.160 --> 0:12:02.400 You can track your bets, enjoy improved live tracking of 0:12:02.400 --> 0:12:05.319 your bets across sports books to help you monitor your performance. 0:12:05.600 --> 0:12:08.839 And you've got prop bet hit rates. You can sort 0:12:08.920 --> 0:12:12.000 out prop bet cheat sheet by overall percentage and under 0:12:12.000 --> 0:12:14.400 percentage the last like fifteen games to be on the 0:12:14.440 --> 0:12:17.600 right side of the recent trends. There is so much 0:12:17.840 --> 0:12:20.160 that you can do with the Betting Pros app, so 0:12:20.240 --> 0:12:23.199 download it today. It is one of the best tools 0:12:23.200 --> 0:12:25.120 to get you not only in the betting market, but 0:12:25.160 --> 0:12:28.680 the prop market. Betting Pros app store, go and do 0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:30.880 it now. One of the things I would love for 0:12:30.960 --> 0:12:33.439 us to add. They've always got great features. I want 0:12:33.480 --> 0:12:35.839 to add our ladder betting on there. We need to 0:12:35.840 --> 0:12:38.160 get that feature added into the near future. So the 0:12:38.200 --> 0:12:40.240 quick break here since we don't have any more. Let 0:12:40.240 --> 0:12:42.520 me present this to you guys for a second for 0:12:42.640 --> 0:12:44.880 our TLC bet. We've already got a ladder bet of 0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:48.800 the day for Rashid Shahed going up to sixty to seventy. 0:12:49.280 --> 0:12:53.400 My TLCT bet is the tables, ladders and chairs of 0:12:53.679 --> 0:12:59.520 alt yards for players. If I present you with Rashid 0:12:59.520 --> 0:13:05.760 Shahed sixty plus receiving yards, Zay Flowers sixty plus receiving 0:13:05.840 --> 0:13:11.000 yards and dare I do this? Andrew Rickson? Christian Watson 0:13:11.080 --> 0:13:14.439 at sixty plus receiving yards only sixty plus on all them? 0:13:14.480 --> 0:13:16.920 I love Zay Flowers this week his prop is around 0:13:16.920 --> 0:13:20.679 forty three. I'm going sixty on all three. We are 0:13:20.760 --> 0:13:25.320 almost getting fifty to one. It is forty nine to 0:13:25.440 --> 0:13:30.040 one to bet those three parlayed together. Can I interest 0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:33.000 in you in a TLC match? And or Andrew Erickson? 0:13:33.440 --> 0:13:35.400 I'm in you in, come. 0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:38.439 In for that fifty I mean throw ten bucks on it, 0:13:38.720 --> 0:13:39.280 you know what I mean? 0:13:39.520 --> 0:13:40.640 Like, what are we doing? 0:13:41.400 --> 0:13:45.680 Kristian Watson, Kristin Watson, Zay Flowers, Rashid Shaheed all yard 0:13:45.760 --> 0:13:47.520 sixty plus, Bogman, You're in. 0:13:48.040 --> 0:13:50.840 Get that blood pumping absolutely, I'm in. Yeah, all right, 0:13:51.000 --> 0:13:53.720 like we said, you know, a quarter, ye and a half, 0:13:53.720 --> 0:13:56.080 you know, whatever, whatever you got, put put it on 0:13:56.120 --> 0:13:57.440 that and have a little fun. 0:13:57.600 --> 0:13:59.960 We're the Dudley Boys over here. It's Matt and Jeff Hard. 0:14:00.120 --> 0:14:02.280 We're jumping off the tables, ladders and chairs. If you 0:14:02.320 --> 0:14:04.440 guys want to have some fun with us. Rashid Shaheed, 0:14:04.600 --> 0:14:08.520 Zay Flowers, Christian Watson sixty plus almost fifty to one. 0:14:08.960 --> 0:14:11.520 Let's go. That is not though on the big bets 0:14:11.559 --> 0:14:14.480 here as far as the top five, so ericson number 0:14:14.559 --> 0:14:17.360 three on your favorite props of the week. What he got? 0:14:17.679 --> 0:14:20.640 Jalen Rager is bad at football, So I'm taking me 0:14:20.720 --> 0:14:22.720 under out his receiving yards. I can't. I was shocked 0:14:22.760 --> 0:14:24.360 they can put a receiving yards prop out for him. 0:14:24.400 --> 0:14:26.640 I was like, this is this is great. Jalen Rager 0:14:26.720 --> 0:14:28.760 under twenty one and a half receiving yards actually opened 0:14:28.760 --> 0:14:30.680 at twenty two and a half. But sharps are all 0:14:30.720 --> 0:14:32.960 over right. They're taking me under on Jalen Rager because 0:14:32.960 --> 0:14:35.640 he sucks at football, Like he's just not very good. 0:14:35.960 --> 0:14:37.680 He was a first round bus for a reason, and 0:14:37.720 --> 0:14:40.080 for some reason, the Patriots are continuing to trot him 0:14:40.080 --> 0:14:42.680 out there. As a starter in their offense because maybe 0:14:42.720 --> 0:14:45.480 they're tanking. I don't know. But even when he's been 0:14:45.520 --> 0:14:48.360 playing in the offense over the last three weeks, he's 0:14:48.400 --> 0:14:51.520 been under this number in three straight games. So I 0:14:51.520 --> 0:14:53.200 know he had six targets last week. I know he 0:14:53.280 --> 0:14:55.920 dropped a long pass that could have easily gotten him over. 0:14:56.200 --> 0:15:00.360 Jalen No, exactly, not Jalen Reager dropping a p What 0:15:00.360 --> 0:15:02.400 are you talking about. The thing that I want to 0:15:02.440 --> 0:15:06.000 point out here is when guys get targets and then 0:15:06.120 --> 0:15:08.760 don't do anything with them. The team doesn't go back 0:15:08.840 --> 0:15:10.760 to the film be like, you know what, we got 0:15:10.760 --> 0:15:12.640 to keep getting in the ball man, Like we gotta 0:15:12.680 --> 0:15:14.640 feed this guy to the ball. It's like no, They're like, 0:15:14.760 --> 0:15:17.680 we need to get this guy on the bench. So 0:15:18.360 --> 0:15:20.160 I was telling the guys before we hopped on here, 0:15:20.200 --> 0:15:21.840 like the only way I see this not hitting for 0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:24.080 us is that Jalen Rager is just like a healthy scratch. 0:15:24.640 --> 0:15:26.280 It doesn't play, which case is a push to get 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:29.600 your money back. Yeah, yeah, So Jalen Rager. I'm gonna 0:15:29.600 --> 0:15:33.360 spend my Sunday morning watching the Patriots probably lose to 0:15:33.400 --> 0:15:36.120 the Colts, but I'm gonna be a winner. Because Jalen 0:15:36.200 --> 0:15:38.320 Rager is gonna go out put up a goose egg. 0:15:38.600 --> 0:15:39.680 I'm gonna feel great about it. 0:15:39.920 --> 0:15:42.400 What if he's just like the best player in Germany, 0:15:42.760 --> 0:15:44.600 Like how your level of anger? 0:15:44.880 --> 0:15:47.200 If he like goes to Germany and something clicks and 0:15:47.240 --> 0:15:49.640 he has one hundred and fifty receiving Yet if it leads. 0:15:49.440 --> 0:15:51.760 To Patriots victory, then I'll be okay with it. 0:15:53.240 --> 0:15:55.800 By the way, this is how I drown my sorrows here. 0:15:55.880 --> 0:15:58.320 Yes, yes, I'm gonna throw out a seven and a 0:15:58.360 --> 0:16:01.440 half to one bet for Eric's in here. All yards 0:16:01.560 --> 0:16:05.560 Rashid Shaheed sixty plus Jalen Reger under twenty one and 0:16:05.560 --> 0:16:07.920 a half. You get seven and a half to one 0:16:08.040 --> 0:16:10.040 on your money if you parlay those two together. I'm 0:16:10.040 --> 0:16:11.720 not trying to be a big advocate of parlays, by 0:16:11.720 --> 0:16:13.280 the way, because straight out of the safe. 0:16:13.120 --> 0:16:15.200 Way you only mentioned one every single bet. But yeah, 0:16:15.280 --> 0:16:15.680 that's time. 0:16:16.240 --> 0:16:18.480 I'm have some fun here and this sounds like. 0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:21.440 Their that's why we're here, right, I like that bet? 0:16:21.480 --> 0:16:24.240 All right, Bobs, what you got for number? I think 0:16:24.240 --> 0:16:25.200 we're a number three here. 0:16:25.280 --> 0:16:25.840 Yeah, let's go. 0:16:25.960 --> 0:16:27.640 I know it's a big number, but ceedee lamb over 0:16:27.680 --> 0:16:30.920 seventy seventy seventy seven and a half receiving yards against 0:16:30.920 --> 0:16:31.680 the New York Giants. 0:16:31.680 --> 0:16:34.840 That is minus one fifteen. And look for all of our. 0:16:34.760 --> 0:16:38.120 Anger that we've put towards Tony Pollard and him being 0:16:38.160 --> 0:16:41.920 ineffective coming out of the bye, they have been peppering 0:16:42.640 --> 0:16:45.760 Ceedee Lamb with targets this last three games seven for 0:16:45.800 --> 0:16:49.760 one to seventeen on seven targets, fourteen targets, twelve catches, 0:16:49.800 --> 0:16:51.520 one hundred and fifty eight yards and two touchdowns. That 0:16:51.600 --> 0:16:55.040 was off the bye, and then last week sixteen targets 0:16:55.080 --> 0:16:57.480 for eleven catches and one hundred and ninety one yards. 0:16:57.720 --> 0:17:00.920 Like Erickson just said, if it ain't broke, don't fix it, right. 0:17:01.400 --> 0:17:03.600 We want to keep getting the ball to ceed Lamb 0:17:03.640 --> 0:17:07.800 because it keeps making it work. So I mean, maybe 0:17:07.800 --> 0:17:09.280 you have to get your work done in the first 0:17:09.280 --> 0:17:11.880 half here against the Giants because they are so terrible, 0:17:12.200 --> 0:17:14.600 But I mean they're going to get it done, and 0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:16.359 Ceedee Lamb's going to be a big part of it. 0:17:16.800 --> 0:17:20.320 He gets another seven to ten targets and I think 0:17:20.359 --> 0:17:23.000 he easily hits this number. This could be a halftime 0:17:23.080 --> 0:17:25.680 number again for Ceedee Lamb. I would expect it not 0:17:25.760 --> 0:17:27.800 to be. I think third fourth quarter is probably where 0:17:27.800 --> 0:17:30.240 he gets it. But I mean I think, ceedee, Lamb is, 0:17:31.080 --> 0:17:33.200 I've hit this three weeks in a row, so I'm 0:17:33.240 --> 0:17:34.800 just gonna keep taking it till it doesn't hit. 0:17:35.080 --> 0:17:37.040 That's sometimes at the end of the year, you just 0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:38.440 got to take a look at some of the bets 0:17:38.440 --> 0:17:40.600 at work, and you may not hit every single week, 0:17:40.640 --> 0:17:43.760 but you get that sixty five seventy plus percent hit rate, 0:17:43.800 --> 0:17:45.760 you can take some of those losses on some of 0:17:45.800 --> 0:17:49.080 these just chalky bets. So that is that's probably your 0:17:49.160 --> 0:17:51.439 chalkiest of bets that you got going here. Let's go 0:17:51.480 --> 0:17:53.359 to number four on the best props of the week, 0:17:53.640 --> 0:17:55.199 Andrew Rickson. Let's hear it. 0:17:55.640 --> 0:17:58.520 Austin Eckler under fifty one and a half rushing yards. 0:17:58.640 --> 0:18:01.439 So since Eckler's come back from this ankle injury he 0:18:01.440 --> 0:18:03.400 suffered at the beginning of the season, it's been four 0:18:03.440 --> 0:18:05.720 straight unders. You know, under fifty one a half rushing 0:18:05.760 --> 0:18:08.760 yards in four straight games. The Chargers cannot run the football. 0:18:09.000 --> 0:18:12.840 In big surprise, this very ineffective rushing the ball, and 0:18:13.760 --> 0:18:15.600 the lines are not It's not the same lines run 0:18:15.640 --> 0:18:17.560 defense I've picked on for years and years and years 0:18:17.600 --> 0:18:19.439 with fantasy football, like the Lions have one of the 0:18:19.440 --> 0:18:22.040