1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:04,480 Speaker 1: Hello, friends, and welcome into Betting Pros. It's time to 2 00:00:04,519 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: get our props on. We're propping it and I have 3 00:00:07,400 --> 00:00:10,119 Speaker 1: got Andrew Aeron propping these two up. I got Andrew Rickson, 4 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: Scott Bogman Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros own as we 5 00:00:13,720 --> 00:00:16,400 Speaker 1: are going to make some bets. The bets are on. 6 00:00:16,800 --> 00:00:19,279 Speaker 1: If they're not with Joe Piezapia, he'll be back next week. 7 00:00:19,320 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 1: So I am in the host chair. It's Chris Welsh. 8 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: Thank you guys for hanging out with us. Ericson is 9 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:29,200 Speaker 1: there a potential ladder bet that we might talk about 10 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: here in a little bit? Can we promo and tease 11 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: a ladder bet? 12 00:00:33,920 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 2: I think so, but I'm gonna be honest, We're not 13 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:38,840 Speaker 2: gonna wait that long because it's my first best bet, 14 00:00:38,960 --> 00:00:41,879 Speaker 2: you know, with my my player props. So I want 15 00:00:41,920 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 2: to get straight to the point because I'm really excited 16 00:00:43,680 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 2: about this particular player. 17 00:00:46,000 --> 00:00:49,159 Speaker 3: Table or chairs bets either, So ladders like. 18 00:00:49,080 --> 00:00:51,240 Speaker 1: A TLC like a table, lighters and chair match. 19 00:00:51,280 --> 00:00:52,000 Speaker 3: Well you know that. 20 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:54,880 Speaker 1: Actually I came up with this idea. Erics and I 21 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: were doing the live stream on Fantasy Pros on Thursday, 22 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:00,480 Speaker 1: and I had done this a week prior where I 23 00:01:00,560 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: took There was one week where I really liked a 24 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 1: guy for a ladder bet and we also had Christian 25 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:06,960 Speaker 1: Watson in that week. Didn't work out, But I love 26 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:10,840 Speaker 1: the idea of taking the alt yards like high, like 27 00:01:10,880 --> 00:01:13,240 Speaker 1: about eighty yards on a guy that usually has one 28 00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:18,000 Speaker 1: around forty, taking your three favorites, and then that gets 29 00:01:18,040 --> 00:01:20,520 Speaker 1: you like thirty five hundred. We should call that the 30 00:01:20,560 --> 00:01:23,440 Speaker 1: TLC the tables, ladders and chairs bet instead of just 31 00:01:23,480 --> 00:01:26,559 Speaker 1: the ladder bet. And it's three guys with high alt 32 00:01:26,600 --> 00:01:29,200 Speaker 1: props that you think can beat their marker. You get 33 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:32,280 Speaker 1: crazy odds, just like a tables, ladders and chair match. 34 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: So yes, that is officially it. We are jumping from 35 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 1: the rafters for some of these bets. Bogs is a. 36 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:40,559 Speaker 1: Is this one of those really exciting good prop weeks. 37 00:01:40,600 --> 00:01:43,399 Speaker 1: Sometimes it's really rough on books. Looks like there's some 38 00:01:43,600 --> 00:01:46,480 Speaker 1: unders that are in play, there's some great reception props. 39 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: There's just a lot of stuff. It feels like to bet. 40 00:01:48,920 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 4: I feel, you know, the further we get into the season, 41 00:01:51,400 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 4: the more we discover about these teams, more is revealed 42 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:58,240 Speaker 4: about these teams. Obviously, stuff changes too with coaches leaving 43 00:01:58,280 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 4: getting fired, players can geting injured. 44 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:02,520 Speaker 3: So but this week, I. 45 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 4: Haven't even looked at the defensive bets yet, and I 46 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:09,679 Speaker 4: have some for here, I have some for our show 47 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 4: I bet this league. 48 00:02:10,840 --> 00:02:12,440 Speaker 3: So I feel like there's a lot of stuff to 49 00:02:12,480 --> 00:02:14,040 Speaker 3: pick from this week. I do feel like this is 50 00:02:14,040 --> 00:02:15,760 Speaker 3: a pretty solid proper week. All right. 51 00:02:15,800 --> 00:02:17,920 Speaker 1: Well, if you guys are as ready as we are, 52 00:02:18,040 --> 00:02:20,800 Speaker 1: make sure you hit the subscribe button on the YouTube 53 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 1: channel if you're watching on the YouTube, and if you 54 00:02:23,680 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 1: do that while making a comment, you have an opportunity 55 00:02:26,440 --> 00:02:29,799 Speaker 1: to win a free one year premium Betting Pro subscription. 56 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 1: That's all you gotta do. You're sitting here hanging just 57 00:02:33,000 --> 00:02:36,280 Speaker 1: hit subscribe, make a comment, make it nice, maybe make 58 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:37,920 Speaker 1: it a bet. Maybe you could throw out some bets 59 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:39,920 Speaker 1: that you want to do. We'll be announcing winners right 60 00:02:39,919 --> 00:02:41,359 Speaker 1: here on this channel. To make sure you turn on 61 00:02:41,440 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: notifications so you are alerted when new episodes are up 62 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:47,000 Speaker 1: and you can claim your prize. And guess what, We're 63 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:51,519 Speaker 1: always given out awesome prizes, not just picks from manys. 64 00:02:51,720 --> 00:02:54,840 Speaker 1: Speaking of, let's get right to it, Andrew Rickson, you 65 00:02:55,000 --> 00:02:57,639 Speaker 1: tease one of your favorite bets of the week, and 66 00:02:57,800 --> 00:03:02,919 Speaker 1: we might be climbing. Bet Number one on the prop 67 00:03:02,960 --> 00:03:03,440 Speaker 1: market is. 68 00:03:03,440 --> 00:03:07,680 Speaker 2: What Rashid Shaheed over thirty and a half receiving yards 69 00:03:07,720 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: over at Fandels Sportsbook at minus one fourteen. Look, Shaheed dominates. 70 00:03:12,680 --> 00:03:15,240 Speaker 2: He dominates against zone coverage like that is where he 71 00:03:15,280 --> 00:03:17,359 Speaker 2: scores the most of his fantasy points. He's the best 72 00:03:17,480 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 2: in terms of the most efficient receiver on the Saints 73 00:03:19,760 --> 00:03:23,480 Speaker 2: when they're playing zone defenses. Vikings are mostly zone coverage 74 00:03:23,480 --> 00:03:25,639 Speaker 2: top ten zone rate covered rate, third team. Anelsel likes 75 00:03:25,639 --> 00:03:27,440 Speaker 2: the blitz a lot. What happens when you blitz a 76 00:03:27,480 --> 00:03:30,160 Speaker 2: lot get burned deep a lot of the time. So 77 00:03:30,639 --> 00:03:33,400 Speaker 2: the Vikings, with their defense is deployed, they give up 78 00:03:33,440 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 2: a lot of yards and targets to number three receivers 79 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 2: thirteen yards per game to opposing number three receivers. We 80 00:03:39,560 --> 00:03:41,840 Speaker 2: know Shaheed based on snaps and routes as the number 81 00:03:41,840 --> 00:03:44,560 Speaker 2: three guy on the Saints. The Vikings are also allowing 82 00:03:44,560 --> 00:03:47,800 Speaker 2: the fourth most targets to number three receivers. So yes, 83 00:03:48,120 --> 00:03:49,920 Speaker 2: the matchup is perfect. I think for Shahid to just 84 00:03:49,960 --> 00:03:52,120 Speaker 2: go absolutely nuclear in this matchup. We just look at 85 00:03:52,320 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 2: trends because the betting shows so obviously we're gonna talk 86 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,680 Speaker 2: about trends. Last two games, Shaheed has gone off road 87 00:03:57,720 --> 00:04:01,560 Speaker 2: games playing in domes after he failed to put up 88 00:04:01,600 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 2: thirty yards the week before. That's the rint and repeat 89 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:08,160 Speaker 2: with rashi Jaheid. That's the pattern we're following here, the 90 00:04:08,240 --> 00:04:10,920 Speaker 2: pattern for a ladder bet because when you look at Shahid, 91 00:04:11,160 --> 00:04:14,240 Speaker 2: he either finished under thirty five receiving yards or gone 92 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:17,240 Speaker 2: over sixty three years receiving yards in his nine games played. 93 00:04:17,240 --> 00:04:19,600 Speaker 2: So he's like the typical like cookie cutter boom er 94 00:04:19,640 --> 00:04:23,080 Speaker 2: bus receiver that if it's not eighty yards, you. 95 00:04:23,080 --> 00:04:25,440 Speaker 3: Is gonna your last? Is that what you're saying? Yes? 96 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,240 Speaker 2: First, yeah, first, your last, Rashik Jaheid. So when he 97 00:04:28,279 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 2: goes over, he goes well over, and all the points 98 00:04:30,839 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 2: suggest that it's gonna go over this week. So let's 99 00:04:33,360 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 2: ladder bet. 100 00:04:34,320 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: So the play here is the thirty and a half 101 00:04:37,200 --> 00:04:38,840 Speaker 1: for everybody. But if you want to get into the 102 00:04:38,920 --> 00:04:41,000 Speaker 1: ladder betty market, I happen to be looking on a 103 00:04:41,120 --> 00:04:45,720 Speaker 1: DK sportsbook. You've got twenty five plus yards and minus 104 00:04:45,760 --> 00:04:48,920 Speaker 1: two fifteen. They didn't give you the thirty, but then 105 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:52,279 Speaker 1: they start at forty plus at plus one thirty fifty 106 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:55,480 Speaker 1: plus yards to twenty five sixty plus is plus three 107 00:04:55,480 --> 00:04:58,640 Speaker 1: point fifty seventy plus at five fifty. Remember that eighty 108 00:04:58,680 --> 00:05:02,719 Speaker 1: Mark right talked about plus nine hundred nine to one. 109 00:05:02,960 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: So what is your again? People should know at this point. 110 00:05:06,160 --> 00:05:11,040 Speaker 1: But ladder betting is theoretically taking the lowest number the 111 00:05:11,040 --> 00:05:13,440 Speaker 1: bad odds, doing like a two unit, So you would 112 00:05:13,440 --> 00:05:14,839 Speaker 1: do like twenty five. If you want to do the 113 00:05:14,880 --> 00:05:17,440 Speaker 1: twenty five, you do like two units on twenty five, 114 00:05:17,760 --> 00:05:20,560 Speaker 1: and then at the forty maybe do one unit, fifty, 115 00:05:20,640 --> 00:05:23,760 Speaker 1: do half a unit, sixty to a quarter unit. Those 116 00:05:23,800 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 1: are versions of how people like the ladder bet it. 117 00:05:26,160 --> 00:05:30,040 Speaker 1: What would be your ladder bet of choice here, mister Rickson? 118 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 2: I think it probably just for what you just said, 119 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:34,360 Speaker 2: you know, I'll just really kind of hammer in at 120 00:05:34,400 --> 00:05:36,880 Speaker 2: the lower amount and he'll get that on one catch 121 00:05:37,120 --> 00:05:40,320 Speaker 2: and then everything after that is just pouring on the gravy. Man. 122 00:05:40,360 --> 00:05:42,679 Speaker 2: Thanksgivings coming up, So I'm looking forward to it. 123 00:05:43,600 --> 00:05:45,320 Speaker 1: All right. I love it, and we'll see if we 124 00:05:45,360 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 1: can create the TLC. We'll do Shaheed as one of 125 00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: our TLC pieces here. Maybe even just drop like a 126 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:54,760 Speaker 1: the sixty plus yards because we're getting three and a 127 00:05:54,800 --> 00:05:56,880 Speaker 1: half on our money here and we'll see if we 128 00:05:56,920 --> 00:05:59,040 Speaker 1: can put those together. Bagman, let's go over to you 129 00:05:59,040 --> 00:06:01,839 Speaker 1: your number one or number one on your prop picks 130 00:06:01,839 --> 00:06:02,320 Speaker 1: for the week. 131 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Rashad White over three and a 132 00:06:05,440 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 4: half receptions and he's hit this the last three weeks 133 00:06:09,200 --> 00:06:12,120 Speaker 4: four seven and six. Over the last three weeks. The 134 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:15,840 Speaker 4: Bucks have been getting him more involved in the passing game. 135 00:06:16,080 --> 00:06:20,080 Speaker 4: And Chris Godwin didn't look right last week. A lot 136 00:06:20,120 --> 00:06:22,520 Speaker 4: didn't look right. But this is against Tennessee as well. 137 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:26,400 Speaker 4: In Tennessee's defense is you know, I don't know that 138 00:06:26,440 --> 00:06:29,760 Speaker 4: they play better than they probably should because Mike Frabel's 139 00:06:29,800 --> 00:06:31,440 Speaker 4: a good coach and there's a lot of rumors that 140 00:06:31,480 --> 00:06:34,400 Speaker 4: maybe he's gonna be your next head coach, Erickson of 141 00:06:34,440 --> 00:06:37,760 Speaker 4: your Patriots there, but we'll see what happens there. But yeah, 142 00:06:37,760 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 4: I mean, Rashad White has been getting more involved in this. 143 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:43,640 Speaker 4: It's starting to look more like the offense we saw 144 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:46,440 Speaker 4: last year with Leonard Fournette getting all of these dump offfs. 145 00:06:46,480 --> 00:06:49,280 Speaker 4: And I think Baker Mayfield is tired of scrambling and 146 00:06:49,320 --> 00:06:52,400 Speaker 4: getting hit and taking some of these big shots, so 147 00:06:52,520 --> 00:06:55,800 Speaker 4: he is finding more outlets underneath and Rashad White is 148 00:06:55,800 --> 00:06:57,919 Speaker 4: that guy, So I think that's gonna end up happening 149 00:06:57,960 --> 00:07:00,359 Speaker 4: again this week against Tennessee. So this one's it for 150 00:07:00,360 --> 00:07:02,640 Speaker 4: you because I know you love this bet every single week. 151 00:07:02,680 --> 00:07:05,160 Speaker 1: Wellsh yeah, I do love. I do love running back 152 00:07:05,320 --> 00:07:07,800 Speaker 1: reception receiving yard props when you can get it. I 153 00:07:07,880 --> 00:07:12,280 Speaker 1: love Rashad White every single week Little Juiced minus won twenty. 154 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 1: But I'm definitely down with that one. And I tend 155 00:07:14,800 --> 00:07:18,080 Speaker 1: to like to find two running backs that have, you know, 156 00:07:18,240 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 1: perceivably solid reception yard props. Frankly, I like this, and 157 00:07:22,320 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 1: me personally, maybe throw it with ramondre Stevenson receptions, which 158 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 1: is at three and a half at plus money take that. 159 00:07:29,160 --> 00:07:30,880 Speaker 1: Put those two together, have a little bit of fun 160 00:07:30,920 --> 00:07:33,720 Speaker 1: with it, all right, Coming in at number two on 161 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:35,880 Speaker 1: your favorite props ericson where are we going? 162 00:07:36,480 --> 00:07:40,280 Speaker 2: Taking an under here, because when you set expectations for 163 00:07:40,280 --> 00:07:42,960 Speaker 2: players to fail, you're gonna come out and agree more 164 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:45,080 Speaker 2: often than not. So George pickens under three and a 165 00:07:45,120 --> 00:07:48,000 Speaker 2: half receptions because this man does not get targeted nearly 166 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:50,080 Speaker 2: as much when Deontay Johnson is healthy and active in 167 00:07:50,080 --> 00:07:52,720 Speaker 2: the lineup. Talked about this on the Fantasy show where 168 00:07:52,960 --> 00:07:55,640 Speaker 2: you look at Pickens, what he's done. His fantasy finishes 169 00:07:55,720 --> 00:07:58,120 Speaker 2: with DJ in the lineup by receiver fifty one by 170 00:07:58,160 --> 00:08:00,960 Speaker 2: receiver nineteen barx here forty five sever one hundred and three, 171 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:03,960 Speaker 2: his seventeen percent target share with healthy Deonta Johnson, He's 172 00:08:03,960 --> 00:08:07,120 Speaker 2: averaging just three point two to five catches per contest. 173 00:08:07,520 --> 00:08:10,280 Speaker 2: Don't like the matchup against the Packers, tougher matchup overall 174 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:14,000 Speaker 2: seventh best first perimeter receivers the season and overall to 175 00:08:14,200 --> 00:08:18,080 Speaker 2: over all wide receivers, and the way that Pickts gets 176 00:08:18,080 --> 00:08:20,840 Speaker 2: targets and bogs You correct if I'm wrong, Like it's 177 00:08:20,880 --> 00:08:23,400 Speaker 2: just not conducive to him catching a lot of receptions, 178 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:29,000 Speaker 2: like they're all sideline grabsery is to make highlight reel, right, Yeah, 179 00:08:29,040 --> 00:08:30,400 Speaker 2: And so that is the result that he has the 180 00:08:30,440 --> 00:08:32,720 Speaker 2: third worst catch rate at fifty three percent, the sixth 181 00:08:32,760 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 2: worst catchable target rate. So it's not even just on him, 182 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:38,240 Speaker 2: like the balls are not in his radius where he 183 00:08:38,240 --> 00:08:41,000 Speaker 2: can actually come down with the football. So, and he 184 00:08:41,040 --> 00:08:44,440 Speaker 2: has also struggled again zone coverage for PFF sixty fifth 185 00:08:44,440 --> 00:08:47,320 Speaker 2: among all receivers and fantasy points per route run versus zone. 186 00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:51,079 Speaker 2: Green Bay's a top ten zone defense. So I'm just 187 00:08:51,080 --> 00:08:52,559 Speaker 2: taking the under on George Pickens. 188 00:08:53,320 --> 00:08:55,920 Speaker 4: And I've heard the the thing I've heard this week 189 00:08:56,000 --> 00:08:58,920 Speaker 4: ericson a lot is the squeaky wheel gets the cheese right. 190 00:08:58,920 --> 00:09:01,960 Speaker 3: Because he's complaining. This is not a J. Brown. I 191 00:09:02,080 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 3: like George Pickens a lot. I think he's a very 192 00:09:03,640 --> 00:09:05,800 Speaker 3: good player, but this is not a J. Brown. This 193 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:07,679 Speaker 3: is not that level of player yet. 194 00:09:07,920 --> 00:09:11,040 Speaker 4: So maybe they try to make it a focus to 195 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:12,880 Speaker 4: get him the ball because he's complaining and being a 196 00:09:12,880 --> 00:09:15,320 Speaker 4: big cry baby and all that stuff. But I just 197 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 4: don't think that he is at the level where, oh, well, 198 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,560 Speaker 4: we have to get Georgia ball because looking him crying. No, sorry, 199 00:09:21,600 --> 00:09:23,800 Speaker 4: if you're not open, or you're not going to be 200 00:09:23,800 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 4: involved in the game plan, or you're just going to 201 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 4: be a decoy, that's fine. 202 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:27,720 Speaker 3: You're not a J. Brown. 203 00:09:27,880 --> 00:09:31,120 Speaker 2: So Tom cares about one thing and it's called winning. 204 00:09:31,760 --> 00:09:34,240 Speaker 3: It doesn't matter how And Tom. 205 00:09:34,280 --> 00:09:37,800 Speaker 1: Also had mentioned he said, you know, the crying was nothing. 206 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:40,720 Speaker 1: He wasn't worried about it. He wants players that want 207 00:09:40,760 --> 00:09:45,000 Speaker 1: the ball. But he's also acknowledging like he's unaffected by 208 00:09:45,000 --> 00:09:46,520 Speaker 1: the crying about it. He's like, great, that's fine that 209 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:48,320 Speaker 1: you're doing it. It's not going to change anything. With 210 00:09:48,400 --> 00:09:49,320 Speaker 1: Tomlin about. 211 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:51,040 Speaker 3: He said, it's a great story for you guys, but 212 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:53,160 Speaker 3: we do not care. Yeah, exactly does. 213 00:09:53,360 --> 00:09:56,080 Speaker 1: Yeah, he's not giving any tissues out. He doesn't care. 214 00:09:56,200 --> 00:09:57,959 Speaker 1: Cry all you want. He's got some work. 215 00:09:58,160 --> 00:10:02,120 Speaker 4: We want volunteers, not hostage hostages. The standard is the standard, 216 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:04,360 Speaker 4: such his life in the NFL. I just did a 217 00:10:04,440 --> 00:10:05,360 Speaker 4: Mike Tomlin interview. 218 00:10:05,640 --> 00:10:08,360 Speaker 1: You go, all right, Bob, you're up here your second 219 00:10:08,400 --> 00:10:09,400 Speaker 1: prop of the week. 220 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:11,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna go with Javonte Williams over fifty four 221 00:10:11,760 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 4: and a half rushing yards. It's minus one fifteen. They 222 00:10:14,040 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 4: are on the road at Buffalo, and this is because 223 00:10:16,600 --> 00:10:19,040 Speaker 4: a couple of things. We talked to Deepak about Javante 224 00:10:19,080 --> 00:10:21,720 Speaker 4: and we know that he is now in the spot 225 00:10:21,760 --> 00:10:25,840 Speaker 4: where he should be one hundred percent recovered from his injury, 226 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:28,679 Speaker 4: his knee injury. And the workload has gone up fifteen 227 00:10:28,720 --> 00:10:32,319 Speaker 4: for eighty two two weeks ago, twenty seven for eighty five, 228 00:10:33,200 --> 00:10:37,240 Speaker 4: So the massive workload has been moved up and up 229 00:10:37,280 --> 00:10:40,760 Speaker 4: for him. And Buffalo is below average statistically against the run. 230 00:10:40,800 --> 00:10:43,240 Speaker 4: They come in at eighteenth allowing over. I think it's 231 00:10:43,240 --> 00:10:45,880 Speaker 4: one hundred and fourteen yards per game and grade twenty 232 00:10:45,920 --> 00:10:48,160 Speaker 4: first against run on PFF as well, So it's not 233 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:50,720 Speaker 4: just like a you know, teams have to play catch 234 00:10:50,760 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 4: up with them. Maybe that's a little bit part of it, 235 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:54,880 Speaker 4: but they're just not that good against the run. 236 00:10:54,920 --> 00:10:55,320 Speaker 3: This year. 237 00:10:55,360 --> 00:10:58,960 Speaker 4: They have more pass rushing, you know, better pass rushing 238 00:10:59,000 --> 00:11:01,520 Speaker 4: options on the defensive line than run stoppers. So I 239 00:11:01,559 --> 00:11:04,240 Speaker 4: think if you are the moroncos in this game, knowing 240 00:11:04,280 --> 00:11:06,600 Speaker 4: your defense is weak, you try to run the ball. 241 00:11:06,640 --> 00:11:08,520 Speaker 4: You try to keep Josh Allen on the sideline, try 242 00:11:08,559 --> 00:11:10,640 Speaker 4: to make him panic and throw those picks because he's 243 00:11:10,679 --> 00:11:12,800 Speaker 4: not holding the ball. So I think the strategy is 244 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 4: going to be to hand the ball off to Javonte 245 00:11:14,360 --> 00:11:17,240 Speaker 4: twenty times. So I think he hits this total fairly easily. 246 00:11:18,040 --> 00:11:20,319 Speaker 1: If you guys have not already gone and checked it out, 247 00:11:20,360 --> 00:11:23,520 Speaker 1: go and get the Betting pros app today over on 248 00:11:23,600 --> 00:11:27,040 Speaker 1: iOS or really anywhere that you can download, whatever phone 249 00:11:27,080 --> 00:11:29,800 Speaker 1: service you're using. Go and check out Betting Pros Now. 250 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:32,800 Speaker 1: We got great new features. The community section up. It's 251 00:11:32,840 --> 00:11:35,559 Speaker 1: got top rated betters, betters that are on hot streaks, 252 00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:40,320 Speaker 1: betters that are actual experts. You can follow It's one 253 00:11:40,360 --> 00:11:43,000 Speaker 1: of my favorite things that Betting Pros allows you to do. 254 00:11:43,280 --> 00:11:45,880 Speaker 1: When you bust open the app, you can then follow 255 00:11:45,920 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 1: some of your favorite people. You can follow ericson, you 256 00:11:48,000 --> 00:11:50,360 Speaker 1: can follow Bagman, you can see what people are betting, 257 00:11:50,400 --> 00:11:53,319 Speaker 1: and you can tail it yourself. You can follow the feed, 258 00:11:53,559 --> 00:11:55,840 Speaker 1: view a feed of bets from everyone that you follow. 259 00:11:56,400 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 1: You can get instant notification when new bets are placed. 260 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,400 Speaker 1: You can track your bets, enjoy improved live tracking of 261 00:12:02,400 --> 00:12:05,319 Speaker 1: your bets across sports books to help you monitor your performance. 262 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:08,839 Speaker 1: And you've got prop bet hit rates. You can sort 263 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 1: out prop bet cheat sheet by overall percentage and under 264 00:12:12,000 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 1: percentage the last like fifteen games to be on the 265 00:12:14,440 --> 00:12:17,600 Speaker 1: right side of the recent trends. There is so much 266 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:20,160 Speaker 1: that you can do with the Betting Pros app, so 267 00:12:20,240 --> 00:12:23,199 Speaker 1: download it today. It is one of the best tools 268 00:12:23,200 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: to get you not only in the betting market, but 269 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:28,680 Speaker 1: the prop market. Betting Pros app store, go and do 270 00:12:28,800 --> 00:12:30,880 Speaker 1: it now. One of the things I would love for 271 00:12:30,960 --> 00:12:33,439 Speaker 1: us to add. They've always got great features. I want 272 00:12:33,480 --> 00:12:35,839 Speaker 1: to add our ladder betting on there. We need to 273 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,160 Speaker 1: get that feature added into the near future. So the 274 00:12:38,200 --> 00:12:40,240 Speaker 1: quick break here since we don't have any more. Let 275 00:12:40,240 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 1: me present this to you guys for a second for 276 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,880 Speaker 1: our TLC bet. We've already got a ladder bet of 277 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 1: the day for Rashid Shahed going up to sixty to seventy. 278 00:12:49,280 --> 00:12:53,400 Speaker 1: My TLCT bet is the tables, ladders and chairs of 279 00:12:53,679 --> 00:12:59,520 Speaker 1: alt yards for players. If I present you with Rashid 280 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:05,760 Speaker 1: Shahed sixty plus receiving yards, Zay Flowers sixty plus receiving 281 00:13:05,840 --> 00:13:11,000 Speaker 1: yards and dare I do this? Andrew Rickson? Christian Watson 282 00:13:11,080 --> 00:13:14,439 Speaker 1: at sixty plus receiving yards only sixty plus on all them? 283 00:13:14,480 --> 00:13:16,920 Speaker 1: I love Zay Flowers this week his prop is around 284 00:13:16,920 --> 00:13:20,679 Speaker 1: forty three. I'm going sixty on all three. We are 285 00:13:20,760 --> 00:13:25,320 Speaker 1: almost getting fifty to one. It is forty nine to 286 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:30,040 Speaker 1: one to bet those three parlayed together. Can I interest 287 00:13:30,080 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 1: in you in a TLC match? And or Andrew Erickson? 288 00:13:33,440 --> 00:13:35,400 Speaker 2: I'm in you in, come. 289 00:13:35,240 --> 00:13:38,439 Speaker 4: In for that fifty I mean throw ten bucks on it, 290 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:39,280 Speaker 4: you know what I mean? 291 00:13:39,520 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 3: Like, what are we doing? 292 00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:45,680 Speaker 1: Kristian Watson, Kristin Watson, Zay Flowers, Rashid Shaheed all yard 293 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 1: sixty plus, Bogman, You're in. 294 00:13:48,040 --> 00:13:50,840 Speaker 4: Get that blood pumping absolutely, I'm in. Yeah, all right, 295 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:53,720 Speaker 4: like we said, you know, a quarter, ye and a half, 296 00:13:53,720 --> 00:13:56,080 Speaker 4: you know, whatever, whatever you got, put put it on 297 00:13:56,120 --> 00:13:57,440 Speaker 4: that and have a little fun. 298 00:13:57,600 --> 00:13:59,960 Speaker 1: We're the Dudley Boys over here. It's Matt and Jeff Hard. 299 00:14:00,120 --> 00:14:02,280 Speaker 1: We're jumping off the tables, ladders and chairs. If you 300 00:14:02,320 --> 00:14:04,440 Speaker 1: guys want to have some fun with us. Rashid Shaheed, 301 00:14:04,600 --> 00:14:08,520 Speaker 1: Zay Flowers, Christian Watson sixty plus almost fifty to one. 302 00:14:08,960 --> 00:14:11,520 Speaker 1: Let's go. That is not though on the big bets 303 00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:14,480 Speaker 1: here as far as the top five, so ericson number 304 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:17,360 Speaker 1: three on your favorite props of the week. What he got? 305 00:14:17,679 --> 00:14:20,640 Speaker 2: Jalen Rager is bad at football, So I'm taking me 306 00:14:20,720 --> 00:14:22,720 Speaker 2: under out his receiving yards. I can't. I was shocked 307 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:24,360 Speaker 2: they can put a receiving yards prop out for him. 308 00:14:24,400 --> 00:14:26,640 Speaker 2: I was like, this is this is great. Jalen Rager 309 00:14:26,720 --> 00:14:28,760 Speaker 2: under twenty one and a half receiving yards actually opened 310 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:30,680 Speaker 2: at twenty two and a half. But sharps are all 311 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:32,960 Speaker 2: over right. They're taking me under on Jalen Rager because 312 00:14:32,960 --> 00:14:35,640 Speaker 2: he sucks at football, Like he's just not very good. 313 00:14:35,960 --> 00:14:37,680 Speaker 2: He was a first round bus for a reason, and 314 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:40,080 Speaker 2: for some reason, the Patriots are continuing to trot him 315 00:14:40,080 --> 00:14:42,680 Speaker 2: out there. As a starter in their offense because maybe 316 00:14:42,720 --> 00:14:45,480 Speaker 2: they're tanking. I don't know. But even when he's been 317 00:14:45,520 --> 00:14:48,360 Speaker 2: playing in the offense over the last three weeks, he's 318 00:14:48,400 --> 00:14:51,520 Speaker 2: been under this number in three straight games. So I 319 00:14:51,520 --> 00:14:53,200 Speaker 2: know he had six targets last week. I know he 320 00:14:53,280 --> 00:14:55,920 Speaker 2: dropped a long pass that could have easily gotten him over. 321 00:14:56,200 --> 00:15:00,360 Speaker 2: Jalen No, exactly, not Jalen Reager dropping a p What 322 00:15:00,360 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 2: are you talking about. The thing that I want to 323 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:06,000 Speaker 2: point out here is when guys get targets and then 324 00:15:06,120 --> 00:15:08,760 Speaker 2: don't do anything with them. The team doesn't go back 325 00:15:08,840 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 2: to the film be like, you know what, we got 326 00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:12,640 Speaker 2: to keep getting in the ball man, Like we gotta 327 00:15:12,680 --> 00:15:14,640 Speaker 2: feed this guy to the ball. It's like no, They're like, 328 00:15:14,760 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 2: we need to get this guy on the bench. So 329 00:15:18,360 --> 00:15:20,160 Speaker 2: I was telling the guys before we hopped on here, 330 00:15:20,200 --> 00:15:21,840 Speaker 2: like the only way I see this not hitting for 331 00:15:21,920 --> 00:15:24,080 Speaker 2: us is that Jalen Rager is just like a healthy scratch. 332 00:15:24,640 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 2: It doesn't play, which case is a push to get 333 00:15:26,280 --> 00:15:29,600 Speaker 2: your money back. Yeah, yeah, So Jalen Rager. I'm gonna 334 00:15:29,600 --> 00:15:33,360 Speaker 2: spend my Sunday morning watching the Patriots probably lose to 335 00:15:33,400 --> 00:15:36,120 Speaker 2: the Colts, but I'm gonna be a winner. Because Jalen 336 00:15:36,200 --> 00:15:38,320 Speaker 2: Rager is gonna go out put up a goose egg. 337 00:15:38,600 --> 00:15:39,680 Speaker 2: I'm gonna feel great about it. 338 00:15:39,920 --> 00:15:42,400 Speaker 3: What if he's just like the best player in Germany, 339 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:44,600 Speaker 3: Like how your level of anger? 340 00:15:44,880 --> 00:15:47,200 Speaker 4: If he like goes to Germany and something clicks and 341 00:15:47,240 --> 00:15:49,640 Speaker 4: he has one hundred and fifty receiving Yet if it leads. 342 00:15:49,440 --> 00:15:51,760 Speaker 2: To Patriots victory, then I'll be okay with it. 343 00:15:53,240 --> 00:15:55,800 Speaker 3: By the way, this is how I drown my sorrows here. 344 00:15:55,880 --> 00:15:58,320 Speaker 1: Yes, yes, I'm gonna throw out a seven and a 345 00:15:58,360 --> 00:16:01,440 Speaker 1: half to one bet for Eric's in here. All yards 346 00:16:01,560 --> 00:16:05,560 Speaker 1: Rashid Shaheed sixty plus Jalen Reger under twenty one and 347 00:16:05,560 --> 00:16:07,920 Speaker 1: a half. You get seven and a half to one 348 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 1: on your money if you parlay those two together. I'm 349 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:11,720 Speaker 1: not trying to be a big advocate of parlays, by 350 00:16:11,720 --> 00:16:13,280 Speaker 1: the way, because straight out of the safe. 351 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 3: Way you only mentioned one every single bet. But yeah, 352 00:16:15,280 --> 00:16:15,680 Speaker 3: that's time. 353 00:16:16,240 --> 00:16:18,480 Speaker 1: I'm have some fun here and this sounds like. 354 00:16:18,520 --> 00:16:21,440 Speaker 3: Their that's why we're here, right, I like that bet? 355 00:16:21,480 --> 00:16:24,240 Speaker 1: All right, Bobs, what you got for number? I think 356 00:16:24,240 --> 00:16:25,200 Speaker 1: we're a number three here. 357 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:25,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, let's go. 358 00:16:25,960 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 4: I know it's a big number, but ceedee lamb over 359 00:16:27,680 --> 00:16:30,920 Speaker 4: seventy seventy seventy seven and a half receiving yards against 360 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:31,680 Speaker 4: the New York Giants. 361 00:16:31,680 --> 00:16:34,840 Speaker 3: That is minus one fifteen. And look for all of our. 362 00:16:34,760 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 4: Anger that we've put towards Tony Pollard and him being 363 00:16:38,160 --> 00:16:41,920 Speaker 4: ineffective coming out of the bye, they have been peppering 364 00:16:42,640 --> 00:16:45,760 Speaker 4: Ceedee Lamb with targets this last three games seven for 365 00:16:45,800 --> 00:16:49,760 Speaker 4: one to seventeen on seven targets, fourteen targets, twelve catches, 366 00:16:49,800 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty eight yards and two touchdowns. That 367 00:16:51,600 --> 00:16:55,040 Speaker 4: was off the bye, and then last week sixteen targets 368 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:57,480 Speaker 4: for eleven catches and one hundred and ninety one yards. 369 00:16:57,720 --> 00:17:00,920 Speaker 4: Like Erickson just said, if it ain't broke, don't fix it, right. 370 00:17:01,400 --> 00:17:03,600 Speaker 4: We want to keep getting the ball to ceed Lamb 371 00:17:03,640 --> 00:17:07,800 Speaker 4: because it keeps making it work. So I mean, maybe 372 00:17:07,800 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 4: you have to get your work done in the first 373 00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:11,880 Speaker 4: half here against the Giants because they are so terrible, 374 00:17:12,200 --> 00:17:14,600 Speaker 4: But I mean they're going to get it done, and 375 00:17:14,640 --> 00:17:16,359 Speaker 4: Ceedee Lamb's going to be a big part of it. 376 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 4: He gets another seven to ten targets and I think 377 00:17:20,359 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 4: he easily hits this number. This could be a halftime 378 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 4: number again for Ceedee Lamb. I would expect it not 379 00:17:25,760 --> 00:17:27,800 Speaker 4: to be. I think third fourth quarter is probably where 380 00:17:27,800 --> 00:17:30,240 Speaker 4: he gets it. But I mean I think, ceedee, Lamb is, 381 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,200 Speaker 4: I've hit this three weeks in a row, so I'm 382 00:17:33,240 --> 00:17:34,800 Speaker 4: just gonna keep taking it till it doesn't hit. 383 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:37,040 Speaker 1: That's sometimes at the end of the year, you just 384 00:17:37,080 --> 00:17:38,440 Speaker 1: got to take a look at some of the bets 385 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:40,600 Speaker 1: at work, and you may not hit every single week, 386 00:17:40,640 --> 00:17:43,760 Speaker 1: but you get that sixty five seventy plus percent hit rate, 387 00:17:43,800 --> 00:17:45,760 Speaker 1: you can take some of those losses on some of 388 00:17:45,800 --> 00:17:49,080 Speaker 1: these just chalky bets. So that is that's probably your 389 00:17:49,160 --> 00:17:51,439 Speaker 1: chalkiest of bets that you got going here. Let's go 390 00:17:51,480 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 1: to number four on the best props of the week, 391 00:17:53,640 --> 00:17:55,199 Speaker 1: Andrew Rickson. Let's hear it. 392 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:58,520 Speaker 2: Austin Eckler under fifty one and a half rushing yards. 393 00:17:58,640 --> 00:18:01,439 Speaker 2: So since Eckler's come back from this ankle injury he 394 00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:03,400 Speaker 2: suffered at the beginning of the season, it's been four 395 00:18:03,440 --> 00:18:05,720 Speaker 2: straight unders. You know, under fifty one a half rushing 396 00:18:05,760 --> 00:18:08,760 Speaker 2: yards in four straight games. The Chargers cannot run the football. 397 00:18:09,000 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 2: In big surprise, this very ineffective rushing the ball, and 398 00:18:13,760 --> 00:18:15,600 Speaker 2: the lines are not It's not the same lines run 399 00:18:15,640 --> 00:18:17,560 Speaker 2: defense I've picked on for years and years and years 400 00:18:17,600 --> 00:18:19,439 Speaker 2: with fantasy football, like the Lions have one of the 401 00:18:19,440 --> 00:18:22,040 Speaker 2: better run defense in the NFL, playing the second fewest 402 00:18:22,080 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 2: rushing yards per game to running backs at fifty seven 403 00:18:24,680 --> 00:18:27,320 Speaker 2: point five. Only two running backs they faced all year 404 00:18:27,480 --> 00:18:30,480 Speaker 2: have gotten over sixty rushing yards against them, So again 405 00:18:30,480 --> 00:18:31,800 Speaker 2: it's a trend. It's four in a row and thinks 406 00:18:31,840 --> 00:18:33,760 Speaker 2: give me five in a row because the Chargers can't 407 00:18:33,800 --> 00:18:36,120 Speaker 2: run the football. So Austin Eckler under fifty one half 408 00:18:36,160 --> 00:18:38,320 Speaker 2: rushing yards to get the set fan duel at minus 409 00:18:38,320 --> 00:18:38,920 Speaker 2: one fourteen. 410 00:18:39,160 --> 00:18:40,760 Speaker 1: I'm gonna have. I'm gonna give you the nickname of 411 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:41,960 Speaker 1: Andrew Ericksson. 412 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:42,760 Speaker 3: I love. 413 00:18:44,160 --> 00:18:45,439 Speaker 1: Ericson baby oh. 414 00:18:45,440 --> 00:18:48,040 Speaker 3: My, that is stretching. 415 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:50,920 Speaker 1: No, I think it's great. It might be stretching great, 416 00:18:51,240 --> 00:18:54,640 Speaker 1: but you know what low like. I think it speaks 417 00:18:54,760 --> 00:19:00,600 Speaker 1: very well to Andrew. Andrew Erickson's complete understand in your face, 418 00:19:00,760 --> 00:19:04,440 Speaker 1: but your understanding of this market because we love overs 419 00:19:04,480 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 1: and to be able to pinpoint the unders is a 420 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:11,240 Speaker 1: complete understanding of game planning and prop betting. I say 421 00:19:11,240 --> 00:19:14,680 Speaker 1: it the best, most affectionate way, because you don't listen 422 00:19:14,720 --> 00:19:18,200 Speaker 1: to a lot of shows where they're smacking unders for props, 423 00:19:19,000 --> 00:19:21,800 Speaker 1: sides and totals. It's kind of a completely different market, 424 00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:25,320 Speaker 1: but there's a very sneaky market out there for the unders. 425 00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:30,040 Speaker 1: So we affectionately say we need like under we need 426 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:31,320 Speaker 1: like a sound marker too. 427 00:19:31,400 --> 00:19:34,679 Speaker 4: For Andrew Ericsson, we are getting a shirt that says 428 00:19:34,760 --> 00:19:37,359 Speaker 4: life is too short to bet the unders courtesy of 429 00:19:37,440 --> 00:19:39,520 Speaker 4: Joe Pisap and myself. So because I say it all 430 00:19:39,560 --> 00:19:40,760 Speaker 4: the time and Piz and p is like, we got 431 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:42,200 Speaker 4: to get a shirt, we do. I guess they are 432 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:42,800 Speaker 4: going to make it. 433 00:19:42,840 --> 00:19:45,359 Speaker 1: So can I can? I request from betting pros and 434 00:19:45,359 --> 00:19:47,760 Speaker 1: fantas bros? Can we get Andrew Erickson? I will wear 435 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:50,560 Speaker 1: it on a show. I know he's loving that. Andrew Erickson, 436 00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:53,520 Speaker 1: please give me that shirt. I'm betting it, but I 437 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:56,959 Speaker 1: just hate to say it's two really good undersay Andrew 438 00:19:56,960 --> 00:19:58,320 Speaker 1: has put up there? All right, Bobs, what do you 439 00:19:58,359 --> 00:19:59,879 Speaker 1: got here for number four? On your favorite? 440 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:02,520 Speaker 4: Let's go Marquise Brown over fifty three and a half 441 00:20:02,560 --> 00:20:05,480 Speaker 4: receiving yards against Atlanta And this one is because we 442 00:20:05,560 --> 00:20:09,320 Speaker 4: got three turn of Marquise Brown of Kyler Murray. Excuse 443 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:12,080 Speaker 4: me with Marquis Brown and last season in seven games 444 00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:15,240 Speaker 4: they've played together, Marquis Brown averaged seventy five point eight 445 00:20:15,320 --> 00:20:16,040 Speaker 4: yards per game. 446 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:16,800 Speaker 3: And I know it's a. 447 00:20:16,720 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 4: Different offense, of course, but this is a connection that 448 00:20:19,320 --> 00:20:23,320 Speaker 4: has been going together since college at Oklahoma. So I think, 449 00:20:23,720 --> 00:20:25,960 Speaker 4: you know, especially in his first game back, he's gonna 450 00:20:25,960 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 4: be looking for familiar targets and stuff like that. So 451 00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:29,960 Speaker 4: I think Marquis Brown is going to get peppered with 452 00:20:30,040 --> 00:20:32,640 Speaker 4: targets in this game against Atlanta. And I think he 453 00:20:32,720 --> 00:20:35,199 Speaker 4: hits this total. I mean, this is fifty three and 454 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:37,240 Speaker 4: a half. If we get the ball in his hands 455 00:20:37,280 --> 00:20:39,879 Speaker 4: five times, I don't see how he doesn't hit this total. 456 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:41,520 Speaker 4: And I think he's going to have at least five 457 00:20:41,560 --> 00:20:45,040 Speaker 4: catches in this game. So I think this one's pretty easy. 458 00:20:45,320 --> 00:20:46,879 Speaker 1: You know, one other I just wanted to ask real 459 00:20:46,960 --> 00:20:49,240 Speaker 1: quick ericson do you think there's any play I think 460 00:20:49,240 --> 00:20:51,280 Speaker 1: you and I maybe slightly did this on the live 461 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:54,040 Speaker 1: stream Michael Wilson, do you think there's anything in play 462 00:20:54,040 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 1: for Michael Wilson. It's a low number thirty six and 463 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,200 Speaker 1: a half this week. Is there anything that you would 464 00:20:58,240 --> 00:20:59,560 Speaker 1: jump in on that? Or do you do you like 465 00:20:59,560 --> 00:21:00,280 Speaker 1: that Marquis Brown? 466 00:21:00,320 --> 00:21:02,760 Speaker 2: One I like the Markis Brown one that actually was 467 00:21:02,800 --> 00:21:05,560 Speaker 2: on my on my sheet as well, but I saw 468 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:07,000 Speaker 2: Box had already taken it, so I don't want to 469 00:21:07,040 --> 00:21:09,000 Speaker 2: have a repeat bet, so I just went with another 470 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:11,040 Speaker 2: under because you know Andre Erickson, That's what I do. 471 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:16,679 Speaker 2: Michael Wilson. Michael Wilson, I would say, I guess I 472 00:21:16,720 --> 00:21:18,800 Speaker 2: just don't know what the connection is like between him 473 00:21:18,960 --> 00:21:21,800 Speaker 2: and Murray would be my hesitance about it. He's been 474 00:21:21,840 --> 00:21:23,639 Speaker 2: super efficient with his targets as well. I think he 475 00:21:23,680 --> 00:21:25,439 Speaker 2: still has like a perfect passer rating when he's been 476 00:21:25,440 --> 00:21:27,880 Speaker 2: targeted this season, so he's been super efficient. Now does 477 00:21:27,880 --> 00:21:30,800 Speaker 2: that regress with a new quarterback. I actually really like 478 00:21:30,840 --> 00:21:33,400 Speaker 2: Trade McBride honestly a lot more than as that other 479 00:21:33,520 --> 00:21:36,280 Speaker 2: kind of secondary pass catcher in the Cardinal's office, because 480 00:21:36,280 --> 00:21:38,240 Speaker 2: we saw McBride. McBride's been with the team, he's played 481 00:21:38,280 --> 00:21:41,800 Speaker 2: with Kyler Murray before, whereas Michael Wilson again never seen 482 00:21:41,800 --> 00:21:43,280 Speaker 2: with Murray. So that's the only reason I would be 483 00:21:43,480 --> 00:21:44,960 Speaker 2: slightly hesitant on that one, and. 484 00:21:44,920 --> 00:21:46,400 Speaker 1: That's where I was gonna I was gonna even bring 485 00:21:46,440 --> 00:21:49,159 Speaker 1: in to McBride. It's forty and a half on the 486 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,680 Speaker 1: receiving yards three and a half receptions. 487 00:21:51,720 --> 00:21:54,680 Speaker 2: Now the exceptions is what I like because especially against 488 00:21:54,680 --> 00:21:57,800 Speaker 2: the Falcons, the Falcons defense is bleeds to tight ends. 489 00:21:58,240 --> 00:21:58,960 Speaker 3: It's just juiced. 490 00:22:00,080 --> 00:22:03,159 Speaker 4: Landman isn't good at covering tight ends here, What are 491 00:22:03,200 --> 00:22:04,760 Speaker 4: you sayingelievable? 492 00:22:04,720 --> 00:22:07,679 Speaker 1: I would again like when you get the superjuiced reception, 493 00:22:07,920 --> 00:22:10,120 Speaker 1: it's minus one sixty. So that's a pretty hard bet 494 00:22:10,160 --> 00:22:11,600 Speaker 1: to go with. You want to have a little bit 495 00:22:11,640 --> 00:22:14,040 Speaker 1: of fun. I think that's a pretty chocky one that 496 00:22:14,160 --> 00:22:16,439 Speaker 1: maybe you pair that with another reception prop that you 497 00:22:16,560 --> 00:22:19,520 Speaker 1: really like. Or again, if you just want to in 498 00:22:20,960 --> 00:22:25,240 Speaker 1: Andrew ericson spirit take like Jalen reagor under and pair 499 00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:29,280 Speaker 1: that together with Trey McBride. Maybe receptions all right, final 500 00:22:29,280 --> 00:22:30,800 Speaker 1: ones on the top five. Then we'll look at our 501 00:22:30,840 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 1: anytime touchdowns. Andrew, what do you got for your fifth 502 00:22:33,560 --> 00:22:34,359 Speaker 1: on the prop bets? 503 00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:37,320 Speaker 2: Going to go with it over because we want to 504 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:37,920 Speaker 2: have some fun. 505 00:22:38,640 --> 00:22:40,159 Speaker 1: I shamed you. I shamed you into it. 506 00:22:40,240 --> 00:22:42,800 Speaker 3: I'm too short to bet the unders. Yeah, let's go 507 00:22:42,840 --> 00:22:43,280 Speaker 3: with it over. 508 00:22:43,480 --> 00:22:45,320 Speaker 2: I'm going with Jared Goff over thirty three and a 509 00:22:45,359 --> 00:22:48,960 Speaker 2: half passing attempts. Look at the Chargers this season, they 510 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:51,520 Speaker 2: have become one of these pass funnel defenses. So they've 511 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:54,240 Speaker 2: really stifled against running backs, but they've been giving it 512 00:22:54,320 --> 00:22:56,840 Speaker 2: up through the air. You look at the quarterbacks that 513 00:22:56,840 --> 00:22:59,000 Speaker 2: they have faced the season, five of seven have gone 514 00:22:59,000 --> 00:23:01,960 Speaker 2: over their passing attempts. All of them has gone over 515 00:23:01,960 --> 00:23:05,439 Speaker 2: their passing yards props. So Jared Goff, he's gone over 516 00:23:05,480 --> 00:23:07,639 Speaker 2: three to three attempts in three straight games, projected for 517 00:23:07,640 --> 00:23:10,600 Speaker 2: thirty six pass attempts in this spot here. And I 518 00:23:10,640 --> 00:23:13,639 Speaker 2: know that Bogs likes say certain lines wide receiver as well, 519 00:23:13,760 --> 00:23:16,239 Speaker 2: So we've been talking about parlays. This one's just this 520 00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:19,320 Speaker 2: one was made for the show. So I like Jared Goff, 521 00:23:19,320 --> 00:23:21,000 Speaker 2: and I'll throw it to Box with his receiver that 522 00:23:21,040 --> 00:23:21,400 Speaker 2: he likes. 523 00:23:21,400 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 3: In his matchup, I'm honors Saint Brown. 524 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:27,560 Speaker 4: It's over six and a half receptions, it is minus 525 00:23:27,560 --> 00:23:28,160 Speaker 4: one twenty five. 526 00:23:28,200 --> 00:23:29,200 Speaker 3: But it's the Chargers. 527 00:23:29,560 --> 00:23:32,000 Speaker 4: And we just heard Ericson lay out the argument for 528 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,720 Speaker 4: all those pass attempts from Shared Goff, who's catching those? 529 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:38,040 Speaker 4: Most of them are gonna be caught by Amna Saint Brown, 530 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:41,920 Speaker 4: who over the last couple of games six, twelve, and thirteen. 531 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,400 Speaker 2: He's been absolute. I was like looking at the game box, 532 00:23:44,440 --> 00:23:46,040 Speaker 2: I was like I was reading, it was like he's 533 00:23:46,040 --> 00:23:48,439 Speaker 2: gone over like eighty yards and like seventy percent of 534 00:23:48,480 --> 00:23:49,320 Speaker 2: his games. 535 00:23:49,000 --> 00:23:51,639 Speaker 4: Like what it's like hundred yards, one hundred yards, one 536 00:23:51,680 --> 00:23:54,680 Speaker 4: hundred Well, we keep waiting for the second guy to 537 00:23:55,119 --> 00:23:57,760 Speaker 4: the second wide receiver to break out. We wanted it 538 00:23:57,840 --> 00:24:00,560 Speaker 4: to be Jamison Williams and that has no worked out. 539 00:24:00,800 --> 00:24:04,640 Speaker 4: Reynolds has come in and disappeared. They just traded for DPJ, 540 00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:07,760 Speaker 4: which makes me think that second wide receiver spot has 541 00:24:07,840 --> 00:24:10,760 Speaker 4: not really been working for them. So what are we 542 00:24:10,800 --> 00:24:14,840 Speaker 4: gonna do? Yeah, so we're gonna go to a minor 543 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,880 Speaker 4: Saint Brown. We're gonna go to Sam Laporta and Jamier Gibbs. 544 00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:20,399 Speaker 4: I think, speaking of funnels, I think that is your 545 00:24:20,400 --> 00:24:23,600 Speaker 4: funnel system if you're the Detroit Lions offense in this game, 546 00:24:23,920 --> 00:24:25,840 Speaker 4: is throw it to our three best players. And I 547 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:27,919 Speaker 4: think that's what's gonna end up happening a lot in 548 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,119 Speaker 4: this game. And a manra I think this is another, 549 00:24:30,320 --> 00:24:33,400 Speaker 4: you know, somewhere in the neighborhood of fourteen fifteen targets 550 00:24:33,440 --> 00:24:35,399 Speaker 4: game for him, and he's easily going to hit that 551 00:24:35,440 --> 00:24:38,640 Speaker 4: six and a half if he gets that number of targets. 552 00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,600 Speaker 1: I've been waiting. These cowards will not release Jamiir Gibbs 553 00:24:41,640 --> 00:24:45,320 Speaker 1: receiving yards or receptions. That's all I'm waiting for because 554 00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:47,000 Speaker 1: I'm with you on what you're saying here. I love 555 00:24:47,119 --> 00:24:50,520 Speaker 1: the honor of Saint Brown, but these cowards release it. 556 00:24:50,960 --> 00:24:52,840 Speaker 1: Grandma's not getting out of the cage until we get 557 00:24:52,880 --> 00:24:56,000 Speaker 1: Jamiir Gibb reception yard prop I'm telling you, I'm looking 558 00:24:56,040 --> 00:24:58,720 Speaker 1: for that. We'll see what the number is. I love 559 00:24:58,760 --> 00:25:00,560 Speaker 1: all of those. I really like those. You could maybe 560 00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,440 Speaker 1: same game parlay both golf and a mon ross Saint 561 00:25:03,440 --> 00:25:04,200 Speaker 1: Brown to get. 562 00:25:04,200 --> 00:25:05,040 Speaker 2: We love the Lions. 563 00:25:05,560 --> 00:25:08,800 Speaker 3: The Lions this week, Yeah, that they better not disappoint. 564 00:25:09,200 --> 00:25:11,359 Speaker 1: I think go number one over on like the main slate, right, 565 00:25:11,400 --> 00:25:13,520 Speaker 1: it might be on the week. I think it's near 566 00:25:13,560 --> 00:25:15,800 Speaker 1: the tippy top here the total, yeah yeah on the 567 00:25:15,800 --> 00:25:20,120 Speaker 1: total final up here. We got any time touchdowns ericson 568 00:25:20,359 --> 00:25:22,000 Speaker 1: what's your bet on anytime touchdown? 569 00:25:22,200 --> 00:25:24,920 Speaker 2: Do you get Metcalf. I talked about him on the 570 00:25:24,960 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 2: Start Shit Show about how I just love his matchup 571 00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:30,679 Speaker 2: against the Commanders this week. Allowing the second most receiving 572 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,159 Speaker 2: touchdowns to wide receivers, metcalf has tied for fourth in 573 00:25:33,160 --> 00:25:35,639 Speaker 2: the NFL and red zone targets. He hasn't scored since 574 00:25:35,880 --> 00:25:38,680 Speaker 2: Week four. Tyre Lockett's banged up, Jackson's the jig was 575 00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:40,360 Speaker 2: banged up, and No, Metcal's banged up a little bit too. 576 00:25:40,400 --> 00:25:42,840 Speaker 2: But he's a gamer. I think that he's gonna show 577 00:25:42,880 --> 00:25:44,480 Speaker 2: up big in this spot. I think that the Seahawks 578 00:25:44,600 --> 00:25:47,080 Speaker 2: role here against the Commander's defense, and I think Metcalf's 579 00:25:47,119 --> 00:25:49,560 Speaker 2: gonna have a huge game. So anytime touchdown for me 580 00:25:49,640 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 2: at plus one to forty. 581 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:53,000 Speaker 1: Five, bagman, who do you got for your anytime? 582 00:25:53,680 --> 00:25:55,960 Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Taysom Hill because I like the choice. 583 00:25:55,960 --> 00:25:59,640 Speaker 4: It's plus two twenty. This is against Minnesota, and outside 584 00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:01,440 Speaker 4: of some of the like the big time running backs 585 00:26:01,440 --> 00:26:06,760 Speaker 4: like Derrick Henry and Christian McCaffrey, maybe Jalen Hurts obviously 586 00:26:06,800 --> 00:26:09,320 Speaker 4: with the touch push and all that stuff, I don't 587 00:26:09,320 --> 00:26:11,119 Speaker 4: know if there's a player that's more likely to score 588 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:13,919 Speaker 4: a touchdown than Taysom Hill because they use him in 589 00:26:13,960 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 4: all those like jet sweeps and he can catch a touchdown, 590 00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:19,280 Speaker 4: and he can run one in and he can pass 591 00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:21,480 Speaker 4: for one like. They use him around the goal line 592 00:26:21,600 --> 00:26:24,119 Speaker 4: so much, and it's a good way to take Derek 593 00:26:24,160 --> 00:26:25,960 Speaker 4: Carr off the field and know he's not gonna get 594 00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,720 Speaker 4: smashed trying to make a play near the end zone. 595 00:26:28,720 --> 00:26:30,480 Speaker 4: So I like Taysom Hill to get in the end 596 00:26:30,520 --> 00:26:32,680 Speaker 4: zone once again this week, and I think there's multiple 597 00:26:32,720 --> 00:26:35,080 Speaker 4: outs to it, and it's doubling up your money. 598 00:26:35,160 --> 00:26:36,040 Speaker 3: So I like that one. 599 00:26:36,240 --> 00:26:39,399 Speaker 1: Since you guys asked, I gonna go with Deebo Samuel, 600 00:26:39,400 --> 00:26:41,440 Speaker 1: give me Deebo Samuel. Forty nine ers coming off the 601 00:26:41,480 --> 00:26:44,320 Speaker 1: by I think they are going to do some Roland 602 00:26:44,400 --> 00:26:46,600 Speaker 1: get back on track. How do you do that? You 603 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 1: do that with a healthier Deebo Samuel. You end around, 604 00:26:49,880 --> 00:26:51,919 Speaker 1: you throw the ball, he does some damage. I think 605 00:26:51,920 --> 00:26:53,439 Speaker 1: there'll be a lot of focus on Brandon. I you 606 00:26:53,520 --> 00:26:56,280 Speaker 1: Christian McCaffrey is the best bet, but you get about 607 00:26:56,280 --> 00:26:58,359 Speaker 1: one and a half on your money for Deebo Samuel. 608 00:26:58,400 --> 00:26:59,800 Speaker 1: So that one's also a shout out to my boy 609 00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:01,720 Speaker 1: d bro who loves debo. 610 00:27:02,160 --> 00:27:05,320 Speaker 2: This week before we saw actually one last thing before 611 00:27:05,320 --> 00:27:08,000 Speaker 2: we signed off. Okay, it's Tony Pollard gonna score a 612 00:27:08,000 --> 00:27:11,240 Speaker 2: touchdown this week. It's it's minus one fifty, despite the 613 00:27:11,240 --> 00:27:12,040 Speaker 2: fact that he still. 614 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:14,960 Speaker 1: Doesn't score minus one fifty. 615 00:27:14,880 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 2: Anytime touchdowns minus one fifty for Tony Pollard? 616 00:27:17,960 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 4: How could you bet it? That's my question is how 617 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,040 Speaker 4: could you possibly bet it? The juice is terrible? 618 00:27:23,440 --> 00:27:24,640 Speaker 2: Oh yeah, no, it's horrible. 619 00:27:24,680 --> 00:27:26,320 Speaker 1: But I mean is he gonna score? 620 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:28,119 Speaker 2: But like ultimately, like we're talking about value, but it's like, 621 00:27:28,160 --> 00:27:29,639 Speaker 2: is he gonna score? Like that's what I want to know. 622 00:27:29,960 --> 00:27:33,560 Speaker 1: I'll say no, I'll say yes, yes, let's go, Yes, 623 00:27:33,640 --> 00:27:36,160 Speaker 1: let's go, let's go. I actually I'm not gonna lie 624 00:27:36,359 --> 00:27:38,600 Speaker 1: while like we were like in the middle of the show, 625 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:40,320 Speaker 1: I went to look, I was like, what's that rushing 626 00:27:40,400 --> 00:27:43,200 Speaker 1: yard prop for Tony Pollard? Just to look like sixty nine? 627 00:27:43,680 --> 00:27:45,359 Speaker 2: They're gonna be I mean, if they're gonna score like 628 00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:47,960 Speaker 2: forty points, like they might as well give him a touchdown. 629 00:27:47,680 --> 00:27:50,639 Speaker 4: Like come on, yeah, Sneedie Lamb scores three none for 630 00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:51,480 Speaker 4: Tony when. 631 00:27:51,359 --> 00:27:54,240 Speaker 1: Ric O'Donnell's scores, We're gonna scream. 632 00:27:53,280 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 2: In the shot. 633 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:56,879 Speaker 1: So it's gonna happened to yeah exactly. All right, Well, 634 00:27:56,880 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 1: thank you guys for hanging out with us. Those are 635 00:27:58,640 --> 00:28:01,600 Speaker 1: your bets. Let me give you a little recap here 636 00:28:01,720 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 1: for everybody if you want to get on the props 637 00:28:03,800 --> 00:28:07,320 Speaker 1: here going over to mister Scott Bagman. Scott Bagman has 638 00:28:07,320 --> 00:28:10,680 Speaker 1: got Rashad White over receptions, Javonte Williams over rushing yards 639 00:28:10,720 --> 00:28:13,159 Speaker 1: fifty four and a half, Ceedee Lamb over receiving seventy 640 00:28:13,200 --> 00:28:16,359 Speaker 1: seven and a half, Marquise over receiving fifty three and 641 00:28:16,400 --> 00:28:18,800 Speaker 1: a half, a Monroe Saint Brown six and a half 642 00:28:18,840 --> 00:28:22,320 Speaker 1: on the receptions, and Taysom Hill anytime touchdowns. Rickson's got 643 00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:25,439 Speaker 1: Rashid Shaheed over thirty and a half receiving yards, George 644 00:28:25,440 --> 00:28:29,560 Speaker 1: Pickens under three and a half receptions, Jalen Riger under 645 00:28:30,119 --> 00:28:32,760 Speaker 1: twenty and one and a half receiving yards, Austin Eckler 646 00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,160 Speaker 1: under fifty one and a half rushing yards, Jared Goff 647 00:28:36,200 --> 00:28:39,680 Speaker 1: thirty three and over passing attempts, and dk Metcalf anytime touchdown. 648 00:28:39,960 --> 00:28:42,800 Speaker 1: And if you want to t l see it with us, 649 00:28:43,080 --> 00:28:46,520 Speaker 1: you can go Rashid Shaheed sixty plus receiving yards, Ze 650 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:50,200 Speaker 1: Flowers sixty plus receiving yards and Christian Watson sixty plus 651 00:28:50,200 --> 00:28:53,680 Speaker 1: receiving yards and you can get around forty nine toh 652 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,000 Speaker 1: one on your money. If you want to be a psychopath, 653 00:28:56,040 --> 00:28:58,560 Speaker 1: you can join us and do that. Find these guys 654 00:28:58,800 --> 00:29:02,480 Speaker 1: on the ex Twitter Andrew Ericsson underscore Bogman Sports. You 655 00:29:02,480 --> 00:29:04,560 Speaker 1: can find me at ZiT the Welsh. Make sure you 656 00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:07,200 Speaker 1: guys are subscribed to the YouTube channel your opportunity to 657 00:29:07,240 --> 00:29:09,240 Speaker 1: win cool stuff and go and download the Betting Pros 658 00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:12,480 Speaker 1: apps today. Go in some money. We release you now 659 00:29:12,520 --> 00:29:15,040 Speaker 1: to make all the bets. Until next time it's Betting Pros. 660 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:17,040 Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging with us by friends. 661 00:29:17,640 --> 00:29:19,800 Speaker 3: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. 662 00:29:20,040 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 663 00:29:22,760 --> 00:29:24,600 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. 664 00:29:25,040 --> 00:29:26,080 Speaker 3: Also subscribe to our 665 00:29:26,120 --> 00:29:29,000 Speaker 4: YouTube channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros