1 00:00:00,360 --> 00:00:04,120 Speaker 1: The Favorite podcast is presented by FanDuel Sports Book. There's 2 00:00:04,160 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 1: no better place to make every moment more than with FanDuel. 3 00:00:08,400 --> 00:00:11,319 Speaker 1: I bet with FanDuel because they're safe and secure, they 4 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 1: offer great odds and markets across the NBA, n h L, 5 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,680 Speaker 1: and more, and because it's fun to combine multiple bets 6 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 1: into same game parlays. So if you're new, just download 7 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 1: the FanDuel Sports Book app to get started now. Sign 8 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: up with promo code Favorites so they know I sent 9 00:00:28,400 --> 00:00:33,160 Speaker 1: you. You You must be over in president in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Indiana, Michigan, 10 00:00:33,159 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 1: New Jersey, New York, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia or Louisiana. 11 00:00:36,720 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 1: Gamboon problem called one eight hundred next step or text 12 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,279 Speaker 1: next step to five three three four two in Arizona 13 00:00:42,520 --> 00:00:45,320 Speaker 1: one eight hundred Gambler or visit FanDuel dot com slash 14 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,000 Speaker 1: RG in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey. In Virginia one eight 15 00:00:49,240 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 1: seven eight nine seven seven seven seven or visit CCPG 16 00:00:52,479 --> 00:00:56,840 Speaker 1: dot org slash chat in Connecticut one eight seven zero 17 00:00:56,880 --> 00:00:59,279 Speaker 1: seven one one seven for confidential help in Michigan one 18 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: eight seventh having seven zero s t O P in 19 00:01:02,680 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 1: Louisiana called the Tennessee Redline one eight eight nine nine, 20 00:01:06,840 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 1: or visit one eight Gambler dot net in West Virginia. 21 00:01:17,959 --> 00:01:21,480 Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites That Podcast from the Volume and 22 00:01:21,600 --> 00:01:24,959 Speaker 1: Podcast Network. I am Chad Moment, Chief Content Officer of 23 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:29,280 Speaker 1: the Action Network. A huge, huge show today for a 24 00:01:29,319 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: lot of people in sports, for a lot of sports fans, 25 00:01:32,319 --> 00:01:34,920 Speaker 1: for people who are relatively new to this podcast over 26 00:01:34,959 --> 00:01:38,280 Speaker 1: say the last eight nine months since we joined the Volume, 27 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:42,840 Speaker 1: and who might have come to Western football season. If 28 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:45,680 Speaker 1: you are a new better and you're just sort of 29 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 1: experiencing the joys of being a casual better, March Madness 30 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:54,680 Speaker 1: is amazing. Conference Tournament Week might be even better because 31 00:01:54,680 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: of that, because it is conference tournament week for the 32 00:01:57,480 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: a C, c, SEC, Big Ten, Big Big East, plus 33 00:02:01,320 --> 00:02:04,000 Speaker 1: all some other conferences that, like you might not have 34 00:02:04,000 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 1: been paying attention to. We're going to dedicate this show 35 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:11,119 Speaker 1: to betting the conference tournaments. Simon Hunter, my bff, my companion, 36 00:02:11,160 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: Mike and Padre. He's back from his world tour. We're 37 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:16,640 Speaker 1: gonna talk for a second. After he's done. We're gonna 38 00:02:16,639 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 1: bring in UH two of Action Networks college basketball analysts 39 00:02:22,520 --> 00:02:26,919 Speaker 1: b J. Cunningham and the one name Wonder, the original 40 00:02:27,400 --> 00:02:33,639 Speaker 1: Action Network analysts Stucky. But first, Simon, we've had you 41 00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,720 Speaker 1: in Cuba. We've had you in Belize. We've had you 42 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 1: in Cosmel. We've had you from a balcony. We've had 43 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 1: you from a beach, We've had you from your hotel room. 44 00:02:45,240 --> 00:02:49,560 Speaker 1: You are now safely back in Southern Jersey, South Jersey, 45 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:52,480 Speaker 1: as they say, welcome home, brother, it's good to be back. 46 00:02:52,560 --> 00:02:55,839 Speaker 1: Chat miss America little things. But as I got back here, 47 00:02:55,960 --> 00:02:59,160 Speaker 1: it was overcast forty degrees in Philadelphia, and I was thinking, 48 00:02:59,520 --> 00:03:01,680 Speaker 1: what am I on? Why did I come back? It's 49 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:03,480 Speaker 1: good to be back to reality. I felt like I 50 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:04,959 Speaker 1: felt it slipping away a little bit when I was 51 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:06,959 Speaker 1: out there, like I might never come back. I was 52 00:03:07,000 --> 00:03:08,920 Speaker 1: going to pull a Vincent Chase and just disappear to 53 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:11,680 Speaker 1: some island and just live it up. But now it's 54 00:03:11,680 --> 00:03:14,080 Speaker 1: good to be back, especially as it's about to be 55 00:03:14,080 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 1: March Madness. As a gamba, it's one of my favorite 56 00:03:16,120 --> 00:03:18,120 Speaker 1: times a year. I lose a ton of money or 57 00:03:18,120 --> 00:03:20,000 Speaker 1: I one a ton of money. There's no in between. Well, 58 00:03:20,000 --> 00:03:22,760 Speaker 1: I'm glad you're back, Simon. It's funny you say it's 59 00:03:22,800 --> 00:03:26,920 Speaker 1: forty degrees and overcast in Philly. Yesterday it was sixty 60 00:03:26,960 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 1: degrees and relatively overcast in Connecticut, and it was so nice, 61 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:34,440 Speaker 1: and I was so happy. I got I walked the 62 00:03:34,520 --> 00:03:36,520 Speaker 1: dog later in the day, and I came back and 63 00:03:36,560 --> 00:03:38,720 Speaker 1: I told my wife, I need you to commit to 64 00:03:38,720 --> 00:03:41,600 Speaker 1: me right now. I need you right now to commit 65 00:03:42,080 --> 00:03:45,080 Speaker 1: Our younger son is finishing his freshman year in high school. 66 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 1: That means three more years. That means three more winters, 67 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:52,080 Speaker 1: that means eighteen months of winter. I need you to 68 00:03:52,120 --> 00:03:55,440 Speaker 1: commit to me right now that when he graduates, we 69 00:03:55,480 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: can start living somewhere else for six months of the year. 70 00:03:58,160 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 1: I cannot do winters. I can not do below fifty 71 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:05,280 Speaker 1: degrees anymore. I'm getting older. I've always been sensitive to 72 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:09,000 Speaker 1: the cold. I can't function in this environment anymore. I 73 00:04:09,000 --> 00:04:10,840 Speaker 1: don't know why you came back and I go to college, 74 00:04:11,000 --> 00:04:13,280 Speaker 1: mL Man. Half the people that's what bid Dill. They're 75 00:04:13,320 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 1: like New Yorkers are over for Connecticut. You're not the 76 00:04:15,840 --> 00:04:17,680 Speaker 1: only one with that thinking pattern. All right, well, I'm 77 00:04:17,680 --> 00:04:20,719 Speaker 1: glad you're back, Simon. Now I want to bring in B. J. Cunningham, 78 00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:23,720 Speaker 1: who was one of our Action Network analysts. He covers 79 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,559 Speaker 1: literally everything. The guy used to be an accountant. Another 80 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:29,800 Speaker 1: one of these accountants that we saved from the trash 81 00:04:29,880 --> 00:04:33,839 Speaker 1: heap of accountancy. Him and Chris Raybond. We saved their 82 00:04:33,920 --> 00:04:37,400 Speaker 1: lives and gave him a chance to do something smart 83 00:04:37,760 --> 00:04:42,080 Speaker 1: with their numbers that they enjoy. That is betting aggressively 84 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:44,920 Speaker 1: and betting often and telling you about everything they do. 85 00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 1: B J, another great college basketball year. How are you, buddy, 86 00:04:49,160 --> 00:04:50,800 Speaker 1: I'm wonderful. You know. It's funny that you mentioned the 87 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:52,800 Speaker 1: accounting thing because I was moving some stuff around my 88 00:04:52,839 --> 00:04:56,080 Speaker 1: house the other day and I found my old CP 89 00:04:56,240 --> 00:05:00,000 Speaker 1: exam textbooks that are completely outdated, and I looked at them. 90 00:05:00,040 --> 00:05:02,039 Speaker 1: I was like, man, I really hope that I never 91 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:03,680 Speaker 1: have to go back and doing that. So I guess 92 00:05:03,680 --> 00:05:06,120 Speaker 1: I gotta say once again, I should be thanking every 93 00:05:06,120 --> 00:05:08,480 Speaker 1: single day for for saving me from that. I'm really 94 00:05:08,560 --> 00:05:11,119 Speaker 1: excited for conference tournament time, you know, for people who 95 00:05:11,200 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 1: are just betting for the first time. There are so 96 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,599 Speaker 1: many games over this this next week to bet on. 97 00:05:16,680 --> 00:05:19,520 Speaker 1: It's it's almost obviously the term is fantastic and the 98 00:05:19,560 --> 00:05:22,080 Speaker 1: drama is great, but there is so much more action 99 00:05:22,120 --> 00:05:23,840 Speaker 1: and chances to get bets in this week and it's 100 00:05:23,839 --> 00:05:26,560 Speaker 1: gonna be a ton, a ton of fun. Do you 101 00:05:26,600 --> 00:05:28,760 Speaker 1: get itchy at this time of year because it's account 102 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:31,360 Speaker 1: it's a tax season? No. I I used to be 103 00:05:31,360 --> 00:05:33,760 Speaker 1: an honorist. I didn't never had to do taxes, And 104 00:05:33,800 --> 00:05:35,839 Speaker 1: actually I have somebody to do my own taxes because 105 00:05:36,080 --> 00:05:38,200 Speaker 1: they're actually quite complicated. I don't really want to spend 106 00:05:38,200 --> 00:05:40,279 Speaker 1: the time to try and figure them out nowadays because 107 00:05:40,279 --> 00:05:43,200 Speaker 1: there's obviously so many new regulations and everything like that. Well, 108 00:05:43,240 --> 00:05:46,640 Speaker 1: you're welcome, Stucky. It is great to have you on, brother. 109 00:05:46,960 --> 00:05:50,000 Speaker 1: I need you to explain to people when we started 110 00:05:50,000 --> 00:05:53,600 Speaker 1: Action Network. When I left ESPN in September of two 111 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:57,320 Speaker 1: thousand seventeen, my first week on the job, I went 112 00:05:57,360 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: to New York on a Tuesday night. I had dinner 113 00:06:00,600 --> 00:06:04,159 Speaker 1: with this dude named Stucky who was like a quasi 114 00:06:04,400 --> 00:06:08,080 Speaker 1: analyst that had been hired before I was, before there 115 00:06:08,120 --> 00:06:10,880 Speaker 1: was even a company. He was a guy that was 116 00:06:10,920 --> 00:06:15,159 Speaker 1: discovered in message boards working in finance, and he was 117 00:06:15,240 --> 00:06:17,599 Speaker 1: hiding under the cloak of darkness and a fake name. 118 00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:20,520 Speaker 1: We're having dinner at a barbecue joined in the city 119 00:06:20,720 --> 00:06:22,360 Speaker 1: and he looks at me and goes so who's gonna 120 00:06:22,400 --> 00:06:25,520 Speaker 1: be my boss? I'm like, I guess that's gonna be me, buddy, 121 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,480 Speaker 1: where five years later, almost stuck. He continues to be 122 00:06:30,080 --> 00:06:33,719 Speaker 1: the heart and soul of the Action Network and what 123 00:06:33,800 --> 00:06:36,080 Speaker 1: I love is obviously stuck. He is not your real name, 124 00:06:36,080 --> 00:06:38,359 Speaker 1: but you should explain to people how you got the 125 00:06:38,440 --> 00:06:41,679 Speaker 1: name and why did germaine to this conversation. Yeah, I left. 126 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:45,120 Speaker 1: I left a job in finance for eight years, um 127 00:06:45,200 --> 00:06:49,279 Speaker 1: when we were first starting to and uh, unfortunately it 128 00:06:49,279 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 1: worked out. Um, still here and still kicking, and it's 129 00:06:52,320 --> 00:06:55,120 Speaker 1: my favorite month of the year. I've been betting college basketball, 130 00:06:55,160 --> 00:06:57,560 Speaker 1: I mean since I was in I mean almost daily 131 00:06:57,640 --> 00:07:00,600 Speaker 1: during the season since uh I don't freshman year in 132 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 1: high school and and back in two thousand three, I 133 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:07,040 Speaker 1: started posting on on like forums like I won't name 134 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:09,520 Speaker 1: any of them, but uh, you know you message boards, 135 00:07:09,520 --> 00:07:12,000 Speaker 1: you post your picks and then you're reasoning for it, 136 00:07:12,040 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 1: and then everyone kind of interacts like emojis. Before emojis, 137 00:07:15,400 --> 00:07:18,280 Speaker 1: you post like money bags. We we a couple of us, 138 00:07:18,280 --> 00:07:20,040 Speaker 1: started to try to start our own forum, so we 139 00:07:20,120 --> 00:07:23,080 Speaker 1: got banned from this one forum. My original name on 140 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,120 Speaker 1: that was hilarious old a well named. But when I 141 00:07:26,160 --> 00:07:29,800 Speaker 1: came back to the forum mid two thousand's, Rodney Stucky 142 00:07:29,880 --> 00:07:31,640 Speaker 1: was one of my favorite college BASKETBA players went to 143 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:37,120 Speaker 1: Eastern Washington University. So I just literally was creating a 144 00:07:37,200 --> 00:07:39,640 Speaker 1: user name and I would won money on Eastern Washington 145 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: UM that night. So I just created my accountant name 146 00:07:44,800 --> 00:07:48,480 Speaker 1: picked Stucky and that was that. I was at um 147 00:07:48,520 --> 00:07:51,040 Speaker 1: now Stucky to on Twitter because someone took Stucky. That 148 00:07:51,160 --> 00:07:53,760 Speaker 1: there's never tweeting like one time, like fifteen years ago, 149 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,400 Speaker 1: and then it just stuck one intended and you know, 150 00:07:57,560 --> 00:08:00,880 Speaker 1: now like all my friends like leagues that people, that's 151 00:08:00,920 --> 00:08:04,640 Speaker 1: what people call me Um, and that's how it started. 152 00:08:04,920 --> 00:08:06,480 Speaker 1: And then you know, I built a big following up 153 00:08:06,520 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: on the forums and then you know they kind of 154 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:10,560 Speaker 1: got like toxics. So I was like, I'm just going 155 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:12,880 Speaker 1: to Twitter. I'll post my plays on Twitter. A lot 156 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:15,120 Speaker 1: of people follow me, they're build to following. I was 157 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:18,760 Speaker 1: a completely private and then now here we are talking 158 00:08:18,800 --> 00:08:22,360 Speaker 1: conference tournaments. I think it's appropriate that when we're talking 159 00:08:22,400 --> 00:08:25,559 Speaker 1: conference tournaments, and again we're gonna talk a c C SEC, 160 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,080 Speaker 1: Big ten, etcetera, we're gonna throw in a couple of 161 00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:31,240 Speaker 1: wild cards there that go deeper. The fact that your 162 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:35,000 Speaker 1: nickname is now based on a guy who played for 163 00:08:35,080 --> 00:08:39,840 Speaker 1: Eastern Washington and was playing for a team on which 164 00:08:39,880 --> 00:08:42,439 Speaker 1: you want to bet, and twenty years later that's still 165 00:08:42,480 --> 00:08:45,480 Speaker 1: your nickname. That shows you how deep we go into 166 00:08:45,520 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 1: college basketball, the Action Network and the quality of the 167 00:08:48,559 --> 00:08:52,240 Speaker 1: information you can count on on this podcast. Let's just 168 00:08:52,320 --> 00:08:56,599 Speaker 1: let her rip. There's a Big five essentially a c 169 00:08:56,760 --> 00:08:59,720 Speaker 1: c SEC, Big ten, Big twelve, pack twelve. Right, So 170 00:09:00,440 --> 00:09:03,040 Speaker 1: this past Saturday, we had Duke North Carolina coach K's 171 00:09:03,080 --> 00:09:06,080 Speaker 1: last game. The Iron Five from North Carolina played the 172 00:09:06,200 --> 00:09:10,040 Speaker 1: entire second half. They come back, they have a twenty 173 00:09:10,120 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 1: three point turnaround, they win that game. Stuck will start 174 00:09:13,679 --> 00:09:16,600 Speaker 1: with you handicap the a CEC Atturney right now, I 175 00:09:16,600 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 1: think that there's potential to maybe take a long shot, 176 00:09:21,720 --> 00:09:23,360 Speaker 1: not none of the crazy long shots to play on 177 00:09:23,400 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 1: the in the first day. There's the a CEC is 178 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,520 Speaker 1: very down this year. So if you're used to the 179 00:09:27,520 --> 00:09:29,720 Speaker 1: a CEC being one of the best conferences in the country, 180 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 1: it's not this year. You have Duke safely in and 181 00:09:32,840 --> 00:09:34,400 Speaker 1: then it's like a bunch of teams that are on 182 00:09:34,440 --> 00:09:37,240 Speaker 1: the bubble, like even Carolina. I think they're safely in now, 183 00:09:37,320 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 1: but they were considered on the bubble like a week ago. 184 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 1: The bottom of there's been a lot of injuries, there's 185 00:09:42,040 --> 00:09:43,720 Speaker 1: a lot of turnover in the conference. The bottom of 186 00:09:43,720 --> 00:09:46,840 Speaker 1: the conference is just horrendous. And they play on Tuesday. 187 00:09:46,840 --> 00:09:48,720 Speaker 1: Those teams would have to win five games in five days. 188 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:51,560 Speaker 1: Not happening. But the teams that play in the second round, 189 00:09:52,640 --> 00:09:55,480 Speaker 1: you know, opposite of Duke. I think, Duke, after that 190 00:09:55,520 --> 00:09:58,160 Speaker 1: Carolina loss, you're gonna come in here, I think with 191 00:09:58,200 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 1: a sense of purpose. So when I look get this bracket, okay, 192 00:10:00,920 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 1: I want to from a future spect, I want to 193 00:10:02,679 --> 00:10:05,040 Speaker 1: attack the bottom half of the bracket, where Duke isn't 194 00:10:05,320 --> 00:10:08,960 Speaker 1: and where Carolina is coming off of that huge Duke win. 195 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:12,480 Speaker 1: Is there an emotional letdown? And and and by the way, Carolina, 196 00:10:12,760 --> 00:10:16,199 Speaker 1: Jackolan hide all your very inconsistent team they don't really 197 00:10:16,240 --> 00:10:19,080 Speaker 1: defend consistently. Is a team that look went to Duke 198 00:10:19,120 --> 00:10:21,480 Speaker 1: in one the spoil coach case party. They also lost 199 00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 1: at home to pit Um, you know, and I can 200 00:10:23,559 --> 00:10:26,040 Speaker 1: go on and on for examples. I would look at 201 00:10:26,440 --> 00:10:29,040 Speaker 1: one of the two Virginia schools, Virginia, Virginia Tech. They 202 00:10:29,080 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 1: both play in the second round, and Virginia Tech if 203 00:10:32,920 --> 00:10:34,960 Speaker 1: they win and get Notre Dame Virginia if they win 204 00:10:35,000 --> 00:10:38,199 Speaker 1: with get North Carolina UM and both teams should advance 205 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:42,640 Speaker 1: to those games in the quarterfinals. I kind of prefer 206 00:10:42,720 --> 00:10:46,080 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. It's a team that can shoot, it's a 207 00:10:46,120 --> 00:10:49,480 Speaker 1: team that has that is well coached. Now, winning four 208 00:10:49,520 --> 00:10:52,360 Speaker 1: games in four days is not easy, but both of 209 00:10:52,400 --> 00:10:56,280 Speaker 1: those teams playing extremely slow, and that's gonna help with 210 00:10:56,360 --> 00:10:58,720 Speaker 1: legs because there's gonna be limited possessions. So it's not 211 00:10:58,760 --> 00:11:00,520 Speaker 1: a team that's running up and down the court relying 212 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:05,120 Speaker 1: on athleticism limited possession games. Virginia Tech kind of underachieved 213 00:11:05,160 --> 00:11:09,079 Speaker 1: this year, but the potential is there. I like their path. 214 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:12,760 Speaker 1: That's who I prefer. I could see the argument also 215 00:11:12,800 --> 00:11:15,280 Speaker 1: for Virginia you can get them, I don't know, tend 216 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:18,520 Speaker 1: twelve to one. I think I actually four to one 217 00:11:18,520 --> 00:11:21,200 Speaker 1: and get Virginia Tech around ten twelve to one, and 218 00:11:21,280 --> 00:11:23,559 Speaker 1: you know, Virginia is gonna grind games down to a halt. 219 00:11:24,280 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 1: Their defense isn't as good as the year's past, they're 220 00:11:26,840 --> 00:11:30,280 Speaker 1: still well coached. They've competed with the best teams in 221 00:11:30,320 --> 00:11:32,920 Speaker 1: the conference. I think that's where I would look from 222 00:11:32,920 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: a futures perspective. I personally have a flyer on the 223 00:11:37,280 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 1: hookies of Virginia Tech, who probably need to win this 224 00:11:41,040 --> 00:11:44,000 Speaker 1: or get to the final two, get into the dance, 225 00:11:44,240 --> 00:11:47,360 Speaker 1: and so they're gonna be super motivated, and I think 226 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:51,280 Speaker 1: that their path is is favorable. B J, you were 227 00:11:51,320 --> 00:11:55,520 Speaker 1: shaking your head before you respond, I would like to know, 228 00:11:57,200 --> 00:11:59,240 Speaker 1: if not the A C C, which is clearly not, 229 00:12:00,040 --> 00:12:02,800 Speaker 1: what do we think is the best the best conference 230 00:12:03,040 --> 00:12:05,960 Speaker 1: in college basketball this year? Well, personally, I would say 231 00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:07,880 Speaker 1: the Big Ten, that's my heart, but it's probably the 232 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:11,000 Speaker 1: SEC The SEC IS. I would have imagine, you know, 233 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:14,559 Speaker 1: you know, you're welcome. Uh, you know, the four best 234 00:12:14,600 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 1: teams in the SEC are clearly you know, way better 235 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:18,920 Speaker 1: than you know, the top four in the Big Ten 236 00:12:19,080 --> 00:12:20,920 Speaker 1: right now. So I would say the SEC IS is 237 00:12:20,920 --> 00:12:23,120 Speaker 1: far and away probably the best conference. But the reason 238 00:12:23,160 --> 00:12:25,040 Speaker 1: I was shaking my head is because I literally had 239 00:12:25,120 --> 00:12:28,400 Speaker 1: Virginia Tech in Virginia written down right here. So I'm 240 00:12:28,400 --> 00:12:30,040 Speaker 1: gonna just you know, echo what stuck he said. You know, 241 00:12:30,080 --> 00:12:33,000 Speaker 1: Virginia attack really good three point shooting team, shooting over 242 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:36,120 Speaker 1: thirty eight percent from behind the arc this season, they 243 00:12:36,120 --> 00:12:38,800 Speaker 1: spaced the floor really well. They're really good shot selection, 244 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:41,920 Speaker 1: They're unbelievable in the half court, actually number one in 245 00:12:41,960 --> 00:12:44,160 Speaker 1: the a s C in points per possession in the 246 00:12:44,160 --> 00:12:47,240 Speaker 1: half court, both on offense and on defense. So it's 247 00:12:47,240 --> 00:12:49,040 Speaker 1: a really really good team that you're getting a ten 248 00:12:49,080 --> 00:12:52,160 Speaker 1: to one who, like Stuck he said, has been underachieving 249 00:12:52,160 --> 00:12:54,559 Speaker 1: this season. They've gotten unlucky in a lot of a 250 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,000 Speaker 1: lot of games. That one game against North Carolina they 251 00:12:57,080 --> 00:12:59,480 Speaker 1: lost at home. If you look at the analytics SciTE 252 00:12:59,520 --> 00:13:01,559 Speaker 1: shock Qua, they they actually should have won that game 253 00:13:01,600 --> 00:13:03,720 Speaker 1: even though they lost, based on the quality of their shots. 254 00:13:03,760 --> 00:13:06,080 Speaker 1: So attend to one, they're they're a really good price, 255 00:13:06,160 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: especially being in the bottom half of the bracket getting 256 00:13:08,120 --> 00:13:10,920 Speaker 1: to avoid Duke and then obviously Virginia as well. What's 257 00:13:10,920 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 1: weird about Virginia is they're not really taking very many 258 00:13:14,000 --> 00:13:15,520 Speaker 1: threes this year. They actually have one of the lowest 259 00:13:15,520 --> 00:13:18,640 Speaker 1: three point rates in the country, so that they've been 260 00:13:18,640 --> 00:13:21,840 Speaker 1: banging teams downside pretty pretty well. So playing that slow 261 00:13:21,880 --> 00:13:25,760 Speaker 1: pace getting the ball inside, uh, they could cause some problems. 262 00:13:25,760 --> 00:13:27,800 Speaker 1: Sendable also in the bottom half of the bracket, and 263 00:13:28,160 --> 00:13:30,439 Speaker 1: you know, you look at Wake Forest and Notre Dame. There, 264 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:32,079 Speaker 1: you know, a little bit of a paper tiger. Not 265 00:13:32,200 --> 00:13:36,040 Speaker 1: really as good as their their ranking shows. So for me, 266 00:13:36,400 --> 00:13:38,679 Speaker 1: I'm with Stucky. The two Virginia schools was where I'd 267 00:13:38,679 --> 00:13:40,720 Speaker 1: go in the a SEC. By the way, a reminder, 268 00:13:41,160 --> 00:13:47,480 Speaker 1: we've got a seven part conference attorney podcast, Big Bets 269 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:51,080 Speaker 1: on Campus. If you want to go even deeper on 270 00:13:51,160 --> 00:13:53,640 Speaker 1: everything we're talking about, that is the place to go. 271 00:13:53,760 --> 00:13:58,160 Speaker 1: Seven part Conference Stourney podcast, Big Bets on Campus. Alright, 272 00:13:58,200 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 1: so we talked about the A C C are those 273 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:04,600 Speaker 1: who are listening. Simon, on his return from his international travels, 274 00:14:04,679 --> 00:14:07,440 Speaker 1: is having incredible tech difficulties, so he has dropped out 275 00:14:07,480 --> 00:14:09,800 Speaker 1: of the podcast. But the stars of the show anyways 276 00:14:09,800 --> 00:14:12,040 Speaker 1: are b J and Stucky. B J, you mentioned the 277 00:14:12,120 --> 00:14:16,800 Speaker 1: SEC is probably the best conference. Great at the top, 278 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:21,280 Speaker 1: you know, Auburn having an incredible year, Kentucky having an 279 00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:25,920 Speaker 1: incredible year. Start with you handicap the SEC right now? Yeah. 280 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 1: So obviously the top four seeds I believe are you know, 281 00:14:28,760 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 1: kind of a notch above the rest of the conference. 282 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:32,840 Speaker 1: But if you're looking at the odds, I don't think 283 00:14:32,840 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 1: there's really much value and taking one of the top 284 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:38,680 Speaker 1: four seeds instead. I think there's a couple chances you 285 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 1: can take down the board on some teams to potentially 286 00:14:41,000 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 1: get hot. Alabama is one of them at fifteen to one. 287 00:14:43,480 --> 00:14:46,240 Speaker 1: I'm kind of targeting it's it's a really good offense there, 288 00:14:46,280 --> 00:14:49,000 Speaker 1: twelfth in the country and adjusted defense or offensive efficiency. 289 00:14:49,400 --> 00:14:51,720 Speaker 1: And the problem is with them is that they take 290 00:14:51,760 --> 00:14:54,160 Speaker 1: a high number of three pointers, but they're only hitting 291 00:14:54,200 --> 00:14:56,560 Speaker 1: around thirty one percent for the season and a lot 292 00:14:56,600 --> 00:14:58,680 Speaker 1: of you know, the regression stats tell you that they 293 00:14:58,920 --> 00:15:00,960 Speaker 1: should be shooting a little bit better. And if you 294 00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,880 Speaker 1: look through all their results they've hung with these top 295 00:15:03,880 --> 00:15:06,680 Speaker 1: four teams, you know, the first one that comes to 296 00:15:06,720 --> 00:15:09,600 Speaker 1: mind is the game in kent at Kentucky in Lexington, 297 00:15:09,640 --> 00:15:12,360 Speaker 1: where they just came out firing and hit a ton 298 00:15:12,360 --> 00:15:14,400 Speaker 1: of threes the beginning, got a huge lead on Kentucky 299 00:15:14,440 --> 00:15:17,200 Speaker 1: and then end up faltering down down the stretch. And 300 00:15:17,200 --> 00:15:19,640 Speaker 1: even in that first meeting against Kentucky they lost by 301 00:15:19,640 --> 00:15:21,280 Speaker 1: eleven at home, but you got three of thirty from 302 00:15:21,280 --> 00:15:23,680 Speaker 1: behind the arc. So if shooting aggression comes back for 303 00:15:23,720 --> 00:15:25,960 Speaker 1: them a little bit, they're gonna play Kentucky in the 304 00:15:26,000 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 1: next round. After they get by either Vanderbilt or Georgia. 305 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 1: If they have a good shooting night, they can get 306 00:15:30,800 --> 00:15:32,680 Speaker 1: hot and they can run right through this tournament and 307 00:15:32,720 --> 00:15:35,720 Speaker 1: really beat anybody at the top. But other than that, 308 00:15:36,040 --> 00:15:37,760 Speaker 1: LSU is kind of interesting attend to one. I'd like 309 00:15:37,800 --> 00:15:39,240 Speaker 1: a little bit of a better price. It's one of 310 00:15:39,280 --> 00:15:41,960 Speaker 1: the best defensive teams in the country. Their fifth in 311 00:15:42,120 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 1: UH just a defensive efficiency. They actually should have just 312 00:15:44,960 --> 00:15:48,200 Speaker 1: beaten Arkansas and they play them UH in the next round. 313 00:15:48,240 --> 00:15:50,640 Speaker 1: So for me, if you're looking for a team to 314 00:15:50,680 --> 00:15:53,640 Speaker 1: get hot and run through this tournament, Alabama is there. 315 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:56,400 Speaker 1: The other top four seeds, look, they're obviously top four 316 00:15:56,480 --> 00:15:57,800 Speaker 1: for a reason. They're all under tend to one for 317 00:15:57,840 --> 00:16:00,200 Speaker 1: a reason. I really don't think there's much value in 318 00:16:00,240 --> 00:16:03,240 Speaker 1: taking them because they've really just traded all all season long, 319 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,000 Speaker 1: UH and a lot of them. What's funny if you 320 00:16:06,040 --> 00:16:09,360 Speaker 1: look at, for example, like Auburn and Tennessee, they've been 321 00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:11,480 Speaker 1: if it looks if the entire tournament was played in 322 00:16:11,560 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 1: Knoxville or Auburn, like one of those teams might win 323 00:16:14,560 --> 00:16:16,880 Speaker 1: the actual n c A tournament, but that's not the case. 324 00:16:16,880 --> 00:16:19,640 Speaker 1: They haven't been that great away from home. So for me, 325 00:16:19,760 --> 00:16:22,760 Speaker 1: even though Kentucky's the three seed, they're clearly, in my opinion, 326 00:16:22,840 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 1: I think, the best team in the conference. But at 327 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:27,320 Speaker 1: a price of plus one ninety, I'm definitely not playing them. 328 00:16:27,320 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 1: So Alabama fifteen to one as a shot would be 329 00:16:30,440 --> 00:16:32,440 Speaker 1: where I'm going in the SEC. Would you look? What 330 00:16:32,440 --> 00:16:34,560 Speaker 1: do you want to look for? Long shots? Like Alabama 331 00:16:34,600 --> 00:16:37,160 Speaker 1: would be the one. There's not enough, not enough for 332 00:16:37,240 --> 00:16:39,680 Speaker 1: me there. I mean, they did hang with Kentucky. Kentucky 333 00:16:39,760 --> 00:16:42,680 Speaker 1: was down two of their starters in Lexington and they 334 00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: shot three for thirty. But ALBA shoots a ton of threes, right, 335 00:16:44,880 --> 00:16:46,520 Speaker 1: What do you want with some of these long shots 336 00:16:46,800 --> 00:16:50,280 Speaker 1: is high variance teams, So either low possessions, which is 337 00:16:50,320 --> 00:16:52,200 Speaker 1: going to create more variants and a tighter, you know, 338 00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:54,520 Speaker 1: fewer possession game, or a lot of three pointers. So 339 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 1: teams to shoot a lot of threes. Yeah, if you 340 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,440 Speaker 1: get hot, especially you're playing in the same building for 341 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:00,800 Speaker 1: a couple of days, as you can make a run 342 00:17:00,880 --> 00:17:03,960 Speaker 1: from three. It's the great equalizer. But I don't see 343 00:17:03,960 --> 00:17:07,560 Speaker 1: anyone make a run. This could be incredible, incredible semis. 344 00:17:07,560 --> 00:17:10,399 Speaker 1: It could be the best semish of the week. You 345 00:17:10,400 --> 00:17:14,000 Speaker 1: could have Kentucky Tennessee part three, they each blew each 346 00:17:14,000 --> 00:17:18,440 Speaker 1: other out, and then you could have Auburn Arkansas part 347 00:17:18,480 --> 00:17:23,880 Speaker 1: to Arkansas upset them in overtime like dunked on their 348 00:17:23,920 --> 00:17:26,240 Speaker 1: face at the end of If some of you might 349 00:17:26,240 --> 00:17:30,040 Speaker 1: have seen this clip, like the crowd storm the court, 350 00:17:30,080 --> 00:17:32,600 Speaker 1: it was pretty wild. Could have those two semis. But 351 00:17:32,640 --> 00:17:34,560 Speaker 1: something to keep in mind here, like Kentucky, I think 352 00:17:34,560 --> 00:17:37,359 Speaker 1: it's clearly the best team in the conference. They're plus 353 00:17:37,440 --> 00:17:39,119 Speaker 1: around plus two hundred two to one on So if 354 00:17:39,119 --> 00:17:40,800 Speaker 1: you've got like, you know, a hundred hours and they 355 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:43,399 Speaker 1: wanted to be two hundred something to keep in mind, 356 00:17:43,600 --> 00:17:47,119 Speaker 1: and this might be a little complex for some, but 357 00:17:47,680 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 1: sometimes you want to look at what's called a money 358 00:17:49,760 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 1: line rollover, like the odds being offered from a future perspective, 359 00:17:53,760 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: it might actually make more sense to just bet that 360 00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,480 Speaker 1: team on the money line in the first game, take 361 00:17:59,520 --> 00:18:01,919 Speaker 1: what you want on and bet, and then do it 362 00:18:01,960 --> 00:18:05,000 Speaker 1: in the second game. For example, Kentucky's plus two hundred, right, 363 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:09,800 Speaker 1: they're gonna have to be Alabama, then presumably Tennessee, and 364 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:13,679 Speaker 1: then Auburn. Those are three hardies and they're plus two hundreds, 365 00:18:13,680 --> 00:18:16,040 Speaker 1: so they're probably like seven point favorites, and like three 366 00:18:16,040 --> 00:18:19,280 Speaker 1: and a half point favorites, and then like, I don't 367 00:18:19,280 --> 00:18:22,119 Speaker 1: know two point favorite So you're talking minus three d 368 00:18:22,280 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 1: minus one sixty minus one thirty parlay them together, which 369 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:27,760 Speaker 1: was what you do with the money line roll over. 370 00:18:28,080 --> 00:18:30,240 Speaker 1: It's three or one odds, so there's just no value 371 00:18:30,240 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 1: of that number of plus two hundred. It's not that 372 00:18:32,080 --> 00:18:34,119 Speaker 1: simple because there could be an upset elsewhere, but I 373 00:18:34,160 --> 00:18:37,000 Speaker 1: don't see too many upsets here in the SEC. The top, 374 00:18:37,160 --> 00:18:40,400 Speaker 1: the cream of the crop of this conference is excellent. 375 00:18:40,680 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 1: They're gonna have to say come the actual tournament as well. 376 00:18:44,000 --> 00:18:47,040 Speaker 1: I think Kentucky ends up beating Auburn in the final. 377 00:18:47,200 --> 00:18:50,399 Speaker 1: It's chalky, so no features here for me. I like 378 00:18:50,520 --> 00:18:54,880 Speaker 1: that idea, a money line roll over on Alabama. That's 379 00:18:54,880 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 1: more fun than what b J said. BJ is just like, yeah, 380 00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:01,280 Speaker 1: go ahead, take Alabama money line all over. Because of 381 00:19:01,320 --> 00:19:06,960 Speaker 1: that answer, stuck, you get to start on my favorite conference, 382 00:19:07,800 --> 00:19:12,000 Speaker 1: the Big Ten. Yeah. Big Ten is a really interesting 383 00:19:12,000 --> 00:19:15,040 Speaker 1: conference because well it's it's deep, and it's it's one 384 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:17,479 Speaker 1: of the best that's b J alluded to, but there's 385 00:19:17,560 --> 00:19:21,159 Speaker 1: a big question mark headed into it. If anyone watched 386 00:19:21,480 --> 00:19:25,720 Speaker 1: the game's yesterday, one of the best players in the country, 387 00:19:26,000 --> 00:19:28,520 Speaker 1: Johnny Davis wor Wisconsin, went down and with an injury 388 00:19:28,520 --> 00:19:32,240 Speaker 1: didn't play. They got upset by Nebraska at home and 389 00:19:32,240 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 1: they had a chance to clinch the one seed, and 390 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:35,680 Speaker 1: they just melted down. They scored two points over the 391 00:19:35,680 --> 00:19:38,760 Speaker 1: final six minutes without him. This isn't an even an 392 00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:41,240 Speaker 1: n I T team. I mean, they are horrendous. He's 393 00:19:41,240 --> 00:19:43,320 Speaker 1: one of the best players in the country. I haven't 394 00:19:43,359 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 1: heard anything on his status, but that's enormous. They're the 395 00:19:46,119 --> 00:19:48,439 Speaker 1: two seed in the bottom half of the bracket. So 396 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:50,399 Speaker 1: when I first look at this bracket, I say, okay, 397 00:19:50,440 --> 00:19:53,360 Speaker 1: I kind of want to attack this bottom half because 398 00:19:53,359 --> 00:19:55,879 Speaker 1: Wisconsin is a very Week two I mean, but the 399 00:19:55,920 --> 00:19:57,920 Speaker 1: market has adjusted their ten to one and they're the 400 00:19:57,960 --> 00:20:00,680 Speaker 1: two seed. You know they're gonna play the winner in 401 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,920 Speaker 1: Michigan State Maryland. I don't really trust either one of 402 00:20:04,960 --> 00:20:08,960 Speaker 1: those teams. Um, Michigan State Maryland just played each other. 403 00:20:09,480 --> 00:20:13,680 Speaker 1: Ohio State has been struggling um of late, and then 404 00:20:13,680 --> 00:20:16,600 Speaker 1: you have produced, So you know, I think Producers gonna 405 00:20:16,600 --> 00:20:19,320 Speaker 1: walk to the final in the bottom half. But I 406 00:20:19,400 --> 00:20:21,760 Speaker 1: just don't see a ton of value with them. So 407 00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:24,119 Speaker 1: moving to the top. So I'm just really unfortunate how 408 00:20:24,160 --> 00:20:26,879 Speaker 1: it worked out with Wisconsin because they're extremely vulnerable. They 409 00:20:26,880 --> 00:20:30,879 Speaker 1: were already extremely vulnerable. They're very lucky team coming into 410 00:20:31,560 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 1: this bracket on they might not have Davis. So we'll 411 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:38,639 Speaker 1: see top half. It's uh, you know, the Illinois the 412 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 1: one seed they're gonna play the potential winner of Michigan Indiana. 413 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:43,320 Speaker 1: Michigan is very interesting and you can get them like 414 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:46,399 Speaker 1: uh one, They're gonna got to win four games in 415 00:20:46,440 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 1: four days. They you know, they can compete with Illinois. 416 00:20:50,600 --> 00:20:54,440 Speaker 1: They blew out Indiana at Indiana. But you know, I'm 417 00:20:54,440 --> 00:20:56,320 Speaker 1: curious to get b j s thoughts because I'm actually 418 00:20:56,359 --> 00:21:00,639 Speaker 1: conflicted on the big ten. I'm like years to me. 419 00:21:01,400 --> 00:21:04,439 Speaker 1: You can get Rutgers about it the twenty one, and 420 00:21:05,520 --> 00:21:08,760 Speaker 1: you can get Iowa at four to one. Now why 421 00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:12,720 Speaker 1: that's so interesting? Like Iowa is the five seed, they 422 00:21:12,720 --> 00:21:16,639 Speaker 1: have to play a game before playing Rutgers. Rutgers has 423 00:21:16,680 --> 00:21:20,600 Speaker 1: the double buy and Rutgers it's not as good as 424 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:22,760 Speaker 1: i Whether or not even close, but they beat Iowa 425 00:21:23,000 --> 00:21:25,880 Speaker 1: early in the season, they're gonna have the buy. Iowa's 426 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:30,040 Speaker 1: playing as well as anybody in this Conference, So that 427 00:21:30,040 --> 00:21:32,320 Speaker 1: that's who I think is. They're gonna have to get 428 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:34,639 Speaker 1: through Rutgers. They're gonna get through Illinois. They should have 429 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,280 Speaker 1: beat Illinois on their home court last night playing and 430 00:21:37,280 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 1: they one always playing for everything. They dis missed a 431 00:21:39,520 --> 00:21:41,480 Speaker 1: bunch of pritos, which they never do. He get married 432 00:21:41,560 --> 00:21:43,480 Speaker 1: one of the best players in the country. So I 433 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:46,399 Speaker 1: like Iowa to get it done here. But from a 434 00:21:46,480 --> 00:21:48,960 Speaker 1: value perspective, it's like Rutgers, who's gonna grind the game 435 00:21:49,000 --> 00:21:51,120 Speaker 1: to a halt. Right, They're gonna be in the game. 436 00:21:51,480 --> 00:21:54,760 Speaker 1: They have a great defense. You get twenty to one, 437 00:21:54,760 --> 00:21:56,720 Speaker 1: and they're they're you know, they're the four seed. And 438 00:21:56,960 --> 00:21:58,919 Speaker 1: I was to play a game before playing them, So 439 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:03,480 Speaker 1: b J, curious to your thought on that dynamic. Yeah, Iowa, listen, 440 00:22:03,560 --> 00:22:06,359 Speaker 1: I will. Before the odds came out, I was watching 441 00:22:06,400 --> 00:22:08,040 Speaker 1: the game and I was like, man, with this loss, 442 00:22:08,040 --> 00:22:10,080 Speaker 1: maybe we'll get iowat a decent number, maybe an eight 443 00:22:10,080 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 1: to one or ten to one. But the market is 444 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:14,440 Speaker 1: clearly adjusted on Iowa. So with them having to play 445 00:22:14,520 --> 00:22:17,520 Speaker 1: an extra game, uh, four to one, there's I just 446 00:22:17,560 --> 00:22:20,120 Speaker 1: don't think there's really much value in taking the Hawkeyes. 447 00:22:20,160 --> 00:22:23,040 Speaker 1: And I love them and they've obviously been playing tremendously 448 00:22:23,080 --> 00:22:25,639 Speaker 1: and I'm very confident in how they're gonna, you know, 449 00:22:25,680 --> 00:22:28,240 Speaker 1: give Illinois a lot of problems. But the thing with Rutgers, 450 00:22:28,560 --> 00:22:30,240 Speaker 1: you know, they've obviously got a couple of road wins, 451 00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:34,919 Speaker 1: but they're just unbelievable at the rack, uh anywhere. Away 452 00:22:34,920 --> 00:22:36,920 Speaker 1: from there, they tend to struggle a little bit. So 453 00:22:37,359 --> 00:22:39,639 Speaker 1: I was probably definitely gonna be favorite over them, and 454 00:22:39,680 --> 00:22:41,639 Speaker 1: that one one is definitely a decent price for a 455 00:22:41,640 --> 00:22:44,040 Speaker 1: team that's gonna get a buy in that round one. 456 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:46,880 Speaker 1: Team I'm kind of looking at is Chad, You're you're 457 00:22:46,920 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 1: all modern Indiana one is is a little bit interesting 458 00:22:50,760 --> 00:22:53,280 Speaker 1: to me. Uh, you know, their last game against Perdue, 459 00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:56,080 Speaker 1: listen that. Throughout most of the season, I think what 460 00:22:56,119 --> 00:22:58,680 Speaker 1: you could say is the body language from Indiana has 461 00:22:58,720 --> 00:23:00,800 Speaker 1: been really bad, and it looks the players, you know, 462 00:23:00,840 --> 00:23:03,880 Speaker 1: maybe don't care that much. There's been some off court issues. 463 00:23:04,320 --> 00:23:06,320 Speaker 1: It's been kind of a little bit mess in Woodson's 464 00:23:06,520 --> 00:23:10,080 Speaker 1: first season. But that game against Purdue, they actually showed something. 465 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,560 Speaker 1: They showed a little bit of hard They actually looked 466 00:23:12,600 --> 00:23:14,960 Speaker 1: like they wanted to actually win the game. It's a 467 00:23:15,000 --> 00:23:17,280 Speaker 1: real They're the number one team in the Big Ten 468 00:23:17,320 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 1: in terms of adjusted defensive efficiency. It's just can the 469 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:24,040 Speaker 1: offense get it going? Can they find some rhythm. They 470 00:23:24,200 --> 00:23:26,199 Speaker 1: aren't shooting the ball very well from behind the arc, 471 00:23:26,280 --> 00:23:28,480 Speaker 1: but if you look at shock quality their number one 472 00:23:28,480 --> 00:23:30,560 Speaker 1: in the Big Ten in open three point rate, they 473 00:23:30,600 --> 00:23:32,560 Speaker 1: just have not been hitting them. They're only hanging around 474 00:23:33,760 --> 00:23:37,040 Speaker 1: from behind the arc. So if the body language gets better, 475 00:23:37,040 --> 00:23:38,600 Speaker 1: this is a team that definitely has a ton of talent. 476 00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:40,439 Speaker 1: Trace Jackson Davis one of the best big men in 477 00:23:40,480 --> 00:23:43,399 Speaker 1: the conference, Parker Stewart's an incredible three point shooter, and 478 00:23:43,520 --> 00:23:46,240 Speaker 1: Davier Johnson's a really good point guards. So that first 479 00:23:46,240 --> 00:23:48,320 Speaker 1: game against Michigan is gonna be very interesting if you 480 00:23:48,359 --> 00:23:50,080 Speaker 1: kind of want to take one of these long shots. 481 00:23:50,600 --> 00:23:53,080 Speaker 1: One of those two is where I'm kind of looking 482 00:23:53,080 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 1: because I agre stuck. He produced probably just gonna walk 483 00:23:55,480 --> 00:23:57,000 Speaker 1: to the final. But I definitely don't want to take 484 00:23:57,040 --> 00:24:00,119 Speaker 1: them at plus two twenties. So Michigan or Indiana is 485 00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 1: definitely where I'm looking at here in the Big Ten, 486 00:24:03,160 --> 00:24:06,679 Speaker 1: and I think they'll give Illinois definitely some problems in 487 00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:09,199 Speaker 1: the next yeund Yeah, I I just saw try I 488 00:24:09,200 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 1: just don't think it's a great matchup for Indiana. I mean, 489 00:24:11,119 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 1: I think they lost twenty five at home because they 490 00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:17,200 Speaker 1: their guards can't take advantage of Michigan's you know, lack 491 00:24:17,240 --> 00:24:21,480 Speaker 1: of perimeter trouble on the defensive end um and then 492 00:24:21,480 --> 00:24:26,239 Speaker 1: obviously Michigan can match Indiana inside. Chad, you're a big 493 00:24:26,280 --> 00:24:28,080 Speaker 1: fan of the money line rollover, I think that I 494 00:24:28,359 --> 00:24:30,560 Speaker 1: was the is the prime care for that. If you 495 00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:31,800 Speaker 1: want to go IOA, I mean, I would have to 496 00:24:31,800 --> 00:24:33,959 Speaker 1: win four games in four days. Now. They're deep, they 497 00:24:34,000 --> 00:24:36,480 Speaker 1: have a really good bench. They're playing as well as anybody, 498 00:24:36,480 --> 00:24:40,439 Speaker 1: but they're gonna be like Northwestern's decent team, Rutgers and 499 00:24:40,480 --> 00:24:45,600 Speaker 1: then potentially Illinois and then Perdue. I mean, your your money, 500 00:24:45,600 --> 00:24:46,840 Speaker 1: that the money that the Rover is gonna pay more 501 00:24:46,840 --> 00:24:50,040 Speaker 1: than five to one on that um. But yeah, there 502 00:24:50,080 --> 00:24:52,399 Speaker 1: might pick to win it. They're playing as uh as 503 00:24:52,440 --> 00:24:54,640 Speaker 1: well and as anybody and be Jays and Iowa fan. 504 00:24:54,680 --> 00:24:58,159 Speaker 1: We'll see. We'll see this year if a peeking Iowa 505 00:24:58,240 --> 00:25:01,280 Speaker 1: team late in the season doesn't just take a big 506 00:25:01,440 --> 00:25:05,040 Speaker 1: fat dump in the first game of the tournament. They 507 00:25:05,040 --> 00:25:07,800 Speaker 1: haven't gone to the Sweet six team in my lifetime, 508 00:25:08,040 --> 00:25:11,000 Speaker 1: so it would be very nice if they could finally 509 00:25:11,040 --> 00:25:13,639 Speaker 1: do that, because last season was the time that they 510 00:25:13,680 --> 00:25:16,320 Speaker 1: were supposed to do it and they laid a massive 511 00:25:16,359 --> 00:25:19,920 Speaker 1: egg against Oregon. So I'm I really really liked this team. 512 00:25:20,000 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 1: Keegan Murray is one of the more fun Iowa players 513 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:27,240 Speaker 1: in my lifetime. Uh So I'm very I'm weirdly way 514 00:25:27,280 --> 00:25:29,520 Speaker 1: more confident them. Is like a seven or sixth seed 515 00:25:29,560 --> 00:25:32,120 Speaker 1: this season than I was last year as a two seed, 516 00:25:34,840 --> 00:25:37,879 Speaker 1: which has been enormous. Itally is one of those interesting 517 00:25:37,920 --> 00:25:41,040 Speaker 1: teams where they keep they keep getting national credit and 518 00:25:41,160 --> 00:25:44,119 Speaker 1: national attention. Is one of the better teams, and I 519 00:25:44,119 --> 00:25:45,760 Speaker 1: feel like the only time I hear about them this 520 00:25:45,840 --> 00:25:49,080 Speaker 1: year is when they have an unexpected loss. That the 521 00:25:49,160 --> 00:25:50,800 Speaker 1: loss has pretty much all been on the road, like 522 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:52,840 Speaker 1: they obviously, you know, they lost the rack. They've had 523 00:25:52,840 --> 00:25:55,639 Speaker 1: a couple of slip ups. It's a It's an interesting Obviously, 524 00:25:55,680 --> 00:25:58,560 Speaker 1: Kofe's incredible, and they have a ton of three point 525 00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:01,600 Speaker 1: shooters around him, and when they hitting those shots, they 526 00:26:01,640 --> 00:26:04,159 Speaker 1: almost look unbeatable. But the problem is is that in 527 00:26:04,200 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 1: Big Ten play their three point shooting has gone down 528 00:26:06,600 --> 00:26:09,399 Speaker 1: and tick They're only shooting around thirty when in like 529 00:26:09,440 --> 00:26:11,280 Speaker 1: non conference I'm pretty sure they were close to around 530 00:26:12,080 --> 00:26:14,920 Speaker 1: So if that three point shooting isn't there, and you know, 531 00:26:15,000 --> 00:26:19,080 Speaker 1: Kofi gets into foul trouble, then that's when things start 532 00:26:19,119 --> 00:26:22,080 Speaker 1: to head kind of you know, snowballing downhill. UM. But 533 00:26:22,520 --> 00:26:25,080 Speaker 1: I mean they're a price of plus three seventy there, 534 00:26:25,320 --> 00:26:28,080 Speaker 1: there's I don't think there's really much value in taking them. 535 00:26:28,240 --> 00:26:30,159 Speaker 1: But like you said, yeah, I mean they've had a 536 00:26:30,160 --> 00:26:32,879 Speaker 1: couple of big wins, but you know, losing twice to 537 00:26:32,960 --> 00:26:36,920 Speaker 1: Purdue UM and then a couple of other bad losses 538 00:26:36,920 --> 00:26:40,119 Speaker 1: are kind of, you know, a little bit shocking, but 539 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:41,760 Speaker 1: you know, they're still one of the best teams in 540 00:26:41,800 --> 00:26:45,439 Speaker 1: the country. The Players Championship is back with one of 541 00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:47,400 Speaker 1: the best fields in golf, and now you can take 542 00:26:47,440 --> 00:26:50,480 Speaker 1: a shot at the Island Green with fan Duel sports book. 543 00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:53,120 Speaker 1: Right now, new customers can get thirty to one odds 544 00:26:53,200 --> 00:26:57,800 Speaker 1: on Justin Thomas, two time major winner, Colin Morikawa, or 545 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:02,000 Speaker 1: Olympic gold medalist Zen ther Shoffly to make the cut 546 00:27:02,400 --> 00:27:05,359 Speaker 1: at the Players That's right, If any of these players 547 00:27:05,400 --> 00:27:09,080 Speaker 1: make the cut at TPC saw Grass, you win one 548 00:27:09,160 --> 00:27:12,760 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars under five dollar bet. I like 549 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 1: like all three of these guys, and especially a guy 550 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:18,359 Speaker 1: like Moricowa is overwhelmingly likely to make the cut. There's 551 00:27:18,359 --> 00:27:20,600 Speaker 1: no better time to get in on the action with 552 00:27:20,680 --> 00:27:23,639 Speaker 1: FanDuel sports Book, So step up to the tea and 553 00:27:23,720 --> 00:27:28,119 Speaker 1: take a swing at betting the Players Championship. Just download 554 00:27:28,320 --> 00:27:30,760 Speaker 1: the Vanduel sports Book app with promo code favorites to 555 00:27:30,880 --> 00:27:34,000 Speaker 1: get thirty to one odd on JT. Morrikawa or Shoffly 556 00:27:34,280 --> 00:27:36,719 Speaker 1: to make the cut at the players. Sign up with 557 00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:41,240 Speaker 1: promo code favorites so they know I sent you. FanDuel 558 00:27:41,280 --> 00:27:45,040 Speaker 1: sports Book. Official betting operator of the PGA Tour must 559 00:27:45,080 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 1: be twenty one and over and president in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Louisiana, Michigan, 560 00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:54,520 Speaker 1: New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia or West Virginia. 561 00:27:55,000 --> 00:27:59,920 Speaker 1: New users only must wager in designated offer market MAC 562 00:28:00,080 --> 00:28:04,600 Speaker 1: bet five dollars. Restrictions apply see terms at sports book 563 00:28:04,640 --> 00:28:08,720 Speaker 1: dot vanduel dot com. Gambling problem called one eight hundred 564 00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:11,680 Speaker 1: next step or text next step to five three, three 565 00:28:11,760 --> 00:28:14,760 Speaker 1: four two in Arizona one eight hundred gambler or visit 566 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:18,720 Speaker 1: vanduel dot com slash RG in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey. 567 00:28:18,760 --> 00:28:21,640 Speaker 1: In Virginia one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven 568 00:28:21,680 --> 00:28:26,280 Speaker 1: seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot org slash chat 569 00:28:26,560 --> 00:28:29,639 Speaker 1: in Connecticut one eight hundred to seven zero seven one 570 00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,760 Speaker 1: seven for confidential help in Michigan called the Tennessee Red 571 00:28:32,840 --> 00:28:35,680 Speaker 1: Line one eight hundred eight eight nine nine seven eight nine, 572 00:28:35,760 --> 00:28:39,920 Speaker 1: or visit one eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. 573 00:28:43,040 --> 00:28:46,560 Speaker 1: Big twelve they've had a very inconsistent year. You're talking 574 00:28:46,600 --> 00:28:50,320 Speaker 1: about Baylor, you're talking about Kansas. What is the handicap 575 00:28:50,320 --> 00:28:53,560 Speaker 1: in the Big twelve b J Yeah, it's I don't 576 00:28:53,560 --> 00:28:56,560 Speaker 1: really have much interest in taking the top four uh seeds. 577 00:28:56,640 --> 00:28:59,640 Speaker 1: Kansas is very weird. They've had a ton of close 578 00:28:59,680 --> 00:29:02,280 Speaker 1: call this season. They're they're obviously one of the best 579 00:29:03,120 --> 00:29:05,920 Speaker 1: offenses in the country. But you know, at two to one, 580 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:08,080 Speaker 1: obviously this is a you know, they're gonna be playing 581 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:11,720 Speaker 1: in Kansas City, so that's essentially a home tournament for them. 582 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:13,800 Speaker 1: But at two to one, I have no interest in 583 00:29:13,840 --> 00:29:16,800 Speaker 1: betting than Baylor. They lost their best interior defender to 584 00:29:16,920 --> 00:29:19,280 Speaker 1: Chua the middle of the season, and they're also one 585 00:29:19,280 --> 00:29:21,640 Speaker 1: of the worst teams in defending at the rim, so 586 00:29:21,760 --> 00:29:25,240 Speaker 1: that's problematic for them. Texas Tech is starting to fade 587 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:28,360 Speaker 1: down the stretch. One team I'm kind of looking at 588 00:29:28,360 --> 00:29:31,240 Speaker 1: as a long shot as Oklahoma at twenty one. They're 589 00:29:31,240 --> 00:29:33,360 Speaker 1: starting to come on here. They've won three straight down 590 00:29:33,360 --> 00:29:35,440 Speaker 1: the stretch and their first round match against Baylor is 591 00:29:35,440 --> 00:29:37,480 Speaker 1: a really good one. So I just mentioned there's one 592 00:29:37,520 --> 00:29:40,120 Speaker 1: of the five worst teams in defending at the rim. Well, 593 00:29:40,120 --> 00:29:42,280 Speaker 1: Oklahoma sixth in the country in two point field goal 594 00:29:42,320 --> 00:29:45,480 Speaker 1: percentage and around shooting around on shout attempts the rim. 595 00:29:45,520 --> 00:29:47,560 Speaker 1: So it's a really good matchup for them here in 596 00:29:47,600 --> 00:29:49,840 Speaker 1: the first round. And you know, you obviously look at Texas, 597 00:29:49,920 --> 00:29:53,240 Speaker 1: then Texas I feel very similar to them. How I 598 00:29:53,240 --> 00:29:56,440 Speaker 1: feel about Tennessee is that analytically they grade out really 599 00:29:56,480 --> 00:29:58,560 Speaker 1: really well in terms of defense and offense. But there 600 00:29:58,600 --> 00:30:01,239 Speaker 1: are just times where you watch Texas and they just 601 00:30:01,280 --> 00:30:04,680 Speaker 1: go through these shooting slumps that just take them completely 602 00:30:04,680 --> 00:30:06,640 Speaker 1: out of the game. So they're one of the teams 603 00:30:06,680 --> 00:30:09,680 Speaker 1: I'm gonna potentially be avoiding. You know, Kansas also is 604 00:30:09,720 --> 00:30:12,960 Speaker 1: one of the streak your teams in the in the 605 00:30:12,960 --> 00:30:15,400 Speaker 1: whole country, so they could fall flat and loose here 606 00:30:15,440 --> 00:30:17,400 Speaker 1: in the in the second round, or they could you know, 607 00:30:17,560 --> 00:30:19,960 Speaker 1: breeze all the way through the tournament. But Oklahoma a 608 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:22,160 Speaker 1: team that's starting to kind of come on, especially at 609 00:30:22,160 --> 00:30:24,000 Speaker 1: a good price of one, with a pretty good match 610 00:30:24,080 --> 00:30:26,960 Speaker 1: against Taylor in the first round. I think the Sooners 611 00:30:26,960 --> 00:30:28,720 Speaker 1: do have a little bit of value here in the tournament. 612 00:30:29,520 --> 00:30:33,840 Speaker 1: Stucky agree or disagree, I probably would just year it's 613 00:30:33,840 --> 00:30:35,360 Speaker 1: gonna be it's I think it's gonna be hard for 614 00:30:35,400 --> 00:30:38,160 Speaker 1: Okahoma to get it done. Um and then I think 615 00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:40,520 Speaker 1: Baylor ends up walking to the final because that there 616 00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,960 Speaker 1: they must be salvating for another. They lost twice to 617 00:30:43,040 --> 00:30:45,960 Speaker 1: Texas Tech this year in two close games in Texas 618 00:30:45,960 --> 00:30:48,840 Speaker 1: Tech kind of headed and I just don't trust their offense. 619 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:52,840 Speaker 1: But Kansas is very vulnerable just if you watch them. 620 00:30:52,840 --> 00:30:55,720 Speaker 1: There's just something that's just not right on the defensive 621 00:30:55,800 --> 00:30:58,280 Speaker 1: end with this team. They can get bullied a little 622 00:30:58,280 --> 00:31:02,240 Speaker 1: bit inside at times. Tease. You did that twice PC 623 00:31:02,360 --> 00:31:05,720 Speaker 1: you beat them bad at at TCU. Then then that 624 00:31:05,840 --> 00:31:08,840 Speaker 1: they played two games in a row. Kansas, after getting embarrassed, 625 00:31:08,840 --> 00:31:11,120 Speaker 1: comes home. They come out with the crowd and staying 626 00:31:11,120 --> 00:31:13,000 Speaker 1: one of the best home court advantage and all college best. 627 00:31:13,000 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 1: But they go up double digit. CCU fights all the 628 00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,400 Speaker 1: way back. That game went right down to the wire 629 00:31:17,800 --> 00:31:20,400 Speaker 1: with Mike Miles, one of the best players in the country. 630 00:31:20,440 --> 00:31:22,680 Speaker 1: If you haven't seen him for TCU, he was a 631 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:25,000 Speaker 1: massive fal trouble the entire game. Tc the number one 632 00:31:25,000 --> 00:31:30,360 Speaker 1: offensive rebounding team in the country, just extremely physical. So look, 633 00:31:30,440 --> 00:31:33,160 Speaker 1: I think that they can beat Kansas in the semifinals. 634 00:31:33,200 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 1: It's a it's a good matchup for them. Miles is incredible. 635 00:31:37,800 --> 00:31:41,360 Speaker 1: The problem is TCU, for whatever reason, it just didn't 636 00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:44,200 Speaker 1: match up well with Texas during the regular season. They 637 00:31:44,280 --> 00:31:47,240 Speaker 1: lost both meetings fairly easily. So it's like a little 638 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:51,080 Speaker 1: conundrum there. If you can find like thirty two one 639 00:31:51,080 --> 00:31:54,800 Speaker 1: on TCU just three games in three days, I think 640 00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:58,040 Speaker 1: that they can certainly make a run here. Um, because 641 00:31:58,080 --> 00:31:59,960 Speaker 1: I think that they match up with well with Kansas, 642 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 1: and who knows, Kansas could go down to Kansas State. 643 00:32:02,520 --> 00:32:05,840 Speaker 1: Um if Kansas State is hitting their threes. So yeah, 644 00:32:05,880 --> 00:32:09,640 Speaker 1: I think CCU is the sleeper. I think Baylor gets there, um, 645 00:32:09,680 --> 00:32:12,479 Speaker 1: but Kansas is the vulnerable team. And you might hear 646 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:15,360 Speaker 1: a myth this year. You'll hear this every year around 647 00:32:15,360 --> 00:32:17,480 Speaker 1: this time. It's hard to be the team three times 648 00:32:17,680 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 1: in the conference tournaments teams that swept the regular season. 649 00:32:21,560 --> 00:32:23,880 Speaker 1: Over the past thirty years, teams that swept the regular 650 00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:30,040 Speaker 1: season have actually covered at fifty clip um in the 651 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:34,680 Speaker 1: conference tournament. So that is a myth. Just most time 652 00:32:35,000 --> 00:32:37,760 Speaker 1: there's a reason the team got swept because it's maybe 653 00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:39,960 Speaker 1: not a great match up. There are exceptions with injuries 654 00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,400 Speaker 1: and things of that nature, but just thought i'd throw 655 00:32:42,400 --> 00:32:44,880 Speaker 1: that out there. So, yeah, if you're looking for some 656 00:32:44,960 --> 00:32:46,760 Speaker 1: of these are just fun. Like you know, thirty to 657 00:32:46,840 --> 00:32:50,520 Speaker 1: one to one. Tc doesn't shoot a lot of threes, 658 00:32:50,560 --> 00:32:52,480 Speaker 1: which I don't like, but they just get a ton 659 00:32:52,520 --> 00:32:54,720 Speaker 1: of offensive rebounds. But some of these are fun. So 660 00:32:54,760 --> 00:32:57,160 Speaker 1: if you want to throw a flyer on, you know, 661 00:32:57,400 --> 00:32:59,520 Speaker 1: a four day tournament in the Big twelve, which should 662 00:32:59,520 --> 00:33:02,440 Speaker 1: be fun. Um and for TCU it's gonna be a 663 00:33:02,440 --> 00:33:07,960 Speaker 1: three day tournament, I go with Horn Frocks Jamie dickon Okay, 664 00:33:08,040 --> 00:33:11,080 Speaker 1: rapid fire because there's three conferences I want to get 665 00:33:11,080 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 1: to still one sort of a Big five in the 666 00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:19,680 Speaker 1: Pac twelve. Um, actually there's four. I want to get 667 00:33:19,720 --> 00:33:23,719 Speaker 1: to Pack twelve, Big East and then two wild cards 668 00:33:24,240 --> 00:33:28,520 Speaker 1: uh B J one sentence and the Pack twelve. It's 669 00:33:28,520 --> 00:33:30,920 Speaker 1: hard to look away from Arizona and minus one twenty. 670 00:33:31,040 --> 00:33:33,960 Speaker 1: They are incredibly difficult to beat. And I don't see 671 00:33:33,960 --> 00:33:37,280 Speaker 1: any really team uh competing with them in the Pack 672 00:33:37,320 --> 00:33:41,360 Speaker 1: twelve Stucky Pack twelve. Yeah, it would have been Oregon, 673 00:33:41,440 --> 00:33:44,880 Speaker 1: but they faded on the stretch. Richardson, the leading score 674 00:33:45,080 --> 00:33:47,640 Speaker 1: might not even play. If you want to throw a 675 00:33:47,720 --> 00:33:55,160 Speaker 1: dart Washington State, Big East Stucky, you start. I think 676 00:33:55,520 --> 00:33:58,720 Speaker 1: Providence is being disrespected here. They're kind of like the 677 00:33:59,640 --> 00:34:02,000 Speaker 1: team at everyone hates for good, you know, in the 678 00:34:02,000 --> 00:34:04,000 Speaker 1: analytics community, for for good reason. They've been one of 679 00:34:04,040 --> 00:34:05,760 Speaker 1: the luckiest teams in the country. They win every game 680 00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:08,239 Speaker 1: by one to five points. But here's the thing, that's 681 00:34:08,280 --> 00:34:09,960 Speaker 1: all we need to do in the conference. M win 682 00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:13,120 Speaker 1: games I one to five points. That will work. And they, 683 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:16,439 Speaker 1: you know, they're like five to one. They're the they're 684 00:34:16,440 --> 00:34:20,239 Speaker 1: the one seed, by the way, and like Yukon is 685 00:34:20,760 --> 00:34:23,000 Speaker 1: three to like plus three fifty. Yukon's on the same 686 00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:26,040 Speaker 1: side of the bracket as Villanova, who's the best team 687 00:34:26,160 --> 00:34:31,279 Speaker 1: in this conference. And like, it just makes no sense 688 00:34:31,280 --> 00:34:34,040 Speaker 1: to me because people hate I just people have started 689 00:34:34,080 --> 00:34:37,520 Speaker 1: to absolutely hate Providence. So I think that you're potentially 690 00:34:37,520 --> 00:34:39,840 Speaker 1: getting some value on them, and then in their half 691 00:34:40,239 --> 00:34:41,719 Speaker 1: of the bracket, you have a bunch of teams that 692 00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:44,399 Speaker 1: are either fading or dealing with injuries. So I think 693 00:34:44,440 --> 00:34:48,719 Speaker 1: that their path to the final is incredible. If you're 694 00:34:48,760 --> 00:34:54,839 Speaker 1: looking to take a flyer here, I would maybe look look. St. 695 00:34:54,920 --> 00:34:57,200 Speaker 1: John's and DePaul are both going like this. It's really 696 00:34:57,200 --> 00:34:58,520 Speaker 1: sad that they both at the play each other in 697 00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:00,120 Speaker 1: the first round and one of them is gonna have 698 00:35:00,239 --> 00:35:03,880 Speaker 1: to go on a big run here. Um. But St. 699 00:35:03,960 --> 00:35:07,400 Speaker 1: John's is it really interesting team. They have incredible talent 700 00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,919 Speaker 1: with Pash Alexander Chapaniah. I mean like they're they're really 701 00:35:09,960 --> 00:35:12,440 Speaker 1: talented team. They kind of imposed their will on you, 702 00:35:12,840 --> 00:35:16,239 Speaker 1: muck up the game with their pressure, and they've given 703 00:35:16,320 --> 00:35:20,200 Speaker 1: Villanova fits in recent years. They took you know, they 704 00:35:20,440 --> 00:35:24,240 Speaker 1: have two really close games against Connecticut this year. They're 705 00:35:24,280 --> 00:35:27,120 Speaker 1: they're an interesting flyer. They'll have to win the tournament 706 00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,479 Speaker 1: to get into the dance um. So if you're looking 707 00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:32,799 Speaker 1: for a dart there, it's St. Johnson. I think the 708 00:35:32,840 --> 00:35:36,759 Speaker 1: values of providence of five to one in that top 709 00:35:36,800 --> 00:35:40,280 Speaker 1: half of the bracket as the one seed um with 710 00:35:40,280 --> 00:35:42,000 Speaker 1: with a bunch of teams that are fading, like Crating 711 00:35:42,120 --> 00:35:45,719 Speaker 1: lost their point guard, and um, so I think Providences 712 00:35:45,719 --> 00:35:49,440 Speaker 1: the value St John's the dart b J. Yeah, I 713 00:35:49,440 --> 00:35:52,200 Speaker 1: think the market has overreacted a tad bit to Providence. 714 00:35:52,280 --> 00:35:54,439 Speaker 1: Ire is stucky that five new one there one team 715 00:35:54,440 --> 00:35:57,840 Speaker 1: if they actually looked interest, if they looked interested. Xavier 716 00:35:58,160 --> 00:35:59,759 Speaker 1: at twenty one is a little bit interesting. A team 717 00:35:59,800 --> 00:36:02,359 Speaker 1: that can score at a high rate inside, defends well 718 00:36:02,360 --> 00:36:04,640 Speaker 1: in the half court, but lost four or five down 719 00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:06,880 Speaker 1: the stretch, especially in the game against St. John's. The 720 00:36:06,880 --> 00:36:09,880 Speaker 1: body language is really really bad and even you, Travis 721 00:36:09,880 --> 00:36:12,440 Speaker 1: Steele even said it in the press conference, So, uh, 722 00:36:13,040 --> 00:36:16,399 Speaker 1: who knows. Maybe a conference tournament breeds new life into them. Uh. 723 00:36:16,440 --> 00:36:18,719 Speaker 1: And they actually look like they want to play and 724 00:36:18,760 --> 00:36:20,799 Speaker 1: if they can, they're they're one of the better teams 725 00:36:20,800 --> 00:36:22,680 Speaker 1: in this conference. And definitely I think have a little 726 00:36:22,680 --> 00:36:25,840 Speaker 1: bit of value at twenty one. The last two I 727 00:36:25,880 --> 00:36:28,040 Speaker 1: want to talk about, uh, And I asked you guys 728 00:36:28,120 --> 00:36:30,480 Speaker 1: before we came on. We can go through sort of 729 00:36:30,480 --> 00:36:33,400 Speaker 1: the big players in college basketball. But the beauty of 730 00:36:33,440 --> 00:36:37,640 Speaker 1: the conference tournaments is how exciting it gets with teams 731 00:36:37,680 --> 00:36:40,720 Speaker 1: nobody's been paying attention to all year except for maybe 732 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:44,520 Speaker 1: you guys, these are great precursors to March madness where 733 00:36:44,520 --> 00:36:46,920 Speaker 1: people can start to think about who are the teams 734 00:36:46,920 --> 00:36:49,239 Speaker 1: that need to pay attention to for brackets, where are 735 00:36:49,239 --> 00:36:51,920 Speaker 1: the opportunities for some of those sea teams that will 736 00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:57,719 Speaker 1: be seated between you know, ten and sixteen um B J. 737 00:36:58,880 --> 00:37:03,000 Speaker 1: Let's start quickly with the Mountain West. Yeah, it's a 738 00:37:03,160 --> 00:37:05,520 Speaker 1: it's a probably one of the more interesting conference tournaments 739 00:37:05,560 --> 00:37:09,839 Speaker 1: out there. You have about about five teams that I 740 00:37:09,880 --> 00:37:13,360 Speaker 1: think really have a good chance of actually winning the tournament. Uh, 741 00:37:13,880 --> 00:37:15,839 Speaker 1: if you love offense, you might want to stay away 742 00:37:15,840 --> 00:37:17,640 Speaker 1: from this conference because there's a lot of teams in here, 743 00:37:17,680 --> 00:37:20,839 Speaker 1: like Boise State, San Diego State that are just incredible 744 00:37:20,840 --> 00:37:23,480 Speaker 1: defensive teams but just play slow paces and just muck 745 00:37:23,600 --> 00:37:26,040 Speaker 1: up those type of games. Wyoming for a lot of 746 00:37:26,040 --> 00:37:28,480 Speaker 1: the season was one of the luckier teams, but they've 747 00:37:28,560 --> 00:37:31,400 Speaker 1: kind of started to regress towards where they should be 748 00:37:31,440 --> 00:37:33,520 Speaker 1: and they're still one of the I think potentially the 749 00:37:33,520 --> 00:37:35,160 Speaker 1: best team in this conference. You can get them at 750 00:37:35,160 --> 00:37:36,959 Speaker 1: currently at six to one. They have an interesting match 751 00:37:37,000 --> 00:37:39,359 Speaker 1: against UMLB in the first round, and then they'll play 752 00:37:39,400 --> 00:37:42,960 Speaker 1: Boise State, who they did struggle with in one meeting, 753 00:37:42,960 --> 00:37:45,000 Speaker 1: but they were without one of their leading scorers. So 754 00:37:45,680 --> 00:37:47,279 Speaker 1: especially in the top half of the bracket, I think 755 00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:50,160 Speaker 1: Boise State is the one seed is pretty vulnerable. Um, 756 00:37:50,400 --> 00:37:53,400 Speaker 1: Colorado State is also interesting. They uh for a lot 757 00:37:53,480 --> 00:37:55,160 Speaker 1: of the season, we're winning a lot of close games 758 00:37:55,160 --> 00:37:59,120 Speaker 1: where Tad overrated as as a two seed. But uh, 759 00:37:59,160 --> 00:38:01,400 Speaker 1: you know there's even teams like Utah State at eleven 760 00:38:01,440 --> 00:38:03,160 Speaker 1: to one, who went through a lot of injuries and 761 00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:05,399 Speaker 1: I have gotten a lot of those really a lot 762 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:07,319 Speaker 1: of their best players back, and they could definitely make 763 00:38:07,320 --> 00:38:10,000 Speaker 1: a run. So if you want to take a long shot, 764 00:38:10,040 --> 00:38:12,640 Speaker 1: I think Utah State is probably the play here. But 765 00:38:12,880 --> 00:38:15,920 Speaker 1: if you want to go buy stuckies money line rollover system, 766 00:38:15,960 --> 00:38:18,120 Speaker 1: I think any of the teams that you know are 767 00:38:18,160 --> 00:38:20,239 Speaker 1: below six to one, definitely you're probably gonna get a 768 00:38:20,280 --> 00:38:24,040 Speaker 1: better price at at rolling them over. Stuck Now he's 769 00:38:24,120 --> 00:38:28,279 Speaker 1: now he's piggybacking off the money line rollover. Yeah. Well, Matt, 770 00:38:28,280 --> 00:38:29,680 Speaker 1: what you mentioned some of the best players in the 771 00:38:29,880 --> 00:38:32,360 Speaker 1: in the country. About West has some of them, Um, 772 00:38:32,400 --> 00:38:35,120 Speaker 1: like David Roddy for Colorado stay is incredible. Matt Bradley 773 00:38:35,160 --> 00:38:37,440 Speaker 1: for San Diego State Orlando Robinson for Fresnos the first 774 00:38:37,480 --> 00:38:41,120 Speaker 1: round draft pick. Um, you know, Bryce Hamilton's for UNLV 775 00:38:41,400 --> 00:38:43,560 Speaker 1: is amazing, could take over a game at any point 776 00:38:43,600 --> 00:38:45,960 Speaker 1: in time. They're they're just up about. They have four 777 00:38:46,000 --> 00:38:48,839 Speaker 1: teams that are in the tournament. They have four at large. 778 00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:51,799 Speaker 1: Is if someone else that's not like you're gonna see 779 00:38:51,840 --> 00:38:54,080 Speaker 1: Boise State, You're gonna see Colorado State, You're gonna see 780 00:38:54,120 --> 00:38:58,120 Speaker 1: Wyoming in San Diego State, number one defense in the country. Um, 781 00:38:58,160 --> 00:39:01,200 Speaker 1: they're already in. This could be a five big league tournament. 782 00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:04,000 Speaker 1: Is gonna be incredible, But I think that it's worth 783 00:39:04,040 --> 00:39:06,200 Speaker 1: taking a shot. There's a lot of teams that underperformed. 784 00:39:06,239 --> 00:39:09,080 Speaker 1: Nevada for example, they took San Diego State to the 785 00:39:09,080 --> 00:39:13,120 Speaker 1: wire and their two meetings. They're now healthy and a 786 00:39:13,120 --> 00:39:15,480 Speaker 1: lot of people before the year thought that they could 787 00:39:15,520 --> 00:39:18,719 Speaker 1: win this conference. Um, you know, you have two great 788 00:39:18,719 --> 00:39:21,000 Speaker 1: guards in Sheffield and Cambridge. You have, you know, a 789 00:39:21,040 --> 00:39:23,879 Speaker 1: couple of seven footers in their lineup, Warren Washington's back. 790 00:39:24,200 --> 00:39:27,120 Speaker 1: They're dangerous. I think you can find like a one. 791 00:39:27,200 --> 00:39:29,400 Speaker 1: I took some of that personally. U n l V. 792 00:39:30,200 --> 00:39:32,600 Speaker 1: UNLV plays Wyoming in the first round. UNV has a 793 00:39:32,600 --> 00:39:34,440 Speaker 1: real shot to win this and go to the Dance. 794 00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:36,399 Speaker 1: They were twenty eight to one to win this two 795 00:39:36,440 --> 00:39:39,279 Speaker 1: weeks ago. They're now nine to one, and they're they're 796 00:39:39,280 --> 00:39:41,839 Speaker 1: gonna start with the Yoma team they just dominated at home. 797 00:39:42,040 --> 00:39:44,799 Speaker 1: They're gonna play them again. I think they win that game. Um, 798 00:39:44,840 --> 00:39:47,680 Speaker 1: and they're gonna get a Boise team that they can beat. So, 799 00:39:48,200 --> 00:39:49,919 Speaker 1: you know, if you want to have some fun un 800 00:39:50,040 --> 00:39:52,200 Speaker 1: l V I sprinkle a little on unv and a 801 00:39:52,200 --> 00:39:54,920 Speaker 1: little on Nevada. They're both in the top half. Um. 802 00:39:55,000 --> 00:39:57,920 Speaker 1: But I think that there's a real chance that the 803 00:39:57,960 --> 00:40:00,319 Speaker 1: Mountain West gets another bid because you have the four 804 00:40:00,320 --> 00:40:02,160 Speaker 1: teams that are really good that are already in and 805 00:40:02,200 --> 00:40:04,160 Speaker 1: then you know these other teams that dealt with injuries 806 00:40:04,680 --> 00:40:08,319 Speaker 1: and or are just surging late. Um. Just it's gonna 807 00:40:08,320 --> 00:40:10,399 Speaker 1: be an incredible conference and actually the one I'm looking 808 00:40:10,400 --> 00:40:13,440 Speaker 1: forward to more than any other one. Well, team No 809 00:40:13,600 --> 00:40:17,920 Speaker 1: Sleep is gonna get a lot of training during conference 810 00:40:17,960 --> 00:40:20,680 Speaker 1: championship week when you're staying up for the Mountin West. 811 00:40:20,719 --> 00:40:25,200 Speaker 1: Jorney Stuck finish us off with the eight ten Yeah, ten, 812 00:40:25,840 --> 00:40:29,200 Speaker 1: you're you're probably gonna get I think VC is gonna 813 00:40:29,200 --> 00:40:32,080 Speaker 1: be in Davidson's gonna be in. I think the bet 814 00:40:32,120 --> 00:40:36,839 Speaker 1: here is Bonnies from five six when you can find 815 00:40:36,880 --> 00:40:38,640 Speaker 1: five to one or better. That's kind of my strike 816 00:40:38,719 --> 00:40:42,080 Speaker 1: price this Bonnie's team. Before the year, people thought that 817 00:40:42,120 --> 00:40:45,080 Speaker 1: they should be ranked clear favorite in the team in 818 00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:48,279 Speaker 1: the conference, excuse me, and they just completely underperformed. Some 819 00:40:48,320 --> 00:40:50,680 Speaker 1: teams just didn't have it this year. Buffalo is one 820 00:40:50,719 --> 00:40:56,319 Speaker 1: of them. Bonnies all seniors like high expectations, a lot 821 00:40:56,360 --> 00:41:01,400 Speaker 1: of talent didn't have it. But of late something happened 822 00:41:01,440 --> 00:41:03,279 Speaker 1: and they figured it out that they're playing their best 823 00:41:03,280 --> 00:41:05,560 Speaker 1: basketball the year. They need to win this uh the 824 00:41:05,600 --> 00:41:08,800 Speaker 1: Agent Tournament to get in. You're getting a really experienced 825 00:41:08,840 --> 00:41:13,000 Speaker 1: team that I think as a pretty favorable matchups against 826 00:41:13,000 --> 00:41:15,920 Speaker 1: the teams that they're gonna face. A St. Louis team 827 00:41:15,960 --> 00:41:19,400 Speaker 1: who can be tricky, looked good against them, they can 828 00:41:19,440 --> 00:41:22,640 Speaker 1: beat Davidson kind of out physical them. This is kind 829 00:41:22,640 --> 00:41:25,360 Speaker 1: of just like, all right, we're rolling right now, and 830 00:41:25,400 --> 00:41:28,759 Speaker 1: this is our chance. A bunch of seniors on Bonnies. Um. 831 00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:32,080 Speaker 1: I think that's the move in the eight ten J Yeah, 832 00:41:32,080 --> 00:41:34,520 Speaker 1: I agree, it's either Bonnies or Richmond is also kind 833 00:41:34,520 --> 00:41:36,680 Speaker 1: of interesting team. They have really good guard play. They've 834 00:41:36,680 --> 00:41:39,920 Speaker 1: been under achieved a little bit. They're gonna play VCU 835 00:41:40,040 --> 00:41:43,960 Speaker 1: in the in the quarterfinals, team that's pretty vulnerable, really 836 00:41:44,000 --> 00:41:47,920 Speaker 1: good defensively, but struggles on the offensive. On the floor, Davidson, 837 00:41:48,320 --> 00:41:49,920 Speaker 1: I think is the best team in this conference. They 838 00:41:49,960 --> 00:41:52,200 Speaker 1: shoot the ball incredibly well. So if you see them 839 00:41:52,200 --> 00:41:55,440 Speaker 1: in the tournament, uh there, they can just shoot the 840 00:41:55,560 --> 00:41:58,520 Speaker 1: lights out on you. So Richmond at seven to one 841 00:41:58,680 --> 00:42:01,600 Speaker 1: or seven and a half to one or same Bondaventry, Yeah, 842 00:42:01,600 --> 00:42:03,439 Speaker 1: like a great stuff. Yet five ones probably the way 843 00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:06,760 Speaker 1: to go in the Those are both. Those are both teams. 844 00:42:06,960 --> 00:42:09,919 Speaker 1: The one problem with the bodies of zero depth, like 845 00:42:09,920 --> 00:42:13,600 Speaker 1: like at all the three dead last and benchments, which 846 00:42:13,600 --> 00:42:16,160 Speaker 1: can be a problem, you know over the course of 847 00:42:16,200 --> 00:42:18,200 Speaker 1: a short period time you're playing a couple of games. 848 00:42:18,920 --> 00:42:21,040 Speaker 1: But you know, I think that they rallied. But Richmond 849 00:42:21,080 --> 00:42:24,760 Speaker 1: and say Bonavents are same story, like a bunch of seniors, 850 00:42:24,800 --> 00:42:28,120 Speaker 1: really experienced team underperformed. A lot of people thought both 851 00:42:28,120 --> 00:42:30,200 Speaker 1: were gonna be tournament teams. This is kind of their chat, 852 00:42:30,280 --> 00:42:32,200 Speaker 1: So I like targeting a lot of those teams are 853 00:42:32,239 --> 00:42:35,799 Speaker 1: kind of disappointed that our veteran teams underachieved and then 854 00:42:36,360 --> 00:42:38,160 Speaker 1: you know this serves as a restart in the case 855 00:42:38,239 --> 00:42:41,319 Speaker 1: of bodies. In addition to that, there you know you're 856 00:42:41,320 --> 00:42:45,160 Speaker 1: seeing them kind of trend up and surging ahead of 857 00:42:45,160 --> 00:42:47,399 Speaker 1: this tournament, which I like to see in their big 858 00:42:47,400 --> 00:42:49,960 Speaker 1: man who got hurt, looked great last game, which is 859 00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:52,960 Speaker 1: enormous because they basical only played with five guys. Guys 860 00:42:53,000 --> 00:42:56,640 Speaker 1: is Howard s said, You've said it all. A CC down, 861 00:42:57,000 --> 00:43:00,960 Speaker 1: SECU big ten and consistent big twelve down. Mountain West 862 00:43:01,040 --> 00:43:04,800 Speaker 1: might be the best conference in all the land. Virginia 863 00:43:04,840 --> 00:43:07,400 Speaker 1: Tech is a nice looking wrong shot. You've got some 864 00:43:07,440 --> 00:43:12,560 Speaker 1: money line rollovers in Alabama and Iowa TCU maybe one 865 00:43:13,320 --> 00:43:18,200 Speaker 1: Providence five to one. Zafer taking a little taste everywhere 866 00:43:18,239 --> 00:43:20,799 Speaker 1: we can get it. That's what we're doing here at 867 00:43:20,800 --> 00:43:24,239 Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast on the Volume podcast network for b 868 00:43:24,400 --> 00:43:29,080 Speaker 1: J Cunningham for Stucky. Listen to more in depth college 869 00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:34,120 Speaker 1: basketball coverage Big Bets on Campus podcast. We will be 870 00:43:34,200 --> 00:43:38,280 Speaker 1: back on Thursday, me and Simon Hunter talking about NFL 871 00:43:38,440 --> 00:43:42,880 Speaker 1: free agency. Download the podcast from podcast from Spotify, rate review, 872 00:43:43,320 --> 00:43:48,279 Speaker 1: subscribe feedback as a gift. No matter what your feedback is, 873 00:43:48,320 --> 00:43:50,120 Speaker 1: give us the five stars. Say whatever you want to 874 00:43:50,160 --> 00:43:53,480 Speaker 1: say until Thursday. I love you,