WEBVTT - The Prisoners’ Dilemma of Performance-Enhancing Drugs

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<v Speaker 1>Pushkin. Welcome back to Risky Business, a show about making

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<v Speaker 1>better decisions. I'm Maria Kannakova.

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<v Speaker 2>And I'm Nate Silver.

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<v Speaker 1>I don't like it up, all right, Nate Silver. Today

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<v Speaker 1>on the show, we're actually doing an episode that's inspired

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<v Speaker 1>by one of our listeners, Brandon. So, by the way, listeners,

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<v Speaker 1>please do keep sending us questions. And Brandon is wondering

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<v Speaker 1>about performance enhancing drugs. He specifically asked for performance enhancing

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<v Speaker 1>drugs outside of sports, but I think we'll be talking

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<v Speaker 1>about sports as well. So in the army, he says

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<v Speaker 1>that they talk a lot about alertness, decision making under stress.

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<v Speaker 1>Caffeine is basically a field issue stimulant. He goes on

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<v Speaker 1>to talk about adderall modafinal and the fact that it's

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<v Speaker 1>being used not just in military, but you know, college students, professionals,

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<v Speaker 1>et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. So he wants to

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<v Speaker 1>know what are our thoughts and what are our experiences,

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<v Speaker 1>and you know, it definitely does say a lot about

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<v Speaker 1>modern performance culture. So this is a topic that I've

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<v Speaker 1>done a lot of thinking about, both in the past

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<v Speaker 1>but also obviously as I'm working on a book about cheating.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, I do think about all of these ways

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of enhance performance that may or may not

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<v Speaker 1>be legal in any given setting. And I think there's

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<v Speaker 1>a lot to say here. Do you want me to

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<v Speaker 1>start with some thoughts, Nate, or do you want to

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<v Speaker 1>kind of give you give your reaction. So, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>people have been trying to figure out for decades, like

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<v Speaker 1>how can I think better?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 1>How can I perform better? How can I run better?

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<v Speaker 1>How can I do everything just a little bit better?

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<v Speaker 1>You know, it's kind of a perfect storm with kind

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<v Speaker 1>of social media and technology and all of these things

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<v Speaker 1>where we're in a culture that's obsessed with I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>the culture has always been obsessed with youth, but now

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<v Speaker 1>we feel like, finally like we're in then do not

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<v Speaker 1>die ever moment that if I can just live for

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<v Speaker 1>another ten years, I'll be close to the moment in

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<v Speaker 1>time where we can all live forever or at least

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<v Speaker 1>greatly expand our life expectancy and our healthy life expectancy.

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<v Speaker 1>So don't die. And also let's absolutely optimize every single

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<v Speaker 1>moment of every single day cognitive function, physical function. In

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<v Speaker 1>the case of certain social media influencer gurus who also

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<v Speaker 1>happen to run big companies that sell supplements a rectile

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<v Speaker 1>function measured during the night. We won't be naming names,

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<v Speaker 1>but I think anyone who's online knows exactly who I'm

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<v Speaker 1>talking about right now. So how do you basically enhance

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<v Speaker 1>every single element of existence to the max? And we're

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<v Speaker 1>seeing things, Yes, some of them are pills. Modaffanel has

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<v Speaker 1>been kind of in in the mix for a long time,

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<v Speaker 1>so has adderall. There are other drugs that have been

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<v Speaker 1>basically tested for Alzheimer's and that are now also kind

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<v Speaker 1>of in that conversation. But it's not just drugs, right,

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<v Speaker 1>It's things like cold plunges, infra red saunas. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>do you do this to do that?

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<v Speaker 2>Like?

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<v Speaker 1>What can I possibly do to get just like a

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<v Speaker 1>little bit better? And this is not a monolithic conversation

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<v Speaker 1>in the sense that there's a big difference between like

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<v Speaker 1>poker players who that they're going to microdose before a

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<v Speaker 1>tournament because they think it's going to make them more

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<v Speaker 1>creative and find better spots. This does happen, by the way,

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<v Speaker 1>I'm not just throwing this out in the blue and

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<v Speaker 1>like a Lance Armstrong who decides that, you know, everyone's

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<v Speaker 1>doping in cycling, so I'm going to do it too,

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<v Speaker 1>and we're going to create this culture where everyone is

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<v Speaker 1>taking drugs that are explicitly forbidden to enhance their performance. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>So we've got it's a huge spectrum, right, And there's

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<v Speaker 1>a huge spectrum between the college student who decides to

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<v Speaker 1>take adderall even though they technically don't have ADHD, so

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<v Speaker 1>that they can finish a paper, which, by the way, Nate,

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<v Speaker 1>is probably not happening anymore because you have chat GBT

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<v Speaker 1>who's your aderol, who could just finish the paper for you,

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<v Speaker 1>so you don't even need to take those supplements that

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<v Speaker 1>was you know, long before, or the investment baggers taking

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<v Speaker 1>cocaine in the middle of the night to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>stay up and make sure that they can get their

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<v Speaker 1>their spreadsheets or whatever it is that they're doing done

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<v Speaker 1>by the morning. And then the wellness gurus who say, well,

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<v Speaker 1>even though medafinil is a drug that was developed for

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<v Speaker 1>narcolepsy and sometimes to treat ADHD and may not be

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<v Speaker 1>the thing that I should be taken to kind of

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<v Speaker 1>enhance my concentration, even though there's a little bit of

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<v Speaker 1>data on that. But I'm going to do it just

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<v Speaker 1>in case because I want to kind of maximize my

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<v Speaker 1>ability to be the full me. All of these things

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<v Speaker 1>are different, right, and I have different opinions on these,

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<v Speaker 1>on the different gradations along the way, and even ones

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<v Speaker 1>that seem very straightforward, such as, you know, we should

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<v Speaker 1>not be allowing any performance enhancing drugs in sports, When

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<v Speaker 1>you start digging down, it ends up that some of

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<v Speaker 1>them might be like a little bit murkier than you

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<v Speaker 1>would think, right. I would I would love to say

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<v Speaker 1>that I'm just you know, we shouldn't be doing any

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<v Speaker 1>of this, but you know, as are as listener Brandon

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<v Speaker 1>points out, caffeine is a great performance enhancing drug, right,

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<v Speaker 1>So it's not like everyone is living this existence where

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<v Speaker 1>we're not taking any substances to increase performance. You need

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<v Speaker 1>to kind of figure out what exactly are you talking about.

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<v Speaker 1>And I think that this is one of those episodes

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<v Speaker 1>where there are going to be a lot of shades

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<v Speaker 1>of gray. I think that it's one of these case

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<v Speaker 1>by case basis where you have to really understand what's

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<v Speaker 1>the intention here, what are the data here, what is

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<v Speaker 1>the responsibility here, and what are the rules here?

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, in the poker world, do you have an interesting

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<v Speaker 2>cross section of a little bit of everything. Right, you

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<v Speaker 2>certainly have some stimulant use ranging for people who are

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<v Speaker 2>probably taking out of all the people who are taking

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<v Speaker 2>zims or vaping you.

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<v Speaker 1>Oh yeah, by the way, let me just interrupt you

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<v Speaker 1>immediately just to say, we said caffeine, but nicotine is

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<v Speaker 1>another huge performance enhancing drug that people take all the time,

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<v Speaker 1>and zin is gaining huge market shares. I seeeson at

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<v Speaker 1>the poker tables all the time.

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<v Speaker 2>Please continue, Yeah, and in part because like those are

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<v Speaker 2>as weird as smoking cigarettes, right, which is more disruptive,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, those are kind of more discreet ways to

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<v Speaker 2>do with that, you know. But yeah, people are taking

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<v Speaker 2>anterall people are. There's varying amounts of drinking. People are

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<v Speaker 2>different tolerances. I will often have a best of one

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<v Speaker 2>or two at dinner a poker tournament, right, But like everyone,

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<v Speaker 2>we have differently different things, you know what I mean.

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<v Speaker 2>And so you have to know kind of your own

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not claim aning of this is game theory optimal, right,

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<v Speaker 2>you have to kind of know your own physiology a

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<v Speaker 2>little bit, but not as much drinking as you might

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<v Speaker 2>have seen twenty years ago, you know, I've always surprised

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<v Speaker 2>that there are some players who get quite stoned on

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<v Speaker 2>dinner breaks and stuff like that, or any break, right.

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, we were talking about the well known player

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<v Speaker 2>Maria the other day who seemed to me quite stone

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<v Speaker 2>and not playing optimally, And you have some of those,

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<v Speaker 2>but like there are some people who are microdocing on

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<v Speaker 2>different things, and like again I don't know, right, it's

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<v Speaker 2>also partly a matter of habit, right, for whatever reason,

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<v Speaker 2>probably done more drugs than you in my life, Maria

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<v Speaker 2>forever reason. Like I've just never really tried to play

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<v Speaker 2>poker under the influence of THC, though I'm not familiar

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<v Speaker 2>with THC, whereas I have on alcohol, and so like

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<v Speaker 2>you're just kind of like part of what you're familiar

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<v Speaker 2>with I think about poker. It's also important, though, is

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<v Speaker 2>like these are really long sessions, particularly in tournaments, right,

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<v Speaker 2>So things that sustain energy and focus for a long time,

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<v Speaker 2>like you know, you don't typically see like necessarily like

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<v Speaker 2>a lot of like cocaine used to take an extreme

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<v Speaker 2>example of poke returnaments because like that is a drug

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<v Speaker 2>where you kind of burn brightly for very quickly and

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<v Speaker 2>then crash out right. You know that will work if

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<v Speaker 2>you're playing from noon to midnight in some tournament. I mean,

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<v Speaker 2>unless you're taking a lot of it, I guess right.

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<v Speaker 1>But adderall, which is kind of a controlled version of speed,

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<v Speaker 1>is something and riddle. These are things that are that

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<v Speaker 1>are actually incredibly common in the poker world, and they

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<v Speaker 1>are common not just in the poker world, but in

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<v Speaker 1>all sorts of professions that require concentration, right, that require

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<v Speaker 1>people to kind of pay attention for long periods of time.

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<v Speaker 1>And the funny thing is, so I've actually written about this,

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<v Speaker 1>and I have kind of dug a little bit deeper

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<v Speaker 1>into the data. With drugs like adderall, I think this

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<v Speaker 1>is true of a lot of performance enhancing drugs when

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<v Speaker 1>you are taking anything that is off label, right, which

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<v Speaker 1>means that it's not prescribed for this exact condition, especially

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<v Speaker 1>when it's something that is for a cognitive function and

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<v Speaker 1>meant to counteract something that is kind of a neurological

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<v Speaker 1>abnormality or something that is kind of not a neurotypical brain.

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<v Speaker 1>When you put it into a neurotypical brain that doesn't

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<v Speaker 1>have these issues, you might get some benefits, but also

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<v Speaker 1>some unintended side effects. So the funny thing I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>I think it's funny because I don't do adderall or

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<v Speaker 1>riddle an off label. The funny thing about it is

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<v Speaker 1>that there's actually a disconnect when you take these drugs,

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<v Speaker 1>quite often with what you think your work product is

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<v Speaker 1>and what it actually is, because it does put you

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<v Speaker 1>into this like laser focus where you think, oh, I'm

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<v Speaker 1>writing like a brilliant paper, or I'm creating this brilliant

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<v Speaker 1>work product, or if I'm playing pogram, you know, being

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<v Speaker 1>able to execute all these wonderful creative lines. But it

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<v Speaker 1>actually really dampens creativity and makes you create things that

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<v Speaker 1>to you might seem great, but that actually objectively you're

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<v Speaker 1>working a lot, but your work output is not necessarily

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<v Speaker 1>what you think it is. And so it's a very

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<v Speaker 1>funny disconnect between self perception and actual performance. And so

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<v Speaker 1>when it comes to cognitive enhancement, that is something that

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<v Speaker 1>you see now. Obviously when it's physical, usually there's no

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<v Speaker 1>disconnect between what you think you're doing and how you're

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<v Speaker 1>doing because you have an objective measure immediately, right, am

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<v Speaker 1>I running faster? Am I cycling faster? Am I able

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<v Speaker 1>to actually lift more weight?

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<v Speaker 2>Right?

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<v Speaker 1>When I use steroids? Whatever it is? But when it

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<v Speaker 1>comes to cognitive enhancement, you have these funny things.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, we talked to Nick Thompson, the author of The

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<v Speaker 2>Running Round. Nick is one of the best runners in

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<v Speaker 2>the world and age class the other week. Right, Well,

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<v Speaker 2>one of the things about running is that there's not

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<v Speaker 2>much variation in it, right, You're running of existence. Most

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<v Speaker 2>people who a runners are running a few routes. If

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<v Speaker 2>they run commonly. That can be a few things. It

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<v Speaker 2>can be traffic, right, you can other joggers and stuff

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<v Speaker 2>like that, right, or wind or weather right, But like

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<v Speaker 2>for the most part, it can be a fairly objective

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<v Speaker 2>benchmark about your kind of overall partiovascular et cetera health

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<v Speaker 2>that day, in your effort level. Whereas in poker it's

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<v Speaker 2>extremely noisy. You know, the best poker players might have

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<v Speaker 2>in the tough field and ROI of plus ten percent

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<v Speaker 2>and a mediocre player on his B game, not the

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<v Speaker 2>C game, not the F game, but like on this

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<v Speaker 2>B game, right, might be minus ten percent, right, plus

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<v Speaker 2>ten which is minus saying oh, of course, of one

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<v Speaker 2>poker tournament. You don't protect the dissample of like hundreds

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<v Speaker 2>of tournaments to distinguish those And yeah, I certainly have had.

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<v Speaker 2>It's kind of a common thing among writers too, to

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<v Speaker 2>use like things like adderall. I've certainly been around people

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<v Speaker 2>who seem to be constantly on adderall and they're talking

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<v Speaker 2>a mile a minute and they're kind of hyper right

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<v Speaker 2>and kind of babbling, And you know, that's not a

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<v Speaker 2>drug that leaves me with a great impression. But like again,

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna my own habits right, good and bad.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not gonna creaque anybody. My empirical experience is that

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<v Speaker 2>one's a bit more noticeable than than some of the others,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe among the drugs that people are kind of using

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<v Speaker 2>for cognitive entancement.

0:13:37.284 --> 0:13:42.004
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so just full disclaimer, I've never used any cognitive

0:13:42.164 --> 0:13:46.564
<v Speaker 1>enhancing pills. And I say pills because I drink a

0:13:46.644 --> 0:13:51.244
<v Speaker 1>fuck ton of caffeine. Okay, yeah, so like and I've

0:13:51.284 --> 0:13:54.924
<v Speaker 1>actually never used nicotine, so I've never I'm I'm gonna

0:13:55.324 --> 0:13:57.604
<v Speaker 1>come across those kind of this goody two shoes, but

0:13:57.644 --> 0:14:00.884
<v Speaker 1>I do I drink, and you know, I'm not doing

0:14:00.884 --> 0:14:04.644
<v Speaker 1>this for like moral reasons or anything. It's just not

0:14:05.004 --> 0:14:06.564
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's right for me. And also I

0:14:06.644 --> 0:14:08.684
<v Speaker 1>have a lot of allergies and can stand smoke. But

0:14:08.724 --> 0:14:12.044
<v Speaker 1>I've never used any nicotine products. I've never smoked cigarettes.

0:14:12.164 --> 0:14:15.764
<v Speaker 1>No nicotine. By the way, poker players also love nicotine pills,

0:14:15.884 --> 0:14:18.764
<v Speaker 1>nicotine patches, not just poker players. Like this is stuff

0:14:18.804 --> 0:14:22.444
<v Speaker 1>that people use. They get into the science and they

0:14:22.484 --> 0:14:25.124
<v Speaker 1>listen to the kind of gurus of how to enhance

0:14:25.164 --> 0:14:28.044
<v Speaker 1>your performance peak performance at any given time, and they

0:14:28.084 --> 0:14:31.884
<v Speaker 1>do stuff like that. So just total disclaimer, I've never

0:14:31.964 --> 0:14:35.164
<v Speaker 1>used any of those, but I do use caffeine. And

0:14:35.404 --> 0:14:38.844
<v Speaker 1>when I play poker, I am always drinking green tea,

0:14:38.884 --> 0:14:42.284
<v Speaker 1>and I specifically drink green tea because I've done the

0:14:42.324 --> 0:14:46.324
<v Speaker 1>research and I know that green tea has the best

0:14:46.924 --> 0:14:52.084
<v Speaker 1>kind of way of absorbing elthonine into your brain, which

0:14:52.124 --> 0:14:56.924
<v Speaker 1>helps you sustain your attention for longer periods of time.

0:14:57.284 --> 0:15:01.084
<v Speaker 1>Am I using a performance enhancing drug, Nate, you know

0:15:01.124 --> 0:15:03.244
<v Speaker 1>what I mean? Like I realized, I'm not trying to

0:15:03.364 --> 0:15:06.044
<v Speaker 1>practice semantics here. All I'm saying is that we do

0:15:06.164 --> 0:15:08.924
<v Speaker 1>make choices all the time that try to optimize how

0:15:08.964 --> 0:15:11.804
<v Speaker 1>we're doing today. By the way, no amount of green

0:15:11.844 --> 0:15:14.404
<v Speaker 1>tea is probably going to make me at absolute peak

0:15:14.444 --> 0:15:17.004
<v Speaker 1>performance because I didn't get that much sleep. And what

0:15:17.044 --> 0:15:20.004
<v Speaker 1>we know is the number one cognitive enhancing drug is sleep.

0:15:20.524 --> 0:15:24.764
<v Speaker 1>Like nothing else, nothing else comes even close. So getting

0:15:24.884 --> 0:15:28.084
<v Speaker 1>proper amounts of sleep is just like, you know, light

0:15:28.164 --> 0:15:31.804
<v Speaker 1>years ahead of anything else. And so when you do

0:15:31.884 --> 0:15:36.564
<v Speaker 1>something like that, well obviously it's not a performance enhancing drug,

0:15:36.604 --> 0:15:39.564
<v Speaker 1>but it might as well be. So you know, there

0:15:39.604 --> 0:15:44.484
<v Speaker 1>are so let's just I guess put a disclaimer and say, Okay, yes,

0:15:44.564 --> 0:15:48.724
<v Speaker 1>there's things that everyone does, like caffeine and it might

0:15:48.884 --> 0:15:52.884
<v Speaker 1>give you a little bit more cognitive power. And then

0:15:53.044 --> 0:15:57.884
<v Speaker 1>there are other things that people use that are more

0:15:59.084 --> 0:16:03.364
<v Speaker 1>out there, and we can argue that while nicotine is

0:16:03.364 --> 0:16:06.004
<v Speaker 1>closer to caffeine, or we can argue that it's not,

0:16:06.404 --> 0:16:11.244
<v Speaker 1>but modafino definitely kind of on the other on the other.

0:16:11.124 --> 0:16:11.684
<v Speaker 2>Side of that.

0:16:12.164 --> 0:16:14.604
<v Speaker 1>And do you have a prescription, right, is it something

0:16:14.644 --> 0:16:18.044
<v Speaker 1>that you are actually using correctly because you need to.

0:16:18.364 --> 0:16:20.084
<v Speaker 1>Oh and by the way, if you do have a

0:16:20.084 --> 0:16:22.404
<v Speaker 1>prescription for it because you need to, is that giving

0:16:22.444 --> 0:16:26.284
<v Speaker 1>you an unfair advantage? Is it giving you an unfair edge?

0:16:26.404 --> 0:16:29.084
<v Speaker 1>They're all of these, you know, when we start getting

0:16:29.124 --> 0:16:31.684
<v Speaker 1>into the ethics of it. Oh and by the way,

0:16:31.764 --> 0:16:35.204
<v Speaker 1>poker doesn't ban any sort of substances, So that's like

0:16:35.844 --> 0:16:37.204
<v Speaker 1>That's another thing here.

0:16:37.124 --> 0:16:42.564
<v Speaker 2>Right, there's a didn't sama, which is yes, there was,

0:16:42.924 --> 0:16:43.244
<v Speaker 2>there was.

0:16:44.044 --> 0:16:47.124
<v Speaker 1>It's like, come on, yeah, he proposed a drug free

0:16:47.284 --> 0:16:49.884
<v Speaker 1>poker tournament where you could not where you'd get tested,

0:16:49.924 --> 0:16:52.524
<v Speaker 1>and you weren't allowed to use anything. I don't know

0:16:52.564 --> 0:16:55.284
<v Speaker 1>if caffeine was included in that, because if it was,

0:16:55.364 --> 0:17:00.524
<v Speaker 1>then you know, sorry, Tom, I'm I'm totally out. But

0:17:00.524 --> 0:17:02.284
<v Speaker 1>but yeah, I do want to say that it's not

0:17:02.524 --> 0:17:05.444
<v Speaker 1>against the rules in poker to take whatever the fuck

0:17:05.484 --> 0:17:07.644
<v Speaker 1>you want to take, And to be perfectly honest, I

0:17:07.724 --> 0:17:09.284
<v Speaker 1>would say, like, if you want to take it, go

0:17:09.484 --> 0:17:12.324
<v Speaker 1>right ahead, because I actually don't think it gives you

0:17:12.404 --> 0:17:14.124
<v Speaker 1>that much of an edge, and I think it sometimes

0:17:14.204 --> 0:17:15.204
<v Speaker 1>might make you play worse.

0:17:18.044 --> 0:17:29.524
<v Speaker 3>And we'll be right back after this break.

0:17:37.204 --> 0:17:41.964
<v Speaker 2>We can put some bounds on this, right, Like, It's

0:17:42.004 --> 0:17:46.084
<v Speaker 2>not like in poker there are look, you could make

0:17:47.204 --> 0:17:51.484
<v Speaker 2>educated guesses about exactly which helpful and or unhelpful substances

0:17:51.524 --> 0:17:56.684
<v Speaker 2>different players are taking, you know, maybe apart from the

0:17:56.724 --> 0:17:59.884
<v Speaker 2>really stone players and the really adderally ones. Right, And

0:17:59.924 --> 0:18:04.684
<v Speaker 2>it's not necessarily so obvious, right, you know, it's not

0:18:04.724 --> 0:18:08.204
<v Speaker 2>like there's some class of players that are like thirty

0:18:08.204 --> 0:18:10.764
<v Speaker 2>percent better than the rest. You're like, oh, they're all

0:18:10.764 --> 0:18:13.284
<v Speaker 2>on the drug apps, right, And there are exotic things

0:18:13.324 --> 0:18:15.724
<v Speaker 2>that are very subtle. You know, some of the players

0:18:15.764 --> 0:18:19.964
<v Speaker 2>take beta blockers. I'm not an expert in any of

0:18:20.004 --> 0:18:21.644
<v Speaker 2>this stuff, but I think it has the effect of

0:18:21.684 --> 0:18:24.404
<v Speaker 2>like lowering your heart rate and things like that, which

0:18:24.444 --> 0:18:29.524
<v Speaker 2>can be helpful to a remain calmer maybe when you're

0:18:29.604 --> 0:18:32.604
<v Speaker 2>under high stress, and or to reduce the appearance of

0:18:32.604 --> 0:18:33.244
<v Speaker 2>physical tells.

0:18:33.284 --> 0:18:33.364
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:18:33.404 --> 0:18:35.164
<v Speaker 2>I remember actually the main event of the World Series

0:18:35.204 --> 0:18:37.084
<v Speaker 2>right where there was a guy I put against a

0:18:37.164 --> 0:18:40.204
<v Speaker 2>day two or day three right saying, right across from him,

0:18:40.764 --> 0:18:42.404
<v Speaker 2>he just kind of thing where like his heart was

0:18:42.444 --> 0:18:45.724
<v Speaker 2>like literally kind of very visible, and it's whatever artery

0:18:46.004 --> 0:18:50.524
<v Speaker 2>carctorate or something artery, right, every player knows it corroded, corroded.

0:18:51.004 --> 0:18:56.204
<v Speaker 2>And it was the most visible instance of this I'd

0:18:56.244 --> 0:18:58.324
<v Speaker 2>ever seen. It's the main event. He had a fairly

0:18:58.324 --> 0:19:03.244
<v Speaker 2>big sack on day three whatever it was. And and furthermore,

0:19:03.484 --> 0:19:05.364
<v Speaker 2>he basically had like a running heart rate monitor for

0:19:05.404 --> 0:19:09.244
<v Speaker 2>this player at all times, right, Like furthermore, I quickly

0:19:09.484 --> 0:19:10.884
<v Speaker 2>do so there was a pattern that when he has

0:19:10.924 --> 0:19:13.364
<v Speaker 2>a good hand, some players actually more nerves than their bluffing, right,

0:19:13.604 --> 0:19:15.124
<v Speaker 2>this guy waiting in a big hand. Do you start

0:19:15.164 --> 0:19:18.204
<v Speaker 2>to see boom boom boom boom of this kind of

0:19:18.724 --> 0:19:21.404
<v Speaker 2>it was kind of funny, right, but like, yeah, but

0:19:21.444 --> 0:19:25.124
<v Speaker 2>the physical tell you know, if if you start having

0:19:25.164 --> 0:19:27.524
<v Speaker 2>a bunch of predictable involuntary takes, or if you can

0:19:27.564 --> 0:19:30.884
<v Speaker 2>suppress those ticks in some ways, you know, it's not

0:19:30.964 --> 0:19:33.564
<v Speaker 2>creating just like a pigd use. And poker is not

0:19:33.564 --> 0:19:36.284
<v Speaker 2>created as like some yeah moral panic wearers and the

0:19:36.284 --> 0:19:40.044
<v Speaker 2>other world I know sports then than it is of course, yeah,

0:19:40.084 --> 0:19:40.844
<v Speaker 2>And I think.

0:19:40.764 --> 0:19:43.004
<v Speaker 1>So let's uh, let's actually talk about that a little

0:19:43.004 --> 0:19:46.844
<v Speaker 1>bit because so I have very very different perspectives about

0:19:47.324 --> 0:19:49.724
<v Speaker 1>using all of these drugs, all of these techniques, whatever

0:19:49.884 --> 0:19:52.924
<v Speaker 1>whatever you want to use when it is allowed versus

0:19:52.964 --> 0:19:56.484
<v Speaker 1>when it's not allowed. So poker, you know, knock yourself out.

0:19:56.564 --> 0:19:59.124
<v Speaker 1>If you are an investment banker and you want to

0:19:59.164 --> 0:20:01.484
<v Speaker 1>add her all it up or cocaine it up or whatever,

0:20:01.524 --> 0:20:05.604
<v Speaker 1>it is awesome, like you do you right, and if

0:20:05.644 --> 0:20:09.644
<v Speaker 1>your superiors are happy with your work, awesome. My onion

0:20:09.764 --> 0:20:14.324
<v Speaker 1>changes completely when we have explicit rules that say, okay,

0:20:14.764 --> 0:20:19.004
<v Speaker 1>you can not take you know, these performance enhancing drugs

0:20:19.044 --> 0:20:22.804
<v Speaker 1>right when we're talking about cycling. The argument but everyone's

0:20:22.844 --> 0:20:25.244
<v Speaker 1>doing it to me holds no water, right, I don't

0:20:25.284 --> 0:20:29.644
<v Speaker 1>fucking care like that. That is, if it's a rule,

0:20:29.684 --> 0:20:32.644
<v Speaker 1>that it means that everyone is cheating. If everyone is cheating,

0:20:32.644 --> 0:20:34.724
<v Speaker 1>either you call out the cheating, you quit the sport,

0:20:34.764 --> 0:20:38.204
<v Speaker 1>you know, you do something else. And it's interesting because there,

0:20:39.284 --> 0:20:42.764
<v Speaker 1>you know, as I've been kind of researching cheating in games,

0:20:43.244 --> 0:20:47.644
<v Speaker 1>I talked to a baseball player who was roommates with

0:20:47.844 --> 0:20:54.684
<v Speaker 1>another player who was suspended for for using steroids and

0:20:56.084 --> 0:20:59.644
<v Speaker 1>coast I'm not gonna I'm not gonna say anything else, Nate.

0:20:59.684 --> 0:21:02.804
<v Speaker 1>You know these sports a little too well. And it

0:21:02.924 --> 0:21:05.644
<v Speaker 1>was one of these things where you know, this roommate said,

0:21:06.124 --> 0:21:10.084
<v Speaker 1>like I, you know, people were doing I just thought

0:21:10.084 --> 0:21:12.604
<v Speaker 1>it was wrong, so I didn't and like, I have

0:21:12.684 --> 0:21:15.404
<v Speaker 1>no regrets about it, even though kind if my roommate

0:21:15.484 --> 0:21:18.004
<v Speaker 1>ended up having like a much more storied career for

0:21:18.084 --> 0:21:21.204
<v Speaker 1>a time than I did, because like I, you know,

0:21:21.444 --> 0:21:25.924
<v Speaker 1>I said, I basically said no, and my career ended

0:21:26.284 --> 0:21:28.804
<v Speaker 1>like I, you know, eventually kind of had to retire.

0:21:28.964 --> 0:21:32.404
<v Speaker 1>And but it's not like you're forced to do it.

0:21:32.444 --> 0:21:36.564
<v Speaker 1>You make choices. So anyway, you can. I don't care if, like,

0:21:36.844 --> 0:21:39.084
<v Speaker 1>if the culture is that everyone is doing it. What

0:21:39.204 --> 0:21:41.164
<v Speaker 1>I care about it is it within the rules or

0:21:41.244 --> 0:21:44.124
<v Speaker 1>is it not within the rules. And if you it's

0:21:44.164 --> 0:21:47.204
<v Speaker 1>not within the rules and you're doing it, then you're cheating.

0:21:47.284 --> 0:21:49.844
<v Speaker 1>And if you're trying to figure out ways of doing

0:21:49.884 --> 0:21:52.724
<v Speaker 1>it without getting caught by using these new drugs and

0:21:52.764 --> 0:21:55.204
<v Speaker 1>aren't yet detectable on tests, then again you're cheating, and

0:21:55.244 --> 0:21:58.084
<v Speaker 1>you're cheating in an even more kind of insidious way.

0:21:58.164 --> 0:22:03.484
<v Speaker 1>That is ruining the kind of sportsmanship right the the

0:22:04.084 --> 0:22:09.564
<v Speaker 1>playing field for everyone else, and that is kind of

0:22:09.644 --> 0:22:14.084
<v Speaker 1>ruining the integrity of your sport. And I you know,

0:22:14.564 --> 0:22:18.604
<v Speaker 1>things like Nate, you know, the enhanced games that were

0:22:18.724 --> 0:22:23.884
<v Speaker 1>announced like that. I'm like, yeah, like, what what are

0:22:23.924 --> 0:22:27.524
<v Speaker 1>we even talking about? Like, I guess people, you know,

0:22:27.684 --> 0:22:29.924
<v Speaker 1>you want to see a lot of people on steroids

0:22:29.964 --> 0:22:32.364
<v Speaker 1>go like to me, that's not even a sport. I'm like, well,

0:22:32.884 --> 0:22:34.724
<v Speaker 1>what are we even doing here? And I think a

0:22:34.724 --> 0:22:38.444
<v Speaker 1>lot of athletes felt the same way. So on the

0:22:38.524 --> 0:22:40.204
<v Speaker 1>one hand, I said, there were going to be a

0:22:40.204 --> 0:22:45.164
<v Speaker 1>lot of shades of gray here and this seems black

0:22:45.204 --> 0:22:47.204
<v Speaker 1>and white, But I'm actually going to take a step

0:22:47.244 --> 0:22:49.084
<v Speaker 1>back and put it back into the shades of gray.

0:22:49.484 --> 0:22:54.764
<v Speaker 1>So one of my favorite sports stories that I think

0:22:54.764 --> 0:22:57.404
<v Speaker 1>I've mentioned on this podcast before, but I'm just going

0:22:57.444 --> 0:23:00.924
<v Speaker 1>to say it again was this champion of Finnish skier

0:23:01.124 --> 0:23:05.444
<v Speaker 1>whom I've written about in the past, Iro Manturanta. I

0:23:05.484 --> 0:23:08.964
<v Speaker 1>apologize if I'm mispronouncing that I don't speak Finnish, but

0:23:09.084 --> 0:23:14.324
<v Speaker 1>he one seven Olympic medals over four games, three gold medals,

0:23:14.404 --> 0:23:19.044
<v Speaker 1>two silver medals, two bronze medals, and at the time,

0:23:19.124 --> 0:23:22.364
<v Speaker 1>like no one had done anything comparable, right, Like that's

0:23:22.364 --> 0:23:25.684
<v Speaker 1>insane if you're thinking about seven metals over four games, like,

0:23:26.004 --> 0:23:30.644
<v Speaker 1>holy shit. And he was accused of doping, and he

0:23:30.764 --> 0:23:33.524
<v Speaker 1>was tested, and it seemed to confirm that he was

0:23:33.564 --> 0:23:39.084
<v Speaker 1>doping because the red blood cells in his blood there

0:23:39.084 --> 0:23:42.764
<v Speaker 1>were multiple deviations away from the average range, and so

0:23:42.924 --> 0:23:45.804
<v Speaker 1>he was accused of doping. But then it turned out

0:23:45.804 --> 0:23:48.484
<v Speaker 1>that he didn't dope. He was actually clean, and he

0:23:48.604 --> 0:23:53.204
<v Speaker 1>carried a genetic mutation in a receptor that controls the

0:23:53.244 --> 0:23:59.964
<v Speaker 1>production of red blood cells, and that genetic mutation ran

0:24:00.044 --> 0:24:04.324
<v Speaker 1>in his family, right, So it turns out that basically

0:24:05.004 --> 0:24:08.804
<v Speaker 1>his entire family were kind of these mutants that had

0:24:08.804 --> 0:24:13.124
<v Speaker 1>this red blood cell the plant that was just constantly,

0:24:13.604 --> 0:24:17.764
<v Speaker 1>you know, basically constantly doping their blood. By the way,

0:24:17.804 --> 0:24:19.844
<v Speaker 1>this is not if people are listening to this and

0:24:19.844 --> 0:24:22.764
<v Speaker 1>it's like, who can I do this? Please don't because

0:24:22.804 --> 0:24:27.004
<v Speaker 1>this mutation also causes polythemia, which is a disease of

0:24:27.084 --> 0:24:31.284
<v Speaker 1>red blood cells, and monty Ante did have it, but

0:24:31.444 --> 0:24:33.844
<v Speaker 1>he didn't have any of the negative symptoms. But anyway,

0:24:34.244 --> 0:24:38.404
<v Speaker 1>so you have this person who was absolutely cleared right

0:24:38.964 --> 0:24:43.284
<v Speaker 1>and he wasn't doping, but he just naturally had this

0:24:43.404 --> 0:24:46.084
<v Speaker 1>insane advantage. Now you can look at someone like this

0:24:46.204 --> 0:24:49.724
<v Speaker 1>and say, well, if he has this mutation and he's

0:24:49.804 --> 0:24:53.084
<v Speaker 1>basically naturally doping, shouldn't we allow everyone else to kind

0:24:53.084 --> 0:24:55.844
<v Speaker 1>of dope to the same level. And I don't think

0:24:55.844 --> 0:24:59.484
<v Speaker 1>that's true because then, you know, you can start making

0:24:59.484 --> 0:25:01.684
<v Speaker 1>that argument with all sorts of different things. But that

0:25:01.844 --> 0:25:04.844
<v Speaker 1>just goes to show that there are so many different

0:25:04.924 --> 0:25:08.524
<v Speaker 1>variations here, and there's so much about the human body

0:25:08.524 --> 0:25:11.204
<v Speaker 1>that we don't know, and it's so easy to start

0:25:11.244 --> 0:25:14.404
<v Speaker 1>making the you know, the fairness argument that I think

0:25:14.404 --> 0:25:17.564
<v Speaker 1>that that's it's an argument that we shouldn't be trying

0:25:17.604 --> 0:25:20.364
<v Speaker 1>to make because people are different and so all we

0:25:20.444 --> 0:25:23.404
<v Speaker 1>can do is to try to make rules that control

0:25:24.924 --> 0:25:28.884
<v Speaker 1>that control to the best of our abilities, what substances

0:25:28.884 --> 0:25:31.444
<v Speaker 1>you can use to enhance your performance versus how you

0:25:31.444 --> 0:25:37.524
<v Speaker 1>can enhance your performance through your own physical merits and metal.

0:25:37.764 --> 0:25:41.204
<v Speaker 1>Because you know, isn't that the purpose of watching sports

0:25:41.204 --> 0:25:44.204
<v Speaker 1>and kind of watching competitors, right, that we see what

0:25:44.284 --> 0:25:48.564
<v Speaker 1>the human body is capable of on its own. We'll

0:25:48.564 --> 0:25:49.484
<v Speaker 1>be back right after this.

0:26:04.044 --> 0:26:06.724
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, look to some degree, especially in like maybe Olympic

0:26:06.764 --> 0:26:10.564
<v Speaker 2>type sports, which are sometimes sometimes a little bit more

0:26:10.564 --> 0:26:13.004
<v Speaker 2>linear functions of particular type of ability in one or

0:26:13.004 --> 0:26:16.204
<v Speaker 2>two areas, right, I mean you are selecting for people

0:26:16.244 --> 0:26:24.004
<v Speaker 2>who are genetic, yeah, genetic super You know the other

0:26:24.044 --> 0:26:26.244
<v Speaker 2>thing this comes up, it's gonna mention it once, right,

0:26:26.364 --> 0:26:31.004
<v Speaker 2>is you'll periorectically get athletes who are intersect in some form.

0:26:31.084 --> 0:26:34.444
<v Speaker 2>It's not really the same thing as frans, right, it's

0:26:34.644 --> 0:26:35.604
<v Speaker 2>you know, how they're born.

0:26:35.884 --> 0:26:37.364
<v Speaker 1>They're born, yeah, chromosome.

0:26:38.524 --> 0:26:41.924
<v Speaker 2>But inherently I have to draw some lines because you know,

0:26:42.044 --> 0:26:45.684
<v Speaker 2>we're not gonna talk about the gender binary vertus spectrum here,

0:26:45.724 --> 0:26:47.564
<v Speaker 2>But if you're looking for outliers, you're going to find

0:26:47.564 --> 0:26:49.364
<v Speaker 2>people who outliers in lots of different ways and that

0:26:49.764 --> 0:26:52.564
<v Speaker 2>and that creates issues, but they look, Yeah, the game

0:26:52.604 --> 0:26:56.364
<v Speaker 2>theory part of this that we haven't invoked yet is

0:26:56.444 --> 0:26:58.284
<v Speaker 2>that you do have any prisoners still limon when other

0:26:58.284 --> 0:27:03.124
<v Speaker 2>people are are doping. Right, So, like in any workplace

0:27:03.324 --> 0:27:05.364
<v Speaker 2>kind of culture, I mean, the initial question comes from

0:27:05.364 --> 0:27:10.684
<v Speaker 2>like the army, right, the you know, what is tolerated.

0:27:11.724 --> 0:27:19.924
<v Speaker 4>Versus tacitly encouraged versus not so tacitly encouraged versus you know,

0:27:20.124 --> 0:27:22.084
<v Speaker 4>but you also get to a point where like maybe

0:27:22.084 --> 0:27:24.484
<v Speaker 4>you're just kind of falling behind in an extremely high

0:27:24.484 --> 0:27:27.284
<v Speaker 4>performance area if if everyone else is doing something.

0:27:27.124 --> 0:27:30.204
<v Speaker 2>You're not buried bonds. I guess the most famous slash

0:27:30.204 --> 0:27:34.964
<v Speaker 2>infamous steroid user in baseball history was kind of like

0:27:35.004 --> 0:27:39.284
<v Speaker 2>this fucking Mark maguire and Sammy Sosa guys, they're juicing, right.

0:27:39.324 --> 0:27:45.484
<v Speaker 2>I was better than them before steroids alleged, and I'm

0:27:45.484 --> 0:27:47.644
<v Speaker 2>gonna be better than these fucking guys afterwards. So I'm

0:27:47.644 --> 0:27:49.884
<v Speaker 2>gonna take steroids too. When he has like what are

0:27:50.004 --> 0:27:53.484
<v Speaker 2>still the best offensive seasons in baseball history and kind of,

0:27:54.244 --> 0:27:58.164
<v Speaker 2>you know, just this kind of huge nonlinear outlier season,

0:27:58.244 --> 0:28:00.804
<v Speaker 2>seventy three home runs in a year, you know whatever,

0:28:00.844 --> 0:28:02.924
<v Speaker 2>it was a six hundred on base percentage are very

0:28:03.044 --> 0:28:06.444
<v Speaker 2>very high. Right, But you a prison's love if you

0:28:06.484 --> 0:28:08.884
<v Speaker 2>don't have like you know, it's the same thing as

0:28:08.924 --> 0:28:14.564
<v Speaker 2>like cat GPT being used to cheat in college essays. Right,

0:28:14.644 --> 0:28:18.004
<v Speaker 2>if you don't have good enforcement, then like then you

0:28:18.084 --> 0:28:19.764
<v Speaker 2>get in the dilema where it's like all my classmates

0:28:19.764 --> 0:28:21.924
<v Speaker 2>are doing this shit, right, so like why do I

0:28:21.964 --> 0:28:23.484
<v Speaker 2>have to work five times as hard as them and

0:28:23.484 --> 0:28:26.284
<v Speaker 2>get like a worse grade? And look, I don't know

0:28:27.524 --> 0:28:31.964
<v Speaker 2>how effective these regimes actually are in different sports. You know,

0:28:31.964 --> 0:28:34.484
<v Speaker 2>if you told me that, hey, people are using things

0:28:34.524 --> 0:28:37.524
<v Speaker 2>that are hard to detect, that wouldn't surprise me, Right,

0:28:38.284 --> 0:28:41.484
<v Speaker 2>you know, I think sports have kind of figured it

0:28:41.484 --> 0:28:45.044
<v Speaker 2>out that, like to have a big moral outrage and

0:28:45.124 --> 0:28:48.084
<v Speaker 2>panic over this isn't necessarily good for business. Right. There

0:28:48.084 --> 0:28:49.804
<v Speaker 2>are still a couple baseball players that could suspend it

0:28:49.844 --> 0:28:53.444
<v Speaker 2>every year for different types of peds. Right, It's not

0:28:53.764 --> 0:28:57.244
<v Speaker 2>quite perceived as a pr thing that it was. And

0:28:57.364 --> 0:29:00.244
<v Speaker 2>like the in the you know, late nineteen nineties and

0:29:00.324 --> 0:29:02.884
<v Speaker 2>early two thousands, which is kind of considered the whole

0:29:02.884 --> 0:29:06.604
<v Speaker 2>steroid era, you know, baseball has this kind of record

0:29:06.684 --> 0:29:10.684
<v Speaker 2>book that's very sacred, right. People care a lot about

0:29:10.684 --> 0:29:12.564
<v Speaker 2>the home run record and the betting average record and

0:29:13.684 --> 0:29:17.324
<v Speaker 2>everything else, right whereas in football it's a bit less too.

0:29:17.364 --> 0:29:20.924
<v Speaker 2>People Football flavor a team sport. You know, football a

0:29:20.964 --> 0:29:23.044
<v Speaker 2>little bit more slaps on the wrist for different types

0:29:23.084 --> 0:29:25.684
<v Speaker 2>of pedus. You know, Look, you can even if you

0:29:25.684 --> 0:29:28.524
<v Speaker 2>want to get funky, you can even say, okay, are

0:29:28.524 --> 0:29:32.444
<v Speaker 2>you being a bad teammate by not using steroids? Right?

0:29:32.604 --> 0:29:34.924
<v Speaker 2>You know, well, yeah, I.

0:29:34.964 --> 0:29:37.884
<v Speaker 1>Mean I think that the only like the way out

0:29:37.924 --> 0:29:43.284
<v Speaker 1>of this prisoner's dilemma is through external enforcement and penalties,

0:29:43.604 --> 0:29:48.084
<v Speaker 1>right where the benefits in the moment of doping are

0:29:48.244 --> 0:29:51.644
<v Speaker 1>outweighed by the potential penalties. So you know what comes

0:29:51.644 --> 0:29:55.444
<v Speaker 1>to mind to me right now is Russia in the Olympics,

0:29:55.644 --> 0:30:00.484
<v Speaker 1>right where you had basically an entire delegation doping, including

0:30:00.764 --> 0:30:04.404
<v Speaker 1>including some athletes who didn't realize that they were doping

0:30:04.724 --> 0:30:07.884
<v Speaker 1>because the coaches just gave them supplements and like said,

0:30:07.924 --> 0:30:11.004
<v Speaker 1>this is the health regime, and we're giving these performance

0:30:11.044 --> 0:30:14.164
<v Speaker 1>enhancing drugs to everyone, or at least that's the story.

0:30:14.164 --> 0:30:16.284
<v Speaker 1>And I actually believe it in the sense that I

0:30:16.324 --> 0:30:18.124
<v Speaker 1>believe that there were athletes who had no idea that

0:30:18.164 --> 0:30:20.644
<v Speaker 1>they were doping, and then you know, you strip every

0:30:20.644 --> 0:30:22.564
<v Speaker 1>one of the medals, you disqualify them, and then the

0:30:22.564 --> 0:30:25.364
<v Speaker 1>team can't compete in the Olympics, and no one can

0:30:25.404 --> 0:30:29.724
<v Speaker 1>compete in the Olympics. That's a pretty big disincentive, right

0:30:30.244 --> 0:30:33.364
<v Speaker 1>That will tell people, Okay, you know what, maybe this

0:30:33.564 --> 0:30:38.204
<v Speaker 1>is not a good idea because the risks and the

0:30:38.244 --> 0:30:42.564
<v Speaker 1>penalties will have to pay far outweigh the benefit of winning,

0:30:42.604 --> 0:30:45.004
<v Speaker 1>you know, gold medal now, because we're going to lose

0:30:45.044 --> 0:30:47.044
<v Speaker 1>that gold medal anyway, and then we're not going to

0:30:47.084 --> 0:30:50.444
<v Speaker 1>be able to compete going forward. So if you had

0:30:50.924 --> 0:30:54.564
<v Speaker 1>standards like that across the board, and if you really

0:30:54.604 --> 0:30:57.964
<v Speaker 1>take the enforcement seriously, then I think that changes behavior

0:30:58.004 --> 0:31:01.004
<v Speaker 1>because that changes behavioral incentives, and that changes the culture

0:31:01.044 --> 0:31:03.644
<v Speaker 1>from everyone is doing it to okay, people are not

0:31:03.724 --> 0:31:05.844
<v Speaker 1>going to be doing it anymore. But you also have

0:31:05.884 --> 0:31:08.484
<v Speaker 1>to be smart, right, You also have to test correctly

0:31:08.564 --> 0:31:10.244
<v Speaker 1>and you have to stay on top of this shit,

0:31:10.484 --> 0:31:12.564
<v Speaker 1>right you can't. You have to have people who are

0:31:12.564 --> 0:31:16.404
<v Speaker 1>out in the field figuring out what are the latest drugs, like,

0:31:16.444 --> 0:31:19.244
<v Speaker 1>what is the cutting edge, what are people using? How

0:31:19.244 --> 0:31:23.124
<v Speaker 1>do we detect this so that you don't have situations

0:31:23.164 --> 0:31:25.964
<v Speaker 1>where cheaters are trying to kind of stay ahead of

0:31:25.964 --> 0:31:29.924
<v Speaker 1>the system, which also creates very perverse incentives.

0:31:30.044 --> 0:31:33.804
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, look, and that you're willing to like punish the

0:31:33.844 --> 0:31:38.044
<v Speaker 2>actual cheaters, you know, absolutely. Johnick Sinner, who is one

0:31:38.044 --> 0:31:41.364
<v Speaker 2>of the two best men'sness players in the world, has

0:31:41.364 --> 0:31:45.444
<v Speaker 2>been accused of doping taking case amounts of coster ball.

0:31:45.564 --> 0:31:50.404
<v Speaker 2>It looks like I'm not a steroid knowledgeable person, community

0:31:50.604 --> 0:31:54.444
<v Speaker 2>stairoid nolatile person. But you know, hey, if he's a

0:31:54.444 --> 0:31:56.444
<v Speaker 2>big draw, maybe each hearing the other cheek. I mean,

0:31:56.484 --> 0:31:59.164
<v Speaker 2>we've seen, you've seen the poker world as nothing great

0:31:59.164 --> 0:32:01.004
<v Speaker 2>about people who are big names get away with a

0:32:01.044 --> 0:32:01.444
<v Speaker 2>lot more.

0:32:01.524 --> 0:32:01.684
<v Speaker 1>Right.

0:32:01.804 --> 0:32:05.724
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, with that said, if you look at the whole

0:32:05.724 --> 0:32:08.324
<v Speaker 2>list of all Major League Baseball players who have been suspended,

0:32:08.324 --> 0:32:11.684
<v Speaker 2>which is kind of the longest, most consistent regime, there

0:32:11.764 --> 0:32:16.364
<v Speaker 2>definitely are some all stars, right. However, it has moved

0:32:16.644 --> 0:32:21.364
<v Speaker 2>more towards the more marginal players because, like, you know,

0:32:21.804 --> 0:32:26.564
<v Speaker 2>if you're ten percent better, I mean it's also an

0:32:26.564 --> 0:32:28.524
<v Speaker 2>open question kind of how much sexually helps, right, But

0:32:28.644 --> 0:32:31.364
<v Speaker 2>leaning that aside, if you get ten percent better and

0:32:31.404 --> 0:32:35.004
<v Speaker 2>you're already pretty good, I mean that definitely produces benefits, right, absolutely,

0:32:35.124 --> 0:32:38.244
<v Speaker 2>But you probably already have all the money you'll need

0:32:38.284 --> 0:32:40.324
<v Speaker 2>for life. I mean, baseball's a sport that has long careers.

0:32:40.324 --> 0:32:42.244
<v Speaker 2>If you are taking kind of like long term risks

0:32:42.684 --> 0:32:44.324
<v Speaker 2>with your health, right, I mean, you know, some of

0:32:44.324 --> 0:32:46.244
<v Speaker 2>these anacolic steroids are not about to be good for

0:32:46.284 --> 0:32:48.084
<v Speaker 2>your long term health, right, they may help in the

0:32:48.084 --> 0:32:50.284
<v Speaker 2>short run, right, Yeah, if you're on the margins of

0:32:50.324 --> 0:32:54.404
<v Speaker 2>the major leagues and you get in a major league roster,

0:32:54.524 --> 0:32:58.044
<v Speaker 2>where what's some minim cell I'm sure you know if

0:32:58.404 --> 0:33:00.764
<v Speaker 2>mid six figures now at least, right, you get that

0:33:00.804 --> 0:33:02.484
<v Speaker 2>for a couple of years, you get a major league tension,

0:33:03.004 --> 0:33:07.764
<v Speaker 2>you get your first post draft team contract, I will

0:33:07.844 --> 0:33:10.284
<v Speaker 2>use I'm gonna avoid more textual small terms here onence

0:33:10.324 --> 0:33:11.804
<v Speaker 2>being I know them, right, but like you know, if

0:33:11.804 --> 0:33:13.684
<v Speaker 2>you get like a real free agent contract.

0:33:13.324 --> 0:33:15.084
<v Speaker 1>By your audience, you mean you're a co host night

0:33:15.484 --> 0:33:16.364
<v Speaker 1>my co host.

0:33:16.524 --> 0:33:19.524
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so some more marginal guys who are trying to

0:33:19.524 --> 0:33:22.404
<v Speaker 2>extend their careers, right, because ten percent better when there's

0:33:22.404 --> 0:33:26.884
<v Speaker 2>a whole threshold and anything all threshold of talent near

0:33:26.924 --> 0:33:29.604
<v Speaker 2>the break even line either just good enough to make

0:33:29.604 --> 0:33:31.084
<v Speaker 2>the major leagues you're just good enough to have a

0:33:31.084 --> 0:33:35.444
<v Speaker 2>regular starting job or just not good enough, right, And

0:33:35.484 --> 0:33:37.284
<v Speaker 2>most are the people where there's the most pressure, even

0:33:37.324 --> 0:33:40.684
<v Speaker 2>though it's the Vury Bonds and the Yonick Centers and

0:33:40.684 --> 0:33:43.844
<v Speaker 2>stuff the world that receive more public scrutiny.

0:33:44.484 --> 0:33:48.204
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so I think kind of to to sum up,

0:33:48.244 --> 0:33:52.004
<v Speaker 1>I think we both agree that if we want to

0:33:52.044 --> 0:33:55.684
<v Speaker 1>keep it clean, like first of all, like performance enhancing drugs,

0:33:56.044 --> 0:34:00.164
<v Speaker 1>yeah or nay, like in things where it's where people

0:34:00.164 --> 0:34:04.044
<v Speaker 1>don't care, like poker, you know, whatever you do you

0:34:04.524 --> 0:34:07.964
<v Speaker 1>once again, because we don't even know what benefits necessarily

0:34:08.444 --> 0:34:11.644
<v Speaker 1>these are coming from any of these things. In areas

0:34:11.924 --> 0:34:16.324
<v Speaker 1>where there are explicit rules against them, right like sports,

0:34:16.364 --> 0:34:19.804
<v Speaker 1>then absolutely not. And I don't think there should be exceptions.

0:34:19.844 --> 0:34:23.084
<v Speaker 1>And I think that you know, big big names need

0:34:23.164 --> 0:34:27.764
<v Speaker 1>to get just as much, need to be penalized just

0:34:27.804 --> 0:34:30.284
<v Speaker 1>as much as smaller names. To bring it back to poker,

0:34:30.684 --> 0:34:33.204
<v Speaker 1>this means that you know, things that are illegal, like

0:34:33.284 --> 0:34:36.844
<v Speaker 1>cheating of different sorts which are not cognitive drugs or

0:34:36.844 --> 0:34:40.204
<v Speaker 1>anything like that needs to be like very strictly punished

0:34:40.524 --> 0:34:42.884
<v Speaker 1>no matter who you are, even if you're kind of

0:34:42.884 --> 0:34:44.644
<v Speaker 1>the number one name in the game. I don't care.

0:34:45.164 --> 0:34:47.724
<v Speaker 1>You need to realize that there are going to be

0:34:48.324 --> 0:34:53.324
<v Speaker 1>very strict penalties against these sorts of behaviors. And that's

0:34:53.364 --> 0:34:56.564
<v Speaker 1>the way that you kind of emerge from the prisoner's

0:34:56.564 --> 0:34:59.204
<v Speaker 1>dilemma that you were describing, Nate. So we've got, you know,

0:34:59.244 --> 0:35:02.084
<v Speaker 1>we've got areas like poker where it's legal. You've got

0:35:02.124 --> 0:35:04.684
<v Speaker 1>areas like sports where it's not. Then you've got areas

0:35:04.764 --> 0:35:07.644
<v Speaker 1>like the army where presumably they're doing their research and

0:35:07.684 --> 0:35:11.884
<v Speaker 1>they want people to function as well as they possibly can.

0:35:11.924 --> 0:35:14.844
<v Speaker 1>And that's its own Yeah, that's its own beast, right.

0:35:15.244 --> 0:35:15.484
<v Speaker 2>Yeah.

0:35:15.524 --> 0:35:17.404
<v Speaker 1>Sure, if you think that this is going to create

0:35:17.444 --> 0:35:20.324
<v Speaker 1>better soldiers and the soldiers are okay with it, then

0:35:20.964 --> 0:35:25.484
<v Speaker 1>by all means, right, like we want the best functioning force.

0:35:25.524 --> 0:35:28.044
<v Speaker 1>And there your analogy of are you hurting the team

0:35:28.044 --> 0:35:28.804
<v Speaker 1>if you don't do it?

0:35:29.084 --> 0:35:29.324
<v Speaker 2>Well?

0:35:29.404 --> 0:35:32.284
<v Speaker 1>Are you hurting the team if you're in the army

0:35:32.324 --> 0:35:38.084
<v Speaker 1>where the other country has people using this and you aren't, Yeah,

0:35:38.124 --> 0:35:41.684
<v Speaker 1>you kind of are. And so so that's like that's

0:35:41.764 --> 0:35:44.924
<v Speaker 1>its own different can of worms. Right, that's a totally

0:35:44.964 --> 0:35:49.604
<v Speaker 1>different area. But I would say that, you know, please

0:35:49.724 --> 0:35:52.964
<v Speaker 1>do try to figure out whether you're mortgaging your health

0:35:53.004 --> 0:35:54.724
<v Speaker 1>in the long term, because I think a lot of

0:35:54.764 --> 0:35:57.684
<v Speaker 1>people don't realize that there is a long term cost

0:35:57.884 --> 0:36:00.084
<v Speaker 1>to a lot of these performance enhancing drugs.

0:36:00.524 --> 0:36:05.044
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. My general thing is assume that in competitive industries,

0:36:05.044 --> 0:36:08.324
<v Speaker 2>which basically everything is now in our capitalistic world. I

0:36:08.324 --> 0:36:13.084
<v Speaker 2>don't like capitalism, Maria, but like assume that people will

0:36:13.084 --> 0:36:16.284
<v Speaker 2>optimize for their incentives. Right, if you create rules that

0:36:16.324 --> 0:36:19.604
<v Speaker 2>are easily to work around or are poorly structured, and

0:36:19.644 --> 0:36:23.444
<v Speaker 2>there's a lot of money or fame or championships to

0:36:23.484 --> 0:36:27.964
<v Speaker 2>win on the line, assume that some substantial fraction of

0:36:27.964 --> 0:36:30.724
<v Speaker 2>your player of population in a sport or game, right,

0:36:31.284 --> 0:36:34.324
<v Speaker 2>will have no moral qualms about taking advantage of of

0:36:34.364 --> 0:36:36.324
<v Speaker 2>both words. Yeah, but that said, I'm going to have

0:36:36.484 --> 0:36:40.244
<v Speaker 2>a performance enhancing drug called lunch.

0:36:41.524 --> 0:36:46.444
<v Speaker 1>Likewise, night, let's both go enhance our performance by food.

0:36:49.844 --> 0:36:51.644
<v Speaker 1>Let us know what you think of the show. Reach

0:36:51.684 --> 0:36:56.084
<v Speaker 1>out to us at Risky Business at pushkin dot FM.

0:36:56.204 --> 0:36:59.644
<v Speaker 1>Risky Business is hosted by me Maria Kanakova.

0:36:58.964 --> 0:37:01.724
<v Speaker 2>And by me Nate Silver. The show was a Cool

0:37:01.764 --> 0:37:05.724
<v Speaker 2>production of Pushing Industries and iHeartMedia. This episode was produced

0:37:05.724 --> 0:37:10.084
<v Speaker 2>by Isaac Carter. Our associate producer is Sonya Gerwit Lydia,

0:37:10.164 --> 0:37:13.084
<v Speaker 2>Jean Kott, and Daphne Chen are our editors, and our

0:37:13.084 --> 0:37:16.964
<v Speaker 2>executive producer is Jacob Goldstein. Mixinging by Sarah Bruger.

0:37:17.644 --> 0:37:19.844
<v Speaker 1>If you like the show, please rate and review us

0:37:19.884 --> 0:37:22.564
<v Speaker 1>so other people can find us too, but once again,

0:37:22.684 --> 0:37:24.524
<v Speaker 1>only if you like us. We don't want those bad

0:37:24.524 --> 0:37:26.724
<v Speaker 1>reviews out there. Thanks for tuning in.