WEBVTT - The Gold Standard: When Money Meant Something

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<v Speaker 1>Welcome to Stuff you should know, a production of iHeartRadio.

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<v Speaker 2>Hey, and welcome to the podcast. I'm Josh and there's

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<v Speaker 2>Chuck and it's just us here today to explain something

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<v Speaker 2>that every person in the world should know about, the

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<v Speaker 2>gold stand. I have an intro. I have an intro

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<v Speaker 2>hold on oh goud, Chuck. Yes, have you ever gone

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<v Speaker 2>to a bank and traded a dollar in for actual gold?

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<v Speaker 1>No, I've never even seen gold in person. That wasn't like,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, on whatever, a ring or something.

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<v Speaker 2>Sure, and that is a huge use for gold.

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<v Speaker 1>I've never seen nuggets or bars ingots.

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<v Speaker 2>I haven't either. I have never even seen a gold coin.

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<v Speaker 2>Now that I think.

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<v Speaker 1>About it, I don't think I have either.

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<v Speaker 2>But there was a point in time where you could

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<v Speaker 2>see gold anytime you wanted, if you went to your

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<v Speaker 2>bank and you took a certain amount of dollars or

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<v Speaker 2>pounds or francs or pesos, because countries all over the

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<v Speaker 2>world were on what's known as the gold standard. And

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<v Speaker 2>just a quick broad stroke explanation I guess is that

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<v Speaker 2>on a gold standard, every single one of your dollars

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<v Speaker 2>or pesos or francs or Deutsche marks are redeemable for gold,

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<v Speaker 2>which means that you have to have an equal amount

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<v Speaker 2>of gold in your country in safes and vaults to

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<v Speaker 2>cover every single dollar or paso or Deutsche mark or

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<v Speaker 2>frank out there. You can't just keep printing money. You

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<v Speaker 2>can only print as much money as can cover the

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<v Speaker 2>amount of gold that you have.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, which is you know, it's sort of a public

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<v Speaker 1>safeguard to say, hey, your dollar, your pay paper money,

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<v Speaker 1>or your coins are worth something because it's worth this

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<v Speaker 1>much of this other thing that we've also agreed is

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<v Speaker 1>worth money exactly.

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<v Speaker 2>And so for you, if you're walking around in a

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<v Speaker 2>country that's on the gold standard, you can go trade

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<v Speaker 2>your dollars in for gold, your paper currency in for gold. Right.

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<v Speaker 2>It also gives you a lot of stability and understanding

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<v Speaker 2>that when you wake up in the morning, what you

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<v Speaker 2>bought for one dollar yesterday, you're going to be able

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<v Speaker 2>to buy for one dollar today. Prices don't fluctuate very

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<v Speaker 2>much on the gold standard, and then on more of

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<v Speaker 2>a macro level, if you're a country and you're importing

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<v Speaker 2>tons of stuff, that means your currency is going out.

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<v Speaker 2>You're using your currency to buy these imports, and when

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<v Speaker 2>a bunch of your currency is out there, you need

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<v Speaker 2>it back home, so you have to use some of

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<v Speaker 2>that gold to buy your currency back. So the upshot

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<v Speaker 2>of all of this is the gold Standard is very

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<v Speaker 2>different from the type of currency that we have today,

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<v Speaker 2>and I feel like we should maybe explain a little

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<v Speaker 2>more eventually about how they're different.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for sure. I mean we've been back and forth

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<v Speaker 1>between the gold Standard and the other, which we call

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<v Speaker 1>fiat currency, which is a Latin term, and that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>fiat currency basically is what we're working with now because

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<v Speaker 1>the gold Standard is basically dead. But that's where you can,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, where you have more you know, monetary policy

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<v Speaker 1>guiding the markets and stuff like that, rather than like, no,

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<v Speaker 1>it's like it's tied to gold like kind of end

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<v Speaker 1>of story. Yeah, there are people that love and you know,

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<v Speaker 1>we're going to talk about sort of the benefits and

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<v Speaker 1>the arguments for and against. But people that are into

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<v Speaker 1>the gold Standard as an idea, they're kind of out

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<v Speaker 1>of luck, but they're still around. They're called gold bugs.

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<v Speaker 1>They've been called that since Edgar alland Post's story that's

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<v Speaker 1>where it came from, about the search for buried treasure.

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<v Speaker 1>But you know, it's still a fight in some circles

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<v Speaker 1>from people who are like way into the gold standard.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and there's I mean, they have a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>good points. But the problem is is that that train

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<v Speaker 2>has left the station in it and it's coming back,

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<v Speaker 2>not coming back. So why gold? Right? There's alsort. You

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<v Speaker 2>could pay your currency to wheat, right, and you could

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<v Speaker 2>take your dollar bill and go into the bank and

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<v Speaker 2>they'll give you like a bushel of wheat in return. Right,

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<v Speaker 2>why gold in particular?

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<v Speaker 1>Well, yeah, I said that, you know, that's something that

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<v Speaker 1>they all agreed was worth something, And that's kind of

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<v Speaker 1>the deal. Like something's only worth something if everyone agrees

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<v Speaker 1>that it's worth something, right, But you can't, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>you've got to pick something that makes sense. And gold

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<v Speaker 1>has always made a lot of sense for a lot

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<v Speaker 1>of reasons. It is, it's scarce, but not like rare rare.

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<v Speaker 1>It's rare enough to be precious, but not so rare

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<v Speaker 1>that like you know, it's impossible to find. So you've

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<v Speaker 1>got to have enough of it, but not too much

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<v Speaker 1>of the thing. It's also you can divide it up

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<v Speaker 1>into small things, you can melt it down, you can

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<v Speaker 1>make it into stuff, making it into coins, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>is certainly valuable. It's valuable, it's resistant to being corroded

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<v Speaker 1>and like rusted, it's durable. So all that stuff makes

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<v Speaker 1>it just sort of a valuable thing to trade.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and you said it's durable. Like most of the

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<v Speaker 2>gold that's ever been mined in the history of humanity

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<v Speaker 2>is still around because you can change it from one

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<v Speaker 2>form to another, say like from a necklace into a

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<v Speaker 2>gold coin. But there's still that same amount of gold

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<v Speaker 2>on earth. And I guess as of twenty twenty five,

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<v Speaker 2>I think the World Gold Council says that two hundred

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<v Speaker 2>and nineteen thousand, eight hundred and ninety tons of gold

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<v Speaker 2>have been mined throughout history, and about two thirds of

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<v Speaker 2>those have been mined since nineteen fifty alone.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, And most of that is still around, Like you said,

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<v Speaker 1>it's still out there, which kind of proves that gold

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<v Speaker 1>was a pretty good pick that and silver, I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>silver was we'll talk about the fact that gold and

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<v Speaker 1>silver kind of went back and forth over the years.

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<v Speaker 1>There's just a lot more silver, so silver has just

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<v Speaker 1>been worthless, right.

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<v Speaker 2>But it's still worthwhile. And in fact, if we're going

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<v Speaker 2>to start to go back a little bit in history,

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<v Speaker 2>the very first, I guess currency that the United States

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<v Speaker 2>came up with, and the history for Great Britain tracks

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<v Speaker 2>very similarly. But in the US they said, we're going

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<v Speaker 2>to use gold and silver for coinage, and they had

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<v Speaker 2>to set an amount how much silver do you need

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<v Speaker 2>to buy you know, one unit of gold because they

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<v Speaker 2>are related to one another, you're using both for currency.

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<v Speaker 2>So they said, you know what, fifteen pieces of silver

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<v Speaker 2>grains I think is equal to one grain of gold.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, so like a fifteen to one ratio. But they

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<v Speaker 1>realized right away that like if they're going to start

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<v Speaker 1>setting this like thesetios in these sort of units as

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<v Speaker 1>being you know, kind of blocked in, it's just going

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<v Speaker 1>to create a lot of trouble over time, like especially

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<v Speaker 1>when the amount of gold and silver increases in deep well,

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<v Speaker 1>I guess not so much decrease, but you know, like

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<v Speaker 1>when there's a gold rush or when like they find

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<v Speaker 1>a new vein of silver somewhere that changes the amount

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<v Speaker 1>of gold and silver in the world. But they still

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<v Speaker 1>had locked into that fifteen to one ratio. It's not

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<v Speaker 1>like they kept changing it over and over. So I

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<v Speaker 1>think kind of right away people were like, oh wait

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<v Speaker 1>a minute, this is all a little bit artificial in

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<v Speaker 1>a way.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And that's something that goldbugs have trouble with is that,

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<v Speaker 2>you know, it doesn't really matter how you know, honest

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<v Speaker 2>a gold standard keeps the government, it's still all artificial.

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<v Speaker 2>There's still manipulation that can happen. And yeah, when a

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<v Speaker 2>bunch of gold comes on the market, gold becomes less valuable.

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<v Speaker 2>If a bunch of silver comes on the market, relative

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<v Speaker 2>to gold, silver becomes less valuable. And one of the

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<v Speaker 2>problems with using a commodity to back your currency is

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<v Speaker 2>that sometimes the value of the commodity can rise beyond

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<v Speaker 2>the face value of the currency. So if you have

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<v Speaker 2>a ten dollars gold piece and the price of gold

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<v Speaker 2>actually puts that one ounce at twenty dollars, you're not

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<v Speaker 2>going to go spend that ten bucks. You're going to

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<v Speaker 2>melt that thing down or sell it to somebody for

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<v Speaker 2>twenty dollars. Yeah, So that's a there's problems here with

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<v Speaker 2>money that actually means something in the world.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for sure. And that happened. And when that happened

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<v Speaker 1>kind of the first time, I guess for the United States,

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<v Speaker 1>people started doing that. They started melting gold coins or

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<v Speaker 1>keeping them in hoarding gold coins and they started trading

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<v Speaker 1>and using silver as currency. So all of a sudden

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<v Speaker 1>we were like, wait a minute. We thought we were

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<v Speaker 1>on a gold sale or we're heading toward a gold standard,

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<v Speaker 1>and now we're kind of on a de facto silver

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<v Speaker 1>standard because that's what people are using.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so the government was like, well, let's just make

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<v Speaker 2>the sixteen to one, and it brought everything a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit more into parody. Then there was the Minor forty

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<v Speaker 2>nine or gold rush in California, and then there was

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<v Speaker 2>also another gold rush in Australia about the same time.

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<v Speaker 2>So the market price for gold went down again because

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<v Speaker 2>the supply increased, which basically made the US government throw

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<v Speaker 2>their hands up in the air and say, we give up.

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<v Speaker 2>We're going to go watch football.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, they're kind of football, I guess. Over across the pond.

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<v Speaker 1>Isaac Newton finished out his long, storied career as the

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<v Speaker 1>Master of the Mint.

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<v Speaker 2>Mm hm.

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<v Speaker 1>He did a lot of other stuff obviously before that,

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<v Speaker 1>but he worked as the Master of the Mint at

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<v Speaker 1>the end of his life until his death, and he

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<v Speaker 1>was all about gold. Was like he encouraged overvaluing it

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<v Speaker 1>and said we should really just set gold as the

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<v Speaker 1>gold standard for England and they adopted that in what

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<v Speaker 1>like eighteen nineteen.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah, so I think they were the first country on

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<v Speaker 2>an actual gold standard, and then it kind of spread

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<v Speaker 2>around Europe from there because they're like, this is actually

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<v Speaker 2>pretty good, pretty good idea because you don't need necessarily

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<v Speaker 2>a central bank, you don't have to have somebody figuring

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<v Speaker 2>out what lever to pole or whatever. The gold actually

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<v Speaker 2>kind of naturally flows from one place to another to

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<v Speaker 2>basically keep this homeostasis, this balance throughout the world among

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<v Speaker 2>all the countries that are on the gold standard, right. Yeah,

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<v Speaker 2>So the thing is is humans are humans. You can

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<v Speaker 2>mess up anything that is, even something that naturally flows

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<v Speaker 2>from one place to another. We can basically put our

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<v Speaker 2>foot in it and screw it up. And that was

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<v Speaker 2>the case usually, as we'll see throughout history, that's usually

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<v Speaker 2>the case when war comes along, and that happened in

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<v Speaker 2>the United States with the Civil War. And we've talked

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<v Speaker 2>many times about this about how before the Civil War

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<v Speaker 2>there was like eight thousand different types of currency in

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<v Speaker 2>use in the United States, like your general store intel

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<v Speaker 2>might have its own currency that you could use. And

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<v Speaker 2>as the Civil War came along, that all changed very quickly.

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<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that was I remember we took that feels like

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<v Speaker 1>very many years ago. We were talking about that in

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<v Speaker 1>a few episodes. It was kind of the hot topic

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<v Speaker 1>for us for a while.

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<v Speaker 2>It was so hot.

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<v Speaker 1>We were talking about all those different currencies, like one

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<v Speaker 1>town might have a currency and then two miles down

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<v Speaker 1>the road, the next town might have their own currency,

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<v Speaker 1>which you know within that town as long as everyone again,

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<v Speaker 1>if everyone agrees what something is worth, it's working out, okay.

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<v Speaker 1>But that's a mess if you're trying to be a country,

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<v Speaker 1>which we despite the Civil War, we were trying to

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<v Speaker 1>be a country. And so the Civil War starts and

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<v Speaker 1>the federal government was like hey, like you know, Josh

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<v Speaker 1>Clark will say one day, wars are expensive, and so

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<v Speaker 1>they issued war bonds. I think about half a five

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<v Speaker 1>hundred billion dollars in war bonds. War bonds are what

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<v Speaker 1>you buy to basically, you know, or you sell as

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<v Speaker 1>a government and people buy to kind of finance the

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<v Speaker 1>world and saying, a loan you money to go fight

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<v Speaker 1>this war. Because that bond is ensured, I know for

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<v Speaker 1>a fact that eventually I'm going to get repaid with

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<v Speaker 1>interest for lending you that money to fight this war. Right,

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<v Speaker 1>So it's like it's super safe on the investor side,

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<v Speaker 1>but it's just a long term payout.

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<v Speaker 2>Yeah. The thing is is when they issued those as

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<v Speaker 2>far as I know, they weren't backed with gold, and

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<v Speaker 2>then they weren't even further. They just started issuing straight

0:12:25.200 --> 0:12:28.040
<v Speaker 2>up paper currency that had it wasn't pegged to gold

0:12:28.120 --> 0:12:30.720
<v Speaker 2>or silver backed up by any of it. It was

0:12:30.920 --> 0:12:34.640
<v Speaker 2>the first fiat currency in the United States, and like

0:12:34.679 --> 0:12:38.240
<v Speaker 2>you said, is just basically the government saying this has value.

0:12:38.280 --> 0:12:40.960
<v Speaker 2>Because we say it has value. You can use this

0:12:41.080 --> 0:12:44.160
<v Speaker 2>to buy stuff, you can use this to pay your taxes.

0:12:44.480 --> 0:12:48.200
<v Speaker 2>It is currency even though it's not backed by anything.

0:12:48.840 --> 0:12:50.320
<v Speaker 2>And the reason they did that is because it was

0:12:50.360 --> 0:12:53.920
<v Speaker 2>so expensive. They literally had to print money say it

0:12:53.960 --> 0:12:56.680
<v Speaker 2>was it had worth and instead of using it to

0:12:56.760 --> 0:13:00.720
<v Speaker 2>pay their debts, to basically fight this war. And so

0:13:01.160 --> 0:13:06.840
<v Speaker 2>the market the United States, well the United States just

0:13:06.880 --> 0:13:10.200
<v Speaker 2>became flooded with all this paper currency. So the paper

0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:14.080
<v Speaker 2>currency plus all the goldback currency just became less and

0:13:14.160 --> 0:13:19.160
<v Speaker 2>less valuable. And I think the inflation that came about

0:13:19.200 --> 0:13:23.439
<v Speaker 2>after the Civil War, because inflation happens when the value

0:13:23.480 --> 0:13:25.960
<v Speaker 2>of your currency is weak because there's too much of

0:13:25.960 --> 0:13:29.480
<v Speaker 2>it like out there. Yeah, it was like twenty five

0:13:29.559 --> 0:13:33.079
<v Speaker 2>percent during the Civil War. And just for a reference,

0:13:33.840 --> 0:13:36.600
<v Speaker 2>in twenty twenty two, at the peak of the most

0:13:36.720 --> 0:13:41.000
<v Speaker 2>recent inflation in June, it was at nine percent and

0:13:41.040 --> 0:13:44.200
<v Speaker 2>that was pretty uncomfortable. I can't imagine twenty five percent.

0:13:45.000 --> 0:13:46.920
<v Speaker 1>No, we were in a pretty bad way. And this

0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:51.040
<v Speaker 1>was also a time when the country started dabbling in

0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:53.800
<v Speaker 1>national debt and saying like, hey, like, as a country,

0:13:53.800 --> 0:13:56.240
<v Speaker 1>we can go into deep debt. Yeah, and like, let's

0:13:56.280 --> 0:13:59.600
<v Speaker 1>see if anybody really cares it. Went this is these

0:13:59.600 --> 0:14:03.160
<v Speaker 1>are pretty staggering numbers. The national debt in eighteen sixty

0:14:03.200 --> 0:14:06.400
<v Speaker 1>was sixty five million. Six years later it was two

0:14:06.480 --> 0:14:10.679
<v Speaker 1>point seven six billion dollars. And this is when gold

0:14:10.720 --> 0:14:14.440
<v Speaker 1>standard or what are they called gold bugs started saying, hey,

0:14:15.559 --> 0:14:17.600
<v Speaker 1>I think you've just proved our point, Like you printed

0:14:17.640 --> 0:14:21.040
<v Speaker 1>all this money the Fiat currency, and we're in real

0:14:21.160 --> 0:14:21.880
<v Speaker 1>trouble now.

0:14:22.080 --> 0:14:25.520
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, And so Lincoln says, hold on, hold on, and

0:14:25.560 --> 0:14:27.640
<v Speaker 2>he rolls up his sleeves a little bit and gets

0:14:27.640 --> 0:14:31.480
<v Speaker 2>to work, spits in his hand, rubs them together, picks

0:14:31.520 --> 0:14:33.200
<v Speaker 2>up an ax for no reason, just to kind of

0:14:33.200 --> 0:14:33.720
<v Speaker 2>look tough.

0:14:34.280 --> 0:14:34.520
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:14:34.560 --> 0:14:36.720
<v Speaker 2>Sure, there works, and he says, we're going to take

0:14:36.840 --> 0:14:39.880
<v Speaker 2>all of those, all of the bills out there, all

0:14:39.920 --> 0:14:43.280
<v Speaker 2>the dollars on the market, and just take them back

0:14:43.400 --> 0:14:47.880
<v Speaker 2>and start destroying them. Yeah, and by doing that, we're

0:14:47.920 --> 0:14:52.120
<v Speaker 2>going to actually lower the supply of dollars, which increases

0:14:52.160 --> 0:14:55.920
<v Speaker 2>their value. Right, And so problem solved. That's going to

0:14:55.960 --> 0:14:58.760
<v Speaker 2>fight inflation because the dollar is stronger again because there's

0:14:58.840 --> 0:15:03.440
<v Speaker 2>less dollars on there. And on just a basic economic

0:15:03.880 --> 0:15:07.960
<v Speaker 2>basis of supply and demand, it makes sense. But what

0:15:08.040 --> 0:15:10.160
<v Speaker 2>the government didn't realize all the way back in the

0:15:10.200 --> 0:15:13.000
<v Speaker 2>eighteen sixties is that it takes a little more finesse

0:15:13.040 --> 0:15:16.000
<v Speaker 2>than that to not just screw up the economy like

0:15:16.040 --> 0:15:19.440
<v Speaker 2>a pendulum from one problem to the opposite problem.

0:15:19.960 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, Like, can you imagine being a citizen in the

0:15:23.920 --> 0:15:26.520
<v Speaker 1>United States back then, in those early days when they're

0:15:26.520 --> 0:15:29.600
<v Speaker 1>just trying to figure this stuff out, and you know,

0:15:29.920 --> 0:15:31.320
<v Speaker 1>I bet a lot of people didn't have a real

0:15:31.400 --> 0:15:33.640
<v Speaker 1>understanding of this, But if you did, could you imagine

0:15:33.680 --> 0:15:36.640
<v Speaker 1>just seeing your country be like, hey, let's print a

0:15:36.640 --> 0:15:39.320
<v Speaker 1>bunch of paper and say it's really valuable, right, and

0:15:39.360 --> 0:15:41.880
<v Speaker 1>then when they got in trouble, be like, hey, let's

0:15:41.960 --> 0:15:44.680
<v Speaker 1>burn all that stuff that we printed and said was valuable.

0:15:44.800 --> 0:15:48.320
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, Like they would just come up behind, like congressmen

0:15:48.720 --> 0:15:50.840
<v Speaker 2>would come up behind people counting their money and just

0:15:50.920 --> 0:15:52.560
<v Speaker 2>yank it out of their hands and run off and

0:15:52.640 --> 0:15:54.040
<v Speaker 2>you couldn't do anything about it.

0:15:55.080 --> 0:15:57.320
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, paper football, So that was a real hot item

0:15:57.320 --> 0:15:57.800
<v Speaker 1>at the time.

0:15:58.240 --> 0:16:02.440
<v Speaker 2>So, okay, a bunch of bills, a bunch of money

0:16:02.480 --> 0:16:07.200
<v Speaker 2>just gets taken back, burned, destroyed, taken off of the market.

0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 2>It's just not there anymore, and the value of the

0:16:10.480 --> 0:16:15.640
<v Speaker 2>dollar strengthens. The problem is because the dollar is more

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:18.480
<v Speaker 2>is worth more than it was before, and seems like

0:16:18.520 --> 0:16:20.560
<v Speaker 2>it's just going to keep going up in value. People

0:16:20.600 --> 0:16:21.880
<v Speaker 2>are like, well, I'm going to hang on to my

0:16:21.960 --> 0:16:25.000
<v Speaker 2>dollar because it's going to increase in value, so I'll

0:16:25.000 --> 0:16:27.920
<v Speaker 2>be able to buy more later. The problem is in

0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:32.120
<v Speaker 2>the current term that means that people aren't out buying stuff.

0:16:32.280 --> 0:16:37.480
<v Speaker 2>And if you're making say pre industrial televisions, which were

0:16:37.560 --> 0:16:40.480
<v Speaker 2>just boxes that you know, like somebody with a puppet

0:16:40.520 --> 0:16:43.040
<v Speaker 2>could get in and make a little show, but they

0:16:43.120 --> 0:16:46.400
<v Speaker 2>call them TVs back then, if you're making those and

0:16:46.560 --> 0:16:50.160
<v Speaker 2>people are not spending money on the pre industrial televisions,

0:16:50.480 --> 0:16:53.400
<v Speaker 2>your profits are going to start to go down, you

0:16:53.480 --> 0:16:55.720
<v Speaker 2>have less reason to produce more and more of those,

0:16:56.040 --> 0:16:59.080
<v Speaker 2>which means you need less workers, which means you start

0:16:59.160 --> 0:17:02.520
<v Speaker 2>laying people off, which means those workers have less wages

0:17:02.760 --> 0:17:05.440
<v Speaker 2>to spend money on. And the whole thing becomes this

0:17:05.560 --> 0:17:09.160
<v Speaker 2>self feeding cycle that just gets worse and worse and worse.

0:17:09.320 --> 0:17:11.520
<v Speaker 2>And we call them recessions, and when they're really bad,

0:17:11.560 --> 0:17:15.320
<v Speaker 2>we call them depressions. And that happened from the government

0:17:15.440 --> 0:17:18.359
<v Speaker 2>soaking up all of those bills after the Civil War,

0:17:18.800 --> 0:17:21.840
<v Speaker 2>and it caused what's called the Long Depression from eighteen

0:17:21.920 --> 0:17:23.879
<v Speaker 2>seventy three to eighteen seventy nine.

0:17:24.720 --> 0:17:28.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and some say it almost went to like nineteen hundred,

0:17:28.760 --> 0:17:31.080
<v Speaker 1>like eighteen ninety seven before we were fully out of that.

0:17:31.200 --> 0:17:33.560
<v Speaker 1>And it was a real, like I think it was

0:17:33.560 --> 0:17:35.879
<v Speaker 1>a real wake up call early on to the United

0:17:35.880 --> 0:17:40.320
<v Speaker 1>States of like, hey, you can't There's got to be

0:17:40.359 --> 0:17:42.200
<v Speaker 1>a better way than just printing a bunch of money

0:17:42.240 --> 0:17:44.560
<v Speaker 1>when you think you need it, like kind of artificially

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:48.400
<v Speaker 1>manipulating the value of the dollar like that is only

0:17:48.440 --> 0:17:51.600
<v Speaker 1>going to lead to trouble. So, boy, that's a great

0:17:51.640 --> 0:17:55.399
<v Speaker 1>first act, I think I think so too. Back in

0:17:55.480 --> 0:17:58.120
<v Speaker 1>form after vacation yeah.

0:17:58.000 --> 0:17:59.400
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, I feel pretty good.

0:18:00.040 --> 0:18:01.120
<v Speaker 1>Okay, you're feeling good.

0:18:01.200 --> 0:18:03.119
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and you're doing great. You're looking sharp.

0:18:03.200 --> 0:18:06.680
<v Speaker 1>Man, I appreciate it. So let's take a break. We'll

0:18:06.680 --> 0:18:08.919
<v Speaker 1>come back and we'll talk about the Golden Age. We

0:18:08.920 --> 0:18:10.800
<v Speaker 1>love our golden ages. The golden age of the gold

0:18:10.800 --> 0:18:11.800
<v Speaker 1>standard right after.

0:18:11.640 --> 0:18:44.600
<v Speaker 2>This, so the United States just basically just stepping in

0:18:44.680 --> 0:18:46.760
<v Speaker 2>it and then stepping out of it and stepping in

0:18:46.800 --> 0:18:50.600
<v Speaker 2>another pile of it. Yeah, in the eighteen seventies, this is.

0:18:50.760 --> 0:18:53.440
<v Speaker 1>Not talking about gold either, right, No, no.

0:18:52.920 --> 0:18:57.560
<v Speaker 2>No, I couldn't come up with something that wasn't just

0:18:57.640 --> 0:19:00.720
<v Speaker 2>absolutely gross. So yeah, I'll keep moving on. But this

0:19:00.880 --> 0:19:03.520
<v Speaker 2>was the time when the world was globalizing for kind

0:19:03.520 --> 0:19:05.760
<v Speaker 2>of the first time, and so other countries are taking

0:19:05.800 --> 0:19:08.600
<v Speaker 2>note of this and they're like, yeah, this gold standard

0:19:08.720 --> 0:19:11.119
<v Speaker 2>might be a good thing. And like you said, it

0:19:11.200 --> 0:19:14.080
<v Speaker 2>kicked off a golden age from eighteen seventy one to

0:19:14.200 --> 0:19:18.480
<v Speaker 2>basically through war about to World War One. It was

0:19:18.520 --> 0:19:22.159
<v Speaker 2>a golden age for gold. There's no other way to

0:19:22.200 --> 0:19:23.840
<v Speaker 2>put it. I didn't want to say that, but there's

0:19:23.880 --> 0:19:24.800
<v Speaker 2>no other way to put it.

0:19:25.520 --> 0:19:29.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, It's like what forty something years where everyone was

0:19:29.880 --> 0:19:32.800
<v Speaker 1>sort of agreeing that the gold standard was the place

0:19:32.840 --> 0:19:36.399
<v Speaker 1>to be because there was debate like after the mess,

0:19:36.440 --> 0:19:39.840
<v Speaker 1>you know, post Civil War, of like what we're even

0:19:39.880 --> 0:19:41.560
<v Speaker 1>allowed to do as a country, and like can the

0:19:41.600 --> 0:19:45.640
<v Speaker 1>government even print money? Like that? The Supreme Court came

0:19:45.640 --> 0:19:48.399
<v Speaker 1>along in eighteen seventy one. They said, yes, they can

0:19:48.440 --> 0:19:51.520
<v Speaker 1>print money. Maybe they need to, you know, we need

0:19:51.520 --> 0:19:56.960
<v Speaker 1>to rethink our process, but the government printing money is okay.

0:19:57.200 --> 0:19:59.879
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, it's kind of it's legal. Yeah. Yeah, So that

0:20:00.000 --> 0:20:02.720
<v Speaker 2>I was settled, but that still didn't mean like that

0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:05.320
<v Speaker 2>the government should do that. There was still this question

0:20:05.400 --> 0:20:08.040
<v Speaker 2>should we keep going this way as supported by the

0:20:08.040 --> 0:20:11.359
<v Speaker 2>Greenback Party, who were like, yes, this actually makes a

0:20:11.400 --> 0:20:13.840
<v Speaker 2>lot of sense. Or there are other groups like the

0:20:13.880 --> 0:20:16.600
<v Speaker 2>silver movement, the gold bugs were out there who were like, no,

0:20:16.680 --> 0:20:22.200
<v Speaker 2>we need a commodity backed currency, right. Apparently the Wizard

0:20:22.240 --> 0:20:24.240
<v Speaker 2>of Oz and I'm sure we've mentioned this before, but

0:20:24.320 --> 0:20:27.560
<v Speaker 2>it was supposed to be an allegory for this debate

0:20:27.800 --> 0:20:31.800
<v Speaker 2>over whether to go with the Greenbacks and World City,

0:20:32.280 --> 0:20:37.640
<v Speaker 2>go with the gold standard, the yellow brick road, or

0:20:38.640 --> 0:20:43.880
<v Speaker 2>to go with the Ruby standard. Which were the slippers.

0:20:44.200 --> 0:20:46.880
<v Speaker 1>Right or the were wheat like you suggested that would

0:20:46.880 --> 0:20:49.200
<v Speaker 1>be the scarecrow exactly.

0:20:50.400 --> 0:20:57.080
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So all of those scarecrow rubies, gold, the greenbacks,

0:20:57.080 --> 0:21:00.399
<v Speaker 2>all of those were part of this national bait. And

0:21:00.440 --> 0:21:03.639
<v Speaker 2>finally it was settled in nineteen hundred when William McKinley

0:21:03.760 --> 0:21:07.240
<v Speaker 2>was made president. He said, it's gold. We're just going

0:21:07.280 --> 0:21:11.040
<v Speaker 2>with gold. And even more than that, you cannot print

0:21:11.280 --> 0:21:14.879
<v Speaker 2>a dollar beyond the amount of gold. We have to

0:21:14.960 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 2>back it up.

0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:19.400
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, that was that was key to that whole declaration.

0:21:19.520 --> 0:21:23.560
<v Speaker 1>He was a pro gold candidate, pro gold standard, and

0:21:23.600 --> 0:21:26.439
<v Speaker 1>like you said, in nineteen hundred twenty one, he was like,

0:21:26.480 --> 0:21:29.199
<v Speaker 1>we got to have some real teeth behind this. I

0:21:29.240 --> 0:21:31.840
<v Speaker 1>can't just say it as president and make it so.

0:21:31.840 --> 0:21:34.560
<v Speaker 1>So they passed the Gold Standard Act of nineteen hundred,

0:21:35.040 --> 0:21:38.920
<v Speaker 1>and that had some language in there that said exactly

0:21:38.960 --> 0:21:42.160
<v Speaker 1>that is, hey, that circulation, it's got to be tied

0:21:42.200 --> 0:21:44.439
<v Speaker 1>to gold. We can't print one dollar more than we

0:21:44.520 --> 0:21:48.520
<v Speaker 1>have in equal amounts of gold. And that was it.

0:21:49.240 --> 0:21:52.200
<v Speaker 1>You know, that was the classic gold standard period. It

0:21:52.320 --> 0:21:56.280
<v Speaker 1>meant that nations were trading with one another on equal

0:21:56.320 --> 0:21:59.920
<v Speaker 1>ground and it was dependent on sending like physical gold

0:22:00.119 --> 0:22:04.960
<v Speaker 1>one another. If you were producing more and exporting more,

0:22:05.480 --> 0:22:07.679
<v Speaker 1>then you had a lot of gold, you know, stockpiled

0:22:07.720 --> 0:22:10.119
<v Speaker 1>in your country. If you had a trade deficit, you

0:22:10.160 --> 0:22:12.720
<v Speaker 1>had a lot less gold, and it was everyone kind

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:15.320
<v Speaker 1>of knew what that meant, and it worked for a

0:22:15.320 --> 0:22:15.800
<v Speaker 1>long time.

0:22:16.000 --> 0:22:18.280
<v Speaker 2>It did work. I mean, there were dozens of nations

0:22:18.320 --> 0:22:20.480
<v Speaker 2>all on the gold standard at the same time, so

0:22:20.960 --> 0:22:23.040
<v Speaker 2>you knew how much you were going to get paid

0:22:23.119 --> 0:22:29.440
<v Speaker 2>for your shipmen of pre industrial televisions overseas, right, because

0:22:29.440 --> 0:22:34.159
<v Speaker 2>there were bonkers for them in Portugal. But the reason

0:22:34.240 --> 0:22:37.280
<v Speaker 2>why you knew is because there was such stability among

0:22:37.440 --> 0:22:44.320
<v Speaker 2>your currency and international currency pegged to gold, that when

0:22:44.400 --> 0:22:47.320
<v Speaker 2>you ship that shipment out, by the time it arrived

0:22:47.560 --> 0:22:51.280
<v Speaker 2>it was the same price. Yes, with fiat currency, the

0:22:51.400 --> 0:22:54.240
<v Speaker 2>price of stuff can fluctuate so much over a day

0:22:54.320 --> 0:22:57.200
<v Speaker 2>or a week that when you sent a shipment out,

0:22:57.520 --> 0:22:59.960
<v Speaker 2>if you hadn't already settled the contract, which you proba

0:23:00.000 --> 0:23:02.640
<v Speaker 2>probably did, but by the time it arrived, you might

0:23:02.680 --> 0:23:05.120
<v Speaker 2>be making way less than you were going to when

0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:08.000
<v Speaker 2>you shipped it out. That's not really what happened during

0:23:08.000 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 2>the classic Golden age of the gold standard. It was

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:14.320
<v Speaker 2>all much more stable than that.

0:23:13.400 --> 0:23:16.520
<v Speaker 1>That's right. But like you said, we pegged the end

0:23:16.560 --> 0:23:19.199
<v Speaker 1>of that to basically World War One, because, as you

0:23:19.240 --> 0:23:22.800
<v Speaker 1>mentioned earlier, wars are really expensive. They're going to spike

0:23:22.840 --> 0:23:26.160
<v Speaker 1>your national debt if you get involved in one. And

0:23:26.200 --> 0:23:28.560
<v Speaker 1>in Europe and World War One, they were like, this

0:23:28.640 --> 0:23:32.800
<v Speaker 1>war's really really expensive, and our supply of gold is

0:23:32.840 --> 0:23:37.159
<v Speaker 1>being constrained, so we have to we have to leave it.

0:23:37.240 --> 0:23:43.440
<v Speaker 1>So the international gold standard dissolved basically mostly worldwide except

0:23:43.480 --> 0:23:45.920
<v Speaker 1>for the US and UK. We stayed on that gold standard.

0:23:46.480 --> 0:23:50.879
<v Speaker 1>And because of that, for a while, the British pound

0:23:50.920 --> 0:23:54.639
<v Speaker 1>and the US dollar were basically the global reserve currencies

0:23:55.560 --> 0:23:57.720
<v Speaker 1>because you know, they had gold to back them, so

0:23:57.760 --> 0:24:01.639
<v Speaker 1>they were the gold standard, the dollar in the pound.

0:24:01.960 --> 0:24:04.640
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, because it's not I mean, it's not figurative when

0:24:04.640 --> 0:24:06.760
<v Speaker 2>you're saying like you had to use your gold to

0:24:06.800 --> 0:24:09.800
<v Speaker 2>buy back your currency if you were in a trade deficit, right,

0:24:10.240 --> 0:24:12.960
<v Speaker 2>you actually had to ship gold to the country you

0:24:13.000 --> 0:24:15.400
<v Speaker 2>were buying your dollars or your pounds back from.

0:24:15.760 --> 0:24:16.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:24:16.320 --> 0:24:20.119
<v Speaker 2>So with the US and the UK having currencies pegged

0:24:20.119 --> 0:24:23.200
<v Speaker 2>to gold and then be being the global reserve currency,

0:24:23.240 --> 0:24:26.240
<v Speaker 2>you could just ship currency overseas, which is so much

0:24:26.240 --> 0:24:29.600
<v Speaker 2>easier than shipping gold, right, So that was each lighter,

0:24:30.080 --> 0:24:33.800
<v Speaker 2>it is super light. So the US and England both

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:37.080
<v Speaker 2>ended up with like the vast majority of the world's gold,

0:24:37.160 --> 0:24:40.240
<v Speaker 2>because you know, you could take a dollar, you could

0:24:40.240 --> 0:24:42.119
<v Speaker 2>take a pound to the US of the UK and

0:24:42.160 --> 0:24:45.560
<v Speaker 2>say give me some gold for this, and those those notes,

0:24:45.640 --> 0:24:49.760
<v Speaker 2>those the paper dollars were good as gold essentially, which

0:24:49.800 --> 0:24:51.879
<v Speaker 2>is I'm pretty sure where that came from.

0:24:52.280 --> 0:24:55.240
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I mean that's funny. The gold standard and good

0:24:55.240 --> 0:24:57.160
<v Speaker 1>as gold, like a lot of these terms like literally

0:24:57.160 --> 0:24:59.320
<v Speaker 1>come from these weird monetary policies.

0:24:59.480 --> 0:25:03.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, yeah, William McKinley.

0:25:03.040 --> 0:25:10.840
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, old gold back. So things were going along okay

0:25:10.880 --> 0:25:14.560
<v Speaker 1>after that, and then the nineteen twenty nine stock market

0:25:14.640 --> 0:25:19.119
<v Speaker 1>crash came and banks started failing all over the world

0:25:19.600 --> 0:25:21.800
<v Speaker 1>and everyone you know those you know, when stuff like

0:25:21.800 --> 0:25:25.000
<v Speaker 1>this happens, there's it seems like it used to happen more,

0:25:25.000 --> 0:25:27.600
<v Speaker 1>but there can be a real panic, and people start

0:25:27.600 --> 0:25:30.919
<v Speaker 1>converting their dollars and their pounds to gold because they

0:25:30.960 --> 0:25:33.760
<v Speaker 1>were like, we know, gold is worth something I don't

0:25:33.760 --> 0:25:36.600
<v Speaker 1>want to have like this this paper currency on hand.

0:25:36.680 --> 0:25:39.159
<v Speaker 1>That's like clearly losing value very quickly.

0:25:39.720 --> 0:25:41.880
<v Speaker 2>Right, if I weigh a day, I might get less

0:25:41.920 --> 0:25:44.720
<v Speaker 2>gold than I will if I cash my bank account

0:25:44.720 --> 0:25:48.959
<v Speaker 2>into today. And remember earlier, I said, like, how this

0:25:49.080 --> 0:25:51.360
<v Speaker 2>is all. It all kind of self regulates, it all

0:25:51.400 --> 0:25:55.040
<v Speaker 2>moves naturally from one place to another. But still humans

0:25:55.080 --> 0:25:57.840
<v Speaker 2>can screw things up just because we're human. This is

0:25:57.880 --> 0:26:00.080
<v Speaker 2>how we screwed it up. There were a banking can

0:26:00.280 --> 0:26:03.720
<v Speaker 2>after banking panics, where people just made runs on banks

0:26:03.760 --> 0:26:05.120
<v Speaker 2>and said give me all my money and the bank

0:26:05.119 --> 0:26:07.040
<v Speaker 2>would be like, we don't have it. They would shell

0:26:07.080 --> 0:26:09.159
<v Speaker 2>out all their money and end up closing. And there

0:26:09.200 --> 0:26:13.520
<v Speaker 2>were like ten thousand bank closures in the early nineteen

0:26:13.640 --> 0:26:16.480
<v Speaker 2>thirties in the United States alone between nineteen thirty and

0:26:16.560 --> 0:26:20.080
<v Speaker 2>nineteen thirty two because people would run in and like

0:26:20.280 --> 0:26:23.040
<v Speaker 2>just take all their money out, and so banks were failing.

0:26:23.359 --> 0:26:25.960
<v Speaker 2>This was before the FDIIC. So if you had a

0:26:25.960 --> 0:26:29.960
<v Speaker 2>bunch of money and the bank like closed forever before

0:26:30.000 --> 0:26:32.840
<v Speaker 2>you could cash it in, you were broke. Like that

0:26:32.960 --> 0:26:37.040
<v Speaker 2>money was worthless, right, And that caused even more people

0:26:37.160 --> 0:26:40.280
<v Speaker 2>to make runs on banks, which created this huge, terrible

0:26:41.040 --> 0:26:43.600
<v Speaker 2>ripple effect. And so the UK and the US were

0:26:43.600 --> 0:26:46.800
<v Speaker 2>both faced with this challenge like what do you do.

0:26:46.800 --> 0:26:48.679
<v Speaker 2>Do you stay on the gold standard or do you

0:26:48.720 --> 0:26:51.720
<v Speaker 2>go off the gold standard? And the UK was.

0:26:51.760 --> 0:26:55.560
<v Speaker 1>Up first, Yeah, they abandoned the gold standard in nineteen

0:26:55.760 --> 0:26:59.760
<v Speaker 1>thirty one. Apparently there's a story that their central banker

0:27:00.240 --> 0:27:03.840
<v Speaker 1>named Monte Hugh Norman at the time, suffered a nervous

0:27:03.880 --> 0:27:06.080
<v Speaker 1>breakdown because he was you know, it's kind of up

0:27:06.080 --> 0:27:09.040
<v Speaker 1>to him to make that final call. And can you

0:27:09.080 --> 0:27:12.840
<v Speaker 1>imagine the pressure to be in charge of like a

0:27:13.320 --> 0:27:16.679
<v Speaker 1>kind of a worldwide economy, almost right, and how important

0:27:16.760 --> 0:27:17.640
<v Speaker 1>these decisions are.

0:27:18.680 --> 0:27:22.800
<v Speaker 2>So ask your question, no, no, I cannot imagine that

0:27:22.880 --> 0:27:23.119
<v Speaker 2>kind of.

0:27:23.119 --> 0:27:26.360
<v Speaker 1>Pressure it either. So the pounds value, of course, immediately

0:27:26.440 --> 0:27:30.159
<v Speaker 1>drops even further than it already was. So people that

0:27:30.280 --> 0:27:33.439
<v Speaker 1>were had lost faith in the paper money were saying, like,

0:27:33.480 --> 0:27:36.959
<v Speaker 1>see there, like good thing. We traded in our pounds

0:27:37.000 --> 0:27:40.200
<v Speaker 1>for gold and America and of course everywhere around the

0:27:40.200 --> 0:27:43.520
<v Speaker 1>world is seeing this happen, so everyone else is losing confidence.

0:27:43.560 --> 0:27:46.479
<v Speaker 1>And this is when you know, further runs on banks happened.

0:27:47.080 --> 0:27:50.480
<v Speaker 1>And we had a president, a lame duck named Herbert Hoover,

0:27:50.560 --> 0:27:53.560
<v Speaker 1>who was leaving office in nineteen thirty three and told

0:27:53.640 --> 0:27:57.040
<v Speaker 1>incoming FDR he was like, hey, you know, we're in

0:27:57.119 --> 0:27:59.960
<v Speaker 1>real trouble here. The reason we have gold is because

0:28:00.119 --> 0:28:04.280
<v Speaker 1>can't trust governments. And FDR was like you know what,

0:28:04.400 --> 0:28:07.320
<v Speaker 1>I think I've got this. So he went in office

0:28:07.920 --> 0:28:10.040
<v Speaker 1>and he said, I'm going to I'm going to fix

0:28:10.119 --> 0:28:11.400
<v Speaker 1>this crisis for good.

0:28:12.280 --> 0:28:14.199
<v Speaker 2>One of Yeah, one of the first things he did was,

0:28:14.440 --> 0:28:17.600
<v Speaker 2>I think the day after he was inaugurated, he declared

0:28:17.640 --> 0:28:21.080
<v Speaker 2>a four day banking holiday, so all the banks closed

0:28:21.160 --> 0:28:24.760
<v Speaker 2>right for four days so there couldn't be any runs

0:28:24.760 --> 0:28:28.520
<v Speaker 2>on banks. And I was watching this. There's this dude

0:28:28.560 --> 0:28:33.560
<v Speaker 2>who's a YouTuber named the Casual Historian, and he bills

0:28:33.640 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 2>himself as a Conservatorian, which I take to be in

0:28:38.320 --> 0:28:42.800
<v Speaker 2>a combination of a conservative and a vegetarian right probably,

0:28:43.240 --> 0:28:46.000
<v Speaker 2>But he was explaining that this actually didn't do much

0:28:46.360 --> 0:28:49.360
<v Speaker 2>in real terms, like the banks that were about to

0:28:49.440 --> 0:28:52.920
<v Speaker 2>fail before the banking holiday still failed afterwards. But as

0:28:52.920 --> 0:28:55.400
<v Speaker 2>far as the public was concerned, it was a huge

0:28:55.440 --> 0:28:58.400
<v Speaker 2>signal for essentially the first time that the government was

0:28:58.440 --> 0:29:01.120
<v Speaker 2>going to step in. Because there's one thing that you

0:29:01.200 --> 0:29:05.880
<v Speaker 2>cannot argue against with the gold standard is because you're constrained,

0:29:06.240 --> 0:29:09.200
<v Speaker 2>you cannot print more money than you have gold to

0:29:09.280 --> 0:29:12.400
<v Speaker 2>back it. There is nothing you can do in an

0:29:12.400 --> 0:29:16.280
<v Speaker 2>economic crisis except sit there and watch it happen. You

0:29:16.320 --> 0:29:18.640
<v Speaker 2>can't do anything there's no leverage for you to pull

0:29:18.680 --> 0:29:21.440
<v Speaker 2>the pull the country out of it. The only way

0:29:21.640 --> 0:29:24.240
<v Speaker 2>that you can pull your country out of a recession

0:29:24.320 --> 0:29:28.760
<v Speaker 2>or a depression is by printing more money and actually

0:29:28.880 --> 0:29:33.360
<v Speaker 2>devaluing the money that people are hoarding. So it's you're

0:29:33.400 --> 0:29:36.120
<v Speaker 2>basically saying, you got all this money that you're stashed

0:29:36.120 --> 0:29:38.520
<v Speaker 2>away because it's so valuable. Well, guess what, It's not

0:29:38.600 --> 0:29:40.920
<v Speaker 2>so valuable anymore, so you might as well get out

0:29:40.960 --> 0:29:41.800
<v Speaker 2>there and spend it.

0:29:42.640 --> 0:29:45.280
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for sure. And you know, we were in big

0:29:45.320 --> 0:29:47.640
<v Speaker 1>trouble obviously in the nineteen thirties, you know, you mentioned

0:29:47.680 --> 0:29:52.479
<v Speaker 1>earlier sort of that cycle that happens when companies are

0:29:52.480 --> 0:29:56.960
<v Speaker 1>producing less and fewer customers and not hiring people or

0:29:57.200 --> 0:30:00.800
<v Speaker 1>firing people. And in nineteen thirty three, the unemployment of

0:30:00.800 --> 0:30:02.560
<v Speaker 1>the United States was twenty five percent.

0:30:02.760 --> 0:30:03.600
<v Speaker 2>That's so crazy.

0:30:04.280 --> 0:30:07.080
<v Speaker 1>I know, it's staggering. And I think worldwide, almost one

0:30:07.080 --> 0:30:09.440
<v Speaker 1>in three people were out of work in nineteen thirty two,

0:30:09.560 --> 0:30:12.240
<v Speaker 1>So it wasn't just the United States like that many

0:30:12.280 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 1>people being out at work at once, And that's the

0:30:15.280 --> 0:30:19.080
<v Speaker 1>thing that I always you know, thankfully it hasn't happened yet,

0:30:19.080 --> 0:30:22.680
<v Speaker 1>but with the AI conversations and people. I've had conversations

0:30:22.680 --> 0:30:25.280
<v Speaker 1>with people in my sphere.

0:30:25.040 --> 0:30:27.000
<v Speaker 2>Are you sure? They were people and not box.

0:30:28.200 --> 0:30:29.840
<v Speaker 1>They think it's such a great thing. And I was like,

0:30:29.920 --> 0:30:32.080
<v Speaker 1>you know, I'm not even arguing the merits of arts

0:30:32.200 --> 0:30:34.280
<v Speaker 1>or not and things like that, But I said, I

0:30:34.400 --> 0:30:37.440
<v Speaker 1>just worry about what would happen if like twenty percent

0:30:37.480 --> 0:30:39.360
<v Speaker 1>of the workforce was laid off in the span of

0:30:39.400 --> 0:30:41.760
<v Speaker 1>like a year or so because of AI. It's like,

0:30:41.760 --> 0:30:45.400
<v Speaker 1>that's what I worry about. And we haven't seen that yet, thankfully,

0:30:45.440 --> 0:30:46.400
<v Speaker 1>but I guess we'll see.

0:30:46.800 --> 0:30:49.000
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, you, me and I were talking about the same thing,

0:30:49.080 --> 0:30:51.440
<v Speaker 2>and she brought up a really great question, which is

0:30:51.480 --> 0:30:53.200
<v Speaker 2>like one of the things that a lot of the

0:30:53.360 --> 0:30:56.160
<v Speaker 2>AI proponents say is like, eventually you were going to

0:30:56.200 --> 0:30:58.560
<v Speaker 2>create this utopia where like no one has to work

0:30:58.600 --> 0:31:02.160
<v Speaker 2>and everybody's right. And her question is like, if that's

0:31:02.200 --> 0:31:04.600
<v Speaker 2>your goal, why don't we take some of that wealth

0:31:04.640 --> 0:31:07.040
<v Speaker 2>and just start now before I act? Right, do we

0:31:07.080 --> 0:31:08.920
<v Speaker 2>have to wait for AI to do that? We can

0:31:09.000 --> 0:31:12.520
<v Speaker 2>do it now? I thought, yes, rather clever. I stood

0:31:12.600 --> 0:31:14.280
<v Speaker 2>up and clapped right.

0:31:15.560 --> 0:31:17.640
<v Speaker 1>She's like, that's weird. Here, we're in our living room.

0:31:17.840 --> 0:31:22.320
<v Speaker 1>She left the room, all right, So things are bad.

0:31:22.840 --> 0:31:27.360
<v Speaker 1>They had that banking holiday. Congress passes what's called the

0:31:27.400 --> 0:31:31.600
<v Speaker 1>Emergency Banking Act at the time, which basically, like you said,

0:31:32.000 --> 0:31:36.040
<v Speaker 1>allowed them to, in an emergency issue, just start printing money. Basically,

0:31:36.080 --> 0:31:39.520
<v Speaker 1>that's not back to the gold standard, but we had

0:31:39.600 --> 0:31:42.280
<v Speaker 1>that gold standard because the gold Standard Act of nineteen hundred,

0:31:42.360 --> 0:31:46.320
<v Speaker 1>so they had to create this Banking Act, I guess

0:31:46.400 --> 0:31:47.320
<v Speaker 1>to work around that.

0:31:47.400 --> 0:31:51.480
<v Speaker 2>Right, Yeah, They basically said, Okay, this is just emergency measures,

0:31:51.480 --> 0:31:54.440
<v Speaker 2>and we're just printing this money to give to banks

0:31:54.880 --> 0:31:57.920
<v Speaker 2>to keep them from going under. So the government is

0:31:57.960 --> 0:32:00.520
<v Speaker 2>signaling all over the place, we're stepping in. We're going

0:32:00.600 --> 0:32:04.160
<v Speaker 2>to make sure that this that like, we're going to

0:32:04.280 --> 0:32:07.240
<v Speaker 2>do something about this for the first time. I think

0:32:07.240 --> 0:32:09.760
<v Speaker 2>that was my point before I got off on the

0:32:09.800 --> 0:32:12.000
<v Speaker 2>tangent for a little while a minute ago. But the

0:32:12.040 --> 0:32:14.480
<v Speaker 2>government is signaling all over the place that they're going

0:32:14.520 --> 0:32:16.880
<v Speaker 2>to back up banks so you don't have to run

0:32:16.920 --> 0:32:18.720
<v Speaker 2>and get all of your money out and just keep

0:32:18.760 --> 0:32:22.200
<v Speaker 2>making this whole thing worse. So that was like a

0:32:22.360 --> 0:32:25.240
<v Speaker 2>first step. But the problem is is there was still

0:32:25.320 --> 0:32:27.600
<v Speaker 2>plenty of gold out there that people were hoarding. They

0:32:27.600 --> 0:32:29.600
<v Speaker 2>were like, yeah, that's great, thanks a lot, but I'm

0:32:29.640 --> 0:32:31.760
<v Speaker 2>not taking this goal back to the bank right now

0:32:31.840 --> 0:32:35.080
<v Speaker 2>because I don't have any confidence in the banking system.

0:32:35.360 --> 0:32:37.720
<v Speaker 2>So the government figured out how to deal with this.

0:32:38.600 --> 0:32:41.680
<v Speaker 2>They said, well, you know what, we will put you

0:32:41.800 --> 0:32:45.320
<v Speaker 2>in jail for ten years and find you the modern

0:32:45.360 --> 0:32:47.960
<v Speaker 2>equivalent of two hundred and fifty thousand dollars. If you

0:32:48.000 --> 0:32:51.479
<v Speaker 2>don't give us your gold, we'll give you the equal

0:32:51.520 --> 0:32:56.320
<v Speaker 2>amount of paper dollars back, but you can't legally own

0:32:56.400 --> 0:32:57.200
<v Speaker 2>gold anymore.

0:32:58.040 --> 0:32:59.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, and that was it. That was I mean, I

0:33:00.080 --> 0:33:04.320
<v Speaker 1>think it was about a month after they sort of

0:33:04.360 --> 0:33:07.480
<v Speaker 1>restored that public confidence with the Emergency Banking Act, like

0:33:07.640 --> 0:33:10.920
<v Speaker 1>FDR was moving very quickly and said all right, we're

0:33:11.000 --> 0:33:14.600
<v Speaker 1>suspending the gold standard officially. And then the next year

0:33:15.200 --> 0:33:17.320
<v Speaker 1>was that Gold Reserve Act of nineteen thirty four that

0:33:17.360 --> 0:33:19.400
<v Speaker 1>you were talking about, where they were like, yeah, you can't.

0:33:19.440 --> 0:33:21.720
<v Speaker 1>I mean, you can keep your rings and if you

0:33:21.800 --> 0:33:24.640
<v Speaker 1>got like collectible coins and stuff, we're not coming after those. Yeah,

0:33:24.680 --> 0:33:27.040
<v Speaker 1>but you can't have bars of gold and a safe

0:33:27.040 --> 0:33:27.920
<v Speaker 1>in your house anymore.

0:33:28.040 --> 0:33:31.280
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. And Jimmy the Greek was like, whow right close.

0:33:33.880 --> 0:33:37.080
<v Speaker 2>So yeah, so now you had to have you had

0:33:37.120 --> 0:33:40.880
<v Speaker 2>to use paper currency, so this was the shift in

0:33:40.920 --> 0:33:43.760
<v Speaker 2>the United States, and this had already happened in other countries,

0:33:43.800 --> 0:33:46.520
<v Speaker 2>like you said, especially in Europe after World War One,

0:33:47.400 --> 0:33:52.200
<v Speaker 2>and the gold standard was dead. And one of the

0:33:52.200 --> 0:33:55.200
<v Speaker 2>things that demonstrated the death of the gold standard was

0:33:56.160 --> 0:33:59.720
<v Speaker 2>economists generally today say that the US being able to

0:33:59.800 --> 0:34:05.240
<v Speaker 2>print money and basically kickstar inflation to pull us out

0:34:05.280 --> 0:34:11.600
<v Speaker 2>of the deflationary spiral aka the depression. That's basically ninety

0:34:11.640 --> 0:34:13.840
<v Speaker 2>percent of the reason that the US got out of

0:34:13.880 --> 0:34:16.759
<v Speaker 2>the Great Depression. It was leaving the gold standard being

0:34:16.800 --> 0:34:18.960
<v Speaker 2>able to print money. Because if you can just print

0:34:19.000 --> 0:34:21.319
<v Speaker 2>money and take money off the market and put more

0:34:21.360 --> 0:34:23.880
<v Speaker 2>money on the market when you need it, you can

0:34:24.160 --> 0:34:27.680
<v Speaker 2>adjust the economy enough to get it out of crises

0:34:28.080 --> 0:34:32.319
<v Speaker 2>one way or the other. And that that's actually the

0:34:32.360 --> 0:34:35.360
<v Speaker 2>better way of doing it. And so the gold standard

0:34:35.520 --> 0:34:36.960
<v Speaker 2>never came back again.

0:34:37.800 --> 0:34:39.759
<v Speaker 1>That's right. And so that could be the end of

0:34:39.800 --> 0:34:42.920
<v Speaker 1>our show, but that would be weird because we haven't

0:34:42.920 --> 0:34:46.200
<v Speaker 1>had our second ad break yet. So we're gonna do that,

0:34:46.280 --> 0:34:48.080
<v Speaker 1>and we're going to come back and just say see

0:34:48.120 --> 0:34:50.000
<v Speaker 1>you later and read a listener mail, right, because the

0:34:50.000 --> 0:34:53.400
<v Speaker 1>gold standard's gone forever, gone forever, all right, we'll be

0:34:53.480 --> 0:35:25.680
<v Speaker 1>right back. Okay, we're back here for Act three, which

0:35:25.719 --> 0:35:27.920
<v Speaker 1>means this time for listener mail. Because a gold standard

0:35:27.960 --> 0:35:28.440
<v Speaker 1>is dead.

0:35:28.320 --> 0:35:30.080
<v Speaker 2>This is where the golden gun goes off.

0:35:30.680 --> 0:35:33.080
<v Speaker 1>That's right, because no, the gold standard is not dead.

0:35:34.520 --> 0:35:38.320
<v Speaker 1>It actually had another sort of brief not even stint,

0:35:38.440 --> 0:35:40.839
<v Speaker 1>like it kind of had a maybe not a Golden Age,

0:35:40.880 --> 0:35:45.600
<v Speaker 1>but maybe a heyday when the Bretton Woods Agreement came around,

0:35:45.640 --> 0:35:48.799
<v Speaker 1>which was a U in a United Nations agreement that

0:35:48.840 --> 0:35:52.440
<v Speaker 1>came around in nineteen forty four in Brettonwood's New Hampshire

0:35:52.920 --> 0:35:55.920
<v Speaker 1>that had a whole brand new system that was really

0:35:56.120 --> 0:35:59.040
<v Speaker 1>kind of like that original gold standard, with forty four

0:35:59.680 --> 0:36:03.040
<v Speaker 1>country signed on along with the US that said, all right,

0:36:03.120 --> 0:36:06.640
<v Speaker 1>the US dollar now is pegged to gold at thirty

0:36:06.640 --> 0:36:10.080
<v Speaker 1>five dollars an ounce, and everybody else that's signing on

0:36:10.200 --> 0:36:13.080
<v Speaker 1>is tying their currency to our dollar.

0:36:13.200 --> 0:36:17.160
<v Speaker 2>Right, so there's a fixed rate, like there's fifteen pesos

0:36:17.200 --> 0:36:19.880
<v Speaker 2>for one dollar and one dollar equals this much gold.

0:36:20.120 --> 0:36:24.320
<v Speaker 2>So it's essentially the world going back on a gold standard.

0:36:24.520 --> 0:36:27.360
<v Speaker 2>They just figured out a good way around it to

0:36:27.400 --> 0:36:31.279
<v Speaker 2>make it much easier, right. Yeah, and again, just like

0:36:31.320 --> 0:36:33.799
<v Speaker 2>the first time, if everybody's playing by the rules. Then

0:36:34.160 --> 0:36:36.680
<v Speaker 2>this keeps you from monkeying with interest rates to make

0:36:36.719 --> 0:36:40.279
<v Speaker 2>your exports more attractive. It prevents trade wars, it does

0:36:40.320 --> 0:36:44.759
<v Speaker 2>all sorts of calm, peaceful stuff. But the problem is

0:36:45.360 --> 0:36:48.319
<v Speaker 2>there's just and this is the same problem today. There

0:36:48.440 --> 0:36:51.920
<v Speaker 2>just wasn't enough gold in the world to cover the

0:36:51.960 --> 0:36:55.399
<v Speaker 2>increasing expense of modern life.

0:36:55.680 --> 0:36:57.720
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for sure. And they had put things in place

0:36:57.800 --> 0:37:00.520
<v Speaker 1>because you know, they were a little smarter than time around.

0:37:00.560 --> 0:37:03.240
<v Speaker 1>They were like, all right, we'll create the International Monetary Fund,

0:37:03.719 --> 0:37:06.560
<v Speaker 1>We'll create the World Bank. So that means that there's

0:37:06.640 --> 0:37:10.520
<v Speaker 1>their official worldwide bodies kind of coordinating this monetary policy

0:37:11.000 --> 0:37:13.399
<v Speaker 1>between all the countries to make sure that no one's

0:37:13.440 --> 0:37:15.960
<v Speaker 1>doing hinky stuff. And it took a long time. This

0:37:16.080 --> 0:37:18.840
<v Speaker 1>wasn't like, you know, they reached this agreement in nineteen

0:37:18.880 --> 0:37:21.080
<v Speaker 1>forty four and by nineteen forty five it was all

0:37:21.160 --> 0:37:23.880
<v Speaker 1>set in stone. I think it didn't actually take effective

0:37:24.120 --> 0:37:28.720
<v Speaker 1>fourteen years later in nineteen fifty eight. By the nineteen sixties,

0:37:28.719 --> 0:37:33.080
<v Speaker 1>like shortly thereafter, the US was was spending like a

0:37:33.360 --> 0:37:37.319
<v Speaker 1>like a drunk ten year old military spending was in

0:37:37.440 --> 0:37:41.880
<v Speaker 1>foreign aid. We're all just like ramping up spending on imports,

0:37:42.320 --> 0:37:44.960
<v Speaker 1>foreign investment. There are a lot of dollars from the

0:37:45.040 --> 0:37:48.919
<v Speaker 1>United States and worldwide circulation. And even though we held

0:37:48.920 --> 0:37:51.200
<v Speaker 1>a lot of the world's gold reserves, like seventy five

0:37:51.239 --> 0:37:53.640
<v Speaker 1>percent at the time, like you said, we still didn't

0:37:53.680 --> 0:37:55.400
<v Speaker 1>have enough gold to cover all that kind of money.

0:37:55.800 --> 0:37:57.840
<v Speaker 2>No, and this is the I mean, this is what

0:37:58.000 --> 0:38:01.240
<v Speaker 2>keeps governments honest. There is a possibility of a worst

0:38:01.280 --> 0:38:04.680
<v Speaker 2>case scenario where all of the people holding those dollars

0:38:04.719 --> 0:38:07.080
<v Speaker 2>can all come back at once and say, hey, we

0:38:07.120 --> 0:38:10.680
<v Speaker 2>want this, we want our goal. We're turning in our currency,

0:38:11.000 --> 0:38:13.839
<v Speaker 2>give us our gold. And you know it's bad enough

0:38:13.840 --> 0:38:17.400
<v Speaker 2>when you're talking about citizens making runs on banks. If

0:38:17.440 --> 0:38:21.640
<v Speaker 2>you're talking about entire foreign governments bringing all of their

0:38:21.680 --> 0:38:24.040
<v Speaker 2>cash reserves to you and saying we want gold, you

0:38:24.160 --> 0:38:28.000
<v Speaker 2>got a really big problem. And finally, in nineteen seventy one,

0:38:28.440 --> 0:38:31.359
<v Speaker 2>Nixon admitted, like, we don't have enough gold to cover

0:38:31.440 --> 0:38:35.319
<v Speaker 2>the currency out there. Sorry, guys, you can't turn that

0:38:35.440 --> 0:38:39.200
<v Speaker 2>in for gold anymore. Sorry, and just kind of backed

0:38:39.200 --> 0:38:39.839
<v Speaker 2>out of the room.

0:38:40.760 --> 0:38:44.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, he backed out of the room. And it was

0:38:44.080 --> 0:38:47.040
<v Speaker 1>it was a big deal because this isn't the kind

0:38:47.080 --> 0:38:50.320
<v Speaker 1>of thing that we could we had pegged our dollar

0:38:50.440 --> 0:38:53.719
<v Speaker 1>to like worldwide value, so we couldn't just say that

0:38:53.760 --> 0:38:59.520
<v Speaker 1>by ourselves. In nineteen seventy three, the Monetary Fund they

0:38:59.560 --> 0:39:02.040
<v Speaker 1>went off the gold standard. They basically kind of came

0:39:02.040 --> 0:39:05.160
<v Speaker 1>along for the ride, yeah, and said, all right, everybody

0:39:05.200 --> 0:39:08.200
<v Speaker 1>should kind of go to this fiat currency system, and

0:39:08.480 --> 0:39:11.280
<v Speaker 1>like that was the true real end of the gold standard,

0:39:11.320 --> 0:39:14.640
<v Speaker 1>and like there's this that ship is so far out

0:39:14.680 --> 0:39:16.840
<v Speaker 1>of the harbor now, there's no way they could go back.

0:39:16.680 --> 0:39:19.279
<v Speaker 2>To it now. And it eventually kind of became a

0:39:19.440 --> 0:39:24.239
<v Speaker 2>fringe right wing position for some reason. They just kind

0:39:24.239 --> 0:39:26.759
<v Speaker 2>of adopted it. But that doesn't mean all of the

0:39:26.840 --> 0:39:29.759
<v Speaker 2>right wing agrees with it. In fact, Milton Friedman, who's

0:39:29.800 --> 0:39:34.680
<v Speaker 2>a right wing conservative economist hero, he was even like,

0:39:34.760 --> 0:39:37.200
<v Speaker 2>that's a terrible idea to go back on it. He

0:39:37.239 --> 0:39:39.359
<v Speaker 2>wrote a paper, and I think nineteen ninety or co

0:39:39.440 --> 0:39:42.279
<v Speaker 2>wrote one that basically demonstrated just how bad of an

0:39:42.320 --> 0:39:45.680
<v Speaker 2>idea it would be. But there's still plenty of people

0:39:45.719 --> 0:39:48.120
<v Speaker 2>who are like, no, gold is where I want to

0:39:48.160 --> 0:39:52.000
<v Speaker 2>put my faith in. One of the reasons why it's

0:39:52.040 --> 0:39:56.799
<v Speaker 2>still around is because people believe that if there's a

0:39:57.080 --> 0:40:02.520
<v Speaker 2>social collapse right afterward, people will still accept gold. They

0:40:02.560 --> 0:40:06.239
<v Speaker 2>won't accept dollars or pounds or euros, but they'll take

0:40:06.320 --> 0:40:09.200
<v Speaker 2>gold in return. So that's one reason a lot of

0:40:09.200 --> 0:40:12.120
<v Speaker 2>people still have faith in goals and investment. There's other

0:40:12.160 --> 0:40:14.239
<v Speaker 2>people who are like, gold's always going to become more

0:40:14.280 --> 0:40:18.000
<v Speaker 2>and more valuable because there's a finite amount of it, right,

0:40:18.920 --> 0:40:23.959
<v Speaker 2>And that actually is the same thing for bitcoin. There's

0:40:24.000 --> 0:40:27.000
<v Speaker 2>a finite amount of bitcoins, which means that over time

0:40:27.120 --> 0:40:29.960
<v Speaker 2>it's going to become more and more valuable. It's going

0:40:30.040 --> 0:40:32.600
<v Speaker 2>to buy more and more stuff, which makes it a

0:40:32.640 --> 0:40:36.160
<v Speaker 2>deflationary currency, which actually makes it dangerous because that means

0:40:36.200 --> 0:40:39.080
<v Speaker 2>people are more likely to buy in HORD bitcoins or

0:40:39.120 --> 0:40:43.000
<v Speaker 2>buy in HORD gold because eventually it's going to become

0:40:43.239 --> 0:40:45.600
<v Speaker 2>more valuable, and that's how you go into a recession.

0:40:46.560 --> 0:40:50.759
<v Speaker 1>Yeah. I've never I'm just you know, me and economics

0:40:50.800 --> 0:40:53.200
<v Speaker 1>and money. I'm just a big dummy with all that.

0:40:53.800 --> 0:40:57.759
<v Speaker 1>So cryptocurrency is something that even though we've podcasted on it,

0:40:57.960 --> 0:40:59.759
<v Speaker 1>I just it's not like I'm saying like I don't

0:40:59.800 --> 0:41:02.120
<v Speaker 1>try cryptocurrency. I just I don't understand it and I

0:41:02.160 --> 0:41:04.000
<v Speaker 1>have no interest in understanding it.

0:41:04.239 --> 0:41:07.600
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. Yeah, although it does seem to have gained a

0:41:07.600 --> 0:41:11.600
<v Speaker 2>lot of legitimacy, especially Yeah coin sure, but I mean

0:41:11.640 --> 0:41:15.200
<v Speaker 2>it's a wild ride, like it was at like sixteen

0:41:15.280 --> 0:41:18.719
<v Speaker 2>thousand earlier this year, early like last year, and now

0:41:18.760 --> 0:41:21.480
<v Speaker 2>it's at like sixty one, and sixty one is down

0:41:21.480 --> 0:41:25.080
<v Speaker 2>from ninety something a month or two ago. Like maybe

0:41:25.080 --> 0:41:27.799
<v Speaker 2>it's a long term thing, but that's not something you

0:41:27.880 --> 0:41:29.680
<v Speaker 2>want to I mean, you would have to be so

0:41:29.760 --> 0:41:32.600
<v Speaker 2>insane to trade that stuff on a daily basis.

0:41:33.120 --> 0:41:35.040
<v Speaker 1>I don't have the stomach for I'm just that's not

0:41:35.160 --> 0:41:37.920
<v Speaker 1>who I am either. You know, I want to I

0:41:37.920 --> 0:41:39.239
<v Speaker 1>want to sit around and you and I want to

0:41:39.280 --> 0:41:44.680
<v Speaker 1>sit around listen to elevator music, not track the currency cryptocurrency.

0:41:44.760 --> 0:41:46.720
<v Speaker 2>No, but for some people that is quite thrilling.

0:41:47.400 --> 0:41:49.440
<v Speaker 1>Oh I bet it is. Have fun with that if

0:41:49.440 --> 0:41:54.799
<v Speaker 1>that's your thing for Larry David. Right, So, like we said,

0:41:55.040 --> 0:41:57.600
<v Speaker 1>I think an act one that you know, there are

0:41:57.640 --> 0:41:59.600
<v Speaker 1>still people that argue for the gold standard and people

0:41:59.640 --> 0:42:01.840
<v Speaker 1>that aregue against it, even though that ship is sailed,

0:42:02.640 --> 0:42:04.719
<v Speaker 1>and there are you know, some pretty good arguments each way.

0:42:05.880 --> 0:42:10.879
<v Speaker 1>If you're for the gold Standard, you know you can say,

0:42:10.960 --> 0:42:14.000
<v Speaker 1>like hey, that's going to definitely put a lid on

0:42:14.040 --> 0:42:16.960
<v Speaker 1>this crazy government spending that we have had going on,

0:42:17.640 --> 0:42:20.279
<v Speaker 1>and it'll stabilize the money supply. We've seen it do

0:42:20.360 --> 0:42:25.040
<v Speaker 1>that literally, so you know, that's a pretty decent like

0:42:25.040 --> 0:42:27.320
<v Speaker 1>they got a lot of data to back those claims

0:42:27.360 --> 0:42:28.000
<v Speaker 1>up for sure.

0:42:28.800 --> 0:42:32.200
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, one of them is it's just basically throwing shade

0:42:32.239 --> 0:42:35.840
<v Speaker 2>at how out of control government spending gets when the

0:42:35.880 --> 0:42:38.560
<v Speaker 2>government is allowed to literally just print money when it

0:42:38.600 --> 0:42:42.600
<v Speaker 2>wants to. One of those things that you'll see a

0:42:42.640 --> 0:42:46.640
<v Speaker 2>lot is that the purchasing power of the dollar has

0:42:46.680 --> 0:42:50.839
<v Speaker 2>declined by more than eighty five percent since the US

0:42:50.960 --> 0:42:53.560
<v Speaker 2>left the gold standard in nineteen seventy one. And the

0:42:53.600 --> 0:42:56.320
<v Speaker 2>reason why is because the government just keeps printing money

0:42:56.320 --> 0:43:01.040
<v Speaker 2>anytime it likes, which causes inflation. Well, that's purposeful, like

0:43:01.320 --> 0:43:05.239
<v Speaker 2>a fiat currency is an inflationary currency as opposed to

0:43:05.280 --> 0:43:09.320
<v Speaker 2>a deflationary currency like gold. They want inflation to happen

0:43:09.360 --> 0:43:12.600
<v Speaker 2>because inflation you can keep on top of. It's deflation

0:43:12.719 --> 0:43:15.560
<v Speaker 2>that's really hard to come out of. So yeah, it's

0:43:15.600 --> 0:43:19.239
<v Speaker 2>not really a problem if you can buy less with

0:43:19.320 --> 0:43:22.880
<v Speaker 2>a dollar than you did before because you're adjusting for inflation.

0:43:23.280 --> 0:43:25.359
<v Speaker 2>It's not a problem as long as your wages are

0:43:25.440 --> 0:43:28.280
<v Speaker 2>keeping up with it. The problem is is wages haven't

0:43:28.360 --> 0:43:30.359
<v Speaker 2>kept up with it, and so people are being paid

0:43:30.400 --> 0:43:32.439
<v Speaker 2>the same amount as before and are able to buy

0:43:32.520 --> 0:43:35.160
<v Speaker 2>less because they have less money. Even though the cost

0:43:35.160 --> 0:43:38.919
<v Speaker 2>of living has increased their wages are wages haven't gone

0:43:39.000 --> 0:43:40.200
<v Speaker 2>up commensurate to it.

0:43:41.120 --> 0:43:42.920
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for sure. And if you want to talk about

0:43:42.960 --> 0:43:44.440
<v Speaker 1>like you know, we're talking about printing money and a

0:43:44.440 --> 0:43:49.000
<v Speaker 1>spike in the cash supply, here's a pretty staggering statistic.

0:43:49.960 --> 0:43:53.319
<v Speaker 1>The supply of money in nineteen seventy, this is what

0:43:53.360 --> 0:43:55.200
<v Speaker 1>they call the M two money supply, which is all

0:43:55.200 --> 0:43:58.200
<v Speaker 1>the cash, all the money and checking accounts, all the

0:43:58.239 --> 0:44:02.280
<v Speaker 1>travelers checks, was about six hundred billion dollars in nineteen seventy,

0:44:02.520 --> 0:44:07.080
<v Speaker 1>the year before I was born. In August of last year,

0:44:07.560 --> 0:44:12.520
<v Speaker 1>it was twenty two trillion dollars, which is an increase

0:44:12.560 --> 0:44:15.680
<v Speaker 1>of three thousand, five hundred and sixty six percent over

0:44:16.120 --> 0:44:21.279
<v Speaker 1>whatever fifty four years, and twenty percent of that was

0:44:21.560 --> 0:44:23.319
<v Speaker 1>created in twenty twenty.

0:44:23.600 --> 0:44:24.759
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, just that year.

0:44:25.480 --> 0:44:25.760
<v Speaker 1>Yeah.

0:44:26.400 --> 0:44:30.399
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, So there's this, I mean, there's clear evidence that

0:44:30.440 --> 0:44:32.839
<v Speaker 2>like the government will just print money as much as

0:44:32.840 --> 0:44:35.560
<v Speaker 2>it can whenever it wants to. Part of the problem

0:44:35.600 --> 0:44:39.040
<v Speaker 2>is is that also increases the national debt because for

0:44:39.200 --> 0:44:41.720
<v Speaker 2>money out there, if you can print money, make new money,

0:44:41.920 --> 0:44:45.239
<v Speaker 2>you can spend that new money if you're the organization

0:44:45.440 --> 0:44:48.800
<v Speaker 2>that is creating the money. So the national debt increased

0:44:48.840 --> 0:44:52.480
<v Speaker 2>tremendously too over that same time period from nineteen seventy

0:44:52.560 --> 0:44:54.800
<v Speaker 2>to twenty twenty five.

0:44:55.600 --> 0:44:59.719
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it could increase nine thousand percent. It was three

0:44:59.800 --> 0:45:02.319
<v Speaker 1>hund undred ninety eight billion back then and now it

0:45:02.400 --> 0:45:06.240
<v Speaker 1>is over thirty six trillion dollars, and it's a number

0:45:06.280 --> 0:45:10.400
<v Speaker 1>that is just hard to even comprehend. That seemingly nobody,

0:45:11.040 --> 0:45:14.440
<v Speaker 1>well not nobody, but the right people aren't concerned enough.

0:45:14.280 --> 0:45:17.480
<v Speaker 2>About So gold bugs are like, see, if you let

0:45:17.480 --> 0:45:19.480
<v Speaker 2>the government print money, they're going to print money and

0:45:19.520 --> 0:45:22.520
<v Speaker 2>they're going to spend more money. The gold standard keeps

0:45:22.560 --> 0:45:23.920
<v Speaker 2>them from being able to do that.

0:45:24.239 --> 0:45:29.000
<v Speaker 1>And of story, that's right. But there are anti goldbugs.

0:45:29.040 --> 0:45:31.480
<v Speaker 1>There are people who prefer fiat currency and the ability

0:45:31.480 --> 0:45:34.520
<v Speaker 1>for the government to step in and throw levers and

0:45:34.920 --> 0:45:41.040
<v Speaker 1>control monetary policy through debate and decision making. And that's

0:45:41.120 --> 0:45:43.120
<v Speaker 1>one of the big arguments. It's like, hey, we need

0:45:43.160 --> 0:45:47.799
<v Speaker 1>to be able to make these decisions sort of on

0:45:47.840 --> 0:45:51.440
<v Speaker 1>the fly and move quickly to save ourselves in times

0:45:51.440 --> 0:45:54.640
<v Speaker 1>of doubt and in times of economic stress, and they

0:45:54.640 --> 0:45:56.840
<v Speaker 1>can also combat a lot of those a lot of

0:45:56.880 --> 0:45:59.239
<v Speaker 1>that data too. They can also say, well, yeah, but

0:45:59.280 --> 0:46:01.240
<v Speaker 1>you really should look at these numbers instead.

0:46:02.239 --> 0:46:08.120
<v Speaker 2>Yeah. So goldbugs always say that that there's stability in

0:46:08.680 --> 0:46:11.239
<v Speaker 2>gold currency, right, But the problem is is that if

0:46:11.280 --> 0:46:15.640
<v Speaker 2>you look at the gold markets, they fluctuate tremendously, so

0:46:15.719 --> 0:46:18.520
<v Speaker 2>that's actually kind of out the window. Another one, this

0:46:18.560 --> 0:46:20.839
<v Speaker 2>one I couldn't find an answer to that. I can't

0:46:20.840 --> 0:46:24.520
<v Speaker 2>wrap my head around those. And the total value of

0:46:24.600 --> 0:46:27.880
<v Speaker 2>all the gold in the world is thirty six trillion dollars,

0:46:28.239 --> 0:46:30.040
<v Speaker 2>which is eye popping, but.

0:46:29.960 --> 0:46:33.799
<v Speaker 1>That's the debt. But yeah, exactly ironically.

0:46:33.320 --> 0:46:37.799
<v Speaker 2>But if you took the entire global economy and valued that,

0:46:37.800 --> 0:46:40.680
<v Speaker 2>that's more like one hundred and twenty six trillion dollars.

0:46:41.000 --> 0:46:43.960
<v Speaker 2>So if the world went on a gold standard again,

0:46:44.520 --> 0:46:47.360
<v Speaker 2>how would you shrink one hundred and twenty six trillion

0:46:47.400 --> 0:46:50.359
<v Speaker 2>dollars into thirty six trillion? That right there, that's what

0:46:50.360 --> 0:46:52.480
<v Speaker 2>we've been saying. The ship has left the harbor, that

0:46:52.560 --> 0:46:56.120
<v Speaker 2>train has left the station. It's just there's again, there's

0:46:56.160 --> 0:46:58.920
<v Speaker 2>not enough gold to cover the value of everything in

0:46:58.960 --> 0:46:59.480
<v Speaker 2>the world.

0:47:00.360 --> 0:47:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, for sure. Another big sort of argument that people

0:47:04.120 --> 0:47:06.239
<v Speaker 1>against the gold standard point too, is like, hey, look

0:47:06.239 --> 0:47:09.200
<v Speaker 1>at our stock market. People aren't putting their money in

0:47:09.239 --> 0:47:12.640
<v Speaker 1>their mattress anymore and making runs on banks. They're shifting

0:47:12.640 --> 0:47:16.359
<v Speaker 1>that money. They're cash dollars into the stock market, and

0:47:16.520 --> 0:47:19.239
<v Speaker 1>those dollars have grown and grown and grown. I mean,

0:47:19.280 --> 0:47:22.600
<v Speaker 1>there are always dips in the stock markets, and even

0:47:23.719 --> 0:47:26.480
<v Speaker 1>you know, there have been some very bad days in

0:47:26.520 --> 0:47:29.759
<v Speaker 1>a row with the stock market, and you know, the

0:47:30.000 --> 0:47:31.839
<v Speaker 1>crash of two thousand and eight and the dot com

0:47:31.840 --> 0:47:34.840
<v Speaker 1>bubble and all that stuff always affects the stock market,

0:47:34.880 --> 0:47:38.040
<v Speaker 1>but it's proven to be a pretty stable thing over time.

0:47:39.200 --> 0:47:43.239
<v Speaker 2>It has. And in fact, if you there's this comparison

0:47:43.280 --> 0:47:44.920
<v Speaker 2>I found I can't remember where I found it, but

0:47:45.080 --> 0:47:49.120
<v Speaker 2>if you took five thousand dollars in nineteen seventy one

0:47:49.480 --> 0:47:54.000
<v Speaker 2>to celebrate the birth of Chuck, Yeah, and you said,

0:47:54.040 --> 0:47:56.840
<v Speaker 2>I'm going to go buy five thousand dollars worth of gold,

0:47:56.840 --> 0:47:58.879
<v Speaker 2>It's going to be a great present for Chuck. I'm

0:47:58.880 --> 0:48:01.680
<v Speaker 2>also going to bring a little I'm a little frank incense.

0:48:01.680 --> 0:48:04.960
<v Speaker 2>It is going to get biblical in the year. The

0:48:05.600 --> 0:48:09.240
<v Speaker 2>gold actually would have increased about seventy five hundred percent.

0:48:09.880 --> 0:48:12.640
<v Speaker 2>And this is gold prices are so all over the place.

0:48:12.680 --> 0:48:15.600
<v Speaker 2>This is probably already out of date. But I think

0:48:15.840 --> 0:48:18.960
<v Speaker 2>in the end of twenty twenty five, you would have

0:48:19.000 --> 0:48:22.360
<v Speaker 2>had three hundred and seventy nine thousand, five hundred dollars

0:48:22.360 --> 0:48:25.279
<v Speaker 2>worth of gold from that five thousand dollars worth of

0:48:25.280 --> 0:48:28.040
<v Speaker 2>gold you bought in nineteen seventy one. So that makes

0:48:28.080 --> 0:48:30.880
<v Speaker 2>it seem like, okay, great, gold's a good investment. What

0:48:31.000 --> 0:48:33.080
<v Speaker 2>happens if you invested it in the stock.

0:48:32.800 --> 0:48:36.680
<v Speaker 1>Market, Well, if you had had that same five grand

0:48:36.760 --> 0:48:38.440
<v Speaker 1>after my birth and put it in the S and

0:48:38.480 --> 0:48:41.600
<v Speaker 1>P five hundred, you would have made two hundred and

0:48:41.680 --> 0:48:45.360
<v Speaker 1>seventy one thousand, five hundred dollars. So the gold standard

0:48:45.440 --> 0:48:47.719
<v Speaker 1>wins in that case. But that is if you were

0:48:48.280 --> 0:48:50.640
<v Speaker 1>just taking those dividends, if you're taking the money that

0:48:50.680 --> 0:48:52.600
<v Speaker 1>you're making from the stocks and saying like, all right,

0:48:52.640 --> 0:48:55.640
<v Speaker 1>that's that's my income or whatever. If you had kept

0:48:55.719 --> 0:48:58.680
<v Speaker 1>reinvesting all that from the five grand, it would be

0:48:59.239 --> 0:49:05.960
<v Speaker 1>one point one eight five million plus what five hundred bucks. Yeah,

0:49:06.320 --> 0:49:09.360
<v Speaker 1>So that's a return of almost twenty four thousand percent

0:49:09.480 --> 0:49:11.719
<v Speaker 1>rather than seventy five hundred percent.

0:49:11.480 --> 0:49:13.359
<v Speaker 2>Right, And even if you're like, okay, we'll wait a minute,

0:49:13.360 --> 0:49:16.280
<v Speaker 2>adjusting for inflation, how much is that? So I looked

0:49:16.280 --> 0:49:18.880
<v Speaker 2>it up. I went on our beloved west Egg, and

0:49:19.000 --> 0:49:21.719
<v Speaker 2>something that costs five thousand dollars in nineteen seventy one

0:49:22.040 --> 0:49:27.240
<v Speaker 2>would cost you forty thousand dollars today. So even after

0:49:27.280 --> 0:49:29.480
<v Speaker 2>you bought that five thousand dollars thing, you'd still have

0:49:29.920 --> 0:49:33.359
<v Speaker 2>one point one million and change left over. So it

0:49:33.440 --> 0:49:36.160
<v Speaker 2>would be much better to invest it in the market.

0:49:36.239 --> 0:49:38.840
<v Speaker 2>As volatile as it is, as unpredictable as it is,

0:49:39.120 --> 0:49:41.480
<v Speaker 2>as as easy as it is to lose your shirt

0:49:41.719 --> 0:49:45.799
<v Speaker 2>over the course of time, the ability to unleash the

0:49:45.800 --> 0:49:48.319
<v Speaker 2>stock market that having a fiat currency and being able

0:49:48.320 --> 0:49:52.240
<v Speaker 2>to print money creates is a it's a better return

0:49:52.440 --> 0:49:53.200
<v Speaker 2>on investment.

0:49:53.280 --> 0:49:56.439
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, I'm surprised I got through this one.

0:49:56.480 --> 0:49:57.160
<v Speaker 2>You did great.

0:49:58.080 --> 0:49:58.759
<v Speaker 1>Well, you did great.

0:49:58.880 --> 0:49:59.600
<v Speaker 2>You did great.

0:50:00.080 --> 0:50:01.880
<v Speaker 1>Who wrote the original article here? Who is this?

0:50:02.000 --> 0:50:03.719
<v Speaker 2>That was Olivia Joint She did great.

0:50:03.920 --> 0:50:06.000
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, she did great too. And you did a lot

0:50:06.000 --> 0:50:08.400
<v Speaker 1>of great supplemental research. Everyone's doing great, everybody.

0:50:08.520 --> 0:50:11.799
<v Speaker 2>It was just great up in here. We should also

0:50:11.840 --> 0:50:13.560
<v Speaker 2>say we probably got a lot of stuff frong. We

0:50:13.560 --> 0:50:15.680
<v Speaker 2>probably walked past a lot of stuff. This is such

0:50:15.719 --> 0:50:20.360
<v Speaker 2>a detailed nuance discussion that people who are like monetary

0:50:20.400 --> 0:50:23.120
<v Speaker 2>policy walks this is one of their favorite things to do,

0:50:23.239 --> 0:50:25.960
<v Speaker 2>is to point out all of these nitpicky little things

0:50:26.239 --> 0:50:30.520
<v Speaker 2>based on mind boggling economics that are really hard to describe.

0:50:30.719 --> 0:50:34.160
<v Speaker 2>We just glanced over the surface of this, but I think, yeah,

0:50:34.160 --> 0:50:36.920
<v Speaker 2>probably we got more right than you'd think.

0:50:37.640 --> 0:50:39.960
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, it's tough to tackle something like this because there

0:50:39.960 --> 0:50:42.280
<v Speaker 1>are people that know a gazillion times and more about

0:50:42.280 --> 0:50:43.080
<v Speaker 1>this kind of thing than we do.

0:50:43.400 --> 0:50:47.040
<v Speaker 2>Yep, and Chuck just said tackle, so he unlocked listener mail.

0:50:49.600 --> 0:50:53.279
<v Speaker 1>I'm going to call this this was from our crowd's episode,

0:50:53.440 --> 0:50:56.640
<v Speaker 1>and this is a classroom hack, a question hack from

0:50:56.680 --> 0:50:59.720
<v Speaker 1>a I think a teacher. Hey, guys, love the episode

0:50:59.719 --> 0:51:02.560
<v Speaker 1>about Yeah, I'm a middle school teacher and crowds are

0:51:02.600 --> 0:51:05.879
<v Speaker 1>my standard environment. Your comments about being afraid to ask

0:51:05.920 --> 0:51:07.759
<v Speaker 1>a question in class really spoke to me because a

0:51:07.760 --> 0:51:10.040
<v Speaker 1>big part of my job is navigating the power of

0:51:10.120 --> 0:51:13.320
<v Speaker 1>language with crowds in my students. There's a simple teacher

0:51:13.360 --> 0:51:16.680
<v Speaker 1>hack that is most effective and easiest, the easiest change

0:51:16.680 --> 0:51:19.800
<v Speaker 1>I've ever made to my communication with students and Aaron

0:51:20.000 --> 0:51:22.319
<v Speaker 1>from New Brunswick, Canada. I will go ahead and say that,

0:51:22.400 --> 0:51:25.080
<v Speaker 1>like anyone speaking in front of a crowd where you

0:51:25.120 --> 0:51:28.120
<v Speaker 1>like source questions, I think this is a pretty good

0:51:28.120 --> 0:51:31.560
<v Speaker 1>way to go. And here it is. Instead of saying

0:51:31.880 --> 0:51:35.120
<v Speaker 1>does anyone have any questions? What I say instead is

0:51:35.200 --> 0:51:38.480
<v Speaker 1>what questions do you have? There must be questions. It

0:51:38.600 --> 0:51:43.040
<v Speaker 1>really works a completely different response from the students. Guys.

0:51:43.080 --> 0:51:47.040
<v Speaker 1>The assumption that questions are expected always prompts at least

0:51:47.040 --> 0:51:49.400
<v Speaker 1>one kid to get the courage, which opens up the

0:51:49.400 --> 0:51:52.799
<v Speaker 1>gates for everyone else who is too apprehensive. Thanks for

0:51:52.840 --> 0:51:55.840
<v Speaker 1>being my first podcast in twenty twelve and for continuing

0:51:55.880 --> 0:51:58.520
<v Speaker 1>to bring joy and relaxation to a tire but satisfied teacher.

0:51:58.920 --> 0:52:00.960
<v Speaker 1>Peace and love and again that is from Aaron with

0:52:01.000 --> 0:52:03.480
<v Speaker 1>an E from New Brunswick, Canada.

0:52:03.600 --> 0:52:05.839
<v Speaker 2>Thanks Aaron, Peace and love back to you too, and

0:52:05.880 --> 0:52:06.760
<v Speaker 2>thanks for teaching.

0:52:07.760 --> 0:52:08.399
<v Speaker 1>It's a good hack.

0:52:08.719 --> 0:52:11.640
<v Speaker 2>It's a great hack. Questions who's got them? I know

0:52:11.680 --> 0:52:15.360
<v Speaker 2>there's some? Don't lie right, and then just get more

0:52:15.400 --> 0:52:18.560
<v Speaker 2>aggressive right huh huh, give me a question?

0:52:19.360 --> 0:52:20.480
<v Speaker 1>Yeah that works.

0:52:20.560 --> 0:52:22.279
<v Speaker 2>If you want to be like Aaron and send us

0:52:22.320 --> 0:52:24.600
<v Speaker 2>a great email and say peace and love that's awesome.

0:52:24.719 --> 0:52:27.560
<v Speaker 2>You can send it off again via email to the

0:52:27.760 --> 0:52:34.600
<v Speaker 2>email address stuff podcast at iHeartRadio dot com.

0:52:35.600 --> 0:52:38.520
<v Speaker 1>Stuff you Should Know is a production of iHeartRadio. For

0:52:38.600 --> 0:52:42.759
<v Speaker 1>more podcasts my heart Radio, visit the iHeartRadio app, Apple Podcasts,

0:52:42.880 --> 0:52:44.720
<v Speaker 1>or wherever you listen to your favorite shows.