1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,440 Speaker 1: All right, well, we're going to one of our top stories. 2 00:00:02,480 --> 00:00:05,800 Speaker 1: It's Netflix. It is growing again and as a result, 3 00:00:05,800 --> 00:00:08,440 Speaker 1: perhaps Hollywood can breathe sigh of relief for can it 4 00:00:09,039 --> 00:00:11,680 Speaker 1: joining us now to discuss the earnings. Is that geta wrong? 5 00:00:11,720 --> 00:00:14,280 Speaker 1: And Nathan Bloom Big Intelligence, techn media and less so 6 00:00:14,640 --> 00:00:17,400 Speaker 1: thanks so for joining us, give us an overview first 7 00:00:17,440 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 1: of all of what the Netflix said. Yeah, absolutely, and 8 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:22,959 Speaker 1: thank you so much for having me so that you know, 9 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,000 Speaker 1: this was the first quarter where we kind of saw 10 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:28,160 Speaker 1: this reversal of of that subscriber slowdown, if you will. 11 00:00:28,200 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: So they returned to subscriber growth. That's a huge positive. Um. 12 00:00:31,880 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: You know, there's always been this concern about after they 13 00:00:34,680 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 1: came out with those really weak numbers uh in the 14 00:00:37,440 --> 00:00:39,400 Speaker 1: first half, whether this was kind of the beginning of 15 00:00:39,400 --> 00:00:42,320 Speaker 1: the end for the streaming story, and it looks like 16 00:00:42,360 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: it's not. They still have some growth levels left, uh. 17 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:48,560 Speaker 1: And we not only saw that with the three Q numbers, 18 00:00:48,560 --> 00:00:52,200 Speaker 1: but we also saw a pretty encouraging four Q guidance 19 00:00:52,680 --> 00:00:55,600 Speaker 1: kind of coming slightly above consensus. And remember that they 20 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: haven't really factored in any of the upside that they 21 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:02,279 Speaker 1: potentially could get from that new advertising tier. That they're 22 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: about to debut. So I think there's a lot of 23 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:06,759 Speaker 1: optimism that's built into this report. Yeah, it was interesting 24 00:01:06,760 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 1: that they mentioned that that wasn't really tied to that, 25 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 1: so that may be coming. So obviously a lot to 26 00:01:12,600 --> 00:01:15,839 Speaker 1: like here. I wanted to bring up one possible negative 27 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:19,600 Speaker 1: and I know you'll address it well. Um, some naysayers 28 00:01:19,840 --> 00:01:22,319 Speaker 1: say that this plan by Netflix to stop giving the 29 00:01:22,360 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: subscriber numbers it doesn't look good. I mean, normally, if 30 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 1: you've got great numbers, you like to to spread them 31 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:31,440 Speaker 1: out there. I know that there are Apple references that 32 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 1: you know, they stopped giving numbers on the sale of 33 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:38,080 Speaker 1: individual iPhones and that didn't really hurt. But still some 34 00:01:38,120 --> 00:01:41,760 Speaker 1: people will will look askance at this. Yeah, you know, 35 00:01:41,880 --> 00:01:45,759 Speaker 1: I think it is an admission, uh in some ways 36 00:01:45,840 --> 00:01:48,360 Speaker 1: that this is no longer a subscriber story. I mean, 37 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,200 Speaker 1: this was for for the past fifteen years. It has 38 00:01:51,240 --> 00:01:55,080 Speaker 1: completely just driven off of that one metric, right, subscriber numbers. 39 00:01:55,320 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 1: But now we've reached a point in the model where 40 00:01:57,560 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: it's really kind of uh saturated it if you will, 41 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:02,720 Speaker 1: it's it's going to be somewhat of a low growth model. 42 00:02:03,080 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: And so there has been kind of this recalibration across 43 00:02:05,680 --> 00:02:09,519 Speaker 1: the streaming industry not to have too much of this 44 00:02:09,600 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 1: hyper focus on subscribers and and instead move to the 45 00:02:13,639 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 1: metrics that really matter, which are the financial metrics, because 46 00:02:16,400 --> 00:02:17,960 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, you could have millions 47 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:21,079 Speaker 1: of subscribers, but you could be still losing money, which 48 00:02:21,120 --> 00:02:23,079 Speaker 1: is exactly what we've seen with so many of these 49 00:02:23,120 --> 00:02:26,200 Speaker 1: streaming stories. And so this is kind of an uh 50 00:02:26,280 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 1: you know again, an admission that we have to kind 51 00:02:28,240 --> 00:02:31,920 Speaker 1: of move to those profitability metrics, to to more of 52 00:02:31,960 --> 00:02:35,000 Speaker 1: the financial metrics, to more of the end game end 53 00:02:35,120 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 1: unit economics. And so, yes, there there is going to 54 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:41,600 Speaker 1: be a lot of volatility in their subscriber numbers, and 55 00:02:41,639 --> 00:02:44,600 Speaker 1: they kind of want to avoid that drama quadrant and 56 00:02:44,680 --> 00:02:47,040 Speaker 1: quarter out. I guess I want to look at the 57 00:02:47,040 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 1: other side of all this, if you will, you look 58 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:54,000 Speaker 1: at the amount of the landscape for Netflix, and there's 59 00:02:54,000 --> 00:02:57,440 Speaker 1: a huge amount of competition now with the HBO, obviously, 60 00:02:57,480 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 1: Disney Plus and a variety of others. Is it to 61 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:02,359 Speaker 1: be the owner of the platform or is it better 62 00:03:02,400 --> 00:03:06,440 Speaker 1: to be somebody who's making uh content and selling it 63 00:03:06,480 --> 00:03:09,360 Speaker 1: into the various contents As a company like Sony for instance. 64 00:03:10,400 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 1: That's a great question. Uh, you know, there's always been 65 00:03:13,560 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 1: this big debate about you know, is it better to 66 00:03:16,000 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 1: be the content owner, is it better to be the distributor. 67 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 1: It's good to be both if you can, which is 68 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: exactly what Netflix has become. Right. They were originally this 69 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 1: just this distributor of you know, second run content, right, 70 00:03:28,080 --> 00:03:31,120 Speaker 1: just old TV shows, old movies, and then they finally 71 00:03:31,160 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 1: made that big switch into making their own original content 72 00:03:34,920 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: and now they're one of the biggest content producers in 73 00:03:37,480 --> 00:03:40,640 Speaker 1: the world. So ideally you do need to have a 74 00:03:40,680 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 1: great distribution mechanism, which they have kind of built. But 75 00:03:44,160 --> 00:03:45,840 Speaker 1: at the end of the day, it is content that 76 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,960 Speaker 1: kind of feeds that beast. So it's good to have both, 77 00:03:48,960 --> 00:03:51,520 Speaker 1: but I still give the edge to content. And they're 78 00:03:51,560 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: really tapping into I mean, we look at these big 79 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: numbers in Asia, they're tapping into non English language shows. 80 00:03:57,960 --> 00:04:02,120 Speaker 1: Extraordinary Attorney Woo was one. It's a favorite in our household, 81 00:04:02,120 --> 00:04:05,040 Speaker 1: but there's so many other ones, and they seem to 82 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,400 Speaker 1: be connecting with with these production houses in a lot 83 00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,240 Speaker 1: of different countries. Oh. Absolutely, And as you pointed out, 84 00:04:12,240 --> 00:04:15,960 Speaker 1: there are so many titles local language titles that are 85 00:04:16,000 --> 00:04:19,000 Speaker 1: resonating so well, not just in those markets, but across 86 00:04:19,000 --> 00:04:21,280 Speaker 1: the globe. I mean A Squid Game was the greatest 87 00:04:21,320 --> 00:04:23,800 Speaker 1: example of this last year, and as you just brought up, 88 00:04:24,040 --> 00:04:27,159 Speaker 1: you know, the the other Korean title this quarter as well, 89 00:04:27,560 --> 00:04:30,000 Speaker 1: and we're seeing them invest more and more in those 90 00:04:30,040 --> 00:04:33,200 Speaker 1: local language titles. Remember that not only helps them kind 91 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:37,240 Speaker 1: of diversify their genre, diversify their uh, you know, title, 92 00:04:37,360 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 1: their slate, but it's also much lower cost to produce 93 00:04:41,279 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: a lot of these these titles compared to you know, 94 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 1: some of the English speaking content. So all in all, 95 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,359 Speaker 1: I think it's it's a great win win. When it 96 00:04:49,360 --> 00:04:53,120 Speaker 1: comes to advertising, though, they're going to be presumably taking 97 00:04:53,160 --> 00:04:57,159 Speaker 1: on the same sort of pool of resources or money 98 00:04:57,160 --> 00:05:01,160 Speaker 1: on ad spend for linear television surely. Yeah, they are 99 00:05:01,240 --> 00:05:04,159 Speaker 1: looking to kind of get to to kind of tap 100 00:05:04,160 --> 00:05:06,400 Speaker 1: into that whole linear television market in the In the 101 00:05:06,480 --> 00:05:09,000 Speaker 1: US this is about you know, a sixty sixty five 102 00:05:09,040 --> 00:05:12,320 Speaker 1: billion dollar market. Globally it's about a two billion dollar market. 103 00:05:12,760 --> 00:05:15,360 Speaker 1: So they are banking on the fact that as those 104 00:05:15,360 --> 00:05:19,000 Speaker 1: eyeballs kind of move away from TV, you know, more 105 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:21,279 Speaker 1: and more people are going to spend money on on 106 00:05:21,360 --> 00:05:24,680 Speaker 1: Digital at Platforms Guita, thanks so much for joining us. 107 00:05:24,760 --> 00:05:28,719 Speaker 1: Excellent insights as usual Gita rung Enough and Bloomberg Intelligence, 108 00:05:28,760 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 1: tech and media analyst