1 00:00:09,320 --> 00:00:13,640 Speaker 1: You know what's cool voting? There's a hold on, hold on, 2 00:00:13,640 --> 00:00:15,520 Speaker 1: I'm not doing some handy thing. To stay with me 3 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:18,959 Speaker 1: here for a minute. Think about the history of the world. 4 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:21,200 Speaker 1: I geek out on history. You probably love history too, 5 00:00:21,239 --> 00:00:24,200 Speaker 1: most people do. But when you think about the lives 6 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: so many people have had in this world and how 7 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:30,480 Speaker 1: they have had no say. How many people in the 8 00:00:30,520 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: history of the world have had no say whatsoever, and 9 00:00:33,479 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 1: the people who govern them, it's the majority of people 10 00:00:37,040 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 1: have had no say. You're just stuck with whatever crappy 11 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 1: government you have here in America, as bad as things are, 12 00:00:44,640 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 1: every two years, when you get to vote, I think 13 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 1: that's awesome. And we'll tell you something about this election 14 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: we have coming up. Why it's so crucial A couple 15 00:00:55,760 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: of different things. Yes, it's the most important election ever. 16 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:02,080 Speaker 1: We say that every election cycle, right, But I say 17 00:01:02,120 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 1: this is the most important election ever for a different reason. 18 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 1: The Great Sorting. You've heard me use that term before, 19 00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:12,679 Speaker 1: the Great Sorting, but you've heard me using when it 20 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:15,720 Speaker 1: comes to COVID. We talked about COVID, and what I've 21 00:01:15,760 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 1: said is that friend, family member, mother, brothers, wife, sister, husband, daughter, son, 22 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:24,720 Speaker 1: the family member or friend of yours who lost their 23 00:01:24,720 --> 00:01:27,200 Speaker 1: mind during COVID You can't fasit unless you bring your 24 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:30,920 Speaker 1: vaccine card. That's the person in your life who's going 25 00:01:30,959 --> 00:01:33,320 Speaker 1: to turn you into the FEDS one day without hesitation. 26 00:01:33,920 --> 00:01:36,520 Speaker 1: The great sorting you found out who is who? This 27 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:40,199 Speaker 1: election is going to be the great sorting state version. 28 00:01:40,560 --> 00:01:44,360 Speaker 1: And here's what I mean. You can't possibly be worse 29 00:01:44,400 --> 00:01:48,640 Speaker 1: than Joe Biden has been. You simply can't. It's more. 30 00:01:48,960 --> 00:01:52,160 Speaker 1: It's more than just horrific failure across the board, from 31 00:01:52,160 --> 00:01:55,840 Speaker 1: the economy and border and all the endless trans nonsense, 32 00:01:56,000 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: all that stuff. It's more than just that. You can't 33 00:01:59,240 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 1: be meaner, more divisive, more spiteful to people. It's just 34 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,720 Speaker 1: a bad politician. So because of that, because of the 35 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:13,880 Speaker 1: horrific failure of Joe Biden, it's going to be a 36 00:02:14,080 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 1: wave like you can't even imagine a red wave. We 37 00:02:17,400 --> 00:02:20,160 Speaker 1: are going to have the House, and I believe we're 38 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:23,360 Speaker 1: gonna have fifty two fifty three seats in the Senate 39 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:28,080 Speaker 1: by the time we're done. Democrats in blue areas they're 40 00:02:28,080 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 1: gonna they're gonna get shocked. But how's that the great sorting? Well, 41 00:02:34,080 --> 00:02:35,919 Speaker 1: you know, I tell you all the time to move right. 42 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 1: I tell you to pack up and move from your 43 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 1: blue area and get to a red area because I've 44 00:02:40,480 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 1: done it and it's a better life. And I get 45 00:02:43,280 --> 00:02:44,959 Speaker 1: pushed back on that, and I understand it. I'm not 46 00:02:45,000 --> 00:02:47,400 Speaker 1: complaining about it. I get pushed back. People said, Jesse, No, 47 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:50,600 Speaker 1: we have to stay and fight. Jesse, I need to stay. No, 48 00:02:50,680 --> 00:02:52,640 Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay and fight from my area. I get that. 49 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:58,040 Speaker 1: Nothing wrong with loyalty to your area. But if your 50 00:02:58,160 --> 00:03:05,280 Speaker 1: blue areas stays blue after this November, your blue area 51 00:03:05,360 --> 00:03:09,400 Speaker 1: is gone forever. You gotta let it go. The great 52 00:03:09,440 --> 00:03:12,560 Speaker 1: sorting and we have. I mean, look, there are two 53 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:15,760 Speaker 1: two different parts to this midterm election. I'm very very 54 00:03:15,760 --> 00:03:19,800 Speaker 1: excited about one. I'm very excited about the new crop 55 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: of GOP candidates we have running new, much more anti 56 00:03:24,040 --> 00:03:27,600 Speaker 1: communist candidates. You see, you get frustrated with GOP leadership, 57 00:03:27,600 --> 00:03:29,080 Speaker 1: and so do I because there are a bunch of 58 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:33,760 Speaker 1: low t wheenies who always screw us over. But it's changing, slowly, 59 00:03:33,760 --> 00:03:38,160 Speaker 1: but surely. Slowly but surely, those old dinosaurs are retiring 60 00:03:38,320 --> 00:03:40,200 Speaker 1: or getting voted out the way they should, and we're 61 00:03:40,200 --> 00:03:45,000 Speaker 1: getting younger, more hardcore anti communist candidates. We have some candidates. 62 00:03:45,080 --> 00:03:47,360 Speaker 1: You know, I hate politicians, right, I don't waive anybody's 63 00:03:47,360 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 1: pom poms. We have candidates who flat out get me 64 00:03:49,920 --> 00:03:53,120 Speaker 1: fired up. We have Jade Vans, We have Joe Kent, 65 00:03:53,320 --> 00:03:55,720 Speaker 1: we have Blake Masters. We have Eli Crane. A lot 66 00:03:55,760 --> 00:03:57,920 Speaker 1: of people don't know about Eli Crane running for Congress 67 00:03:57,920 --> 00:04:01,040 Speaker 1: in Arizona. He's a Navy seal guy. These guys, man, 68 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 1: you talk to these guys, studs. These guys are going 69 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: to be the tip of the anti communist spear. These 70 00:04:08,640 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 1: guys are going to be around for a long time. 71 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:12,560 Speaker 1: We have exciting things. So yes, I like that part. 72 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:15,040 Speaker 1: I like that we have new hardcore anti communists. But 73 00:04:15,920 --> 00:04:21,920 Speaker 1: set that aside. I'm excited for local elections because we've 74 00:04:21,960 --> 00:04:25,320 Speaker 1: always ignored them. The right has always ignored them. The 75 00:04:25,400 --> 00:04:28,680 Speaker 1: communists have understood for decades and decades and decades that 76 00:04:28,680 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: that was the key. Right, we were always worried about 77 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:34,120 Speaker 1: the president. Who's gonna run for president? Maybe you're even 78 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 1: doing it now. Who's gonna run in twenty twenty four? 79 00:04:36,040 --> 00:04:40,200 Speaker 1: It's gonna be Trump or heavy D I submit to you, 80 00:04:40,720 --> 00:04:43,120 Speaker 1: who runs your school board is more important? Than who's 81 00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:45,839 Speaker 1: the next president of the United States of America. And 82 00:04:45,920 --> 00:04:49,200 Speaker 1: the communists have always gotten that, I know to this 83 00:04:49,279 --> 00:04:52,400 Speaker 1: day and maybe your area too, to this day. Blood 84 00:04:52,440 --> 00:04:55,839 Speaker 1: red areas with school boards that are entirely blue because 85 00:04:55,880 --> 00:04:58,719 Speaker 1: we don't care or we haven't really noticed or thought 86 00:04:58,800 --> 00:05:01,400 Speaker 1: we had to care. No, no, oh, you don't understand you. Actually, 87 00:05:01,440 --> 00:05:04,840 Speaker 1: I'm in rural Oklahoma. It's very red here. Yeah, I 88 00:05:04,920 --> 00:05:07,440 Speaker 1: bet your school boards. Not because we never pay attention, 89 00:05:07,480 --> 00:05:10,039 Speaker 1: but the communist student they get to your town and 90 00:05:10,120 --> 00:05:13,000 Speaker 1: immediately they're looking around for places where they can seize power, 91 00:05:13,279 --> 00:05:18,719 Speaker 1: city councils, county board of supervisors, sheriffs DA's I'm excited 92 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:21,760 Speaker 1: for November, not just because of the congressional candidates and 93 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:23,599 Speaker 1: Senate candidates, and we're going to go over all that 94 00:05:23,720 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: tonight with Mike Slat or Josh Hammer Rich Bears. We're 95 00:05:26,680 --> 00:05:29,960 Speaker 1: going to go over all that tonight. I'm excited because 96 00:05:30,000 --> 00:05:32,599 Speaker 1: I believe we are getting more involved now than we 97 00:05:32,720 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 1: ever have in local elections. Oh, there's gonna be a 98 00:05:36,240 --> 00:05:38,000 Speaker 1: red wave, and of course we're going to talk about 99 00:05:38,000 --> 00:05:40,160 Speaker 1: it endlessly on this show, about the new Congress and 100 00:05:40,240 --> 00:05:41,919 Speaker 1: what they can do and what's a Senate going to 101 00:05:41,960 --> 00:05:43,520 Speaker 1: do and all those things are very very good. But 102 00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 1: the truth is, if you were to offer me this 103 00:05:47,520 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 1: deal where Democrats can have every single seat in the 104 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:55,120 Speaker 1: House and every single seat in the Senate, all of them. 105 00:05:55,160 --> 00:05:58,880 Speaker 1: They don't have universal government, and we have every single 106 00:05:58,920 --> 00:06:01,880 Speaker 1: school board in the country, every single seat, I would 107 00:06:01,880 --> 00:06:05,400 Speaker 1: take that deal without hesitation, and you should too. We 108 00:06:05,480 --> 00:06:08,560 Speaker 1: will not save this country from Washington, DC. So the 109 00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:10,440 Speaker 1: election does matter, I'm not saying that, but we will 110 00:06:10,480 --> 00:06:13,080 Speaker 1: not save it from the top down. We will save 111 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:15,680 Speaker 1: it from the bottom up, from the roots. We will 112 00:06:15,760 --> 00:06:18,360 Speaker 1: save it starting local and then we would work our 113 00:06:18,400 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: way up from there. That's exactly how the communists subversis 114 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:23,960 Speaker 1: took over every institution in this country. They didn't start 115 00:06:24,000 --> 00:06:27,040 Speaker 1: in DC. They started on your local school board, teaching 116 00:06:27,080 --> 00:06:30,680 Speaker 1: your kids to hate you. But this November things are 117 00:06:30,680 --> 00:06:33,640 Speaker 1: going to change. I'm seeing more activism from the right 118 00:06:33,640 --> 00:06:36,000 Speaker 1: now than I have seen in a very very, very 119 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:40,840 Speaker 1: long time. And I'll be honest, it inspires me. All right, 120 00:06:41,279 --> 00:06:45,080 Speaker 1: We're gonna find out what inspires my boy might Slater next. 121 00:06:54,040 --> 00:06:56,760 Speaker 1: Each morning, the President of the United States receives a 122 00:06:56,839 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 1: highly classified briefing on the most important issues facing the country. 123 00:07:00,680 --> 00:07:04,239 Speaker 1: It's called the President's Daily Brief, or PDB. It's delivered 124 00:07:04,279 --> 00:07:07,280 Speaker 1: by America's spies and analysts. Well, now you can hear 125 00:07:07,400 --> 00:07:10,440 Speaker 1: your very own PDB in the form of a podcast 126 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:14,560 Speaker 1: hosted by me Brian Dean Wright, a former CIA operations officer. 127 00:07:14,920 --> 00:07:17,640 Speaker 1: Each morning at six am Eastern, I'll bring you fifteen 128 00:07:17,680 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: to twenty minutes of the most important issues facing the country, 129 00:07:20,640 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 1: giving you the critical intelligence and analysis you need to 130 00:07:24,080 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 1: start your morning. Joining me now, host of Politics by 131 00:07:41,000 --> 00:07:45,840 Speaker 1: Faith podcast by Buddy Mike Slater. All right, Mike, I'm hopeful, 132 00:07:46,280 --> 00:07:49,000 Speaker 1: not as much for DC. I mean, I'm happy. We're 133 00:07:49,000 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 1: gonna have Congress in the Senate. And that's fine. That's fine, 134 00:07:51,520 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 1: and it's good. It's I shouldn't I shouldn't be a dismissive. 135 00:07:53,640 --> 00:07:55,280 Speaker 1: It's good. It's a good thing that we have. That's 136 00:07:55,280 --> 00:07:59,160 Speaker 1: some check on this insanity. I'm hopeful for the States. Mike, 137 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:03,800 Speaker 1: freaking Oregon has been led by nutballs for a long time. 138 00:08:04,040 --> 00:08:06,840 Speaker 1: The Republican has up in the polls in Oregon. What 139 00:08:08,680 --> 00:08:10,520 Speaker 1: in the world, right, So obviously he got this like 140 00:08:10,640 --> 00:08:16,320 Speaker 1: left wing threshold of craziness of Washington. Oregon and California. 141 00:08:16,520 --> 00:08:20,640 Speaker 1: The Oregon Senate race is up for grabs as well, 142 00:08:20,680 --> 00:08:23,360 Speaker 1: which is unbelievable there. And then, as he said, in Oregon, 143 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 1: the Republican governor may take over for the first time 144 00:08:25,760 --> 00:08:29,920 Speaker 1: and who knows how long Republican running Oregon. The founder 145 00:08:29,920 --> 00:08:33,520 Speaker 1: of Nike to spend millions of dollars on this race 146 00:08:33,679 --> 00:08:35,760 Speaker 1: to put the Republican in there. And I think the 147 00:08:35,800 --> 00:08:40,480 Speaker 1: big issue for the Western States is crime, crime and homelessness, 148 00:08:40,520 --> 00:08:44,719 Speaker 1: just chaos, anarchy. We've finally had enough. I don't want 149 00:08:44,720 --> 00:08:46,839 Speaker 1: to pivot to New York too quickly, but it's very 150 00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:49,600 Speaker 1: similar over there as well. Right like Lee Zelden, the 151 00:08:49,679 --> 00:08:52,520 Speaker 1: Republican coming out of nowhere these last few weeks to 152 00:08:52,520 --> 00:08:54,480 Speaker 1: take on Kathy Hoke, and if he saw the debate 153 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,800 Speaker 1: for that governor's race, he kept bringing it back to crime. 154 00:08:58,040 --> 00:09:02,160 Speaker 1: And he has an incredible act of just people getting 155 00:09:02,200 --> 00:09:05,520 Speaker 1: pulverized in the street and in the in the in 156 00:09:05,559 --> 00:09:07,760 Speaker 1: the subway, people are getting pushed in front of subway cars, 157 00:09:07,760 --> 00:09:10,400 Speaker 1: and someone's like enough of this same thing. In Oregon, 158 00:09:10,480 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 1: people have had enough. We were talking to the Minnesota 159 00:09:14,240 --> 00:09:17,240 Speaker 1: governor candidate as well. That's another one where a Republican 160 00:09:17,320 --> 00:09:20,800 Speaker 1: may take over Wisconsin. Minnesota's a wacky state politically for 161 00:09:20,840 --> 00:09:23,160 Speaker 1: a lot of different reasons for a long time. And 162 00:09:23,240 --> 00:09:27,560 Speaker 1: he has an incredible ad where there's a girl, twenty 163 00:09:27,640 --> 00:09:31,160 Speaker 1: year old girl driving down a suburban street. A card 164 00:09:31,240 --> 00:09:34,320 Speaker 1: cuts in front of her. Two guys get out to 165 00:09:34,360 --> 00:09:37,520 Speaker 1: have a gun, knock on her door, knock on the window, 166 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,920 Speaker 1: and then the ad cuts out. But it's about carjacking 167 00:09:41,240 --> 00:09:44,360 Speaker 1: and how carjackings are up like four and it's like 168 00:09:44,600 --> 00:09:47,320 Speaker 1: what a carjacking. Carjacking isn't when you steal a carts, 169 00:09:47,320 --> 00:09:49,160 Speaker 1: when you steal a car with someone in it. This 170 00:09:49,240 --> 00:09:51,719 Speaker 1: is insane stuff. And he was saying that these carjackings 171 00:09:51,720 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: are happening in suburban areas, not just in the inner streets, 172 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:56,560 Speaker 1: inner city streets. So we got a lot of these 173 00:09:56,559 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 1: blue states across the country that haven't had enough with crime, 174 00:09:59,480 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 1: and their right fully blaming the Democratic governor. Okay, you 175 00:10:03,559 --> 00:10:05,520 Speaker 1: know what, we'll get to New York in just a moment. 176 00:10:05,559 --> 00:10:07,280 Speaker 1: I want to circle back to something you just said. 177 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:10,640 Speaker 1: The founder of Nike, that's Phil Knights. Nike is a 178 00:10:10,760 --> 00:10:13,840 Speaker 1: famously left wing company, and Phil Knight is not some 179 00:10:14,000 --> 00:10:19,600 Speaker 1: hardcore Republican he's backing the Republican What yeah, I think 180 00:10:20,640 --> 00:10:24,920 Speaker 1: many millions of dollars to the Republican candidate because it's 181 00:10:25,000 --> 00:10:27,319 Speaker 1: hit a threshold. Now, let me pivot in a second 182 00:10:27,320 --> 00:10:31,600 Speaker 1: to California. It's hit a threshold where you cannot operate 183 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:36,520 Speaker 1: in downtowns. They just are uninhabitable, unlimitable unless you're living 184 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:38,920 Speaker 1: in a tent on the street. A normal person will 185 00:10:38,960 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 1: not go downtown in these big cities. So the fact 186 00:10:42,040 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 1: that it's that bad, as he's said, these progressives, you know, 187 00:10:45,120 --> 00:10:47,439 Speaker 1: black lives matter, all these all these are the causes. 188 00:10:47,559 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 1: But when the rubber hits the road and you can't 189 00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 1: get people to go to work downtown anymore, we've had enough. 190 00:10:53,000 --> 00:10:56,240 Speaker 1: It was who's the guy who runs the young Turks, 191 00:10:56,240 --> 00:11:00,640 Speaker 1: Shank Younger or whatever, these far left even he whatever 192 00:11:00,679 --> 00:11:04,439 Speaker 1: the day, even he's the mayor's race in Los Angeles, 193 00:11:04,520 --> 00:11:07,560 Speaker 1: he's like, no, I'm voting for the Republican Republican mayor 194 00:11:07,720 --> 00:11:10,600 Speaker 1: in Los Angeles race because we cannot go downtown. It's 195 00:11:10,640 --> 00:11:13,440 Speaker 1: absolute chaos. So you see progressives even having enough, It's 196 00:11:13,440 --> 00:11:16,480 Speaker 1: good news. Okay, Now I do want to pivot to 197 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:20,520 Speaker 1: New York. Mike, Well, I'm hopeful about the November elections. 198 00:11:20,960 --> 00:11:23,400 Speaker 1: I've tried the best I can to not let any 199 00:11:23,440 --> 00:11:25,800 Speaker 1: hope creep in when it comes to New York. I 200 00:11:26,559 --> 00:11:30,000 Speaker 1: love New York City. Everyone knows this. I despise what 201 00:11:30,080 --> 00:11:33,120 Speaker 1: these communists pieces of trash have done to it. But 202 00:11:33,240 --> 00:11:36,760 Speaker 1: I'm not hopeful. I don't want to get my hopes up, Mike. 203 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:40,199 Speaker 1: But man, the pools looked pretty good for Leezel. Yeah, 204 00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:42,040 Speaker 1: totally so. I grew up in Syracuse, New York. So 205 00:11:42,040 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 1: I grew up in the middle of the state New York. 206 00:11:44,080 --> 00:11:46,719 Speaker 1: The number one radio station in Syracuse, New York when 207 00:11:46,720 --> 00:11:48,400 Speaker 1: I was growing up, I'm sure stills now is B 208 00:11:48,520 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 1: one O four, the country station. So New York has 209 00:11:51,720 --> 00:11:54,839 Speaker 1: always been a red state, just like every other state, 210 00:11:54,960 --> 00:11:58,440 Speaker 1: ruined by one little blue dot that screws up in 211 00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:01,959 Speaker 1: it for everyone. It just it was twenty eighteen, I think, 212 00:12:01,960 --> 00:12:04,720 Speaker 1: when New York finally for the first time in the 213 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:08,840 Speaker 1: State House and State Senate became a blue state, totally 214 00:12:08,880 --> 00:12:11,240 Speaker 1: all in. But New York still has again a lot 215 00:12:11,280 --> 00:12:14,120 Speaker 1: of country and also this red streak. It wasn't too 216 00:12:14,160 --> 00:12:17,880 Speaker 1: long ago, Jesse, when Rudy Giuliani was the fare of 217 00:12:18,000 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 1: New York City, right, He was first elighted in nineteen 218 00:12:20,480 --> 00:12:25,120 Speaker 1: ninety four, so that was an ancient history. George Pataki 219 00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:27,000 Speaker 1: was the governor when I was growing up, not that 220 00:12:27,080 --> 00:12:29,960 Speaker 1: too long ago. So there's a little bit of red 221 00:12:29,960 --> 00:12:33,080 Speaker 1: there now, I will allow you. I would suggest Steven 222 00:12:33,160 --> 00:12:35,199 Speaker 1: Jesse a little bit of hope in New York. But 223 00:12:35,360 --> 00:12:41,079 Speaker 1: what's so odd is California. So the three worst states 224 00:12:41,240 --> 00:12:43,840 Speaker 1: with governors when it came to COVID was New York 225 00:12:44,240 --> 00:12:47,480 Speaker 1: and lez Eldon may take over against Kathy Hogel. Did 226 00:12:47,480 --> 00:12:48,760 Speaker 1: you see him the debate the other day? They were 227 00:12:48,760 --> 00:12:52,880 Speaker 1: asked about CDC mandates vaccine for kids, and Kathy Hogel's like, well, 228 00:12:53,200 --> 00:12:56,040 Speaker 1: I won't mandate that now, and leeze Eldon looked in 229 00:12:56,120 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 1: the camera and said, parents, I will never mandate a 230 00:12:58,480 --> 00:13:01,520 Speaker 1: vaccine for your kids. Okay. So finally we're gonna have 231 00:13:01,520 --> 00:13:04,719 Speaker 1: some accountability in New York. Perhaps Michigan, Gretcha Whitmer was 232 00:13:04,760 --> 00:13:08,120 Speaker 1: the other horrific governor during COVID, and she is going 233 00:13:08,200 --> 00:13:11,240 Speaker 1: to lose there against this no name person, Tutor Dixon, 234 00:13:11,280 --> 00:13:13,679 Speaker 1: which is fantastic news as well. So those two are 235 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 1: gone the worst COVID governors, But stink in California where 236 00:13:17,280 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 1: I live now, Gavin Newson's gonna win by thirty points 237 00:13:20,160 --> 00:13:23,040 Speaker 1: going away, and it's like, no, so California is where 238 00:13:23,040 --> 00:13:26,280 Speaker 1: you should have no hope New York, Michigan. I'll allow 239 00:13:26,360 --> 00:13:29,319 Speaker 1: some hope there. Okay, Well that's a bummer, Mike, because 240 00:13:29,360 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 1: I opened up the show. I opened up the show saying, hey, 241 00:13:33,040 --> 00:13:36,400 Speaker 1: this is going to be the great sorting the state edition, 242 00:13:36,559 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 1: meaning if your state doesn't go red this November, your 243 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:44,880 Speaker 1: state is gone and unsalvagable. Where you're telling me California 244 00:13:44,920 --> 00:13:51,160 Speaker 1: cannot be salvaged. Yes, I'm sorry. You want to long 245 00:13:51,240 --> 00:13:55,840 Speaker 1: your answer? Pause on this? Why what happened to California? Man? 246 00:13:57,040 --> 00:14:00,760 Speaker 1: That is such an unbelievable question that I don't have 247 00:14:01,200 --> 00:14:03,640 Speaker 1: a good answer to. Let me. Let me say one 248 00:14:03,679 --> 00:14:05,320 Speaker 1: and I'll come back around with them. I was talking 249 00:14:05,360 --> 00:14:09,200 Speaker 1: to Eric Erickson, who's who knows everything about Georgia, and 250 00:14:09,240 --> 00:14:12,160 Speaker 1: I said, why why is the Republican governor going to 251 00:14:12,240 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 1: win there by so much over Stacey Abrams. Well, Stacey 252 00:14:14,559 --> 00:14:18,600 Speaker 1: Abrams is terrible, but the Kemp is the other Republican right, 253 00:14:18,679 --> 00:14:21,480 Speaker 1: and he's a business guy. He's all about business. So 254 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,840 Speaker 1: the social issues people in Georgia don't care about the 255 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 1: social issue. You care about business. I said, well, how 256 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 1: about herschel Walker. Aren't all these abortions going to affect him? 257 00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:30,240 Speaker 1: He's like, no, No. In Georgia, we don't care about 258 00:14:30,280 --> 00:14:33,120 Speaker 1: the social issues because back in the sixties, the Atlanta 259 00:14:33,160 --> 00:14:37,200 Speaker 1: was one of the first cities to desegregate, and they said, 260 00:14:37,240 --> 00:14:41,880 Speaker 1: we're above this social nonsense. We're going to focus on business, business, business, business, 261 00:14:41,920 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 1: Coca Cola and all these other companies started moving in. 262 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:46,520 Speaker 1: They're all about business, so the social issues don't matter. 263 00:14:46,560 --> 00:14:48,160 Speaker 1: So that's why they're going to go running away. And 264 00:14:48,160 --> 00:14:50,200 Speaker 1: I almost feel like it's the opposite. In California. We 265 00:14:50,240 --> 00:14:52,760 Speaker 1: don't give a crap about business here. We don't give 266 00:14:52,800 --> 00:14:55,040 Speaker 1: a crap at all. It's all about the social nonsense. 267 00:14:55,320 --> 00:14:58,600 Speaker 1: It's all about this social it's all about being sanctuary 268 00:14:58,640 --> 00:15:03,600 Speaker 1: state for illegal immigrants, for abortion, for transgender surgeries. Come. 269 00:15:03,800 --> 00:15:05,960 Speaker 1: If you're in live in Texas, you can kidnap someone, 270 00:15:06,000 --> 00:15:08,880 Speaker 1: literally kidnap someone in Texas bringing to California, and California 271 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,120 Speaker 1: law enforcement is not allowed to cooperate with Texas law 272 00:15:11,160 --> 00:15:14,000 Speaker 1: enforcement about an actual kidnapping if it's for the purpose 273 00:15:14,040 --> 00:15:17,480 Speaker 1: of getting transgender surgery. The people of California for whatever 274 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:19,400 Speaker 1: social reason. I don't know if it goes back to 275 00:15:19,480 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 1: like still the sixties hippies influence, or like we're like 276 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 1: a beach vibe, live and let live whatever. We've still 277 00:15:25,600 --> 00:15:29,080 Speaker 1: completely lost our minds here and nothing matters except being 278 00:15:29,200 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 1: nice and doing what's good and happy feeling and whatever 279 00:15:33,920 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 1: social justice cause comes our way, it is a lost cause. Jessing. Gosh, 280 00:15:38,960 --> 00:15:42,360 Speaker 1: that is sad. All right. What about Wisconsin? Swing state? Wisconsin? Wait, 281 00:15:42,840 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 1: there's always a critical state when it comes to the 282 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 1: presidentiary run. No one's at all paying attention to the 283 00:15:48,000 --> 00:15:51,800 Speaker 1: governor's race. This Michael's versus evers thing. But Wisconsin might 284 00:15:51,840 --> 00:15:56,720 Speaker 1: go rid Wisconsin again. Scott Walker was the Republican not 285 00:15:56,840 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 1: too long ago. All these states are the blue states 286 00:16:00,880 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 1: are wising up and turning purple. If not even read 287 00:16:04,920 --> 00:16:08,440 Speaker 1: at Wisconsin to the list. The two that are of 288 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:13,440 Speaker 1: concern to me are Massachusetts. They have a blue governor. 289 00:16:13,480 --> 00:16:15,960 Speaker 1: Excuse me, they have a red governor Republican that's going 290 00:16:16,000 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 1: to turn blue. Maryland oddly as a Republican governor that's 291 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:23,440 Speaker 1: definitely turning blue. So we're gonna lose those two Republican states, 292 00:16:23,480 --> 00:16:26,600 Speaker 1: but gain in all the places we've been talking about, 293 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:31,520 Speaker 1: hopefully in New York, Michigan, Minnesota, Oregon, and now even 294 00:16:31,560 --> 00:16:33,800 Speaker 1: as you said, Wisconsin as well, and I wouldn't be 295 00:16:33,800 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 1: too surprised by that, right, Wisconsin should be a red state. Okay, 296 00:16:39,680 --> 00:16:41,840 Speaker 1: why are we losing Maryland? Why are we losing Maryland 297 00:16:41,880 --> 00:16:44,760 Speaker 1: and Massachusetts? Now? I know those are blue places anyway, 298 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 1: but why are we losing anything in November? What? Yeah, 299 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:54,280 Speaker 1: I don't know, there's been a streak like in those states. 300 00:16:54,280 --> 00:16:56,840 Speaker 1: You have to be a pretty moderate Republican, right I mean, 301 00:16:56,880 --> 00:17:01,160 Speaker 1: they're just just losing like they it's just party registration, 302 00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:04,760 Speaker 1: like you're just out in. Let's focus on Massachusetts, right 303 00:17:04,800 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 1: So the Massachusetts governor right now is a pretty modern guy, 304 00:17:07,040 --> 00:17:08,840 Speaker 1: like a Mitt Romney kind of guy. That's what it 305 00:17:08,880 --> 00:17:12,359 Speaker 1: takes in order to do that. And they're they're just 306 00:17:12,440 --> 00:17:14,480 Speaker 1: not they don't have that right now, and the blue 307 00:17:14,520 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 1: voters there don't have the appetite to have even a 308 00:17:18,080 --> 00:17:20,680 Speaker 1: moderate Republican right now. But as you said, how could 309 00:17:20,760 --> 00:17:27,080 Speaker 1: anyone possibly with the big three issues economy, crime, and 310 00:17:27,200 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 1: the border, which to me is just all chaos, That's 311 00:17:29,960 --> 00:17:33,640 Speaker 1: what it is. It's just chaos, uneasiness, and people can't 312 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:35,760 Speaker 1: articulate it. So that's why you get questions in the 313 00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:38,720 Speaker 1: polls like like do you agree with the or do 314 00:17:38,760 --> 00:17:40,800 Speaker 1: you like the direction our country is going in? You 315 00:17:40,800 --> 00:17:43,880 Speaker 1: get questions like that because people can't articulate quite what's wrong, 316 00:17:44,560 --> 00:17:47,200 Speaker 1: but they blame the person in power, as they rightfully 317 00:17:47,200 --> 00:17:49,320 Speaker 1: should in this case with the Democrats. So it is 318 00:17:49,400 --> 00:17:53,359 Speaker 1: quite shocking that even a state like Massachusetts or Maryland 319 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:56,280 Speaker 1: would continue to go blue. It makes no sense. But 320 00:17:56,320 --> 00:17:58,040 Speaker 1: I go back to California and our governor is going 321 00:17:58,080 --> 00:17:59,800 Speaker 1: to win by thirty points going away, which is just 322 00:18:00,000 --> 00:18:05,640 Speaker 1: Hankers Mike's later Politics by Faith podcast. Thank you, my brother, 323 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 1: he's the man, Jesse. Thanks. All right, my boy, Josh 324 00:18:11,280 --> 00:18:13,879 Speaker 1: Hammer's coming and we're gonna talk about the Senate. I 325 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,080 Speaker 1: called out fifty two, fifty three seats. We're gonna ask 326 00:18:17,119 --> 00:18:19,920 Speaker 1: Josh if he thinks I'm a nutball, We're gonna ask 327 00:18:20,000 --> 00:18:40,280 Speaker 1: him who he's excited about. Next. All right, that's the governors. 328 00:18:40,880 --> 00:18:43,080 Speaker 1: What's up with the Senate? I mean, the Senate generally 329 00:18:43,119 --> 00:18:45,760 Speaker 1: sucks anyway. There's like four or five decent senators and 330 00:18:45,800 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 1: the whole lot so let's talk to about Buddy Hammer 331 00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,679 Speaker 1: about it. Joining me now, my friend Josh Hammer of 332 00:18:50,760 --> 00:18:55,800 Speaker 1: the Josh Hammer Show, and he's also opinion editor Newsweek. Josh. Okay, 333 00:18:56,200 --> 00:18:58,960 Speaker 1: let's let's begin with the obvious one that made all 334 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:03,440 Speaker 1: kinds of news recently, Fetterman ozz. Now, everyone saw that 335 00:19:03,520 --> 00:19:06,040 Speaker 1: Fetterman's not a fully functional adult. That's just the way 336 00:19:06,080 --> 00:19:08,800 Speaker 1: it goes. But they've been voting for four weeks, and 337 00:19:08,880 --> 00:19:14,320 Speaker 1: I don't trust Pennsylvania voting at all. What say you, well, 338 00:19:14,320 --> 00:19:16,439 Speaker 1: you should not trust Pennsylvania voting at all. I mean 339 00:19:16,440 --> 00:19:18,480 Speaker 1: with the Pennsylvania spreen courts did in the twenty twenty 340 00:19:18,480 --> 00:19:22,360 Speaker 1: elections cycles, and the twenty twenty election cycle was flagrantly unconstitutional. 341 00:19:22,720 --> 00:19:25,000 Speaker 1: It was egregious to my mind that the US Screen 342 00:19:25,000 --> 00:19:27,480 Speaker 1: Corps did not grant start and actually hear that case 343 00:19:27,520 --> 00:19:30,800 Speaker 1: with those Shenanigans out of Pennsylvania in twenty twenty. Look 344 00:19:30,800 --> 00:19:34,080 Speaker 1: early voting in general. I'm actually a long time foe 345 00:19:34,200 --> 00:19:36,240 Speaker 1: of early voting. I mean, voting is supposed to be 346 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,479 Speaker 1: a snapshot in time. It's not supposed to be a 347 00:19:38,560 --> 00:19:41,439 Speaker 1: moving target. I mean, once you start extending early voting 348 00:19:41,480 --> 00:19:43,879 Speaker 1: for weeks on end, it becomes a month, two months. 349 00:19:44,200 --> 00:19:46,160 Speaker 1: I mean, we all saw what happened in twenty twenty 350 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:47,919 Speaker 1: one Hunter Biden in the New York Post story. That 351 00:19:48,000 --> 00:19:51,560 Speaker 1: story broke roughly mid October, and you know, I think 352 00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:54,480 Speaker 1: it was roughly one in six Americans who voted for 353 00:19:54,560 --> 00:19:57,359 Speaker 1: Biden said they would have actually changed their vote if 354 00:19:57,359 --> 00:19:59,800 Speaker 1: they had known that story in time to cast their ballot. 355 00:20:00,119 --> 00:20:03,919 Speaker 1: So big Tech literally due to early voting, making it 356 00:20:04,119 --> 00:20:07,480 Speaker 1: literally letting big tech throw the election. That happened due 357 00:20:07,480 --> 00:20:09,080 Speaker 1: to early voting in twenty twenty. So I'm a long 358 00:20:09,080 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 1: time vote early voting, as the case may be here 359 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:13,560 Speaker 1: in Pennsylvania, and Jesse has pranked the numbers a little bit. 360 00:20:13,600 --> 00:20:15,960 Speaker 1: I think we're probably still enough outstanding vote where doctor 361 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:17,959 Speaker 1: Oz is still in good shape to win, but it's 362 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:20,080 Speaker 1: going to be relatively close. But if I were doctorized, 363 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:21,440 Speaker 1: I would feel pretty good. I mean, you and I 364 00:20:21,480 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 1: saw that same thing Tuesday night. It was an unmitigated recess. Josh. Okay, first, 365 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:29,840 Speaker 1: it's Joe Biden. And that's funny, right, I mean, it's 366 00:20:29,920 --> 00:20:32,080 Speaker 1: it's it's not funny, but it is hilarious that our 367 00:20:32,080 --> 00:20:36,360 Speaker 1: president can't can't complete sentences the Dome, our Vice president 368 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 1: is not much better, and she is allegedly fully functional. 369 00:20:39,600 --> 00:20:43,480 Speaker 1: Now we have Jon Fetterman like this look one is 370 00:20:43,480 --> 00:20:47,200 Speaker 1: a one off three. It's beginning to be a trend. Josh, 371 00:20:47,200 --> 00:20:49,199 Speaker 1: do you do you make something of the fact that 372 00:20:49,280 --> 00:20:52,920 Speaker 1: Democrats are now routinely putting up people who are not functional. 373 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:56,720 Speaker 1: I mean, part of the problem is that Barack Obama 374 00:20:56,880 --> 00:21:00,200 Speaker 1: during the course of his presidency really decimated into through 375 00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:03,639 Speaker 1: the Democratic Party. Lots of people in Democratic circles are 376 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 1: kind of whispering about this, but they didn't want to 377 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,520 Speaker 1: actually go against Barack Obama to publicly, of course. But 378 00:21:08,600 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 1: if you look at twenty ten twenty fourteen, being the 379 00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 1: two midterm cycles during the Obama presidency, Democrats lost down 380 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 1: ballot a lot. They got totally wrecked from the state legislatures. 381 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,760 Speaker 1: They got totally wrecked in the royal racist state attorney 382 00:21:20,800 --> 00:21:24,080 Speaker 1: general races, even kind of state district attorney racist things 383 00:21:24,080 --> 00:21:25,800 Speaker 1: of that nature at a more local level. Why is 384 00:21:25,800 --> 00:21:28,399 Speaker 1: that important, Well, it's important because the people that would 385 00:21:28,400 --> 00:21:30,520 Speaker 1: have been winning the up and coming handid would have 386 00:21:30,560 --> 00:21:33,240 Speaker 1: been winning those state leged seats and twelve years agore 387 00:21:33,240 --> 00:21:35,520 Speaker 1: so would be kind of the you know, us House 388 00:21:35,640 --> 00:21:38,720 Speaker 1: US Senate candidate that eventually kind of vice presidential presidential 389 00:21:38,720 --> 00:21:41,960 Speaker 1: candidates for the Democrat Now, so I actually think Barack Obama, 390 00:21:42,000 --> 00:21:44,240 Speaker 1: of all people's a lot to blame from this. But look, 391 00:21:44,240 --> 00:21:45,879 Speaker 1: I mean, when the Democrats are putting up people in 392 00:21:45,880 --> 00:21:47,560 Speaker 1: the National States these days, Jesse, you know it to 393 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,000 Speaker 1: kind of quote the former president Donald Trump, they're not 394 00:21:50,040 --> 00:21:53,760 Speaker 1: sending their best at this point. Yes, no, they're not. Okay, 395 00:21:53,840 --> 00:21:57,200 Speaker 1: explain that real quick about Obama? Why what what did 396 00:21:57,200 --> 00:22:00,280 Speaker 1: he do well? He was just really unpopular. I mean, 397 00:22:00,320 --> 00:22:03,200 Speaker 1: like it's basically that simple. I mean, so his coattails 398 00:22:03,280 --> 00:22:06,160 Speaker 1: down ballot actually kind of trickled down, and a lot 399 00:22:06,200 --> 00:22:09,080 Speaker 1: of otherwise kind of electable or kind of more promising 400 00:22:09,119 --> 00:22:12,919 Speaker 1: young up and coming progressive Democratic candidates actually lost. There 401 00:22:12,960 --> 00:22:14,880 Speaker 1: have been some stories written on this, the full story 402 00:22:14,960 --> 00:22:17,280 Speaker 1: really has not been written. I'm actually anticipating, by the way, 403 00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:20,000 Speaker 1: that something very similar is currently happening to Joe Biden. 404 00:22:20,000 --> 00:22:22,320 Speaker 1: I think the Democrats are gonna lose quite badly this 405 00:22:22,480 --> 00:22:25,240 Speaker 1: mid term election, will probably lose again in twenty twenty four, 406 00:22:25,320 --> 00:22:27,520 Speaker 1: so there'll be a similar story. I mean, you know, 407 00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,359 Speaker 1: I'm really there are politics right now. I think the 408 00:22:29,440 --> 00:22:33,720 Speaker 1: RCP guys are petting that the GOP after this coming Tuesday, 409 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,600 Speaker 1: November eight, we'll have a think thirty one governor mansions. 410 00:22:36,600 --> 00:22:39,720 Speaker 1: I mean, that's that's a massive, massive disparity, thirty one 411 00:22:39,760 --> 00:22:42,760 Speaker 1: to nineteen. So GOP is looking pretty good. The Democrats 412 00:22:42,760 --> 00:22:44,000 Speaker 1: are not a lot of it has to do with 413 00:22:44,080 --> 00:22:48,600 Speaker 1: the pop of to ticket Barack Obama and Joe Biden himself. Okay, 414 00:22:49,080 --> 00:22:51,040 Speaker 1: people don't like Joe Biden. They're gonna go out and 415 00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,800 Speaker 1: vote against Joe Biden. But I look at places like 416 00:22:53,960 --> 00:22:58,159 Speaker 1: Wisconsin's Wisconsin going red? Or is it just Joe Biden? 417 00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:00,680 Speaker 1: Or is it just crime? Is it inflation? What's going 418 00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:04,360 Speaker 1: on there? So the Upper Midwest is a very interesting 419 00:23:04,359 --> 00:23:06,760 Speaker 1: part of the country. I mean states like Minnesota, Iowa, 420 00:23:06,760 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 1: and Wisconsin probably the stanned out in particular. The Dakotas 421 00:23:10,240 --> 00:23:12,719 Speaker 1: are a little little different, But those three particular states, 422 00:23:13,040 --> 00:23:16,800 Speaker 1: there's a very old kind of Democratic party farmer labor 423 00:23:16,960 --> 00:23:19,560 Speaker 1: thing going on there. In fact, the state Democratic Party 424 00:23:19,560 --> 00:23:22,600 Speaker 1: in Minnesota, which neighbors wisponsin to the west, the state 425 00:23:22,640 --> 00:23:25,720 Speaker 1: democraty is literally called the DFL. It's called the Democratic 426 00:23:25,800 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 1: Farmer Labor Party. And what that means that a lot 427 00:23:28,280 --> 00:23:31,800 Speaker 1: of these more rural, kind of working class disproportionately white, 428 00:23:32,160 --> 00:23:35,639 Speaker 1: oftentimes very white, like percent plus white. A lot of 429 00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:37,720 Speaker 1: these counties that in a lot of other states that 430 00:23:37,760 --> 00:23:40,600 Speaker 1: would have shifted towards the right would have shifted towards Republicans, 431 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 1: would have shifted towards Trumps and so forth. You know, 432 00:23:43,240 --> 00:23:45,639 Speaker 1: over the past decade really started voting for Republicans back 433 00:23:45,680 --> 00:23:47,639 Speaker 1: on the eighties due to the Reagan Revolution and all 434 00:23:47,640 --> 00:23:50,960 Speaker 1: of that. A lot of those counties and states like Minnesota, 435 00:23:50,960 --> 00:23:53,760 Speaker 1: Wisconsin to a lesser than Iowa, have taken a much 436 00:23:53,880 --> 00:23:56,399 Speaker 1: much longer time to kind of get on board with 437 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,320 Speaker 1: the alignment that is now rapidly and folding before our eyes. 438 00:23:59,520 --> 00:24:02,480 Speaker 1: I think I'm great the accelerat of that realignment. I'm 439 00:24:02,480 --> 00:24:05,000 Speaker 1: not sure if Wisconsin is a red state at this point. 440 00:24:05,000 --> 00:24:06,760 Speaker 1: I do think that Ron Johnson is probably gonna win 441 00:24:06,800 --> 00:24:09,399 Speaker 1: by a solid six point market if I had like 442 00:24:09,480 --> 00:24:11,760 Speaker 1: rough the ball market. But you know, we'll see. I mean, 443 00:24:11,760 --> 00:24:16,120 Speaker 1: the twenty twenty election was Conston was extremely close, extremely close. 444 00:24:16,200 --> 00:24:18,879 Speaker 1: Polsters in Wisconsin uinely mess up that state, by the way. 445 00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:20,760 Speaker 1: I think in twenty twenty they were off by like 446 00:24:20,960 --> 00:24:23,160 Speaker 1: six points or something like that in the final average, 447 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:30,040 Speaker 1: but it's definitely trending right worth. Okay, Georgia. Everyone has 448 00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,879 Speaker 1: their hopes up about Georgia, and mine maybe creeping up 449 00:24:32,920 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 1: a little bit because Rafael Warnock is really a nutball. 450 00:24:36,400 --> 00:24:38,560 Speaker 1: This is something people don't talk enough about. The guys 451 00:24:38,560 --> 00:24:42,119 Speaker 1: a nut But Georgia seems blue now to me, Josh, 452 00:24:42,160 --> 00:24:43,960 Speaker 1: we don't even we don't have we don't even have 453 00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:46,440 Speaker 1: a senator from the state of George anymore, which is amazing. 454 00:24:46,480 --> 00:24:50,120 Speaker 1: But Walker looks like he might win. I don't know, well, 455 00:24:50,200 --> 00:24:52,200 Speaker 1: part of that is due to Brian Camp's hotels and 456 00:24:52,320 --> 00:24:55,600 Speaker 1: the polling for Brian cambovers bas Abrahams is really quite 457 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:58,600 Speaker 1: love ladder right now. I mean last Bell Poles, I've 458 00:24:58,600 --> 00:25:00,600 Speaker 1: seen out the Georgia Cubland to a race temp up 459 00:25:00,640 --> 00:25:03,560 Speaker 1: by as much as ten eleven points, looking almost like 460 00:25:03,600 --> 00:25:05,760 Speaker 1: he's winning by a descantist over Chris Martin. I mean 461 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:07,680 Speaker 1: it's not quite that high, but I mean Brian Kemp 462 00:25:07,840 --> 00:25:09,400 Speaker 1: is looking like he's going to be a lock over 463 00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:12,280 Speaker 1: Stay Siamers at this point. Stay Siams campaign. By the way, 464 00:25:12,320 --> 00:25:15,400 Speaker 1: I started to pull some television advertising and they're basically 465 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:17,679 Speaker 1: just throwing in the out at this point the herschel 466 00:25:17,720 --> 00:25:20,560 Speaker 1: Walker for all of his baggage, and there obviously is 467 00:25:20,560 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 1: a good amount of baggage there. It looks like from 468 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,760 Speaker 1: my perspective that Brian Kemp could basically just crag him 469 00:25:25,760 --> 00:25:28,080 Speaker 1: across the finish line. And you know, herschel Walker, to 470 00:25:28,320 --> 00:25:30,480 Speaker 1: his credit, I mean, in his one you know, his 471 00:25:30,640 --> 00:25:33,520 Speaker 1: loan debate it against Rofel Warnock a few weeks ago. 472 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,679 Speaker 1: Whenever that date was, he did quite well. I mean, 473 00:25:35,720 --> 00:25:38,600 Speaker 1: herschel Walker showed up to play in that day, he 474 00:25:38,600 --> 00:25:40,119 Speaker 1: held his own and then something I would say he 475 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:42,520 Speaker 1: actually outright won that date based on the clip that 476 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:46,440 Speaker 1: I saw after the fact. So I'm feeling pretty optimistic 477 00:25:46,440 --> 00:25:48,160 Speaker 1: about herschel right now as well. I mean, I think 478 00:25:48,200 --> 00:25:50,680 Speaker 1: my final US Center prediction right now was probably fifty 479 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:53,960 Speaker 1: three Republicans. I wouldn't be shocked honestly that gets to 480 00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,520 Speaker 1: fifty four. That would mean New Hampshire. But I'm feeling 481 00:25:56,600 --> 00:26:01,359 Speaker 1: pretty good about fifty three fifty two with the absolute worst, Okay, Josh, 482 00:26:01,400 --> 00:26:03,240 Speaker 1: I'm scared to death about Arizona for a couple of 483 00:26:03,240 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 1: different reasons. One because Blake Masters is one of the 484 00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:09,080 Speaker 1: very few candidates that genuinely inspires me and gives me 485 00:26:09,119 --> 00:26:12,679 Speaker 1: some hope about the future. The GOP and two. I 486 00:26:12,760 --> 00:26:15,119 Speaker 1: have run for office in Arizona, as you well know, 487 00:26:15,240 --> 00:26:18,480 Speaker 1: we were friends way back then as well, and I 488 00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:21,320 Speaker 1: won on election day. I beat Gabrielle Gifford's handily on 489 00:26:21,359 --> 00:26:23,520 Speaker 1: election day, but I ended up losing the election by 490 00:26:23,560 --> 00:26:27,280 Speaker 1: four thousand votes. Why because lots of people, like half 491 00:26:27,280 --> 00:26:30,640 Speaker 1: of them vote early in Arizona. So yeah, Blake Masters 492 00:26:30,680 --> 00:26:33,679 Speaker 1: looking good now, back when a bunch of people were voting, 493 00:26:33,880 --> 00:26:38,000 Speaker 1: he wasn't give me some hope. Well, Jesse, I know 494 00:26:38,080 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 1: in your own run there in Arizona there was also 495 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:43,320 Speaker 1: kind of a third party Libertarians boiler, which definitely could 496 00:26:43,480 --> 00:26:45,840 Speaker 1: eventually be a problem this time around as well. I 497 00:26:45,840 --> 00:26:48,320 Speaker 1: mean that Libertarian candidate was on that day's day with 498 00:26:48,640 --> 00:26:51,960 Speaker 1: Mark Kelliott, I recall you, no, Well, I think the 499 00:26:52,000 --> 00:26:55,240 Speaker 1: polling there is roughly three percent at this point, like, honestly, 500 00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:58,240 Speaker 1: like abolishing the Libertarian Party and preventing it from getting 501 00:26:58,280 --> 00:27:01,320 Speaker 1: valid access. I think, honestly, I'm literally not getting nothing 502 00:27:01,359 --> 00:27:04,080 Speaker 1: that has to be a pressing Republican Party policy broad 503 00:27:04,640 --> 00:27:07,240 Speaker 1: because we've seen how this game is playing, and it's 504 00:27:07,280 --> 00:27:09,880 Speaker 1: frankly just awful as far as the case for Blake 505 00:27:09,920 --> 00:27:11,760 Speaker 1: at this point. And you know, I've discussed play with 506 00:27:11,840 --> 00:27:13,920 Speaker 1: you on this very show of you know, full disclosure. 507 00:27:13,920 --> 00:27:16,760 Speaker 1: I know him personally. I'm a huge fan of ass senitor. 508 00:27:17,160 --> 00:27:19,440 Speaker 1: Look all, he has all the momentum on his side 509 00:27:19,520 --> 00:27:21,399 Speaker 1: right now. I think for weeks, for months on end, 510 00:27:22,520 --> 00:27:24,160 Speaker 1: you know, it is looking like Mark Kelly wasn't fairly 511 00:27:24,200 --> 00:27:27,080 Speaker 1: good shape. He had massive income, poor chest, he's an 512 00:27:27,080 --> 00:27:29,560 Speaker 1: ash fornaut. We know the whole story there. The poles 513 00:27:29,600 --> 00:27:31,960 Speaker 1: have dramatically tight ends literally this morning. If I if 514 00:27:31,960 --> 00:27:33,840 Speaker 1: I Marion Crafty, I think I saw up a political 515 00:27:33,880 --> 00:27:37,680 Speaker 1: report and Politico shift that race from lean Democrat, you'd 516 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:40,119 Speaker 1: pass up. And you know, you do not know how 517 00:27:40,160 --> 00:27:41,840 Speaker 1: this works. Early voting, like we said we were talking 518 00:27:41,840 --> 00:27:45,160 Speaker 1: about Pennsylvania, is a big problem everywhere. But those late 519 00:27:45,240 --> 00:27:48,600 Speaker 1: breaking votes at this point are swinging acidly to Blake Master, 520 00:27:48,800 --> 00:27:51,200 Speaker 1: and they're swinging to Republicans all across the country. So 521 00:27:51,320 --> 00:27:54,600 Speaker 1: I would feel pashly optimistic before the Blake Master's campaign. Also, 522 00:27:54,680 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: Carrie Lake is going to be Katy Hobbs, probably by 523 00:27:56,800 --> 00:27:58,920 Speaker 1: a similar four to five point Mark and something similar 524 00:27:58,960 --> 00:28:00,960 Speaker 1: to what's going to happen als Bears, so she could 525 00:28:01,040 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 1: drag Blake across the finish line the same way they 526 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:07,600 Speaker 1: can pull Hersil across the finish money Joan Josh Hammer 527 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:10,600 Speaker 1: of the Josh Hammers Show, thank you, my brother, anytime? 528 00:28:12,600 --> 00:28:16,639 Speaker 1: All right, I have final thoughts. Wait, no, I have 529 00:28:16,800 --> 00:28:18,960 Speaker 1: Rich Barris next, and then there's final thoughts. I don't know. 530 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:37,840 Speaker 1: Maybe I'll get Rich my final thoughts, I go, all right, 531 00:28:38,200 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 1: that's the governors, that's the Senate. Am I crazy with 532 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:43,840 Speaker 1: my prediction in the House? You know what? We're gonna 533 00:28:43,920 --> 00:28:45,600 Speaker 1: lead with that because I know Richell tell me if 534 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:48,320 Speaker 1: I'm a total nutball, Rich joining me now? My buddy 535 00:28:48,400 --> 00:28:51,200 Speaker 1: Rich Bear is obviously known as the people's pundit. Rich. 536 00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:55,000 Speaker 1: I have this prediction, this nutball prediction that unless Democrats 537 00:28:55,640 --> 00:28:59,280 Speaker 1: lose forty I called forty seats in the House, I 538 00:28:59,400 --> 00:29:01,680 Speaker 1: have to share save in a mustache, which I'll look 539 00:29:01,800 --> 00:29:04,080 Speaker 1: very dashing, I might point out, But I have to 540 00:29:04,160 --> 00:29:08,800 Speaker 1: shave in a mustache. Rich is the mustache coming? You know. 541 00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:12,680 Speaker 1: I'll tell you what. Actually, your predictions at this point 542 00:29:13,280 --> 00:29:17,120 Speaker 1: are not a far cry from reality at all. I mean, 543 00:29:17,160 --> 00:29:19,760 Speaker 1: we're at thirty five as one of the more likely 544 00:29:19,840 --> 00:29:23,920 Speaker 1: outcomes with others, a slew of others. You know, we're 545 00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:27,320 Speaker 1: just not comfortable saying with the last generic ballot, we 546 00:29:27,520 --> 00:29:29,719 Speaker 1: know for sure we'll go. But this is how these 547 00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:33,520 Speaker 1: midterms work, Jesse. You know, the levy typically breaks in 548 00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,800 Speaker 1: what looks to be an election like this, and it 549 00:29:36,920 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 1: breaks at the last minute, and it starts sweeping away 550 00:29:39,440 --> 00:29:43,120 Speaker 1: districts that nobody expected to go. And I keep trying 551 00:29:43,160 --> 00:29:46,040 Speaker 1: to emphasize this to people. You know, we're always focused 552 00:29:46,120 --> 00:29:50,480 Speaker 1: on the battleground in these competitive districts that you know, 553 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:52,920 Speaker 1: the media and all of us put to the forefront 554 00:29:52,960 --> 00:29:54,640 Speaker 1: of these discussions. But at the end of the day, 555 00:29:55,040 --> 00:29:58,880 Speaker 1: there are always surprises. In eighteen, Republicans found themselves biting 556 00:29:58,920 --> 00:30:02,320 Speaker 1: their nails about entire five, right. So that's that's the 557 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:04,960 Speaker 1: way this stuff works, and it looks like we're headed 558 00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:09,480 Speaker 1: in that direction. Okay, I've to ask a stupid question 559 00:30:09,600 --> 00:30:12,479 Speaker 1: of someone like you, but I think people are genuinely curious. 560 00:30:12,560 --> 00:30:15,239 Speaker 1: What's a generic ballot. We keep hearing a lot of this. Now, 561 00:30:15,320 --> 00:30:18,920 Speaker 1: a generic ballot, generic ballot? What is it? So when 562 00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:21,720 Speaker 1: a poster asks a generic ballot, typically everyone's got a 563 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:23,880 Speaker 1: little bit different way of wording it. But what you're 564 00:30:24,200 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: supposed to be really getting to the heart of is 565 00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:28,440 Speaker 1: asking the voter do they intend to vote for the 566 00:30:28,520 --> 00:30:32,800 Speaker 1: Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate? Not specific candidates, but 567 00:30:33,080 --> 00:30:35,640 Speaker 1: the Republican or Democrat when they go to vote for 568 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:41,040 Speaker 1: their House of Representatives representative in Congress. And we always say, 569 00:30:41,120 --> 00:30:42,720 Speaker 1: you know, whom do you intend to vote for in 570 00:30:42,840 --> 00:30:46,000 Speaker 1: your congressional district? So we make sure we specify that 571 00:30:46,080 --> 00:30:48,680 Speaker 1: we are talking about the House. Uh, you know it is. 572 00:30:49,360 --> 00:30:52,600 Speaker 1: It is a good metric because ultimately what happens is 573 00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:55,800 Speaker 1: that that you know, that lead on the generic ballot 574 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 1: is basically indicative of all of the House vote nationwide 575 00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,800 Speaker 1: added together. Think of it almost like a popular vote 576 00:31:02,840 --> 00:31:06,040 Speaker 1: for president, only it is at the House level and 577 00:31:06,080 --> 00:31:08,960 Speaker 1: it's all the House districts combined. So it tells us 578 00:31:09,040 --> 00:31:12,560 Speaker 1: if a party is winning one share of the vote nationally, 579 00:31:12,640 --> 00:31:15,080 Speaker 1: the House vote nationally, then we know how to at 580 00:31:15,160 --> 00:31:18,440 Speaker 1: least roughly apply that to other districts that we may 581 00:31:18,480 --> 00:31:20,960 Speaker 1: be looking at and decide whether or not a party 582 00:31:21,000 --> 00:31:23,440 Speaker 1: has a good chance of taking that district. It's a 583 00:31:23,480 --> 00:31:25,440 Speaker 1: good question, Okay, So what is it now? What's it 584 00:31:25,560 --> 00:31:29,400 Speaker 1: look like now? So we are last generic ballot that 585 00:31:29,480 --> 00:31:34,360 Speaker 1: just came out is Republican plus five, which we reported 586 00:31:34,440 --> 00:31:38,200 Speaker 1: though Jesse with an expanding lead. And the reason why 587 00:31:38,280 --> 00:31:42,200 Speaker 1: we say that is because partisans are in their respected camps. 588 00:31:42,480 --> 00:31:45,000 Speaker 1: They're not budging, their minds are made up. Or at 589 00:31:45,080 --> 00:31:48,280 Speaker 1: that point in the election, the only ones who remained 590 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:53,640 Speaker 1: undecided were largely independent, almost all of them really, because 591 00:31:53,960 --> 00:31:56,680 Speaker 1: less than two percent of each party was undecided. So 592 00:31:57,160 --> 00:31:59,880 Speaker 1: all we have left are these undecided voters. They're between 593 00:31:59,920 --> 00:32:02,560 Speaker 1: the ages of thirty and sixty four, most of them 594 00:32:02,960 --> 00:32:06,560 Speaker 1: they don't have a college degree, and they're negative on 595 00:32:06,680 --> 00:32:10,640 Speaker 1: Joe Biden, whether they strongly or somewhat disapprove of Joe Biden. 596 00:32:10,760 --> 00:32:14,520 Speaker 1: That is the lion's share of undecideds. And we're not 597 00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:17,880 Speaker 1: the only ones. You know, the you know survey or 598 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:20,680 Speaker 1: the USA Today Bowl, the New York Times Bowl, they 599 00:32:20,760 --> 00:32:24,000 Speaker 1: all found generally the same thing, which is that the 600 00:32:24,120 --> 00:32:26,880 Speaker 1: undecided just don't look good for Democrats. And as we 601 00:32:27,040 --> 00:32:30,440 Speaker 1: see them, those people who were undecided break throughout the 602 00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:34,560 Speaker 1: month of October, they break hard for Republicans. It's been breaking, 603 00:32:34,920 --> 00:32:37,840 Speaker 1: you know, and depending on the poll ours was three 604 00:32:37,920 --> 00:32:42,120 Speaker 1: to one. Others have even been more than that. It's 605 00:32:42,440 --> 00:32:45,440 Speaker 1: a big I'm a hardcore I'm a hardcore partisan, as 606 00:32:45,480 --> 00:32:47,600 Speaker 1: everyone knows. So I have my list of reasons why 607 00:32:47,600 --> 00:32:51,080 Speaker 1: I don't like Joe Biden. But why why don't the undecided? 608 00:32:51,120 --> 00:32:54,920 Speaker 1: It's like Joe Biden. What is it? It's inflation, It's 609 00:32:54,960 --> 00:32:58,160 Speaker 1: the economy. For some, it's general sense that things are 610 00:32:58,200 --> 00:33:00,480 Speaker 1: just kind of spiraling out of control. You know, I 611 00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:03,440 Speaker 1: voted for Joe Biden because maybe I was getting a 612 00:33:03,480 --> 00:33:05,880 Speaker 1: little bit tired of the boat rocking under Donald Trump. 613 00:33:06,160 --> 00:33:09,040 Speaker 1: What happened to the even hand, what happened to the 614 00:33:09,120 --> 00:33:12,120 Speaker 1: adults in the room, what happened to shutting down the virus? 615 00:33:12,280 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 1: Not the economy? So you know, when you make these 616 00:33:15,240 --> 00:33:18,400 Speaker 1: big promises like this, Jesse, and you don't really deliver. 617 00:33:18,800 --> 00:33:21,800 Speaker 1: I mean, how could you anybody argue with inflation where 618 00:33:21,840 --> 00:33:24,480 Speaker 1: it is now that they delivered on these promises, when 619 00:33:24,520 --> 00:33:28,800 Speaker 1: inflation had stabilized and returned to the mean after the 620 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:32,480 Speaker 1: shutdown under former President Donald Trump. People aren't stupid, you know. 621 00:33:32,600 --> 00:33:35,480 Speaker 1: So the parties have their talking points, but the American public, 622 00:33:35,560 --> 00:33:39,000 Speaker 1: these people that truly are persuadable, feel they cannot put 623 00:33:39,760 --> 00:33:42,480 Speaker 1: groceries in their shopping cart and gas in their tank. 624 00:33:43,400 --> 00:33:45,920 Speaker 1: Cerrely that simple. Okay, now, let's let's let's go to 625 00:33:46,000 --> 00:33:48,640 Speaker 1: the house. Because you mentioned some areas that are blue 626 00:33:48,760 --> 00:33:50,840 Speaker 1: that are going to shock some people and go red. 627 00:33:51,440 --> 00:33:56,720 Speaker 1: Do you have specifics? Yeah, I think. Now. Look, Rhode 628 00:33:56,720 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 1: Island too has gotten a lot of attention. They're the 629 00:33:59,480 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 1: Republican and Fung has been out polling, i would say, 630 00:34:03,360 --> 00:34:07,080 Speaker 1: overperforming expectations, and some polls he's just a little bit 631 00:34:07,160 --> 00:34:10,440 Speaker 1: down and others he's actually ahead. So the range is 632 00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:14,040 Speaker 1: anywhere between Democrat plus two to Republican plus eight. So 633 00:34:14,320 --> 00:34:16,240 Speaker 1: you know, the high end of that range is obviously 634 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:20,520 Speaker 1: favoring him. There's other districts in Connecticut in Logan verse Hayes, 635 00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:23,800 Speaker 1: these some of these areas should not be all that 636 00:34:23,920 --> 00:34:26,560 Speaker 1: competitive in a neutral cycle. And we can tell it's 637 00:34:26,600 --> 00:34:29,840 Speaker 1: real because the poll in Connecticut five I'm talking about, 638 00:34:30,239 --> 00:34:33,640 Speaker 1: which had the Republican up. It's real because you can 639 00:34:33,719 --> 00:34:36,439 Speaker 1: see that the vote for Joe Biden and Donald Trump 640 00:34:36,520 --> 00:34:39,400 Speaker 1: in twenty twenty, and these people are admitting I voted 641 00:34:39,440 --> 00:34:41,279 Speaker 1: for Donald Trump or I voted for Joe Biden. You 642 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:43,920 Speaker 1: can see the margin is generally right on part with 643 00:34:44,000 --> 00:34:47,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty. The difference is now that margin's cut in half. 644 00:34:47,600 --> 00:34:49,520 Speaker 1: So where is this coming from. Where is this voter 645 00:34:49,600 --> 00:34:52,520 Speaker 1: remorse coming from. It's coming from these districts. And when 646 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:55,160 Speaker 1: we talk about that generic ballot'll just add this real quick, 647 00:34:55,600 --> 00:34:59,040 Speaker 1: the Republican share of the vote, their share is more 648 00:34:59,160 --> 00:35:02,920 Speaker 1: efficient than the Democratic share. Republicans have to win the 649 00:35:03,040 --> 00:35:05,680 Speaker 1: generic ballot by a lot less to be able to 650 00:35:05,760 --> 00:35:09,400 Speaker 1: do real damage across districts across the nation than Democrats do. 651 00:35:09,600 --> 00:35:14,520 Speaker 1: Why because Democrat districts are very concentrated in high population areas, 652 00:35:14,760 --> 00:35:17,000 Speaker 1: so they have to win a generic ballot by more 653 00:35:17,080 --> 00:35:19,360 Speaker 1: than five eight points, you know, to be able to 654 00:35:19,800 --> 00:35:22,880 Speaker 1: really make widespread gains across the map. That is not 655 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,360 Speaker 1: the case for Republicans. They win it by five, and 656 00:35:25,520 --> 00:35:28,520 Speaker 1: it's a cataclysm mc knight almost for Democrats. So they're 657 00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,440 Speaker 1: winn it by six and you know, the levy breaks 658 00:35:31,520 --> 00:35:36,280 Speaker 1: and it all comes tumbling down. Okay. Each race tells 659 00:35:36,320 --> 00:35:38,160 Speaker 1: its own story, and I don't expect you to be 660 00:35:38,239 --> 00:35:40,319 Speaker 1: an expert on all of them, but the Connecticut one 661 00:35:40,400 --> 00:35:43,000 Speaker 1: fascinates me. Logan versus, Hey, you just brought it up. 662 00:35:43,680 --> 00:35:46,040 Speaker 1: Why is that going the way it is? Is it 663 00:35:46,160 --> 00:35:49,160 Speaker 1: a really bad Democrat, is it a really good Republican? 664 00:35:49,280 --> 00:35:51,200 Speaker 1: Or is it just all, hey, Joe Biden sucks and 665 00:35:51,280 --> 00:35:54,600 Speaker 1: we want to vote against him. You know, d all 666 00:35:54,640 --> 00:35:59,839 Speaker 1: the above, right, But there are grassroots supporters. Now there's 667 00:35:59,840 --> 00:36:02,600 Speaker 1: a bus tour there ginning up the Trump base to 668 00:36:02,640 --> 00:36:05,280 Speaker 1: get out there and vote. But I have been arguing 669 00:36:05,360 --> 00:36:08,000 Speaker 1: for a long time Democrats are much better at looking 670 00:36:08,040 --> 00:36:10,480 Speaker 1: around the map and saying, maybe we can't win this 671 00:36:10,640 --> 00:36:13,880 Speaker 1: state or these districts this year, but two years from 672 00:36:13,920 --> 00:36:15,520 Speaker 1: now or four years from now, if we put the 673 00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:17,840 Speaker 1: work in, we can do it. Connecticut five is a 674 00:36:17,920 --> 00:36:20,400 Speaker 1: perfect example of one that I've been trying to highlight 675 00:36:20,480 --> 00:36:24,040 Speaker 1: the entire state of Connecticut. There there was movement under 676 00:36:24,080 --> 00:36:28,560 Speaker 1: Donald Trump in special elections where at the state legislature level, 677 00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:32,800 Speaker 1: Republicans won seats that they hadn't represented in decades. And 678 00:36:32,960 --> 00:36:35,680 Speaker 1: that was all because of this shift among working class 679 00:36:35,760 --> 00:36:38,600 Speaker 1: voters who used to be the old blue collar Democrat 680 00:36:38,960 --> 00:36:42,480 Speaker 1: that has been late to the northeast. So, you know, Republicans, 681 00:36:43,000 --> 00:36:46,160 Speaker 1: some of this is natural because we were expecting those demographics. 682 00:36:46,440 --> 00:36:48,399 Speaker 1: And then and then some of you know, the other 683 00:36:48,440 --> 00:36:52,000 Speaker 1: reasons you brought up. But all in all, some of 684 00:36:52,080 --> 00:36:56,120 Speaker 1: these areas really Democrats have kind of overstayed. They're welcome, 685 00:36:56,520 --> 00:36:58,640 Speaker 1: you know, and I think in the future it's going 686 00:36:58,680 --> 00:37:00,600 Speaker 1: to get harder for them. Some of these are. And 687 00:37:00,680 --> 00:37:06,160 Speaker 1: that's a great district as an example. Tell me about Pennsylvania. Obviously, 688 00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,640 Speaker 1: everyone sees the Federman Oz thing. That's maybe the biggest 689 00:37:09,719 --> 00:37:11,440 Speaker 1: race in the country right now as far as people 690 00:37:11,880 --> 00:37:14,279 Speaker 1: are paying attention to it, But no one's talking about 691 00:37:14,400 --> 00:37:17,520 Speaker 1: congressional races in Pennsylvania. And Pennsylvania is a big state 692 00:37:17,600 --> 00:37:21,640 Speaker 1: and the different parts of it are really different. Yeah, 693 00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:25,080 Speaker 1: you know there are right now. We're in Pennsylvania pulling 694 00:37:25,200 --> 00:37:28,120 Speaker 1: right now, and I know it's not done yet, but 695 00:37:28,280 --> 00:37:30,359 Speaker 1: I mean I can tell that Republicans are doing well 696 00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:34,080 Speaker 1: on the statewide generic ballot. I think something happened about 697 00:37:34,080 --> 00:37:37,200 Speaker 1: two weeks ago, which Pennsylvania is a great example to 698 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:40,279 Speaker 1: point out what I was talking about before, where if 699 00:37:40,360 --> 00:37:42,800 Speaker 1: you start to expand your lead on the generic ballot, 700 00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:45,480 Speaker 1: you can't only do that on the back of working 701 00:37:45,560 --> 00:37:48,560 Speaker 1: class voters. Something had to have been happening. And what 702 00:37:48,800 --> 00:37:53,080 Speaker 1: happened is independence even those who have college degrees started 703 00:37:53,120 --> 00:37:56,560 Speaker 1: to swing back to the GOP, women swinging back to 704 00:37:56,640 --> 00:37:59,200 Speaker 1: the GOP. So the last time we saw a margin 705 00:37:59,280 --> 00:38:02,440 Speaker 1: this close with women was in twenty fourteen, when Republicans 706 00:38:02,520 --> 00:38:05,320 Speaker 1: barely lost the female vote. In twenty ten, it was 707 00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:08,040 Speaker 1: about even. So it gives you an idea of where 708 00:38:08,120 --> 00:38:11,279 Speaker 1: we're at. We only have Republicans trailing among women by 709 00:38:11,320 --> 00:38:13,200 Speaker 1: three points, that's it. What does that mean to a 710 00:38:13,280 --> 00:38:16,880 Speaker 1: state like Pennsylvania? And this is a wild vera sheller 711 00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:20,040 Speaker 1: out there. There are some areas Republicans have been struggling 712 00:38:20,160 --> 00:38:23,640 Speaker 1: in districts like that where there are educated white voters 713 00:38:23,719 --> 00:38:26,000 Speaker 1: who kind of shied away from the Republican Party after 714 00:38:26,080 --> 00:38:29,680 Speaker 1: a while under especially under Trump. That's true, but now 715 00:38:30,360 --> 00:38:32,200 Speaker 1: are starting to come back. And by the way, just 716 00:38:32,320 --> 00:38:34,640 Speaker 1: as a little sneak pee, we're seeing that at the 717 00:38:34,719 --> 00:38:37,800 Speaker 1: Senate level as well. Somebody liked Memo oz in this 718 00:38:38,000 --> 00:38:40,719 Speaker 1: poll is clearly doing better among people who have a 719 00:38:40,800 --> 00:38:42,920 Speaker 1: four year degree than he was in the poll we 720 00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 1: conducted a month and a half ago. Something happened two 721 00:38:46,480 --> 00:38:49,240 Speaker 1: weeks ago. I think that when it comes to the Senate, 722 00:38:49,400 --> 00:38:53,919 Speaker 1: obviously the debate had an impact, which isn't always the case. 723 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:56,799 Speaker 1: Debate impact is overblown in my opinion, But this time 724 00:38:56,880 --> 00:39:00,319 Speaker 1: that performance by Federman was so bad that will also 725 00:39:00,440 --> 00:39:02,719 Speaker 1: have you know, it will resonate on other parts of 726 00:39:02,840 --> 00:39:05,360 Speaker 1: the ticket. So if they were flirting with the idea 727 00:39:05,400 --> 00:39:07,920 Speaker 1: of voting with the Republican at the congressional level, and 728 00:39:08,080 --> 00:39:10,480 Speaker 1: now they've decided, I can't vote for Fetterman, I'm gonna 729 00:39:10,560 --> 00:39:13,240 Speaker 1: vote for Oz. These are people who aren't particularly partisan. 730 00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:16,640 Speaker 1: They'll they'll they'll go Republican across the ticket, and some 731 00:39:16,800 --> 00:39:19,640 Speaker 1: of us, as posters, won't even pick it up. A 732 00:39:19,719 --> 00:39:21,800 Speaker 1: lot of that happened in twenty four years. The snuck 733 00:39:21,880 --> 00:39:25,279 Speaker 1: right up on us. He is the people's pundent, the 734 00:39:25,320 --> 00:39:27,480 Speaker 1: best in the business in my opinion. Rich, thank you, 735 00:39:27,600 --> 00:39:30,560 Speaker 1: my man. All the best. Jesse, thanks for having me 736 00:39:30,719 --> 00:39:35,760 Speaker 1: talk to you soon. All right, I have some final thoughts. 737 00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:55,279 Speaker 1: They'll be brilliant. Next. Put a smile on your face. 738 00:39:55,960 --> 00:39:59,160 Speaker 1: A smile on your face. You've had to sit there 739 00:40:00,000 --> 00:40:04,240 Speaker 1: almost two full years now and watch as these people, 740 00:40:04,560 --> 00:40:09,120 Speaker 1: these communists, have torn through your country, ripped apart everything, 741 00:40:09,440 --> 00:40:12,440 Speaker 1: and you haven't had the ability to do anything about it. Right, 742 00:40:13,080 --> 00:40:14,840 Speaker 1: We've had to sit and watch and just take it 743 00:40:14,960 --> 00:40:17,720 Speaker 1: and be hit over and over and over and over again, 744 00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:23,200 Speaker 1: but not anymore. Now you get to take all that anger, 745 00:40:23,440 --> 00:40:26,040 Speaker 1: all that venom and rage, and march down to the 746 00:40:26,120 --> 00:40:29,600 Speaker 1: voting booth and do something to them. You get to 747 00:40:29,840 --> 00:40:33,200 Speaker 1: do something about it. Put a smile on your face. 748 00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,920 Speaker 1: It is going to be a good day. And sometimes 749 00:40:36,640 --> 00:40:39,640 Speaker 1: good days are few and far between. We'll get out 750 00:40:39,640 --> 00:40:43,799 Speaker 1: there and get it done. Drag friends, family, neighbors. Though, 751 00:40:44,239 --> 00:40:47,279 Speaker 1: don't be complacent. Don't think well I've read wave. I'll 752 00:40:47,320 --> 00:40:49,759 Speaker 1: go play golf today. No no, no, no, go vote 753 00:40:49,760 --> 00:40:52,279 Speaker 1: like you're mad, because you should be. I'll see it. 754 00:41:01,200 --> 00:41:03,840 Speaker 1: Each morning, the president of the United States receives a 755 00:41:04,000 --> 00:41:07,440 Speaker 1: highly classified briefing on the most important issues facing the country. 756 00:41:07,800 --> 00:41:11,360 Speaker 1: It's called the President's Daily Brief, or PDB. It's delivered 757 00:41:11,400 --> 00:41:14,440 Speaker 1: by America's spies and analysts. Well, now you can hear 758 00:41:14,560 --> 00:41:17,560 Speaker 1: your very own PDB in the form of a podcast 759 00:41:17,680 --> 00:41:21,680 Speaker 1: hosted by me Brian Dean Wright, a former CIA operations officer. 760 00:41:22,080 --> 00:41:24,760 Speaker 1: Each morning at six am Eastern, I'll bring you fifteen 761 00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:27,400 Speaker 1: to twenty minutes of the most important issues facing the country, 762 00:41:27,800 --> 00:41:31,080 Speaker 1: giving you the critical intelligence and analysis you need to 763 00:41:31,200 --> 00:41:32,320 Speaker 1: start your morning.