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Speaker 1: Happy Saturday, guys, Welcome into Super wild Card Weekend Daily

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Speaker 1: Juice Edition, Day number one for us. With this, we've

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Speaker 1: got Saturday, Sunday Monday three playoff games for you. My

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Speaker 1: name is Matt Parolt. You guys can follow me on

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Speaker 1: Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. Every morning we are here

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Speaker 1: for the Dally Juice Podcast. Tomorrow morning is our live

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Speaker 1: stream with me solo Dan Harris. Pour one out for

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Speaker 1: mister Dan Harris. Unfortunately he no longer is with us

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Speaker 1: here with betting Pros, but he will be sorely missed.

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Speaker 1: It'll just be me coming up on Sunday morning for

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Speaker 1: the live stream eight o'clock in the morning Pacific time,

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Speaker 1: eleven am Eastern time breaking down the three games that

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Speaker 1: will take place on Sunday. But we have two games

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Speaker 1: going on here for us tonight on a Saturday morning

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Speaker 1: afternoon evening. I want to go right into it here

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Speaker 1: for us, and it's a great day to use the

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Speaker 1: ten dollars offer ten dollars bet one hundred and fifty

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Speaker 1: bucks on any event you will win with that promo

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Speaker 1: code Juice one fifty at BETMGM or betmgm dot com.

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Speaker 1: Promo code again Juice one fifty with a ten dollars wager,

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Speaker 1: you win one hundred and fifty dollars regardless of the

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Speaker 1: outcome for that wager. All right, So you guys know

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Speaker 1: that we're already into the Patriots for plus ten under fifty. Okay,

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Speaker 1: by the way, seventeen to one last eighteen games, if

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Speaker 1: you teased the Dogs during wild Card weekend, it's a

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Speaker 1: stat that John Ewing from BETMGM put up the other day.

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Speaker 1: That's a hell of a stat. So I like that

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Speaker 1: Patriots plus ten under fifty bet coming in here. We

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Speaker 1: know the weather's going to be frigid. We're on pace

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Speaker 1: for the coldest game in Patriot history. More on that

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Speaker 1: game here in just one second. So what I've got

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Speaker 1: for you guys here today two bets on the Raiders

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Speaker 1: and the Bengals. We already give you the Patriots side

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Speaker 1: and total teaser. Got four props and a bonus one

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Speaker 1: as well if you want to jump in as well

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Speaker 1: with that. So we got a four spot of prop

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Speaker 1: bets to get into here today. So let's get right

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Speaker 1: to it. So we're not talking too long, okay, So

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Speaker 1: let's talk about the team total this game I lean under,

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Speaker 1: all right, forty eight and a half is the total

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Speaker 1: for this game. I lean under for this. Here's where

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Speaker 1: I am on the Patriots, sorry on the Raiders and

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Speaker 1: the Bengals. The weather's going to be an interesting factor. Okay,

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Speaker 1: now the wind is not going to be all that bad,

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Speaker 1: but the cold is significant. Derek Carr is a West

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Speaker 1: Coast guy, California kid, Fresno State, now a Raider indoor

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Speaker 1: quarterback going on the road due Ohio. All right, do

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Speaker 1: we know how he's going to faire? Do we have

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Speaker 1: any ideas how how Derek Carr's going to perform? I

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Speaker 1: don't know. The first time these two teams played in Vegas,

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Speaker 1: Derek Carr threw for two hundred and fifteen yards. Now,

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Speaker 1: I know he threw all over the Chargers, but that

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Speaker 1: was at home last week. I think that was an anomaly.

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Speaker 1: I don't think this Raider offense is going to score

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Speaker 1: all that much. I know Whiler's coming back, but I

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Speaker 1: think they'll be able to take care of Waller. I

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Speaker 1: don't think that Shan Jackson has a big game. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Zay Jones lights the world on fire. I

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Speaker 1: don't think Moreau gets opened down the field, and I

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Speaker 1: don't think Josh Jacobs gets in the passing game going here,

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Speaker 1: And I just think this Raider offense is gonna have

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Speaker 1: a hard time scoring. Their team total is twenty one

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Speaker 1: and a half. Now I lean under in this game.

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Speaker 1: So what I'm gonna do is this because of the weather,

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Speaker 1: because I don't think this offense scores all that much.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a half a unit and I'm going

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Speaker 1: team total under for the Raiders. Not buying this offense.

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Speaker 1: I know people are saying, you know, the offense, they're

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Speaker 1: not turning the football over, but they're also other than

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Speaker 1: that Charger game, they're not scoring. Okay, look at the

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Speaker 1: road games, the wins against the Browns and whatnot, just

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Speaker 1: not scoring a lot of points. Twenty one and a

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Speaker 1: half half a unit under on the Raiders for tomorrow

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Speaker 1: early game in the first game of the day. Now,

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Speaker 1: what are we doing with the other half a unit? Again,

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Speaker 1: I lean towards the under. But what happens if the

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Speaker 1: game is like thirty to seven, Like what happens to

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Speaker 1: the Bengals just go in there and destroy the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: the under could come in. But what happens if the

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Speaker 1: Raiders score a little more than I thought. What the

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Speaker 1: Raiders score twenty Okay, so they get to twenty points

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Speaker 1: totals forty eight. What happens if there's a thirty point

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Speaker 1: performance by the Bengals, which I think is really possible.

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Speaker 1: They score thirty four to thirty three points in the

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Speaker 1: first game, can they score thirty? I think they can

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Speaker 1: score thirty on this Raiders defense, I really do. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna take their team total and go over twenty seven

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Speaker 1: and a half over on the team total for the

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Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals. So essentially it's a one unit bet on

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Speaker 1: the under, but it's a way of sort of hedging

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Speaker 1: a little bit because you know, it's forty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half. Okay, so technically when you take twenty one

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Speaker 1: and a half and you take forty, I take twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half.

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Speaker 2: Technically that's forty.

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Speaker 1: Nine, So like you're getting a little bit of a

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Speaker 1: play there kind of on that to forty eight and

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Speaker 1: a half is the current total. I'm just taking this game,

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Speaker 1: and I'm gonna think that the Bengals score thirty and

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Speaker 1: the Raiders score seventeens, right somewhere in that range, Okay,

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Speaker 1: under twenty one and a half. For the Raiders half

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Speaker 1: a unit and we're going over twenty seven and a

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Speaker 1: half for the Bengals half a unit. Both those bets

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Speaker 1: are at minus one ten. Maybe it's a hedge off

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Speaker 1: each other, trying to knock them both down. You know,

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Speaker 1: I do think the Bengals are going to win this game, okay,

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Speaker 1: but because of the very interesting trend, if you want

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Speaker 1: even more action on this, I do like a same

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Speaker 1: game teaser of teasing this up from six to twelve

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Speaker 1: Raiders plus twelve, take the over from forty two and

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Speaker 1: a half and tease it down and take the over. Okay,

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Speaker 1: I do think that that's a potential way of playing this.

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Speaker 1: I think thirty to fourteen is very possible, but then

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Speaker 1: you lose the teaser if that were to happen.

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Speaker 2: So you need it to be, you know, somewhere in.

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Speaker 1: The thirty to twenty type of game. Right, thirty to

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Speaker 1: twenty would be perfect. If it landed thirty to twenty,

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Speaker 1: we would hit every bet right, we'd hit the we

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Speaker 1: would hit the same game teaser. We would hit the

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Speaker 1: over twenty seven and a half, hit the under twenty

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Speaker 1: one and a half. It would be beautiful. Okay, that's

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Speaker 1: a score. We're eyeballing. We're gunning for thirty to twenty

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Speaker 1: final for the Raiders and in the Bengals. The over

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Speaker 1: would hit in that game in that instance, but we

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Speaker 1: would come in and hit all of our bets that

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Speaker 1: were to happen. So not official on the teaser, but

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Speaker 1: the official play for the Raiders and the Bengals were

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Speaker 1: going over team total Bengals twenty seven and a half

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Speaker 1: under team total twenty one and a half for the Raiders. Okay,

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Speaker 1: more in that game coming up here in just one

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Speaker 1: second with the prop bets. But we've got that bet

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Speaker 1: Patriots plus ten under fifty miss one twenty for the

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Speaker 1: same game teaser in the evening game for the Bills

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Speaker 1: and the Patriots, there's a real shot that that's like

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Speaker 1: a twenty four twenty win for the Patriots.

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Speaker 2: I'm not gonna lie that.

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Speaker 1: I definitely will have some sprinkles on the money line

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Speaker 1: for the Patriots to win the game. But that's just

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Speaker 1: a personal play for me. I'm a fan of the Patriots. Clearly,

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Speaker 1: there's money coming in heavily. The pros are on Buffalo. Okay,

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Speaker 1: the pros think the Patriots aren't that good public taking

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Speaker 1: Belichick totally understand it.

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Speaker 2: I get it.

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Speaker 1: If the Bills win, I'm gonna tip my cap. They're

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Speaker 1: the better team. They're at home, they're supposed to win.

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Speaker 1: Patriots are a rookie quarterback starting on the road for

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Speaker 1: the first time. Tough tough spot at night, drunk crowd,

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Speaker 1: freezing temperatures, Florida, kid, tough deal. It's gonna be a

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Speaker 1: very tough game for the Patriots coming up tomorrow or tonight. Sorry, Okay,

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Speaker 1: So here are the player of props, A quarter unit

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Speaker 1: plus the bonus one if you want as well. Right, So,

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Speaker 1: as I mentioned team total for the under for the Raiders,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go under Derek Carr's passing total of two

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty four and a half passing guards. I

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Speaker 1: think that's too high. I think he's somewhere in the

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Speaker 1: low two hundreds for this game. I think the weather

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Speaker 1: could come into play big time. I think pressure on

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Speaker 1: Car coming here a big time. And I think they

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Speaker 1: got run the football. To be quite honest, they can't

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Speaker 1: turn the football over. I don't mind betting the yes

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Speaker 1: on a Car interception as well, but I'm gonna go

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Speaker 1: quarter unit Derek Carr under two hundred and fifty four

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Speaker 1: and a half passing yards for this game, and in

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Speaker 1: the same game, I'm gonna take Joe Burrow over one

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Speaker 1: and a half touchdown tosses. How are they going to score?

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Speaker 1: I think Joe Mixon could score very easily. It's just

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Speaker 1: really juice ups like minus won forty miles one fifty

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Speaker 1: for Joe Mixon to score. I think Mixon can have

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Speaker 1: a big game, probably not as big as the game

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Speaker 1: means he had in game number one, where he had

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Speaker 1: over one hundred and twenty yards and two touchdowns. I

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Speaker 1: don't think he's going to have that type of game,

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Speaker 1: but I do think he's going to be a major

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Speaker 1: factor in a big problem for this Raiders defense. Like

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Speaker 1: Joe Burrow over one and a half passing touchdowns in

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Speaker 1: this game, I think he throws at least two. And

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Speaker 1: I wouldn't hate Jamar Chase anytime touchdown or a Tyler

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Speaker 1: Boyd any time touchdown.

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Speaker 2: You want to get in there.

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Speaker 1: But the official play would be Burrow over one and

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Speaker 1: a half touchdowns at minus one sixty five. There are

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Speaker 1: different ways of betting that. Obviously, different books are going

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Speaker 1: a different prices. I got that the Westgate in Vegas

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Speaker 1: at mins one sixty five, Joe Burrow over one and

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Speaker 1: a half touchdown tosses, and on the night game, I

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Speaker 1: don't think we're gonna see mac Jones dropping back to

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Speaker 1: throw the ball a ton. Okay, they don't trust him.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think that's the game plan for the Patriots.

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Speaker 1: I think the weather's gonna be an issue. I don't

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Speaker 1: think the Patriots are gonna trust mac Jones. His attempts

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Speaker 1: is thirty and a half at minus one ten. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna go, oh, I'm gonna go under here on mac

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Speaker 1: Jones under thirty and a half passing attempts. Just think

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are gonna try to run the football, and yeah,

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Speaker 1: they may be down a lot and made, they may

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Speaker 1: need to pass the ball a ton, But I think

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Speaker 1: if mac Jones is back there throwing the ball thirty times,

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Speaker 1: they're getting blown out and it's a bad sign for

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Speaker 1: the Patriots. I don't think they want to trust the

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Speaker 1: rookie quarterback first, every playoff game on the road, making

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Speaker 1: that type of start, having him drop back and throw

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Speaker 1: the football like that. And then Nick Folk his point

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Speaker 1: total is six and a half and the overs actually

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Speaker 1: got some plus money to it. The over six and

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Speaker 1: a half points for nick Folk is plus one oh five,

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Speaker 1: so we need two field goals and a extra point

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Speaker 1: at a nick Folk thirteen points is what we need

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Speaker 1: the Patriots to score here, and then we're going to be.

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Speaker 2: Good for this. I like this bet a lot for

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Speaker 2: a quarter unit.

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Speaker 1: I think having him kick three field goals as possible,

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Speaker 1: you know, having him just kick three field goals and

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Speaker 1: have nine points and then we're over on this at

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Speaker 1: six and a half. I was surprised to see that

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Speaker 1: number be where it is. I thought it would be

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Speaker 1: higher than that. So six and a half nick Folk

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Speaker 1: over at plus one oh five, right, So those are

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Speaker 1: the place You've got six of them going here for

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Speaker 1: the games. The game two total bets and four player

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Speaker 1: props coming up for a Saturday, all right, So we're

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Speaker 1: going to have a lot more this weekend obviously, right.

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Speaker 1: So I already have Sam Fran plus three. We already

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Speaker 1: have Bucks minus two and a half and the under

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Speaker 1: fifty two. I have another bet in the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: I'll explain it more to me, but I got into

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Speaker 1: it with case minus seven in the first half at

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Speaker 1: minus one fifteen to you guys about that on the disc.

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Speaker 2: Excuse me, on the Discord channel.

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Speaker 1: We'll have more of an explanation coming up on the

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Speaker 1: podcast tomorrow live stream Sunday morning as well with me

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Speaker 1: with player props, everything else going in like I always

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Speaker 1: give you guys on.

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Speaker 2: A big football Saturday.

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Speaker 1: So we've got what officially one, two, three units going

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Speaker 1: today on a football Saturday. That's good, good number. We'll

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Speaker 1: have four to five units going coming up on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: This is where I fell on my face last year. Okay,

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Speaker 1: if you've been with the Daily Juice, I lost nine

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Speaker 1: units in the playoffs.

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Speaker 2: Last year.

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Speaker 1: I was up twelve units going into the playoffs and

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Speaker 1: I lost nine. I think I'm down nine units right

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Speaker 1: now in the NFL. Let's see if I can make

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Speaker 1: a dent or do I fall on my face again.

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Speaker 1: The numbers are super sharp. It's very difficult to meet

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Speaker 1: the books in the postseason. This is when everybody bets

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Speaker 1: and the books clean up. So got to be careful. No,

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Speaker 1: I'm okay if I lose these bets. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to lose these bets. But just a heads up as

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Speaker 1: a reminder as to what the playoffs were like for

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Speaker 1: me last year. They were not pretty. It was not

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Speaker 1: a good run for me at all in the postseason.

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Speaker 1: So once again to recap all the plays for us

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Speaker 1: here in the Daily Juice. Bengals team total over twenty

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Speaker 1: seven and a half, Raiders team total under twenty one

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Speaker 1: and a half, Patriots plus ten under fifty same game

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Speaker 1: teaser at minus one twenty, Derek Carr under two hundred

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Speaker 1: and fifty four and a half yards passing, Joe Burrow

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Speaker 1: over one and a half touchdown tosses, Mac Jones under

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Speaker 1: thirty and a half passing attempts, and Nick Folk under

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Speaker 1: sorry over six and a half at plus one oh

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Speaker 1: five over six and a half points scored for him.

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Speaker 1: Those are the place for us here on a Saturday

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Speaker 1: edition on the Deally Juice Podcast, minus Matt Parreltz. Follow

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Speaker 1: me on Twitter at sports Talk Matt. We'll be watching

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Speaker 1: games all day long here on a wild card Saturday

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Speaker 1: here for the Dely Juice Podcast was being brought you

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Speaker 1: by Bedam Jam