WEBVTT - And, This is Speaker Newt Gingrich

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<v Speaker 1>This is Gavin Newsom and this is new Kidkrich. I

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<v Speaker 1>just wanted if I could just briefly up top. You

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<v Speaker 1>sent out a couple of tweets over the last twenty

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<v Speaker 1>four hours specific to Ukraine. Obviously topical issue, and I

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<v Speaker 1>appreciated candidly your tweets which were a little more assertive

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<v Speaker 1>pushing back on this notion that somehow time is our

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<v Speaker 1>ally with Putin, that it's time to be a little

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<v Speaker 1>more muscular, time to call him out. You also called

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<v Speaker 1>out I thought an important fact that's not necessarily part

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<v Speaker 1>of the discourse. He spent twenty one years in Sweden.

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, these guys have a longer.

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<v Speaker 2>View version that was actually the Napoleonic Wars.

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<v Speaker 3>Yeah, it was Putin who said, look, we fought Sweden

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<v Speaker 3>for twenty one years. You think I want to slow down.

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<v Speaker 1>You think I'm going to slow down, So tell me,

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<v Speaker 1>I mean, where are you in the over under? I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>is you know, I appreciate your advocacy for trump et cetera.

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<v Speaker 1>But I think, I mean it is the revelation that

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<v Speaker 1>he's waking up to this new reality that this is

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<v Speaker 1>not something you can snap your fingers. Putin's a different

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<v Speaker 1>kind of character.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I think that first of all, he probably shares

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of people's concern that if you push Putin

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<v Speaker 3>too hard you end up with a tactical nuclear war.

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<v Speaker 3>And then maybe more so, I think there's a there's

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<v Speaker 3>a dance around Putin that's a little more complicated than

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<v Speaker 3>just yes or no. On the other hand, I think

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<v Speaker 3>he actually believed from his first term when they did

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<v Speaker 3>a pretty good relationship. Although he had sent lethal weapons

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<v Speaker 3>to Ukraine. He is much tougher than Obama had been,

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<v Speaker 3>but he was pleasant. They had no major fights, and

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<v Speaker 3>I think he had in the back of his head

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<v Speaker 3>to look, we're reasonable, we can talk with each other.

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<v Speaker 3>And it's taken him, I think, about five months to

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<v Speaker 3>realize nothing Putin says matters. That what matters is what

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<v Speaker 3>Putin does. And when he says to you, oh, I

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<v Speaker 3>really like to get to a truce, but by the way,

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<v Speaker 3>for the next three days, I'm going to bomb civilians.

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<v Speaker 3>After a while begins to sink in. You know, it's

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<v Speaker 3>the opposite of George W. Bush. I'll never forget the

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<v Speaker 3>day Bush said that he looked into Putin's eyes and

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<v Speaker 3>saw his soul, and I knew that was nuts, because

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<v Speaker 3>you can't be a KGB lieutenant colonel have a soul.

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<v Speaker 3>So with the whole concept of you know, somehow we

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<v Speaker 3>try to make him a Western figure, he's not. He's

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<v Speaker 3>a Russian figure, and Russia is a different culture than

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<v Speaker 3>Western Europe.

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<v Speaker 1>And so the idea of what secondary oil sanctions you're

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<v Speaker 1>advocating for.

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I mean I advocate four big things, more weapons,

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<v Speaker 3>faster and something which the German minister Preme minister said

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<v Speaker 3>today that they'd agreed to, which has used the weapons

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<v Speaker 3>in Russia, so you start causing him pain in his territory.

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<v Speaker 1>And this is the longer range weapons, allowing them more range.

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<v Speaker 3>We've begun to give them weapons that can reach Russia,

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<v Speaker 3>and of course they have lots of They're going to

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<v Speaker 3>produce some astonishing number of drones this year. Yeah, I

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<v Speaker 3>mean what I think, like a million five or something.

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<v Speaker 3>I mean, people forgot Ukraine used to be a major

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<v Speaker 3>industrial center for the Soviet Union. There's a lot of

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<v Speaker 3>engineers in Ukraine, a lot of hardworking, smart people, and

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<v Speaker 3>they now mobilize and fighting. I think, so second, you

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<v Speaker 3>give them permission to fight inside Russia. Third, you apply

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<v Speaker 3>very severe sanctions on particularly sale of oil, which is

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<v Speaker 3>their only currency that they generated, any hard currency. And fourth,

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<v Speaker 3>I would start picking up all of the ships that

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<v Speaker 3>are carrying illegal oil and just literally let it be

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<v Speaker 3>known worldwide. You know, if you if you own a

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<v Speaker 3>ship and you use it to carry Russian oil, you're

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<v Speaker 3>going to lose the ship and we're gonna We're gonna

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<v Speaker 3>basically impound it forever. And at that point, his method

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<v Speaker 3>of hiding from the sanctions collapses, his ability to sell

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<v Speaker 3>within the sanctions collapses.

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<v Speaker 1>Uh.

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<v Speaker 3>And then the other thing I would do, which has

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<v Speaker 3>some legal implications, but I'm a historian, not a lawyer,

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<v Speaker 3>so I don't worry about that, is I would take

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<v Speaker 3>the three hundred billion that is impounded in the West

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<v Speaker 3>of Russian money, I give it all to Ukraine.

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<v Speaker 1>What has been the reticence of That's what I mean.

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<v Speaker 1>It's interesting that Trump didn't move more aggressively to do that,

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<v Speaker 1>or is it part of a tactical negotiation?

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<v Speaker 3>State Departminent Treasury will tell you there are all sorts

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<v Speaker 3>of complicated questions about doing that, to which my answer,

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<v Speaker 3>in the Franklin Roosevelt tradition is fine, let them fight

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<v Speaker 3>it out in court. Take the money.

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<v Speaker 1>I appreciate it. Well, that's a perfect segue into your

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<v Speaker 1>new book, Trump's Triumph, because I think a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>that is sort of reflected, sort of this notion of

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<v Speaker 1>action and moving beyond process and having a more entrepreneurial

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<v Speaker 1>mindset in terms of governance, et cetera. But let's frame

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<v Speaker 1>this book. This book comes out on June third, it's

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<v Speaker 1>your how many, mister speakers, Seriously, how many books have

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<v Speaker 1>you written?

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<v Speaker 3>Well, I'm told forty four. So are you?

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<v Speaker 1>And you're you're writing all these books. You actually write

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<v Speaker 1>these books.

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<v Speaker 3>You have help, but I write all these books.

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<v Speaker 1>And this one unsurprising that you'd come out with a

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<v Speaker 1>book about Trump's triumphs, but you But what surprised me

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<v Speaker 1>a little bit is this notion that you place them

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<v Speaker 1>as one of the five giants up there with Jackson

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<v Speaker 1>and Jefferson and people like Lincoln and Fdr himself. I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>is that your your current belief or is that one

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<v Speaker 1>that reflects.

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<v Speaker 3>I believe that since the summer of twenty fifteen, because

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<v Speaker 3>I watched him do two things that were kind of amazing.

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<v Speaker 3>One was tap into the deeply felt emotions of at

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<v Speaker 3>least half the country and particularly and this is one

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<v Speaker 3>of the great ironies that I know you're wrestling with

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<v Speaker 3>and I've heard you talk about it. You know, we're

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<v Speaker 3>having this switch of which party is the working class

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<v Speaker 3>party and which party is the elite party. Well, Trump

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<v Speaker 3>intuited this, and people forget he had thirteen years of

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<v Speaker 3>doing The Apprentice at NBC. He was a natural salesman

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<v Speaker 3>and a natural showman, so his instinct was to go

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<v Speaker 3>right for the blue collar worker. And he did two things.

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<v Speaker 3>In August of twenty fifteen. Vince Haley, who's now the

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<v Speaker 3>Domestic Policy director at that time, was working with us,

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<v Speaker 3>and he walked in one day in August and said,

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<v Speaker 3>you have to see the c SPAN coverage of Trump

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<v Speaker 3>in Arizona because Trump is talking about illegal immigration. And

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<v Speaker 3>then he invites the father of a young man who's

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<v Speaker 3>been killed to come up on stage. And then Trump

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<v Speaker 3>steps way back and allows this guy to have like

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<v Speaker 3>five or ten minutes on stage. Was a willingness to

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<v Speaker 3>give up the spotlight that most people watch Trump will

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<v Speaker 3>thinks not likely and that most politicians would find very

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<v Speaker 3>scary to give control of the microphone to this person.

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<v Speaker 3>And I watched the dynamics of that. And then you

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<v Speaker 3>may remember the very first debate Chlis and I were

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<v Speaker 3>watching in our living room and there was the one

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<v Speaker 3>where he got this really nasty, embarrassingly personal.

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<v Speaker 1>Fight and was this the Megan Kelly Kelly?

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<v Speaker 2>I mean, it was just it was kind of like, ooh,

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<v Speaker 2>I don't yeah, nothing about them.

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<v Speaker 1>I thought that was it. I thought it was over.

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<v Speaker 3>They were racing to the bottom, and I think he

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<v Speaker 3>got there first. And which is a line actually that

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<v Speaker 3>a year later somebody would use to describe the fight

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<v Speaker 3>with Hillary in the last month that she was going

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<v Speaker 3>towards the bottom, but we thought we could beat her

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<v Speaker 3>to it. So so anyway, so we watched this debate

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<v Speaker 3>and everybody, mean Frank once had a focus group. They

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<v Speaker 3>all thought Trump had lost. Everybody, like you know, everybody

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<v Speaker 3>at our level thought Trump had lost. Watching these various

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<v Speaker 3>online things and he's at seventy and eighty percent out

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<v Speaker 3>of sixteen, and I'm thinking, I wait a second, that

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<v Speaker 3>there's a mismatch here between everyday Americans and the elites

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<v Speaker 3>on a grant, on a giant scale. And at that

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<v Speaker 3>point I decided that what you had was a phenomenon

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<v Speaker 3>who had somehow tapped into a core desire of the

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<v Speaker 3>American people that they wanted to have a leader who

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<v Speaker 3>would profoundly change Washington. And in Trump you had somebody who,

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<v Speaker 3>by personality and by background, was pretty enthusiastic. I mean,

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<v Speaker 3>he's always wanted to be a person of consequence, and

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<v Speaker 3>you know, if you're the guy who breaks up the

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<v Speaker 3>Rooseveltian system after ninety years, you get to be a

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<v Speaker 3>person of consequence. And so it fit what his particular

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<v Speaker 3>half of the country wants, it fit what I think

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<v Speaker 3>is a historic necessity as a conservative, a political leader,

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<v Speaker 3>and it fit you know, his personal desire to have

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<v Speaker 3>a prime he wondered. And it's very interesting to think

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<v Speaker 3>back to this in terms of the politicians you've known.

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<v Speaker 3>His slogan wasn't Trump. His slogan was make America great again.

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<v Speaker 3>So he was picking a topic bigger than himself within

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<v Speaker 3>what he could grow. And I think after surviving the

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<v Speaker 3>two assassination attempts, he really personally believes that God spared

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<v Speaker 3>his life for the purpose of actually achieving that. So

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<v Speaker 3>I would My point is not whether you like him

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<v Speaker 3>or just like him, but if you look at the

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<v Speaker 3>great change agents, they really are. Jefferson Jackson, Lincoln and FDR.

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<v Speaker 3>And I think there's a fifty to fifty chance. It's

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<v Speaker 3>not a certainty yet. And I've told him, you know,

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<v Speaker 3>all he did was he earned a ticket to the dance. Now,

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<v Speaker 3>if he dances well enough and he wins the twenty

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<v Speaker 3>sixth election, then I'll learn a ticket to winning the

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<v Speaker 3>twenty eight election. And then which will probably be JD.

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<v Speaker 3>Vans on our side. And if we get the Trump

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<v Speaker 3>vice president's only forty years old. If we get the

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<v Speaker 3>Trump vice president on top of the Trump president, see,

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<v Speaker 3>then he will be in a league with those guys.

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<v Speaker 1>We're going to get to that, and we'll get to

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<v Speaker 1>twenty six in a second. But I want to go

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<v Speaker 1>back a little bit.

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<v Speaker 2>I'm not doing your show, Fish, and by the way,

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<v Speaker 2>you only thinking about it.

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<v Speaker 1>No, All I want to say is I'm grateful you're here.

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<v Speaker 1>This is a hell of the thing that the two

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<v Speaker 1>of us are having this conversation. So take me back.

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<v Speaker 1>It's interesting, you know, and you're absolutely right, and I

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<v Speaker 1>appreciate because we had Frank Lunz on and I want

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<v Speaker 1>to talk a little bit about what Frank talked about

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<v Speaker 1>in a minute a little bit going back the contract

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<v Speaker 1>with America, et cetera. But Frank made that point about

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<v Speaker 1>those focus groups. But I want to I'm curious your

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<v Speaker 1>point of view. Then with Trump. You must have known

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<v Speaker 1>him tangentially. But you were the leader of the as

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<v Speaker 1>you said yourself a second ago, conservative movement. Here's a

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<v Speaker 1>former Democrat, kind of all over the place, no strong

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<v Speaker 1>ideological mornings necessarily. I mean, you must have been pretty

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<v Speaker 1>distrustful early on. Were you of Donald Trump? You weren't,

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<v Speaker 1>for sure.

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<v Speaker 3>I've known Trump for a quarter century.

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<v Speaker 1>Right, Uh, politics, though he wasn't always a line.

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<v Speaker 3>I knew him back when he's a businessman. He was

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<v Speaker 3>a very noisy businessman. And I'd read his two books,

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<v Speaker 3>which I'd recommend everybody. If you want to understand Trump,

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<v Speaker 3>you read The Art of the Deal and The Art

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<v Speaker 3>of the Comeback. Comebacks the more important of the.

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<v Speaker 1>Two, because it opens up with some very telling lines.

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<v Speaker 3>It's amazing. He opens up with, Uh, my property in

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<v Speaker 3>Atlantic City's losing money. The economy is going down because

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<v Speaker 3>of Iraq. I'm nine hundred million dollars in debt personally

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<v Speaker 3>to the banks, and my wife just called and said,

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<v Speaker 3>you wanted a divorce. And he has this great line.

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<v Speaker 3>He says, this is the moment you either get depressed

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<v Speaker 3>or you plan a comeback. This book is about that,

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<v Speaker 3>which also tells you a lot about how he survived

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<v Speaker 3>the last four years.

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<v Speaker 1>That's right.

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<v Speaker 3>This is a guy who's resilient on a scale that

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<v Speaker 3>is historic. We first talked with him Pliston and I

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<v Speaker 3>had breakfast with him in Des Moines, in all places,

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<v Speaker 3>in February of twenty fifteen, and we talked about running

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<v Speaker 3>for president because we'd run in twelve and learned the

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<v Speaker 3>hard way that if the other guy has many millions

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<v Speaker 3>more than you bet on the money. But I learned

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<v Speaker 3>a lot of out running for president.

0:13:15.400 --> 0:13:18.200
<v Speaker 1>Even though you won easily by any objective measure, you

0:13:18.200 --> 0:13:19.760
<v Speaker 1>want all those NAMN debates.

0:13:19.559 --> 0:13:23.560
<v Speaker 2>At least enough TV, the ads cout on do the debates.

0:13:25.200 --> 0:13:28.480
<v Speaker 3>For me. It was a wonderful learning experience, and I

0:13:28.520 --> 0:13:31.680
<v Speaker 3>think in my willingness to take on the news media

0:13:31.760 --> 0:13:35.280
<v Speaker 3>head on, I was probably a forerunner for Trump's invention

0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:40.360
<v Speaker 3>of fake pop news. Well, we talked at length about

0:13:40.400 --> 0:13:43.960
<v Speaker 3>running and it was very interesting, and you could tell

0:13:44.000 --> 0:13:47.280
<v Speaker 3>that he had now moved from that would be an

0:13:47.280 --> 0:13:51.160
<v Speaker 3>interesting thing to kind of a businessman thinking through what

0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:53.040
<v Speaker 3>would it take, how much would it cost, how would

0:13:53.080 --> 0:13:56.840
<v Speaker 3>you structure it? And so I watched his development all

0:13:56.880 --> 0:14:02.040
<v Speaker 3>through fifteen, and I I wasn't particularly pro Trump at

0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:07.440
<v Speaker 3>that point, right, Frankly, if you remember, Jeb Bush was

0:14:07.440 --> 0:14:10.440
<v Speaker 3>the front runner, He had the most.

0:14:10.200 --> 0:14:13.319
<v Speaker 1>Money, hundred million in a pack, he had his father and.

0:14:13.280 --> 0:14:18.640
<v Speaker 3>His brother, he had nationwide name mighty, and watching Trump

0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:24.400
<v Speaker 3>psychologically take him apart low energy the case study, well,

0:14:24.720 --> 0:14:27.840
<v Speaker 3>he got so far inside Jeb's head. The Jeb is

0:14:27.920 --> 0:14:33.440
<v Speaker 3>running around New Hampshire in shorts jogging. Now the average

0:14:33.480 --> 0:14:36.680
<v Speaker 3>New Hampshire writing regards the idea of a presidential candidate

0:14:36.720 --> 0:14:43.240
<v Speaker 3>who's jogging has disqualification on ground just automatically, which which

0:14:43.320 --> 0:14:46.480
<v Speaker 3>was really unfortunate. Jeb's actually was a very good reform

0:14:46.560 --> 0:14:50.520
<v Speaker 3>governor of Florida. But Trump just had this ability to

0:14:50.640 --> 0:14:53.600
<v Speaker 3>somehow set the stage where you couldn't win.

0:14:54.880 --> 0:14:55.160
<v Speaker 2>Uh.

0:14:55.200 --> 0:14:58.520
<v Speaker 3>And it's a it's a very unusual capability.

0:15:04.360 --> 0:15:07.320
<v Speaker 1>So it's interesting. So I appreciate in twenty fifteen you started,

0:15:07.400 --> 0:15:09.480
<v Speaker 1>I mean there was sort of the dance of sort

0:15:09.480 --> 0:15:12.560
<v Speaker 1>of developing more of this formal relationship as it relates

0:15:12.600 --> 0:15:15.560
<v Speaker 1>to the political and said, did you find him particularly

0:15:15.600 --> 0:15:20.600
<v Speaker 1>policy driven then was he inquisitive in terms of tactics policy.

0:15:20.960 --> 0:15:24.640
<v Speaker 3>Look, he's talking about tariffs forty years ago. Yeah, true,

0:15:24.840 --> 0:15:27.640
<v Speaker 3>talking about immigration, I mean the whole He's talking about

0:15:27.640 --> 0:15:30.480
<v Speaker 3>the corruption of washermen. There are some basic themes. But

0:15:30.760 --> 0:15:32.560
<v Speaker 3>what I was going to say, though, is, and this

0:15:32.600 --> 0:15:35.880
<v Speaker 3>may help you understand where I'm coming from. Trump is

0:15:35.920 --> 0:15:40.640
<v Speaker 3>not a conservative, right. Trump is the best anti liberal

0:15:41.200 --> 0:15:45.640
<v Speaker 3>politician in my lifetime, better than Reagan. Reagan was the

0:15:45.680 --> 0:15:49.240
<v Speaker 3>great conservative articulator. I sort of stood on his shoulders

0:15:49.240 --> 0:15:51.840
<v Speaker 3>with the Contract with America, and we came out of

0:15:51.880 --> 0:16:00.680
<v Speaker 3>a formed philosophical background. Trump understands that the current doesn't

0:16:00.720 --> 0:16:03.880
<v Speaker 3>work and that the woke phase of the American left

0:16:04.680 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 3>is totally destructive of the American system. This is my view, obviously,

0:16:10.200 --> 0:16:14.720
<v Speaker 3>and therefore he is prepared to fight everybody I want

0:16:14.720 --> 0:16:17.880
<v Speaker 3>to fight. Now. The fact that he doesn't read Bill

0:16:17.920 --> 0:16:22.400
<v Speaker 3>Buckley and he doesn't have a National Review subscription, I

0:16:22.400 --> 0:16:25.760
<v Speaker 3>don't care because I know that instinctively he'll get up

0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:28.520
<v Speaker 3>every morning and think, you know what part of the

0:16:28.600 --> 0:16:31.200
<v Speaker 3>left can I take apart today? And one day it'll

0:16:31.200 --> 0:16:33.800
<v Speaker 3>be Harvard, and another day will be The New York Times,

0:16:34.080 --> 0:16:36.960
<v Speaker 3>and another day it'll be some bureaucracy, but every day

0:16:37.000 --> 0:16:41.440
<v Speaker 3>he will cheerfully go out and engage and tear apart

0:16:41.760 --> 0:16:43.720
<v Speaker 3>the people who I think need to be torn apart.

0:16:44.160 --> 0:16:48.760
<v Speaker 3>So I'm very happy to have a non conservative, anti liberal,

0:16:49.440 --> 0:16:53.080
<v Speaker 3>entrepreneurial activist with all the skills of a great businessman.

0:16:53.560 --> 0:16:56.160
<v Speaker 1>Well so, at peril, I jump right into the book

0:16:56.200 --> 0:16:59.160
<v Speaker 1>and get chapters and chapters ahead. He's also taking on

0:16:59.240 --> 0:17:02.280
<v Speaker 1>things that you've champion. I mean, you've highlighted in the

0:17:02.320 --> 0:17:07.040
<v Speaker 1>book the importance of of genomics and synthetic biology and

0:17:07.080 --> 0:17:11.040
<v Speaker 1>discovery and invest you know in R and D, the

0:17:11.160 --> 0:17:15.199
<v Speaker 1>issues obviously with DARPA, et cetera. I mean, how concerned,

0:17:15.320 --> 0:17:17.480
<v Speaker 1>including by the way, you just did a documentary with

0:17:17.520 --> 0:17:21.000
<v Speaker 1>your wife on of all things, four letter word for

0:17:21.119 --> 0:17:25.800
<v Speaker 1>some of your friends PBS. Very proud PVS to me,

0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:29.560
<v Speaker 1>but on journey to America on immigration, and so I'm

0:17:29.600 --> 0:17:33.040
<v Speaker 1>curious just that tension. I get this sort of owning

0:17:33.080 --> 0:17:36.199
<v Speaker 1>the lib and liberalism more broadly defined. But where do

0:17:36.280 --> 0:17:38.520
<v Speaker 1>you are you? Where are you in this.

0:17:38.520 --> 0:17:42.040
<v Speaker 3>Sort of I think I think when everything shakes out,

0:17:43.720 --> 0:17:49.360
<v Speaker 3>let's start with immigration. Trump is as pro legal immigration

0:17:50.520 --> 0:17:54.320
<v Speaker 3>as he is anti illegal immigration. I mean, two of

0:17:54.359 --> 0:17:59.560
<v Speaker 3>his wives are foreign born. His mother came from Scotland. Uh,

0:17:59.640 --> 0:18:01.120
<v Speaker 3>you know he he's not going to jump up and down.

0:18:01.160 --> 0:18:03.159
<v Speaker 3>And he has said openly, I mean he's come up

0:18:03.160 --> 0:18:05.919
<v Speaker 3>with this idea of this five million dollar you know,

0:18:06.240 --> 0:18:07.359
<v Speaker 3>avenue to America.

0:18:07.840 --> 0:18:08.640
<v Speaker 1>What happened to that?

0:18:09.320 --> 0:18:13.639
<v Speaker 3>Well, I suspect it will be implemented. He wants the money.

0:18:14.400 --> 0:18:16.680
<v Speaker 3>I'm not sure his calculations are right.

0:18:17.160 --> 0:18:18.679
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, No, that's a little generous.

0:18:19.200 --> 0:18:21.160
<v Speaker 3>Enough people show up to make it a big deal.

0:18:21.200 --> 0:18:25.400
<v Speaker 3>But Canada and other countries have had very similar, smaller

0:18:25.440 --> 0:18:33.920
<v Speaker 3>scale example proudgets. There's no question that the most aggressive

0:18:34.200 --> 0:18:37.359
<v Speaker 3>pieces of the Trump coalition would do things that I

0:18:37.359 --> 0:18:41.600
<v Speaker 3>would regard as destructive. There's also no question if you

0:18:41.640 --> 0:18:43.920
<v Speaker 3>look at, for example, the caliber of the people he's

0:18:43.960 --> 0:18:47.320
<v Speaker 3>appointed at the Center for Disease Control or for the

0:18:47.400 --> 0:18:51.359
<v Speaker 3>National Institute of Health. These are very smart, very senior people.

0:18:52.040 --> 0:18:55.520
<v Speaker 3>And and I just had a conversation with the new

0:18:55.560 --> 0:18:59.399
<v Speaker 3>head of NIH, who clearly wants to clean out the underbrush.

0:18:59.760 --> 0:19:02.320
<v Speaker 3>But and I say this as a guy who, while

0:19:02.359 --> 0:19:05.560
<v Speaker 3>balancing the federal budget for four years in a row,

0:19:05.600 --> 0:19:08.359
<v Speaker 3>the only time in one hundred years, we doubled the

0:19:08.400 --> 0:19:13.159
<v Speaker 3>size of nih Well balancing the budget so deeply in science.

0:19:13.320 --> 0:19:15.680
<v Speaker 3>But I'll also tell you it's now a big It

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:19.879
<v Speaker 3>kept growing. So what we doubled was the baseline from

0:19:19.880 --> 0:19:22.680
<v Speaker 3>which it just kept growing. And it's a big bureaucratic

0:19:22.760 --> 0:19:25.200
<v Speaker 3>system with a lot of ballogne. I mean, when you're

0:19:25.240 --> 0:19:30.240
<v Speaker 3>paying sixty five percent more than the grant so that

0:19:30.400 --> 0:19:34.440
<v Speaker 3>Harvard or Stanford or somebody can pay for overhead, there's

0:19:34.480 --> 0:19:37.879
<v Speaker 3>a lot you can do that doesn't hurt genuine reform.

0:19:38.160 --> 0:19:39.720
<v Speaker 3>You also have a big problem which I don't know

0:19:39.720 --> 0:19:41.879
<v Speaker 3>how they're going to solve, and that is they've gotten

0:19:41.920 --> 0:19:45.240
<v Speaker 3>into this ropidope system where people will file for a

0:19:45.280 --> 0:19:50.240
<v Speaker 3>research project, not reach the conclusion because they've already filed

0:19:50.280 --> 0:19:53.439
<v Speaker 3>for continuing and if they reached the conclusion, they have

0:19:53.480 --> 0:19:55.920
<v Speaker 3>to go out and find a whole new topic. That's

0:19:56.640 --> 0:20:00.879
<v Speaker 3>a fair amount of stating down research by your rocratizing it.

0:20:01.359 --> 0:20:03.600
<v Speaker 3>So I mean, I'm passionate about this stuff. I'll give

0:20:03.600 --> 0:20:06.439
<v Speaker 3>you one other example. I am totally committed to space.

0:20:06.880 --> 0:20:10.760
<v Speaker 3>I have been since in nineteen eighty one, I introduced

0:20:10.760 --> 0:20:14.040
<v Speaker 3>the Northwest Ordinance for the Moon, saying that if you

0:20:14.119 --> 0:20:16.879
<v Speaker 3>got to a certain population, you could apply for statehood,

0:20:16.960 --> 0:20:19.320
<v Speaker 3>which at that time people thought was nuts. Now they

0:20:19.359 --> 0:20:21.080
<v Speaker 3>still think it's nuts, but not quite as nuts.

0:20:21.160 --> 0:20:23.479
<v Speaker 1>I remember you in the debates talking about space and

0:20:23.640 --> 0:20:25.959
<v Speaker 1>we were wondering what the you know, you were on

0:20:26.000 --> 0:20:29.520
<v Speaker 1>the edge there, so you have been you consistent.

0:20:30.080 --> 0:20:33.040
<v Speaker 3>I'm just glad that Elon came along and maybe doable.

0:20:34.000 --> 0:20:36.119
<v Speaker 3>And I'll give you an example. When the starship actually

0:20:36.119 --> 0:20:39.800
<v Speaker 3>gets settled down and works properly, it has thirty three engines,

0:20:40.200 --> 0:20:43.600
<v Speaker 3>it produces two point three times as much thrust as

0:20:43.640 --> 0:20:46.600
<v Speaker 3>the Saturn five the rocket went to the Moon two

0:20:46.600 --> 0:20:49.200
<v Speaker 3>point three times as much. So your choice is to

0:20:49.240 --> 0:20:52.199
<v Speaker 3>go with the traditional NASA spend an amazing amount of

0:20:52.200 --> 0:20:54.439
<v Speaker 3>money and maybe get two people in the surface of

0:20:54.440 --> 0:20:57.800
<v Speaker 3>the moon. Or this thing will lift one hundred people

0:20:58.240 --> 0:21:02.440
<v Speaker 3>or one hundred and fifty tons, so you could put

0:21:02.520 --> 0:21:05.400
<v Speaker 3>fifty to seventy people on the Moon in one bite.

0:21:05.480 --> 0:21:06.800
<v Speaker 3>I mean, just boom.

0:21:07.240 --> 0:21:11.960
<v Speaker 1>But to your point, that requires ns It requires all

0:21:12.000 --> 0:21:16.040
<v Speaker 1>of the innovation and entrepreneurs I mean, it requires research institutions,

0:21:16.359 --> 0:21:19.919
<v Speaker 1>It requires presumably institutions of higher learning as well. Are

0:21:19.960 --> 0:21:23.760
<v Speaker 1>you concerned about what's happening in terms of those partnerships?

0:21:23.760 --> 0:21:26.639
<v Speaker 1>I mean, just I think about Sandia Labs, Lawrence Livermore Labs,

0:21:26.680 --> 0:21:29.320
<v Speaker 1>I think about all the R and D that's happening

0:21:29.320 --> 0:21:33.760
<v Speaker 1>with military and obviously with academia. I mean, you're concerned

0:21:33.760 --> 0:21:37.439
<v Speaker 1>that there's a recklessness. I appreciate solving for issues of

0:21:37.480 --> 0:21:42.399
<v Speaker 1>some abuse or some inefficiencies, but there seems to be

0:21:42.440 --> 0:21:44.880
<v Speaker 1>a blunt approach.

0:21:45.560 --> 0:21:47.600
<v Speaker 3>Now, first of all, I think there is. As a historian,

0:21:48.200 --> 0:21:50.919
<v Speaker 3>I would argue that when you try to make change

0:21:50.920 --> 0:21:55.080
<v Speaker 3>on this scale, you're going to have very sloppy margins.

0:21:56.040 --> 0:22:00.600
<v Speaker 3>You cannot move slow enough to be careful or the

0:22:00.640 --> 0:22:03.680
<v Speaker 3>old order will surround you and drown you. Here here

0:22:04.280 --> 0:22:06.119
<v Speaker 3>you have you have to be, which means you're going

0:22:06.200 --> 0:22:07.920
<v Speaker 3>to make mistakes and you're going to screw things up.

0:22:08.160 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 3>You got to go back and fix them. At the

0:22:10.040 --> 0:22:13.320
<v Speaker 3>same time, I would say, uh, I really I worry

0:22:13.359 --> 0:22:17.879
<v Speaker 3>about our greatest universities. Partially I suspect the opposite of

0:22:17.920 --> 0:22:20.440
<v Speaker 3>your view, which is partially I think they're so left

0:22:20.440 --> 0:22:23.840
<v Speaker 3>wing now that they're virtually to tolitarian, and that they

0:22:24.280 --> 0:22:27.720
<v Speaker 3>create a group think that is really destructive. And yet

0:22:28.040 --> 0:22:31.439
<v Speaker 3>at one point, just a generation ago, these were the

0:22:31.480 --> 0:22:35.120
<v Speaker 3>greatest centers of learning, on the planet. Uh, And it

0:22:35.119 --> 0:22:37.520
<v Speaker 3>does worry me. How how do you how do you

0:22:37.640 --> 0:22:39.879
<v Speaker 3>keep the best of Harvard or the best of MI

0:22:39.960 --> 0:22:43.360
<v Speaker 3>I T or the best of Stanford or Berkeley? Uh,

0:22:43.400 --> 0:22:46.560
<v Speaker 3>without well at the same time taking head on the

0:22:46.680 --> 0:22:50.879
<v Speaker 3>kind of ideological group think that has become literally almost

0:22:50.960 --> 0:22:55.200
<v Speaker 3>to tolitarian in its unwillingness to have any competition of ideas.

0:22:55.240 --> 0:22:58.560
<v Speaker 3>And I think that's a real challenge and we don't

0:22:58.920 --> 0:23:00.479
<v Speaker 3>truth is, we don't have a good answer.

0:23:00.880 --> 0:23:03.600
<v Speaker 1>No, I mean, how do you square that circle? Specifically

0:23:03.640 --> 0:23:06.359
<v Speaker 1>on this notion of the journey to America? And I

0:23:06.400 --> 0:23:08.520
<v Speaker 1>want to talk to about the timing of that. And

0:23:08.680 --> 0:23:12.160
<v Speaker 1>by the way, congratulations ninety minute documentary on PBS that's

0:23:12.200 --> 0:23:15.000
<v Speaker 1>really a love letter to absorbing the best and the

0:23:15.000 --> 0:23:17.159
<v Speaker 1>brightest and who we are as America in the spirit

0:23:17.480 --> 0:23:21.120
<v Speaker 1>of Reagan. You talked about the life force of new Americans,

0:23:21.640 --> 0:23:24.440
<v Speaker 1>that language evocative of who we are. But now we're

0:23:24.440 --> 0:23:27.080
<v Speaker 1>starting to talk about twenty seven percent of the student

0:23:27.080 --> 0:23:30.880
<v Speaker 1>body as international at Harvard, and you're basically saying now

0:23:31.200 --> 0:23:33.600
<v Speaker 1>you don't need to apply, and they're opening up their

0:23:33.720 --> 0:23:37.199
<v Speaker 1>arms and their wallets in places like China. How do

0:23:37.240 --> 0:23:37.920
<v Speaker 1>we square that?

0:23:39.600 --> 0:23:45.920
<v Speaker 3>I think it's very hard. I think that there are

0:23:45.920 --> 0:23:50.680
<v Speaker 3>two conflicting things going on, and we don't talk about

0:23:50.720 --> 0:23:54.160
<v Speaker 3>them very honestly. I think what's happened in much of Europe,

0:23:54.920 --> 0:23:59.760
<v Speaker 3>where the culture is literally being drowned, should be a

0:24:00.119 --> 0:24:03.000
<v Speaker 3>much greater alarm, and it's something you can't even talk about.

0:24:03.600 --> 0:24:08.160
<v Speaker 3>But if you look at places in Britain or France,

0:24:08.320 --> 0:24:14.439
<v Speaker 3>or Sweden or neighborhoods and Brussels, you're seeing basically the

0:24:14.520 --> 0:24:18.199
<v Speaker 3>end of Western civilization. So on the one hand, you

0:24:18.280 --> 0:24:23.040
<v Speaker 3>have to say, are there legitimate concerns about who comes

0:24:23.040 --> 0:24:25.480
<v Speaker 3>here and why they come here? The other side of

0:24:25.480 --> 0:24:29.320
<v Speaker 3>that is with the Chinese. A very great deal of

0:24:29.400 --> 0:24:34.000
<v Speaker 3>China's technological advance has come from American universities, where Chinese

0:24:34.000 --> 0:24:36.240
<v Speaker 3>students come, learn a heck of a lot and go

0:24:36.320 --> 0:24:41.200
<v Speaker 3>back home. And if China is our biggest competitor, which

0:24:41.240 --> 0:24:44.720
<v Speaker 3>I think may turn out to be exaggerated a decade

0:24:44.720 --> 0:24:49.400
<v Speaker 3>from now, nonetheless, for planning purposes, they are our biggest competitor.

0:24:50.240 --> 0:24:54.399
<v Speaker 3>Do you really want cal Tech and MIT to be

0:24:54.480 --> 0:24:57.239
<v Speaker 3>providing the best Chinese scientists in the world so they

0:24:57.240 --> 0:25:01.040
<v Speaker 3>can go back home? I those are topics that deserve

0:25:01.640 --> 0:25:06.960
<v Speaker 3>a lot deeper and more conversation. And I think I'm

0:25:06.960 --> 0:25:11.480
<v Speaker 3>perfectly happy to say that there will be pieces of

0:25:11.520 --> 0:25:15.280
<v Speaker 3>the Make America Great Again movement that are going to

0:25:15.320 --> 0:25:17.600
<v Speaker 3>have to go back and be fixed because they're going

0:25:17.600 --> 0:25:19.639
<v Speaker 3>to be destructive. Some of them are just playing going

0:25:19.680 --> 0:25:23.040
<v Speaker 3>to be wrong. I mean, I'm a very big advocate

0:25:23.040 --> 0:25:25.879
<v Speaker 3>for science. I wrote a piece recently on why we

0:25:25.920 --> 0:25:30.199
<v Speaker 3>should not cut science funding at NASA. For example. On

0:25:30.240 --> 0:25:33.000
<v Speaker 3>the one hand, I'm totally in favor of wiping out

0:25:33.080 --> 0:25:36.679
<v Speaker 3>the Space Launch System, which is stunningly expensive and has

0:25:36.720 --> 0:25:40.160
<v Speaker 3>accomplished nothing. And by the way, you could probably pay

0:25:40.160 --> 0:25:44.560
<v Speaker 3>for a decade of NASA science with the cost of

0:25:44.600 --> 0:25:49.199
<v Speaker 3>the Space Launch System, you know. So I think there

0:25:49.240 --> 0:25:51.640
<v Speaker 3>are ways that there are good things we should protect,

0:25:51.840 --> 0:25:53.879
<v Speaker 3>and that's going to lead to fights, because you're going

0:25:53.920 --> 0:25:56.439
<v Speaker 3>to have some people who are clumsy or sloppy, or

0:25:56.440 --> 0:25:59.640
<v Speaker 3>who ideologically are pretty cheerful about being ignorant.

0:26:00.040 --> 0:26:04.840
<v Speaker 1>I mean, I mean, look, you you talk about Doge

0:26:04.880 --> 0:26:06.359
<v Speaker 1>in the book, you write about it rather and you

0:26:06.720 --> 0:26:09.080
<v Speaker 1>but you write about it very in laudatory terms, but

0:26:09.119 --> 0:26:11.640
<v Speaker 1>you make the point you just made as it relates

0:26:11.640 --> 0:26:12.960
<v Speaker 1>to if you're going to move fast, you're going to

0:26:13.000 --> 0:26:16.399
<v Speaker 1>break some things. But this notion of iteration and time

0:26:17.040 --> 0:26:20.320
<v Speaker 1>to move and speed. You you even highlight old Peter

0:26:20.440 --> 0:26:25.679
<v Speaker 1>Drucker talking about excellence and efficiency, which I appreciated, But

0:26:25.840 --> 0:26:27.879
<v Speaker 1>I mean, what is your over under just you know,

0:26:28.000 --> 0:26:33.000
<v Speaker 1>doge in particular? Is it? You know, are you satisfied

0:26:33.280 --> 0:26:36.240
<v Speaker 1>with the two trillion dollars in savings?

0:26:36.640 --> 0:26:41.520
<v Speaker 3>It will turn out to have at least two patterns.

0:26:41.560 --> 0:26:45.359
<v Speaker 3>One is more noise than achievement. Yeah, uh. And the

0:26:45.400 --> 0:26:49.600
<v Speaker 3>other is that it will have exposed for us a

0:26:49.680 --> 0:26:51.719
<v Speaker 3>number of things that were going on that are kind

0:26:51.760 --> 0:26:55.159
<v Speaker 3>of astonishing. Uh. And that you you know, so on

0:26:55.200 --> 0:26:55.680
<v Speaker 3>the one.

0:26:55.520 --> 0:26:59.280
<v Speaker 1>Hand, condoms in Gaza, which you know turn out not

0:26:59.359 --> 0:27:00.000
<v Speaker 1>to be the case.

0:27:00.520 --> 0:27:03.560
<v Speaker 3>What do you mean? Well, for example, it's pretty clear

0:27:04.080 --> 0:27:05.880
<v Speaker 3>that I think at least ten percent of the UN

0:27:06.000 --> 0:27:08.920
<v Speaker 3>refugee workers in Gaza were pro Hamas.

0:27:09.640 --> 0:27:12.680
<v Speaker 1>Oh that's separate, separate. I'm just I'm just I'm lamenting

0:27:12.720 --> 0:27:16.440
<v Speaker 1>on the sort of Orwellian notion of fifty million dollars

0:27:16.520 --> 0:27:20.040
<v Speaker 1>of condoms, which the President reminded me of in the

0:27:20.080 --> 0:27:22.399
<v Speaker 1>Oval office, which I told him was not true.

0:27:22.520 --> 0:27:24.600
<v Speaker 3>And there's a good California, and I'm sure you fondly

0:27:24.640 --> 0:27:25.359
<v Speaker 3>remember Reagan.

0:27:27.080 --> 0:27:30.360
<v Speaker 1>I do, by the way, speaker, I'm in his office

0:27:30.440 --> 0:27:31.919
<v Speaker 1>every day as a point of pride.

0:27:31.960 --> 0:27:34.399
<v Speaker 3>That's well, that's right, I mean right there, right there

0:27:34.400 --> 0:27:37.520
<v Speaker 3>in the governorship. Yeah. Every once in a while, Reagan

0:27:37.560 --> 0:27:40.359
<v Speaker 3>would see something in the newspaper and it was click

0:27:40.400 --> 0:27:44.120
<v Speaker 3>in his head. I would repeat it endlessly. I see

0:27:44.119 --> 0:27:50.000
<v Speaker 3>where you're going, And now look there there's a great

0:27:50.520 --> 0:27:53.320
<v Speaker 3>rookie who is a German poet once said, if you

0:27:53.440 --> 0:27:57.600
<v Speaker 3>drive away my demons, will my angels flee? Also, well,

0:27:57.840 --> 0:28:01.560
<v Speaker 3>talent's with the charismatic leader of Trump's power is there's

0:28:01.760 --> 0:28:04.600
<v Speaker 3>five or ten percent where you go, really, and then

0:28:04.640 --> 0:28:07.639
<v Speaker 3>there's this other stuff that is amazing and historic, and

0:28:08.160 --> 0:28:09.920
<v Speaker 3>you may not be able to separate the two.

0:28:10.520 --> 0:28:13.080
<v Speaker 1>Yeah or yeah, I mean I may have a different

0:28:13.160 --> 0:28:17.720
<v Speaker 1>I'm maybe ninety ten of your flipped.

0:28:19.880 --> 0:28:21.000
<v Speaker 3>That's one of the reason I wanted to do the

0:28:21.000 --> 0:28:24.679
<v Speaker 3>show with you. I remember when we talked about Citizenville.

0:28:24.960 --> 0:28:27.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, and all the ideas you had decade ago before

0:28:27.840 --> 0:28:28.400
<v Speaker 2>you ran.

0:28:28.240 --> 0:28:29.679
<v Speaker 3>Into the Sacramento bureaucracy.

0:28:29.840 --> 0:28:34.200
<v Speaker 2>God bless by the way, I still tell people that's

0:28:34.240 --> 0:28:35.480
<v Speaker 2>a really worthwhile book.

0:28:35.760 --> 0:28:38.000
<v Speaker 1>I appreciate you for saying that. By the way, I

0:28:38.000 --> 0:28:41.320
<v Speaker 1>think so much. It's interesting. I reflected on that our

0:28:41.360 --> 0:28:44.040
<v Speaker 1>conversations and a little bit on that book. As reading

0:28:44.080 --> 0:28:47.240
<v Speaker 1>your book, I mean, you talk about, you know, governing,

0:28:47.560 --> 0:28:51.240
<v Speaker 1>not just campaigning. You talk about issues around efficient and

0:28:51.240 --> 0:28:55.280
<v Speaker 1>effective government and more novel and I think what's always

0:28:55.280 --> 0:28:58.640
<v Speaker 1>interested me about you is your willingness to lean into

0:28:58.680 --> 0:29:02.080
<v Speaker 1>the future and talk about healthcare differently than others, as

0:29:02.120 --> 0:29:06.160
<v Speaker 1>you did again here even highlighted my friend Dean Ornige

0:29:06.200 --> 0:29:08.720
<v Speaker 1>in terms of some of his work on wellness and prevention.

0:29:08.920 --> 0:29:13.880
<v Speaker 1>These four p's. You talk about predictability and personalization in

0:29:13.920 --> 0:29:16.880
<v Speaker 1>the healthcare space, but you also take on other spaces

0:29:16.880 --> 0:29:20.520
<v Speaker 1>which I appreciate as well, like the old Eisenhower frame

0:29:21.080 --> 0:29:24.520
<v Speaker 1>on the military industrial complex. And I'm curious, in relationship

0:29:24.560 --> 0:29:26.960
<v Speaker 1>to the DOGE question, why do you think there's been

0:29:27.040 --> 0:29:30.840
<v Speaker 1>so little willingness to enter into that space, even the

0:29:31.200 --> 0:29:33.360
<v Speaker 1>space launch example you just gave.

0:29:34.680 --> 0:29:39.040
<v Speaker 3>I think you know, I had one fight in the

0:29:39.080 --> 0:29:45.239
<v Speaker 3>first bushes of Trump's first term over HUAWEIH and what

0:29:45.280 --> 0:29:50.480
<v Speaker 3>we needed to do to dramatically strengthen American telecommunications, and

0:29:50.520 --> 0:29:54.360
<v Speaker 3>it's the one fight that I clearly decisively lost, and

0:29:54.400 --> 0:29:56.920
<v Speaker 3>I lost it because AT and T was on the

0:29:56.920 --> 0:30:00.160
<v Speaker 3>other side, and AT and T is so big, big,

0:30:01.080 --> 0:30:05.280
<v Speaker 3>contributes so much money as so many lobbyists by so

0:30:05.360 --> 0:30:09.360
<v Speaker 3>many TV ads that you know, I just just ran

0:30:09.400 --> 0:30:12.880
<v Speaker 3>over me. It was an exciting experience, but I felt

0:30:12.880 --> 0:30:15.240
<v Speaker 3>like a lot. I felt like the guy in Tanneman Square,

0:30:15.640 --> 0:30:19.680
<v Speaker 3>the tankage. So I started with that. I mean it is.

0:30:20.560 --> 0:30:23.360
<v Speaker 3>I think the space launch system is one of the

0:30:23.400 --> 0:30:27.280
<v Speaker 3>best examples of the sickness of the old order and

0:30:27.560 --> 0:30:29.840
<v Speaker 3>what Eisenhower did warn about. I mean, people should go

0:30:29.880 --> 0:30:32.800
<v Speaker 3>back and read his farewell address because he's very clear,

0:30:32.800 --> 0:30:35.840
<v Speaker 3>and this guy had been a five star general commander

0:30:35.840 --> 0:30:39.080
<v Speaker 3>of Allied forces in Europe as well as president, so

0:30:39.120 --> 0:30:44.400
<v Speaker 3>he had pretty good knowledge and he's saying correctly. In

0:30:44.560 --> 0:30:47.920
<v Speaker 3>order to build a system big enough to defeat or

0:30:48.000 --> 0:30:52.440
<v Speaker 3>contain the Soviet Empire, you have to turn over so

0:30:52.560 --> 0:30:56.360
<v Speaker 3>much money and power to a bureaucracy which will then

0:30:56.480 --> 0:30:59.280
<v Speaker 3>hire a big corporations that you're going to have the

0:30:59.320 --> 0:31:03.600
<v Speaker 3>permanent danger that they grow together into sort of a

0:31:03.680 --> 0:31:08.360
<v Speaker 3>single organism which then operates for its own benefit. And

0:31:09.160 --> 0:31:12.160
<v Speaker 3>that's an enormous problem across It's a problem in healthcare too.

0:31:12.160 --> 0:31:15.080
<v Speaker 3>I mean, big health in many ways is as bad

0:31:15.120 --> 0:31:18.600
<v Speaker 3>as Big Defense. And I'm working on a paper right

0:31:18.640 --> 0:31:20.840
<v Speaker 3>now which will amuse you when he finally comes out

0:31:22.280 --> 0:31:27.160
<v Speaker 3>talking about Trump time and Trump's savings and going back

0:31:27.200 --> 0:31:32.880
<v Speaker 3>to the skating rink in New York. Yeah, city had

0:31:33.440 --> 0:31:36.120
<v Speaker 3>the rink had quit making ice, which makes it very

0:31:36.120 --> 0:31:39.120
<v Speaker 3>hard if your skating rink, and the city had for

0:31:39.160 --> 0:31:42.440
<v Speaker 3>six years tried to fix it and spent thirteen million dollars.

0:31:42.680 --> 0:31:45.160
<v Speaker 3>Trump talks about this in his first in the book,

0:31:45.600 --> 0:31:46.280
<v Speaker 3>The Art of the Deal.

0:31:46.520 --> 0:31:48.200
<v Speaker 1>This is one of his great successes.

0:31:48.440 --> 0:31:50.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, objectively, and he says, you know, he's looking at

0:31:50.600 --> 0:31:54.080
<v Speaker 3>his apartment, looks out over the rink, the woman rink,

0:31:54.520 --> 0:31:57.240
<v Speaker 3>and so he finally gets so pissed off at six

0:31:57.360 --> 0:32:01.200
<v Speaker 3>years they can't make ice, and he challenges the mayor

0:32:01.200 --> 0:32:04.280
<v Speaker 3>publicly and says, you give it to me, and I

0:32:04.320 --> 0:32:09.800
<v Speaker 3>will fix it in less than a year for under

0:32:09.840 --> 0:32:13.440
<v Speaker 3>three million dollars. Well, he fixed it in four months,

0:32:14.320 --> 0:32:16.320
<v Speaker 3>and we came in twenty five percent below budget, and

0:32:16.320 --> 0:32:19.280
<v Speaker 3>they already spent six and a half million. He came

0:32:19.320 --> 0:32:21.760
<v Speaker 3>in twenty five percent below the three million dollar budget,

0:32:21.960 --> 0:32:24.920
<v Speaker 3>totally fixed in four months. And in the book, is

0:32:24.960 --> 0:32:27.640
<v Speaker 3>this great line where he says, they had this firm

0:32:27.680 --> 0:32:31.240
<v Speaker 3>in Florida that had won the contract and didn't know

0:32:31.240 --> 0:32:34.000
<v Speaker 3>what they were doing. And so I said to myself,

0:32:34.400 --> 0:32:41.040
<v Speaker 3>who builds skating rinks? I thought Canavan? I went, oh,

0:32:41.960 --> 0:32:44.680
<v Speaker 3>excuse me. So he goes to the National Hockey League

0:32:45.280 --> 0:32:47.920
<v Speaker 3>and says, who builds the skating rinks? And this is

0:32:47.960 --> 0:32:51.040
<v Speaker 3>firm in Montreal And they fly down and they look

0:32:51.040 --> 0:32:53.480
<v Speaker 3>at it and they go, this is really embarrassing. This

0:32:53.640 --> 0:32:56.440
<v Speaker 3>is so easy to fix, you can't believe it. And

0:32:56.480 --> 0:32:58.320
<v Speaker 3>when he finally got it done, somebody said what happened?

0:32:58.320 --> 0:33:03.320
<v Speaker 3>He said, it wasn't magic, it was common sense and management. Well,

0:33:03.600 --> 0:33:06.520
<v Speaker 3>to the degree that we could bring common sense and management,

0:33:07.320 --> 0:33:10.640
<v Speaker 3>we would. I think you could get better defense for

0:33:11.760 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 3>twenty five percent less than the current defense budget if

0:33:15.640 --> 0:33:18.240
<v Speaker 3>you could clean out all the bureaucracy and all the

0:33:18.280 --> 0:33:22.560
<v Speaker 3>cronyism and all the bad contracts. I tell every audience

0:33:23.920 --> 0:33:26.440
<v Speaker 3>if you took the Pentagon and turned it into a triangle,

0:33:27.560 --> 0:33:30.560
<v Speaker 3>and took the other two thirds and turned into a museum,

0:33:30.840 --> 0:33:34.640
<v Speaker 3>you would get a better defense system overnight. And the

0:33:34.680 --> 0:33:37.160
<v Speaker 3>reason simple. You'll understand. This is the governor of a

0:33:37.160 --> 0:33:40.440
<v Speaker 3>state with a huge bureaucracy. They built the Pentagon in

0:33:40.520 --> 0:33:44.680
<v Speaker 3>nineteen forty three so that twenty six thousand people could

0:33:44.680 --> 0:33:50.959
<v Speaker 3>manage World War two with carbon paper, manual typewriters and

0:33:51.040 --> 0:33:55.840
<v Speaker 3>filing cabins, And in fact, Marshalls chief of staff, used

0:33:55.880 --> 0:33:58.680
<v Speaker 3>to run drills to see how fast you could find

0:33:58.680 --> 0:34:01.959
<v Speaker 3>paper if you needed a certain document, where is and

0:34:01.960 --> 0:34:05.360
<v Speaker 3>how do you get there? Well, everybody depending on now

0:34:05.400 --> 0:34:09.319
<v Speaker 3>has a smartphone, an iPad, a laptop, computer, and I

0:34:09.360 --> 0:34:11.040
<v Speaker 3>have never gotten you. You might be able to get

0:34:11.040 --> 0:34:13.359
<v Speaker 3>somebody caltech to figure this out. I've never been able

0:34:13.400 --> 0:34:16.319
<v Speaker 3>to get an exchange rate. That is, if you have

0:34:16.360 --> 0:34:20.200
<v Speaker 3>one person over here with a carbon paper distribution and

0:34:20.239 --> 0:34:23.000
<v Speaker 3>one person over here with the smartphone or an iPad

0:34:23.040 --> 0:34:26.959
<v Speaker 3>or computer, what's the relative exchange rate of information flow?

0:34:27.239 --> 0:34:31.080
<v Speaker 3>My guess is it's above a million. Well, just one.

0:34:31.320 --> 0:34:35.520
<v Speaker 3>You have the same twenty six thousand people. Now, since

0:34:35.560 --> 0:34:38.080
<v Speaker 3>they're not filing paper and they're not writing on carbon,

0:34:38.560 --> 0:34:41.719
<v Speaker 3>what they're doing is writing each other to prove that

0:34:41.760 --> 0:34:45.080
<v Speaker 3>their job is important so they can stay employed. So

0:34:45.160 --> 0:34:47.719
<v Speaker 3>you screw up the whole system with the person A

0:34:47.920 --> 0:34:50.279
<v Speaker 3>writing person B who writes person see, who then writes

0:34:50.320 --> 0:34:54.600
<v Speaker 3>person A and they beat these things to death, and

0:34:54.719 --> 0:34:56.600
<v Speaker 3>exactly the way New York City was failing with the

0:34:56.640 --> 0:34:59.319
<v Speaker 3>ice rate, because you have a bunch of bureaucrats who

0:34:59.320 --> 0:35:04.080
<v Speaker 3>write papers that have no meaning. And I think I

0:35:04.080 --> 0:35:06.920
<v Speaker 3>helped found the Military Reform Caucus in eighty one. I

0:35:06.960 --> 0:35:10.719
<v Speaker 3>helped pass the Goldwater Nichols Reform in eighty six against

0:35:10.960 --> 0:35:16.160
<v Speaker 3>every active duty senior officer, none of them wanted it. Nowadays,

0:35:16.160 --> 0:35:19.800
<v Speaker 3>I'll tell you it's invaluable. We need a deep, thorough

0:35:20.040 --> 0:35:22.920
<v Speaker 3>review of all of our national security, not just defense,

0:35:23.160 --> 0:35:25.520
<v Speaker 3>all of it. If we're going to compete in the

0:35:25.520 --> 0:35:26.160
<v Speaker 3>modern world.

0:35:32.080 --> 0:35:34.799
<v Speaker 1>It just seems of all things. And you know, I

0:35:34.840 --> 0:35:38.359
<v Speaker 1>appreciate the skating rate because is a reminder of under

0:35:38.400 --> 0:35:41.520
<v Speaker 1>promise over deliver. And we can talk about some of

0:35:41.520 --> 0:35:43.719
<v Speaker 1>those day one actions that Trump may or may not

0:35:43.800 --> 0:35:46.560
<v Speaker 1>have succeeded with in a moment. But I'm curious as

0:35:46.560 --> 0:35:49.239
<v Speaker 1>it relates to the issues of the Pentagon. I mean,

0:35:49.640 --> 0:35:53.160
<v Speaker 1>Trump's been bold, and he's provided a lot of space

0:35:53.200 --> 0:35:57.120
<v Speaker 1>for Doge and certainly Musk in the last one hundred days,

0:35:57.520 --> 0:36:01.359
<v Speaker 1>but the Pentagon does seem to be off limits. I mean,

0:36:01.480 --> 0:36:02.440
<v Speaker 1>is that is.

0:36:02.360 --> 0:36:04.960
<v Speaker 3>That is that accurate? I don't think so. I think

0:36:05.520 --> 0:36:08.880
<v Speaker 3>I think they will presently be as ruthless as the

0:36:08.920 --> 0:36:10.560
<v Speaker 3>Pentagon as they will be anywhere else.

0:36:10.840 --> 0:36:15.279
<v Speaker 1>Interesting. F thirty five comes to mind? Huh, what F

0:36:15.360 --> 0:36:16.560
<v Speaker 1>thirty five comes to mind?

0:36:16.760 --> 0:36:19.880
<v Speaker 3>Actually, I've gotten real pushback on that because I was

0:36:20.200 --> 0:36:22.680
<v Speaker 3>one of the people who's really critical. Yeah, but three

0:36:22.760 --> 0:36:25.759
<v Speaker 3>or four people who I'm writing this paper, and I

0:36:25.800 --> 0:36:29.839
<v Speaker 3>was talking about examples of cost overruns, and I've had

0:36:29.840 --> 0:36:32.200
<v Speaker 3>three or four people who do not work for Lockheed,

0:36:32.239 --> 0:36:34.839
<v Speaker 3>aren't part of the system, but they're very smart right

0:36:34.880 --> 0:36:37.560
<v Speaker 3>back and say to me, that is an inaccurate measurement

0:36:38.200 --> 0:36:41.719
<v Speaker 3>that you actually look at the plane they have built.

0:36:42.040 --> 0:36:45.239
<v Speaker 3>It has no relationship to the original contract. It is

0:36:45.719 --> 0:36:49.320
<v Speaker 3>vastly superior, and the price has dropped now to about

0:36:49.360 --> 0:36:52.319
<v Speaker 3>a reasonable price for a fifth generation fighter. I mean,

0:36:52.360 --> 0:36:54.520
<v Speaker 3>I was shocked. I took it out of my paper

0:36:54.760 --> 0:36:56.839
<v Speaker 3>because there are too many people writing me back and saying,

0:36:56.960 --> 0:37:00.359
<v Speaker 3>so the other examples are terrific, this one's just dumb.

0:37:00.520 --> 0:37:03.440
<v Speaker 3>It's not seconically right. It's interesting because I would have

0:37:04.239 --> 0:37:06.120
<v Speaker 3>a week ago I would have said to you exactly that.

0:37:06.520 --> 0:37:10.200
<v Speaker 1>Yeah, no, it's sort of it's we throw that one around. Now.

0:37:10.239 --> 0:37:12.279
<v Speaker 3>I'm getting beaten up by people who know a lot

0:37:12.360 --> 0:37:14.759
<v Speaker 3>more than I do, saying now, I have a lot

0:37:14.800 --> 0:37:17.080
<v Speaker 3>of good examples in my paper, but that ain't want to.

0:37:17.040 --> 0:37:20.000
<v Speaker 1>Them, that ain't want them interesting. So all right, so

0:37:20.080 --> 0:37:22.400
<v Speaker 1>you'll you'll stipulate we should see some more. I mean,

0:37:22.440 --> 0:37:27.560
<v Speaker 1>obviously the Secretary of Defense has done some personnel moves,

0:37:27.560 --> 0:37:30.520
<v Speaker 1>et cetera, but they seem relatively modest compared to the

0:37:30.920 --> 0:37:33.840
<v Speaker 1>overall reforms that that you're advocating for. But you know,

0:37:33.880 --> 0:37:35.719
<v Speaker 1>one of the things I've struck in the book, and

0:37:35.880 --> 0:37:39.719
<v Speaker 1>again unsurprising, is it's been a consistent theme with you

0:37:40.160 --> 0:37:44.520
<v Speaker 1>is sort of anticipating the next war, not necessarily relitigating

0:37:44.920 --> 0:37:48.120
<v Speaker 1>and reflecting exclusively on on the last one. And the

0:37:48.160 --> 0:37:52.200
<v Speaker 1>issues of electron electronic EMF issues are that you've been

0:37:52.360 --> 0:37:55.640
<v Speaker 1>sort of focused on issues a space in relationship to defense,

0:37:56.000 --> 0:37:58.080
<v Speaker 1>et cetera. Talk to me a little bit about what

0:37:58.160 --> 0:38:01.120
<v Speaker 1>you sort of positive you least promote in this book

0:38:01.120 --> 0:38:03.840
<v Speaker 1>as it relates to future security on national effects, I.

0:38:04.160 --> 0:38:07.839
<v Speaker 3>Think there are three big things. The first is we

0:38:07.880 --> 0:38:11.040
<v Speaker 3>need to quit talking about war fighting and think about

0:38:11.120 --> 0:38:15.279
<v Speaker 3>war winning. The fact that we have great taxical capabilities

0:38:15.280 --> 0:38:18.360
<v Speaker 3>and wonderfully courageous people who go for twenty one or

0:38:18.360 --> 0:38:21.279
<v Speaker 3>twenty two years in a place like Afghanistan and don't

0:38:21.280 --> 0:38:25.479
<v Speaker 3>win should bother us because war fighting is not the goal.

0:38:25.960 --> 0:38:28.200
<v Speaker 3>War winning is the goal. And as suns Sooo wrote,

0:38:28.520 --> 0:38:31.319
<v Speaker 3>the group find five hundred BC, the greatest of all

0:38:31.360 --> 0:38:35.720
<v Speaker 3>generals win bloodless victories. So you know, the the question

0:38:35.800 --> 0:38:39.239
<v Speaker 3>is can America design a war winning series of strategies

0:38:39.520 --> 0:38:42.239
<v Speaker 3>rather than a war fighting strategies. The second thing I

0:38:42.239 --> 0:38:44.239
<v Speaker 3>would say is you have to look at all of

0:38:44.360 --> 0:38:46.960
<v Speaker 3>national security. You mentioned, for example, the real threat of

0:38:46.960 --> 0:38:50.120
<v Speaker 3>electromagnetic pulse attack, and a very close friend of mine,

0:38:50.120 --> 0:38:54.280
<v Speaker 3>Go Fortune, wrote a remarkable novel called One Second After,

0:38:54.680 --> 0:38:57.960
<v Speaker 3>in which he shows you a village in North Carolina

0:38:58.440 --> 0:39:01.560
<v Speaker 3>after electricity has been cut off by an electromatic post.

0:39:01.719 --> 0:39:04.080
<v Speaker 3>I mean, it is a breathtaking book. He was actually

0:39:04.080 --> 0:39:07.360
<v Speaker 3>invited to Sandia. You'd mentioned Sandia Labs earlier. He was

0:39:07.400 --> 0:39:10.560
<v Speaker 3>invited there by the physicists who were grateful that somebody

0:39:10.560 --> 0:39:13.840
<v Speaker 3>could explain what they worried about, and thought his book

0:39:13.840 --> 0:39:16.799
<v Speaker 3>really was a very accurate projection. So you need to

0:39:16.800 --> 0:39:19.759
<v Speaker 3>think about not just the Defense Department, but the totality

0:39:19.760 --> 0:39:22.880
<v Speaker 3>of national security and then in the defense department itself,

0:39:23.800 --> 0:39:27.319
<v Speaker 3>I've beengun writing something which only occurred to me. By

0:39:27.360 --> 0:39:36.480
<v Speaker 3>watching Ukraine. We are seeing an extraordinary change in the

0:39:36.560 --> 0:39:40.439
<v Speaker 3>nature of warfare, and none of us understanding it. I'm

0:39:40.480 --> 0:39:45.359
<v Speaker 3>actually going to write a paper on Podier, Crasie and Agincoreps,

0:39:45.719 --> 0:39:47.800
<v Speaker 3>which are the three great battles in the Middle Ages

0:39:48.080 --> 0:39:52.080
<v Speaker 3>where the British annihilate the French because the French cannot adjust.

0:39:52.920 --> 0:39:56.040
<v Speaker 3>They have to be armored knights. Their culture requires it.

0:39:56.320 --> 0:39:59.920
<v Speaker 3>And the British have developed a longbow which slaughters armored knight.

0:40:00.520 --> 0:40:03.840
<v Speaker 3>And that takes place over a century, and in that

0:40:04.080 --> 0:40:08.359
<v Speaker 3>entire period that a culture will not allow them to change. Well,

0:40:08.360 --> 0:40:11.719
<v Speaker 3>we may have a similar problem. We like big, expensive,

0:40:12.040 --> 0:40:16.719
<v Speaker 3>sophisticated long to develop long to field systems you're now

0:40:16.800 --> 0:40:18.719
<v Speaker 3>up against. As I said a while ago, I think

0:40:18.719 --> 0:40:21.759
<v Speaker 3>the numbers for next year are for this year for

0:40:22.200 --> 0:40:25.600
<v Speaker 3>Ukraine are going to be a million, five hundred thousand drums. Now,

0:40:25.800 --> 0:40:28.640
<v Speaker 3>most of them are small, most of them are simple.

0:40:29.760 --> 0:40:31.879
<v Speaker 3>Most of our guys would look down their nose at them.

0:40:32.200 --> 0:40:35.839
<v Speaker 3>But Lord Nelson, who won the Battle of Trafalgar, set

0:40:35.840 --> 0:40:39.400
<v Speaker 3>a one point numbers annihilate and if you take the

0:40:39.440 --> 0:40:46.000
<v Speaker 3>combination of artificial intelligence, robotics, three D printing, new specialized

0:40:46.040 --> 0:40:49.800
<v Speaker 3>kinds of chemistry. There's a firm in your state actually

0:40:50.080 --> 0:40:53.160
<v Speaker 3>called Divergent, which is probably the most advanced factory on

0:40:53.200 --> 0:40:56.080
<v Speaker 3>the planet, far ahead of anything in China, and they

0:40:56.239 --> 0:40:59.160
<v Speaker 3>use those techniques to be able to shift what they

0:40:59.200 --> 0:41:02.799
<v Speaker 3>make within a matter of hours. I mean, it's astonishing

0:41:02.840 --> 0:41:06.080
<v Speaker 3>to visit them. And they're in La not far from

0:41:06.280 --> 0:41:11.319
<v Speaker 3>an in and out burger, and they I measure my

0:41:11.320 --> 0:41:18.120
<v Speaker 3>trips to calig But anyway, when you when you start

0:41:18.160 --> 0:41:21.960
<v Speaker 3>thinking about, for example, you don't just measure the Chinese

0:41:22.040 --> 0:41:27.040
<v Speaker 3>warship navy. All the Chinese merchant ships have been designed

0:41:27.040 --> 0:41:31.879
<v Speaker 3>now for twenty years to be capable of launching drones. Well,

0:41:31.920 --> 0:41:33.480
<v Speaker 3>if I have a ship and it happens to have

0:41:33.520 --> 0:41:36.480
<v Speaker 3>forty drones on it, is that an aircraft carrier or

0:41:36.560 --> 0:41:40.160
<v Speaker 3>is that a merchant ship? And if I have eighteen

0:41:40.280 --> 0:41:43.520
<v Speaker 3>hundred of them, does that count as part of my

0:41:43.640 --> 0:41:48.359
<v Speaker 3>navy or is that just an auxiliary group? And how

0:41:48.400 --> 0:41:51.839
<v Speaker 3>many munitions does an American ship carry? And how many

0:41:51.880 --> 0:41:54.799
<v Speaker 3>drones can it stop? If the other guy's able to

0:41:54.800 --> 0:41:59.480
<v Speaker 3>send endless quantities, I'm just giving you a flavor. I

0:41:59.480 --> 0:42:01.440
<v Speaker 3>don't think we realize yet. You know, I talked to

0:42:01.440 --> 0:42:04.880
<v Speaker 3>occasionally to the Amazon people about their use of robotics,

0:42:05.400 --> 0:42:07.120
<v Speaker 3>which is part of the reason they've been able to

0:42:07.160 --> 0:42:12.560
<v Speaker 3>be so amazing. We have no notion yet of how

0:42:12.760 --> 0:42:15.640
<v Speaker 3>fast the modern battlefield is going to become and how

0:42:15.680 --> 0:42:20.600
<v Speaker 3>complicated it's going to become. And our current bureaucracies, in

0:42:20.640 --> 0:42:24.560
<v Speaker 3>our current procurement system makes it very difficult to be

0:42:24.640 --> 0:42:31.640
<v Speaker 3>agile enough. And frankly, excuse me, the dominance of these

0:42:31.640 --> 0:42:35.040
<v Speaker 3>big corporations, the Lockheeds, the Boeings, what have you read

0:42:35.080 --> 0:42:38.719
<v Speaker 3>you on makes it very hard to have the kind

0:42:38.760 --> 0:42:42.120
<v Speaker 3>of entrepreneurial change that you've seen in Silicon Valley for

0:42:42.160 --> 0:42:45.920
<v Speaker 3>your entire lifetime. You know, it's the small company today

0:42:46.200 --> 0:42:49.040
<v Speaker 3>that's the giant company in twenty years. And if you

0:42:49.080 --> 0:42:51.839
<v Speaker 3>can't grow the small companies because they can't get through

0:42:51.880 --> 0:42:55.440
<v Speaker 3>the Defense Department's paperwork, then you're not ever going to

0:42:55.480 --> 0:42:58.560
<v Speaker 3>have the rate and rhythm of innovation that you need.

0:42:59.440 --> 0:43:02.240
<v Speaker 1>No, And that's something you highlight sort of that framework

0:43:02.280 --> 0:43:06.239
<v Speaker 1>of iteration, the sandbox and procurement reform, which is so

0:43:06.360 --> 0:43:09.680
<v Speaker 1>foundational and it's it's really it's about you know, it's

0:43:09.760 --> 0:43:16.399
<v Speaker 1>the incumbency racket. You talk about incumbency capitalism versus innovation capitalism,

0:43:16.760 --> 0:43:20.080
<v Speaker 1>and that sort of innovation capitalism is a big part

0:43:20.160 --> 0:43:21.920
<v Speaker 1>of what we focus on and obviously I think is

0:43:21.920 --> 0:43:25.120
<v Speaker 1>part of the secret sauce to your point of Silicon Valley.

0:43:25.360 --> 0:43:28.120
<v Speaker 1>I'm curious just going back a little bit, and you know,

0:43:28.320 --> 0:43:30.680
<v Speaker 1>and we're bouncing around a little bit here, but again

0:43:30.719 --> 0:43:33.840
<v Speaker 1>back to timing, because Journey to America, you did it

0:43:33.840 --> 0:43:36.520
<v Speaker 1>with your wife, and you guys have done how many documentaries? Now,

0:43:36.520 --> 0:43:37.360
<v Speaker 1>you've done forty.

0:43:37.120 --> 0:43:41.880
<v Speaker 3>Four books'n we've done ten movies, and I've done forty

0:43:41.880 --> 0:43:45.239
<v Speaker 3>four books. She and I have done I think four

0:43:45.320 --> 0:43:49.799
<v Speaker 3>or five of them together. She wrote six children's books. Yeah,

0:43:49.840 --> 0:43:54.560
<v Speaker 3>about Elis the Elephant and American history. Yeah. Well, Peignaterton

0:43:54.560 --> 0:43:56.160
<v Speaker 3>because you know, she's a music major. She was a

0:43:56.160 --> 0:43:58.920
<v Speaker 3>piano major, plays the French horn, spent twenty years in

0:43:58.920 --> 0:44:03.400
<v Speaker 3>a professional choir at the Basilica in Washington. Uh So

0:44:03.640 --> 0:44:06.440
<v Speaker 3>that's her natural background. Then she was a clerk in

0:44:06.480 --> 0:44:11.080
<v Speaker 3>the Agriculture Committee in the House. And she, you know,

0:44:11.160 --> 0:44:13.040
<v Speaker 3>she works really hard. She works much harder than I do.

0:44:13.760 --> 0:44:15.880
<v Speaker 1>And tune in for the rest of the conversation with

0:44:16.000 --> 0:44:16.640
<v Speaker 1>New Gingrich