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Speaker 1: Welcome to The Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Action Network. Today

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Speaker 1: is our week seven Tuesday NFL episode. I am Chad Melman,

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Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. We are coming

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Speaker 1: off of a two and three week in our contest.

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Speaker 1: Thank you Mac Jones for a very predictable safety and

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Speaker 1: doing the one thing we knew you shouldn't do. Everybody

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Speaker 1: knew you shouldn't do at the end of that Raiders game.

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Speaker 1: But hey, we did tell people to go all in

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Speaker 1: on the Browns and the Jets. So on this show

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Speaker 1: we exercise irrational optimism. We look at the bright side.

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Speaker 1: We move on to week eight. We recorded our Sunday

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Speaker 1: episode before Sunday Night Football, and as we said on

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Speaker 1: the show, a lot of lines we liked have all

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Speaker 1: already moved, which is why you need to listen to

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Speaker 1: the Sunday show if you want to get the best

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Speaker 1: of the number. Today we will get to our sign

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Speaker 1: and says in our exec Decision. Thursday, we will do

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Speaker 1: sharp calls, big balls, and foxhol this episode, we'll look

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Speaker 1: at the entire board. As we begin narrowing down the

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Speaker 1: five picks, we'll enter in the Favorites Podcast one hundred

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Speaker 1: thousand dollars Pro Football Pick Them contest still open for

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Speaker 1: sign up, by the way, still free to play. Still

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Speaker 1: awarding weekly and season long cash prizes at Favorites dot

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Speaker 1: actionnetwork dot com. Let's bring in my co host, my bff,

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Speaker 1: my companion, my compadre professional better Simon Hunter etro So.

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Speaker 2: I am in, Hello, how Chad?

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Speaker 1: The Chargers game that was tough to watch last night,

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Speaker 1: just excruciating. We were on the Chargers plus two and

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Speaker 1: a half. But we're moving on practicing irrational optimism. That's

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Speaker 1: what I'm calling it. That's what my wife sort of

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Speaker 1: says about me without saying it about me. Tyreek Hill

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Speaker 1: right now, who we got at nine to one to

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Speaker 1: lead the league in receiving on pace for twenty two

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Speaker 1: hundred yards, receiving more than two hundred yards higher than

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Speaker 1: the NFL record. Kudos to you, Simon. I want to

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Speaker 1: give you your flowers because I remember you saying Tyreek

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Speaker 1: Hill said he wants two thousand yards. That to me

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Speaker 1: is a sign we should take him at nine to

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Speaker 1: one as a flyer. We did it, well done.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's just the only fear is health You're right,

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Speaker 2: he's on like a crazy historical pace that mine the offense.

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Speaker 2: I mean, Tua's leading the league in passing yards, easily

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Speaker 2: leading the league in receiving. There just doesn't get much

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Speaker 2: more high power than that offense does. Right now.

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Speaker 1: Well, look, it's one of the biggest games of the week.

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Speaker 1: They're playing the Philadelphia Eagles. We're going to get to that,

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Speaker 1: yeah and more as we break down the board. It's

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Speaker 1: one of the more interesting games to handicap as a

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Speaker 1: reminder of the Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three

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Speaker 1: sixty five. Bet three sixty five doesn't do ordinary. That's

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Speaker 1: one or older and present in Colorado, Iowa, New Jersey, Ohio,

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Speaker 1: or Virginia or eighteen or older in Kentucky gambling problem

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Speaker 1: called one eight hundred gambler or one eight hundred bets

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Speaker 1: off in Iowa. Terms and conditions and restrictions apply. Here's

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Speaker 1: an update. Week six in the contest, we had fifty entries,

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Speaker 1: finished five, and oh we had a two way tie

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Speaker 1: for first place because they nailed the tiebreaker total Monday

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Speaker 1: Night football rushing yards, which was one hundred and forty nine.

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Speaker 1: Congrats to our winners, Socora and Cosone. This week's Producer's

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Speaker 1: Cup award goes to AMC Go two thirds for finishing

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Speaker 1: dead fucking last and the Week six contests going zero

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Speaker 1: to five and missing the tiebreaker by four hundred and

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Speaker 1: fifty hours at AMC. Please email producer Matt Mitchell at

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Speaker 1: podcasts at Actionnetwork dot com to claim you're not cash prize.

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Speaker 1: Thanks for playing all right. Week seven in our contest

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Speaker 1: is now live. Good luck everybody. Week seven, here we

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Speaker 1: go Jacksonville at New Orleans. Dude, simon this line. I

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Speaker 1: know we can't put it in the contest, but has

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Speaker 1: just fucking steamed like a train from the eighteen sixties

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Speaker 1: racing across the country. It opened at New Orleans plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half. What do we say on Sunday

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Speaker 1: Night seven.

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Speaker 2: You gotta grab it.

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Speaker 1: We grabbed it at one and a half while we

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Speaker 1: were talking on the show, it started moving. It's moved

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Speaker 1: four and a half points. I want to get your

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Speaker 1: take on what you're hearing, even in the first you know,

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Speaker 1: forty eight sixty four hours since we had the show.

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Speaker 1: I do want to say, like to me, I felt

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Speaker 1: like this would be a luck rankings game on both sides.

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Speaker 1: The Saints, who we had against the Texans. I went

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Speaker 1: into the numbers. They had one hundred and twenty more yards,

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Speaker 1: eighteen more plays, five and a half yards per play

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Speaker 1: versus five for the Texans, more time and position possession,

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Speaker 1: but they had more turnovers, more penalties, and missed two

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Speaker 1: field goals. The Jags, meanwhile, had only two hundred and

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Speaker 1: thirty three yards against the Colts, about one hundred and

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Speaker 1: twenty yards last and three point eight yards per play.

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Speaker 1: Colts had like something like four turnovers in the game.

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Speaker 1: So we were on it from the beginning.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, an easy spot too, where it's a short week.

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Speaker 2: The Jaguars had won three in a row at this point, right,

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Speaker 2: they won the two London games. I won this last

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Speaker 2: game at home and you're just waiting for thent of

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Speaker 2: luckdown spot and got a little luckier that I got

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Speaker 2: a good number. It might be that Trevor Lawrence could

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Speaker 2: miss this game now, and that's why we've seen this

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Speaker 2: number move so much. So I don't hate it still

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Speaker 2: if you want to grab it now, because it could

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Speaker 2: move even more if it is him out where it's

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Speaker 2: a short week, you have a backup QB plane, so

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Speaker 2: that means this backup QB might have one day of

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Speaker 2: walkthroughs before they head to New Orleans. Like it's just

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Speaker 2: a really bad spot to have to play your backup.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, like love the Saints. I fee was gonna

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Speaker 2: be Trevor Lawrence. This was a good spot for their defense.

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Speaker 2: Now yeah, it's I love it even more. So it's

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Speaker 2: too bad we can't play in the contest if Trevor

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Speaker 2: Lawrence is out. You know, stay what you want about

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Speaker 2: the Saints team. At the end of the day, it's

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Speaker 2: not the defense's fault. They haven't winning. It's really on

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Speaker 2: Derek Carr. So I thought, mean, you were a really

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Speaker 2: good number on this because the public was gonna come

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Speaker 2: in so heavulous Jaguars team got lucky, Like Chad said,

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Speaker 2: we got ahead of it. The line kept moving. I

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Speaker 2: kept betting it, and then when I saw I think

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Speaker 2: it got up to minus two. So that would have

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Speaker 2: been like three am Hawaii time, which I guess is

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Speaker 2: nine am Eastern. And that's when I saw some news

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Speaker 2: trickle out that Okay, Lawrence might miss this game, like

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Speaker 2: Schefter put another tweet out. Then you saw go right

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Speaker 2: the minus three. So the books they don't know what's

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Speaker 2: gonna happen yet. No one really has any info yet.

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Speaker 2: That's so they just have that minus three up there

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Speaker 2: right now because that's a nice, nice in between hedge.

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Speaker 2: If he is out, maybe this'll go up to minus

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Speaker 2: four minus four and a half. But I think the

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Speaker 2: books already kind of shown us what they what they

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Speaker 2: think's gonna happen. They don't think Trevor's gonna play.

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Speaker 1: See, this is the difference between you and me, right

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Speaker 1: is I'm gonna bet this on Sunday night at plus

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Speaker 1: one and a half after the show we record it,

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to bed. I'm gonna get up on

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Speaker 1: Monday morning, right, I'm going to get up, I'm going

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Speaker 1: to exercise, I'm gonna have an espresso. I'm gonna have

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Speaker 1: a nine am call with our overlords in Copenhagen. I'm

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Speaker 1: gonna have a nine thirty call with our are the

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Speaker 1: guys who run our commercial operations meeting. They're the ones

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Speaker 1: who make all the money, and you know, manage our

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Speaker 1: relationship with our wonderful sponsors at bet three, six five.

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Speaker 1: Then I gotta have a ten o'clock call with Matt Mitchell.

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Speaker 1: Then I gotta have a ten to thirty call with

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Speaker 1: another guy. Then I got an eleven o'clock senior staff call,

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Speaker 1: and all of a sudden, this game's at three and

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Speaker 1: I didn't get to get any more money down on

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Speaker 1: this game. This is ridiculous. I'm quitting all. I'm going

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Speaker 1: full time.

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Speaker 2: You Kenja, if you just listen to my advice I

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Speaker 2: told people, was it two weeks ago, quit your day job.

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Speaker 2: Just bet Primetime unders. I think Primetime unders, Evan, were

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Speaker 2: they three know? This week? Primetime unders just a cash

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Speaker 2: cash attic. I can't get over how good these Primetime

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Speaker 2: unders are. Fourteen and six in the season. Thank you, Evan.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, it's just ridiculous. These are It's crazy. It's almost

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Speaker 1: like part of me wants to not bet them because

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Speaker 1: I'm afraid I'm gonna I've already missed the trend too much,

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Speaker 1: even though I've been betting unders.

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Speaker 2: You know, no, but you're you're right. It's nothing gonna

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Speaker 2: come back this season. But sixty percent, I think I'm

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Speaker 2: at a stat since like two thousand and five or

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Speaker 2: two thousand and three. It's some crazy like that, So

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Speaker 2: prime prime time unders chatted. They've been very profitable.

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Speaker 1: All right, let's get to some games. We're actually going

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Speaker 1: to be able to bet Cleveland and Indy. Of course,

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Speaker 1: the instinct here has to be betting Indy. Right. Terrible

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Speaker 1: performance for Minshew against a not very good Jags defense.

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Speaker 1: Other Worldly performance by the Browns against what had been

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Speaker 1: a world class offense. They got perfect conditions, They had

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Speaker 1: no expectations because they had a backup QB. They were

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Speaker 1: at home in bad weather, with the best defense in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, the opponent coming off a dominating win. Are

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Speaker 1: we overvaluing the Browns more than we undervalue the Colts

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Speaker 1: in this spot?

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Speaker 2: It's hard to say, just because Minshew looks so bad.

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Speaker 1: So the first time he looked like Minshew this season,

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Speaker 1: you know what I mean?

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Speaker 2: Yeah, he looked horrible, So I do I do want

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Speaker 2: to just wait on this number. I'm hoping we get

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Speaker 2: three because I think the public will think like us,

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Speaker 2: where it's like it don't matter if it's Pj's quarterback.

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Speaker 2: If Pj's the quarterback, it feels like they can scheme

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Speaker 2: it up where he doesn't have to do much. But

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Speaker 2: how do you not love the colts here, Like this

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Speaker 2: is such a great spot to back then give us

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Speaker 2: a three so the books. If they don't get to three,

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Speaker 2: that's even more of a reason probably to come in

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Speaker 2: on this Colt steam. But I'll just wait. It's just

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Speaker 2: dead number right now. Sitting on it, two, two and

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Speaker 2: a half three, I start thinking colts here, But yeah,

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Speaker 2: this is a weird number, and I see the total

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Speaker 2: is thirty nine, which I was shocked at. I was

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Speaker 2: shocked it was so high. Just just feels like both

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Speaker 2: these defenses are way better than pulper reception right now.

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Speaker 2: So yeah, chatter game. I would love to come in

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Speaker 2: on right now, but we'll just wait. Hopefully get a

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Speaker 2: better number by the time we come back on Thursday.

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Speaker 1: All right, what do we talk about when we talk

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Speaker 1: about Mac Jones? I feel like that's you know, in

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Speaker 1: sort of every post modern piece of literature or film.

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Speaker 1: When you want to have a serious conversation, you say

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Speaker 1: what we talk about when we talk about and then

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Speaker 1: it's always our kids, our parents, you know, terrorism, whatever.

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Speaker 1: Here is what we talk about when we talk about

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Speaker 1: mac Jones. In any other world, at any other time,

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Speaker 1: we might be comfortable betting New England. It's one hundred

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Speaker 1: percent the right side, as they were the last week

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Speaker 1: against Las Vegas. Right, they have the they have the

217
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Speaker 1: feel of those Terrible Jags teams that we used to

218
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Speaker 1: bet every single week. The right side is always going

219
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Speaker 1: to be New England because it's always going to be

220
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Speaker 1: shaded towards their opponent. But I do believe mac Jones

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Speaker 1: might be a system breaker. Whatever the president, whatever, Evan

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Speaker 1: can tell us, whatever the expectation with the art. With

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Speaker 1: regard to the number, he is pig pen. He has

224
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Speaker 1: a cloud. He's it's like there's something you wrote it

225
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Speaker 1: the other day. He's got an un you said it

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Speaker 1: the other day, an unlucky horseshoe up his ass.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, whatever it is, Evan, it's up to now. It's

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Speaker 2: own eleven as a dog or own twelve as a dog.

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Speaker 2: His last twelve games or eleven games is an underdog,

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Speaker 2: so of course you're nailed it. It's like we're getting

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Speaker 2: you're literally getting to my modeor getting three points of

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Speaker 2: value here, like I got this number at six, it's nine. Check,

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Speaker 2: you're exactly right, Like this is this is where supposed

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Speaker 2: to take them. But I don't know. Man, Yeah, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna say I I don't. I just don't. I just

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Speaker 2: don't know if I can do it. And maybe by Thursday,

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Speaker 2: this Sunday will be further enough away where I can

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Speaker 2: maybe convince you had to do it. But as we're

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Speaker 2: sitting here right now, I don't got it in me,

240
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Speaker 2: and I think she has the same boat as me,

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Speaker 2: where it's like I need more than just there being

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Speaker 2: value or trends towards this guy. I needed to see something,

243
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Speaker 2: and I wish I could say I saw something in

244
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Speaker 2: that game, but it was really more about the Raiders

245
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Speaker 2: being so bad that got that Newland team back in

246
00:12:32,120 --> 00:12:35,840
Speaker 2: that game where the Bills they were just embarrassed on

247
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Speaker 2: Sunday night. They should have lost that game, most likely

248
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Speaker 2: on Sunday night. So how do you not believe in

249
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Speaker 2: the Bills in a bounce back spot here. But this

250
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Speaker 2: feels just like the forty nine ers last week, Like

251
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Speaker 2: the whole everyone in the world's going to come in

252
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Speaker 2: on this Bills team, and me and Chad are gonna

253
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Speaker 2: be like three or four people left that were coming

254
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Speaker 2: on the Patriots. So I haven't touched this game yet.

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Speaker 2: I know a really smart group came in on the

256
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Speaker 2: Patriots at nine and a half and I said, good

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Speaker 2: for you guys. Yeah, your genius is like every week

258
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Speaker 2: these people are going to make these same bets. So

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Speaker 2: I just can't get there, as we say here right now.

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Speaker 2: But I can tell you I know a lot of

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Speaker 2: smart guys taking this number, and it's been bet down

262
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Speaker 2: in a lot of books from nine and a half

263
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Speaker 2: ten down to eight and a half nine. So just

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Speaker 2: another pros versus show's game. But it's just hard for

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Speaker 2: me to get there. I have no trust in this

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Speaker 2: New England team.

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Speaker 1: Nine for the Patriots, largest home dog for New England

268
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Speaker 1: since Tom Brady's first start in two thousand and one,

269
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Speaker 1: twenty two years since the Patriots were this big of

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Speaker 1: an underdog at home. I'm old enough to remember before

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Speaker 1: we came on, you guys were like, hey, that's Susanne Summer.

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Speaker 1: She's from your time, right, She's the one who just died.

273
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Speaker 1: I'm old enough to remember when the Patriots were such

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Speaker 1: a laughing stock of the NFL, when their owner owned

275
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Speaker 1: like some razor company and was just considered a joke,

276
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Speaker 1: and when Foxborough going to Foxborough was like going to

277
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Speaker 1: a high school stadium with aluminum benches, not even seats,

278
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Speaker 1: like I once got food poison, and eating a hot

279
00:14:13,280 --> 00:14:16,760
Speaker 1: dog in the Foxborough press box like it was an ugly,

280
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Speaker 1: ugly place. And this has the feel of that right now,

281
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Speaker 1: which means, oh god, we cannot bet on Mac Jones

282
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Speaker 1: the race.

283
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Speaker 2: So now they are a bunch of losers owned by

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Speaker 2: a guy who owns owns Mac and Cheese. So that's

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Speaker 2: how life is.

286
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Speaker 1: The Raiders visiting Chicago. Justin Field dislocated thumb. The Raiders

287
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Speaker 1: are plus three here. I love the Bears, I mean

288
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Speaker 1: the Raiders and minus three. I apologize. I love the Bears.

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Speaker 1: Last week at plus three and a half, the game

290
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Speaker 1: played to expectations like it was low scoring, it was

291
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Speaker 1: ugly bad teams. The difference was justin Field's going out

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Speaker 1: and the backup fumbling the ball, which led to each

293
00:15:01,800 --> 00:15:04,880
Speaker 1: touchdown for the for the Vikings. That was the difference

294
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Speaker 1: in the game. I know, And it's a Pros Joe's

295
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Speaker 1: game right now. The Pros are on the Bears. The

296
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Speaker 1: Joe's are on the Raiders, even with Justin Fields out.

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Speaker 1: I kind of like the Bears here.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, Like last week I was on Minnesota. I got

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Speaker 2: talked off of it by some really smart guys who

300
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Speaker 2: love the Bears and so happy whatever happened Thursday. I

301
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Speaker 2: didn't let us put or like, because I knew I

302
00:15:28,680 --> 00:15:29,920
Speaker 2: was gonna like the three and a half and we

303
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Speaker 2: somehow didn't have them in our contest, Thank god, because

304
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Speaker 2: I would have probably hated them this week and I

305
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Speaker 2: bet them. But I've been betting this number whatever since

306
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Speaker 2: our show Sunday night, been taking the threes, three and

307
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Speaker 2: a half, whatever I could get on this Bears team,

308
00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:47,320
Speaker 2: don't care who your quarterback is, just playing the spot fading.

309
00:15:47,360 --> 00:15:49,760
Speaker 2: This Raiders team, I don't think is that good and

310
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Speaker 2: it's probably gonna hurt, Like this week sucks, like there's

311
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Speaker 2: so many bad quarterbacks this week. But if you're telling me,

312
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Speaker 2: Jimmy g I had to go to the hospital and

313
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Speaker 2: Hoyer and now is a favorite of minus three on

314
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Speaker 2: the road. I get it, the Bears are horrible, They're

315
00:16:04,120 --> 00:16:07,160
Speaker 2: a really bad team, But how do I not play

316
00:16:07,160 --> 00:16:09,680
Speaker 2: the three here? Like it's just the Raiders are bad too,

317
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Speaker 2: Like there's just two really bad teams. I'll take the

318
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Speaker 2: dog here. It feels like that Denver spot where it's like,

319
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Speaker 2: let's just play the number. It gets the three and

320
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Speaker 2: a half. You gotta be on the Bears here. So yeah,

321
00:16:20,120 --> 00:16:22,880
Speaker 2: ugly week this week, just some terrible quarterbacks are going

322
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Speaker 2: to be playing and this is one of the games.

323
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Speaker 2: So I don't know if this will make our final five,

324
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Speaker 2: but I'm on the three. I'm on the three and

325
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Speaker 2: a half. If you can get to three and a half,

326
00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:33,440
Speaker 2: that's what I would prefer, obviously to the three. But yeah,

327
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Speaker 2: not shocking the publicle coming on this. They hate the Bears.

328
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Speaker 2: The Bears are terrible. They're not covering for anybody. Everyone's

329
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Speaker 2: totally off of them. It's usually me and Chat coming

330
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Speaker 2: on the other side.

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Speaker 1: That's what we do. We bet up, yeah, and normally

332
00:16:48,320 --> 00:16:51,200
Speaker 1: it works. Look, we love the Jets, we love the Browns.

333
00:16:51,480 --> 00:16:53,080
Speaker 1: Didn't work with some other game, it didn't work.

334
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Speaker 2: I mean, we're we're six weeks in, we're sixty percent

335
00:16:56,680 --> 00:16:59,560
Speaker 2: chat eighteen and twelve. I believe, so, I mean, I'll

336
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Speaker 2: take it. It works obviously, people, It's ugly but it works.

337
00:17:02,600 --> 00:17:04,879
Speaker 1: It's ugly, but it works all right. Washington at the

338
00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:08,199
Speaker 1: New York Giants. So this is a game. The Giants

339
00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:10,399
Speaker 1: are two point underdogs, I believe right now with that

340
00:17:10,520 --> 00:17:11,200
Speaker 1: three six five?

341
00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:12,800
Speaker 2: Uh is that line?

342
00:17:13,080 --> 00:17:15,119
Speaker 1: Yeah? It's such a note. There's a few no man's

343
00:17:15,200 --> 00:17:17,600
Speaker 1: land lines here. No, I feel like we kind of

344
00:17:17,640 --> 00:17:20,520
Speaker 1: whiffed on Washington last week. You love them against Atlanta,

345
00:17:20,880 --> 00:17:23,360
Speaker 1: we sort of talked about putting them in the contest

346
00:17:23,840 --> 00:17:26,080
Speaker 1: and then we didn't, and then we talked about it

347
00:17:26,119 --> 00:17:29,040
Speaker 1: again on Sunday and we didn't, and I don't know

348
00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:31,640
Speaker 1: what happened. Like we liked the games, we liked and so,

349
00:17:32,160 --> 00:17:36,040
Speaker 1: but Atlanta outgained Washington by more than two hundred yards,

350
00:17:36,520 --> 00:17:39,840
Speaker 1: double them up on first downs. Meanwhile, the Giants found

351
00:17:39,880 --> 00:17:44,639
Speaker 1: the perfect spot and kind of outplayed Buffalo. So unless

352
00:17:44,720 --> 00:17:48,040
Speaker 1: you see something or are hearing something, this game is

353
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Speaker 1: kind of a pass for me. It's a coming down

354
00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:51,680
Speaker 1: spot for both teams.

355
00:17:52,040 --> 00:17:53,639
Speaker 2: I honestly want to take the Giants. I feel like

356
00:17:53,680 --> 00:17:56,560
Speaker 2: you just talked about were Washington. They're kind of inflated

357
00:17:56,640 --> 00:17:59,080
Speaker 2: right now by people that like they just they won

358
00:17:59,119 --> 00:18:01,399
Speaker 2: by what was eight points against Atlanta and they had

359
00:18:01,440 --> 00:18:04,359
Speaker 2: a ton of turnovers. People are gonna be convinced that

360
00:18:04,359 --> 00:18:07,359
Speaker 2: this Washington team's defense is turned a corner. But I

361
00:18:07,440 --> 00:18:09,000
Speaker 2: like it from another way, like you just said, like

362
00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:11,040
Speaker 2: they gave up a ton of yards. They just got

363
00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:13,600
Speaker 2: really lucky with the turnovers. And you know, say what

364
00:18:13,640 --> 00:18:16,640
Speaker 2: you want about Taylor, really he really wasn't putting them

365
00:18:16,640 --> 00:18:19,280
Speaker 2: in bad positions against the Bills defense. Like he wasn't

366
00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,719
Speaker 2: really throwing up fifty to fifty balls and taking stupid risk.

367
00:18:22,800 --> 00:18:25,439
Speaker 2: He's a veteran quarterback. He like will make the right

368
00:18:25,480 --> 00:18:29,560
Speaker 2: read usually, you know, looking at this game, I'm with you, chat,

369
00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:32,000
Speaker 2: I don't really have an opinion here, but just a

370
00:18:32,000 --> 00:18:34,200
Speaker 2: weird number. Why is this not three? Like this feels

371
00:18:34,240 --> 00:18:36,200
Speaker 2: like this should be like the Bears Bears game, where

372
00:18:36,200 --> 00:18:37,560
Speaker 2: it's like just put a three up there and let

373
00:18:37,640 --> 00:18:40,880
Speaker 2: let them mark it the side. It's weirdly they hung

374
00:18:40,960 --> 00:18:43,240
Speaker 2: I think a one and a half too, and it's

375
00:18:43,240 --> 00:18:44,880
Speaker 2: gone up to two two and a half now back

376
00:18:44,920 --> 00:18:46,600
Speaker 2: down to two, and it's just sitting at too. So

377
00:18:47,160 --> 00:18:49,119
Speaker 2: clearly the pros like the Giants. Here of the public

378
00:18:49,240 --> 00:18:52,240
Speaker 2: likes Washington. But I'm with Chad, no real opinion yet

379
00:18:52,280 --> 00:18:52,800
Speaker 2: on this one.

380
00:18:53,280 --> 00:18:56,960
Speaker 1: On Sunday night, I pulled back from betting the Giants,

381
00:18:57,280 --> 00:18:59,720
Speaker 1: and I regret it because I'm not as much of

382
00:18:59,760 --> 00:19:03,000
Speaker 1: a hay of Tyrod Taylor as other people. Whenever he's played.

383
00:19:03,040 --> 00:19:07,560
Speaker 1: He's a competent quarterback, right It's competent to any other backup.

384
00:19:07,760 --> 00:19:11,080
Speaker 1: And so in my mind, if I'm willing to play

385
00:19:11,720 --> 00:19:15,600
Speaker 1: the Browns with PJ Walker, like I'm able to play

386
00:19:15,680 --> 00:19:18,320
Speaker 1: PJ Walker on the Browns, why wouldn't I be willing

387
00:19:18,320 --> 00:19:20,040
Speaker 1: to play a Tyrod Taylor, who I think is probably

388
00:19:20,040 --> 00:19:21,119
Speaker 1: better and more experienced.

389
00:19:21,119 --> 00:19:23,000
Speaker 2: So it's people.

390
00:19:23,240 --> 00:19:25,760
Speaker 1: It's going to be an ugly, ugly week, all right.

391
00:19:25,800 --> 00:19:29,080
Speaker 1: So the next game right now, we still owe people,

392
00:19:29,119 --> 00:19:32,240
Speaker 1: as Simon says, we still owe people an exec decision.

393
00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:35,119
Speaker 1: We haven't gotten there yet. The Atlanta Falcons, who I

394
00:19:35,200 --> 00:19:37,680
Speaker 1: just mentioned from the Washington game, are visiting the Temp

395
00:19:37,760 --> 00:19:39,560
Speaker 1: Bay Buccaneers, who we add a plus three and a

396
00:19:39,600 --> 00:19:43,520
Speaker 1: half against the juggernaut Detroit Lions. We were on the

397
00:19:43,520 --> 00:19:46,520
Speaker 1: wrong side of that one box are minus two and

398
00:19:46,600 --> 00:19:49,800
Speaker 1: a half true story. I was putting the script together

399
00:19:50,320 --> 00:19:55,159
Speaker 1: for today, and as I typed in this matchup, for

400
00:19:55,200 --> 00:19:59,480
Speaker 1: some reason, like I immediately had a feeling like that

401
00:19:59,560 --> 00:20:01,560
Speaker 1: you get start patting yourself down because you think you

402
00:20:01,640 --> 00:20:03,760
Speaker 1: lost your phone or your keys, like you can't find something.

403
00:20:03,800 --> 00:20:06,320
Speaker 1: It was total fear because I thought, for a second

404
00:20:06,560 --> 00:20:08,840
Speaker 1: I had already bet Tampa minus two and a half,

405
00:20:09,119 --> 00:20:11,920
Speaker 1: Like in my head, I remember making a bet on

406
00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:14,159
Speaker 1: somebody at minus two and a half, and then I

407
00:20:14,240 --> 00:20:17,359
Speaker 1: realized it was Baltimore. But I basically had to find

408
00:20:17,359 --> 00:20:20,920
Speaker 1: my notebook to confirm I hadn't bet Tampa Bay because

409
00:20:20,920 --> 00:20:22,360
Speaker 1: like I didn't want to bet this game at all.

410
00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:24,800
Speaker 1: The Falcons should have beaten Washington, Like the number of

411
00:20:24,840 --> 00:20:28,000
Speaker 1: times the camera pan to Arthur Smith and he was

412
00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,440
Speaker 1: just he was like putting his head in his hands.

413
00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:32,680
Speaker 1: The people on YouTube can see good I'm doing right now,

414
00:20:33,080 --> 00:20:36,840
Speaker 1: and like like he was watching his kids do the

415
00:20:36,880 --> 00:20:39,280
Speaker 1: same mistake over and over and was disgusted by it.

416
00:20:40,160 --> 00:20:45,280
Speaker 1: After Desmond Ridder threw picks to end Falcons chances was astonishing.

417
00:20:45,400 --> 00:20:48,600
Speaker 1: I think he did that more than they had fewer

418
00:20:48,600 --> 00:20:53,520
Speaker 1: first times than Arthur Smith looking disgusted. The defense did

419
00:20:53,560 --> 00:20:56,840
Speaker 1: his job. Like in this game, it was just a

420
00:20:57,000 --> 00:21:06,080
Speaker 1: bad play by by Desmond Ridder. Here's the problem. It's

421
00:21:06,080 --> 00:21:10,200
Speaker 1: a division game of less than a field goal. Overall

422
00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:16,359
Speaker 1: dogs in division games are sixty games above five hundred

423
00:21:16,400 --> 00:21:22,359
Speaker 1: the last decade, fading division home teams. Division home teams

424
00:21:22,560 --> 00:21:26,439
Speaker 1: are out winning, covering it just a forty six percent clip,

425
00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:31,800
Speaker 1: including thirteen and fifteen this year when the division team,

426
00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,440
Speaker 1: when the home team in the division is a favorite,

427
00:21:35,480 --> 00:21:39,560
Speaker 1: forty four point seven percent against the spread. Everything is

428
00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:45,040
Speaker 1: telling us, from last week's performances to the trends. You

429
00:21:45,160 --> 00:21:46,120
Speaker 1: take the Atlanta.

430
00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:49,239
Speaker 2: Falcons, Yeah, I think I think you thought you might

431
00:21:49,240 --> 00:21:51,119
Speaker 2: have better because I was like thinking about betting this

432
00:21:51,240 --> 00:21:53,440
Speaker 2: Sunday night on the Bucks. I was like, all right,

433
00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:56,359
Speaker 2: getting them under a field goal against this this Atlanta team.

434
00:21:56,440 --> 00:22:01,800
Speaker 2: But you're right. It's like I'm probably I'm probably selling

435
00:22:01,800 --> 00:22:03,720
Speaker 2: too low here on this Atlanta team, and I'm still

436
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:06,200
Speaker 2: probably too high in this Bucks team. Like this number

437
00:22:06,280 --> 00:22:08,160
Speaker 2: is what it should be. It feels like it's right,

438
00:22:08,240 --> 00:22:11,240
Speaker 2: So I guess the value is on Atlanta here. But

439
00:22:11,720 --> 00:22:13,080
Speaker 2: I'm with you, like this is a this is a

440
00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:14,639
Speaker 2: tough one, so maybe I'll have a better read on

441
00:22:14,680 --> 00:22:16,320
Speaker 2: him by Thursday. But if you say it right now,

442
00:22:16,320 --> 00:22:19,520
Speaker 2: it's like, ugh, Chad's right. The right move is taking

443
00:22:19,520 --> 00:22:22,200
Speaker 2: Atlanta here. It's just it's painful to do because it's

444
00:22:22,240 --> 00:22:26,200
Speaker 2: it's rid or outdoors and he's just sloppy like he's

445
00:22:26,240 --> 00:22:27,639
Speaker 2: so if you go back and watch the film, the

446
00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:30,080
Speaker 2: reason Arthur was getting so upset was like he was

447
00:22:30,160 --> 00:22:33,600
Speaker 2: making he was designing plays to have guys open instead

448
00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:35,600
Speaker 2: of making the right reads. He's just locking in on

449
00:22:35,600 --> 00:22:38,920
Speaker 2: one receiver and like if the guy's triple covered, that's

450
00:22:38,920 --> 00:22:40,879
Speaker 2: who he's throwing it to, Like it doesn't matter to him.

451
00:22:40,920 --> 00:22:43,960
Speaker 2: He's not going through his progression. So it's another game.

452
00:22:44,000 --> 00:22:46,240
Speaker 2: This week is tough, like there's just games. We gotta

453
00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:48,520
Speaker 2: just gotta pun of eat it. Just take these bad teams.

454
00:22:48,520 --> 00:22:51,000
Speaker 2: And this is another one where it's like the value

455
00:22:51,080 --> 00:22:53,879
Speaker 2: is technically on Atlanta, like you're getting them at two

456
00:22:53,920 --> 00:22:55,840
Speaker 2: and a half, we're supposed to take Atlanta. I just

457
00:22:56,200 --> 00:22:57,560
Speaker 2: I don't have it in me yet to pull the

458
00:22:57,560 --> 00:22:59,520
Speaker 2: trigger on it. I'm hoping it gets the three because

459
00:22:59,560 --> 00:23:03,000
Speaker 2: again that's another key number. But Atlanta is the spot.

460
00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,080
Speaker 2: Chad's right, like that's who we're probably going to be

461
00:23:05,080 --> 00:23:05,480
Speaker 2: on here.

462
00:23:05,960 --> 00:23:07,400
Speaker 1: It's uh, I think it's going to get to three.

463
00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:10,840
Speaker 1: It's it's uh, it's minus two and a half, minus

464
00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:11,439
Speaker 1: one fifteen.

465
00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:14,200
Speaker 2: So yeah, the juice is towards the box.

466
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:16,240
Speaker 1: It's gonna it's going to get to three. So we'll

467
00:23:16,280 --> 00:23:28,600
Speaker 1: hold on that. Detroit at Baltimore, Hello, Detroit Baltimore is

468
00:23:28,920 --> 00:23:32,080
Speaker 1: right now. No, now, it's up to three. So we

469
00:23:32,200 --> 00:23:35,080
Speaker 1: bet this right away on Sunday night. We're on the

470
00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:36,879
Speaker 1: side of the wise guys. The bets are on the lines.

471
00:23:36,920 --> 00:23:39,439
Speaker 1: The money is on the Ravens Lions. We said this

472
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:42,720
Speaker 1: last week and we didn't think I could get higher,

473
00:23:42,760 --> 00:23:44,399
Speaker 1: which is why we took the box, and that the

474
00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:47,600
Speaker 1: Lions value has never been higher in a burn bus.

475
00:23:48,240 --> 00:23:51,000
Speaker 1: Jared Goff is the most profitable QB against spread the

476
00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:55,760
Speaker 1: past five years. That's getting even better this year. The Ravens, meanwhile,

477
00:23:55,840 --> 00:24:00,439
Speaker 1: have not played great coming home from London. Lamarja not

478
00:24:00,480 --> 00:24:02,840
Speaker 1: great as a favorite. We think this is the right

479
00:24:02,880 --> 00:24:07,400
Speaker 1: spot the Lions the last four games seventy percent against

480
00:24:07,440 --> 00:24:10,399
Speaker 1: the spread. Lions and the Ravens have both beaten their

481
00:24:10,400 --> 00:24:14,400
Speaker 1: opponents this season by seven plunts points per game. They

482
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:19,440
Speaker 1: face off in Week sevens when two teams winning by

483
00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:22,639
Speaker 1: seven plus points per game on the year meet this

484
00:24:22,720 --> 00:24:26,359
Speaker 1: late in the season. The favorite covers only forty percent

485
00:24:26,359 --> 00:24:29,159
Speaker 1: of the time in the past twenty years. Jeez, I

486
00:24:29,240 --> 00:24:31,119
Speaker 1: know we bet Baltimore at two and a half. We

487
00:24:31,160 --> 00:24:32,560
Speaker 1: already did it, which sucks.

488
00:24:32,600 --> 00:24:34,520
Speaker 2: I was gonna make this, my Simon says, playfel still

489
00:24:34,560 --> 00:24:37,000
Speaker 2: two and a half. Like I love I still love Baltimore,

490
00:24:37,000 --> 00:24:38,679
Speaker 2: I love the value on Baltimore. I still love them

491
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:41,320
Speaker 2: at minus three, I make this line minus three and

492
00:24:41,359 --> 00:24:44,000
Speaker 2: a half, and I just I just know if they

493
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:45,280
Speaker 2: go to mines three and a half, this will be

494
00:24:45,280 --> 00:24:48,640
Speaker 2: the most public bed team we got the London stats

495
00:24:48,640 --> 00:24:50,840
Speaker 2: of like these teams that come back, it's always a

496
00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:54,000
Speaker 2: one possession game in the second half like that. That

497
00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:57,640
Speaker 2: that's ring true. Last week they played close, So yeah,

498
00:24:57,720 --> 00:24:59,879
Speaker 2: looking at this, it's more about fading the Lions. That

499
00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:03,080
Speaker 2: the fact that who have they played right? Last week?

500
00:25:03,119 --> 00:25:05,200
Speaker 2: They beat up on Tampa. The week before, they beat

501
00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:07,359
Speaker 2: up on Carolina, the week before, they beat up on

502
00:25:07,400 --> 00:25:09,360
Speaker 2: Green Bay. The week before they beat up they beat

503
00:25:09,440 --> 00:25:11,920
Speaker 2: up on Atlanta, and then they lost to the Seahawks

504
00:25:11,920 --> 00:25:14,560
Speaker 2: at home. So they've been doing what they should do

505
00:25:14,640 --> 00:25:17,199
Speaker 2: right they've been beating bad teams. They're running into a

506
00:25:17,240 --> 00:25:19,840
Speaker 2: really good team in this Ravens team, Like they're really good.

507
00:25:19,920 --> 00:25:22,720
Speaker 2: And we're catching Lamar after a game where I don't

508
00:25:22,720 --> 00:25:25,240
Speaker 2: think he played great against Tennessee, like it just it

509
00:25:25,320 --> 00:25:27,040
Speaker 2: just didn't seem like it was one of his better games.

510
00:25:27,040 --> 00:25:30,000
Speaker 2: And usually he bounces back big time against teams like this.

511
00:25:30,160 --> 00:25:35,440
Speaker 2: So Detroit, I think they've gotten away with some games here,

512
00:25:35,440 --> 00:25:39,920
Speaker 2: but you're about to get a true Northeast fall game apparently,

513
00:25:39,960 --> 00:25:42,320
Speaker 2: like apparently the weather might be bad this weekend up

514
00:25:42,320 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 2: in Baltimore. So I'm pissed this lines moved. I really

515
00:25:46,600 --> 00:25:48,199
Speaker 2: thought the public was gonna come in and hammer this

516
00:25:48,480 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 2: Lions team. So the fact that Evan just put our

517
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,399
Speaker 2: chest supposed to be very windy, come on, Like they

518
00:25:54,480 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 2: just lost Montgomery. I think Gibbs is still out. The

519
00:25:57,359 --> 00:26:00,720
Speaker 2: Detroit running back to rookie like Reynolds made a hell

520
00:26:00,720 --> 00:26:02,800
Speaker 2: of a block. Reynolds is not a great running back.

521
00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 2: It's a reason he's their third stringer. Like the Troit

522
00:26:06,160 --> 00:26:07,800
Speaker 2: this game is what we think. It's gonna be a

523
00:26:07,800 --> 00:26:09,920
Speaker 2: really windy game. You need to have a running running back,

524
00:26:09,960 --> 00:26:12,679
Speaker 2: and you know the Ravens Yeah, they've had plug and

525
00:26:12,680 --> 00:26:14,919
Speaker 2: play guys in that backfield, but it's all about Lamar.

526
00:26:15,080 --> 00:26:17,640
Speaker 2: Like Lamar's running style is the game changer here. So

527
00:26:18,600 --> 00:26:20,520
Speaker 2: I'm pissed this game be Simon says, I loved it

528
00:26:20,560 --> 00:26:22,840
Speaker 2: at minus two and a half, but still love it

529
00:26:22,880 --> 00:26:25,919
Speaker 2: at minus three. If me and Chat are faced with

530
00:26:26,000 --> 00:26:28,840
Speaker 2: the choice, I'm gonna do my best not to let

531
00:26:28,880 --> 00:26:30,760
Speaker 2: the minus three and a half scare me off. Come

532
00:26:31,000 --> 00:26:34,080
Speaker 2: Sunday we make our final five. But this just feels

533
00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:35,920
Speaker 2: like a good spot to back this Ravens team against

534
00:26:35,920 --> 00:26:36,320
Speaker 2: the lines.

535
00:26:37,000 --> 00:26:41,560
Speaker 1: Yeah, it does. And it's like, look, we could twist

536
00:26:41,560 --> 00:26:47,240
Speaker 1: yourself in k nots finding reasons to bet both sides.

537
00:26:48,280 --> 00:26:51,879
Speaker 1: Sometimes it's about instinct and having done this a lot,

538
00:26:52,520 --> 00:26:59,960
Speaker 1: and the the pace that the Lions are on is unsustainable.

539
00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 1: So you can keep betting against the Lions and at

540
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:06,040
Speaker 1: some point you will win, right, And so it's just

541
00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:08,040
Speaker 1: a question of do you want to keep taking that

542
00:27:08,119 --> 00:27:10,119
Speaker 1: shot and do you think you're going to find the

543
00:27:10,200 --> 00:27:13,520
Speaker 1: right spot. If they continue to do this, then they're

544
00:27:13,520 --> 00:27:16,520
Speaker 1: going to go seventeen to one on the year, They're

545
00:27:16,520 --> 00:27:18,359
Speaker 1: going to race through the playoffs, and they're going to

546
00:27:18,400 --> 00:27:22,400
Speaker 1: win the Super Bowl. Like it. They have to come

547
00:27:22,440 --> 00:27:24,520
Speaker 1: back to earth. Regression is a part of the game.

548
00:27:24,920 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 1: It just it. Yeah, and Saric Goff is not as

549
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:31,600
Speaker 1: good outside, and like it's a great coaching matchup. The

550
00:27:31,680 --> 00:27:35,120
Speaker 1: total is forty two, by the way, so you might

551
00:27:35,119 --> 00:27:36,960
Speaker 1: want to grab the under right now if we think

552
00:27:37,000 --> 00:27:42,640
Speaker 1: that weather's going to be as concern. It's a hard

553
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:45,200
Speaker 1: one though, and three in the contest is probably gonna

554
00:27:45,200 --> 00:27:45,800
Speaker 1: be three and a half.

555
00:27:46,640 --> 00:27:48,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, and just enjoy this week, Lions man, it's like,

556
00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:51,040
Speaker 2: this is your guys week. The Eagles lost the forty

557
00:27:51,119 --> 00:27:52,760
Speaker 2: nine ers loss. The Lions are like, are we the

558
00:27:52,760 --> 00:27:55,960
Speaker 2: best team the NFC? Like, the Lions fans are really

559
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:58,520
Speaker 2: saying that right now, pulling their chest out. So it's

560
00:27:58,560 --> 00:28:00,159
Speaker 2: got to feel good if you a lionspan. I had

561
00:28:00,359 --> 00:28:02,800
Speaker 2: a really good offense, a really good defense, Your special

562
00:28:02,800 --> 00:28:06,080
Speaker 2: teams is really good. It's like, that's that's the dream scenario. Like,

563
00:28:06,119 --> 00:28:09,000
Speaker 2: you guys are a top three, top four team right

564
00:28:09,000 --> 00:28:13,160
Speaker 2: in the NFC. And yeah, you don't have the historical

565
00:28:13,240 --> 00:28:15,640
Speaker 2: date on your side that makes me have any confidence

566
00:28:15,640 --> 00:28:17,280
Speaker 2: for you guys to make a Super Bowl run. What

567
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,600
Speaker 2: do you have one playoff win in fifty years something?

568
00:28:19,600 --> 00:28:22,400
Speaker 2: Crazy like that. This Lions fans enjoy this week because

569
00:28:23,040 --> 00:28:24,800
Speaker 2: usually Me and Chad are right in these spots. Just

570
00:28:24,840 --> 00:28:26,760
Speaker 2: a nice spot to back to Shravens team here. People,

571
00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:29,400
Speaker 2: don't let the numbers carry off. Me and Chad were

572
00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:31,920
Speaker 2: the original Lion lovers. We were all over them last

573
00:28:31,960 --> 00:28:33,879
Speaker 2: year ten to one, nine to one. I lost a

574
00:28:33,880 --> 00:28:35,760
Speaker 2: lot of money bet and then to win that division.

575
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,640
Speaker 2: So don't don't say we're not lying lovers. We loved

576
00:28:38,720 --> 00:28:39,120
Speaker 2: the line.

577
00:28:39,200 --> 00:28:43,760
Speaker 1: Nobody can. Anyone who's listened to this podcast knows we

578
00:28:43,800 --> 00:28:46,200
Speaker 1: are like a Dan Campbell podcast.

579
00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:49,400
Speaker 2: And as honest as I can, I don't. I really

580
00:28:49,440 --> 00:28:51,360
Speaker 2: don't even know how to respond to that. I mean,

581
00:28:51,360 --> 00:28:52,960
Speaker 2: I'm shocked by that.

582
00:28:53,360 --> 00:28:56,040
Speaker 1: We root so hard for the Lions because we know

583
00:28:56,160 --> 00:28:59,320
Speaker 1: the NFL is better with Dan Campbell in the league.

584
00:28:59,360 --> 00:29:01,480
Speaker 1: We never want Dan Campbell to get fired. We want

585
00:29:01,560 --> 00:29:03,920
Speaker 1: him to be coaching as long as we have this podcast.

586
00:29:04,040 --> 00:29:06,360
Speaker 1: All right, We love the lines. We just want to

587
00:29:06,360 --> 00:29:09,200
Speaker 1: fade him in this spot. All right, dude, we're getting

588
00:29:09,240 --> 00:29:11,160
Speaker 1: down to the end of the schedule here. We still

589
00:29:11,200 --> 00:29:15,440
Speaker 1: always Simon says, we still owe an exec decision. We're

590
00:29:15,440 --> 00:29:19,000
Speaker 1: talking about Arizona at Seattle Seattle is up to an

591
00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:26,680
Speaker 1: eight point favorite in this game, So I think I

592
00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:36,200
Speaker 1: I I slight, slight slight lean to Arizona for no

593
00:29:36,680 --> 00:29:39,280
Speaker 1: on field reason. A little bit because of the number,

594
00:29:39,760 --> 00:29:44,360
Speaker 1: but it really relates to Evan's stats from above with

595
00:29:44,440 --> 00:29:48,840
Speaker 1: regard to divisional games and just in this spot, favoring

596
00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,080
Speaker 1: the dog on the road in a divisional game like

597
00:29:51,760 --> 00:29:54,560
Speaker 1: we passed in Arizona last week. It's a big dog.

598
00:29:54,640 --> 00:30:01,880
Speaker 1: The pros liked against LA though well to say, uh, like,

599
00:30:03,280 --> 00:30:05,000
Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about it, and when we talk about LA,

600
00:30:05,080 --> 00:30:08,800
Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about you. Love in LA. And

601
00:30:09,800 --> 00:30:14,520
Speaker 1: I felt like Arizona had just reached its ceiling and

602
00:30:15,040 --> 00:30:17,920
Speaker 1: you know, they had overperformed their skill level and now

603
00:30:17,920 --> 00:30:19,680
Speaker 1: everyone had caught up to them. So I don't have

604
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:20,880
Speaker 1: a strong opinion on this game.

605
00:30:22,000 --> 00:30:24,400
Speaker 2: I honestly failed them just because there's no James Connor.

606
00:30:24,520 --> 00:30:26,320
Speaker 2: I just kept thinking to myself, this guy is what

607
00:30:26,760 --> 00:30:30,640
Speaker 2: this guy is what makes this offense run. And I

608
00:30:30,680 --> 00:30:31,960
Speaker 2: do feel like I got a little lucky in that

609
00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,960
Speaker 2: Rams game. They had opportunities and they just didn't come through.

610
00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:35,800
Speaker 2: But I do think it's because he wasn't there, Like

611
00:30:35,840 --> 00:30:38,640
Speaker 2: he really is the Lynchpin for that offense where you

612
00:30:38,680 --> 00:30:40,560
Speaker 2: don't realize it, but him pick up the four or

613
00:30:40,560 --> 00:30:42,800
Speaker 2: five on the first or second down carriers and making

614
00:30:42,800 --> 00:30:46,640
Speaker 2: that a third and manageable for their you know offense

615
00:30:46,680 --> 00:30:49,280
Speaker 2: that needs short third downs. That was such a big

616
00:30:49,280 --> 00:30:52,160
Speaker 2: deal for that offense in Arizona. So if you do

617
00:30:52,200 --> 00:30:54,080
Speaker 2: want to take Arizona, just take them first half. Like

618
00:30:54,080 --> 00:30:56,440
Speaker 2: apparently they're one of the best first half teams in football.

619
00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:58,720
Speaker 2: It's the same thing I think Evan every every week

620
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:00,880
Speaker 2: is telling us every week to fay Ridder in the

621
00:31:00,920 --> 00:31:02,800
Speaker 2: first half, and I mean, I don't know what its

622
00:31:02,800 --> 00:31:04,120
Speaker 2: stat it's up to, but he might be an oh

623
00:31:04,200 --> 00:31:06,240
Speaker 2: for nine or oh for ten in the first half Ridder,

624
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:09,040
Speaker 2: oh for ten, yeah, Ridder. So same thing with Arizona.

625
00:31:09,560 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 2: Seems like they're great in the first half and then

626
00:31:11,600 --> 00:31:14,640
Speaker 2: second half their all offense just doesn't do well like

627
00:31:14,680 --> 00:31:16,880
Speaker 2: they they're just whatever it is that happens in the

628
00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:20,000
Speaker 2: adjustments and after the first half. Their second half is

629
00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:21,560
Speaker 2: never as good Arizona. So if you do want to

630
00:31:21,600 --> 00:31:25,840
Speaker 2: take Arizona and a big number, go first half. For me,

631
00:31:25,920 --> 00:31:28,760
Speaker 2: full game. I love the Seahawks here. They're just after

632
00:31:28,800 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 2: a loss coming home. Their defense has really shown me

633
00:31:32,840 --> 00:31:36,360
Speaker 2: something this year, like they they really are talking a

634
00:31:36,360 --> 00:31:38,280
Speaker 2: lot of big game and you know, they for the

635
00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:39,880
Speaker 2: most part, have stepped it up. The only team that

636
00:31:39,920 --> 00:31:42,520
Speaker 2: really dominated them was the Rams in Week one, and

637
00:31:42,560 --> 00:31:44,720
Speaker 2: the Lions put up a ton ton of points. But

638
00:31:45,160 --> 00:31:47,680
Speaker 2: we talk all the time lines indoor. That's just different teams.

639
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:50,640
Speaker 2: So it's a big number for the Seahawks team here.

640
00:31:50,680 --> 00:31:53,200
Speaker 2: But I got to take some chalk, and this is

641
00:31:53,240 --> 00:31:54,560
Speaker 2: this is one of the teams I'm gonna take here

642
00:31:54,600 --> 00:31:57,600
Speaker 2: for the chalk. I'll take Seahawks minus eight at home.

643
00:31:58,960 --> 00:32:02,120
Speaker 1: Simon says, No, don't worry.

644
00:32:02,160 --> 00:32:04,880
Speaker 2: Simon says, it's coming. It's coming. They're the only big

645
00:32:04,880 --> 00:32:06,920
Speaker 2: favorite I really like this week. Seahawks.

646
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:11,240
Speaker 1: All right, the Steelers are visiting the Rams. We talked

647
00:32:11,240 --> 00:32:12,560
Speaker 1: about this game on Sunday night.

648
00:32:12,920 --> 00:32:13,680
Speaker 2: You're all over it.

649
00:32:14,040 --> 00:32:16,320
Speaker 1: When I said I was all over it, you gave

650
00:32:16,360 --> 00:32:20,360
Speaker 1: me that concerned look you give when you're like, I

651
00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,280
Speaker 1: don't know about that one, Chad. And when you say

652
00:32:22,320 --> 00:32:24,040
Speaker 1: I don't know about that one, Chad. We've been doing

653
00:32:24,040 --> 00:32:26,640
Speaker 1: this long enough for me to know that, like you're

654
00:32:26,680 --> 00:32:30,320
Speaker 1: really saying I'm stepping in it. But yeah, no, you

655
00:32:30,360 --> 00:32:34,000
Speaker 1: don't want to write you think so, because like, yeah,

656
00:32:34,240 --> 00:32:37,240
Speaker 1: I'm a little nervous about it right now. Like I

657
00:32:37,320 --> 00:32:41,040
Speaker 1: love this game. I bet it Sunday night, and it

658
00:32:41,040 --> 00:32:43,120
Speaker 1: feels like a raw ross spot for Tomlin.

659
00:32:43,600 --> 00:32:44,760
Speaker 2: Not the greatest of all time.

660
00:32:44,800 --> 00:32:48,000
Speaker 1: Look at your work, every precedent we believe in that

661
00:32:48,080 --> 00:32:50,240
Speaker 1: we've bet on in the past, where we know it's

662
00:32:50,280 --> 00:32:53,040
Speaker 1: the right thing to do is backing him and the

663
00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:56,840
Speaker 1: Steelers in this spot. They are fifty six thirty one

664
00:32:56,920 --> 00:33:00,520
Speaker 1: and four against the spread as underdogs under Tomlin four

665
00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:04,719
Speaker 1: percent against the spread, most profitable coach past twenty years.

666
00:33:04,840 --> 00:33:09,920
Speaker 1: They're coming off of by Deontay Johnson is is practicing again,

667
00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:13,120
Speaker 1: he could return. Kieran Williams is out for the Rams.

668
00:33:13,920 --> 00:33:16,480
Speaker 1: But you've been on the Rams all off season. You

669
00:33:16,520 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 1: were on them last week against the Cardinals, didn't You

670
00:33:19,240 --> 00:33:22,880
Speaker 1: were not buying the Cardinals. So, like, what am I

671
00:33:22,920 --> 00:33:24,280
Speaker 1: doing here? Am I right? Am I wrong?

672
00:33:24,960 --> 00:33:27,360
Speaker 2: That's a moment right here for you young stars, Let's

673
00:33:27,360 --> 00:33:30,040
Speaker 2: live now. I think you're right. If you grabbed the

674
00:33:30,080 --> 00:33:31,920
Speaker 2: three and a half, which this line was three and

675
00:33:31,960 --> 00:33:36,600
Speaker 2: a half. My fear with this is if it's fourteen nothing, Rams,

676
00:33:37,000 --> 00:33:39,960
Speaker 2: you are dead. Your ticket on Pittsburgh is dead. And

677
00:33:39,960 --> 00:33:42,880
Speaker 2: that's the fear here where it's like it's my dream

678
00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:47,120
Speaker 2: is coming true. Like Cooper cup Stafford healthy, it's Week seven,

679
00:33:47,800 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 2: they're three and three, Like this was my dream scenario

680
00:33:50,560 --> 00:33:53,320
Speaker 2: for this Rams team, Like they're just let these guys

681
00:33:53,360 --> 00:33:56,440
Speaker 2: stay healthy. They're going to surprise people win games, and

682
00:33:56,480 --> 00:34:00,200
Speaker 2: that's what they've been doing. Like Pooka with Cooper Cup up,

683
00:34:01,240 --> 00:34:03,960
Speaker 2: it's a great one two punch for that wide receiving course.

684
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:07,320
Speaker 2: So yeah, Williams being out, it's not good. That guy

685
00:34:07,400 --> 00:34:09,080
Speaker 2: is a big deal to that Rams team. He's been

686
00:34:09,080 --> 00:34:10,920
Speaker 2: really really great for them in the red zone, especially

687
00:34:11,000 --> 00:34:14,880
Speaker 2: running the ball. So I'll downgrade a little bit. But

688
00:34:15,000 --> 00:34:18,560
Speaker 2: that's the fear here with this Pittsburgh team, Like Kenny

689
00:34:18,640 --> 00:34:22,720
Speaker 2: is not good, that offense is not good Canada arguably

690
00:34:22,760 --> 00:34:25,760
Speaker 2: when the worst o season all football. And I should

691
00:34:25,760 --> 00:34:27,719
Speaker 2: have said this that Lions guy what's his name, Ben

692
00:34:27,800 --> 00:34:32,120
Speaker 2: Johnson thro oc Yeah, the Bears. He should be the

693
00:34:32,160 --> 00:34:35,279
Speaker 2: first call the Bears make this offseason, Like if you

694
00:34:35,320 --> 00:34:38,880
Speaker 2: do get rid, burn it all down, get a new quarterback.

695
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:42,040
Speaker 2: What this guy's done with that Detroit offense? Every week

696
00:34:42,120 --> 00:34:44,600
Speaker 2: they have guys in and out. He caters to the

697
00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,280
Speaker 2: strengths of that offense, and that's what you want. Canada

698
00:34:47,320 --> 00:34:50,799
Speaker 2: is the exact opposite. Like Canada, he does not cater

699
00:34:50,840 --> 00:34:53,759
Speaker 2: to the strains of this Pittsburgh team's offense. So that's

700
00:34:53,800 --> 00:34:57,560
Speaker 2: my fear here, Chad. Where it's like the Rams. Maybe

701
00:34:57,560 --> 00:35:00,399
Speaker 2: we're buying an overvalued spot. But I you just saw

702
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,680
Speaker 2: teams I liked last week coming off of bye week.

703
00:35:02,719 --> 00:35:05,160
Speaker 2: Their offenses look sluggish. I mean the Chargers coming off

704
00:35:05,160 --> 00:35:08,719
Speaker 2: of bye week. That offense didn't look right. We've seen

705
00:35:08,719 --> 00:35:10,160
Speaker 2: that time and time again happen on some of these

706
00:35:10,200 --> 00:35:12,320
Speaker 2: offenses coming off of bye week. They just don't look

707
00:35:12,680 --> 00:35:15,880
Speaker 2: game speed ready. That's the fear here, Chad. We're buying it.

708
00:35:15,880 --> 00:35:19,040
Speaker 2: We're back in a Pittsburgh team on the road, Kenny,

709
00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:22,439
Speaker 2: on the road against the high powered offense. The Rams

710
00:35:22,440 --> 00:35:25,399
Speaker 2: strength isn't their defense, it's that offense. So I want

711
00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:27,000
Speaker 2: to get there with you. But if it's at three,

712
00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:28,879
Speaker 2: I'm not as confident where I am. If it's three

713
00:35:28,920 --> 00:35:31,240
Speaker 2: and a half, I could see myself getting on Pittsburgh.

714
00:35:31,320 --> 00:35:34,239
Speaker 2: But right now three I'm still still leaning towards the

715
00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 2: Rams here. But it is a tough one. For me. Man.

716
00:35:37,040 --> 00:35:39,200
Speaker 2: We make the simple complex in this business, don't we.

717
00:35:39,360 --> 00:35:42,480
Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, we're on the Steelers like we're running

718
00:35:42,480 --> 00:35:45,400
Speaker 1: down the list here. We've got an interesting menu of

719
00:35:45,520 --> 00:35:48,160
Speaker 1: games that we'll have to review on Thursday. As sort of.

720
00:35:48,160 --> 00:35:50,480
Speaker 2: We're buying alone. So many teams of the public perceive

721
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:52,359
Speaker 2: as something where they're just they're just not what they

722
00:35:52,360 --> 00:35:54,800
Speaker 2: think they are. Like teams just had bad weeks people,

723
00:35:54,840 --> 00:35:55,400
Speaker 2: That's what it is.

724
00:35:55,719 --> 00:35:58,000
Speaker 1: By the way, after the show a couple of weeks ago,

725
00:35:58,080 --> 00:36:01,120
Speaker 1: when we took the Steelers plus four against Baltimore, Matt

726
00:36:01,160 --> 00:36:05,520
Speaker 1: Mitchell asked one of our engineers, Dustin, who has a

727
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:10,400
Speaker 1: lovely singing voice, to record a very special song. This

728
00:36:10,560 --> 00:36:16,520
Speaker 1: is our Howard Stern mock song moment starring Dustin. Please enjoy.

729
00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:24,719
Speaker 2: I gotta bet my Tom and catching bull.

730
00:36:27,160 --> 00:36:28,359
Speaker 1: Open loss a home.

731
00:36:28,560 --> 00:36:35,919
Speaker 2: Yeah, couldn't ask for now, A big strong drink. I'm

732
00:36:35,920 --> 00:36:42,319
Speaker 2: gonna for away. We're gonna sor because I gotta bet

733
00:36:42,440 --> 00:36:44,560
Speaker 2: Mike Tomline catches.

734
00:36:44,239 --> 00:36:53,680
Speaker 1: For all right Green Bay at Denver moved him up

735
00:36:53,680 --> 00:36:57,040
Speaker 1: plus one for the Broncos opened to plus two. Your

736
00:36:57,120 --> 00:37:00,719
Speaker 1: first comment on Sunday Night Gotta watch Sunday Night Show

737
00:37:00,760 --> 00:37:03,640
Speaker 1: that's where you get the best of the number. First comment,

738
00:37:03,920 --> 00:37:07,160
Speaker 1: this is a stinky line. Yeah, at that point it

739
00:37:07,200 --> 00:37:09,200
Speaker 1: was plus two, Like I said, now it's plus one.

740
00:37:09,760 --> 00:37:10,200
Speaker 2: Huge.

741
00:37:10,800 --> 00:37:12,600
Speaker 1: One of the biggest Pro Joe games of the week.

742
00:37:12,920 --> 00:37:17,719
Speaker 1: All the money on Denver at Denver Broncos. We had

743
00:37:17,840 --> 00:37:21,719
Speaker 1: been saying all season, like, Russell Wilson wasn't the problem, right,

744
00:37:22,600 --> 00:37:24,520
Speaker 1: he wasn't getting better, but he wasn't the reason they

745
00:37:24,520 --> 00:37:28,440
Speaker 1: were losing. Their defense was the reason. Then, Russell Wilson

746
00:37:28,520 --> 00:37:33,360
Speaker 1: was terrible against Kansas City, laid an egg. Sean Payton

747
00:37:33,400 --> 00:37:34,319
Speaker 1: called a terrible game.

748
00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:37,520
Speaker 2: We still almost covered though. That's the craziest part, dude,

749
00:37:37,560 --> 00:37:38,000
Speaker 2: if you got.

750
00:37:37,920 --> 00:37:40,080
Speaker 1: Eleven, you at least like, look, we love the under.

751
00:37:40,120 --> 00:37:40,520
Speaker 1: In that game.

752
00:37:40,520 --> 00:37:42,200
Speaker 2: We had the I had a sixty yard field goal

753
00:37:42,400 --> 00:37:43,160
Speaker 2: Prime time under.

754
00:37:43,160 --> 00:37:46,560
Speaker 1: We got it. But and look, at one point the

755
00:37:46,600 --> 00:37:48,880
Speaker 1: line was eleven. So if you could find me eleven,

756
00:37:48,920 --> 00:37:52,240
Speaker 1: which we talked about, then uh, you at least pushed

757
00:37:52,320 --> 00:37:57,680
Speaker 1: but advanced. Joseph fixed the defense against the Chiefs. We

758
00:37:57,760 --> 00:37:59,120
Speaker 1: love the Broncos.

759
00:37:58,640 --> 00:38:01,719
Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, I gotta do it, got it, gotta tick

760
00:38:01,760 --> 00:38:04,560
Speaker 2: the Broncos. I hate it people, And if you're sick

761
00:38:04,600 --> 00:38:08,279
Speaker 2: of losing these close games by the Broncos. Totally get it.

762
00:38:08,320 --> 00:38:09,680
Speaker 2: You can tease it up like I know plenty of

763
00:38:09,680 --> 00:38:11,160
Speaker 2: people that were like I couldn't get there. You guys

764
00:38:11,200 --> 00:38:12,760
Speaker 2: on the chargers by to put them in a teaser.

765
00:38:12,920 --> 00:38:14,440
Speaker 2: It feels like the same kind of thing here where

766
00:38:14,440 --> 00:38:15,839
Speaker 2: it's like, if you can find the one and a half,

767
00:38:15,880 --> 00:38:17,279
Speaker 2: get up to seven and a half, or take the

768
00:38:17,360 --> 00:38:20,479
Speaker 2: one up to seven, go for it. But we're talking

769
00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,600
Speaker 2: straight bets still love it, chat. We love Denver no

770
00:38:23,640 --> 00:38:25,239
Speaker 2: matter what. Is a dog here. If it flips to

771
00:38:25,280 --> 00:38:28,080
Speaker 2: them being a favorite, we know that Evan stat maybe

772
00:38:28,080 --> 00:38:30,440
Speaker 2: we'll get off of this one. But as you sit

773
00:38:30,480 --> 00:38:33,000
Speaker 2: here as a dog, how do you not love Denver here?

774
00:38:34,239 --> 00:38:37,200
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, look, I bet at it two. I'm

775
00:38:37,280 --> 00:38:41,520
Speaker 1: imagining that if it stays at Denver as a dog,

776
00:38:41,719 --> 00:38:44,200
Speaker 1: we're gonna want to put it in the contest. You

777
00:38:44,280 --> 00:38:47,200
Speaker 1: gotta keep taking it if it flips. I wouldn't take it,

778
00:38:47,239 --> 00:38:50,040
Speaker 1: Like there are some pretty good trends against taking the

779
00:38:50,080 --> 00:38:54,879
Speaker 1: favorite when they've been the underdog. But yeah, look, we're

780
00:38:54,880 --> 00:38:57,760
Speaker 1: just going to keep losing money on betting on the Broncos,

781
00:38:57,840 --> 00:39:00,880
Speaker 1: and we're going to keep losing money betting it install Lions.

782
00:39:01,239 --> 00:39:03,160
Speaker 1: It's just how it's going to be, and we hope

783
00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:05,520
Speaker 1: that on the edges, the other games that we don't

784
00:39:05,560 --> 00:39:07,879
Speaker 1: bet every single week, the other teams that we don't

785
00:39:07,880 --> 00:39:11,279
Speaker 1: bet every week, are going to come through for us.

786
00:39:11,840 --> 00:39:15,560
Speaker 1: Look the La Chargers last night at home off of

787
00:39:15,600 --> 00:39:23,520
Speaker 1: by revenge game for Kellen Moore. They had that game.

788
00:39:23,760 --> 00:39:26,000
Speaker 1: We bet it a two and a half. They really

789
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:32,000
Speaker 1: should have won that game. If I may, I bet

790
00:39:32,000 --> 00:39:35,680
Speaker 1: this game at Chargers plus six on Sunday night. It

791
00:39:35,719 --> 00:39:40,240
Speaker 1: moved pretty quickly. I still like it. To my exec decision,

792
00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:45,920
Speaker 1: I'm sorry, I can't quit the Chargers. You gotta do it.

793
00:39:45,960 --> 00:39:51,600
Speaker 1: Look at the look there's the situation for the Chargers

794
00:39:52,280 --> 00:39:56,200
Speaker 1: getting embarrassed and beat badly in a lot of ways.

795
00:39:56,200 --> 00:39:58,480
Speaker 1: It's not a blowout, but beat badly in a primetime game.

796
00:39:59,160 --> 00:40:01,120
Speaker 1: The value will be flated. Although I don't think this

797
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:05,240
Speaker 1: line will move very much against a Kansas City team

798
00:40:05,320 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 1: that feels too good. You know, I think the line

799
00:40:09,239 --> 00:40:10,720
Speaker 1: is inflated right now.

800
00:40:11,320 --> 00:40:13,640
Speaker 2: I'm almost positive Evan had some crazy stat about all

801
00:40:13,640 --> 00:40:17,000
Speaker 2: the losses this Chargers teams had with Herbert. And it's

802
00:40:17,080 --> 00:40:20,880
Speaker 2: always close games and especially these divisional games are always

803
00:40:20,880 --> 00:40:24,319
Speaker 2: close games, so it feels like we're getting honestly two

804
00:40:24,400 --> 00:40:26,920
Speaker 2: free points of value. Yeah, here it is. Nineteen of

805
00:40:26,960 --> 00:40:29,560
Speaker 2: the chargers last twenty four games have been decided by

806
00:40:29,600 --> 00:40:32,960
Speaker 2: seven points or less, dating back to Week eighteen of

807
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:36,920
Speaker 2: twenty twenty one. So you know, Chargers last eight losses

808
00:40:36,960 --> 00:40:41,719
Speaker 2: were by three, three, two, one, three, seven, three and six. Like,

809
00:40:41,760 --> 00:40:44,359
Speaker 2: this is just a team that I get it. If

810
00:40:44,400 --> 00:40:46,600
Speaker 2: you're like, just like last week, if you're scared off

811
00:40:46,600 --> 00:40:49,319
Speaker 2: by the low number, tease them up again. They win

812
00:40:49,560 --> 00:40:52,200
Speaker 2: and play close, ugly games, Like if they're gonna lose,

813
00:40:52,200 --> 00:40:53,799
Speaker 2: they're gonna lose by three. If they win, they're gonna

814
00:40:53,840 --> 00:40:57,360
Speaker 2: win by three. The Chargers just they have horrible coaching

815
00:40:57,400 --> 00:40:59,359
Speaker 2: and it's just the way it is, like whenever they

816
00:40:59,400 --> 00:41:03,760
Speaker 2: shouldn't make the right decision. Even yesterday, like your defense

817
00:41:03,840 --> 00:41:06,080
Speaker 2: is playing incredible. If you kick a field goal the

818
00:41:06,080 --> 00:41:07,879
Speaker 2: game was tied, it would have been tied ten to ten.

819
00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:11,040
Speaker 2: Instead he went for it, didn't work out, end up

820
00:41:11,040 --> 00:41:12,600
Speaker 2: game coming down to a field goal at the very end,

821
00:41:12,600 --> 00:41:15,040
Speaker 2: and they lost by three. It's like the guy s

822
00:41:15,120 --> 00:41:17,799
Speaker 2: Daley just doesn't make the right choices and he tries

823
00:41:17,840 --> 00:41:20,319
Speaker 2: to blame analytics or do whatever with that stuff. It's like,

824
00:41:20,880 --> 00:41:25,600
Speaker 2: nah Man situational awareness. Your defense was totally dominating, which

825
00:41:25,680 --> 00:41:29,160
Speaker 2: was shocking that Dallas offense. And you know they didn't

826
00:41:29,160 --> 00:41:32,239
Speaker 2: take the three there, So five and a half, Chad,

827
00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:34,680
Speaker 2: I mean, this would have been amazing. At six like

828
00:41:34,719 --> 00:41:36,880
Speaker 2: this would have been such an auto play in the contest.

829
00:41:36,920 --> 00:41:39,400
Speaker 2: But still five and a half, still would happily put

830
00:41:39,440 --> 00:41:40,680
Speaker 2: this in the contest.

831
00:41:40,840 --> 00:41:44,840
Speaker 1: Well, look, I'll refer back to what I said earlier

832
00:41:45,360 --> 00:41:48,400
Speaker 1: when I was talking about the division games and the

833
00:41:48,440 --> 00:41:53,360
Speaker 1: Falcons and the Bucks Dogs in division games, sixty games

834
00:41:53,400 --> 00:41:57,640
Speaker 1: above five hundred against the spread the past decade, home

835
00:41:58,040 --> 00:42:02,640
Speaker 1: division favorite, let's cover at a forty four point seven

836
00:42:03,280 --> 00:42:07,040
Speaker 1: clip forty five percent the past twenty years. Home division

837
00:42:07,040 --> 00:42:10,759
Speaker 1: favorites only covering forty five percent the past five years.

838
00:42:10,800 --> 00:42:14,160
Speaker 1: And then, by the way, let's talk about Mahomes right,

839
00:42:14,360 --> 00:42:19,880
Speaker 1: like Mahomes as a favorite of three and a half

840
00:42:19,960 --> 00:42:24,720
Speaker 1: or more, well under five hundred. This is a spot

841
00:42:24,760 --> 00:42:27,440
Speaker 1: where because the number is so big, it's always inflated

842
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:30,880
Speaker 1: with the Chiefs. Everything is saying that the Chargers in

843
00:42:30,920 --> 00:42:33,600
Speaker 1: this game. Everything exec decision, you.

844
00:42:33,520 --> 00:42:36,040
Speaker 2: Know me, regardless of what's going on. I'm a Foxhole guy.

845
00:42:36,400 --> 00:42:38,160
Speaker 2: I commit to a team, I commit to a city.

846
00:42:38,360 --> 00:42:39,279
Speaker 2: I'm a Foxhold guy.

847
00:42:39,440 --> 00:42:43,440
Speaker 1: Here we go, all right, Simon, Let's talk about the

848
00:42:43,520 --> 00:42:46,880
Speaker 1: Sunday night football game. Game of the week. Boys, Sunday

849
00:42:46,920 --> 00:42:52,000
Speaker 1: Night got a great game. Miami Dolphins visiting the Philadelphia Eagles.

850
00:42:52,360 --> 00:42:56,480
Speaker 1: The Eagles are one and a half points favorites. According

851
00:42:56,480 --> 00:42:58,920
Speaker 1: to bet three six five. These two teams have the

852
00:42:59,040 --> 00:43:03,240
Speaker 1: second shortest odd to win their conference and third and fifth,

853
00:43:03,440 --> 00:43:06,640
Speaker 1: with the Eagles and Dolphins respectively shortest odds to win

854
00:43:06,680 --> 00:43:09,160
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl. This is the big one. All the

855
00:43:09,200 --> 00:43:13,040
Speaker 1: money is on Philly. Wise, guys like Philly, majority of

856
00:43:13,080 --> 00:43:16,560
Speaker 1: the tickets on Miami makes sense. The line has moved.

857
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:19,759
Speaker 1: Was it two and a half now? Is it one

858
00:43:19,800 --> 00:43:22,880
Speaker 1: and a half? Last week against the Jets felt like

859
00:43:23,160 --> 00:43:25,520
Speaker 1: a game the Eagles just had to get out of

860
00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:27,839
Speaker 1: their system right like they have been playing on the

861
00:43:28,000 --> 00:43:31,040
Speaker 1: edge of mistakes and just not getting burned by it.

862
00:43:31,360 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 1: Last week they played a defense that burned them. Something

863
00:43:34,280 --> 00:43:36,960
Speaker 1: tells me that this could be an important game for.

864
00:43:36,920 --> 00:43:39,120
Speaker 2: You, Steimon says.

865
00:43:39,280 --> 00:43:40,560
Speaker 1: Simon says.

866
00:43:41,480 --> 00:43:45,560
Speaker 2: When Simon says do it, we do. What Sion says.

867
00:43:46,080 --> 00:43:47,680
Speaker 2: Gotta grab the one and a half while you can

868
00:43:47,800 --> 00:43:49,680
Speaker 2: A bunch of books are still showing two and a half,

869
00:43:49,840 --> 00:43:51,719
Speaker 2: So I easily can see it going back up to

870
00:43:51,719 --> 00:43:53,880
Speaker 2: two and a half, depends on what book, but you

871
00:43:53,920 --> 00:43:55,480
Speaker 2: can get it one and a half at I'm seeing

872
00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:58,520
Speaker 2: five books right now. So easiest bet of the week,

873
00:43:58,680 --> 00:44:00,759
Speaker 2: Like this might not be the being a real big

874
00:44:00,800 --> 00:44:03,040
Speaker 2: bet for your boy. What do we know about this

875
00:44:03,120 --> 00:44:07,560
Speaker 2: Miami team? They have a bad defense, a defense that

876
00:44:08,360 --> 00:44:11,080
Speaker 2: when they play bad teams, they don't care about giving

877
00:44:11,120 --> 00:44:12,320
Speaker 2: up a ton of yards. All they gotta do is

878
00:44:12,360 --> 00:44:13,880
Speaker 2: top in the red zone because they know their offense

879
00:44:13,960 --> 00:44:16,000
Speaker 2: is going to score for them. But we saw in

880
00:44:16,000 --> 00:44:20,120
Speaker 2: that Bills game Tua and pressure that's the kryptonite. Like,

881
00:44:20,160 --> 00:44:22,240
Speaker 2: if you got our front four that can get pressure

882
00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:25,800
Speaker 2: with just rushing for that's how you beat this Miami team.

883
00:44:26,280 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 2: What do we have here in this Eagles team? One

884
00:44:28,120 --> 00:44:30,839
Speaker 2: of the best d lens in all football. Jalen Carter

885
00:44:30,960 --> 00:44:32,799
Speaker 2: is supposed to be back. Apparently they took him out

886
00:44:32,880 --> 00:44:35,239
Speaker 2: last week just so they want to push it. They

887
00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:37,600
Speaker 2: wanted to rest them last weekgainst the Jets. Same with

888
00:44:37,680 --> 00:44:39,960
Speaker 2: Darius Slay. They're supposed to both be back for this

889
00:44:40,040 --> 00:44:43,760
Speaker 2: Sunday night game, catching the Eagles after a really bad loss.

890
00:44:44,800 --> 00:44:47,000
Speaker 2: It feels like the perfect spot to back a veteran

891
00:44:47,080 --> 00:44:50,560
Speaker 2: team at home in prime time under a field goal

892
00:44:51,120 --> 00:44:53,680
Speaker 2: against you know, one of the most hyped offenses and

893
00:44:53,719 --> 00:44:56,160
Speaker 2: we've ever seen in all football. Like, I got no

894
00:44:56,280 --> 00:44:59,040
Speaker 2: doubt that the Miami'll put up points and get their own.

895
00:44:59,520 --> 00:45:01,080
Speaker 2: I got this same thing about the Eagles. Eagles are

896
00:45:01,120 --> 00:45:03,279
Speaker 2: going to be able to score at will in this

897
00:45:03,360 --> 00:45:06,120
Speaker 2: game against this Miami defense. Like Miami's got no one

898
00:45:06,680 --> 00:45:08,879
Speaker 2: on their defense. I see them having advantage of wise

899
00:45:08,880 --> 00:45:11,440
Speaker 2: against the Eagles team where the Eagles defense has a

900
00:45:11,520 --> 00:45:13,600
Speaker 2: huge advantage with that front four, Like if they can

901
00:45:13,640 --> 00:45:15,879
Speaker 2: get pressure with just four guys that the Bills did,

902
00:45:16,440 --> 00:45:18,080
Speaker 2: if you take away the run and put it all

903
00:45:18,120 --> 00:45:20,960
Speaker 2: into a that's not where they want to be. Like shockingly,

904
00:45:20,960 --> 00:45:23,640
Speaker 2: people don't realize Miami is right now on the best

905
00:45:23,680 --> 00:45:26,320
Speaker 2: not only the best passing teams, the best running teams.

906
00:45:26,320 --> 00:45:29,000
Speaker 2: Most at He's on pace for like thirty one touchdowns

907
00:45:29,040 --> 00:45:30,960
Speaker 2: right now. They're running back for Miami, Like this guy

908
00:45:31,000 --> 00:45:34,160
Speaker 2: is playing out of his mind. So looking at this,

909
00:45:35,320 --> 00:45:38,600
Speaker 2: I'm shocked that so much money's coming on the Eagles

910
00:45:38,600 --> 00:45:40,080
Speaker 2: I really did think more people would be on this

911
00:45:40,160 --> 00:45:42,160
Speaker 2: Dolphins team and they would like this spot for them.

912
00:45:42,160 --> 00:45:45,640
Speaker 2: But I can't believe it's down to one and a half,

913
00:45:45,800 --> 00:45:47,640
Speaker 2: like such a good number, such good value on an

914
00:45:47,640 --> 00:45:50,520
Speaker 2: Eagles team that we have to back them here. Like

915
00:45:50,640 --> 00:45:53,759
Speaker 2: after such a bad loss against the Jets, Hurts his

916
00:45:53,840 --> 00:45:56,960
Speaker 2: worst game of the year, what have we seen. We've

917
00:45:57,000 --> 00:46:00,600
Speaker 2: seen after the Chiefs play that Jets team a huge

918
00:46:00,600 --> 00:46:03,560
Speaker 2: bounce back game, the Bills Josh Allen huge bounce back game.

919
00:46:03,640 --> 00:46:06,279
Speaker 2: So these quarterbacks, we think Hurts is one of these

920
00:46:06,280 --> 00:46:09,240
Speaker 2: elite quarterbacks. He should bounce back here. If he doesn't,

921
00:46:09,719 --> 00:46:11,759
Speaker 2: that tells you that something's wrong with Hurts and this

922
00:46:11,800 --> 00:46:14,759
Speaker 2: Eagles offense. So we got to play this spot. Play

923
00:46:14,800 --> 00:46:17,399
Speaker 2: the Eagles here to bounce back and trust that front

924
00:46:17,440 --> 00:46:20,799
Speaker 2: four again, pressure onto it. Like the Miami matches up

925
00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:23,800
Speaker 2: really well against ninety percent of the teams in this league.

926
00:46:24,560 --> 00:46:28,400
Speaker 2: But teams like the Eagles, teams like the Cleveland teams,

927
00:46:28,400 --> 00:46:31,960
Speaker 2: that front four that can get pressure, that's the game changer.

928
00:46:32,080 --> 00:46:34,719
Speaker 2: So yeah, maybe we're getting value r now because Eagles

929
00:46:34,760 --> 00:46:36,920
Speaker 2: are so banged up. Chat but if Jalen Carter's cleared,

930
00:46:37,200 --> 00:46:40,320
Speaker 2: if slays back, man, this is such a good number

931
00:46:40,360 --> 00:46:41,520
Speaker 2: right now for this Eagles team.

932
00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:44,880
Speaker 1: Yeah, it's uh that one and a half is just

933
00:46:45,000 --> 00:46:48,480
Speaker 1: hanging there in certain spots, but there's a lot of twos,

934
00:46:48,600 --> 00:46:51,040
Speaker 1: so you got to grab the one and a half.

935
00:46:51,200 --> 00:46:55,799
Speaker 1: If you're listening right now, what's the ceiling for you

936
00:46:56,120 --> 00:47:00,759
Speaker 1: on betting the Eagles as a as one of your

937
00:47:00,800 --> 00:47:02,560
Speaker 1: bigger bets? Like I can hear you talking about this,

938
00:47:02,719 --> 00:47:05,440
Speaker 1: and as you're talking about it, I'm firing away on

939
00:47:05,520 --> 00:47:07,520
Speaker 1: the Eagles minus one and a half wherever I can

940
00:47:07,520 --> 00:47:10,600
Speaker 1: find it. Yeah, I know enough to know when you

941
00:47:10,760 --> 00:47:12,800
Speaker 1: when you say this might be one of my big bets,

942
00:47:12,800 --> 00:47:14,160
Speaker 1: it means it might be a big bet.

943
00:47:14,640 --> 00:47:16,359
Speaker 2: And so it's getting there.

944
00:47:16,640 --> 00:47:19,840
Speaker 1: What's your ceiling on the number? Like when do you

945
00:47:19,880 --> 00:47:21,120
Speaker 1: stop firing.

946
00:47:20,800 --> 00:47:24,440
Speaker 2: Away after two? So I'll keep fire even at a two,

947
00:47:24,440 --> 00:47:26,120
Speaker 2: I'll keep fireing at this Once it's two and a

948
00:47:26,160 --> 00:47:30,640
Speaker 2: half three, that's when I'll stop. And you know, if

949
00:47:30,640 --> 00:47:32,239
Speaker 2: this was three and a half in our contest and

950
00:47:32,239 --> 00:47:34,600
Speaker 2: you guys wanted to fade us, totally get it. That's

951
00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,920
Speaker 2: such a key number. But if we're getting two and

952
00:47:37,000 --> 00:47:40,160
Speaker 2: a half or one and a half in the contest, easy, No,

953
00:47:40,280 --> 00:47:41,879
Speaker 2: brainer play for me on the Eagles.

954
00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:43,880
Speaker 1: Why don't you just fire away? If it's at one

955
00:47:43,960 --> 00:47:46,840
Speaker 1: and a half, why don't you just bet everything that

956
00:47:46,920 --> 00:47:50,440
Speaker 1: you think you would bet at once? I'm not judging it.

957
00:47:50,480 --> 00:47:53,000
Speaker 1: I'm like, I'm asking curiously. Like you see it's at

958
00:47:53,040 --> 00:47:55,279
Speaker 1: one and a half, you love it. Why don't I

959
00:47:55,280 --> 00:47:56,920
Speaker 1: bet the full capacity of what you would bet on

960
00:47:56,960 --> 00:47:59,759
Speaker 1: a game at that one time instead of all right,

961
00:48:00,160 --> 00:48:01,960
Speaker 1: some down? Now, oh it's still there two days later,

962
00:48:02,000 --> 00:48:04,880
Speaker 1: I'll put it more down. Like what's the philosophy to

963
00:48:04,960 --> 00:48:05,799
Speaker 1: get money down?

964
00:48:05,880 --> 00:48:07,319
Speaker 2: I have to pay a lot of people, and they're

965
00:48:07,320 --> 00:48:10,360
Speaker 2: called runners. And the biggest thing is not getting up

966
00:48:10,360 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 2: on the radar. So obviously if I come in me,

967
00:48:13,840 --> 00:48:17,240
Speaker 2: myself and I and put fifty k on the Eagles,

968
00:48:17,680 --> 00:48:19,719
Speaker 2: that number would move against me. Right, But if I'm

969
00:48:19,760 --> 00:48:23,080
Speaker 2: sending nobodies a thousand bucks here and there at a time.

970
00:48:23,760 --> 00:48:26,560
Speaker 2: So I started Sunday night and now we're here Tuesday,

971
00:48:26,800 --> 00:48:29,759
Speaker 2: you know, I'm probably up to almost six figures now,

972
00:48:30,120 --> 00:48:32,440
Speaker 2: but all in small increments, so I'm not really popping

973
00:48:32,520 --> 00:48:35,120
Speaker 2: up on the radar. That's how I get good value

974
00:48:35,120 --> 00:48:37,600
Speaker 2: on these lines. So yeah, do I want to just

975
00:48:37,640 --> 00:48:39,839
Speaker 2: come in heavy handed? Right now and just be like, yeah,

976
00:48:39,880 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 2: give me, give me six figures on this Eagles team. Yeah,

977
00:48:43,120 --> 00:48:44,680
Speaker 2: but it doesn't really work that way, and a lot

978
00:48:44,719 --> 00:48:47,600
Speaker 2: of stuff goes into that. So yeah, don't worry. I'm

979
00:48:47,600 --> 00:48:49,520
Speaker 2: getting the money down. But it's one of these where

980
00:48:50,120 --> 00:48:52,000
Speaker 2: I'll bet it all week and then by Friday, if

981
00:48:52,040 --> 00:48:54,480
Speaker 2: it's still at this number, I can get way more

982
00:48:54,520 --> 00:48:56,160
Speaker 2: money down than I can right now, because right now,

983
00:48:56,200 --> 00:48:59,960
Speaker 2: the books, even the best books in America, they live

984
00:49:00,200 --> 00:49:01,640
Speaker 2: you early in the week because they don't want to

985
00:49:01,640 --> 00:49:03,920
Speaker 2: have a bad position either. So you know, all these

986
00:49:03,960 --> 00:49:06,480
Speaker 2: things like ravel tweets out, oh this is a two

987
00:49:06,560 --> 00:49:09,520
Speaker 2: hundred k bet on this team. You ever notice that

988
00:49:09,560 --> 00:49:11,319
Speaker 2: always comes late in the week. It's not early in

989
00:49:11,320 --> 00:49:13,319
Speaker 2: the week, those tweets, And that's for a reason. Like

990
00:49:13,400 --> 00:49:16,360
Speaker 2: these books, even if you're an amateur better, they're not

991
00:49:16,400 --> 00:49:18,560
Speaker 2: going to take huge money early in the week because

992
00:49:18,560 --> 00:49:20,200
Speaker 2: they just don't want to have that kind of thing

993
00:49:20,200 --> 00:49:23,640
Speaker 2: where it's like, okay, now we need Miami money wherever.

994
00:49:23,719 --> 00:49:25,719
Speaker 2: That book will need a certain amount of money to

995
00:49:25,840 --> 00:49:29,359
Speaker 2: offset those big bets. So yeah, I wish I could

996
00:49:29,400 --> 00:49:30,880
Speaker 2: get more down right now. Chat, But it's just the

997
00:49:30,920 --> 00:49:33,000
Speaker 2: song and dance, the way I play it, it's just

998
00:49:33,080 --> 00:49:34,680
Speaker 2: little bets right now. A little bets for me is

999
00:49:34,680 --> 00:49:37,040
Speaker 2: a couple of thousand, So it adds up quick like

1000
00:49:37,080 --> 00:49:39,640
Speaker 2: if you do a couple thousand dollars bets, all of

1001
00:49:39,640 --> 00:49:42,120
Speaker 2: a sudden, you're up to fifty k. So that's how

1002
00:49:42,160 --> 00:49:44,279
Speaker 2: I do. I just don't put a ton lump sum

1003
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:46,040
Speaker 2: down on one number right away.

1004
00:49:47,000 --> 00:49:48,600
Speaker 1: You know what, I'm not worried about your ability to

1005
00:49:48,600 --> 00:49:50,840
Speaker 1: get money down. I'm worried that it took me about

1006
00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,520
Speaker 1: four years to ask that question. The last game on

1007
00:49:53,520 --> 00:49:57,160
Speaker 1: the board, the Monday night football game San Francisco in Minnesota,

1008
00:49:57,600 --> 00:50:00,719
Speaker 1: this line moved from eight to seven six and a half.

1009
00:50:00,760 --> 00:50:02,319
Speaker 1: And how so the wise guys have been coming in

1010
00:50:02,360 --> 00:50:06,040
Speaker 1: on Minnesota Kirk Cousins. This is weird, right, Kirk Cousins

1011
00:50:06,440 --> 00:50:10,080
Speaker 1: most attempts in the league, passing attempts, most completions, highest

1012
00:50:10,160 --> 00:50:14,239
Speaker 1: completion percentage, most touchdown passes in the league, which is

1013
00:50:14,280 --> 00:50:17,160
Speaker 1: surprising to know when I was looking doing research yesterday.

1014
00:50:17,880 --> 00:50:22,600
Speaker 1: Second most passing yards. This team cannot score, as we

1015
00:50:22,719 --> 00:50:26,720
Speaker 1: like to say in the media business at scale, zero

1016
00:50:27,080 --> 00:50:32,360
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns this season. Do they miss Dalvin Cook? Zero

1017
00:50:33,000 --> 00:50:37,440
Speaker 1: rushing touchdowns? So against the league's best passing defense and

1018
00:50:37,520 --> 00:50:40,160
Speaker 1: a top ten rush defense, they will move the ball

1019
00:50:41,000 --> 00:50:45,480
Speaker 1: against the Bears. This Vikings team fewer total yards, fewer plays,

1020
00:50:45,880 --> 00:50:50,160
Speaker 1: fewer yards per play, fewer first downs, forty six rushing yards,

1021
00:50:51,280 --> 00:50:54,960
Speaker 1: and the Bears, we all agree, are a terrible freaking defense.

1022
00:50:55,640 --> 00:50:59,319
Speaker 1: So to me, I know wise guys have come in

1023
00:50:59,360 --> 00:51:01,839
Speaker 1: on this. This is a bet on the number, and

1024
00:51:01,880 --> 00:51:04,880
Speaker 1: that's it. And maybe there's some residual health issues for

1025
00:51:04,880 --> 00:51:07,480
Speaker 1: San Francisco. This is not a bet on the on

1026
00:51:07,560 --> 00:51:08,720
Speaker 1: the Minnesota Vikings.

1027
00:51:10,640 --> 00:51:12,279
Speaker 2: Yeah, I wanted to be on Minnesota. I feel like

1028
00:51:12,280 --> 00:51:13,879
Speaker 2: this is gonna be a great spot to back down.

1029
00:51:13,960 --> 00:51:15,719
Speaker 2: But I'm with you. I think the numbers moved too

1030
00:51:15,800 --> 00:51:17,680
Speaker 2: much and now the values on the forty nine ers.

1031
00:51:17,760 --> 00:51:20,440
Speaker 2: So I'll throw a little on the forty nine ers

1032
00:51:20,440 --> 00:51:21,879
Speaker 2: tea and I'll talk to people and see what they're

1033
00:51:21,880 --> 00:51:24,640
Speaker 2: seeing this Vikings team. But I'm right there with you.

1034
00:51:24,680 --> 00:51:28,440
Speaker 2: It's I agree to the spread. McCaffrey probably is worth

1035
00:51:28,640 --> 00:51:30,480
Speaker 2: a point and a half two points this forty nine

1036
00:51:30,520 --> 00:51:33,680
Speaker 2: Ers team. That's how incredibly gifted he is on this team,

1037
00:51:33,840 --> 00:51:38,399
Speaker 2: Like he not only is the run blocking scheme really good,

1038
00:51:38,560 --> 00:51:40,480
Speaker 2: but he is the jack of all trades. We all

1039
00:51:40,520 --> 00:51:42,560
Speaker 2: know this. He's the best running back in football for

1040
00:51:42,600 --> 00:51:44,840
Speaker 2: a reason, and the best running scheme of football. So

1041
00:51:45,840 --> 00:51:47,920
Speaker 2: makes sense that they've lost some points here and it's

1042
00:51:47,960 --> 00:51:50,600
Speaker 2: numbers come down. I think it's moved too much. So

1043
00:51:51,880 --> 00:51:53,880
Speaker 2: I totally got the pros are coming from like this.

1044
00:51:53,880 --> 00:51:55,520
Speaker 2: This usually would be a spot. I love the back

1045
00:51:55,560 --> 00:51:59,920
Speaker 2: of Minnesota, but coming off a bad loss, it was like,

1046
00:52:00,320 --> 00:52:02,359
Speaker 2: we should take the forty nine ers here right like

1047
00:52:02,400 --> 00:52:06,000
Speaker 2: this is we're catching the there a touchdown, So maybe

1048
00:52:06,120 --> 00:52:07,880
Speaker 2: maybe things will change by Thursday. But I can tell

1049
00:52:07,880 --> 00:52:09,560
Speaker 2: you this right now, like right with me and jag

1050
00:52:09,640 --> 00:52:11,160
Speaker 2: Off this call up, I'm gonna throw some on the

1051
00:52:11,200 --> 00:52:12,839
Speaker 2: six and a half. That's just a good number four

1052
00:52:12,920 --> 00:52:16,160
Speaker 2: forty nine Ers team that what if they won, this

1053
00:52:16,239 --> 00:52:18,240
Speaker 2: number would still be what seven and a half seven?

1054
00:52:18,840 --> 00:52:20,279
Speaker 2: So it feels like we're getting some free points here

1055
00:52:20,280 --> 00:52:22,399
Speaker 2: because they're kicking. I missed a field goal. And yeah,

1056
00:52:23,480 --> 00:52:25,600
Speaker 2: I know Kirk's been better in prime time. I saw

1057
00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:27,560
Speaker 2: some stat that he has been better since he's gotten

1058
00:52:27,600 --> 00:52:31,680
Speaker 2: the Minnesota but you know you just said it. They

1059
00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,360
Speaker 2: have no run game. He's down his number one receiver

1060
00:52:35,120 --> 00:52:37,520
Speaker 2: going against my number two grated defense now in all

1061
00:52:37,600 --> 00:52:41,360
Speaker 2: football like this, this forty nine Ers team, it should

1062
00:52:41,400 --> 00:52:43,799
Speaker 2: be really easy. I'll scheme scheme this game up. It's

1063
00:52:43,840 --> 00:52:46,960
Speaker 2: like you just drop everybody, rush for three pass rushers

1064
00:52:47,000 --> 00:52:49,239
Speaker 2: and let your let your front four do what you

1065
00:52:49,239 --> 00:52:52,040
Speaker 2: pay them so much money do, like Bosa Hardgrave like,

1066
00:52:52,080 --> 00:52:55,880
Speaker 2: this should be a great game for them. So damn

1067
00:52:55,920 --> 00:52:57,839
Speaker 2: I really wanted to get there the Minnesota. But if

1068
00:52:57,880 --> 00:52:59,600
Speaker 2: it feels like I'm gonna go chalk here and go

1069
00:52:59,640 --> 00:53:01,520
Speaker 2: with the p blok on this forty nine Ers team.

1070
00:53:02,160 --> 00:53:06,279
Speaker 1: I actually think I agree with you totally do. As

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