1 00:00:13,760 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: Hey, everybody, Welcome back to another episode of the Betting 2 00:00:17,079 --> 00:00:20,239 Speaker 1: Pros Podcast. We are going old school today. It is 3 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 1: me Dan Harris, it is him Matt Pearl. Find us 4 00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,759 Speaker 1: on Twitter at Dan Harris Hadi and at Sports Talk Matt. 5 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:28,800 Speaker 1: We are going to be breaking down all of our 6 00:00:28,880 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 1: thoughts about the first round at March Madness and the 7 00:00:32,600 --> 00:00:35,920 Speaker 1: first four as well today as we get into it, Matt, 8 00:00:36,040 --> 00:00:39,000 Speaker 1: I mean, we talked about March Madness a little bit 9 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,159 Speaker 1: on the Fantasy Pros Show, which we also dropped one 10 00:00:41,280 --> 00:00:43,879 Speaker 1: more of a bracket show. This is more of the 11 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: against the spread type show. But I mean, how pumped 12 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:48,919 Speaker 1: are you on a scale of one to ten? 13 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:51,839 Speaker 2: You know, I think Friday morning, I'm gonna be out 14 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 2: of ten. 15 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 1: You're still not there yet, Matt, You're still there. 16 00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:57,800 Speaker 2: Look how often have we seen these like I'm Lucy 17 00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: with the football man. I just I'm not but I 18 00:01:00,880 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 2: gotta get there. And then when I'm there, I'll be 19 00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:08,480 Speaker 2: out of ten. At the moment, I'm just kinda I'm 20 00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,039 Speaker 2: gonna slow six or seven, just kind of getting up there. 21 00:01:12,200 --> 00:01:15,319 Speaker 2: And then but once we get to like sixteen games 22 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 2: on one day, okay, I'll be out a. 23 00:01:17,080 --> 00:01:19,320 Speaker 1: Tench Okay that you'll be good. Okay, all right, So 24 00:01:19,360 --> 00:01:21,400 Speaker 1: here's what we've got. First of all, if you want, 25 00:01:22,000 --> 00:01:24,600 Speaker 1: if you enjoy Matt Parolt as I do, you're going 26 00:01:24,640 --> 00:01:27,479 Speaker 1: to be able to get as much Matt Parat as 27 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 1: you want because here's what we have scheduled. First of all, 28 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:31,839 Speaker 1: you shall be subscribed to Daily Juice podcast. Of course, 29 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,400 Speaker 1: that is where Matt basically gives you his best bets 30 00:01:34,480 --> 00:01:37,520 Speaker 1: every morning in fifteen minutes, maybe sixteen minutes. I know, Matt, 31 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:39,120 Speaker 1: you're trying. I know you're trying to keep it low, 32 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,479 Speaker 1: but you're doing a great job there. I'll be talking 33 00:01:41,480 --> 00:01:43,600 Speaker 1: about a lot of March matn is coming up, and 34 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:46,400 Speaker 1: again we're gonna have some live streams at our YouTube 35 00:01:46,440 --> 00:01:48,720 Speaker 1: channel YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros, where you can 36 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,760 Speaker 1: be watching us now on this podcast. Matt is going 37 00:01:51,760 --> 00:01:55,120 Speaker 1: to be doing a live stream tomorrow or today perhaps 38 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 1: when you're listening to this Thursday at nine pm Eastern time, 39 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 1: that's six pm his time. He's been also going to 40 00:02:01,200 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 1: do another one on Saturday morning at eleven am Eastern 41 00:02:04,840 --> 00:02:08,360 Speaker 1: or poor guy, eight am his time, so that an 42 00:02:08,440 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: hour before tip off, so you can give you his 43 00:02:10,240 --> 00:02:12,680 Speaker 1: updated thoughts. This is gonna be a little bit more preliminary. 44 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:14,400 Speaker 1: Matt's got plenty of time, and as we'll talk about, 45 00:02:14,400 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: some of the lines are moving. I've prepared a little 46 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:18,720 Speaker 1: sheet this morning just to have them, and I'm looking 47 00:02:18,760 --> 00:02:22,079 Speaker 1: at our consensus lines over our bettingpros dot com and 48 00:02:22,560 --> 00:02:24,880 Speaker 1: they're moving. They're moving right now, so I'm sure they'll 49 00:02:24,919 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: move by the time that gets around to his live shoot. 50 00:02:27,320 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 1: So let's get into it. But before we do, let 51 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 1: me tell you about a couple of really cool things 52 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:34,360 Speaker 1: that we've got going on over at Betting Pros. It 53 00:02:34,520 --> 00:02:38,160 Speaker 1: is our bracket contest and our Bracket Optimizer. Both are 54 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:41,400 Speaker 1: one hundred percent free and one hundred percent awesome. 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Your optimal bracket is going to be different. 72 00:03:32,800 --> 00:03:34,760 Speaker 1: If you're in a pool with five of your buddies 73 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:37,440 Speaker 1: versus one thousand people that you don't know versus a 74 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:39,440 Speaker 1: million people that you don't know, there are going to 75 00:03:39,480 --> 00:03:42,360 Speaker 1: be different strategies. The Bracket optimizer is able to take 76 00:03:42,400 --> 00:03:46,560 Speaker 1: all that into account. You can customize your scoring ESPN, Yahoo, 77 00:03:47,000 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 1: CBSNBA dot Com. They all score their bracket pools differently, 78 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:52,760 Speaker 1: so you can choose from one of their default scoring 79 00:03:52,840 --> 00:03:55,000 Speaker 1: or you can customize and putting your own scoring for 80 00:03:55,080 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 1: your own pool. 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And finally, 90 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,560 Speaker 1: also I will remind you that the bracket contest again 91 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:29,320 Speaker 1: is brought to you by Fox Bet. As I said, 92 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 1: you've got a great basketball offer going on right now, 93 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 1: go to Betting Pros dot Com slash foxback at a 94 00:04:34,200 --> 00:04:37,200 Speaker 1: free ten dollars bet every single day that there are 95 00:04:37,320 --> 00:04:39,760 Speaker 1: tournament games going on. So once the tournament starts, Fox 96 00:04:39,839 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 1: bet is going to have these challenges window and they're 97 00:04:41,960 --> 00:04:44,400 Speaker 1: going to have qualifying games. Make a wager of at 98 00:04:44,480 --> 00:04:47,800 Speaker 1: least ten dollars on ten dollars on one of those games. 99 00:04:47,960 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 1: You'll get a free ten dollars bet instantly to be 100 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:53,040 Speaker 1: used on another bet on that same day. This is 101 00:04:53,080 --> 00:04:55,400 Speaker 1: good once per day for each day of the tournaments, 102 00:04:55,400 --> 00:04:56,599 Speaker 1: so you can get a free ten dollars bet to 103 00:04:56,600 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 1: be used each day of the tournament when you just 104 00:04:59,600 --> 00:05:01,800 Speaker 1: opt in into the challenge each day. Again, that's over 105 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,840 Speaker 1: at bettingpros dot com slash fox Bet. All right, man, 106 00:05:04,880 --> 00:05:06,600 Speaker 1: let's get into it. Let's start with the first four 107 00:05:06,680 --> 00:05:08,880 Speaker 1: and we've got you know, we talked. I talked about 108 00:05:08,920 --> 00:05:11,440 Speaker 1: line movement. We've got it here. Mount Saint Mary's is 109 00:05:11,480 --> 00:05:13,840 Speaker 1: now getting one or is it getting half a point? 110 00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:15,960 Speaker 1: Since we've got getting half a point now? Goodness greasy 111 00:05:16,440 --> 00:05:19,720 Speaker 1: from Texas Southern. So this when I first looked at it, 112 00:05:19,880 --> 00:05:22,839 Speaker 1: Texas Southern was laying one point. It doesn't really make 113 00:05:22,920 --> 00:05:25,080 Speaker 1: that much of a difference. But what do you think here? 114 00:05:25,120 --> 00:05:27,479 Speaker 1: How are you looking at this game at this early stage? 115 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:28,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, so you guys are gonna get a little bit 116 00:05:29,000 --> 00:05:30,760 Speaker 2: of a depending on when you're listening to this. This 117 00:05:30,800 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 2: is gonna be one of my third play on Thursday 118 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:35,880 Speaker 2: for the Daily Juice tonight. So I've already given out 119 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:37,520 Speaker 2: two of them. This would be a third one. So 120 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:40,080 Speaker 2: Texas Southern is a team that's gonna look very similar 121 00:05:40,080 --> 00:05:42,120 Speaker 2: to Mount Saint Mary's and what they've seen from a 122 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:45,800 Speaker 2: variety of different teams, including Bryant in the NAC Championship game. 123 00:05:45,839 --> 00:05:48,240 Speaker 2: They're gonna look to run, They're gonna look to score 124 00:05:48,279 --> 00:05:50,920 Speaker 2: at the rim. They want to play with a fast pace. Now, 125 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,200 Speaker 2: Texas Southern's not a very good three point shooting team. 126 00:05:53,240 --> 00:05:54,919 Speaker 2: They're one of the worst jump shooting teams in the 127 00:05:55,040 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 2: entire country. Mount Saint Mary's on the Mountains, what we 128 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:00,280 Speaker 2: call them. They got great point guard play. They got 129 00:06:00,279 --> 00:06:03,520 Speaker 2: a little kid who can really fly, and they play stingy, 130 00:06:03,560 --> 00:06:06,520 Speaker 2: stingy defense coming down the stretch. They were one of 131 00:06:06,560 --> 00:06:08,239 Speaker 2: the best, if you want to call them non power 132 00:06:08,320 --> 00:06:12,520 Speaker 2: five teams. Defensively, they just shut people down. So I 133 00:06:12,560 --> 00:06:15,040 Speaker 2: think people are sleeping here a little bit on Mount 134 00:06:15,040 --> 00:06:17,359 Speaker 2: Saint Mary's. In as long as we don't see a 135 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:21,159 Speaker 2: team that normally can't hit threes hit threes, the Mount 136 00:06:21,240 --> 00:06:23,520 Speaker 2: wins this game and they will advance. So I'm gonna 137 00:06:23,520 --> 00:06:25,160 Speaker 2: be on Mount Saint Mary's on the money line, I'm 138 00:06:25,160 --> 00:06:27,520 Speaker 2: not gonna play around with anything. In terms of line movements, 139 00:06:27,560 --> 00:06:29,560 Speaker 2: I don't really care. You can pretty much get mis 140 00:06:29,600 --> 00:06:31,479 Speaker 2: one ten. Certain books are mass one ow eight. But 141 00:06:31,720 --> 00:06:34,040 Speaker 2: I'm taking Mount Saint Mary's to knock out Texas Southern 142 00:06:34,240 --> 00:06:36,200 Speaker 2: in advance to take on a number one seed and 143 00:06:36,240 --> 00:06:37,880 Speaker 2: get their doors blown off in two days. 144 00:06:38,120 --> 00:06:40,599 Speaker 1: All right, So you're gonna got just when you're listening, 145 00:06:40,600 --> 00:06:42,640 Speaker 1: we've obviously got a million games to get through, so 146 00:06:42,680 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 1: it's gonna be a little rapid fire in the way 147 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:45,760 Speaker 1: that sort of was. I'm gonna move on to the 148 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:48,680 Speaker 1: next game. And if you listen to Matt at all, 149 00:06:48,960 --> 00:06:51,640 Speaker 1: you have heard Matt talk about Drake. And this is 150 00:06:51,680 --> 00:06:53,720 Speaker 1: great because again you pointed this out Matt on the 151 00:06:53,800 --> 00:06:56,000 Speaker 1: Daily Juice podcast a couple of days ago. You said, 152 00:06:56,000 --> 00:06:59,120 Speaker 1: this line is gonna move and move. It has at 153 00:06:59,120 --> 00:07:01,040 Speaker 1: one point I think think you locked it in when 154 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:04,040 Speaker 1: it was Drake getting to correct from which is hot state. 155 00:07:04,120 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 1: The current consensus lines over at betting pros and this 156 00:07:07,080 --> 00:07:10,400 Speaker 1: is unique. It's even at one point Drake laying two 157 00:07:10,520 --> 00:07:12,840 Speaker 1: to which is hot state, but the consensus line is 158 00:07:12,920 --> 00:07:15,520 Speaker 1: Drake laying one and a half. So at that number, 159 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:17,400 Speaker 1: I know you like Drake getting to at least do 160 00:07:17,440 --> 00:07:19,680 Speaker 1: you still like them if they're laying one and a half? 161 00:07:19,720 --> 00:07:22,440 Speaker 2: I do, But I mean value plays. This is where 162 00:07:22,440 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 2: you're getting into a place where you're really getting awful value. 163 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:29,120 Speaker 2: You're buying into the market at the worst possible price. 164 00:07:29,560 --> 00:07:31,560 Speaker 2: So the one thing that I will say is it 165 00:07:31,640 --> 00:07:33,880 Speaker 2: because of where we are, it's not the worst thing 166 00:07:33,880 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 2: in the world. When you go from plus two to 167 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,640 Speaker 2: minus two. It doesn't It doesn't take a ton of 168 00:07:37,680 --> 00:07:40,000 Speaker 2: money to do that, to move the line like that. 169 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 2: So I am comfortable saying, yeah, fine, you can still 170 00:07:43,120 --> 00:07:44,920 Speaker 2: get in on Drake, you know, minus one and a 171 00:07:44,960 --> 00:07:46,760 Speaker 2: half and it should be okay. I still think they 172 00:07:46,760 --> 00:07:49,160 Speaker 2: win this basketball game. I think that they are going 173 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:51,480 Speaker 2: to be just the better basketball team. And I think 174 00:07:51,480 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 2: which Just State, even though everyone's going to the resume 175 00:07:53,680 --> 00:07:55,600 Speaker 2: for which Just State saying well, they beat Houston, and 176 00:07:55,640 --> 00:07:58,680 Speaker 2: they played Oklahoma Oklahoma State, and they played a better 177 00:07:58,720 --> 00:08:01,360 Speaker 2: caliber opponent. They did, but they were nine to ten 178 00:08:01,400 --> 00:08:03,840 Speaker 2: to the number. They didn't play well in those games. 179 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:05,920 Speaker 2: They lost those games. They did beat Houston, that's their 180 00:08:05,920 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 2: one big win. But you can make a real strong 181 00:08:07,840 --> 00:08:09,920 Speaker 2: case so which Just State should not be in this field. 182 00:08:10,080 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 2: And I'm really surprised. On other years we would have 183 00:08:13,120 --> 00:08:15,360 Speaker 2: had a much louder cry about how the heck did 184 00:08:15,400 --> 00:08:17,520 Speaker 2: witch Just State get into this thing over Louisville or 185 00:08:17,560 --> 00:08:20,560 Speaker 2: somebody else. So I just I think Drake getting tank 186 00:08:20,640 --> 00:08:23,080 Speaker 2: kempill back is the reason why this number is flying. 187 00:08:23,280 --> 00:08:26,720 Speaker 2: What's weird is it? FanDuel reported today that they've got 188 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:28,520 Speaker 2: a little bit of a weird situation. They are heavy 189 00:08:28,520 --> 00:08:30,800 Speaker 2: on which just state, and yet the line keeps going 190 00:08:30,840 --> 00:08:33,320 Speaker 2: towards Drake. So if you're somebody who likes to laugh 191 00:08:33,320 --> 00:08:36,440 Speaker 2: about reverse line movements, that's the definition of averse line 192 00:08:36,440 --> 00:08:38,760 Speaker 2: movements where the number is going to Drake, but they 193 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:41,320 Speaker 2: have liability to which just state, So you would go, well, 194 00:08:41,360 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 2: why would that be respected? Money on Drake is moving this? 195 00:08:44,559 --> 00:08:47,760 Speaker 2: So I hate this much line movement. I don't. I mean, 196 00:08:47,800 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 2: closing line value is awesome, but it doesn't always mean 197 00:08:50,800 --> 00:08:53,520 Speaker 2: you're gonna win. So I'm a little concerned about how 198 00:08:53,640 --> 00:08:56,679 Speaker 2: much money's coming in here on Drake. But I'll take 199 00:08:56,720 --> 00:08:59,000 Speaker 2: the plus two and hopefully that's good enough to get a. 200 00:08:59,120 --> 00:09:01,600 Speaker 1: W Do you think that this is going to keep 201 00:09:01,640 --> 00:09:03,400 Speaker 1: moving or do you think it's bottomed out here at 202 00:09:03,440 --> 00:09:05,840 Speaker 1: Drake laying one and a half maybe two, I don't know. 203 00:09:05,880 --> 00:09:07,400 Speaker 2: It feels like two and a half would be the 204 00:09:07,440 --> 00:09:09,440 Speaker 2: ceiling for it, just because I think I think the 205 00:09:09,440 --> 00:09:11,600 Speaker 2: game is going to be tight. I don't think Drake's 206 00:09:11,600 --> 00:09:13,760 Speaker 2: gonna run away with it, but I think Drake is 207 00:09:13,760 --> 00:09:16,320 Speaker 2: going to have just a couple of more playmakers down 208 00:09:16,320 --> 00:09:19,200 Speaker 2: the stretch offensively, which D'll State gives up nearly seventy 209 00:09:19,200 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 2: points a game that's not typical for which Jill State 210 00:09:21,640 --> 00:09:24,520 Speaker 2: to give up that many points. They normally play the 211 00:09:24,559 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 2: low sixties is how they'd rather play. So I think 212 00:09:28,000 --> 00:09:30,160 Speaker 2: this is a chance for Drake to score. It's a 213 00:09:30,240 --> 00:09:33,080 Speaker 2: chance to utilize some of their guard play Usefu Win company. 214 00:09:33,120 --> 00:09:35,000 Speaker 2: I think, you know, Roman Penn being out's a big deal, 215 00:09:35,040 --> 00:09:37,720 Speaker 2: but I love Usefu. I think it's played tremendously well 216 00:09:37,960 --> 00:09:40,240 Speaker 2: in replacement of Roman Penn. So I think they're fine 217 00:09:40,240 --> 00:09:42,120 Speaker 2: with the port guard spot. I think they got their 218 00:09:42,120 --> 00:09:43,880 Speaker 2: bigs to get after it. I think Drake's is the 219 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:44,880 Speaker 2: better basketball team. 220 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:47,800 Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to Appalachian State, who is now 221 00:09:48,040 --> 00:09:50,560 Speaker 1: laying three and a half to Norfolk State. Again, that's 222 00:09:50,720 --> 00:09:52,839 Speaker 1: bouncing back and forth. You look at the consensus lines. 223 00:09:53,000 --> 00:09:55,040 Speaker 1: Half the books are basically at three. Half of them 224 00:09:55,040 --> 00:09:56,800 Speaker 1: are at three and a half, so it's right around there. 225 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:58,640 Speaker 1: So which team, Matt, what do you think of which 226 00:09:58,679 --> 00:10:00,160 Speaker 1: team you know, as they as they fight out off 227 00:10:00,200 --> 00:10:02,480 Speaker 1: the inevitable first round exit over here, what do you 228 00:10:02,520 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 1: think who's going to come out on the top on this. 229 00:10:04,679 --> 00:10:06,920 Speaker 2: This is a game I'm not betting because I've not 230 00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:10,200 Speaker 2: seen or read or followed anything to do with these 231 00:10:10,200 --> 00:10:12,200 Speaker 2: two teams. Like, this is just one of those games 232 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:14,400 Speaker 2: where I'm like, if I had to bet it, give 233 00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:16,760 Speaker 2: me three and a half points for Norfolk State. I've 234 00:10:16,800 --> 00:10:18,880 Speaker 2: talked to some people who really like the over here 235 00:10:18,920 --> 00:10:20,120 Speaker 2: in this game. They think this is going to be 236 00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,520 Speaker 2: a more uptempo scoring basketball game than people and then 237 00:10:22,520 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 2: the books are expecting. So I guess I would trail 238 00:10:25,200 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 2: that and say the overs to play here. But in 239 00:10:27,760 --> 00:10:29,680 Speaker 2: terms of a side, I really don't have a feel 240 00:10:29,760 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 2: for either one of these basketball teams. 241 00:10:31,679 --> 00:10:34,160 Speaker 1: Yeah, so the over under there. Sorry, I'm pulling it 242 00:10:34,240 --> 00:10:37,600 Speaker 1: up now ish one thirty three and a half. So 243 00:10:37,840 --> 00:10:40,240 Speaker 1: you're saying, if you had to go something on this game, 244 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:42,040 Speaker 1: that's where you would go, Yeah, but all you're just 245 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:42,800 Speaker 1: kind of staying away. 246 00:10:43,000 --> 00:10:45,200 Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I may be, I may play the over, 247 00:10:45,240 --> 00:10:48,000 Speaker 2: but I've made this proclamation that I'm not betting totals 248 00:10:48,280 --> 00:10:50,640 Speaker 2: during the dance. So I kind of have to, like, 249 00:10:50,800 --> 00:10:53,480 Speaker 2: you know, watch myself a little bit. They Okay, fine, 250 00:10:53,480 --> 00:10:54,800 Speaker 2: I said I wasn't gonna bet it, so I won't 251 00:10:54,800 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 2: bet it. 252 00:10:55,480 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, all right, last of the first four. 253 00:10:57,679 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 1: Michigan State laying two right now in the consensus, that's 254 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,920 Speaker 1: pretty much everywhere to UCLA. Any feelings on this one, Yeah. 255 00:11:03,760 --> 00:11:05,280 Speaker 2: So I'm in. This is the second play that I 256 00:11:05,280 --> 00:11:06,520 Speaker 2: gave out on the day of the jew So I'm 257 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 2: on Michigan State miss one and a half against UCLA. 258 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:11,120 Speaker 2: McK cronin's a. I mean, his record in the Instably 259 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:14,400 Speaker 2: tournament is not good. I will be fading the Pac 260 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,440 Speaker 2: twelve heavily in this tournament. And I think Michigan State's 261 00:11:17,480 --> 00:11:19,680 Speaker 2: played a higher caliber of competition. I think they've played 262 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,400 Speaker 2: a better just overall brand of basketball. I think Tom 263 00:11:22,400 --> 00:11:25,320 Speaker 2: Missles a better coach. This is going to be essentially, 264 00:11:25,360 --> 00:11:28,000 Speaker 2: this is a race to sixty. Okay. Whoever scores sixty 265 00:11:28,080 --> 00:11:30,199 Speaker 2: first is going to wind up winning this game. That's 266 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:32,720 Speaker 2: why we've seen money coming in the UNDERLA crazy under 267 00:11:32,720 --> 00:11:34,480 Speaker 2: open up at one thirty eight and a half the 268 00:11:34,520 --> 00:11:36,319 Speaker 2: total it did and now it's down to one thirty 269 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:39,640 Speaker 2: five here in Vegas. So it's just a ton of 270 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:41,680 Speaker 2: money on the under. Everyone's expecting this to be a 271 00:11:41,720 --> 00:11:44,440 Speaker 2: grinder basketball game. It's the last game of the day, 272 00:11:44,640 --> 00:11:46,800 Speaker 2: ten o'clock Eastern time, and it's going to be a 273 00:11:46,880 --> 00:11:50,480 Speaker 2: really boring, boring game. I just think Michigan State wins 274 00:11:50,520 --> 00:11:53,120 Speaker 2: the game because they've played a higher caliber of competition. 275 00:11:53,160 --> 00:11:55,040 Speaker 2: But neither one of these teams is really all that good. 276 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:58,880 Speaker 1: All right, let's go to Friday. We've got Florida laying 277 00:11:59,080 --> 00:12:00,439 Speaker 1: one to Virgil Tech. 278 00:12:00,480 --> 00:12:03,120 Speaker 2: Now this is also kind to the gate with that, 279 00:12:03,120 --> 00:12:04,240 Speaker 2: that's the game we're starting with. 280 00:12:04,840 --> 00:12:07,000 Speaker 1: I'm just going. I'm just I'm going from top to 281 00:12:07,040 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 1: bottom on the bete Gros. Con't you want to start 282 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:10,640 Speaker 1: with a different game? You do. 283 00:12:11,960 --> 00:12:13,800 Speaker 2: That's a really hard game to pick. So you come 284 00:12:13,840 --> 00:12:14,880 Speaker 2: out of the gate with one of the more. 285 00:12:14,880 --> 00:12:17,240 Speaker 1: You don't have to pick. You could just say I 286 00:12:17,240 --> 00:12:18,800 Speaker 1: don't have a good feel for it. And again it's 287 00:12:18,800 --> 00:12:20,640 Speaker 1: funny because you look at that, you know, the consensus 288 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:22,800 Speaker 1: line again is Florida laying one. When I checked it 289 00:12:22,880 --> 00:12:25,400 Speaker 1: this morning, it was Virginia Tech laying one. And if 290 00:12:25,400 --> 00:12:28,280 Speaker 1: you look at the various books at DraftKings, you've got 291 00:12:28,280 --> 00:12:31,080 Speaker 1: Florida laying one. But at FanDuel you've got Virginia Tech 292 00:12:31,120 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: laying one, So it's right there. It doesn't make a 293 00:12:33,200 --> 00:12:35,760 Speaker 1: huge difference. But okay, so obviously you think that this 294 00:12:35,800 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 1: is an incredibly difficult game to pick, then. 295 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:40,319 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm on vaw Tech, just on my bracket to 296 00:12:40,400 --> 00:12:42,520 Speaker 2: win this game, because, as as I said, I'm just 297 00:12:43,000 --> 00:12:45,439 Speaker 2: there's certain teams I'm not in love with. Florida is 298 00:12:45,440 --> 00:12:48,560 Speaker 2: one of these teams are so inconsistent that I can't 299 00:12:48,559 --> 00:12:52,320 Speaker 2: really trust them. But I mean acc teams like vaw Tech. 300 00:12:52,600 --> 00:12:55,240 Speaker 2: I yeah, this is a really hard game. I don't 301 00:12:55,240 --> 00:12:57,880 Speaker 2: know what to make it this make it this game personally, I'm. 302 00:12:57,720 --> 00:12:59,240 Speaker 1: Just I that's what. 303 00:12:59,720 --> 00:13:01,920 Speaker 2: Yeah, I gun to my head VA Tech. 304 00:13:02,640 --> 00:13:05,720 Speaker 1: That's fine, the good it's better if you're not like, oh, 305 00:13:05,800 --> 00:13:07,600 Speaker 1: I feel great about it, Like you shouldn't feel great 306 00:13:07,600 --> 00:13:09,440 Speaker 1: about it. I'll get all these gifts. But how do 307 00:13:09,440 --> 00:13:12,400 Speaker 1: you feel then about Arkansas laying eight and a half 308 00:13:12,640 --> 00:13:14,720 Speaker 1: to Colgate? An he leans on that one. 309 00:13:14,760 --> 00:13:18,160 Speaker 2: All right, So this is the game. At FanDuel, they 310 00:13:18,200 --> 00:13:23,600 Speaker 2: reported the biggest handle on this game. Everyone's on Colgate 311 00:13:23,640 --> 00:13:29,240 Speaker 2: because the numbers speak to Colgate laying nine eight and 312 00:13:29,320 --> 00:13:32,240 Speaker 2: a half in any tournament game when it's a team 313 00:13:32,320 --> 00:13:35,240 Speaker 2: like Arkansas scares the holy heck out of me. If 314 00:13:35,280 --> 00:13:38,360 Speaker 2: I had to, I would take the points. I do 315 00:13:38,440 --> 00:13:41,640 Speaker 2: think Arkansas wins the game. But there's all I mean 316 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:43,760 Speaker 2: in terms of like upset specials. If you want to 317 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:46,640 Speaker 2: watch for like a fourteen seed to beat a three seed. 318 00:13:47,120 --> 00:13:49,840 Speaker 2: This is the game that everyone thinks that Colgate is 319 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 2: way under the radar screen and no one's paying attention 320 00:13:52,600 --> 00:13:54,760 Speaker 2: to them, and they're gonna wind up winning this game. 321 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:57,679 Speaker 2: So I would take the points Coldgate plus nine. 322 00:13:58,160 --> 00:14:00,839 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's funny because they consensus now is eight and 323 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:02,800 Speaker 1: a half. At fandle it's nine and a half, so 324 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:04,840 Speaker 1: for sure, But I agree with you. This is one 325 00:14:04,880 --> 00:14:07,360 Speaker 1: where I don't know if Colgate's gonna win this game 326 00:14:07,440 --> 00:14:09,400 Speaker 1: for sure, but I do think that they're gonna be 327 00:14:09,440 --> 00:14:11,240 Speaker 1: able to keep it close enough that I would also 328 00:14:11,320 --> 00:14:14,760 Speaker 1: go with the points. Let's go to Illinois laying twenty 329 00:14:14,840 --> 00:14:16,400 Speaker 1: two and a half to drag. So what do you 330 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:18,200 Speaker 1: do when you have spreads this big? Do you just 331 00:14:18,240 --> 00:14:20,200 Speaker 1: completely ignore it or do you have a lean? 332 00:14:20,440 --> 00:14:22,680 Speaker 2: I mean, I think you have to get away from it. 333 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:25,440 Speaker 2: I think you have to find a way just not to. 334 00:14:26,240 --> 00:14:28,000 Speaker 2: I mean, there are a couple of games that we 335 00:14:28,080 --> 00:14:30,160 Speaker 2: will get into that I may think about laying it, 336 00:14:30,840 --> 00:14:34,560 Speaker 2: But any any spread that's over seventeen, I think you 337 00:14:34,720 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 2: just have to be really careful. If you're gonna bet it, 338 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:40,200 Speaker 2: it's the first half. Okay, That's how I bet it, 339 00:14:40,200 --> 00:14:42,080 Speaker 2: because you know you're gonna get at least a full 340 00:14:42,120 --> 00:14:45,360 Speaker 2: compliment of play. The second half, you have no idea 341 00:14:45,400 --> 00:14:48,120 Speaker 2: what the walk guns are gonna do. You just don't know. 342 00:14:48,360 --> 00:14:50,600 Speaker 2: And as a team playing for their last half of 343 00:14:50,640 --> 00:14:53,800 Speaker 2: the year, sure shooting tons of threes. Like, it's just 344 00:14:53,960 --> 00:14:56,640 Speaker 2: it's too much to delay for certain games. There are 345 00:14:56,640 --> 00:14:58,120 Speaker 2: a couple of games I'll think about it, but this 346 00:14:58,200 --> 00:14:58,920 Speaker 2: is not one of them. 347 00:14:59,200 --> 00:15:03,200 Speaker 1: All right. Number six, Texas Tech laying four to Utah State. 348 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:04,040 Speaker 1: How do you feel about that one? 349 00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 2: All right? So Texas Tech is a team that is 350 00:15:06,160 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 2: going to see a Utah State team that loves to 351 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 2: shoot threes. They're gonna play a lot of zone and 352 00:15:11,640 --> 00:15:13,280 Speaker 2: Utah State can shoot pretty well. 353 00:15:13,680 --> 00:15:13,880 Speaker 1: Yeah. 354 00:15:13,960 --> 00:15:17,040 Speaker 2: I just think Texas Tech is in my mind, I 355 00:15:17,120 --> 00:15:18,680 Speaker 2: don't think this should be a four and a half 356 00:15:18,800 --> 00:15:22,160 Speaker 2: or five point number. If you can find a five, 357 00:15:22,320 --> 00:15:24,400 Speaker 2: I would take Utah State to keep this game close. 358 00:15:24,480 --> 00:15:26,000 Speaker 2: I think this is a three point game one way 359 00:15:26,040 --> 00:15:27,160 Speaker 2: or the other. I think it's gonna be one of 360 00:15:27,160 --> 00:15:29,240 Speaker 2: the better games of the day. Really. I think US 361 00:15:29,280 --> 00:15:30,800 Speaker 2: State's going to be in this and I think Texas 362 00:15:30,840 --> 00:15:33,520 Speaker 2: Tech will find a way. They don't really blow out anybody, 363 00:15:33,800 --> 00:15:36,560 Speaker 2: but I just think ultimately Texas Tech's the better basketball team. 364 00:15:36,960 --> 00:15:39,600 Speaker 1: Yeah. The CONTENDUS line. Every single book I'm looking at, 365 00:15:39,600 --> 00:15:41,960 Speaker 1: and I think it's ten twelve books or something like that, 366 00:15:42,320 --> 00:15:44,920 Speaker 1: every single one of them is that minus four. So yeah, 367 00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:46,840 Speaker 1: I mean that's where we are. I agree with you 368 00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:48,520 Speaker 1: that I think it's going to be close. The next 369 00:15:48,520 --> 00:15:51,680 Speaker 1: one not so close, and that's two seeded Ohio State 370 00:15:51,760 --> 00:15:55,720 Speaker 1: laying sixteen to fifteenth seeded Oral Roberts. 371 00:15:55,760 --> 00:15:58,920 Speaker 2: What do you think, Yeah, I think Ohio State destroys them. 372 00:15:59,360 --> 00:16:00,560 Speaker 2: I think this is what one of the games where 373 00:16:00,600 --> 00:16:03,280 Speaker 2: I would think about laying the points there. And I 374 00:16:03,360 --> 00:16:05,480 Speaker 2: love the first half here. For Ohio State to come 375 00:16:05,520 --> 00:16:08,080 Speaker 2: out of the gate after losing the Big Ten championship, 376 00:16:08,440 --> 00:16:09,840 Speaker 2: I think this is going to be a team that's 377 00:16:09,840 --> 00:16:12,640 Speaker 2: going to be very fired up and very excited to 378 00:16:12,680 --> 00:16:15,200 Speaker 2: get after it here in the tournament. So this is 379 00:16:15,200 --> 00:16:17,840 Speaker 2: an unfortunate situation. I have Ohio State in the final four. 380 00:16:18,320 --> 00:16:20,320 Speaker 2: I think you do, yeah, I think I think Ohio 381 00:16:20,360 --> 00:16:21,920 Speaker 2: State's going to come in and play really well in 382 00:16:21,920 --> 00:16:22,480 Speaker 2: this tournament. 383 00:16:22,960 --> 00:16:25,320 Speaker 1: All right, how about again, this is one of the 384 00:16:25,320 --> 00:16:28,680 Speaker 1: big lines at Baylor laying twenty six to Hartford. 385 00:16:28,920 --> 00:16:33,000 Speaker 2: Hartford is awful, and I mean awful, awful, awful. I 386 00:16:33,080 --> 00:16:37,520 Speaker 2: watched because UMass Lowell played them in the America East 387 00:16:37,760 --> 00:16:42,160 Speaker 2: Championship game. And way back when when you Mass Lowell 388 00:16:42,200 --> 00:16:45,840 Speaker 2: went to Division one, I ended up signing them to 389 00:16:45,880 --> 00:16:48,040 Speaker 2: the radio station in New Hampshire that I was playing 390 00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 2: that I was running as their general manager. So I 391 00:16:50,760 --> 00:16:52,840 Speaker 2: had like I couldn't believe that Pat Dukett was still 392 00:16:52,840 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 2: the coach and Pat Dukett was playing in the title 393 00:16:54,760 --> 00:16:56,440 Speaker 2: game to go to the dance, and I watched Hartford 394 00:16:56,480 --> 00:17:00,280 Speaker 2: Harford kill them. But I'm like, Hartford's awful. Baylor can 395 00:17:00,280 --> 00:17:02,800 Speaker 2: win this game by seventy if they want to, So 396 00:17:03,120 --> 00:17:05,240 Speaker 2: I'm serious, that's how bad Harford is. It's just it's 397 00:17:05,240 --> 00:17:07,000 Speaker 2: just a matter of what does Baylor want to win by, 398 00:17:07,200 --> 00:17:09,280 Speaker 2: And I just don't know what they want to win by. 399 00:17:09,320 --> 00:17:12,000 Speaker 1: Right, all Right? All right, that's fair and enjoyable for 400 00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:14,240 Speaker 1: me to hear about. So in my notes, Matt for 401 00:17:14,320 --> 00:17:16,440 Speaker 1: Loyal Chicago and Georgia Tech like a game. I think 402 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:19,080 Speaker 1: that everybody's like whoa. And you know, with the way 403 00:17:19,080 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 1: the seating came out, feels tough for a first round game. 404 00:17:21,760 --> 00:17:24,200 Speaker 1: When I wrote up my notes this morning, the consensus 405 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,240 Speaker 1: line was Loyola Chicago Lang three. It is now loyoal 406 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:29,639 Speaker 1: in Chicago Lang four and a half and at Fox 407 00:17:29,680 --> 00:17:33,520 Speaker 1: Bet it's five five, it's five in Vegas? All right? 408 00:17:33,560 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 1: Has it moved today? Was it like that as well? 409 00:17:35,560 --> 00:17:36,160 Speaker 1: Because it was. 410 00:17:37,400 --> 00:17:41,959 Speaker 2: There's been some big money coming in here on on Leosicaga. 411 00:17:41,960 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 2: The Ramblers are getting a lot of love. And it 412 00:17:43,640 --> 00:17:45,600 Speaker 2: makes sense because people are coming into Vegas. They're getting 413 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:46,320 Speaker 2: here and they're bett. 414 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,760 Speaker 1: Leol Right okay, and do you agree with that? I mean, 415 00:17:48,880 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 1: is that would you take them at four and a half? 416 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:52,160 Speaker 1: Now five? Because I don't know. 417 00:17:52,200 --> 00:17:53,960 Speaker 2: I would I mean that get the best number, I'd 418 00:17:54,000 --> 00:17:54,720 Speaker 2: take Georgia Tech. 419 00:17:55,400 --> 00:17:56,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, right, yeah. 420 00:17:56,760 --> 00:17:58,600 Speaker 2: I think Layola Chicago is going to win the game. 421 00:17:59,000 --> 00:18:02,040 Speaker 2: I think this is a this is a barn burner. Okay, 422 00:18:02,080 --> 00:18:04,320 Speaker 2: this is gonna be the reason why everyone's betting on 423 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:06,560 Speaker 2: Layoa Chicago is because Georgia Tech has a player who 424 00:18:06,560 --> 00:18:09,040 Speaker 2: has COVID nineteen. We don't know which player that is, 425 00:18:09,400 --> 00:18:12,600 Speaker 2: so they're without somebody. So maybe somebody knows something right, 426 00:18:12,600 --> 00:18:16,080 Speaker 2: Maybe it's a starter. Okay, maybe it's somebody of real 427 00:18:16,200 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 2: value that Georgia Tech's gonna have a problem with. Laola's 428 00:18:19,080 --> 00:18:20,960 Speaker 2: coug is really good. I know people who have three 429 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:22,920 Speaker 2: hundred to one tickets on them to win it all. Okay, 430 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,000 Speaker 2: people thought, you know, yeah, in the preseason, thought that 431 00:18:25,359 --> 00:18:28,359 Speaker 2: this team. Portermosa is a really good coach. I've known 432 00:18:28,480 --> 00:18:31,920 Speaker 2: him for years and he played at Creighton and he 433 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:33,920 Speaker 2: was in the Valley forever and he's now with the 434 00:18:33,960 --> 00:18:36,640 Speaker 2: Final Four. He stuck around, stayed at Loyola, didn't leave, 435 00:18:37,040 --> 00:18:38,960 Speaker 2: and now he's right back here with another team that's 436 00:18:38,960 --> 00:18:41,119 Speaker 2: gonna chance to make a run. So I think they 437 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,480 Speaker 2: win the game. But I think if you get to 438 00:18:43,560 --> 00:18:45,520 Speaker 2: five or higher, I would be on the dog there. 439 00:18:45,640 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 2: I would take Georgia Tech to keep the game relatively close. 440 00:18:48,160 --> 00:18:50,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's what, that's what you know. I'm 441 00:18:50,720 --> 00:18:52,840 Speaker 1: you know, we are honest with each other, Like I'm 442 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:55,680 Speaker 1: knee deep into baseball at the moment, so like, I'm 443 00:18:55,680 --> 00:18:57,720 Speaker 1: following it, but I'm not as in the weed as you. 444 00:18:57,800 --> 00:19:00,080 Speaker 1: But when I saw that it was getting four more 445 00:19:00,160 --> 00:19:02,679 Speaker 1: in half, I was like, yikes. I mean that strikes 446 00:19:02,720 --> 00:19:04,240 Speaker 1: me as Georgia Tech is the right play there. Let's 447 00:19:04,240 --> 00:19:07,600 Speaker 1: go to Tennessee laying eight to Oregon State. How do 448 00:19:07,640 --> 00:19:08,360 Speaker 1: you feel about that one? 449 00:19:08,400 --> 00:19:11,680 Speaker 2: Look, this is gonna be I hate the number, and 450 00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:14,399 Speaker 2: because I don't like Oregon State at all, and I 451 00:19:15,040 --> 00:19:18,640 Speaker 2: think it's really kind of strange to me when I 452 00:19:18,720 --> 00:19:21,760 Speaker 2: look at the number of people betting on Oregon State. 453 00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:25,480 Speaker 2: Tennessee defensively is better than people realize. Yes, they got 454 00:19:25,480 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 2: a really good coach. They're not great offensively, but they 455 00:19:27,960 --> 00:19:30,680 Speaker 2: can d you up. Yeah, and if you haven't played 456 00:19:30,720 --> 00:19:33,800 Speaker 2: them before. I mean, Oregon State, this is like a 457 00:19:33,840 --> 00:19:36,159 Speaker 2: miracle run. They shouldn't be in this tournament. They're just 458 00:19:36,200 --> 00:19:39,040 Speaker 2: there's there because they won the PAC twelve. So I 459 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:41,480 Speaker 2: don't know. I mean, the number is really high, but 460 00:19:41,560 --> 00:19:43,920 Speaker 2: I think the volunteers are gonna take apart Oregon State. 461 00:19:43,960 --> 00:19:45,400 Speaker 2: So if I was gonna bet it, I would lay 462 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:45,880 Speaker 2: the eight. 463 00:19:46,359 --> 00:19:49,480 Speaker 1: All right. How about Oklahoma State laying seven and a 464 00:19:49,560 --> 00:19:50,719 Speaker 1: half to Liberty. 465 00:19:51,200 --> 00:19:54,359 Speaker 2: Look, Liberty is a pretty good team, and Liberty can score. 466 00:19:54,800 --> 00:19:57,719 Speaker 2: And this is this game has overwritten all over it. 467 00:19:57,840 --> 00:20:00,359 Speaker 2: Everyone's betting the over here in this game. Again, I'm 468 00:20:00,400 --> 00:20:02,680 Speaker 2: not betting totals, but this is If you want something 469 00:20:02,720 --> 00:20:04,680 Speaker 2: on this, I think the total is probably a good 470 00:20:04,680 --> 00:20:05,919 Speaker 2: way to go. It opened up. 471 00:20:05,920 --> 00:20:07,600 Speaker 1: The total, by the way, is one thirty nine and 472 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:07,880 Speaker 1: a half. 473 00:20:07,920 --> 00:20:11,000 Speaker 2: Yeah's crashing, It's crashing. I don't understand it open up 474 00:20:11,000 --> 00:20:12,760 Speaker 2: a one forty six and a half. I don't get this. 475 00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:14,800 Speaker 2: I would have bet the over one forty six and 476 00:20:14,880 --> 00:20:17,679 Speaker 2: that was one forty. You can get over one forty, So, 477 00:20:18,200 --> 00:20:20,600 Speaker 2: I mean, I guess it's people are thinking that Liberty 478 00:20:20,640 --> 00:20:22,240 Speaker 2: is not going to be able to score, and the 479 00:20:22,280 --> 00:20:24,360 Speaker 2: Oklahoma State's gonna be able to score slow them down. 480 00:20:24,600 --> 00:20:26,239 Speaker 2: But Liberty is not. I mean I've only watched them 481 00:20:26,240 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 2: a couple of times, but I mean they're they could 482 00:20:28,640 --> 00:20:31,480 Speaker 2: be a giant killer here. They could take out Oklahoma State. 483 00:20:31,480 --> 00:20:33,960 Speaker 2: If Kate Cunningham gets in Fowel trouble. Yeah, it doesn't 484 00:20:33,960 --> 00:20:36,840 Speaker 2: play well, you know. I mean, if you can find 485 00:20:37,560 --> 00:20:41,240 Speaker 2: eight out there, The consensus is it opened open at eight. 486 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:43,120 Speaker 2: It went down seven and a half. I'm looking at 487 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:44,919 Speaker 2: six and a half or seven and a halfs if 488 00:20:44,960 --> 00:20:47,000 Speaker 2: you can find an eight again out there, I would 489 00:20:47,040 --> 00:20:48,160 Speaker 2: be on Liberty plus eight. 490 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's seven and a half pretty much 491 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:53,080 Speaker 1: across the board. There's a seven still at Bet America. 492 00:20:53,160 --> 00:20:56,520 Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean Liberty can shoot. They can shoot 493 00:20:56,520 --> 00:20:59,520 Speaker 1: me downtown. It's it's a tough one. I think if 494 00:20:59,520 --> 00:21:01,399 Speaker 1: I was forced ago, I would take the points with 495 00:21:01,440 --> 00:21:04,119 Speaker 1: Liberty because if they get hot, they could be pretty scary. 496 00:21:04,200 --> 00:21:07,440 Speaker 1: Let's go to the next game. Uh, North Carolina laying 497 00:21:07,520 --> 00:21:08,919 Speaker 1: one and a half to Wisconsin. 498 00:21:09,040 --> 00:21:11,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think Roy Williams of twenty nine to zero 499 00:21:11,080 --> 00:21:13,440 Speaker 2: all time in the first round of the tournament, he 500 00:21:13,880 --> 00:21:16,879 Speaker 2: has the more talented basketball team. I don't like Wisconsin. 501 00:21:16,920 --> 00:21:18,480 Speaker 2: They've cost me a lot of money. I can't get 502 00:21:18,520 --> 00:21:20,520 Speaker 2: that team right. I really have no idea what Wisconsin's 503 00:21:20,680 --> 00:21:23,400 Speaker 2: going to look like in this game. So I mean, 504 00:21:23,600 --> 00:21:25,880 Speaker 2: I'm probably gonna bet this. I'm probably taking Carolina here. 505 00:21:26,000 --> 00:21:28,240 Speaker 2: It's pretty much a pick. I think Carolina wins this 506 00:21:28,280 --> 00:21:29,160 Speaker 2: game in advances. 507 00:21:29,720 --> 00:21:31,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you. I think if North Carolina 508 00:21:31,480 --> 00:21:33,800 Speaker 1: gets up, you know, from the start, the game's kind 509 00:21:33,800 --> 00:21:35,679 Speaker 1: of over. I don't see Wisconsin being able to come back. 510 00:21:35,760 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 1: Let's go to Houston lane twenty and a half to 511 00:21:39,600 --> 00:21:41,520 Speaker 1: Cleveland State. What do you think this. 512 00:21:41,400 --> 00:21:43,560 Speaker 2: Is a bad matchup for Cleveland State. Of all the 513 00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:45,399 Speaker 2: teams they could run into, this is a team that 514 00:21:45,440 --> 00:21:47,520 Speaker 2: they did not want to see open up at eighteen 515 00:21:47,800 --> 00:21:51,760 Speaker 2: it's now twenty. Houston defensively is suffocating and that they 516 00:21:51,840 --> 00:21:54,000 Speaker 2: might be the weirdest team in the country. I've watched 517 00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:56,119 Speaker 2: in bet on a ton of their games this year, 518 00:21:56,720 --> 00:22:01,880 Speaker 2: and they just they would they want to play defense 519 00:22:01,920 --> 00:22:04,480 Speaker 2: and shoot threes and that's it. So they can go 520 00:22:04,520 --> 00:22:07,040 Speaker 2: to a they can have like fifteen made threes in 521 00:22:07,080 --> 00:22:09,840 Speaker 2: a game and they'll hold you to like forty points, 522 00:22:10,000 --> 00:22:12,359 Speaker 2: so they'll win the game like sixty to forty. And 523 00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,160 Speaker 2: it's the weirdest thing. You're like, how did you win 524 00:22:15,200 --> 00:22:17,720 Speaker 2: by twenty when you only scored sixty points? It's because 525 00:22:17,720 --> 00:22:20,720 Speaker 2: they held you to forty. So I Cleveland State, this 526 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:22,480 Speaker 2: is not the type of defensive team they wanted to see. 527 00:22:22,520 --> 00:22:25,000 Speaker 2: They wanted to go up up tempo, right, I mean, 528 00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:28,000 Speaker 2: just look at Houston in terms of possessions per game. 529 00:22:28,040 --> 00:22:30,680 Speaker 2: They're one of the slowest teams in the entire country. 530 00:22:31,040 --> 00:22:34,119 Speaker 2: They grind out possessions, which is so weird because all 531 00:22:34,160 --> 00:22:36,399 Speaker 2: they do is grind it out in jack threes. But 532 00:22:36,480 --> 00:22:38,959 Speaker 2: they hit threes and they're one of the best rebounding 533 00:22:39,000 --> 00:22:42,960 Speaker 2: teams in the entire country. They just crashed the offensive glass. 534 00:22:43,840 --> 00:22:46,800 Speaker 2: I'll lay it twenty points that this could be name 535 00:22:46,840 --> 00:22:48,959 Speaker 2: your score, Houston to how big they want to win 536 00:22:49,000 --> 00:22:49,440 Speaker 2: this game? 537 00:22:49,960 --> 00:22:52,399 Speaker 1: All right, I love it. Let's go to Purdue laying 538 00:22:52,560 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 1: seven and a half to North Texas. 539 00:22:55,240 --> 00:22:58,440 Speaker 2: I think Perdue is gonna have a problem here, all right. 540 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:01,760 Speaker 2: I think they win the game. I got Purdue advancing, 541 00:23:02,160 --> 00:23:04,760 Speaker 2: but I think North Texas is a bad matchup. And 542 00:23:04,920 --> 00:23:07,399 Speaker 2: this seven foot three kid for Purdue might actually be 543 00:23:07,440 --> 00:23:09,840 Speaker 2: the number one difference here as to why Purdue wins. 544 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:13,160 Speaker 2: I could see Purdue needing an offensive rebound to put 545 00:23:13,200 --> 00:23:15,600 Speaker 2: the put back to go ahead and advance, and that 546 00:23:15,680 --> 00:23:18,160 Speaker 2: seven three kids the one that does it. I don't 547 00:23:18,160 --> 00:23:21,680 Speaker 2: really like Purdue here. North Texas. They're playing well, they 548 00:23:21,680 --> 00:23:25,200 Speaker 2: won their conference tournaments. I mean, I'll take the points here, 549 00:23:25,240 --> 00:23:26,280 Speaker 2: give me North Texas. 550 00:23:26,640 --> 00:23:28,080 Speaker 1: You do think Purdue is going to come out on 551 00:23:28,080 --> 00:23:28,720 Speaker 1: top though. 552 00:23:28,600 --> 00:23:31,240 Speaker 2: I do think they win, but I think North Texas 553 00:23:31,320 --> 00:23:34,879 Speaker 2: is live. That I could see North Texas knocking out Purdue. 554 00:23:35,080 --> 00:23:37,920 Speaker 2: I'm not a huge fan of this Purdue basketball team. 555 00:23:38,160 --> 00:23:41,840 Speaker 1: All right, Rutgers laying one and a half now to Clemson. 556 00:23:41,560 --> 00:23:44,119 Speaker 2: How about that? Right? I mean that game is like, 557 00:23:44,320 --> 00:23:48,760 Speaker 2: excuse me because Clemson out of the ACC. But I'm 558 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:51,959 Speaker 2: an agreement, I'll lay it. I love Rutgers. I've been 559 00:23:52,000 --> 00:23:55,280 Speaker 2: a big fan of Rutgers. I love their talent. They're 560 00:23:55,520 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 2: so darning consistent. It's just so frustrating. They can beat 561 00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:05,320 Speaker 2: like a Michigan, but then they'll lose to a Nebraska. 562 00:24:05,359 --> 00:24:08,960 Speaker 2: Like it's crazy. The game opened at a pick, it's 563 00:24:09,000 --> 00:24:11,119 Speaker 2: now Rutgers minds one and a half. I'm fine with 564 00:24:11,160 --> 00:24:12,960 Speaker 2: laying the one and a half. I like Rutgers to 565 00:24:13,000 --> 00:24:13,760 Speaker 2: win in advance. 566 00:24:14,160 --> 00:24:16,359 Speaker 1: All right, how do you feel about San Diego State 567 00:24:16,640 --> 00:24:18,400 Speaker 1: laying three his Syracuse? 568 00:24:18,440 --> 00:24:21,280 Speaker 2: All right? This game is crazy, all right, because you've 569 00:24:21,280 --> 00:24:23,639 Speaker 2: got the famous Beeheim two three zone. Of course, you've 570 00:24:23,680 --> 00:24:26,560 Speaker 2: got you've got a top thirty three point shooting team 571 00:24:26,760 --> 00:24:30,400 Speaker 2: in uh Ino. In Sendego State, they love to shoot 572 00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:33,399 Speaker 2: the three. My question is the head coach, Brian Dutcher 573 00:24:33,600 --> 00:24:37,159 Speaker 2: probably going to Minnesota, and he has a buyout in 574 00:24:37,200 --> 00:24:40,679 Speaker 2: his in his contract that every other team it's four million. 575 00:24:40,920 --> 00:24:45,000 Speaker 2: For Minnesota, it's one million. His father coached at Minnesota. 576 00:24:45,320 --> 00:24:47,720 Speaker 2: It's kind of a done deal that he's going there. 577 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:51,320 Speaker 2: So what how does his team feel about that? Are 578 00:24:51,320 --> 00:24:53,040 Speaker 2: they gonna go and win one for the gipper or 579 00:24:53,000 --> 00:24:55,639 Speaker 2: are they like, screw you. I don't like you. So 580 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,640 Speaker 2: that's my big concern about this game and probably why 581 00:24:58,680 --> 00:25:02,520 Speaker 2: I won't play it. But I Buddy Beheim needs to 582 00:25:02,560 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 2: be the Buddy Beheim of the ACC tournament or they 583 00:25:05,200 --> 00:25:06,920 Speaker 2: get run out of the gym and they lose bad. 584 00:25:07,280 --> 00:25:09,280 Speaker 2: They got to hit a bunch of shots on offense 585 00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,399 Speaker 2: to keep that game close. If I had to bet it, 586 00:25:12,440 --> 00:25:15,000 Speaker 2: I would. I would take San Diego State all right. 587 00:25:15,040 --> 00:25:17,560 Speaker 1: West Virginia laying thirteen to Morehead State. 588 00:25:17,880 --> 00:25:20,040 Speaker 2: This is tough, right because I don't know a ton 589 00:25:20,119 --> 00:25:23,520 Speaker 2: about Morehead State, and I think West Virginia could beat 590 00:25:23,520 --> 00:25:26,879 Speaker 2: this team by thirty easily, but they're three pointers have 591 00:25:26,920 --> 00:25:30,560 Speaker 2: got to fall, right. I got West Virginia advancing, but 592 00:25:30,680 --> 00:25:33,439 Speaker 2: I don't know. That number feels a little bit heavy 593 00:25:33,560 --> 00:25:35,960 Speaker 2: to me, so I would probably if I I'm staying 594 00:25:36,000 --> 00:25:37,680 Speaker 2: away from this game, But if I had to bet, 595 00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:40,600 Speaker 2: I take the dog, but I could see West Virginia 596 00:25:40,680 --> 00:25:42,000 Speaker 2: really putting a number on here. 597 00:25:42,240 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 1: Morehead State hasn't played in a few weeks, right, haven't they. 598 00:25:44,920 --> 00:25:45,440 Speaker 2: That's true. 599 00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:47,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, they haven't played a game in like two weeks, 600 00:25:47,600 --> 00:25:50,840 Speaker 1: so you know, I don't know. I kind of think 601 00:25:50,840 --> 00:25:53,159 Speaker 1: West Virginia is gonna have this because I think, you know, 602 00:25:53,280 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 1: Morehead State, you know, they kind of they're gonna have 603 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:58,760 Speaker 1: to hit their shots. And I went that long a layoff. 604 00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:01,000 Speaker 1: I just don't trust them at all. Let's get the 605 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:04,480 Speaker 1: last game here on Friday, and that is Villanova now 606 00:26:04,520 --> 00:26:06,040 Speaker 1: laying six and a half to Winthrop. 607 00:26:06,920 --> 00:26:10,679 Speaker 2: This is so funny because there are a couple of 608 00:26:10,720 --> 00:26:16,320 Speaker 2: games where the quote unquote handicappers are all over these 609 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:20,840 Speaker 2: favorite public dogs. This is one of them. And I 610 00:26:20,880 --> 00:26:25,000 Speaker 2: think Nova's gonna kill Winthrop. And I think they got 611 00:26:25,040 --> 00:26:28,000 Speaker 2: the two losses without you know, everyone's saying, okay, So 612 00:26:28,040 --> 00:26:33,360 Speaker 2: they lost to Georgetown without without out their starting point 613 00:26:33,359 --> 00:26:36,439 Speaker 2: guard cong Gillespie, and they lost the game before that 614 00:26:36,480 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 2: to Providence without cong Gillespie. Well, now they've had about 615 00:26:40,359 --> 00:26:42,880 Speaker 2: two games, and they've had about three weeks to get 616 00:26:42,920 --> 00:26:45,359 Speaker 2: ready for this to this for Winthrop, and I just 617 00:26:45,400 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 2: think there's more talent on Villanova, and I don't get 618 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,159 Speaker 2: this whole love with Winthrop and oh they shoot the 619 00:26:52,200 --> 00:26:54,480 Speaker 2: three and oh they're a little engine that could give 620 00:26:54,520 --> 00:26:56,760 Speaker 2: me Villanova a right, I'm gonna be betting this. I'm 621 00:26:56,800 --> 00:26:58,040 Speaker 2: taking Nova by six and a half. 622 00:26:58,320 --> 00:27:00,600 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's interesting. I don't have a good feel for personally, 623 00:27:00,600 --> 00:27:03,680 Speaker 1: but yes, everything I hear is everybody talking about Winthrop 624 00:27:03,800 --> 00:27:05,800 Speaker 1: like they really like it. They like it with the points. 625 00:27:06,080 --> 00:27:07,400 Speaker 1: I don't know enough about it, but it all right. 626 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:08,200 Speaker 1: I'm glad. I'm glad. 627 00:27:09,000 --> 00:27:11,919 Speaker 2: It's Ohio and it's you see Santa Barbara. Those are 628 00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:14,520 Speaker 2: the three teams, and I'm fading all three of those. 629 00:27:14,560 --> 00:27:18,120 Speaker 2: I'm going against the quote unquote trendy dog in all 630 00:27:18,160 --> 00:27:19,040 Speaker 2: three of those games. 631 00:27:19,400 --> 00:27:21,680 Speaker 1: You know we're gonna talk about you see Santa Barbara 632 00:27:21,720 --> 00:27:24,840 Speaker 1: against Creighton. Let's go though to Let's start on Saturday, 633 00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,760 Speaker 1: and let's go to Colorado laying five and a half 634 00:27:27,800 --> 00:27:28,400 Speaker 1: to Georgetown. 635 00:27:28,880 --> 00:27:30,920 Speaker 2: I like Georgetown. I like George on the win the 636 00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:34,560 Speaker 2: game outright again, I'm fading the Pac twelve. I think 637 00:27:34,560 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 2: Patrick Ewan's got that team playing really well. There was 638 00:27:37,400 --> 00:27:40,240 Speaker 2: this joke with a guy named Jim Root who works 639 00:27:40,280 --> 00:27:43,119 Speaker 2: for a website called three Man Weave, who's on my 640 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:45,879 Speaker 2: show every Tuesday, where we would joke around that Georgetown 641 00:27:45,920 --> 00:27:49,680 Speaker 2: plays one great half in one bad half. It was 642 00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:51,640 Speaker 2: up to us to figure out which half was gonna 643 00:27:51,640 --> 00:27:54,199 Speaker 2: be the good half. To bet they figured out how 644 00:27:54,240 --> 00:27:57,400 Speaker 2: to play two halves. And this team I think has 645 00:27:57,440 --> 00:28:00,440 Speaker 2: a ton of confidence, and I think Colorado was running 646 00:28:00,440 --> 00:28:03,800 Speaker 2: into a buzzsaw here. I like Georgetown's length, I like 647 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:06,359 Speaker 2: their rebounding, I like their toughness. I think they win 648 00:28:06,440 --> 00:28:07,480 Speaker 2: the game outright. 649 00:28:07,560 --> 00:28:09,800 Speaker 1: All right, I love it. Let's go to Florida State 650 00:28:09,880 --> 00:28:13,960 Speaker 1: lank ten and a half to UNC Greensboro route. 651 00:28:14,200 --> 00:28:17,040 Speaker 2: I think Florida State is gonna route. I like this 652 00:28:17,119 --> 00:28:19,520 Speaker 2: Florida State team a lot. I got them going to 653 00:28:20,040 --> 00:28:23,200 Speaker 2: the Elite eight. I think Florida State is super athletic, 654 00:28:23,240 --> 00:28:27,000 Speaker 2: they're super long, they're well coached. I think in particular 655 00:28:27,040 --> 00:28:28,560 Speaker 2: because this is a team that's kind of from their 656 00:28:28,560 --> 00:28:31,280 Speaker 2: region in the ACC in away, I'm all over Florida 657 00:28:31,280 --> 00:28:32,680 Speaker 2: State here to win this game. Big. 658 00:28:33,280 --> 00:28:37,680 Speaker 1: Okay, Kansas State laying I'm sorry, Kansas lane ten and 659 00:28:37,720 --> 00:28:39,400 Speaker 1: a half to Eastern Washington. 660 00:28:39,480 --> 00:28:42,000 Speaker 2: Now, this is another game where the lines moved, and 661 00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:46,160 Speaker 2: it's kind of weird. It's gone towards Eastern Washington. Opened 662 00:28:46,200 --> 00:28:48,680 Speaker 2: up at thirteen, it's down to ten and a half. 663 00:28:49,280 --> 00:28:52,200 Speaker 2: So this is a game I'm just gonna watch because 664 00:28:52,240 --> 00:28:55,320 Speaker 2: people who have watched Eastern Washington, not me, haven't seen them. 665 00:28:55,480 --> 00:28:58,200 Speaker 2: They think this team can potentially knock out Kansas, and 666 00:28:58,280 --> 00:29:03,760 Speaker 2: given Kansas' is a maze history of losing games in 667 00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:07,600 Speaker 2: the tournament early. There's the Killer Bees, there's the Bradley's, 668 00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:11,400 Speaker 2: the Bucknells. I was there for Northern Iowa. I was 669 00:29:11,520 --> 00:29:15,080 Speaker 2: literally about fifteen feet from Ali for Opinesh's shot where 670 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:17,560 Speaker 2: he knocked out Kansas and Oklahoma City, and that was 671 00:29:17,600 --> 00:29:20,280 Speaker 2: ten years ago to yesterday. It popped up on my 672 00:29:20,320 --> 00:29:23,080 Speaker 2: timeline on Facebook and I was like, holy crap, that 673 00:29:23,200 --> 00:29:25,440 Speaker 2: was ten years ago and when that went that happened. 674 00:29:25,480 --> 00:29:27,800 Speaker 2: But it was ten years ago in twenty ten when 675 00:29:27,800 --> 00:29:31,080 Speaker 2: that happened. So, I mean, Kansas. Could it be all 676 00:29:31,080 --> 00:29:33,240 Speaker 2: over again where Kansas gets knocked out early in the 677 00:29:33,240 --> 00:29:36,120 Speaker 2: first round. I don't know, but I'll watch it and see. 678 00:29:36,160 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 2: I'm not gonna get involved with it, but let's see 679 00:29:37,960 --> 00:29:39,160 Speaker 2: what Eastern Washington can do. 680 00:29:39,680 --> 00:29:41,640 Speaker 1: All right? How about LSU laying one and a half 681 00:29:41,720 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 1: the Saint Bonaventure. 682 00:29:42,840 --> 00:29:46,400 Speaker 2: Look, I'm on I maybe on my own island here. 683 00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:50,600 Speaker 2: I love LSU. I love their postplay, I love their backcourt. 684 00:29:50,760 --> 00:29:53,000 Speaker 2: I think they win and beat Saint Bonaventure. They're gonna 685 00:29:53,040 --> 00:29:56,960 Speaker 2: knock out Michigan. I got LSU going to the Sweet sixteen. 686 00:29:57,600 --> 00:30:00,600 Speaker 2: I'm really really high on this LSU t I Will 687 00:30:00,640 --> 00:30:04,239 Speaker 2: Wade's a really good coach. I like backcourt play, I 688 00:30:04,360 --> 00:30:06,200 Speaker 2: like one or two good big men, and I like 689 00:30:06,240 --> 00:30:08,360 Speaker 2: coaching in the tournament. And LSU's got all of it. 690 00:30:08,440 --> 00:30:10,160 Speaker 2: I know Saint bonaventcher is really good out of the 691 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,440 Speaker 2: A ten. Yeah, but I'm going with LSU. 692 00:30:13,600 --> 00:30:16,360 Speaker 1: All all right, all right, how about let's get to that. 693 00:30:16,440 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 1: You know, got to hear again. If you listen to 694 00:30:18,000 --> 00:30:20,320 Speaker 1: dely Juice, you've heard Matt talk about Creighton and you 695 00:30:20,600 --> 00:30:24,240 Speaker 1: references earlier Creighton now laying seven to UC Santa Barbara. 696 00:30:24,280 --> 00:30:26,880 Speaker 2: Go ahead, I'm just waiting for the best number. I'm 697 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:32,520 Speaker 2: shopping around, and he look, the Gauchos play a grind 698 00:30:32,560 --> 00:30:36,680 Speaker 2: it type of style. The Gauchos have some size, but 699 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:40,680 Speaker 2: they want to make you shoot threes, and they want 700 00:30:40,680 --> 00:30:42,600 Speaker 2: to guard and buck up the game and the paint. 701 00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,520 Speaker 2: They give up about thirty five percent shooting from behind 702 00:30:46,520 --> 00:30:48,680 Speaker 2: the three point line, and if they're going to give 703 00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:52,600 Speaker 2: the Jays open threes, they're going to get killed. So 704 00:30:53,000 --> 00:30:55,120 Speaker 2: this is why I think ten was too heavy. I 705 00:30:55,160 --> 00:30:57,280 Speaker 2: think the first number was right. I don't think the 706 00:30:57,360 --> 00:31:00,120 Speaker 2: Jays should have been ten point favorites here, but seven. 707 00:31:00,240 --> 00:31:02,240 Speaker 2: I'm comfortable lay in the seven with the Creighton Blue 708 00:31:02,280 --> 00:31:03,959 Speaker 2: Jays because I don't think you see Centain Barbara can 709 00:31:04,040 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 2: keep up if the Jays it all comes down to 710 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:10,080 Speaker 2: three players. Marco Zegarowski has got to control tempo, Mitch 711 00:31:10,120 --> 00:31:12,880 Speaker 2: Baylock has got to hit open threes, and Christian Bishop 712 00:31:12,880 --> 00:31:14,840 Speaker 2: has got to be as tough as possible on the 713 00:31:14,840 --> 00:31:17,200 Speaker 2: glass and rebound as many shots as he can, both 714 00:31:17,240 --> 00:31:20,120 Speaker 2: offensively and defensively. Don't let the two big men for 715 00:31:20,720 --> 00:31:23,920 Speaker 2: u C center Barbara to control tempo and dictate the glass. 716 00:31:24,120 --> 00:31:27,080 Speaker 2: If those three things happen, Jay's win going. 717 00:31:26,960 --> 00:31:30,320 Speaker 1: Away Alabama laying seventeen to Iona. 718 00:31:30,960 --> 00:31:33,040 Speaker 2: Look, I think Rick Patino told us all we need 719 00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:35,360 Speaker 2: to know when he was having the interview about Alabama 720 00:31:35,400 --> 00:31:37,440 Speaker 2: and how much respect he has for Alabama, and he 721 00:31:37,520 --> 00:31:38,959 Speaker 2: was like we know what we're doing, we know who 722 00:31:39,000 --> 00:31:42,640 Speaker 2: we're up against. Yeah, I think he knows that he's 723 00:31:42,680 --> 00:31:45,080 Speaker 2: about to get run straight out of the gym by Alabama. 724 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:49,800 Speaker 2: So I've got Yukon, though, beating Alabama in the second round. 725 00:31:49,920 --> 00:31:51,960 Speaker 2: So I love Alabama. I've made a lot of money 726 00:31:51,960 --> 00:31:55,840 Speaker 2: on Alabama this year. There's just something up with Alabama 727 00:31:55,880 --> 00:31:59,960 Speaker 2: in consistency that I don't love. So Bama Big overy 728 00:32:00,000 --> 00:32:05,480 Speaker 2: Iowa very similar to how I'm looking at teams like Iowa. 729 00:32:05,560 --> 00:32:07,160 Speaker 2: We'll get that game in a second. I have Iowa 730 00:32:07,280 --> 00:32:10,920 Speaker 2: crushing Grand Canyon and losing to Oregon. So okay, Big 731 00:32:10,960 --> 00:32:12,800 Speaker 2: wins in the first round and then losing out right 732 00:32:12,840 --> 00:32:13,320 Speaker 2: in the second. 733 00:32:13,720 --> 00:32:16,760 Speaker 1: So I was laying fifteen to Grand Canyon. You're taking Iowa. 734 00:32:16,880 --> 00:32:18,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, I think they win the game by thirty. I 735 00:32:18,480 --> 00:32:21,680 Speaker 2: think they absolutely just eviscerate good. This is what Iowa does. 736 00:32:21,720 --> 00:32:24,880 Speaker 2: Iowa takes bad teams behind the woodshed and just punishes them. 737 00:32:25,280 --> 00:32:27,800 Speaker 2: So I think they kill Grand Canyon and then they 738 00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:28,680 Speaker 2: lose to Oregon out. 739 00:32:28,600 --> 00:32:31,320 Speaker 1: Right, Okay, So then let's go. I mean, I know 740 00:32:31,360 --> 00:32:33,760 Speaker 1: you got Yukon winning this game, so I assume that 741 00:32:33,800 --> 00:32:36,800 Speaker 1: you're going to take them laying the three then to Maryland. 742 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:38,239 Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, I do. I just think James book Knight 743 00:32:38,320 --> 00:32:39,920 Speaker 2: is the type of player that you need to have 744 00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:42,880 Speaker 2: special players in March. He's a special player. He's a pro, 745 00:32:43,320 --> 00:32:45,360 Speaker 2: He's a guy who wants the ball in his hands. 746 00:32:45,400 --> 00:32:46,960 Speaker 2: I just think this is going to be too much 747 00:32:47,000 --> 00:32:49,640 Speaker 2: for Maryland. They're a streaky team too. I mean, but 748 00:32:50,080 --> 00:32:53,440 Speaker 2: I think that this is Yukon's time. They did not 749 00:32:53,480 --> 00:32:55,760 Speaker 2: win the biggest tournament. I had them winning the biggest tournament. 750 00:32:55,840 --> 00:32:58,640 Speaker 2: But I'm really high on Yukon, and I think Yukon 751 00:32:58,720 --> 00:33:00,640 Speaker 2: wins the game and covers that three or Maryland. 752 00:33:01,000 --> 00:33:03,800 Speaker 1: I agree with you. Virginia laying seven and a half 753 00:33:04,000 --> 00:33:04,640 Speaker 1: to Ohio. 754 00:33:04,680 --> 00:33:07,480 Speaker 2: All right, so here's the game that everyone's on Ohio. Right, 755 00:33:08,200 --> 00:33:11,520 Speaker 2: what do you do with Virginia Because Virginia is a 756 00:33:11,600 --> 00:33:17,800 Speaker 2: team that won't show up until Friday. They've got COVID problems, 757 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:22,480 Speaker 2: Like it's ridiculous right now with I don't know how 758 00:33:22,520 --> 00:33:24,920 Speaker 2: you bet this game, to be frank on either side, 759 00:33:24,920 --> 00:33:27,280 Speaker 2: I'm not sure how you bet this game. But everyone's 760 00:33:27,320 --> 00:33:30,760 Speaker 2: on Ohio because of that reason. I'm gonna let this 761 00:33:30,840 --> 00:33:33,600 Speaker 2: go down, down, down, down down and take Virginia so 762 00:33:33,880 --> 00:33:36,440 Speaker 2: give me the best number possible. It opened at ten, 763 00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:40,320 Speaker 2: it's down to seven. Get me under six if possible. 764 00:33:40,400 --> 00:33:42,360 Speaker 2: Give me to five and a half if it gets 765 00:33:42,400 --> 00:33:45,000 Speaker 2: down that far, and I'll take Virginia just based on talent. 766 00:33:45,520 --> 00:33:47,920 Speaker 1: All right. How about Oklahoma lang one to Missouri. 767 00:33:48,160 --> 00:33:50,800 Speaker 2: This is a good game. I don't like Missouri. I 768 00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:53,640 Speaker 2: like Oklahoma a lot. I think Oklahoma's gonna push the 769 00:33:53,720 --> 00:33:56,200 Speaker 2: Zags in the second round. I like ou to win 770 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:58,640 Speaker 2: and cover that game, and then I think they lose 771 00:33:58,680 --> 00:34:01,080 Speaker 2: to Gonzaga. But I think the Zags are going to 772 00:34:01,120 --> 00:34:02,760 Speaker 2: have a fight on their hands. Oklahoma has been a 773 00:34:02,800 --> 00:34:03,840 Speaker 2: giant killer this year. 774 00:34:04,240 --> 00:34:07,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right. How about Texas laying nine and a 775 00:34:08,040 --> 00:34:09,760 Speaker 1: half now to Abilene Christian. 776 00:34:10,480 --> 00:34:16,279 Speaker 2: Abiline Christian's been kind of a sneaky sports gambling team 777 00:34:16,400 --> 00:34:20,200 Speaker 2: that against the number, they've been really good. YEP, and 778 00:34:20,320 --> 00:34:23,560 Speaker 2: guys on the Discord channel for betting pros and for 779 00:34:23,680 --> 00:34:27,520 Speaker 2: us on the Daily Jews, they love this team. I'm 780 00:34:27,520 --> 00:34:30,480 Speaker 2: gonna take the points. Yeah, and just I like Texas, 781 00:34:30,480 --> 00:34:33,120 Speaker 2: But Shaka Smart has fallen on his face before at 782 00:34:33,160 --> 00:34:35,440 Speaker 2: Texas in just this moment, and they're coming off the 783 00:34:35,480 --> 00:34:38,319 Speaker 2: Big twelve championship. Are they playing too high? Are they 784 00:34:38,320 --> 00:34:40,880 Speaker 2: thinking too much about themselves and taking this team a 785 00:34:40,880 --> 00:34:44,240 Speaker 2: little bit too lightly? I'll take the points. Texas probably wins, 786 00:34:44,239 --> 00:34:45,240 Speaker 2: but I'll take the points. 787 00:34:45,560 --> 00:34:47,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with you. I think it's too many points. 788 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:48,960 Speaker 1: I will take it with nine and a half. Abliene 789 00:34:49,000 --> 00:34:52,160 Speaker 1: Christian is really an interesting team. They force a lot 790 00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:53,840 Speaker 1: of turnovers. It's going to be fun to watch. I 791 00:34:53,840 --> 00:34:55,799 Speaker 1: do think Texas wins the game, but I do like 792 00:34:55,840 --> 00:34:58,040 Speaker 1: the nine and a half Tablin Christian. How about Oregon 793 00:34:58,120 --> 00:34:59,799 Speaker 1: laying five and a half to VCU. 794 00:35:00,200 --> 00:35:04,080 Speaker 2: Oregon Dana Altman, he's a phenomenal coach in tournaments. Oregon 795 00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:06,120 Speaker 2: is a hard team to play on short notice, even 796 00:35:06,120 --> 00:35:08,320 Speaker 2: though they have a week to prepare. They've got athletes 797 00:35:08,360 --> 00:35:10,600 Speaker 2: all over the plays. Oregon underperformed a little bit this 798 00:35:10,680 --> 00:35:14,000 Speaker 2: year in the PAC twelve. Again, this is I'm fading 799 00:35:14,000 --> 00:35:16,759 Speaker 2: the majority of PAC twelve teams. The only team I'm 800 00:35:16,800 --> 00:35:19,279 Speaker 2: not fading is Oregon. Really, I like Orgon to win 801 00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:20,160 Speaker 2: and cover against VC. 802 00:35:20,320 --> 00:35:23,040 Speaker 1: You as do, I all right, that's it because we 803 00:35:23,040 --> 00:35:25,319 Speaker 1: don't know obviously the teams that are gonna play, you know, 804 00:35:25,400 --> 00:35:27,719 Speaker 1: after the first four, So if you want it, I 805 00:35:27,719 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 1: didn't miss any right, man, I think I got them all. 806 00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,880 Speaker 1: I don't I got them all. Quiet down, you just 807 00:35:31,880 --> 00:35:34,759 Speaker 1: say yes. So if you if you want to hear 808 00:35:35,080 --> 00:35:37,840 Speaker 1: Matt's fixed after the first four, tune into the livestreams 809 00:35:37,880 --> 00:35:41,319 Speaker 1: YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros. Don't forget, and we 810 00:35:41,400 --> 00:35:43,040 Speaker 1: will be back next week, by the way, talking about 811 00:35:43,040 --> 00:35:45,319 Speaker 1: the next round for the next weekend for shore, don't 812 00:35:45,320 --> 00:35:49,120 Speaker 1: forget to go to Bettingpros dot com slash March, use 813 00:35:49,160 --> 00:35:52,880 Speaker 1: our bracket optimizer, enter our contest. Both are free. You 814 00:35:52,920 --> 00:35:55,879 Speaker 1: will enjoy it. And again, don't forget. Subscribe to Daily Juice. 815 00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:57,920 Speaker 1: By the way, Matt, we'll be talking about March Madness 816 00:35:58,000 --> 00:36:01,200 Speaker 1: all week and then don't forget to tune into the 817 00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:04,520 Speaker 1: livestreams YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros Thursday, probably when 818 00:36:04,520 --> 00:36:08,560 Speaker 1: you're listening to this at nine o'clock Eastern and then 819 00:36:08,640 --> 00:36:11,759 Speaker 1: Saturday morning at eleven am Eastern. Until then, we will 820 00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:14,200 Speaker 1: be back next week, as we are every single week 821 00:36:14,239 --> 00:36:16,359 Speaker 1: here at least once a week we're doing the show. 822 00:36:16,600 --> 00:36:18,640 Speaker 1: So I will talk to you again next week.