1 00:00:01,000 --> 00:00:03,240 Speaker 1: Welcome in everybody to betting Pros. It's time to place 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: your bets. It is me, Joey Pa Joe Pizipia, and 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:08,680 Speaker 1: I want to wish everybody out there happy Thanksgiving because 4 00:00:08,720 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: today is our Betting Pros Thanksgiving Special. That's right, It's 5 00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: going to be a holiday event, a new tradition for 6 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 1: all of you and all of us here. Who knows 7 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:20,400 Speaker 1: what kind of stars might show up on the program today, 8 00:00:20,840 --> 00:00:24,360 Speaker 1: some crazy performances, some cameos, you never know. The one 9 00:00:24,360 --> 00:00:26,480 Speaker 1: guy that always shows up for us every single week 10 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:29,200 Speaker 1: is Andrew Rickson, the prop prophet himself. And Andrew and 11 00:00:29,200 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: I are going to go through the Thanksgiving games and 12 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:33,360 Speaker 1: the Black Friday Game. 13 00:00:33,400 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 2: That's right. 14 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 1: We have a Black Friday Game this year between the 15 00:00:36,560 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: Jets and the Miami Dolphins. No, Zach Wilson. The holidays 16 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:43,159 Speaker 1: are already getting better, or at least we think. But 17 00:00:43,200 --> 00:00:45,080 Speaker 1: we're gonna break down those games. We're gonna talk a 18 00:00:45,120 --> 00:00:48,280 Speaker 1: little props, and also Uncle Joey's gonna give you the 19 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 1: Turkey Day parlay. That's right, a new tradition is gonna 20 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:55,040 Speaker 1: begin here. John Madden had his turducin. I've got the 21 00:00:55,120 --> 00:01:00,639 Speaker 1: Turkey Day Parlay Andrew Erickson. The tradition of Thanksgiving football 22 00:01:01,040 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 1: has been around for many, many decades. Now I got 23 00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 1: to ask you, how do you consume both on that day? 24 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:10,080 Speaker 1: Because I cannot. I'm the guy that's cooking in the kitchen. 25 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,440 Speaker 1: So typically I see the first game, I miss most 26 00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: of the second one. I'm in and out, and then 27 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 1: maybe I'm catching some at night. But for those of 28 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:20,440 Speaker 1: us who are more of the eaters and less of 29 00:01:20,480 --> 00:01:22,479 Speaker 1: the cookers around Thanksgiving, this. 30 00:01:22,480 --> 00:01:24,080 Speaker 2: Must be a really fun day for all of you. 31 00:01:25,120 --> 00:01:27,119 Speaker 3: Oh yeah, no, this is one of the best days 32 00:01:27,720 --> 00:01:30,440 Speaker 3: in the calendar year. You know, Thanksgiving. You have the 33 00:01:30,480 --> 00:01:33,840 Speaker 3: football combined with the great food that you get at 34 00:01:33,840 --> 00:01:37,120 Speaker 3: your Thanksgiving feast. Whether you eat in the I usually 35 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,400 Speaker 3: eat during the first game, like usually around like halftime. 36 00:01:40,400 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 3: It's usually when we all kind of break off and 37 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 3: do like all right, let's eat, and then you know, 38 00:01:44,000 --> 00:01:46,520 Speaker 3: people will be conversing. Some people go back and watching 39 00:01:46,560 --> 00:01:48,440 Speaker 3: the game. Again. It's always the Lions. So sometimes you 40 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 3: don't get the great game, but sometimes you do. This 41 00:01:51,360 --> 00:01:53,800 Speaker 3: year it should be you know, Lions are the team 42 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:56,320 Speaker 3: to beat now, it seems like in the NFC, so 43 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:59,080 Speaker 3: they're going to be ready to go at Home Rock 44 00:01:59,120 --> 00:02:01,560 Speaker 3: and Motown. So I'm looking forward to it, you know, 45 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:06,560 Speaker 3: getting to the turkey, the sides mashed potatos, very much, 46 00:02:06,600 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 3: looking forward to thing. 47 00:02:07,280 --> 00:02:09,359 Speaker 1: Like you said it, like you're a hobbit the mashed potatoes. 48 00:02:09,400 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 1: There you go, Yes, I'll be making short ribs. Nobody 49 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:14,920 Speaker 1: watch the turkey, So we're like, why am. 50 00:02:14,800 --> 00:02:15,600 Speaker 2: I going to do all that work? 51 00:02:15,600 --> 00:02:17,320 Speaker 3: I turkey is overrated? 52 00:02:16,680 --> 00:02:22,200 Speaker 1: Its overrated, It's gross. You gotta put your hands up there, No, no, 53 00:02:22,680 --> 00:02:25,560 Speaker 1: just some meat. Giving me the short ribs of mashed potatoes. 54 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:27,960 Speaker 1: That's what we're doing here at the Piece of Pa House. 55 00:02:28,000 --> 00:02:31,399 Speaker 1: But uh, let's start with the Thanksgiving games here. And typically, 56 00:02:31,919 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: you know, we always look at these games and say, okay, 57 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:38,079 Speaker 1: these all make sense. There's usually one game at least. 58 00:02:37,960 --> 00:02:39,160 Speaker 2: That always goes sideways. 59 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,399 Speaker 1: It's hard to peg which one that might be this year. 60 00:02:41,919 --> 00:02:43,840 Speaker 1: My money is on the first one if any of 61 00:02:43,840 --> 00:02:46,639 Speaker 1: them go sideways. But you see things a different way. 62 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: Which one could go sideways for you? 63 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:52,760 Speaker 3: I think for me it's the Dallas Cowboys in Washington 64 00:02:52,840 --> 00:02:56,320 Speaker 3: Commander's game because when I'm looking at the case, so 65 00:02:56,320 --> 00:03:00,400 Speaker 3: it's like heavy favorites on all three sides, most the 66 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:03,040 Speaker 3: Lions and Cowboys are have your favorites at home, and 67 00:03:03,080 --> 00:03:05,320 Speaker 3: then you have Seattle as a massive underdog against the 68 00:03:05,320 --> 00:03:06,919 Speaker 3: forty nineer because the forty Niners are probably the best 69 00:03:06,919 --> 00:03:09,320 Speaker 3: team in the NFC. But the reason I picked the 70 00:03:09,360 --> 00:03:12,400 Speaker 3: Commanders was just kind of look and see, like, Okay, 71 00:03:12,440 --> 00:03:16,920 Speaker 3: what team has the offensive personnel to just keep pace 72 00:03:17,000 --> 00:03:19,200 Speaker 3: and to like make the game like exciting some way, 73 00:03:19,240 --> 00:03:22,200 Speaker 3: shape or form. And I mean I would say, Howell, 74 00:03:22,520 --> 00:03:25,480 Speaker 3: this team is the most feisty bunch of the ones 75 00:03:25,480 --> 00:03:27,480 Speaker 3: that are the inferior teams. Like the Packers are horrible, 76 00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 3: Like I think they're a horrible team. You know, you 77 00:03:30,160 --> 00:03:31,919 Speaker 3: look at how they have done this. You know who 78 00:03:31,960 --> 00:03:35,040 Speaker 3: they they have beaten this year? The Green Bay Packers 79 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:35,760 Speaker 3: they have beaten. 80 00:03:35,680 --> 00:03:36,720 Speaker 2: They beat the Chargers. 81 00:03:37,560 --> 00:03:40,080 Speaker 3: They beat the Chargers led by Brandon Staley, so I 82 00:03:40,080 --> 00:03:42,760 Speaker 3: don't consider that an actual win. They beat the Rams, 83 00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 3: who started Brett Rippin, and they beat the Saints who 84 00:03:46,000 --> 00:03:48,240 Speaker 3: Derek Carr played half a game. Like the Packers are 85 00:03:48,240 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 3: the most overrated team in the NFL not named the 86 00:03:51,280 --> 00:03:54,640 Speaker 3: Pittsburgh Stealers. So who they I don't even remember. I 87 00:03:54,680 --> 00:03:56,480 Speaker 3: don't know who won that game. I can't even remember. 88 00:03:56,520 --> 00:03:58,680 Speaker 3: None of them should have won that game. But I 89 00:03:58,680 --> 00:04:00,480 Speaker 3: think the Packers when you look at what they've done 90 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,600 Speaker 3: on the road and as a underdog last five games, 91 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:05,600 Speaker 3: that underdog Packers are one and four against the spread, 92 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 3: So not although theyre not covering as underdogs, they're not 93 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 3: even winning that they're not winning, they're not covering. And 94 00:04:11,200 --> 00:04:14,080 Speaker 3: the Lions are the most profitable team to bet on 95 00:04:14,320 --> 00:04:16,839 Speaker 3: against the spread since the middle of last year. They 96 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 3: know it, they know they're the bully, and after being 97 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:25,240 Speaker 3: destroyed by Aaron Rodgers every Thanksgiving, the Lions are gonna 98 00:04:25,240 --> 00:04:26,880 Speaker 3: come out state and win on Turkey Day. 99 00:04:26,880 --> 00:04:28,800 Speaker 1: All right, we'll start with that one. We'll start with 100 00:04:28,839 --> 00:04:30,960 Speaker 1: that one. We'll see different opinions. By the way, the 101 00:04:30,960 --> 00:04:33,240 Speaker 1: Steelers won that contest. I had to check in for myself. 102 00:04:33,400 --> 00:04:35,200 Speaker 3: I thought it was the Steelers, but the Packers had 103 00:04:35,240 --> 00:04:35,680 Speaker 3: more yards. 104 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:37,760 Speaker 1: But really every party per usual off of course, but 105 00:04:37,960 --> 00:04:39,800 Speaker 1: of course we all lost at the end of the day. 106 00:04:39,800 --> 00:04:42,600 Speaker 1: All right, let's talk about this first game here that 107 00:04:42,720 --> 00:04:45,440 Speaker 1: Green Bay Packers four and six will travel to Detroit 108 00:04:45,600 --> 00:04:47,720 Speaker 1: to take on the Lion. They are eight and two 109 00:04:47,720 --> 00:04:49,440 Speaker 1: at the top of this division, forty seven and a 110 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:51,040 Speaker 1: half is the number you're getting at minus one to 111 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:53,480 Speaker 1: tell one to twelve on DraftKings, forty six and a 112 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:56,200 Speaker 1: half for the over at minus one eighteen on Fanduels. 113 00:04:56,200 --> 00:04:57,640 Speaker 1: Seven and a half is the number you're getting pretty 114 00:04:57,720 --> 00:04:59,440 Speaker 1: much everywhere here right now. 115 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:00,479 Speaker 2: And if you like Bay on. 116 00:05:00,480 --> 00:05:03,520 Speaker 1: The upset line plus two ninety five, it's right there 117 00:05:03,560 --> 00:05:05,920 Speaker 1: for you. So Andrew Rickson we get a little later 118 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 1: in the program. I've got some feelings about some pieces 119 00:05:08,200 --> 00:05:12,040 Speaker 1: in this game, but look, they are bereft of a 120 00:05:12,080 --> 00:05:12,560 Speaker 1: running game. 121 00:05:12,640 --> 00:05:13,119 Speaker 2: Right now. 122 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,760 Speaker 1: You're seeing Jayden Reid work almost as like a wish 123 00:05:16,800 --> 00:05:21,160 Speaker 1: dot Com Deebo Samuel in this offense, and the Lions 124 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:23,560 Speaker 1: should theoretically handle their business. Seven and a half I 125 00:05:23,560 --> 00:05:25,920 Speaker 1: think is a fair number. But to me, the most 126 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: appealing number here is definitely the over of the forty 127 00:05:28,480 --> 00:05:29,680 Speaker 1: six and a half, because I do think there will 128 00:05:29,680 --> 00:05:32,559 Speaker 1: be enough points to reach that mark, and that number 129 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:33,960 Speaker 1: you can get over on fandal. But what are your 130 00:05:33,960 --> 00:05:35,440 Speaker 1: thoughts on this game as you break it down? 131 00:05:36,560 --> 00:05:38,840 Speaker 3: I mean, you know, I love the over in this game. 132 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:41,720 Speaker 3: We're playing a course, I mean Fordfield that we're playing. 133 00:05:41,720 --> 00:05:43,920 Speaker 3: In this game, we're playing at we're playing at Ford Field. 134 00:05:44,000 --> 00:05:46,279 Speaker 3: So look, I like the over in this spot too. 135 00:05:46,320 --> 00:05:49,599 Speaker 3: We saw last week the Green Bay Packers through for 136 00:05:49,640 --> 00:05:52,480 Speaker 3: three hundred passing yards. That did not happen at all 137 00:05:52,520 --> 00:05:54,560 Speaker 3: in any game in twenty twenty two. It hasn't happened 138 00:05:54,560 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 3: since January twenty twenty two, when Aaron Rodgers was still 139 00:05:57,400 --> 00:06:01,320 Speaker 3: the quarterback for Greenmay Packers in one season, so it's 140 00:06:01,360 --> 00:06:02,880 Speaker 3: been a while since the Packers have actually thrown for 141 00:06:02,880 --> 00:06:04,960 Speaker 3: three hundred yards in a game. You're starting to see 142 00:06:05,120 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 3: these offensive pieces click a little bit more. You mentioned 143 00:06:07,560 --> 00:06:10,400 Speaker 3: Jayden Reid. I love Jayden Reid's receiving props in this 144 00:06:10,440 --> 00:06:12,200 Speaker 3: game of like the over. He's the number one receiver 145 00:06:12,279 --> 00:06:14,920 Speaker 3: on the Packers, like I'm convinced, like Christian Watson, get 146 00:06:14,920 --> 00:06:18,840 Speaker 3: out doubt, like it's Jayden Reid and again hate to 147 00:06:18,920 --> 00:06:21,200 Speaker 3: drive down Narrow Street, but Joe, we got to buckle 148 00:06:21,200 --> 00:06:24,600 Speaker 3: in here. It's a homecoming game for Jaydan Reid, Michigan 149 00:06:24,680 --> 00:06:28,080 Speaker 3: State product went to Wistern, Michigan as well, So I 150 00:06:28,080 --> 00:06:30,640 Speaker 3: think Jayden Reid is going to have a massive game here. 151 00:06:30,760 --> 00:06:33,479 Speaker 3: Heavily involved as both a rusher and a receiver. And 152 00:06:33,520 --> 00:06:36,240 Speaker 3: we know that the Lions what are they worst against 153 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:39,240 Speaker 3: slot wide receivers, and that's where Jade Reid plays the 154 00:06:39,240 --> 00:06:41,280 Speaker 3: most of his snaps. So if it's going to be 155 00:06:41,360 --> 00:06:43,680 Speaker 3: keeping pace, it's gonna be due to explosive plays on offense. 156 00:06:43,720 --> 00:06:45,400 Speaker 3: But that's the one reason why I think the Lions 157 00:06:45,440 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 3: can just come away with a touchdown plus lead here 158 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,680 Speaker 3: when you will get Detroit has done defensively. They've been 159 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:52,320 Speaker 3: one of the best teams in terms of allowing the 160 00:06:52,400 --> 00:06:57,760 Speaker 3: least explosive plays on defense. Last week, the Packers had 161 00:06:58,000 --> 00:07:01,560 Speaker 3: three touchdowns of twenty plus yards. Three they may not 162 00:07:01,600 --> 00:07:02,360 Speaker 3: get won this game. 163 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:06,080 Speaker 1: Well, look more on Jayden Reid later on. Let's get 164 00:07:06,080 --> 00:07:09,160 Speaker 1: to the next game here. Dallas will host the Washington Commanders. 165 00:07:09,160 --> 00:07:11,080 Speaker 1: The number for this one is forty eight and a half. 166 00:07:11,160 --> 00:07:13,360 Speaker 1: He can get that over on FanDuel at minus one ten. 167 00:07:14,120 --> 00:07:17,160 Speaker 1: You've got the plus eleven at minus one nine at 168 00:07:17,160 --> 00:07:19,240 Speaker 1: sugar House for the Commanders, in the minus ten and 169 00:07:19,280 --> 00:07:22,000 Speaker 1: a half at minus one twelve on FanDuel if you 170 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 1: like the Washington Commanders for the upset special in the 171 00:07:25,600 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: middle of Thanksgiving dinner for most people, it's plus four 172 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:30,240 Speaker 1: fifty on the money line at Points Bett. 173 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 2: Now I do not. 174 00:07:32,560 --> 00:07:34,200 Speaker 1: I guess my reasoning is this, at the end of 175 00:07:34,200 --> 00:07:36,520 Speaker 1: the day, it's a big number. I think Dallas handles 176 00:07:36,520 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 1: their business. They are at home. They have been good 177 00:07:38,520 --> 00:07:40,120 Speaker 1: at home. I know you pointed out to me earlier 178 00:07:40,120 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 1: and we were just talking that you know, their competition 179 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:44,520 Speaker 1: at home is not exactly been world beating. But I 180 00:07:44,560 --> 00:07:47,800 Speaker 1: will say this, I understand the fear because the Jekylin 181 00:07:47,880 --> 00:07:50,240 Speaker 1: Howell factor, where he shows up in games he shouldn't 182 00:07:50,440 --> 00:07:52,400 Speaker 1: and then he loses to the New York Giants. 183 00:07:52,440 --> 00:07:53,000 Speaker 2: Like I get that. 184 00:07:53,040 --> 00:07:55,360 Speaker 1: I understand all of that makes sense, but I think 185 00:07:55,400 --> 00:07:58,640 Speaker 1: the mistakes that Howell still continues to make is really 186 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:00,520 Speaker 1: going to plague him in this game. That's why I 187 00:08:00,520 --> 00:08:02,560 Speaker 1: think at the end of the day you get probably 188 00:08:02,600 --> 00:08:05,640 Speaker 1: a defensive touchdown by the Cowboys, not to mention that 189 00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:08,040 Speaker 1: offensive onslought. I just don't think they can keep pace 190 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:10,160 Speaker 1: at the end of the day with the Dallas Cowboys, 191 00:08:10,160 --> 00:08:12,680 Speaker 1: who came off a little sluggish game last week. So 192 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:14,520 Speaker 1: I am actually comfortable with this number. 193 00:08:14,880 --> 00:08:16,400 Speaker 2: This is where I like it. The ten and a 194 00:08:16,440 --> 00:08:17,040 Speaker 2: half is fine. 195 00:08:17,080 --> 00:08:18,840 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna win this game by two touchdowns 196 00:08:18,840 --> 00:08:21,200 Speaker 1: at the end of the day. But Andrew Rickson might 197 00:08:21,240 --> 00:08:23,840 Speaker 1: have some other feelings, So Ericson, take us through your 198 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:26,200 Speaker 1: thoughts on Commander's Cowboys. 199 00:08:27,240 --> 00:08:29,280 Speaker 3: Well, I think the thing to point out is, again 200 00:08:29,320 --> 00:08:31,000 Speaker 3: you talked about how goo Dallas has been at home 201 00:08:31,280 --> 00:08:34,280 Speaker 3: and the fact that they played you know, the Jets, Giants, Patriots, 202 00:08:34,320 --> 00:08:37,440 Speaker 3: a bunch of teams that are really really bad. Commanders 203 00:08:37,440 --> 00:08:39,480 Speaker 3: are not that team. Like the Commanders can put up 204 00:08:39,480 --> 00:08:41,840 Speaker 3: points on offense, their team that's not afraid to go 205 00:08:41,920 --> 00:08:44,360 Speaker 3: to toe. We sell them go to toe twice with 206 00:08:44,360 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 3: the Philadelphia Eagles, and what you're telling me is like, Oh, 207 00:08:46,920 --> 00:08:48,640 Speaker 3: he's gonna turn the ball over, he's gonna take sacks, 208 00:08:48,640 --> 00:08:51,559 Speaker 3: like the Eagles defense is gonna terrorize him. That didn't 209 00:08:51,600 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 3: happen in either of the games he played against them. 210 00:08:54,040 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 3: So with a similar matchup, I think on paper, with Dallas' defense, 211 00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:01,959 Speaker 3: you know, why not bet plus eleven for the Commanders 212 00:09:01,960 --> 00:09:04,720 Speaker 3: on a team that they will not fold over because 213 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:06,280 Speaker 3: they'll continue to throw the football. And how do you 214 00:09:06,280 --> 00:09:07,600 Speaker 3: get back in games? How do you score points on 215 00:09:07,640 --> 00:09:10,000 Speaker 3: offense by throwing the football so they can be down 216 00:09:10,000 --> 00:09:12,360 Speaker 3: by two touchdowns? You have Sam Howell chuck and balls 217 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:15,400 Speaker 3: deep to Daryn McLaurin and Johan Dotson making it really 218 00:09:15,400 --> 00:09:19,040 Speaker 3: tough for me to back Dallas in this spot with 219 00:09:19,080 --> 00:09:22,280 Speaker 3: so many points. And we just look at what this 220 00:09:22,320 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 3: Howl team has done on the road as underdogs five 221 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,959 Speaker 3: and zero against the spread. They're perfect. They always get 222 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:30,720 Speaker 3: doubted on the road. Nobody wants to bet on them. 223 00:09:30,760 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 3: And then what do they do? They cover because they 224 00:09:32,760 --> 00:09:34,160 Speaker 3: throw the ball a ton and that's the best read 225 00:09:34,240 --> 00:09:36,600 Speaker 3: score points on offense. So that's why I have confidence 226 00:09:36,600 --> 00:09:39,680 Speaker 3: that they can cover eleven points. Yeah, guine Washington. 227 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:41,560 Speaker 1: All right, so we see eyed eye in the over 228 00:09:41,640 --> 00:09:44,320 Speaker 1: in the first game, we are in opposing sides like 229 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:48,520 Speaker 1: most families around Thanksgiving during dinner time. So there you go. 230 00:09:48,640 --> 00:09:50,760 Speaker 1: So that feels just about right. Let's see if we 231 00:09:50,800 --> 00:09:53,320 Speaker 1: can bring it all home for these last two games. 232 00:09:53,679 --> 00:09:58,240 Speaker 1: The nightcap San Francisco at Seattle. San fran is seven 233 00:09:58,320 --> 00:10:00,440 Speaker 1: and three. They are six and a half points favorites 234 00:10:00,440 --> 00:10:02,280 Speaker 1: in this game on Caesars minus one ten. That's the 235 00:10:02,280 --> 00:10:04,520 Speaker 1: best number you can get Seattle if you like them. 236 00:10:04,520 --> 00:10:07,680 Speaker 1: It's plus seven minus one ten on points bet forty 237 00:10:07,720 --> 00:10:09,680 Speaker 1: three is the number for the over at minus one 238 00:10:09,760 --> 00:10:12,320 Speaker 1: ten at bet MGM forty three and a half minus 239 00:10:12,320 --> 00:10:14,680 Speaker 1: one fourteen at FanDuel, and then the best number on 240 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:16,720 Speaker 1: the money line for Seattle is plus two to forty 241 00:10:16,720 --> 00:10:19,680 Speaker 1: five over on FanDuel as well. I'm gonna keep this 242 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:22,040 Speaker 1: one simple. Gino Smith's health was in question. It looks 243 00:10:22,040 --> 00:10:24,400 Speaker 1: like he's going to try to play. Can he make 244 00:10:24,440 --> 00:10:29,440 Speaker 1: it through this game healthy and standing upright between Chase Young. 245 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:33,200 Speaker 2: And Nick Bosa and that ferocious pass rush? I say no. 246 00:10:33,840 --> 00:10:35,880 Speaker 1: In fact, I'd be looking for all the sack props 247 00:10:35,880 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 1: I could possibly get with a bunch of those guys 248 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 1: with Young with arms at all of them. I would 249 00:10:39,720 --> 00:10:42,320 Speaker 1: be looking Bosa as well. Those numbers are still kind 250 00:10:42,320 --> 00:10:44,800 Speaker 1: of filtering in here as we're recording this. I know 251 00:10:44,920 --> 00:10:47,640 Speaker 1: DraftKings has some up already, but to me, I think 252 00:10:47,679 --> 00:10:49,280 Speaker 1: this is a comfortable one for the forty nine ers. 253 00:10:49,320 --> 00:10:49,920 Speaker 2: I really do. 254 00:10:50,000 --> 00:10:53,000 Speaker 1: I don't see Geno making it through this entire game unfortunately. 255 00:10:53,800 --> 00:10:57,000 Speaker 1: I just think that pass rush is really formidable right now. 256 00:10:57,200 --> 00:10:59,600 Speaker 1: They are causing havoc these last two games together. You 257 00:10:59,679 --> 00:11:01,880 Speaker 1: saw with Baker Mayfield, you saw it with Trevor Lawrence, 258 00:11:02,080 --> 00:11:03,640 Speaker 1: and I think you're gonna see it again here and 259 00:11:03,679 --> 00:11:06,160 Speaker 1: that's gonna be a problem for the Seattle Seahawks offense 260 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:09,000 Speaker 1: and Brock Party looks like a new man since the bye. 261 00:11:09,080 --> 00:11:11,480 Speaker 1: He collected his thoughts and his feelings, and all of 262 00:11:11,520 --> 00:11:14,000 Speaker 1: a sudden, now he is back to being the Brock 263 00:11:14,040 --> 00:11:16,520 Speaker 1: Party everybody was very excited about in the first month 264 00:11:16,600 --> 00:11:18,200 Speaker 1: or so of the season. So Eric, sim what do 265 00:11:18,200 --> 00:11:19,679 Speaker 1: you think I'm taking the forty nine ers and the 266 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:20,240 Speaker 1: six and a half? 267 00:11:20,240 --> 00:11:20,760 Speaker 2: What do you like? 268 00:11:21,920 --> 00:11:23,240 Speaker 3: Yeah? I like the forty niners and six and a 269 00:11:23,240 --> 00:11:25,960 Speaker 3: half something I bet early on in the week, you know, 270 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:27,559 Speaker 3: as the lines get first release, I always trying to 271 00:11:27,600 --> 00:11:29,680 Speaker 3: see if there's anything that stick out to me. And 272 00:11:29,800 --> 00:11:31,760 Speaker 3: six and a half to me, was like this four 273 00:11:31,800 --> 00:11:35,200 Speaker 3: and IROs offense is just an absolute juggernaut. And the 274 00:11:35,280 --> 00:11:38,440 Speaker 3: issue with Seattle is even though they're at home, they 275 00:11:38,440 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 3: can't score in the red zone, like and that's gonna 276 00:11:40,920 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 3: make it so hard for them to go toe to 277 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:45,240 Speaker 3: toe with a team that consistently is putting up points 278 00:11:45,280 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 3: wherever they are on the field, like the forty Iris 279 00:11:47,320 --> 00:11:49,640 Speaker 3: can score wherever they are, and they just have so 280 00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:53,240 Speaker 3: many weapons. When they're healthy, they're unstoppable, Like we've seen 281 00:11:53,240 --> 00:11:55,320 Speaker 3: that every game that they've all been active. With Deebo 282 00:11:55,679 --> 00:11:58,439 Speaker 3: and Trent Williams, George Kittle, Like, this team can't be stopped, 283 00:11:58,600 --> 00:12:01,480 Speaker 3: and when they had that it was because they had injuries. 284 00:12:01,640 --> 00:12:04,520 Speaker 3: So really like outside of someone getting hurt in this game, 285 00:12:04,880 --> 00:12:06,839 Speaker 3: where the Ford Niners are entering much healthier than the 286 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:09,680 Speaker 3: Seattle Seahawks are, I mean, I think you have to 287 00:12:09,720 --> 00:12:12,000 Speaker 3: back the forty Niners six and at six and a half, 288 00:12:12,160 --> 00:12:14,440 Speaker 3: even on the road. I mean, we saw them march 289 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 3: into Seattle last year. Rock Party was the quarterback and 290 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:20,560 Speaker 3: they won outright by eight points, so I would say too, 291 00:12:20,600 --> 00:12:22,680 Speaker 3: I do like the under in this game as well. Again, 292 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 3: Primetime Unders have obviously been cashing left and right, so 293 00:12:25,160 --> 00:12:26,800 Speaker 3: I think there's a narrative there that you can kind 294 00:12:26,800 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 3: of back. And the fact that you know, if Gino 295 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,319 Speaker 3: Smith is limited, there's gonna be no ken Walker. No 296 00:12:31,480 --> 00:12:33,800 Speaker 3: ken Walker again, you he's running back, it's like, oh, 297 00:12:33,800 --> 00:12:35,880 Speaker 3: it doesn't really matter, Andrew, and it's like, well, when 298 00:12:35,880 --> 00:12:37,560 Speaker 3: you're ken Walker and he can score from anywhere on 299 00:12:37,559 --> 00:12:39,600 Speaker 3: the field, like, yeah, it does matter for the total 300 00:12:39,600 --> 00:12:42,640 Speaker 3: points that are scored in the game. So Seattle they 301 00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,320 Speaker 3: have to play defense, try to keep this game close. 302 00:12:44,400 --> 00:12:46,839 Speaker 3: But it's just a numbers game where the forty Niners 303 00:12:46,880 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 3: have so many ways that can attack you that even 304 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:51,280 Speaker 3: though Seattle's defense has been better, you know, they haven't 305 00:12:51,320 --> 00:12:53,120 Speaker 3: allowed They've a lot fewer than tw hundred fifty passing 306 00:12:53,160 --> 00:12:55,480 Speaker 3: ers than six of the last seven games. They just 307 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:57,640 Speaker 3: don't have enough guys to cover all the forty nine 308 00:12:57,679 --> 00:13:01,040 Speaker 3: ers offensive weapons. Because I mean from Caffreid Kittle to 309 00:13:01,040 --> 00:13:03,040 Speaker 3: Samuel Taiug Like, how many of these guys would beat 310 00:13:03,040 --> 00:13:06,320 Speaker 3: like the Patriots, right, Like any of these guys would 311 00:13:06,320 --> 00:13:08,520 Speaker 3: be the number one that would get every single time. 312 00:13:08,600 --> 00:13:11,480 Speaker 2: As around the holidays. Why are you doing this? I 313 00:13:11,600 --> 00:13:12,480 Speaker 2: understand why you're doing this. 314 00:13:12,559 --> 00:13:14,840 Speaker 3: No, because we're gonna be getting Mike Rabwell's head coaching. 315 00:13:14,920 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 3: So that's that's what we got. 316 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:18,960 Speaker 1: I asked Santa Claus for I put it on my 317 00:13:19,040 --> 00:13:20,760 Speaker 1: list already. It's the first thing I wrote. 318 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:21,199 Speaker 2: All right. 319 00:13:21,240 --> 00:13:23,800 Speaker 1: The last game here for the Holiday Special is a 320 00:13:23,800 --> 00:13:27,760 Speaker 1: bonus game, something we've never had before, the Black Friday Game. 321 00:13:27,800 --> 00:13:28,960 Speaker 2: So new traditions here. 322 00:13:29,040 --> 00:13:30,840 Speaker 1: And you know how the NFL was really hoping they'd 323 00:13:30,920 --> 00:13:33,120 Speaker 1: get a lot of Aaron Rodgers. Well, we're not gonna 324 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:34,880 Speaker 1: get Aaron Rodgers in this game. We're gonna get Tim 325 00:13:34,920 --> 00:13:37,800 Speaker 1: Boyle in this game, anything but Zach Wilson. At this point, 326 00:13:38,000 --> 00:13:41,040 Speaker 1: the number right now for the Jets Dolphins, you're getting 327 00:13:41,080 --> 00:13:43,320 Speaker 1: minus nine and a half on the Miami side, minus 328 00:13:43,320 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 1: one ten at points Bet. You're getting plus ten at 329 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:48,640 Speaker 1: minus one ten at bet MGM on the Jets. Forty 330 00:13:48,679 --> 00:13:51,320 Speaker 1: one is this number of consensus on FanDuel minus one ten. 331 00:13:51,360 --> 00:13:54,800 Speaker 1: And then the best value is the Jets to somehow 332 00:13:55,080 --> 00:13:57,280 Speaker 1: squeak out of victory in this game at plus four 333 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,280 Speaker 1: hundred on fando I mean that is a huge number. 334 00:13:59,880 --> 00:14:02,880 Speaker 1: And sometimes Andrew, you know, you look at things, you 335 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:04,720 Speaker 1: just go, I don't love this game. 336 00:14:04,760 --> 00:14:05,320 Speaker 2: I don't love it. 337 00:14:05,400 --> 00:14:08,959 Speaker 1: I'm just looking at value, the values on the Jets 338 00:14:09,000 --> 00:14:11,440 Speaker 1: money line. Now, I'm not saying you should be aggressive 339 00:14:11,480 --> 00:14:14,520 Speaker 1: on it. I'm saying a small unit brings you four 340 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,480 Speaker 1: x value. That's the way I play this game. I 341 00:14:17,559 --> 00:14:21,880 Speaker 1: play Professor Chaos here from South Park. Butters famously, you know, 342 00:14:22,000 --> 00:14:24,920 Speaker 1: would be laughing all the way to the bank potentially 343 00:14:24,960 --> 00:14:28,480 Speaker 1: on this one. But to me, the Dolphins continue to 344 00:14:28,520 --> 00:14:30,880 Speaker 1: be a strange enigma of a football team. They are 345 00:14:31,280 --> 00:14:34,320 Speaker 1: much better than the Jets in terms of offense, but 346 00:14:34,440 --> 00:14:37,160 Speaker 1: sometimes it feels like maybe they get too cute, maybe 347 00:14:37,160 --> 00:14:39,160 Speaker 1: they can't execute some of these injuries that are catching 348 00:14:39,200 --> 00:14:42,480 Speaker 1: up with them too. The Dolphins should absolutely win this game, 349 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:45,800 Speaker 1: they should win it handily in all theory. But I 350 00:14:45,800 --> 00:14:47,760 Speaker 1: think the only value from a wagering standpoints to bet 351 00:14:47,800 --> 00:14:49,720 Speaker 1: the Jets or stay away. That's my feeling on it. 352 00:14:49,760 --> 00:14:52,360 Speaker 1: I haven't decided what I'm gonna do. It depends on 353 00:14:52,520 --> 00:14:57,040 Speaker 1: how just how much pie I have on Thursday night 354 00:14:57,240 --> 00:14:59,600 Speaker 1: and how I feel Friday morning. Your thoughts here on 355 00:14:59,640 --> 00:15:03,440 Speaker 1: this test between the Jets and Dolphins. 356 00:15:03,240 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 3: Well, you know, I thought I was gonna be coming 357 00:15:04,920 --> 00:15:07,080 Speaker 3: on here bold and backing the Jets at plus ten. 358 00:15:07,320 --> 00:15:09,520 Speaker 3: But the fact that you're bringing up Jets money, I mean, 359 00:15:09,720 --> 00:15:11,400 Speaker 3: I'm glad that you're kind of seeing it. 360 00:15:11,400 --> 00:15:12,000 Speaker 2: It's the value. 361 00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:13,920 Speaker 1: The value is to go four x on a small 362 00:15:14,000 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 1: unit and say, here you go, instead of mucking around 363 00:15:16,800 --> 00:15:19,160 Speaker 1: with well, maybe we get this margin of victory and 364 00:15:19,160 --> 00:15:20,920 Speaker 1: maybe they keep it close to screw that. If it's 365 00:15:20,920 --> 00:15:24,640 Speaker 1: gonna be close, try to get some good holiday shopping 366 00:15:24,680 --> 00:15:26,680 Speaker 1: done by your kids and presents or something like. 367 00:15:26,680 --> 00:15:29,160 Speaker 3: That's what you gotta do here, because you're gonna spend 368 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:30,840 Speaker 3: a lot of money before the game anyway, So you 369 00:15:30,880 --> 00:15:32,600 Speaker 3: got to get it back after you be buying a 370 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:35,560 Speaker 3: bunch of Nintendo switches and xboxes and PlayStations that you 371 00:15:35,600 --> 00:15:37,840 Speaker 3: bought at four o'clock in the morning, you're gonna wake 372 00:15:37,920 --> 00:15:40,080 Speaker 3: up right around game time three pm Eastern and be like, 373 00:15:40,320 --> 00:15:43,720 Speaker 3: all right, gang Green Baby, let's go. So I guess 374 00:15:43,760 --> 00:15:46,360 Speaker 3: for me, like Tim Boyle is obviously drying the start. 375 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:48,720 Speaker 3: He was two and three against the spread two years 376 00:15:48,720 --> 00:15:51,400 Speaker 3: ago as the Lions starting quarterback, filling in for an 377 00:15:51,440 --> 00:15:53,840 Speaker 3: injured Jared Goff. So I think he's kind of underrated. 378 00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:56,880 Speaker 3: And I don't know the fact that the Jets got 379 00:15:56,960 --> 00:15:58,960 Speaker 3: rid of Zach Wilson, Like isn't this going to be 380 00:15:59,160 --> 00:16:02,200 Speaker 3: that game where it's like we're free, Well, yeah, we're free. 381 00:16:02,320 --> 00:16:04,280 Speaker 3: Like they're gonna rally around the next guy because we 382 00:16:04,280 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 3: saw this. We see this with coaches and teams all 383 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:08,760 Speaker 3: the time. They get ready did it last year. 384 00:16:09,400 --> 00:16:11,920 Speaker 1: Let's not like they did it they would my Kingdom 385 00:16:11,960 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: for Mike White. If I'm a Jet fan this year. 386 00:16:14,120 --> 00:16:15,600 Speaker 1: And you know, we talked about one of these games 387 00:16:15,640 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 1: in the holiday it was go Sideways. Maybe it's not 388 00:16:18,240 --> 00:16:21,640 Speaker 1: the three on Thursday. Perhaps it's this one on Friday 389 00:16:21,680 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 1: that goes so sideways that nobody saw coming. 390 00:16:24,080 --> 00:16:26,240 Speaker 2: I think this might be the sideways game of all four. 391 00:16:27,000 --> 00:16:29,240 Speaker 3: Well, I think especially too. It's like, because you're gonna 392 00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:30,640 Speaker 3: know what happens in the Thursday games. So if we 393 00:16:30,680 --> 00:16:33,160 Speaker 3: get like chalk chalk talk the first three games, it's like, 394 00:16:33,560 --> 00:16:38,560 Speaker 3: you know that was gonna Jets money line. 395 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:41,680 Speaker 1: But all right, everybody, before we get going, don't forget 396 00:16:42,160 --> 00:16:44,880 Speaker 1: to make all of your picks count. Go join our 397 00:16:45,000 --> 00:16:49,480 Speaker 1: NFL contest over on Betting prosagain Betting Pros dot com 398 00:16:49,560 --> 00:16:52,960 Speaker 1: Slash NFL contest. We're giving away at Jackson Smith in Jigba, Jersey. 399 00:16:53,080 --> 00:16:57,600 Speaker 1: We're doing weekly prizes for upgrades UH and UH swag 400 00:16:57,680 --> 00:17:01,280 Speaker 1: to our shop. Monthly prizes as well, so the monthly 401 00:17:01,280 --> 00:17:03,360 Speaker 1: prize is an upgrade to Fantasy Pros and Betting Pros 402 00:17:03,400 --> 00:17:06,920 Speaker 1: Premium weekly prizes. We're doing gift cards for our shop. 403 00:17:07,000 --> 00:17:10,440 Speaker 1: It's the holidays. Get somebody nice Betting Pros hat, sweatshirt, 404 00:17:10,480 --> 00:17:13,000 Speaker 1: something like that, or get it for yourself. Also, don't forget. 405 00:17:13,000 --> 00:17:14,719 Speaker 1: If you're watching us on YouTube and I know you are, 406 00:17:15,320 --> 00:17:18,040 Speaker 1: drop the comments below, subscribe to the channel. You just 407 00:17:18,119 --> 00:17:21,119 Speaker 1: might win a one year free premium upgrade just for 408 00:17:21,200 --> 00:17:23,000 Speaker 1: doing that. Don't forget to ring that belt that goes 409 00:17:23,040 --> 00:17:25,000 Speaker 1: ding for notifications, you know every time a piece of 410 00:17:25,000 --> 00:17:28,200 Speaker 1: content drops here on the channel. But again, subscribe to 411 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:30,520 Speaker 1: the channel. We've got the NBA Show going on right 412 00:17:30,560 --> 00:17:33,720 Speaker 1: now to every Wednesday and Friday eleven am Eastern Live, 413 00:17:33,800 --> 00:17:36,520 Speaker 1: so we are full service all sports, all the time. 414 00:17:36,640 --> 00:17:39,480 Speaker 2: Over on BP. We're gonna do Lightning Round. 415 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:41,239 Speaker 1: We're gonna go through Andrew and I are gonna give 416 00:17:41,280 --> 00:17:45,240 Speaker 1: you our five favorite props of the Holiday special and 417 00:17:46,160 --> 00:17:50,360 Speaker 1: maybe the parlay to end all parlays, the Turkey Day Parlay, 418 00:17:50,560 --> 00:17:52,560 Speaker 1: at the end of the show. So let's go rapid fire. 419 00:17:52,600 --> 00:17:55,800 Speaker 1: I'll kick things off here. I'll start with Dak Prescott 420 00:17:55,800 --> 00:17:58,400 Speaker 1: two hundred and sixty and a half passing yards. I'm 421 00:17:58,400 --> 00:17:59,879 Speaker 1: taking the over minus one ten. 422 00:18:00,080 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 2: Then fan duel. 423 00:18:01,560 --> 00:18:04,040 Speaker 1: To Andrew's point, I think Howell could make things interesting 424 00:18:04,080 --> 00:18:06,680 Speaker 1: at times, but look, he has crushed this number the 425 00:18:06,760 --> 00:18:09,000 Speaker 1: last few games. He's gone well over three hundred and 426 00:18:09,080 --> 00:18:11,200 Speaker 1: many of them. I don't think much of the Commander's defense. 427 00:18:11,520 --> 00:18:13,520 Speaker 1: I think the two sixty and a half is a 428 00:18:13,600 --> 00:18:16,679 Speaker 1: very comfortable number. The juice is just about right minus 429 00:18:16,720 --> 00:18:19,240 Speaker 1: one fourteen. You can take the Cowboys on the money line, 430 00:18:19,240 --> 00:18:21,280 Speaker 1: pair it with the Dak number. Maybe you take a 431 00:18:21,320 --> 00:18:23,439 Speaker 1: Ceede Lamb touchdown prop next thing, you know, you got 432 00:18:23,440 --> 00:18:26,680 Speaker 1: a nice little thanksgiving a parlay for the Cowboys if 433 00:18:26,760 --> 00:18:28,760 Speaker 1: you are one to do that, So give me Dak Prescott. 434 00:18:28,800 --> 00:18:31,680 Speaker 1: What do you have Andrew Rickson number one on your list? 435 00:18:32,040 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 3: Look, Brandon Cooks, I want to parlay your Dallas Cowboys 436 00:18:35,800 --> 00:18:38,440 Speaker 3: Dak Prescott passing yards over with Brandon Cooks. Who's receiving 437 00:18:38,520 --> 00:18:41,640 Speaker 3: yards prop is at thirty four and a half yards. 438 00:18:41,920 --> 00:18:44,560 Speaker 3: I was like, what, why, why is it? He's playing 439 00:18:44,560 --> 00:18:47,560 Speaker 3: the Commanders right, Like he didn't change teams, Like he 440 00:18:47,600 --> 00:18:49,440 Speaker 3: didn't get traded again, right, I know he gets traded 441 00:18:49,480 --> 00:18:51,440 Speaker 3: a lot, but thirty four and a half. He's gone 442 00:18:51,440 --> 00:18:53,800 Speaker 3: over this in the last four games, like over over, 443 00:18:53,840 --> 00:18:56,760 Speaker 3: over over, because we've seen Dallas dial up this high 444 00:18:56,840 --> 00:18:59,879 Speaker 3: hawk Dane passing attack, and why would he not go 445 00:19:00,000 --> 00:19:02,640 Speaker 3: continue it against the Commanders, who are the worst pass 446 00:19:02,680 --> 00:19:06,159 Speaker 3: defense in the NFL, especially allowing explosive plays. Looking at 447 00:19:06,200 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 3: how they're using Cooks. He has fourteen targets of ten 448 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:11,560 Speaker 3: plus air yards over the last four games. Caught ten 449 00:19:11,600 --> 00:19:14,520 Speaker 3: passes for two hundred and thirty two receiving yards, So yes, 450 00:19:14,600 --> 00:19:16,959 Speaker 3: Lam's gonna get his, but I think there's gonna be 451 00:19:17,160 --> 00:19:19,720 Speaker 3: way more enough for Brandon Cooks to get involved, to 452 00:19:19,720 --> 00:19:22,959 Speaker 3: get forty receiving yards thirty five receiving yards in this matchup, 453 00:19:23,000 --> 00:19:23,960 Speaker 3: So I like the Cooks over. 454 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:24,720 Speaker 2: Get that on one play. 455 00:19:24,720 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 1: Probably Brock party over two fifty three and a half 456 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:30,400 Speaker 1: passing yards minus one fifteen over on DraftKings is another 457 00:19:30,400 --> 00:19:32,679 Speaker 1: one for me. Look, Purty out of the bye has 458 00:19:32,680 --> 00:19:35,480 Speaker 1: been really good. Two ninety six, three thirty three before 459 00:19:35,520 --> 00:19:37,840 Speaker 1: the bye, even against Cincinnati he was up to three 460 00:19:38,000 --> 00:19:40,399 Speaker 1: sixty five. The Seattle defense, I think is going to 461 00:19:40,400 --> 00:19:42,840 Speaker 1: have a hard time stopping that forty nine er attack. 462 00:19:42,880 --> 00:19:44,640 Speaker 1: So give me this two fifty three and a half 463 00:19:44,680 --> 00:19:46,359 Speaker 1: passing yards for Brock. 464 00:19:46,960 --> 00:19:48,639 Speaker 2: Let's go back to you, Andrew. What do you have 465 00:19:48,720 --> 00:19:51,159 Speaker 2: next on your list for props for the Thanksgiving special? 466 00:19:51,520 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 3: So going to the Lions game. I love the Lions, 467 00:19:53,440 --> 00:19:55,720 Speaker 3: love them minus seven and a half. But the thing 468 00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:57,399 Speaker 3: I want to look at is Jared Goff and his 469 00:19:57,520 --> 00:20:00,880 Speaker 3: passing props, specifically looking at passing attempts. So the Packers 470 00:20:00,880 --> 00:20:03,040 Speaker 3: are this defense that everyone wants to run on, Like 471 00:20:03,200 --> 00:20:05,480 Speaker 3: every team dials up the running game. Even last week 472 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:07,400 Speaker 3: we saw the Chargers are running the ball against them. 473 00:20:07,640 --> 00:20:09,760 Speaker 3: They're so bad against the run that teams don't throw 474 00:20:09,800 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 3: a lot on them. So, the last five quarterbacks that 475 00:20:11,840 --> 00:20:13,840 Speaker 3: have played the Green Bay Packers finished under their projected 476 00:20:13,880 --> 00:20:17,080 Speaker 3: passing yards and passing attempts props. They're facing just thirty 477 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:18,879 Speaker 3: one passing attempts per game, which is the sixth to 478 00:20:18,880 --> 00:20:21,680 Speaker 3: lowest mark in the NFL, so golf thirty three and 479 00:20:21,720 --> 00:20:23,239 Speaker 3: a half pass camps. I think he's gonna be come 480 00:20:23,320 --> 00:20:26,040 Speaker 3: under this because we're gonna see like twenty touches for 481 00:20:26,160 --> 00:20:30,360 Speaker 3: Dave Montgomery and potentially Gibbs against this atrocious run defense 482 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:32,520 Speaker 3: that the Packers have. So I don't think you're gonna 483 00:20:32,520 --> 00:20:35,199 Speaker 3: see a lot of Jared Goff dropbacks, in particular, a 484 00:20:35,200 --> 00:20:36,920 Speaker 3: lot more rushing from the running backs. So I'm gonna 485 00:20:36,920 --> 00:20:38,600 Speaker 3: take the under out his passing attempts. 486 00:20:38,280 --> 00:20:39,600 Speaker 2: Number three on my list. 487 00:20:40,040 --> 00:20:42,399 Speaker 1: I see Sam Howell running a lot, running for his 488 00:20:42,520 --> 00:20:45,480 Speaker 1: life away from Micah Parsons, who's going to be hungry things. 489 00:20:47,359 --> 00:20:50,560 Speaker 1: He is going to be hungry this Thanksgiving. There you go, 490 00:20:50,720 --> 00:20:52,960 Speaker 1: I got it. Out I said it. It sounded cool 491 00:20:52,960 --> 00:20:54,920 Speaker 1: in my head, and it just did not sound cool 492 00:20:54,960 --> 00:20:57,280 Speaker 1: when I said it. But regardless, Sam howl is a 493 00:20:57,320 --> 00:20:59,000 Speaker 1: small number of the over the fifteen and a half 494 00:20:59,080 --> 00:21:03,040 Speaker 1: rushing yards minus won twenty over on DraftKings. To me, 495 00:21:03,160 --> 00:21:04,720 Speaker 1: this is an easy one. He's gone over this the 496 00:21:04,760 --> 00:21:07,040 Speaker 1: last three weeks in a row, and I think whenever 497 00:21:07,080 --> 00:21:08,639 Speaker 1: you have that pass rush there and he's gonna be 498 00:21:08,680 --> 00:21:10,879 Speaker 1: running around trying to get loose, he gets loose at 499 00:21:10,920 --> 00:21:12,639 Speaker 1: least for one big one. Again, don't look for the 500 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,120 Speaker 1: attempts instead, look for the rushing yards. He could pick 501 00:21:15,119 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 1: this up on one or two rushes. That's all he needs. 502 00:21:17,640 --> 00:21:20,320 Speaker 1: So look for those easy numbers sometimes. And this one 503 00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:21,840 Speaker 1: is a small one. Fifteen and a half. 504 00:21:22,000 --> 00:21:24,159 Speaker 2: Let's go over that one. Eric'son back to you for 505 00:21:24,200 --> 00:21:24,760 Speaker 2: another pick. 506 00:21:25,880 --> 00:21:27,800 Speaker 3: I'm gonna match you. One of my favorites is the 507 00:21:27,800 --> 00:21:29,840 Speaker 3: Sam Howel over on his rushing yards too, fifteen and 508 00:21:29,880 --> 00:21:31,880 Speaker 3: a half rushing yards. Like I talked about Bryce song 509 00:21:31,960 --> 00:21:34,600 Speaker 3: last week, and he had like two rushing attempts on 510 00:21:34,680 --> 00:21:37,119 Speaker 3: the first drive and then it has never ran the 511 00:21:37,160 --> 00:21:39,960 Speaker 3: rest of the game. So I'm not gonna know. I'm 512 00:21:40,000 --> 00:21:42,800 Speaker 3: still following the process. The process was right about betting 513 00:21:42,840 --> 00:21:46,320 Speaker 3: on mobile quarterbacks against the Dallas Cowboys. And if they're 514 00:21:46,320 --> 00:21:49,320 Speaker 3: gonna be dropping back to throw so much, he's gonna 515 00:21:49,359 --> 00:21:52,000 Speaker 3: have opportunities to scramble. So Bryce Soong let me down. 516 00:21:52,320 --> 00:21:55,000 Speaker 3: Sam Howell five and zero as an underdog on the 517 00:21:55,040 --> 00:21:57,360 Speaker 3: road against the spread, he won't let me down. So 518 00:21:57,400 --> 00:22:00,240 Speaker 3: Sam Howe over fifteen a half rushing yards and the commanders. 519 00:21:59,800 --> 00:22:03,320 Speaker 1: To Cust's that's one too far, all right, Let's get 520 00:22:03,359 --> 00:22:07,080 Speaker 1: to another one from my Jayden Reid. Anytime touchdown score, 521 00:22:07,119 --> 00:22:09,119 Speaker 1: you get this number plus two to fifty on fandle 522 00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:11,480 Speaker 1: right now. And Andrew Rickson and I, we did our 523 00:22:11,520 --> 00:22:13,479 Speaker 1: homework and we came together to have this show today. 524 00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:15,359 Speaker 2: He likes Reid. I like Reid. 525 00:22:15,400 --> 00:22:18,120 Speaker 1: That means you should like Jayden Reid because we are 526 00:22:18,359 --> 00:22:22,119 Speaker 1: seeing opportunity for him. Continue to spike with Aaron Jones 527 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:24,480 Speaker 1: out of the lineup again. You want the football in 528 00:22:24,520 --> 00:22:27,080 Speaker 1: certain guys' hands. This is the right hands to put 529 00:22:27,080 --> 00:22:29,120 Speaker 1: it in, and they could be in a situation where 530 00:22:29,119 --> 00:22:30,920 Speaker 1: they're playing from behind. So ree is gonna have many 531 00:22:30,960 --> 00:22:33,800 Speaker 1: opportunities here with Jordan Love, whether he is running the 532 00:22:33,800 --> 00:22:36,520 Speaker 1: football or receiving it. So plus two fifty is a 533 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:38,920 Speaker 1: really nice number in that game. So give me Jayden Reid. 534 00:22:39,200 --> 00:22:40,720 Speaker 2: Back to you ericson what do you have next for 535 00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:41,119 Speaker 2: the people? 536 00:22:42,040 --> 00:22:45,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, Reid's receiving yards prop. I found it when it 537 00:22:45,040 --> 00:22:47,240 Speaker 3: was over on Prize Picks earlier in the week, thirty 538 00:22:47,320 --> 00:22:50,040 Speaker 3: nine and a half. Receiving yards. It's just way too well. 539 00:22:50,080 --> 00:22:51,640 Speaker 3: I mean, he's a number one receiver on this team. 540 00:22:51,960 --> 00:22:53,480 Speaker 3: He led the team in targets in the first half 541 00:22:53,520 --> 00:22:56,199 Speaker 3: of last week. He saw a season high in row participation. 542 00:22:56,640 --> 00:22:58,840 Speaker 3: But Christian Watson's not happening, guys, Like it's just not 543 00:22:58,840 --> 00:23:01,320 Speaker 3: gonna happen. And for some reason, receiving arts prop is 544 00:23:01,400 --> 00:23:03,680 Speaker 3: higher than Jade Reid's at forty five and a half. 545 00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:06,320 Speaker 3: And I'm like, Chris Watson hasn't have that like all season, 546 00:23:06,600 --> 00:23:08,800 Speaker 3: Like come on. So Jayden Reid for me again, talked 547 00:23:08,800 --> 00:23:11,960 Speaker 3: about it being a homecoming Michigan State, Western Michigan Michigan 548 00:23:12,080 --> 00:23:15,720 Speaker 3: product alumni. Massive game for him. I absolutely love his 549 00:23:15,960 --> 00:23:18,199 Speaker 3: touchdown props and the receiving yards props. You gotta bet 550 00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 3: the over on Jayden Reid. 551 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:21,399 Speaker 1: All right, I got a special for everybody on the 552 00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:25,399 Speaker 1: special right here on Fandle, Jordan Love and Brock Purty 553 00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:29,320 Speaker 1: to combine for five hundred and fifty passing yards. You 554 00:23:29,320 --> 00:23:31,920 Speaker 1: can get this at plus two fifty right now over 555 00:23:31,960 --> 00:23:34,879 Speaker 1: on Fandle. This is a nice little number here. I 556 00:23:34,880 --> 00:23:37,360 Speaker 1: think brock Perty can prop up most of this by himself, 557 00:23:37,400 --> 00:23:40,040 Speaker 1: get you into the two ninety ish range. I think 558 00:23:40,040 --> 00:23:42,399 Speaker 1: that's well within reasons. So Jordan Love just has to 559 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 1: be respectable and playing from behind. 560 00:23:45,280 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 2: Can he do that maybe? 561 00:23:47,200 --> 00:23:49,080 Speaker 1: But at plus two to fifty, I think that's a 562 00:23:49,080 --> 00:23:52,760 Speaker 1: really nice little special return. So give me the combo 563 00:23:52,880 --> 00:23:56,440 Speaker 1: on the passing yards plus five hundred and fifty between 564 00:23:56,720 --> 00:23:59,399 Speaker 1: Love and Purty. Erickson, you have one more for the 565 00:23:59,400 --> 00:24:02,119 Speaker 1: people before we get to the parlay of the Turkey Day. 566 00:24:02,640 --> 00:24:04,760 Speaker 3: Yeah, so I just want to comment on your that 567 00:24:04,880 --> 00:24:06,639 Speaker 3: pick there between Jordan Love and Brock Party. You know 568 00:24:06,680 --> 00:24:08,639 Speaker 3: what's gonna happen is is Jordan Love is gonna put 569 00:24:08,680 --> 00:24:11,640 Speaker 3: up a buck fifty, right, but then he's gonna save 570 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:15,159 Speaker 3: yous night with like four hundred yards. 571 00:24:16,000 --> 00:24:17,720 Speaker 1: That'll be the sweat, right, the sweat will be Yeah, 572 00:24:17,720 --> 00:24:19,600 Speaker 1: you one hundred and fifty for Jordan Love, and I'm 573 00:24:19,680 --> 00:24:22,800 Speaker 1: miserable until Sunday at around eleven thirty, and then feel 574 00:24:22,880 --> 00:24:23,200 Speaker 1: good again. 575 00:24:23,280 --> 00:24:27,000 Speaker 3: Get it be kittle, you just run absolutely wild. 576 00:24:26,880 --> 00:24:28,840 Speaker 2: On the flip side. Let's think positively. 577 00:24:29,720 --> 00:24:34,240 Speaker 1: If Jordan Love gets to two fifty or two sixty, Hey, 578 00:24:34,640 --> 00:24:36,800 Speaker 1: all of a sudden, that looks pretty good for me, 579 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:38,200 Speaker 1: Pretty pretty good. 580 00:24:38,359 --> 00:24:41,680 Speaker 3: You're feeling good going into sundaymar Speaking of Sunday night, 581 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:44,720 Speaker 3: I will look at my last prop here. Dk Metcalf 582 00:24:44,880 --> 00:24:48,120 Speaker 3: over fifty nine and a half receiving yards. So he's 583 00:24:48,160 --> 00:24:50,160 Speaker 3: been over this number in two thirds of his games 584 00:24:50,160 --> 00:24:51,639 Speaker 3: played this year. And you look at the forty nine 585 00:24:51,720 --> 00:24:54,919 Speaker 3: ers defense, they just face a ton of passing volume. 586 00:24:54,960 --> 00:24:56,919 Speaker 3: You know you're gonna be missing Ken Walker. I expect 587 00:24:56,920 --> 00:24:58,320 Speaker 3: that the Seahawks are gonna be trailing in this game. 588 00:24:58,320 --> 00:24:59,679 Speaker 3: They're gonna have to throw the ball ton. That's how 589 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:03,040 Speaker 3: teams atack the forty nine Ers. So their defense allowed 590 00:25:03,040 --> 00:25:05,480 Speaker 3: sixty plus receiving yards to eight different wide receivers over 591 00:25:05,520 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 3: the last six games. Seven of ten games, opposing number 592 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,600 Speaker 3: ones have gotten the over on their receiving yard. It's 593 00:25:11,640 --> 00:25:12,919 Speaker 3: prop I think fifty nine and a half is just 594 00:25:13,080 --> 00:25:15,320 Speaker 3: is really low for dk Metcalf, who has ninety plus 595 00:25:15,440 --> 00:25:18,120 Speaker 3: yards and back to back games. They need to rely 596 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:20,440 Speaker 3: on him. With aut ken Walker as their expulsive guy, 597 00:25:20,640 --> 00:25:22,360 Speaker 3: Tyrol Lockett is banged up, he's on the hamp he's 598 00:25:22,359 --> 00:25:24,320 Speaker 3: on the injury report with a hamstring injury every single 599 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,480 Speaker 3: week on a short week, I think Metcalf has to 600 00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,320 Speaker 3: have a big game. Seattle's going to keep this close. 601 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,760 Speaker 3: So I like the over on DK Metcalf and he still. 602 00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:32,359 Speaker 2: Hit that number of Drew Locke as the quarterback for 603 00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:33,720 Speaker 2: the second half of this game. 604 00:25:34,280 --> 00:25:35,000 Speaker 3: I plead the fifth. 605 00:25:35,080 --> 00:25:39,000 Speaker 2: Okay, like Farao Robertson, that's my only concern with that DK. 606 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:40,160 Speaker 3: We can wait on it. 607 00:25:40,240 --> 00:25:41,680 Speaker 2: That's true. Well, you know you can. 608 00:25:41,760 --> 00:25:43,359 Speaker 1: You can you know see how things are going in 609 00:25:43,400 --> 00:25:45,399 Speaker 1: the game. But also you know, that's the fun part 610 00:25:45,440 --> 00:25:46,960 Speaker 1: of the thanks Giving games too, a lot of in 611 00:25:47,040 --> 00:25:49,199 Speaker 1: game live potential betting that you could do. But my 612 00:25:49,359 --> 00:25:51,480 Speaker 1: only concern of any of the Seattle stuff is if 613 00:25:51,520 --> 00:25:55,119 Speaker 1: Gino comes out early of that game, any reaggravation of 614 00:25:55,119 --> 00:25:57,600 Speaker 1: that triceps injury because of that ferocious pass rush I 615 00:25:57,640 --> 00:26:01,040 Speaker 1: talked about before. It's a lot lot to ask potentially 616 00:26:01,080 --> 00:26:03,680 Speaker 1: of Drew Locke. But we shall see, all right, everybody, 617 00:26:03,680 --> 00:26:06,359 Speaker 1: It's what you've been waiting for. It's the Betting Pros 618 00:26:06,480 --> 00:26:10,880 Speaker 1: new tradition, the Turkey Day Parlay, and here's what I've 619 00:26:10,880 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 1: put together for you for Thanksgiving. We're gonna leave that 620 00:26:13,280 --> 00:26:14,240 Speaker 1: Black Friday game out. 621 00:26:14,280 --> 00:26:15,040 Speaker 2: But who knows. 622 00:26:15,040 --> 00:26:16,440 Speaker 1: If you want to get weird and you want to 623 00:26:16,440 --> 00:26:17,879 Speaker 1: put the Jets on the money line in this, you 624 00:26:17,880 --> 00:26:19,320 Speaker 1: can probably win a lot of money. But I don't 625 00:26:19,359 --> 00:26:20,400 Speaker 1: know if I'm that crazy. 626 00:26:20,680 --> 00:26:21,200 Speaker 2: We'll see. 627 00:26:21,200 --> 00:26:24,040 Speaker 1: Maybe after the show, I might just do one for 628 00:26:24,840 --> 00:26:27,760 Speaker 1: a little good time. But here's my favorite three bets. 629 00:26:28,119 --> 00:26:31,960 Speaker 1: The Packers Lions over forty six and a half. Put 630 00:26:31,960 --> 00:26:34,040 Speaker 1: that with the Cowboys at minus ten and a half 631 00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:37,280 Speaker 1: and the forty nine Ers at minus seven over on FanDuel. 632 00:26:37,359 --> 00:26:39,880 Speaker 1: You put them together, you get plus five eighty four 633 00:26:40,280 --> 00:26:43,760 Speaker 1: and that's a fun way to spend the day watching football. 634 00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:46,720 Speaker 1: So obviously you can make sure that you are downloading 635 00:26:46,720 --> 00:26:48,680 Speaker 1: the Betting Pros app, make sure you're staying on top 636 00:26:48,720 --> 00:26:51,520 Speaker 1: of all of the game action here, all the in 637 00:26:51,600 --> 00:26:54,359 Speaker 1: game opportunities you're gonna get, not to mention all of 638 00:26:54,359 --> 00:26:57,359 Speaker 1: the fun you can have all weekend watching football making 639 00:26:57,400 --> 00:26:59,840 Speaker 1: bets here on the channel. Don't forget we're gonna have 640 00:27:00,280 --> 00:27:02,960 Speaker 1: Ericson's prop video still this week. We're gonna have my 641 00:27:03,160 --> 00:27:06,080 Speaker 1: top ten videos going to drop soon as well, so 642 00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,480 Speaker 1: we're gonna have you covered throughout the holidays. Make sure 643 00:27:08,480 --> 00:27:11,320 Speaker 1: you subscribe to the channel, don't forget to drop that 644 00:27:11,400 --> 00:27:14,560 Speaker 1: comment below and of course ring that bell to Lickos 645 00:27:14,600 --> 00:27:17,520 Speaker 1: Dings so you can possibly win yourself a one year 646 00:27:17,560 --> 00:27:20,560 Speaker 1: free premium service of Betting Pros on the app. I 647 00:27:20,640 --> 00:27:23,880 Speaker 1: know you've downloaded it and you're trying it out and 648 00:27:23,960 --> 00:27:26,320 Speaker 1: you are seeing how incredible it is. And if you 649 00:27:26,359 --> 00:27:29,119 Speaker 1: haven't already, don't forget download. 650 00:27:28,760 --> 00:27:30,920 Speaker 2: It on iOS. You get three free days of premium. 651 00:27:31,000 --> 00:27:33,800 Speaker 1: So this is the perfect weekend to be doing that. 652 00:27:33,920 --> 00:27:37,920 Speaker 1: All the football you can possibly handle. Wal to wall football, baby, 653 00:27:37,960 --> 00:27:39,919 Speaker 1: that's what we're doing here on Betting Pros. That'll do 654 00:27:39,960 --> 00:27:41,960 Speaker 1: it for us, But the story of the game goes 655 00:27:42,000 --> 00:27:43,120 Speaker 1: on for Andrew Erickson. 656 00:27:43,160 --> 00:27:43,760 Speaker 2: I'm Joey p. 657 00:27:44,280 --> 00:27:47,480 Speaker 1: I have a great thanksgiving everybody, win some cash and. 658 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:48,760 Speaker 2: We'll see you next time. Kids. 659 00:27:49,119 --> 00:27:51,840 Speaker 4: Thanks for listening to the Betting Pros podcast. If you 660 00:27:51,920 --> 00:27:54,280 Speaker 4: love the show, the best freeway to support us is 661 00:27:54,280 --> 00:27:57,720 Speaker 4: by leaving a positive review on Apple Podcasts or Spotify. 662 00:27:58,040 --> 00:28:00,639 Speaker 4: Follow us on x and TikTok at Betting Pros and 663 00:28:00,760 --> 00:28:04,399 Speaker 4: Instagram at Betting Pros NFL. Also subscribe to our YouTube 664 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,920 Speaker 4: channel at YouTube dot com slash Betting Pros.