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Speaker 1: What's up, guys?

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into a Monday Super Bowl week

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Speaker 2: edition of the Daily Juice podcast.

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Speaker 1: My name is Matt Parolt.

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Speaker 2: You guys can follow me across all socials at Sports

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Speaker 2: Talk Matt after an oh and three night. Yeah, that

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Speaker 2: was bad. Losing week never good. Start off February on

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Speaker 2: the wrong foot, but you know happens. We're gonna have

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Speaker 2: losing days, losing weeks, losing months. Like that's just how

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Speaker 2: this thing goes. I know everyone expects me to win

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Speaker 2: every day. Somebody accused me of deflectioning, deflecting from the

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Speaker 2: OEN three by tweeting about the Grammys. Yeah, guys, I

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Speaker 2: know you get upset when I lose. I get upset

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Speaker 2: when I lose. But we bet every single day, we're

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Speaker 2: gonna have three o days. We're gonna have oh in

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Speaker 2: three days, We're gonna have days where up three units

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Speaker 2: or down three units, or we're gonna be up five

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Speaker 2: or down five. Just what this thing is, guys. Okay,

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Speaker 2: it's the roller coaster. So it's amazing those don't happen

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Speaker 2: when we're winning. I don't get those tweets. I only

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Speaker 2: get those tweets when I lose and I only get

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Speaker 2: those tweets when I'm losing certain games, Like I can

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Speaker 2: tell when people bet with me, like the NBA. You

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Speaker 2: guys like betting the NBA with me, I'd be careful

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Speaker 2: about that. I'm not good at the NBA, at least

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Speaker 2: I haven't been this year.

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Speaker 1: I don't know why.

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Speaker 2: It's just last year I was awesome. This year, I'm awful.

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Speaker 2: I don't know why. Hopefully it'll turn. Hopefully things will

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Speaker 2: even out it normally does. But that bet went to

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Speaker 2: double overtime and the Thunder one by eight. I laid

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Speaker 2: nine and a half. That's just the way things are

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Speaker 2: rolling right now, right and I mean my personal play.

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Speaker 2: Boston won by what forty ye I was on Memphis, Okay,

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Speaker 2: so I went oh in four yesterday. You guys were

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Speaker 2: owing three yesterday. So not not a good day by

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Speaker 2: any means. College basketball was tough. And we're back with

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Speaker 2: two bets in college basketball in one bet in the NHL.

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Speaker 2: Welcome back hockey today, We'll got a good game. Colorado

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Speaker 2: and the Rangers Avalanche Rangers matchup Stanley Cup preview.

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Speaker 1: Potentially, I don't know.

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Speaker 2: Avalanche adds on favorite to win the Cup at most

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Speaker 2: books Rangers not that far off the pace. So we

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Speaker 2: got that game and two big college basketball games to

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Speaker 2: break down. But this podcast being brought to you by

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Speaker 2: Get yourself some steaks, chicken, whatever you need for your

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Speaker 2: big party coming up on Sunday. I'm really mad because

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Speaker 2: my smoker is broken. So I learned a big lesson.

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Speaker 2: I don't know if you guys have smokers. Maybe you

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Speaker 2: have smokers. They can break if you're using a pellet smoker.

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Speaker 2: And there's a lot of rain, so we got a

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Speaker 2: rain storm stormy summer this past summer, and well I

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Speaker 2: have it covered and everything you're supposed to do. But

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Speaker 2: water got in, moisture got in, humidity got into the

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Speaker 2: augur the thing that turns, and it froze, and to

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Speaker 2: fix it was going to be a massive pain in

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Speaker 2: the neck. So I just need to buy a new one.

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Speaker 2: But I need to replace it because I would love

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Speaker 2: to smoke on Sunday.

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Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe I'll do that.

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Speaker 2: Maybe I'll replace it for the super Bowl and come

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Speaker 2: in and smoke some chicken wings and smoke some ribs

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Speaker 2: and smoke some brisket or whatever for the super Bowl

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Speaker 2: because it's here. I am not going to the game,

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Speaker 2: in case you're curious, I am going to Media Nite,

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Speaker 2: however that is tonight. I have no idea what that's

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Speaker 2: going to be like. But I've got a crazy day. Okay,

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Speaker 2: So we're doing BBB from Radio Row one to three.

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Speaker 1: I'm there.

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Speaker 2: Then I'm teaching my class at UNLV and that I'm

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Speaker 2: going to Media Nite. So I have no idea what

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Speaker 2: time the podcast will drop tomorrow night. Just bear with me.

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Speaker 2: It could be late, it might be fast. I don't know.

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Speaker 2: It might be from Radio Row.

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Speaker 1: I don't know.

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Speaker 2: I have no idea what's gonna happen tomorrow but it's

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Speaker 2: a very busy day tomorrow, a very very busy week.

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Speaker 1: Okay, let's start with.

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Speaker 2: Hockey and then we'll get to back college basketball. So

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Speaker 2: it's the Rangers hosting the Colorado Avalanche thirty two, fourteen

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Speaker 2: and three Colorado sixty seven points Rangers thirty sixteen and three.

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Speaker 2: We know it's going to be Georgia up. They have

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Speaker 2: one goaltender for Colorado. Georgia have just played in the

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Speaker 2: All Star Game, so it's not like he was on break.

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Speaker 2: But these two teams haven't played in over a week.

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Speaker 2: The last time the Avalanche played was at home against

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Speaker 2: the La Kings on the twenty sixth of January. Last

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Speaker 2: time the Rangers played was on the road at Ottawa

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Speaker 2: on the twenty seventh of January.

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Speaker 1: It's the fifth of February.

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Speaker 2: Through a long time so both these both these teams

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Speaker 2: should be well rested, but they also might be rusty. Okay,

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Speaker 2: some of the All Stars won't be, but they know

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Speaker 2: they're probably gonna be rusty. The total of six and

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Speaker 2: a half in this game, I don't know which team wins.

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Speaker 2: To be honest, I lean towards the Avalanche, but the

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Speaker 2: Rangers have been tremendous at home at home this year.

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Speaker 2: The Rangers, you know, they give up goals and they

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Speaker 2: score goals. But I'm a little bit suspect to pull

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Speaker 2: any stat out and go like, Okay, let's talk about

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Speaker 2: teams that generally go over, because the Rangers this year

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Speaker 2: have been primarily an over team twenty five, twenty and four.

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Speaker 2: Colorado this year has been an over team twenty nine

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Speaker 2: nineteen in one. When you take a look at the

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Speaker 2: team home games this year for the Rangers, they're twelve

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Speaker 2: eight and two to the over. On the road for

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Speaker 2: Colorado they're fifteen and nine to the over. What am

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Speaker 2: I betting under? Why I think there's gonna be rust here? Okay,

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Speaker 2: I think they need one game to kind of get back.

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Speaker 2: And yes, sloppy goaltending and sloppy play can lead to goals,

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Speaker 2: but I'm gonna lean towards this being sort of like

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Speaker 2: a playoff measuring stick type of game, and I think

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Speaker 2: the Garden will be rocking, and I think we have

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Speaker 2: a chance for one of these two goaltenders.

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Speaker 1: And I'm not sure. We don't know yet who's gonna

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Speaker 1: be in net.

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Speaker 2: It's probably gonna be a striking Egor is probably gonna

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Speaker 2: be Net for the Rangers, but it might be Quick.

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Speaker 2: In fact, I would prefer to be Quick, to be

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Speaker 2: quite honest, because Jonathan Quick has been just I mean,

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Speaker 2: you want to talk about guys who have been really,

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Speaker 2: really impressive for their new team.

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Speaker 1: I mean, look where the Kings are.

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Speaker 2: King just fired their coach over the break, and it

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Speaker 2: has a ton to do with the fact that, well,

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Speaker 2: Quick has been awesome for the Rangers and not great

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Speaker 2: here for and it's expected to be Igor in net.

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Speaker 2: It's gonna be Georgia, expected to be you striking. Maybe

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Speaker 2: we get a break and we get Quick, but probably

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Speaker 2: going to be your striking. But I mean, like, it's

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Speaker 2: not like he's bad. Igor is nineteen twelve and one

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Speaker 2: with a two point eight six goals against average, and

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Speaker 2: IGOR at home this year a little bit of an

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Speaker 2: elevated three goals a game average eight point eight and

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Speaker 2: six record in fourteen games at home. But he did

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Speaker 2: start to play better, you know in December. January wasn't

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Speaker 2: great for him before the All Star break. Maybe he

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Speaker 2: was a little bit tired, but a chance for him

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Speaker 2: to get after it. Look, it could be a three

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Speaker 2: to two win here for the Avalanche and that's fine.

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Speaker 2: Even a four to two win here for the Avalanche

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Speaker 2: and that's fine. Georgiaev has been very, very good this year,

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Speaker 2: again just with the All Star Games, so he has

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Speaker 2: been on the ice, he has played against high level competition.

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Speaker 2: It's not like he's coming in completely and totally cold

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Speaker 2: from this. And so there's a light slate here on

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Speaker 2: two games come out at New York and New York

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Speaker 2: at Toronto. Both these games are being played at seven

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Speaker 2: pm Eastern time. Georgiev has been just awesome. He's eleven

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Speaker 2: twenty seven, eleven and two so far, and on the

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Speaker 2: road this year he's been, you know, not as good

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Speaker 2: as home, but eleven and eight eleven, eight and two

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Speaker 2: with a three point one goals against average. So just

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Speaker 2: need one of these guys three to two, two to two, overtime,

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Speaker 2: three to two.

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Speaker 1: Wins something on those lines.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna go under six and a half Georgiev and

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Speaker 2: the Avalanche. I lean towards them to win their favored

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Speaker 2: but I will take the ring. I'll take the under

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Speaker 2: six and a half for Colorado and New York.

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Speaker 1: Okay. To college basketball, we go.

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Speaker 2: Let's start talking about Kansas State and Kansas You guys

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Speaker 2: are gonna hate this bet.

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Speaker 1: You're really gonna hate this bet.

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Speaker 2: Case Date has lost four games in a row, three

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Speaker 2: to the last four on the road, including their last game.

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Speaker 2: They're coming back home and they're five and a half

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Speaker 2: point dogs. Everyone's gonna be on Kansas. Kansas just shot

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Speaker 2: seventy percent against the number one team defensively in college basketball.

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Speaker 2: That was that fall Allen. I was on Houston. I

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Speaker 2: was wrong. I still don't love Kansas. Massive, massive rivalry

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Speaker 2: game with a team whose backs are against the wall.

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Speaker 2: This is the Sunflower State rivalry game Kansas State Kansas.

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Speaker 2: Kempom has this as a five point win for Kansas.

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Speaker 2: K State is desperate. They are in desperation mode. They

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Speaker 2: lost seventy five seventy two to Oklahoma State on the road.

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Speaker 2: They lost seventy three to fifty three at home to Oklahoma.

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Speaker 2: They lost seventy four to fifty two on the road

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Speaker 2: to Houston. They lost seventy eight to sixty seven on

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Speaker 2: the road to Iowa State. We were on k State

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Speaker 2: in that game. I do like k State, I'll admit it.

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Speaker 2: I do like them. I like them defensively. They're very

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Speaker 2: good defensively twenty sixth at efficiency, twenty seventh in effective

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Speaker 2: field goal percentage fifty seven to three point percentage twenty

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Speaker 2: seventh and two point percentage. Now Kansas offensively is very

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Speaker 2: good seventeenth in efficiency offensively, ninth in effective field goal

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Speaker 2: percentage thirty third and three point percentage fourteen than two

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Speaker 2: point percentage. They played unbelievable last game at home. This

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Speaker 2: is a road game in college basketball into a really

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Speaker 2: tough environment. I need kseate to play well, There's no

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Speaker 2: debating it. I need Cam Carter to be great. I

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Speaker 2: need Arthur Kaluma, the former and Blue Jay, to actually

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Speaker 2: start playing well. He's been a mess over the last

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Speaker 2: four games. He's been a disaster. He has to start

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Speaker 2: playing better. Need Taylor Perry also to play better here

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Speaker 2: in Kse's gonna have to score keep this game close,

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Speaker 2: but they've got the home crowd behind them and a

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Speaker 2: five and a half point number. I think this is

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Speaker 2: too heavy, I really do. I think this is a

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Speaker 2: chance to take a home dog. That's an absolute desperation.

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Speaker 2: And I know you're going to go and pull up

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Speaker 2: the stats and be like Matt, you know, the numbers

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Speaker 2: are so bad for Kansas State in terms of them

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Speaker 2: covering here with a five and a half, they've five

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Speaker 2: straight games, they haven't covered just four times in the

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Speaker 2: last ten. They're five and seven ATS at home. They're

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Speaker 2: four and five ATS in the Big twelve. But ku

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Speaker 2: they've covered three straight games, but two of those three

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Speaker 2: games were at home. The one game was at Iowa

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Speaker 2: State where they were catching four and a half. They

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Speaker 2: lost by four. We were on remember that awful three

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Speaker 2: at the buzzer that burned us there at the end,

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Speaker 2: got a ridiculous loss on the hook laid we took

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Speaker 2: four and it we laid four and a half and

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Speaker 2: then won lost by four on the road. Four and

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Speaker 2: six ats this year, five and four in the Big twelve.

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Speaker 2: I'm taking the five and a half points Kansas State

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Speaker 2: plus five and a half for one point one units.

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Speaker 2: And the other game is Miami at Virginia and Man

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Speaker 2: did Virginia get a big win In their last game

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Speaker 2: out on the road. They went to Clemson and got

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Speaker 2: a huge win. There were four and a half point

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Speaker 2: dogs and they won by one. And their last home

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Speaker 2: game against Notre Dame they were laying thirteen and a

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Speaker 2: half they won by twelve. They covered against Louisville laying nine,

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Speaker 2: winning by seventeen. In fact, this is a six game

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Speaker 2: winning streak here for Virginia and their twelve nine and

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Speaker 2: one ATS on the year, they are six four and

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Speaker 2: one ATS in the Big Sorry in the ACC and

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Speaker 2: at home they're eight three and one at home this

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Speaker 2: year now Miami five to three and one. They had

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Speaker 2: a gigantic come from behind win against Virginia Tech in

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Speaker 2: their last game. They were supposed to lose that game.

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Speaker 2: They were laying four, they were down. They rallied to

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Speaker 2: win the game by eight. But their last game on

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Speaker 2: the road against NC State catching four and a half,

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Speaker 2: they lost it outright by six. Against Notre Dame laying

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Speaker 2: four and a half, they won by twelve. But against

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Speaker 2: Syracuse as four point dogs, they lost by three. They

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Speaker 2: kept it close, but they still lost. So talking two

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Speaker 2: of the last three games on the road straight up

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Speaker 2: losses for Miami. And look, they're five four and two

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Speaker 2: ats in the ACC. They're a better team at home,

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Speaker 2: like most teams are. And when you start breaking down

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Speaker 2: the numbers here, Ken Palm has this as a four

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Speaker 2: point win for Virginia. The numbers five. I am gonna

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Speaker 2: lay it. I'm gonna lay the five. We might get

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Speaker 2: it might be a little heavy yere, but I think

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Speaker 2: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlotte Field is going to

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Speaker 2: be rocking for this game. And I think it just

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Speaker 2: comes down to the defensive intensity for Virginia is just

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Speaker 2: so tough to face. I mean, they're eleventh in efficiency,

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Speaker 2: twenty second, effective field goal percentage ninety third and three

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Speaker 2: point percentage thirteenth and two point percentage. Offensively, they've you know,

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Speaker 2: they've got problems, but they're a really good three point

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Speaker 2: shooting team this year. They're thirty eighth in three point defense.

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Speaker 2: They're two hundred and sixty eighth and two point defense

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Speaker 2: and two point percentage. But that's good because well, Miami's

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Speaker 2: defense two hundred and eightieth in two point percentage not

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Speaker 2: very good. So Virginia hits their free throws, they should

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Speaker 2: win this game. And they might win this game going away,

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Speaker 2: just given how they've performed at home, winning by twelve,

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Speaker 2: winning by six, winning by eight, winning by twenty four,

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Speaker 2: winning by thirty five in their last one, two, three,

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Speaker 2: four five home games. Okay, so they've covered this five

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Speaker 2: in five games, different teams, different opponents. I got you there,

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Speaker 2: But I think Virginia at home after what Miami did.

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Speaker 2: Miami's a bubble team, okay, one hundred percent. They need

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Speaker 2: a win like this over Virginia. But Virginia also is

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Speaker 2: a bubble team in the ACC. They got to protect

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Speaker 2: their home court. I'm gonna lay the five Virginia minus

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Speaker 2: five for one point one units. All right, So three

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Speaker 2: bets for us here today on a Monday under Avalanche

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Speaker 2: Rangers under six and a half one point one units,

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Speaker 2: case stay at home plus five and a half against

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Speaker 2: Kansas for one point one units, and Virginia laying five

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Speaker 2: at home against Miami for one point one units. I'm

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Speaker 2: a stay away from NBA basketball for a while, just

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Speaker 2: because well, I'm not good at NBA betting at the moment.

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Speaker 2: Minus Matt parolog you guys can follow me across all socials.

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Speaker 2: You can follow all the fun super Bowl stuff there

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Speaker 2: as well on my Instagram and on my Twitter x account.

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Speaker 2: Coming up all week the Deal Juice podcast. Every single

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Speaker 2: morning I was being brought to you by omah steaks

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Speaker 2: dot com