1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:05,479 Speaker 1: The Action Network Podcast. 2 00:00:03,560 --> 00:00:12,240 Speaker 2: All right, here we go from throwing out so spect 3 00:00:13,039 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 2: we're sitting. 4 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 3: It's a cash touch stops. 5 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:18,599 Speaker 1: We see most gamble is when they go to gamble, 6 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: they go to win. 7 00:00:20,400 --> 00:00:21,720 Speaker 3: That's incredible. 8 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:24,759 Speaker 4: Being bank small banks, I like to make money. 9 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 3: All right, this is the ultimate combine if you want to. 10 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:32,760 Speaker 3: And we are underway. 11 00:00:34,760 --> 00:00:38,479 Speaker 4: Welcome to the Action Network Podcast presented by DraftKings. I 12 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:40,559 Speaker 4: am your host, Evin Abrams, and I am joined by 13 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:44,199 Speaker 4: Brandon Anderson for our NFL recap show. We will discuss 14 00:00:44,880 --> 00:00:48,440 Speaker 4: everything we saw today in NFL Week seven, look ahead 15 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:51,400 Speaker 4: briefly to Monday nights games. Plus we will get Brandon 16 00:00:51,440 --> 00:00:53,840 Speaker 4: tot reed for next week. But before we get started, 17 00:00:54,080 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 4: I'm gonna give you you know. We call it here 18 00:00:56,240 --> 00:00:57,960 Speaker 4: my one big stat of the day, But to anybody 19 00:00:58,000 --> 00:00:59,920 Speaker 4: who knows me, it's not one big stat. It's a 20 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 4: it's a few fun stats. So that's just it's just 21 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 4: who I am as a person. I can't help it. 22 00:01:04,880 --> 00:01:06,920 Speaker 4: But I will start with this one, the one I 23 00:01:06,920 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 4: tweeted out earlier today. I kind of find it most 24 00:01:09,400 --> 00:01:13,400 Speaker 4: interesting because I feel like the one o'clock window on 25 00:01:13,560 --> 00:01:16,960 Speaker 4: Sunday has kind of become the graveyard of the NFL. 26 00:01:17,560 --> 00:01:19,440 Speaker 4: I think a lot of people are pretty upset about 27 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 4: it when they're watching those games. It's either we have 28 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,000 Speaker 4: fifteen million games in the one o'clock window and I 29 00:01:25,040 --> 00:01:29,480 Speaker 4: can't watch them all, or they all stink. But the 30 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:33,880 Speaker 4: stat is closing favorites now thirty four and eighteen against 31 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:37,480 Speaker 4: the spread sixty five percent in the one pm window 32 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:40,480 Speaker 4: on Sunday this year, five hundred ats are better. All 33 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:43,440 Speaker 4: seven weeks there were five and one against the spread today. 34 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 4: The only loss was the Jets, who were basically favorites 35 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:48,600 Speaker 4: for the beginning of the week and the end of 36 00:01:48,600 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 4: the week, so could have been six and zero depending 37 00:01:50,800 --> 00:01:54,400 Speaker 4: on your numbers. So that's interesting. The other one I'll 38 00:01:54,400 --> 00:01:56,680 Speaker 4: give you from NFL plus who tweeted this out because 39 00:01:56,680 --> 00:01:58,880 Speaker 4: I think it paints a little bit of a different story, 40 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 4: which is there's thirty three total lead changes in the 41 00:02:02,480 --> 00:02:05,000 Speaker 4: final two minutes of the regulation this year. That is 42 00:02:05,040 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 4: the most in NFL history up to this point if 43 00:02:08,360 --> 00:02:11,639 Speaker 4: you look at other seasons compared, so you're getting a 44 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:13,760 Speaker 4: little bit of parody in some places and maybe not 45 00:02:13,919 --> 00:02:16,239 Speaker 4: in others in terms of favorite So I think it's 46 00:02:16,280 --> 00:02:18,120 Speaker 4: just kind of interesting week to week. The other one 47 00:02:18,120 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 4: I'll give you is this, it's fun that entering Monday 48 00:02:21,680 --> 00:02:25,639 Speaker 4: Night football in terms of parody, home and road are 49 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:28,400 Speaker 4: exactly the same, fifty one and fifty one against the 50 00:02:28,440 --> 00:02:32,560 Speaker 4: spread so far this season. So even on that front, 51 00:02:32,639 --> 00:02:35,800 Speaker 4: every NFL team has at least two ATS losses. So 52 00:02:36,000 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 4: when you talk about parody, and that's kind of the 53 00:02:38,040 --> 00:02:40,600 Speaker 4: conversation at the moment, which is who's the best team 54 00:02:40,639 --> 00:02:42,639 Speaker 4: in the NFL, who's the worst in the NFL? All 55 00:02:42,680 --> 00:02:45,760 Speaker 4: fun discussions, But every team with two losses and the 56 00:02:45,760 --> 00:02:48,680 Speaker 4: only team only won ATS one would be the Ravens. 57 00:02:49,160 --> 00:02:50,640 Speaker 4: So what do you think so far? Brandon? What do 58 00:02:50,639 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 4: we got here? 59 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:53,520 Speaker 3: Yeah? I like that you have the stat for the 60 00:02:53,560 --> 00:02:56,400 Speaker 3: early slaid games. I saw the five and one ATS today, 61 00:02:56,440 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 3: so I'm gonna tweeted that out and I was like, man, 62 00:02:58,320 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 3: I wonder if that's been the whole season? Having gotten 63 00:03:00,560 --> 00:03:03,919 Speaker 3: around a looking you came through with it. You're one 64 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:08,360 Speaker 3: of your five to one stats for the day. So yeah, 65 00:03:08,480 --> 00:03:10,960 Speaker 3: I wonder what is happening there? Is it just like 66 00:03:11,480 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 3: it certainly feels every week like we're dumping the worst 67 00:03:15,000 --> 00:03:17,360 Speaker 3: games left there, and so are we getting the worst 68 00:03:17,360 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 3: teams are they playing then, and that's what's happening, Like, 69 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:24,560 Speaker 3: it's not bad football. We're really excited. I'm excited for 70 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 3: both Monday night games tomorrow. The Sunday morning game should 71 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 3: have been good and turn out well. Last Thursday night, 72 00:03:31,600 --> 00:03:33,359 Speaker 3: I was not excited for that game. We got a 73 00:03:33,400 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 3: great game out of it. So I feel like, weirdly 74 00:03:37,600 --> 00:03:39,520 Speaker 3: like I don't know if the NFL is mad about this. 75 00:03:39,760 --> 00:03:41,960 Speaker 3: I think the Island games have been really good. We've 76 00:03:42,000 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 3: got a lot of fun upsets in the Island games, 77 00:03:44,760 --> 00:03:47,160 Speaker 3: and they're kind of delivering game after game, even though 78 00:03:47,200 --> 00:03:48,920 Speaker 3: tonight's was a little bit of you know, a little 79 00:03:48,920 --> 00:03:53,960 Speaker 3: bit sleepy tonight, but yeah, that that early feel of okay, 80 00:03:54,120 --> 00:03:58,720 Speaker 3: sit down, red zone channel, everything's happening. It feels like 81 00:03:58,880 --> 00:04:01,680 Speaker 3: kind of like a fart as we get toward the 82 00:04:02,160 --> 00:04:04,240 Speaker 3: witching hour each week. And it's been kind of a 83 00:04:04,240 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 3: bummer lately. 84 00:04:06,200 --> 00:04:08,960 Speaker 4: I mean, the thirty three stat that I started off with, 85 00:04:09,040 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 4: to me is the moon that's most interesting. With the 86 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:13,520 Speaker 4: Lee changes in the final two minutes, it just feels 87 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:15,680 Speaker 4: like we've seen chaos and it's been a lot of fun. 88 00:04:16,560 --> 00:04:19,120 Speaker 4: So let's start with Sunday night football just coming off. 89 00:04:19,120 --> 00:04:22,920 Speaker 4: San Francisco wins the game against Atlanta twenty to ten, covers, 90 00:04:23,000 --> 00:04:25,480 Speaker 4: the minus one at close got a lot Atlanta money 91 00:04:25,520 --> 00:04:29,680 Speaker 4: late total goes under forty six and a half. To me, 92 00:04:29,800 --> 00:04:32,000 Speaker 4: as someone who had Atlanta tonight, I kind of just 93 00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:34,479 Speaker 4: wanted to start with the fact that San Francisco just 94 00:04:34,480 --> 00:04:36,920 Speaker 4: feels like the most annoying team to bet against week 95 00:04:36,920 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 4: to week. And I know, based off of my belief 96 00:04:41,560 --> 00:04:45,159 Speaker 4: early in the season preseason, you know, I just don't 97 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:48,560 Speaker 4: have the utmost faith in this team. But Shanahan does 98 00:04:48,600 --> 00:04:50,760 Speaker 4: everything he can week to week. It doesn't matter who's 99 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 4: out there on defense, they continue to perform. Tonight was 100 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:57,320 Speaker 4: you know, a bunch of rookies some I don't want 101 00:04:57,360 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 4: to call them journeymen but not exactly Fred Warren and 102 00:05:00,880 --> 00:05:06,039 Speaker 4: Nick Bosa so but holding them to ten points after 103 00:05:06,240 --> 00:05:08,080 Speaker 4: what we just saw out of Atlanta, and many people 104 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:11,559 Speaker 4: were saying Atlanta is a week to week team, They're 105 00:05:11,560 --> 00:05:14,760 Speaker 4: not a consistent team, and I think you saw a 106 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:16,919 Speaker 4: lot of that tonight. I will say this, and this 107 00:05:16,960 --> 00:05:19,640 Speaker 4: feels a little crazy, but first drive of the game 108 00:05:19,760 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 4: on that fourth and one on their own thirty one, 109 00:05:21,800 --> 00:05:24,560 Speaker 4: something in my soul basically was like, I kind of 110 00:05:24,600 --> 00:05:26,240 Speaker 4: want them to go for it. It doesn't make any 111 00:05:26,320 --> 00:05:29,080 Speaker 4: sense they shouldn't and they punted, but I kind of 112 00:05:29,120 --> 00:05:32,279 Speaker 4: wanted to set a precedence in this game. More skill players, 113 00:05:32,520 --> 00:05:36,200 Speaker 4: better offense, like let's get going. And again San Francisco 114 00:05:36,200 --> 00:05:38,360 Speaker 4: didn't exactly score on their drive after the punt. They 115 00:05:38,400 --> 00:05:40,760 Speaker 4: punted as well. But I think it just you know, 116 00:05:41,200 --> 00:05:43,400 Speaker 4: you keep San Francisco in the game and then you 117 00:05:43,520 --> 00:05:44,840 Speaker 4: end up just scoring ten points. 118 00:05:45,080 --> 00:05:50,240 Speaker 3: So yeah, the Falcons just it just feels disappointing. Offensively, 119 00:05:50,279 --> 00:05:52,599 Speaker 3: you like, I'm looking at the list here, so ten 120 00:05:52,640 --> 00:05:56,240 Speaker 3: points tonight. You know, the great Bills went. I was 121 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:59,640 Speaker 3: really good, shut out by the Panthers, a great win 122 00:05:59,680 --> 00:06:02,120 Speaker 3: in Minnesota, but only twenty two points in that game 123 00:06:02,240 --> 00:06:05,960 Speaker 3: twenty against Tampa Bay. It just feels like, man, you 124 00:06:06,080 --> 00:06:10,760 Speaker 3: keep investing top ten draft picks on this team. Offensively, 125 00:06:11,400 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 3: the offensive line is at least average above average, Like 126 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:17,040 Speaker 3: is Pennic's just not good? 127 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 5: Is it? 128 00:06:17,400 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 3: The play calling everyone was excited about Zach Robinson. That 129 00:06:20,040 --> 00:06:21,880 Speaker 3: was one of my Assistant Coach of the Year picks. 130 00:06:22,520 --> 00:06:27,280 Speaker 3: It just feels like it should be better tonight. Look, 131 00:06:27,600 --> 00:06:31,040 Speaker 3: Divine Diablo got hurt early hard to cry about that 132 00:06:31,080 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 3: in a game against San Francisco was missing Fred Warner 133 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 3: and like seven hundred other players, But I did think 134 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:38,200 Speaker 3: they missed Diabolo. He's kind of the heart of the 135 00:06:38,240 --> 00:06:41,560 Speaker 3: defense there. And McCaffrey ends up with like one hundred 136 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:45,200 Speaker 3: two hundred yards on the evening. Definitely, the Star hadn't 137 00:06:45,240 --> 00:06:47,360 Speaker 3: really run the ball that well this season, had to 138 00:06:47,400 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 3: run with a volume, but had not run that well. 139 00:06:50,279 --> 00:06:52,279 Speaker 3: And I thought they actually had probably their best run 140 00:06:52,360 --> 00:06:56,120 Speaker 3: game of the season. To me, the difference tonight was 141 00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:58,080 Speaker 3: the little things. And I know that's like such an 142 00:06:58,200 --> 00:07:01,120 Speaker 3: an analyst thing to say, but here here's some of 143 00:07:01,200 --> 00:07:06,119 Speaker 3: the little things. Atlanta early on nineteen play sixty yard 144 00:07:06,200 --> 00:07:10,160 Speaker 3: drive settles for a field goal nineteen plays sixty yards 145 00:07:10,160 --> 00:07:11,720 Speaker 3: and I wasn't even like they settle for a field 146 00:07:11,720 --> 00:07:14,040 Speaker 3: with the one like they're still like barely even in 147 00:07:14,080 --> 00:07:17,240 Speaker 3: the red zone at that point. Soon after that, Michael 148 00:07:17,280 --> 00:07:20,000 Speaker 3: Pennix gets a strip sack that leads to a field 149 00:07:20,040 --> 00:07:23,120 Speaker 3: goal that's three points. Then right after that, again two 150 00:07:23,120 --> 00:07:26,200 Speaker 3: weeks in a row, right before halftime, they screw up 151 00:07:26,280 --> 00:07:30,200 Speaker 3: the execution. Penix takes the intentional grounding. You're at least 152 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:32,880 Speaker 3: in field goal arranged there you're throwing away another three 153 00:07:32,920 --> 00:07:35,400 Speaker 3: points and the clock goes off. They just go to halftime. 154 00:07:35,720 --> 00:07:39,240 Speaker 3: So that right there, two mistakes by what's basically a 155 00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:42,520 Speaker 3: rookie quarterback. Let's be fair. That's two field goals. That's 156 00:07:42,520 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 3: six point swing in a game with thirty points total. 157 00:07:46,320 --> 00:07:48,960 Speaker 3: And then of course late in the game, just execution, 158 00:07:49,440 --> 00:07:53,040 Speaker 3: Atlanta drives down. They do go forward on fourth and one, 159 00:07:52,800 --> 00:07:55,800 Speaker 3: they got the one you wanted there, but they throw it. 160 00:07:56,120 --> 00:07:57,640 Speaker 3: What are you doing you have third and one and 161 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:01,400 Speaker 3: fourth and one with Algiers maybe hurt Jon Robinson, like 162 00:08:01,480 --> 00:08:04,400 Speaker 3: the best running back in football this year. Just run 163 00:08:04,480 --> 00:08:06,720 Speaker 3: twice and get a yard. This should be the thing 164 00:08:06,720 --> 00:08:09,800 Speaker 3: you do, Atlanta. And then they didn't get it. They 165 00:08:09,800 --> 00:08:13,640 Speaker 3: turned over. I like the decision to go for it. 166 00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:15,880 Speaker 3: I don't want to play for the tie, go play 167 00:08:15,920 --> 00:08:17,960 Speaker 3: for the win. I like that. I don't like the 168 00:08:18,000 --> 00:08:20,760 Speaker 3: play calls. And then their defense just couln't get a stop. 169 00:08:20,800 --> 00:08:23,000 Speaker 3: How many third downs did San fran convert on that 170 00:08:23,080 --> 00:08:25,480 Speaker 3: last drave and just kept it going and eventually got 171 00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:27,400 Speaker 3: the touchdown to go to ten and that was that. 172 00:08:27,560 --> 00:08:30,960 Speaker 3: So yeah, I think at the end of the day, 173 00:08:31,200 --> 00:08:33,079 Speaker 3: these teams were not that far apart. I think the 174 00:08:33,120 --> 00:08:35,959 Speaker 3: stats are mostly even. Sanfran was the better team, but 175 00:08:35,960 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 3: it's not like they dominated this one. They just did 176 00:08:38,760 --> 00:08:41,559 Speaker 3: enough to win. In Atlanta sort of looked like a 177 00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:45,360 Speaker 3: young team or an inexperienced team that maybe that's just 178 00:08:45,480 --> 00:08:46,920 Speaker 3: the Michael Pennix thing right now. 179 00:08:48,240 --> 00:08:49,840 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think part of the issue, and I'm not 180 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:51,600 Speaker 4: the biggest fan, like, I think some of the play 181 00:08:51,640 --> 00:08:54,440 Speaker 4: calling for Raheem Morris like leaves a little to be desired. 182 00:08:55,160 --> 00:08:58,360 Speaker 4: Sixty two rushing yards in total by Atlanta is just 183 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 4: not going to be enough. Where you're pulling in Bijon 184 00:09:01,520 --> 00:09:03,720 Speaker 4: and you're pulling in Algier, Like, there just needs to 185 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:07,480 Speaker 4: be more volume in that area. Twenty carries sixty two 186 00:09:07,600 --> 00:09:10,640 Speaker 4: yards is just not going to cut it in this situation, 187 00:09:10,800 --> 00:09:12,680 Speaker 4: especially when you should have relied on that a little 188 00:09:12,679 --> 00:09:14,439 Speaker 4: bit in a road game to kind of get penis 189 00:09:14,480 --> 00:09:18,319 Speaker 4: going to me. The other thing, the efficiency from San 190 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:21,600 Speaker 4: Francisco side nine to fifteen on third down and the 191 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:25,520 Speaker 4: way that Mac Jones just played in that situation composure 192 00:09:25,840 --> 00:09:28,000 Speaker 4: he ran a little bit in certain area, especially late 193 00:09:28,040 --> 00:09:31,520 Speaker 4: in the game, just to me, and also the way 194 00:09:31,640 --> 00:09:35,600 Speaker 4: McCaffrey's used almost makes it impossible, Like it really takes 195 00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:39,720 Speaker 4: someone to scheme it very well on the defensive side 196 00:09:39,720 --> 00:09:42,640 Speaker 4: to be able to hold someone with what twenty three 197 00:09:42,760 --> 00:09:46,280 Speaker 4: twenty four carries plus seven targets. I mean, he's just 198 00:09:46,400 --> 00:09:49,080 Speaker 4: all over the field and very difficult. Like on that 199 00:09:49,160 --> 00:09:51,080 Speaker 4: I think it was third and eleven. Was third eleven 200 00:09:51,120 --> 00:09:53,360 Speaker 4: or third and fourteen late in the game, you need 201 00:09:53,400 --> 00:09:55,760 Speaker 4: to get the stop, and you just you lost the 202 00:09:55,840 --> 00:09:58,920 Speaker 4: one guy who literally has thirty touches in this game, 203 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,440 Speaker 4: Like that was probably the you wanted to look at 204 00:10:01,480 --> 00:10:03,559 Speaker 4: in that situation. And he leaks out of the back 205 00:10:03,600 --> 00:10:05,640 Speaker 4: and he leaks out of the backfield and gets the wide. 206 00:10:05,440 --> 00:10:10,880 Speaker 3: Open Yeah, but I was like, Okay, we know this goes. 207 00:10:10,920 --> 00:10:12,880 Speaker 3: Shanahan's gonna settle for the field goal. They're gonna go 208 00:10:12,960 --> 00:10:15,040 Speaker 3: up six. You never go up six. It's gonna happen. 209 00:10:15,040 --> 00:10:16,560 Speaker 3: And here's that Land's gonna have the chance to go 210 00:10:16,640 --> 00:10:19,480 Speaker 3: seventeen to sixteen. But then they forgot to cover the 211 00:10:19,480 --> 00:10:21,800 Speaker 3: one guy in the field that's doing literally everything for 212 00:10:21,840 --> 00:10:27,120 Speaker 3: the offense right now. So yeah, not great. Yeah, sim 213 00:10:27,160 --> 00:10:29,720 Speaker 3: Fran five and two now they don't feel like a 214 00:10:29,800 --> 00:10:32,160 Speaker 3: five and two teams, So credit where it's due. Credit 215 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 3: Mac Jones. You tweeted out he's got the best money 216 00:10:34,960 --> 00:10:37,880 Speaker 3: line record now on the season, or not record, but 217 00:10:38,240 --> 00:10:41,400 Speaker 3: best ROI like, of course, Mac Jones. How could we 218 00:10:41,440 --> 00:10:45,040 Speaker 3: not know? They do play next three games, Texans and 219 00:10:45,080 --> 00:10:48,200 Speaker 3: the Rams in two of those, so I think we're 220 00:10:48,200 --> 00:10:50,839 Speaker 3: gonna still see this team tested. They are not good 221 00:10:50,960 --> 00:10:53,840 Speaker 3: enough to put teams away right now, and the Texans 222 00:10:53,880 --> 00:10:57,680 Speaker 3: and Rams are the healthier, more talented teams. But the 223 00:10:57,720 --> 00:11:00,679 Speaker 3: Manners keep finding ways to win. So five and two 224 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,000 Speaker 3: they're in good shape. Atlanta's not out of this thing. 225 00:11:03,040 --> 00:11:05,600 Speaker 3: They're three and three. They just beat Buffalo a week ago. 226 00:11:06,160 --> 00:11:09,200 Speaker 3: Here's the schedule coming up. They get the Dolphins this week, 227 00:11:09,240 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 3: which we won't even talk about that game, but they 228 00:11:11,400 --> 00:11:14,840 Speaker 3: might be getting the Dolphins with a new coach, new quarterback, 229 00:11:15,160 --> 00:11:18,480 Speaker 3: a new literally anything. Dolphins, What are you doing? Then? 230 00:11:19,080 --> 00:11:22,240 Speaker 3: Patriots Colts? Okay, so can you beat the Dolphins and 231 00:11:22,280 --> 00:11:25,319 Speaker 3: win one of those two? Now you're five and four? 232 00:11:25,960 --> 00:11:29,080 Speaker 3: Then Panthers Saints Jets. All right, that's a pretty winnable 233 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:32,160 Speaker 3: stretch for the Falcons. Could they get to like eight 234 00:11:32,200 --> 00:11:34,960 Speaker 3: and four? I think they have to because the NFC 235 00:11:35,040 --> 00:11:38,480 Speaker 3: is pretty loaded. The problem is, I trust that they 236 00:11:38,480 --> 00:11:41,600 Speaker 3: can win one of those Colts or Patriots games. I 237 00:11:41,640 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 3: also think they're probably gonna lose one of those other 238 00:11:43,679 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 3: games because they've been high highs but lo lo's this season. 239 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:50,920 Speaker 4: Yeah, they're rooting for Detroit tomorrow night. They need, you know, 240 00:11:50,960 --> 00:11:52,640 Speaker 4: Tampa Bay to kind of come back to the mean 241 00:11:52,679 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 4: a little bit, make it a little bit. I mean, 242 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 4: I don't think they even expected Carolina to be four 243 00:11:57,320 --> 00:11:59,120 Speaker 4: and three, which we'll talk about in a little bit. 244 00:11:59,160 --> 00:12:02,640 Speaker 4: But again, and I believe what, Carolina beat them thirty nothing. 245 00:12:02,679 --> 00:12:04,719 Speaker 4: They haven't faced them a second time. I believe that's 246 00:12:04,760 --> 00:12:07,960 Speaker 4: the case, So we will see how that goes. The 247 00:12:07,960 --> 00:12:10,400 Speaker 4: only thing I wanted to note here before we move 248 00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:13,480 Speaker 4: on to the next game. This one's kind of interesting 249 00:12:13,520 --> 00:12:16,560 Speaker 4: to me. So this season San Francisco oh to seven 250 00:12:17,160 --> 00:12:20,520 Speaker 4: third quarter against the spread, which they lost the third 251 00:12:20,640 --> 00:12:23,680 Speaker 4: quarter tonight basically won everything else come ton locker room, 252 00:12:23,679 --> 00:12:25,600 Speaker 4: they settle for I believe the field goal, then they 253 00:12:25,640 --> 00:12:27,959 Speaker 4: allowed the touchdown, and then you have a punch or 254 00:12:28,000 --> 00:12:30,599 Speaker 4: two back and forth. Just something to note there in 255 00:12:30,640 --> 00:12:32,760 Speaker 4: the sense of now I believe six and eighteen third 256 00:12:32,840 --> 00:12:36,880 Speaker 4: quarter ats since the start of last season, so I 257 00:12:36,920 --> 00:12:39,200 Speaker 4: know I took that tonight. I liked Atlanta second half, 258 00:12:39,200 --> 00:12:42,200 Speaker 4: which didn't cash because they only scored seven points. But 259 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:44,520 Speaker 4: in that third quarter and the other thing I wanted 260 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 4: to say, I mean, since this is a primetime game 261 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:49,000 Speaker 4: and everyone watched it, Robert Saala looked good tonight, Like 262 00:12:49,040 --> 00:12:51,720 Speaker 4: he looks young, looks like he's hit like the fountain 263 00:12:51,760 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 4: of youth a little bit like it really makes me 264 00:12:54,559 --> 00:12:57,200 Speaker 4: remember and feel like when you leave the Jets, Like 265 00:12:57,240 --> 00:12:59,839 Speaker 4: look at the comparison of how he looks leaving the Jets. 266 00:13:00,040 --> 00:13:02,680 Speaker 4: What Aaron Glenn's going through right now. Aaron Glenn's gotten 267 00:13:02,720 --> 00:13:04,839 Speaker 4: a lot more gray hair, I feel like since week one. 268 00:13:05,280 --> 00:13:08,240 Speaker 4: But Robert Sawa look good tonight. All right, let's keep 269 00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 4: rolling here, Giants. I can't believe this game. So Giants Broncos. 270 00:13:13,720 --> 00:13:15,400 Speaker 4: I just don't even know where to start here. The 271 00:13:15,440 --> 00:13:17,920 Speaker 4: stats are unreal. Anything I could tell you about this 272 00:13:17,960 --> 00:13:22,040 Speaker 4: game you would believe me too, Like a million in zero, Yeah, 273 00:13:22,080 --> 00:13:26,040 Speaker 4: Denver wins a game thirty three thirty two. Giants cover 274 00:13:26,280 --> 00:13:30,920 Speaker 4: every number basically here total goes over forty and a half. 275 00:13:31,679 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 4: It was just two completely different games. I think is 276 00:13:34,280 --> 00:13:35,840 Speaker 4: the easiest way to look at it was the first 277 00:13:35,880 --> 00:13:38,679 Speaker 4: three quarters and whatever we saw added Denver in the 278 00:13:38,720 --> 00:13:42,560 Speaker 4: fourth quarter, which was thirty three points by the Broncos. 279 00:13:42,559 --> 00:13:44,679 Speaker 4: But I think it's easier probably to start at the 280 00:13:44,720 --> 00:13:48,840 Speaker 4: top here. Denver's first half was four punts, one turnover 281 00:13:48,920 --> 00:13:51,319 Speaker 4: on downs and then the end of the half they 282 00:13:51,320 --> 00:13:53,840 Speaker 4: go ohen one in the red zone. One hundred and 283 00:13:53,840 --> 00:13:56,840 Speaker 4: two total yards. Giants have over six yards per play 284 00:13:56,840 --> 00:14:00,240 Speaker 4: in the first half. To me, my favorite playoff the 285 00:14:00,240 --> 00:14:03,040 Speaker 4: bat Dart's composure in the pocket looking downfield to the 286 00:14:03,040 --> 00:14:07,000 Speaker 4: Bellinger touchdown, just looking up in the pocket. They're worried 287 00:14:07,040 --> 00:14:10,400 Speaker 4: about him running and you know, tight end just goes 288 00:14:10,440 --> 00:14:14,119 Speaker 4: loose down the sideline. It just he looks. The composure 289 00:14:14,200 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 4: is something I think as a Giants fan, and even 290 00:14:16,559 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 4: without neighbors this year, is something you really and the 291 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 4: passion I think for the game and the drive at 292 00:14:22,600 --> 00:14:25,520 Speaker 4: the end there, there's just really good things to see 293 00:14:25,520 --> 00:14:28,960 Speaker 4: out of him. But that's not where the game ended. 294 00:14:29,160 --> 00:14:32,040 Speaker 4: So it's important that we continue. With six or four 295 00:14:32,120 --> 00:14:35,120 Speaker 4: left in the third, Giants go up nineteen nine. Giants 296 00:14:35,160 --> 00:14:38,200 Speaker 4: lead nineteen nothing. I'm sorry, nineteen nothing. So the lade 297 00:14:38,280 --> 00:14:42,240 Speaker 4: end nineteen nothing entering the fourth quarter, and then Brandon, 298 00:14:42,520 --> 00:14:45,440 Speaker 4: I just from your standpoint at this point in the game, 299 00:14:45,480 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 4: it's nineteen nothing. I believe. My friend even texted me 300 00:14:48,880 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 4: and asked me, like, what's the Broncos live money line? 301 00:14:51,680 --> 00:14:54,520 Speaker 4: Because I know Dart was limping at one point like 302 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:57,560 Speaker 4: he was heard as well, what's your thought on where 303 00:14:57,640 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 4: we are at that point? And then where it headed? 304 00:15:00,320 --> 00:15:02,400 Speaker 3: Yeah, I forget when it was, but somewhere in this 305 00:15:02,440 --> 00:15:04,840 Speaker 3: stretch is also when Pulse and Adibo goes out. The 306 00:15:04,960 --> 00:15:06,720 Speaker 3: New York signed him for a lot of money with 307 00:15:06,760 --> 00:15:08,560 Speaker 3: somewhere to be the top corner. I thought he was 308 00:15:08,600 --> 00:15:10,760 Speaker 3: a really big miss for them down the stretch here. 309 00:15:11,840 --> 00:15:14,080 Speaker 3: You can't get lit up by bo Nix like that, 310 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,480 Speaker 3: but having your top corner out certainly going to help 311 00:15:16,520 --> 00:15:18,920 Speaker 3: the other team. It's not like they have like a 312 00:15:19,000 --> 00:15:23,600 Speaker 3: real preponderance of extra corners hanging around, So definitely missed him. 313 00:15:24,160 --> 00:15:26,920 Speaker 3: Dart not playing that well a lot of three and outs. 314 00:15:26,920 --> 00:15:28,840 Speaker 3: Broncos I think went three and out twice in the 315 00:15:28,880 --> 00:15:31,160 Speaker 3: third quarter of the end of this, and the Giants 316 00:15:31,240 --> 00:15:34,360 Speaker 3: just kind of it. It felt like they couldn't find 317 00:15:34,400 --> 00:15:37,400 Speaker 3: offense late and there were rumblings. I mean, of course 318 00:15:37,480 --> 00:15:39,320 Speaker 3: we rumblings out of locker room after blowing a game 319 00:15:39,440 --> 00:15:41,840 Speaker 3: like that, but it sounded like the defenders were not 320 00:15:41,920 --> 00:15:44,040 Speaker 3: pleased with the play calling that was coming out of this, 321 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:48,480 Speaker 3: that they felt that. To me, my interpretation of the 322 00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:51,000 Speaker 3: quotes afterward was a lot of complaints about, well, we're 323 00:15:51,080 --> 00:15:54,280 Speaker 3: rushing three and dropping eight. That's that's pre event prevents 324 00:15:54,320 --> 00:15:57,000 Speaker 3: you from winning, right, That's that's these guys being like, 325 00:15:57,040 --> 00:15:59,600 Speaker 3: hey man, we just shut out this team for three 326 00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 3: quarters is doing what we do, and then you changed 327 00:16:02,440 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 3: everything to play pre event. So here's what it looks like, 328 00:16:05,680 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 3: long Denver touchdown drive. They finally get on the board. 329 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:11,360 Speaker 3: It's kind of fine. You're up nineteen to nothing. You 330 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:14,240 Speaker 3: want a long drive, just keep taking up time. The 331 00:16:14,240 --> 00:16:17,040 Speaker 3: only real problem they get a two pointer, so nineteen eight. 332 00:16:17,560 --> 00:16:20,360 Speaker 3: Then the Giants fluke into a touchdown. It's the one 333 00:16:20,400 --> 00:16:23,760 Speaker 3: where it's the tip pass and THEO catches it instead 334 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:27,360 Speaker 3: and goes down the sideline, so to nearly twenty six eight. Great, okay, 335 00:16:27,640 --> 00:16:32,280 Speaker 3: another long Denver drive for a touchdown, but thirteen plays again, 336 00:16:32,880 --> 00:16:35,400 Speaker 3: pretty fine. I'm pretty much okay with that. Like the 337 00:16:35,440 --> 00:16:39,360 Speaker 3: prevent defense, I think it's kind of working except another 338 00:16:39,400 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 3: two point conversion, and you all know where this is 339 00:16:42,400 --> 00:16:46,120 Speaker 3: going if you're listening. In a one point game, Denver 340 00:16:46,640 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 3: makes two two point conversions. The Giants miss one that 341 00:16:50,840 --> 00:16:53,760 Speaker 3: they went for because they missed not one, but two 342 00:16:53,880 --> 00:16:59,280 Speaker 3: extra points. So put a different way, the Giants lost 343 00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:03,760 Speaker 3: thirty three third thirty two. They scored five touchdowns. Since 344 00:17:03,800 --> 00:17:06,560 Speaker 3: you've been like five years old, you know, five touchdowns 345 00:17:06,560 --> 00:17:09,320 Speaker 3: means thirty five points. They scored thirty two points. Like 346 00:17:09,400 --> 00:17:11,960 Speaker 3: we all know the math on this. They missed an 347 00:17:11,960 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 3: extra point, so they went for two. They missed that. 348 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,560 Speaker 3: They missed another extra point late. That's why they lost. 349 00:17:16,880 --> 00:17:19,959 Speaker 3: They should have won in regulation. The Show won by 350 00:17:19,960 --> 00:17:23,720 Speaker 3: two in regulation. But anyways, it's twenty six sixteen now 351 00:17:23,800 --> 00:17:27,440 Speaker 3: after the two, then is the real problem. I agree 352 00:17:27,480 --> 00:17:29,920 Speaker 3: with you. I thought Jackson Dart played well. I thought 353 00:17:29,920 --> 00:17:33,199 Speaker 3: he clearly outplayed Bonix in this game. But that's the 354 00:17:33,280 --> 00:17:37,159 Speaker 3: Dart interception, and a minute later the Broncos score, and 355 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:40,560 Speaker 3: somewhere in that stretch is when I know Giants plus 356 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:42,879 Speaker 3: three twenty money line sitting in my ticket is not 357 00:17:43,119 --> 00:17:46,359 Speaker 3: coming home for me. So the Bronco is still down 358 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,760 Speaker 3: by three, but then Giants go three and out. Denver 359 00:17:49,880 --> 00:17:52,040 Speaker 3: gets another touchdown. I think that's the one where Nicks 360 00:17:52,080 --> 00:17:57,880 Speaker 3: runs it in takes the lead. It's disaster. Then everything 361 00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,600 Speaker 3: suddenly flips and I was like, oh, thank god, all 362 00:18:00,600 --> 00:18:03,639 Speaker 3: this like ridiculous lock that the Broncos have had all season, 363 00:18:03,680 --> 00:18:07,399 Speaker 3: it's all come back around. We get fourth and nineteen 364 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:12,520 Speaker 3: and Dart throws for Wandale I think, and hits him 365 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:16,280 Speaker 3: and gets the laid hit, so we convert that. Then 366 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:19,040 Speaker 3: we throw deep. We're just chucking it deep every play, 367 00:18:19,160 --> 00:18:22,359 Speaker 3: just throw it down deep. Maybe someone's maybe neighbors is open. 368 00:18:22,400 --> 00:18:25,680 Speaker 3: Oh wait, he's not playing right now. At one point, 369 00:18:25,960 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 3: I think Denver has two safeties run into each other 370 00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,320 Speaker 3: and they both get hurt. So it's like, chuck it 371 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:34,359 Speaker 3: deep injure the secondary. Maybe that'll work out for us. 372 00:18:34,680 --> 00:18:36,800 Speaker 3: Didn't work, so thead we chuck it deep to the 373 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:41,399 Speaker 3: corner and get a really rough defensive pass interference that 374 00:18:41,480 --> 00:18:44,359 Speaker 3: Sean Payton is not pleased about. So he runs onto 375 00:18:44,359 --> 00:18:48,000 Speaker 3: the field to complain. Rightfully, so except you can't do that. 376 00:18:48,040 --> 00:18:50,239 Speaker 3: He's like out in the middle of the field. So 377 00:18:50,280 --> 00:18:52,879 Speaker 3: then he gets an unsportsman like call, so they give 378 00:18:52,920 --> 00:18:55,280 Speaker 3: the ball down to like the two yard line and 379 00:18:55,480 --> 00:19:00,640 Speaker 3: Jackson runs it in ironically, so of course they down. 380 00:19:01,200 --> 00:19:04,960 Speaker 3: They do the Expedeta review to decide he's in. I 381 00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:07,119 Speaker 3: think that kind of cost them the game, right, Like 382 00:19:07,160 --> 00:19:09,520 Speaker 3: if if he's just down and like a few more 383 00:19:09,560 --> 00:19:12,440 Speaker 3: second runs off, then the Broncos don't have that one 384 00:19:12,480 --> 00:19:14,879 Speaker 3: more play and suddenly that thirty yard chip shot is 385 00:19:14,920 --> 00:19:18,040 Speaker 3: like a fifty yard field goal. But he's in. He's 386 00:19:18,080 --> 00:19:21,520 Speaker 3: the hero again. Only there's still time left and Denver 387 00:19:21,600 --> 00:19:25,280 Speaker 3: goes like twenty nine yards to MAM's offsides twenty two 388 00:19:25,320 --> 00:19:28,359 Speaker 3: is Suddon. The Giants said after the game they put 389 00:19:28,400 --> 00:19:31,880 Speaker 3: that sudden play in yesterday or sorry that the Broncos 390 00:19:31,920 --> 00:19:34,560 Speaker 3: said they put that in. That the Giants had allowed 391 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,640 Speaker 3: that exact sort of coverage late in the game twice 392 00:19:37,800 --> 00:19:42,440 Speaker 3: this season already. That's awful. That is a favorable offense 393 00:19:42,600 --> 00:19:46,720 Speaker 3: this season to have been that poor defensively. I don't 394 00:19:46,720 --> 00:19:49,439 Speaker 3: know how you go from your shutting them out and 395 00:19:49,480 --> 00:19:52,000 Speaker 3: it's like the win of the season for you to 396 00:19:52,119 --> 00:19:55,480 Speaker 3: you lost out Right, You've got like heads half to roll, 397 00:19:55,560 --> 00:19:57,920 Speaker 3: Like something bad has to come out of this, because 398 00:19:57,920 --> 00:19:59,480 Speaker 3: something bad happened in this. 399 00:20:01,359 --> 00:20:03,560 Speaker 4: It's a good way to put it. I don't know 400 00:20:03,720 --> 00:20:07,640 Speaker 4: who actually gets fired over this, Like, does Dable lose 401 00:20:07,680 --> 00:20:11,960 Speaker 4: his job over this game? Given them performance? Given I 402 00:20:12,040 --> 00:20:14,080 Speaker 4: don't know. I mean, they were so close to so 403 00:20:14,160 --> 00:20:17,639 Speaker 4: many things in this game, especially with the lead and 404 00:20:17,680 --> 00:20:20,800 Speaker 4: the way the defense was looking to look so good 405 00:20:20,840 --> 00:20:23,560 Speaker 4: then to look so bad. I mean Arizona feels that 406 00:20:23,600 --> 00:20:26,640 Speaker 4: way as well. Placing Tennessee week or two ago. Those 407 00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:28,840 Speaker 4: are the two losses I feel like, and I guess 408 00:20:28,880 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 4: maybe Buffalo and Baltimore in week one that would be 409 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:34,560 Speaker 4: the three I would point to at least recently for 410 00:20:35,520 --> 00:20:39,000 Speaker 4: this kind of collapse. But I'll give you the stat 411 00:20:39,080 --> 00:20:42,119 Speaker 4: before I ask you maybe one more question here. NFL 412 00:20:42,160 --> 00:20:46,200 Speaker 4: teams had won sixteen hundred and two consecutive games when 413 00:20:46,280 --> 00:20:48,840 Speaker 4: leading by I believe it. It's I believe it's eighteen 414 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 4: plus points. Let me get this right, sorry, eighteen point 415 00:20:52,880 --> 00:20:56,600 Speaker 4: six minutes left. Yeah, yeah, fourth quarter. So that is 416 00:20:56,600 --> 00:20:58,560 Speaker 4: the stat. That's where we are at the moment. I mean, 417 00:20:59,200 --> 00:21:01,480 Speaker 4: it's obvious that it's been that long because of this 418 00:21:01,600 --> 00:21:03,639 Speaker 4: type of lead, but I also think the fact that 419 00:21:03,680 --> 00:21:06,480 Speaker 4: they were up nineteen zero and they had put that 420 00:21:06,680 --> 00:21:09,320 Speaker 4: on Denver to watch them score thirty three points in 421 00:21:09,359 --> 00:21:11,720 Speaker 4: the fourth quarter. With all the stats you've heard about 422 00:21:11,760 --> 00:21:14,320 Speaker 4: how many fourth quarter points doesn't even really give it justice. 423 00:21:15,080 --> 00:21:18,720 Speaker 4: I believe DraftKings tweet this out, but Denver at its high, 424 00:21:18,800 --> 00:21:21,600 Speaker 4: at its peak, was sixty to one on the money line. 425 00:21:21,680 --> 00:21:25,760 Speaker 4: I assume that was down twenty six to eight, but 426 00:21:26,119 --> 00:21:29,360 Speaker 4: I am not positive on that one. Anything else you 427 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:34,760 Speaker 4: can take from this game going forward other than personally personally, 428 00:21:35,200 --> 00:21:38,320 Speaker 4: like I'm still high on the Giants week to week 429 00:21:38,400 --> 00:21:41,760 Speaker 4: from a spread standpoint, like I feel like making them 430 00:21:42,359 --> 00:21:47,359 Speaker 4: considerable underdogs given what they can do in the running game, 431 00:21:47,840 --> 00:21:50,400 Speaker 4: what Dart seems to be able to do with the offense, 432 00:21:50,840 --> 00:21:53,960 Speaker 4: and still the ability of the pass rush. So that's 433 00:21:54,320 --> 00:21:55,560 Speaker 4: still something I take from this. 434 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,639 Speaker 3: Yeah, I wonder if Ballin, the defensive coordinator, could be 435 00:21:59,640 --> 00:22:03,000 Speaker 3: the fall guy here. The Giants defense has not performed 436 00:22:03,040 --> 00:22:05,439 Speaker 3: as well as people at Hope coming into the season. 437 00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,280 Speaker 3: Then looked great for three quarters today, but look great 438 00:22:08,280 --> 00:22:11,720 Speaker 3: against the Bronco's offense that's not that inspiring, but then 439 00:22:11,760 --> 00:22:13,760 Speaker 3: looked really not great for the last quarter. They give 440 00:22:13,840 --> 00:22:16,880 Speaker 3: up thirty three points in the courts, second most fourth 441 00:22:16,960 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 3: quarter points in NFL history. It's the second largest NFL 442 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:24,399 Speaker 3: comeback in twenty five years, Colts Bronco or Colts Bucks 443 00:22:24,440 --> 00:22:27,600 Speaker 3: Monday Night Football. We all remember watching that one twenty 444 00:22:27,640 --> 00:22:32,640 Speaker 3: one point comeback, Peyton Manning Classic for that one just disaster. 445 00:22:33,480 --> 00:22:37,080 Speaker 3: You have the yardage before Denner's first eight drives, one 446 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 3: hundred and eleven yards. They're five drives that starting in 447 00:22:40,080 --> 00:22:42,920 Speaker 3: the fourth quarter, two hundred and ninety six yards, thirty 448 00:22:42,920 --> 00:22:46,280 Speaker 3: three points after just doing nothing. So I'm interested in 449 00:22:46,320 --> 00:22:49,200 Speaker 3: New York at least game to game, week to week. 450 00:22:49,240 --> 00:22:51,560 Speaker 3: Like you said, I think if Bowen goes, I've never 451 00:22:51,600 --> 00:22:53,240 Speaker 3: been a fan. He's always been one of my least 452 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 3: favorite defensive coordinators. He tends to, whatever the reason, his 453 00:22:57,880 --> 00:23:01,199 Speaker 3: teams tend to take away the run, even though the 454 00:23:01,320 --> 00:23:05,400 Speaker 3: runners are effective and sort of pass funnel, And that's 455 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:07,440 Speaker 3: just not the defense I want to have. I don't 456 00:23:07,480 --> 00:23:10,399 Speaker 3: want to entice you to pass more against me, especially 457 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:12,639 Speaker 3: when pauls and Nadibo is out on the sideline. So 458 00:23:13,320 --> 00:23:16,840 Speaker 3: maybe with all that talent there, all those defensive pass rushers, 459 00:23:16,840 --> 00:23:19,240 Speaker 3: a little bit of a different look or scheme could 460 00:23:19,240 --> 00:23:23,480 Speaker 3: be interesting there. To me, my takeaway is less, I'm 461 00:23:23,520 --> 00:23:26,440 Speaker 3: ready to keep betting the Giants, and it's more I'm 462 00:23:26,520 --> 00:23:30,040 Speaker 3: just ready to keep fading the Broncos. I faded Broncos 463 00:23:30,080 --> 00:23:32,879 Speaker 3: against New York two weeks in a row. I'm heartbroken. 464 00:23:32,920 --> 00:23:35,159 Speaker 3: I had the money line both times, and I feel like, 465 00:23:35,240 --> 00:23:37,880 Speaker 3: how does that at least one of those not come home? 466 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:42,399 Speaker 3: But denvers five and two. All games are ones. All 467 00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,120 Speaker 3: of their wins are one score, except against Jake Browning, 468 00:23:45,160 --> 00:23:49,479 Speaker 3: which was not exciting. They're now three straight ugly wins. 469 00:23:49,520 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 3: They were shut out against the Giants till late and 470 00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:55,480 Speaker 3: the Eagles till late. They won, but the first three 471 00:23:55,560 --> 00:23:57,959 Speaker 3: quarters count two, and then whatever the Jets was that 472 00:23:58,040 --> 00:24:02,040 Speaker 3: wasn't pretty either. Offensively. I think you could probably argue 473 00:24:02,280 --> 00:24:05,240 Speaker 3: based on just like kind of coin flippy one score games, 474 00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:07,880 Speaker 3: there probably should be three and four, not five and two. 475 00:24:08,320 --> 00:24:13,240 Speaker 3: But it's the AFC. We need playoff teams five and two. 476 00:24:13,359 --> 00:24:16,680 Speaker 3: Having gotten these results, you're probably gonna be a playoff team. 477 00:24:16,680 --> 00:24:19,359 Speaker 3: I don't think that bet Is missed the playoffs. These 478 00:24:19,440 --> 00:24:22,960 Speaker 3: banked wins count. However, in the next few weeks. I 479 00:24:23,000 --> 00:24:27,360 Speaker 3: think in the next under a month, Cowboys, Texans, Chiefs, 480 00:24:27,920 --> 00:24:30,120 Speaker 3: those are teams I feel pretty good about, at least 481 00:24:30,200 --> 00:24:32,760 Speaker 3: something about them, and I cannot say that necessarily about 482 00:24:32,760 --> 00:24:35,879 Speaker 3: Denver right now. So I think you may be looking 483 00:24:35,880 --> 00:24:37,600 Speaker 3: to bet the Giants week to week. I think I 484 00:24:37,600 --> 00:24:39,879 Speaker 3: will continue to look to fade the Broncos week two 485 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:40,600 Speaker 3: week right now. 486 00:24:41,720 --> 00:24:43,760 Speaker 4: Yeah, and talk about a difference of styles coming up 487 00:24:43,800 --> 00:24:47,040 Speaker 4: for Denver facing Dallas and Houston in back to back weeks, 488 00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,840 Speaker 4: that's true. Definitely, definitely and definitely definitely different matchups there. 489 00:24:50,840 --> 00:24:54,320 Speaker 4: All right, let's keep roling Eagles and Vikings. Philly wins 490 00:24:54,320 --> 00:24:57,800 Speaker 4: the game twenty eight to twenty two in Minnesota, cover 491 00:24:58,000 --> 00:25:00,760 Speaker 4: the two and a half point spread. Total goes over 492 00:25:00,880 --> 00:25:05,200 Speaker 4: forty four. This was labeled as the Brandon Anderson Revenge Game, 493 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 4: No Carson Wentz revenge game, which I know we were 494 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:11,560 Speaker 4: talking about a lot on our Best Bets pod, But listen. 495 00:25:11,600 --> 00:25:14,000 Speaker 4: The game starts with a twelve play Philly drive and 496 00:25:14,119 --> 00:25:17,160 Speaker 4: with the aj Brown first target of the game, which 497 00:25:17,200 --> 00:25:21,159 Speaker 4: is a thirty seven yard touchdown pass over the top, beautiful, 498 00:25:21,359 --> 00:25:23,840 Speaker 4: something we've been waiting for week to week in this 499 00:25:24,320 --> 00:25:26,919 Speaker 4: which seems like never ending conversation about getting him more 500 00:25:26,960 --> 00:25:31,200 Speaker 4: involved in the offense. And after that point, I feel 501 00:25:31,200 --> 00:25:34,080 Speaker 4: like in watching this game, Minnesota was just playing catch 502 00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,239 Speaker 4: up the entire time, especially after the interception. Went back 503 00:25:37,280 --> 00:25:39,680 Speaker 4: to back drives for Wentz, including the pick six pick 504 00:25:39,760 --> 00:25:43,520 Speaker 4: six Like week, I mean, drive after drive, I just 505 00:25:43,520 --> 00:25:45,960 Speaker 4: felt like they were playing catch up after that first 506 00:25:46,359 --> 00:25:49,480 Speaker 4: really strong Philly drive that end in that touchdown, and 507 00:25:49,600 --> 00:25:52,919 Speaker 4: from there, you know, the numbers don't look gorgeous, like 508 00:25:52,920 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 4: Philly goes over one in the red zone, but that's 509 00:25:55,040 --> 00:25:58,000 Speaker 4: because Hurts had long touchdowns. So I think there's certain 510 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:03,080 Speaker 4: reasons for some of the numbers. But Philly's eight penalties 511 00:26:03,119 --> 00:26:05,400 Speaker 4: isn't beautiful, but it seems like that doesn't matter week 512 00:26:05,400 --> 00:26:07,440 Speaker 4: to week. So what do you look for here? 513 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:08,080 Speaker 5: Uh? 514 00:26:08,200 --> 00:26:10,160 Speaker 4: You know, I don't know necessarily if we're gonna get 515 00:26:10,160 --> 00:26:13,120 Speaker 4: Wentz or McCarthy going forward, but from Philly, I feel 516 00:26:13,119 --> 00:26:14,680 Speaker 4: like it's just the same story week to week. 517 00:26:15,520 --> 00:26:17,639 Speaker 3: So the Vikings play Thursday, so I'm gonna have to 518 00:26:17,640 --> 00:26:20,280 Speaker 3: assume we get Wentz at least one more game. You 519 00:26:20,280 --> 00:26:23,639 Speaker 3: don't bring back McCarthy on two career games with you know, 520 00:26:23,680 --> 00:26:26,280 Speaker 3: two days to prep basically after being away so long, 521 00:26:26,400 --> 00:26:29,760 Speaker 3: So I think that sets up for one more game against. 522 00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 4: When should get it? When should get Yeah? 523 00:26:31,560 --> 00:26:33,600 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you should because that also then gives 524 00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:35,639 Speaker 3: you kind of the mini bye, and that's when I 525 00:26:35,680 --> 00:26:38,439 Speaker 3: thought that McCarthy would get healthy last week during the 526 00:26:38,440 --> 00:26:41,000 Speaker 3: bye and play for this one, not necessarily when you 527 00:26:41,040 --> 00:26:43,199 Speaker 3: want to bring them back anyways against the Eagles, but 528 00:26:43,280 --> 00:26:46,520 Speaker 3: he wasn't apparently healthy enough yet supposedly, so I think 529 00:26:46,640 --> 00:26:48,840 Speaker 3: this now will be the Okay, one more Wentz game 530 00:26:48,840 --> 00:26:51,000 Speaker 3: against the Chargers, and then you kind of use the 531 00:26:51,000 --> 00:26:53,960 Speaker 3: mini by and say, Okay, it's time, and certainly I 532 00:26:54,000 --> 00:26:57,840 Speaker 3: think we can put to bed any controversy supposedly over 533 00:26:57,880 --> 00:27:01,080 Speaker 3: who the quarterback is. Just too many mistakes for my guy, 534 00:27:01,200 --> 00:27:07,159 Speaker 3: Carson Ewents, two interceptions, two sacks, a fumble, the pick six. Look, 535 00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:10,520 Speaker 3: I understand a Vikings fan, I understand I played the 536 00:27:10,560 --> 00:27:13,120 Speaker 3: Vikings today, so it's gonna come off sour grapes. As 537 00:27:13,119 --> 00:27:15,520 Speaker 3: an analyst, this is what I think about the game. 538 00:27:16,400 --> 00:27:18,760 Speaker 3: I think Eagles still look fraudulent to me, and I 539 00:27:18,800 --> 00:27:21,960 Speaker 3: think Jalen Hurts still looks pretty fraudulent to me. Everyone's 540 00:27:22,000 --> 00:27:24,280 Speaker 3: tweeting out all the amazing stats of oh, this is 541 00:27:24,359 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 3: Jalen Hurts's best game ever. No, Jalen Hurts played amazing 542 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:29,920 Speaker 3: games in the Super Bowl. Both of them. Jalen Hurts 543 00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,760 Speaker 3: has had incredible moments in this game. Jalen Hurts was 544 00:27:33,800 --> 00:27:37,359 Speaker 3: a glorified college quarterback throwing jump balls down the sideline 545 00:27:37,760 --> 00:27:42,120 Speaker 3: against a defense that challenged a subpar quarterback to beat 546 00:27:42,119 --> 00:27:45,359 Speaker 3: them deep and lost. Flores challenged them to do what 547 00:27:45,440 --> 00:27:47,760 Speaker 3: they did, and he was wrong and he got beat 548 00:27:47,800 --> 00:27:51,520 Speaker 3: by them. So the Eagles win. But Jalen Hurts finishes 549 00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:56,240 Speaker 3: with very pretty stats because five times he chucked it deep. 550 00:27:56,560 --> 00:27:58,800 Speaker 3: And it turns out when you have aj Brown and 551 00:27:58,800 --> 00:28:01,440 Speaker 3: DeVante Smith are pretty good targets to chuck it deep. 552 00:28:01,480 --> 00:28:03,560 Speaker 3: Maybe do more of that Philadelphia, that would be good. 553 00:28:03,880 --> 00:28:06,760 Speaker 3: In credit words, due, I have dumped a lot on 554 00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:10,399 Speaker 3: Kevin Patulo, the offensive coordinator. They change it up a 555 00:28:10,440 --> 00:28:13,000 Speaker 3: little bit. They had some under center play action, some 556 00:28:13,040 --> 00:28:16,199 Speaker 3: deep passes here, some tendency breakers. They were coming off 557 00:28:16,240 --> 00:28:19,080 Speaker 3: the mini by themselves, so I think that that worked well. 558 00:28:19,160 --> 00:28:23,800 Speaker 3: Buttilla maybe finding some answers here, But five deep passes 559 00:28:24,240 --> 00:28:27,600 Speaker 3: they connected all five for three, all three touchdowns from 560 00:28:27,640 --> 00:28:30,600 Speaker 3: Hurtz twenty six, twenty eight, thirty seven, forty five and 561 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:34,800 Speaker 3: seventy nine yards. That's the five deep passes. Obviously, that's 562 00:28:34,920 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 3: huge for them. Those five passes two hundred and fifteen 563 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:41,880 Speaker 3: yards twenty three EPA. The rest of Jalen Hurts game 564 00:28:42,360 --> 00:28:45,520 Speaker 3: fourteen of eighteen one hundred and nine yards minus four EPA, 565 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:50,840 Speaker 3: so those five plays count. They won the game for Philadelphia. 566 00:28:50,880 --> 00:28:54,280 Speaker 3: But let's not pretend the Eagles just magically solved their 567 00:28:54,280 --> 00:28:57,960 Speaker 3: offense and magically fixed their passing game because one play 568 00:28:57,960 --> 00:29:01,320 Speaker 3: a quarter broke right for them. It's not nothing, but 569 00:29:01,320 --> 00:29:04,120 Speaker 3: it's not everything either, And I think people are going 570 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:07,840 Speaker 3: to overreact to this for Philadelphia. I think it's a step, 571 00:29:07,880 --> 00:29:12,160 Speaker 3: but I don't think it's everything. Yet. We saw very creatively. 572 00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:14,320 Speaker 3: We're seeing teams more and more trying to come up 573 00:29:14,360 --> 00:29:16,480 Speaker 3: with what are we doing against the toush push. The 574 00:29:16,600 --> 00:29:18,880 Speaker 3: Vikings did the thing that we're now seeing soccer games 575 00:29:18,920 --> 00:29:22,640 Speaker 3: sometimes talking kick you lay a guy down behind the 576 00:29:22,680 --> 00:29:25,600 Speaker 3: wall so they can't go low. The Vikings literally have 577 00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:28,080 Speaker 3: a dude laying down in front of the ball to 578 00:29:28,200 --> 00:29:31,480 Speaker 3: just like stop the leverage or get like. Imagine you 579 00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:34,040 Speaker 3: go to practice on Monday and coach comes in and says, 580 00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:37,160 Speaker 3: guess what, Evan, your job this week is to lay 581 00:29:37,200 --> 00:29:39,360 Speaker 3: down on the field. That's what we're using you for. 582 00:29:40,040 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 3: So I don't. They did get a penalty on one 583 00:29:42,680 --> 00:29:45,760 Speaker 3: of the Tousch pushes, so I guess that's that. Eagles 584 00:29:45,800 --> 00:29:50,280 Speaker 3: now five and two all five one score wins Cowboys 585 00:29:50,400 --> 00:29:53,200 Speaker 3: in the opener, remember that one Chiefs. We remember the 586 00:29:53,280 --> 00:29:58,160 Speaker 3: Kelsey tipped interception, Rams Box, the crazy back door cover 587 00:29:58,520 --> 00:30:01,320 Speaker 3: you know, hurd around the world. Now this Vikings game, 588 00:30:01,640 --> 00:30:04,160 Speaker 3: Vikings went one of six in the red zone and 589 00:30:04,320 --> 00:30:06,720 Speaker 3: had to pick six and lost by under a score 590 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,160 Speaker 3: and had a chance late. I think the Vikings was 591 00:30:09,200 --> 00:30:11,560 Speaker 3: the right side here, and again I know that's going 592 00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:13,920 Speaker 3: to sound sour grapes. I'm looking at the stats. I'm 593 00:30:13,920 --> 00:30:17,120 Speaker 3: analyzing this with any other game. I think the Eagles, 594 00:30:17,720 --> 00:30:20,840 Speaker 3: like the Broncos we just talked about, have to continue 595 00:30:20,840 --> 00:30:22,280 Speaker 3: to be a team that I want to look to 596 00:30:22,320 --> 00:30:25,880 Speaker 3: fade game to game, and in Philly's case, in the NFC, 597 00:30:25,960 --> 00:30:28,760 Speaker 3: in a competitive division, I think maybe still to even 598 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:31,000 Speaker 3: miss the playoffs. So they can't figure this out better. 599 00:30:31,440 --> 00:30:36,960 Speaker 3: They get the Giants rematch next, then Packers, Lions, Cowboys Bears, Chargers. 600 00:30:37,400 --> 00:30:40,080 Speaker 3: It's not an easy schedule and this team has to 601 00:30:40,120 --> 00:30:42,880 Speaker 3: do more than one good past a quarter, and I 602 00:30:42,920 --> 00:30:46,280 Speaker 3: think this was a right step, but it's not everything yet. 603 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:49,840 Speaker 4: I'm just laughing because I feel like when you say they, 604 00:30:49,960 --> 00:30:53,360 Speaker 4: you know, we talk about weren't the right side? Were 605 00:30:53,400 --> 00:30:56,280 Speaker 4: the right side? And I feel like you can say 606 00:30:56,280 --> 00:30:58,800 Speaker 4: Philly wasn't the right side, and really every one of 607 00:30:58,840 --> 00:31:03,320 Speaker 4: their games this season almost on some degree, it feels 608 00:31:03,360 --> 00:31:06,200 Speaker 4: like it. And then I tell you this stat because 609 00:31:06,240 --> 00:31:08,560 Speaker 4: I get curious when I see numbers like the Philly 610 00:31:08,680 --> 00:31:11,760 Speaker 4: eight penalties in today's game, and you know, obviously they 611 00:31:11,800 --> 00:31:14,640 Speaker 4: win and cover the game, but Philly is fourteen and five, 612 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:17,160 Speaker 4: and you're gonna say, Okay, well, Philly has a really 613 00:31:17,200 --> 00:31:20,120 Speaker 4: good record anyway, and it's true, but to say that 614 00:31:20,240 --> 00:31:22,880 Speaker 4: they're fourteen and five with eight plus penalties since twenty 615 00:31:22,960 --> 00:31:26,400 Speaker 4: twenty one, I mean, these things kind of just don't matter, Like, Okay, 616 00:31:26,440 --> 00:31:29,160 Speaker 4: sometimes they bring the pass game, sometimes they don't. I 617 00:31:29,200 --> 00:31:32,400 Speaker 4: think the biggest issue this season's been the run game. 618 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:35,000 Speaker 4: Like I still look and the numbers at the end 619 00:31:35,040 --> 00:31:37,200 Speaker 4: of the day are what twenty three carries forty five 620 00:31:37,280 --> 00:31:41,560 Speaker 4: total yards and then you look, I believe Saquon forty 621 00:31:41,640 --> 00:31:45,200 Speaker 4: one yards after contact of those like forty four forty 622 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:48,400 Speaker 4: five total yards, which tells me, I mean he's getting 623 00:31:48,440 --> 00:31:51,760 Speaker 4: hit behind the line of scrimmage way too frequently this season. 624 00:31:51,880 --> 00:31:54,880 Speaker 4: I think it's impacting a ton of his different stats. 625 00:31:54,960 --> 00:31:57,840 Speaker 4: I didn't check the updated stats today, but I'm sure 626 00:31:57,880 --> 00:32:01,640 Speaker 4: his second half numbers continue to be terrible. And even 627 00:32:01,720 --> 00:32:05,000 Speaker 4: though Philly figures out a way in a different multitude 628 00:32:05,000 --> 00:32:07,480 Speaker 4: of different I don't want to say, you know, yeah, yeah, 629 00:32:07,520 --> 00:32:11,960 Speaker 4: like ways in week to week. I feel like there 630 00:32:12,000 --> 00:32:13,400 Speaker 4: is still a problem there. 631 00:32:13,560 --> 00:32:17,240 Speaker 3: So yeah, sikuon eighteen for forty four two point four 632 00:32:17,360 --> 00:32:20,920 Speaker 3: yards of carries. This is not happening. And that's minus 633 00:32:21,080 --> 00:32:25,160 Speaker 3: nine EPA on Saquon runs for the game. So don't 634 00:32:25,160 --> 00:32:27,520 Speaker 3: tell me Philadelphia is fixed and knows what they're doing 635 00:32:27,560 --> 00:32:30,320 Speaker 3: offensively when they cannot run the ball, like every run 636 00:32:30,720 --> 00:32:33,160 Speaker 3: they run right now, not every run the push push 637 00:32:33,240 --> 00:32:36,480 Speaker 3: is still the cheat code play, but most runs they're 638 00:32:36,480 --> 00:32:40,840 Speaker 3: doing are negatively impacting the team. They are not wearing 639 00:32:40,840 --> 00:32:43,680 Speaker 3: opponents down because they can't stick with it. The line 640 00:32:43,720 --> 00:32:47,080 Speaker 3: is not dominating like it has before, and so I 641 00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:50,280 Speaker 3: think it's a real problem for the team. Typically. Look, 642 00:32:50,680 --> 00:32:52,720 Speaker 3: they just play the Giants a week ago, and that 643 00:32:52,920 --> 00:32:55,280 Speaker 3: was my look ahead or hot RD or something, because 644 00:32:55,680 --> 00:32:59,120 Speaker 3: for years they've demolished the Giants. All they do is 645 00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:02,040 Speaker 3: just run the ball down their throat game after game, 646 00:33:02,600 --> 00:33:04,560 Speaker 3: and that was the cap and they can't they can't 647 00:33:04,560 --> 00:33:06,560 Speaker 3: do it. They have not been able to run the ball. 648 00:33:06,880 --> 00:33:08,880 Speaker 3: And they just didn't run the ball against the Giants 649 00:33:08,920 --> 00:33:11,640 Speaker 3: in the loss that frankly, they weren't competitive in in 650 00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:14,120 Speaker 3: that game. And now they play the Giants again next 651 00:33:14,160 --> 00:33:17,120 Speaker 3: and typically it's like a minus seven right now, that 652 00:33:17,160 --> 00:33:19,080 Speaker 3: would be a hot read for me. Normally it's like, oh, 653 00:33:19,080 --> 00:33:20,800 Speaker 3: I know the Eagles, They'll just run all over them. 654 00:33:20,800 --> 00:33:24,000 Speaker 3: That's fine, done, no more analysis needed. And it just 655 00:33:24,080 --> 00:33:27,080 Speaker 3: has not been that team this season. So I think 656 00:33:27,080 --> 00:33:31,600 Speaker 3: that that is definitely a real problem for them. This 657 00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,840 Speaker 3: team's identity, like we want them to pass more, and 658 00:33:34,880 --> 00:33:37,200 Speaker 3: they found some answers passing on a few of those 659 00:33:37,200 --> 00:33:40,640 Speaker 3: downfield plays. But if they can't run the ball, that's 660 00:33:40,880 --> 00:33:43,080 Speaker 3: that's who this team is, that's what they're built to 661 00:33:43,160 --> 00:33:46,959 Speaker 3: be able to do. And Saquan has I think still 662 00:33:47,320 --> 00:33:50,840 Speaker 3: only had like one rush all season over like seventeen 663 00:33:50,920 --> 00:33:53,600 Speaker 3: yard or something like. He's just not getting those big 664 00:33:53,640 --> 00:33:57,440 Speaker 3: long plays. He's getting hit contact right away. Minnesota's run 665 00:33:57,480 --> 00:33:59,680 Speaker 3: defense is not played well this season. That has been 666 00:33:59,720 --> 00:34:02,680 Speaker 3: a week spot for the team, and again same to 667 00:34:02,720 --> 00:34:06,680 Speaker 3: the Giants, as the game before, we're getting Philly against 668 00:34:06,720 --> 00:34:09,279 Speaker 3: teams they should be beating in the ground game the 669 00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:12,359 Speaker 3: way they normally do, and it's just not happening this year. 670 00:34:12,440 --> 00:34:14,400 Speaker 3: So I think it's a real concern, especially with a 671 00:34:14,440 --> 00:34:15,839 Speaker 3: schedule a pretty tough coming up. 672 00:34:16,960 --> 00:34:18,960 Speaker 4: Yeah, in terms of perception as well. I mean, the 673 00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:21,400 Speaker 4: look ahead on that Giants game is ten and a half. 674 00:34:21,680 --> 00:34:23,719 Speaker 4: You even got some eight and a halfs when that 675 00:34:23,800 --> 00:34:26,719 Speaker 4: lined open, now down to seven. So I think the 676 00:34:26,760 --> 00:34:28,560 Speaker 4: market and some of the betters, at least early week 677 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:30,600 Speaker 4: kind of talent kind of telling you what they think. 678 00:34:30,880 --> 00:34:33,240 Speaker 4: All right, So before we move on, do not forget 679 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:35,279 Speaker 4: to sign up for action Pro for real time pick 680 00:34:35,280 --> 00:34:38,799 Speaker 4: alerts from expers like Brandon Anderson, Chris Raybond Stuck, our 681 00:34:38,920 --> 00:34:41,879 Speaker 4: entire action network team. Plus you can access our pro 682 00:34:41,920 --> 00:34:45,560 Speaker 4: projections powered by Sean Kerner and our predictive analytics team. 683 00:34:45,600 --> 00:34:48,760 Speaker 4: Just go to actionework dot com slash pro get twenty 684 00:34:48,800 --> 00:34:51,360 Speaker 4: dollars off the annual price with the promo code POD 685 00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:54,880 Speaker 4: twenty Pod twenty. Don't miss out on the best bets 686 00:34:55,239 --> 00:34:58,400 Speaker 4: at the best prices. Visit Actioneerwork dot Com slash Pro 687 00:34:58,760 --> 00:35:02,279 Speaker 4: use promo code podo to get twenty dollars off a 688 00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:06,359 Speaker 4: year of Action pro alrighty, then let's keep rolling here, 689 00:35:06,360 --> 00:35:09,160 Speaker 4: and now we're gonna talk about green Bay and Arizona. 690 00:35:09,200 --> 00:35:11,960 Speaker 4: So green Bay wins the game twenty seven to twenty three. 691 00:35:12,360 --> 00:35:17,080 Speaker 4: Arizona covers as a seven point underdog. Total goes over 692 00:35:17,200 --> 00:35:20,560 Speaker 4: forty four and a half to me just watching this game, 693 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:22,600 Speaker 4: and it's kind of odd to say, because they do 694 00:35:22,760 --> 00:35:25,920 Speaker 4: end up with twenty seven points, but green Bay's offense 695 00:35:26,040 --> 00:35:29,480 Speaker 4: just to me so inconsistent from week to week, even 696 00:35:29,600 --> 00:35:33,720 Speaker 4: drive to drive ninety eight total yards in the first half, 697 00:35:33,760 --> 00:35:36,560 Speaker 4: they go one to five on third down. They just 698 00:35:36,640 --> 00:35:40,279 Speaker 4: seem so out of whack, and obviously they get there 699 00:35:40,320 --> 00:35:42,959 Speaker 4: in the end, but to start turnover on downs, field 700 00:35:43,000 --> 00:35:45,840 Speaker 4: goal punt, field goal punt, and just not be able 701 00:35:45,840 --> 00:35:50,160 Speaker 4: to find themselves drive to drive, it was just odd 702 00:35:50,200 --> 00:35:53,279 Speaker 4: to me. Now this year two and four first half 703 00:35:53,320 --> 00:35:56,160 Speaker 4: team total over for green Bay. So it's been a 704 00:35:56,200 --> 00:35:58,160 Speaker 4: bit of a story that's taken some time for them 705 00:35:58,200 --> 00:36:01,160 Speaker 4: to get into some of these games. And I feel 706 00:36:01,239 --> 00:36:04,160 Speaker 4: like one of the biggest players they needed to get 707 00:36:04,160 --> 00:36:07,360 Speaker 4: back into this one's Craft leads them in targets and 708 00:36:07,480 --> 00:36:09,880 Speaker 4: was there on some key downs. But what do you 709 00:36:09,920 --> 00:36:11,640 Speaker 4: take out of this Green Bay Arizona game. 710 00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:14,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm kind of with you on just it just 711 00:36:14,120 --> 00:36:17,279 Speaker 3: feels blah with this Packers team, Like it feels like 712 00:36:17,320 --> 00:36:21,200 Speaker 3: they should be so good and the numbers aren't terrible, 713 00:36:21,200 --> 00:36:23,719 Speaker 3: they're just never quite what they seem like they should be. 714 00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:27,440 Speaker 3: That they play so slow, and that's a Matt Lafleur 715 00:36:27,560 --> 00:36:30,880 Speaker 3: thing year after a year, and I feel like this 716 00:36:30,960 --> 00:36:33,680 Speaker 3: almost reminds me of like various NBA teams where it's 717 00:36:33,719 --> 00:36:35,920 Speaker 3: a really good defensive team and they're really better, like 718 00:36:35,960 --> 00:36:40,040 Speaker 3: possession by possession, or even think like Virginia in like 719 00:36:40,160 --> 00:36:42,600 Speaker 3: March Madness, where it's like, Okay, we know you're better, 720 00:36:42,960 --> 00:36:46,480 Speaker 3: but when you play so slow, you have less chances 721 00:36:46,520 --> 00:36:49,400 Speaker 3: to be better than the opponent even though you are better. 722 00:36:49,640 --> 00:36:51,520 Speaker 3: You're leaving room for variance there. And I think the 723 00:36:51,520 --> 00:36:53,600 Speaker 3: Packers are doing that a little bit. By the pace 724 00:36:53,640 --> 00:36:56,920 Speaker 3: of play. They're being so run heavy as well, and 725 00:36:56,960 --> 00:36:59,560 Speaker 3: then they just dial up these big explosive shots down 726 00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 3: the field. When it works, it's beautiful. We love watching 727 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:06,200 Speaker 3: jord Love. It's not Toyota than yet though I literally 728 00:37:06,200 --> 00:37:09,439 Speaker 3: googled today when toyotathon. There's still more than a month 729 00:37:09,480 --> 00:37:12,080 Speaker 3: away until like all these things start hitting for them, 730 00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:15,920 Speaker 3: and so it just feels like the offense is leaving 731 00:37:15,960 --> 00:37:18,520 Speaker 3: something on the table and not quite right. I think 732 00:37:18,520 --> 00:37:21,279 Speaker 3: the line has not been as good. The Packers can 733 00:37:21,320 --> 00:37:23,360 Speaker 3: just kind of like sub in dudes every year and 734 00:37:23,400 --> 00:37:25,920 Speaker 3: their line is good year after year. I don't think 735 00:37:25,960 --> 00:37:28,680 Speaker 3: that's been the case quite this season, So I think 736 00:37:28,680 --> 00:37:30,960 Speaker 3: that that's part of it. This game, to me, was 737 00:37:30,960 --> 00:37:34,200 Speaker 3: the defensive win for the Packers, particularly defensive by the 738 00:37:34,239 --> 00:37:39,560 Speaker 3: pass rush. Parsons was awesome. Parsons was incredible, three sacks 739 00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:41,319 Speaker 3: first time in his career, which is kind of crazy. 740 00:37:41,360 --> 00:37:43,320 Speaker 3: I can't believe he's never had a three sack game before. 741 00:37:44,040 --> 00:37:46,520 Speaker 3: Rayshan Gary has stripsack. I think they finished with six 742 00:37:46,640 --> 00:37:49,239 Speaker 3: sacks in this game. That won the game for them, 743 00:37:49,280 --> 00:37:54,239 Speaker 3: because the offense really wasn't dead the Packers. So they 744 00:37:54,239 --> 00:37:57,640 Speaker 3: had the tie against the Cowboys, they lost to the Browns. 745 00:37:57,760 --> 00:38:00,600 Speaker 3: They should have won those two games. They'd be six 746 00:38:00,640 --> 00:38:02,760 Speaker 3: and oh, they'd be the team we're all talking about. 747 00:38:03,160 --> 00:38:07,000 Speaker 3: But they just kind of feel weirdly forgotten or overlooked, right, 748 00:38:07,080 --> 00:38:09,239 Speaker 3: even though they're four to one and one like they're 749 00:38:09,280 --> 00:38:12,600 Speaker 3: in good shape in the NFC, but just something feels 750 00:38:12,640 --> 00:38:14,759 Speaker 3: a little off. And I will say, I think I 751 00:38:14,800 --> 00:38:18,200 Speaker 3: saw their flight got in like super late last night. 752 00:38:18,239 --> 00:38:20,839 Speaker 3: They got stalled on the tarmac. So maybe that's it, 753 00:38:20,920 --> 00:38:24,600 Speaker 3: you know, maybe that's part of the thing. Arizona has 754 00:38:24,640 --> 00:38:27,320 Speaker 3: played all one score games all season. They've now lost 755 00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:32,239 Speaker 3: five in a row. But Arizona played New Orleans and 756 00:38:32,800 --> 00:38:36,319 Speaker 3: I forget who Carolina. They're playing the bottom teams of 757 00:38:36,320 --> 00:38:38,440 Speaker 3: the league basically even, and we're like, I don't know, 758 00:38:38,560 --> 00:38:40,719 Speaker 3: not that impressed by that. Well, now they've played the 759 00:38:40,719 --> 00:38:42,880 Speaker 3: Packers basically even, So then what do we do with 760 00:38:42,920 --> 00:38:46,440 Speaker 3: the Packers by transitive property? If that's how that's going. 761 00:38:46,520 --> 00:38:51,120 Speaker 3: So Packers Sunday Night against the Steelers. Next week, they 762 00:38:51,200 --> 00:38:53,680 Speaker 3: played the Eagles in primetime. A couple of weeks from now. 763 00:38:54,000 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 3: We're gonna see more of this team in primetime. We're 764 00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,359 Speaker 3: gonna get some interesting tests against teams that we think 765 00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:02,719 Speaker 3: maybe are a little bit overrated. But is that the 766 00:39:02,760 --> 00:39:06,640 Speaker 3: Packers or metrics wise, maybe it's not. The Packers don't 767 00:39:07,520 --> 00:39:11,240 Speaker 3: every week I feel like I come into I watched 768 00:39:11,320 --> 00:39:13,560 Speaker 3: the game, I kind of saw happening on red zone 769 00:39:13,560 --> 00:39:16,480 Speaker 3: and I'm like, man, why aren't the Packers better? And 770 00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:18,759 Speaker 3: I dig into the numbers, I'm like, well, I mean, 771 00:39:18,920 --> 00:39:21,719 Speaker 3: it's kind of mostly fine. It's not all that much. 772 00:39:21,760 --> 00:39:24,080 Speaker 3: So I think it's a tempo thing. I think they're 773 00:39:24,120 --> 00:39:26,200 Speaker 3: kind of playing with their food. I think they're two 774 00:39:26,880 --> 00:39:30,880 Speaker 3: reliant on those explosive plays, but it doesn't seem like 775 00:39:30,960 --> 00:39:32,600 Speaker 3: everything has come together yet for them. 776 00:39:33,560 --> 00:39:37,160 Speaker 4: I kind of agree. I think coming up with Pittsburgh, 777 00:39:37,239 --> 00:39:40,560 Speaker 4: Carolina and Philly next three games, and even to say 778 00:39:40,560 --> 00:39:43,160 Speaker 4: this about Carolina, who sits there at four and three, 779 00:39:43,560 --> 00:39:46,400 Speaker 4: but to me, I mean, I guess you're getting Carolina 780 00:39:46,480 --> 00:39:49,680 Speaker 4: on the road. And it took basically, you know, a 781 00:39:49,760 --> 00:39:51,680 Speaker 4: Jets like performance on the other side for them to 782 00:39:51,680 --> 00:39:57,520 Speaker 4: look even you know, mediocre on the road today. But Pittsburgh, Carolina, 783 00:39:57,560 --> 00:39:59,920 Speaker 4: Philly not not the easiest road for Green Bay. So 784 00:40:00,200 --> 00:40:02,279 Speaker 4: the way I look at it is, this is kind 785 00:40:02,280 --> 00:40:05,600 Speaker 4: of an important win for them with this difficult stretch 786 00:40:05,640 --> 00:40:08,160 Speaker 4: and having to face the pass rush in a lot 787 00:40:08,200 --> 00:40:11,160 Speaker 4: on the other side of next week, with the difficulty 788 00:40:11,200 --> 00:40:13,839 Speaker 4: on their offensive line today, you just don't know what's 789 00:40:13,880 --> 00:40:15,719 Speaker 4: going to happen that game. There's gonna be some emotions 790 00:40:15,719 --> 00:40:19,120 Speaker 4: with Rogers as well in that matchup, so you know 791 00:40:19,160 --> 00:40:21,360 Speaker 4: Sunday night football, a lot can happen there. To me, 792 00:40:21,760 --> 00:40:24,680 Speaker 4: couldn't drop this one, especially after the Dallas and Cleveland games, 793 00:40:24,760 --> 00:40:27,040 Speaker 4: so they get the win. To me, it's probably the 794 00:40:27,120 --> 00:40:32,000 Speaker 4: most important thing in terms of the Cardinals. They've now 795 00:40:32,040 --> 00:40:35,879 Speaker 4: lost five straight. This is unbelievable. Five straight games by 796 00:40:35,960 --> 00:40:39,920 Speaker 4: four points or less. So talk about situations where this 797 00:40:40,040 --> 00:40:43,560 Speaker 4: season could be completely different for a team. But I 798 00:40:43,600 --> 00:40:47,040 Speaker 4: believe when I look this up, only twenty seventeen San 799 00:40:47,080 --> 00:40:51,440 Speaker 4: Francisco lost five straight games by four points or less. 800 00:40:51,480 --> 00:40:54,560 Speaker 4: Absolutely crazy to be in that situation. It feels just 801 00:40:54,719 --> 00:40:58,880 Speaker 4: so close week to week. I don't think I have 802 00:40:59,040 --> 00:41:02,680 Speaker 4: like terrible things to say about Jacoby Brissette when you 803 00:41:02,760 --> 00:41:06,080 Speaker 4: put up that type of performance. Only had one fumble 804 00:41:06,160 --> 00:41:09,080 Speaker 4: that really brought them out of the game, but other 805 00:41:09,160 --> 00:41:10,960 Speaker 4: than that, he's the reason they were in it the 806 00:41:11,080 --> 00:41:15,279 Speaker 4: entire time. Two hundred and seventy nine yards passing, two touchdowns, 807 00:41:15,560 --> 00:41:18,759 Speaker 4: no picks, and at a little kyler a little six 808 00:41:19,040 --> 00:41:21,399 Speaker 4: six to twenty six on the ground, which he tends 809 00:41:21,480 --> 00:41:24,560 Speaker 4: to give you every once in a while. I liked it. 810 00:41:24,600 --> 00:41:26,919 Speaker 4: I mean week to week, I feel like he gives 811 00:41:26,960 --> 00:41:32,160 Speaker 4: them a lot more balance and less you know, all 812 00:41:32,200 --> 00:41:35,560 Speaker 4: over the place. Like Kyler is more turnover worthy, I 813 00:41:35,600 --> 00:41:38,120 Speaker 4: feel like than j Jacoby Brissette. But maybe I'm wrong. 814 00:41:39,400 --> 00:41:41,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, I believe they're going into the bye week now, 815 00:41:41,560 --> 00:41:43,799 Speaker 3: so I'm going to assume that they arrested Kyler one 816 00:41:43,800 --> 00:41:45,719 Speaker 3: more time and that he will be back after That's 817 00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:48,160 Speaker 3: your franchise quarterback. And you know, Jacoby is not the 818 00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:51,560 Speaker 3: long term answer, but correct at two and five, you're 819 00:41:51,600 --> 00:41:53,960 Speaker 3: not looking for a short term answer either. Like it's 820 00:41:54,239 --> 00:41:56,759 Speaker 3: we are teetering very close with the Cardinals on the 821 00:41:56,760 --> 00:41:58,840 Speaker 3: brink of a last season. It shouldn't be like you said, 822 00:41:58,880 --> 00:42:01,640 Speaker 3: five straight losses by four or less. Just win a 823 00:42:01,680 --> 00:42:03,280 Speaker 3: couple of those and you're in the mix of things. 824 00:42:03,320 --> 00:42:05,279 Speaker 3: But the NFC is pretty unforgiving this year. 825 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:09,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, the crazy stats since Kyler arrived in twenty nineteen. 826 00:42:09,280 --> 00:42:13,040 Speaker 4: QB's not named Kyler. Four and sixteen straight up now 827 00:42:13,160 --> 00:42:16,200 Speaker 4: for the Cardinals, two and fifteen since twenty twenty two. 828 00:42:16,320 --> 00:42:18,960 Speaker 4: So they just cannot find themselves a win. All right, 829 00:42:19,040 --> 00:42:22,600 Speaker 4: let's keep rolling here. Washington and Dallas. Dallas wins forty 830 00:42:22,680 --> 00:42:27,160 Speaker 4: four twenty two covers as minus one and a half 831 00:42:27,239 --> 00:42:30,360 Speaker 4: on clothes at home, total goes over fifty five and 832 00:42:30,360 --> 00:42:32,960 Speaker 4: a half on clothes got ticked up a few points 833 00:42:33,040 --> 00:42:35,919 Speaker 4: right before closes. They're fifty five and a half on close. 834 00:42:36,000 --> 00:42:39,960 Speaker 4: You had no McLaurin, no Debo and Dallas, And to me, 835 00:42:40,040 --> 00:42:43,560 Speaker 4: the story is Dallas can't put Washington away, even with 836 00:42:43,840 --> 00:42:47,480 Speaker 4: good offense, good run game, no offense on the other 837 00:42:47,520 --> 00:42:51,439 Speaker 4: side from Washington really and just playing with their food 838 00:42:51,480 --> 00:42:53,560 Speaker 4: a little bit in this one, it felt like and 839 00:42:53,680 --> 00:42:57,239 Speaker 4: after a while, and Jayden's injury ends up being probably 840 00:42:57,680 --> 00:43:00,760 Speaker 4: the most noteworthy thing in the game because Dallas offense 841 00:43:00,800 --> 00:43:04,480 Speaker 4: continued to play really, really really well and their defense, 842 00:43:04,920 --> 00:43:06,560 Speaker 4: you know, not so bad in this one. But I 843 00:43:06,560 --> 00:43:08,880 Speaker 4: don't think they had an opportunity to be bad in 844 00:43:08,920 --> 00:43:11,400 Speaker 4: this game, is probably the way I would look at it. 845 00:43:11,440 --> 00:43:15,080 Speaker 4: But Dallas six and one to their team total over 846 00:43:15,080 --> 00:43:17,279 Speaker 4: in the first half, six and one to their team 847 00:43:17,280 --> 00:43:20,640 Speaker 4: total over in the entire game. All their games seems 848 00:43:20,640 --> 00:43:27,040 Speaker 4: to have a ton of points. But to me, Mri right, hamstring, 849 00:43:27,120 --> 00:43:29,040 Speaker 4: Jade and Daniels, that's probably the story in this one, 850 00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:32,440 Speaker 4: especially with Kansas City, Seattle and Detroit on deck for Washington. 851 00:43:33,440 --> 00:43:36,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree. I'll say about Daniels in a second, 852 00:43:36,160 --> 00:43:38,760 Speaker 3: but ceedee. Lamb finally back, had a big game, scores 853 00:43:38,760 --> 00:43:41,319 Speaker 3: a touchdown, one hundred and ten yards pickings. Still another 854 00:43:41,400 --> 00:43:44,400 Speaker 3: good game as well. Dak is playing great. Dak is 855 00:43:44,440 --> 00:43:47,799 Speaker 3: playing MVP level football with whatever the opposite of MVP 856 00:43:47,960 --> 00:43:50,279 Speaker 3: is as a defense, So it's probably not going to happen, 857 00:43:50,320 --> 00:43:53,000 Speaker 3: but they're hanging around. I didn't really feel like by 858 00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:55,200 Speaker 3: the numbers that this was really quite the blowout. It 859 00:43:55,480 --> 00:43:58,280 Speaker 3: was the Doron Bland pick six kind of blew things open, 860 00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:00,920 Speaker 3: but hey, look we had the blow it as later. 861 00:44:01,480 --> 00:44:05,720 Speaker 3: Cowboys by seven plus seventy, Cowboys by fourteen six to one, 862 00:44:05,960 --> 00:44:09,080 Speaker 3: Cowboys by twenty eleven to one. Obviously we lost the 863 00:44:09,160 --> 00:44:11,719 Speaker 3: Washington side of those, but that was fun to see 864 00:44:11,719 --> 00:44:14,719 Speaker 3: them run it up. Yeah, to me, I agree, that's 865 00:44:14,719 --> 00:44:19,000 Speaker 3: got to be that Daniels is the story Washington three 866 00:44:19,080 --> 00:44:21,880 Speaker 3: and four. They've yet to win back to back games. 867 00:44:22,320 --> 00:44:26,040 Speaker 3: Daniels is hurt again, already missed some games. I have 868 00:44:26,080 --> 00:44:28,839 Speaker 3: to assume they're going to be cautious. I know it's 869 00:44:28,880 --> 00:44:31,040 Speaker 3: not the same, it's not as big of an injury, 870 00:44:31,480 --> 00:44:35,280 Speaker 3: but it's a Washington quarterback, and man, I love Jane Daniels. 871 00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:38,560 Speaker 3: I want good things, but I'm sensing some like Robert 872 00:44:38,640 --> 00:44:41,680 Speaker 3: Griffin the third just as shades of it a little bit. 873 00:44:41,719 --> 00:44:43,879 Speaker 3: I want it not to be that. Right now. They're 874 00:44:43,880 --> 00:44:47,080 Speaker 3: missing their top three receivers also, and like you said, 875 00:44:47,600 --> 00:44:51,839 Speaker 3: at Kansas City, Seattle, Detroit, Man, that is a murderer's row. 876 00:44:51,960 --> 00:44:53,959 Speaker 3: Like that's like three of my top five or six 877 00:44:54,000 --> 00:44:59,000 Speaker 3: power rated teams right now. Then Miami Overseas, then the 878 00:44:59,040 --> 00:45:02,440 Speaker 3: bye week. If this is even remotely of a serious 879 00:45:02,440 --> 00:45:05,360 Speaker 3: injury to Daniels, I don't know. If he plays before 880 00:45:05,400 --> 00:45:07,600 Speaker 3: that bye week, they might be four and eight into 881 00:45:07,640 --> 00:45:10,680 Speaker 3: the buy and you're cooked in the NFC. If you're 882 00:45:10,719 --> 00:45:12,440 Speaker 3: four and eight that way, maybe the AFC might be 883 00:45:12,480 --> 00:45:15,160 Speaker 3: able to make a run. But we are again with 884 00:45:15,440 --> 00:45:19,240 Speaker 3: Washington with this upcoming schedule, Mariota is a huge dropoff, 885 00:45:19,320 --> 00:45:21,840 Speaker 3: and that that is very close to you on the 886 00:45:21,840 --> 00:45:24,840 Speaker 3: brink of a last season for them as well. Cowboys 887 00:45:24,840 --> 00:45:28,560 Speaker 3: three three and one at Denver, Arizona at Las Vegas. 888 00:45:28,880 --> 00:45:32,160 Speaker 3: If this offense keeps cooking like this, they could win 889 00:45:32,280 --> 00:45:34,279 Speaker 3: all three of those games and suddenly be one of 890 00:45:34,320 --> 00:45:37,520 Speaker 3: those teams we're really talking about, and then around Thanksgiving. 891 00:45:37,560 --> 00:45:39,680 Speaker 3: Of course, we know they'll play on Thanksgiving. I think 892 00:45:39,719 --> 00:45:42,960 Speaker 3: it's Chiefs on Thanksgiving with the Eagles the week before 893 00:45:43,000 --> 00:45:45,800 Speaker 3: and the Lines the week after that. So get ready 894 00:45:45,880 --> 00:45:49,319 Speaker 3: for lots of Cowboys offense talk and maybe some Dak 895 00:45:49,440 --> 00:45:54,160 Speaker 3: MVP sleeper talk and then Eagles, Chiefs Lions Cowboys games. 896 00:45:54,440 --> 00:45:56,160 Speaker 3: We're going to be seeing a lot of this team 897 00:45:56,239 --> 00:45:58,600 Speaker 3: and a lot of points. It turns out both ways. 898 00:46:00,280 --> 00:46:03,480 Speaker 4: Yeah, with the Jaden injury and the no mcclaurin and deebo, 899 00:46:03,680 --> 00:46:06,840 Speaker 4: I kind of felt like Washington was semi punting this 900 00:46:06,880 --> 00:46:09,080 Speaker 4: game a little bit early on. They were down twelve, 901 00:46:09,239 --> 00:46:11,400 Speaker 4: and I understand they're not pulling Jayden at that point, 902 00:46:11,480 --> 00:46:14,919 Speaker 4: but to me, Dallas's offense just overwhelmed in this one. 903 00:46:15,320 --> 00:46:19,080 Speaker 4: The stat I'll take forward Dallas now homeovers at three 904 00:46:19,120 --> 00:46:23,120 Speaker 4: and zero, fifteen and six homeovers last three years above 905 00:46:23,160 --> 00:46:25,920 Speaker 4: five hundred to the over at home at at and 906 00:46:25,960 --> 00:46:30,680 Speaker 4: t in the last eight seasons for Dallas. All right, 907 00:46:30,719 --> 00:46:35,759 Speaker 4: let's keep rowing Colts and Chargers. Indy wins this game 908 00:46:35,880 --> 00:46:38,719 Speaker 4: thirty eight to twenty four. They cover as two and 909 00:46:38,719 --> 00:46:41,320 Speaker 4: a half point dogs over forty nine and a half. 910 00:46:42,080 --> 00:46:45,080 Speaker 4: I mean from whistle to whistle. It felt like the 911 00:46:45,160 --> 00:46:48,960 Speaker 4: Colts commanded this game, it really, and I guess mostly 912 00:46:49,000 --> 00:46:51,560 Speaker 4: from the offensive side of the ball, but just to 913 00:46:51,640 --> 00:46:54,239 Speaker 4: start the game, it was six yard pass, four yard run, 914 00:46:54,480 --> 00:46:57,720 Speaker 4: twenty nine yard pass, thirteen yard pass, twenty three yard touchdown. 915 00:46:58,239 --> 00:47:02,040 Speaker 4: Indy's next drive seventeen plays, seventy yards, seven forty one 916 00:47:02,080 --> 00:47:04,480 Speaker 4: off the clock. It's thirteen to three Indie going to 917 00:47:04,480 --> 00:47:08,120 Speaker 4: the second quarter. There was just no resistance from the 918 00:47:08,120 --> 00:47:10,640 Speaker 4: defensive side of the ball for the Chargers, and that's 919 00:47:10,800 --> 00:47:13,160 Speaker 4: kind of the way it felt most of the evening, 920 00:47:13,160 --> 00:47:15,759 Speaker 4: to be honest with you, I mean the drives and 921 00:47:16,160 --> 00:47:19,160 Speaker 4: to me, the Chargers played well in the second half, 922 00:47:19,480 --> 00:47:21,799 Speaker 4: but when it just started too late. It was an 923 00:47:21,800 --> 00:47:24,320 Speaker 4: interception or a punt three of the first four drives, 924 00:47:24,520 --> 00:47:27,120 Speaker 4: and if you can't stop Indy's offense, there was just 925 00:47:27,760 --> 00:47:29,799 Speaker 4: nothing left to do in terms of trying to get 926 00:47:29,840 --> 00:47:32,360 Speaker 4: back into this game. And I just love the play 927 00:47:32,400 --> 00:47:35,759 Speaker 4: calling from stich in early on with Indy, especially the 928 00:47:35,800 --> 00:47:38,400 Speaker 4: touchdown to Pittman where he was in motion and the 929 00:47:38,400 --> 00:47:41,160 Speaker 4: fake handoff, like they're just doing all the right things 930 00:47:41,600 --> 00:47:44,400 Speaker 4: to put Daniel Jones in a position to punish the 931 00:47:44,440 --> 00:47:47,800 Speaker 4: opponent with Warren, and he had a bunch of options 932 00:47:47,840 --> 00:47:51,640 Speaker 4: out of this game today. So I mean, I could 933 00:47:51,680 --> 00:47:53,920 Speaker 4: go into a few of the numbers here, but Indy's 934 00:47:54,239 --> 00:47:57,560 Speaker 4: offense in terms of efficiency this year, it's just stupid. 935 00:47:58,920 --> 00:48:01,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's been ridicquols. It was twenty to three before 936 00:48:01,480 --> 00:48:03,520 Speaker 3: even blinked in this game. This was supposed to be 937 00:48:03,600 --> 00:48:06,520 Speaker 3: one of the games of the day, and honestly, it 938 00:48:06,560 --> 00:48:09,240 Speaker 3: felt like the Chargers like kind of pretend hung around, 939 00:48:09,320 --> 00:48:11,360 Speaker 3: like it was fake close, but it never really felt 940 00:48:11,360 --> 00:48:14,000 Speaker 3: like they were threatening at all. Herbert ends up passing 941 00:48:14,040 --> 00:48:16,960 Speaker 3: fifty five times for four hundred and twenty yards. A 942 00:48:17,000 --> 00:48:19,680 Speaker 3: lot of that just felt like extended garbage time in 943 00:48:19,719 --> 00:48:23,439 Speaker 3: some ways. Ronde Gadsden the second man, I feel old 944 00:48:23,480 --> 00:48:26,360 Speaker 3: by saying that name. But seven catches, one hundred and 945 00:48:26,440 --> 00:48:30,240 Speaker 3: sixty four yards and a touchdown. The depth of riches 946 00:48:30,280 --> 00:48:33,960 Speaker 3: of receivers on this team. McConkey is having another nine 947 00:48:34,040 --> 00:48:37,239 Speaker 3: catch game, Gwentenn Johnston is back, Keenan Allen has one 948 00:48:37,280 --> 00:48:39,840 Speaker 3: hundred nineteen yards on nine catches, and then you have 949 00:48:39,920 --> 00:48:43,000 Speaker 3: this like fifth round rookie just putting a monster lane 950 00:48:43,040 --> 00:48:45,760 Speaker 3: on top of it. But none of it really mattered 951 00:48:45,800 --> 00:48:48,520 Speaker 3: because it was really never a game. Jonathan Taylor another 952 00:48:48,600 --> 00:48:51,279 Speaker 3: huge game, three scores for him. I think has to 953 00:48:51,320 --> 00:48:53,640 Speaker 3: be the clear, clear offensive player of the ear leader 954 00:48:53,680 --> 00:48:57,279 Speaker 3: at this point, has to stay healthy going forward. To me, 955 00:48:58,000 --> 00:49:01,040 Speaker 3: Chargers are probably the story here because we are now 956 00:49:01,280 --> 00:49:04,160 Speaker 3: very very close to a four game losing streak for 957 00:49:04,200 --> 00:49:07,120 Speaker 3: the Chargers. They beat the Dolphins by two last week barely, 958 00:49:07,560 --> 00:49:10,920 Speaker 3: that's how close we are, and now Mackai Becton got hurt. 959 00:49:11,239 --> 00:49:13,480 Speaker 3: It's a short week for the Chargers. Jill Alta is 960 00:49:13,520 --> 00:49:16,359 Speaker 3: still out. Is he back Thursday? They badly need him. 961 00:49:16,800 --> 00:49:20,160 Speaker 3: Slater's out obviously for the season. They did get Khalil 962 00:49:20,239 --> 00:49:21,759 Speaker 3: mack out, but I didn't see him doing a lot 963 00:49:21,880 --> 00:49:25,399 Speaker 3: yet today. They just are kind of trying to hang 964 00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:29,200 Speaker 3: on right now, and typically a Thursday game is not 965 00:49:29,239 --> 00:49:31,439 Speaker 3: a good formula for a team that's injured and trying 966 00:49:31,480 --> 00:49:34,600 Speaker 3: to hang on. So maybe that's the Vikings fan in 967 00:49:34,640 --> 00:49:36,840 Speaker 3: me trying to believe, but I don't think that sets 968 00:49:36,880 --> 00:49:38,640 Speaker 3: up with a great spot for the Chargers here on 969 00:49:38,680 --> 00:49:39,320 Speaker 3: a short week. 970 00:49:40,400 --> 00:49:43,040 Speaker 4: Yeah, this was the one they kind of wanted to get, 971 00:49:43,360 --> 00:49:45,799 Speaker 4: especially on the short week, and I just think they're 972 00:49:45,840 --> 00:49:48,319 Speaker 4: having some of the same issues Washington is and some 973 00:49:48,360 --> 00:49:50,239 Speaker 4: of the same issues San Francisco is, even though San 974 00:49:50,280 --> 00:49:53,399 Speaker 4: Francisco seems to next man up a little bit better 975 00:49:53,480 --> 00:49:56,640 Speaker 4: maybe in some situations. Now, in terms of INDI's offense, 976 00:49:57,440 --> 00:50:00,480 Speaker 4: I'll just give you this, sixty total drives this year, 977 00:50:00,600 --> 00:50:04,200 Speaker 4: not counting end of half her game, forty two were 978 00:50:04,280 --> 00:50:07,760 Speaker 4: touchdowns or field goals, So seventy percent at this point 979 00:50:07,840 --> 00:50:11,280 Speaker 4: forty two of sixty uh and median in the NFL 980 00:50:11,320 --> 00:50:14,600 Speaker 4: about forty one percent this year for some perspective, So 981 00:50:15,000 --> 00:50:18,719 Speaker 4: what Indy's doing only twelve punts like its just week 982 00:50:18,800 --> 00:50:22,040 Speaker 4: to week, just really putting a lot of pressure on 983 00:50:22,120 --> 00:50:27,000 Speaker 4: opposing defenses. And Anthony Debundo, our good friend who used 984 00:50:27,000 --> 00:50:29,200 Speaker 4: to work at Action, never put this out. They have 985 00:50:29,360 --> 00:50:32,640 Speaker 4: three point four to six points per drive this season 986 00:50:32,680 --> 00:50:36,600 Speaker 4: for the Colts. For perspective, the two thousand and seven 987 00:50:36,680 --> 00:50:39,600 Speaker 4: Patriots had three point one nine for the full season. 988 00:50:40,440 --> 00:50:44,680 Speaker 3: So I mean that is that point three point four 989 00:50:44,719 --> 00:50:48,000 Speaker 3: point six points a drive is very simple. Every two 990 00:50:48,080 --> 00:50:51,680 Speaker 3: drives you scored another touchdown, Like that's ridiculous. We are 991 00:50:51,719 --> 00:50:53,600 Speaker 3: a third of the way into the season, and for 992 00:50:53,680 --> 00:50:57,480 Speaker 3: the entire season, every two drives, the Colts score another touchdown, 993 00:50:57,520 --> 00:51:00,919 Speaker 3: like that's just a crazy number. And yeah, my only 994 00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:04,320 Speaker 3: other note on the game charges of what are you doing? 995 00:51:04,400 --> 00:51:07,799 Speaker 3: These uniforms were ghastly today, Like yeah, I do want 996 00:51:07,800 --> 00:51:10,000 Speaker 3: to see that on my screen. So I was like, 997 00:51:10,080 --> 00:51:12,040 Speaker 3: oh man, I was excited to watch this game. So 998 00:51:12,440 --> 00:51:15,239 Speaker 3: thank you the Colts for putting up twenty to three. 999 00:51:15,239 --> 00:51:17,200 Speaker 3: It's idn't have to watch so closely in this game. 1000 00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:19,640 Speaker 3: Those were terrible. Don't bring those back again. 1001 00:51:20,640 --> 00:51:23,080 Speaker 4: Kind of felt like the Savannah Bananas were on defense. 1002 00:51:23,520 --> 00:51:27,080 Speaker 4: Mostly the game anyway for them. But Colts covering by 1003 00:51:27,120 --> 00:51:30,600 Speaker 4: eleven points per game this year, which would be best 1004 00:51:30,640 --> 00:51:34,800 Speaker 4: mark entering eighth games since twenty twenty one Cardinals. Remember 1005 00:51:34,800 --> 00:51:37,280 Speaker 4: that that was a fun run for a few weeks. 1006 00:51:37,360 --> 00:51:41,560 Speaker 4: All right, let's keep going. Saints Bears. Bears win the 1007 00:51:41,560 --> 00:51:45,080 Speaker 4: game twenty six to fourteen. They cover the minus five 1008 00:51:45,120 --> 00:51:47,040 Speaker 4: and a half to minus three and a half, had 1009 00:51:47,040 --> 00:51:50,400 Speaker 4: some late Saints money come in. Total goes under forty 1010 00:51:50,440 --> 00:51:55,720 Speaker 4: three and a half. Saints have stayed basically in every 1011 00:51:55,800 --> 00:51:59,600 Speaker 4: game week to week because Rattler has kept them in 1012 00:51:59,640 --> 00:52:03,879 Speaker 4: it basically done his job, which is if you don't 1013 00:52:03,920 --> 00:52:07,520 Speaker 4: have it punt and that didn't happen today. Tons of turnovers, 1014 00:52:07,520 --> 00:52:12,680 Speaker 4: three interceptions for Atler, six turnover worthy throws New Orleans 1015 00:52:12,680 --> 00:52:15,920 Speaker 4: and total has four turnovers, and when they tried to 1016 00:52:15,960 --> 00:52:18,359 Speaker 4: run the ball, they couldn't two point six yards per rush. 1017 00:52:18,680 --> 00:52:21,360 Speaker 4: Its just nothing was working for New Orleans today. Even 1018 00:52:21,400 --> 00:52:25,360 Speaker 4: when Caleb was maybe getting a sack or throwing a 1019 00:52:25,400 --> 00:52:28,120 Speaker 4: dumb pass, New Orleans couldn't capitalize on it. And that's 1020 00:52:28,160 --> 00:52:30,600 Speaker 4: kind of what it felt like as you kind of 1021 00:52:30,640 --> 00:52:32,760 Speaker 4: watch this one and the other one that was really strange. 1022 00:52:34,080 --> 00:52:37,880 Speaker 4: Forty carries for Chicago, two hundred and twenty two yards 1023 00:52:38,200 --> 00:52:42,200 Speaker 4: for New Orleans rush defense. That was pretty darn good 1024 00:52:42,760 --> 00:52:46,120 Speaker 4: entering this week. Swift though the last two weeks has 1025 00:52:46,400 --> 00:52:49,239 Speaker 4: ten runs of ten plus yards, so he has been 1026 00:52:49,280 --> 00:52:51,680 Speaker 4: super hot lately. What'd you see here in Saints Bears? 1027 00:52:52,160 --> 00:52:53,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, I thought the run game of the Bears. That 1028 00:52:54,000 --> 00:52:56,799 Speaker 3: was my main takeaway here we saw coming out of 1029 00:52:56,840 --> 00:52:59,560 Speaker 3: the bye week, Chicago feels like they have a completely 1030 00:52:59,560 --> 00:53:02,919 Speaker 3: different run game. They had a ninety fifth percent tile 1031 00:53:02,920 --> 00:53:05,799 Speaker 3: EPA per play run game on Monday night against what 1032 00:53:05,920 --> 00:53:09,000 Speaker 3: had been a top ten Washington run defense by DVA. 1033 00:53:09,600 --> 00:53:11,719 Speaker 3: The New Orleans Saints. We're again a top ten run 1034 00:53:11,760 --> 00:53:15,240 Speaker 3: defense by DVA. And now they were forty five percent 1035 00:53:15,280 --> 00:53:18,600 Speaker 3: success rate. That's a good number. Seventy fifth percent tile 1036 00:53:18,640 --> 00:53:21,520 Speaker 3: on that one. They are running the ball well now 1037 00:53:21,880 --> 00:53:24,560 Speaker 3: and Deandres Swift has not ever been a great running 1038 00:53:24,560 --> 00:53:27,200 Speaker 3: back in the NFL. He's been pretty good for Ben 1039 00:53:27,280 --> 00:53:29,600 Speaker 3: Johnson before. He was not good the first month. But 1040 00:53:30,320 --> 00:53:34,720 Speaker 3: this to me is scheme. It's the line getting healthy 1041 00:53:34,760 --> 00:53:37,239 Speaker 3: and coming together. They've got the new left tackle, he's 1042 00:53:37,239 --> 00:53:40,360 Speaker 3: playing well. The interior took some time, but it seems 1043 00:53:40,360 --> 00:53:43,680 Speaker 3: like it's jelling a little bit better now. Rookie Kyle Manongai, 1044 00:53:43,760 --> 00:53:46,200 Speaker 3: he has thirteen carries for eighty one yards in a score. 1045 00:53:46,680 --> 00:53:50,920 Speaker 3: It just that's Ben Johnson football running the football. In 1046 00:53:50,920 --> 00:53:53,560 Speaker 3: the first four games of this season, they were fifty 1047 00:53:53,600 --> 00:53:57,799 Speaker 3: percent or below in success rate, fiftieth percent tler below, 1048 00:53:57,840 --> 00:54:00,480 Speaker 3: i should say, and a couple of games like near 1049 00:54:00,600 --> 00:54:04,000 Speaker 3: last in the league a couple times. Now they're looking 1050 00:54:04,200 --> 00:54:07,600 Speaker 3: like the Ben Johnson Lions. They're looking like the other 1051 00:54:07,719 --> 00:54:10,920 Speaker 3: great running teams. And look, we didn't say the name 1052 00:54:11,000 --> 00:54:15,400 Speaker 3: Caleb Williams. That's fine. This felt to me like a 1053 00:54:15,440 --> 00:54:17,319 Speaker 3: couple of years ago at Jared Goff where it's like, 1054 00:54:17,360 --> 00:54:19,359 Speaker 3: you know what better to just not notice you today. 1055 00:54:19,440 --> 00:54:23,040 Speaker 3: That's okay, let's just win running the football. Look, I 1056 00:54:23,080 --> 00:54:25,520 Speaker 3: live in the area. It's nasty weather out here today. 1057 00:54:25,560 --> 00:54:29,440 Speaker 3: It's cold, it's rainy, it's gross. The Bears just won 1058 00:54:29,480 --> 00:54:32,680 Speaker 3: this huge comeback game Monday night. This is a classic 1059 00:54:32,880 --> 00:54:36,640 Speaker 3: letdown spot where Caleb Williams throws a couple interceptions, make 1060 00:54:36,719 --> 00:54:39,279 Speaker 3: some mistakes, they give one away after they just got it. 1061 00:54:39,760 --> 00:54:41,920 Speaker 3: This is a professional win by the Bears to just 1062 00:54:42,080 --> 00:54:45,000 Speaker 3: run the football, stop the run, two things they could 1063 00:54:45,000 --> 00:54:47,560 Speaker 3: not do in September, and just win a pretty easy 1064 00:54:47,600 --> 00:54:50,760 Speaker 3: game against the team that's not been easy to win against. 1065 00:54:50,760 --> 00:54:53,280 Speaker 3: So I think it's a good sign for Bears. Bears 1066 00:54:53,280 --> 00:54:55,160 Speaker 3: Island might be called my name a little bit again. 1067 00:54:55,320 --> 00:54:56,400 Speaker 3: I might have to go back. 1068 00:54:57,640 --> 00:54:59,800 Speaker 4: Yeah, And my favorite comment of the day was Mumungui 1069 00:55:00,120 --> 00:55:05,840 Speaker 4: and Swift being his Montgomery and Gibbs finding that in 1070 00:55:05,880 --> 00:55:08,840 Speaker 4: two backs and had a balance and things of that nature. 1071 00:55:08,880 --> 00:55:11,200 Speaker 4: I mean, it was nice to see back there. The 1072 00:55:11,239 --> 00:55:14,239 Speaker 4: one stat I'll give you, which I mean you probably 1073 00:55:14,280 --> 00:55:16,120 Speaker 4: love giving all the stuff you were talking about in 1074 00:55:16,160 --> 00:55:18,879 Speaker 4: the preseason, or at least you know, can tout him 1075 00:55:18,880 --> 00:55:20,359 Speaker 4: with it. The Bears are six and oh to their 1076 00:55:20,400 --> 00:55:24,040 Speaker 4: team total over this season, the last undefeated team left 1077 00:55:24,040 --> 00:55:26,560 Speaker 4: in the NFL. They just continue to score points. They 1078 00:55:26,560 --> 00:55:28,879 Speaker 4: were eight and nine to their team total over last year, 1079 00:55:29,280 --> 00:55:33,759 Speaker 4: already six and oh. My one issue was Chicago. The 1080 00:55:33,800 --> 00:55:37,160 Speaker 4: penalties are crazy. Here are the penalties in all their games, 1081 00:55:37,320 --> 00:55:40,840 Speaker 4: ten to nine, eight, six, eight, twelve. Like that is 1082 00:55:41,280 --> 00:55:43,680 Speaker 4: a issue from a head coach's point of view that 1083 00:55:43,840 --> 00:55:46,080 Speaker 4: needs to be figured out. There was a lot going 1084 00:55:46,160 --> 00:55:49,000 Speaker 4: right in Chicago week to week. That's something that needs 1085 00:55:49,040 --> 00:55:52,759 Speaker 4: to be figured out. The line next week is just fantastic. 1086 00:55:52,760 --> 00:55:55,200 Speaker 4: It'll be a storyline in you know, any gambling show. 1087 00:55:55,480 --> 00:55:58,239 Speaker 4: The Chicago plus six and a half at one in 1088 00:55:58,480 --> 00:56:02,560 Speaker 4: five ats ball to more who hoping to get Lamar 1089 00:56:02,719 --> 00:56:05,440 Speaker 4: Jackson back? And we will see what they look like 1090 00:56:05,480 --> 00:56:07,400 Speaker 4: in that game. But you have anything else with New 1091 00:56:07,440 --> 00:56:08,120 Speaker 4: Orleans Chicago? 1092 00:56:08,680 --> 00:56:10,000 Speaker 3: No, let's go to the morning game? 1093 00:56:11,320 --> 00:56:14,960 Speaker 4: Oh lord? All right? So the Rams win thirty five 1094 00:56:15,080 --> 00:56:18,960 Speaker 4: to seven, cover minus three in London. Total goes under 1095 00:56:19,000 --> 00:56:22,279 Speaker 4: forty four and a half, so I think, at least 1096 00:56:22,280 --> 00:56:25,040 Speaker 4: to me, I found it interesting. The travel schedules were 1097 00:56:25,080 --> 00:56:29,200 Speaker 4: an interesting handicapping conversation for a few people. With Jacksonville 1098 00:56:29,280 --> 00:56:33,160 Speaker 4: leaving on Monday night there the entire week and the 1099 00:56:33,280 --> 00:56:38,400 Speaker 4: Rams deciding to arrive in London Saturday morning, do no 1100 00:56:38,640 --> 00:56:42,480 Speaker 4: media basically goes straight in, play the game and then 1101 00:56:42,600 --> 00:56:46,360 Speaker 4: leave after staying on the East Coast. There was pictures 1102 00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:49,880 Speaker 4: of them at Camden Yards. Just a very different strategy 1103 00:56:49,920 --> 00:56:52,880 Speaker 4: on what to do here. And then you look at 1104 00:56:52,920 --> 00:56:56,600 Speaker 4: how this game started. Jacksonville goes punt, punt, field goal, miss, 1105 00:56:56,680 --> 00:57:00,000 Speaker 4: turnover on downs, turnover on downs, turnover on downs, punt punt. 1106 00:57:00,960 --> 00:57:03,600 Speaker 4: That's how we went to the fourth quarter in this game. 1107 00:57:04,480 --> 00:57:08,960 Speaker 4: So to me, I think it's more about how Jacksonville 1108 00:57:09,040 --> 00:57:11,520 Speaker 4: prepared in this one. I feel like is the way 1109 00:57:12,040 --> 00:57:14,440 Speaker 4: I come out of this. Like I think there were 1110 00:57:14,440 --> 00:57:18,800 Speaker 4: some Thomas drops, but to me, overall its preparedness. And 1111 00:57:18,840 --> 00:57:22,880 Speaker 4: also thirteen penalties for one hundred and nineteen yards for 1112 00:57:22,960 --> 00:57:26,720 Speaker 4: Jacksonville after having ten penalties for seventy five yards last 1113 00:57:27,000 --> 00:57:31,520 Speaker 4: the week before. Usually that stuff isn't consecutive weeks with 1114 00:57:31,640 --> 00:57:35,560 Speaker 4: teams that have head coaches who are trying to fix things. 1115 00:57:35,600 --> 00:57:38,040 Speaker 4: To me, that's a problem. Yeah. 1116 00:57:38,120 --> 00:57:40,840 Speaker 3: Also, no turnovers for us either of the last two 1117 00:57:40,880 --> 00:57:43,960 Speaker 3: games after all those turnovers the first one. He's done, 1118 00:57:44,320 --> 00:57:46,520 Speaker 3: two losses right in a row. You got to be 1119 00:57:46,520 --> 00:57:48,680 Speaker 3: able to stop the defense and not just get those 1120 00:57:48,680 --> 00:57:52,360 Speaker 3: big plays. I think by the numbers, not nearly as 1121 00:57:52,360 --> 00:57:55,000 Speaker 3: bad as a look. You know, they actually had eighty 1122 00:57:55,040 --> 00:57:57,520 Speaker 3: seven more yards than the Rams on the game. But 1123 00:57:57,600 --> 00:57:59,840 Speaker 3: you mentioned the turnover on downs. The Jags went for 1124 00:58:00,160 --> 00:58:02,880 Speaker 3: six fourth downs of this game. I'm not sure what 1125 00:58:02,960 --> 00:58:06,240 Speaker 3: we're doing with that. Both teams were combined five and 1126 00:58:06,360 --> 00:58:09,200 Speaker 3: twenty five on third downs, so it was not pretty football. 1127 00:58:09,720 --> 00:58:12,600 Speaker 3: But I don't know, Like the Rams only had two 1128 00:58:12,640 --> 00:58:14,919 Speaker 3: hundred seventy one yards. They weren't exactly moving the ball 1129 00:58:14,960 --> 00:58:18,120 Speaker 3: at will. Just Jacksonville kept giving them short fields that 1130 00:58:18,200 --> 00:58:22,000 Speaker 3: way by just yeah, by by turning it over on downs. 1131 00:58:22,080 --> 00:58:23,960 Speaker 3: We don't count that as turnovers. I don't know why 1132 00:58:24,000 --> 00:58:28,000 Speaker 3: we should. Trevor Lawrence continues to take sacks. We talked 1133 00:58:28,000 --> 00:58:30,640 Speaker 3: about that in the preview for this game. One point 1134 00:58:30,640 --> 00:58:33,720 Speaker 3: eight sacks a game in his career, seven sacks today, 1135 00:58:33,880 --> 00:58:37,280 Speaker 3: seventeen the last three games. That offensive line that looked 1136 00:58:37,320 --> 00:58:40,880 Speaker 3: pretty good early but didn't really play anyone. Now they're 1137 00:58:40,880 --> 00:58:44,840 Speaker 3: playing someone and it's not going well. DeVante Adams. We 1138 00:58:44,920 --> 00:58:48,080 Speaker 3: wanted DeVante props. Hopefully you found them in the app 1139 00:58:48,120 --> 00:58:50,720 Speaker 3: after I got them in. We got the touchdown, We 1140 00:58:50,800 --> 00:58:54,600 Speaker 3: got the two touchdowns by halftime plus six fifty alas 1141 00:58:54,840 --> 00:58:57,200 Speaker 3: I forgot to do my thing and take the escalator 1142 00:58:57,240 --> 00:59:00,000 Speaker 3: all the way to the top three touchdowns thirty five 1143 00:59:00,080 --> 00:59:01,600 Speaker 3: to one, if you decide to take it there. I 1144 00:59:01,640 --> 00:59:04,000 Speaker 3: missed out on that one. He got that one late. 1145 00:59:04,360 --> 00:59:08,720 Speaker 3: Stafford now on the season, seventeen touchdowns, two interceptions, and 1146 00:59:08,760 --> 00:59:11,640 Speaker 3: I believe leads the league in yardage as well. We're 1147 00:59:11,640 --> 00:59:14,600 Speaker 3: not really talking a lot about the Rams. Why isn't 1148 00:59:14,600 --> 00:59:17,440 Speaker 3: Stafford in the MVP conversation in a year where we 1149 00:59:17,480 --> 00:59:20,520 Speaker 3: need somebody this dude who was like, maybe gonna have 1150 00:59:20,560 --> 00:59:23,880 Speaker 3: to retire with back injury and everything else. Seventeen and 1151 00:59:23,960 --> 00:59:27,040 Speaker 3: two pretty good and the Rams are pretty good as well. 1152 00:59:28,440 --> 00:59:33,240 Speaker 4: Yeah. The only note on Stafford eleven touchdowns, zero picks, 1153 00:59:33,280 --> 00:59:36,320 Speaker 4: seventy percent completion percentage in the second half this year, 1154 00:59:36,760 --> 00:59:40,880 Speaker 4: eleven touchdowns, no interception, seventy percent second half. Going to 1155 00:59:40,960 --> 00:59:43,320 Speaker 4: be very difficult to beat a team when you put 1156 00:59:43,400 --> 00:59:46,080 Speaker 4: up those numbers, especially second half. And here's the number 1157 00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:49,920 Speaker 4: for me, Stafford six and one second half ats this season. 1158 00:59:50,200 --> 00:59:53,360 Speaker 4: He hasn't finished above five hundred second half ats since 1159 00:59:53,440 --> 00:59:58,320 Speaker 4: twenty seventeen. All right, let's one more. 1160 00:59:58,240 --> 00:59:59,000 Speaker 3: Note on this side. 1161 00:59:59,080 --> 00:59:59,520 Speaker 4: Go Go go. 1162 01:00:00,160 --> 01:00:03,120 Speaker 3: Trevor Lawrence continues in his career to be awful in 1163 01:00:03,160 --> 01:00:05,600 Speaker 3: the rain. Like I couldn't find a stat for it, 1164 01:00:05,960 --> 01:00:08,920 Speaker 3: but just anecdotally, the man cannot hang onto the football 1165 01:00:08,920 --> 01:00:10,880 Speaker 3: in the rain, and I thought he was sailing passes. 1166 01:00:10,920 --> 01:00:13,360 Speaker 3: Like Trevor Lawrence is a gremlin. You can't let him 1167 01:00:13,360 --> 01:00:16,000 Speaker 3: get wet. It's been a problem year after year for him. 1168 01:00:16,040 --> 01:00:18,560 Speaker 3: So as soon as I saw rain show up on 1169 01:00:18,600 --> 01:00:20,439 Speaker 3: the forecast, I was on the rams in this game. 1170 01:00:20,520 --> 01:00:23,040 Speaker 3: I was like, man, I like my DeVante props less 1171 01:00:23,040 --> 01:00:25,880 Speaker 3: than the rain, but I like fading Trevor Lawrence once 1172 01:00:25,920 --> 01:00:28,360 Speaker 3: it gets wet outside. So keep that in mind. You're 1173 01:00:28,360 --> 01:00:30,360 Speaker 3: playing Jackson, They're going to get some rainy games. 1174 01:00:31,520 --> 01:00:34,160 Speaker 4: Yeah, I could probably filter that a little bit with 1175 01:00:34,200 --> 01:00:37,800 Speaker 4: some wind. I'll check it out. Let's go through the 1176 01:00:37,880 --> 01:00:40,320 Speaker 4: last four games here, just through some scores and a 1177 01:00:40,320 --> 01:00:44,000 Speaker 4: few notes. So Carolina wins thirteen to six over the Jets. 1178 01:00:44,400 --> 01:00:46,680 Speaker 4: They cover the minus one and a half or plus 1179 01:00:46,680 --> 01:00:48,960 Speaker 4: one and a half, depending on when you got in. 1180 01:00:49,160 --> 01:00:51,920 Speaker 4: Total goes under thirty nine and a half. This was, 1181 01:00:52,320 --> 01:00:54,640 Speaker 4: you know, kind of a battle of the line down 1182 01:00:54,720 --> 01:00:56,680 Speaker 4: the stretch because everyone was kind of tracking who was 1183 01:00:56,720 --> 01:00:59,760 Speaker 4: going to close his favorites. Jets ended up closing his favorites. 1184 01:00:59,760 --> 01:01:02,880 Speaker 4: First owens six team or worse to close a favorite 1185 01:01:02,920 --> 01:01:06,360 Speaker 4: since the twenty thirteen Giants did it with Kauflin and 1186 01:01:06,440 --> 01:01:09,800 Speaker 4: Eli Caroline is a story, though four and three straight 1187 01:01:09,880 --> 01:01:12,000 Speaker 4: up have a record above five hundred for the first 1188 01:01:12,000 --> 01:01:16,480 Speaker 4: time since October of twenty twenty one. Twenty twenty one 1189 01:01:17,240 --> 01:01:21,160 Speaker 4: Patriots Titans. Patriots won the game thirty one thirteen, cover 1190 01:01:21,240 --> 01:01:23,000 Speaker 4: minus six and a half on the road, so it 1191 01:01:23,040 --> 01:01:26,000 Speaker 4: goes over forty one and a half. The Tennessee Titans 1192 01:01:26,320 --> 01:01:30,520 Speaker 4: have now lost eleven consecutive games at home against the spread, 1193 01:01:30,920 --> 01:01:34,400 Speaker 4: the longest home ats losing street for any team since 1194 01:01:34,440 --> 01:01:40,480 Speaker 4: the nineteen seventy merger. Vrabel does the job, comes back, beats, 1195 01:01:41,120 --> 01:01:45,240 Speaker 4: beats the Titans, and covers the spread. How about this one? 1196 01:01:46,000 --> 01:01:49,320 Speaker 4: Drake may completing eighty one point three percent of his 1197 01:01:49,400 --> 01:01:52,479 Speaker 4: passes when leading this season. When the Patriots are up 1198 01:01:53,000 --> 01:01:57,000 Speaker 4: sixty one of seventy five, going to be very difficult 1199 01:01:57,040 --> 01:01:59,320 Speaker 4: to beat. New England if he's doing that, all right, 1200 01:02:00,120 --> 01:02:03,760 Speaker 4: Raiders and the Chiefs, but mostly just the Chiefs win 1201 01:02:03,960 --> 01:02:08,040 Speaker 4: thirty one nothing cover minus thirteen and a half on close, 1202 01:02:08,160 --> 01:02:10,560 Speaker 4: total goes under forty four and a half. Chiefs had 1203 01:02:10,560 --> 01:02:15,160 Speaker 4: as many first downs as the Raiders had total plays today. 1204 01:02:16,200 --> 01:02:18,760 Speaker 4: There was knees with two and a half minutes to go, 1205 01:02:19,080 --> 01:02:21,680 Speaker 4: and there was vodka at the start of the fourth quarter. 1206 01:02:22,000 --> 01:02:24,000 Speaker 4: There is nothing else that needs to be said about 1207 01:02:24,000 --> 01:02:27,919 Speaker 4: that game. Cleveland wins thirty one to six. I guess 1208 01:02:27,920 --> 01:02:29,360 Speaker 4: the only thing to be said is this game is 1209 01:02:29,480 --> 01:02:32,320 Speaker 4: after the thirty one nothing, which probably says something in itself. 1210 01:02:32,320 --> 01:02:35,000 Speaker 4: But Cleveland wins thirty one six cover months two and 1211 01:02:35,080 --> 01:02:37,480 Speaker 4: a half tot'll over thirty one and a half on 1212 01:02:37,600 --> 01:02:40,960 Speaker 4: close early week numbers, though, because that numbers moved like 1213 01:02:41,120 --> 01:02:44,320 Speaker 4: seven points and finished right in the middle of it, 1214 01:02:44,640 --> 01:02:47,320 Speaker 4: I think the note here moving forward, and you and 1215 01:02:47,360 --> 01:02:49,960 Speaker 4: I might talk about this again on Thursday. But running 1216 01:02:49,960 --> 01:02:54,160 Speaker 4: backs against the Dolphins recently, Holy Mackerel Jenkins goes for 1217 01:02:54,240 --> 01:02:58,440 Speaker 4: three touchdowns on what twenty to eighty. Vidal had one 1218 01:02:58,520 --> 01:03:00,880 Speaker 4: hundred and twenty four the week before. Doubt will win 1219 01:03:01,000 --> 01:03:05,360 Speaker 4: for two hundred next week. Jon Robinson Tyler aud here. 1220 01:03:05,800 --> 01:03:08,240 Speaker 4: That should be a lot of fun. The other thing, 1221 01:03:08,800 --> 01:03:11,680 Speaker 4: you know, the issues in Miami when you just look 1222 01:03:11,720 --> 01:03:14,720 Speaker 4: at this eleven penalties today, zero of two in the 1223 01:03:14,760 --> 01:03:18,439 Speaker 4: red zone, one of thirteen on third down. Those three 1224 01:03:18,520 --> 01:03:21,640 Speaker 4: things together unbelievable to happen to the same team on 1225 01:03:21,680 --> 01:03:34,480 Speaker 4: the same day. Unreal. All right, Monday night football? This 1226 01:03:34,600 --> 01:03:36,920 Speaker 4: is a double header? Is this our last doubleheader? I 1227 01:03:36,920 --> 01:03:39,680 Speaker 4: feel like I've heard that in places where given the schedule, 1228 01:03:39,720 --> 01:03:41,880 Speaker 4: so the last time we will have a Monday night 1229 01:03:41,880 --> 01:03:45,320 Speaker 4: football double header? Kind of exciting, kind of sad. I 1230 01:03:45,360 --> 01:03:47,720 Speaker 4: don't know how I feel about that, but bucks last. 1231 01:03:47,520 --> 01:03:51,479 Speaker 3: One, definitely, I think like going forward having any more 1232 01:03:51,640 --> 01:03:53,640 Speaker 3: until we find out otherwise. This is it. 1233 01:03:54,760 --> 01:03:57,080 Speaker 4: This is it all right? I enjoy it, and also 1234 01:03:57,480 --> 01:03:59,720 Speaker 4: I kind of a this a personal opinion. I'm curious 1235 01:03:59,760 --> 01:04:03,040 Speaker 4: what you think. I like the early game, late game 1236 01:04:03,360 --> 01:04:07,040 Speaker 4: me too. Like I like one full game. Get ready, 1237 01:04:07,240 --> 01:04:10,240 Speaker 4: let's bet for the second game. It's it's an awesome evening. 1238 01:04:10,720 --> 01:04:14,560 Speaker 3: I agree. I like back to back. I don't like 1239 01:04:14,600 --> 01:04:17,160 Speaker 3: the overlap. I don't want any more of the overlap games, 1240 01:04:17,280 --> 01:04:21,760 Speaker 3: especially tomorrow. While we're watching on the second screen, Game 1241 01:04:21,920 --> 01:04:24,920 Speaker 3: seven in the Alcs. It's gonna be an awesome sports 1242 01:04:25,040 --> 01:04:27,720 Speaker 3: night and we get two really good football games. I'm 1243 01:04:27,760 --> 01:04:29,000 Speaker 3: excited to talk about. 1244 01:04:29,840 --> 01:04:32,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, truthfully, And that's kind of the way I wanted 1245 01:04:32,640 --> 01:04:35,880 Speaker 4: to start the conversation on Tampa Detroit. So a Monday 1246 01:04:35,920 --> 01:04:37,720 Speaker 4: night football game we should all look forward to was 1247 01:04:37,760 --> 01:04:41,280 Speaker 4: the way that I kind of coined it. Here, two 1248 01:04:41,360 --> 01:04:43,760 Speaker 4: teams who are averaging twenty seven plus points per game, 1249 01:04:44,040 --> 01:04:46,520 Speaker 4: a total of fifty three plus in Week seven or later. 1250 01:04:46,560 --> 01:04:49,280 Speaker 4: We've only seen three of those games over the last 1251 01:04:49,320 --> 01:04:53,520 Speaker 4: four seasons. They all involved the Lions too and over 1252 01:04:53,680 --> 01:04:57,880 Speaker 4: and Detroit lost all three games outright in these high 1253 01:04:57,920 --> 01:05:01,560 Speaker 4: scoring affairs with other team, So I found that kind 1254 01:05:01,560 --> 01:05:05,840 Speaker 4: of interesting. All three games sixty points combined. So hopefully 1255 01:05:05,880 --> 01:05:08,360 Speaker 4: we get that kind of game here. The other stat 1256 01:05:08,400 --> 01:05:11,120 Speaker 4: I think everyone will talk about Goff and Campbell covered 1257 01:05:11,240 --> 01:05:14,200 Speaker 4: eleven in a row off of the loss, which is 1258 01:05:14,240 --> 01:05:17,560 Speaker 4: what Detroit sits here with this one. And Baker's been 1259 01:05:17,600 --> 01:05:20,000 Speaker 4: great as a dog, so works both ways. Sixteen and 1260 01:05:20,120 --> 01:05:24,640 Speaker 4: eight against the spread. What do you like in Detroit Tampa? 1261 01:05:25,480 --> 01:05:27,760 Speaker 3: I do not like the injury report. I wish that 1262 01:05:27,760 --> 01:05:31,040 Speaker 3: we could get a healthy version of this game, like somehow, 1263 01:05:31,040 --> 01:05:35,240 Speaker 3: it almost might offset the Bucks receiving injuries. With the 1264 01:05:35,240 --> 01:05:40,120 Speaker 3: Detroit secondary injuries, Detroit is basically missing its entire starting secondary. 1265 01:05:40,160 --> 01:05:43,760 Speaker 3: Both safeties are out once suspended, both corners are out. 1266 01:05:44,280 --> 01:05:46,480 Speaker 3: I think even the third safety is out. The Bucks 1267 01:05:46,520 --> 01:05:50,240 Speaker 3: are missing Baki Irving still and missing Chris Godwin. We 1268 01:05:50,240 --> 01:05:51,960 Speaker 3: don't know if we'll get Aguca. We don't know if 1269 01:05:52,000 --> 01:05:54,040 Speaker 3: we'll get Mike Evans, so I don't know what to 1270 01:05:54,080 --> 01:05:56,360 Speaker 3: do with any of that. Like that all weirdly kind 1271 01:05:56,360 --> 01:06:01,720 Speaker 3: of maybe offsets I think otherwise the we are getting 1272 01:06:01,720 --> 01:06:05,400 Speaker 3: still injuries like Ali McNeil, DJ Reader, Taylor Decker. We 1273 01:06:05,440 --> 01:06:07,920 Speaker 3: don't know if those guys are playing for Detroit. Levante 1274 01:06:08,000 --> 01:06:11,200 Speaker 3: Davis questionable for the Buccaneers. I think middle of the 1275 01:06:11,280 --> 01:06:14,720 Speaker 3: field defense is gonna be very important here. I think 1276 01:06:15,160 --> 01:06:17,680 Speaker 3: that despite all the injuries, I still feel pretty good 1277 01:06:17,680 --> 01:06:19,840 Speaker 3: about Detroit. This was a hot read pick for me, 1278 01:06:20,400 --> 01:06:22,640 Speaker 3: and I'm still on the Lions minus five and a 1279 01:06:22,680 --> 01:06:26,320 Speaker 3: half six if you need it, obviously best number you can. 1280 01:06:26,720 --> 01:06:29,720 Speaker 3: Detroit's gonna have a huge special teams advantage in this game. 1281 01:06:29,720 --> 01:06:31,200 Speaker 3: I don't know why I'm leading with that, but I 1282 01:06:31,200 --> 01:06:33,680 Speaker 3: do think that's important. I just think they're a better 1283 01:06:33,680 --> 01:06:36,920 Speaker 3: team in all three phases. And we've talked about this matchup. 1284 01:06:37,320 --> 01:06:39,560 Speaker 3: They've played three times in the last two years and 1285 01:06:39,600 --> 01:06:41,960 Speaker 3: the Lions have dominated the matchup. They won two of 1286 01:06:42,000 --> 01:06:44,640 Speaker 3: the three. They more than double them up in yardage. 1287 01:06:44,640 --> 01:06:46,560 Speaker 3: In the other game they should have won, and I 1288 01:06:46,600 --> 01:06:49,000 Speaker 3: think just had a ton of red zone issues. Jared 1289 01:06:49,040 --> 01:06:51,920 Speaker 3: Goff three hundred and sixteen yards a game, aman Rassi 1290 01:06:51,960 --> 01:06:54,640 Speaker 3: and Brown has shreded this defense ten point three catches 1291 01:06:54,640 --> 01:06:57,320 Speaker 3: a game, one hundred and seven yards in those and 1292 01:06:57,400 --> 01:06:59,400 Speaker 3: it makes sense. Look at the numbers just this year 1293 01:06:59,440 --> 01:07:03,720 Speaker 3: before play Detroit Buccaneers bottom five defending middle of the field, 1294 01:07:04,080 --> 01:07:07,480 Speaker 3: bottom five against short passes. Detroit is number one in 1295 01:07:07,560 --> 01:07:09,680 Speaker 3: EPA per play in both of those stats, and that 1296 01:07:09,800 --> 01:07:12,200 Speaker 3: is where they live in the short stuff. And it's 1297 01:07:12,240 --> 01:07:15,720 Speaker 3: with alman Ra and again Leavonte David being out would 1298 01:07:15,720 --> 01:07:18,920 Speaker 3: only make that even worse, I think for Tampa Bay. So, uh, 1299 01:07:19,080 --> 01:07:21,480 Speaker 3: you have the GoF stat off a loss, I'll give 1300 01:07:21,480 --> 01:07:23,280 Speaker 3: you the golf stat. We also know just with the 1301 01:07:23,360 --> 01:07:27,680 Speaker 3: Lions indoors, that's it. Detroit indoors with GoF thirty five 1302 01:07:27,840 --> 01:07:31,480 Speaker 3: twelve and one ats seventy five percent just crazy numbers 1303 01:07:31,920 --> 01:07:34,560 Speaker 3: over a lot of games at this point. So give 1304 01:07:34,560 --> 01:07:36,760 Speaker 3: me the Lions five and a half or six if 1305 01:07:36,800 --> 01:07:39,600 Speaker 3: you need it. And I'm still backing what I played 1306 01:07:39,640 --> 01:07:43,360 Speaker 3: on our last podcast. It's Almana Saint Brown Escalators season. 1307 01:07:43,400 --> 01:07:46,280 Speaker 3: I'm taking us all the way up. Box opponent wide 1308 01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:49,120 Speaker 3: receiver ons have at least nine targets every game this season, 1309 01:07:49,520 --> 01:07:53,320 Speaker 3: they've allowed eight, eight and ten reception games. Last two games, 1310 01:07:53,320 --> 01:07:55,040 Speaker 3: wide receiver one has had one hundred and thirty two 1311 01:07:55,040 --> 01:07:58,640 Speaker 3: and one hundred and forty two yards. Ammen's had seven 1312 01:07:58,720 --> 01:08:02,240 Speaker 3: catches or more all but one game seven seven, eight, nine, 1313 01:08:02,280 --> 01:08:05,560 Speaker 3: and nine receptions. So I want receptions over six and 1314 01:08:05,600 --> 01:08:07,680 Speaker 3: a half. That's where you start. The Escalators hit that 1315 01:08:07,720 --> 01:08:11,280 Speaker 3: all but one game. I want eight receptions, but plus 1316 01:08:11,280 --> 01:08:15,560 Speaker 3: one hundred yards same game parlay eight four hundred. Since 1317 01:08:15,600 --> 01:08:19,320 Speaker 3: twenty twenty two when the Ben Johnson era started offensively, 1318 01:08:19,880 --> 01:08:22,760 Speaker 3: fifteen times out of the twenty times that he's had 1319 01:08:22,800 --> 01:08:25,559 Speaker 3: eight receptions, he also had one hundred yards. So that 1320 01:08:25,720 --> 01:08:29,160 Speaker 3: together is plus two ninety two. At DraftKings and then 1321 01:08:29,280 --> 01:08:31,320 Speaker 3: check the app, I go all the way up. I 1322 01:08:31,360 --> 01:08:33,920 Speaker 3: go nine receptions, I go ten receptions for one hundred 1323 01:08:33,920 --> 01:08:37,880 Speaker 3: and twenty yards. I touched twelve catches and fourteen catches, 1324 01:08:38,280 --> 01:08:39,800 Speaker 3: and then all the way to the top two more 1325 01:08:39,840 --> 01:08:43,840 Speaker 3: to quickly notice here eight catches, one hundred yards, Jared 1326 01:08:43,880 --> 01:08:46,639 Speaker 3: got for three hundred yards and the Lions cover put 1327 01:08:46,640 --> 01:08:49,360 Speaker 3: it all together. Give me the script that's sixteen to 1328 01:08:49,439 --> 01:08:54,320 Speaker 3: one at DraftKings, and then a little Awards Escalator Offensive 1329 01:08:54,320 --> 01:08:56,759 Speaker 3: Player of the Year. I told you that Jonathan Taylor 1330 01:08:56,800 --> 01:08:58,720 Speaker 3: had another big games gonna. I think this number is 1331 01:08:58,720 --> 01:09:00,360 Speaker 3: probably even longer if you get a chance look. I 1332 01:09:00,360 --> 01:09:02,760 Speaker 3: didn't have a chance to look before tonight, but I 1333 01:09:02,760 --> 01:09:06,040 Speaker 3: think amana Sam Brown reminds me a lot of Pukinakua 1334 01:09:06,080 --> 01:09:08,919 Speaker 3: and jsm the two receivers at the top of the odds. 1335 01:09:09,240 --> 01:09:11,120 Speaker 3: And if he has the sort of game they've been 1336 01:09:11,160 --> 01:09:14,160 Speaker 3: having in this one, he might be in that mix. 1337 01:09:14,160 --> 01:09:16,960 Speaker 3: He could have a shot at the touchdown record for receivers. 1338 01:09:17,240 --> 01:09:20,200 Speaker 3: He could have a shot the receptions record. Last I saw, 1339 01:09:20,280 --> 01:09:22,720 Speaker 3: I took it at thirty five to one. Anything in 1340 01:09:22,760 --> 01:09:25,040 Speaker 3: that range I think is a good nibble at Amanaan 1341 01:09:25,400 --> 01:09:28,760 Speaker 3: to have a huge game and escalate into that conversation. 1342 01:09:28,920 --> 01:09:31,320 Speaker 3: So I like the Lions. I love Amananan this game. 1343 01:09:31,960 --> 01:09:33,679 Speaker 4: I have a good feeling. And I'll say my bets 1344 01:09:33,720 --> 01:09:36,240 Speaker 4: in a second. I like Detroit early, like I think 1345 01:09:36,280 --> 01:09:39,320 Speaker 4: a first half bet. I think they come into this 1346 01:09:39,400 --> 01:09:42,960 Speaker 4: game off the loss pretty well. Tampa's defense a little 1347 01:09:42,960 --> 01:09:45,200 Speaker 4: bit of pressure, but nothing crazy in the secondary. I 1348 01:09:45,200 --> 01:09:47,479 Speaker 4: think Detroit should be able to move the ball. The 1349 01:09:47,520 --> 01:09:49,960 Speaker 4: bets I were looking, I'll give you two props and 1350 01:09:50,000 --> 01:09:53,240 Speaker 4: then a little bit something different. I saw this earlier. 1351 01:09:53,360 --> 01:09:56,240 Speaker 4: I don't see it at the moment up but tedes Johnson. 1352 01:09:56,320 --> 01:09:58,400 Speaker 4: I bet it over one and a half receptions in 1353 01:09:58,439 --> 01:10:01,639 Speaker 4: this game. Still a lot of question marks in terms 1354 01:10:01,720 --> 01:10:05,360 Speaker 4: of who will be pass catching for Tampa Bay. But 1355 01:10:05,840 --> 01:10:07,799 Speaker 4: that is the bet I made. There's a Cameron Johnson, 1356 01:10:07,800 --> 01:10:10,559 Speaker 4: there's a Kadot, and there's a lot of different people 1357 01:10:10,640 --> 01:10:14,160 Speaker 4: and question marks and turning tomorrow night. So that's the 1358 01:10:14,160 --> 01:10:14,679 Speaker 4: bet I made. 1359 01:10:14,720 --> 01:10:14,920 Speaker 5: There. 1360 01:10:15,320 --> 01:10:19,120 Speaker 4: The touchdown flyers were Atton and Brock Right. I think 1361 01:10:19,160 --> 01:10:21,200 Speaker 4: this is a tight end type of game with a 1362 01:10:21,240 --> 01:10:23,840 Speaker 4: little bit of scoring given the total, and I think 1363 01:10:23,880 --> 01:10:26,599 Speaker 4: in the red zone those guys could get some fun looks. 1364 01:10:26,840 --> 01:10:29,360 Speaker 4: And then the bet I like itself in this game 1365 01:10:29,960 --> 01:10:33,680 Speaker 4: is Tampa Bay second half team total over eleven and 1366 01:10:33,680 --> 01:10:36,880 Speaker 4: a half. Again, I think Detroit can start off hot. 1367 01:10:36,920 --> 01:10:40,000 Speaker 4: I think they probably win this game given some of 1368 01:10:40,040 --> 01:10:43,080 Speaker 4: the luck stuff that's going on with Tampa Bay. But 1369 01:10:43,120 --> 01:10:46,320 Speaker 4: I also see Tampa Bay trailing and coming back and 1370 01:10:46,360 --> 01:10:49,559 Speaker 4: scoring well. Tampa six to zero against a third quarter 1371 01:10:49,600 --> 01:10:52,000 Speaker 4: spread coming out of the locker room this year, and 1372 01:10:52,400 --> 01:10:56,679 Speaker 4: when the Bucks have been trailing, Baker nine touchdowns, one 1373 01:10:56,720 --> 01:11:01,439 Speaker 4: interception and sixteen plus twenty yards twenty plus guard throws 1374 01:11:02,080 --> 01:11:06,760 Speaker 4: second most to Stafford, So to me, trailing not I 1375 01:11:06,880 --> 01:11:09,800 Speaker 4: kind of like that bad second half. So that's the 1376 01:11:09,840 --> 01:11:12,519 Speaker 4: way I would look at Tampa Bay and Detroit. 1377 01:11:13,040 --> 01:11:15,719 Speaker 3: Yeah. I was talking with Nick Giffon earlier this week about, 1378 01:11:16,120 --> 01:11:18,200 Speaker 3: you know, Tampa continues to be like high up in 1379 01:11:18,240 --> 01:11:20,240 Speaker 3: the luck ranks week after week from all the things 1380 01:11:20,280 --> 01:11:22,680 Speaker 3: that's been happening, and I was like, man, I might 1381 01:11:22,720 --> 01:11:24,439 Speaker 3: have to go back with the Lions and take the 1382 01:11:24,560 --> 01:11:27,240 Speaker 3: escalator here and look for like a ten point win, 1383 01:11:27,320 --> 01:11:30,240 Speaker 3: a fourteen to twenty point win. The injuries in the 1384 01:11:30,280 --> 01:11:33,479 Speaker 3: secondary mean, I don't know, I feel better about your 1385 01:11:33,520 --> 01:11:35,599 Speaker 3: angle of Like, Okay, the Lions get out ahead, but 1386 01:11:35,640 --> 01:11:38,120 Speaker 3: then Baker is who's curious, It doesn't matter who's throwing 1387 01:11:38,160 --> 01:11:41,400 Speaker 3: to your right now? Pick somebody out there wearing creamsicle 1388 01:11:41,680 --> 01:11:44,760 Speaker 3: and he's gonna find them. And against the reason the secondary, 1389 01:11:45,120 --> 01:11:46,639 Speaker 3: I don't know that I want to be like trying 1390 01:11:46,640 --> 01:11:49,360 Speaker 3: to protect a big lead because Baker's just gonna be 1391 01:11:49,400 --> 01:11:52,040 Speaker 3: chucking and it probably find some answers. So I think 1392 01:11:52,080 --> 01:11:54,040 Speaker 3: some of those second half things line up, and you know, 1393 01:11:54,360 --> 01:11:56,559 Speaker 3: could be that the Bucks are winning and staying ahead 1394 01:11:56,600 --> 01:11:58,800 Speaker 3: that way as well, So I think you have multiple outs. 1395 01:11:58,920 --> 01:12:00,720 Speaker 3: I did look it up. By the way, I see 1396 01:12:00,720 --> 01:12:03,120 Speaker 3: an Amanara offensive player of your ticket at forty to 1397 01:12:03,160 --> 01:12:05,439 Speaker 3: one right now. If you shop around so you can 1398 01:12:05,640 --> 01:12:10,040 Speaker 3: check Checkactionnework dot com. I'm at slash NFL slash Futures. 1399 01:12:10,080 --> 01:12:12,800 Speaker 3: It's literally I'm seeing all the books right now and 1400 01:12:13,320 --> 01:12:16,360 Speaker 3: I use this tab like every day, five times a day. 1401 01:12:16,479 --> 01:12:19,200 Speaker 3: So use the tools on the site. Shop around, and 1402 01:12:19,240 --> 01:12:21,640 Speaker 3: by the way, our picks are also will be a 1403 01:12:21,720 --> 01:12:23,519 Speaker 3: quick slip for you if you want a tail as well, 1404 01:12:23,600 --> 01:12:25,839 Speaker 3: so I'll be sure to follow the links on YouTube 1405 01:12:25,960 --> 01:12:28,439 Speaker 3: or in the notes on the podcast. 1406 01:12:29,960 --> 01:12:33,960 Speaker 4: You are completely correct. Find those quick slip links video 1407 01:12:34,000 --> 01:12:38,040 Speaker 4: description go to actionework dot com slash bet now. You 1408 01:12:38,040 --> 01:12:41,280 Speaker 4: can also find those quicklip links in the live YouTube chat. 1409 01:12:41,439 --> 01:12:44,800 Speaker 4: If you are still hanging out with us, all right, 1410 01:12:45,880 --> 01:12:50,240 Speaker 4: Houston and Seattle the second Monday night football game ten 1411 01:12:50,320 --> 01:12:54,599 Speaker 4: pm Eastern kickoff for this one. The stat I will 1412 01:12:54,600 --> 01:12:56,439 Speaker 4: give you to kind of set this up, which has 1413 01:12:56,520 --> 01:13:00,760 Speaker 4: continued this week, is NFC has been dominating AFC, which 1414 01:13:00,800 --> 01:13:03,960 Speaker 4: is Seattle against Houston, but they are twenty five and 1415 01:13:04,040 --> 01:13:06,920 Speaker 4: twelve against the spread, twenty four and thirteen straight up. 1416 01:13:07,120 --> 01:13:10,000 Speaker 4: In the thirty seven games versus the AFC this season, 1417 01:13:10,439 --> 01:13:12,760 Speaker 4: NFC is five hundred to better both straight up and 1418 01:13:12,800 --> 01:13:17,240 Speaker 4: ats in all seven weeks. Now, I think from like 1419 01:13:17,320 --> 01:13:19,920 Speaker 4: a rest point of view, and I'm curious your thought 1420 01:13:19,920 --> 01:13:23,639 Speaker 4: about this. Houston really the ultimate bye with the bye 1421 01:13:23,680 --> 01:13:26,639 Speaker 4: week and then playing on Monday Night football fifteen full 1422 01:13:26,760 --> 01:13:30,160 Speaker 4: days entering this one. But what's your thought process on 1423 01:13:30,200 --> 01:13:31,040 Speaker 4: the handicap here? 1424 01:13:32,040 --> 01:13:35,360 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it's tough to handicap Houston because of 1425 01:13:35,400 --> 01:13:38,120 Speaker 3: what you just said, Like we saw them find their 1426 01:13:38,160 --> 01:13:40,400 Speaker 3: way a little bit then hit the bye, but did 1427 01:13:40,400 --> 01:13:42,799 Speaker 3: they find their way or did they just find Tennessee 1428 01:13:42,840 --> 01:13:44,920 Speaker 3: and then the corpse of Baltimore because I feel like 1429 01:13:44,960 --> 01:13:47,880 Speaker 3: it's maybe the latter, but we don't really know yet. 1430 01:13:48,200 --> 01:13:50,479 Speaker 3: And then we know Nick Kayley the new offensive coordinator 1431 01:13:50,600 --> 01:13:54,439 Speaker 3: now has a month of film and two weeks fifteen 1432 01:13:54,520 --> 01:13:58,160 Speaker 3: days to prep some stuff here, So I you know, 1433 01:13:58,400 --> 01:14:01,160 Speaker 3: I can't really give you live betting right now because 1434 01:14:01,160 --> 01:14:04,599 Speaker 3: we're not live for the game. I wouldn't mind. I'm 1435 01:14:04,600 --> 01:14:07,439 Speaker 3: gonna be on Seattle here. I wouldn't mind waiting and 1436 01:14:07,439 --> 01:14:10,000 Speaker 3: playing like a Seattle live after a quarter like it 1437 01:14:10,400 --> 01:14:13,559 Speaker 3: Houston last year, I believe, was really good on those 1438 01:14:13,600 --> 01:14:16,760 Speaker 3: scripted fifteen plays and then just completely cratered after that. 1439 01:14:16,800 --> 01:14:19,439 Speaker 3: And this is a different system and coordinator, but I 1440 01:14:19,439 --> 01:14:22,839 Speaker 3: could see after Like put it this way, if Houston 1441 01:14:22,880 --> 01:14:26,559 Speaker 3: does not look good early offensively, then I am gonna 1442 01:14:26,600 --> 01:14:28,840 Speaker 3: really not feel great about their chances because they've just 1443 01:14:28,920 --> 01:14:31,599 Speaker 3: had two weeks to prepare for this. And look, Seattle's 1444 01:14:31,640 --> 01:14:34,400 Speaker 3: defense is really good. Mike McDonald's defense is really good. 1445 01:14:34,840 --> 01:14:36,920 Speaker 3: But I do think Houston has set up well early. 1446 01:14:37,400 --> 01:14:39,800 Speaker 3: I still like the Seahawks a Sea X minus three 1447 01:14:39,840 --> 01:14:41,640 Speaker 3: if you can get it. If you only have a 1448 01:14:41,640 --> 01:14:43,320 Speaker 3: three and a half, maybe you do weight and try 1449 01:14:43,320 --> 01:14:44,920 Speaker 3: to get a better live line and get under the 1450 01:14:45,000 --> 01:14:48,519 Speaker 3: key if you can. I think Seattle's just rolling still. Again. 1451 01:14:48,560 --> 01:14:50,800 Speaker 3: I'm gonna mention special teams. They are best in the 1452 01:14:50,840 --> 01:14:53,600 Speaker 3: league right now special teams. I think that matters this 1453 01:14:53,680 --> 01:14:56,680 Speaker 3: year more than ever. With the dynamic kickoff. Their run 1454 01:14:56,760 --> 01:14:58,840 Speaker 3: defense has been awesome. Houston will not be able to 1455 01:14:58,880 --> 01:15:01,439 Speaker 3: run the ball in this game. Hopefully the secondary is 1456 01:15:01,439 --> 01:15:04,320 Speaker 3: getting healthier. We talked about our guy men Warri at 1457 01:15:04,360 --> 01:15:08,280 Speaker 3: safety and then downfield passing. I think they can find 1458 01:15:08,280 --> 01:15:11,760 Speaker 3: some answers here against Houston. As good as Houston's defense is, 1459 01:15:12,479 --> 01:15:15,400 Speaker 3: they are vulnerable against the deep pass twenty first by 1460 01:15:15,439 --> 01:15:19,920 Speaker 3: EPA per play Seattle one point four to four EPA 1461 01:15:20,040 --> 01:15:22,880 Speaker 3: per play downfield passing and not on small sample they 1462 01:15:22,920 --> 01:15:27,120 Speaker 3: are top six most likely to pass downfield too, so 1463 01:15:27,600 --> 01:15:30,960 Speaker 3: Sam Donald and Jayson are just cooking teams down the field. 1464 01:15:31,400 --> 01:15:34,000 Speaker 3: I think they'll be able to find something there. I 1465 01:15:34,240 --> 01:15:37,000 Speaker 3: just have to believe and tell Nick Cayley's offense shows 1466 01:15:37,080 --> 01:15:40,640 Speaker 3: us something otherwise, Houston's offense is the weak link in 1467 01:15:40,680 --> 01:15:44,920 Speaker 3: the game, is by far the worst unit on the field. 1468 01:15:45,720 --> 01:15:50,040 Speaker 3: Twenty fifth percentile success rate on the season. Sorry, twenty 1469 01:15:50,240 --> 01:15:52,960 Speaker 3: fifth rated, I believe is my note for that one. 1470 01:15:53,520 --> 01:15:56,120 Speaker 3: And their offensive line against all the Seattle pressure, I 1471 01:15:56,160 --> 01:15:58,360 Speaker 3: think that's going to be a tough spot as well. 1472 01:15:59,040 --> 01:16:02,200 Speaker 3: I would expect. I'm not gonna play an under the 1473 01:16:02,240 --> 01:16:03,960 Speaker 3: total I believe is forty one and a half. We're 1474 01:16:04,000 --> 01:16:06,360 Speaker 3: expecting not a lot of points. Like we could see 1475 01:16:06,360 --> 01:16:08,080 Speaker 3: a similar game, I think to the one we just 1476 01:16:08,160 --> 01:16:10,800 Speaker 3: watched tonight, where it's like a twenty to ten or 1477 01:16:10,840 --> 01:16:14,040 Speaker 3: like points will be at a premium. So again, if 1478 01:16:14,080 --> 01:16:16,400 Speaker 3: Houston comes out and gets a touchdown driver or two, 1479 01:16:16,439 --> 01:16:18,920 Speaker 3: that sets them up pretty well because we might not 1480 01:16:19,280 --> 01:16:21,479 Speaker 3: you know, twenty might win the game here for it. 1481 01:16:21,560 --> 01:16:25,320 Speaker 3: So that's gonna keep it tough. That's why three and 1482 01:16:25,320 --> 01:16:27,360 Speaker 3: a half I won't love as much for Seattle, but 1483 01:16:27,920 --> 01:16:30,640 Speaker 3: I do think Seattle is the better team, and I 1484 01:16:30,720 --> 01:16:32,640 Speaker 3: like both teams. I'm excited to watch this one. We 1485 01:16:32,680 --> 01:16:35,200 Speaker 3: may get a little Pack twelve after dark football with 1486 01:16:35,200 --> 01:16:38,000 Speaker 3: the late kickoff, but Seattle's the Pac twelve team in 1487 01:16:38,000 --> 01:16:39,920 Speaker 3: this case, I'll take the Seahawks. 1488 01:16:40,560 --> 01:16:43,360 Speaker 4: I think it's gonna get a little weird ten o'clock 1489 01:16:43,479 --> 01:16:48,000 Speaker 4: start in Seattle. You've got Sam Darnald against CJ. Stroud, 1490 01:16:48,080 --> 01:16:53,479 Speaker 4: both quarterbacks who talented but can make mistakes. Donald not 1491 01:16:53,880 --> 01:16:57,679 Speaker 4: really the recent Donald aside from maybe that one Minnesota game. 1492 01:16:57,720 --> 01:17:00,800 Speaker 4: But aside from that, he's looked pretty composed. I feel 1493 01:17:00,880 --> 01:17:03,839 Speaker 4: like I can't touch the spread in this game because 1494 01:17:04,360 --> 01:17:08,840 Speaker 4: the Seahawks or the NFC, the NFC version of the Colts, like, 1495 01:17:08,920 --> 01:17:10,760 Speaker 4: I just it's something I kind of want to stay 1496 01:17:10,760 --> 01:17:14,240 Speaker 4: away from because they're much better than I thought, and 1497 01:17:14,400 --> 01:17:16,479 Speaker 4: I think I'm a little jaded in terms of how 1498 01:17:16,520 --> 01:17:18,880 Speaker 4: I see them. So my beat in this game won't 1499 01:17:18,920 --> 01:17:20,559 Speaker 4: be the spread I don't want. I want to sit 1500 01:17:20,640 --> 01:17:24,040 Speaker 4: back and kind of learn more. The one prop I 1501 01:17:24,400 --> 01:17:26,880 Speaker 4: found in this one was Xavier Hutchinson, I like over 1502 01:17:26,920 --> 01:17:30,479 Speaker 4: eighteen and a half receiving yards. No Christian Kirk, Nico 1503 01:17:30,520 --> 01:17:32,960 Speaker 4: Collins obviously going to get a ton of attention to 1504 01:17:33,000 --> 01:17:35,240 Speaker 4: this one, but I think Stroud's gonna try to throw. 1505 01:17:35,360 --> 01:17:38,479 Speaker 4: I think there's a chance that you're right and Seattle 1506 01:17:38,560 --> 01:17:41,240 Speaker 4: ends up winning this game, which Houston falls behind, and 1507 01:17:41,280 --> 01:17:42,920 Speaker 4: I think Hutchinson's in for a little bit of a 1508 01:17:43,000 --> 01:17:45,680 Speaker 4: nice role and that is a good line, So make 1509 01:17:45,720 --> 01:17:47,680 Speaker 4: sure you try to shop that one around. But that 1510 01:17:47,760 --> 01:17:51,760 Speaker 4: I like Hutchinson and to me, I think this is 1511 01:17:51,800 --> 01:17:54,679 Speaker 4: going to be a late weird one, so I'll take 1512 01:17:54,680 --> 01:17:55,440 Speaker 4: some overs. 1513 01:17:56,120 --> 01:17:58,120 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it'll be weird, and like I hope 1514 01:17:58,120 --> 01:18:00,919 Speaker 3: it is weird. Well, We're gonna have a great Detroit 1515 01:18:00,960 --> 01:18:04,439 Speaker 3: Tampa game. We're gonna have probably probably know the World 1516 01:18:04,520 --> 01:18:06,439 Speaker 3: Series matchup, you know, unless we get to like another 1517 01:18:06,479 --> 01:18:10,000 Speaker 3: fifteen inning game and all eyes on Seattle and Houston. 1518 01:18:10,040 --> 01:18:12,680 Speaker 3: What could possibly go wrong? Two of me having the 1519 01:18:12,680 --> 01:18:17,200 Speaker 3: most fun defenses with McDonald and with Demico's defenses. So 1520 01:18:17,640 --> 01:18:20,680 Speaker 3: probably some interesting schematic stuff there. Just kind of a 1521 01:18:20,680 --> 01:18:22,680 Speaker 3: football nerds dream, I think. To kind of cap off 1522 01:18:22,720 --> 01:18:23,559 Speaker 3: your Monday night. 1523 01:18:23,560 --> 01:18:34,080 Speaker 4: Hot wrap, body on ice rights ice cream. Oh yeah, 1524 01:18:34,120 --> 01:18:36,760 Speaker 4: all right, let's keep rowling here. We teased long enough. 1525 01:18:36,800 --> 01:18:39,839 Speaker 4: What does your hot read for next week? 1526 01:18:40,479 --> 01:18:43,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, we are long here, so I'm gonna keep it simple. 1527 01:18:43,120 --> 01:18:45,720 Speaker 3: I'm going double hot read in the same game. We're 1528 01:18:45,720 --> 01:18:50,160 Speaker 3: going straight to Sunday Night Steelers Packers waiting all day 1529 01:18:50,200 --> 01:18:52,360 Speaker 3: for Sunday Night. We're gonna be waiting all day for 1530 01:18:52,439 --> 01:18:55,240 Speaker 3: the Rogers Bowl next week. We got Aaron Rodgers and 1531 01:18:55,320 --> 01:18:58,960 Speaker 3: black and yellow. We got Micah Parsons and green and gold. 1532 01:18:58,960 --> 01:19:02,760 Speaker 3: It's so we still both of those things. But as 1533 01:19:02,840 --> 01:19:05,320 Speaker 3: much as everything changes, something stay of the same. It's 1534 01:19:05,360 --> 01:19:08,960 Speaker 3: our first raw raw Mike Tomlin spot of the season. 1535 01:19:09,439 --> 01:19:12,360 Speaker 3: Give me the Steelers plus three and a half home 1536 01:19:12,400 --> 01:19:15,160 Speaker 3: against the Packers. I give you the numbers right away 1537 01:19:15,200 --> 01:19:18,200 Speaker 3: from week five forward as an underdog Mike Tomlin for 1538 01:19:18,280 --> 01:19:22,559 Speaker 3: his career fifty one twenty three and one ATS, sixty 1539 01:19:22,680 --> 01:19:26,280 Speaker 3: nine percent cover rate. That is very nice. That includes 1540 01:19:26,800 --> 01:19:30,320 Speaker 3: as a home dog of seven or less eighteen four 1541 01:19:30,479 --> 01:19:34,479 Speaker 3: and one eighty two percent cover rate. This is where 1542 01:19:34,520 --> 01:19:38,240 Speaker 3: you want Tomlin at home as a short underdog seven 1543 01:19:38,320 --> 01:19:41,479 Speaker 3: or less coming off a loss. This is the spot. 1544 01:19:41,640 --> 01:19:44,360 Speaker 3: This is also a spot you want to back Pittsburgh's 1545 01:19:44,360 --> 01:19:49,519 Speaker 3: defense historically after getting embarrassed after they've allowed more than 1546 01:19:49,560 --> 01:19:52,719 Speaker 3: twenty eight points. In our bet Lab system, the Steelers 1547 01:19:52,720 --> 01:19:56,280 Speaker 3: are forty sixteen and two ATS the following game, seventy 1548 01:19:56,360 --> 01:19:59,080 Speaker 3: one percent cover rate, and I just think at three 1549 01:19:59,120 --> 01:20:01,280 Speaker 3: and a half it's just a little too much for 1550 01:20:01,320 --> 01:20:03,840 Speaker 3: the Packers the way that they're playing right now. I 1551 01:20:03,880 --> 01:20:07,320 Speaker 3: make Packers favorites, but more like one or two points. 1552 01:20:07,320 --> 01:20:09,120 Speaker 3: Here we get the right side of the key number. 1553 01:20:09,760 --> 01:20:13,040 Speaker 3: Offense has not scored above twenty seven points except against Dallas, 1554 01:20:13,040 --> 01:20:15,360 Speaker 3: which I don't think really counts. To be honest, we 1555 01:20:15,479 --> 01:20:19,120 Speaker 3: talked about the Packers playing slow, kind of leaving teams 1556 01:20:19,120 --> 01:20:21,479 Speaker 3: to hang around. That is the Steelers the thing to do, 1557 01:20:21,960 --> 01:20:25,720 Speaker 3: Home underdog, hang around, get the Mike Tomlin voodoo. And 1558 01:20:26,280 --> 01:20:28,880 Speaker 3: I don't think Packers' receivers can do what we just 1559 01:20:28,920 --> 01:20:31,720 Speaker 3: watched the Bengals receivers do. And look, I know, I 1560 01:20:32,040 --> 01:20:35,879 Speaker 3: just picked against the Steelers Thursday night. I picked the Bengals. 1561 01:20:35,880 --> 01:20:38,519 Speaker 3: It doesn't have to make any sense. The Steelers play 1562 01:20:38,640 --> 01:20:41,400 Speaker 3: down as favorites and they play up as underdogs. This 1563 01:20:41,439 --> 01:20:43,920 Speaker 3: is the trend we see year after year with the 1564 01:20:44,680 --> 01:20:48,439 Speaker 3: Packers are playing with their food. They led the Browns late, 1565 01:20:48,680 --> 01:20:52,679 Speaker 3: they lost by three, They led the Cowboys late, they tied. 1566 01:20:52,840 --> 01:20:55,240 Speaker 3: They led the Bengals by only six late, even that 1567 01:20:55,439 --> 01:20:57,439 Speaker 3: is playing with your food. And they need to lay 1568 01:20:57,479 --> 01:21:01,000 Speaker 3: touchdown against the Cardinals. That's their last four games. Steelers. 1569 01:21:01,000 --> 01:21:02,880 Speaker 3: A little extra rest here as well, a little more 1570 01:21:02,920 --> 01:21:07,679 Speaker 3: time to scheme up some Tomlin voodoo. So Steelers plus 1571 01:21:07,720 --> 01:21:10,479 Speaker 3: three and a half. I honestly think the line might 1572 01:21:10,520 --> 01:21:12,840 Speaker 3: move toward Green Bay anyways. But I want the hook 1573 01:21:12,840 --> 01:21:15,040 Speaker 3: and I'm not waiting around to lose it. And then 1574 01:21:15,080 --> 01:21:20,120 Speaker 3: the other pick here, just doubling down money line. Steelers, 1575 01:21:20,479 --> 01:21:24,040 Speaker 3: same again. I told you home underdog seven or less. 1576 01:21:24,080 --> 01:21:27,759 Speaker 3: Tomlin eighteen four to one ATS well in those games, 1577 01:21:28,280 --> 01:21:32,000 Speaker 3: sixteen and seven straight up, So that is a twelve 1578 01:21:32,040 --> 01:21:36,439 Speaker 3: win pace as a that's a division winning team, twelve 1579 01:21:36,479 --> 01:21:40,120 Speaker 3: wins as a home underdog. Basically, for Tomlin play the 1580 01:21:40,160 --> 01:21:44,439 Speaker 3: money lines sixty nine percent ROI money line for his 1581 01:21:44,600 --> 01:21:47,000 Speaker 3: career as a home dog of seven or less in 1582 01:21:47,040 --> 01:21:49,880 Speaker 3: that spot, more than double I think any other coach 1583 01:21:49,920 --> 01:21:53,400 Speaker 3: in our database. So Steelers on the money line plus 1584 01:21:53,400 --> 01:21:57,120 Speaker 3: one fifty five Steelers plus three point five, three and 1585 01:21:57,200 --> 01:22:00,800 Speaker 3: a half, whatever number we're saying. It's late midnight here, 1586 01:22:01,360 --> 01:22:05,240 Speaker 3: Steeler Sunday night. Take them to cover, Take them to when. 1587 01:22:05,800 --> 01:22:07,800 Speaker 3: I don't know why either, This is just what you 1588 01:22:07,880 --> 01:22:09,880 Speaker 3: do with Tomlin. And this is our first spot of 1589 01:22:09,880 --> 01:22:12,519 Speaker 3: the season, and we'll all be watching and we'll start 1590 01:22:12,520 --> 01:22:13,880 Speaker 3: there next week on Sunday night. 1591 01:22:14,160 --> 01:22:16,640 Speaker 4: Yeah, so you remember the big conversation last week was 1592 01:22:16,680 --> 01:22:19,760 Speaker 4: how Tomlin had struggled on Thursday Night football on the road. 1593 01:22:19,800 --> 01:22:22,280 Speaker 4: There was a bunch of spots there. Since was ten 1594 01:22:22,560 --> 01:22:24,720 Speaker 4: after the Steelers play on Thursday Night Football, they are 1595 01:22:24,760 --> 01:22:28,120 Speaker 4: twelve and three straight up, so a good bounce back 1596 01:22:28,120 --> 01:22:40,840 Speaker 4: spot in this one. All right, Before we wrap up, 1597 01:22:40,960 --> 01:22:43,639 Speaker 4: let's hear from Patrick Everson from Vegas insiders and how 1598 01:22:43,720 --> 01:22:45,160 Speaker 4: things looked in Las Vegas. 1599 01:22:45,520 --> 01:22:47,920 Speaker 1: All right, thanks a lot, Eavan Patrick Everson here for 1600 01:22:48,080 --> 01:22:52,760 Speaker 1: Vegas Insider. Let's do a little recapping. First off, a 1601 01:22:53,200 --> 01:22:56,760 Speaker 1: very good week for the public betting masses, or at 1602 01:22:56,800 --> 01:22:59,960 Speaker 1: least a very good Sunday for the public betting mass 1603 01:23:00,240 --> 01:23:02,760 Speaker 1: is a lot of favorites won, a lot of the 1604 01:23:02,760 --> 01:23:06,280 Speaker 1: favorites that the public needed most won. The Jets, I think, 1605 01:23:06,400 --> 01:23:09,679 Speaker 1: closed as a very short favorite against the Carolina Panthers. 1606 01:23:09,840 --> 01:23:13,080 Speaker 1: Nobody is betting the New York Jets to win anything, 1607 01:23:13,320 --> 01:23:16,479 Speaker 1: so that was a favorite that the public didn't care 1608 01:23:16,560 --> 01:23:20,599 Speaker 1: much about, even though that favorite in fact lost. A 1609 01:23:20,640 --> 01:23:22,840 Speaker 1: lot of the key favorites won, and that was good 1610 01:23:22,840 --> 01:23:26,639 Speaker 1: for the betters, particularly in the early window. One nots 1611 01:23:26,680 --> 01:23:31,240 Speaker 1: maker here Las Vegas pointed out that the five worst 1612 01:23:31,280 --> 01:23:35,400 Speaker 1: teams in the NFL were all playing in that early 1613 01:23:35,439 --> 01:23:40,719 Speaker 1: window that one PM Eastern time windowed, and those five 1614 01:23:40,800 --> 01:23:43,479 Speaker 1: teams lost by a combined score of one hundred and 1615 01:23:43,520 --> 01:23:49,559 Speaker 1: thirty two to thirty nine. So and the public betting masses, 1616 01:23:49,600 --> 01:23:52,639 Speaker 1: they got in on all of those teams. Going against 1617 01:23:52,720 --> 01:23:55,000 Speaker 1: all of those teams, I should say, and what the 1618 01:23:55,000 --> 01:23:57,479 Speaker 1: oddsmaker said is opposing those bad teams has proven to 1619 01:23:57,479 --> 01:23:59,759 Speaker 1: be a tried and trusted formula, and it certainly worked 1620 01:24:00,280 --> 01:24:04,000 Speaker 1: with all five losing and failing to cover in the 1621 01:24:04,040 --> 01:24:07,559 Speaker 1: early slates. So the early slate of games definitely fell 1622 01:24:07,600 --> 01:24:10,599 Speaker 1: in the public betting masss favor a lot of people love, love, 1623 01:24:10,680 --> 01:24:13,120 Speaker 1: love the Kansas City Chiefs against the Raiders, and the 1624 01:24:13,200 --> 01:24:16,760 Speaker 1: Kansas City Chiefs just absolutely trucked the Raiders thirty one 1625 01:24:16,800 --> 01:24:19,880 Speaker 1: to zero. The favorites in the early window did really 1626 01:24:19,960 --> 01:24:22,559 Speaker 1: really well for the betters, and the right favorites in 1627 01:24:22,600 --> 01:24:26,080 Speaker 1: the late window did well. And obviously you can't overstate 1628 01:24:26,880 --> 01:24:32,240 Speaker 1: the Denver Broncos incredibly crazy victory over the New York Giants. 1629 01:24:32,560 --> 01:24:35,439 Speaker 1: And I won't recapt it all, but somehow Denver won 1630 01:24:35,479 --> 01:24:37,599 Speaker 1: that game thirty three to thirty two on a final 1631 01:24:37,680 --> 01:24:41,040 Speaker 1: seconds field goal. It was absolute chaos, a ridiculous win 1632 01:24:41,080 --> 01:24:43,439 Speaker 1: for the Broncos, but it helped hold together a whole 1633 01:24:43,439 --> 01:24:46,200 Speaker 1: bunch of moneyline parlays and such and probably teasers and 1634 01:24:46,200 --> 01:24:49,880 Speaker 1: such two for the public betting masses. So that was 1635 01:24:49,920 --> 01:24:54,639 Speaker 1: a game that universally sports books panned. They definitely wanted 1636 01:24:55,120 --> 01:24:57,519 Speaker 1: the New York Giants to not only cover in that game, 1637 01:24:57,560 --> 01:25:00,559 Speaker 1: but really wanted them to win outright. An odds maker 1638 01:25:00,600 --> 01:25:02,160 Speaker 1: said that would have been a whole lot better for 1639 01:25:02,240 --> 01:25:04,400 Speaker 1: us if the New York Giants had won that game, 1640 01:25:04,439 --> 01:25:07,160 Speaker 1: and another odds maker here in Vegas said it was 1641 01:25:07,200 --> 01:25:10,840 Speaker 1: good for the patrons, not so good for us. One 1642 01:25:10,840 --> 01:25:14,120 Speaker 1: that got there at Draft Kings actually one hundred and 1643 01:25:14,120 --> 01:25:16,920 Speaker 1: seventy five thousand dollars bet on one of the underdogs 1644 01:25:17,160 --> 01:25:18,720 Speaker 1: that found its way to the finish line, and that 1645 01:25:18,880 --> 01:25:22,759 Speaker 1: is the mighty Indianapolis Colts who went to LA and 1646 01:25:23,000 --> 01:25:25,360 Speaker 1: beat up on the Chargers. One hundred and seventy five 1647 01:25:25,400 --> 01:25:27,280 Speaker 1: thousand dollars on Colts plus two and a half bet 1648 01:25:27,320 --> 01:25:30,160 Speaker 1: came in at Draft Kings, and that better cleaned up 1649 01:25:30,200 --> 01:25:33,799 Speaker 1: with a nice little win. However, the sports book giveth 1650 01:25:33,840 --> 01:25:37,479 Speaker 1: and the sports book taketh away. The gambling gods always 1651 01:25:37,520 --> 01:25:39,519 Speaker 1: find a way to exact a little revenge. There was 1652 01:25:39,560 --> 01:25:41,719 Speaker 1: a two hundred thousand dollars bet, and I can't believe 1653 01:25:41,720 --> 01:25:44,000 Speaker 1: somebody put its kind of faith in the New Orleans Saints, 1654 01:25:44,000 --> 01:25:45,599 Speaker 1: but a two hundred thousand dollars bet on the Saints 1655 01:25:45,640 --> 01:25:48,600 Speaker 1: plus four and a half at Draft Kings against the 1656 01:25:48,680 --> 01:25:51,200 Speaker 1: Chicago Bears. The Saints do not cover the four and 1657 01:25:51,240 --> 01:25:53,639 Speaker 1: a half, they lose twenty six to fourteen, So that's 1658 01:25:53,640 --> 01:25:57,559 Speaker 1: a fat donation to the house. And then this BET's 1659 01:25:57,920 --> 01:26:01,639 Speaker 1: just as inexplicable, even though the spread was really close, 1660 01:26:01,680 --> 01:26:04,040 Speaker 1: and actually I think Jets, as I noted a little 1661 01:26:04,080 --> 01:26:07,320 Speaker 1: bit earlier, closed as a one point favorite against the 1662 01:26:07,400 --> 01:26:10,599 Speaker 1: Panthers at most books. Draft Kings took an eighty five 1663 01:26:10,720 --> 01:26:14,479 Speaker 1: thousand dollars money line bet on the New York Football Jets, 1664 01:26:14,520 --> 01:26:17,320 Speaker 1: and the New York Football Jets mustered all of six 1665 01:26:17,439 --> 01:26:21,479 Speaker 1: points on this Sunday and lost thirteen to six against 1666 01:26:21,479 --> 01:26:26,960 Speaker 1: the Carolina Panthers. Looking specifically at some of what was 1667 01:26:27,000 --> 01:26:31,880 Speaker 1: going on at Draft Kings on Sunday, the most bet 1668 01:26:31,920 --> 01:26:35,960 Speaker 1: teams against the spread the Patriots, the Eagles, and the 1669 01:26:36,040 --> 01:26:39,800 Speaker 1: Giants by ticket count, All three of those teams cover. 1670 01:26:39,960 --> 01:26:44,599 Speaker 1: Patriots winning cover easily, Eagles winning cover. They were in control. 1671 01:26:44,680 --> 01:26:47,320 Speaker 1: They covered the number against the Vikings, and the New 1672 01:26:47,400 --> 01:26:51,160 Speaker 1: York Giants were pretty much they were never not covering 1673 01:26:51,240 --> 01:26:55,320 Speaker 1: the number at all. They closed I believe Denver closed 1674 01:26:55,320 --> 01:26:57,120 Speaker 1: in the neighborhood of an eight point favorite. The Giants 1675 01:26:57,160 --> 01:27:00,240 Speaker 1: were covering the whole way and still covered in the 1676 01:27:00,320 --> 01:27:04,040 Speaker 1: thirty three to thirty two heartbreak of a loss by 1677 01:27:04,160 --> 01:27:08,679 Speaker 1: money on the spread. It was a somewhat similar combination. 1678 01:27:08,840 --> 01:27:11,400 Speaker 1: You had the Patriots taking the most money at Draft Kings, 1679 01:27:11,680 --> 01:27:14,360 Speaker 1: the Eagles number two. So those two teams obviously both 1680 01:27:14,400 --> 01:27:16,320 Speaker 1: got there for their betters, not only in terms of 1681 01:27:16,439 --> 01:27:19,280 Speaker 1: take account but in terms of money. Broncos, though, were 1682 01:27:19,320 --> 01:27:22,040 Speaker 1: the number three team in terms of money at Draft Kings, 1683 01:27:22,080 --> 01:27:25,280 Speaker 1: and the Broncos were never recovering the number and probably 1684 01:27:25,320 --> 01:27:28,240 Speaker 1: should have lost the game. Now, looking ahead, we've still 1685 01:27:28,280 --> 01:27:30,760 Speaker 1: got two games on Monday night. Let's kind of set 1686 01:27:30,760 --> 01:27:34,599 Speaker 1: the table for you with the situation at Draft Kings 1687 01:27:34,840 --> 01:27:37,559 Speaker 1: heading into Monday. You've got one were really two really 1688 01:27:37,600 --> 01:27:40,080 Speaker 1: good games, but especially that first one. And again this 1689 01:27:40,160 --> 01:27:42,800 Speaker 1: is these are split, so these games are not overlapping. 1690 01:27:42,840 --> 01:27:45,280 Speaker 1: You've got one starting at seven o'clock Eastern, one starting 1691 01:27:45,280 --> 01:27:48,200 Speaker 1: at ten o'clock Eastern, opens with the Buccaneers and the Lions. 1692 01:27:48,240 --> 01:27:50,840 Speaker 1: That's a really good game, and the Lions are six 1693 01:27:50,920 --> 01:27:54,360 Speaker 1: point favorites and opinions are divided at Draft Kings. As 1694 01:27:54,360 --> 01:27:56,920 Speaker 1: we head into Monday, fifty seven percent of spread bets 1695 01:27:57,040 --> 01:28:01,160 Speaker 1: on the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The underdog almost touchdown 1696 01:28:01,240 --> 01:28:05,439 Speaker 1: underdog Buccaneers sixty nine percent of money coming in on 1697 01:28:05,520 --> 01:28:08,960 Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions. They're betting the over in that game, 1698 01:28:09,320 --> 01:28:11,719 Speaker 1: and three to one tickets and four to one money 1699 01:28:11,800 --> 01:28:14,519 Speaker 1: on the over as we head to Monday. It's worth 1700 01:28:14,560 --> 01:28:17,120 Speaker 1: reminding though a lot of these numbers can fluctuate quite 1701 01:28:17,160 --> 01:28:19,240 Speaker 1: a bit. They might, the trends might hold up just 1702 01:28:19,280 --> 01:28:23,200 Speaker 1: like they are, but keep in mind that the overwhelming 1703 01:28:23,240 --> 01:28:25,200 Speaker 1: majority of money on all these games comes in on 1704 01:28:25,200 --> 01:28:28,040 Speaker 1: a game day, and even more so closer to kickoff 1705 01:28:28,280 --> 01:28:31,040 Speaker 1: on game days, So there's a lot of action still 1706 01:28:31,040 --> 01:28:33,680 Speaker 1: to come on that Buccaneers Lions game for sure, and 1707 01:28:33,720 --> 01:28:36,240 Speaker 1: then the nightcap you get the Texans at the Seahawks. 1708 01:28:36,920 --> 01:28:40,080 Speaker 1: This is all almost all Seattle at this point heading 1709 01:28:40,120 --> 01:28:43,960 Speaker 1: to Monday. The Seahawks are three point favorites, taking seventy 1710 01:28:43,960 --> 01:28:46,839 Speaker 1: two percent of spread bets, eighty three percent of spread 1711 01:28:46,880 --> 01:28:50,679 Speaker 1: money at DraftKings and money line betters are all over 1712 01:28:50,720 --> 01:28:53,799 Speaker 1: Seattle as well, eighty three percent of tickets and money 1713 01:28:54,640 --> 01:28:58,040 Speaker 1: on the money line. The total opinions are divided, it 1714 01:28:58,120 --> 01:28:59,960 Speaker 1: is forty one and a half and you've got two 1715 01:29:00,120 --> 01:29:02,679 Speaker 1: one tickets on the over and two to one money 1716 01:29:03,439 --> 01:29:06,439 Speaker 1: on the under. So they're having a little recap of 1717 01:29:06,600 --> 01:29:09,200 Speaker 1: NFL Week seven. We'll talk to you again next week. 1718 01:29:09,000 --> 01:29:11,120 Speaker 4: All right, that'll do it. Here on the Action our 1719 01:29:11,200 --> 01:29:16,520 Speaker 4: podcast for our NFL Week seven recap episode presented by DraftKings, 1720 01:29:16,560 --> 01:29:19,240 Speaker 4: give us all a like on the YouTube video before 1721 01:29:19,280 --> 01:29:21,760 Speaker 4: you take off. We really appreciate. Go to actionnetwork dot 1722 01:29:21,800 --> 01:29:25,479 Speaker 4: com slash Pro use a promo code Pod twenty for 1723 01:29:25,600 --> 01:29:27,880 Speaker 4: twenty dollars off a year of Action Pro. If you 1724 01:29:28,000 --> 01:29:31,439 Speaker 4: haven't yet, check out our new quick slippot on X 1725 01:29:31,600 --> 01:29:34,920 Speaker 4: Just tag Playbook at Playbook tell he to grab whatever 1726 01:29:35,000 --> 01:29:37,320 Speaker 4: bets you're looking for and it'll create a quick slip 1727 01:29:37,400 --> 01:29:40,320 Speaker 4: link for you in a matter of seconds on the 1728 01:29:40,360 --> 01:29:44,280 Speaker 4: platform itself. So cool, so quick, so awesome. We will 1729 01:29:44,320 --> 01:29:47,720 Speaker 4: be back for Action Island before Monday Night's game right 1730 01:29:47,760 --> 01:29:50,599 Speaker 4: here on Action Ours YouTube page, as well as more 1731 01:29:50,880 --> 01:29:53,639 Speaker 4: NFL best bets from Brandon, the six Pack from Ray 1732 01:29:53,680 --> 01:29:56,919 Speaker 4: Bond and Stucky Anytime Touchdowns and more on the podcast 1733 01:29:57,000 --> 01:30:00,240 Speaker 4: feed next week. Thank you for listening, good luck with 1734 01:30:00,280 --> 01:30:03,280 Speaker 4: all your bets, and letting you be the first person 1735 01:30:03,600 --> 01:30:06,479 Speaker 4: to welcome you to National tight End Week in the NFL. 1736 01:30:06,920 --> 01:30:37,840 Speaker 5: How would you one on one. 1737 01:30:24,400 --> 01:30:28,920 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 1738 01:30:28,960 --> 01:30:31,760 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 1739 01:30:31,800 --> 01:30:34,879 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred gambler