WEBVTT - Beating The Book: 2024 NFL Week 16 Guessing Lines Show 0:00:00.240 --> 0:00:02.480 Betting on sports can be hard, but hiring Morgan and 0:00:02.520 --> 0:00:05.800 Morgan is easy. Morgan and Morgan is America's largest injury 0:00:05.880 --> 0:00:08.560 law firm. They have over one hundred offices nationwide and 0:00:08.600 --> 0:00:11.920 more than one thousand lawyers. Their fee is free unless 0:00:11.960 --> 0:00:14.560 they win. For more information, go to four the People 0:00:14.600 --> 0:00:17.920 dot com slash Best Bets, or dial pound law pound 0:00:17.960 --> 0:00:20.200 five two nine from your cell phone. That's f o 0:00:20.360 --> 0:00:23.400 R Thepeople dot com slash best Bets. This is a 0:00:23.400 --> 0:00:30.200 paid advertisement. Check it down, Man and. 0:00:30.200 --> 0:00:32.559 Numbers told the story. Now always do. It's on those 0:00:32.600 --> 0:00:35.320 idiots who believe in the analytics. This is a numbers 0:00:35.360 --> 0:00:38.280 game with Gil Alexander gons. 0:00:38.000 --> 0:00:40.440 Good Monday Morning too is the Numbers game in Visa 0:00:40.440 --> 0:00:42.879 the sports betting network, Visa dot Com game plus. I 0:00:43.240 --> 0:00:46.839 heard radio, YouTube, TV, every take in a sim We 0:00:46.840 --> 0:00:50.200 appreciate it. It's kill Alexander back in the saddle, Kelly 0:00:50.280 --> 0:00:53.279 biddling alongside Bruce number nine, so much more than a producer. 0:00:53.880 --> 0:00:55.920 How you doing, man, You're doing great. Good to have 0:00:55.960 --> 0:00:58.600 you back. Thank you. I'd like to thank Ben Wilson 0:00:58.640 --> 0:01:01.680 and Scott Seidenberg for holding it down. That's what the 0:01:01.760 --> 0:01:03.000 kids say, holding it down. 0:01:03.800 --> 0:01:05.640 Great to do a few days with Ben again. It's 0:01:05.640 --> 0:01:08.279 been a while since me and him have done stuff together. 0:01:08.720 --> 0:01:10.800 He didn't want to come over to Vegas, I guess, 0:01:10.800 --> 0:01:13.080 but stayed in cushy San Diego. But he did a 0:01:13.080 --> 0:01:15.400 great job. And then Scott always fun so I guess. 0:01:15.400 --> 0:01:17.399 It was the first shows me and Scott have done together. 0:01:17.600 --> 0:01:19.520 But Scott did a great job. Philed him the great 0:01:19.560 --> 0:01:22.360 Ben Wilson. He ain't got to come here a big time. 0:01:22.440 --> 0:01:25.039 Oh yeah, he had golf in the beach to get 0:01:25.040 --> 0:01:26.360 to after the show's gill right. 0:01:26.280 --> 0:01:29.039 He's got stuff to talk. This is guessing lines for 0:01:29.080 --> 0:01:32.000 a week number i'n't even lost count Week number sixteen 0:01:32.160 --> 0:01:33.240 is what we're going to be doing here in the 0:01:33.280 --> 0:01:36.920 National Football League as we do that. If you're new 0:01:36.920 --> 0:01:38.800 to the show, we look back at week number fifteen. 0:01:38.800 --> 0:01:41.040 The whole point of the exercise is to try to 0:01:41.640 --> 0:01:44.720 extract some value in the upcoming week's lines. Here's the thing. 0:01:45.120 --> 0:01:47.720 It's been slim pickens the last few weeks doing this. 0:01:47.880 --> 0:01:50.240 I'm not sure it'll be anything more than slim pickts today, 0:01:50.240 --> 0:01:51.600 but we will see what we can get. 0:01:51.680 --> 0:01:53.200 It's funny you say that you were you were gone 0:01:53.280 --> 0:01:55.680 last week obviously. I feel like I had more bets 0:01:55.800 --> 0:01:59.360 last week than I had the four previous weeks combined. 0:01:59.400 --> 0:02:01.520 Didn't work out? Okay, yeah it did, oh good? But 0:02:01.560 --> 0:02:02.840 what were you on? I feel like I'm back to 0:02:02.840 --> 0:02:04.840 slim pickens this week? What were you on last week? 0:02:05.080 --> 0:02:09.280 Let's see aj Brown over Receiving Yards, Let's see Broncos 0:02:09.320 --> 0:02:12.120 got home, Bucks got home, Lions was a loser, Bills 0:02:12.160 --> 0:02:14.720 Lions over a winner, and Packers Money Line a winner. 0:02:14.840 --> 0:02:18.080 Nice, well done. We'll get to all of it, and 0:02:18.120 --> 0:02:20.560 we always start though on Mondays with a little Circus 0:02:20.560 --> 0:02:24.920 Survivor update. The fourteen point two sixty six million dollar 0:02:25.000 --> 0:02:29.480 Circus Survivor down to five fifty pardon me, we're down 0:02:29.560 --> 0:02:32.080 ball Oh you missed it. It was a big upset, 0:02:32.120 --> 0:02:35.200 you said. Now we're down to fifty entries fifty in 0:02:35.280 --> 0:02:37.760 a contest. By the way, there's fifteen of those entries 0:02:37.760 --> 0:02:40.520 are on the vikings tonight, so we're not through week 0:02:40.600 --> 0:02:43.720 fifteen quite yet with this. But right as of this moment, 0:02:43.760 --> 0:02:46.680 there are fifty entries left. Intrinsic value of each of 0:02:46.680 --> 0:02:49.720 these fifty two hundred and eighty five three hundred and 0:02:49.760 --> 0:02:55.320 twenty dollars five of those almost got refereed out by 0:02:55.400 --> 0:02:58.760 the UH in the Washington Commander's game. It's so into 0:02:58.919 --> 0:03:03.240 imagine if those five people had lost on that, which 0:03:03.280 --> 0:03:03.760 we'll get to. 0:03:03.919 --> 0:03:05.480 I don't even know what I'd do, people like set 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:07.360 their couches on fire and stuff like. I don't know, 0:03:07.360 --> 0:03:09.840 I'd just be setting my whole house on fire. Might 0:03:09.880 --> 0:03:12.079 have been one of the worst ways to lose ever, 0:03:12.680 --> 0:03:15.520 But they get by. So fifteen on the Vikings tonight. 0:03:15.560 --> 0:03:17.040 Here's the thing, there are four mores. 0:03:17.040 --> 0:03:19.680 If those fifteen get through, we'll still have fifty obviously 0:03:20.000 --> 0:03:21.840 thirty five if not. If the Bears pull off the 0:03:21.919 --> 0:03:25.480 upset tonight. Either way, there are four quote unquote weeks 0:03:25.600 --> 0:03:29.280 left in this contest, one of which is the Christmas Quirk. 0:03:29.840 --> 0:03:33.600 Two on Christmas Day, one on Thursday Night Football. So 0:03:33.800 --> 0:03:38.320 six teams available, none of which are comfortable picks, though 0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:41.920 with a couple injuries yesterday, namely to Patrick Mahomes the 0:03:42.040 --> 0:03:44.920 Chiefs and to Genosmith and the Seahawks, it does add 0:03:44.920 --> 0:03:48.520 a little drama. It's Chiefs that Steelers Ravens at Texans 0:03:48.520 --> 0:03:51.560 on a Christmas Day, and then it's Seahawks and the 0:03:51.600 --> 0:03:55.440 Bears Thursday Night Football. That week, but we still got 0:03:55.440 --> 0:03:57.200 to get through week sixteen before we get to that. 0:03:57.240 --> 0:03:59.960 But that's you know how they say Saturday is moving 0:04:00.080 --> 0:04:02.240 day at the Masters, that will be moving day if 0:04:02.280 --> 0:04:05.120 you will in Circus Survivor. So that's where that stands. 0:04:05.200 --> 0:04:07.280 You ready to get some lines, Let's do it. Let's 0:04:07.280 --> 0:04:21.880 do it. For week sixteen in National Football three or 0:04:21.880 --> 0:04:25.360 four weeks left Hill hard to believe. It is hard 0:04:25.400 --> 0:04:27.039 to believe Will Hill was here. He's like, I can't 0:04:27.040 --> 0:04:29.479 believe it's week five already. He always does, I can't 0:04:29.480 --> 0:04:31.360 believe it's week six already. Well we're here. 0:04:31.560 --> 0:04:33.320 I'm that guy too. I say that at least eight 0:04:33.360 --> 0:04:34.360 times during the season. 0:04:35.240 --> 0:04:37.600 By the way, I will say this last thing about Survivor. 0:04:38.000 --> 0:04:41.000 As epically historical as those first five weeks were in 0:04:41.040 --> 0:04:43.919 terms of carnage, there's no way to because we don't track. 0:04:44.240 --> 0:04:48.240 We can track that mathematically. No one ever tracks the 0:04:48.279 --> 0:04:51.680 screeching halt of Survivor. But this has been a historic 0:04:51.800 --> 0:04:56.919 screech Yeah, you know, because it within five weeks we 0:04:57.040 --> 0:05:01.000 had lost ninety eight point four five five percent of entries. 0:05:02.760 --> 0:05:06.560 There's fit within five the first five weeks of these 0:05:06.600 --> 0:05:10.600 of this NFL season, ninety eight point four, or five 0:05:10.640 --> 0:05:13.680 percent of the entries were gone. We forget how amazing 0:05:13.680 --> 0:05:17.120 it was. It was insane. Okay. The opposite is case 0:05:17.160 --> 0:05:21.839 after week eleven after week, excuse me, after week ten, 0:05:22.040 --> 0:05:25.800 one hundred and five entries were left. There are fifty left. 0:05:26.120 --> 0:05:28.320 And keep in mind we had a Thanksgiving yeah, and 0:05:28.440 --> 0:05:31.000 we got through Thanksgiving. Yeah. So here we are, all right, 0:05:31.480 --> 0:05:34.000 let's get some lives. Let's go to thirty. Thursday night 0:05:34.040 --> 0:05:38.680 Broncos at Chargers was a Chargers Broncos beat the Colts. 0:05:39.560 --> 0:05:40.800 We get to the point of the season. We don't 0:05:40.960 --> 0:05:42.880 linger on some of these games too long, but it 0:05:42.920 --> 0:05:46.520 was one of these where the Colts. There was a 0:05:46.560 --> 0:05:48.360 key point in this game, in case you missed it, 0:05:48.880 --> 0:05:51.760 and this is becoming an epidemic of the NFL. Colts 0:05:51.760 --> 0:05:54.159 started out with a nice ten play seventy yard drive 0:05:54.960 --> 0:05:57.200 ar dime to Josh Downs on third and ten for 0:05:57.279 --> 0:05:59.680 twenty two to start at the drive. Seven plays later, 0:05:59.720 --> 0:06:01.520 he ran it in from twenty three to seven to nothing. 0:06:01.640 --> 0:06:05.159 Broncos came right back, but Nicks was picked bo Nicks 0:06:05.160 --> 0:06:08.479 picked by Zayir Franklin. That led to a Matt Gay 0:06:08.600 --> 0:06:12.200 thirty seven yard field will tend to nothing Colts. A 0:06:12.279 --> 0:06:14.480 couple drives later for the Broncos, they went fifty four 0:06:14.560 --> 0:06:17.839 yards Nicks to Adam Trautman from thirteen out ten to 0:06:17.960 --> 0:06:21.360 seven Indianapolis. It would be thirteen to seven Indianapolis at 0:06:21.360 --> 0:06:23.680 the half. And here's where it gets a little nutty 0:06:24.120 --> 0:06:28.960 Denver third play of the third quarter, opening drive, Knicks 0:06:29.080 --> 0:06:32.560 picked again by Samuel Womack. The third let me just 0:06:32.600 --> 0:06:35.000 say this little Offensive Rookie of the Year break on this. 0:06:35.360 --> 0:06:38.600 It's over. It's all over. Bo Nicks three picks yesterday, 0:06:38.880 --> 0:06:41.760 Jade and Daniels just sort of doing his thing. It 0:06:41.800 --> 0:06:45.120 would take an epic set of circumstances now for Jayde 0:06:45.200 --> 0:06:47.520 Daniels not to win the Offensive Rookie the Year. Agree 0:06:47.600 --> 0:06:49.919 or disagree? Agree? 0:06:50.960 --> 0:06:53.559 Yeah, I agree, But I'm that guy who's totally gotten 0:06:53.560 --> 0:06:55.360 to the point where Brock bo I feel like Brock 0:06:55.360 --> 0:06:56.839 Bauers should probably win this award. 0:06:56.920 --> 0:07:00.599 Oh stop it, already, stop it. He's having eight epic 0:07:01.480 --> 0:07:03.520 he is, he is. But what You're not gonna give 0:07:03.520 --> 0:07:06.320 it to Jayden? Dad? You have to, all right, So 0:07:07.040 --> 0:07:10.960 Nick's second pick, it's thirteen to seven Colts. Colts have 0:07:11.040 --> 0:07:14.080 the ball up six second play first intend the Denver 0:07:14.120 --> 0:07:18.880 forty one Jonathan Taylor untouched into the end zone touchdown, 0:07:19.320 --> 0:07:22.800 except for a little little detail. Right before he crosses 0:07:22.800 --> 0:07:24.400 the goal line, he does this little thing where he 0:07:24.640 --> 0:07:29.680 flips the ball. What are we doing review? It's a 0:07:29.720 --> 0:07:33.280 fumble through the end zone touchback. So instead of twenty 0:07:33.320 --> 0:07:35.960 to seven or twenty one to seven, have they chosen 0:07:35.960 --> 0:07:38.000 perhaps to have gotten the to have tried the two 0:07:38.040 --> 0:07:40.240 point conversion and converted it either way, that would have 0:07:40.240 --> 0:07:42.640 been a two score game. Instead it remains thirteen to seven. 0:07:43.240 --> 0:07:47.040 Gil a defensive player, I'll give an excuse to Okay, 0:07:47.080 --> 0:07:50.080 maybe fine, you're not used to carrying the ball, Jonathan Taylor. 0:07:50.400 --> 0:07:52.960 I just think that we've gotten to the point now 0:07:52.960 --> 0:07:57.080 where this has happened more than a negligible amount, let's 0:07:57.120 --> 0:07:59.800 put it that way. And I don't think the outrage 0:07:59.800 --> 0:08:03.000 as a hows quote unquote outrages announcers are in the moment. 0:08:03.200 --> 0:08:06.120 They need to be that tenfold. I agree, like someone 0:08:06.120 --> 0:08:08.240 needs to go crazy about this, and the coaches need 0:08:08.280 --> 0:08:12.000 to bench people. This is it's just so, it's so lazy. 0:08:13.000 --> 0:08:15.000 Denver third and tent at the Indianapols thirty nine. Don't 0:08:15.040 --> 0:08:17.880 worry though, bo Nix throws another pick, this time to 0:08:17.960 --> 0:08:21.800 Nick Cross Indianapolis first play in suing drive, they give 0:08:21.840 --> 0:08:24.960 it right back ar to Pittman. He's tackled by PJ Lockey, 0:08:25.000 --> 0:08:28.080 fumbles recovered by DJ Jones. Denver doesn't do anything with it, 0:08:28.120 --> 0:08:29.320 but they do get the field goal to cut it 0:08:29.320 --> 0:08:33.080 to thirteen to ten. Then after a Mims sixty yard 0:08:33.080 --> 0:08:35.600 punt return. How many great plays is Marvin Mims Junior 0:08:35.600 --> 0:08:37.679 make on on special teams? They're set up at the 0:08:37.679 --> 0:08:40.520 Indianapolis fifteen second play, Nicks to Nate Adkins for fifteen 0:08:40.600 --> 0:08:43.920 seventeen thirteen. Denver takes the lead early fourth quarter, and 0:08:44.040 --> 0:08:47.840 then second and seventh at the Denver forty Outonnam Mitchell 0:08:47.960 --> 0:08:51.920 adonai Ahad looking to throw it back across the field, 0:08:52.200 --> 0:08:55.640 picked in full stride by Nick Benito. It's actually ruled 0:08:55.640 --> 0:08:58.080 the latter in a fumble in the in the in 0:08:58.120 --> 0:08:59.960 the box score, as it should because it's a backwards 0:09:00.679 --> 0:09:03.400 But you ever see somebody make that play where they're 0:09:03.400 --> 0:09:06.520 in full stride on defense. That was unbelievable. Yeah, And 0:09:06.559 --> 0:09:08.840 as Scott Hanson accurately said, on a red zone, he 0:09:08.880 --> 0:09:12.079 goes Nick Benito then grabbed his Benito's on the way 0:09:12.120 --> 0:09:15.120 in and got flagged for that. But nonetheless it's a 0:09:15.160 --> 0:09:18.319 two lead, two score lead for Denver twenty four to thirteen. 0:09:18.360 --> 0:09:21.120 They would go on to win it because ar would 0:09:21.120 --> 0:09:23.400 throw another pick to us or ten severely underthrown. They 0:09:23.480 --> 0:09:25.959 go on a win at thirty one to thirteen. Denver 0:09:26.040 --> 0:09:29.560 wins with only one hundred and ninety three total yards 0:09:29.559 --> 0:09:32.920 of offense. Why because the opponent, once they get to 0:09:32.920 --> 0:09:35.440 the end zone flips the ball and decides not to score. 0:09:36.120 --> 0:09:40.559 God bless, who's Indianapolis? Who's Denver playing? Again? Charge Chargers? 0:09:40.760 --> 0:09:45.080 And the Chargers get just destroyed by the Buccaneers. Did 0:09:45.120 --> 0:09:46.680 you have this game going this way? 0:09:47.080 --> 0:09:49.760 I had the Bucks, you know, catching points and on 0:09:49.800 --> 0:09:50.760 the money line. 0:09:50.480 --> 0:09:54.960 Ten to ten game Tampa Bay. Baker gets picked by 0:09:55.000 --> 0:09:58.880 Tarheeb Still from University of Maryland. Set up the Chargers 0:09:58.920 --> 0:10:01.480 are the Tampa Bay twenty seven replays Herbert to Quentin Johnston. 0:10:01.720 --> 0:10:05.040 It's seventeen to ten Chargers midway through the second quarter. 0:10:05.480 --> 0:10:07.840 Then Tampa Bay third and one at their own forty 0:10:07.840 --> 0:10:10.720 four shot White hit by Joey Bosa. He fumbles, Elijah 0:10:10.760 --> 0:10:12.680 Moulten recovers to the Chargers. So the Chargers are set 0:10:12.720 --> 0:10:16.679 up up seven points. This is late second quarter. They decide, well, 0:10:16.679 --> 0:10:18.120 we're not going to roll out Cameron Dicker for a 0:10:18.120 --> 0:10:20.760 sixty yardfield. Well, that'd be crazy. We punt it. So 0:10:21.080 --> 0:10:23.200 that was the end. That was the That was the 0:10:23.840 --> 0:10:26.520 the high point of the Chargers in this game. Up seven, 0:10:26.640 --> 0:10:29.240 with the ball in Tampa Bay territory, they couldn't do 0:10:29.280 --> 0:10:31.680 anything with it. So starting from there, here are the 0:10:31.679 --> 0:10:34.360 rest of the Chargers drives in this game. Three and out, 0:10:34.840 --> 0:10:42.160 three and out, punt, the rare Justin Herbert pick, turnover 0:10:42.240 --> 0:10:46.520 on downs, four and out, another turnover on downs heineke in, 0:10:46.600 --> 0:10:48.599 and a fumble by Stone Smart. That's the rest of 0:10:48.640 --> 0:10:51.000 the game for the Chargers. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is just 0:10:51.040 --> 0:10:53.960 scoring points the whole time. Mike Evans with two huge 0:10:54.040 --> 0:10:56.319 plays a one to a fifty seven yard touchdown pass 0:10:56.440 --> 0:10:59.120 to put the Bucks up twenty to seventeen, and then 0:10:59.280 --> 0:11:01.400 later Mayfield to Evans from thirty five out to put 0:11:01.400 --> 0:11:04.000 them up thirty to seventeen. They'd win it forty to seventeen. 0:11:04.280 --> 0:11:07.640 The Chargers out gained by the Bucks five oh five 0:11:07.720 --> 0:11:11.560 to two oh seven. Yeah, the Buccaneers are just flying 0:11:11.640 --> 0:11:13.720 to the win in the NFC South, as we said 0:11:13.720 --> 0:11:16.680 they would a few weeks ago given their schedule. Yep, 0:11:17.200 --> 0:11:19.760 I've got the Falcons ticket. It's been tough to watch. Yeah, 0:11:19.840 --> 0:11:20.240 it happened. 0:11:20.400 --> 0:11:22.800 And also the I mean, it's impossible not to root 0:11:22.800 --> 0:11:25.040 for Baker Mayfield and this like but this Bucks is 0:11:25.040 --> 0:11:25.959 one of my favorite teams. 0:11:26.040 --> 0:11:28.520 But Baker twenty two of twenty two for twenty seven 0:11:28.559 --> 0:11:30.640 for two to eighty eight, four touchdowns at a pick. 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:34.160 Denver's at the Chargers because I know that the market 0:11:34.200 --> 0:11:36.760 tends to like the Chargers a bit. I'll say chargers 0:11:36.800 --> 0:11:38.720 by more than the three. I'll say chargers by three 0:11:38.720 --> 0:11:42.600 and a hook. We are three at draft Kings. Let 0:11:42.600 --> 0:11:43.480 me check around. 0:11:43.720 --> 0:11:46.400 I think it's pretty much three flat. Yeah, three everywhere. 0:11:46.520 --> 0:11:48.840 I think that's a better line. I think that's what 0:11:48.840 --> 0:11:50.480 I would make it if I hadn't assumed that they 0:11:50.480 --> 0:11:52.839 would go crazy for the Chargers again. But maybe maybe 0:11:52.840 --> 0:11:54.000 that love is dissipated. 0:11:54.360 --> 0:11:56.760 Yeah, I agree with the three, But I tend to 0:11:56.800 --> 0:11:58.880 think how what you just said is true too, that 0:11:58.920 --> 0:11:59.280 they give it. 0:11:59.280 --> 0:12:02.920 They give the Charger a little too much. Denver, looking 0:12:03.000 --> 0:12:06.440 like a playoff team, had no business winning that yesterday 0:12:06.880 --> 0:12:09.720 manage to anyway? Good for them, Good for them getting 0:12:09.760 --> 0:12:11.640 the mowirrel lines. See if we can find some value 0:12:11.720 --> 0:12:15.240 Week sixteen guessing lines on a numbers game at Visa 0:12:15.280 --> 0:12:16.559 the Sports Betting Network. 0:12:27.520 --> 0:12:31.120 Numbers game on vs These Sports Vetting Network. 0:12:30.800 --> 0:12:33.199 And olders watched the college football playoffs this year. Get 0:12:33.240 --> 0:12:36.400 in on the action with Vson Road to Jan Sanity Contests. 0:12:36.559 --> 0:12:38.800 Your football handicapping skills can win you five thousand dollars. 0:12:38.840 --> 0:12:41.400 In the best part, it's absolutely free to enter your challenge. 0:12:41.520 --> 0:12:43.640 Pick the games against the spread for every round the 0:12:43.679 --> 0:12:45.640 contest it with the most points after the title game 0:12:45.679 --> 0:12:48.440 wins five thousand dollars. Head over to Vison dot com 0:12:48.440 --> 0:12:51.640 slash Jan Sanity for the contest rules and to register. 0:12:51.800 --> 0:12:54.559 Don't wait, the edge of deadline is this Thursday though 0:12:54.960 --> 0:12:58.520 December nineteenth. Visit Vson dot com slash jan Sanity and 0:12:58.640 --> 0:13:03.160 let the gen sanity begin. How about this weekend? Uh 0:13:03.400 --> 0:13:07.560 Saturday three college football? So there's the first of the 0:13:07.559 --> 0:13:11.120 college football playoff games is Friday night, then three on 0:13:11.240 --> 0:13:13.520 Saturday along with two NFL games. 0:13:13.760 --> 0:13:16.640 Oh yeah, yeah, I'm flying out of here red Eye 0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:19.679 Friday night and you're going going home Christmas. 0:13:19.360 --> 0:13:21.480 Going home, going to see my mom. It's been two years. Hey, 0:13:21.480 --> 0:13:24.240 do we have that Kelly Bidlin, the shot of you 0:13:24.720 --> 0:13:27.280 on the FSU sidelines. Yeah, we do that right now, 0:13:27.920 --> 0:13:30.360 going a great red light ladies and gentlemen. This is 0:13:30.400 --> 0:13:34.200 from on Tundra at Andrew eight two zero eight two 0:13:34.200 --> 0:13:40.040 seven one on Tondre. Is this your producer Kelly Bidlin 0:13:40.120 --> 0:13:43.120 on the Florida State sideline? That dude kind of does 0:13:43.200 --> 0:13:43.880 look like you. 0:13:44.120 --> 0:13:48.280 Yeah, I'm not gonna I'm not gonna say he doesn't. Uh, 0:13:48.360 --> 0:13:50.959 the hair a little more red than mine. Okay, red, 0:13:51.720 --> 0:13:53.880 this is old though this is old as hell. This 0:13:53.960 --> 0:13:57.360 guy is uh my research shows from before the show. 0:13:57.400 --> 0:13:59.840 He is now the equipment manager for the softball team 0:14:00.080 --> 0:14:02.719 and soccer teams there at Florida State. He was there 0:14:02.800 --> 0:14:05.080 during the Jamus years. Though they called it, they were 0:14:05.160 --> 0:14:07.200 sort of called him red Lightning because there was a 0:14:07.240 --> 0:14:09.720 couple famous highlights through those years of him, Like you 0:14:09.720 --> 0:14:11.680 know when you see the every once in a while, 0:14:11.720 --> 0:14:14.600 like the ball guy running running stride for stride with 0:14:14.640 --> 0:14:16.959 like the running back who's going into the zone. He 0:14:17.120 --> 0:14:20.560 was that guy like chugging along going crazy. Yeah, Red 0:14:20.600 --> 0:14:21.120 Lightning man. 0:14:21.320 --> 0:14:24.160 Legend. By the way he and quotes is what Kelly's saying. 0:14:24.200 --> 0:14:27.640 He was the guy running very much faith. 0:14:27.880 --> 0:14:30.040 You don't even know, man, there's this one kid. It 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:32.600 was a good freshman year at Florida State. No idea 0:14:32.600 --> 0:14:33.240 how this happens. 0:14:33.280 --> 0:14:35.760 Freshman year at Florida State University. 0:14:35.840 --> 0:14:37.960 There is I don't even know how many thousands of 0:14:38.040 --> 0:14:42.040 kids right there signing up. I lived in a dorm, 0:14:42.080 --> 0:14:45.200 A kid two floors above me, a dead ringer for me, 0:14:45.480 --> 0:14:48.160 dead ringer, and like people would mix us up all 0:14:48.200 --> 0:14:50.440 the time. People come up to be like, hey, Andrew, 0:14:50.440 --> 0:14:52.320 how you doing, man, I'm like, yeah, I'm not Andrew, 0:14:52.400 --> 0:14:53.600 Like I don't even know what you're talking about. 0:14:53.640 --> 0:14:55.760 That guy scowl the way he's looking just like you. 0:14:55.800 --> 0:14:58.000 We get tweets and beating the book. Simon Wheeland can't 0:14:58.040 --> 0:15:00.480 wait for my running back and my coach to feature 0:15:00.680 --> 0:15:02.640 on Dumbo of the Week on the megapod. Will yea. 0:15:02.720 --> 0:15:05.680 Jonathan Taylor is absolutely is Dumbo of the Week candidate 0:15:05.760 --> 0:15:08.080 number one for what we were talking about before, that's 0:15:08.080 --> 0:15:11.960 for sure. Uh Charles and Connecticut. Talking about the tailor flip's, 0:15:12.120 --> 0:15:14.400 he says that's at least three times this year that's 0:15:14.440 --> 0:15:16.520 happened in the NFL. I don't understand it. I wish 0:15:16.600 --> 0:15:18.680 someone could tell me why it's important to the players 0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:20.560 to drop the ball as soon as they break the plane. 0:15:20.600 --> 0:15:22.600 What's wrong with waiting until you're three yards into the 0:15:22.640 --> 0:15:26.240 end zone? Bro, I call you bruh. Charleson Connecticut totally agree. 0:15:26.280 --> 0:15:28.920 I mean, it's just it's as simple as they're so excited, right, 0:15:29.000 --> 0:15:30.200 Like they're just too excited. 0:15:30.240 --> 0:15:33.320 Stop with the so excited saying it is an excuse. 0:15:33.440 --> 0:15:37.000 Obviously you should score first before you probably celebrate. 0:15:36.600 --> 0:15:38.920 It all my first one thousand year old moments since 0:15:38.920 --> 0:15:41.160 I've gotten back. You know what John Riggins used to do. 0:15:42.040 --> 0:15:43.880 He used to run into the end zone. He never 0:15:43.960 --> 0:15:45.560 used to spike. You should just flip it back to 0:15:45.560 --> 0:15:47.200 the rest. I always thought that was the coolest thing, 0:15:47.360 --> 0:15:49.520 Just hand into the rest. I've been here before the 0:15:49.640 --> 0:15:52.200 act like you've been there before, right, Jeff Holdorf at 0:15:52.200 --> 0:15:54.760 holding court, Holding court, He says, welcome back, Gale, ready 0:15:54.760 --> 0:15:56.640 to learn our next Yiddish word? Think we have all 0:15:56.720 --> 0:15:59.880 a googled machugar After the four thousand time of hearing that, Bro, 0:16:00.520 --> 0:16:03.160 love having you back. Thank you. Jeff C. Spackler welcome 0:16:03.160 --> 0:16:04.720 back to my morning show. Let's try to make it 0:16:04.760 --> 0:16:07.080 into work more often. It messes with my mornings. I 0:16:07.160 --> 0:16:09.840 wander gillless through the betting week. I'm sorry about that, 0:16:09.840 --> 0:16:12.960 Seaspack Brian Shaffer. Gill is the music for Guessing Lines 0:16:13.000 --> 0:16:16.080 the same as the music for crack Man. Sincerely, Steve Feszick. 0:16:16.640 --> 0:16:19.680 I don't think it is, no, No, crack Man has 0:16:19.720 --> 0:16:23.240 the best intro music. Yeah, yeah, it's much more rocky ish. 0:16:23.400 --> 0:16:25.800 The college football guessing lines music, which, by the way, 0:16:25.800 --> 0:16:27.800 where did that go this year? Is the same as 0:16:27.840 --> 0:16:31.360 the regular guessing lines music. What happened to college foot. 0:16:31.760 --> 0:16:33.960 Well, we screwed up the one great week to do it, 0:16:34.040 --> 0:16:36.560 the conference championship week when I but when pre show 0:16:36.600 --> 0:16:38.320 I was discussing with Elliott Bowman. 0:16:38.280 --> 0:16:41.400 We screwed it up, by the way, Yeah yeah, yeah, yes, yeah, sorry, Gil, 0:16:41.480 --> 0:16:42.200 I screwed it up. 0:16:42.240 --> 0:16:45.560 Okay, I mean, look, it does get later in the season, 0:16:45.600 --> 0:16:47.280 as you often talk about, even when we do the 0:16:47.400 --> 0:16:49.240 NFL ones where you're like, okay, we've seen what this 0:16:49.320 --> 0:16:52.280 spread was two weeks before. Yeah, not that I'm great 0:16:52.280 --> 0:16:54.000 at it, but it makes it a little easier for 0:16:54.080 --> 0:16:56.200 me sometimes, and then it becomes a little boring. 0:16:56.280 --> 0:16:59.360 It's only fun if I'm wildly off right true, But. 0:17:00.000 --> 0:17:02.520 Average Championships was a letdown because I didn't even know 0:17:02.520 --> 0:17:04.160 who was playing in some of them. 0:17:04.440 --> 0:17:08.080 All season already started, you know, I did. Okay, let's 0:17:08.080 --> 0:17:09.879 go to Sunday. Are we on Sunday? No? Saturday? 0:17:09.880 --> 0:17:10.200 Saturday? 0:17:10.240 --> 0:17:10.600 Saturday? 0:17:10.680 --> 0:17:10.800 Right? 0:17:10.800 --> 0:17:11.080 Okay? 0:17:11.080 --> 0:17:14.920 So Saturday, this is one o'clock Eastern Texans at Chiefs. 0:17:14.960 --> 0:17:17.920 Well, that's a good game. Potentially. I suppose Patrick Mahomes play, 0:17:17.960 --> 0:17:19.480 so we have to have two different lines here. I 0:17:19.480 --> 0:17:21.560 would imagine I don't know what the market is is 0:17:21.600 --> 0:17:23.520 factory in at this point, but on I guess I 0:17:23.560 --> 0:17:27.800 would three to Threeither Houston beats Miami yesterday, three to 0:17:27.840 --> 0:17:29.960 three game, Miami third and fourth their own forty seven 0:17:30.000 --> 0:17:33.000 to a sacked by Will Anderson Junior. Tim Centle recovers 0:17:33.000 --> 0:17:36.280 set up at the Miami twenty twenty eight, Houston leads 0:17:36.320 --> 0:17:39.160 to Stroud across the body, touchdown past Nico Collins, ten 0:17:39.200 --> 0:17:42.040 to three Houston, It'd be ten to six, and then 0:17:42.080 --> 0:17:44.200 Houston first and tend their own forty nine. Stroud fumbles, 0:17:44.280 --> 0:17:48.160 Jordan Brooks recovers. Miami then at the Houston thirty eight. 0:17:48.200 --> 0:17:49.880 They returned the favor second and sixth at the Houston 0:17:49.880 --> 0:17:52.600 thirty nine to a pick by Kaylin Bullock didn't see him. 0:17:52.600 --> 0:17:54.639 He returns at sixty eight yards to the Miami five 0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:57.399 with thirteen seconds left in the first half. They do 0:17:57.480 --> 0:17:59.800 have to settle for the field goal, though no game 0:18:00.119 --> 0:18:02.520 by an incomplete pass, so Fairburn twenty three yard chip 0:18:02.520 --> 0:18:05.000 shot thirteen to six Uston at the half. Houston then 0:18:05.000 --> 0:18:07.320 in punt formation fourth and two at the Miami forty 0:18:07.359 --> 0:18:10.920 four first drive of the second half, they faked darhe 0:18:11.080 --> 0:18:14.159 Ogunbawale for thirty five yards. Two plays later, strived to 0:18:14.200 --> 0:18:17.080 Collins from six out twenty to six, and Miami was 0:18:17.080 --> 0:18:20.760 in ketchup mo of the rest of the way. Sanders 0:18:20.840 --> 0:18:24.000 thirty four thirty yard field goal was good, but they 0:18:24.080 --> 0:18:27.639 wiped that off the board and Miami converted into a 0:18:27.640 --> 0:18:29.760 touchdown to John new Smith, great pass by two of 0:18:29.840 --> 0:18:32.560 twenty to twelve. They missed the extra point, so a 0:18:32.560 --> 0:18:34.439 good decision to wipe that field goal off the board, 0:18:34.920 --> 0:18:37.800 and then Miami had so many opportunities to get back 0:18:37.840 --> 0:18:40.040 in this They had a fourth and fourth of Houston 0:18:40.080 --> 0:18:42.000 thirty four with twelve forty four to go two at 0:18:42.000 --> 0:18:44.000 a John who for nine, but then three plays later 0:18:44.359 --> 0:18:46.879 to a picked again by Derek Stingley Junior, with ten 0:18:46.960 --> 0:18:49.320 thirty four to go. Then they had a three and out, 0:18:49.640 --> 0:18:51.520 and then they took over at their own twenty three 0:18:51.600 --> 0:18:54.200 with one forty four to go, still down one possession, 0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:57.120 eight points. First play to a pick by Stingley again, 0:18:57.200 --> 0:19:00.879 ballgame twenty to twelve. Stingley's so good, so good to 0:19:01.040 --> 0:19:04.439 a just for a guy who doesn't who is you know, 0:19:04.560 --> 0:19:07.840 accurate with his passes? Not his best performance, yes, not 0:19:07.840 --> 0:19:08.320