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Speaker 1: For seven home of the Black and Goals Steelers Nation

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Speaker 1: Radio buying Dale lowly. He is Matt Williamson and Matt

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Speaker 1: in his Week six kicked off last night with a

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Speaker 1: seven win by the Washington kind of Yeah. Both teams

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Speaker 1: got more which was more so than the previous week.

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Speaker 1: Was two more touchdowns in them scored the previous week.

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Speaker 1: Uh so some interesting games this week. Let's talk about

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Speaker 1: what's happening here in Week six around the NFL our

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Speaker 1: first game is uh the three and two Ravens at

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Speaker 1: the four and one Giants Baltimore favored by five and

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Speaker 1: a half on the road, the over under his forty

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Speaker 1: four and a half. Uh, this is wink Martindale. That's

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Speaker 1: what's gonna bring up. I mean for teams that don't

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Speaker 1: see Lamar often or ever, he's a shock to the system. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: and you still will be for the players, but not

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Speaker 1: for the defense. The coordinator he'll know a little bit

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Speaker 1: about him. It's just a matter to your point, you know,

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Speaker 1: seeing it on film versus seeing it the first three

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Speaker 1: or four times that he takes off and starts running

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Speaker 1: and you're like, oh, he's passed. But wait, you spend

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Speaker 1: in those meetings where things aren't going well, and Harbaugh

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Speaker 1: is like, damn, Lamar, it always does this, you know.

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Speaker 1: I mean you know all the where all the bones

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Speaker 1: are buried and all those type of things when you're

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Speaker 1: on staff. Um, I still don't know if that's enough, though.

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Speaker 1: I think this is. It's it's almost Halloween there. There's

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Speaker 1: some things around the league. I've been saying this week

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Speaker 1: they're gonna turn back. And the Giants have played a

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Speaker 1: ridiculously easy schedule. I know, I know, I think they

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Speaker 1: turned into a pumpkin, and hey, God bless him. They've

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Speaker 1: won the games, but they played a ridiculously simple If

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Speaker 1: they had played the Steelers schedule to this point, we'll

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Speaker 1: be talking about them like the teams last night or

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Speaker 1: how people are talking about Steelers. Yeah, I mean it's

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Speaker 1: not they're just not very talented. Um. Lamar Jackson his

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Speaker 1: twelve and oh is the starting quarterback against NFC East

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Speaker 1: teams in his career, the longest or that's the second

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Speaker 1: longest interconference wind streak to start a career since the

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Speaker 1: nineteen seventy NFL merger him every four years. I don't

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Speaker 1: think that changes in this one. Um, We'll see Jackson

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Speaker 1: seventeen seven and two against the spread on the road

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Speaker 1: his career as well. So people are inflating the Giants.

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Speaker 1: What's the New York market? Yeah, George back, get out

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Speaker 1: of here. Giants turned into a pumpk in this week. Yeah. Uh,

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Speaker 1: the both writers picking on looking here at the ESPN

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Speaker 1: picks picking the Ravens. Eric Moody picking the Ravens one.

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Speaker 1: He thinks that the Giants cover uh, Seth Walter picking

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Speaker 1: the Ravens sixteen, which means they don't cover. Eileen Towards

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Speaker 1: More Towards Walters. You know, all right, Another a f

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Speaker 1: C North game. Here's out of the out of the gate,

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Speaker 1: the two and three Bengals at the two and three Saints.

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Speaker 1: It's a one o'clock kickoff, Cincinnati favored by two, the

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Speaker 1: over under forty three. There's a lot of injuries out

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Speaker 1: there that are important. Lattin More, Higgins, Winston, you know, like,

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Speaker 1: I'm not exactly sure who we're gonna see. Michael Thomas

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Speaker 1: tough place to play. I think the L s U

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Speaker 1: connection goes back to the Bayou, though, and wins this

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Speaker 1: one pretty handily. I think, since he's improving. I do,

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Speaker 1: although I don't know that they played great last week

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Speaker 1: against No, they don't they can't run. Don't think they

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Speaker 1: can't run the ball. I think New Orleans pass rush

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Speaker 1: will give them fits. I agree with that Cam Jordan

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Speaker 1: and company are gonna get after him. Um, you know

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Speaker 1: they're missing Higgins is a big deal. It's a huge

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Speaker 1: seaboard double and Chase like crazy, and Higgins has taken advantage,

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Speaker 1: but he's not healthy. I think the Bengals d though,

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Speaker 1: is probably the best of four units. Probably so, although

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Speaker 1: you know, I mean it's I think it's close with

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Speaker 1: them and the same. Yeah, that Saints offense so scares me.

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Speaker 1: It's the Andy Dalton revenge game is to Trey Hendrickson

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Speaker 1: revenge game. Like there's all kinds of These two teams

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Speaker 1: have been trading players back and forth. Here a little

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Speaker 1: bit this LSU connection to going back to the Bayou.

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Speaker 1: I'm picking the Bengals and you said they're their favorite, right,

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Speaker 1: their favored by two? Yeah, tough ways to play the

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Speaker 1: both the writers picking the Bengals. It is very loud

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Speaker 1: there by the way. Bengals one says Moody, Walter says

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Speaker 1: Bengals thirty nineteen. Okay, No, I don't think it's blow

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Speaker 1: out either. U the three and two Jets are at

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Speaker 1: the three and two Packers, who had both of those

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Speaker 1: teams at three and two at this point. That's a

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Speaker 1: one o'clock game. Green Bay favored by seven at home.

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Speaker 1: The over under his forty five absolutely could eat these words.

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Speaker 1: But I don't think the Jets turned into a pumpkin

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Speaker 1: and they keep it close. I think that Green Bay

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Speaker 1: has got some issues their defense. Anybody out there, anybody

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Speaker 1: out that's that's my point. I mean, I think it's

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Speaker 1: like a seventeen ten game or twenty seventeen game. You know,

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Speaker 1: they win, but I don't think they blow their doors off.

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Speaker 1: You know, at the end of the day, I'll take

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers over Zack Wilson and Green Bay about it.

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Speaker 1: But I just don't think that I'll take the points under.

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Speaker 1: Matt Lafleur. The green Bay is tenano outright and against

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Speaker 1: the spread following a loss. Okay, so yeah, there's that

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Speaker 1: they've covered. The green Bay has won and covered twelve

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Speaker 1: straight games following a loss. That's the longest streak by

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Speaker 1: any team since the back Both picking the both writers

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Speaker 1: picking the Packers, Moody picking three, So he thinks that

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Speaker 1: the Jets cover. Walter picking a low score game, but

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Speaker 1: he thinks the Packers cover. Okay, Okay, I have a

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Speaker 1: little closer, big match up here. The four and one

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Speaker 1: Vikings are at the three and two Dolphins. This is

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Speaker 1: the line that doesn't make any Minnesota favored by three.

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Speaker 1: I guess if you know, that means if it were

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Speaker 1: in Minneapolis, Uh, the Vikings to be favored by six,

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Speaker 1: but the over unders forty five and a half. Skyler

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Speaker 1: Thompson is going to start at quarterback. Um. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I think Minnesota is a good team. I mean just

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Speaker 1: because there's four and one. I don't think they're like

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Speaker 1: one of the top five teams. No, I don't think

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Speaker 1: so either. But I think they're top tennis, top twelve.

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Speaker 1: They're going to playoffs, and you know they're they're improving. Um.

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Speaker 1: I don't trust the quarterback though in Miami, not at all,

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Speaker 1: at all at all. I know Miami is a brutal

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Speaker 1: place to play, but it's got to be cool and

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Speaker 1: down a little bit in Miami by now, isn't it.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know, but um, I think I

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Speaker 1: think they win by ten. It's not a Monday night

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Speaker 1: games for Cousins. But Minnesota is one in five against

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Speaker 1: the spread in its last six road games. Really go

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Speaker 1: in two this season. That could be kind of a

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Speaker 1: Cousins thing too. That could be kind of a Cousins thing. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it doesn't travel well. Uh. Moody picking the Vikings one

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Speaker 1: twenty seth Walter picking an upset Dolphin twenty three Vikings

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Speaker 1: seventeen Dolphins. These not great though, No, I don't think

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Speaker 1: it is. I have a hard time seeing the Dolphins

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Speaker 1: when they came. The forty Niners come cross country again.

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Speaker 1: They were just in Carolina last week. They come back

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Speaker 1: across again this week to Atlanta. Yeah, the three and

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Speaker 1: two forty Niners at the two and three Falcons. Uh.

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Speaker 1: They spread a San Francisco by five, the over under

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Speaker 1: forty four and a half. The Falcons have rushed for

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Speaker 1: at least a hundred and fifty yards in every game

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Speaker 1: this season, no matter who the running back is, it's

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Speaker 1: just and they stick with it. And they put a

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Speaker 1: lot of big people. Um Bosa probably won't play. My

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Speaker 1: co host on the podcast, a big Niners guy, and

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Speaker 1: he said there's a chance their entire starting d line

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Speaker 1: is out everyone's on the injury report, but it's a

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Speaker 1: really deep group. I think Atlanta turns into a pumpkin.

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Speaker 1: I think that they go back to reality and we

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Speaker 1: look at them as a bad team, a worse than

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Speaker 1: Steelers type of The Falcons are the only team that

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Speaker 1: are undefeated against the spreads because everyone thinks they're horrendous

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Speaker 1: and they're just below average right now, only two teams

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Speaker 1: in the last decade have started six and oh or

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Speaker 1: better against the spread to start a season. That would

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Speaker 1: be one Cowboys theen Chiefs more. But Vegas things quick,

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Speaker 1: they drink and they know things. Uh. Moody picking seven seventeen,

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Speaker 1: Seth Walter picking an upset against Seth twenty to nineteen

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Speaker 1: Falcons over the Niners cover on the road. The forty

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Speaker 1: Niners haven't given up more than nineteen points in a

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Speaker 1: game this season, right I think it's in the nineteen

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Speaker 1: came against Chicago in Week one when you know a monsoon. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I can't see Atlanta even if they have cow pits

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Speaker 1: or whatever. I mean. I just they score a bunch

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Speaker 1: of points to get you. I don't think Atlanta's is

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Speaker 1: particularly good stopping the round against those guys. Yeah, um,

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Speaker 1: let's see here. You got the two and three Patriots

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Speaker 1: at the two and three Browns, Cleveland favored by two

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Speaker 1: and a half. The over under forty three and a half.

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Speaker 1: I've been talking about turning into pumpkins. I think Bailey's

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Speaker 1: appy is a pumpkin and turns into a pumpkin. There's

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Speaker 1: no doe. I don't know. I don't know that he

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Speaker 1: gets a chance to throw the ball ten times in

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Speaker 1: this game because the Browns run defense is abysmal. Um.

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Speaker 1: I also think Brissette might kind of turn into a pumpin.

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Speaker 1: I guess who drafted him. You know, it's kind of

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Speaker 1: like the Wink Norton Norton Didal thing we have talked about.

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Speaker 1: He knows exactly what Brissette likes to do and what

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Speaker 1: he doesn't. I expect this to be a really ugly,

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Speaker 1: low scoring game, Chubb and Stevenson back and forth, But

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Speaker 1: I think New England wins. Matt If I'm gonna ask

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Speaker 1: you a question, trivia question, how many tackles does Myles

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Speaker 1: Garrett have this season? Now? He just a game ten

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Speaker 1: on the nose, ten tackles in three sacks. I never

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Speaker 1: want to hear his name an NFL Defensive Player of

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Speaker 1: the Year in the same sentence again, he's a one

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Speaker 1: dimensional player who can't He's does nothing to stop the run,

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Speaker 1: does nothing to elevate that defense. He's he's a fraud.

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Speaker 1: See what I think is funny is analytics are great. Hey,

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Speaker 1: I like them all the time. You can go too far, though,

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Speaker 1: ye stopping the runs on important? Where does he get

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Speaker 1: a bunch of small little guys flying around the cover?

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Speaker 1: Who cares who we have a defensive tackle? I mean

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Speaker 1: the Chargers couldn't run against anybody all year and gashed you.

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Speaker 1: They were averaging forty two rushing yards per game. But

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Speaker 1: Belichick looks at defense and be like, they don't they

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Speaker 1: created holes for themselves. I'm just gonna attack them. Yeah, Bailey,

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Speaker 1: that they may run. They may run the wing t

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Speaker 1: this weekend, right, just to eliminate the quarterback position. A

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Speaker 1: bring all your big guys out in the We're gonna

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Speaker 1: run against them anyways. Yeah, I mean it's to that point.

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Speaker 1: So I think that England wins that game. I do too. Um. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: Romandre Stevenson, by the way, was averaging five and a

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Speaker 1: half yards rushing carry. The Browns are giving up five

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Speaker 1: point three two. Just awful. I mean, the Steelers allowed

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Speaker 1: five rushing five yards per carry last year, and we

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Speaker 1: know how bad that run defense was. These guys have

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Speaker 1: been worse worse again against the Chargers team. You can't

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Speaker 1: run into anybody. Yeah, um Moody picking the Patriots sixteen

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Speaker 1: Seth Walter again, sixteen Browns over the Patriots. Who was

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Speaker 1: favored in this game? I missed that part. Browns by

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Speaker 1: two and a half. I'll gladly take the points. Oh yeah,

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Speaker 1: gladly yeah. Uh. The two and three Jaguars are at

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Speaker 1: the two two and one Colts. This is another line

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Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense to Indianapolis. Favored by two, the

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Speaker 1: overunder is forty two. The coach smacked them earlier this year.

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Speaker 1: They smacked them in the last game last year. Here's

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Speaker 1: the thing. So the Colts in the last decade since

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Speaker 1: two thousand twelve are three and eight against the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: in Jacksonville. In Indianapolis there eight and two. It's a

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Speaker 1: very home dominated series. Maybe that makes the line add

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Speaker 1: up a little bit more. I think Jacksonville is a

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Speaker 1: better team and they just beat him. The Jaguars last

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Speaker 1: The Jaguars last one Indianapolis in two thousand seventeen. That's

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Speaker 1: when the jag when the Jaguars were actually good year

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Speaker 1: in that whole stretch. Um, and maybe there's something to that.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Vegas apparently agrees, But I just think on paper,

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Speaker 1: Jackson is much better. I think so too. I think

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Speaker 1: they win the game, but after watching them lose to

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Speaker 1: Houston last week, I have no faith in the Jaguars. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I think they're struggling more than I expected. Yeah, Indianapolis

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Speaker 1: has gone under in ten straight games because points. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: that's one shy, the longest streak in the last thirty

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Speaker 1: five seasons. That shark at least didn't at least you

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Speaker 1: would think you just handed to him a thousand dollars.

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Speaker 1: Moody picking the Colt four seth Walter picking the Jaguars

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Speaker 1: seven seth was a little while. That's adamant. That's a

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Speaker 1: statement there. Seven seven. I'm closer to him than the

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Speaker 1: other one. Uh. You got the two and three Arizona

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Speaker 1: Cardinals at the two and three Seattle Seahawks is say,

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Speaker 1: four o'clock game on Fox, Arizona favorite on the road

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Speaker 1: by two and a half. The over under his fifty

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Speaker 1: and a half. Yeah, I think every every Seahawk and

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Speaker 1: Lion game is over over over over, especially Seahawks, Like, really,

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Speaker 1: the Seattle wins half place to play better, coach, quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: playing better. I mean, their defense is horrible, but losing

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Speaker 1: penny doesn't change my opinion. How about this stat So

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Speaker 1: everybody's complaining about the Steelers first quarter offense this year,

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Speaker 1: right right? The Cardinals have been outscored thirty eight to

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Speaker 1: nothing in the first quarter this season's five games, so

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Speaker 1: they're at least behind by a touchdown in the first

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Speaker 1: quarter of every game. They're the only team in the

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Speaker 1: league that has scored a point in the first quarter. Point.

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Speaker 1: The Seahawks have scored forty one points in the first

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Speaker 1: quarter of this season. That's the second most in the league. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: it's get you talk about loud places of play, you know,

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Speaker 1: you get get down on the first right, right, right,

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Speaker 1: it's nothing after the first quarter in Seattle. Good luck

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Speaker 1: both both guys picking the Seahawks. Seven says Moody, thirty

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Speaker 1: three twenty seven says Seth Walter. So both guys, both

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Speaker 1: teams are both guys going over. Yeah, boy, and it's

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Speaker 1: a high overrunner. I don't understand why the why Seattle's

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Speaker 1: a dog at home four o'clock game the one in

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Speaker 1: four Panthers who just got rid of their head coach

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Speaker 1: at the two and three Rams Love Ram's favored by ten,

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Speaker 1: the over under just forty one. P. J. Walker starts

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Speaker 1: the game for the for the Panthers, who also have

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Speaker 1: a bunch of injuries in the back end of their

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Speaker 1: their defense. I heard a stat the other day though,

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Speaker 1: the last five teams that have changed coaches and we're

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Speaker 1: then double digit underdogs the next that week covered Yeah,

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Speaker 1: I can see that, and I'm gonna take the points here.

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Speaker 1: I was looking at the V O A this or

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Speaker 1: not vo I was looking at E P A. I mean, basically,

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Speaker 1: I'm sure they both say the same story. But there's

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Speaker 1: three offenses that are clustered up as the worst in

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Speaker 1: the league Indie and these two, like the Rams, don't

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Speaker 1: belong with the Panthers. I mean, there's won the Super

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Speaker 1: Bowl and the Panthers have fired their coach and their

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Speaker 1: defenses are almost identical. In E p A. You know,

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Speaker 1: like Caroline is d is good and I think you

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Speaker 1: get a little spark with the new coach that might

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Speaker 1: last day week or two, but I think they keep

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Speaker 1: it close. Is this taking some of the bloom off

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Speaker 1: the rose for McVeigh maybe, I mean he has you

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Speaker 1: have a ring. You know, he's got a ring. You

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Speaker 1: can't take that away type of But this isn't pretty.

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Speaker 1: He's had some up and down. There's there's that to me,

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Speaker 1: is the difference between the good coaches and the great coaches.

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Speaker 1: Can you know the variants year to year. He's won

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Speaker 1: a lot of games up until that Super Bowl though, too.

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Speaker 1: I mean he went to another had some losing it.

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Speaker 1: It's kind of it's kind of like the Shanahan thing.

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Speaker 1: He's either really good or really bad. Like, I think

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Speaker 1: they might not get this year. They might straw, especially

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Speaker 1: if they lose this one. I don't think they will. Yeah, Yeah,

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Speaker 1: Moody picking the Ram to ten, Walter picking the Rams

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Speaker 1: to nine. The FPI prediction has the Rams winning sevent

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Speaker 1: at a time, but only by eight point one points.

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Speaker 1: P J. Walker starting, by the way, Yeah, let's just

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Speaker 1: Rob McCaffrey, al right. I mean, I don't think it's

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Speaker 1: gonna be any worse than the quarterback player they've had

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Speaker 1: the last twenty games. You know, the big matchup the

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Speaker 1: on CPS CBS the FOURM one Buffalo Bills at the

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Speaker 1: four and one that Kansas City Chiefs Buffalo favored by

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Speaker 1: two and a half the over under his fifty four.

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Speaker 1: This is the first time in Patrick mahomes career he

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Speaker 1: has been an underdog at home. And I don't think

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Speaker 1: it's enough. I don't think it's enough either. I mean,

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Speaker 1: I've been lumping the Chiefs in with the Eagles and Bills.

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Speaker 1: I think on Monday, I'm gonna change my tune and

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Speaker 1: say Buffalo's noticeably better than these defense. The Chiefs defense

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Speaker 1: is by far the worst of the of the four

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Speaker 1: units at Slay the Dragon, you know, and the Bill's

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Speaker 1: defense might be the second best unit, might be number one,

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Speaker 1: it could be number one, but it's no worse than two.

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Speaker 1: I don't think no, no, right. I think this is

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Speaker 1: where you say they missed Tyreek. Yeah, you know. I mean,

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Speaker 1: maybe they'll run a little bit and my home. I

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Speaker 1: don't want to bet against my homes and read at

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Speaker 1: home either. And it's gonna be a brutal place to play,

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Speaker 1: and it's gonna be an awesome game. I think Buffalo

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Speaker 1: is better. Moody picking the Bills thirty seven, so he

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Speaker 1: sees a cover, and Walter picking the Bills thirty one,

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Speaker 1: so he sees a cover. Okay, I see even more

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Speaker 1: points than either of those, though, I mean, I think

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Speaker 1: it's like eight in I just said points. I'm playing

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Speaker 1: against my homes this week. I hope that doesn't happen.

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Speaker 1: I bet he puts up numbers, uh the Cowboys at

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Speaker 1: four and one or at the Eagles five and Oh

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Speaker 1: this series has always been weird, like they both of

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Speaker 1: them went on the other team's home field, Philadelphia favored

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Speaker 1: by six, the over under just forty two. I'm leading

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Speaker 1: the Cooper rush turned into a pumpkin, and I think

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Speaker 1: that's bound to happen. But I thought that a week ago,

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Speaker 1: and two weeks ago and three weeks ago. Um, But

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Speaker 1: I do think this is a very low scoring game.

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Speaker 1: I think Dallas is the causes a lot of problems

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Speaker 1: with the Eagles, and I think the Philly wins. But

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Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, well, I think Vegas agrees with you

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Speaker 1: because that over unders really low. Um when I say

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Speaker 1: it was forty two, Okay, so very low. Moody picking

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Speaker 1: the Eagles of a team so he has just under

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Speaker 1: Walter picking ego, So both guys have a cover, but

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Speaker 1: I think that w Yeah. Uh. The two and three

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Speaker 1: Broncos for the Monday Night game are at the three

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Speaker 1: and two Chargers. Uh. The Chargers favored by five. The

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Speaker 1: over under is forty five and a half. UM. I

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Speaker 1: do like the Broncos d but I think the Chargers

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Speaker 1: are a much better team. Herbert's healthy. Be nice to that,

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Speaker 1: Keenan Allen, I'm sure you agree with your fantasies. Yeah.

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Speaker 1: I do think that they might have found a little

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Speaker 1: something running the ball last week. Ekeler, Mike Williams. That's enough.

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Speaker 1: I mean, Keenan Allen might be back this wenight. It's

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Speaker 1: a Monday night game. They he did do a walk

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Speaker 1: through yesterday, so at least they're they're working planning towards him.

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Speaker 1: So you have to check out one on Saturday and

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Speaker 1: his status comes out, so at least you'll know you

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Speaker 1: have a good idea if he at least got it. Yeah,

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Speaker 1: but but I mean that would be helped fantasy aside.

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Speaker 1: That would go a long way. And I have a

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Speaker 1: hard time betting on the Broncos. Man brutal. The Broncos

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Speaker 1: are one and four against the spread, this season, the

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Speaker 1: Chargers are four and one. I mean, I guess the

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Speaker 1: Steelers could be in this conversation, but the Broncos the

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Speaker 1: most disappointing team in the league without doubt for the Rams,

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Speaker 1: maybe the Rams maybe, but the Bronchos. The Broncos over

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Speaker 1: under wind total was ten. I remember when we went

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Speaker 1: through the wind total over unders they were there were

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Speaker 1: three teams in the a f C West that had

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Speaker 1: over unders of ten, and I said they didn't belong

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Speaker 1: there with those other two teams. I remember, and that

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Speaker 1: that's why I say that, because if you're really bad

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Speaker 1: against the spread, you know, like the opposite of Atlanta is,

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Speaker 1: you know, you didn't live up the expectations, and you

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Speaker 1: can see why I'm surprised they even want anything against

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Speaker 1: the spread. Yeah, I mean they're terrible. They score well,

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Speaker 1: they won that game and they beat the eleven to ten.

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Speaker 1: I guess they were a dog and that they're probably

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Speaker 1: a dog or if if even yeah, probably dog. Probably yeah,

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Speaker 1: probably I would think so. But that's this week slate

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Speaker 1: of games, remember there, I don't think no, no, remember

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Speaker 1: you get four teams off this week, so that's the

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Speaker 1: next week. We got more buys next week, so we're

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Speaker 1: starting to get into that point of the year. We're

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Speaker 1: gonna take a break. We'll do our fantasy football and

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Speaker 1: then our game picks right after that. You can subscribe

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Speaker 1: to the Mike Tomlin Game Day podcast, Steelers Digest editor

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Speaker 1: Bob Blabriola talks with Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin about

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Speaker 1: the upcoming game. New episodes drop every game day. They're

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Speaker 1: available on the Steeler's mobile app, the I Heart Radio app,

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Speaker 1: and wherever you get your podcast. That's a must listen

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Speaker 1: on game day. Uh. He is Matt Williamson. I am

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Speaker 1: Dale Ali. We'll be back with more right after this