WEBVTT - Gen Z Nurses Concerned About Burnout

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<v Speaker 1>This is Bloomberg Business Week. I'm Carol Masser and I'm

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stanovk. We're here every day bringing

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<v Speaker 1>at two pm Eastern Time on Bloomberg Radio or watch

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<v Speaker 1>us on YouTube. Searched Bloomberg Clobal News well. Last month,

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg News reported that the fallout from the nursing shortage

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<v Speaker 1>that's plaguing US hospitals it got so bad that six

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<v Speaker 1>of the nurses at just one Pennsylvania facility in the

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<v Speaker 1>western part of the state left last year, and twenty

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<v Speaker 1>two of those remaining stage day five day walkout that

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<v Speaker 1>halted elective surgery twenty excuse me, so a significant number

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<v Speaker 1>of nurses there. Things aren't likely to get better anytime

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<v Speaker 1>soon either. The US forecast and annual average of one

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<v Speaker 1>thousand five hundred openings for registered nurses through twenty We've

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<v Speaker 1>got a great voice on all of this. Dr mont

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<v Speaker 1>Abusaide is the co founder and CEO of Incredible Health.

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<v Speaker 1>It's a marketplace for connecting hospitals to nursing talent. She

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<v Speaker 1>joins us once again on the phone, this time from Austin.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr Abuzaide, how are you. I'm doing well. Thank you

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<v Speaker 1>so much for having me. Yeah, it's good to have

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<v Speaker 1>you back with us. I just want to get an

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<v Speaker 1>update before you get into all the great data that

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<v Speaker 1>you guys have on what nursing staffing challenges are looking

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<v Speaker 1>like throughout the country, because you've just got a great

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<v Speaker 1>view on that data. Yeah, absolutely so. Overall it is

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<v Speaker 1>continuing to look look very challenging across the board. You know,

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<v Speaker 1>our population, the US population is aging. That's clearly more

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<v Speaker 1>demand on the healthcare system, and he supplied workers have

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<v Speaker 1>not kept up with that demand. Um, we're seeing increasing

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<v Speaker 1>turnover among nurses across the country. The average turnover right

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<v Speaker 1>now is about twenty one and a half the set,

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<v Speaker 1>whereas before the pandemic it was at seventeen percent. And

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<v Speaker 1>Dr I want to get into some of the data

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<v Speaker 1>that you sent over to US so incredible health. He

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<v Speaker 1>served twelve GENC nurses. You found that SEV pointed to

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<v Speaker 1>staffing shortages as their main concern in entering the field.

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<v Speaker 1>Something you could walk us through that a little bit,

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<v Speaker 1>because when staffing shortages, you know, present an opportunity to

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<v Speaker 1>these new nurses trying to enter the field. Yeah. Absolutely, So,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, new UH nursing schools are seeing higher than

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<v Speaker 1>ever applications and are also um graduating more more nurses

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<v Speaker 1>than ever before in the history of the US. However,

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<v Speaker 1>despite that activity, it's still it's still not meeting the

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<v Speaker 1>needs of the staffing needs of the health system. UM.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, the the new nurses when they are graduating,

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<v Speaker 1>they're really looking at two areas. Primarily, number one is

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<v Speaker 1>like how well is this unit staff. The reason they

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<v Speaker 1>care about that is because they don't want to be overworked.

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<v Speaker 1>And two and the second reason is because they want

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<v Speaker 1>to make sure that they're going to be well trained

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<v Speaker 1>by experienced nurses. UM. On the job training is an

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<v Speaker 1>area that new grad nurses and gen Z nurses focus

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<v Speaker 1>on a lot because the termans you know, how successful

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<v Speaker 1>they are in the early parts of their clear Okay,

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<v Speaker 1>so it sounds like what you're saying is that you know,

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<v Speaker 1>for many of these new nurses they're looking at the

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<v Speaker 1>landscape right now and saying this is a recipe for burnout.

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<v Speaker 1>Exactly seventy already feel report feeling overloaded and overwhelmed um

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<v Speaker 1>during their on boarding process as they're joining a new

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<v Speaker 1>employer and uh, and they're really exciting inefficient training systems

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<v Speaker 1>and not having enough experienced nurses to train them. I'm

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<v Speaker 1>wondering dr opposite if we're going to see you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I shared these statistics early on in our in our conversation,

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<v Speaker 1>just the delta between open positions and available nurses given

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<v Speaker 1>what you know at Incredible Health, is it possible for

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<v Speaker 1>the US to actually fill that annual average of onod

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<v Speaker 1>and five hundred openings for registered nurses that is set

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<v Speaker 1>to go through right now. It is not actually possible.

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<v Speaker 1>There are not enough nurses to fill fulfill those roles.

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<v Speaker 1>We know that there are many helpeses because staring um

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<v Speaker 1>hire muses from abroad. Uh. And we know that there's

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<v Speaker 1>going to be continuing increases of of of nursing schools

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<v Speaker 1>needing to graduate more and more nurses. So what's the

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<v Speaker 1>way to fix this. So I don't enough. So what's

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<v Speaker 1>the way to fix this. There's a couple of ways

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<v Speaker 1>that we need. A couple of areas where we need

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<v Speaker 1>to focus. Number one is UH continuing to invest in

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<v Speaker 1>the training of nurses, particularly after nursing school so UH

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<v Speaker 1>expanding the training programs that are available for nurses. Are

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<v Speaker 1>still very few hospitals, not enough hospitals in this country

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<v Speaker 1>that are willing to train UH nurses into different specialty areas.

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<v Speaker 1>We also need to continue to increase the capacity of

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<v Speaker 1>nursing schools so they can train more nurses as well.

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<v Speaker 1>And I'm curious. It stuck out to me that you

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<v Speaker 1>survey gen Z nurses in particular, and I mean, is

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<v Speaker 1>this uniquely a problem among gen Z nurses or would

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<v Speaker 1>you suspect that it's all age categories. It's happening in

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<v Speaker 1>all age categories. But the reason we really focused in

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<v Speaker 1>on the gen Z nurses because they are the next

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<v Speaker 1>generation of nurses that's entering the workforce right now. The

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<v Speaker 1>nursing workforce in the US comprises of five different generations,

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<v Speaker 1>and so what's going on with this This this newest

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<v Speaker 1>one is critical to ensuring the success of the future

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<v Speaker 1>of the US nurse workforce. Um. The other thing that

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<v Speaker 1>we the other thing, the reason we focus on it

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<v Speaker 1>is we knew that this this cohort has unique challenges

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<v Speaker 1>and so we really these products and features that support them.

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<v Speaker 1>You know, they have their one third of the employers

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<v Speaker 1>on the Incredible Health platform are using the platform to

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<v Speaker 1>hire in your graduate nurses. We've on job matching for

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<v Speaker 1>them as well as career coaching that's needed for them. Uh,

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<v Speaker 1>it's always to improve their experience as they're entering the workforce.

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<v Speaker 1>Dr man Abuse, the co founder and CEO of Incredible Health,

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<v Speaker 1>joining us on the phone from Austin, Texas. Really appreciate

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<v Speaker 1>your time once again, Dr Abuse. You're listening to Bloomberg

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<v Speaker 1>Business Week with Carol Measure and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim

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<v Speaker 1>Stinovic on Bloomberg Radio. Think back to November, but I

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<v Speaker 1>didn't selected. Jennet Yellen is the first female Treasury Secretary.

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<v Speaker 1>It was considered a master stroke. The thinking was that

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<v Speaker 1>her impeccable economic credentials would allow her to stay above

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<v Speaker 1>the fray. Instead, the former chair of the Fed now

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<v Speaker 1>finds herself in the middle of a brawl in Washington,

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<v Speaker 1>where the latest worry is that the Fed's quest attainment

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<v Speaker 1>inflation will plunge the country into a recession, pushing up

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<v Speaker 1>unemployment from the historic lows achieved under yelling those words

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<v Speaker 1>from Selea Mosen, senior Washington correspondent for Bloomberg News. She

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<v Speaker 1>joins us on the phone from Washington, d C. And

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<v Speaker 1>that's part of a story in the current issue of

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg business Week. Also joining us as Joel Webber, the

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<v Speaker 1>editor of Bloomberg Business Week. He's with us in the

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Interactive Broker studio. Joel, I think to myself after

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<v Speaker 1>reading this piece, poor Jennet Yellen, Poor Jenney Yellen. I

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<v Speaker 1>guess that could have been the headline for the story. Uh.

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<v Speaker 1>And and you're right. And the thing that has been

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<v Speaker 1>amazing to watch here has been inflation. Just take everyone

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<v Speaker 1>by surprise, not only on Wall Street, but all so

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<v Speaker 1>in Washington. And here you have Janet Yellen, who's absolutely storied,

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<v Speaker 1>impeccable resume from her time at the FED, gets tapped

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<v Speaker 1>by Biden to take over Treasury, and then all of

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<v Speaker 1>a sudden inflation starts, um, you know, slapping Biden on

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<v Speaker 1>both cheeks back and forth for for months on end.

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<v Speaker 1>And uh, you know, in that moment um Yellen took

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<v Speaker 1>the Biden White House by surprise and said she was

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<v Speaker 1>wrong about the path that inflation would take. And that

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<v Speaker 1>ends up being this great little insight into the Biden

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<v Speaker 1>White House d c UH policy in general, and and

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<v Speaker 1>the you know, just the the troublesome foe that inflation

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<v Speaker 1>is um but sle for you, what did it reveal,

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<v Speaker 1>you know, to me, it showed that it's important to

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<v Speaker 1>have a Treasury Secretary who has the trust at a

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<v Speaker 1>personal relationship and the ear of the President of the

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<v Speaker 1>of the United States. The fact that, as I wrote

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<v Speaker 1>in the story, that Chief Is asked Ron Plaine from

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<v Speaker 1>the White House didn't invite Secretary Yellen two key meetings

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<v Speaker 1>where they were going to discuss how to message and

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<v Speaker 1>talk about the economy, they didn't invite her just says

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<v Speaker 1>that she is not seen as someone who needs to

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<v Speaker 1>be involved in every step of the way. And you know,

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<v Speaker 1>really I was talking to some executives last week after

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<v Speaker 1>the story came out. They were saying that Yellen just

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<v Speaker 1>needs to call up President Biden say I need to

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<v Speaker 1>be in every single meeting and we you and I

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<v Speaker 1>need to talk one on one about what's really happening

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<v Speaker 1>in the economy, because maybe Biden is not getting the

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<v Speaker 1>bad news. And how I mean compared this to past

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<v Speaker 1>administrations and the relationship that the president typically has with

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<v Speaker 1>the Treasury secretary. How unusual is it that I mean,

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<v Speaker 1>people are saying that conversation even needs to happen, that

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<v Speaker 1>Yellen isn't being invited to these key meetings and needs

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<v Speaker 1>to speak up. You know, this is part of the

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<v Speaker 1>jockeying when you're at the highest levels of power. There

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<v Speaker 1>are always going to be people inside the White House

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<v Speaker 1>who want to have the ear of the president. We

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<v Speaker 1>thought this very clearly play out in the Trump administration,

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<v Speaker 1>and it's just up to you know, if you are

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<v Speaker 1>a Captinet officer, you have been confirmed by the Senate

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<v Speaker 1>and you go to down there to Capital Hill for

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<v Speaker 1>those grillings over your work, then it is your job

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<v Speaker 1>to say, hey, I am going to be in charge.

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<v Speaker 1>So who has President Biden deferred to? Who is the

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<v Speaker 1>administration deferred to? Instead of the traditional role of the

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<v Speaker 1>Treasury Secretary going out in front of the media and

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<v Speaker 1>facing the media, who's doing that? Now? What we're seeing

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<v Speaker 1>is that the White House is National Economic Director Brian Deaf,

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<v Speaker 1>who is actually not an economist. He's a lawyer by training.

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<v Speaker 1>He is the one who is talking the most about

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<v Speaker 1>the economy publicly, and he seems to be running a

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<v Speaker 1>lot of the meetings and being the point man. Now

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<v Speaker 1>in part, that is his job, that that role was

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<v Speaker 1>created under the Clinton administration to kind of have an

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<v Speaker 1>inter agency process of hey, everyone, all the stakeholders of

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<v Speaker 1>various parts of the economy, how we can all work

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<v Speaker 1>to other. But somehow it seems like Yellin's views, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>she has this sterling reputation, uh, and she is not

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<v Speaker 1>being listened to. It is his job, Brian d'ss job,

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<v Speaker 1>and Ron Clean the chief of staff job, to say,

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<v Speaker 1>let's make sure we are listening to this top shelf

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<v Speaker 1>economists that we tapped, and so how is that conversation

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<v Speaker 1>going to go from here? So, because obviously it shows

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<v Speaker 1>that there's a little bit of a riff between Treasury

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<v Speaker 1>and the White House. How much patience does Jennet you

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<v Speaker 1>don't even have to stick around in government, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>I think a lot of it is going to come

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<v Speaker 1>down to voters. We're going to hear from them in

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<v Speaker 1>November a referendum on the democratic economic policy, and if

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<v Speaker 1>it comes out as you know what, we expect a

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<v Speaker 1>pretty big wipeout for Democrats. That is the natural point

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<v Speaker 1>at which a president and his captain officers consider, you know,

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<v Speaker 1>for the president's side, do I need to rebuild any

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<v Speaker 1>of my team's economic or national security or foreign policy team,

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<v Speaker 1>And for Janet Allen to think, well, look, if I'm

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<v Speaker 1>not useful in this administration, then do I need to

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<v Speaker 1>stay a select One of the most interesting parts of

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<v Speaker 1>this story, and it's full of really great tidbits, encourage

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<v Speaker 1>everybody to check it out, is the reporting that you

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<v Speaker 1>did around Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and her thoughts on

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<v Speaker 1>sanctions against Russia or lack thereof. Um talk to us

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<v Speaker 1>about what you found. Yeah, that was really interesting. It

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<v Speaker 1>turns out that there was a momentous to day February six,

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<v Speaker 1>two days after Putin invaded and the G seven the

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<v Speaker 1>European Union, everyone had, you know, done shuttle diplomacy at

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<v Speaker 1>the highest levels of power, eighteen hour work days and decided, okay,

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<v Speaker 1>we can all get together and levy extremely punishing sanctions

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<v Speaker 1>that will shock Vladimir Putin. Uh In What they thought

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<v Speaker 1>could be just a seventy two hour operation to take

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<v Speaker 1>down Kiev in Ukraine. And it was Saturday morning, and

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<v Speaker 1>Jenny Allen said to the President in a in a

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<v Speaker 1>situation room meeting that I'm not ready for this. And

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<v Speaker 1>it took a foreign prime minister, Italy's Mario Joggy to

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<v Speaker 1>bring her on board. And what that showed us was

0:12:14.400 --> 0:12:18.440
<v Speaker 1>that maybe she's not nimble enough for the type of

0:12:18.480 --> 0:12:21.080
<v Speaker 1>work that needs to be done in an administration compared

0:12:21.120 --> 0:12:24.120
<v Speaker 1>to a central bank. That's a really interesting insight, you know.

0:12:24.240 --> 0:12:26.959
<v Speaker 1>The other one, Celia, that it just made me kind

0:12:26.960 --> 0:12:29.000
<v Speaker 1>of wonder about, was like, you know, at the beginning

0:12:29.040 --> 0:12:32.559
<v Speaker 1>of the Biden presidency, uh, you know, one of the

0:12:32.960 --> 0:12:35.840
<v Speaker 1>foremost things that yean and champion was this idea of

0:12:36.080 --> 0:12:40.440
<v Speaker 1>a new global tax sort of architecture, and it's been

0:12:40.800 --> 0:12:43.520
<v Speaker 1>hinted at that that might be in jeopardy. What's the

0:12:43.600 --> 0:12:45.600
<v Speaker 1>latest on that front since that was so near and

0:12:45.600 --> 0:12:48.559
<v Speaker 1>dear to her, You know, it really depends on who

0:12:48.600 --> 0:12:51.960
<v Speaker 1>you ask. Um. I've heard from some people that Poland

0:12:52.080 --> 0:12:55.280
<v Speaker 1>is the holdout in Europe and with one no vote,

0:12:55.320 --> 0:12:58.040
<v Speaker 1>the whole thing can be vetoed, meaning that you does

0:12:58.080 --> 0:13:01.720
<v Speaker 1>not sign up on this your landmark deal. But it

0:13:01.840 --> 0:13:05.160
<v Speaker 1>seems like they're the concessions that they want are manageable.

0:13:05.200 --> 0:13:08.160
<v Speaker 1>But look, even if Janet Yellen wins a hundred and

0:13:08.160 --> 0:13:11.880
<v Speaker 1>forty countries uh, you know, consensus to sign on to

0:13:12.000 --> 0:13:14.600
<v Speaker 1>this deal, she still has to get support from Congress,

0:13:14.600 --> 0:13:16.960
<v Speaker 1>and she doesn't have deep ties over there. Yeah. What

0:13:17.000 --> 0:13:18.760
<v Speaker 1>I found so interesting about this is, I mean the

0:13:18.760 --> 0:13:21.160
<v Speaker 1>political aspect of this too, and to what extent voters

0:13:21.320 --> 0:13:23.560
<v Speaker 1>actually care about something like this, Sleia, just in the

0:13:23.600 --> 0:13:26.360
<v Speaker 1>last thirty seconds we have with you, No, this is

0:13:26.360 --> 0:13:28.640
<v Speaker 1>not a kitchen table issue. They don't care about corporate

0:13:28.679 --> 0:13:32.280
<v Speaker 1>max rate, especially when they see gas prices and the

0:13:32.360 --> 0:13:35.320
<v Speaker 1>price of burger meat going up sky high. Yeah. So,

0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:38.520
<v Speaker 1>as far as Democrats in November, no matter what she

0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:40.719
<v Speaker 1>does on that front, it's not necessarily going to be

0:13:40.760 --> 0:13:43.480
<v Speaker 1>a win, at least politically for Democrats. Again, just a

0:13:43.520 --> 0:13:47.400
<v Speaker 1>fantastic piece written by Selea Mosen and team Janet Yellen

0:13:47.480 --> 0:13:51.080
<v Speaker 1>is getting trapped in the blame game over inflation. Selea

0:13:51.200 --> 0:13:54.280
<v Speaker 1>is senior Washington correspondent for Bloomberg News. Be sure to

0:13:54.400 --> 0:13:56.679
<v Speaker 1>check out this story. It's featured in the current issue

0:13:56.720 --> 0:13:59.320
<v Speaker 1>of Business Week magazine. It's available on newsstands, on the

0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:02.960
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg term Mental and at Bloomberg dot com slash business Week.

0:14:03.120 --> 0:14:05.280
<v Speaker 1>Our thanks also to Joe Weber. He is the editor

0:14:05.360 --> 0:14:07.719
<v Speaker 1>of Bloomberg Business Week. You heard him live here from

0:14:07.720 --> 0:14:15.319
<v Speaker 1>the Bloomberg Interactive Brokers Studios. This is Bloomberg Business Week

0:14:15.480 --> 0:14:19.440
<v Speaker 1>with Carol Messer and Bloomberg Quick Takes Tim Stinovic on

0:14:19.600 --> 0:14:23.480
<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Radio. In an interview earlier today with Bloomberg News

0:14:23.600 --> 0:14:26.760
<v Speaker 1>Editor in chief John mcclethwaite at the Quitar Economic Forum,

0:14:26.760 --> 0:14:30.320
<v Speaker 1>Tesla's Elon Musk struck a sober tone as he forecast

0:14:30.400 --> 0:14:33.640
<v Speaker 1>a probable recession in the US and left doubts about

0:14:33.680 --> 0:14:37.080
<v Speaker 1>his commitment to a forty four billion dollar takeover of Twitter.

0:14:37.360 --> 0:14:42.000
<v Speaker 1>Here's an excerpt of that discussion. With respect to the

0:14:42.240 --> 0:14:45.480
<v Speaker 1>Twitter transaction, There's a limit to what I can say

0:14:45.680 --> 0:14:50.600
<v Speaker 1>publicly given that is um somewhat of a sensitive matter. Um.

0:14:50.960 --> 0:14:55.520
<v Speaker 1>So I would like to be measured in my responses here, um,

0:14:55.720 --> 0:15:00.960
<v Speaker 1>such as not to generate incremental lawsuits. Um mhm un.

0:15:01.360 --> 0:15:05.600
<v Speaker 1>That seems to be a risk. You sometimes managed to overcome, Yes,

0:15:05.960 --> 0:15:11.560
<v Speaker 1>deposition minimization is I think important? Have you have, have

0:15:12.000 --> 0:15:17.360
<v Speaker 1>Twitter given you enough information? Well, there are still, um

0:15:18.160 --> 0:15:21.920
<v Speaker 1>a few unresolved matters. You've You've probably read about the

0:15:22.560 --> 0:15:27.240
<v Speaker 1>question as to whether the number of fake and spam

0:15:27.320 --> 0:15:29.800
<v Speaker 1>users on the system is less than five percent as

0:15:29.840 --> 0:15:33.960
<v Speaker 1>Twitter claims, which I think is probably not most people's

0:15:34.000 --> 0:15:38.280
<v Speaker 1>experience on we're using Twitter. Um So we're still awaiting

0:15:38.280 --> 0:15:41.640
<v Speaker 1>resolution on that matter. Um. And that that is a

0:15:41.720 --> 0:15:47.400
<v Speaker 1>very significant matter. Um So we're awaiting resolution on that.

0:15:48.080 --> 0:15:51.360
<v Speaker 1>And then of course there is the question of will

0:15:51.440 --> 0:15:57.200
<v Speaker 1>the dead portion of the round come together? And then

0:15:57.240 --> 0:15:59.520
<v Speaker 1>will the share holders mode in favor? So I think

0:15:59.520 --> 0:16:04.320
<v Speaker 1>those are the three things that um standard the you know,

0:16:04.600 --> 0:16:07.880
<v Speaker 1>that needs to be resolved before the transaction can complete.

0:16:08.400 --> 0:16:11.040
<v Speaker 1>What about the general state of the economy? Does that

0:16:11.120 --> 0:16:13.040
<v Speaker 1>weigh on you when you think about this? I mean

0:16:13.040 --> 0:16:15.800
<v Speaker 1>you just described it. You have a super bad feeling

0:16:16.280 --> 0:16:18.880
<v Speaker 1>about the economy. Are you still in that position? I

0:16:19.160 --> 0:16:21.960
<v Speaker 1>just said you earlier. Joe Biden has just come out

0:16:22.280 --> 0:16:26.360
<v Speaker 1>and said that a recession in America is not inevitable.

0:16:26.440 --> 0:16:30.680
<v Speaker 1>How do you feel about the economy. Well, I think

0:16:30.960 --> 0:16:35.080
<v Speaker 1>a recession is inevitable at some point. As to whether

0:16:35.120 --> 0:16:38.400
<v Speaker 1>there is a reception in the near term. Um, I

0:16:38.440 --> 0:16:41.960
<v Speaker 1>think that is more likely than not. Certainly, isn't. It's

0:16:42.000 --> 0:16:45.880
<v Speaker 1>not a certainty, but it appears more likelier than that.

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:52.080
<v Speaker 1>What do you think? I'm I'm I'm with you. I

0:16:52.120 --> 0:16:54.440
<v Speaker 1>agree with you. I think it's more likely. Can I

0:16:54.520 --> 0:16:56.240
<v Speaker 1>ask you one a particular thing to do with the

0:16:56.240 --> 0:16:58.320
<v Speaker 1>Twitter bid, which is you know you are one of

0:16:58.360 --> 0:17:03.840
<v Speaker 1>the biggest and fastest growing investors in China Tesla. You've

0:17:03.880 --> 0:17:07.919
<v Speaker 1>talked about it being a third of your sales going forward.

0:17:08.520 --> 0:17:11.280
<v Speaker 1>You're not buying Twitter the kind of public forum for

0:17:11.400 --> 0:17:15.760
<v Speaker 1>free speech. The Chinese historically don't tend to be very

0:17:15.840 --> 0:17:20.879
<v Speaker 1>enthusiastic about free speech. Are you worried about whether you

0:17:20.880 --> 0:17:25.399
<v Speaker 1>can keep those two particular horses running? Is buying Twitter

0:17:25.800 --> 0:17:29.760
<v Speaker 1>going to get you in trouble with the Chinese? Well?

0:17:30.359 --> 0:17:37.040
<v Speaker 1>Twitter does not operate in China, so um. And I

0:17:37.080 --> 0:17:43.440
<v Speaker 1>think China does not attempt to interview interfere with the

0:17:43.800 --> 0:17:48.080
<v Speaker 1>free speech of the of the press in the US.

0:17:48.160 --> 0:17:51.840
<v Speaker 1>As far as I know, Accession, you're not under pressure

0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:58.080
<v Speaker 1>to Elbert to uh from China. So I think there's UM.

0:17:59.000 --> 0:18:01.800
<v Speaker 1>I don't think it's gonna really you And in terms

0:18:01.960 --> 0:18:04.760
<v Speaker 1>generally of that issue of freedom, of speech and Twitter.

0:18:04.840 --> 0:18:08.080
<v Speaker 1>You've talked about Twitter being making it even freer and

0:18:08.200 --> 0:18:11.760
<v Speaker 1>letting more people onto it. Um, is there a limit

0:18:11.920 --> 0:18:14.280
<v Speaker 1>at all to to who you think should be allowed

0:18:14.320 --> 0:18:21.280
<v Speaker 1>on to Twitter? Well, my aspiration for Twitter, or in

0:18:21.320 --> 0:18:24.159
<v Speaker 1>general for the digital town square would be that it

0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:27.680
<v Speaker 1>is as inclusive in the broader sense of the word

0:18:27.880 --> 0:18:32.320
<v Speaker 1>as possible. UM that it is, it is appealing a

0:18:32.440 --> 0:18:35.720
<v Speaker 1>system to use. UM. So I mean I do I'd

0:18:35.720 --> 0:18:41.720
<v Speaker 1>like to get like of h that's in North America

0:18:41.800 --> 0:18:44.359
<v Speaker 1>and perhaps I don't know half the world or something

0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:49.480
<v Speaker 1>ultimately on on Twitter in one form or another, and

0:18:49.920 --> 0:18:52.359
<v Speaker 1>that needs That means it must be something that is

0:18:52.400 --> 0:18:54.480
<v Speaker 1>appealing to people. It obviously can out to be a

0:18:54.520 --> 0:18:58.879
<v Speaker 1>place where they feel uncomfortable or harassed, m or there

0:18:58.880 --> 0:19:01.960
<v Speaker 1>will something not use it. That was Testlas CEO Elon

0:19:02.080 --> 0:19:04.760
<v Speaker 1>Musk speaking to Bloomberg News Editor in chief John mickel

0:19:04.760 --> 0:19:07.720
<v Speaker 1>Thwaite at the Quitar Economic Forum. You can check out

0:19:07.760 --> 0:19:11.120
<v Speaker 1>more of that interview at Bloomberg dot com. It's sim

0:19:11.160 --> 0:19:13.680
<v Speaker 1>Stentific and Katie Greifeld were live in the Bloomberg Interactive

0:19:13.680 --> 0:19:16.960
<v Speaker 1>Broker Studio in New York. Katie, there's a lot to

0:19:17.400 --> 0:19:20.240
<v Speaker 1>pick apart here in that interview and a lot of takeaways,

0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:22.840
<v Speaker 1>but perhaps what's most interesting to me is Elon Musk's

0:19:22.920 --> 0:19:26.320
<v Speaker 1>view on the economy. He's got a really he's got

0:19:26.359 --> 0:19:28.800
<v Speaker 1>an interesting perch, given that he's the CEO of this

0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:33.879
<v Speaker 1>multinational car company that has factories in China, in Berlin,

0:19:33.960 --> 0:19:37.160
<v Speaker 1>and in the United States, a unique perch, A super

0:19:37.160 --> 0:19:39.640
<v Speaker 1>bad feeling. He did say that those were his words,

0:19:39.680 --> 0:19:42.119
<v Speaker 1>super bad feeling, super bad feeling. He did say he

0:19:42.160 --> 0:19:45.320
<v Speaker 1>thinks that a recession in the US is inevitable. Also

0:19:45.520 --> 0:19:48.000
<v Speaker 1>interesting to hear him talk a little bit about the

0:19:48.040 --> 0:19:51.240
<v Speaker 1>Twitter deal. He said there's a few unresolved matters. He's

0:19:51.280 --> 0:19:54.840
<v Speaker 1>still waiting for a resolution on that question about bots.

0:19:55.359 --> 0:19:58.240
<v Speaker 1>Interesting though Twitter shares high're about it by about three

0:19:58.240 --> 0:20:00.119
<v Speaker 1>point two percent right now. Tim he did say at

0:20:00.200 --> 0:20:02.760
<v Speaker 1>China is not a deal, not a problem for the company,

0:20:02.760 --> 0:20:04.720
<v Speaker 1>which I thought was interesting. And we should note that

0:20:04.800 --> 0:20:06.399
<v Speaker 1>he was able to do something that no other car

0:20:06.440 --> 0:20:08.879
<v Speaker 1>company has been able to do in China by building

0:20:08.920 --> 0:20:11.840
<v Speaker 1>that wholly owned Tesla factory. If you remember, you know,

0:20:12.320 --> 0:20:14.840
<v Speaker 1>every other car company historically has had to do joint

0:20:14.920 --> 0:20:18.600
<v Speaker 1>ventures with homegrown Chinese company. Musk was able to retain

0:20:18.640 --> 0:20:21.479
<v Speaker 1>control of that Tesla factory again. Check more of that

0:20:21.560 --> 0:20:24.920
<v Speaker 1>out online at Bloomberg dot com. You're listening to Bloomberg

0:20:25.040 --> 0:20:37.200
<v Speaker 1>Business Week, and this is Bloomberg Radio broc Journal. Yeah,

0:20:37.280 --> 0:20:42.240
<v Speaker 1>but you let me drive. Oh no, no, no no, no, honey, please,

0:20:42.359 --> 0:20:48.800
<v Speaker 1>I'll do the driving revels. I want to drive the question.

0:20:52.560 --> 0:20:59.000
<v Speaker 1>This is the drive to the clothes down on Bloomberg Radio.

0:20:59.040 --> 0:21:01.080
<v Speaker 1>All right, listen, ten minut it's to go here. We

0:21:01.119 --> 0:21:03.359
<v Speaker 1>are seeing a rally on the SMP five hundred and

0:21:03.400 --> 0:21:05.800
<v Speaker 1>the nazac Amadoo of course as well, two point seven

0:21:05.800 --> 0:21:07.760
<v Speaker 1>percent to the upside on the SMP the nastac hire

0:21:07.760 --> 0:21:10.359
<v Speaker 1>by two point eight percent. Eager to get into this

0:21:10.400 --> 0:21:12.679
<v Speaker 1>with our next guest, Jeff Crumpelman, to travel all the

0:21:12.680 --> 0:21:15.840
<v Speaker 1>way from Cincinnati. He's with us in the Bloomberg Interactive

0:21:15.840 --> 0:21:18.720
<v Speaker 1>Brokers studios. He's the chief investment strategist and head of

0:21:18.760 --> 0:21:22.000
<v Speaker 1>equities at Mariner Wealth Advisers. Jeff, good to have you

0:21:22.000 --> 0:21:24.440
<v Speaker 1>with us. How are you this afternoon? It's great, It's

0:21:24.520 --> 0:21:25.960
<v Speaker 1>it's great to be back in New York. I haven't

0:21:26.000 --> 0:21:28.919
<v Speaker 1>been here for a couple of years, so you know,

0:21:28.960 --> 0:21:31.159
<v Speaker 1>I'm gonna go to a Broadway play tonight. Nice, and

0:21:31.480 --> 0:21:34.000
<v Speaker 1>it's nice to be back. I'll be here on a

0:21:34.000 --> 0:21:36.480
<v Speaker 1>green day too, hopefully than for arranging it. Okay, yeah,

0:21:36.480 --> 0:21:38.640
<v Speaker 1>well hopefully you're you're back with us in person more

0:21:38.640 --> 0:21:40.399
<v Speaker 1>because it's really good to have you with us in

0:21:40.400 --> 0:21:42.520
<v Speaker 1>the studio. Jeff, you say it's good to be here

0:21:42.560 --> 0:21:44.960
<v Speaker 1>on a green day, so a big side of relief?

0:21:45.000 --> 0:21:48.159
<v Speaker 1>Is the worst behind us? Well, I I yeah, I

0:21:48.200 --> 0:21:50.800
<v Speaker 1>think the operative part of that phrase was the war

0:21:50.960 --> 0:21:52.920
<v Speaker 1>is the worst behind us. We do think that there

0:21:52.960 --> 0:21:56.440
<v Speaker 1>could be more downside. There's there's things that's unsettling as

0:21:56.480 --> 0:21:58.800
<v Speaker 1>we go through all these transitions that we all know

0:21:58.880 --> 0:22:05.160
<v Speaker 1>about FED policy, pandemic to endemic as examples. Politically, we've

0:22:05.200 --> 0:22:07.560
<v Speaker 1>got an election coming up. There's gonna be transition there,

0:22:07.600 --> 0:22:10.000
<v Speaker 1>so on and so forth. The economy is going to

0:22:10.280 --> 0:22:12.720
<v Speaker 1>a slower phase, not a recession, we don't think, but

0:22:12.760 --> 0:22:17.160
<v Speaker 1>a slower phase. And uh so, yeah, it's it's nice

0:22:17.200 --> 0:22:19.399
<v Speaker 1>to see a little bit of green, but I do

0:22:19.520 --> 0:22:22.600
<v Speaker 1>think we've got uh some downside from here. I think

0:22:22.640 --> 0:22:26.680
<v Speaker 1>there's way more upside downside, Yeah, far more upside. Why

0:22:26.680 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 1>do you say that? Because still on average the SMP

0:22:28.680 --> 0:22:31.960
<v Speaker 1>five hundred from a price earnings perspective is still above

0:22:32.680 --> 0:22:36.040
<v Speaker 1>the historical average of of of where it typically has been,

0:22:36.119 --> 0:22:39.040
<v Speaker 1>so so by that measure, it's still expensive. The ever

0:22:39.080 --> 0:22:43.320
<v Speaker 1>stock is down. Ps have actually come down going into

0:22:43.320 --> 0:22:46.960
<v Speaker 1>today to about fifteen, which is just about average. And

0:22:47.040 --> 0:22:49.439
<v Speaker 1>if you look at interest rate environments like we have today,

0:22:49.520 --> 0:22:52.200
<v Speaker 1>it's actually blow average. It's attractive. And if you look

0:22:52.200 --> 0:22:54.520
<v Speaker 1>at the equity risk premium, the earning shield that you

0:22:54.560 --> 0:22:58.080
<v Speaker 1>get because earnings are still strong, it's still above average.

0:22:58.240 --> 0:23:01.640
<v Speaker 1>So that makes the market kind of attractively priced. And

0:23:01.760 --> 0:23:04.560
<v Speaker 1>we are at three point six percent unemployment right now.

0:23:05.160 --> 0:23:09.080
<v Speaker 1>It is very rare to see scorched earth, you know,

0:23:09.520 --> 0:23:12.440
<v Speaker 1>results in the economy and trend when you're at three

0:23:12.440 --> 0:23:15.480
<v Speaker 1>point six percent unemployment, so you know, one of the things,

0:23:15.680 --> 0:23:18.919
<v Speaker 1>um not to belabor this, but uh, a lot of

0:23:19.000 --> 0:23:23.320
<v Speaker 1>peers are talking about an average parer market might be down. Well,

0:23:23.359 --> 0:23:26.880
<v Speaker 1>that's true if you include depression periods like twenty nine

0:23:26.880 --> 0:23:30.400
<v Speaker 1>and thirty seven, seventy three when you had oil embargoes

0:23:30.440 --> 0:23:32.480
<v Speaker 1>going on, and then you look at O one and

0:23:32.520 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 1>oh seven, I mean, those were those were really awful

0:23:35.640 --> 0:23:38.720
<v Speaker 1>times where you're worried in some cases of breadlines. Right

0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:41.560
<v Speaker 1>if we have a recession, it should be a very

0:23:41.600 --> 0:23:46.320
<v Speaker 1>mild recession. I'm not really concerned about recession. It's really

0:23:46.320 --> 0:23:48.920
<v Speaker 1>a question of where will rates peak, and we think

0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:51.600
<v Speaker 1>they'll stabilize. The economy is already slowing. We think they'll

0:23:51.600 --> 0:23:55.720
<v Speaker 1>stabilize at a reasonable level, not as high as people fear.

0:23:56.280 --> 0:23:59.800
<v Speaker 1>And boy, with earning strong, it should be good. And

0:23:59.880 --> 0:24:02.320
<v Speaker 1>you brought up where I want to go. The concept

0:24:02.320 --> 0:24:05.280
<v Speaker 1>of the earnings yield on the spire still a healthy place.

0:24:05.359 --> 0:24:07.720
<v Speaker 1>But you look at the ten year treasury, I see

0:24:07.720 --> 0:24:09.920
<v Speaker 1>three point three percent. If you look at the average

0:24:09.960 --> 0:24:13.000
<v Speaker 1>yield on investment grade corporate bonds about four and a

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:17.880
<v Speaker 1>half percent. At what point does fixed income become more

0:24:17.920 --> 0:24:23.160
<v Speaker 1>attractive than equities? Well, you know, I think that part

0:24:23.160 --> 0:24:25.679
<v Speaker 1>of the reason why we aren't saying buy on the

0:24:25.720 --> 0:24:29.600
<v Speaker 1>dips is because people are not rushing into bonds. Every

0:24:29.600 --> 0:24:31.720
<v Speaker 1>time we've had fear in the past, they rushed in

0:24:31.760 --> 0:24:35.440
<v Speaker 1>the bonds and that's brought interest rates down. And then

0:24:35.440 --> 0:24:37.439
<v Speaker 1>you go, wow, look at that dividend yield. Really, so

0:24:37.600 --> 0:24:40.040
<v Speaker 1>that's not happening right now, which I think is part

0:24:40.080 --> 0:24:41.480
<v Speaker 1>of the reason why we say don't buy on the

0:24:41.480 --> 0:24:43.920
<v Speaker 1>dip yet, hold your ground, hold your ground, don't bind

0:24:43.920 --> 0:24:46.800
<v Speaker 1>the dip. I do think that bonds in the shorter

0:24:46.920 --> 0:24:49.160
<v Speaker 1>period two to five years are attractive. At this point,

0:24:49.200 --> 0:24:52.880
<v Speaker 1>they're over three percent, and if you buy individual bonds

0:24:53.080 --> 0:24:56.520
<v Speaker 1>and you can make three percent um, you have very

0:24:56.560 --> 0:24:59.000
<v Speaker 1>little downside, very little interest rate risk, because you just

0:24:59.119 --> 0:25:00.679
<v Speaker 1>you know, holding the mature and then you can roll

0:25:00.720 --> 0:25:03.880
<v Speaker 1>it over. So it sounds simple to keep its simple strategy.

0:25:03.920 --> 0:25:07.080
<v Speaker 1>But I do think finally bonds at that level, I

0:25:07.080 --> 0:25:09.199
<v Speaker 1>wouldn't go out ten years because the old curve is

0:25:09.200 --> 0:25:13.040
<v Speaker 1>so flat at that point after you get through the

0:25:13.040 --> 0:25:15.359
<v Speaker 1>five year. But yeah, and to your point that we

0:25:15.400 --> 0:25:17.800
<v Speaker 1>haven't seen that rush into bonds, I mean, what do

0:25:17.800 --> 0:25:21.200
<v Speaker 1>you think is sort of stopping that's not just inflation

0:25:21.359 --> 0:25:25.840
<v Speaker 1>fears that that'll just erode your your any games you

0:25:25.880 --> 0:25:28.120
<v Speaker 1>could get. Or is it just that yields haven't been

0:25:28.200 --> 0:25:31.000
<v Speaker 1>high enough to really compete and be attracted with some

0:25:31.040 --> 0:25:33.240
<v Speaker 1>of the other asset classes. Well, the head what's catching

0:25:33.280 --> 0:25:35.919
<v Speaker 1>the headlines. It's inflation, It's the FED rate hikes, and

0:25:35.960 --> 0:25:38.480
<v Speaker 1>so people are afraid, afraid that those rates are going

0:25:38.520 --> 0:25:41.920
<v Speaker 1>to continue go high. And if I buy, I'm gonna

0:25:41.920 --> 0:25:45.560
<v Speaker 1>lose money. And I have significant downside. That's true if

0:25:45.600 --> 0:25:48.800
<v Speaker 1>you own funds um and if you own longer dated bonds,

0:25:48.840 --> 0:25:51.800
<v Speaker 1>but it's not if you are buying short and certainly

0:25:51.880 --> 0:25:54.760
<v Speaker 1>in individual bonds. Hey, Jeff, I want to get to

0:25:54.760 --> 0:25:56.760
<v Speaker 1>some of your stock picks, because you've got great names

0:25:56.760 --> 0:25:58.840
<v Speaker 1>on here. I gotta start with tests that We had

0:25:58.840 --> 0:26:01.119
<v Speaker 1>any exclusive interview with Elon Musk over at the Guitar

0:26:01.160 --> 0:26:04.000
<v Speaker 1>Economic for empowered by Bloombar Art in chief John Nicholkway

0:26:04.080 --> 0:26:08.320
<v Speaker 1>conducting that, and a lot of Musk's commentary focused on

0:26:08.440 --> 0:26:10.159
<v Speaker 1>the state of the economy, what he's doing with Twitter.

0:26:10.480 --> 0:26:13.639
<v Speaker 1>But let's talk Tesla because that's the company that provides

0:26:13.680 --> 0:26:15.960
<v Speaker 1>the source of most of his wealth at this point,

0:26:15.960 --> 0:26:17.960
<v Speaker 1>and the stock has been on a rough ride over

0:26:18.000 --> 0:26:20.520
<v Speaker 1>the last few months. Why are you so bullish on it?

0:26:20.960 --> 0:26:23.720
<v Speaker 1>You know, it's interesting because Tesla for the longest time

0:26:23.840 --> 0:26:27.520
<v Speaker 1>kind of it was maybe analogous to Amazon, you know,

0:26:27.560 --> 0:26:31.719
<v Speaker 1>twenty years ago, and you know, you had, um, you know,

0:26:31.800 --> 0:26:36.200
<v Speaker 1>this this growth and uh it looked like a nice

0:26:36.200 --> 0:26:40.000
<v Speaker 1>path to increasing production. But there's no earnings and it

0:26:40.040 --> 0:26:44.760
<v Speaker 1>was just you know, choking on the need for cash. Right.

0:26:44.840 --> 0:26:46.440
<v Speaker 1>The balance sheet was horrible and they just had to

0:26:46.520 --> 0:26:49.439
<v Speaker 1>keep raising funds. That's all changed. It's profitable. It's the

0:26:49.440 --> 0:26:54.080
<v Speaker 1>most profitable auto company in the United States of electric

0:26:54.200 --> 0:26:58.159
<v Speaker 1>vehicle sales market share. And in addition to being an

0:26:58.200 --> 0:27:00.720
<v Speaker 1>auto company. And if you think, you know e V

0:27:00.920 --> 0:27:04.840
<v Speaker 1>isn't gonna work, maybe you don't own Tesla, but clearly

0:27:04.880 --> 0:27:07.359
<v Speaker 1>that's where we're headed. You've got charging stations, you have

0:27:07.440 --> 0:27:11.560
<v Speaker 1>solar um you know, you have so much more than

0:27:11.680 --> 0:27:18.720
<v Speaker 1>just an auto company, the advanced driving systems that they manufacture. UM. So, uh,

0:27:18.760 --> 0:27:22.000
<v Speaker 1>you know you've you've got UM a PE that's about

0:27:22.000 --> 0:27:25.000
<v Speaker 1>forty five times, but you've got thirty five growth and

0:27:25.080 --> 0:27:28.119
<v Speaker 1>a long runway with a great product. So we just

0:27:28.160 --> 0:27:31.160
<v Speaker 1>think that, uh, at twelve hundred, maybe it's not comfortable.

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:34.240
<v Speaker 1>At six hundred, it's it's it's off, you know, in

0:27:34.280 --> 0:27:37.040
<v Speaker 1>the in the seven hundreds, now, I guess, um, that's

0:27:37.080 --> 0:27:39.040
<v Speaker 1>where we find it very attractive. That's performing in the

0:27:39.119 --> 0:27:41.840
<v Speaker 1>SP five on a points basis. Today. There you go, there,

0:27:41.920 --> 0:27:44.040
<v Speaker 1>you go, a nice size and scope. There. We don't

0:27:44.080 --> 0:27:46.000
<v Speaker 1>have much time left. I'm curious here some of your

0:27:46.000 --> 0:27:52.240
<v Speaker 1>other high conviction calls, Navidia jumps to mind seconds question.

0:27:52.359 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 1>So in videos, similarly, it's off, you know, and they

0:27:56.320 --> 0:27:59.800
<v Speaker 1>make chips for artificial intelligence, the data center and the

0:28:00.000 --> 0:28:02.919
<v Speaker 1>loud and that is not going away. It is you know,

0:28:03.040 --> 0:28:05.399
<v Speaker 1>leading edge. And the chips that they make certainly for

0:28:05.440 --> 0:28:09.239
<v Speaker 1>the gamers, and the chip that is out there can

0:28:09.280 --> 0:28:13.520
<v Speaker 1>be used for new uses like artificial intelligence and radiology.

0:28:13.600 --> 0:28:17.960
<v Speaker 1>So we think it's is the best positioned UH semi

0:28:18.320 --> 0:28:21.159
<v Speaker 1>conductor company in the world. Jeff Grumpelman and chief investment

0:28:21.160 --> 0:28:23.840
<v Speaker 1>strategist and head of Equities at Mariner Wealth Advisors with

0:28:23.920 --> 0:28:27.760
<v Speaker 1>us live any Bloomberg Interactive Broker Studio, usually in Cincinnati.

0:28:27.840 --> 0:28:30.159
<v Speaker 1>Jeff really appreciate you taking the time and joining us

0:28:30.200 --> 0:28:34.720
<v Speaker 1>on Bloomberg Business Week. Thanks for listening to Bloomberg Business Week.

0:28:34.840 --> 0:28:38.320
<v Speaker 1>Download the podcast on iTunes, SoundCloud, or Bloomberg dot com,

0:28:38.440 --> 0:28:40.120
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0:28:40.120 --> 0:28:43.160
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0:28:43.320 --> 0:28:44.840
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