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Speaker 1: What is going on? Everybody? How are we doing? It's

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Speaker 1: about eight thirty at night Pacific Standard time, and I

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Speaker 1: think I just watched pretty rough football game, not if

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Speaker 1: you're a Jets fan. Rogers looked really good. I gotta

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Speaker 1: eat crow on that potential upset prediction because that was

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Speaker 1: not even close. That was that was domination by the

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Speaker 1: Jet Jets. Jets Jets and Rogers who look good. I mean,

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Speaker 1: he looked like throwback himself, which is a big positive

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Speaker 1: if you have money on them to make the playoffs,

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Speaker 1: if you're a Jets fan, if you just like watching football,

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Speaker 1: because he is a very enjoyable player to watch, and

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Speaker 1: one of my big questions was movement stuff, and he

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Speaker 1: looked a lot better moving around. The Pats, on the

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Speaker 1: other hand, looked like a lifeless team that did not

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Speaker 1: want to be in this game, and that that was

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Speaker 1: is what made the game a tough watch. But the Teers,

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Speaker 1: Jets go to two and one, the Pats go to

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Speaker 1: one and two. Pats locaded for a long, long season.

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Speaker 1: And you know, in a couple of weeks we'll dive

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Speaker 1: into the Jets and just their overall situation. Drafting offensive lineman,

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Speaker 1: why it comes to fruition tonight you lose a tackle

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Speaker 1: boom your top first rounder insert them right in. So

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Speaker 1: props with Joe Douglas for having reinforcements. Stucky will join

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Speaker 1: us as well. Stucky will join us, talk gambling, talk

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Speaker 1: some games, obviously the NFL pick my three favorite games.

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Speaker 1: We'll talk a little college as well. And for the

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Speaker 1: mail bag, we just me and Stuck. You went for

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Speaker 1: like an hour, So I'm gonna move the mail bag

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Speaker 1: to Saturday. We will have a mail bag that comes

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Speaker 1: out Saturday, probably like forty five minutes. I try to

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Speaker 1: bang out a bunch of questions so people keep firing in.

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Speaker 1: I appreciate everyone that has. If I don't get to you,

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Speaker 1: I'm not avoiding you on purpose, It's just I can

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Speaker 1: only do so many. And like I always say, I'm

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Speaker 1: not shitting on Instagram because it's been a good vehicle

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Speaker 1: for the mail but it is there's no way to

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Speaker 1: like really do it in order or like you can

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Speaker 1: on Gmail or an Excel spreadsheet. Kind of is what

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Speaker 1: it is, which is fine, but some stuff gets lost

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Speaker 1: in the shuffle, not on purpose. So I appreciate everyone

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Speaker 1: who always fires in there. And yeah, other than that,

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Speaker 1: subscribe to the podcast if you listen on Collins Feed

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Speaker 1: and the YouTube channel, make sure you go subscribe. But first,

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Speaker 1: you know, I got to tell you about my friends.

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Speaker 1: I almost call them family, my partners. The official ticketing

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Speaker 1: the New York Jets came to play, and I'll take

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Speaker 1: d L tonight because I put a lot of faith

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Speaker 1: in the team that I had seen the last two

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Speaker 1: weeks in the Patriots the matchup, and they got destroyed.

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Speaker 1: I mean that they got absolutely housed. Like I said,

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Speaker 1: the game was over very very quickly. That was that

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Speaker 1: was an ass whipping. And it starts and ends with

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. My concern has been since this injury and

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Speaker 1: what he would look like was the movement was the

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Speaker 1: scramble ability, and if you lose that, you get Jared

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Speaker 1: Goff with a much stronger arm, which isn't a bad thing.

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Speaker 1: Like He's still a great player from within the pocket.

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Speaker 1: But part of what made Aaron Rodgers great was the mobility.

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Speaker 1: And within the first couple plays of that game, scrambled

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Speaker 1: to the left, he made a throw to his right

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Speaker 1: that was called back, that ended up being dropped, but

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Speaker 1: he hit the dude in the hands fifty yard just

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Speaker 1: like damn. That looks like the Green Bay Packers MVP

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Speaker 1: level Aaron Rodgers, and I understand this. The Patriots, who

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Speaker 1: had injuries and no one thought was going to be good,

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Speaker 1: they tried to change our opinion. They did mine a

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Speaker 1: little bit through two weeks, but that's the Patriots. We

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Speaker 1: all expected a bad team, a team with no offensive

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Speaker 1: line and a quarterback that you know it's going to

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Speaker 1: be fighting for his life all season long. If Jacobe

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Speaker 1: can make it seventeen games, the Patriots should give him

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Speaker 1: twenty five million, not ten, because he is getting the

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Speaker 1: shit kicked out of them tonight. That offensive line rolling

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Speaker 1: out rookies who have no chance. Now granted they're calling

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Speaker 1: holding on plays that aren't holding, but regardless, they had

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Speaker 1: no chance to night. If Aaron Rodgers is gonna play

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Speaker 1: like that and like a game. Over first half he

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Speaker 1: was fifteen to twenty for one hundred and seventy yards,

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Speaker 1: a touchdown, comes right out in the second half, throws

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Speaker 1: a touchdown to Garrett Wilson. But that version of that

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Speaker 1: player against better teams, I might have to eat some

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Speaker 1: crow on. This team can't make the playoffs, because now

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Speaker 1: we're gonna learn a lot. They get the Broncos next week,

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Speaker 1: which should be a w So they're three and one.

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Speaker 1: Then they play at Minnesota, which before the start of

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Speaker 1: the season you said would have been a winnable game.

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Speaker 1: That's much more difficult. Let's give them a loss. There,

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Speaker 1: they're three and two after five games, three and two

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Speaker 1: the Jets, it's fine. Then we're gonna learn who they

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Speaker 1: are because they play the Bills on Monday Night football,

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Speaker 1: and then the following week they played the Pittsburgh Steelers

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Speaker 1: on Sunday Night football on the road. So if this

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Speaker 1: version of Aaron Rodgers, he can stay healthy, he can

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Speaker 1: stay mobile, they're gonna have a chance. Because he's that

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Speaker 1: great of a player and the one thing that gave

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Speaker 1: me hesitation the first couple weeks, Like I don't really

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Speaker 1: see the offense. They got two really good players. Well,

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Speaker 1: the backup running back Allen from Wisconsin. Number zero is

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Speaker 1: a two hundred and thirty five pound force. That is

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Speaker 1: a fantastic draft pick by Joe Douglas. And you saw

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Speaker 1: tonight Morgan Moses gets injured. And we've been talking about

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Speaker 1: with the Chicago Bears. Props to Joe Douglas because that

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Speaker 1: would have been an easy position to draft a skill guy,

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Speaker 1: and there was a lot of you know, connection and

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Speaker 1: hype about them taking brock Bauers. But I think we've

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Speaker 1: learned over the years lean lineman early if you're gonna

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Speaker 1: miss miss on an offensive lineman or a defensive lineman.

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Speaker 1: And when they were in the position last year with

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Speaker 1: all the moving parts, they take the kid out of

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Speaker 1: Penn State who had to come in today and if Moses,

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Speaker 1: who knows, maybe hopefully it's nothing, he was able to

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Speaker 1: walk off and then they go down to the sideline

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Speaker 1: and she's like, well he walked off too, like where

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Speaker 1: no one could see him. And then he got into

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Speaker 1: a cart, So that could be kind of an old

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Speaker 1: school tough guy, like, no one's carting me off this field,

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Speaker 1: But I need some help, So that's something worth monitoring,

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Speaker 1: but not that big a deal because you have an

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Speaker 1: offensive lineman waiting in the wings and that has been

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Speaker 1: a big Obviously, the Jets quarterback play has been nowhere

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Speaker 1: near the version of I can't imagine being a Jets

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Speaker 1: fan and I after just watching some of the guys,

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Speaker 1: it's easy to just point at Zach Wilson, but for

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Speaker 1: years it's been poor quarterback play and then get that,

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Speaker 1: like I get your play a terrible team, But to

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Speaker 1: watch that, to watch the confidence, to watch the ball

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Speaker 1: come out of his hands, to watch that flick of

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Speaker 1: the wrist, to watch just how cocky is in his mood,

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Speaker 1: movements when he gets hit, how he jumps up and

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Speaker 1: kind of looks at the ref and pass the defensive

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Speaker 1: lineman on the ass. That had to be a pretty

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Speaker 1: empowering feeling, like you don't get to experience often in

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Speaker 1: sports most of my life. Shitty franchises that end up

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Speaker 1: with the superstar at the end of their career, it's

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Speaker 1: a disaster. The guys over the hill, it's never the same.

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Speaker 1: It gets your hopes up, and it felt a little

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Speaker 1: bit like that last year with Aaron Rodgers's Achilles. You

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Speaker 1: know Rips right, what four or five plays into the season,

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Speaker 1: I would say these last couple weeks, definitely tonight Prime Time,

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Speaker 1: everyone watching him, him giving some you know, Matt Lafour

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Speaker 1: twenty twenty one, MVP type vibes. Has to have you

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Speaker 1: feeling pretty good. So I'm not raiding on the parade.

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Speaker 1: This is not about the opponent. You're gonna look like that.

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Speaker 1: You have two good running backs, you have reinforcements with

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Speaker 1: the offensive line. Williams is just a jump ball guy

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Speaker 1: and a back shoulder guy. Well, who's one of the

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Speaker 1: greatest to ever do that? Aaron Rodgers. Now I'm not

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Speaker 1: pivoting and acting like after one night I'm gonna pick him.

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Speaker 1: I said they were nine and eighteen. Now I think

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Speaker 1: they can win eleven games. But that stretch against the

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Speaker 1: Bills in Pittsburgh, We're gonna find out how real this

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Speaker 1: team is. I still contend that do not love their

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Speaker 1: head coach. I just don't. I don't like their coaching staff.

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Speaker 1: Right if you tell me like Robert Sala and Nat

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Speaker 1: Hackett coming into a game like I'm not gonna like

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Speaker 1: him in the Bills or the Pittsburgh matchup, like who

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Speaker 1: are gonna take Tom landor Arthur Smith, Sean McDermott or

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Speaker 1: Joe Brady, Robert Sala and not Hackett. But you got

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Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers. Maybe he just won't listen to anything Hackett says,

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Speaker 1: and he'll call his own place. And you know they're

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Speaker 1: gonna need their defense big time to step up as

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Speaker 1: they start playing some of their better opponents. But they're

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Speaker 1: two and one. Rogers's vibing. You gotta feel good. Now.

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Speaker 1: From the Patriots standpoint, there's not much to say. I mean,

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Speaker 1: this is a team with bad personnel, who's now injured,

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Speaker 1: who has a first time head coach. I do think

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Speaker 1: one thing that was interesting. The most interesting part of

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Speaker 1: this game was nothing to do with on the field.

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Speaker 1: Robert Kraft. And sometimes, you know, old guys can say

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Speaker 1: things that are just I guess any human can do this,

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Speaker 1: But listen, old guys can misremember the truth and say

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Speaker 1: some things, especially owners. You know, they don't talk that often,

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Speaker 1: not named Jerry Jones, So when they do make a statement,

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Speaker 1: you got to take it with a grain of salt.

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Speaker 1: But if we just take this at face value and

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Speaker 1: believe him that Robert Craft said that he decided five

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Speaker 1: years ago that Jerrod Mayo was going to be his

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Speaker 1: head coach. I will give him credit because at the time,

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Speaker 1: it would have been pretty easy to go, yeah, Josh

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Speaker 1: McDaniels is going to be our next head coach. And

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Speaker 1: remember that was a huge part of like him not

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Speaker 1: going to Indy. It's like he's the coach in waiting,

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Speaker 1: and then there were a lot of rumors, well, he

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Speaker 1: actually officially was not the coach in waiting. They just

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Speaker 1: paid him a lot of money. But if Robert Kraft knew, listen,

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Speaker 1: we like this, We love this guy as my offensive coordinator.

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Speaker 1: Under no circumstances can I make him the head coach.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with this guy that is a beloved

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Speaker 1: former player, super high IQ guy. It just gets it

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Speaker 1: a little bit more than Josh in terms of dealing

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Speaker 1: with people. Clearly at Josh McDaniel's downfall, props to Robert Kraft,

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Speaker 1: who you have to say this, he wanted Belichick when

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Speaker 1: no one else did, and that one played out pretty

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Speaker 1: well and he's had a lot of time. They showed

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Speaker 1: the visual tonight of him drafting Mayo way back in

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Speaker 1: the day, I think was eight or nine draft and

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Speaker 1: obviously he's been around him for you know, going on

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Speaker 1: sixteen years now, So we'll see how this plays out.

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Speaker 1: I mean that their team is just really really shitty

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Speaker 1: and personnel wise when they go into a game, I

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Speaker 1: don't even have their schedule up, but unless they're playing

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Speaker 1: the Panthers, uh, they're gonna be at a huge disadvantage

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Speaker 1: in any time they play any team with a pulse

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Speaker 1: and some players, it could get ugly. And it ca'n

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Speaker 1: get ugly fast. I mean, the quarterback can't really move.

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Speaker 1: They have an offensive line in the camp. Offensive line

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Speaker 1: that camp block. But I will also give them credit

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Speaker 1: on this, and it's gonna be hard to hold to this.

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Speaker 1: If Jacoby is able to stay healthy, which I would

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Speaker 1: say feels like a miracle at this point in time

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Speaker 1: for the entirety of the season, if they can stick

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Speaker 1: with the plan not throwing Drake May out there, I'll

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Speaker 1: give them credit because that is the right thing to do.

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Speaker 1: And I'm a big believer and you learn by experience.

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Speaker 1: I say it all the time. It's why I like

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Speaker 1: playing rookie quarterbacks. It's why I always recommend. So many

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Speaker 1: people talk, well I'm gonna do this, just do it.

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Speaker 1: Just do it, no matter what you do, no matter

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Speaker 1: what industry you work, and sometimes you just have that's

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Speaker 1: the only way you improve. But in this situation, with

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Speaker 1: those people walking for him, it could get him killed.

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Speaker 1: And I think the risk for a guy that is

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Speaker 1: a project when no one can block for him, is

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Speaker 1: the risk is not worth there now? Is he not

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Speaker 1: gonna gain certain steps by not getting on the field

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Speaker 1: for sure? Obviously you know you can improve mentally and

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Speaker 1: through practice, which I also give them credit. Is no

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Speaker 1: team lets anybody take first team reps, but your starting quarterback.

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Speaker 1: It's the way the NFL works. All the star quarterbacks

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Speaker 1: never give up one rep. Occasionally, certain teams may give

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Speaker 1: five percent of the reps they're going seventy thirty. And

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Speaker 1: I think sometimes the nature of football, I gotta win,

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Speaker 1: I gotta win, I gotta win. Now they are seeing

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Speaker 1: the big picture, So giving him extra reps that no

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Speaker 1: team gives their backup quarterback in practice does have value.

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Speaker 1: And that's part of the reason why I'm a big

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Speaker 1: proponent like rookie quarterbacks. If you're not the starter, you're

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Speaker 1: just kind of servicing the starting defense. You're not working

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Speaker 1: on your own offense. You're not working on implementing a

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Speaker 1: game plan because you don't take any of the reps. Well,

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Speaker 1: the Patriots are bucking that trend a little bit, doing

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Speaker 1: it a little differently. So I do think that's really

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Speaker 1: smart and that they deserve credit for kind of getting

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Speaker 1: it because no one usually gets it. That's not the way,

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Speaker 1: that's not the way it works, it's not the way

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Speaker 1: it ever happens. So it's gonna be a long season. Tonight.

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Speaker 1: I mean they were a couple injuries and the un

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Speaker 1: listen road team Thursday night, but still, I mean, that

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Speaker 1: was bad. They looked, probably by the second or third series,

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Speaker 1: like they didn't really want to be there. And in

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Speaker 1: the NFL, when you're playing Aaron Rodgers and you just

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Speaker 1: don't want to be there, you're gonna get molly wopped.

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Speaker 1: And that's what happened tonight. Okay, back at it again,

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Speaker 1: Beautiful Friday, which means football's right around the corner. Star

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Speaker 1: of the Action Network, Stucky. Doesn't get any better than

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Speaker 1: this into Week three in the NFL. Week four in

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Speaker 1: college football, football is flowing. We got melk Kuiper saying

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Speaker 1: they should ban Cover two. We got scoring, We got

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Speaker 1: scoring in stats. Why don't we just ban linebackers? I mean,

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Speaker 1: why don't we just ban slot receivers. But let's be real,

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Speaker 1: you're a you got numbers up the wazoo. Scoring has

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Speaker 1: been way down, obviously, it's some like historic lows, a

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Speaker 1: ton of field goal attempts, red zone play has been horrendous.

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Speaker 1: What's your overall thought on the landscape? Not necessarily on

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Speaker 1: Melkiper's comment, because that's to me just a throwaway comment

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Speaker 1: that's your classic gets a lot of reaction on social media.

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Speaker 1: That's never gonna happen because you literally can't do that.

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Speaker 1: But just overall offense versus defense so far in the

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Speaker 1: National Football League sucky.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, it's an assen on comment. I mean the number

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Speaker 4: the most frequently called coverage, you know, and a lot

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Speaker 4: of times there's like cloud coverages and then you know

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Speaker 4: ones there are split coverages. One side of the field

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Speaker 4: you have uh, you know, cover two, the other side

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Speaker 4: of the field you have cover So it's not that simple.

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Speaker 4: And the and the most frequent one is you know,

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Speaker 4: cover three, and so cover three and Cover one are

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Speaker 4: still more frequently run than Cover two. There's a lot

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Speaker 4: of teams now like the Fanji try that will have

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Speaker 4: to I safeties but rotate in to cover one, cover three.

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Speaker 4: So there are the coverages are more complex. There is

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Speaker 4: a greater focus on taking away the explosive play. So

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Speaker 4: that's that's part of it. It's you know, you have

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Speaker 4: to drive the field, and you know running is becoming

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Speaker 4: more efficient or and then it has been in the

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Speaker 4: recent past, and it's like catching up to passing from

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Speaker 4: an efficiency standpoint. I also think like offensive lines are

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Speaker 4: not They're behind where defensive lines have gotten to and

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Speaker 4: how teams of you are using you know, simulated pressures,

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Speaker 4: and just the talent level at the defensive end position

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Speaker 4: compared to maybe the lack of talent at the offensive

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Speaker 4: tackle position. Look at the Chiefs right the Chiefs are

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Speaker 4: just dnking and dunking all over the place. Their tackle

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Speaker 4: position is kind of a mess right now, and everyone

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Speaker 4: just wants to take away the exposive play. So they're

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Speaker 4: like a great case study of what's going on in

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Speaker 4: the NFL because in order to beat a lot of

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Speaker 4: those covers, you need time and a lot of these

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Speaker 4: teams aren't getting the protection. Also, the bottom barrel of

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Speaker 4: the league in the quarterback plays way down. I mean

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Speaker 4: you look at some of these rookies who are really struggling.

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Speaker 4: I mean, outside of.

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Speaker 1: Some of them, they they all if you just remove

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Speaker 1: Jaden's runs, they've been They've thrown a touchdown pass the

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Speaker 1: three of them.

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Speaker 4: Yeah, but even going back to the last couple of years,

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Speaker 4: it's outside of Purty and Stroud, you know who's really

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Speaker 4: killing it. So there also is you know, I think

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Speaker 4: that there's more of a teams now more often won't

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Speaker 4: play like their quarterbacks in preseason, and so I think

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Speaker 4: the defenses are usually now even more so ahead of

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Speaker 4: the offenses. Early in the season. You did mention red

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Speaker 4: zone scoring. Red zone trips are still kind of on

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Speaker 4: par with where they've been. I tweeted this out last

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Speaker 4: week and I said, I've never seen so many turnovers

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Speaker 4: inside the ten yard line on one Sunday, a lot

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Speaker 4: of red zone production. It's just that that's a lot

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Speaker 4: of variance, so you would expect that to bounce back.

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Speaker 4: So some of it's just noise and red zone noise.

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Speaker 4: But this has been a trend over the past couple

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Speaker 4: of years. I think, like offensive line play, the focus

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Speaker 4: of defenses on you know, taking away the exposive play,

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Speaker 4: the quarterback play, especially at the bottom of league, is

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Speaker 4: historically bad. And then you know the defensive line talent, scheme,

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Speaker 4: evolution and complexity is all contributings to I think it's

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Speaker 4: a hodgepodge of reasons.

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Speaker 1: Well, I've been saying this for a while. When I

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Speaker 1: first got into the NFL in twenty ten, there weren't

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Speaker 1: that many great pass rushing defensive tackles, and then right

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Speaker 1: around twenty eleven twenty twelve, there just started being every

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Speaker 1: year multiple Fletcher Cox, Aaron Donald's. Now, look how many

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Speaker 1: teams feel good about like we got a big time

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Speaker 1: interior pass rusher. I'd say most teams. All the good

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Speaker 1: ones have like high end guys, and a lot of

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Speaker 1: random teams have good ones. Even the Panthers had Derek Brown,

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Speaker 1: who like would start for every team obviously got injured.

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Speaker 1: Yet the offensive line position guards, I would say garden

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Speaker 1: center play is way down over the course of the

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Speaker 1: last decade because I used to feel like shit, you

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Speaker 1: can find Kelsey's and random guards and centers in the fifth, sixth,

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Speaker 1: seventh round and they can become like pro bowlers. It's

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Speaker 1: much harder to do now. I do think the tackles

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Speaker 1: you know, we just it looks like we're probably gonna

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Speaker 1: have a pretty good tackle draft, and those kind of

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Speaker 1: goes in waves because that's a specific like six five

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Speaker 1: sixty six body type. But the Garden Center play and

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Speaker 1: maybe I mean you and I both watched a lot

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Speaker 1: of college football. The influx of just the the offensive

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Speaker 1: schemes in college it's not the nineties and two thousands.

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Speaker 1: You know, when I was at Frisno State, like we

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Speaker 1: ran an NFL power offense, as did Pete Carroll has

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Speaker 1: did a lot of teams in college football. How many

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Speaker 1: teams in college football don't spread that shit out now

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Speaker 1: so that you know, you can still develop the tackle

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Speaker 1: right because they're kind of a raw product when they

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Speaker 1: had that body size. But the Garden Center thing is

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Speaker 1: a little more hit or miss where there used to be.

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Speaker 1: You know, the Niners got that poony guy from Kansas.

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Speaker 1: There used to be like six of him in a draft,

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Speaker 1: and they'd.

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Speaker 4: Be It's a great point. Teams are more focused on

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Speaker 4: getting that interior pass rush. You know, guys like Wilkins

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Speaker 4: and Chris Jones. You can go on and on. Look

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Speaker 4: at the season that Matabuke had for the Ravens last year.

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Speaker 4: Nothing disrupts a passing play more than interior pressure, and

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Speaker 4: NFL teams to figure that out. It's not like the

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Speaker 4: you know, going back to the great two thousand Ravens defenses,

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Speaker 4: where you would just have run Sarah Usa and Sam

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Speaker 4: Adams who would just use a big houses up front

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Speaker 4: to eat blocks for the line to free up the linebackers.

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Speaker 4: Whereas now it's more about generating that interior pressure. And yeah,

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Speaker 4: that's part of it too. It's a great point with

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Speaker 4: the NFL. The college offenses, you know, more of a spread,

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Speaker 4: and I think so you don't have the same guard prototype.

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Speaker 4: But also the quarterbacks aren't really asked to run a

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Speaker 4: a pro style offense as much, so like they're they're

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Speaker 4: not used to reading d and I think that's that's

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Speaker 4: part of what you're seeing with a lot of these

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Speaker 4: these young quarterbacks where they just seem to be lost

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Speaker 4: coming up to the NFL and not being able to

429
00:24:13,720 --> 00:24:15,320
Speaker 4: get up to speed. So I think it's a great point.

430
00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:18,280
Speaker 1: Did you see the viral video viral video last week

431
00:24:18,320 --> 00:24:20,880
Speaker 1: of bow Nicks getting the play call in from Sean

432
00:24:20,920 --> 00:24:24,119
Speaker 1: Payton and he's like listening, listening, listening. Then he has

433
00:24:24,160 --> 00:24:25,640
Speaker 1: to look at his cards, then he has to listen

434
00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,359
Speaker 1: a little more. I mean, it looked and you know

435
00:24:27,560 --> 00:24:30,680
Speaker 1: it's gone viral over the year. Sean Payton's just play

436
00:24:30,720 --> 00:24:33,160
Speaker 1: calls in general looked like he was reading him a book.

437
00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:37,800
Speaker 1: And I can't imagine, you know, Oregon's like green left right.

438
00:24:37,840 --> 00:24:41,439
Speaker 1: I mean, it's obviously what he ran An Auburn was

439
00:24:41,480 --> 00:24:44,720
Speaker 1: not very complicated. So you know, I'm not trying to

440
00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:48,960
Speaker 1: act like I was, you know, totally missed the bow

441
00:24:49,000 --> 00:24:52,359
Speaker 1: Knicks preseason hype. But the transition obviously to the regular season,

442
00:24:52,359 --> 00:24:54,280
Speaker 1: the intensity of the play calls from the game plan,

443
00:24:54,760 --> 00:24:57,840
Speaker 1: clearly he's a little overwhelmed right now. As so it's Caleb.

444
00:24:57,880 --> 00:24:59,160
Speaker 1: I mean, they all are. They're swimming.

445
00:25:00,560 --> 00:25:03,639
Speaker 4: Yeah yeah. And also if you look at you know,

446
00:25:03,720 --> 00:25:08,119
Speaker 4: I mean back to the offensive line, Cayley Williams. You

447
00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:12,600
Speaker 4: know you're dealing with NFL pass rushes now. That offensive line.

448
00:25:12,600 --> 00:25:14,520
Speaker 4: The Bears offensive line is a mess. They give up

449
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:19,560
Speaker 4: thirty seven pressures last week to Houston. That's just an

450
00:25:19,560 --> 00:25:25,320
Speaker 4: insane number. You know, bo Nicks under constant pressure. So yeah,

451
00:25:25,359 --> 00:25:28,359
Speaker 4: the offensive line play a lot of these teams is

452
00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:30,560
Speaker 4: really bad. One of the questions coming into the year

453
00:25:30,600 --> 00:25:34,800
Speaker 4: with the Saints and their offensive line has been tremendous

454
00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:37,480
Speaker 4: and look what they did blast Seek. Their offense looks

455
00:25:37,480 --> 00:25:38,240
Speaker 4: like a juggernaut.

456
00:25:38,880 --> 00:25:40,879
Speaker 1: Well, I think one thing I think the Bears would

457
00:25:40,920 --> 00:25:45,480
Speaker 1: like back Roma Dunese loved him as a prospect. Obviously

458
00:25:45,520 --> 00:25:49,400
Speaker 1: from a character standpoint, everyone loved him. You only get

459
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,600
Speaker 1: so many opportunities to have two top ten picks. And

460
00:25:51,640 --> 00:25:54,320
Speaker 1: a huge reason I saw Baldy put this out, the

461
00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:58,560
Speaker 1: kid from Oregon State Fuaga could like play all five positions.

462
00:25:58,840 --> 00:26:02,640
Speaker 1: There's not such anything you know, can't miss doesn't exist.

463
00:26:02,760 --> 00:26:04,719
Speaker 1: But he was pretty close to like he was going

464
00:26:04,800 --> 00:26:08,480
Speaker 1: to be solid. Now, maybe he's better than anyone thought. Like,

465
00:26:08,560 --> 00:26:10,560
Speaker 1: I think if the Bears had a do over, like

466
00:26:10,560 --> 00:26:14,600
Speaker 1: you can find wide receivers, but you get an opportunity

467
00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,080
Speaker 1: to take a high end offensive lineman that even if

468
00:26:17,080 --> 00:26:19,240
Speaker 1: you feel good about your tackle spot at this sarta

469
00:26:19,320 --> 00:26:22,400
Speaker 1: mcguard move them over like that. That's one they're probably

470
00:26:22,440 --> 00:26:24,360
Speaker 1: regretting right now. Yeah.

471
00:26:24,359 --> 00:26:26,800
Speaker 4: I think I think I heard Belichick bring that up on.

472
00:26:27,800 --> 00:26:29,440
Speaker 1: Somewhat of the seventeen podcasts.

473
00:26:30,600 --> 00:26:33,679
Speaker 4: Yeah, he was just talking about their roster construction, and

474
00:26:34,000 --> 00:26:36,600
Speaker 4: I mean you already had DJ Moore, you went out

475
00:26:36,640 --> 00:26:41,040
Speaker 4: and got Keenan Allen. You were fortunate enough to get

476
00:26:41,080 --> 00:26:43,440
Speaker 4: that number one pick because of the Panthers you got.

477
00:26:43,880 --> 00:26:47,880
Speaker 4: You think as your franchise quarterback, you know you really

478
00:26:48,040 --> 00:26:51,199
Speaker 4: want to help him out with offensive line help, and

479
00:26:51,280 --> 00:26:54,439
Speaker 4: they just really didn't address it as much as you

480
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:58,600
Speaker 4: would have liked. And doesn't matter who you have out

481
00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:02,360
Speaker 4: there to throw to if if you can't get proper protection,

482
00:27:02,680 --> 00:27:05,760
Speaker 4: and it's also going to like shake his confidence and

483
00:27:06,119 --> 00:27:08,280
Speaker 4: he's not up to like NFL speed yet and dealing

484
00:27:08,320 --> 00:27:11,000
Speaker 4: with the pressure of feeling it out knowing when to

485
00:27:11,000 --> 00:27:14,400
Speaker 4: get rid of it. So yeah, I agree. I think

486
00:27:14,400 --> 00:27:16,120
Speaker 4: I would have went offensive line there as well.

487
00:27:16,359 --> 00:27:18,960
Speaker 1: Why aren't the Chargers a good example that I would

488
00:27:19,040 --> 00:27:22,640
Speaker 1: say over half the GMS or whoever would have been

489
00:27:22,640 --> 00:27:25,440
Speaker 1: in charge GM slash coach in their spot this year

490
00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:30,760
Speaker 1: would have taken probably neighbors to put with with Justin Herbert.

491
00:27:30,920 --> 00:27:32,880
Speaker 1: I mean, he would have been sweet, he is sweet,

492
00:27:33,359 --> 00:27:36,520
Speaker 1: But Jim Harbaugh never hesitated. He was never going to

493
00:27:36,560 --> 00:27:39,120
Speaker 1: take a wide receiver. And you look at them through

494
00:27:39,200 --> 00:27:42,320
Speaker 1: two weeks like they look exactly like his teams for

495
00:27:42,320 --> 00:27:45,679
Speaker 1: the last fifteen years. They want now JK Dobbins and

496
00:27:45,880 --> 00:27:49,239
Speaker 1: you know him well. Ravens clearly looks healthy and they

497
00:27:49,280 --> 00:27:52,480
Speaker 1: are shoving. I know they played the Panthers, but Jim

498
00:27:52,520 --> 00:27:56,000
Speaker 1: would play like that against you know, the mid seventies Steelers.

499
00:27:56,000 --> 00:27:57,879
Speaker 1: He'd play like that against a high school team, like

500
00:27:57,880 --> 00:28:00,520
Speaker 1: that's how he wants to play, and you look at

501
00:28:00,600 --> 00:28:03,280
Speaker 1: them this week. Let's just dive into that game because

502
00:28:04,240 --> 00:28:08,800
Speaker 1: my take, it's like it's tough to take the Chargers

503
00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:11,360
Speaker 1: at a dog on the road. But I do think

504
00:28:11,400 --> 00:28:14,440
Speaker 1: the over under. This is just a classic contrarian. This

505
00:28:14,480 --> 00:28:17,320
Speaker 1: is gonna be a sexy under everyone thinks because both

506
00:28:17,359 --> 00:28:19,520
Speaker 1: these two teams wouldn't mind winning this thing, like twelve

507
00:28:19,520 --> 00:28:23,399
Speaker 1: to nine. I'm just gonna take the over just because

508
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,920
Speaker 1: I think conventional wisdom and we've seen through the first

509
00:28:25,920 --> 00:28:29,800
Speaker 1: two weeks and you know, things change. So it's these underdogs.

510
00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:32,040
Speaker 1: I mean, they had an incredible week last week, did

511
00:28:32,040 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 1: they not. It was like, I'm gonna take the over

512
00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,199
Speaker 1: in this game because I do think this is a

513
00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:41,000
Speaker 1: spot where if Pittsburgh slows down the run, it could

514
00:28:41,080 --> 00:28:44,320
Speaker 1: be hard for the Chargers. But I do wonder if

515
00:28:44,360 --> 00:28:47,720
Speaker 1: it's just one of those Damn, it's fifteen to ten

516
00:28:47,760 --> 00:28:50,920
Speaker 1: at halftime one of those Am I crazy for that

517
00:28:50,960 --> 00:28:53,600
Speaker 1: logic because that's one of my favorite bets basically just

518
00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:55,800
Speaker 1: betting against conventional wisdom.

519
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:58,320
Speaker 4: I mean it is a super low total.

520
00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:00,880
Speaker 1: Numbers tiny at thirty I looked more was thirty six.

521
00:29:01,200 --> 00:29:04,200
Speaker 4: Yeah, so I mean twenty to seventeen gets you over.

522
00:29:05,520 --> 00:29:07,640
Speaker 4: This is like an Iowa total, and I think Iowa

523
00:29:07,720 --> 00:29:09,880
Speaker 4: Minnesota totals around thirty five thirty six.

524
00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:11,920
Speaker 1: This is a bit as small as you get in

525
00:29:11,960 --> 00:29:13,960
Speaker 1: the NFL. Would you say thirty five thirty.

526
00:29:13,720 --> 00:29:18,240
Speaker 4: Six, Yeah, you could go. I mean the lowest you'll

527
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:22,680
Speaker 4: ever get is that. I can remember betting NFL for

528
00:29:22,720 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 4: like twenty years.

529
00:29:23,520 --> 00:29:26,800
Speaker 1: I mean you'll have like Thursday night game that's sloppy.

530
00:29:27,240 --> 00:29:29,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, like you'll have like a some thirty threes back.

531
00:29:29,960 --> 00:29:33,520
Speaker 4: I remember like thirty two thirty threes in like Cleveland

532
00:29:34,040 --> 00:29:36,040
Speaker 4: with you know when there's like thirty forty mile an

533
00:29:36,080 --> 00:29:38,600
Speaker 4: hour wins the Bear, like the Bears in the mid

534
00:29:38,640 --> 00:29:40,880
Speaker 4: two thousands with their dominant D and they had you know,

535
00:29:40,960 --> 00:29:46,959
Speaker 4: no offense. So yeah, this is but this is getting

536
00:29:46,960 --> 00:29:49,920
Speaker 4: there as low as as you're you're really going to see,

537
00:29:49,960 --> 00:29:52,280
Speaker 4: and in today's day and age, even with scoring down.

538
00:29:53,520 --> 00:29:57,080
Speaker 4: You know, I.

539
00:29:55,440 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 1: I like Harbaugh's dog here.

540
00:29:58,880 --> 00:30:01,040
Speaker 4: I prefer to tease. This is a really good teaser

541
00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:03,080
Speaker 4: piece because if you can tease an underdog in the

542
00:30:03,200 --> 00:30:06,360
Speaker 4: NFL threw three through seven with a super low total

543
00:30:06,480 --> 00:30:10,520
Speaker 4: total this low, it's a really good bet, even with

544
00:30:10,640 --> 00:30:14,200
Speaker 4: teaser prices increasing, especially if you can still find like

545
00:30:14,200 --> 00:30:16,320
Speaker 4: a minus one twenty which are out there. But even

546
00:30:16,320 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 4: at minus one thirty, you know, you tease this off,

547
00:30:18,840 --> 00:30:22,040
Speaker 4: tease it with you know, maybe the Bengals down to

548
00:30:22,080 --> 00:30:27,000
Speaker 4: one and a half. I you know, the the thing

549
00:30:27,040 --> 00:30:31,600
Speaker 4: that scares me by betting the the Chargers here because

550
00:30:31,600 --> 00:30:35,440
Speaker 4: I'm gonna tease them. The Steelers just find ways to

551
00:30:35,440 --> 00:30:37,960
Speaker 4: win these close games, two and zero one possession games

552
00:30:38,040 --> 00:30:42,040
Speaker 4: this year. They're thirty three and eleven in one possession

553
00:30:42,040 --> 00:30:46,880
Speaker 4: games since twenty twenty. That's an obscene number when you

554
00:30:46,920 --> 00:30:49,440
Speaker 4: consider the quarterbacks. They've had thirty one and thirteen against

555
00:30:49,440 --> 00:30:53,280
Speaker 4: the spread in those games. The steel with both these

556
00:30:53,320 --> 00:30:55,920
Speaker 4: teams are you know, because the one scary thing about

557
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,240
Speaker 4: this over I agree that it's probably an over reaction.

558
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:01,680
Speaker 4: Like red zone you want to talk about red zone production,

559
00:31:03,080 --> 00:31:05,560
Speaker 4: It should probably bounce back. And the Steelers have been

560
00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:08,120
Speaker 4: doing nothing but kicking field goals. I think they have

561
00:31:08,320 --> 00:31:10,520
Speaker 4: one touchdown through two games and they're two and zero,

562
00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:11,480
Speaker 4: which is pretty crazy.

563
00:31:11,680 --> 00:31:13,400
Speaker 1: They did hit a couple of big plays last week.

564
00:31:13,440 --> 00:31:14,240
Speaker 1: They were called back.

565
00:31:14,640 --> 00:31:17,000
Speaker 4: Yes, yeah, Pickens had he had a really good game.

566
00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:18,920
Speaker 4: Uncertain it won't show up in the in the statue.

567
00:31:18,960 --> 00:31:21,640
Speaker 4: He drew a big person pass interference and then he

568
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:26,280
Speaker 4: caught a huge pass that was brought back. But the

569
00:31:26,280 --> 00:31:29,000
Speaker 4: Steelers are They're first in rush attempts. They're just trying

570
00:31:29,040 --> 00:31:31,320
Speaker 4: to run the ball. They first in two tight end sets.

571
00:31:31,320 --> 00:31:33,840
Speaker 4: But they're like twenty ninth in rush success rate twenty

572
00:31:33,920 --> 00:31:37,120
Speaker 4: ninth and rush EPA. So they're not doing it very efficiently.

573
00:31:37,320 --> 00:31:38,720
Speaker 4: They're relying on their defense.

574
00:31:39,160 --> 00:31:39,480
Speaker 1: Now.

575
00:31:40,400 --> 00:31:46,960
Speaker 4: It helps when you play you know, Bo Nix and

576
00:31:47,040 --> 00:31:51,440
Speaker 4: that Broncos team, so maybe you have to open up

577
00:31:51,440 --> 00:31:54,040
Speaker 4: a little more. You are playing justin Herbert and you

578
00:31:54,040 --> 00:31:56,080
Speaker 4: know they their first game the Steelers played, they played

579
00:31:56,120 --> 00:31:59,400
Speaker 4: the Falcons where Kirk Cousins was first game back. He

580
00:31:59,560 --> 00:32:02,760
Speaker 4: was hurt, like so you didn't play in preseason. You

581
00:32:02,800 --> 00:32:04,920
Speaker 4: obviously saw he was completely rusty, and they didn't put

582
00:32:04,960 --> 00:32:07,600
Speaker 4: him under center. It was the most predictable offensive game

583
00:32:07,640 --> 00:32:10,280
Speaker 4: plan I've ever seen in my life. Just kissol, we

584
00:32:10,360 --> 00:32:12,720
Speaker 4: run at shotgun, we throw it. The Steelers were all

585
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:15,479
Speaker 4: over what wrecked habit on the game, so they were

586
00:32:15,520 --> 00:32:19,040
Speaker 4: able to play that way right and just hey, we

587
00:32:19,080 --> 00:32:21,400
Speaker 4: can win this game fifteen to ten because the other offense.

588
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,840
Speaker 1: He can't move. Their pass rush is awesome. So it

589
00:32:23,880 --> 00:32:24,840
Speaker 1: was a perfect storm.

590
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:30,000
Speaker 4: Yeah. So now with Herbert, his offensive line is really good,

591
00:32:30,040 --> 00:32:31,360
Speaker 4: and you want to talk about a guy you know

592
00:32:31,760 --> 00:32:35,000
Speaker 4: them drafting all week one, he took care of Crosby

593
00:32:35,280 --> 00:32:40,080
Speaker 4: in his first ever start, So you know, the weapons

594
00:32:40,120 --> 00:32:44,120
Speaker 4: aren't great for the Chargers, but you know, Herbert is

595
00:32:45,120 --> 00:32:47,120
Speaker 4: in a much better spot than the quarterbacks that they

596
00:32:47,160 --> 00:32:48,680
Speaker 4: faced over the first two weeks. The only thing that

597
00:32:48,720 --> 00:32:52,600
Speaker 4: scares me a bit is the Herbert injury. So he

598
00:32:52,840 --> 00:32:54,320
Speaker 4: you know, he's dealing with an ankle injury on the

599
00:32:54,360 --> 00:32:59,320
Speaker 4: same foot that has Planner fascia. So how healthy is

600
00:32:59,320 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 4: he going to be? Is he going to just be

601
00:33:01,160 --> 00:33:03,840
Speaker 4: too limited to move around dealing with that passbutch? Even

602
00:33:03,880 --> 00:33:07,880
Speaker 4: though the Chargers offensive line is pretty good, so yeah,

603
00:33:07,920 --> 00:33:12,600
Speaker 4: I don't hate the contrarian. Look here going over with

604
00:33:12,760 --> 00:33:15,400
Speaker 4: at such a low number, you don't look if you're

605
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,400
Speaker 4: bet in the under. Are you need a lot of

606
00:33:17,440 --> 00:33:19,200
Speaker 4: things to go right? You can't. You can't have like.

607
00:33:19,160 --> 00:33:20,680
Speaker 1: A you know, fumble six.

608
00:33:20,920 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, both of the fields in the past has made

609
00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:26,480
Speaker 4: some dumb mistakes and if Herbert isn't that mobile, he

610
00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:31,640
Speaker 4: could get stripped. What can always wreck havoc on a game.

611
00:33:32,040 --> 00:33:35,200
Speaker 4: But I prefer to to tease the Chargers up.

612
00:33:36,280 --> 00:33:38,800
Speaker 1: I know this looking back at like harbus first year

613
00:33:38,840 --> 00:33:41,280
Speaker 1: at Stanford, his first year at the Niners. If you

614
00:33:41,480 --> 00:33:44,000
Speaker 1: like the Chargers coming into this season, this is the

615
00:33:44,040 --> 00:33:46,960
Speaker 1: type game that he kind of puts a stamp early

616
00:33:47,040 --> 00:33:50,120
Speaker 1: on and he was like, damn this they are going

617
00:33:50,200 --> 00:33:53,040
Speaker 1: to be, you know, way better than people imagine, just

618
00:33:53,080 --> 00:33:56,320
Speaker 1: because their rosters wasn't as good as it has been

619
00:33:56,320 --> 00:33:58,200
Speaker 1: in the past years with some of the Chargers. But

620
00:33:58,760 --> 00:34:01,080
Speaker 1: I'm tempted. I got to see, you know how this

621
00:34:01,280 --> 00:34:04,720
Speaker 1: justin Herbert. You know, does he practice now? Harbaugh's I

622
00:34:04,720 --> 00:34:08,200
Speaker 1: would say, top five guy. That's very weird with injuries,

623
00:34:08,520 --> 00:34:11,480
Speaker 1: so you can never tell, you know, with his comments,

624
00:34:11,520 --> 00:34:14,480
Speaker 1: and he already had issues and in training camp when

625
00:34:14,480 --> 00:34:16,040
Speaker 1: they're like his Bosa okay, He's like, what are you

626
00:34:16,040 --> 00:34:18,280
Speaker 1: guys talking about? It's like we saw him leave practice

627
00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:21,880
Speaker 1: and he just gets very awkward in those situations. Okay,

628
00:34:22,440 --> 00:34:23,920
Speaker 1: uh yeah, it'll be it'll be a good thing you meant.

629
00:34:23,960 --> 00:34:26,400
Speaker 4: Good data point for both teams. Steelers played the Falcons

630
00:34:26,440 --> 00:34:29,440
Speaker 4: when he couldn't really take much from that offense, and

631
00:34:29,480 --> 00:34:33,239
Speaker 4: then you know the Bonex and the Chargers played the

632
00:34:33,280 --> 00:34:37,239
Speaker 4: Panthers and the Raiders in their first two games, so

633
00:34:37,920 --> 00:34:40,000
Speaker 4: very easy competition for both to get the two and

634
00:34:40,120 --> 00:34:43,000
Speaker 4: l this. I agree, this game Harbo would normally win,

635
00:34:43,239 --> 00:34:45,759
Speaker 4: is a game that Tom will know always wins. Good

636
00:34:45,800 --> 00:34:50,360
Speaker 4: data point for both teams, especially the offenses stepping up

637
00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:51,440
Speaker 4: in class defensively.

638
00:34:52,160 --> 00:34:55,479
Speaker 1: Okay, last week, I like the the Old g Men

639
00:34:55,560 --> 00:35:00,640
Speaker 1: against Washington and they didn't cover, but never kicker. It

640
00:34:59,840 --> 00:35:02,600
Speaker 1: was it didn't have a kicker. Was a close game

641
00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,880
Speaker 1: though the time of possession, Washington was working them in

642
00:35:05,960 --> 00:35:09,440
Speaker 1: terms of yards. They're red zone offense. I swore to

643
00:35:09,480 --> 00:35:11,919
Speaker 1: guy they had three penalties every time that they got

644
00:35:11,920 --> 00:35:15,200
Speaker 1: inside the ten yard line. That game could have been

645
00:35:15,640 --> 00:35:19,319
Speaker 1: fifteen points instead of three. But looking at Cleveland here,

646
00:35:19,400 --> 00:35:22,160
Speaker 1: they scored seventeen points in week one, they scored eighteen

647
00:35:22,200 --> 00:35:24,919
Speaker 1: points in week two. I think we acknowledge right, they're

648
00:35:24,920 --> 00:35:28,400
Speaker 1: not a great offense. So they're playing the Giants and

649
00:35:28,520 --> 00:35:31,600
Speaker 1: look this morning, it's six and a half. I'm with everybody.

650
00:35:31,640 --> 00:35:34,239
Speaker 1: I don't think the Giants are good, but I don't

651
00:35:34,239 --> 00:35:36,960
Speaker 1: think Cleveland at this point in time in the season

652
00:35:37,120 --> 00:35:39,440
Speaker 1: should be giving up close to a touchdown to any

653
00:35:39,680 --> 00:35:42,080
Speaker 1: That's just for a team that can't score. I mean,

654
00:35:42,080 --> 00:35:46,560
Speaker 1: if the Giants just score ten points and they score fifteen,

655
00:35:46,800 --> 00:35:51,560
Speaker 1: I mean it's like, again, I feel sick and icky

656
00:35:51,760 --> 00:35:54,560
Speaker 1: doing this, but I love this number with the Giants.

657
00:35:54,600 --> 00:35:56,879
Speaker 1: Am I crazy a bit?

658
00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,359
Speaker 4: I mean fading Deshaun Watson is a favorite as from

659
00:35:59,360 --> 00:36:00,239
Speaker 4: the win by Margine, and.

660
00:36:01,600 --> 00:36:04,200
Speaker 1: I think the Jags think stucky, so that that game, like,

661
00:36:04,360 --> 00:36:05,439
Speaker 1: I don't think the Jags good.

662
00:36:05,600 --> 00:36:07,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, and the Browns didn't really do much offense. They

663
00:36:07,560 --> 00:36:11,040
Speaker 4: had a really good scripted drive and then the jag

664
00:36:11,080 --> 00:36:13,800
Speaker 4: shot themselves in the foot a lot and wilets in

665
00:36:13,880 --> 00:36:17,440
Speaker 4: a good first quarter then not much else. You know,

666
00:36:17,480 --> 00:36:19,560
Speaker 4: the one thing that would so if you if you

667
00:36:19,560 --> 00:36:21,840
Speaker 4: want to fade the Shaun Watson as a big favorite

668
00:36:21,840 --> 00:36:22,680
Speaker 4: in the NFL.

669
00:36:23,120 --> 00:36:24,160
Speaker 1: That's part of my logic. Gear.

670
00:36:24,239 --> 00:36:27,000
Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't hate it. I would prefer getting a seven.

671
00:36:28,239 --> 00:36:30,600
Speaker 4: I would be a little more interested at seven because

672
00:36:30,640 --> 00:36:33,520
Speaker 4: the one thing that scares me is a Jim Schwartz

673
00:36:33,560 --> 00:36:40,000
Speaker 4: defense generally eats up bad quarterback play, and Daniel Jones

674
00:36:40,080 --> 00:36:43,440
Speaker 4: under pressure is one of the worst quarterbacks in the league.

675
00:36:43,880 --> 00:36:46,480
Speaker 4: We saw what Flores did do him in Week one.

676
00:36:46,760 --> 00:36:49,239
Speaker 4: It was a disaster. You know, Schwartz is going to

677
00:36:49,320 --> 00:36:52,360
Speaker 4: bring the pressure, take advantage of that offensive line, which,

678
00:36:52,520 --> 00:36:55,880
Speaker 4: while improved, is still an area of weakness they have.

679
00:36:56,680 --> 00:36:59,360
Speaker 4: Uh you know, Ward last week only played eleven snaps

680
00:37:00,120 --> 00:37:02,000
Speaker 4: dealing with an injury. They expect to ramp that up.

681
00:37:02,440 --> 00:37:03,960
Speaker 4: It's one of the best corns. I mean, the Browns

682
00:37:04,000 --> 00:37:08,200
Speaker 4: have three really good corners, can they They They are

683
00:37:08,239 --> 00:37:11,000
Speaker 4: probably more equipped than anyone to stick with Neighbors who

684
00:37:11,040 --> 00:37:14,759
Speaker 4: got eighteen targets last week. And if you do that,

685
00:37:14,960 --> 00:37:19,279
Speaker 4: I mean, how are the Giants moving the ball? I

686
00:37:19,760 --> 00:37:21,720
Speaker 4: just I don't know. Jones is gonna be under pressure.

687
00:37:21,760 --> 00:37:24,000
Speaker 4: He's probably gonna make some mistakes. He's probably gonna fumble,

688
00:37:24,040 --> 00:37:30,000
Speaker 4: He's gonna get stripped. So I would lean I would

689
00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:32,919
Speaker 4: take a look at that under there, because I don't

690
00:37:32,920 --> 00:37:34,680
Speaker 4: think the Browns offense is any good. So if I

691
00:37:34,719 --> 00:37:37,319
Speaker 4: do like the under and you're catching seven. I don't

692
00:37:37,320 --> 00:37:39,080
Speaker 4: hate it, but I prefer the under to the side.

693
00:37:39,520 --> 00:37:42,960
Speaker 4: The Giants offense could look just as messy as it

694
00:37:43,000 --> 00:37:47,680
Speaker 4: did at home in Week one against Minnesota, who doesn't

695
00:37:47,719 --> 00:37:51,720
Speaker 4: have the same chops in the secondary as Cleveland.

696
00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:55,960
Speaker 1: I remember texting with a buddy before the draft who

697
00:37:56,000 --> 00:37:59,400
Speaker 1: knows the GM awesome for it pretty well with the cards,

698
00:37:59,400 --> 00:38:01,080
Speaker 1: and I'm like, you think they would take Neighbors at

699
00:38:01,080 --> 00:38:04,319
Speaker 1: four over Harrison. He's like, no chance. He's just he's

700
00:38:04,320 --> 00:38:06,880
Speaker 1: gonna go safe with Harrison. And obviously Harrison's good, but

701
00:38:07,040 --> 00:38:10,480
Speaker 1: just you know, determining those two players, Neighbors are a little riskier,

702
00:38:10,800 --> 00:38:13,760
Speaker 1: just some question marks. He would have been pretty sweet

703
00:38:14,200 --> 00:38:17,839
Speaker 1: in that offense with Kyler and Troy McBride because he's

704
00:38:17,840 --> 00:38:21,800
Speaker 1: gonna waste away a little bit this year with dj Okay.

705
00:38:22,760 --> 00:38:27,360
Speaker 1: This game is interesting. Eagles at the Saints. That was

706
00:38:27,400 --> 00:38:30,560
Speaker 1: a devastating loss. Bro on Monday night. I mean, that

707
00:38:31,080 --> 00:38:35,000
Speaker 1: was that was rough moment for Fangio, rough moment for

708
00:38:35,040 --> 00:38:38,440
Speaker 1: the rookie corner that the Eagles d line. You talk

709
00:38:38,520 --> 00:38:42,440
Speaker 1: about a unit that got has multiple top fifteen picks.

710
00:38:43,000 --> 00:38:45,040
Speaker 1: They pay hulf A bunch of money. He's done nothing.

711
00:38:45,280 --> 00:38:48,640
Speaker 1: You know, Brandon Graham's just long in the tooth. They

712
00:38:48,680 --> 00:38:52,080
Speaker 1: are getting no pressure, I mean none. It's kind of

713
00:38:52,080 --> 00:38:55,560
Speaker 1: crazy because two years ago, I mean, they were like

714
00:38:55,640 --> 00:38:58,640
Speaker 1: leading the league in every statistical category right with their front.

715
00:38:58,760 --> 00:39:01,319
Speaker 1: It was dominant, didn't They have like four guys that

716
00:39:01,360 --> 00:39:05,359
Speaker 1: at double digit sacks with Hardgrave and Fletcher Cox and

717
00:39:05,880 --> 00:39:09,880
Speaker 1: Riddick was balling then. But this unit is a big problem.

718
00:39:09,960 --> 00:39:13,440
Speaker 1: And part of Fangio like he's this, ain't Jim Schwartz

719
00:39:13,520 --> 00:39:17,680
Speaker 1: or Floor is like, yeah, he's even Tamiko, who I

720
00:39:17,920 --> 00:39:20,600
Speaker 1: think you know historically is not a big blitz guy.

721
00:39:21,120 --> 00:39:23,279
Speaker 1: But like it was working, We'll just keep doing it

722
00:39:23,320 --> 00:39:25,920
Speaker 1: every single play against Caleb, Like Fangio just will not

723
00:39:26,040 --> 00:39:29,960
Speaker 1: do that. He's an old, stubborn sob uh. But is

724
00:39:30,000 --> 00:39:34,200
Speaker 1: there a little overreaction here, Like what would the look

725
00:39:34,239 --> 00:39:38,000
Speaker 1: aheadline been two weeks ago on this game? Would it

726
00:39:38,040 --> 00:39:39,840
Speaker 1: have been the Eagles as a dog, or would have

727
00:39:39,840 --> 00:39:41,520
Speaker 1: been closer to a pick him or the Eagles even

728
00:39:41,560 --> 00:39:44,600
Speaker 1: favored in this moment? Or are the Eagles just because

729
00:39:44,600 --> 00:39:47,600
Speaker 1: I thought Jalen had a pretty good night on Monday Night,

730
00:39:47,800 --> 00:39:51,000
Speaker 1: The Falcons aren't bad on defense. They're really physical, Judan

731
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:54,560
Speaker 1: adds a little pass rush element. Their secondary is pretty solid. Obviously,

732
00:39:54,640 --> 00:39:59,239
Speaker 1: Raheem's a good defensive coach. I do wonder if it's

733
00:39:59,239 --> 00:40:01,160
Speaker 1: just kind of human name. Sure, you start feeling yourself

734
00:40:01,200 --> 00:40:03,160
Speaker 1: a little bit. If you're the Saints, I mean you've

735
00:40:03,160 --> 00:40:06,319
Speaker 1: been just you can't start any better. I mean, I

736
00:40:06,320 --> 00:40:09,200
Speaker 1: think the stats on their drives they literally scored a

737
00:40:09,200 --> 00:40:11,520
Speaker 1: touchdown or field goal, like basically ninety nine percent of

738
00:40:11,520 --> 00:40:16,040
Speaker 1: their drives is crazy. So I I think I kind

739
00:40:16,040 --> 00:40:18,640
Speaker 1: of liked the Eagles in this moment, though reluctantly.

740
00:40:19,920 --> 00:40:23,680
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, I think it's on principle, I think

741
00:40:23,719 --> 00:40:27,680
Speaker 4: it's a bit of an overaction. I think before this weekend,

742
00:40:27,719 --> 00:40:30,200
Speaker 4: the look aad line was Eagles minus two and a half,

743
00:40:31,000 --> 00:40:37,040
Speaker 4: and then after this weekend it flipped by points. It's

744
00:40:37,040 --> 00:40:39,880
Speaker 4: good about to go to three Saints minus three the

745
00:40:39,960 --> 00:40:40,600
Speaker 4: last I checked.

746
00:40:40,640 --> 00:40:42,560
Speaker 1: That's that's a that's a big swing.

747
00:40:42,320 --> 00:40:44,360
Speaker 4: For not I don't think it would have sung the

748
00:40:44,440 --> 00:40:47,359
Speaker 4: much of the Eagles were sitting at two and oh

749
00:40:47,440 --> 00:40:50,080
Speaker 4: they just they did two toush pushes or Barkley caught

750
00:40:50,120 --> 00:40:53,959
Speaker 4: that ball. So it's a big overaction now having said

751
00:40:53,960 --> 00:40:56,719
Speaker 4: that the Saints could end up being right. We only

752
00:40:56,760 --> 00:40:59,360
Speaker 4: have two data points, so you don't want to overact

753
00:40:59,360 --> 00:41:03,160
Speaker 4: too much. But fast forward towards the end of the season,

754
00:41:03,239 --> 00:41:06,560
Speaker 4: say the Saints are as dominants they've looked, then this

755
00:41:06,600 --> 00:41:09,759
Speaker 4: would be cheaper, right, So it should be over a

756
00:41:09,800 --> 00:41:13,120
Speaker 4: field goal, you know, because we're still relying on some

757
00:41:13,200 --> 00:41:15,799
Speaker 4: priors and prior market ratings that we had coming into

758
00:41:15,800 --> 00:41:18,239
Speaker 4: the year. But the Saints will got a completely different team,

759
00:41:18,640 --> 00:41:23,160
Speaker 4: And you're right, the Eagles defense has major issues. The

760
00:41:23,239 --> 00:41:27,000
Speaker 4: Fangio defense relies on guys up front winning and they're

761
00:41:27,040 --> 00:41:29,920
Speaker 4: not doing that. Their linebackers aren't any good, and the

762
00:41:29,920 --> 00:41:33,520
Speaker 4: secondary all these new pieces there's it's a complex defense

763
00:41:34,239 --> 00:41:37,040
Speaker 4: and they're still not there. Usually, like Fanjia, the first year,

764
00:41:37,080 --> 00:41:39,000
Speaker 4: it's a struggle, or at least in the first half

765
00:41:39,040 --> 00:41:41,480
Speaker 4: of the year. Year two's really when you see defenders

766
00:41:41,480 --> 00:41:43,600
Speaker 4: start to grasp what he wants to do in the secondary,

767
00:41:43,719 --> 00:41:46,680
Speaker 4: and there's a lot of new guys there, so you're

768
00:41:46,680 --> 00:41:49,239
Speaker 4: seeing some coverage bus I mean, look no further than

769
00:41:49,239 --> 00:41:52,680
Speaker 4: that last drive where Cousins went right down the field

770
00:41:52,680 --> 00:41:53,480
Speaker 4: in what seemed like.

771
00:41:53,920 --> 00:41:56,279
Speaker 1: Well the safety was playing seventy five yards back. That's

772
00:41:56,320 --> 00:41:57,919
Speaker 1: a huge gap. What are you doing?

773
00:41:58,040 --> 00:41:58,320
Speaker 4: Yeah?

774
00:41:58,640 --> 00:42:02,360
Speaker 1: That was insane and Tyreek Hill's not on the field.

775
00:42:02,640 --> 00:42:04,600
Speaker 1: We don't have to be this conservative here.

776
00:42:04,800 --> 00:42:08,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, a mind blowing final two minutes from the entire

777
00:42:09,080 --> 00:42:09,600
Speaker 4: Do you.

778
00:42:09,600 --> 00:42:13,160
Speaker 1: Think on that really quick? You know, just moving forward

779
00:42:13,480 --> 00:42:17,160
Speaker 1: in situations where you know a team is down and

780
00:42:17,239 --> 00:42:19,239
Speaker 1: has to go the full field, So not necessarily a

781
00:42:19,280 --> 00:42:21,520
Speaker 1: field goal, but even if they have a field goal,

782
00:42:21,560 --> 00:42:24,320
Speaker 1: to tire to win, to kick it out of bounds

783
00:42:24,680 --> 00:42:26,680
Speaker 1: forever our entire life. You kick it out of bounds,

784
00:42:26,680 --> 00:42:29,120
Speaker 1: you get the ball out to twenty. So if there's

785
00:42:29,480 --> 00:42:31,200
Speaker 1: a minute thirty or left and they have no timeouts,

786
00:42:31,280 --> 00:42:32,680
Speaker 1: you're gonna have to hit a couple of plays to

787
00:42:32,840 --> 00:42:36,440
Speaker 1: get a close to midfield more than likely. Now, you

788
00:42:36,560 --> 00:42:38,120
Speaker 1: kick it out of bounds, you get the ball at

789
00:42:38,120 --> 00:42:40,520
Speaker 1: the thirty, they get a ten yard game boom, you're

790
00:42:40,560 --> 00:42:44,000
Speaker 1: at the forty. I mean pretty quick. That's I wonder,

791
00:42:44,080 --> 00:42:46,200
Speaker 1: and I know there's a risk if you kick it

792
00:42:46,200 --> 00:42:48,120
Speaker 1: in that little area if he kicks it out, but

793
00:42:48,120 --> 00:42:49,680
Speaker 1: what if you make the tackle Like the twenty two

794
00:42:49,760 --> 00:42:53,400
Speaker 1: yard line, that's a big seven eight yard gap. It

795
00:42:53,400 --> 00:42:55,719
Speaker 1: wouldn't have mattered in that situation because they got down

796
00:42:55,719 --> 00:42:59,040
Speaker 1: the field in like fifteen seconds. But I wonder big picture,

797
00:42:59,080 --> 00:43:02,680
Speaker 1: after people watch it, you're like, they're a fifteen yard

798
00:43:02,719 --> 00:43:04,120
Speaker 1: gain away from being at midfield.

799
00:43:05,400 --> 00:43:07,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, it's gonna, it's gonna. I think that's gonna increase.

800
00:43:08,000 --> 00:43:10,560
Speaker 4: I think that there should be an increased focus on

801
00:43:11,560 --> 00:43:15,080
Speaker 4: different strategy there. But the inability to now swib it,

802
00:43:16,480 --> 00:43:18,160
Speaker 4: which you know, like the Bills should have done against

803
00:43:18,160 --> 00:43:20,600
Speaker 4: the Chiefs, but the inability to swip it late I

804
00:43:20,600 --> 00:43:26,319
Speaker 4: think is going to lead to more late comebacks. So yeah,

805
00:43:26,360 --> 00:43:28,200
Speaker 4: I think that you have to look at different strategies

806
00:43:28,200 --> 00:43:30,880
Speaker 4: there because yeah, you're right, it's like one quick completion,

807
00:43:30,960 --> 00:43:34,080
Speaker 4: you're at midfield, and then with the way kickers kick

808
00:43:34,360 --> 00:43:36,640
Speaker 4: now for thirty five or thirty nine on the season

809
00:43:36,680 --> 00:43:39,600
Speaker 4: above fifty, I don't know if it's like an MLB

810
00:43:40,200 --> 00:43:43,680
Speaker 4: conspiracy theory juice balls. We have juice balls. Guys are

811
00:43:43,680 --> 00:43:47,200
Speaker 4: making them from sixty with ease. So now you got

812
00:43:47,200 --> 00:43:49,560
Speaker 4: to get to the forty to make a fuel goal

813
00:43:49,600 --> 00:43:50,400
Speaker 4: if you're down three.

814
00:43:51,360 --> 00:43:52,640
Speaker 1: So if I kick it, if I kick it out

815
00:43:52,680 --> 00:43:54,799
Speaker 1: of bounds, they start at the thirty, they only have

816
00:43:54,880 --> 00:43:55,840
Speaker 1: to go thirty yards.

817
00:43:55,920 --> 00:43:59,600
Speaker 4: Yep, right, Yeah, it's your one seam rap completion. It's

818
00:43:59,600 --> 00:44:00,000
Speaker 4: pretty cool.

819
00:44:00,280 --> 00:44:02,200
Speaker 1: I could get in field goal range if I have

820
00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,520
Speaker 1: I don't know, twenty three seconds left on the clock,

821
00:44:05,680 --> 00:44:08,279
Speaker 1: hit a couple of plays. Yep, it's conceivable.

822
00:44:08,400 --> 00:44:13,080
Speaker 4: Yeah. So I think you'll see more comebacks more game time,

823
00:44:13,120 --> 00:44:16,040
Speaker 4: which is cool. Late so I think that you have

824
00:44:16,120 --> 00:44:18,520
Speaker 4: to as a when you're kicking off, you have to

825
00:44:18,520 --> 00:44:22,479
Speaker 4: look at different strategies and practice those to try and

826
00:44:22,880 --> 00:44:26,160
Speaker 4: prevent that good starting field position. But this you know

827
00:44:26,239 --> 00:44:28,120
Speaker 4: that the Eagles. So there's a couple of things that

828
00:44:28,960 --> 00:44:33,680
Speaker 4: you know. Like so my by low Sell high philosophy

829
00:44:33,680 --> 00:44:36,759
Speaker 4: in the NFL that is, that's kind of my overarching

830
00:44:37,160 --> 00:44:40,799
Speaker 4: philosophy always has been. Once to bet the Eagles here

831
00:44:40,800 --> 00:44:44,120
Speaker 4: at three, I would consider it, but you know I

832
00:44:44,160 --> 00:44:47,400
Speaker 4: don't do that blindly. And the Saints offense looks like

833
00:44:47,400 --> 00:44:51,000
Speaker 4: a completely different unit. Mentioneda. Penning's even playing well right tackle,

834
00:44:51,080 --> 00:44:54,640
Speaker 4: Lucas Patrick to he's somehow playing well at guard.

835
00:44:55,760 --> 00:44:59,160
Speaker 1: I think Kamara looks like an MVP candidate right now.

836
00:44:59,239 --> 00:45:02,800
Speaker 4: Yeah, Eric mc always the highest graded center, Ruiz is

837
00:45:02,800 --> 00:45:04,719
Speaker 4: playing well. The OFFENSIVENEO and it all comes out of

838
00:45:04,760 --> 00:45:07,640
Speaker 4: the scheme and it's Kubiak, and they didn't do any

839
00:45:07,680 --> 00:45:11,880
Speaker 4: They didn't use any play action under the offensive coordinator

840
00:45:11,920 --> 00:45:13,680
Speaker 4: last year was a car I could forget his name.

841
00:45:14,040 --> 00:45:18,200
Speaker 4: They didn't use any any play action, they use any motion.

842
00:45:18,520 --> 00:45:20,480
Speaker 4: This year their top of the league in both cars,

843
00:45:20,520 --> 00:45:23,319
Speaker 4: throwing it over fifty percent of the time with play action.

844
00:45:24,239 --> 00:45:27,040
Speaker 4: And what is that doing. I mean it's it's Kamara

845
00:45:27,239 --> 00:45:29,799
Speaker 4: looks great and then it's just easy throws and the

846
00:45:29,840 --> 00:45:34,120
Speaker 4: defenses off bounced. Here's Kamara this year three point three

847
00:45:34,239 --> 00:45:39,760
Speaker 4: five yards before contact seventy three percent success rate. Last

848
00:45:39,800 --> 00:45:45,040
Speaker 4: year one point eight yards before contact forty seven percent

849
00:45:45,080 --> 00:45:48,720
Speaker 4: success rate. I mean those are just how about allowing

850
00:45:48,760 --> 00:45:51,440
Speaker 4: pressure within two and a half seconds. They were one

851
00:45:51,440 --> 00:45:53,520
Speaker 4: of the worst last year, number one in the league

852
00:45:54,120 --> 00:45:57,840
Speaker 4: at four percent of the time. Number three in the

853
00:45:57,920 --> 00:46:01,000
Speaker 4: league is sixteen percent on the four times as high

854
00:46:01,040 --> 00:46:04,799
Speaker 4: as that, and they're at four percent allowing pressure within

855
00:46:04,840 --> 00:46:06,840
Speaker 4: two and hal seconds. So it's all the motion but

856
00:46:06,960 --> 00:46:09,920
Speaker 4: play action, and then the offensive line obviously, you know

857
00:46:09,960 --> 00:46:13,120
Speaker 4: it looks like you hit on left tackle. Is they're

858
00:46:13,160 --> 00:46:16,480
Speaker 4: all playing well, Ken It's sustainable, not this level, but

859
00:46:16,520 --> 00:46:20,880
Speaker 4: they they could be significantly better. We knew the defense

860
00:46:20,960 --> 00:46:24,080
Speaker 4: is going to be pretty good, and the Eagles offense

861
00:46:24,239 --> 00:46:27,759
Speaker 4: just it is much easier to defend when there's no

862
00:46:27,840 --> 00:46:31,480
Speaker 4: A J. Brown. It's you know, you have to worry

863
00:46:31,520 --> 00:46:35,440
Speaker 4: about Davante and then but you know, if you have

864
00:46:35,560 --> 00:46:38,840
Speaker 4: Davante on one end, you have A J. Brown on

865
00:46:38,880 --> 00:46:42,479
Speaker 4: the other side, and Barkley with the threat of hurts

866
00:46:42,480 --> 00:46:46,040
Speaker 4: his legs, that's very difficult to defend. Now if you're

867
00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:49,200
Speaker 4: just worried about DeVante on the outside, I mean, how

868
00:46:49,200 --> 00:46:52,360
Speaker 4: many they were? They threw like Britain Covey like seven

869
00:46:52,400 --> 00:46:53,279
Speaker 4: times last week?

870
00:46:53,960 --> 00:46:56,040
Speaker 1: What was that? I don't like it was Kellen Moore

871
00:46:56,040 --> 00:46:58,319
Speaker 1: thinking he was at Boise Stay. I like Kellen Moore,

872
00:46:58,920 --> 00:47:02,759
Speaker 1: but I listen britt Covey cool story. Didn't think he'd

873
00:47:02,760 --> 00:47:05,640
Speaker 1: be in the league this long. But I what are

874
00:47:05,680 --> 00:47:09,760
Speaker 1: we doing? Like throw gain? Well, I would do anything

875
00:47:09,760 --> 00:47:13,360
Speaker 1: else besides, like that is not gonna work, especially against

876
00:47:13,360 --> 00:47:15,240
Speaker 1: a physical defense. He ain't get a break a tackle,

877
00:47:15,560 --> 00:47:17,439
Speaker 1: He's not faster than anybody. What are we doing?

878
00:47:17,640 --> 00:47:21,080
Speaker 4: Yeah? So yeah, I uh, that's.

879
00:47:20,880 --> 00:47:23,000
Speaker 1: What coaches love guys like that. Bro. When I was

880
00:47:23,000 --> 00:47:24,839
Speaker 1: in the league, it was Chad Hall. I mean, they

881
00:47:24,920 --> 00:47:28,919
Speaker 1: just they just like they see them air force guy.

882
00:47:28,920 --> 00:47:31,360
Speaker 1: I think he's coaching now for somebody who was with

883
00:47:31,400 --> 00:47:33,600
Speaker 1: the Bills for a while. They see themselves in that guy.

884
00:47:33,960 --> 00:47:36,080
Speaker 1: You know, something like if I, if I would have

885
00:47:36,080 --> 00:47:37,799
Speaker 1: had a little more time, I could have been this.

886
00:47:38,160 --> 00:47:41,239
Speaker 1: You know, ke Kellen had a brother, Kirby, who was

887
00:47:41,280 --> 00:47:43,279
Speaker 1: basically Britain Covey. You know.

888
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:46,560
Speaker 4: Yeah, that makes sense. So that's what I would be

889
00:47:46,600 --> 00:47:48,680
Speaker 4: concerned about. But A three would be it be interesting

890
00:47:48,680 --> 00:47:51,680
Speaker 4: Like the Eagles. You know that they'll probably have like

891
00:47:51,719 --> 00:47:55,720
Speaker 4: a patent in seven to eight minute drive at some point.

892
00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:58,120
Speaker 1: Uh, just what looks good?

893
00:47:58,320 --> 00:48:02,960
Speaker 4: Yeah, looks really good. Offensive line is good, so they

894
00:48:02,960 --> 00:48:07,279
Speaker 4: should be able to run it some here. But you know,

895
00:48:07,360 --> 00:48:09,799
Speaker 4: not a game I'm running to bat a ton on

896
00:48:09,880 --> 00:48:13,680
Speaker 4: because I just the Eagles definitely have flaws on defense,

897
00:48:13,800 --> 00:48:16,359
Speaker 4: No A J. Brown. They're also it's a short week

898
00:48:16,400 --> 00:48:18,960
Speaker 4: going on the road of the New Orleans. Places will

899
00:48:19,000 --> 00:48:24,280
Speaker 4: be jumping. Now there you start, and the Saints offense

900
00:48:24,400 --> 00:48:27,359
Speaker 4: looks and the numbers back it up. Now, it's only

901
00:48:27,360 --> 00:48:29,839
Speaker 4: two games. One of them was against the Panthers, but

902
00:48:29,880 --> 00:48:31,800
Speaker 4: the game against the Cowboys to go in there and

903
00:48:31,840 --> 00:48:33,919
Speaker 4: dominant like that in the offensive line, that looked really good.

904
00:48:34,560 --> 00:48:36,960
Speaker 4: It says a lot, so another good data point here

905
00:48:37,000 --> 00:48:41,280
Speaker 4: for the Saints and I but I like the Falcons

906
00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:42,880
Speaker 4: last week. I like them again this week for what

907
00:48:42,880 --> 00:48:45,640
Speaker 4: it's forth. You mentioned their defense. Anything over a field

908
00:48:45,640 --> 00:48:48,840
Speaker 4: goal against the Chiefs. The Chiefs just that's over a

909
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:52,120
Speaker 4: field goal favorite. They're not. They're not good. If they're

910
00:48:52,120 --> 00:48:54,000
Speaker 4: a field goal favorite or under an underdog, you always

911
00:48:54,000 --> 00:48:55,960
Speaker 4: take them homes over a field goal favorite. They're not.

912
00:48:57,239 --> 00:48:59,000
Speaker 4: They just play with their food like they'll probably be

913
00:48:59,040 --> 00:49:00,839
Speaker 4: down in this game. Find a way to win by

914
00:49:00,840 --> 00:49:03,360
Speaker 4: a field goal. They could easily be oh To on

915
00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:06,720
Speaker 4: the air. They have issues on offense, not explosive issues

916
00:49:06,719 --> 00:49:10,560
Speaker 4: at tackle. You know he's not ready. No Pa Checko,

917
00:49:11,120 --> 00:49:13,640
Speaker 4: no Hollywood Brown. It's basically just like one receiver. It's

918
00:49:13,680 --> 00:49:16,400
Speaker 4: the kind of the same game plan for the Falcons

919
00:49:16,440 --> 00:49:20,360
Speaker 4: this week what they have to defend. And on the

920
00:49:20,400 --> 00:49:23,600
Speaker 4: other side, the Chiefs defense still can't defend the run.

921
00:49:23,960 --> 00:49:27,000
Speaker 4: They are dead last and rushed success rate fifty eight

922
00:49:27,040 --> 00:49:29,520
Speaker 4: percent success rate. I think the next versus the Rams

923
00:49:29,640 --> 00:49:31,560
Speaker 4: like fifty five, the only other the only two teams

924
00:49:31,560 --> 00:49:35,080
Speaker 4: that are ever fifty. What are the Falcons gonna do?

925
00:49:35,160 --> 00:49:37,800
Speaker 4: They're gonna lean on Bijon. They're going to lean on Algier.

926
00:49:38,080 --> 00:49:41,200
Speaker 4: That's going to set up the play action easy throws.

927
00:49:41,640 --> 00:49:44,000
Speaker 4: Chiefs struggle to defend the run, struggle against play action.

928
00:49:44,280 --> 00:49:46,480
Speaker 4: Cousins look better as that game went on. I think

929
00:49:46,520 --> 00:49:49,680
Speaker 4: he's finally like shaking off the rust, felt more comfortable

930
00:49:49,920 --> 00:49:53,279
Speaker 4: post injury. They have a really good offensive line, so

931
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:56,520
Speaker 4: I think anything over a field goal there is good

932
00:49:56,520 --> 00:49:59,240
Speaker 4: on the Falcons. On on Sunday.

933
00:49:58,920 --> 00:50:03,799
Speaker 1: Night, people love shitting on the NFC South, But I

934
00:50:03,840 --> 00:50:06,319
Speaker 1: do think those three teams are pretty solid. You know,

935
00:50:06,680 --> 00:50:11,160
Speaker 1: the Falcons, I I didn't want, like, you know, the

936
00:50:11,200 --> 00:50:13,239
Speaker 1: way the Belichick stuff and they act like he was

937
00:50:13,280 --> 00:50:17,040
Speaker 1: the village idiot and the Cousins Pennix thing. But they

938
00:50:17,080 --> 00:50:20,319
Speaker 1: do have a lot of good players, and like even

939
00:50:20,320 --> 00:50:23,040
Speaker 1: if they had started owing too, like, they're pretty solid.

940
00:50:23,120 --> 00:50:26,040
Speaker 1: If Cousins can just kind of right the ship. The

941
00:50:26,160 --> 00:50:29,560
Speaker 1: problem for him he looks weird in the Atlanta uniform.

942
00:50:29,600 --> 00:50:32,320
Speaker 1: Do you hear with that? Yes, it looks. It looks weird.

943
00:50:32,760 --> 00:50:34,759
Speaker 1: So when he was playing shitty, You're like, this is

944
00:50:34,840 --> 00:50:37,120
Speaker 1: just not gonna work. The final drive, I mean, that

945
00:50:37,200 --> 00:50:39,680
Speaker 1: has to be a big moment for the season. He's

946
00:50:39,760 --> 00:50:41,879
Speaker 1: never been able to move, but he really can't move.

947
00:50:42,400 --> 00:50:44,920
Speaker 1: So to me, if you can pressure him, it's like golf,

948
00:50:45,280 --> 00:50:48,560
Speaker 1: they're just sitting ducks. Now when seven on seven it

949
00:50:48,600 --> 00:50:50,800
Speaker 1: turned in on that final drive, he can look like

950
00:50:50,840 --> 00:50:54,120
Speaker 1: Joe Montana, like he just he's gonna hit up guys

951
00:50:54,120 --> 00:50:54,520
Speaker 1: with ease.

952
00:50:54,640 --> 00:50:58,280
Speaker 4: So Bags is gonna pressure. Bags is gonna bring blaze

953
00:50:58,400 --> 00:50:59,160
Speaker 4: breaking pressure.

954
00:50:59,480 --> 00:51:02,160
Speaker 1: But they can't get down. They're not gonna play well

955
00:51:02,160 --> 00:51:05,760
Speaker 1: from down. Yeahright, if you know they're dropping back to pass,

956
00:51:05,880 --> 00:51:07,399
Speaker 1: you know, if they're down ten points in the second

957
00:51:07,440 --> 00:51:09,440
Speaker 1: half against good pass rushers, he'd be in trouble.

958
00:51:09,560 --> 00:51:11,319
Speaker 4: Yeah, But I do think the Thoughts can lean on

959
00:51:11,320 --> 00:51:13,799
Speaker 4: their run here like and just run wild and then

960
00:51:14,080 --> 00:51:16,880
Speaker 4: set up third and manageables play action because yeah, if

961
00:51:16,880 --> 00:51:21,160
Speaker 4: they're down and Cousins is in known passing situations, it's

962
00:51:21,200 --> 00:51:23,880
Speaker 4: they have a really good offensive line. But Spags can

963
00:51:23,960 --> 00:51:27,120
Speaker 4: draw up exotic pressures as well as anyone, So that's

964
00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:30,560
Speaker 4: when it could be problematic. So yes, it's it's imperative

965
00:51:30,560 --> 00:51:32,880
Speaker 4: that they get off to a fast start here on

966
00:51:32,960 --> 00:51:33,520
Speaker 4: Sunday night.

967
00:51:34,400 --> 00:51:37,959
Speaker 1: You deserve your flowers on the the Packers Indie game,

968
00:51:38,160 --> 00:51:41,759
Speaker 1: which I was way wrong because that was that was

969
00:51:41,800 --> 00:51:47,279
Speaker 1: the Laflor Picasso slash a Gus Bradley man things are

970
00:51:48,080 --> 00:51:50,839
Speaker 1: I know he's down some players, but what an embarrassment?

971
00:51:52,160 --> 00:51:56,120
Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean they didn't make an adjustment. It's insane

972
00:51:56,160 --> 00:51:58,640
Speaker 4: to me that the Packers ran for two hundred and

973
00:51:58,640 --> 00:52:02,080
Speaker 4: thirty seven yards in the first half on thirty four carries.

974
00:52:02,080 --> 00:52:07,279
Speaker 4: That's seven yards per carry. And were the Colts and

975
00:52:07,320 --> 00:52:10,160
Speaker 4: the Colts didn't adjust, they were sitting back in their zones.

976
00:52:10,200 --> 00:52:13,320
Speaker 4: They didn't bring their safety down an extra defensive linemen.

977
00:52:13,760 --> 00:52:16,480
Speaker 4: Were they not expecting the Packers to do this? Were

978
00:52:16,480 --> 00:52:18,200
Speaker 4: they expecting the Packers to try and come out and

979
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:21,000
Speaker 4: throw it all over the field with Willis two hundred

980
00:52:21,000 --> 00:52:22,879
Speaker 4: thirty seven yards in the first tats the third most

981
00:52:22,880 --> 00:52:25,399
Speaker 4: of any team in the first half since two thousand

982
00:52:25,640 --> 00:52:27,520
Speaker 4: in the second half. I don't know why it took

983
00:52:27,520 --> 00:52:30,960
Speaker 4: till halftime and why this wasn't the plan before the

984
00:52:30,960 --> 00:52:33,600
Speaker 4: game they final even without after losing to Fares Buckner,

985
00:52:33,880 --> 00:52:38,120
Speaker 4: they brought extra defensive linemen in safety down and the

986
00:52:38,160 --> 00:52:40,920
Speaker 4: Packers ran for twenty four yards on nineteen carries in

987
00:52:41,000 --> 00:52:45,719
Speaker 4: the second half. Just mind blowing the defensive game plan.

988
00:52:46,560 --> 00:52:50,960
Speaker 4: So yeah, the Richardson was just too inaccurate. Packers had

989
00:52:50,960 --> 00:52:54,040
Speaker 4: a good game plan, everyone else stepped up some easy

990
00:52:54,040 --> 00:52:58,280
Speaker 4: throwers for Willis and they were able to get it done.

991
00:52:58,960 --> 00:53:01,399
Speaker 1: How it keeps you keep shorten the Colts because I've

992
00:53:01,400 --> 00:53:03,480
Speaker 1: looked at that Bears line and go that feels like

993
00:53:03,520 --> 00:53:06,799
Speaker 1: a little too easy rookie quarterback on the road. It's

994
00:53:06,800 --> 00:53:10,160
Speaker 1: still September, so that it's not like Indies three and

995
00:53:10,320 --> 00:53:12,480
Speaker 1: ten where the crowd like their crowd's going to be

996
00:53:12,560 --> 00:53:15,440
Speaker 1: into it. It's like, is that a spot where Indy

997
00:53:15,600 --> 00:53:17,280
Speaker 1: just kind of comes out and wins the game pretty

998
00:53:17,280 --> 00:53:20,080
Speaker 1: easily or is it one of those where things get weird.

999
00:53:20,400 --> 00:53:22,480
Speaker 4: That's a tough one because I mean, the Colts defense

1000
00:53:22,520 --> 00:53:25,000
Speaker 4: is bad and the Bears defense is pretty good. I mean,

1001
00:53:25,000 --> 00:53:27,120
Speaker 4: the Colts lost their top corner too, the far As

1002
00:53:27,160 --> 00:53:32,120
Speaker 4: Buckner's now out their best defensive lineman. They have other injuries,

1003
00:53:33,760 --> 00:53:38,920
Speaker 4: but the you know, the Bears defensive line. The Bears

1004
00:53:39,000 --> 00:53:41,600
Speaker 4: offensive line is a mass. Caleb's still not there. I

1005
00:53:41,680 --> 00:53:43,600
Speaker 4: think he really does need keenan Allen back, like just

1006
00:53:44,280 --> 00:53:47,040
Speaker 4: this is a reliable possession receiver. Will he go? I

1007
00:53:47,080 --> 00:53:50,120
Speaker 4: don't know. We old Gus Bradley blitz like he hasn't

1008
00:53:50,160 --> 00:53:52,640
Speaker 4: blitzing a little more times, like you gotta blitz this

1009
00:53:52,640 --> 00:53:56,000
Speaker 4: Bear team. You gotta bring pressure on the other side,

1010
00:53:57,000 --> 00:54:00,640
Speaker 4: but also the But the Bears camp run the ball

1011
00:54:00,719 --> 00:54:02,920
Speaker 4: this year. I mean the Bears averaging I think the

1012
00:54:02,960 --> 00:54:04,319
Speaker 4: Cults are giving up like five and a half yards

1013
00:54:04,320 --> 00:54:05,920
Speaker 4: per carry, but the Bear's running backs are averaging like

1014
00:54:05,920 --> 00:54:08,359
Speaker 4: two yards per carry because their offensive line is such

1015
00:54:08,360 --> 00:54:13,960
Speaker 4: a messs So movable object meets of resistible force. I

1016
00:54:13,760 --> 00:54:15,160
Speaker 4: don't I don't know what wins out there. On the

1017
00:54:15,239 --> 00:54:19,280
Speaker 4: other side, It's gonna come down to, like does Richardson

1018
00:54:19,360 --> 00:54:23,200
Speaker 4: hit a few deep balls? So there's a high variants.

1019
00:54:23,920 --> 00:54:25,920
Speaker 4: Colts and they do have a really good offensive line,

1020
00:54:26,000 --> 00:54:29,160
Speaker 4: so I think that, yeah, I would. I would lean

1021
00:54:29,239 --> 00:54:31,879
Speaker 4: Colts in the desperation. Like historically, if you bet these

1022
00:54:31,920 --> 00:54:38,799
Speaker 4: teams that are zero and two as home favorites, they

1023
00:54:38,800 --> 00:54:41,759
Speaker 4: do very well. My favorite bet of the weekend I

1024
00:54:42,160 --> 00:54:45,200
Speaker 4: was with Malik Willis last week. I'm against them this week.

1025
00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:48,839
Speaker 4: I'm going to the Titans again. Even though I've the

1026
00:54:48,880 --> 00:54:52,760
Speaker 4: most extreme PTSD you could ever imagine on the Titans.

1027
00:54:52,800 --> 00:54:55,520
Speaker 4: I bet them the first two weeks lost both games.

1028
00:54:55,600 --> 00:54:58,880
Speaker 4: They arguably won both games They lost both because of

1029
00:54:58,920 --> 00:55:01,560
Speaker 4: block punts in both games. What is this high school?

1030
00:55:01,560 --> 00:55:03,560
Speaker 4: They got a hunt block in the first two games,

1031
00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:07,800
Speaker 4: will levis the most. Speaking of high school high school

1032
00:55:07,920 --> 00:55:11,759
Speaker 4: s turnovers, you'll ever see one inside the ten where

1033
00:55:11,760 --> 00:55:15,080
Speaker 4: he just decides to pitch it backwards, and then the

1034
00:55:15,120 --> 00:55:18,799
Speaker 4: other when he tries to flip it by insane and

1035
00:55:18,960 --> 00:55:22,520
Speaker 4: to make matters. It's the same exact score, same exact score,

1036
00:55:22,800 --> 00:55:25,759
Speaker 4: and catching the same exact price of three and a half.

1037
00:55:25,760 --> 00:55:29,200
Speaker 4: Four lost twenty four to seventeen in both after leading

1038
00:55:29,239 --> 00:55:32,040
Speaker 4: and covering the whole game. But I did bet them again.

1039
00:55:32,280 --> 00:55:34,640
Speaker 4: Got out of short term memory in this gig. I

1040
00:55:34,680 --> 00:55:38,919
Speaker 4: bet them again for reference zero in two teams over

1041
00:55:38,960 --> 00:55:41,520
Speaker 4: the past ten years playing teams that aren't own to

1042
00:55:41,640 --> 00:55:44,640
Speaker 4: so at least have one win or sixty five percent

1043
00:55:44,719 --> 00:55:46,759
Speaker 4: against the spread in Week three, covering by about a

1044
00:55:46,760 --> 00:55:49,640
Speaker 4: field goal a game. A bunch of other trends that

1045
00:55:49,680 --> 00:55:53,520
Speaker 4: support this as well. Favorites in this spot about seventy

1046
00:55:53,560 --> 00:55:56,399
Speaker 4: two percent against the spread seventy five when they're at home.

1047
00:55:57,680 --> 00:56:01,440
Speaker 4: But I you know I backed Willis last week. I

1048
00:56:01,480 --> 00:56:03,480
Speaker 4: don't think Love's gonna play. Now. If Love plays, I

1049
00:56:03,480 --> 00:56:06,120
Speaker 4: still don't mind it, but you'll get a better line.

1050
00:56:06,920 --> 00:56:10,360
Speaker 4: But I like this anything under three. The Packers the

1051
00:56:10,480 --> 00:56:13,560
Speaker 4: historically they're conservative with injuries. They already stole a win

1052
00:56:14,640 --> 00:56:17,040
Speaker 4: without Love. You have the Vikings next week. You just

1053
00:56:17,120 --> 00:56:20,640
Speaker 4: gave Love a ton of money. I don't know why

1054
00:56:20,680 --> 00:56:23,640
Speaker 4: you would really rush him back here. So I don't

1055
00:56:23,640 --> 00:56:26,279
Speaker 4: think he's gonna play. If he does, he's definitely not

1056
00:56:26,280 --> 00:56:28,600
Speaker 4: gonna be at one hundred percent. But if Willis plays,

1057
00:56:28,600 --> 00:56:31,600
Speaker 4: which I think is going to be the case, Tennessee

1058
00:56:31,600 --> 00:56:34,160
Speaker 4: already saw what green Day was trying to do. They're

1059
00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:35,359
Speaker 4: not gonna be able to just line up and run.

1060
00:56:35,360 --> 00:56:38,040
Speaker 4: This Tennessee defense is worlds better than the Colts there.

1061
00:56:38,120 --> 00:56:41,239
Speaker 4: They have good corners, their front is really good with

1062
00:56:41,400 --> 00:56:44,520
Speaker 4: Sweat and Simmons, They're not gonna be able to I

1063
00:56:44,520 --> 00:56:46,319
Speaker 4: don't think the Pack's going able to move the ball

1064
00:56:46,400 --> 00:56:51,480
Speaker 4: at all. So and look, Tennessee knows Willis as well.

1065
00:56:51,520 --> 00:56:54,560
Speaker 4: He's was in their room and they cut him. So yeah,

1066
00:56:54,600 --> 00:56:57,800
Speaker 4: I think this is a good by low spot on

1067
00:56:57,840 --> 00:57:00,680
Speaker 4: the Titans, who easily could be two.

1068
00:57:00,760 --> 00:57:03,960
Speaker 1: And oh they've played well. Their defense has been awesome

1069
00:57:03,960 --> 00:57:04,640
Speaker 1: for the most part.

1070
00:57:04,760 --> 00:57:06,640
Speaker 4: Yeah, they've been their defense the profile as well, you

1071
00:57:06,680 --> 00:57:08,440
Speaker 4: got Sweat and Simmons in the interior. Talking about that

1072
00:57:08,520 --> 00:57:11,440
Speaker 4: interior pass rush. They added Ernest Jones and linebacker. It's

1073
00:57:11,440 --> 00:57:13,799
Speaker 4: a huge get. That was the position of need. Yet

1074
00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:17,040
Speaker 4: veteran safety's got as good of a cornerback group as

1075
00:57:17,040 --> 00:57:20,440
Speaker 4: you're gonna find in the NFL with Snead a Woozya,

1076
00:57:20,760 --> 00:57:24,000
Speaker 4: who have been number one corners in recent seasons. And

1077
00:57:24,000 --> 00:57:26,600
Speaker 4: then McCreary's really good in the slot, so their defense

1078
00:57:26,600 --> 00:57:28,080
Speaker 4: is really good. I don't know how the Packers moved

1079
00:57:28,120 --> 00:57:29,840
Speaker 4: the ball. I think Tennessee we had a lean on

1080
00:57:29,840 --> 00:57:32,680
Speaker 4: the run game a bit. Hopkins also like ramping back

1081
00:57:32,760 --> 00:57:35,240
Speaker 4: up to full production from his injury. I think he

1082
00:57:35,280 --> 00:57:38,840
Speaker 4: went from seventeen to thirty snaps last week. Ridley's actually

1083
00:57:38,840 --> 00:57:43,240
Speaker 4: looked pretty good. And that offense, Yes, just get a

1084
00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:48,560
Speaker 4: pun off and someone has to just drill into Leves's

1085
00:57:48,560 --> 00:57:50,680
Speaker 4: head that you don't throw the ball backwards or yeah,

1086
00:57:50,760 --> 00:57:54,480
Speaker 4: I mean, you just have to avoid that critical mistake.

1087
00:57:54,480 --> 00:57:56,880
Speaker 4: But they easily could be two and o on the season,

1088
00:57:56,920 --> 00:57:59,960
Speaker 4: and then things would be really interesting game of inches

1089
00:58:01,280 --> 00:58:04,480
Speaker 4: in the NFL. It's crazy how much your outlook can change.

1090
00:58:04,960 --> 00:58:07,640
Speaker 4: Now this game is clo closer to a must win,

1091
00:58:08,520 --> 00:58:11,120
Speaker 4: and especially in the division with the Texans, whereas you

1092
00:58:11,160 --> 00:58:12,800
Speaker 4: were two and l, this could have been a huge

1093
00:58:12,840 --> 00:58:14,600
Speaker 4: home game. By the way, the line probably would have

1094
00:58:14,640 --> 00:58:18,280
Speaker 4: been over three before any love news broke. So I

1095
00:58:18,320 --> 00:58:19,800
Speaker 4: think you're getting a little bit of value here with

1096
00:58:19,840 --> 00:58:22,600
Speaker 4: the Titans, and same thing with the We just thought

1097
00:58:22,640 --> 00:58:26,480
Speaker 4: of the Falcons getting that last drive monumental for the season.

1098
00:58:26,600 --> 00:58:30,320
Speaker 4: The Bucks and the Saints are two and L. Division

1099
00:58:30,600 --> 00:58:33,880
Speaker 4: looks significantly improved, and the Panthers now should have a

1100
00:58:33,920 --> 00:58:37,800
Speaker 4: pulse because they are going to Dalton and you fall

1101
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:38,760
Speaker 4: to zero and two.

1102
00:58:39,240 --> 00:58:40,480
Speaker 1: They would have been in trouble with the.

1103
00:58:40,520 --> 00:58:44,320
Speaker 4: Chiefs coming up and you know your two games already

1104
00:58:44,360 --> 00:58:46,600
Speaker 4: behind in division. That was a huge win for the

1105
00:58:46,600 --> 00:58:48,200
Speaker 4: Falcons to potentially save their season.

1106
00:58:49,120 --> 00:58:51,560
Speaker 1: It was massive. I know. Brian Callahan said after a

1107
00:58:51,560 --> 00:58:53,520
Speaker 1: week one, if we would have punted on every first down,

1108
00:58:53,520 --> 00:58:56,400
Speaker 1: we would have won. Well, not if your punts get blocked. Yeah,

1109
00:58:56,720 --> 00:59:01,640
Speaker 1: that's true, that's not the case. Okay, I'm with you

1110
00:59:02,040 --> 00:59:06,040
Speaker 1: on that. Tennessee. Having bet on them and watched them

1111
00:59:06,120 --> 00:59:10,400
Speaker 1: much closely, much closer than normal, I've been pretty impressed.

1112
00:59:10,400 --> 00:59:14,760
Speaker 1: I mean, will Levis any Titans backer or fan. I mean,

1113
00:59:14,960 --> 00:59:27,840
Speaker 1: he's it's crazy his mistakes before you get out of here.

1114
00:59:27,880 --> 00:59:30,800
Speaker 1: Some college stuff. We got some big games on paper,

1115
00:59:31,360 --> 00:59:34,200
Speaker 1: you know, USC Michigan's crazy to think that. Like there's

1116
00:59:34,280 --> 00:59:38,440
Speaker 1: a conference game Utah on the road against Oklahoma State,

1117
00:59:39,160 --> 00:59:43,040
Speaker 1: I mean, big, big, big, big twelve playoff implication matchup,

1118
00:59:43,680 --> 00:59:48,680
Speaker 1: and then like USC Oklahoma making their debut in the SEC,

1119
00:59:49,840 --> 00:59:54,000
Speaker 1: but at home against Tennessee who I guess you know,

1120
00:59:54,560 --> 00:59:57,880
Speaker 1: could be I don't know, national champion contender, but definitely

1121
00:59:57,920 --> 01:00:00,440
Speaker 1: a playoff contender. And who knows, maybe they are a

1122
01:00:00,520 --> 01:00:03,120
Speaker 1: national championship contender. When when I say those three games,

1123
01:00:03,120 --> 01:00:06,160
Speaker 1: which one are you most fired up to bet? Because Utah,

1124
01:00:06,640 --> 01:00:08,280
Speaker 1: we were talking before we hopped on, has had some

1125
01:00:08,400 --> 01:00:10,840
Speaker 1: line movement, a lot of question mark with their quarterback,

1126
01:00:10,840 --> 01:00:14,200
Speaker 1: who got slammed in to a bench earlier this season.

1127
01:00:14,560 --> 01:00:18,040
Speaker 1: When he plays, they're really freaking good. When he doesn't,

1128
01:00:18,080 --> 01:00:19,840
Speaker 1: they look like a Mountain West team.

1129
01:00:20,640 --> 01:00:22,840
Speaker 4: Yeah, I know that game. I have no idea on

1130
01:00:23,000 --> 01:00:26,960
Speaker 4: Camerazing injury to tales, oldest time, the injury uncertainty. Who

1131
01:00:27,000 --> 01:00:30,000
Speaker 4: knows if he's gonna start or not. Whittingham's always very

1132
01:00:30,040 --> 01:00:33,120
Speaker 4: secretive about those things. The line movement is very bizarre.

1133
01:00:33,560 --> 01:00:35,880
Speaker 4: Utah's going to sell out to stop Oli Gordon, which

1134
01:00:35,880 --> 01:00:37,320
Speaker 4: other teams have done. He's not gotten off to a

1135
01:00:37,320 --> 01:00:39,080
Speaker 4: good start. They're gonna play man on the outside. It's

1136
01:00:39,080 --> 01:00:42,520
Speaker 4: gonna come down to Alan Bowman hitting those deep shots

1137
01:00:43,920 --> 01:00:47,200
Speaker 4: and then Rising obviously needs to be healthy for Utah's offense,

1138
01:00:47,560 --> 01:00:49,120
Speaker 4: and if he is, the still golo on the State

1139
01:00:49,120 --> 01:00:51,520
Speaker 4: defense is very vulnerable. But with all the uncertainty, I

1140
01:00:51,560 --> 01:00:54,040
Speaker 4: have no idea. By the way, both quarterbacks total age

1141
01:00:54,080 --> 01:00:57,400
Speaker 4: forty nine in this game, two seventh years. The guys

1142
01:00:57,400 --> 01:01:01,440
Speaker 4: who have been around forever Michigan, you know, the USC

1143
01:01:01,520 --> 01:01:04,640
Speaker 4: defense I think is legit. Their staff is good. They

1144
01:01:04,760 --> 01:01:09,400
Speaker 4: upgraded on the back end. It's no more Alex Grinch.

1145
01:01:09,760 --> 01:01:11,680
Speaker 4: They got a great coordinator and just a great staff

1146
01:01:11,720 --> 01:01:14,400
Speaker 4: across the board. It's shocking to say with USC, but

1147
01:01:14,480 --> 01:01:18,640
Speaker 4: their defense is legit. Michigan's going to Alex Orgie. You

1148
01:01:18,720 --> 01:01:20,760
Speaker 4: gotta keep it on. If Colston Lovelin plays, I don't

1149
01:01:20,760 --> 01:01:22,840
Speaker 4: think he's gonna play, and he's their like only pass

1150
01:01:22,880 --> 01:01:26,080
Speaker 4: catching option at tight end. But they're gonna play Orgy

1151
01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:28,560
Speaker 4: Now who can't throw the ball. So I assume they're

1152
01:01:28,600 --> 01:01:31,200
Speaker 4: gonna go just like they're gonna look like a triple

1153
01:01:31,240 --> 01:01:36,520
Speaker 4: option team and run RPOs and their defense has to

1154
01:01:36,520 --> 01:01:38,880
Speaker 4: get stops because their offense is not gonna be able

1155
01:01:38,920 --> 01:01:42,720
Speaker 4: to catch up. And wink Martindale the DC, I'm not,

1156
01:01:43,200 --> 01:01:46,040
Speaker 4: he's just is he gonna blitz the entire time again?

1157
01:01:46,040 --> 01:01:48,040
Speaker 4: If so, the USC is off a bye, they'll be

1158
01:01:48,080 --> 01:01:51,440
Speaker 4: ready for that. So yeah, I don't. I don't like

1159
01:01:51,480 --> 01:01:55,680
Speaker 4: this Michigan team that running the bet lay five five

1160
01:01:55,720 --> 01:01:58,520
Speaker 4: and a half. No, not really, but lean to the

1161
01:01:58,600 --> 01:02:03,040
Speaker 4: under and lean USC the other game. I actually, look,

1162
01:02:03,280 --> 01:02:06,320
Speaker 4: college football is much like the first month of the season.

1163
01:02:06,360 --> 01:02:08,280
Speaker 4: It's as hard as it's ever been for me personally,

1164
01:02:08,320 --> 01:02:12,320
Speaker 4: at least because these teams have such drastic turnover. And

1165
01:02:12,960 --> 01:02:15,280
Speaker 4: it's not like before where a couple of guys here

1166
01:02:15,280 --> 01:02:19,080
Speaker 4: I can adjust my power rating based on the results.

1167
01:02:19,080 --> 01:02:22,640
Speaker 4: But and these teams they turnover so much. I mean,

1168
01:02:22,680 --> 01:02:25,840
Speaker 4: look at Michigan, Michigan national title team to the team

1169
01:02:25,880 --> 01:02:29,440
Speaker 4: that looks incompetent, and then you know that you have

1170
01:02:29,480 --> 01:02:31,400
Speaker 4: a couple of data points, some of them against FCS teams,

1171
01:02:31,440 --> 01:02:33,760
Speaker 4: and it's like, who really is this team? So it's

1172
01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:35,600
Speaker 4: really tough to get a handle on some of these teams.

1173
01:02:35,600 --> 01:02:39,240
Speaker 4: Oklahoma and Tennessee looks great. They look like they could

1174
01:02:39,320 --> 01:02:42,800
Speaker 4: be a national title contender. But you know, they played

1175
01:02:42,920 --> 01:02:45,880
Speaker 4: Kent State, who lost the home to Saint Francis. The

1176
01:02:45,880 --> 01:02:48,720
Speaker 4: week before, they played Chattanooga and they played the NC

1177
01:02:48,840 --> 01:02:52,640
Speaker 4: State team in Charlotte. That looked impressive, but NC State

1178
01:02:52,920 --> 01:02:55,400
Speaker 4: almost lost the Western Carolina. You say, okay, this is

1179
01:02:55,440 --> 01:02:57,840
Speaker 4: the first week. Last week they were they almost lost

1180
01:02:57,840 --> 01:03:00,720
Speaker 4: the Louisiana Tech at home. They're quarterback got her in

1181
01:03:00,760 --> 01:03:02,760
Speaker 4: their backup at to come in and lead a comeback.

1182
01:03:02,840 --> 01:03:06,800
Speaker 4: A Louisiana Tech is bad, bad, bad team, So maybe

1183
01:03:06,800 --> 01:03:08,560
Speaker 4: that win wasn't as impressive. This will be a really

1184
01:03:08,600 --> 01:03:12,360
Speaker 4: good data point. Oklahoma hasn't looked great, but they've had

1185
01:03:12,400 --> 01:03:15,600
Speaker 4: a ton of injuries, so I think they should be

1186
01:03:15,640 --> 01:03:17,480
Speaker 4: getting a couple of receivers back. They basically just had

1187
01:03:17,520 --> 01:03:19,960
Speaker 4: Dean Berks and nobody else. Their offensive line, they had

1188
01:03:19,960 --> 01:03:22,360
Speaker 4: to replace all five starters. They've been down to their

1189
01:03:22,400 --> 01:03:26,320
Speaker 4: fourth string center, rotating guards. They haven't had their right

1190
01:03:26,360 --> 01:03:30,920
Speaker 4: starting right tackle since the opening week. They got one

1191
01:03:30,960 --> 01:03:33,120
Speaker 4: of the best centers in the portal and Hickman. I

1192
01:03:33,160 --> 01:03:35,720
Speaker 4: think he's going to be back this week. The right

1193
01:03:35,760 --> 01:03:39,000
Speaker 4: tackle might be back. Will enable guys to go more

1194
01:03:39,040 --> 01:03:41,880
Speaker 4: into their natural position. Like their offensive line has been

1195
01:03:41,880 --> 01:03:43,560
Speaker 4: such a mess. When you any team the country on

1196
01:03:43,600 --> 01:03:45,960
Speaker 4: your fourth string center, after you're replacing all five starters,

1197
01:03:46,000 --> 01:03:47,360
Speaker 4: it's going to be a mess. So they have been

1198
01:03:47,400 --> 01:03:48,400
Speaker 4: able to run the ball, they have been able to

1199
01:03:48,400 --> 01:03:50,280
Speaker 4: get enough protection, and then there are three of their

1200
01:03:50,280 --> 01:03:54,480
Speaker 4: starting receivers have been hurt. So the Oklahoma hasn't looked great,

1201
01:03:54,520 --> 01:03:57,240
Speaker 4: but there's a huge caveat there. Their defense is really good.

1202
01:03:57,240 --> 01:03:58,600
Speaker 4: They could get two of their guys at the cheat

1203
01:03:58,600 --> 01:04:00,280
Speaker 4: of position back. They could get their top corner back

1204
01:04:00,320 --> 01:04:03,080
Speaker 4: as well. So they haven't been healthy at all.

1205
01:04:03,680 --> 01:04:06,320
Speaker 1: I think the in the NFL this would be Obviously,

1206
01:04:06,520 --> 01:04:09,560
Speaker 1: college lines are bigger just naturally that I mean, is

1207
01:04:09,560 --> 01:04:11,160
Speaker 1: that fair to say they just feel they get a

1208
01:04:11,200 --> 01:04:14,120
Speaker 1: little more inflated. Yes, I mean, I like, Look, this

1209
01:04:14,160 --> 01:04:16,440
Speaker 1: would be an auto bet for Oklahoma at home as

1210
01:04:16,480 --> 01:04:17,360
Speaker 1: a seven point dog.

1211
01:04:17,560 --> 01:04:19,400
Speaker 4: Yeah, I took Oklahoma. I took Ocoma plus seven and

1212
01:04:19,400 --> 01:04:21,120
Speaker 4: a half. He should be able to find a seven

1213
01:04:21,120 --> 01:04:22,960
Speaker 4: and a half. Of the money is just pouring in

1214
01:04:23,000 --> 01:04:24,520
Speaker 4: on Tennessee. It'll be the most popular bet of the

1215
01:04:24,520 --> 01:04:28,160
Speaker 4: weekend for how they looked and how Oklahoma looked. It

1216
01:04:28,280 --> 01:04:29,920
Speaker 4: was a massive home field. He was talk about home

1217
01:04:29,920 --> 01:04:31,680
Speaker 4: field avanage. Home field avantage in this game is worth

1218
01:04:31,720 --> 01:04:35,400
Speaker 4: about four points. Oklahoma does a really good home field

1219
01:04:35,400 --> 01:04:38,840
Speaker 4: advantage already. But this is the first SEC game for

1220
01:04:39,040 --> 01:04:43,160
Speaker 4: Oklahoma at night against the top ten team and it's

1221
01:04:43,640 --> 01:04:47,080
Speaker 4: Nico I Malava, all right, I said his name, I'll

1222
01:04:47,160 --> 01:04:47,800
Speaker 4: just call him Nico.

1223
01:04:47,880 --> 01:04:48,520
Speaker 1: Yeah.

1224
01:04:48,600 --> 01:04:51,480
Speaker 4: Yeah, he's been fantastic. What is his first true road game?

1225
01:04:51,520 --> 01:04:54,760
Speaker 4: You know, he played NC State and in Charlotte, half crowd.

1226
01:04:54,840 --> 01:04:58,080
Speaker 4: This is a hostile environment. The Oklahoma defense is legit,

1227
01:04:58,120 --> 01:05:00,800
Speaker 4: and their front is legit, their rundy is legit. It's

1228
01:05:00,840 --> 01:05:03,040
Speaker 4: one of the best run defenses in the country. That's

1229
01:05:03,040 --> 01:05:06,760
Speaker 4: everywhere everything comes from. For Tennessee with Samson, it starts

1230
01:05:06,760 --> 01:05:09,439
Speaker 4: with the run game, their offense, and then everything flows there.

1231
01:05:09,440 --> 01:05:12,920
Speaker 4: So I think Oklahoma will be okay there. You know,

1232
01:05:13,000 --> 01:05:16,560
Speaker 4: Doesneico make a few key mistakes and I like Oklahoma.

1233
01:05:16,600 --> 01:05:19,200
Speaker 4: I mean, I can't get to this number even after

1234
01:05:19,240 --> 01:05:22,720
Speaker 4: adjusting Tennessee. Now, maybe look maybe Tennessee like the Saints,

1235
01:05:22,720 --> 01:05:24,560
Speaker 4: it's just now a juggernaut that I can't adjust it.

1236
01:05:24,600 --> 01:05:26,800
Speaker 4: Then I'll look foolish year, but I can't get to

1237
01:05:27,600 --> 01:05:29,680
Speaker 4: Oklahoma catching seven at the last time they were an

1238
01:05:30,000 --> 01:05:34,040
Speaker 4: underdog at home of more than a field goal was

1239
01:05:34,120 --> 01:05:39,400
Speaker 4: back in two thousand when they upset Nebraska Number one Nebraska.

1240
01:05:39,400 --> 01:05:41,560
Speaker 4: I think Oklahoma scored thirty one straight in that game.

1241
01:05:42,040 --> 01:05:46,120
Speaker 4: They all threw oranges onto the field after the game,

1242
01:05:47,160 --> 01:05:50,240
Speaker 4: rushed the field, stole the goalposters, pepper spray. I think

1243
01:05:50,240 --> 01:05:54,600
Speaker 4: Stoops even got sprayed during the postgame interview. In that game,

1244
01:05:54,680 --> 01:05:58,000
Speaker 4: Josh Heipel was the Tennessee coach. He was the quarterback

1245
01:05:58,040 --> 01:06:01,400
Speaker 4: of Oklahoma. Brent Venables than now head coach, was the

1246
01:06:01,440 --> 01:06:06,600
Speaker 4: defensive coordinator. Hy people actually got fired at Oklahoma under

1247
01:06:06,680 --> 01:06:13,480
Speaker 4: stoops alma mater too, So I'm sure he wants this one.

1248
01:06:13,640 --> 01:06:15,920
Speaker 4: But there's a lot of good underlying storylines here. It

1249
01:06:15,920 --> 01:06:18,800
Speaker 4: should be a great atmosphere. Really looking forward to that game,

1250
01:06:18,800 --> 01:06:21,640
Speaker 4: I'm hoping and think that Oklahoma should be much healthier

1251
01:06:21,640 --> 01:06:23,720
Speaker 4: and that offensive line should look much more confident, and

1252
01:06:23,960 --> 01:06:25,640
Speaker 4: Jackson Ontan has some talent if he can just get

1253
01:06:25,680 --> 01:06:26,280
Speaker 4: some protection.

1254
01:06:27,000 --> 01:06:29,680
Speaker 1: Yeah, maybe that you know, I've been critical. I guess

1255
01:06:29,720 --> 01:06:32,840
Speaker 1: watching Jackson Arnold is just you know, in Oklahoma. I

1256
01:06:33,000 --> 01:06:35,800
Speaker 1: just have a buddy that works there. But it's understandable

1257
01:06:35,800 --> 01:06:38,280
Speaker 1: they've been missing this many skill guys. I mean all

1258
01:06:38,320 --> 01:06:41,040
Speaker 1: their wide receivers have been injured. And he's like Nico,

1259
01:06:41,360 --> 01:06:45,800
Speaker 1: I mean, a recher freshman. He's young, but you know

1260
01:06:45,840 --> 01:06:48,840
Speaker 1: in that first game, and I understand his temple. You

1261
01:06:48,920 --> 01:06:52,160
Speaker 1: just you did see like his physical attributes, Like like Nico,

1262
01:06:52,280 --> 01:06:55,280
Speaker 1: he is really gifted. There's a reason they told Dylan Gabriel,

1263
01:06:55,880 --> 01:06:58,080
Speaker 1: you're not going to start here anymore. We're gonna go

1264
01:06:58,160 --> 01:06:58,880
Speaker 1: with the young guy.

1265
01:06:59,120 --> 01:06:59,280
Speaker 4: Yea.

1266
01:06:59,560 --> 01:07:04,000
Speaker 1: And I would imagine if Tennessee, if Milton wasn't old

1267
01:07:04,160 --> 01:07:06,280
Speaker 1: and had another they would have said the same thing, right.

1268
01:07:06,320 --> 01:07:09,320
Speaker 1: I mean, these two guys are I think in their class.

1269
01:07:09,360 --> 01:07:12,760
Speaker 1: They're in the same class. Nico was three and Jackson

1270
01:07:12,840 --> 01:07:15,960
Speaker 1: Arnold was four or something and Arch was one. I mean,

1271
01:07:16,000 --> 01:07:18,520
Speaker 1: it has a chance to be a really, really good class.

1272
01:07:18,600 --> 01:07:22,919
Speaker 1: Even the kid more you know, the top five was Arch,

1273
01:07:23,520 --> 01:07:26,760
Speaker 1: these two kids, Dante Moore who's at Oregon that played

1274
01:07:26,760 --> 01:07:28,640
Speaker 1: at UCLA last year and was kind of a disaster,

1275
01:07:28,760 --> 01:07:31,480
Speaker 1: and that the one huge bust is the kid that

1276
01:07:31,760 --> 01:07:34,240
Speaker 1: started at USC Nelson went to boys sitting up, beat

1277
01:07:34,240 --> 01:07:37,520
Speaker 1: out now, But the other four I wouldn't write off

1278
01:07:37,560 --> 01:07:40,320
Speaker 1: more by any means he had at Oregon and obviously Arch,

1279
01:07:40,400 --> 01:07:43,000
Speaker 1: I'll get you out of here. On Arch. You know

1280
01:07:43,120 --> 01:07:46,800
Speaker 1: Quinn listen, I was. I wouldn't say a detractor, but

1281
01:07:46,840 --> 01:07:49,080
Speaker 1: I didn't quite understand the hype based on watching them

1282
01:07:49,120 --> 01:07:52,080
Speaker 1: last year. Good player, but like talking about potential number

1283
01:07:52,080 --> 01:07:53,920
Speaker 1: one overall pick. But then that game at Michigan, I

1284
01:07:54,000 --> 01:07:57,120
Speaker 1: understand Michigan's down if you just watch him independent of

1285
01:07:57,120 --> 01:07:59,680
Speaker 1: the opponent, You're like, this guy's really good and he

1286
01:07:59,720 --> 01:08:02,720
Speaker 1: gets this is kind of weird freak injury, and all

1287
01:08:02,720 --> 01:08:05,520
Speaker 1: of a sudden Arch comes in. Some of the passes

1288
01:08:05,560 --> 01:08:08,120
Speaker 1: were like quick screens and stuff and a run that

1289
01:08:08,400 --> 01:08:11,680
Speaker 1: was cool. But I do think this is not your

1290
01:08:11,720 --> 01:08:14,720
Speaker 1: average backup coming in, and like we could easily transition

1291
01:08:14,840 --> 01:08:17,479
Speaker 1: back this is this is a little different if he

1292
01:08:17,640 --> 01:08:20,519
Speaker 1: was if he was Arch middle cough, it'd be easier

1293
01:08:20,560 --> 01:08:22,720
Speaker 1: to go back to Quinn when he's healthy. But what

1294
01:08:22,920 --> 01:08:26,240
Speaker 1: happens if let's say Oklahoma wins his game and in

1295
01:08:26,280 --> 01:08:28,040
Speaker 1: a couple of weeks he's ready to come back, and

1296
01:08:28,080 --> 01:08:31,519
Speaker 1: it's fucking Oklahoma week. You know, Stark doesn't have to

1297
01:08:31,520 --> 01:08:34,000
Speaker 1: worry it's not like this guy's a freshman. They're both freshmen.

1298
01:08:34,040 --> 01:08:35,840
Speaker 1: I want to keep them both. This guy's going to

1299
01:08:35,840 --> 01:08:38,680
Speaker 1: the NFL. Like, how do you think this plays out?

1300
01:08:38,920 --> 01:08:41,439
Speaker 4: I don't know. It's a great question. Uh, it's gonna

1301
01:08:41,439 --> 01:08:45,599
Speaker 4: be fascinating to watch, you know if he like if

1302
01:08:45,800 --> 01:08:46,440
Speaker 4: I think.

1303
01:08:47,240 --> 01:08:49,640
Speaker 1: You think his debut was a little overhyped.

1304
01:08:49,600 --> 01:08:53,799
Speaker 4: Yeah, I think so. There was some potential.

1305
01:08:53,880 --> 01:08:56,200
Speaker 1: He was cool, But I want to see him play.

1306
01:08:56,240 --> 01:08:58,880
Speaker 4: But yeah, but there's there's so much hype there. It's

1307
01:08:58,880 --> 01:09:01,200
Speaker 4: gonna be One thing is like you go back to

1308
01:09:01,240 --> 01:09:04,160
Speaker 4: yours and if he struggles at all, like at any point,

1309
01:09:04,320 --> 01:09:09,960
Speaker 4: then every series where's manning and like it's it's it

1310
01:09:09,960 --> 01:09:13,920
Speaker 4: could potentially create a mess for Texas some curiously how

1311
01:09:13,960 --> 01:09:17,320
Speaker 4: Sark handles it. I'll close out on my take on

1312
01:09:17,439 --> 01:09:20,120
Speaker 4: it is as a better is you want the ugliest

1313
01:09:20,120 --> 01:09:24,000
Speaker 4: bet on the board? I bet you al Monroe plus

1314
01:09:24,040 --> 01:09:26,960
Speaker 4: forty five. They're supposed to be one of the worst

1315
01:09:26,960 --> 01:09:28,559
Speaker 4: teams in the country this year. They actually do look

1316
01:09:28,560 --> 01:09:31,920
Speaker 4: a little better than I expected. They beat the shit

1317
01:09:31,920 --> 01:09:34,680
Speaker 4: out of UAV, went up and competed with Arkansas. They

1318
01:09:34,680 --> 01:09:37,920
Speaker 4: beat them by like twenty four. They're coming off of

1319
01:09:37,960 --> 01:09:41,880
Speaker 4: bye week here, and they have a quarterback. By the way,

1320
01:09:42,160 --> 01:09:44,120
Speaker 4: it's fun to beat because their quarterback's name is General

1321
01:09:44,120 --> 01:09:48,639
Speaker 4: Booty and he's a former transfer from Oklahoma. They're gonna

1322
01:09:48,640 --> 01:09:50,200
Speaker 4: play really slow, they're gonna run the ball a ton,

1323
01:09:50,240 --> 01:09:53,080
Speaker 4: They're gonna try to shorten the game, which helps when

1324
01:09:53,080 --> 01:09:56,639
Speaker 4: you're catching forty five points. But one of the reasons

1325
01:09:56,640 --> 01:09:58,559
Speaker 4: why I haven't even looked to fade Texas is a

1326
01:09:58,560 --> 01:10:02,240
Speaker 4: big favorite. I've backed them against Colorado State is you

1327
01:10:02,320 --> 01:10:05,799
Speaker 4: had Quinn Yours in the game and Texas is obviously

1328
01:10:05,800 --> 01:10:10,000
Speaker 4: really good top five teen. Then okay, you build a

1329
01:10:10,000 --> 01:10:14,160
Speaker 4: big lead and you go to Arch Manning. I mean

1330
01:10:14,160 --> 01:10:17,800
Speaker 4: it's there's no other team in the country that has

1331
01:10:17,880 --> 01:10:21,040
Speaker 4: less of a drop to their backup, and he comes

1332
01:10:21,080 --> 01:10:24,639
Speaker 4: in and they just extend the league. Now, no Yours.

1333
01:10:25,120 --> 01:10:27,799
Speaker 4: You have Arch, and then you're going to do another

1334
01:10:27,840 --> 01:10:30,920
Speaker 4: freshman who is talented but not on the same level

1335
01:10:30,960 --> 01:10:34,400
Speaker 4: and as refined as either of those guys yet. Plus,

1336
01:10:34,680 --> 01:10:37,960
Speaker 4: because Youwers has an injury, you have to be if

1337
01:10:37,960 --> 01:10:39,920
Speaker 4: you're Sark, you have to be a little more cognizant

1338
01:10:39,960 --> 01:10:45,000
Speaker 4: of Arch's health. And you know SEC play starts next week,

1339
01:10:45,600 --> 01:10:48,439
Speaker 4: so you might pull him a little sooner or go

1340
01:10:48,479 --> 01:10:52,840
Speaker 4: a little more conservative than you normally would. So I

1341
01:10:52,840 --> 01:10:55,600
Speaker 4: think it's a little easier to fade Texas as a

1342
01:10:55,640 --> 01:10:59,920
Speaker 4: bigger favorite, and Uel Monroe does profile is a pretty good,

1343
01:11:00,360 --> 01:11:03,080
Speaker 4: enormous underdog because they just are going to run it

1344
01:11:03,160 --> 01:11:06,120
Speaker 4: and play really slow, which is what you want with

1345
01:11:06,120 --> 01:11:07,519
Speaker 4: these big on rows. You don't want a team coming

1346
01:11:07,520 --> 01:11:09,880
Speaker 4: out of you're trying to run tempo, increasing the number

1347
01:11:09,920 --> 01:11:12,840
Speaker 4: of possessions. So that's kind of my take. How it

1348
01:11:12,880 --> 01:11:14,640
Speaker 4: plays out, I don't know, but it's a fast one

1349
01:11:14,640 --> 01:11:17,320
Speaker 4: of the most fascinating storylines of this college football season.

1350
01:11:17,520 --> 01:11:19,599
Speaker 1: Well, you need is like fifty to thirteen and you're

1351
01:11:19,640 --> 01:11:22,519
Speaker 1: like easily in the clear. Yeah, you know how sick

1352
01:11:22,520 --> 01:11:24,080
Speaker 1: would it be if there was like a thirty nine

1353
01:11:24,080 --> 01:11:28,439
Speaker 1: point spread on a Sunday. That's yeah, it's never going

1354
01:11:28,520 --> 01:11:30,120
Speaker 1: to happen. I mean, it rarely gets.

1355
01:11:29,960 --> 01:11:32,880
Speaker 4: Well, if they kept breaking, Panthers are maybe a heading there.

1356
01:11:34,080 --> 01:11:36,639
Speaker 1: Yeah, remember the Dolphins when they were tanking that floor

1357
01:11:36,760 --> 01:11:39,040
Speaker 1: this year I think got close to twenty. It's like

1358
01:11:39,080 --> 01:11:41,360
Speaker 1: eighteen and a half nineteen against like some of those

1359
01:11:41,439 --> 01:11:42,679
Speaker 1: Brady Patriot teams.

1360
01:11:42,760 --> 01:11:46,320
Speaker 4: But yeah, I think the biggest spread of all time.

1361
01:11:46,360 --> 01:11:50,559
Speaker 4: I want to say it was a horrid Jaguars team

1362
01:11:50,600 --> 01:11:55,240
Speaker 4: in twenty thirteen, twenty five, I think it was like

1363
01:11:56,360 --> 01:12:05,919
Speaker 4: twenty four se No, it was twenty twenty eight. Biggest

1364
01:12:05,960 --> 01:12:11,920
Speaker 4: ever it was, uh, I think it was the Broncos.

1365
01:12:12,160 --> 01:12:17,280
Speaker 4: And yeah, it was the Jaguars against the Broncos in

1366
01:12:17,320 --> 01:12:22,400
Speaker 4: twenty thirteen. That was the Manning Broncos, I assume, and

1367
01:12:23,640 --> 01:12:27,120
Speaker 4: they cover, yeah, they actually let's say that was.

1368
01:12:27,920 --> 01:12:30,000
Speaker 1: I feel like if you did, if there was anything

1369
01:12:30,080 --> 01:12:33,680
Speaker 1: remotely that close again, that big of a number, the

1370
01:12:33,760 --> 01:12:37,280
Speaker 1: money that would flow in on twenty five plus would

1371
01:12:37,320 --> 01:12:39,240
Speaker 1: be pretty high, don't you think?

1372
01:12:39,320 --> 01:12:42,200
Speaker 4: Yeah? Close twenty seven Denver one thirty five nineteen. I mean,

1373
01:12:42,280 --> 01:12:44,040
Speaker 4: and that's an auto about in the NFL for men,

1374
01:12:44,080 --> 01:12:46,720
Speaker 4: like you're catching four touchdowns and no one runs. You

1375
01:12:46,720 --> 01:12:48,200
Speaker 4: don't don't run it up in the NFL.

1376
01:12:48,920 --> 01:12:50,920
Speaker 1: Yeah. I just think how popular betting is now. I

1377
01:12:51,000 --> 01:12:53,680
Speaker 1: think the amount of money that would flow in on

1378
01:12:53,760 --> 01:12:56,240
Speaker 1: that huge of a number would be like historic in

1379
01:12:56,280 --> 01:12:59,479
Speaker 1: twenty twenty four. Like, think how different the way we

1380
01:12:59,560 --> 01:13:02,200
Speaker 1: talk about gambling, how popular it is, how legal it

1381
01:13:02,280 --> 01:13:05,680
Speaker 1: is from just that year twenty thirteen, which doesn't when

1382
01:13:05,720 --> 01:13:07,519
Speaker 1: you say it out loud. Doesn't feel like that long ago.

1383
01:13:07,560 --> 01:13:09,080
Speaker 1: It's fucking light years.

1384
01:13:09,560 --> 01:13:11,880
Speaker 4: In time, a different world now.

1385
01:13:12,840 --> 01:13:14,559
Speaker 1: I don't think you could put a number that high.

1386
01:13:14,640 --> 01:13:16,439
Speaker 1: I think it would get bet down to like twenty,

1387
01:13:16,520 --> 01:13:16,840
Speaker 1: don't you.

1388
01:13:17,040 --> 01:13:20,040
Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree in the NFL that's way too high

1389
01:13:20,080 --> 01:13:24,559
Speaker 4: the number. Yeah, I mean, it was a perfect storm

1390
01:13:24,600 --> 01:13:27,360
Speaker 4: of things, Like the Jags looked so so bad, they

1391
01:13:27,400 --> 01:13:29,680
Speaker 4: were blank. I think they were zero and six. The

1392
01:13:29,680 --> 01:13:33,439
Speaker 4: Broncos were six and oh, and they were like setting

1393
01:13:33,479 --> 01:13:38,759
Speaker 4: records with Pyton Manning. And you know it's in Denver,

1394
01:13:39,560 --> 01:13:40,280
Speaker 4: do you know? Do you know?

1395
01:13:40,280 --> 01:13:40,320
Speaker 1: No?

1396
01:13:40,400 --> 01:13:43,160
Speaker 4: Do you know? I think Jackson will was starting a

1397
01:13:43,160 --> 01:13:46,040
Speaker 4: backup quarterback too. Do you know the quarterback was in

1398
01:13:46,120 --> 01:13:48,080
Speaker 4: that game? I mean, I don't think anyone would know this,

1399
01:13:48,160 --> 01:13:53,320
Speaker 4: but Chad Henny actually was the starting quarterback.

1400
01:13:53,840 --> 01:13:57,519
Speaker 1: Which obviously would be an upgrade over Gabbert probably yeah,

1401
01:13:57,600 --> 01:14:03,559
Speaker 1: I think maybe not maybe time, But yeah, funny game

1402
01:14:03,680 --> 01:14:07,160
Speaker 1: twenty seven point spread. It was pretty crazy if you

1403
01:14:07,160 --> 01:14:09,160
Speaker 1: would have said that that at that game. Chad Henney

1404
01:14:09,160 --> 01:14:11,080
Speaker 1: will play another ten years in the NFL. I mean

1405
01:14:11,200 --> 01:14:13,960
Speaker 1: just retired last year, right, Yeah, the Chiefs backup, so

1406
01:14:14,479 --> 01:14:17,880
Speaker 1: his career was only heating up. Right around then, he

1407
01:14:18,560 --> 01:14:20,920
Speaker 1: became the Chiefs backup during the dynasty. I think he's

1408
01:14:20,960 --> 01:14:22,080
Speaker 1: got three Super Bowl rings.

1409
01:14:22,960 --> 01:14:23,960
Speaker 4: He had a dream job.

1410
01:14:24,960 --> 01:14:27,800
Speaker 1: Yeah, it doesn't get any better. Okay, Sucky, Let's let's

1411
01:14:27,840 --> 01:14:29,679
Speaker 1: keep our eye out for a nice twenty five point

1412
01:14:29,680 --> 01:14:31,639
Speaker 1: spread in the NFL one day and we will fucking

1413
01:14:31,640 --> 01:14:32,320
Speaker 1: hammer that thing.

1414
01:14:33,120 --> 01:14:35,080
Speaker 4: I father, have a good week. I'll see you next week.

1415
01:14:38,720 --> 01:14:39,360
Speaker 1: The volume