1 00:00:00,400 --> 00:00:03,279 Speaker 1: Hello everyone, I'm Matthew Freeman, Matt f the Oracle. Welcome 2 00:00:03,320 --> 00:00:05,880 Speaker 1: to the Betty Pros Podcast, brought to you by bet MGM, 3 00:00:05,960 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: where you can get a risk free bet of up 4 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:09,600 Speaker 1: to thousand dollars when you use the highly original promo 5 00:00:09,600 --> 00:00:12,800 Speaker 1: code Betting Pros with your first deposit. Right here with 6 00:00:12,880 --> 00:00:15,560 Speaker 1: me for a special episode breaking down the week sixteen 7 00:00:15,600 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 1: Christmas games as well as Monday Night football is Pat Fitzmorris. Pat, 8 00:00:20,239 --> 00:00:21,360 Speaker 1: are you snowed in yet? 9 00:00:22,239 --> 00:00:22,960 Speaker 2: We aren't freedman. 10 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 3: We're about to get socked by this big storm, you know, 11 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 3: whiteout conditions. 12 00:00:28,120 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 2: They've dialed down the snow forecast. 13 00:00:29,880 --> 00:00:32,720 Speaker 3: Fortunately maybe only four to six or so, but man, 14 00:00:32,760 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 3: it's going to be like sub zero wind chills, fifty 15 00:00:35,720 --> 00:00:36,440 Speaker 3: mile an hour. 16 00:00:36,360 --> 00:00:39,879 Speaker 2: Gust the wind. Yeah, perfect, perfect Christmas weather. Right. 17 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:42,800 Speaker 1: Yeah. We've got all of those Saturday games that or 18 00:00:43,040 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 1: our forecast to be hit by a lot of weather, 19 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 1: including that you know Bears game hosting the Bills in Chicago. 20 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:52,160 Speaker 1: By the way, speaking of the Bills, we are giving 21 00:00:52,200 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: away a free signed Isaiah McKenzie Buffalo Bills mini helmet 22 00:00:55,360 --> 00:00:57,320 Speaker 1: from Pristine Auction. If you want a chance to win it, 23 00:00:57,360 --> 00:00:59,840 Speaker 1: subscribe to the Benny Pros YouTube channel right now and 24 00:01:00,000 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: commet below on the video. We will announce a winner 25 00:01:02,600 --> 00:01:06,240 Speaker 1: in a future episode, So turn on those notifications right fits. 26 00:01:06,560 --> 00:01:11,400 Speaker 1: We're recording this on Thursday morning, so you know, snowpocalypse, 27 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,319 Speaker 1: it might end up being a real thing. Maybe not. 28 00:01:14,400 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 1: Maybe all of these games that went down into the 29 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: thirties with their totals, maybe some of them don't get 30 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 1: hit by weather as severely as we're projecting. And you know, 31 00:01:23,240 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 1: for the first time all year, a whole slate of 32 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:29,479 Speaker 1: overs ends up cashing. That would actually be a Christmas 33 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:32,480 Speaker 1: miracle indeed. But yeah, so those are all of the uh, 34 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:37,080 Speaker 1: the Christmas Eve games happening on Saturday. In this episode, 35 00:01:37,160 --> 00:01:38,399 Speaker 1: you and I are going to be talking about the 36 00:01:38,440 --> 00:01:42,720 Speaker 1: three Sunday Christmas Day games and then also Monday Night Football. 37 00:01:42,760 --> 00:01:45,959 Speaker 1: And that first one on the slate is your beloved 38 00:01:46,040 --> 00:01:50,080 Speaker 1: Packers on the road playing the Dolphins in uh. I mean, 39 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:52,000 Speaker 1: this has got to be like the warmest weather on 40 00:01:52,080 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 1: the slate. 41 00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:53,040 Speaker 2: Uh. 42 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:55,920 Speaker 1: And so we have you know, forty nine point five 43 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,720 Speaker 1: as the total. I believe that is the highest total 44 00:01:59,160 --> 00:02:02,840 Speaker 1: on the slate here and the Dolphins favored by four points. 45 00:02:02,840 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 1: The money line for the Dolphins minus two hundred plus 46 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 1: one sixty five on the Green Bay Packers. If you're 47 00:02:08,040 --> 00:02:11,160 Speaker 1: feeling spicy and thinking that the Packers are able to 48 00:02:11,480 --> 00:02:16,080 Speaker 1: continue their inevitable run into the postseason fits, do you 49 00:02:16,160 --> 00:02:18,520 Speaker 1: have any opinion on this game? I've got an opinion 50 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:20,960 Speaker 1: on this game. Do you have an opinion on this game? Yes? 51 00:02:21,280 --> 00:02:23,960 Speaker 3: And by the way, for a just all the Saturday games, 52 00:02:23,960 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 3: it seems like most of these are going to be 53 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:29,840 Speaker 3: played on the ice planet hof and on Sunday, we've 54 00:02:29,840 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 3: got games in Miami, Los Angeles, Arizona, and then the 55 00:02:33,480 --> 00:02:36,720 Speaker 3: Monday night are in the Dome in Indianapolis. So no 56 00:02:36,800 --> 00:02:38,639 Speaker 3: weather effects at all in these games we're going to 57 00:02:38,680 --> 00:02:41,760 Speaker 3: talk about today after Saturday, which is just going to 58 00:02:41,840 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 3: be interesting to see in one of those days where 59 00:02:44,480 --> 00:02:46,600 Speaker 3: you're glad you're watching it inside on TV and not 60 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:47,560 Speaker 3: at the stadium. 61 00:02:47,639 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 1: Yeah, and side note, like for people who are you know, 62 00:02:50,520 --> 00:02:54,040 Speaker 1: inclined to play DFS, that might be an interesting three 63 00:02:54,160 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 1: day three game, you know, one day slate sort of 64 00:02:56,919 --> 00:02:59,880 Speaker 1: like the you know, the Thanksgiving slate that's super popular, 65 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:02,560 Speaker 1: you know here we have it on Christmas. No weather 66 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:04,920 Speaker 1: impacting any of those games, so maybe a little bit 67 00:03:04,960 --> 00:03:08,119 Speaker 1: easier to make projections and create your lineups, but yeah, 68 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:08,760 Speaker 1: go ahead. Fits. 69 00:03:09,240 --> 00:03:12,120 Speaker 3: So I like Miami a little bit here, even though 70 00:03:12,120 --> 00:03:13,480 Speaker 3: they're quietly on. 71 00:03:13,480 --> 00:03:14,960 Speaker 2: A three game losing streak. 72 00:03:15,120 --> 00:03:17,079 Speaker 3: And I say quietly because I think they got a 73 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:20,400 Speaker 3: lot of respect for that narrow loss in Buffalo in 74 00:03:20,440 --> 00:03:24,799 Speaker 3: the bad weather, so you know, I think they almost 75 00:03:24,880 --> 00:03:28,240 Speaker 3: sort of burnished their playoff contender cred even though they've 76 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:31,600 Speaker 3: lost three straight, which is sort of odd, you know. 77 00:03:31,720 --> 00:03:34,960 Speaker 3: The I just don't know if the Packers are going 78 00:03:35,000 --> 00:03:37,720 Speaker 3: to be able to match firepower with them. I mean, 79 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 3: I guess Chris Christian Watson has given them a little 80 00:03:41,240 --> 00:03:44,480 Speaker 3: bit of the quick strike capability that they had before 81 00:03:44,520 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 3: they lost DeVante. 82 00:03:45,480 --> 00:03:49,400 Speaker 2: Adams, but you know, really not much otherwise. 83 00:03:49,440 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 3: This is kind of a team that has to go 84 00:03:50,760 --> 00:03:54,000 Speaker 3: in these long drives if they're going to win. And 85 00:03:54,040 --> 00:03:57,640 Speaker 3: I think no Rashan Gary is a problem for them. 86 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:00,840 Speaker 3: They're you know, very good edge rusher has been on 87 00:04:00,920 --> 00:04:04,720 Speaker 3: IR for a while now, and they need to get 88 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:08,880 Speaker 3: pressure onto to you know, shorten his time in the 89 00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:10,960 Speaker 3: pocket and not let him find Tyreek. 90 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,080 Speaker 2: Hill and Jalen Waddell. 91 00:04:13,160 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 3: And I don't think they're going to be able to 92 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:18,320 Speaker 3: do that without Rashaan Gary. So I'm I'm kind of 93 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,240 Speaker 3: worried about that. I think the Dolphins just have a 94 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:26,920 Speaker 3: little more offensive firepower here. I'm kind of curious as 95 00:04:26,920 --> 00:04:29,480 Speaker 3: to what you think about this total. I'm not sure 96 00:04:29,480 --> 00:04:32,320 Speaker 3: what to do with it. Like my projections keep showing 97 00:04:32,880 --> 00:04:35,960 Speaker 3: value on the under. Maybe that's the pace that the 98 00:04:36,000 --> 00:04:39,839 Speaker 3: Packers are leisurely thirtieth an offensive pace and the Dolphins 99 00:04:39,880 --> 00:04:40,839 Speaker 3: are only seventeenth. 100 00:04:40,880 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 2: They're not like a quick. 101 00:04:42,760 --> 00:04:47,400 Speaker 3: Moving team, you know, and as I mentioned, just like 102 00:04:47,680 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 3: Green Bay not really having a lot of that quick 103 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 3: score capability. But at the same time, for the last 104 00:04:54,360 --> 00:04:58,120 Speaker 3: five Packers games have gone over so like, I want 105 00:04:58,120 --> 00:05:01,520 Speaker 3: to like the under here, but I'm I'm sort of 106 00:05:01,560 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 3: torn on it. 107 00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:05,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm I'm as far as the total goes, I'm 108 00:05:05,320 --> 00:05:07,240 Speaker 1: right on the market. I have it at forty nine 109 00:05:07,279 --> 00:05:10,520 Speaker 1: point three. So, you know, ever so slight lean to 110 00:05:10,560 --> 00:05:15,200 Speaker 1: the under here, and it for primarily for the under 111 00:05:15,320 --> 00:05:19,239 Speaker 1: it is the pace the Packers. They can play very slowly. 112 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:22,280 Speaker 1: I imagine they will run want to run the ball where 113 00:05:22,279 --> 00:05:27,880 Speaker 1: they can. Miami they can play at a decent pace, 114 00:05:27,960 --> 00:05:31,120 Speaker 1: but I think they will probably attack via the ground game, 115 00:05:31,200 --> 00:05:34,360 Speaker 1: because that is certainly where the Packers are most vulnerable, 116 00:05:34,480 --> 00:05:37,479 Speaker 1: you know, ranking thirty one or thirty two and basically 117 00:05:37,520 --> 00:05:40,680 Speaker 1: any run defense metric that you look at. And so 118 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:43,919 Speaker 1: if Miami is attacking more via the ground game, that 119 00:05:44,040 --> 00:05:46,680 Speaker 1: will slow down the pace of play for them. And 120 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,919 Speaker 1: so you could see how, you know, if one of 121 00:05:49,920 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 1: these teams is just able to get you know, one 122 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:55,080 Speaker 1: of those long drives that takes up like half a quarter, 123 00:05:55,760 --> 00:05:58,080 Speaker 1: and you can see how that would happen with either 124 00:05:58,120 --> 00:06:01,960 Speaker 1: of them, that will make this game very likely go 125 00:06:02,040 --> 00:06:04,920 Speaker 1: to the under. That said, the Packers over their past 126 00:06:04,960 --> 00:06:07,000 Speaker 1: I think you mentioned like five games or so, they 127 00:06:07,040 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 1: have been going to the over. And part of it 128 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:12,080 Speaker 1: is the defensive inefficiency that they have, Like they can 129 00:06:12,160 --> 00:06:15,440 Speaker 1: be exploited on defense in Miami, especially playing at home, 130 00:06:15,560 --> 00:06:18,040 Speaker 1: is the type the type of team that could exploit 131 00:06:18,080 --> 00:06:20,960 Speaker 1: them and put up points. And then green Bay has 132 00:06:21,000 --> 00:06:25,040 Speaker 1: actually been pretty efficient offensively over the past five games, 133 00:06:25,080 --> 00:06:27,120 Speaker 1: like they're starting to come on on offense on a 134 00:06:27,120 --> 00:06:29,400 Speaker 1: per play basis, that doesn't mean because they're not running 135 00:06:29,400 --> 00:06:31,840 Speaker 1: many plays, that doesn't mean they're scoring a lot of points, 136 00:06:31,839 --> 00:06:34,239 Speaker 1: But on a per play basis, they've been pretty decent, 137 00:06:34,279 --> 00:06:36,320 Speaker 1: and so if they are kind of pushed into a 138 00:06:36,360 --> 00:06:39,520 Speaker 1: situation where they need to play faster, need to score 139 00:06:39,560 --> 00:06:42,080 Speaker 1: more points, maybe they can do that because of the 140 00:06:42,320 --> 00:06:45,479 Speaker 1: enhanced efficiency they've shown recently. So I can see the 141 00:06:45,520 --> 00:06:47,880 Speaker 1: case for the over, I see the case for the under. 142 00:06:48,440 --> 00:06:51,480 Speaker 1: I'm not betting it either way. I am, however, betting 143 00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:54,240 Speaker 1: on Miami at minus four. I think this number should 144 00:06:54,240 --> 00:06:56,479 Speaker 1: be minus five and a half. And you know, it's 145 00:06:56,520 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 1: primarily because of the fact that even though the Packers 146 00:07:00,560 --> 00:07:05,440 Speaker 1: have gotten better offensively, they're still not great offensively. And 147 00:07:05,760 --> 00:07:09,560 Speaker 1: they've been efficient, but they haven't been efficient with pace. 148 00:07:09,720 --> 00:07:12,560 Speaker 1: So I'm still skeptical that they can combine both of 149 00:07:12,600 --> 00:07:15,400 Speaker 1: those things to put up enough points in Miami. You know, 150 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:17,840 Speaker 1: all three of these games that they've lost, they've been 151 00:07:17,840 --> 00:07:20,760 Speaker 1: on the road. You know, they've been in kind of 152 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:25,080 Speaker 1: tougher circumstances, especially that last game in Buffalo. I still 153 00:07:25,120 --> 00:07:28,160 Speaker 1: have them as the not still like I've moved them 154 00:07:28,280 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 1: to the number seventeen. Like I think there's this clear 155 00:07:31,080 --> 00:07:34,840 Speaker 1: top tier of six teams. You know, you have the 156 00:07:34,920 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 1: Chiefs the Bills up at the top, and then in 157 00:07:37,920 --> 00:07:42,160 Speaker 1: some order you've got Philadelphia Dallas, San Francisco, and you 158 00:07:42,240 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: have the Bengals, given what they've done over the past 159 00:07:45,080 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: two months, the Bengals who have jettisoned into that top six. 160 00:07:48,280 --> 00:07:50,880 Speaker 1: But you know, after them, you could make an argument 161 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:53,840 Speaker 1: for a number of teams at number seven. And for me, 162 00:07:53,880 --> 00:07:57,120 Speaker 1: it's the Dolphins. You know, I think Tua is he's 163 00:07:57,120 --> 00:08:00,400 Speaker 1: not playing at an MVP caliber, but he's in an 164 00:08:00,480 --> 00:08:04,560 Speaker 1: highly efficient level, you know, paired with a play caller 165 00:08:04,840 --> 00:08:07,880 Speaker 1: who is doing a lot for that offense. And so 166 00:08:08,000 --> 00:08:12,240 Speaker 1: I think whether they're passing or whether they're throwing those 167 00:08:12,280 --> 00:08:15,160 Speaker 1: two same things, whether they're passing or they're running against 168 00:08:15,160 --> 00:08:17,440 Speaker 1: the defense that really can't stop anyone on the ground, 169 00:08:17,480 --> 00:08:19,000 Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be able to put up points. 170 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:23,200 Speaker 1: So I do like Miami minus four here fits. Any 171 00:08:23,400 --> 00:08:26,760 Speaker 1: final thoughts here on Miami or Green Bay before we 172 00:08:26,760 --> 00:08:27,480 Speaker 1: go to the next game. 173 00:08:27,800 --> 00:08:29,960 Speaker 2: No, just in talking about too. 174 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:32,160 Speaker 3: Maybe there would have been a little bit of trepidation 175 00:08:32,480 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 3: about backing to in this game and the Dolphins if 176 00:08:36,640 --> 00:08:39,240 Speaker 3: not for his good performance against Buffalo. He kind of 177 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:43,160 Speaker 3: needed that after two down performances completing under fifty percent 178 00:08:43,200 --> 00:08:45,160 Speaker 3: of his throw as the two previous games. 179 00:08:45,240 --> 00:08:47,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, So like that. 180 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:50,800 Speaker 3: I think that sort of assuaged any of the concerns 181 00:08:50,840 --> 00:08:54,560 Speaker 3: we might have had about this offense maybe going through 182 00:08:54,600 --> 00:08:55,120 Speaker 3: a slump. 183 00:08:55,559 --> 00:09:00,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, So this next game we have interesting matchup. Yeah, 184 00:09:00,320 --> 00:09:04,840 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay on the road in Arizona. This is actually no, no, no, sorry, 185 00:09:04,880 --> 00:09:08,280 Speaker 1: my mistake. Before that, We've got Denver on the road 186 00:09:08,520 --> 00:09:13,160 Speaker 1: in Los Angeles playing the Rams. Denver favored by two 187 00:09:13,240 --> 00:09:16,360 Speaker 1: and a half points a thirty six point five over 188 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:20,120 Speaker 1: under fits. Do you have any opinions on this game? 189 00:09:20,160 --> 00:09:23,120 Speaker 1: It looks like Russell Wilson is definitely going to play. 190 00:09:23,559 --> 00:09:26,120 Speaker 1: He's out of the concussion protocol. Wasn't even listed on 191 00:09:26,160 --> 00:09:29,680 Speaker 1: the Wednesday injury report, So Russell Wilson is in a 192 00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:32,880 Speaker 1: whole lot of players for the Rams are out. Where 193 00:09:32,880 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: are you leaning here? 194 00:09:34,200 --> 00:09:38,200 Speaker 3: Yeah, you said in interesting game, And I was wondering 195 00:09:38,240 --> 00:09:41,240 Speaker 3: if you were maybe looking at something else because we've 196 00:09:41,360 --> 00:09:43,920 Speaker 3: laughed for the like, talked about this game for a 197 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:46,720 Speaker 3: couple of weeks now and seeing this as a you know, 198 00:09:46,920 --> 00:09:51,440 Speaker 3: the NFL's Christmas present to us Broncos Rams on Christmas Day, 199 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,199 Speaker 3: and it's funny. Who could have imagined that this would 200 00:09:54,200 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 3: not be the lowest total on the board. You know, 201 00:09:57,400 --> 00:09:59,600 Speaker 3: didn't see the weather thing coming and pushing all these 202 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,880 Speaker 3: other games under. But you know, funny that just two 203 00:10:03,840 --> 00:10:08,720 Speaker 3: sinkhole offenses like this, And I want to like the 204 00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 3: Broncos here Friedman, because the Rams are just so bad 205 00:10:12,080 --> 00:10:15,800 Speaker 3: the way that team is built and this top heavy approach, 206 00:10:15,960 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 3: the Stars and Scrubs approach as it were, Well, when 207 00:10:20,600 --> 00:10:23,800 Speaker 3: the Stars are hurts, that doesn't leave a lot. You know, 208 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 3: no Matthew Stafford, no Cooper Cup, no Aaron Donalds. I 209 00:10:28,000 --> 00:10:29,920 Speaker 3: don't know if Donald's coming back for this one, but 210 00:10:30,040 --> 00:10:33,000 Speaker 3: you know, really no incentive for them to hurry him 211 00:10:33,040 --> 00:10:36,480 Speaker 3: back into action. So what's left is just not a 212 00:10:36,559 --> 00:10:41,160 Speaker 3: very good team. And on the other hand, what's to 213 00:10:41,280 --> 00:10:44,480 Speaker 3: like about the Broncos. I mean, this offense has struggled 214 00:10:44,480 --> 00:10:47,560 Speaker 3: all season, the defense is terrific, and I don't know 215 00:10:47,600 --> 00:10:52,480 Speaker 3: how the Rams get past about seventeen points, Like I 216 00:10:52,480 --> 00:10:54,600 Speaker 3: feel like that's about their ceiling as far as how 217 00:10:54,640 --> 00:10:57,360 Speaker 3: many points they could possibly score in this game, and 218 00:10:57,559 --> 00:10:59,520 Speaker 3: under ten is a distinct possibility. 219 00:11:00,880 --> 00:11:02,080 Speaker 2: But the Broncos are zero. 220 00:11:01,920 --> 00:11:04,760 Speaker 3: To four as favorites of two and a half points 221 00:11:04,840 --> 00:11:09,080 Speaker 3: or more. I didn't even notice this until a friend 222 00:11:09,120 --> 00:11:11,640 Speaker 3: who's a Broncos fan, was complaining about it the other day, 223 00:11:11,679 --> 00:11:14,559 Speaker 3: but he was talking about how awful the Broncos special 224 00:11:14,600 --> 00:11:17,400 Speaker 3: teams have been all year, and I hadn't really noticed. Yeah, 225 00:11:17,440 --> 00:11:21,040 Speaker 3: Football Outsiders has them dead last and special teams DVOA, 226 00:11:21,160 --> 00:11:23,960 Speaker 3: although the Rams are twenty fifth and the Rams somehow 227 00:11:24,040 --> 00:11:27,840 Speaker 3: just made manage to make the Packers terrible special teams 228 00:11:27,880 --> 00:11:31,120 Speaker 3: look great the other night. So we could just see 229 00:11:31,160 --> 00:11:36,640 Speaker 3: a special team's comedy hour here in this game. Yeah. 230 00:11:36,760 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 2: So I guess I like the under here. 231 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:41,960 Speaker 3: Thirty six and a half feels a little tall, even 232 00:11:42,000 --> 00:11:46,120 Speaker 3: with Russell Wilson returning to the Broncos, and I don't 233 00:11:47,280 --> 00:11:49,280 Speaker 3: I mean, if I was forced to take a side, 234 00:11:49,280 --> 00:11:52,120 Speaker 3: I guess i'd pick Denver. But I just have a 235 00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:58,120 Speaker 3: hard time betting them with any confidence, even against the Rams. Yeah, 236 00:11:58,280 --> 00:12:00,520 Speaker 3: they just do not inspire confidence as a two and 237 00:12:00,559 --> 00:12:01,520 Speaker 3: a half point favorite. 238 00:12:01,840 --> 00:12:05,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, so I tend to like the under in Broncos games. 239 00:12:05,600 --> 00:12:08,320 Speaker 1: That's just what I do. I haven't bet it yet, 240 00:12:08,320 --> 00:12:10,200 Speaker 1: in part because I was I was waiting to see 241 00:12:10,720 --> 00:12:13,880 Speaker 1: on the Russell Wilson news. But also I like the 242 00:12:13,920 --> 00:12:17,160 Speaker 1: Broncos more in this game than I like the under 243 00:12:17,280 --> 00:12:20,080 Speaker 1: the line. As you mentioned, thirty six point five is 244 00:12:20,120 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 1: the total. I haven't projected at thirty five point eight, 245 00:12:22,520 --> 00:12:25,360 Speaker 1: so I'm not all that far off from market, and 246 00:12:25,720 --> 00:12:29,120 Speaker 1: I see a bigger discrepancy on the spread here, So 247 00:12:29,160 --> 00:12:30,760 Speaker 1: it's at two and a half. I have it with 248 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 1: Russell Wilson playing in this game, I have it at 249 00:12:33,960 --> 00:12:36,719 Speaker 1: three point seventy five. And you know, that's taking into 250 00:12:36,800 --> 00:12:40,000 Speaker 1: account that you know, for the Rams, center Brian Allen 251 00:12:40,080 --> 00:12:42,800 Speaker 1: is now out for the year. Wide receiver Ben Scronick 252 00:12:42,960 --> 00:12:44,440 Speaker 1: is out for the year, which like that might not 253 00:12:44,559 --> 00:12:46,640 Speaker 1: mean much, but it's like they don't have much at 254 00:12:46,640 --> 00:12:49,880 Speaker 1: wide receiver with Cooper Cup, Alan Robinson already gone, Scaronic 255 00:12:50,000 --> 00:12:52,960 Speaker 1: is now gone, you know. And then on the defensive 256 00:12:53,000 --> 00:12:57,120 Speaker 1: side of the ball, they are totally exploitable. I don't 257 00:12:57,120 --> 00:12:59,800 Speaker 1: want to say Jalen Ramsey has been like a shell 258 00:12:59,840 --> 00:13:04,720 Speaker 1: of himself, but he hasn't been as dominant as he 259 00:13:04,800 --> 00:13:07,360 Speaker 1: has been in previous years. And given all of the 260 00:13:07,480 --> 00:13:11,800 Speaker 1: other issues they have on their defense, it's coming back 261 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:15,199 Speaker 1: to haunt them. And on the defensive interior, they are 262 00:13:15,240 --> 00:13:20,720 Speaker 1: already without a Shawn Robinson. Aaron Donald didn't practice on Wednesday. 263 00:13:20,880 --> 00:13:23,160 Speaker 1: He hasn't played, you know, and I think at least 264 00:13:23,200 --> 00:13:26,960 Speaker 1: the last two games. And then also Marquise Copeland, their 265 00:13:26,960 --> 00:13:30,240 Speaker 1: other defensive tackle, he didn't play last week, he didn't 266 00:13:30,240 --> 00:13:33,000 Speaker 1: practice on Wednesday. I don't think he's playing in this game. 267 00:13:33,120 --> 00:13:36,640 Speaker 1: So they're missing like their three top defensive interior linemen. 268 00:13:37,120 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 1: Like they are highly exploitable. And if there's one thing 269 00:13:40,679 --> 00:13:44,120 Speaker 1: the Broncos will probably want to do to protect Russell Wilson, 270 00:13:44,200 --> 00:13:46,720 Speaker 1: it's run the ball. And they actually did that fairly 271 00:13:46,760 --> 00:13:49,720 Speaker 1: well last week, which is kind of amazing. But like 272 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:53,960 Speaker 1: with Latavius Murray and Marlon Mack, somehow they weren't the 273 00:13:54,000 --> 00:13:57,240 Speaker 1: worst team in the league last week, and maybe they 274 00:13:57,400 --> 00:13:59,920 Speaker 1: look to do that again. So I think the Ram 275 00:14:00,559 --> 00:14:04,040 Speaker 1: given their current state, they're a bottom three team and 276 00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:07,959 Speaker 1: the Broncos with their defense, are not quite as bad. 277 00:14:08,720 --> 00:14:12,400 Speaker 1: And so I again, anything less than a field goal 278 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:16,280 Speaker 1: here I think is probably too short. So, man, I 279 00:14:16,280 --> 00:14:20,080 Speaker 1: don't feel good about backing Russell Wilson, but it's really 280 00:14:20,120 --> 00:14:22,160 Speaker 1: the team that they're going up against, and I think, 281 00:14:22,280 --> 00:14:25,720 Speaker 1: you know, they were fully shown to be fraudulent isn't 282 00:14:25,720 --> 00:14:27,520 Speaker 1: even the right word, because there's no one that believes 283 00:14:27,520 --> 00:14:31,320 Speaker 1: in them but the moxie, like the comeback moxie that 284 00:14:31,360 --> 00:14:34,280 Speaker 1: they exhibited on Thursday Night Football a couple of weeks ago, 285 00:14:34,360 --> 00:14:36,760 Speaker 1: when they were able to come back and win a 286 00:14:36,800 --> 00:14:41,160 Speaker 1: game that was totally gone. On Monday Night Football last week, 287 00:14:41,400 --> 00:14:44,800 Speaker 1: like they they just showed like they're dead. And so 288 00:14:45,000 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 1: we have a team with a pretty good defense and 289 00:14:48,280 --> 00:14:53,760 Speaker 1: at least a starter caliber quarterback going against a team 290 00:14:53,760 --> 00:14:57,160 Speaker 1: that is totally dead and on its like fourth quarterback 291 00:14:57,200 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 1: of the season who wasn't even on the team three 292 00:14:59,320 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 1: weeks ago. I will I will take the Broncos here. 293 00:15:02,400 --> 00:15:06,840 Speaker 3: Yeah, just two last points. So I've got this projected 294 00:15:06,840 --> 00:15:09,040 Speaker 3: at Broncos by three and a half. But the other 295 00:15:09,080 --> 00:15:13,320 Speaker 3: thing that's giving me pause is McVeigh versus hackets. Like 296 00:15:13,400 --> 00:15:17,680 Speaker 3: that bothers me a little bit, you know, I just 297 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:21,680 Speaker 3: like laying points with the Hackett side. 298 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:23,320 Speaker 2: Something about that doesn't feel great. 299 00:15:23,560 --> 00:15:26,280 Speaker 1: The dude really has the name hat. He has the 300 00:15:26,320 --> 00:15:27,520 Speaker 1: word hat in his name. 301 00:15:27,920 --> 00:15:28,880 Speaker 2: It's right there. 302 00:15:29,960 --> 00:15:31,600 Speaker 3: And the other thing I just want to say, like 303 00:15:32,480 --> 00:15:36,760 Speaker 3: Jalen Ramsey, when the Rams top guys started dropping like flies, 304 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:40,520 Speaker 3: Cop Stafford, Aaron Donald, I really thought like they were 305 00:15:40,560 --> 00:15:43,600 Speaker 3: going to just shut down. Jalen Ramsey with some sort 306 00:15:43,600 --> 00:15:46,080 Speaker 3: of you know, all of a sudden ankle injury pops up. 307 00:15:46,200 --> 00:15:48,680 Speaker 3: And but not only has he played and I know 308 00:15:48,800 --> 00:15:51,240 Speaker 3: he has not been the lockdown cover guy that he 309 00:15:51,280 --> 00:15:55,360 Speaker 3: has been in the past, granted, but like he is 310 00:15:55,440 --> 00:15:56,360 Speaker 3: not packed. 311 00:15:56,040 --> 00:15:56,960 Speaker 2: It in by any means. 312 00:15:57,160 --> 00:16:00,560 Speaker 3: He rocked aj Dillon with a hit the other night 313 00:16:00,680 --> 00:16:03,600 Speaker 3: that just like, you know, got to respect that he 314 00:16:03,760 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 3: is still out there like throwing himself at this two 315 00:16:06,960 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 3: hundred and forty pound running. 316 00:16:08,520 --> 00:16:11,120 Speaker 2: Back and just you know, blasting it. 317 00:16:11,400 --> 00:16:14,640 Speaker 3: So I respect for Jalen Ramsey for being like the 318 00:16:14,680 --> 00:16:17,880 Speaker 3: one superstar the Rams have who's still out there balling. 319 00:16:18,280 --> 00:16:22,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, what are the odds that when Nathaniel Hackett gets fired, 320 00:16:22,680 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 1: one of the Denver newspapers has the headline of like 321 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 1: couldn't hack It? Like it's They're definitely someone's going to 322 00:16:31,160 --> 00:16:31,480 Speaker 1: do that. 323 00:16:32,240 --> 00:16:34,760 Speaker 3: I've got a friend who's actually in the works in 324 00:16:34,800 --> 00:16:38,280 Speaker 3: the sports department of the Denver Post, and he's probably 325 00:16:38,360 --> 00:16:41,600 Speaker 3: going to be the guy writing that headline. So I 326 00:16:41,600 --> 00:16:43,800 Speaker 3: would say the odds are very good that that's going 327 00:16:43,880 --> 00:16:45,960 Speaker 3: to be his come up for him. 328 00:16:46,200 --> 00:16:52,000 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean sometimes the straightforward, the straightforward option is 329 00:16:52,000 --> 00:16:56,600 Speaker 1: the best one. Okay, So rounding out the Christmas Day 330 00:16:56,600 --> 00:17:00,600 Speaker 1: games at night eight twenty eastern, we've got Tampa Bay 331 00:17:00,680 --> 00:17:05,160 Speaker 1: on the road in Arizona. Forty and a half is 332 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:08,200 Speaker 1: the is the total here, and the Buccaneers now favored 333 00:17:08,240 --> 00:17:11,520 Speaker 1: by seven and a half, A team that can't cover 334 00:17:12,160 --> 00:17:14,480 Speaker 1: for the life of them is now favored by seven 335 00:17:14,480 --> 00:17:18,080 Speaker 1: and a half, and you know, minus three sixty five 336 00:17:18,200 --> 00:17:20,320 Speaker 1: on the money line. But of course, it's just it's 337 00:17:20,320 --> 00:17:24,720 Speaker 1: the circumstances, given everything that Arizona has going on now 338 00:17:25,080 --> 00:17:30,919 Speaker 1: trace McSorley starting in this game. I have the Cardinals 339 00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:33,080 Speaker 1: power rated as the worst team in the league now 340 00:17:33,200 --> 00:17:37,280 Speaker 1: given their quarterback situation, and I think it's very much deserved. 341 00:17:37,280 --> 00:17:41,560 Speaker 1: They also have issues on defense, like their secondary has 342 00:17:41,600 --> 00:17:46,439 Speaker 1: just been riptish shreds, and then their starting offensive line 343 00:17:46,640 --> 00:17:50,080 Speaker 1: is basically entirely out now, and so you've got a 344 00:17:50,119 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 1: third string quarterback behind a backup offensive line. It's bad news. 345 00:17:57,560 --> 00:18:00,399 Speaker 1: Tampa Bay isn't fully healthy for this game, but I 346 00:18:00,480 --> 00:18:04,480 Speaker 1: think they're healthy enough. So what do you see out 347 00:18:04,520 --> 00:18:06,600 Speaker 1: of this game here? Man? 348 00:18:06,720 --> 00:18:08,560 Speaker 3: I see a game that I do not want to 349 00:18:08,560 --> 00:18:11,240 Speaker 3: touch in any way, shape or form. Freeman, I'm not 350 00:18:11,240 --> 00:18:12,760 Speaker 3: sure I even want to watch it. I might just 351 00:18:12,800 --> 00:18:18,600 Speaker 3: watch the Aloha Bowl instead of this one. But I 352 00:18:19,200 --> 00:18:21,399 Speaker 3: actually I take that back. The Aloha Bowl is the 353 00:18:21,440 --> 00:18:24,080 Speaker 3: twenty four never mind, there's. 354 00:18:23,920 --> 00:18:27,399 Speaker 1: A lot of basketball, a lot of basketball game bastball. 355 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:33,280 Speaker 3: So I think mc sorely is terrible, and I thought 356 00:18:33,320 --> 00:18:36,840 Speaker 3: he was overrated even when he's at Penn State, although 357 00:18:36,840 --> 00:18:39,600 Speaker 3: I suppose Penn State fans now with Sean Clifford, would 358 00:18:39,600 --> 00:18:42,359 Speaker 3: probably take McSorley back in a heartbeat. But yes, like 359 00:18:42,560 --> 00:18:44,439 Speaker 3: it is a major downgrade and that is going to 360 00:18:44,440 --> 00:18:48,360 Speaker 3: torpedo this team. But man, the Buccaneers are three ten 361 00:18:48,440 --> 00:18:51,040 Speaker 3: to one against the spread this year, Like they are 362 00:18:51,160 --> 00:18:54,880 Speaker 3: just the worst team you could possibly bet on. Uh, 363 00:18:54,920 --> 00:18:57,159 Speaker 3: They're zero to three when favored by more than a 364 00:18:57,200 --> 00:19:01,760 Speaker 3: touchdown this year. They've got a lot of concerning dnps 365 00:19:02,080 --> 00:19:07,080 Speaker 3: in practice this week on defense, Jamel dean vide Vea, 366 00:19:07,720 --> 00:19:14,119 Speaker 3: Antoine Winfield, Junior, Carl nasib Keanuneil, and on offense, Donovan Smith. 367 00:19:14,240 --> 00:19:19,120 Speaker 3: They're left tackle, so like they've got some major injury problems. 368 00:19:19,680 --> 00:19:23,840 Speaker 3: I mean, they've got Brady throwing it in the last 369 00:19:23,880 --> 00:19:27,560 Speaker 3: four games forty three, fifty four, fifty five and forty 370 00:19:27,560 --> 00:19:31,000 Speaker 3: four times, like they've just completely abandoned the run because 371 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:36,919 Speaker 3: they can't run effectively on anyone. And maybe that's a 372 00:19:37,000 --> 00:19:41,040 Speaker 3: recipe for this hitting a low total, like going over 373 00:19:41,119 --> 00:19:45,560 Speaker 3: the total, since the Cardinals have allowed like a sixty 374 00:19:45,680 --> 00:19:49,320 Speaker 3: nine point seven percent completion rate this year and had 375 00:19:49,359 --> 00:19:52,720 Speaker 3: the third worst opponent passer rating, Like, maybe the Buccaneers 376 00:19:52,760 --> 00:19:57,040 Speaker 3: can just firebomb this Arizona defense and push this game 377 00:19:57,160 --> 00:20:00,720 Speaker 3: over the really low number. But man, that's probably involve 378 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:04,280 Speaker 3: Trace McSorley doing something, and I don't know if that's 379 00:20:04,480 --> 00:20:05,119 Speaker 3: gonna happen. 380 00:20:05,480 --> 00:20:09,719 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, as you mentioned, the Buccaneers have had 381 00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:12,920 Speaker 1: Brady throw a lot. He leads the league in completions 382 00:20:13,040 --> 00:20:16,040 Speaker 1: and pass attempts. And it's not like because they're lighting 383 00:20:16,080 --> 00:20:17,960 Speaker 1: it up the way they did last year. It's just 384 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:22,320 Speaker 1: because they've needed to have him throw the ball. I 385 00:20:22,359 --> 00:20:24,919 Speaker 1: have this at six and a half, so you know, 386 00:20:25,000 --> 00:20:29,600 Speaker 1: below the key number of seven. If if as the 387 00:20:29,640 --> 00:20:32,240 Speaker 1: Marcus stands now, I had to make a bet on it, 388 00:20:32,240 --> 00:20:35,720 Speaker 1: it's disgusting, but I probably would bet on Cliff Kingsbury 389 00:20:35,800 --> 00:20:38,080 Speaker 1: as an underdog given everything that you said, all the 390 00:20:38,119 --> 00:20:41,280 Speaker 1: injury issues that we see with with Tampa Bay, especially 391 00:20:41,320 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 1: on the defense, and then yeah, as you mentioned out 392 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:48,320 Speaker 1: left tackle Donovan Smith dealing with a foot injury, Tristan 393 00:20:48,359 --> 00:20:51,080 Speaker 1: Wurf's probably going to play, but I don't think he 394 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:53,600 Speaker 1: played last week, Like I think we expected him to 395 00:20:53,640 --> 00:20:56,280 Speaker 1: play and then he didn't play, so it's not a 396 00:20:56,320 --> 00:21:00,480 Speaker 1: given that he ends up playing this week. So seven 397 00:21:00,520 --> 00:21:03,960 Speaker 1: and a half fills like it's just like the market 398 00:21:04,000 --> 00:21:07,360 Speaker 1: has extended itself a little too much. If it were 399 00:21:07,400 --> 00:21:10,560 Speaker 1: at seven, I would understand it. Six and a half 400 00:21:10,680 --> 00:21:12,520 Speaker 1: is where I think it should be. But I mean, 401 00:21:12,600 --> 00:21:14,840 Speaker 1: shout out me. I betted at three and a half, 402 00:21:15,280 --> 00:21:20,359 Speaker 1: so you know it's that's that's like I just I 403 00:21:20,440 --> 00:21:23,560 Speaker 1: knew that Colt McCoy was very online, or my sense 404 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:25,560 Speaker 1: was that he was very unlikely and that the market 405 00:21:25,560 --> 00:21:27,200 Speaker 1: would move in. And by the way, when I got 406 00:21:27,280 --> 00:21:28,920 Speaker 1: it at three and a half, I logged it in 407 00:21:28,960 --> 00:21:30,520 Speaker 1: the Betting pros app where you can sync up with 408 00:21:30,520 --> 00:21:32,560 Speaker 1: sports books, get free betting and advice and picks, and 409 00:21:32,600 --> 00:21:36,159 Speaker 1: track different experts in your own bets, and you can settlers. 410 00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:38,639 Speaker 1: We monitor all the major sports books, so when one 411 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:40,600 Speaker 1: of them has a line move that hits a threshold, 412 00:21:41,359 --> 00:21:43,159 Speaker 1: you get an alert that tells you where to make 413 00:21:43,200 --> 00:21:45,600 Speaker 1: the bet at the book that provides the most value 414 00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:48,399 Speaker 1: at that moment. So it's, you know, just like a 415 00:21:48,440 --> 00:21:51,840 Speaker 1: great way of streamlining your betting process. Download the app 416 00:21:51,880 --> 00:21:56,280 Speaker 1: today in the Apple or Google Play store. Man, I 417 00:21:56,280 --> 00:21:58,840 Speaker 1: don't want to watch this game. I'm not going to 418 00:21:58,960 --> 00:22:02,200 Speaker 1: I'm not going to watch this game, you know, because 419 00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:04,399 Speaker 1: I've bet on it. You know, I'm just going to 420 00:22:04,840 --> 00:22:06,840 Speaker 1: sort of monitor a little bit throughout the night by 421 00:22:06,880 --> 00:22:09,480 Speaker 1: looking at the betting pros app and kind of tracking it. 422 00:22:09,520 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 1: But yeah, not going to be betting it. Certainly at 423 00:22:12,800 --> 00:22:16,240 Speaker 1: these numbers, and in terms of the total I believe 424 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:19,640 Speaker 1: I am in line with the market here. Yeah, I've 425 00:22:19,640 --> 00:22:23,280 Speaker 1: it projected exactly forty point five. So if I hadn't 426 00:22:23,359 --> 00:22:26,840 Speaker 1: established the earlier position, I would have no interest at 427 00:22:26,880 --> 00:22:30,720 Speaker 1: all in this game here. All right, So Monday Night Football, 428 00:22:31,080 --> 00:22:35,800 Speaker 1: we have the Chargers at the Colts. This this is 429 00:22:35,840 --> 00:22:38,640 Speaker 1: an interesting game, not so much because of what's going 430 00:22:38,680 --> 00:22:40,639 Speaker 1: to happen on the field, but just all of the 431 00:22:40,720 --> 00:22:45,800 Speaker 1: dynamics going around with the Colts. They just lost the 432 00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:50,080 Speaker 1: largest lead in NFL history. Well, let me phrase that. 433 00:22:50,119 --> 00:22:52,240 Speaker 1: I framed that poorly. They didn't have the largest lead. 434 00:22:52,640 --> 00:22:56,720 Speaker 1: They gave up out of any team to be ahead 435 00:22:57,000 --> 00:22:59,480 Speaker 1: and then lose a game. They had the largest lead, 436 00:23:00,200 --> 00:23:03,000 Speaker 1: three points. Absolutely unbelievable that they were able to get 437 00:23:03,040 --> 00:23:04,399 Speaker 1: out to that kind of lead, But a lot of 438 00:23:04,440 --> 00:23:07,320 Speaker 1: it was luck induced. It's not like they were just 439 00:23:07,400 --> 00:23:10,879 Speaker 1: out there totally, you know, just doing whatever they wanted 440 00:23:10,920 --> 00:23:13,840 Speaker 1: on offense. And then of course, you know, they gave 441 00:23:13,880 --> 00:23:16,960 Speaker 1: it up because they have a really conservative offense. And 442 00:23:17,040 --> 00:23:20,600 Speaker 1: now they're going to their third string quarterback who really 443 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:22,439 Speaker 1: should have been the backup quarterback to begin with, but 444 00:23:22,480 --> 00:23:24,600 Speaker 1: he was the third string quarterback in Nick Foles. And 445 00:23:24,600 --> 00:23:26,919 Speaker 1: the thing is Foles has been running things with the 446 00:23:26,960 --> 00:23:30,200 Speaker 1: scout team for the entire year, so he doesn't It's 447 00:23:30,200 --> 00:23:32,399 Speaker 1: not as if there's really even an offense to know, 448 00:23:33,000 --> 00:23:37,200 Speaker 1: but he hasn't been practicing the Colts offense with any 449 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:39,240 Speaker 1: of the guys he's going to be playing with. This 450 00:23:39,920 --> 00:23:43,360 Speaker 1: could be a hilarious game that we see. The thing 451 00:23:43,480 --> 00:23:46,920 Speaker 1: is it's the Chargers, and you never really feel good 452 00:23:46,960 --> 00:23:49,399 Speaker 1: about betting the Chargers as anything more than two and 453 00:23:49,440 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 1: a half point favorites, So I don't know this this game. 454 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:56,000 Speaker 1: Right now, the market is four and a half for 455 00:23:56,080 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 1: the Chargers favored forty four and a half is the 456 00:23:58,840 --> 00:24:02,440 Speaker 1: total is two fifteen on the money line for the 457 00:24:02,560 --> 00:24:07,159 Speaker 1: Chargers plus one eighty on the Colts. Fits. What are 458 00:24:07,160 --> 00:24:08,240 Speaker 1: you thinking with this game here? 459 00:24:09,119 --> 00:24:13,600 Speaker 3: I have no less confidence betting any team than the Chargers. 460 00:24:13,800 --> 00:24:16,439 Speaker 3: Like the Chargers have been a complete mystery to me 461 00:24:16,520 --> 00:24:19,520 Speaker 3: all season. I looked in their eighty five and one 462 00:24:19,560 --> 00:24:21,320 Speaker 3: against the number this year and I would have been that. 463 00:24:21,680 --> 00:24:24,520 Speaker 3: Wouldn't have bet that they were that good against the 464 00:24:24,600 --> 00:24:27,959 Speaker 3: number in total, maybe because it's seems like whenever I 465 00:24:28,000 --> 00:24:34,440 Speaker 3: have confidence in them, they totally collapse on themselves. Yeah, Friedman, Like, 466 00:24:34,520 --> 00:24:39,119 Speaker 3: I don't know how the Colts possibly regroup from that loss. 467 00:24:39,200 --> 00:24:41,679 Speaker 3: And one thing I guess they do is they bench 468 00:24:41,800 --> 00:24:43,840 Speaker 3: Matt Ryan, who at this point I think would have 469 00:24:43,840 --> 00:24:48,760 Speaker 3: been just this walking avatar of that colossal collapse. So 470 00:24:49,280 --> 00:24:51,359 Speaker 3: maybe it's it's the best thing that they did that. 471 00:24:51,440 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 3: I feel terrible for Ryan. It's a bad way to 472 00:24:53,600 --> 00:24:57,399 Speaker 3: go out, probably the end of his career, but a 473 00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,879 Speaker 3: move they had to make, I think to continue on. 474 00:25:01,119 --> 00:25:03,280 Speaker 1: And yes, sorry just to says that that might be 475 00:25:03,480 --> 00:25:05,800 Speaker 1: You're right, that actually might be the last start of 476 00:25:05,840 --> 00:25:09,240 Speaker 1: his career. Like the guy who's known for the big 477 00:25:09,320 --> 00:25:12,520 Speaker 1: loss in the Super Bowl. To come from behind loss 478 00:25:12,520 --> 00:25:15,600 Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. Now with that as his last game, 479 00:25:15,720 --> 00:25:16,520 Speaker 1: that's sad. 480 00:25:16,880 --> 00:25:19,560 Speaker 2: Oh man, I know, yeah, very sad. 481 00:25:19,680 --> 00:25:24,800 Speaker 3: And the thing is, though, we have seen some respectable 482 00:25:24,880 --> 00:25:28,200 Speaker 3: performances actually from the Cult since Jeff Saturday took over. 483 00:25:28,440 --> 00:25:31,680 Speaker 3: Like we saw the road win in Las Vegas. We 484 00:25:31,760 --> 00:25:34,520 Speaker 3: saw the one point loss to the Eagles where they 485 00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:37,560 Speaker 3: almost pulled it out at the end. You know, they 486 00:25:37,600 --> 00:25:41,159 Speaker 3: had a really good start obviously against Minnesota. They played 487 00:25:41,240 --> 00:25:44,679 Speaker 3: Dallas tough for three quarters before they completely collapse in 488 00:25:44,720 --> 00:25:47,240 Speaker 3: the fourth quarter of that game and just got you know, 489 00:25:47,800 --> 00:25:52,600 Speaker 3: dump trucked late in that So but maybe this is 490 00:25:52,680 --> 00:25:57,040 Speaker 3: just it, like how many really bad collapses can one 491 00:25:57,080 --> 00:26:02,359 Speaker 3: team with stand? And now Jonathan Taylor running back doesn't 492 00:26:02,359 --> 00:26:04,560 Speaker 3: look like they're gonna have Kenny Moore. And you know, 493 00:26:04,600 --> 00:26:06,600 Speaker 3: going against the Chargers, a team with a lot of 494 00:26:06,640 --> 00:26:09,160 Speaker 3: firepower wide receiver, not a good week to be without 495 00:26:09,240 --> 00:26:14,600 Speaker 3: Kenny Moore, your best slot corner. So yeah, like, if 496 00:26:14,640 --> 00:26:17,560 Speaker 3: I was going to bet this, and I probably will 497 00:26:17,600 --> 00:26:22,440 Speaker 3: since it's a standalone game on Monday Night, I think 498 00:26:22,480 --> 00:26:25,520 Speaker 3: I would lay the points with the Chargers in this one. 499 00:26:25,840 --> 00:26:29,480 Speaker 3: And I'm a little inclined to go towards the under 500 00:26:29,520 --> 00:26:32,280 Speaker 3: here because of the points you made about Nick Foles. 501 00:26:32,440 --> 00:26:35,480 Speaker 3: And it's not like the Chargers have been like this explosive, 502 00:26:35,640 --> 00:26:39,119 Speaker 3: high scoring offense. This total seems even though whether will 503 00:26:39,160 --> 00:26:42,639 Speaker 3: not be a factor, and you know, Justin Herbert is 504 00:26:42,640 --> 00:26:44,679 Speaker 3: one of the better quarterbacks in the game, I feel 505 00:26:44,680 --> 00:26:48,240 Speaker 3: like this number still is a little too high. 506 00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:52,880 Speaker 1: Yeah, it's not as if the Chargers are attacking downfield 507 00:26:53,000 --> 00:26:56,800 Speaker 1: aggressively with Justin Herbert like they are. They're very content 508 00:26:57,080 --> 00:27:01,400 Speaker 1: just to let him move the ball down the field casually. Yeah, 509 00:27:01,800 --> 00:27:04,840 Speaker 1: I have it. I haven't projected to the over, and 510 00:27:04,960 --> 00:27:08,800 Speaker 1: part of that is just because of the defense that 511 00:27:08,840 --> 00:27:11,959 Speaker 1: we've seen out of the out of the Chargers. Uh, 512 00:27:12,000 --> 00:27:15,440 Speaker 1: and the Colts. You know, in theory they can run 513 00:27:15,480 --> 00:27:17,239 Speaker 1: the ball, but they really can't. Like, I don't have 514 00:27:17,280 --> 00:27:20,119 Speaker 1: any faith in my projection of forty six point nine, 515 00:27:20,160 --> 00:27:22,680 Speaker 1: Like I'm not betting that, And I don't have any 516 00:27:22,720 --> 00:27:25,800 Speaker 1: faith also in my projection of this game, you know, 517 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,400 Speaker 1: should be three point seventy five. So in theory, there's 518 00:27:28,440 --> 00:27:30,439 Speaker 1: a little bit of value here on the Colts. Like, 519 00:27:30,960 --> 00:27:33,120 Speaker 1: I'm not betting it, I'm just I'm staying away. They're 520 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:37,720 Speaker 1: they're for me too many uncertainties with Nick Foles coming 521 00:27:37,720 --> 00:27:41,080 Speaker 1: in and uh yeah, Like, if I had to bet it, 522 00:27:41,720 --> 00:27:43,960 Speaker 1: just not looking at my numbers at all, it would 523 00:27:44,000 --> 00:27:47,120 Speaker 1: be the Chargers because I just you know, they are 524 00:27:47,240 --> 00:27:50,199 Speaker 1: they are getting right, They're they're heading in the right direction. 525 00:27:50,800 --> 00:27:50,919 Speaker 2: Uh. 526 00:27:51,160 --> 00:27:53,560 Speaker 1: Derwin James, I think he has a decent chance of 527 00:27:53,600 --> 00:27:56,760 Speaker 1: returning for this game. So they are close to being 528 00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,639 Speaker 1: as healthy as they are going to be for the 529 00:27:59,640 --> 00:28:03,480 Speaker 1: rest of the season. And the Colts are just absolutely 530 00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:06,840 Speaker 1: going in the wrong direction. So I'm not betting it. 531 00:28:07,200 --> 00:28:09,200 Speaker 1: If I had to, would be the Chargers. 532 00:28:08,800 --> 00:28:13,240 Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, that's that's the direction I'm pointed to. 533 00:28:14,320 --> 00:28:18,399 Speaker 1: All right, so fits you two questions here, what are 534 00:28:18,400 --> 00:28:20,680 Speaker 1: you doing for Christmas? And then what are you working 535 00:28:20,760 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 1: right now at betting pros and Fantasy pros? 536 00:28:23,920 --> 00:28:24,080 Speaker 2: Good? 537 00:28:24,640 --> 00:28:26,720 Speaker 3: So Christmas Eve will be going up to my mom 538 00:28:26,760 --> 00:28:30,600 Speaker 3: and stepdads and feasting on beef tenderloin and scallops. 539 00:28:30,680 --> 00:28:32,320 Speaker 2: So I'm excited about that. Good. 540 00:28:32,480 --> 00:28:33,200 Speaker 1: That'll be good. 541 00:28:33,640 --> 00:28:35,280 Speaker 2: That is a really good meal. 542 00:28:35,520 --> 00:28:37,239 Speaker 3: And you know, at the end of a long day 543 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:40,920 Speaker 3: of watching football and pretending to pay attention to my family, 544 00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:42,640 Speaker 3: that's going to hit the spot for sure. 545 00:28:43,120 --> 00:28:45,680 Speaker 2: And what am I working on right now? 546 00:28:47,040 --> 00:28:49,080 Speaker 3: The next thing I'm going to do and something I'm 547 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:52,280 Speaker 3: going to be paying attention to all afternoon player props Friedman. 548 00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 3: And you know, I was fighting the juice for a 549 00:28:55,160 --> 00:28:57,680 Speaker 3: long time this season, but the last four weeks, I 550 00:28:57,720 --> 00:29:00,640 Speaker 3: think I'm like twenty two and seven on player prop 551 00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:04,800 Speaker 3: so it's been going really well. Hopefully you know there's 552 00:29:04,800 --> 00:29:07,160 Speaker 3: gonna be some interesting number. I'm just worried that the 553 00:29:07,280 --> 00:29:09,400 Speaker 3: slate is not going to be that big this week, 554 00:29:09,440 --> 00:29:11,600 Speaker 3: Like I haven't even looked at the numbers yet because 555 00:29:11,600 --> 00:29:11,880 Speaker 3: of the. 556 00:29:11,840 --> 00:29:15,960 Speaker 1: Weather, yeah, I think, and quarterback uncertainty. Yeah right. 557 00:29:16,240 --> 00:29:18,440 Speaker 3: I think it's going to be a pretty limited menu 558 00:29:18,600 --> 00:29:20,800 Speaker 3: this week. One of those games where I'm or one 559 00:29:20,800 --> 00:29:22,720 Speaker 3: of the weeks where I might only get to pick 560 00:29:22,800 --> 00:29:26,520 Speaker 3: like five or six game props. So I don't know, 561 00:29:26,600 --> 00:29:29,320 Speaker 3: hopefully that the menu is not as limited as I 562 00:29:29,400 --> 00:29:30,520 Speaker 3: anticipated being. 563 00:29:31,400 --> 00:29:33,280 Speaker 2: How about you, what's your Christmas going to be? 564 00:29:34,320 --> 00:29:38,080 Speaker 1: I think just kind of hanging out, hanging out here, relaxing. 565 00:29:38,680 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 1: You know, we tend to open gifts on Christmas Eve 566 00:29:41,480 --> 00:29:43,760 Speaker 1: and then Christmas Day is just sort of like a 567 00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:48,040 Speaker 1: let's relax, let's put on some movies, you know, have 568 00:29:48,160 --> 00:29:52,200 Speaker 1: the fire going and normally, like this might sound kind 569 00:29:52,200 --> 00:29:54,360 Speaker 1: of weird because it's not like we're Italian or anything, 570 00:29:54,440 --> 00:29:57,200 Speaker 1: but like we've sort of like settled into this this 571 00:29:57,320 --> 00:30:02,120 Speaker 1: meal of like a lot of spaghetti in sausage for uh, 572 00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:05,560 Speaker 1: for like the Christmas mill like the past couple of years. 573 00:30:05,680 --> 00:30:08,240 Speaker 1: So uh, yeah, I think that's what we might do again. 574 00:30:08,280 --> 00:30:10,640 Speaker 1: I don't know, but just just trying to relax, you know, 575 00:30:11,400 --> 00:30:13,360 Speaker 1: just enjoying, enjoying the season. 576 00:30:14,000 --> 00:30:17,960 Speaker 2: I like the Italian Christmas. That sounds pretty delicious to me. 577 00:30:18,320 --> 00:30:20,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, So do you do eggnog? 578 00:30:21,480 --> 00:30:22,880 Speaker 2: I do? Uh? 579 00:30:22,960 --> 00:30:24,760 Speaker 3: In fact, I had a little last night with a 580 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:26,080 Speaker 3: little splash of bourbon. 581 00:30:26,600 --> 00:30:29,600 Speaker 1: What about Yeah, I mean I like eggnog of course, 582 00:30:30,120 --> 00:30:32,320 Speaker 1: you know for this season and last year. I haven't 583 00:30:32,360 --> 00:30:35,080 Speaker 1: been drinking before that it was rum and the eggnog, 584 00:30:35,720 --> 00:30:39,160 Speaker 1: you know. But so you do you do bourbon? I do? 585 00:30:39,680 --> 00:30:41,840 Speaker 1: It seems like, you know, you could put almost anything 586 00:30:41,840 --> 00:30:43,760 Speaker 1: in there and it would be acceptable. 587 00:30:43,560 --> 00:30:46,160 Speaker 2: I think. So. I think ruma is probably more common, 588 00:30:46,200 --> 00:30:49,120 Speaker 2: but I've found to me it goes a little bit 589 00:30:49,120 --> 00:30:50,800 Speaker 2: better with bourbon. It's close though. 590 00:30:51,400 --> 00:30:52,880 Speaker 1: You have this sophisticated palette. 591 00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:56,240 Speaker 3: Though someone hands me a rum eggnog, I'm not gonna 592 00:30:56,360 --> 00:30:58,320 Speaker 3: push it away, all. 593 00:30:58,320 --> 00:31:01,800 Speaker 1: Right, he's fits. I'm Friedman Matt ethiorcle. Check out Benny 594 00:31:01,840 --> 00:31:04,840 Speaker 1: Pros and Fantasy Pros for all of our work best bets, 595 00:31:04,840 --> 00:31:08,440 Speaker 1: player props, Fantasy Favorites, player projections and rankings, and more. 596 00:31:08,520 --> 00:31:10,320 Speaker 1: If you like the show, please rate and review on 597 00:31:10,360 --> 00:31:12,400 Speaker 1: your favorite podcast app that is going to do it 598 00:31:12,440 --> 00:31:15,560 Speaker 1: for this special week sixteen, Christmas Day and Monday Night 599 00:31:15,600 --> 00:31:18,560 Speaker 1: football breakdown. Thanks for tuning in, good luck, have a 600 00:31:18,600 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 1: great holiday weekend, and see you next episode.