1 00:00:00,320 --> 00:00:03,760 Speaker 1: The Big Bets on Campus Podcast podcast. 2 00:00:04,200 --> 00:00:05,760 Speaker 2: PODYA, All right, here we go. 3 00:00:09,360 --> 00:00:13,000 Speaker 1: Every pitch is your pitch, The greatest show on dirt, 4 00:00:16,239 --> 00:00:23,160 Speaker 1: deep to field, way back that god, what is that show? 5 00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:31,360 Speaker 3: Now they can add college baseball to their trophy case. 6 00:00:34,479 --> 00:00:36,960 Speaker 2: Welcome to the Big Bets on Campus Podcast presented by 7 00:00:37,000 --> 00:00:39,839 Speaker 2: bet MGM. I'm Mike Calibery's joined by Colin Wilson, and 8 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 2: we're to talk college baseball. We are so close to 9 00:00:43,720 --> 00:00:46,760 Speaker 2: the postseason conference tournaments than in the regional super regionals. 10 00:00:46,760 --> 00:00:49,320 Speaker 2: Before you know, we will be in Omaha covering the 11 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:52,839 Speaker 2: College World Series top to bottom and here on the diamond. 12 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 2: We could never do that without Colin Wilson, be as 13 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 2: he is the absolute leading expert in the space. If 14 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:01,640 Speaker 2: you want to know about pitching matchups, probables, future future odds, 15 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 2: as well as starting pitching matchups and wins, He's got 16 00:01:05,080 --> 00:01:06,760 Speaker 2: every single thing covered. So I'm gonna kick it to 17 00:01:06,800 --> 00:01:08,720 Speaker 2: you first, Colin, what are you doing other than being 18 00:01:08,760 --> 00:01:10,759 Speaker 2: in the weeds with college baseball? I know that we're 19 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:13,920 Speaker 2: post spring for college football. Do you have your eye 20 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:14,959 Speaker 2: on two things at once? 21 00:01:15,120 --> 00:01:17,399 Speaker 3: Or is your eye on the ball here with college baseball? 22 00:01:17,440 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 1: Oh? My yeah, my name. I'm sorry, my eyes are 23 00:01:19,280 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 1: actually on three things at once. I'm doing daily MLB. 24 00:01:21,800 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 1: But college baseball has been had done very well on 25 00:01:25,640 --> 00:01:28,119 Speaker 1: the app, done very well for me. It has definitely 26 00:01:28,200 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: been my primary focus. But college football just fired up. 27 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 1: I mean, we're getting win totals out as some of 28 00:01:35,280 --> 00:01:38,360 Speaker 1: the major books nationwide G five win totals are going up. 29 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:41,720 Speaker 1: Still waiting on conference championships. It's about time for Game 30 00:01:41,760 --> 00:01:44,200 Speaker 1: of the Years. I'm all you can see, you know, 31 00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:47,720 Speaker 1: Brett is out tweeting about TV contracts and TV times 32 00:01:47,760 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 1: about when these games are gonna kick. You start to 33 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:51,600 Speaker 1: get the bug under your veins and next thing you know, 34 00:01:51,640 --> 00:01:54,760 Speaker 1: this morning, I'm sitting in my Kansas graveyard up at 35 00:01:54,760 --> 00:01:58,400 Speaker 1: the tip of Missouri, Oklahoma and Kansas laying bets on 36 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 1: Fresno over right. So I'm trying to throw the rubber 37 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 1: band back and throw bets with a comment in it 38 00:02:03,880 --> 00:02:06,320 Speaker 1: on Rice at seven o'clock in the morning. I've only 39 00:02:06,360 --> 00:02:07,920 Speaker 1: had half a cup of coffee, so no, I am 40 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,560 Speaker 1: wearing two hats. But I'm really excited about the next 41 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:12,560 Speaker 1: three and a half weeks for college baseball, that we 42 00:02:12,600 --> 00:02:14,959 Speaker 1: are in the prime of this and I can't wait 43 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:17,240 Speaker 1: because this is a very we will talk about it 44 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:19,800 Speaker 1: once we get there, but the College World Series is 45 00:02:20,000 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: very profitable if you play certain angles. So we'll get 46 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:24,160 Speaker 1: to that here in about three weeks. 47 00:02:24,800 --> 00:02:28,359 Speaker 2: So for those not initiated, Kansas graveyard is not an expression. 48 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,000 Speaker 2: That's an actual place that you have to go to 49 00:02:30,040 --> 00:02:30,840 Speaker 2: place your bets. 50 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: Yeah. Yeah, there's Downstream Casino. And then you can't place 51 00:02:34,919 --> 00:02:37,880 Speaker 1: bets on there because they even though it's in Kansas, 52 00:02:38,240 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: it's technically if considered Oklahoma to the major books that 53 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:46,720 Speaker 1: are in Kansas, not Oklahoma and Missouri. So Oklahoma Missouri, 54 00:02:46,800 --> 00:02:48,840 Speaker 1: you can't bet there. You have to be in Kansas. 55 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,000 Speaker 1: So I drive up to Downstream Casino and then I 56 00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 1: have to go to the back, like where catering is 57 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:55,800 Speaker 1: for a casino, and all these people are sitting there 58 00:02:55,840 --> 00:02:59,399 Speaker 1: staring at me where there's a graveyard and catering's going by, 59 00:02:59,440 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 1: and I stared at graveyard with my laptop with my 60 00:03:01,440 --> 00:03:05,000 Speaker 1: phone and just start shedding wind total bets like and 61 00:03:05,000 --> 00:03:06,839 Speaker 1: then I'm in there tweeting it. I'm putting it into 62 00:03:06,880 --> 00:03:09,160 Speaker 1: action app while I'm sitting in a graveyard. I mean literally, 63 00:03:09,160 --> 00:03:11,720 Speaker 1: it's the most unblorious thing I've ever seen. But the 64 00:03:11,720 --> 00:03:13,600 Speaker 1: good news is you can cash out at the end 65 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: of the season. You don't have to be in the graveyard. 66 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 1: You can do that on your couch. 67 00:03:17,240 --> 00:03:19,000 Speaker 2: Next time you go off to give you my Washington 68 00:03:19,080 --> 00:03:22,400 Speaker 2: Huskies national title ticket for football and Purdue for college hoops, 69 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:24,240 Speaker 2: you can drop that off in the graveyard. Close, But 70 00:03:24,320 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 2: no cigar for me. All right, let's jump back into 71 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 2: college baseball. As I mentioned at the top, a lot 72 00:03:29,400 --> 00:03:31,440 Speaker 2: of major events happening in the next three weeks. 73 00:03:31,480 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 3: Let me give you a rundown. 74 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:36,400 Speaker 2: The selection show for the NCAA Tournament field is on Monday, 75 00:03:36,520 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 2: May twenty seventh at noon on ESPN two. Then the 76 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:42,840 Speaker 2: Round of sixty four thirty two, that's the equivalent for Regionals. 77 00:03:43,000 --> 00:03:45,920 Speaker 2: That's Friday through Monday, May thirty first through June third. 78 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,440 Speaker 2: Then the Sweet sixteen, which they refer to as the 79 00:03:48,440 --> 00:03:52,280 Speaker 2: Super Regionals that's Friday through Sunday, June seventh through the ninth, 80 00:03:52,400 --> 00:03:55,680 Speaker 2: or Saturday through Monday, June tenth, June eighth to the tenth, 81 00:03:55,840 --> 00:03:59,080 Speaker 2: and then finally you get into the College World Series itself, 82 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:02,600 Speaker 2: the final eight teams that starts Friday, June fourteenth, and 83 00:04:02,640 --> 00:04:04,400 Speaker 2: they'll play that all the way down to the title 84 00:04:04,440 --> 00:04:07,440 Speaker 2: game on June twenty second and twenty third. So those 85 00:04:07,440 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 2: are the matchups, those are the opportunities to see a 86 00:04:10,320 --> 00:04:12,600 Speaker 2: field come together. It's also interesting, we'll get into it 87 00:04:12,640 --> 00:04:16,200 Speaker 2: in our conversation. There's mocked and projected fields out there 88 00:04:16,240 --> 00:04:18,000 Speaker 2: on the internet that you can take a look at 89 00:04:18,279 --> 00:04:20,440 Speaker 2: right now, and I think that certainly helps in terms 90 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:22,359 Speaker 2: of planning a bit, because you're going to. 91 00:04:22,360 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 3: Get these four team clusters. 92 00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:26,600 Speaker 2: So it's not just who you are and what you're 93 00:04:26,640 --> 00:04:29,920 Speaker 2: ranking is it's also very critical to understand that you're 94 00:04:29,920 --> 00:04:31,680 Speaker 2: going to be the home team, You're going to have 95 00:04:31,720 --> 00:04:33,640 Speaker 2: your home regional, and these are the teams that you're 96 00:04:33,640 --> 00:04:35,880 Speaker 2: going to face off, so that path can be just 97 00:04:35,920 --> 00:04:38,960 Speaker 2: as important as your personnel. All right, last thing before 98 00:04:39,000 --> 00:04:41,040 Speaker 2: we get into the show and our game of Pepper, 99 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:43,240 Speaker 2: I want to throw this out. I was looking at 100 00:04:43,279 --> 00:04:46,200 Speaker 2: some of the mocked brackets and I want to give 101 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,080 Speaker 2: you three and I want to say, of these three, 102 00:04:49,200 --> 00:04:51,800 Speaker 2: which team do you think is most susceptible to being 103 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:54,240 Speaker 2: upset and knocked out of the tournament in the regionals 104 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,880 Speaker 2: on their home field. We get the Greenville Regional with 105 00:04:57,000 --> 00:04:59,200 Speaker 2: ECU hosting, do you think Duke can get it done? 106 00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 2: Tell us out west with Oregon State hosting, do you 107 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:05,800 Speaker 2: think a plucky underdog like U see Irvine could punch 108 00:05:05,839 --> 00:05:07,919 Speaker 2: their ticket? And then, finally, the other one that I 109 00:05:07,920 --> 00:05:10,600 Speaker 2: thought was a little bit susceptible or right for an upset, 110 00:05:10,760 --> 00:05:13,800 Speaker 2: the still Water Regional with either Mississippi State or Oregon 111 00:05:14,120 --> 00:05:16,520 Speaker 2: upsetting the pokes there in Stillwater. 112 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:17,240 Speaker 3: What are your thoughts? 113 00:05:17,480 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 1: Oh boy, there's two of them. I don't think are 114 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:20,839 Speaker 1: going to make it through. So we'll squead and set 115 00:05:20,880 --> 00:05:23,279 Speaker 1: ECU aside, because when you have Trey U Savage going 116 00:05:23,279 --> 00:05:25,280 Speaker 1: for you on Friday nights, you get a leg up. Already, 117 00:05:25,920 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 1: they have really struggled down the stretch. They're now in 118 00:05:28,560 --> 00:05:33,039 Speaker 1: jeopardy of UTSA taking that conference title from them. They'll 119 00:05:33,080 --> 00:05:35,040 Speaker 1: still make it on RPI, but still I would say 120 00:05:35,080 --> 00:05:37,560 Speaker 1: ECU is the safest one out of all that. I'm 121 00:05:37,600 --> 00:05:39,400 Speaker 1: not even sure Oregon State's going to be a host. 122 00:05:39,560 --> 00:05:42,200 Speaker 1: They have tripped and stumbled. And I tell you what, 123 00:05:42,600 --> 00:05:45,120 Speaker 1: I bet Aiden May and Jacob Kamats when they're at home. Man, 124 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:46,760 Speaker 1: when they're on the road, they're terrible. In this weekend 125 00:05:46,760 --> 00:05:49,040 Speaker 1: they're going to play Arizona for essentially the PAC twelve, 126 00:05:49,480 --> 00:05:51,120 Speaker 1: and so that's why I'm not even sure they're going 127 00:05:51,160 --> 00:05:53,440 Speaker 1: to host. And even if they do, I mean, who, 128 00:05:53,680 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 1: I don't know. It's gonna be tough, but I think 129 00:05:55,800 --> 00:05:58,440 Speaker 1: your third one is where the upsets are coming. Can 130 00:05:58,480 --> 00:06:00,000 Speaker 1: you read that off to me again? Calbarys? Which was 131 00:06:00,240 --> 00:06:01,000 Speaker 1: it the third one? Sure? 132 00:06:01,040 --> 00:06:03,839 Speaker 2: So we have Oklahoma State hosting their regional and Stillwater 133 00:06:03,920 --> 00:06:07,440 Speaker 2: and at least by projections, Mississippi State and Oregon in 134 00:06:07,480 --> 00:06:09,919 Speaker 2: that pod. Those two caught my eye as teams that 135 00:06:09,960 --> 00:06:11,200 Speaker 2: potentially could get over the hump. 136 00:06:11,320 --> 00:06:13,479 Speaker 1: I think Mississippi State is excellent. I think they're worth 137 00:06:13,520 --> 00:06:15,160 Speaker 1: a buy right now that I think they could make 138 00:06:15,160 --> 00:06:17,640 Speaker 1: a run of the SEC tournament, even prop themselves up 139 00:06:17,680 --> 00:06:20,719 Speaker 1: to a higher seed. They know they have a great 140 00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:23,400 Speaker 1: pitching staff. They really gave Arkansas everything for their money 141 00:06:23,440 --> 00:06:26,880 Speaker 1: in fable, which is tough to do. And Oklahoma State 142 00:06:27,000 --> 00:06:29,000 Speaker 1: is nothing but get hot at the plate for two 143 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:32,480 Speaker 1: or three innings, zero bullpen. Oregans a little bit of 144 00:06:32,520 --> 00:06:34,480 Speaker 1: the same. The bullpen has really let them down this year. 145 00:06:34,480 --> 00:06:37,839 Speaker 1: But Mississippi State's in a different category. I wish I 146 00:06:37,880 --> 00:06:40,040 Speaker 1: could pronounce their pitcher that goes in Game two. I 147 00:06:40,040 --> 00:06:41,359 Speaker 1: could never do is he got two Jays in his 148 00:06:41,440 --> 00:06:42,960 Speaker 1: last name. He pitches with boz of the left in 149 00:06:43,000 --> 00:06:45,360 Speaker 1: his right arm. I've been practicing his day, but I'll 150 00:06:45,360 --> 00:06:47,320 Speaker 1: save it for the College World Series. But definitely Missippi 151 00:06:47,320 --> 00:06:49,920 Speaker 1: State in still Water I think would be a great upset. 152 00:06:50,560 --> 00:06:52,040 Speaker 2: All Right, this is the time of year when it's 153 00:06:52,120 --> 00:06:55,080 Speaker 2: important to our mind, fans and listeners and casual betters 154 00:06:55,320 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 2: that what's more important is winning the regular season. The 155 00:06:57,880 --> 00:07:00,200 Speaker 2: conference tournament is just that cherry on top that's not 156 00:07:00,240 --> 00:07:02,839 Speaker 2: helping you punch an automatic ticket. So if you could 157 00:07:02,839 --> 00:07:05,719 Speaker 2: just run us through quickly, which teams already have the 158 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:09,200 Speaker 2: conferences locked up, which are in danger potentially of losing 159 00:07:09,240 --> 00:07:11,920 Speaker 2: that regular season crown? And what are some critical matchups 160 00:07:11,960 --> 00:07:13,280 Speaker 2: that you have your eye on this weekend. 161 00:07:13,440 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, there are a handful of teams that have already 162 00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:18,400 Speaker 1: won their conferences regular season title. I'm not betting them 163 00:07:18,480 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 1: this weekend because they may be changing their rotation, maybe 164 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:24,880 Speaker 1: saving arms, maybe giving a bit of rest, maybe on 165 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:26,760 Speaker 1: a pitch count. So these are the teams I would 166 00:07:26,800 --> 00:07:29,680 Speaker 1: not play this weekend, which is the final weekend of 167 00:07:29,680 --> 00:07:33,000 Speaker 1: the regular season. The American East has Bryant as winner. 168 00:07:33,040 --> 00:07:35,800 Speaker 1: Acc North Carolina has it all wrapped up. No one 169 00:07:35,800 --> 00:07:38,640 Speaker 1: can catch them. Same thing in the Big twelve. Oklahoma's there, 170 00:07:38,880 --> 00:07:41,000 Speaker 1: no one can catch them. And then real quick and 171 00:07:41,080 --> 00:07:45,040 Speaker 1: the Ivy Columbia mac Bowling Green Missouri Valley. Indiana State. 172 00:07:45,280 --> 00:07:47,960 Speaker 1: Indiana State is important. That's one that may go against 173 00:07:48,000 --> 00:07:50,840 Speaker 1: this list because they are still really working to make 174 00:07:50,880 --> 00:07:53,120 Speaker 1: sure they have a regional in Tara Hate, which is 175 00:07:53,160 --> 00:07:55,760 Speaker 1: interesting because they earned it last year. But then like 176 00:07:55,840 --> 00:07:59,200 Speaker 1: what was it. The Children's Cancer Shriners circus was in 177 00:07:59,240 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 1: town and they had to go play a TCU which 178 00:08:01,200 --> 00:08:04,480 Speaker 1: started their run. So Indiana State is the one team 179 00:08:04,520 --> 00:08:06,960 Speaker 1: I'd say they probably aren't going to lay off this 180 00:08:07,000 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: weekend because they want that regional seed. But then again 181 00:08:10,120 --> 00:08:13,120 Speaker 1: Army and the Patriot and then the Sun Belt Louisiana 182 00:08:14,040 --> 00:08:16,640 Speaker 1: out in the West coast San Diego, and I congrats 183 00:08:16,640 --> 00:08:20,000 Speaker 1: to the Torreros and Whack Grand Canyon. I will say 184 00:08:20,040 --> 00:08:22,120 Speaker 1: one thing about the sun Belt. You talked about some 185 00:08:22,200 --> 00:08:25,160 Speaker 1: upsets coming on. I will guarantee you that one of 186 00:08:25,240 --> 00:08:26,880 Speaker 1: the three or four Sun Belt teams to get in 187 00:08:27,000 --> 00:08:28,760 Speaker 1: will upset the region they get in as a two 188 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,320 Speaker 1: or three host the Sun Belt is stout this year. 189 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 2: Any other regular season conference races that you think, at 190 00:08:35,440 --> 00:08:38,599 Speaker 2: least not necessarily for who ends up on top, but 191 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:40,880 Speaker 2: could be important. Like I'll just put this out there 192 00:08:40,920 --> 00:08:43,400 Speaker 2: right now. A and M obviously been leaking oil a 193 00:08:43,400 --> 00:08:45,959 Speaker 2: little bit. After rising all the way to number one 194 00:08:46,040 --> 00:08:47,800 Speaker 2: overall in college baseball. 195 00:08:48,200 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 1: Both Arkansas and Texas A and M are there. They 196 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:52,199 Speaker 1: have stumbled. Either of them are number one team in 197 00:08:52,200 --> 00:08:54,439 Speaker 1: the country. They both stumbled down the stretch. Both of 198 00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:57,640 Speaker 1: them are having problems scoring runs. It's been Arkansas's problem 199 00:08:57,640 --> 00:08:59,440 Speaker 1: all season, and this is a new thing for Texas 200 00:08:59,440 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 1: A and M. I'm not sure if they're playing for 201 00:09:01,600 --> 00:09:04,760 Speaker 1: anything more than jockeying a position of seeds. They're both 202 00:09:04,800 --> 00:09:06,640 Speaker 1: going to be super regional seeds no matter if they're 203 00:09:06,679 --> 00:09:08,800 Speaker 1: one and done down in Hoover. You know, I'm not 204 00:09:08,880 --> 00:09:10,760 Speaker 1: really sure what's at stake because I don't think either 205 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:12,280 Speaker 1: of them can get back up to the number one. 206 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,640 Speaker 1: Not sure you want the number one, considering we know 207 00:09:14,679 --> 00:09:18,200 Speaker 1: the history. But for both of them, each team would 208 00:09:18,200 --> 00:09:20,640 Speaker 1: be happy if they averaged eight runs a game, because 209 00:09:20,679 --> 00:09:22,920 Speaker 1: right now Arkansas is around six point nine and Texas 210 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:25,480 Speaker 1: A and MS falling off a map offensively. So you know, 211 00:09:25,520 --> 00:09:27,640 Speaker 1: if Texas A and M can bust out against Hagen Smith, 212 00:09:28,400 --> 00:09:30,440 Speaker 1: then then you know that's going to make them have 213 00:09:30,480 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 1: a lot of confidence going into the postseason. Ask for Argus, 214 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:33,800 Speaker 1: so they just haven't been able to get it done 215 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,640 Speaker 1: all season, So, you know, not so much winning the series. 216 00:09:36,800 --> 00:09:38,480 Speaker 1: It would be a prideful thing. It would you know, 217 00:09:38,480 --> 00:09:39,960 Speaker 1: it would give you a chance to win the SEC 218 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,480 Speaker 1: from Kentucky. But at the same time, these two teams 219 00:09:42,520 --> 00:09:44,440 Speaker 1: need to desperately hit and they're going to face the 220 00:09:44,440 --> 00:09:46,440 Speaker 1: best pitching they'll see in Omaha this weekend. 221 00:09:47,440 --> 00:09:49,400 Speaker 2: And one of the most troubling outcomes for the Aggies 222 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:51,760 Speaker 2: was that Ole Miss held them to five runs over 223 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:54,000 Speaker 2: the first two games of that series, and that that 224 00:09:54,160 --> 00:09:56,959 Speaker 2: is something that certainly would bite them once they get 225 00:09:57,000 --> 00:09:59,680 Speaker 2: to you know, tournament play and going up against a 226 00:09:59,679 --> 00:10:01,960 Speaker 2: lot of veteran teams who can score, who have you know, 227 00:10:02,040 --> 00:10:04,080 Speaker 2: bats up and down the lineup. So it's going to 228 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:05,560 Speaker 2: be interesting to see if they can pull out of 229 00:10:05,600 --> 00:10:08,000 Speaker 2: this mini tail spin you're talking about the SEC. Is 230 00:10:08,040 --> 00:10:09,600 Speaker 2: there a team that you are in love with at 231 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,120 Speaker 2: this point, because there's plenty of teams that you can 232 00:10:11,160 --> 00:10:13,800 Speaker 2: poke holes in their resume. Having talked to Arkansas at 233 00:10:13,920 --> 00:10:15,600 Speaker 2: A and M, but is there a team that's rising 234 00:10:15,600 --> 00:10:16,640 Speaker 2: to the top at the right time. 235 00:10:17,080 --> 00:10:19,679 Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think this podcast is going to 236 00:10:19,720 --> 00:10:21,599 Speaker 1: be littered with this team. But when I left, I 237 00:10:21,640 --> 00:10:24,760 Speaker 1: went to a Royals Brewers series last week and by 238 00:10:24,800 --> 00:10:27,720 Speaker 1: the time I left again swept over the state of Kansas. 239 00:10:27,800 --> 00:10:29,640 Speaker 1: I saw Georgia fifty five to one and I said, 240 00:10:29,679 --> 00:10:32,200 Speaker 1: you know what, I'm going to take that. And today, 241 00:10:32,240 --> 00:10:35,439 Speaker 1: when I was up in my Kansas graveyard betting Rice 242 00:10:35,480 --> 00:10:38,000 Speaker 1: and Fresno state win totals, I said, let's go take 243 00:10:38,000 --> 00:10:39,559 Speaker 1: a look at that Georgia number, and it was thirty 244 00:10:39,600 --> 00:10:41,640 Speaker 1: nine to one again, and I'm like, well, I got 245 00:10:41,640 --> 00:10:43,400 Speaker 1: to take another shot at it. I think Georgia right 246 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:47,360 Speaker 1: now is the most complete team out there they've identified. 247 00:10:47,520 --> 00:10:49,720 Speaker 1: And here's the thing that bothers me is this was 248 00:10:49,800 --> 00:10:51,959 Speaker 1: not the same team when they started SEC play back 249 00:10:51,960 --> 00:10:54,240 Speaker 1: in March. Not the same team that started out at 250 00:10:54,280 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 1: the beginning of April. Georgia is absolutely on fire. They've 251 00:10:57,320 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 1: identified a Friday night pitcher and the rest of their staff, 252 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:03,200 Speaker 1: which was gonna be a bunch of throwaway bullpen guys 253 00:11:03,200 --> 00:11:06,920 Speaker 1: have actually turned into turned into quality starts and quality 254 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:09,959 Speaker 1: saves out of the bullpen. Georgia is firing on all cylinders. 255 00:11:10,240 --> 00:11:13,480 Speaker 1: Their offense looks like LSU from last year, and that's scary. 256 00:11:14,480 --> 00:11:17,000 Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on Big Blue Nation Kentucky? At 257 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:18,640 Speaker 2: least you can also give me a bit of a 258 00:11:18,720 --> 00:11:21,920 Speaker 2: history lesson, you know, is this outside of the norm 259 00:11:22,000 --> 00:11:24,280 Speaker 2: for them to be this high in the rankings with 260 00:11:24,559 --> 00:11:28,200 Speaker 2: expectations that are now moving beyond just hey, gets regionals, 261 00:11:28,200 --> 00:11:30,319 Speaker 2: maybe get to a Super Regional at this point, is 262 00:11:30,360 --> 00:11:32,319 Speaker 2: it gets to the College World Series or bust? 263 00:11:34,480 --> 00:11:37,240 Speaker 1: I mean, that's the thing. It's funny ways I make 264 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:39,880 Speaker 1: everybody makes jokes about Arkansas baseball around here. You know, 265 00:11:39,920 --> 00:11:42,760 Speaker 1: I live pretty close to campus, and the joke is 266 00:11:42,800 --> 00:11:45,719 Speaker 1: everybody in the SEC West has a national title except Arkansas. 267 00:11:45,880 --> 00:11:48,000 Speaker 1: That's true. And then when you look at Kentucky, they're 268 00:11:48,080 --> 00:11:49,719 Speaker 1: kind of in the same boat. I mean, you're there 269 00:11:49,760 --> 00:11:52,880 Speaker 1: with Vandy, you know, in Tennessee's I'm probably gonna get 270 00:11:52,920 --> 00:11:55,600 Speaker 1: to Omaha g in. But Kentucky, you know, the expectations 271 00:11:55,640 --> 00:11:57,600 Speaker 1: have never been that high for this baseball team. But 272 00:11:57,640 --> 00:12:00,040 Speaker 1: now they're number one, and I think they are the 273 00:12:00,080 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 1: perfect overall number one seed because we know the history. 274 00:12:03,240 --> 00:12:05,480 Speaker 1: The overall number one seed hasn't won since ninety nine. 275 00:12:05,480 --> 00:12:07,480 Speaker 1: They haven't played in the Championship Series since two thousand 276 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:10,440 Speaker 1: and nine. And I think Kentucky's resume it's good. You 277 00:12:10,520 --> 00:12:13,760 Speaker 1: cannot go against twenty five and eight Quad one, Quad 278 00:12:13,760 --> 00:12:16,040 Speaker 1: two record, you can't go with having the tenth best 279 00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 1: strength of schedule, and you're number one in road RPI. 280 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,800 Speaker 1: But there's variance in these numbers. They caught Georgia mid 281 00:12:21,840 --> 00:12:24,000 Speaker 1: March when Georgia didn't know who they were. It's not 282 00:12:24,040 --> 00:12:26,640 Speaker 1: the same Bulldogs team right now. They needed extra innings 283 00:12:26,640 --> 00:12:29,200 Speaker 1: twice to beat Florida this past weekend. That Florida team 284 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:31,959 Speaker 1: that's dipped down to sixty to one, that is in 285 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:35,800 Speaker 1: jeopardy of finishing sub five hundred. You know Kentucky needed 286 00:12:35,840 --> 00:12:38,880 Speaker 1: two games in extra innings to win that. And then 287 00:12:39,000 --> 00:12:41,080 Speaker 1: road series of victories. Look at this. I mean I 288 00:12:41,160 --> 00:12:42,760 Speaker 1: just mentioned you know you want to go through Tennessee, 289 00:12:42,800 --> 00:12:44,719 Speaker 1: you want to go through Vandy. That's not what we have. 290 00:12:44,920 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 1: Their road series against Missouri, Old miss Auburn, South Carolina. 291 00:12:48,880 --> 00:12:51,080 Speaker 1: I mean, there is a scenario we're all four of 292 00:12:51,120 --> 00:12:55,440 Speaker 1: those could miss the postseason. There's a scenario at South Carolina. 293 00:12:55,520 --> 00:12:59,280 Speaker 1: I likely not, but there's a scenario there. So you know, 294 00:12:59,320 --> 00:13:01,480 Speaker 1: they lost a whole series to Tennessee. And that's I 295 00:13:01,480 --> 00:13:03,240 Speaker 1: think I tweeted out right there and there it says 296 00:13:03,320 --> 00:13:06,040 Speaker 1: Kentucky does not have the gear offensively seventy fourth and 297 00:13:06,080 --> 00:13:08,760 Speaker 1: homers per game. I think they are a perfect number 298 00:13:08,800 --> 00:13:11,720 Speaker 1: one seed. Go ahead, get into the postseason, keep that 299 00:13:11,800 --> 00:13:14,080 Speaker 1: trend going because I just don't see the Wildcats winning it. 300 00:13:14,120 --> 00:13:15,760 Speaker 1: And I will say this, I don't have a single 301 00:13:15,760 --> 00:13:18,200 Speaker 1: penny Calbaries. I don't have a single penny on Kentucky, 302 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:20,120 Speaker 1: and I won't have a single penny even if they 303 00:13:20,280 --> 00:13:23,080 Speaker 1: make it into the Championship Rown. Maybe I'll hedge. 304 00:13:24,440 --> 00:13:26,480 Speaker 2: All right, we're going to go from the powerhouse SEC 305 00:13:26,800 --> 00:13:29,960 Speaker 2: to an underdog that I referred to earlier. You see Irvine. 306 00:13:30,120 --> 00:13:33,080 Speaker 2: Since April nineteenth, the ant Eaters are thirteen and two 307 00:13:33,200 --> 00:13:36,079 Speaker 2: straight up. They won the season series against nationally ranks 308 00:13:36,160 --> 00:13:38,720 Speaker 2: you see Santa Barbara, which is really their only opportunity 309 00:13:38,920 --> 00:13:41,319 Speaker 2: in the last we'll call it ten weeks to play 310 00:13:41,480 --> 00:13:43,800 Speaker 2: up to a team that is likely to play in 311 00:13:43,800 --> 00:13:44,439 Speaker 2: the NCAA. 312 00:13:44,480 --> 00:13:44,760 Speaker 3: Tournament. 313 00:13:44,760 --> 00:13:47,840 Speaker 2: Their top ten fielding percentage third and on base percentage, 314 00:13:47,920 --> 00:13:49,839 Speaker 2: and they're a veteran team. I really liked when I 315 00:13:49,880 --> 00:13:51,960 Speaker 2: dug into this to see how much they had brought 316 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:54,840 Speaker 2: back from last year. So many regulars in their lineup, 317 00:13:54,840 --> 00:13:57,080 Speaker 2: and it's paid off because they have six players hitting 318 00:13:57,120 --> 00:13:59,439 Speaker 2: over three hundred, you know in there, you know, one 319 00:13:59,480 --> 00:14:01,480 Speaker 2: through nine, and then you have Nick Pinto, who's a 320 00:14:01,559 --> 00:14:04,280 Speaker 2: veteran ace. He's pitched in a million games. But really, 321 00:14:04,320 --> 00:14:07,720 Speaker 2: freshman Trevor Hanson has been the new addition to their 322 00:14:07,800 --> 00:14:10,120 Speaker 2: rotation and help them achieve new heights. He got bangs 323 00:14:10,120 --> 00:14:12,360 Speaker 2: around early, as freshmen are wont to do, but he's 324 00:14:12,400 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 2: been really solid in his last three appearances, striking out 325 00:14:15,360 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 2: thirteen in his last twelve innings of work. What are 326 00:14:17,920 --> 00:14:20,520 Speaker 2: your thoughts on the ant Eaters, particularly if they get 327 00:14:20,520 --> 00:14:23,120 Speaker 2: paired up with some of these paper tigers out west. 328 00:14:23,160 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 2: Whoever ends up winning the Pac twelve you alluded to 329 00:14:25,960 --> 00:14:27,960 Speaker 2: to it earlier, We really shouldn't. 330 00:14:27,560 --> 00:14:28,560 Speaker 3: Be scared of that champion. 331 00:14:29,000 --> 00:14:32,120 Speaker 1: They're a dangerous, dangerous team if they make it to Omaha. 332 00:14:32,200 --> 00:14:34,000 Speaker 1: And the reason is there one hundred and sixtieth and 333 00:14:34,040 --> 00:14:37,520 Speaker 1: Homer's per game but doesn't matter. Tdam Marria trade zaps 334 00:14:37,560 --> 00:14:39,880 Speaker 1: all that out from you. They are an on base team. 335 00:14:39,880 --> 00:14:42,040 Speaker 1: They're third in the nation on base percentage, which means 336 00:14:42,040 --> 00:14:43,840 Speaker 1: they can slap it around the park and get guys 337 00:14:43,880 --> 00:14:45,920 Speaker 1: on and those are the teams that usually cause a 338 00:14:45,960 --> 00:14:49,080 Speaker 1: lot of problems in Omaha. What's really going to go 339 00:14:49,120 --> 00:14:52,080 Speaker 1: bad is if they do draw a region that and 340 00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:54,280 Speaker 1: I'm glad Stanford's on it, like every ball flies out 341 00:14:54,280 --> 00:14:56,280 Speaker 1: of the sunken diamond, like it's like there's no tomorrow. 342 00:14:56,400 --> 00:14:59,080 Speaker 1: They need paper Tigers to get matched up with in 343 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,520 Speaker 1: the regionals and the super regionals because right now, you 344 00:15:02,520 --> 00:15:04,760 Speaker 1: know their strength of schedules one hundred and third, but 345 00:15:04,800 --> 00:15:07,440 Speaker 1: their road RPI is third. So they've played some good 346 00:15:07,480 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 1: teams on the road and they are better. And you 347 00:15:09,680 --> 00:15:11,760 Speaker 1: see Santa Barbara, I know, you see Santa Barbara's gonna 348 00:15:11,760 --> 00:15:14,200 Speaker 1: win the Big West out there, but you see Irvine 349 00:15:14,280 --> 00:15:16,040 Speaker 1: is the better team. I don't think it's a bad 350 00:15:16,040 --> 00:15:18,880 Speaker 1: idea to grab a future on them, but I'm personally 351 00:15:18,960 --> 00:15:21,160 Speaker 1: waiting until I see who they get drawn up with. 352 00:15:21,520 --> 00:15:23,600 Speaker 1: If they have to go to Oregon State, that could 353 00:15:23,640 --> 00:15:25,600 Speaker 1: be a problem. If they have to go play Arizona. 354 00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 1: I think that's a little bit easier. I think playing 355 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,520 Speaker 1: Oregon is a little bit easier. I wouldn't want to 356 00:15:29,520 --> 00:15:31,880 Speaker 1: say anybody could core Valius with a futures ticket there. 357 00:15:31,920 --> 00:15:34,960 Speaker 1: But you see, Irvine is a dangerous club, and if 358 00:15:34,960 --> 00:15:36,600 Speaker 1: they make it to Omaha, it's not like we're just 359 00:15:36,600 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 1: going to sweep them under the rug and say this 360 00:15:38,320 --> 00:15:40,200 Speaker 1: is a team that can be beat. This team is great, 361 00:15:40,240 --> 00:15:42,720 Speaker 1: and they have a great road RPI and they fit 362 00:15:42,760 --> 00:15:44,240 Speaker 1: the dimensions of TD Amerior trade. 363 00:15:45,040 --> 00:15:47,000 Speaker 2: All right, as we've played two weeks ago, we're back 364 00:15:47,040 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 2: to this would you rather game. We're gonna give you 365 00:15:49,520 --> 00:15:51,640 Speaker 2: two matchups at a time. You go ahead and tell 366 00:15:51,640 --> 00:15:53,680 Speaker 2: me how you would play it, either you know, playing 367 00:15:53,680 --> 00:15:55,680 Speaker 2: the opener or the series price itself. 368 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:57,840 Speaker 3: So you have Georgia against Florida. 369 00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:00,760 Speaker 2: And then Tennessee against South Carolina and CC play. 370 00:16:01,760 --> 00:16:04,400 Speaker 1: Yeah, Georgia should be minus three forty minus four to forty, 371 00:16:04,400 --> 00:16:06,360 Speaker 1: minus two to eighty. That comes to a series price 372 00:16:06,400 --> 00:16:10,960 Speaker 1: of minus six seventy five. Florida is pesky. Pierce Koppo 373 00:16:11,000 --> 00:16:13,960 Speaker 1: has been better than advertised on Friday nights For a 374 00:16:14,000 --> 00:16:17,280 Speaker 1: guy who's kind of just been thrown into the leadoff role. Uh, 375 00:16:17,480 --> 00:16:20,120 Speaker 1: you know, and I don't know why Jack kag jag 376 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:22,440 Speaker 1: Leione is not pitching on Friday nights, but I mean, 377 00:16:23,080 --> 00:16:25,280 Speaker 1: you know, usually they're good on Sundays of sweeping up 378 00:16:25,280 --> 00:16:27,640 Speaker 1: that game. Florida is. But at this point, Georgia is 379 00:16:27,720 --> 00:16:31,240 Speaker 1: so on fire right now. If the books post anything 380 00:16:31,360 --> 00:16:36,280 Speaker 1: less than minus three forty on Colton on Friday night, 381 00:16:36,320 --> 00:16:38,480 Speaker 1: then it's absolutely going to be an auto play. Georgia's 382 00:16:38,640 --> 00:16:40,160 Speaker 1: turning into an auto play every week because I don't 383 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:41,640 Speaker 1: think the books have caught up to how good they are. 384 00:16:42,680 --> 00:16:44,680 Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna give a quick shout out to caglion 385 00:16:44,920 --> 00:16:47,960 Speaker 2: thirty game hit streak, which is incredible. I think this 386 00:16:48,080 --> 00:16:50,360 Speaker 2: now moves him solidly into the best ball player in 387 00:16:50,400 --> 00:16:51,240 Speaker 2: Gators history. 388 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:52,520 Speaker 3: Move over, Brad Wilkerson. 389 00:16:52,800 --> 00:16:55,680 Speaker 2: I think Kaglione is the top dog when it comes 390 00:16:55,720 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 2: to Florida hitters pitchers. 391 00:16:57,120 --> 00:16:58,560 Speaker 3: He does both, so it's convenient. 392 00:16:59,520 --> 00:17:01,600 Speaker 2: But I I think in general this team, you know, 393 00:17:01,640 --> 00:17:03,840 Speaker 2: they are pesky, but they haven't been able to get 394 00:17:03,880 --> 00:17:04,359 Speaker 2: over the hump. 395 00:17:04,440 --> 00:17:07,679 Speaker 3: Six straight series losses in SEC play. 396 00:17:08,200 --> 00:17:11,359 Speaker 2: I can't think of a number south of ten to 397 00:17:11,400 --> 00:17:13,280 Speaker 2: one that would interest me. And as you mentioned, it's 398 00:17:13,320 --> 00:17:15,520 Speaker 2: probably going to fall in that closest, you know, minus 399 00:17:15,560 --> 00:17:17,800 Speaker 2: seven hundred range. So I still think there's value on 400 00:17:17,840 --> 00:17:18,680 Speaker 2: Georgia as well. 401 00:17:18,920 --> 00:17:21,360 Speaker 3: But we a future. 402 00:17:21,080 --> 00:17:24,040 Speaker 1: Look at MLB All Star Derby with Jack Kaglion and 403 00:17:24,400 --> 00:17:27,280 Speaker 1: Charlie Condon hitting homers against each other. So Connan actually 404 00:17:27,280 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 1: has a six home run lead over Kagalio and to 405 00:17:29,080 --> 00:17:30,960 Speaker 1: lead the nation. So that's I mean, you're going to 406 00:17:31,000 --> 00:17:33,119 Speaker 1: see a lot of power in that Georgia Florida series. 407 00:17:33,840 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 2: We'll stay in the Southeastern Conference Kentucky, Vandy or A 408 00:17:37,000 --> 00:17:38,159 Speaker 2: and m Arkansas. 409 00:17:37,800 --> 00:17:39,080 Speaker 3: That we already talked about at the top. 410 00:17:39,520 --> 00:17:41,160 Speaker 1: Oh, well, we're going to take Kentucky at home. They've 411 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,040 Speaker 1: been fantastic. Vandy is on the ropes. They are struggling. 412 00:17:44,080 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 1: They need this series badly. But it's just not been there. 413 00:17:46,200 --> 00:17:48,840 Speaker 1: The offense hasn't been there, the pitching hasn't been there, 414 00:17:49,240 --> 00:17:51,600 Speaker 1: And sadly, I can't believe I'm gonna say this. I'm 415 00:17:51,600 --> 00:17:53,119 Speaker 1: going to go with Texas A and M this weekend. 416 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:56,679 Speaker 1: The pitching has not been good for Arkansas on the 417 00:17:56,720 --> 00:17:58,960 Speaker 1: third day, especially with Mason Molina. He has been out 418 00:17:58,960 --> 00:18:01,560 Speaker 1: before the fourth inning. Couple starts in a row. Brady 419 00:18:01,600 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 1: Tiger is really struggling with command on the second outing 420 00:18:05,000 --> 00:18:08,439 Speaker 1: of the Saturday outing generally, and you know our bullpen 421 00:18:08,440 --> 00:18:10,160 Speaker 1: has come in to saved it. But at the same time, 422 00:18:10,200 --> 00:18:12,560 Speaker 1: Texas A and M is at home. Just like Arkansas, 423 00:18:12,720 --> 00:18:15,520 Speaker 1: these SEC teams when they're at home, they're generally elite 424 00:18:15,520 --> 00:18:18,880 Speaker 1: and tough to beat. I see, I see Hagen Smith, 425 00:18:19,320 --> 00:18:22,080 Speaker 1: the best pitcher in the nation on Friday, I'm sorry, 426 00:18:22,119 --> 00:18:24,680 Speaker 1: Thursday night against Texas A and M on the road. 427 00:18:25,119 --> 00:18:27,359 Speaker 1: I see him as a plus one fifty dog. Like 428 00:18:27,400 --> 00:18:30,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna end up betting Hagen Smith against Ryan Prayer 429 00:18:30,560 --> 00:18:33,199 Speaker 1: just you know, at that number, Like I mean, you're 430 00:18:33,240 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 1: betting Hagen Smith at plus money, like you're just doing 431 00:18:36,560 --> 00:18:38,520 Speaker 1: that blindly no matter who they're going up against. But 432 00:18:38,560 --> 00:18:41,080 Speaker 1: I'm telling you, from a numbers perspective, A and M 433 00:18:41,080 --> 00:18:43,600 Speaker 1: should be favored minus one seventy on the first game, 434 00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:45,920 Speaker 1: which I believe is Thursday night. So I'm gonna go 435 00:18:45,960 --> 00:18:47,359 Speaker 1: with Texas A and M in the series. And kills 436 00:18:47,359 --> 00:18:48,919 Speaker 1: me to say that, you. 437 00:18:48,920 --> 00:18:52,760 Speaker 2: Know, college football public versus non public teams very much 438 00:18:52,800 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 2: alive and well, you pay a premium for the Alabamas 439 00:18:55,080 --> 00:18:56,920 Speaker 2: in the Notre Dames in the USC's of the world. 440 00:18:57,080 --> 00:18:59,119 Speaker 2: Do you think there's a reverse factor going on in 441 00:18:59,119 --> 00:19:02,160 Speaker 2: that Kentucky Vandy series, Like why is Kentucky less than 442 00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,320 Speaker 2: minus two hundred in a series? As you point out, 443 00:19:04,359 --> 00:19:06,680 Speaker 2: Vandy's not playing their best baseball right now, Well. 444 00:19:06,640 --> 00:19:09,080 Speaker 1: Kentucky's not attractive whatsoever. You watch them play like it's 445 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:11,800 Speaker 1: kind of dink and dunk offense, kind of station to 446 00:19:11,880 --> 00:19:15,920 Speaker 1: station base running, like it's not a real exciting offense. 447 00:19:15,960 --> 00:19:17,520 Speaker 1: But at the same time, they have, you know, they 448 00:19:17,520 --> 00:19:21,240 Speaker 1: have really great pitching right now, and you know that's 449 00:19:21,240 --> 00:19:23,960 Speaker 1: what's kept their head afloat. Their offense has been better 450 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:27,240 Speaker 1: as of late, you know, in comparison to Vandy, in 451 00:19:27,280 --> 00:19:30,000 Speaker 1: comparison to Arkansas. But it's just they're not a pretty 452 00:19:30,040 --> 00:19:32,280 Speaker 1: watch and maybe that has to do with it. But 453 00:19:32,280 --> 00:19:34,720 Speaker 1: then again, the pedigree of Vanderbilt, I mean, we're a 454 00:19:34,720 --> 00:19:37,880 Speaker 1: couple of years removed from being in the College World 455 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:40,040 Speaker 1: Series with Kumar Rocker. I mean, the Vandy Boys are 456 00:19:40,040 --> 00:19:44,560 Speaker 1: always there. And when you get a constant, you know, 457 00:19:44,640 --> 00:19:47,800 Speaker 1: Buster only Vandy Boys tweets going out like every five days, 458 00:19:47,800 --> 00:19:50,639 Speaker 1: I mean, it reinforces better as thinking that Vanderbilt is 459 00:19:50,680 --> 00:19:53,600 Speaker 1: the better team, and in this case, they're not. All right. 460 00:19:53,640 --> 00:19:57,320 Speaker 2: Let's transition over to the ACC two pack of games here, Duke, 461 00:19:57,359 --> 00:20:00,320 Speaker 2: North Carolina. North Carolina is surging, arguably playing the best 462 00:20:00,359 --> 00:20:03,000 Speaker 2: baseball in the ACC in the last six weeks, and 463 00:20:03,040 --> 00:20:05,160 Speaker 2: then Wake against NC State. 464 00:20:05,240 --> 00:20:06,360 Speaker 3: Either of those jump out to. 465 00:20:06,280 --> 00:20:08,720 Speaker 1: You, Duke will pop off to me if I don't 466 00:20:08,760 --> 00:20:12,120 Speaker 1: see Tacaro and Sprague starting for North Carolina, I don't 467 00:20:12,119 --> 00:20:14,840 Speaker 1: know when North Carolina because they've already wrapped up the ACC. 468 00:20:15,440 --> 00:20:17,520 Speaker 1: Not sure how serious they're going to take the conference tournament, 469 00:20:18,000 --> 00:20:20,240 Speaker 1: but I think we'll get an indication of how series 470 00:20:20,280 --> 00:20:22,119 Speaker 1: they feel about it when we see the pitching rotation 471 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,920 Speaker 1: for this weekend. They may hold to Carro and Sprague back. 472 00:20:25,359 --> 00:20:28,040 Speaker 1: So Duken absolutely take that series. They need to take 473 00:20:28,080 --> 00:20:30,439 Speaker 1: that series. Things have been a little bit harder for 474 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:32,880 Speaker 1: them than I would have expected them to be. At 475 00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:34,480 Speaker 1: the same time, when you flip to the other side, 476 00:20:34,600 --> 00:20:37,800 Speaker 1: NC State at home hosting Wake Forest, Okay, So Wake 477 00:20:37,920 --> 00:20:39,960 Speaker 1: is going to be one of the very few heavy 478 00:20:40,000 --> 00:20:41,760 Speaker 1: favorites on the road this weekend. They're going to be 479 00:20:41,800 --> 00:20:44,040 Speaker 1: minus two to eighty when Chase Burns takes the mound 480 00:20:44,440 --> 00:20:46,639 Speaker 1: minus one eighty on their second game, and then minus 481 00:20:46,640 --> 00:20:51,639 Speaker 1: one forty when a brand new, revived Josh Hartle is 482 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 1: going to take the mound, who is back to being 483 00:20:53,800 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 1: what we thought was going to be the best pitcher 484 00:20:55,520 --> 00:20:58,679 Speaker 1: in the nation. Well, he's now supplying all that hype 485 00:20:58,680 --> 00:21:01,880 Speaker 1: for wake Forest their third game. I wouldn't be surprised 486 00:21:01,880 --> 00:21:03,440 Speaker 1: to see them go on the road to Incy State 487 00:21:03,800 --> 00:21:06,040 Speaker 1: take this series. They could even sweep it. This team 488 00:21:06,040 --> 00:21:07,639 Speaker 1: now has a chip on their shoulder and they were 489 00:21:07,680 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 1: the preseason number one and they're finally playing like it. 490 00:21:10,119 --> 00:21:12,640 Speaker 1: Like our first podcast, Caliberies, I've talked about how they've 491 00:21:12,640 --> 00:21:15,639 Speaker 1: just been completely unlucky. Their fips and their ex fips 492 00:21:15,640 --> 00:21:17,960 Speaker 1: are a run and a half higher than their eras, 493 00:21:18,000 --> 00:21:20,040 Speaker 1: like it's all going to come back. I would bet 494 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:22,679 Speaker 1: wake Forest here. I project them minus two seventy for 495 00:21:22,720 --> 00:21:25,200 Speaker 1: the series against inc State. I take anything at that 496 00:21:25,400 --> 00:21:25,760 Speaker 1: or lower. 497 00:21:26,240 --> 00:21:29,359 Speaker 4: This podcast is presented by bet MGM use bonus code 498 00:21:29,359 --> 00:21:31,600 Speaker 4: action when signing up to get up to fifteen hundred 499 00:21:31,640 --> 00:21:34,120 Speaker 4: dollars back in bonus bets if your first bet does 500 00:21:34,160 --> 00:21:41,600 Speaker 4: not win. For new users in Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, 501 00:21:41,600 --> 00:21:46,200 Speaker 4: New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wyoming. 502 00:21:46,240 --> 00:21:49,159 Speaker 4: Bonus code action will give new users in North Carolina 503 00:21:49,440 --> 00:21:51,919 Speaker 4: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets for betting 504 00:21:52,040 --> 00:21:54,920 Speaker 4: just five dollars. Terms and conditions apply. Must be twenty 505 00:21:54,960 --> 00:21:58,280 Speaker 4: one plus gambling problem called one eight hundred gambler. 506 00:22:00,680 --> 00:22:03,800 Speaker 2: All right, these next matchups one in the PAC twelve, 507 00:22:03,800 --> 00:22:05,880 Speaker 2: one of the big ten. I'm very interested in talking 508 00:22:05,920 --> 00:22:09,600 Speaker 2: about the PAC twelve matchup Oregon State against Arizona. You 509 00:22:09,640 --> 00:22:12,800 Speaker 2: mentioned it at the top, a critical matchup for the 510 00:22:12,840 --> 00:22:15,919 Speaker 2: regular season title. But the alarms are going off for me. 511 00:22:16,200 --> 00:22:19,679 Speaker 2: Oregon State on the road, they are garbage. They are 512 00:22:19,720 --> 00:22:21,560 Speaker 2: outside of the top one hundred in terms of their 513 00:22:21,640 --> 00:22:24,240 Speaker 2: road RPI, and it's appropriate that they wear orange and 514 00:22:24,280 --> 00:22:27,480 Speaker 2: black because they are Pitching staff turns into absolute pumpkins 515 00:22:27,800 --> 00:22:31,720 Speaker 2: on the road, particularly Jacob Kamatz. He got shelled in 516 00:22:31,760 --> 00:22:33,520 Speaker 2: his last road start. He gave up eight hits in 517 00:22:33,600 --> 00:22:36,720 Speaker 2: five runs to Washington State, Who's nothing to write home about. 518 00:22:36,920 --> 00:22:39,359 Speaker 2: So I am very much interested in the Wildcats in 519 00:22:39,400 --> 00:22:42,080 Speaker 2: this matchup. Oregon State is clearly a team that it's 520 00:22:42,240 --> 00:22:44,840 Speaker 2: pivotal for them to be hosting a regional because they 521 00:22:44,840 --> 00:22:47,920 Speaker 2: play their best baseball in Corvallis. So is there anything 522 00:22:47,920 --> 00:22:49,960 Speaker 2: I'm missing there or is this just an auto play 523 00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:51,800 Speaker 2: because the Beavers really struggle on the road. 524 00:22:51,680 --> 00:22:53,080 Speaker 1: Well, they do struggle on the road, But at the 525 00:22:53,080 --> 00:22:55,359 Speaker 1: same time, I project them as a small favorite in 526 00:22:55,400 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 1: all three games minus one sixty and then minus one 527 00:22:57,880 --> 00:22:59,840 Speaker 1: thirty and minus one thirty for the other two games. 528 00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:03,159 Speaker 1: So I make the series price minus one sixty. So 529 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:04,880 Speaker 1: if you're gonna get air, if you want to take Arizona, 530 00:23:04,880 --> 00:23:06,639 Speaker 1: which I don't think is a bad bet this weekend 531 00:23:06,640 --> 00:23:10,359 Speaker 1: playing at home for the PAC twelve and Oregon State 532 00:23:10,400 --> 00:23:13,359 Speaker 1: has just been night and day different away from Corvallis, 533 00:23:14,320 --> 00:23:16,400 Speaker 1: look for a price and plus one forty or better. 534 00:23:16,440 --> 00:23:19,720 Speaker 1: If you see anything like that, Arizona is gonna be it. 535 00:23:19,720 --> 00:23:22,080 Speaker 1: It's actually a very interesting weekend in the Pac twelve 536 00:23:22,160 --> 00:23:25,000 Speaker 1: because they're you know, teams like Utah Cal they need 537 00:23:25,080 --> 00:23:27,960 Speaker 1: big weekends to step up here. But Arizona can win 538 00:23:28,640 --> 00:23:30,639 Speaker 1: the Pac twelve. And I think I'm saying this with 539 00:23:30,720 --> 00:23:33,920 Speaker 1: a tear in my eye because this is it. Next 540 00:23:33,960 --> 00:23:36,359 Speaker 1: week we have a PAC twelve tournament and then I 541 00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:38,320 Speaker 1: don't know Calbary's Like you and I are in this 542 00:23:38,359 --> 00:23:40,439 Speaker 1: pool where we discuss every sport in the world. Like 543 00:23:40,600 --> 00:23:43,359 Speaker 1: I know, there's other Division one stuff going on, and 544 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:44,840 Speaker 1: there will be a couple of things going on in 545 00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:47,840 Speaker 1: July and August. But this is it for the PAC twelve. Goodbye, 546 00:23:47,880 --> 00:23:50,560 Speaker 1: happy trails. I mean, this is for the championship this weekend. 547 00:23:50,680 --> 00:23:53,040 Speaker 1: So kind of sad, but yes, I would take Arizona 548 00:23:53,040 --> 00:23:54,520 Speaker 1: plus one forty year better in that series. 549 00:23:55,000 --> 00:23:56,840 Speaker 2: Yeah, last team out of the PAC twelve tournament. Turn 550 00:23:56,880 --> 00:23:58,760 Speaker 2: off the lights on your way out. All right, Big 551 00:23:58,800 --> 00:24:01,840 Speaker 2: ten discussion here, It's been a couple of years talking 552 00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:04,040 Speaker 2: college baseball with you. It's been a distinct pleasure for me. 553 00:24:04,320 --> 00:24:06,959 Speaker 2: We have not talked Big ten baseball very much. So 554 00:24:07,000 --> 00:24:09,720 Speaker 2: tell me, are we missing anything or did we skip 555 00:24:09,760 --> 00:24:10,480 Speaker 2: by it on purpose? 556 00:24:10,480 --> 00:24:11,600 Speaker 3: And that was probably for the best. 557 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:13,720 Speaker 1: I really don't want to hurt I mean, Big ten 558 00:24:13,760 --> 00:24:15,840 Speaker 1: is such a big part of BBOC, right, I can't 559 00:24:15,840 --> 00:24:18,119 Speaker 1: be disparaging the Big ten. But they all know, like 560 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,640 Speaker 1: I have family went to Nebraska. They all know. But no, 561 00:24:21,800 --> 00:24:24,119 Speaker 1: Illinois is going to be on the road going up 562 00:24:24,119 --> 00:24:27,440 Speaker 1: against Purdue this weekend. They Purdue is going to be 563 00:24:27,480 --> 00:24:29,480 Speaker 1: a big favorite. I've got a minus two ten, minus 564 00:24:29,480 --> 00:24:32,080 Speaker 1: one fifty five and minus one sixty. Illinois has a 565 00:24:32,080 --> 00:24:34,119 Speaker 1: one game lead in the Big Ten, and there's about 566 00:24:34,160 --> 00:24:38,360 Speaker 1: four teams that can grab that title, including Nebraska here 567 00:24:38,400 --> 00:24:41,160 Speaker 1: this weekend. So really big weekend in the Big Ten. 568 00:24:41,520 --> 00:24:44,600 Speaker 1: The problem with Big Ten baseball is they just don't 569 00:24:44,800 --> 00:24:47,440 Speaker 1: attract the talent and they don't play as big of 570 00:24:47,480 --> 00:24:50,080 Speaker 1: a schedule as the teams in the South. And you know, 571 00:24:50,359 --> 00:24:52,200 Speaker 1: I know this may be unbelievable if you're new to 572 00:24:52,200 --> 00:24:54,520 Speaker 1: college baseball, but the Sun Belt is quickly on their 573 00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:57,160 Speaker 1: way to being a better league overall, front to back 574 00:24:57,240 --> 00:24:58,919 Speaker 1: than the Big Ten when it comes to baseball. So 575 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,600 Speaker 1: I'm gonna say Perdue wins this series. Illinois does not 576 00:25:02,640 --> 00:25:06,320 Speaker 1: win the Big Ten. I have no clue who to 577 00:25:06,320 --> 00:25:07,959 Speaker 1: put money out like. If you want to have a future, 578 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,280 Speaker 1: bet on Nebraska, Illinois, Perdue. I think Nebraska has the 579 00:25:11,320 --> 00:25:13,680 Speaker 1: better pitching of all three of those teams. I think 580 00:25:13,720 --> 00:25:17,080 Speaker 1: Nebraska can have the better pop. There's there's really some 581 00:25:17,359 --> 00:25:20,640 Speaker 1: things in Illinois numbers that are paper tiger from an era, 582 00:25:20,720 --> 00:25:22,960 Speaker 1: a road rpi of one to eighty. That's not gonna 583 00:25:22,960 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 1: They're not gonna win a single game once they get 584 00:25:24,480 --> 00:25:26,439 Speaker 1: away from home, which is this weekend at Purdue. So 585 00:25:27,800 --> 00:25:29,919 Speaker 1: I'll leave it there. The Big Ten is it's tough 586 00:25:30,520 --> 00:25:34,520 Speaker 1: because besides Michigan in twenty nineteen, there just really is 587 00:25:34,560 --> 00:25:36,480 Speaker 1: no Big Ten representation in the postseason. 588 00:25:37,359 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 2: All right, going from the Big Ten back to the 589 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:42,560 Speaker 2: big time. Let's talk about some aces that you're excited 590 00:25:42,600 --> 00:25:43,480 Speaker 2: to back this weekend. 591 00:25:44,240 --> 00:25:47,520 Speaker 1: Oh yeah, I think we've already started to mention them. 592 00:25:47,560 --> 00:25:50,320 Speaker 1: I'm gonna go. Colton Smith, sophomore at Georgia. He could 593 00:25:50,359 --> 00:25:53,040 Speaker 1: pitch any night. He has pitched any night he was, 594 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:56,280 Speaker 1: he was going Sunday, Saturday. I saw him on a Thursday. 595 00:25:56,320 --> 00:25:59,960 Speaker 1: I saw him on a Tuesday again recently on an 596 00:26:00,119 --> 00:26:02,840 Speaker 1: on a Thursday against South Carolina. He was the third 597 00:26:02,840 --> 00:26:04,720 Speaker 1: starter against Texas A and M. He pitched on a 598 00:26:04,720 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 1: Tuesday against Clemson in late April. Colton Smith is the 599 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:10,119 Speaker 1: go to guy for Georgia pitching right now, and he 600 00:26:10,200 --> 00:26:13,360 Speaker 1: is pitching elite. He is thirteenth nationally in strikeouts per 601 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:15,840 Speaker 1: nine at thirteen point eight, and he hasn't given up 602 00:26:15,880 --> 00:26:19,720 Speaker 1: more than three earned runs in a game since March thirtieth. 603 00:26:19,720 --> 00:26:21,000 Speaker 1: This goes back to what I said at the beginning 604 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:23,720 Speaker 1: of the podcast, is Georgia team throw their numbers from 605 00:26:23,880 --> 00:26:27,520 Speaker 1: April seventhsh before throw it away. This team is on 606 00:26:27,600 --> 00:26:30,959 Speaker 1: fire right now. Six total earned runs for Colton Smith 607 00:26:31,240 --> 00:26:34,000 Speaker 1: over his last nine appearances. That's thirty one point two 608 00:26:34,040 --> 00:26:37,080 Speaker 1: innings of six earned runs. That's the pitcher. I'm backing 609 00:26:37,200 --> 00:26:39,439 Speaker 1: from here until we get to the end of this season. 610 00:26:40,560 --> 00:26:42,520 Speaker 2: I know I'm linked to the North Carolina party, but 611 00:26:42,520 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 2: they've been red hot, so I want a piece of them. 612 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,240 Speaker 2: If the right starters get named, I'm glad that you 613 00:26:46,280 --> 00:26:49,320 Speaker 2: brought that up. But if Shay Sprague goes, their junior 614 00:26:49,400 --> 00:26:52,040 Speaker 2: lefty is one of the best pitchers in the ACC. 615 00:26:52,359 --> 00:26:54,399 Speaker 2: If he's on the bump on Saturday, it's likely going 616 00:26:54,480 --> 00:26:57,440 Speaker 2: to be around a coin flip. But additionally, even if 617 00:26:57,520 --> 00:27:00,400 Speaker 2: he does not start, I'm still interested at potentially playing 618 00:27:00,440 --> 00:27:02,880 Speaker 2: the tar Heels or looking at them on a live 619 00:27:02,960 --> 00:27:04,400 Speaker 2: number of if I can get it, because I love 620 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:07,359 Speaker 2: their bullpen. Matthias has been one of the best relievers 621 00:27:07,400 --> 00:27:10,040 Speaker 2: in all of baseball, and he really gives Scott Forbes 622 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:13,439 Speaker 2: a multi dimensional element out of his bullpen. He can 623 00:27:13,480 --> 00:27:15,080 Speaker 2: get tough outs come in, you know, for one or 624 00:27:15,119 --> 00:27:17,800 Speaker 2: two outs in situational moments, but he can also go 625 00:27:17,840 --> 00:27:20,000 Speaker 2: two or three innings if he has a starter that 626 00:27:20,080 --> 00:27:21,560 Speaker 2: can barely get out of the fourth inning. 627 00:27:21,800 --> 00:27:23,080 Speaker 3: So I think, you know, him. 628 00:27:22,920 --> 00:27:25,080 Speaker 2: Being able to be used like a chess piece all 629 00:27:25,119 --> 00:27:27,520 Speaker 2: over the board is really helpful for the Tar Heels. 630 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,040 Speaker 2: And this staff as a whole has given up the 631 00:27:30,040 --> 00:27:33,000 Speaker 2: fewest extra base hits in the ACC by a wide margin, 632 00:27:33,200 --> 00:27:35,440 Speaker 2: So I think that's something to consider when you're looking 633 00:27:35,480 --> 00:27:38,600 Speaker 2: at them potentially putting together a bullpen start for an 634 00:27:38,720 --> 00:27:41,639 Speaker 2: entire game, and Duke's really not playing their best baseball 635 00:27:41,680 --> 00:27:44,000 Speaker 2: at this point. They're stumbling into the ACC tournament and 636 00:27:44,040 --> 00:27:47,760 Speaker 2: they're absolutely beatable at home. A home record of twenty 637 00:27:47,760 --> 00:27:49,760 Speaker 2: one to eight for a team with as much upside 638 00:27:49,760 --> 00:27:51,800 Speaker 2: as the Blue Devils, I think is a bit troubling. 639 00:27:52,080 --> 00:27:54,439 Speaker 2: Jack Coombs Field is not a house of ours for 640 00:27:54,560 --> 00:27:57,239 Speaker 2: opposing teams, So I think North Carolina, if you can 641 00:27:57,280 --> 00:27:59,240 Speaker 2: get them close to even money with a guy like 642 00:27:59,280 --> 00:28:00,880 Speaker 2: Sprague on the bump, I think that's the play I'm 643 00:28:00,880 --> 00:28:01,359 Speaker 2: interested in. 644 00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:03,520 Speaker 1: Yeah, I love it. I love it. I'll round us 645 00:28:03,520 --> 00:28:05,880 Speaker 1: out on the pitchers here, with somebody from Dallas Baptist 646 00:28:05,920 --> 00:28:08,560 Speaker 1: who we have not talked about this year. Dallas Baptist 647 00:28:08,720 --> 00:28:12,080 Speaker 1: almost always seems to be in a regional and I 648 00:28:12,119 --> 00:28:13,719 Speaker 1: always seem to have a bet on him, and they 649 00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,880 Speaker 1: don't make it to a loss. So but I am 650 00:28:15,880 --> 00:28:18,479 Speaker 1: going to bet on Ryan Johnson. He's their junior hurler. 651 00:28:18,800 --> 00:28:22,080 Speaker 1: He's third nationally and strikeout to walk ratio. Dallas Baptist 652 00:28:22,119 --> 00:28:24,840 Speaker 1: is eleven and two in games that Ryan Johnson starts. 653 00:28:24,880 --> 00:28:27,040 Speaker 1: He is always. You don't have to look for him 654 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,640 Speaker 1: or what day it is. He is always their initial 655 00:28:29,720 --> 00:28:33,040 Speaker 1: game starter. He's allowed two earned runs and his last 656 00:28:33,040 --> 00:28:37,200 Speaker 1: three starts covering twenty one innings pitched. Ryan Johnson is 657 00:28:37,240 --> 00:28:40,000 Speaker 1: a play on this weekend, play on a conference tournament. 658 00:28:40,160 --> 00:28:43,720 Speaker 1: Even if you TSA wins, this win's this conference tournament. 659 00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:46,440 Speaker 1: Dallas Baptist still in regionals, and we are still betting 660 00:28:46,440 --> 00:28:47,200 Speaker 1: on Ryan Johnson. 661 00:28:48,000 --> 00:28:49,960 Speaker 2: All right, let's close it out with In addition to 662 00:28:50,000 --> 00:28:52,640 Speaker 2: our futures portfolio, I've also been sharing it on my 663 00:28:52,760 --> 00:28:56,840 Speaker 2: social media. Collins always very active on Twitter x as well, 664 00:28:56,880 --> 00:28:58,120 Speaker 2: so be sure to follow. 665 00:28:57,880 --> 00:28:58,560 Speaker 3: Both of us. 666 00:28:58,920 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 2: I have let's see Duke at nineteen to one and 667 00:29:01,280 --> 00:29:03,000 Speaker 2: I have Tennesse Ceo was able to grab him at 668 00:29:03,000 --> 00:29:05,240 Speaker 2: one of the last eleven to one numbers out there, 669 00:29:05,280 --> 00:29:06,720 Speaker 2: But I have a long shot to add. 670 00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:08,640 Speaker 3: Where are you going with your pick. 671 00:29:08,480 --> 00:29:10,440 Speaker 1: Here, Colin Well, I mean I talked about at the 672 00:29:10,480 --> 00:29:12,840 Speaker 1: beginning of the show about a couple of weeks. Now 673 00:29:12,840 --> 00:29:15,120 Speaker 1: I've taken a Georgia fifty five to one. I've taken 674 00:29:15,160 --> 00:29:16,760 Speaker 1: I took him today at thirty nine to one, and 675 00:29:16,800 --> 00:29:19,040 Speaker 1: that's at a very prominent national book, So I know 676 00:29:19,120 --> 00:29:22,120 Speaker 1: that's out there, but I've seen them as low as 677 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:24,520 Speaker 1: twenty five to one. If you can get over thirty 678 00:29:24,560 --> 00:29:27,040 Speaker 1: to one, I'd say Georgia to win it all could 679 00:29:27,040 --> 00:29:28,880 Speaker 1: be a bet. But instead I'm going to go with 680 00:29:28,920 --> 00:29:31,200 Speaker 1: if you have this available at your book, which I 681 00:29:31,200 --> 00:29:34,280 Speaker 1: have a couple to do to make Omaha as a prop. 682 00:29:34,360 --> 00:29:39,080 Speaker 1: Georgia plus two twenty five eight straight victories over South Carolina, 683 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:41,280 Speaker 1: Vanderbilt and the tail end of the Texas A and 684 00:29:41,400 --> 00:29:43,959 Speaker 1: M series. They are approving it against good teams and 685 00:29:44,000 --> 00:29:46,440 Speaker 1: despite sitting around seventy fifth in the team and era 686 00:29:46,600 --> 00:29:48,800 Speaker 1: and whip, Colton Smith, like I said, provides a game 687 00:29:48,840 --> 00:29:51,960 Speaker 1: one ace and Charlie Condon, if you don't know who 688 00:29:51,960 --> 00:29:54,160 Speaker 1: this is if you haven't seen the highlights. He's coming 689 00:29:54,160 --> 00:29:57,000 Speaker 1: to a major League baseball team real soon to knock 690 00:29:57,040 --> 00:30:00,239 Speaker 1: about twenty five to thirty five homers per year. Right 691 00:30:00,280 --> 00:30:02,440 Speaker 1: now he has thirty four homers, seventy two RBIs, and 692 00:30:02,520 --> 00:30:05,000 Speaker 1: fifty games played, he has thirty four. He has thirty 693 00:30:05,000 --> 00:30:07,800 Speaker 1: two thirty four home runs in fifty games. He's up 694 00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:11,960 Speaker 1: to twenty two intentional walks, which is really interesting because 695 00:30:12,280 --> 00:30:15,160 Speaker 1: Corey Collins like leads the nation in OBP that bats 696 00:30:15,200 --> 00:30:18,160 Speaker 1: before him, and so you're intentionally walking him, even with 697 00:30:18,240 --> 00:30:21,000 Speaker 1: guys on. It's that's how good Charlie Connon is right now. 698 00:30:21,040 --> 00:30:24,360 Speaker 1: So Georgia has everything right now, take them plus two 699 00:30:24,440 --> 00:30:26,120 Speaker 1: twenty five to make Omaha. 700 00:30:26,920 --> 00:30:28,800 Speaker 2: So as of right now, in one of the projections 701 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:33,360 Speaker 2: from Baseball America, the Athens Regional with Georgia hosting, they 702 00:30:33,360 --> 00:30:36,840 Speaker 2: would have Southern Miss, Georgia Tech, and Bryant's scared it 703 00:30:36,880 --> 00:30:38,480 Speaker 2: all of any of those teams zero. 704 00:30:39,040 --> 00:30:40,440 Speaker 1: That's a sweat free weekend. 705 00:30:40,920 --> 00:30:42,800 Speaker 2: All right, that's fantastic. That's what I was hoping you 706 00:30:42,840 --> 00:30:44,880 Speaker 2: would say there. All right, let us close it up 707 00:30:44,920 --> 00:30:48,000 Speaker 2: with my addition here, I like the a Eaters. You 708 00:30:48,040 --> 00:30:50,600 Speaker 2: see your vine three five to one to win it all, 709 00:30:50,680 --> 00:30:52,720 Speaker 2: and you stole my thunder a little bit. But actually 710 00:30:52,720 --> 00:30:54,960 Speaker 2: it makes me feel good because you validated a feeling 711 00:30:55,000 --> 00:30:57,440 Speaker 2: that I had, which is, if they can somehow get 712 00:30:57,440 --> 00:30:59,960 Speaker 2: to Omaha, then I think their brand of baseball work 713 00:31:00,160 --> 00:31:03,200 Speaker 2: in their favor. You know, they also if they can 714 00:31:03,240 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 2: either pull Oregon State or Arizona out west, I think 715 00:31:06,800 --> 00:31:08,760 Speaker 2: there's a chance for them to pull that upset. Forty 716 00:31:08,760 --> 00:31:10,480 Speaker 2: five to one I think is a great price. As 717 00:31:10,480 --> 00:31:13,120 Speaker 2: I mentioned, they have a veteran ace and pinto lots 718 00:31:13,120 --> 00:31:15,000 Speaker 2: of plus bats in this lineup, and they're playing their 719 00:31:15,000 --> 00:31:16,840 Speaker 2: best baseball right now. I want a team that's on 720 00:31:16,880 --> 00:31:20,120 Speaker 2: the upswing, that has confidence, and with such a weak, 721 00:31:20,400 --> 00:31:23,280 Speaker 2: you know, crop of teams out west, I think, you know, 722 00:31:23,360 --> 00:31:27,120 Speaker 2: from a personnel standpoint, you can make an argument that 723 00:31:27,160 --> 00:31:29,600 Speaker 2: they are, you know, one of the most trustworthy teams. 724 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,360 Speaker 2: But also just from a motivational standpoint, they could put 725 00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,720 Speaker 2: on the banner for the whole American West and say 726 00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:37,160 Speaker 2: we're the best team out here, So why not us? 727 00:31:37,200 --> 00:31:40,080 Speaker 2: As opposed to years when you've had some powerful teams 728 00:31:40,120 --> 00:31:42,040 Speaker 2: in the Pac twelve, that's just not the case. This 729 00:31:42,160 --> 00:31:43,880 Speaker 2: time around, I like the and Eaters. What do you 730 00:31:43,880 --> 00:31:45,560 Speaker 2: think about the price? Is there a threshold that you 731 00:31:45,560 --> 00:31:47,800 Speaker 2: would get in and involved with UCI? 732 00:31:48,280 --> 00:31:50,160 Speaker 1: Well, at this point in the season, you're I mean, 733 00:31:50,240 --> 00:31:53,040 Speaker 1: sixty four teams are going to get announced. Really only 734 00:31:53,080 --> 00:31:55,960 Speaker 1: half of those have real aspirations of making it to Omaha, 735 00:31:56,040 --> 00:31:57,640 Speaker 1: and you see Irvine is one of them. So I 736 00:31:57,640 --> 00:31:59,120 Speaker 1: would say, if you can get thirty five to one 737 00:31:59,200 --> 00:32:02,280 Speaker 1: or better, then you're you're You're really sitting in a 738 00:32:02,280 --> 00:32:04,680 Speaker 1: good position. The one thing I worry about with UC Irvine, 739 00:32:05,320 --> 00:32:07,120 Speaker 1: I think they could go to Corvallis and win. I 740 00:32:07,120 --> 00:32:09,240 Speaker 1: think they could go down to Tucson and win. There's 741 00:32:09,280 --> 00:32:11,000 Speaker 1: a lot of places on the western part of the 742 00:32:11,080 --> 00:32:12,960 Speaker 1: United States. I think they could win. But the problem 743 00:32:13,000 --> 00:32:14,800 Speaker 1: is if you see Santa Barbara wins the Big West, 744 00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:18,000 Speaker 1: which they probably will do, they give them the number 745 00:32:18,000 --> 00:32:21,080 Speaker 1: two seed in Corvallis or down in Tucson, and sin 746 00:32:21,160 --> 00:32:24,480 Speaker 1: you see Aravine to a place like Oklahoma, and that 747 00:32:24,560 --> 00:32:27,080 Speaker 1: would be disaster for the ticket. I think if they 748 00:32:27,080 --> 00:32:30,240 Speaker 1: can avoid a team that is not a paper tire, 749 00:32:30,400 --> 00:32:32,480 Speaker 1: if they can avoid like an Oklahoma or gets and 750 00:32:32,520 --> 00:32:35,720 Speaker 1: get saddled with Oregon State, Arizona or Oklahoma State. You're 751 00:32:35,800 --> 00:32:36,920 Speaker 1: you're sitting pretty. 752 00:32:37,440 --> 00:32:38,480 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's to your point. 753 00:32:38,520 --> 00:32:41,760 Speaker 2: In the latest projection they have, you see Santa Barbara 754 00:32:41,800 --> 00:32:45,720 Speaker 2: taking the last regional, so the sixteen seed they're hosting Arizona, 755 00:32:45,720 --> 00:32:48,200 Speaker 2: South Carolina and Fresno State. That is a big difference 756 00:32:49,080 --> 00:32:52,200 Speaker 2: for u SE Airvine. So a lot of things can change. 757 00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:54,960 Speaker 2: Obviously that there's still time. They're still jockeying for position, 758 00:32:55,320 --> 00:32:57,880 Speaker 2: and as I mentioned, the selection show for the NCAA 759 00:32:57,960 --> 00:33:01,320 Speaker 2: Tournament is on Monday, May twenty seventh, And a bit 760 00:33:01,360 --> 00:33:03,120 Speaker 2: of housekeeping for us, we're going to be back every 761 00:33:03,120 --> 00:33:05,720 Speaker 2: single week all the way through the national Championship. So 762 00:33:05,760 --> 00:33:07,719 Speaker 2: we're here to hold your hand, to give you as 763 00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 2: many futures tickets as possible, to give you plenty of 764 00:33:10,080 --> 00:33:11,600 Speaker 2: outs leading up to Omaha. 765 00:33:11,880 --> 00:33:13,160 Speaker 3: So next week we're going to be back. 766 00:33:13,240 --> 00:33:15,600 Speaker 2: It's gonna be a bit in the middle of conference 767 00:33:15,800 --> 00:33:18,960 Speaker 2: tournament time, so you can probably count on an episode 768 00:33:19,000 --> 00:33:20,600 Speaker 2: about half as long. We're just going to get into 769 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:23,760 Speaker 2: two to three futures that we like and overall comments 770 00:33:23,800 --> 00:33:26,400 Speaker 2: on some teams and their overall momentum. And as Colin 771 00:33:26,480 --> 00:33:28,160 Speaker 2: brings up, it's really important to get a lay of 772 00:33:28,200 --> 00:33:31,160 Speaker 2: the land because these teams aren't always the same as 773 00:33:31,160 --> 00:33:33,400 Speaker 2: they were two weeks ago, or six weeks ago or 774 00:33:33,440 --> 00:33:36,480 Speaker 2: three months ago. There's a lot of momentum and also 775 00:33:36,680 --> 00:33:38,000 Speaker 2: health that you need to keep an eye on. Some 776 00:33:38,000 --> 00:33:40,600 Speaker 2: of these rotations get healthier or they get guys banged up. 777 00:33:40,720 --> 00:33:43,400 Speaker 2: Those are things to consider as you're placing these futures bets. 778 00:33:43,640 --> 00:33:47,120 Speaker 2: Because the information for college baseball, we lament it in 779 00:33:47,160 --> 00:33:49,560 Speaker 2: college football and college basketball, it can be just as 780 00:33:49,560 --> 00:33:54,400 Speaker 2: difficult and prickly trying to get clear concise information out 781 00:33:54,400 --> 00:33:57,680 Speaker 2: of these managers and everyone that needs to, you know, 782 00:33:57,720 --> 00:33:59,440 Speaker 2: bring things to the forefront so you know if you're 783 00:33:59,440 --> 00:34:01,000 Speaker 2: playing with a full deck or not. So we're going 784 00:34:01,080 --> 00:34:03,280 Speaker 2: to do our best to give you all that information 785 00:34:03,400 --> 00:34:05,360 Speaker 2: starting next week, and as I mentioned, we're going to 786 00:34:05,400 --> 00:34:08,360 Speaker 2: be here every single week here on BBOC. 787 00:34:08,080 --> 00:34:09,680 Speaker 3: For Colin Wilson on Mike Calibrats. 788 00:34:09,719 --> 00:34:12,160 Speaker 2: This has been the big best on campus podcast covering 789 00:34:12,160 --> 00:34:16,279 Speaker 2: college baseball. Please listen in. And a reminder that we 790 00:34:16,320 --> 00:34:19,000 Speaker 2: are going to go ahead and give out a ten 791 00:34:19,040 --> 00:34:22,840 Speaker 2: dollars futures ticket to someone who gave a five star review. 792 00:34:23,000 --> 00:34:25,520 Speaker 2: We actually have one on here on deck. The user 793 00:34:25,600 --> 00:34:29,160 Speaker 2: name BBOC five stars. You're already halfway home right there, 794 00:34:29,160 --> 00:34:32,800 Speaker 2: looking forward to more Mic and Colin talking college baseball. 795 00:34:32,840 --> 00:34:35,200 Speaker 2: Great to get it started again. Go ahead and contact 796 00:34:35,239 --> 00:34:38,080 Speaker 2: me over at Twitter at East Breeze. I would be 797 00:34:38,080 --> 00:34:42,360 Speaker 2: happy to give you your futures ticket and then for 798 00:34:42,600 --> 00:34:45,880 Speaker 2: the Action Network swag bag or whatever Matt has in 799 00:34:45,920 --> 00:34:49,640 Speaker 2: store for you. So merch college baseball also five stars. 800 00:34:49,680 --> 00:34:52,440 Speaker 2: That was the username. I love the college baseball addition, 801 00:34:52,560 --> 00:34:55,280 Speaker 2: the spring has been really informative for the growing sport. 802 00:34:55,480 --> 00:34:57,799 Speaker 2: So you guys are doing a great job listening comprehension, 803 00:34:57,840 --> 00:35:01,160 Speaker 2: you're following the rules, you're going in, you're giving us reviews, 804 00:35:01,320 --> 00:35:03,640 Speaker 2: and you're reaping the rewards. So that's a reminder to 805 00:35:03,680 --> 00:35:05,799 Speaker 2: our audience to please do the same. And I'd be 806 00:35:05,800 --> 00:35:08,080 Speaker 2: happy to give out another ten dollars future so that 807 00:35:08,120 --> 00:35:10,440 Speaker 2: you have an opportunity to cash big at the College 808 00:35:10,440 --> 00:35:12,720 Speaker 2: World Series. All right, thanks for listening, guys, We'll catch. 809 00:35:12,560 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 3: You next week. 810 00:35:23,160 --> 00:35:27,680 Speaker 1: Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly. If you or 811 00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:30,480 Speaker 1: someone you care about has a gambling problem, help is 812 00:35:30,520 --> 00:35:33,680 Speaker 1: available twenty four to seven at one eight hundred Gambler