1 00:00:12,680 --> 00:00:17,280 Speaker 1: The rankings are not the inert I look accurate. 2 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:19,520 Speaker 2: But now with the rankings, the rankings are okay, and 3 00:00:19,640 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 2: rankings don't even look all that different than the japeople. 4 00:00:21,920 --> 00:00:25,520 Speaker 1: It's the format that's the problem has been. 5 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:28,200 Speaker 2: It was the moment that came out with this thing, 6 00:00:28,280 --> 00:00:31,680 Speaker 2: and now it's really really manifesting itself into a grade 7 00:00:31,720 --> 00:00:34,880 Speaker 2: A mess. Well, depending on how you look at the sport. Look, 8 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 2: it's Tuesday night, it's November twenty sixth, It's the year 9 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:40,120 Speaker 2: of our lower twenty twenty four were jam packed high top 10 00:00:40,159 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 2: a festive but confused downtown Nashville, Tennessee, probably brought to 11 00:00:44,080 --> 00:00:45,440 Speaker 2: you by Academy Sports and Outdoors. 12 00:00:45,440 --> 00:00:46,400 Speaker 1: There's a lot to get to. 13 00:00:47,000 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 2: We're starting to show a little bit later than we 14 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:50,479 Speaker 2: normally do because we had the playoff rankings come out. 15 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:52,320 Speaker 2: I got full reaction to that. I got a lot 16 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:55,000 Speaker 2: of chaos scenarios to talk about. It's Tuesday night, so 17 00:00:55,040 --> 00:00:58,880 Speaker 2: we've got full predictions for rivalry weekend. I got games 18 00:00:58,960 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 2: galore that we're going to talk talk about. I got 19 00:01:01,240 --> 00:01:04,839 Speaker 2: four added best bets on tonight's show, Mac Brown's Getting Fired. 20 00:01:04,840 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 1: I got to talk about that. 21 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:07,600 Speaker 2: We got a new JP Pole Drop and I know 22 00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:09,039 Speaker 2: a lot of you were on the road this week, 23 00:01:09,120 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 2: so I told Jesse and Colin, let's just stack this thing. 24 00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:14,640 Speaker 2: You probably won't even be able to listen to all 25 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 2: this in one sitting, and that's okay. Food and our 26 00:01:17,680 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 2: show this week no different. They're watching us in Decab, Illinois, Ocilla, Georgia, 27 00:01:22,560 --> 00:01:26,280 Speaker 2: Jefferson City, Missouri, and Wichita Falls, Texas. Appreciate you, guys 28 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:28,680 Speaker 2: so much. Make sure you're following at late Kick Josh 29 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: on Instagram because this is the last time I'm talking 30 00:01:31,120 --> 00:01:33,240 Speaker 2: to you before these games happen Saturday. We're going to 31 00:01:33,280 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 2: be in College Station Saturday night and it is going 32 00:01:35,600 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 2: to be a wild scene at Kyle Field and I'm 33 00:01:39,160 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 2: going to have sideline access, so I'm going to have 34 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,360 Speaker 2: a lot for you in the Instagram story. But that's 35 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:46,479 Speaker 2: for the future. How about the here and now College 36 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,720 Speaker 2: football playoff rankings just got released. This paper's still hot. 37 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 2: The bracket doesn't matter right now, guys, because we've got 38 00:01:53,200 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 2: to find out who the conference champs are until you 39 00:01:55,360 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 2: get those seeded because we've got auto bids. 40 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:00,600 Speaker 1: More on that in a second. This is meaningless. 41 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 2: Texas A and M's a perfect example, Texas A and 42 00:02:02,520 --> 00:02:04,640 Speaker 2: M number twenty. Right now, Texas A and M could 43 00:02:04,680 --> 00:02:06,880 Speaker 2: end up with the first round by if they win 44 00:02:07,200 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 2: against Texas and they go in the SEC Championship. So 45 00:02:09,680 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 2: it doesn't really matter. If this thing worked the way 46 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,120 Speaker 2: it should and you just took the top twelve whatever 47 00:02:15,160 --> 00:02:18,040 Speaker 2: and no one had auto bids, then the rankings would matter, 48 00:02:18,560 --> 00:02:21,880 Speaker 2: the bracket would matter, but the projectioned bracket doesn't matter 49 00:02:21,960 --> 00:02:25,959 Speaker 2: right now. Having said that, I find it interesting as 50 00:02:26,000 --> 00:02:28,440 Speaker 2: we look at the way the top twenty five broke down. 51 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,440 Speaker 2: There's a lot of SEC teams in there. They got 52 00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:33,480 Speaker 2: eight of them in there. That's pretty normal. Five Big 53 00:02:33,520 --> 00:02:37,400 Speaker 2: ten pretty normal. The Big twelve's got five teams in 54 00:02:37,440 --> 00:02:41,520 Speaker 2: the top twenty five, And yet I'm being told the 55 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 2: Big twelve champ could be left out of the playoff. Well, 56 00:02:45,160 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 2: that's some garbage on the surface, but especially if you're 57 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 2: telling me that league largely plays each other. All the 58 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:54,880 Speaker 2: contenders kind of have played each other, and a champ 59 00:02:54,919 --> 00:02:58,440 Speaker 2: could emerge from a conference with five teams ranked in 60 00:02:58,480 --> 00:03:00,440 Speaker 2: the top twenty five left out. 61 00:03:00,480 --> 00:03:01,480 Speaker 1: What are we talking about? 62 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:05,480 Speaker 2: We'll see three from the ACC and A they could 63 00:03:05,520 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: all make it. So, yeah, that's where we are right now, 64 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:10,600 Speaker 2: three G five's are ranked in the top twenty five 65 00:03:10,680 --> 00:03:13,919 Speaker 2: Notre Dames in there. South Carolina is in a weird spot. 66 00:03:14,800 --> 00:03:18,639 Speaker 2: So South Carolina is number fifteen right now. I got 67 00:03:18,639 --> 00:03:21,160 Speaker 2: no problem with that. Like I'm Skyhune and South Carolina 68 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 2: is like most people on the committee are. They play 69 00:03:24,520 --> 00:03:29,320 Speaker 2: at number twelve Saturday. So South Carolina's number fifteen. They 70 00:03:29,360 --> 00:03:32,120 Speaker 2: play at number twelve, and so you would think that 71 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: they are like really really custom made to springboard into 72 00:03:37,080 --> 00:03:40,400 Speaker 2: the top twelve potentially with a whim. And I know 73 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 2: why you think that. But here's the funny thing about that. 74 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:48,480 Speaker 2: Bama if they beat Auburn, an Ole, miss if they 75 00:03:48,520 --> 00:03:49,720 Speaker 2: beat Mississippi State. 76 00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:51,040 Speaker 1: They're both double digit favorites. 77 00:03:51,040 --> 00:03:53,640 Speaker 2: If that were to happen, those two teams would not 78 00:03:53,680 --> 00:03:57,040 Speaker 2: have nearly as impressive a win this weekend as South 79 00:03:57,040 --> 00:04:02,280 Speaker 2: Carolina would, but they both have head headwinds over South Carolina. 80 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:06,480 Speaker 2: So there's this weird sort of dichotomy of Okay, do 81 00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:09,080 Speaker 2: we think South Carolina is the better team that just 82 00:04:09,120 --> 00:04:12,040 Speaker 2: got the better win, and is that enough to vault 83 00:04:12,080 --> 00:04:14,400 Speaker 2: them over a couple of teams that beat them, or 84 00:04:14,440 --> 00:04:18,040 Speaker 2: do we view those resumes still as comparable enough, we're 85 00:04:18,040 --> 00:04:20,919 Speaker 2: head to head factors in. That's one of the age 86 00:04:20,960 --> 00:04:24,160 Speaker 2: old bits of criteria here. If you've got comparable teams, 87 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,359 Speaker 2: comparable resumes. That's when head to head factors in. And 88 00:04:27,400 --> 00:04:29,240 Speaker 2: the only way you can rank one of these teams 89 00:04:29,279 --> 00:04:32,840 Speaker 2: above the others in sort of a comparative analysis if 90 00:04:32,920 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 2: they've got a head to head loss with them, is 91 00:04:35,600 --> 00:04:38,239 Speaker 2: the team that lost. We still view as definitively better 92 00:04:39,080 --> 00:04:43,320 Speaker 2: that happens sometimes would it happen there. I'm also really 93 00:04:43,400 --> 00:04:47,640 Speaker 2: noticing that the more this bracket comes into focus, the 94 00:04:47,640 --> 00:04:50,120 Speaker 2: more you've got a Penn State just kind of floating 95 00:04:50,200 --> 00:04:54,320 Speaker 2: there in the four, five, six, seven, whatever range, Notre Dame, 96 00:04:54,400 --> 00:04:56,839 Speaker 2: same thing. They're floating in what we would call the 97 00:04:56,839 --> 00:05:01,440 Speaker 2: home field territory range. The more it becomes pretty obvious 98 00:05:01,480 --> 00:05:04,039 Speaker 2: we're gonna have some cold weather home games, teams that 99 00:05:04,080 --> 00:05:06,359 Speaker 2: won't have a first round by but they will have 100 00:05:06,440 --> 00:05:09,760 Speaker 2: a first round home game. Right now, the way that 101 00:05:09,800 --> 00:05:12,240 Speaker 2: bracket sets up, we would see a game played in 102 00:05:12,279 --> 00:05:16,200 Speaker 2: state College. We'd see one played in South Bend. Athens. 103 00:05:16,240 --> 00:05:18,760 Speaker 2: George is not warm in December, but compared to the 104 00:05:18,760 --> 00:05:21,200 Speaker 2: other two, relatively speaking, it is. We'd also have one 105 00:05:21,200 --> 00:05:24,960 Speaker 2: in Columbus, Ohio, so there is cold weather on the horizon. 106 00:05:25,400 --> 00:05:26,520 Speaker 1: Arizona State. 107 00:05:26,640 --> 00:05:29,640 Speaker 2: I mean prayers if you guys have to go to Columbus, Ohio, 108 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:31,680 Speaker 2: if you got to play Ohio State on the moon, 109 00:05:31,720 --> 00:05:33,160 Speaker 2: it would be tough. But you got to play him 110 00:05:33,160 --> 00:05:36,479 Speaker 2: in twenty five degree weather, that's tough. The SEC champion 111 00:05:36,600 --> 00:05:38,960 Speaker 2: runner up could be left out. I didn't never think. 112 00:05:38,960 --> 00:05:41,600 Speaker 2: I'd never thought that was possible. When I first saw 113 00:05:41,640 --> 00:05:45,080 Speaker 2: the way the format worked, I thought to myself, well, 114 00:05:45,120 --> 00:05:47,200 Speaker 2: the SEC champion will always be in. 115 00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,479 Speaker 1: The Big Ten champion will always. 116 00:05:49,200 --> 00:05:52,440 Speaker 2: Be in, but also the other team that plays in 117 00:05:52,440 --> 00:05:55,359 Speaker 2: that conference title game will be in. Because I just 118 00:05:55,400 --> 00:05:58,920 Speaker 2: thought to myself, there's not a world where a team 119 00:05:59,120 --> 00:06:02,560 Speaker 2: is good enough to make it to Atlanta but not 120 00:06:02,680 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 2: be good enough to still be in the top twelve 121 00:06:04,360 --> 00:06:06,080 Speaker 2: when all a said and done, even if they lose. 122 00:06:06,200 --> 00:06:09,680 Speaker 2: But we are in that world, and I'm not disagreeing 123 00:06:09,680 --> 00:06:12,000 Speaker 2: with it. We are in a world where A and 124 00:06:12,120 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 2: M's at twenty. They play Texas this weekend. If they 125 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,200 Speaker 2: beat them, which is their only route to Atlanta. If 126 00:06:18,200 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 2: they beat them, they would jump up. They probably wouldn't 127 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:24,799 Speaker 2: jump up into the top twelve or Top ten or whatever. 128 00:06:25,000 --> 00:06:28,360 Speaker 2: And that's important because at that point, my own personal 129 00:06:28,400 --> 00:06:30,520 Speaker 2: theory is in play there. You know, my theory has 130 00:06:30,520 --> 00:06:33,000 Speaker 2: always been, oh, you can't punish a team for losing 131 00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:35,640 Speaker 2: a conference title game. But what I've always meant by that, 132 00:06:36,000 --> 00:06:38,000 Speaker 2: if I haven't clarified it enough, I will now is 133 00:06:38,640 --> 00:06:41,880 Speaker 2: if you're in the top twelve and you lose your 134 00:06:41,880 --> 00:06:44,960 Speaker 2: conference title game, especially in the SEC or the Big Ten, 135 00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:49,120 Speaker 2: you should not be punished and dropped. I don't think 136 00:06:49,160 --> 00:06:51,120 Speaker 2: A and M would even be in the top twelve 137 00:06:51,440 --> 00:06:54,960 Speaker 2: in that scenario. So if they lose to Georgia, they 138 00:06:55,040 --> 00:06:57,719 Speaker 2: would be out of the playoff, but that's because they 139 00:06:57,800 --> 00:06:59,680 Speaker 2: never would have been in the playoff before the game. 140 00:07:00,120 --> 00:07:02,440 Speaker 2: Problem is gonna be if we get to some year, 141 00:07:02,640 --> 00:07:04,839 Speaker 2: maybe this year or maybe another year, where you're like 142 00:07:05,000 --> 00:07:08,000 Speaker 2: number ten and you lose the conference title game and 143 00:07:08,000 --> 00:07:10,720 Speaker 2: they drop you to fourteen or thirteen, then I got 144 00:07:10,720 --> 00:07:11,520 Speaker 2: a big problem. 145 00:07:11,800 --> 00:07:12,960 Speaker 1: But having said. 146 00:07:12,680 --> 00:07:16,360 Speaker 2: That, you notice I keep specifying the SEC in the 147 00:07:16,360 --> 00:07:18,800 Speaker 2: Big Ten. It's because I think those conferences will be 148 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:22,800 Speaker 2: given preferential treatment and due to the quality of team 149 00:07:23,160 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 2: and quality of schedule in those conferences. I get it 150 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:29,080 Speaker 2: they're deeper conferences. Whether you like that or not, that's true. 151 00:07:29,960 --> 00:07:33,240 Speaker 2: I think they could do this to an ACC runner up. 152 00:07:33,600 --> 00:07:35,440 Speaker 2: I think they could do this certainly to a Big 153 00:07:35,480 --> 00:07:37,880 Speaker 2: twelve runner up. They may keep the Big twelve champion out. 154 00:07:38,160 --> 00:07:40,840 Speaker 2: I don't think that'll happen, but some people do think 155 00:07:40,880 --> 00:07:45,720 Speaker 2: that'll happen. But man, Notre Dame. Notre Dame's sitting there 156 00:07:45,760 --> 00:07:48,760 Speaker 2: right now, number five. You know, Notre Dame's got the 157 00:07:48,920 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 2: fifth best odds to win it all. Now, there's a 158 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:54,440 Speaker 2: little drop off between four and five, but Notre Names 159 00:07:54,520 --> 00:07:57,480 Speaker 2: number five. Hey, do you think if they lose to 160 00:07:57,640 --> 00:08:00,720 Speaker 2: USC they drop all the way out? I do, depending 161 00:08:00,800 --> 00:08:04,200 Speaker 2: on how it shakes out behind him, I do six 162 00:08:04,280 --> 00:08:06,040 Speaker 2: and a half to a seven and a half point favorite, 163 00:08:06,040 --> 00:08:07,840 Speaker 2: depending on when you've looked at that line this week. 164 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:09,960 Speaker 1: Notre Name plays at USC this weekend. 165 00:08:10,560 --> 00:08:15,480 Speaker 2: Do they at the College FOOTBALLLAYFF committee headquarters? Do they 166 00:08:15,600 --> 00:08:19,040 Speaker 2: really mean what they say when they say we will 167 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 2: not care if we put a rematch in the first round. 168 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,920 Speaker 2: We will not care if it's conference versus conference in 169 00:08:25,960 --> 00:08:26,960 Speaker 2: the first round. 170 00:08:28,600 --> 00:08:30,239 Speaker 1: I think they kind of mean. 171 00:08:30,080 --> 00:08:32,000 Speaker 2: It, but I also don't think they one one hundred 172 00:08:32,000 --> 00:08:35,680 Speaker 2: percent mean it, Like if if you have watched a 173 00:08:35,760 --> 00:08:38,600 Speaker 2: movie before and you've seen this guy tell this girl, 174 00:08:38,720 --> 00:08:40,520 Speaker 2: I would never be unfaithful to you. 175 00:08:40,760 --> 00:08:41,400 Speaker 1: But then this. 176 00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:45,840 Speaker 2: Really extreme kind of circumstance exception to the rule factor 177 00:08:45,960 --> 00:08:48,520 Speaker 2: enters the equation and he's unfaithful. Well, he didn't really 178 00:08:48,600 --> 00:08:51,199 Speaker 2: mean that he'd never be unfaithful, and shame on him. 179 00:08:51,240 --> 00:08:53,679 Speaker 2: By the way, we do not support infidelity of any 180 00:08:53,760 --> 00:08:57,600 Speaker 2: kind on this program. However, we also understand in the 181 00:08:57,600 --> 00:09:01,800 Speaker 2: college football playoff committee room, they speak absolutes. They say 182 00:09:01,840 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 2: we will never factor in whether it's a rematch or 183 00:09:05,080 --> 00:09:06,720 Speaker 2: not when we're seeding this. 184 00:09:07,320 --> 00:09:09,600 Speaker 1: But I think they may. I think they may. 185 00:09:09,840 --> 00:09:12,480 Speaker 2: And the other thing to keep in mind, and I'm 186 00:09:12,520 --> 00:09:14,440 Speaker 2: not sure where the committee would fall on this, but 187 00:09:14,559 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 2: like right now, we have got an SEC versus SEC 188 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:21,080 Speaker 2: in the first round Tennessee Georgia. And we've got a 189 00:09:21,080 --> 00:09:24,280 Speaker 2: big ten Big ten in the first round Indiana Penn State. Now, 190 00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:29,400 Speaker 2: obviously that guarantees those major conferences that one of their 191 00:09:29,440 --> 00:09:31,400 Speaker 2: teams is knocked out in the first round. 192 00:09:32,080 --> 00:09:34,600 Speaker 1: I don't think they love that. Now, it shouldn't matter. 193 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 2: You guys are screaming right now, you're saying, there he 194 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,920 Speaker 2: goes being preferential to the big conferences. 195 00:09:38,920 --> 00:09:39,240 Speaker 1: I'm not. 196 00:09:39,400 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 2: I'm telling you it shouldn't matter. What I'm doing is 197 00:09:42,080 --> 00:09:46,200 Speaker 2: I'm asking, but will it matter? That's what I'm asking. 198 00:09:46,559 --> 00:09:48,600 Speaker 2: Indiana is in this thing. By the way, that was 199 00:09:48,840 --> 00:09:50,199 Speaker 2: one of the big takeaways. I've got a lot of 200 00:09:50,200 --> 00:09:52,000 Speaker 2: folks watching the show, by the way, I appreciate it. 201 00:09:52,160 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 1: Do me a favor. Check and see if you're subscribed 202 00:09:54,320 --> 00:09:55,880 Speaker 1: to the YouTube channel. If you're not. 203 00:09:56,360 --> 00:09:58,960 Speaker 2: The only Christmas present I ask for is that you 204 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,800 Speaker 2: click the subscribe button. If you're listening on podcast, click 205 00:10:01,880 --> 00:10:04,319 Speaker 2: that follow slash subscribe button. And if you think you're 206 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,360 Speaker 2: already subbed, chances are you may not be. It doesn't 207 00:10:07,400 --> 00:10:09,480 Speaker 2: cost anything, it doesn't sign you up for anything. It 208 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:11,200 Speaker 2: just makes sure we can bring the show to you 209 00:10:11,280 --> 00:10:12,640 Speaker 2: year round free of charge. 210 00:10:12,840 --> 00:10:15,480 Speaker 1: So that's all I ask. Indiana's in this thing, man. 211 00:10:16,840 --> 00:10:20,480 Speaker 2: I was very speculative last week if they lost, would 212 00:10:20,480 --> 00:10:23,520 Speaker 2: they be out? Well, everyone else fell behind them, so 213 00:10:23,720 --> 00:10:26,160 Speaker 2: not only are they in. I was listening to Ward 214 00:10:26,240 --> 00:10:29,839 Speaker 2: Manual talk on the Playoff Reveal show. He said, their 215 00:10:29,880 --> 00:10:31,760 Speaker 2: body of work warrants them being in. 216 00:10:31,840 --> 00:10:32,280 Speaker 1: I agree. 217 00:10:32,280 --> 00:10:36,400 Speaker 2: Now, I agree that the circumstances changed around Indiana. So 218 00:10:36,520 --> 00:10:39,320 Speaker 2: now I agree, there's still a lot to sort out. 219 00:10:39,520 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 2: Everyone's had this mentality all week. I don't know if 220 00:10:41,960 --> 00:10:46,200 Speaker 2: you've sensed this or maybe you've reflected this. Everyone's just 221 00:10:46,240 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 2: talking about the playoff and the games are still happening. 222 00:10:52,240 --> 00:10:56,120 Speaker 2: Everyone's talking about conference championships, and the regular season is 223 00:10:56,160 --> 00:10:59,880 Speaker 2: still happening. Miami's not Miami's not in the conference title 224 00:11:00,040 --> 00:11:02,920 Speaker 2: game yet. Guys, They've still got to play Syracuse. So 225 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,240 Speaker 2: the Big Twelve certainly not sorted out. Ohio State's not 226 00:11:06,360 --> 00:11:08,760 Speaker 2: in the Big Ten title game. They've still got to 227 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:11,559 Speaker 2: beat Michigan. Now you may think they're going to but 228 00:11:11,600 --> 00:11:13,600 Speaker 2: I guarantee you you thought a lot of things would 229 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:14,280 Speaker 2: happen last week. 230 00:11:14,280 --> 00:11:16,079 Speaker 1: I know I did, and then all of a sudden 231 00:11:16,120 --> 00:11:16,600 Speaker 1: they didn't. 232 00:11:17,040 --> 00:11:20,120 Speaker 2: Shame Shame on the script writers for making a fool 233 00:11:20,120 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 2: out of me last week. I got more on this, 234 00:11:23,480 --> 00:11:25,640 Speaker 2: Just hold on, I got more on this. Academy Sports 235 00:11:25,640 --> 00:11:29,360 Speaker 2: and Outdoors one stop shop for everything Christmas list check, check, check, 236 00:11:29,400 --> 00:11:29,760 Speaker 2: check check. 237 00:11:29,760 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 1: You're done. 238 00:11:30,240 --> 00:11:33,319 Speaker 2: Go to Academy Sports and Outdoors that you're done. If 239 00:11:33,360 --> 00:11:35,120 Speaker 2: you live in certain parts of the country, there's one 240 00:11:35,160 --> 00:11:37,319 Speaker 2: on every street corner. If you don't live in those 241 00:11:37,320 --> 00:11:39,600 Speaker 2: parts of the country. You still got the internet, Academy 242 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:44,800 Speaker 2: dot com as your hookup. They they've got sporting goods equipment, 243 00:11:45,480 --> 00:11:49,800 Speaker 2: they've got camping equipment, rafting equipment, hunting equipment, They've got 244 00:11:49,880 --> 00:11:52,920 Speaker 2: everything that you need. They got clothing all over the place. 245 00:11:53,040 --> 00:11:55,120 Speaker 2: I went in an academy in Athens, Georgia, a couple 246 00:11:55,120 --> 00:11:57,320 Speaker 2: of weeks ago. It's a great thing because you walk 247 00:11:57,360 --> 00:12:01,320 Speaker 2: in and you smelled this mixture of like the smell 248 00:12:01,360 --> 00:12:04,000 Speaker 2: of new basketball gives you, but also the smell that 249 00:12:04,040 --> 00:12:06,439 Speaker 2: new clothing gives you, and the smell that a new 250 00:12:06,480 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 2: shoe gives you, and it's. 251 00:12:07,520 --> 00:12:09,720 Speaker 1: Just all wafting. It's great. 252 00:12:09,760 --> 00:12:13,120 Speaker 2: It's like walking into a steakhouse. But for merchandise, it's 253 00:12:13,120 --> 00:12:15,600 Speaker 2: a great thing. And Academy's been with us from the beginning, 254 00:12:15,600 --> 00:12:17,080 Speaker 2: and they make the show free of charge to you, 255 00:12:17,200 --> 00:12:19,800 Speaker 2: so that, along with you subscribing to the channel is 256 00:12:20,080 --> 00:12:22,640 Speaker 2: what keeps the lights on around here. It's got this 257 00:12:22,720 --> 00:12:25,240 Speaker 2: great new set that we have, so we appreciate Academy 258 00:12:25,280 --> 00:12:26,120 Speaker 2: Sports and Outdoors. 259 00:12:26,320 --> 00:12:27,560 Speaker 1: Okay, back too. 260 00:12:27,679 --> 00:12:31,960 Speaker 2: The matter at Ham College football playoff chaos is inevitable. 261 00:12:32,040 --> 00:12:34,600 Speaker 2: The only thing we're trying to figure out is where's 262 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:36,800 Speaker 2: it gonna come? Which angle is it gonna come from? 263 00:12:37,240 --> 00:12:41,560 Speaker 2: These rankings right now are not the problem. The format is. 264 00:12:41,640 --> 00:12:44,800 Speaker 2: The format's insane. Auto bids are insane. It's always been 265 00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:47,120 Speaker 2: a problem. It's a big problem now. So the first 266 00:12:47,160 --> 00:12:48,400 Speaker 2: thing I'm gonna do is I want to show you 267 00:12:48,440 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 2: something I've got exclusive from fan duel the odds on 268 00:12:52,920 --> 00:12:54,839 Speaker 2: all of the first round games. So we've got the 269 00:12:54,880 --> 00:12:58,800 Speaker 2: first round games Arizona State versus Ohio State, and Columbus 270 00:12:59,160 --> 00:13:01,679 Speaker 2: Ohio State would be a twenty one point favorite. 271 00:13:01,760 --> 00:13:03,800 Speaker 1: I'm gonna come back to this, So just hold. 272 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:07,560 Speaker 2: On Tennessee at Georgia, Georgia minus eight and a half, 273 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:10,840 Speaker 2: Indiana at Penn State, Penn State minus nine and a half, 274 00:13:11,160 --> 00:13:15,120 Speaker 2: SMU at Notre Dame, Notre Dame minus ten. So in 275 00:13:15,120 --> 00:13:17,880 Speaker 2: those first round games, you notice there wouldn't be any 276 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:20,880 Speaker 2: line below eight and a half. That's the first thing. 277 00:13:21,440 --> 00:13:25,400 Speaker 2: Second thing is we got a big problem. I mean, 278 00:13:25,440 --> 00:13:28,000 Speaker 2: this format is a big problem. And it did not 279 00:13:28,240 --> 00:13:31,280 Speaker 2: take until week thirteen for some of us to realize 280 00:13:31,320 --> 00:13:34,640 Speaker 2: that the format of this thing is a much bigger 281 00:13:34,640 --> 00:13:37,760 Speaker 2: problem than the rankings are. Auto bids are a disaster 282 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,160 Speaker 2: of an idea. I know people meant well enough when 283 00:13:40,160 --> 00:13:41,440 Speaker 2: they got in the room and they said, we got 284 00:13:41,440 --> 00:13:45,080 Speaker 2: to incentivize winning conference championships. Well, that only makes sense 285 00:13:45,960 --> 00:13:49,720 Speaker 2: in a playoff format if all your conferences are roughly equal. 286 00:13:49,760 --> 00:13:53,080 Speaker 2: In the NFL, you get rewarded because the AFC East 287 00:13:53,200 --> 00:13:55,520 Speaker 2: and the AFC West and North and South, while they're 288 00:13:55,559 --> 00:13:59,520 Speaker 2: not exactly equal, it's still four professional football teams playing 289 00:13:59,520 --> 00:14:02,440 Speaker 2: in everyone those divisions. So yes, you get rewarded in 290 00:14:02,480 --> 00:14:05,680 Speaker 2: certain ways. You get guaranteed certain things if you win those. 291 00:14:05,880 --> 00:14:09,040 Speaker 2: That is not the way college football should work, unless 292 00:14:09,040 --> 00:14:12,080 Speaker 2: you're looking to have an experiment with your playoff instead 293 00:14:12,080 --> 00:14:15,360 Speaker 2: of truly reward the best teams and the most deserving teams, 294 00:14:15,440 --> 00:14:17,840 Speaker 2: because in this case they do overlap, they go hand 295 00:14:17,840 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 2: in hand. So let me explain to you now that 296 00:14:20,000 --> 00:14:22,560 Speaker 2: rubber is meeting the road and people are seeing how 297 00:14:22,640 --> 00:14:25,960 Speaker 2: farcical this could actually be. What I'm talking about, O, 298 00:14:26,040 --> 00:14:29,120 Speaker 2: We're going to Ohio State, in all likelihood will play 299 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:31,440 Speaker 2: in the Big Ten Championship Game as the top two 300 00:14:31,480 --> 00:14:34,600 Speaker 2: seeds in America, as they should. They've earned it, they 301 00:14:34,640 --> 00:14:37,720 Speaker 2: deserve it. I got no problem with it. Someone's gonna 302 00:14:37,720 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 2: lose that game, and that someone will probably drop to 303 00:14:41,080 --> 00:14:44,400 Speaker 2: the five seed. Let's just say, for the sake of argument, 304 00:14:44,480 --> 00:14:47,400 Speaker 2: it's Ohio State. Do you understand what the way this 305 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:50,880 Speaker 2: thing is currently set up. Ohio State has to drop 306 00:14:50,880 --> 00:14:54,120 Speaker 2: out of the top four because they're not a conference champ, 307 00:14:54,520 --> 00:14:55,760 Speaker 2: you know, so we got to make room for a 308 00:14:55,800 --> 00:14:59,200 Speaker 2: Boise State. That's right, kids, Boise State would be guaranteed 309 00:14:59,240 --> 00:15:02,240 Speaker 2: a higher seed table than Ohio State because. 310 00:15:01,960 --> 00:15:05,520 Speaker 1: They won the what isn't Mountain West? You know? 311 00:15:05,600 --> 00:15:08,200 Speaker 2: Cause all conference champs created equal these days, everyone deserves 312 00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,000 Speaker 2: to the table. That makes you feel good. That's bumper 313 00:15:11,000 --> 00:15:14,360 Speaker 2: sticker logic. It's stupid, but it's bumper sticker logic. So 314 00:15:14,480 --> 00:15:16,600 Speaker 2: you know, for the sake of making everyone feel good, 315 00:15:16,760 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 2: let's go with it. Well, let me tell you how 316 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:21,640 Speaker 2: dumb this is. Ohio State would drop to the five seed. 317 00:15:21,680 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 2: They'd be punished they drop to the five seed. As 318 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:28,320 Speaker 2: this thing is currently stacked up, Ohio State would play 319 00:15:28,480 --> 00:15:32,560 Speaker 2: Arizona State in the first round, and then they would 320 00:15:32,600 --> 00:15:35,760 Speaker 2: advance to play Boise State in the second round. If 321 00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:39,880 Speaker 2: they won, Ohio State would be a three plus touchdown 322 00:15:39,960 --> 00:15:43,520 Speaker 2: favorite in each of those games. Now, sure, they'd have 323 00:15:43,560 --> 00:15:45,600 Speaker 2: to play one more game they wouldn't get that first 324 00:15:45,640 --> 00:15:48,600 Speaker 2: round by But I'm going to suggest to you that 325 00:15:48,680 --> 00:15:52,440 Speaker 2: Oregon sitting there with the first round by play in Georgia, 326 00:15:52,640 --> 00:15:57,120 Speaker 2: is in a much less advantageous position than Ohio State 327 00:15:57,200 --> 00:16:00,720 Speaker 2: playing two teams. The data and analytics can shove it 328 00:16:00,800 --> 00:16:03,440 Speaker 2: on this, I'm right, And if you're Ohio State, you 329 00:16:03,440 --> 00:16:05,880 Speaker 2: know good and well you like your odds of beating 330 00:16:05,920 --> 00:16:09,320 Speaker 2: Arizona State and Boise State back to back, especially with 331 00:16:09,360 --> 00:16:12,240 Speaker 2: one of them being at home over having to play Georgia. 332 00:16:12,600 --> 00:16:15,080 Speaker 2: I'm not saying you're guaranteed to losing against Georgia. You 333 00:16:15,120 --> 00:16:16,960 Speaker 2: may even be favored against Georgia for all I know. 334 00:16:17,400 --> 00:16:21,080 Speaker 2: But you know Georgia's athletic profile, you know Kirby Smart, 335 00:16:22,120 --> 00:16:24,520 Speaker 2: and you also know Arizona State and Boise State, all 336 00:16:24,560 --> 00:16:26,360 Speaker 2: due respect to have no business on the same field 337 00:16:26,360 --> 00:16:28,760 Speaker 2: as you in a postseason setting. So that's what first 338 00:16:28,840 --> 00:16:31,120 Speaker 2: round buys are now locking in for us. There is 339 00:16:31,240 --> 00:16:35,200 Speaker 2: no way that the SEC and the Big Ten are 340 00:16:35,240 --> 00:16:37,880 Speaker 2: going to sign back off on this beyond twenty twenty six. 341 00:16:37,920 --> 00:16:40,200 Speaker 2: I don't think there is there room for a three 342 00:16:40,280 --> 00:16:44,520 Speaker 2: loss SEC team in this thing. There is, but some 343 00:16:44,560 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 2: stuff's gotta happen. I'm not going to be fighting for 344 00:16:47,200 --> 00:16:49,960 Speaker 2: this because once you've lost that many games, especially some 345 00:16:50,040 --> 00:16:54,240 Speaker 2: in egregious fashion like Bama Vanderbilt or Old Miss Kentucky, 346 00:16:54,600 --> 00:16:55,240 Speaker 2: you've lost. 347 00:16:55,080 --> 00:16:56,120 Speaker 1: Benefit of the doubt with me. 348 00:16:56,240 --> 00:16:58,920 Speaker 2: I may have you power rated high, but at this point, 349 00:16:59,320 --> 00:17:00,640 Speaker 2: if you're in, good for you. 350 00:17:00,720 --> 00:17:02,360 Speaker 1: If you're out, it's your fault. 351 00:17:02,880 --> 00:17:06,639 Speaker 2: If Notre Dame loses this weekend to USC, it opens 352 00:17:06,680 --> 00:17:10,119 Speaker 2: the door. Maybe if Clemson loses to South Carolina, and 353 00:17:10,160 --> 00:17:12,920 Speaker 2: Clemson is pretty overrated as a team in the playoff 354 00:17:12,960 --> 00:17:16,160 Speaker 2: rankings right now, if Clemson loses, that opens a door. 355 00:17:16,520 --> 00:17:18,720 Speaker 2: I think just if those two things happen, a spot 356 00:17:18,800 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 2: is open. I'd be really interested to see what happens 357 00:17:22,200 --> 00:17:25,360 Speaker 2: if UNLV beats Boise. 358 00:17:25,200 --> 00:17:27,960 Speaker 1: In their conference title game. Be really interested in that. 359 00:17:28,240 --> 00:17:32,760 Speaker 2: And speaking of that, is there a chance that we 360 00:17:32,880 --> 00:17:34,840 Speaker 2: have two G five teams in the playoff? 361 00:17:35,080 --> 00:17:38,639 Speaker 1: The answer is yes. I may think it's ridiculous. 362 00:17:39,760 --> 00:17:42,240 Speaker 2: I may think a G five playoff should exist, but 363 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:44,320 Speaker 2: it doesn't. So this is what we have right now. 364 00:17:44,400 --> 00:17:48,680 Speaker 2: This is the current format. You're kidding yourself if you're 365 00:17:48,720 --> 00:17:51,960 Speaker 2: denying that this could happen. This could absolutely happen. I mean, 366 00:17:51,960 --> 00:17:53,879 Speaker 2: Tulane I think is the best G five team in 367 00:17:53,880 --> 00:17:57,600 Speaker 2: the country right now, they're behind Boise. I'd favor them 368 00:17:57,640 --> 00:18:00,520 Speaker 2: by seven against Boise on a neutral feel, for whatever 369 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:01,240 Speaker 2: that's worth to you. 370 00:18:01,640 --> 00:18:02,359 Speaker 1: But look, if. 371 00:18:02,200 --> 00:18:04,440 Speaker 2: Boise wins out, yes they're in this thing, they probably 372 00:18:04,440 --> 00:18:07,560 Speaker 2: get a first round by If two Lane wins out, 373 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:10,640 Speaker 2: they're red hot right now. If two Lane wins out, 374 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:15,360 Speaker 2: there is a chance that they are ranked higher than 375 00:18:15,440 --> 00:18:17,800 Speaker 2: the Big twelve champ. There is a chance of that. 376 00:18:18,359 --> 00:18:22,240 Speaker 2: And remember we're just taking the five highest ranked conference champs. 377 00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:24,960 Speaker 2: So the Big Ten would be in, the SEC, would 378 00:18:24,960 --> 00:18:28,600 Speaker 2: be in, the ACC would be in. In this scenario, 379 00:18:29,560 --> 00:18:31,720 Speaker 2: Boise would be in with the Mountain West. There is 380 00:18:31,760 --> 00:18:35,199 Speaker 2: a chance two Lane with the AAC is higher ranked 381 00:18:35,760 --> 00:18:38,640 Speaker 2: than whoever comes out of the Big twelve. I don't 382 00:18:38,680 --> 00:18:41,200 Speaker 2: think it should be that way conditionally, I'd have to 383 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:43,840 Speaker 2: see what the resumes look like. But because I think 384 00:18:44,600 --> 00:18:46,760 Speaker 2: the caliber of schedule you play in the Big twelve 385 00:18:46,800 --> 00:18:49,440 Speaker 2: is that much tougher than in any G five conference. 386 00:18:49,760 --> 00:18:52,800 Speaker 2: But I am not on the committee, nor am I 387 00:18:52,840 --> 00:18:54,080 Speaker 2: scheduled to be on it next year. 388 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:55,080 Speaker 1: I don't think so. 389 00:18:55,480 --> 00:18:58,840 Speaker 2: Yes, that could happen in the ACC. There's another little 390 00:18:58,920 --> 00:19:03,920 Speaker 2: chaos scenario that couldn You know, Clemson plays South Carolina Saturday. 391 00:19:04,560 --> 00:19:07,479 Speaker 2: Let's say they win and then they're done. 392 00:19:07,600 --> 00:19:11,639 Speaker 1: So let's just say Miami and SMU do end up 393 00:19:11,680 --> 00:19:13,400 Speaker 1: going to the ACC Championship game. 394 00:19:14,119 --> 00:19:17,720 Speaker 2: Clemson wins Saturday, they're done for the regular season. They 395 00:19:17,720 --> 00:19:20,320 Speaker 2: just sit at home. They beat a top fifteen team 396 00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:24,400 Speaker 2: to close the season, they're probably in the playoff if 397 00:19:24,680 --> 00:19:27,920 Speaker 2: just that happened, If Clemson just beat South Carolina, they're 398 00:19:27,920 --> 00:19:30,960 Speaker 2: probably in the playoff. What I want to know is 399 00:19:31,000 --> 00:19:37,119 Speaker 2: if Clemson beat South Carolina and SMU beats Miami close, 400 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:43,119 Speaker 2: how how does a top ten Clemson let you know 401 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:45,119 Speaker 2: what you know? Forget that because I'm talking about how 402 00:19:45,119 --> 00:19:49,720 Speaker 2: they get three in. Let's say Clemson were to win 403 00:19:49,840 --> 00:19:54,280 Speaker 2: this Saturday and Miami doesn't, so Miami goes to Syracuse. 404 00:19:54,480 --> 00:19:58,399 Speaker 2: So let's say Miami loses and they're out, or maybe 405 00:19:58,480 --> 00:20:01,200 Speaker 2: SMU loses, who knows. But let's say somehow Clemson gets 406 00:20:01,200 --> 00:20:04,000 Speaker 2: in that ACC Championship game and they're sitting there as 407 00:20:04,160 --> 00:20:07,719 Speaker 2: like the nine seed or the ten seed, and they lose. 408 00:20:09,200 --> 00:20:11,240 Speaker 2: Do you think the committee would drop them out? Do 409 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:13,960 Speaker 2: you think the Committee would punish them for playing a 410 00:20:13,960 --> 00:20:16,199 Speaker 2: conference title game, because remember, we've talked about that in 411 00:20:16,240 --> 00:20:19,240 Speaker 2: the SEC, We've talked about that in the Big Ten. 412 00:20:20,040 --> 00:20:22,360 Speaker 1: We never had reason to talk about. 413 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:24,880 Speaker 2: This scenario in the ACC because up until very recently, 414 00:20:25,200 --> 00:20:27,320 Speaker 2: the acced didn't have enough contenders with a leg to 415 00:20:27,359 --> 00:20:30,040 Speaker 2: stand on. Well, now, according to the Committee, they do. 416 00:20:31,080 --> 00:20:34,280 Speaker 2: So Clemson win this Saturday, it's not a conference game, 417 00:20:34,320 --> 00:20:39,240 Speaker 2: but Clemson wins this Saturday against South Carolina, well that 418 00:20:39,280 --> 00:20:41,680 Speaker 2: would boost them up probably to number ten or number 419 00:20:41,720 --> 00:20:44,480 Speaker 2: nine or something like that. If some craziness happens, they 420 00:20:44,520 --> 00:20:47,600 Speaker 2: could go to the ACC championship game and lose, Would 421 00:20:47,640 --> 00:20:48,720 Speaker 2: they fall out? 422 00:20:48,840 --> 00:20:50,479 Speaker 1: Would the Committee punish them? I don't know. 423 00:20:51,240 --> 00:20:53,560 Speaker 2: We've always known the five seed was going to be 424 00:20:53,600 --> 00:20:56,240 Speaker 2: a really, really good spot, and Ohio State is showing 425 00:20:56,280 --> 00:20:58,439 Speaker 2: you Like Ohio State, I just told you that'd be 426 00:20:58,440 --> 00:21:01,040 Speaker 2: a twenty one point favorite against on a state. There'd 427 00:21:01,080 --> 00:21:03,040 Speaker 2: be more than a twenty one point favorite against Boise 428 00:21:03,240 --> 00:21:06,080 Speaker 2: in the second round. But you notice what's happening with 429 00:21:06,200 --> 00:21:10,240 Speaker 2: the sixth seed. Like the number six seed, depending on 430 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:14,159 Speaker 2: how this stuff falls, could draw like an Indiana and 431 00:21:14,240 --> 00:21:19,119 Speaker 2: then SMU or someone like that. If the conference championship 432 00:21:19,160 --> 00:21:22,000 Speaker 2: game kind of falls a different way. My point is, 433 00:21:22,520 --> 00:21:25,159 Speaker 2: not only is the five seed looking to potentially have 434 00:21:25,240 --> 00:21:28,320 Speaker 2: a very navigable path depending on how this stuff falls, 435 00:21:28,760 --> 00:21:31,719 Speaker 2: you could say that about the sixth seed too. Meanwhile, 436 00:21:32,640 --> 00:21:35,280 Speaker 2: number seven seed's gonna play Georgia in round one, and 437 00:21:35,320 --> 00:21:37,960 Speaker 2: if you survive that, you're gonna play Oregon in round two. 438 00:21:38,320 --> 00:21:41,200 Speaker 2: There is a big difference in the way those seedings 439 00:21:41,200 --> 00:21:43,119 Speaker 2: are drawn up. So, yes, we've got a bunch of 440 00:21:43,160 --> 00:21:45,919 Speaker 2: chaos on tap. I don't have a huge problem with 441 00:21:45,920 --> 00:21:48,679 Speaker 2: the rankings. I got a problem with the format. And 442 00:21:48,760 --> 00:21:50,760 Speaker 2: you just either agree with me on that or you don't. 443 00:21:51,080 --> 00:21:53,239 Speaker 2: I know that there is a school of thought that 444 00:21:53,480 --> 00:21:56,960 Speaker 2: you have to keep the auto bids for the Conference 445 00:21:57,040 --> 00:22:00,720 Speaker 2: champs to maintain the sanctity of conference champion, and I 446 00:22:00,800 --> 00:22:03,240 Speaker 2: say to that it doesn't make enough sense to me. 447 00:22:04,119 --> 00:22:05,679 Speaker 1: I don't care about your auto bids. 448 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:07,240 Speaker 2: I just think they should go to the top four 449 00:22:07,240 --> 00:22:11,760 Speaker 2: teams regardless. The autobid stuff for Conference champs is insane, 450 00:22:11,800 --> 00:22:14,800 Speaker 2: and you're about to see why. I don't think it 451 00:22:14,800 --> 00:22:17,680 Speaker 2: may last all that long, but you're about to see why. 452 00:22:17,960 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 2: All right, let's talk about quick trip because They are 453 00:22:20,600 --> 00:22:23,359 Speaker 2: fueling our tour all across the country, and you guys 454 00:22:23,440 --> 00:22:25,119 Speaker 2: know that we've been all across the country to the 455 00:22:25,119 --> 00:22:27,679 Speaker 2: point where we need one of those maps. We should 456 00:22:27,720 --> 00:22:31,360 Speaker 2: probably get graphics on that. That's a post Thanksgiving project 457 00:22:32,119 --> 00:22:34,000 Speaker 2: Quick Trip. We've been given out free tanks of gas 458 00:22:34,040 --> 00:22:36,040 Speaker 2: all year long. They've been a phenomenal partner for us, 459 00:22:36,680 --> 00:22:39,000 Speaker 2: long time to come. Well, we've got a big, big 460 00:22:39,040 --> 00:22:41,520 Speaker 2: plans on the horizon with Quick Trip. But in the 461 00:22:41,560 --> 00:22:44,679 Speaker 2: immediacy I'm gonna drive home to Georgia tonight, go have 462 00:22:44,720 --> 00:22:47,800 Speaker 2: some Thanksgiving. But then I'm headed to College Station Saturday 463 00:22:47,960 --> 00:22:50,840 Speaker 2: for the whole new Saturday tour, proudly fueled by Quick Trip. 464 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,840 Speaker 1: It's Texas versus Texas A and M. 465 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,920 Speaker 2: I cannot tell you in strong enough terms how much 466 00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:01,439 Speaker 2: I've been looking forward to this thing. We don't normally 467 00:23:01,520 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 2: put that graphic full screen. I say, we put that 468 00:23:03,760 --> 00:23:06,040 Speaker 2: graphic full screen. I say, we look at that thing 469 00:23:06,119 --> 00:23:09,240 Speaker 2: like it's wallpaper. You don't understand the hatred. We're gonna 470 00:23:09,240 --> 00:23:10,240 Speaker 2: break the game down later. 471 00:23:10,080 --> 00:23:10,760 Speaker 1: In the show. 472 00:23:10,840 --> 00:23:14,719 Speaker 2: The outright hatred in Texas versus Texas A and M 473 00:23:15,240 --> 00:23:16,520 Speaker 2: is something that I don't think we. 474 00:23:16,520 --> 00:23:18,240 Speaker 1: Can put into words. I'll try later. 475 00:23:18,440 --> 00:23:20,520 Speaker 2: I don't think we can put it into words, but 476 00:23:20,960 --> 00:23:24,840 Speaker 2: oh man, it's gonna bleed through. It's gonna be so beautiful. 477 00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:28,560 Speaker 2: I just encourage you guys. The younger you are, the 478 00:23:28,560 --> 00:23:32,320 Speaker 2: more I'm encouraging you. Make sure you're watching this game Saturday. 479 00:23:37,080 --> 00:23:40,639 Speaker 2: So that brings us to Texas, Texas A and M Saturday, 480 00:23:40,880 --> 00:23:44,880 Speaker 2: seven thirty Eastern, six thirty Central. It's the ABC game 481 00:23:44,920 --> 00:23:46,879 Speaker 2: of the week. We're gonna be there. The whole New 482 00:23:46,880 --> 00:23:48,840 Speaker 2: Saturday tour is gonna have us right there on the sideline. 483 00:23:48,840 --> 00:23:51,840 Speaker 2: But basically, what I need to tell you all outside 484 00:23:51,840 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 2: of these two fan bases is we got what we 485 00:23:53,680 --> 00:23:57,280 Speaker 2: wanted Back in August. A lot of us, myself included, 486 00:23:57,480 --> 00:23:58,720 Speaker 2: looked at this and said. 487 00:23:58,600 --> 00:24:01,040 Speaker 1: Oh wow, that's right. We get Texas and Texas A 488 00:24:01,080 --> 00:24:01,639 Speaker 1: and M again. 489 00:24:02,400 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 2: And then some of you eighteen years old, twenty years old, 490 00:24:06,000 --> 00:24:08,400 Speaker 2: twenty one year old. Most of our audience is under 491 00:24:08,400 --> 00:24:10,439 Speaker 2: thirty years old. A lot of you hitting me up 492 00:24:10,440 --> 00:24:15,000 Speaker 2: and said, hey, I get there close geographically, and they 493 00:24:15,119 --> 00:24:16,720 Speaker 2: used to be in the same conference, but why do 494 00:24:16,760 --> 00:24:18,480 Speaker 2: you keep making such a big deal about this? 495 00:24:19,200 --> 00:24:20,960 Speaker 1: And I smiled. I wasn't sarcastic. 496 00:24:21,000 --> 00:24:23,120 Speaker 2: I just smiled and I said, you're going to learn 497 00:24:23,160 --> 00:24:26,679 Speaker 2: something this year, and this Saturday, some of you are 498 00:24:26,680 --> 00:24:31,760 Speaker 2: going to learn something about just the pure, unadult, traded, unfiltered, 499 00:24:32,000 --> 00:24:33,800 Speaker 2: unexplainable hatred. 500 00:24:33,880 --> 00:24:34,360 Speaker 1: Hatred. 501 00:24:34,880 --> 00:24:37,640 Speaker 2: Contrary to what even Mema used to teach me, it's 502 00:24:37,680 --> 00:24:38,680 Speaker 2: not always a bad thing. 503 00:24:39,080 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 1: Sometimes it can. 504 00:24:39,760 --> 00:24:41,560 Speaker 2: Be a good thing, and it's a great thing in 505 00:24:41,680 --> 00:24:44,879 Speaker 2: rivalries like this. The winners going to Atlanta. And when 506 00:24:44,920 --> 00:24:47,320 Speaker 2: I say we got what we wanted, what I hoped 507 00:24:47,440 --> 00:24:49,399 Speaker 2: was that there would be implications on this beyond just 508 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:51,600 Speaker 2: the rivalry, because look, these two were going to get 509 00:24:51,640 --> 00:24:54,840 Speaker 2: into a knife fight no matter what. But someone in Reno, 510 00:24:54,920 --> 00:24:57,440 Speaker 2: Nevada may not care as much if one or both 511 00:24:57,440 --> 00:24:59,639 Speaker 2: of them were out of the playoff race or the 512 00:24:59,680 --> 00:25:02,960 Speaker 2: SEC championship race. Well they're both in both of them. 513 00:25:03,160 --> 00:25:05,600 Speaker 2: So we got what we wanted here. So now I 514 00:25:05,640 --> 00:25:08,320 Speaker 2: got to ask quinn Ewers, what are you going to 515 00:25:08,400 --> 00:25:11,480 Speaker 2: do Saturday? Because this is a major quinn Eewers game. 516 00:25:11,800 --> 00:25:14,800 Speaker 2: Make no mistake about it. There is a gear that 517 00:25:14,880 --> 00:25:17,919 Speaker 2: we saw them hit with him at quarterback against Alabama 518 00:25:17,960 --> 00:25:20,800 Speaker 2: two years ago, and if you think about it, they've 519 00:25:20,800 --> 00:25:22,840 Speaker 2: been a really good team. They've been one of the 520 00:25:22,840 --> 00:25:25,760 Speaker 2: best in the country collectively, but I have not seen 521 00:25:25,800 --> 00:25:29,600 Speaker 2: them hit that gear again, and I still believe it's there. 522 00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 1: I picked Texas to win the SEC. 523 00:25:31,680 --> 00:25:33,480 Speaker 2: I picked them to go, I think, all the way 524 00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:35,360 Speaker 2: to the National title Game in the preseason. I picked 525 00:25:35,400 --> 00:25:37,200 Speaker 2: them to do that because I think that gear is there, 526 00:25:37,240 --> 00:25:39,800 Speaker 2: and they're still in contention for all that, And I 527 00:25:39,800 --> 00:25:42,040 Speaker 2: guess it's a compliment to say they're in contention for 528 00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,720 Speaker 2: all that, And I still think that extra gear is there. 529 00:25:45,320 --> 00:25:49,320 Speaker 2: A and M is much better against the run than 530 00:25:49,320 --> 00:25:51,960 Speaker 2: the pass. And I'm teeing all this up to say, hey, 531 00:25:52,000 --> 00:25:54,840 Speaker 2: if it's there, maybe we'll see it click into gear. 532 00:25:54,840 --> 00:25:55,040 Speaker 1: Here. 533 00:25:55,080 --> 00:25:58,920 Speaker 2: They've got a really explosive and capable set of pass catchers. 534 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:01,680 Speaker 2: The A and M secondary little paper popper of a 535 00:26:01,720 --> 00:26:04,280 Speaker 2: stat here. Potentially the A and M secondary is one 536 00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:09,639 Speaker 2: hundredth or worse defending passes of thirty forty fifty yards 537 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:13,639 Speaker 2: and all those categories they've been had. To a large degree, 538 00:26:13,640 --> 00:26:16,879 Speaker 2: they've been had. So I've sat there and watched Texas. 539 00:26:16,880 --> 00:26:18,959 Speaker 2: I've seen them play multiple times this year. They're of 540 00:26:18,960 --> 00:26:21,359 Speaker 2: course undefeated when I watch them in person this year, 541 00:26:21,400 --> 00:26:23,920 Speaker 2: but it hasn't been definitive. 542 00:26:24,080 --> 00:26:24,840 Speaker 1: It hasn't been. 543 00:26:24,720 --> 00:26:27,080 Speaker 2: Slammed the door Quinn viewers over the top and all 544 00:26:27,119 --> 00:26:30,440 Speaker 2: those receivers, And maybe that's just not them this year, 545 00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:32,439 Speaker 2: and that's okay. They can still win if it's not, 546 00:26:32,560 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 2: but it certainly tees them up better to win if 547 00:26:34,280 --> 00:26:36,679 Speaker 2: it is. Texas A and M's defense has been a 548 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:40,040 Speaker 2: letdown to me and that fan base over the past 549 00:26:40,440 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 2: few games. They allowed forty four against South Carolina, forty 550 00:26:44,240 --> 00:26:46,679 Speaker 2: three against Auburn. That was an overtime game, but still 551 00:26:46,920 --> 00:26:49,679 Speaker 2: it got to overtime because A and M's defense just 552 00:26:49,720 --> 00:26:53,639 Speaker 2: not quite what it had been, which is disappointing because 553 00:26:53,720 --> 00:26:58,320 Speaker 2: the players man I thought had the I thought they 554 00:26:58,359 --> 00:27:00,679 Speaker 2: had the gas in the tank to be a defensive 555 00:27:00,760 --> 00:27:04,440 Speaker 2: oriented team the whole year. And maybe Kyle fields enough 556 00:27:04,440 --> 00:27:07,240 Speaker 2: this Saturday, you know, maybe the redemption is there. This 557 00:27:07,320 --> 00:27:09,760 Speaker 2: is a top twenty five pressure unit. I think about 558 00:27:09,800 --> 00:27:12,760 Speaker 2: Georgia ironically a couple of different ways here. I think 559 00:27:12,760 --> 00:27:17,040 Speaker 2: about Georgia in a sense that this Texas offensive line 560 00:27:17,480 --> 00:27:21,440 Speaker 2: got got against Georgia. Georgia had seven sacks and ten 561 00:27:21,480 --> 00:27:25,200 Speaker 2: tackles for loss. So there's that, and then there's also 562 00:27:26,119 --> 00:27:29,320 Speaker 2: Texas going on the road and having to, you know, 563 00:27:29,800 --> 00:27:32,639 Speaker 2: try and operate in what will by far be the 564 00:27:32,640 --> 00:27:36,119 Speaker 2: most hostile environment that they face all year. And I 565 00:27:36,240 --> 00:27:39,840 Speaker 2: mentioned Georgia because I also can't help but remember Georgia 566 00:27:39,880 --> 00:27:43,359 Speaker 2: just a short time ago go into Ole Miss and 567 00:27:43,400 --> 00:27:47,360 Speaker 2: that ole Miss group of pass rushers got after Georgia 568 00:27:47,440 --> 00:27:50,280 Speaker 2: and Kirby Smart talked afterwards about how it's really tough 569 00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,520 Speaker 2: to go against that group of pass rushers in this 570 00:27:53,760 --> 00:27:56,200 Speaker 2: environment where your left tackle can't hear anything. 571 00:27:56,520 --> 00:27:58,920 Speaker 1: So maybe that's how A and M flips. This game. 572 00:27:59,800 --> 00:28:03,000 Speaker 2: On paper looks good for Texas, but number one, we 573 00:28:03,080 --> 00:28:05,159 Speaker 2: know what this is worth when it comes time to 574 00:28:05,200 --> 00:28:07,680 Speaker 2: tee it up on Saturday. And number two, the way 575 00:28:07,720 --> 00:28:09,479 Speaker 2: things have played out is not always the way they 576 00:28:09,480 --> 00:28:12,440 Speaker 2: do play out. Here's the hardest part for me. Texas 577 00:28:12,640 --> 00:28:14,960 Speaker 2: is what they are defensively. They are a high level 578 00:28:15,040 --> 00:28:17,960 Speaker 2: unit as it relates to the country this year, Texas 579 00:28:18,040 --> 00:28:21,040 Speaker 2: is an elite unit. They are top fifteen against the run, 580 00:28:21,080 --> 00:28:25,320 Speaker 2: They're number one in defending explosive plays. And so if 581 00:28:25,320 --> 00:28:27,480 Speaker 2: I start to ask myself if I want to tech tech, 582 00:28:27,520 --> 00:28:28,800 Speaker 2: if I want to take Texas A and M in this, 583 00:28:28,840 --> 00:28:30,720 Speaker 2: and I start to ask myself, what do they need. 584 00:28:31,760 --> 00:28:32,360 Speaker 1: I think you. 585 00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,600 Speaker 2: Need twenty four plus to win it. I think you'll 586 00:28:35,640 --> 00:28:37,800 Speaker 2: have to get above that, and you can do that 587 00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:40,000 Speaker 2: however you want to. But I can't factor in. I 588 00:28:40,040 --> 00:28:43,440 Speaker 2: can't predict special team scorers, defensive scores. So I got 589 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:46,600 Speaker 2: to assume that offensively, Marcel Reid's gonna have to get 590 00:28:46,640 --> 00:28:48,840 Speaker 2: the job done here in Texas. A and M's offense 591 00:28:48,880 --> 00:28:50,160 Speaker 2: is going to have to get the job done here. 592 00:28:50,480 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 2: A and M's eighty first offensively on third down. Texas 593 00:28:53,720 --> 00:28:56,880 Speaker 2: is top ten in the country defensively against third down. 594 00:28:56,960 --> 00:28:58,560 Speaker 1: So there's a lot of stuff that has. 595 00:28:58,400 --> 00:29:01,560 Speaker 2: To be overcome. But telling you this is not a game, 596 00:29:01,680 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 2: I'll say it one more time. I always shake the paper. 597 00:29:04,640 --> 00:29:06,640 Speaker 2: It's not a game played on paper. If it was, 598 00:29:06,680 --> 00:29:10,840 Speaker 2: it would be undefeated picking games this year and number two, 599 00:29:10,840 --> 00:29:14,840 Speaker 2: it wouldn't be worth watching. Emotion is such a huge 600 00:29:14,880 --> 00:29:18,640 Speaker 2: part of college football, and it will be at a premium. 601 00:29:18,680 --> 00:29:22,520 Speaker 2: You will never see an emotional outpouring just like a 602 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:26,720 Speaker 2: guttural hatred like you will in this game when Texas 603 00:29:26,720 --> 00:29:29,080 Speaker 2: comes into Kyle Field Colin, let's take a look at 604 00:29:29,120 --> 00:29:32,680 Speaker 2: what the model thinks. So right now, at FanDuel, Texas 605 00:29:32,800 --> 00:29:35,000 Speaker 2: is minus five and a half. Our model pretty much 606 00:29:35,040 --> 00:29:39,440 Speaker 2: agrees we've got Texas minus six. I made some predictions 607 00:29:39,480 --> 00:29:42,160 Speaker 2: about Texas in the preseason that I'm way too deep. 608 00:29:42,080 --> 00:29:43,080 Speaker 1: Into back off of now. 609 00:29:44,040 --> 00:29:46,600 Speaker 2: But man, I think this could be a dogfight because 610 00:29:46,640 --> 00:29:48,800 Speaker 2: I do think the staying power is there. Like I 611 00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:50,480 Speaker 2: think about A and M on the road last week. 612 00:29:50,480 --> 00:29:52,000 Speaker 2: I think about a lot of these SEC teams on 613 00:29:52,040 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 2: the road last week, and to me, if everything's still 614 00:29:55,240 --> 00:29:57,720 Speaker 2: in play for you, the only thing that's changed here 615 00:29:57,800 --> 00:29:59,240 Speaker 2: is you get to be the home team now and 616 00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:01,280 Speaker 2: they got to come in. We were building and I 617 00:30:01,320 --> 00:30:03,880 Speaker 2: don't really care what happened last week. Last week matters 618 00:30:03,920 --> 00:30:06,840 Speaker 2: nothing to me as it relates to this game. So 619 00:30:07,080 --> 00:30:08,800 Speaker 2: A and M absolutely has what it takes to win 620 00:30:08,840 --> 00:30:11,840 Speaker 2: this thing. Texas is my pick for a reason. I 621 00:30:11,880 --> 00:30:14,440 Speaker 2: am sticking with Texas. I think their best football is 622 00:30:14,480 --> 00:30:16,520 Speaker 2: still in front of them. They need to find it 623 00:30:16,560 --> 00:30:19,360 Speaker 2: this week. I am going to take Texas to win. 624 00:30:19,640 --> 00:30:22,600 Speaker 2: I don't like the points. I think they're one or 625 00:30:22,640 --> 00:30:24,800 Speaker 2: two too many there. I disagree with the model, so 626 00:30:25,160 --> 00:30:26,680 Speaker 2: I think it's going to thread the needle. I think 627 00:30:26,720 --> 00:30:28,360 Speaker 2: it's a very very close game. In the fourth quarter. 628 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,800 Speaker 2: So anything above three, I'm actually taking Texas, A and 629 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:34,000 Speaker 2: M plus the points, which is it's a tight rope 630 00:30:34,000 --> 00:30:36,040 Speaker 2: to walk there. I'll take Texas to win. I'll take 631 00:30:36,080 --> 00:30:38,320 Speaker 2: A and M to cover. Neither outcome would shock me, 632 00:30:38,800 --> 00:30:43,280 Speaker 2: but I am so happy just as an unbiased observer. 633 00:30:43,480 --> 00:30:46,680 Speaker 2: If you live in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, you get to 634 00:30:46,720 --> 00:30:49,040 Speaker 2: see what this is all about. And I know a 635 00:30:49,040 --> 00:30:50,720 Speaker 2: lot of you have been waiting a long time to 636 00:30:50,720 --> 00:30:51,760 Speaker 2: see what I was talking about. 637 00:30:51,760 --> 00:30:54,680 Speaker 1: With this game, you will see this weekend. Let's move on. 638 00:30:56,720 --> 00:30:59,160 Speaker 2: Its rivalry week obviously, so we've got a lot of 639 00:30:59,280 --> 00:31:03,400 Speaker 2: rivalries to tell talked about. I've been at the game 640 00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:06,360 Speaker 2: the past three years. Michigan, Ohio State, Ohio State, Michigan, 641 00:31:06,400 --> 00:31:08,200 Speaker 2: whichever order you want to go in, I just list 642 00:31:08,240 --> 00:31:10,240 Speaker 2: the road team first. So to me, this year it's 643 00:31:10,320 --> 00:31:13,040 Speaker 2: Michigan versus Ohio State. It is Saturday, it is high noon, 644 00:31:13,240 --> 00:31:16,080 Speaker 2: it is on Fox, and this will be a blood 645 00:31:16,240 --> 00:31:21,640 Speaker 2: thirsty crowd in the Horseshoe, a bloodthirsty fan base. You 646 00:31:21,720 --> 00:31:25,800 Speaker 2: cannot overstate what this game has done to the Ohio 647 00:31:25,840 --> 00:31:29,800 Speaker 2: State program mentally the past three years. I've been there, 648 00:31:30,800 --> 00:31:34,800 Speaker 2: and I told this story. I'll tell it again, just 649 00:31:34,920 --> 00:31:38,320 Speaker 2: keep names out of it. Everyone talks about how important 650 00:31:38,360 --> 00:31:41,400 Speaker 2: this rivalry is and how the magnitude of it can 651 00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:45,320 Speaker 2: make or break careers and seasons, and sometimes that seems unfair, 652 00:31:45,360 --> 00:31:48,680 Speaker 2: but it's also that's the way that rivalry football is 653 00:31:48,720 --> 00:31:52,360 Speaker 2: supposed to work. So it's both unfortunate and beautiful, depending 654 00:31:52,360 --> 00:31:54,680 Speaker 2: on which side of it you're in. Ryan Day earlier 655 00:31:54,720 --> 00:31:57,760 Speaker 2: this week talked about how he said this now, next 656 00:31:57,800 --> 00:32:01,840 Speaker 2: to losing his father, the outcome of this game has 657 00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:05,760 Speaker 2: been as devastating in his life as pretty much anything 658 00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:08,320 Speaker 2: else has been. And if you don't know college football 659 00:32:08,360 --> 00:32:09,760 Speaker 2: and you don't know this rivalry, you look at that 660 00:32:09,760 --> 00:32:12,360 Speaker 2: and you say, boy, his man, that's all out of whack. 661 00:32:12,520 --> 00:32:14,800 Speaker 2: His priorities are out of whack. Well not if you're 662 00:32:14,840 --> 00:32:15,880 Speaker 2: the head coach at Ohio State. 663 00:32:15,880 --> 00:32:18,280 Speaker 1: It's not. It's not for everyone. That doesn't make sense 664 00:32:18,280 --> 00:32:18,520 Speaker 1: to you. 665 00:32:18,520 --> 00:32:21,200 Speaker 2: You're probably not cut out to be part of this rivalry. 666 00:32:21,280 --> 00:32:22,520 Speaker 2: But the story I was going to tell you was 667 00:32:22,520 --> 00:32:24,840 Speaker 2: a couple of years ago, last time this game was 668 00:32:24,840 --> 00:32:27,880 Speaker 2: played in Columbus, I was there. I thought Ohio State 669 00:32:27,920 --> 00:32:30,080 Speaker 2: would win the game because it was the year after 670 00:32:30,120 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 2: the Big snow Globe game up at Michigan, and that 671 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:35,120 Speaker 2: was when Michigan had just won the first one. We 672 00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:36,480 Speaker 2: didn't know it was going to be the first of 673 00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:40,640 Speaker 2: three consecutive at least, And so the next year, Ohio 674 00:32:40,680 --> 00:32:42,840 Speaker 2: State's favored looked like it was going to be bad 675 00:32:42,880 --> 00:32:44,880 Speaker 2: weather earlier in the week, and then morning of the 676 00:32:45,560 --> 00:32:49,600 Speaker 2: sky's clear and it's like fifty degrees at kickoff, everything 677 00:32:49,720 --> 00:32:53,600 Speaker 2: leans Ohio State and then Michigan just pops explosive plays 678 00:32:53,640 --> 00:32:56,240 Speaker 2: on him. Michigan takes over in the second half they win. 679 00:32:56,840 --> 00:33:00,200 Speaker 2: I was there covering the game for CBS, and you 680 00:33:00,240 --> 00:33:01,680 Speaker 2: go to a postgame press conference. 681 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:03,479 Speaker 1: I can't even remember which one I went to. 682 00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:05,120 Speaker 2: But after you get out of there, you walk back 683 00:33:05,120 --> 00:33:07,400 Speaker 2: down the tunnel, you go out on the field. Gelby's 684 00:33:07,440 --> 00:33:10,000 Speaker 2: standing there. He's got our cameras and live shots set up. 685 00:33:10,760 --> 00:33:12,920 Speaker 2: Take the mic in your hand, and you're doing a 686 00:33:12,960 --> 00:33:15,240 Speaker 2: live hit your on air live with CBS. So I'm 687 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:17,880 Speaker 2: talking back and forth with the studio and like I'm 688 00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:19,760 Speaker 2: looking at the camera as I'm looking at this camera 689 00:33:19,920 --> 00:33:22,920 Speaker 2: right now, and in my peripheral vision, like you got 690 00:33:22,960 --> 00:33:26,160 Speaker 2: really bright lights in your face, so you can kind 691 00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:28,840 Speaker 2: of see behind the camera, but you can't really see 692 00:33:28,880 --> 00:33:30,719 Speaker 2: behind the camera because those lights kind of blind you. 693 00:33:31,680 --> 00:33:34,600 Speaker 2: So I could tell that somebody was back there in 694 00:33:34,640 --> 00:33:36,880 Speaker 2: the stands. And this is an hour after the game, 695 00:33:36,960 --> 00:33:40,120 Speaker 2: and so security has flushed the stadium out, and it 696 00:33:40,240 --> 00:33:43,760 Speaker 2: was Ohio State players that had come back out of 697 00:33:43,800 --> 00:33:46,520 Speaker 2: the locker room, seniors who were never going to play 698 00:33:46,640 --> 00:33:48,880 Speaker 2: in the rivalry again. They were never going to play 699 00:33:48,880 --> 00:33:51,360 Speaker 2: in that stadium again. And they were sitting in the 700 00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:56,840 Speaker 2: stands just like uncontrollably balling their eyes out. That's what 701 00:33:56,880 --> 00:34:00,240 Speaker 2: this one means. And it is get right time for 702 00:34:00,320 --> 00:34:02,880 Speaker 2: Ohio State because they are favored by twenty and a 703 00:34:02,960 --> 00:34:06,880 Speaker 2: half right now at FanDuel. This is one of the 704 00:34:07,000 --> 00:34:10,600 Speaker 2: fbs's worst offenses in Michigan versus one of the best 705 00:34:10,640 --> 00:34:13,399 Speaker 2: defenses in the country. So right off the bat, I'm 706 00:34:13,440 --> 00:34:15,840 Speaker 2: trying to figure out could the upset happen here? And 707 00:34:15,920 --> 00:34:18,759 Speaker 2: sure it's a rivalry game, so anything could happen. But 708 00:34:18,920 --> 00:34:21,239 Speaker 2: if it is to happen, I mean, I gotta get 709 00:34:21,320 --> 00:34:22,160 Speaker 2: what from Michigan. 710 00:34:22,200 --> 00:34:23,840 Speaker 1: You play your best defensive football. 711 00:34:23,880 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 2: I'm still having to get probably twenty plus points to 712 00:34:27,320 --> 00:34:30,680 Speaker 2: feel comfortable that I can win this game. And man, 713 00:34:31,160 --> 00:34:32,960 Speaker 2: I guess you got to have really good field position. 714 00:34:33,239 --> 00:34:37,560 Speaker 2: Special teams have to come through. Obviously, defensive turnovers, defensive scoring, 715 00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:40,560 Speaker 2: that would be great. You've probably got to get some 716 00:34:40,680 --> 00:34:43,839 Speaker 2: explosive runs from Khalil Mullins the tailback. And I say 717 00:34:43,880 --> 00:34:46,919 Speaker 2: that very intentionally because I don't think they'll sustain drives 718 00:34:46,920 --> 00:34:47,839 Speaker 2: against Ohio State. 719 00:34:48,200 --> 00:34:50,319 Speaker 1: Kind of like the game two years ago here Now. 720 00:34:50,400 --> 00:34:53,239 Speaker 2: They were not nearly as offensively challenged then as they 721 00:34:53,239 --> 00:34:56,000 Speaker 2: are now, but remember how that worked. They had a 722 00:34:56,040 --> 00:34:58,520 Speaker 2: ton of rushing yards, but there were a couple of 723 00:34:58,680 --> 00:35:02,359 Speaker 2: really really big seventy plus yard explosive plays I think 724 00:35:02,400 --> 00:35:06,239 Speaker 2: it was, and that really changed the game. So you've 725 00:35:06,239 --> 00:35:08,000 Speaker 2: got to get some kind of version of that here 726 00:35:08,239 --> 00:35:12,000 Speaker 2: to try and just cobble together twenty points, twenty four points, 727 00:35:12,040 --> 00:35:13,359 Speaker 2: and even then you've got to come through. You got 728 00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:15,080 Speaker 2: to shut down Ohio State. But at least that gives 729 00:35:15,080 --> 00:35:18,200 Speaker 2: you a chance. Everything is still in a state of 730 00:35:18,200 --> 00:35:20,600 Speaker 2: flux for Ohio State, not in a bad way. I 731 00:35:20,640 --> 00:35:23,920 Speaker 2: don't say that to mean they're discombobulating. I say that 732 00:35:24,040 --> 00:35:28,000 Speaker 2: to me, if there's anyone out there it's foolish enough 733 00:35:28,400 --> 00:35:31,160 Speaker 2: to be concerned about Ohio State maybe overlooking this a 734 00:35:31,200 --> 00:35:31,600 Speaker 2: little bit. 735 00:35:31,760 --> 00:35:33,760 Speaker 1: First off, just no full stop. 736 00:35:34,320 --> 00:35:37,319 Speaker 2: Secondly, even if you are concerned about that, and you're 737 00:35:37,320 --> 00:35:39,560 Speaker 2: concerned that they're looking ahead of the Big Ten championship game, 738 00:35:39,560 --> 00:35:39,960 Speaker 2: they're not. 739 00:35:40,080 --> 00:35:42,960 Speaker 1: In it yet, guys. They haven't clinched it yet. 740 00:35:43,200 --> 00:35:46,839 Speaker 2: Everybody's projections have them there because they assume a three 741 00:35:46,920 --> 00:35:49,279 Speaker 2: plus touchdown favorite or thereabouts will win here. 742 00:35:49,640 --> 00:35:50,719 Speaker 1: But they still got to do it. 743 00:35:50,760 --> 00:35:54,280 Speaker 2: So they'd be locked in if they were five and five, 744 00:35:54,560 --> 00:35:58,360 Speaker 2: but they'll be locked in, especially because there's still everything 745 00:35:58,360 --> 00:35:59,080 Speaker 2: to play for here. 746 00:35:59,120 --> 00:36:00,680 Speaker 1: They haven't locked any thing up yet. 747 00:36:01,120 --> 00:36:04,560 Speaker 2: Do you let their defensive line handle you one of 748 00:36:04,560 --> 00:36:06,720 Speaker 2: the areas Michigan could throw this thing into a blender 749 00:36:06,760 --> 00:36:10,960 Speaker 2: if they did, would be maybe with those offensive line injuries. 750 00:36:11,800 --> 00:36:15,160 Speaker 2: It gets exposed a week later. Indiana did not expose it. 751 00:36:15,640 --> 00:36:18,560 Speaker 2: If it's there to be exposed, maybe Michigan exposes it. 752 00:36:18,840 --> 00:36:22,960 Speaker 2: Maybe that's how they crash the interior. And who knows 753 00:36:23,360 --> 00:36:26,120 Speaker 2: anything can happen when you throw the timing and rhythm 754 00:36:26,360 --> 00:36:27,480 Speaker 2: of an offense off. 755 00:36:27,520 --> 00:36:28,600 Speaker 1: Anything can happen. Now. 756 00:36:28,719 --> 00:36:30,520 Speaker 2: Chip Kelly's one of the best in the country, so 757 00:36:30,600 --> 00:36:34,120 Speaker 2: I don't expect him to call a game that allows 758 00:36:34,160 --> 00:36:34,840 Speaker 2: that to happen. 759 00:36:34,960 --> 00:36:38,640 Speaker 1: But if you're that good defensively, then. 760 00:36:39,960 --> 00:36:44,240 Speaker 2: You can make people's game plans go sideways pretty quickly. 761 00:36:44,560 --> 00:36:48,240 Speaker 2: You better because you are not, in all likelihoods shutting 762 00:36:48,280 --> 00:36:51,520 Speaker 2: down their passing game. Michigan is very average against the 763 00:36:51,560 --> 00:36:53,840 Speaker 2: pass this year, and that's even if they're healthy, and 764 00:36:53,880 --> 00:36:56,080 Speaker 2: they may not be totally healthy in their secondary they 765 00:36:56,320 --> 00:36:59,319 Speaker 2: don't have an elite pressure rate. But again, a one 766 00:36:59,360 --> 00:37:03,120 Speaker 2: off situation where maybe you crash, you get pressure inside 767 00:37:04,160 --> 00:37:06,960 Speaker 2: that could lead to any of a number of results. 768 00:37:07,239 --> 00:37:08,759 Speaker 2: Got a lot of people watching the show. By the way, 769 00:37:08,840 --> 00:37:11,200 Speaker 2: make sure you subscribe to the show. Subscribe to the 770 00:37:11,280 --> 00:37:13,239 Speaker 2: channel if you haven't already, because we do this thing 771 00:37:13,280 --> 00:37:16,359 Speaker 2: free all year and the only thing that we ask 772 00:37:16,520 --> 00:37:19,759 Speaker 2: is you subscribe. Doesn't cost you anything, doesn't commit you 773 00:37:19,800 --> 00:37:22,000 Speaker 2: to anything. You'll forget you even did it, but it 774 00:37:22,040 --> 00:37:25,879 Speaker 2: helps us. Colston Lovelin's questionable in this game. Michigan's leading 775 00:37:25,920 --> 00:37:29,239 Speaker 2: receiver by ten miles, and there's not a close second there. 776 00:37:29,400 --> 00:37:32,359 Speaker 1: He's questionable in this game. Whether he goes or not. 777 00:37:32,560 --> 00:37:35,200 Speaker 2: I assume that he will if he can walk, you know, 778 00:37:35,239 --> 00:37:37,239 Speaker 2: if he can put together coherent sentences, he will go 779 00:37:37,280 --> 00:37:40,440 Speaker 2: in this game. But it just has splattering alert all 780 00:37:40,480 --> 00:37:43,000 Speaker 2: over it. Colin, go ahead and show the folks what 781 00:37:43,040 --> 00:37:46,720 Speaker 2: the line is. We've got FanDuel hanging Ohio State minus 782 00:37:46,760 --> 00:37:49,520 Speaker 2: twenty and a half. Our model's got Ohio State minus 783 00:37:49,520 --> 00:37:52,960 Speaker 2: twenty one. I've just seen this play out too many times. 784 00:37:54,480 --> 00:37:58,200 Speaker 2: I don't think there is a number high enough where 785 00:37:58,200 --> 00:37:59,600 Speaker 2: I wouldn't take Ohio State. 786 00:37:59,680 --> 00:38:01,520 Speaker 1: But this one's not high enough. 787 00:38:02,560 --> 00:38:05,640 Speaker 2: So you give me Ohio State to win, You give 788 00:38:05,719 --> 00:38:08,520 Speaker 2: me Ohio State to cover. There is no letting up, 789 00:38:08,600 --> 00:38:11,120 Speaker 2: there is no taking the foot off the gas. I mean, 790 00:38:11,120 --> 00:38:13,920 Speaker 2: if Ryan Day was willing to drive the dagger into 791 00:38:14,000 --> 00:38:16,959 Speaker 2: Kurt Signitti's neck last week, imagine what he'd be willing 792 00:38:16,960 --> 00:38:19,239 Speaker 2: to do if he gets the opportunity against Sharon Moore 793 00:38:19,239 --> 00:38:19,680 Speaker 2: in Michigan. 794 00:38:19,680 --> 00:38:20,439 Speaker 1: And I think you will. 795 00:38:20,520 --> 00:38:23,759 Speaker 2: So it's been a fun three years from Michigan, and 796 00:38:23,840 --> 00:38:26,080 Speaker 2: it could be a fun upcoming three years from Michigan 797 00:38:26,400 --> 00:38:29,880 Speaker 2: given the Kurt trajectory of recruiting. But as for twenty 798 00:38:29,960 --> 00:38:33,239 Speaker 2: twenty four, it's Ohio State's here. They win, and I 799 00:38:33,280 --> 00:38:37,120 Speaker 2: think they cover in the process. I've got good news 800 00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:40,799 Speaker 2: for us all right now. When we started the show 801 00:38:40,840 --> 00:38:43,799 Speaker 2: a long time ago, remember I told you, I'm just 802 00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:46,200 Speaker 2: in it low key to get us as much free 803 00:38:46,200 --> 00:38:49,239 Speaker 2: stuff as we can. So I've gotten us a lot 804 00:38:49,239 --> 00:38:51,480 Speaker 2: of free stuff. It pales in comparison to where I 805 00:38:51,480 --> 00:38:53,960 Speaker 2: think we can go. I won't rest until everyone who 806 00:38:54,040 --> 00:38:56,160 Speaker 2: watches this show gets something free. And I don't mean 807 00:38:56,200 --> 00:38:59,440 Speaker 2: a T shirt from paytstatemaateial dot com, although that is 808 00:38:59,600 --> 00:39:01,480 Speaker 2: a desk nation this time of year. No, I mean 809 00:39:01,560 --> 00:39:04,879 Speaker 2: just free stuff in your pocket. So you know I've 810 00:39:04,920 --> 00:39:08,040 Speaker 2: been hanging out with Zvia. You know we've been dating, 811 00:39:08,200 --> 00:39:12,120 Speaker 2: so to speak. We've been quietly hanging out as any 812 00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:15,160 Speaker 2: of a number of professional athletes have been rumored to 813 00:39:15,200 --> 00:39:16,240 Speaker 2: have done with Sidney Swingy. 814 00:39:16,280 --> 00:39:18,879 Speaker 1: It's never true, but it circulates on the internet. Right. 815 00:39:19,120 --> 00:39:23,920 Speaker 2: Well, we have been publicly hanging out with Zvia. I 816 00:39:24,080 --> 00:39:28,719 Speaker 2: asked for zero sugar soda and they delivered it, and 817 00:39:28,800 --> 00:39:31,040 Speaker 2: so a couple of things. You need to know this. 818 00:39:31,280 --> 00:39:32,879 Speaker 2: I'm going to open one and drink it as I talk. 819 00:39:32,960 --> 00:39:36,600 Speaker 2: By the way, it's now available nationwide at Walmart. 820 00:39:36,719 --> 00:39:37,520 Speaker 1: You go wherever you want to. 821 00:39:37,600 --> 00:39:39,600 Speaker 2: But I'm just telling you it's available nationwide at Walmart, 822 00:39:39,600 --> 00:39:40,560 Speaker 2: and I need you to pay attention. 823 00:39:43,520 --> 00:39:44,840 Speaker 1: The cream soda is legit. 824 00:39:46,320 --> 00:39:49,520 Speaker 2: Right now. It's like starting this moment, I've got some 825 00:39:49,520 --> 00:39:55,480 Speaker 2: free stuff. So if you head over to your local Walmart, 826 00:39:55,560 --> 00:39:57,840 Speaker 2: most of you will this time of year, just grab some. 827 00:39:57,920 --> 00:39:59,799 Speaker 1: Zvia, head out of the parking lot. 828 00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:02,000 Speaker 2: What you've already been doing, ZVA has been paying attention, 829 00:40:02,040 --> 00:40:03,839 Speaker 2: so they're just asking me to remind you to keep 830 00:40:03,840 --> 00:40:05,960 Speaker 2: doing this. A lot of you have been snapping pictures 831 00:40:06,160 --> 00:40:07,799 Speaker 2: in the parking lot of the store that you bought 832 00:40:07,800 --> 00:40:09,960 Speaker 2: it in. Well, if you're doing it at Walmart, you 833 00:40:10,080 --> 00:40:12,520 Speaker 2: might want to feature that Walmart signage. You might want 834 00:40:12,520 --> 00:40:15,120 Speaker 2: to make it obvious you're at a Walmart. Put that 835 00:40:15,120 --> 00:40:18,280 Speaker 2: little hashtag zvia pate state in it as you tag yourself, 836 00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:21,960 Speaker 2: because not only might you get just the garden variety 837 00:40:22,120 --> 00:40:23,480 Speaker 2: like or retweet. 838 00:40:23,800 --> 00:40:24,839 Speaker 1: Anybody could do that. 839 00:40:25,320 --> 00:40:27,720 Speaker 2: No, I'm getting twenty two of you a one hundred 840 00:40:27,760 --> 00:40:30,640 Speaker 2: dollars Walmart gift card, and I'm going to get three 841 00:40:30,680 --> 00:40:33,000 Speaker 2: of you what we would call a grand prize, I guess, 842 00:40:33,120 --> 00:40:35,640 Speaker 2: Jesse and Colin. And that is not only the one 843 00:40:35,719 --> 00:40:38,600 Speaker 2: hundred dollars Walmart gift card. I'm getting you a pack 844 00:40:38,640 --> 00:40:40,960 Speaker 2: of my personal favorite, which is the cream soda. But 845 00:40:41,040 --> 00:40:45,239 Speaker 2: if that's not enough, also a chalice of supremacy, which 846 00:40:45,280 --> 00:40:48,879 Speaker 2: you cannot buy. You can buy ZeVA, you cannot buy 847 00:40:48,920 --> 00:40:52,319 Speaker 2: a chalice of supremacy. And three of you, you're grand 848 00:40:52,320 --> 00:40:54,719 Speaker 2: prize winners. You're gonna get that. So it's easy. Just 849 00:40:54,760 --> 00:40:57,200 Speaker 2: do what you've already been doing, adding to Walmart, grabbing 850 00:40:57,239 --> 00:40:59,600 Speaker 2: the ZV, taking the picture, tagging me zvia payt State. 851 00:41:00,000 --> 00:41:02,440 Speaker 1: But grand prize this time of year. 852 00:41:02,640 --> 00:41:05,160 Speaker 2: And twenty five of you're gonna take coma one hundred 853 00:41:05,200 --> 00:41:05,839 Speaker 2: dollars gift card. 854 00:41:05,880 --> 00:41:06,640 Speaker 1: So there you go. 855 00:41:06,760 --> 00:41:08,400 Speaker 2: We're working on it. I'm trying to get you as 856 00:41:08,480 --> 00:41:10,719 Speaker 2: much free stuff as I can. I know how far 857 00:41:10,760 --> 00:41:13,080 Speaker 2: one hundred dollars goes this time of year, trust me, 858 00:41:13,600 --> 00:41:15,480 Speaker 2: I know. And then on top of that, I mean, 859 00:41:15,520 --> 00:41:18,720 Speaker 2: how far would a chalice go? Imagine regifting a chalice 860 00:41:18,719 --> 00:41:22,960 Speaker 2: of supremacy around Christmas, which it is your constitutional right 861 00:41:23,000 --> 00:41:25,120 Speaker 2: to do if you win one. All right, let's get 862 00:41:25,120 --> 00:41:27,520 Speaker 2: back to the show. Here, a lot of rivalry games 863 00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:31,360 Speaker 2: to talk about. South Carolina at Clemson. You don't have 864 00:41:31,360 --> 00:41:34,040 Speaker 2: to wait for it. It's kicking off high noon Eastern time. 865 00:41:34,560 --> 00:41:38,880 Speaker 2: They're twelve o'clock on ESPN. This one is at Clemson. 866 00:41:39,840 --> 00:41:43,480 Speaker 2: And last time South Carolina was there, I was surprised 867 00:41:43,480 --> 00:41:45,759 Speaker 2: by the result. They won it and it kind of 868 00:41:45,760 --> 00:41:48,120 Speaker 2: made everyone go, wait, they did what now? And then 869 00:41:48,200 --> 00:41:51,279 Speaker 2: last year Clemson won a slugfest. So this year it's 870 00:41:51,320 --> 00:41:55,000 Speaker 2: back at Clemson. There's no way this game fails to deliver. 871 00:41:55,360 --> 00:41:58,960 Speaker 2: I am predicting minimum of three and a half Chali 872 00:41:59,040 --> 00:42:01,480 Speaker 2: rating out of five on this game. That's the over 873 00:42:01,560 --> 00:42:05,200 Speaker 2: under three and a half TILI. It's extremely high over under. 874 00:42:06,800 --> 00:42:10,799 Speaker 2: Which way are these programs trending? That's not always an 875 00:42:10,840 --> 00:42:13,719 Speaker 2: indicator of how game's gonna go, But humor me, if 876 00:42:13,719 --> 00:42:16,799 Speaker 2: you're listening right now or watching right now, which way 877 00:42:16,840 --> 00:42:19,399 Speaker 2: does it feel like these programs are trending? I think 878 00:42:19,440 --> 00:42:21,799 Speaker 2: most people would say it feels like Clemson's trending down 879 00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:23,200 Speaker 2: in South Carolina's trending up. 880 00:42:24,120 --> 00:42:25,840 Speaker 1: Now, what is momentum worth to you? 881 00:42:26,280 --> 00:42:28,959 Speaker 2: Because to me, momentum lasts as long as the next 882 00:42:28,960 --> 00:42:32,440 Speaker 2: game you play, especially when you're playing each other, and 883 00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:34,880 Speaker 2: it doubly especially when it's an in state rivalry and 884 00:42:34,920 --> 00:42:35,759 Speaker 2: you're playing each other. 885 00:42:35,960 --> 00:42:37,640 Speaker 1: So Clemson's got everything they need here. 886 00:42:37,640 --> 00:42:39,399 Speaker 2: They're a short two and a half point favorite, they're 887 00:42:39,400 --> 00:42:43,280 Speaker 2: at home, and they're both still in the running. 888 00:42:43,440 --> 00:42:46,520 Speaker 1: Do you understand what the ramifications are here? They're both 889 00:42:46,719 --> 00:42:48,280 Speaker 1: in the running for a playoff spot. 890 00:42:48,680 --> 00:42:53,360 Speaker 2: Clemson has faced two teams that I have in my 891 00:42:53,480 --> 00:42:56,479 Speaker 2: JP poll top thirty. Not the end all be all, 892 00:42:56,520 --> 00:42:58,440 Speaker 2: just broad strokes purposes. I'm trying to tell you the 893 00:42:58,520 --> 00:43:01,240 Speaker 2: quality of team that they've played. They've played two teams 894 00:43:01,280 --> 00:43:03,720 Speaker 2: that I have in my personal top thirty. That's Georgia 895 00:43:03,760 --> 00:43:06,560 Speaker 2: and Louisville. I think we remember how those two games went. 896 00:43:06,719 --> 00:43:09,120 Speaker 2: They got blasted by Georgia. They kind of got blasted 897 00:43:09,120 --> 00:43:13,759 Speaker 2: by Louisville as well. They've played eight FBS teams outside 898 00:43:14,040 --> 00:43:17,839 Speaker 2: of the top eighty or fifty, Yeah, it's fifty. 899 00:43:17,520 --> 00:43:18,200 Speaker 1: Sounds more right. 900 00:43:18,680 --> 00:43:21,319 Speaker 2: They've outscored them three point thirty nine to one sixty one. 901 00:43:21,400 --> 00:43:25,520 Speaker 2: So basically, what we're asking here is is Clemson legitimate? 902 00:43:25,560 --> 00:43:28,120 Speaker 2: Like there's no in between. Are they legitimate or are 903 00:43:28,120 --> 00:43:30,560 Speaker 2: they a team that can get fat on inferior competition? 904 00:43:30,640 --> 00:43:32,840 Speaker 1: But they have real scaling issues. 905 00:43:33,480 --> 00:43:38,040 Speaker 2: Scaling meaning, of course, when you face legitimate competition, that 906 00:43:38,280 --> 00:43:44,200 Speaker 2: stat profile does not carry over proportionally. I always love 907 00:43:44,400 --> 00:43:47,480 Speaker 2: to take phraseology from our buddies at College Football. 908 00:43:47,040 --> 00:43:49,719 Speaker 1: Nerds scaling, How do they scale. I love it. 909 00:43:50,440 --> 00:43:52,799 Speaker 2: I give them full permission to steal from me. Most 910 00:43:52,840 --> 00:43:55,480 Speaker 2: of the time, it's just just coirky anecdotes that they 911 00:43:55,520 --> 00:43:58,440 Speaker 2: steal from me. South Carolina, if they stick to their 912 00:43:58,480 --> 00:44:02,200 Speaker 2: script here, they're good. Now that's easier said than done, 913 00:44:02,360 --> 00:44:06,000 Speaker 2: but they are a top thirty explosive play group offensively, 914 00:44:06,239 --> 00:44:10,239 Speaker 2: and Clemson's defense ninety fourth in the country and explosive 915 00:44:10,239 --> 00:44:13,200 Speaker 2: plays allowed. You can get them on the ground through 916 00:44:13,200 --> 00:44:16,520 Speaker 2: the area you can get Clemson. South Carolina had turnover 917 00:44:16,600 --> 00:44:19,920 Speaker 2: issues earlier in the season, but in this recent stretch 918 00:44:19,960 --> 00:44:23,480 Speaker 2: of consecutive wins they've had, they're plus three turnovers in 919 00:44:23,520 --> 00:44:31,160 Speaker 2: their last five games. Clemson's defense, they thrive off of 920 00:44:31,239 --> 00:44:36,440 Speaker 2: creating turnovers, getting positive field position off turnovers, and if 921 00:44:36,440 --> 00:44:39,440 Speaker 2: you take that from them, that's a vital element of 922 00:44:39,480 --> 00:44:41,800 Speaker 2: their team profile that you've taken from them. So again, 923 00:44:42,080 --> 00:44:46,120 Speaker 2: that's the script. That's what South Carolina has been. Will 924 00:44:46,160 --> 00:44:49,160 Speaker 2: they be that here? I think kay Klebnick, the Clemson quarterback, 925 00:44:49,200 --> 00:44:52,600 Speaker 2: is the most important player in this game. If he 926 00:44:52,800 --> 00:44:55,480 Speaker 2: is the padlock stat if you tell me how his 927 00:44:55,600 --> 00:44:58,040 Speaker 2: day is gonna go, I think I can tell you how. 928 00:44:57,880 --> 00:44:58,759 Speaker 1: This game is gonna go. 929 00:44:59,160 --> 00:45:04,520 Speaker 2: The splits for him relative to competition are pretty significant. 930 00:45:04,680 --> 00:45:07,239 Speaker 2: It mirrors what Clemson as a team is. He's been 931 00:45:07,360 --> 00:45:11,120 Speaker 2: very good at home and especially against inferior competition, and 932 00:45:11,160 --> 00:45:13,840 Speaker 2: then when the competition level ramps up, not so much. 933 00:45:14,360 --> 00:45:16,439 Speaker 2: And I have got him at home, but I've got 934 00:45:16,480 --> 00:45:18,279 Speaker 2: him against the best pass rush I think he'll see 935 00:45:18,320 --> 00:45:21,040 Speaker 2: all year. South Carolina's eighth in the country in pressure rate, 936 00:45:21,120 --> 00:45:25,440 Speaker 2: Clemson sixty ninth in pressure rate allowed. Kate Klebne it's 937 00:45:25,440 --> 00:45:27,000 Speaker 2: got to have the best game of his season here, 938 00:45:28,200 --> 00:45:30,439 Speaker 2: this big, open ended question mark sort of thing. 939 00:45:30,600 --> 00:45:32,640 Speaker 1: I'm not saying he won't. I'm saying will he like 940 00:45:32,680 --> 00:45:33,279 Speaker 1: he needs to. 941 00:45:33,680 --> 00:45:37,719 Speaker 2: Clemson has allowed nine sacks in their last two games 942 00:45:37,760 --> 00:45:41,279 Speaker 2: against Power four teams. So that's how you wreck the 943 00:45:41,280 --> 00:45:44,680 Speaker 2: game if you're South Carolina. Let's take a look at 944 00:45:44,719 --> 00:45:47,880 Speaker 2: what the model thinks. The number right now at FanDuel 945 00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:51,000 Speaker 2: is Clemson minus two and a half. Model largely agrees 946 00:45:51,040 --> 00:45:54,320 Speaker 2: we got Clemson minus three. I think that the model 947 00:45:54,320 --> 00:45:56,799 Speaker 2: has been wrong on Clemson most of the year. It 948 00:45:56,840 --> 00:45:59,160 Speaker 2: took me until later in the season to realize it, 949 00:45:59,480 --> 00:46:01,200 Speaker 2: but it was a little too I think it was 950 00:46:01,280 --> 00:46:03,520 Speaker 2: right on Miami. I think it's been too high on Clemson. 951 00:46:04,040 --> 00:46:05,760 Speaker 2: I still think it's a little too high on Clemson. 952 00:46:05,800 --> 00:46:08,720 Speaker 2: I just think it's having trouble ingesting that stat profile 953 00:46:09,000 --> 00:46:11,720 Speaker 2: because there's such a difference in scaling. Like I said, 954 00:46:12,200 --> 00:46:15,480 Speaker 2: all of their hay has been made against inferior teams, 955 00:46:15,719 --> 00:46:18,920 Speaker 2: and the two shots they've gotten against teams more the 956 00:46:19,000 --> 00:46:22,040 Speaker 2: caliber of South Carolina, they haven't done anything. I mean, 957 00:46:22,040 --> 00:46:24,600 Speaker 2: in fact, they've had things done to them. I think 958 00:46:24,600 --> 00:46:26,560 Speaker 2: South Carolina's going to win the game out right now. 959 00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:28,000 Speaker 1: Who knows. Maybe if it was a night game, I 960 00:46:28,080 --> 00:46:28,800 Speaker 1: feel differently. 961 00:46:28,960 --> 00:46:30,600 Speaker 2: I think South Carolina's going to go in there and 962 00:46:30,600 --> 00:46:33,040 Speaker 2: get the whim and it's gonna be really, really big 963 00:46:33,080 --> 00:46:34,200 Speaker 2: for both programs. 964 00:46:34,440 --> 00:46:36,080 Speaker 1: It will be either way. I don't know. 965 00:46:36,120 --> 00:46:37,920 Speaker 2: I just feel good about South Carolina right now, so 966 00:46:38,239 --> 00:46:41,160 Speaker 2: I'll give them slight edge. They're watching us. I'll tell 967 00:46:41,160 --> 00:46:44,080 Speaker 2: you where they're watching us. They're watching us in Livingston, Alabama. 968 00:46:44,800 --> 00:46:47,960 Speaker 2: I think that's where West Alabama is, University of They're 969 00:46:48,000 --> 00:46:53,080 Speaker 2: watching us in Bozeman, Montana, Paradise, Arizona. Who knows where 970 00:46:53,120 --> 00:46:55,760 Speaker 2: else they're watching us tonight. But I appreciate you guys. 971 00:46:56,280 --> 00:47:00,399 Speaker 2: I've got breaking news here. The latest edition of JP 972 00:47:00,560 --> 00:47:04,000 Speaker 2: Pole has been released here. It is right here. The 973 00:47:04,080 --> 00:47:06,520 Speaker 2: JP Pole is not the playoff rankings. The JP Pole 974 00:47:06,600 --> 00:47:09,040 Speaker 2: is not the AP Pole. The JP Pole is not 975 00:47:09,080 --> 00:47:10,920 Speaker 2: really even a pole. But I'm not changing the name 976 00:47:10,920 --> 00:47:12,520 Speaker 2: because it's really catchy and it sounds good. 977 00:47:12,600 --> 00:47:14,080 Speaker 1: The Jppole's just power rating. 978 00:47:14,239 --> 00:47:16,560 Speaker 2: We take this model here, and we asked the model 979 00:47:16,600 --> 00:47:19,000 Speaker 2: to do the same thing that FanDuel would do, and 980 00:47:19,040 --> 00:47:23,640 Speaker 2: that is stack teams based on neutral field favorability. And 981 00:47:23,680 --> 00:47:26,200 Speaker 2: it means nothing more than that you're gonna find in 982 00:47:26,239 --> 00:47:28,759 Speaker 2: the top twenty. I have a couple of teams that 983 00:47:28,800 --> 00:47:32,120 Speaker 2: are barely above five hundred, but it doesn't matter because 984 00:47:32,200 --> 00:47:36,080 Speaker 2: the model would favor them against a bunch of teams 985 00:47:36,120 --> 00:47:36,600 Speaker 2: below them. 986 00:47:37,440 --> 00:47:38,319 Speaker 1: This is supposed to. 987 00:47:38,320 --> 00:47:41,640 Speaker 2: Be nothing more than a reference tool. It's not meant 988 00:47:41,680 --> 00:47:44,320 Speaker 2: to project on anything other than project who would be 989 00:47:44,320 --> 00:47:44,960 Speaker 2: favored against two. 990 00:47:45,080 --> 00:47:46,080 Speaker 1: So let's go. 991 00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:48,160 Speaker 2: Number one through five. We got the same number one 992 00:47:48,160 --> 00:47:50,239 Speaker 2: team we had last week, Ohio State. The model would 993 00:47:50,239 --> 00:47:53,640 Speaker 2: still favor against any team in the country. Oregon's number two. 994 00:47:54,040 --> 00:47:57,759 Speaker 2: As of now, we are projecting number one versus number 995 00:47:57,760 --> 00:47:59,839 Speaker 2: two in the Big Ten Championship game. 996 00:48:00,920 --> 00:48:01,600 Speaker 1: So there you go. 997 00:48:01,640 --> 00:48:04,959 Speaker 2: On that Georgia is number three, Texas is number four, 998 00:48:05,480 --> 00:48:09,320 Speaker 2: Notre Dame is number five, and I got a little 999 00:48:09,360 --> 00:48:11,640 Speaker 2: added just bonus nugget here for you. 1000 00:48:13,760 --> 00:48:14,440 Speaker 1: Who I can't. 1001 00:48:14,280 --> 00:48:17,719 Speaker 2: Believe this there is as According to the model, there's 1002 00:48:17,760 --> 00:48:20,200 Speaker 2: only a five point seven to five point gap between 1003 00:48:20,280 --> 00:48:24,480 Speaker 2: number one and number five. So what that means is 1004 00:48:24,560 --> 00:48:29,160 Speaker 2: if Ohio State played Notre Dame tomorrow in who knows, 1005 00:48:29,239 --> 00:48:33,160 Speaker 2: Kansas City, whatever, Ohio State, according to the model, would 1006 00:48:33,239 --> 00:48:37,000 Speaker 2: be a five point seven to five point favorite. So 1007 00:48:37,640 --> 00:48:38,920 Speaker 2: I think a lot of you would bet on that. 1008 00:48:39,040 --> 00:48:41,319 Speaker 2: That's fine, but that's what the model thinks. Penn State 1009 00:48:41,360 --> 00:48:44,759 Speaker 2: is number six, They're up two spots. Ole Miss is 1010 00:48:44,800 --> 00:48:47,879 Speaker 2: down to seven. Now this is the first part where 1011 00:48:47,880 --> 00:48:50,520 Speaker 2: I have to stop and remind you this is not 1012 00:48:50,600 --> 00:48:53,640 Speaker 2: a ranking. Ole Miss is not in my top ten 1013 00:48:53,960 --> 00:48:57,280 Speaker 2: if I'm on the playoff committee. But ole Miss still 1014 00:48:57,560 --> 00:48:59,799 Speaker 2: in terms of neutral field favorability, is not going to 1015 00:49:00,080 --> 00:49:02,480 Speaker 2: rop all that much. If we had them all the 1016 00:49:02,480 --> 00:49:04,440 Speaker 2: way up inside the top five last week and they 1017 00:49:04,560 --> 00:49:09,080 Speaker 2: lost because of turnover, they lost because of lack of 1018 00:49:09,120 --> 00:49:10,160 Speaker 2: red zone execution. 1019 00:49:10,719 --> 00:49:12,040 Speaker 1: This is not excuse making. 1020 00:49:12,600 --> 00:49:16,239 Speaker 2: It's saying that those are not predictive elements in other words, 1021 00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:18,160 Speaker 2: if we play the game again, those aren't things that 1022 00:49:18,200 --> 00:49:23,960 Speaker 2: are disproportionately likely to happen again. So I always have 1023 00:49:24,080 --> 00:49:28,680 Speaker 2: to qualify this because I'm just envisioning the comment section. 1024 00:49:29,680 --> 00:49:31,600 Speaker 2: There's the people who run their mouth the most about this, 1025 00:49:31,760 --> 00:49:34,120 Speaker 2: never listen to the explanation anyway, So why do I 1026 00:49:34,160 --> 00:49:34,759 Speaker 2: waste my time? 1027 00:49:35,480 --> 00:49:36,080 Speaker 1: Good question. 1028 00:49:36,239 --> 00:49:39,080 Speaker 2: Let's move on Alabama's number eight. I think Alabama's a 1029 00:49:39,080 --> 00:49:41,440 Speaker 2: little bit too high. Honestly, I think the model is 1030 00:49:41,480 --> 00:49:43,279 Speaker 2: still a little too high on Alabama because I think 1031 00:49:43,280 --> 00:49:46,640 Speaker 2: the talent profile that's baked in for that team still 1032 00:49:46,680 --> 00:49:49,120 Speaker 2: has it slightly higher than they should be. 1033 00:49:49,600 --> 00:49:51,879 Speaker 1: Tennessee's number nine, Clemson is number ten. 1034 00:49:52,000 --> 00:49:54,200 Speaker 2: Okay, now that's the team that I think is overrated 1035 00:49:54,200 --> 00:49:55,040 Speaker 2: according to the model. 1036 00:49:55,960 --> 00:49:56,800 Speaker 1: Bama and Clemson. 1037 00:49:56,840 --> 00:49:59,640 Speaker 2: I think both are higher than they should be, but 1038 00:50:00,040 --> 00:50:04,799 Speaker 2: understand why they're there. So again, models telling you it 1039 00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:09,080 Speaker 2: would favor Clemson against any team in the ACC Miami 1040 00:50:09,120 --> 00:50:11,719 Speaker 2: and SMU, they would favorite favorite clemsoning against both of 1041 00:50:11,760 --> 00:50:13,600 Speaker 2: them if they played on a neutral field. 1042 00:50:14,080 --> 00:50:14,600 Speaker 1: As of now, it. 1043 00:50:14,560 --> 00:50:17,239 Speaker 2: Doesn't look like Clemson will get that opportunity. That's up 1044 00:50:17,280 --> 00:50:20,920 Speaker 2: to the number eleven. Team Number eleven is Miami, number 1045 00:50:20,920 --> 00:50:23,479 Speaker 2: twelve of South Carolina. I said it's up to number 1046 00:50:23,480 --> 00:50:26,319 Speaker 2: eleven because if Miami loses to Syracuse, then we may 1047 00:50:26,320 --> 00:50:29,520 Speaker 2: see Clemson in the ACC Championship game. South Carolina is 1048 00:50:29,520 --> 00:50:33,920 Speaker 2: at number twelve, SMUs at thirteen, Indiana's at fourteen. 1049 00:50:33,960 --> 00:50:34,600 Speaker 1: Think about that. 1050 00:50:35,000 --> 00:50:38,640 Speaker 2: Not only are SMU and Indiana ranked high, but there 1051 00:50:38,680 --> 00:50:41,160 Speaker 2: are a lot of teams. BYU has been a perfect 1052 00:50:41,160 --> 00:50:43,480 Speaker 2: example of a team that's been ranked high, but we 1053 00:50:43,560 --> 00:50:47,560 Speaker 2: never had Empower rated high. But there's a lot of 1054 00:50:47,600 --> 00:50:50,360 Speaker 2: meat on the bone with SMU in Indiana. Even after 1055 00:50:50,440 --> 00:50:52,680 Speaker 2: they lost a game, we didn't drop Indiana that far. 1056 00:50:53,000 --> 00:50:58,880 Speaker 2: We dropped them to fourteen. Just remarkable that those teams 1057 00:50:59,200 --> 00:51:00,000 Speaker 2: could be that high time. 1058 00:51:00,000 --> 00:51:00,840 Speaker 1: Tulane's fifteen. 1059 00:51:01,120 --> 00:51:04,719 Speaker 2: Tulane I would favor by seven against Boise State if 1060 00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:08,560 Speaker 2: they played neutral field. Right now, Tulane is definitively the 1061 00:51:08,600 --> 00:51:11,399 Speaker 2: best G five team in the country, but they may 1062 00:51:11,440 --> 00:51:14,000 Speaker 2: not get the G five nod. They gotta win, They 1063 00:51:14,000 --> 00:51:16,919 Speaker 2: gotta beat Memphis, they gotta win the AAC Championship game. 1064 00:51:17,320 --> 00:51:19,319 Speaker 2: If they do that, I'm telling you, if I'm a 1065 00:51:19,320 --> 00:51:21,680 Speaker 2: committee member, that'd be my G five team. But it 1066 00:51:21,719 --> 00:51:24,279 Speaker 2: looks like boise would be the g five team. As 1067 00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:28,000 Speaker 2: of now, if they win out Iowa State, I've got 1068 00:51:28,040 --> 00:51:30,799 Speaker 2: a sixteen, and even though they're down two spots, we 1069 00:51:30,840 --> 00:51:32,839 Speaker 2: would have them as the best team in the Big 1070 00:51:32,880 --> 00:51:35,560 Speaker 2: twelve right now on paper, like neutral field stuff like that. 1071 00:51:35,840 --> 00:51:39,360 Speaker 2: A and M's at seventeen. Florida is now a top 1072 00:51:39,480 --> 00:51:43,520 Speaker 2: twenty team. According to the model, Florida is six and five. 1073 00:51:44,520 --> 00:51:48,319 Speaker 2: USC is nineteenth. They're six and five, and yet in 1074 00:51:48,400 --> 00:51:52,000 Speaker 2: terms of neutral field favorability just power rating stuff, they're 1075 00:51:52,000 --> 00:51:53,240 Speaker 2: both top twenty teams. 1076 00:51:53,760 --> 00:51:54,799 Speaker 1: You know as well as I do. 1077 00:51:55,239 --> 00:52:00,000 Speaker 2: When we release this graphic on social everyone will zoom 1078 00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:02,239 Speaker 2: in on Florida and USC. And the thing about it 1079 00:52:02,280 --> 00:52:04,400 Speaker 2: is they've been zooming in on Florida for two weeks, 1080 00:52:04,480 --> 00:52:06,359 Speaker 2: laughing at the fact we had him top twenty five, 1081 00:52:07,200 --> 00:52:11,120 Speaker 2: and then Florida has beaten LSU and Ole Miss consecutively. 1082 00:52:11,680 --> 00:52:15,720 Speaker 2: No one's come back to say they apologize like Florida. 1083 00:52:15,760 --> 00:52:17,919 Speaker 2: I don't know if anyone's been noticing this, Jesse and Colin, 1084 00:52:18,000 --> 00:52:21,239 Speaker 2: have you heard anyone apologize? Florida's done nothing but validate 1085 00:52:21,640 --> 00:52:24,760 Speaker 2: their existence in the top twenty five of a power rating, 1086 00:52:25,320 --> 00:52:28,040 Speaker 2: and everyone just laughs at it. On Tuesday, Wednesday Thursday, 1087 00:52:28,040 --> 00:52:30,120 Speaker 2: and no one says a peep on Saturday night. 1088 00:52:30,480 --> 00:52:30,920 Speaker 1: Shocker. 1089 00:52:31,719 --> 00:52:34,720 Speaker 2: Let's see what else we got here. Arizona State's at twenty. 1090 00:52:36,000 --> 00:52:38,200 Speaker 2: I want to go back to usc. USC There is 1091 00:52:38,280 --> 00:52:41,520 Speaker 2: a wild stat that we uncovered today when we were 1092 00:52:41,520 --> 00:52:44,040 Speaker 2: doing show prep. Let's see if I remember it off 1093 00:52:44,080 --> 00:52:48,359 Speaker 2: the top of my head. So there are what is it, Jesse, 1094 00:52:48,560 --> 00:52:51,520 Speaker 2: six teams total, right, that have led in the fourth 1095 00:52:51,600 --> 00:52:54,239 Speaker 2: quarter of every game they've played this year. So out 1096 00:52:54,239 --> 00:52:58,680 Speaker 2: of all of FBS, there are six teams that have 1097 00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:01,800 Speaker 2: led in the fourth quarter every game they've played. USC 1098 00:53:01,960 --> 00:53:05,840 Speaker 2: is one of those six teams. USC has five losses. 1099 00:53:06,480 --> 00:53:11,440 Speaker 2: The other five combined have five losses. That is meant 1100 00:53:11,440 --> 00:53:16,840 Speaker 2: to tell you nothing more than USC is on paper, 1101 00:53:17,160 --> 00:53:19,719 Speaker 2: a lot better than just your garden variety five loss team. 1102 00:53:20,000 --> 00:53:22,400 Speaker 2: They are a five loss team. That's what should matter, 1103 00:53:22,640 --> 00:53:25,080 Speaker 2: and in the rankings it does. In power ratings, it 1104 00:53:25,120 --> 00:53:27,080 Speaker 2: does not. In power ratings, it just means you got 1105 00:53:27,120 --> 00:53:30,640 Speaker 2: an extremely underrated team. As it relates to a predictive 1106 00:53:30,800 --> 00:53:34,520 Speaker 2: like future facing model. Louisville is at twenty one, Kansas 1107 00:53:34,600 --> 00:53:36,759 Speaker 2: is at twenty two. We had Kansas in the top 1108 00:53:36,800 --> 00:53:39,520 Speaker 2: twenty seven last week. I think it was, and now 1109 00:53:39,520 --> 00:53:41,840 Speaker 2: we got them in the number twenty two spot. Michigan 1110 00:53:41,960 --> 00:53:46,000 Speaker 2: is Michigan's crept their way back in there. Interesting, Iowa 1111 00:53:46,160 --> 00:53:48,840 Speaker 2: has been floating in this range all year and Baylor 1112 00:53:49,239 --> 00:53:52,200 Speaker 2: is unchanged. Baylor's at number twenty five. I think that's 1113 00:53:52,239 --> 00:53:53,839 Speaker 2: one of the low key stories of the year too. 1114 00:53:54,200 --> 00:53:55,719 Speaker 2: You notice how all the stories of the year are 1115 00:53:55,719 --> 00:53:56,760 Speaker 2: happening in the Big twelve. 1116 00:53:57,239 --> 00:53:58,120 Speaker 1: Like so many of the. 1117 00:53:58,120 --> 00:53:59,239 Speaker 2: Stories of the year, we have bring them you on. 1118 00:53:59,360 --> 00:54:04,640 Speaker 2: We had Arizona State Colorado. Now Baylor just has gone 1119 00:54:04,640 --> 00:54:06,760 Speaker 2: from Who's going to take Dave rand a spot? 1120 00:54:06,840 --> 00:54:08,239 Speaker 1: To No? One? 1121 00:54:08,320 --> 00:54:10,200 Speaker 2: Because Dave Randa is going to be the head coach here. 1122 00:54:10,800 --> 00:54:12,600 Speaker 2: What a time to be alive in the Big twelve 1123 00:54:13,040 --> 00:54:16,520 Speaker 2: and almost everyone is. So there's the JP pole, have 1124 00:54:16,560 --> 00:54:24,160 Speaker 2: fun with it, community, shameful. Notre Dame versus USC. One 1125 00:54:24,160 --> 00:54:27,080 Speaker 2: of the great rivalry games of my youth and your 1126 00:54:27,160 --> 00:54:29,920 Speaker 2: youth and everyone's because it's a great rivalry game every year. 1127 00:54:29,960 --> 00:54:32,520 Speaker 2: It's one of the quintessential uniform games in college football. 1128 00:54:32,520 --> 00:54:33,880 Speaker 2: As long as they don't where these things they wore 1129 00:54:33,920 --> 00:54:37,200 Speaker 2: against Army last week. This is the three p thirty 1130 00:54:37,239 --> 00:54:41,080 Speaker 2: Eastern twelve thirty local time CBS game of the Week 1131 00:54:41,239 --> 00:54:44,200 Speaker 2: this week. And it's a good thing that Notre Dame 1132 00:54:44,239 --> 00:54:47,360 Speaker 2: travels a lot, because I don't know that I trust 1133 00:54:47,440 --> 00:54:50,160 Speaker 2: many other teams playing in New York City one week 1134 00:54:50,280 --> 00:54:54,600 Speaker 2: in LA the next week, but that's what they're doing. Meanwhile, 1135 00:54:55,160 --> 00:54:57,919 Speaker 2: USC has not left the West Coast in a month. 1136 00:54:58,000 --> 00:55:00,239 Speaker 2: They did all their traveling earlier in the year. They 1137 00:55:00,280 --> 00:55:02,200 Speaker 2: hadn't left the West Coast in a while, so a 1138 00:55:02,200 --> 00:55:05,400 Speaker 2: little travel dynamics advantage for USC here. I'm going to 1139 00:55:05,440 --> 00:55:07,960 Speaker 2: read the stat again because some of you were just 1140 00:55:08,000 --> 00:55:11,480 Speaker 2: watching this individual video and you didn't watch the whole 1141 00:55:11,480 --> 00:55:16,640 Speaker 2: live show. There are six teams in FBS that have 1142 00:55:16,760 --> 00:55:19,360 Speaker 2: led every one of their games in the fourth quarter, 1143 00:55:19,719 --> 00:55:22,640 Speaker 2: six of them. USC is one of those six teams. 1144 00:55:23,640 --> 00:55:27,080 Speaker 2: USC is a five lost team. The other five teams 1145 00:55:27,120 --> 00:55:31,160 Speaker 2: combined have lost five games. It's been there for him 1146 00:55:31,480 --> 00:55:34,279 Speaker 2: that every single game, there's not a single game they 1147 00:55:34,280 --> 00:55:38,000 Speaker 2: hadn't led in the fourth quarter, which is just it's 1148 00:55:38,120 --> 00:55:42,000 Speaker 2: mind boggling and it's maddening. But that also means they're 1149 00:55:42,040 --> 00:55:45,000 Speaker 2: probably a lot more dangerous than that six and five 1150 00:55:45,080 --> 00:55:48,759 Speaker 2: record indicates. So the stat sheet versus reality conversation is 1151 00:55:48,800 --> 00:55:50,640 Speaker 2: where I'm at with Notre name on this. And by 1152 00:55:50,640 --> 00:55:52,680 Speaker 2: the way, if you are watching just the individual video, 1153 00:55:52,880 --> 00:55:55,400 Speaker 2: do us a favorite. Subscribe to the channel because we 1154 00:55:55,440 --> 00:55:57,399 Speaker 2: do these long form shows. This is from the long 1155 00:55:57,440 --> 00:55:59,759 Speaker 2: form show and we appreciate it. And it doesn't cost 1156 00:55:59,800 --> 00:56:01,520 Speaker 2: any thing to subscribe to the channel, and we just 1157 00:56:01,560 --> 00:56:03,160 Speaker 2: do college football all year round. 1158 00:56:03,200 --> 00:56:06,760 Speaker 1: We appreciate it. If you do stat sheet versus reality 1159 00:56:07,960 --> 00:56:11,239 Speaker 1: is Notre Dame this good. Notre Dame's been rolling. Man. 1160 00:56:11,280 --> 00:56:14,400 Speaker 2: We got JP Pole's got them top five playoff committees 1161 00:56:14,400 --> 00:56:16,080 Speaker 2: got him way up there. The AP's got them way 1162 00:56:16,160 --> 00:56:19,200 Speaker 2: up there. They got a top five defense. I mean, 1163 00:56:19,239 --> 00:56:22,880 Speaker 2: listen to this. Points per game allowed, top five yards allowed, 1164 00:56:22,880 --> 00:56:27,360 Speaker 2: top five pass yards per game, explosive plays allowed, takeaways. 1165 00:56:27,520 --> 00:56:30,799 Speaker 2: Notre Dames defense top five in all the categories. They've 1166 00:56:30,800 --> 00:56:34,120 Speaker 2: played four G five teams. They've played three of the 1167 00:56:34,160 --> 00:56:38,319 Speaker 2: bottom six offenses in P four. They have faced one 1168 00:56:38,600 --> 00:56:42,040 Speaker 2: top forty passing offense that was Louisville and that was 1169 00:56:42,080 --> 00:56:46,279 Speaker 2: a turnover fest. And they have faced six offenses one 1170 00:56:46,320 --> 00:56:49,680 Speaker 2: one hundredth or worse in passyards per game. This is 1171 00:56:49,719 --> 00:56:53,400 Speaker 2: an age old situation that we find ourselves in college football, 1172 00:56:53,600 --> 00:56:57,200 Speaker 2: where You've got a team whose stat profile is elite, 1173 00:56:58,120 --> 00:57:01,120 Speaker 2: and they may be an elite team. It's hard to 1174 00:57:01,280 --> 00:57:04,600 Speaker 2: know based on the quality of opponent they faced. So 1175 00:57:04,680 --> 00:57:06,879 Speaker 2: we've got one of two possibilities here with Notre Dame, 1176 00:57:06,920 --> 00:57:09,439 Speaker 2: and I'm not here to suggest either one. I'm here 1177 00:57:09,480 --> 00:57:12,040 Speaker 2: to say they could be fraudulent. I'm here to say 1178 00:57:12,080 --> 00:57:14,719 Speaker 2: they could be the best team in the country. We 1179 00:57:14,760 --> 00:57:17,920 Speaker 2: can't fully know because they haven't played like Georgia's schedule. 1180 00:57:18,040 --> 00:57:21,400 Speaker 2: That's no one's fault. I'm not dismissing them, nothing like that. 1181 00:57:21,800 --> 00:57:25,680 Speaker 2: I'm just saying, if I watch Usain Bolt race kindergarteners, 1182 00:57:26,200 --> 00:57:28,840 Speaker 2: he is Usain Bolt, but it would be tough to 1183 00:57:28,920 --> 00:57:32,000 Speaker 2: know that because he's racing kindergarteners. He looks ultra impressive, 1184 00:57:32,160 --> 00:57:37,040 Speaker 2: but he's racing kindergarteners. Now we get to find out. 1185 00:57:37,320 --> 00:57:39,880 Speaker 2: Because the season's not gonna end this week. Notre Dame 1186 00:57:39,960 --> 00:57:41,520 Speaker 2: is going to have a lot more on their plate. 1187 00:57:41,560 --> 00:57:43,240 Speaker 2: But first they got to beat usc It's a big 1188 00:57:43,240 --> 00:57:47,320 Speaker 2: game for Lincoln riley Man, this offensive staff. Forget about 1189 00:57:47,360 --> 00:57:48,920 Speaker 2: leading in the fourth quarter. You got to win one 1190 00:57:48,960 --> 00:57:51,800 Speaker 2: of these things. Jordan Mayava, this is his third game 1191 00:57:52,200 --> 00:57:55,439 Speaker 2: starting at quarterback for USC. He's got a good group 1192 00:57:55,480 --> 00:57:59,360 Speaker 2: of wide receivers, Woody Marks at tailback averaging a little 1193 00:57:59,360 --> 00:58:03,520 Speaker 2: over five and a half yards per carry. They can 1194 00:58:03,600 --> 00:58:06,520 Speaker 2: maintain balance here like they can achieve balance. It doesn't 1195 00:58:06,520 --> 00:58:09,600 Speaker 2: have to be statistical, but they have to achieve balance. 1196 00:58:09,760 --> 00:58:13,240 Speaker 2: They have to establish both facets and if they do that, 1197 00:58:13,720 --> 00:58:16,520 Speaker 2: they can have some success against against Notre Dame. They 1198 00:58:16,560 --> 00:58:19,280 Speaker 2: can because at that point they'd be presenting something that 1199 00:58:19,320 --> 00:58:20,280 Speaker 2: Notre Dame hasn't seen. 1200 00:58:20,440 --> 00:58:22,760 Speaker 1: They can't get bullied. That's what can't happen. 1201 00:58:23,000 --> 00:58:26,040 Speaker 2: Notre Dame cannot stone them up front, and then you're 1202 00:58:26,080 --> 00:58:28,480 Speaker 2: asking a guy who's barely started for you to go 1203 00:58:28,520 --> 00:58:30,840 Speaker 2: win the game single handedly. That can't be the spot 1204 00:58:30,880 --> 00:58:32,960 Speaker 2: you find yourself in. That's why I say it's such 1205 00:58:32,960 --> 00:58:35,000 Speaker 2: a big game for Lincoln Riley. I mean, this is 1206 00:58:35,040 --> 00:58:38,480 Speaker 2: a scheme game, this is a play calling game. And 1207 00:58:38,560 --> 00:58:41,960 Speaker 2: Lincoln Riley's been under a moderate too heavy amount of 1208 00:58:41,960 --> 00:58:43,920 Speaker 2: fire this year from that fan base about the way 1209 00:58:43,960 --> 00:58:46,959 Speaker 2: he's managed some games and called some games. I think 1210 00:58:47,120 --> 00:58:50,000 Speaker 2: some of that's maybe misunderstood. Sometimes I don't really traffic 1211 00:58:50,080 --> 00:58:52,479 Speaker 2: in it a whole lot, but it's been there. Notre 1212 00:58:52,560 --> 00:58:55,960 Speaker 2: Dame leads the country and takeaways defensively, So if this 1213 00:58:56,000 --> 00:58:57,800 Speaker 2: is a game that you can't run the ball successfully 1214 00:58:57,800 --> 00:59:01,520 Speaker 2: in and you ask Mayava to throw the ball forty 1215 00:59:01,520 --> 00:59:05,120 Speaker 2: five times, maybe he's successful. I would not count on it. 1216 00:59:05,240 --> 00:59:08,560 Speaker 2: This is a toughness game. They've played much better defensively 1217 00:59:08,560 --> 00:59:12,800 Speaker 2: at USC. Notre Dame always plays good defensively. But can 1218 00:59:12,960 --> 00:59:15,520 Speaker 2: USC do something different? So I was just talking about 1219 00:59:15,520 --> 00:59:17,280 Speaker 2: the game script there for them offensively? 1220 00:59:17,920 --> 00:59:20,440 Speaker 1: What do you make Notre Dame? Do you know? 1221 00:59:20,600 --> 00:59:23,240 Speaker 2: Notre Dame's had the lead on just about everyone, so 1222 00:59:23,280 --> 00:59:25,480 Speaker 2: they've made just about everyone have to throw the ball 1223 00:59:25,520 --> 00:59:26,040 Speaker 2: to keep up. 1224 00:59:26,880 --> 00:59:29,120 Speaker 1: And then also they've had. 1225 00:59:28,880 --> 00:59:32,120 Speaker 2: The lead, so they have not been in a position 1226 00:59:32,120 --> 00:59:34,840 Speaker 2: where they have to ask Riley Leonard to play catch 1227 00:59:34,920 --> 00:59:38,560 Speaker 2: up a whole lot. Can you put them in that situation? 1228 00:59:38,840 --> 00:59:41,280 Speaker 2: I mean, USC, at their best, has played raise or 1229 00:59:41,320 --> 00:59:44,160 Speaker 2: tight games. What if they get up seventeen to three. 1230 00:59:44,360 --> 00:59:46,120 Speaker 2: You know what if they put Notre Dame in one 1231 00:59:46,120 --> 00:59:48,400 Speaker 2: of those situations where they got to play catch up? 1232 00:59:48,880 --> 00:59:51,920 Speaker 2: Just some ways that this would go differently. I've had 1233 00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:53,800 Speaker 2: a feeling about this game for a couple of weeks. 1234 00:59:54,200 --> 00:59:56,960 Speaker 2: I don't think it's being talked about nearly enough. It's 1235 00:59:57,040 --> 00:59:59,120 Speaker 2: USC Notre Dame, so it should be talked about anyway, 1236 00:59:59,440 --> 01:00:02,000 Speaker 2: but especially with the ramifications on the line. Colin, let's 1237 01:00:02,000 --> 01:00:04,120 Speaker 2: take a look at what the model thinks right now. 1238 01:00:04,560 --> 01:00:07,160 Speaker 2: FanDuel's got Notre Dame minus seven and a half. We 1239 01:00:07,200 --> 01:00:10,080 Speaker 2: think the numbers two fat, We've got Notre Dame minus 1240 01:00:10,080 --> 01:00:12,360 Speaker 2: five and a half. Friends, I think we're going to 1241 01:00:12,400 --> 01:00:15,160 Speaker 2: see the outright upset. This is the one that Vibe 1242 01:00:15,200 --> 01:00:18,160 Speaker 2: Auburn had last week. I think USC is gonna end 1243 01:00:18,200 --> 01:00:21,160 Speaker 2: up having they find a way and it kind of 1244 01:00:21,240 --> 01:00:23,520 Speaker 2: it's a celebratory thing if you're a USC fan, but 1245 01:00:23,560 --> 01:00:26,840 Speaker 2: then it's in a really really like the more you 1246 01:00:26,840 --> 01:00:28,600 Speaker 2: think about it, the more angry you get sort of 1247 01:00:28,640 --> 01:00:32,080 Speaker 2: situation of Wow, I'm so glad we did this, but 1248 01:00:32,520 --> 01:00:34,200 Speaker 2: why did it take until the end of the year 1249 01:00:34,240 --> 01:00:37,000 Speaker 2: for us to do this? I don't know, but be 1250 01:00:37,040 --> 01:00:39,520 Speaker 2: thankful you do it. So this is future tense thinking 1251 01:00:39,560 --> 01:00:41,960 Speaker 2: here noted. If a USC pulls it off, I think 1252 01:00:42,080 --> 01:00:44,520 Speaker 2: USC is gonna win the game outright. Give me Lincoln 1253 01:00:44,600 --> 01:00:47,160 Speaker 2: Riley to have his play calling game of the year, 1254 01:00:47,400 --> 01:00:49,600 Speaker 2: Give me USC to have their game of the year. 1255 01:00:50,440 --> 01:00:52,760 Speaker 2: At that point, who knows where Notre Dame goes in 1256 01:00:52,800 --> 01:00:55,439 Speaker 2: the playoff rankings, but I think USC gets one done. 1257 01:00:56,280 --> 01:00:58,600 Speaker 2: Moving along, moving right along. 1258 01:00:59,720 --> 01:01:00,480 Speaker 1: The Iron Bowl. 1259 01:01:00,600 --> 01:01:04,560 Speaker 2: Is this Saturday? Anyone paying attention here? Bama welcoming in 1260 01:01:04,680 --> 01:01:09,880 Speaker 2: Auburn Saturday, three thirty Eastern two thirty local time. ABC 1261 01:01:10,360 --> 01:01:15,520 Speaker 2: has the game. You know, Alabama versus Georgia really happened. 1262 01:01:15,720 --> 01:01:18,520 Speaker 2: Alabama versus LSU really happened. That's the good news. The 1263 01:01:18,560 --> 01:01:23,120 Speaker 2: bad news is Alabama versus Vandy happened. Alabama versus Tennessee happened. 1264 01:01:23,160 --> 01:01:28,520 Speaker 2: Alabama versus Oklahoma happened. BiPOL Obama BPB. Which one do 1265 01:01:28,560 --> 01:01:34,720 Speaker 2: we get? I would almost say it's it's not a 1266 01:01:34,800 --> 01:01:37,280 Speaker 2: waste of time to try and predict these games, because 1267 01:01:37,320 --> 01:01:38,880 Speaker 2: you want to be one step ahead, like you want 1268 01:01:38,880 --> 01:01:41,000 Speaker 2: to see around the corner. That's what we're trying to 1269 01:01:41,000 --> 01:01:45,000 Speaker 2: do here. But man, once these games kick off, I've 1270 01:01:45,000 --> 01:01:47,200 Speaker 2: got my pick, just like everyone else. But I kind 1271 01:01:47,200 --> 01:01:50,040 Speaker 2: of sit there and just go, oh, here we go. Already, 1272 01:01:50,240 --> 01:01:53,600 Speaker 2: someone's gonna be really right or really wrong. Auburn's best 1273 01:01:53,600 --> 01:01:56,920 Speaker 2: game was always there, by the way. Last week they 1274 01:01:56,960 --> 01:02:00,920 Speaker 2: beat Texas A and M. They did not finish my turnovers, 1275 01:02:01,240 --> 01:02:04,200 Speaker 2: Peyton Thorn over three hundred yards, Jarquez Hunter went off, 1276 01:02:04,520 --> 01:02:07,320 Speaker 2: cam Coleman went off, KeAndre Lamber Smith went off. 1277 01:02:07,480 --> 01:02:08,800 Speaker 1: Everything that we've known. 1278 01:02:08,760 --> 01:02:11,640 Speaker 2: Was there offensively showed up and they didn't shoot themselves 1279 01:02:11,680 --> 01:02:13,440 Speaker 2: in the foot. And what they do? They got to 1280 01:02:13,480 --> 01:02:16,800 Speaker 2: win over a highly ranked opponent at home. They could 1281 01:02:16,840 --> 01:02:19,520 Speaker 2: do it again. Tuscaloosa hadn't been easy on them, but 1282 01:02:19,520 --> 01:02:21,720 Speaker 2: you know what, Nick Saban wasn't easy on anyone. 1283 01:02:21,840 --> 01:02:22,840 Speaker 1: He's not there anymore. 1284 01:02:23,080 --> 01:02:26,240 Speaker 2: This Alabama team hasn't looked vintage this year, so what 1285 01:02:26,400 --> 01:02:28,320 Speaker 2: better time to go in there and get your first 1286 01:02:28,320 --> 01:02:31,480 Speaker 2: win in a long time in Tuscaloosa. Auburn's offense last week, 1287 01:02:31,560 --> 01:02:33,520 Speaker 2: that's what it should have been for a long time. 1288 01:02:33,840 --> 01:02:35,600 Speaker 2: So can they package that up and take it on 1289 01:02:35,640 --> 01:02:39,240 Speaker 2: the road again. Does the run game do what Oklahoma 1290 01:02:39,360 --> 01:02:44,959 Speaker 2: did to Alabama? I don't know necessarily that Peyton Thorn 1291 01:02:45,040 --> 01:02:47,800 Speaker 2: has been a focal point of that run game this year. 1292 01:02:48,480 --> 01:02:51,080 Speaker 2: They should run Peyton Thorn a fair amount in this game. 1293 01:02:51,680 --> 01:02:54,080 Speaker 2: Jarquas Hunter, of course, is going to run the ball 1294 01:02:54,120 --> 01:02:56,920 Speaker 2: of Fairmount. I think he had twenty eight carries last week. 1295 01:02:57,520 --> 01:02:59,640 Speaker 2: I bet he's twenty four to twenty five plus carries 1296 01:02:59,640 --> 01:03:01,760 Speaker 2: this week. I think Peyton Thorne ought to run the 1297 01:03:01,760 --> 01:03:03,120 Speaker 2: ball a fair amount until. 1298 01:03:02,960 --> 01:03:04,520 Speaker 1: Bama shows they can stop that stuff. 1299 01:03:05,000 --> 01:03:07,240 Speaker 2: You do it if you've got any kind of athleticism 1300 01:03:07,240 --> 01:03:10,800 Speaker 2: at quarterback. And Thorn is plenty good enough. He's got 1301 01:03:11,600 --> 01:03:14,440 Speaker 2: how many did we count? He's got fourteen games of 1302 01:03:14,480 --> 01:03:17,800 Speaker 2: double digit rushing attempts. He's not a statue by any 1303 01:03:17,880 --> 01:03:21,960 Speaker 2: stretch of the imagination back there. I think that'll be 1304 01:03:22,800 --> 01:03:25,800 Speaker 2: what they make Bama show they can stop. And if 1305 01:03:25,800 --> 01:03:28,000 Speaker 2: Bama Dutton, the game will last about two and a 1306 01:03:28,040 --> 01:03:30,120 Speaker 2: half hours and you'll get out of there by three 1307 01:03:30,160 --> 01:03:32,200 Speaker 2: and get home in time for a late lunch. Number two, 1308 01:03:33,000 --> 01:03:37,120 Speaker 2: it becomes academic at that point, cause I mean, Alabama's 1309 01:03:37,120 --> 01:03:40,320 Speaker 2: got to get to Thorn early because this is a 1310 01:03:40,360 --> 01:03:43,280 Speaker 2: turnover prone Auburn team with a ton of confidence now, 1311 01:03:43,280 --> 01:03:45,160 Speaker 2: and sometimes that's not a good combo to take on 1312 01:03:45,200 --> 01:03:47,080 Speaker 2: the road. But if they don't have to throw the 1313 01:03:47,120 --> 01:03:50,000 Speaker 2: ball a lot, then that doesn't really matter. So the 1314 01:03:50,000 --> 01:03:52,080 Speaker 2: first part here, and you're down a couple of big 1315 01:03:52,080 --> 01:03:54,400 Speaker 2: players at linebacker, if you're Alabama, is you got to 1316 01:03:54,440 --> 01:03:56,400 Speaker 2: get after him. But to do that, you got to 1317 01:03:56,440 --> 01:03:59,280 Speaker 2: earn the right to rush the passer, and to earn 1318 01:03:59,320 --> 01:04:00,880 Speaker 2: the right to rush the you got to stop the 1319 01:04:00,960 --> 01:04:03,720 Speaker 2: run on early downs and create third and six. Pluses 1320 01:04:04,280 --> 01:04:06,800 Speaker 2: ton of variants in this game because of that. If 1321 01:04:06,800 --> 01:04:08,880 Speaker 2: Bama is able to do that, there's a world where 1322 01:04:08,920 --> 01:04:12,720 Speaker 2: Bbama could get to the quarterback, force turnovers and they 1323 01:04:12,760 --> 01:04:16,960 Speaker 2: win going away. However, if they don't, and if Auburn's 1324 01:04:16,960 --> 01:04:20,440 Speaker 2: able to standardize this game offensively, there's a world where 1325 01:04:20,480 --> 01:04:22,640 Speaker 2: Auburn just wins it out right. And I know you 1326 01:04:22,680 --> 01:04:24,520 Speaker 2: listen to that and you say, well, that's easy to say. 1327 01:04:24,520 --> 01:04:27,080 Speaker 2: Anyone could say that. I know, it's a very hard 1328 01:04:27,080 --> 01:04:29,240 Speaker 2: game to predict. This one's a very hard game to predict. 1329 01:04:29,800 --> 01:04:34,520 Speaker 2: Marcel Reid last week the Texas and in quarterback two 1330 01:04:34,600 --> 01:04:37,480 Speaker 2: ninety seven through the air, sixty six on the ground. 1331 01:04:37,600 --> 01:04:41,080 Speaker 2: So what does Jalen Milrod do against Auburn? Where's his 1332 01:04:41,120 --> 01:04:43,720 Speaker 2: head at this week? What version of Jalen Milroe do 1333 01:04:43,760 --> 01:04:46,040 Speaker 2: we get this week? Because Auburn's got a pretty good 1334 01:04:46,120 --> 01:04:49,360 Speaker 2: run defense, it's a big day for the Alabama wide 1335 01:04:49,400 --> 01:04:53,040 Speaker 2: receiver room. They did him very few favors last week. 1336 01:04:53,400 --> 01:04:56,440 Speaker 2: There's a fair amount of blame to go around everywhere, 1337 01:04:56,520 --> 01:04:59,080 Speaker 2: staff and players, for the way Alabama played last week, 1338 01:05:00,000 --> 01:05:03,440 Speaker 2: But upon second review, it's not all Jaylen Milroe. A 1339 01:05:03,520 --> 01:05:06,080 Speaker 2: lot of people up there have said as much, including 1340 01:05:06,240 --> 01:05:08,880 Speaker 2: some of the wide receivers responsible for that. So that's 1341 01:05:08,920 --> 01:05:13,280 Speaker 2: in the past. The future is the Iron Bowl. You 1342 01:05:13,400 --> 01:05:16,000 Speaker 2: barely escaped last year with a fourth and a mile. 1343 01:05:16,800 --> 01:05:21,000 Speaker 2: How do you fare this year? HM, Alabama's an eight 1344 01:05:21,040 --> 01:05:25,000 Speaker 2: win team if they lose this eight and four for Bama. 1345 01:05:25,760 --> 01:05:28,440 Speaker 2: Anyone feeling that Auburn has to have this game for 1346 01:05:28,560 --> 01:05:31,800 Speaker 2: Bowl eligibility. So let's take a look at what the 1347 01:05:31,800 --> 01:05:34,960 Speaker 2: model thinks. FanDuel right now has got Bama minus eleven 1348 01:05:34,960 --> 01:05:36,600 Speaker 2: and a half. We're pretty much in line with that. 1349 01:05:36,640 --> 01:05:41,560 Speaker 2: We got Bama minus twelve. Like I said, there's a 1350 01:05:41,600 --> 01:05:44,800 Speaker 2: world where Bama clicks here, where they respond like they 1351 01:05:44,800 --> 01:05:48,360 Speaker 2: should at home, and Auburn's a little bit too loose 1352 01:05:48,360 --> 01:05:50,480 Speaker 2: and they turn the ball over and Alabama wins by 1353 01:05:50,480 --> 01:05:51,000 Speaker 2: twenty four. 1354 01:05:51,360 --> 01:05:52,960 Speaker 1: Sure, there's a world where that happens. 1355 01:05:53,840 --> 01:05:58,280 Speaker 2: I can't count on that, and so I cannot count 1356 01:05:58,280 --> 01:06:02,640 Speaker 2: on Alabama getting significant mark. And because I can't count 1357 01:06:02,680 --> 01:06:04,960 Speaker 2: on that, I will. I think they're gonna win the game. 1358 01:06:05,000 --> 01:06:07,600 Speaker 2: I think Alabama's gonna win the game. But I've got 1359 01:06:07,720 --> 01:06:10,320 Speaker 2: no confidence laying double digit points here. There are too 1360 01:06:10,360 --> 01:06:13,160 Speaker 2: many elements Auburn could bring here. I mean, Auburn could 1361 01:06:13,160 --> 01:06:15,200 Speaker 2: get after Milroe and make them one dimensional and run 1362 01:06:15,240 --> 01:06:16,760 Speaker 2: the ball on them and just win the game out right. 1363 01:06:17,040 --> 01:06:19,439 Speaker 1: So I am taking Auburn in the points. Alabama. They're 1364 01:06:19,480 --> 01:06:22,200 Speaker 1: the better team, they're the home team. They should win. 1365 01:06:22,840 --> 01:06:26,000 Speaker 2: But winning and covering, I don't know, man, I don't 1366 01:06:26,040 --> 01:06:27,760 Speaker 2: have enough confidence to lay those. I'm not betting the 1367 01:06:27,760 --> 01:06:30,240 Speaker 2: game either way, but I don't have that confidence. 1368 01:06:31,640 --> 01:06:34,320 Speaker 1: Uh, reach over here for my jug of water. Right, 1369 01:06:34,440 --> 01:06:36,760 Speaker 1: quick throats a little dry? 1370 01:06:36,920 --> 01:06:38,680 Speaker 2: How about that, though, Colin, we've made it through the 1371 01:06:38,680 --> 01:06:41,360 Speaker 2: whole year without losing the voice so far. Mm hmm, 1372 01:06:43,120 --> 01:06:46,480 Speaker 2: it's the first year it's happened. Knock on this very 1373 01:06:46,600 --> 01:06:49,720 Speaker 2: very real wood we have on this set. New set, 1374 01:06:49,760 --> 01:06:52,960 Speaker 2: by the way, is coming together. These helmets behind me 1375 01:06:53,000 --> 01:06:55,640 Speaker 2: are placeholders if you're listening on podcast. We just put 1376 01:06:55,680 --> 01:06:58,040 Speaker 2: stuff back there so it doesn't look naked, as Mema 1377 01:06:58,080 --> 01:07:01,800 Speaker 2: would say. But we are way for you to design 1378 01:07:01,880 --> 01:07:03,360 Speaker 2: the set for us, and I already had a number 1379 01:07:03,360 --> 01:07:05,040 Speaker 2: of you Hit me up and ask for the studio 1380 01:07:05,080 --> 01:07:08,880 Speaker 2: address so you can send me all sorts of things 1381 01:07:08,920 --> 01:07:12,000 Speaker 2: that you think would fit here. I want the set 1382 01:07:12,200 --> 01:07:16,080 Speaker 2: to be something that means something to you, because I'm 1383 01:07:16,120 --> 01:07:19,240 Speaker 2: not good at this stuff anyway, and I want you 1384 01:07:19,360 --> 01:07:21,720 Speaker 2: to design it. So we're waiting. It's only been it's 1385 01:07:21,760 --> 01:07:23,600 Speaker 2: only been two days. Nothing's had time to get in yet. 1386 01:07:23,760 --> 01:07:25,360 Speaker 2: I can't wait to see what we end up adding 1387 01:07:25,360 --> 01:07:27,440 Speaker 2: to this set. I can't promise you everything you send 1388 01:07:27,560 --> 01:07:30,040 Speaker 2: is going to go on the set, but I promise 1389 01:07:30,080 --> 01:07:31,120 Speaker 2: you I don't want to design it. 1390 01:07:31,880 --> 01:07:35,080 Speaker 1: Okay, hold on, I have something on my teeth. I can't. 1391 01:07:35,120 --> 01:07:38,240 Speaker 2: I can't have this next segment there we go with 1392 01:07:38,400 --> 01:07:41,560 Speaker 2: a sunflower seed. I can't have this next segment be 1393 01:07:41,560 --> 01:07:44,240 Speaker 2: blown up by something on my teeth. North Carolina is 1394 01:07:44,280 --> 01:07:47,760 Speaker 2: fireing Mac Brown. Matt Zenitz broke that story earlier today. 1395 01:07:47,760 --> 01:07:51,120 Speaker 2: Everyone else sided him. But you know one pretty noteworthy 1396 01:07:51,120 --> 01:07:53,720 Speaker 2: person in the space that has trouble doing that, So whatever, 1397 01:07:54,200 --> 01:07:55,840 Speaker 2: Matt Zenit' has been really good at breaking it. If 1398 01:07:55,840 --> 01:07:58,200 Speaker 2: you're not following Matt Zenitz, you need to be following him. 1399 01:07:58,280 --> 01:08:01,440 Speaker 2: Dude is a bulldog when it comes to breaking news, 1400 01:08:01,480 --> 01:08:03,320 Speaker 2: and that's a name that'll be around in that space for. 1401 01:08:03,240 --> 01:08:03,840 Speaker 1: A long time. 1402 01:08:04,600 --> 01:08:08,520 Speaker 2: Six seasons at North Carolina was not ready to go. 1403 01:08:08,960 --> 01:08:12,120 Speaker 2: As recently as this week he had publicly said I 1404 01:08:12,480 --> 01:08:14,760 Speaker 2: don't want to go anywhere. I'm still in it, my 1405 01:08:14,800 --> 01:08:18,000 Speaker 2: heart's still in it. And then Bubba Cunningham, the athletic 1406 01:08:18,000 --> 01:08:20,720 Speaker 2: director there, made the decision that You're not going to 1407 01:08:20,760 --> 01:08:23,840 Speaker 2: do it here anymore. So I think this thing felt 1408 01:08:23,840 --> 01:08:25,960 Speaker 2: like it peaked a couple of years ago. They were 1409 01:08:26,000 --> 01:08:28,840 Speaker 2: the number eleven class in recruiting. In twenty twenty two. 1410 01:08:29,360 --> 01:08:32,479 Speaker 2: They were nine to five that year. You know, things 1411 01:08:32,560 --> 01:08:34,400 Speaker 2: had slipped off a little bit. Obviously, they made a 1412 01:08:34,400 --> 01:08:37,440 Speaker 2: lot of staff changes. This past cycle. Weren't good defensively 1413 01:08:37,840 --> 01:08:40,240 Speaker 2: at all. Gene Chisick was out, Jeff Collins was in. 1414 01:08:40,280 --> 01:08:42,840 Speaker 2: They were what they were this year. So it's not 1415 01:08:43,040 --> 01:08:46,040 Speaker 2: the biggest shock in the world because the results weren't there. 1416 01:08:46,479 --> 01:08:49,360 Speaker 2: But I got to tell you something, I'm really emotionally 1417 01:08:49,360 --> 01:08:53,640 Speaker 2: tied to this one, and I didn't talk about it 1418 01:08:53,680 --> 01:08:57,200 Speaker 2: a lot this year. It may even be unprofessional, That's okay. 1419 01:08:57,240 --> 01:09:00,240 Speaker 2: I've never called myself a journalist for that reason because 1420 01:09:00,439 --> 01:09:03,120 Speaker 2: there's some of these guys I really like, Mac Brown, 1421 01:09:03,680 --> 01:09:08,760 Speaker 2: I really like so I couldn't even objectively cover Mack 1422 01:09:08,800 --> 01:09:12,000 Speaker 2: Brown in North Carolina. I could be critical of him, but. 1423 01:09:12,120 --> 01:09:14,120 Speaker 1: I didn't want to be let me put it that way. 1424 01:09:14,320 --> 01:09:16,400 Speaker 2: So I got to tell you a story now that 1425 01:09:16,439 --> 01:09:21,000 Speaker 2: this tenure has come and gone. We went there in 1426 01:09:21,040 --> 01:09:23,000 Speaker 2: the spring. We went to Chapel Hill in the spring. 1427 01:09:23,040 --> 01:09:26,240 Speaker 2: It was my first time there, and we told Mac 1428 01:09:26,280 --> 01:09:28,200 Speaker 2: Brown and his people were coming. We want to do 1429 01:09:28,280 --> 01:09:30,640 Speaker 2: something called the Pate State Speaker Series, and it's just 1430 01:09:30,680 --> 01:09:33,200 Speaker 2: a sit down conversation and you saw it in the spring. 1431 01:09:33,280 --> 01:09:34,599 Speaker 1: We did it with a number of coaches. 1432 01:09:35,080 --> 01:09:36,920 Speaker 2: So you know, I had done Beamer the day before, 1433 01:09:37,000 --> 01:09:38,400 Speaker 2: I was going to go up to Blacksburg, and I 1434 01:09:38,439 --> 01:09:40,720 Speaker 2: was going to do Brent Pry and Virginia Tech the 1435 01:09:40,760 --> 01:09:43,880 Speaker 2: next day, so it made sense to go to North Carolina. 1436 01:09:44,040 --> 01:09:46,360 Speaker 2: They were right there in between. We'd never been there before. 1437 01:09:46,360 --> 01:09:48,360 Speaker 2: If we can make it happen, Yeah, okay, let's make 1438 01:09:48,360 --> 01:09:52,120 Speaker 2: it happen. Mack Brown had been a head coach thirty 1439 01:09:52,160 --> 01:09:56,000 Speaker 2: six years. Guy's probably done thousands and thousands of sit 1440 01:09:56,080 --> 01:09:58,960 Speaker 2: downs and interviews and had thousands of media interactions. 1441 01:09:59,240 --> 01:10:01,200 Speaker 1: He had never to talk to me before in his life. 1442 01:10:02,200 --> 01:10:04,400 Speaker 2: I got to tell you it was a pretty transformative 1443 01:10:04,439 --> 01:10:06,639 Speaker 2: experience to be there that day. I took a couple 1444 01:10:06,680 --> 01:10:09,439 Speaker 2: of members of my crew there and mack Brown had 1445 01:10:09,479 --> 01:10:13,000 Speaker 2: all the time in the world for us. And mac Brown, 1446 01:10:13,160 --> 01:10:17,360 Speaker 2: when you meet him, it's so obvious how authentic he is, 1447 01:10:17,439 --> 01:10:19,960 Speaker 2: how genuine he is. It's so obvious why you've never 1448 01:10:20,080 --> 01:10:23,040 Speaker 2: met anyone who speaks ill of him. And I just 1449 01:10:23,080 --> 01:10:25,240 Speaker 2: want to talk about the person for a second. You 1450 01:10:25,280 --> 01:10:27,880 Speaker 2: get judged in this business based on results. That's fair. 1451 01:10:27,920 --> 01:10:29,599 Speaker 2: He'd be the first one to tell you that's fair. 1452 01:10:29,840 --> 01:10:32,000 Speaker 2: He would defend his stance vigorously, but he would tell 1453 01:10:32,000 --> 01:10:35,640 Speaker 2: you that's fair. But the way we left there that 1454 01:10:35,760 --> 01:10:39,320 Speaker 2: day feeling like we had known him four thirty six years, 1455 01:10:39,800 --> 01:10:42,320 Speaker 2: was really amazing. I have a lot of interactions with 1456 01:10:42,360 --> 01:10:46,360 Speaker 2: these guys, and they're all good to us. Mac Brown 1457 01:10:46,479 --> 01:10:48,640 Speaker 2: was good to us in a way that your grandfather 1458 01:10:48,920 --> 01:10:51,000 Speaker 2: is good to you. Mac Brown was good to us 1459 01:10:51,000 --> 01:10:54,439 Speaker 2: in a way above and beyond how anyone should feel 1460 01:10:54,479 --> 01:10:55,800 Speaker 2: the need to be good to us. 1461 01:10:56,280 --> 01:10:57,639 Speaker 1: Didn't need to be that way. 1462 01:10:57,800 --> 01:11:01,200 Speaker 2: It could have been just a little ex Sells spreadsheet 1463 01:11:01,280 --> 01:11:04,000 Speaker 2: box that he had to check off on his schedule 1464 01:11:04,040 --> 01:11:08,200 Speaker 2: that day. But just the wisdom, the applied knowledge, that's 1465 01:11:08,200 --> 01:11:11,880 Speaker 2: what wisdom is of lessons he had learned through his career, 1466 01:11:12,360 --> 01:11:19,160 Speaker 2: a lot of advice, just brilliant perspective on everything from 1467 01:11:19,640 --> 01:11:23,719 Speaker 2: rule making and the inconsistency behind that in some cases, 1468 01:11:24,240 --> 01:11:28,519 Speaker 2: to the shifts in the world of revenue sharing and NIL. 1469 01:11:29,240 --> 01:11:32,200 Speaker 2: How you develop players, how you recruit players, how you 1470 01:11:32,240 --> 01:11:34,960 Speaker 2: sell your program and your vision to them, how you 1471 01:11:35,040 --> 01:11:38,960 Speaker 2: handle staffing, how you fire someone on your staff when 1472 01:11:38,960 --> 01:11:43,120 Speaker 2: it's time to how you maintain a standard, how you 1473 01:11:43,240 --> 01:11:46,720 Speaker 2: reflect the standard that you want brought out from the 1474 01:11:46,760 --> 01:11:49,479 Speaker 2: rest of your organization. Just so much stuff that you're 1475 01:11:49,520 --> 01:11:53,040 Speaker 2: sitting there, you call yourself interviewing someone, But the best 1476 01:11:53,040 --> 01:11:54,639 Speaker 2: thing you can do is just keep your mouth shut 1477 01:11:54,960 --> 01:11:57,800 Speaker 2: because the guy doesn't need questions, he doesn't need to 1478 01:11:57,800 --> 01:12:00,360 Speaker 2: be tied up, and so he's just going and going, going. 1479 01:12:00,680 --> 01:12:02,360 Speaker 2: I swear to you could have stayed there another five 1480 01:12:02,360 --> 01:12:05,679 Speaker 2: hours if we wanted to. He had just come off 1481 01:12:06,080 --> 01:12:10,160 Speaker 2: an ACC coaches meeting that probably got a little contentious 1482 01:12:10,320 --> 01:12:12,559 Speaker 2: from what I could tell, and so he was ready 1483 01:12:12,600 --> 01:12:15,840 Speaker 2: to go. And I will never forget that one of 1484 01:12:15,840 --> 01:12:18,240 Speaker 2: our producers. She's not with us anymore. I mean she's 1485 01:12:18,400 --> 01:12:21,040 Speaker 2: still alive, she's just doing something else. Now she's there 1486 01:12:21,640 --> 01:12:25,240 Speaker 2: in the room behind the camera and I saw her 1487 01:12:25,320 --> 01:12:27,040 Speaker 2: tear up like three or four times. I mean, mac 1488 01:12:27,080 --> 01:12:30,479 Speaker 2: Brown really connected, really connected, And I mean I would 1489 01:12:30,680 --> 01:12:34,559 Speaker 2: love if he got himself back into media again. 1490 01:12:34,600 --> 01:12:35,840 Speaker 1: I don't know what he plans on doing. I have 1491 01:12:35,880 --> 01:12:36,840 Speaker 1: not talked to him today. 1492 01:12:37,080 --> 01:12:39,559 Speaker 2: I've stayed in contact with him since then, but I've 1493 01:12:39,600 --> 01:12:40,519 Speaker 2: not talked to him today. 1494 01:12:41,280 --> 01:12:42,000 Speaker 1: Not the time for it. 1495 01:12:42,520 --> 01:12:45,000 Speaker 2: But I hope he gets back in media, I really do, 1496 01:12:45,200 --> 01:12:47,639 Speaker 2: because that guy's got a lot more left to give 1497 01:12:47,680 --> 01:12:50,519 Speaker 2: to the game of football to me, and he's he's 1498 01:12:50,600 --> 01:12:51,840 Speaker 2: leaving that program better. 1499 01:12:52,800 --> 01:12:53,400 Speaker 1: The results. 1500 01:12:53,560 --> 01:12:55,439 Speaker 2: You can say they weren't good enough, and I won't 1501 01:12:55,439 --> 01:12:57,920 Speaker 2: fight you on that, But what I always care about 1502 01:12:57,960 --> 01:12:59,479 Speaker 2: is did you leave the place better than. 1503 01:12:59,360 --> 01:13:01,439 Speaker 1: You got it? By any discernible metric. 1504 01:13:01,800 --> 01:13:04,479 Speaker 2: North Carolina football is in a better place than before 1505 01:13:04,479 --> 01:13:07,320 Speaker 2: mac Brown got there. That's a testament to him. That's 1506 01:13:07,320 --> 01:13:09,320 Speaker 2: credit to him. But I'll tell you what else that means. 1507 01:13:10,560 --> 01:13:13,840 Speaker 2: That means someone's walking into a really good situation. And 1508 01:13:13,920 --> 01:13:16,240 Speaker 2: I texted back and forth with a few coaches today, 1509 01:13:17,000 --> 01:13:19,200 Speaker 2: a couple of them who could be up for this job, 1510 01:13:19,680 --> 01:13:22,400 Speaker 2: many more of them who are totally set where they're at, 1511 01:13:22,439 --> 01:13:25,160 Speaker 2: and they already have better jobs than North Carolina. You 1512 01:13:25,200 --> 01:13:28,400 Speaker 2: would not believe how highly thought of the North Carolina 1513 01:13:28,479 --> 01:13:31,760 Speaker 2: job is. Do folks think North Carolina is like this 1514 01:13:31,840 --> 01:13:34,760 Speaker 2: low key sleeping giant. And you can disagree with that 1515 01:13:34,800 --> 01:13:37,160 Speaker 2: if you want to, that's fine. I am not even 1516 01:13:37,160 --> 01:13:38,920 Speaker 2: giving you my opinion, although I do agree with that, 1517 01:13:38,960 --> 01:13:41,000 Speaker 2: But I'm not giving you my opinion. I'm giving you 1518 01:13:41,040 --> 01:13:45,120 Speaker 2: the opinion of people who are head coaches. I don't 1519 01:13:45,360 --> 01:13:47,160 Speaker 2: talk to like seven or eight of them today about this, 1520 01:13:47,720 --> 01:13:52,760 Speaker 2: and they all pointed out that Arizona and the Carolinas 1521 01:13:53,200 --> 01:13:55,799 Speaker 2: are two of the most underrated recruiting hot beds in America. 1522 01:13:55,840 --> 01:13:57,599 Speaker 2: It's been that way for a long time. We are 1523 01:13:57,760 --> 01:14:01,439 Speaker 2: entering the world of revenue sharing, where even if you 1524 01:14:01,520 --> 01:14:04,559 Speaker 2: can't fully get your boosters on board with like being 1525 01:14:04,760 --> 01:14:07,960 Speaker 2: all in for football, it still will matter. But to 1526 01:14:08,040 --> 01:14:11,680 Speaker 2: a certain degree it doesn't matter as much because you're 1527 01:14:11,720 --> 01:14:14,040 Speaker 2: still going to have a lot of money to pay guys. 1528 01:14:14,360 --> 01:14:17,599 Speaker 2: You're in a great place to live. Coaching staffs love 1529 01:14:17,600 --> 01:14:19,559 Speaker 2: it there. Some of them keep their homes there even 1530 01:14:19,600 --> 01:14:22,880 Speaker 2: if they go elsewhere. But think about this part. You 1531 01:14:22,920 --> 01:14:25,479 Speaker 2: can make really good money there. You can recruit really 1532 01:14:25,479 --> 01:14:28,599 Speaker 2: good athletes there. It's a world class education that you're selling. 1533 01:14:28,880 --> 01:14:31,240 Speaker 2: You're in still one of the premier conferences in college football, 1534 01:14:31,240 --> 01:14:33,559 Speaker 2: and who knows what the future holds with realignment, but 1535 01:14:33,640 --> 01:14:36,280 Speaker 2: even as of now, you're in a really good place. 1536 01:14:36,800 --> 01:14:39,920 Speaker 2: But think about the expectation level. This is kind of 1537 01:14:39,920 --> 01:14:41,960 Speaker 2: what you would say about Mark Stoops, a Kentucky Mark 1538 01:14:42,000 --> 01:14:43,880 Speaker 2: Stoops has been there forever. He's made himself a ton 1539 01:14:43,920 --> 01:14:46,960 Speaker 2: of money, win seven games a year, and they think 1540 01:14:47,000 --> 01:14:50,200 Speaker 2: about you like you're the greatest thing since slices spread. 1541 01:14:50,960 --> 01:14:53,320 Speaker 2: At North Carolina, I would say the expectation level would 1542 01:14:53,360 --> 01:14:55,599 Speaker 2: be like a little bit higher than that. But no 1543 01:14:55,640 --> 01:14:58,400 Speaker 2: one is demanding national championships from you when you come 1544 01:14:58,400 --> 01:15:01,120 Speaker 2: in there. If you win one, that's and then rename 1545 01:15:01,160 --> 01:15:05,720 Speaker 2: the city after you. But it's the resource pool, the 1546 01:15:05,760 --> 01:15:12,200 Speaker 2: salary pool for assistance that ties geographically to recruiting the institution, 1547 01:15:13,360 --> 01:15:17,479 Speaker 2: and then the expectation level, and those are calibrated at 1548 01:15:17,520 --> 01:15:20,680 Speaker 2: such a level, respectively, that it's very attractive for a 1549 01:15:20,680 --> 01:15:23,880 Speaker 2: lot of head coaches. Dan Mullen's name, I think will 1550 01:15:23,880 --> 01:15:27,639 Speaker 2: be tied to this. There's been a pretty widely held 1551 01:15:27,680 --> 01:15:30,599 Speaker 2: belief in the industry that Dan Mullen has looked at 1552 01:15:30,600 --> 01:15:34,080 Speaker 2: this job and has has thought it to be interesting. 1553 01:15:34,640 --> 01:15:38,080 Speaker 2: Now that may get shot down tonight. He may say 1554 01:15:38,160 --> 01:15:40,880 Speaker 2: no no interest tonight, because I'm not telling you at 1555 01:15:40,920 --> 01:15:44,360 Speaker 2: some guarantee. I'm saying there's probably interest there. I think 1556 01:15:44,360 --> 01:15:47,280 Speaker 2: there would be big interest from a Barry Odom who 1557 01:15:47,320 --> 01:15:50,880 Speaker 2: has done great things at UNLV, and I think John 1558 01:15:50,960 --> 01:15:52,760 Speaker 2: Summerl at Tulane. 1559 01:15:52,680 --> 01:15:56,160 Speaker 1: Is a future superstar wherever he goes at the power level. 1560 01:15:56,439 --> 01:15:59,080 Speaker 2: I think Alex Golish is another name that's very high 1561 01:15:59,120 --> 01:16:01,240 Speaker 2: on my list. I haven't heard Goalish specifically tied to 1562 01:16:01,280 --> 01:16:04,080 Speaker 2: this job. The other three I kind of have, but 1563 01:16:04,760 --> 01:16:06,879 Speaker 2: I'd look at him. I'm saying if I ran North Carolina, 1564 01:16:06,880 --> 01:16:07,960 Speaker 2: I'd look at all those guys. 1565 01:16:08,120 --> 01:16:08,919 Speaker 1: I would. 1566 01:16:09,439 --> 01:16:12,920 Speaker 2: I would lean younger only because I want I want 1567 01:16:12,920 --> 01:16:14,320 Speaker 2: a guy there for the long term. It's not like 1568 01:16:14,400 --> 01:16:16,439 Speaker 2: mull and seventy years old or anything like that. But 1569 01:16:17,439 --> 01:16:19,080 Speaker 2: those are the names I look at. Those are the 1570 01:16:19,160 --> 01:16:21,120 Speaker 2: names that I think will be tied to it. And 1571 01:16:21,680 --> 01:16:24,720 Speaker 2: that's that's just kicking around a few rocks today. I'm 1572 01:16:24,720 --> 01:16:27,120 Speaker 2: sure there will be many more names that surface here. 1573 01:16:27,479 --> 01:16:30,720 Speaker 2: But Mac brown Man, if no one else says it 1574 01:16:30,720 --> 01:16:33,439 Speaker 2: to him today. He's got a place at Peyton State forever. 1575 01:16:33,680 --> 01:16:37,000 Speaker 2: I really really appreciated what he did for us. You 1576 01:16:37,080 --> 01:16:39,680 Speaker 2: spend you know, you spend so many years around some 1577 01:16:39,760 --> 01:16:42,160 Speaker 2: people and they don't impact your life as much as 1578 01:16:42,200 --> 01:16:46,120 Speaker 2: that guy impacted mine being around him three hours one 1579 01:16:46,160 --> 01:16:49,640 Speaker 2: afternoon in the spring in Chapel Hill. So salute to 1580 01:16:49,680 --> 01:16:52,320 Speaker 2: Mac Brown. If this is it, what a career. It's 1581 01:16:52,360 --> 01:16:56,000 Speaker 2: been nearly four decades, just head coaching experience and a 1582 01:16:56,080 --> 01:16:57,280 Speaker 2: national championship winner. 1583 01:16:57,320 --> 01:16:58,080 Speaker 1: And now what do we have. 1584 01:16:58,560 --> 01:17:01,960 Speaker 2: We've got Dabbo and Kirby as the only active head 1585 01:17:01,960 --> 01:17:03,679 Speaker 2: coaches whoever won a national title. 1586 01:17:05,400 --> 01:17:07,320 Speaker 1: But yet if you haven't won one, people will ask 1587 01:17:07,439 --> 01:17:11,240 Speaker 1: what have you won? What have you won? FanDuel the 1588 01:17:11,280 --> 01:17:13,679 Speaker 1: exclusive odds provider of our show. Here. 1589 01:17:13,800 --> 01:17:16,200 Speaker 2: It's a big weekend coming up, you know, Rivalry weekend. 1590 01:17:16,320 --> 01:17:19,120 Speaker 2: I need to remind you the whole bet five to 1591 01:17:19,160 --> 01:17:22,320 Speaker 2: win one fifty promotions still very active. New sign ups. 1592 01:17:22,960 --> 01:17:25,600 Speaker 2: You can use this QR code on the screen. You 1593 01:17:25,600 --> 01:17:29,400 Speaker 2: can go to FanDuel dot com slash CFB promotion. Whatever 1594 01:17:29,439 --> 01:17:31,120 Speaker 2: you do. If you're a new sign up, you bet 1595 01:17:31,160 --> 01:17:32,920 Speaker 2: five dollars. You don't even have to do it against 1596 01:17:32,920 --> 01:17:34,439 Speaker 2: the spread. You can do it on a money line. 1597 01:17:34,520 --> 01:17:37,519 Speaker 2: You do Ohio State money line against Michigan. If it wins, 1598 01:17:37,680 --> 01:17:40,520 Speaker 2: you get one hundred and fifty dollars in free bonus bets. 1599 01:17:40,560 --> 01:17:43,040 Speaker 1: Just free money. Well, it's basically free money. Go take it. 1600 01:17:43,240 --> 01:17:45,599 Speaker 2: Got a bunch of profit boosts coming up this week. 1601 01:17:45,680 --> 01:17:48,400 Speaker 2: Some of those big games will have profit boost tokens. Guys, 1602 01:17:48,439 --> 01:17:51,040 Speaker 2: this is free value. You have to be taking advantage 1603 01:17:51,080 --> 01:17:55,639 Speaker 2: of that, you know. And I'm not gonna pass off 1604 01:17:55,680 --> 01:17:58,040 Speaker 2: commentary on the kind of bets you guys, put in, 1605 01:17:58,439 --> 01:18:01,080 Speaker 2: did you need to care more about value in money management? 1606 01:18:01,760 --> 01:18:03,080 Speaker 1: I care about best bets. 1607 01:18:03,080 --> 01:18:06,600 Speaker 2: That's why I'm adding one, two, three games on the 1608 01:18:06,720 --> 01:18:09,760 Speaker 2: Rama Noodle Express four. I'm actually adding four tonight. So 1609 01:18:09,800 --> 01:18:12,120 Speaker 2: we're already on Boston College minus three and a half 1610 01:18:12,120 --> 01:18:15,320 Speaker 2: against pitt We're already on West Virginia plus three and 1611 01:18:15,360 --> 01:18:18,519 Speaker 2: a half against Texas Tech. We're adding four games here, Colin, 1612 01:18:18,560 --> 01:18:21,400 Speaker 2: can you believe it? On Tuesday night? The first one 1613 01:18:21,640 --> 01:18:26,839 Speaker 2: Utah plus nine and a half at UCF. We're again 1614 01:18:26,960 --> 01:18:30,679 Speaker 2: on Kennesaw State plus twelve and a half against Louisiana Tech. 1615 01:18:31,320 --> 01:18:34,719 Speaker 2: We are not only taking USC It's a best bet 1616 01:18:35,040 --> 01:18:36,520 Speaker 2: USC is plus seven. 1617 01:18:36,280 --> 01:18:37,439 Speaker 1: And a half at FanDuel. 1618 01:18:37,520 --> 01:18:39,559 Speaker 2: Right now, I'm taking that as a best bet, and 1619 01:18:39,600 --> 01:18:42,920 Speaker 2: I am also making Ohio State minus twenty and a 1620 01:18:42,960 --> 01:18:46,080 Speaker 2: half a best bet. So yeah, I mean I sit 1621 01:18:46,160 --> 01:18:48,479 Speaker 2: here and pick USC to win outright, I better be 1622 01:18:48,920 --> 01:18:50,960 Speaker 2: taking them plus seven and a half is the best bet. 1623 01:18:51,120 --> 01:18:55,080 Speaker 2: Sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com backslash CFB 1624 01:18:55,240 --> 01:18:58,200 Speaker 2: promotion must be twenty one plus and present in select 1625 01:18:58,240 --> 01:19:01,559 Speaker 2: states for Kansas in a phillation with Kansas Star Casino, 1626 01:19:02,000 --> 01:19:06,080 Speaker 2: or eighteen plus and present in Washington, DC. First online 1627 01:19:06,120 --> 01:19:10,759 Speaker 2: real money wager only ten dollars first deposit required. Bonus 1628 01:19:10,840 --> 01:19:14,120 Speaker 2: issued is non withdrawable bonus bet that expires seven days 1629 01:19:14,160 --> 01:19:14,759 Speaker 2: after receipt. 1630 01:19:15,439 --> 01:19:17,000 Speaker 1: Do you have a gambling problem? 1631 01:19:17,360 --> 01:19:20,639 Speaker 2: If so, call one eight hundred gambler or visitfanduel dot 1632 01:19:20,680 --> 01:19:24,760 Speaker 2: com backslash RG call one eight eight eight seven eight 1633 01:19:24,880 --> 01:19:28,920 Speaker 2: nine seven seven seven seven, or visit CCPG dot org 1634 01:19:29,080 --> 01:19:33,400 Speaker 2: backslash chat in Connecticut, or visit MD Gamblinghelp dot org 1635 01:19:33,439 --> 01:19:38,000 Speaker 2: in Maryland. Hope is here, visit gambling Helplinema dot org 1636 01:19:38,360 --> 01:19:40,879 Speaker 2: or call eight hundred three two seven fifty to fifty 1637 01:19:40,920 --> 01:19:44,040 Speaker 2: for twenty four seven support in Massachusetts or call one 1638 01:19:44,120 --> 01:19:47,640 Speaker 2: eight seven seven eight Hope n Y. Or text h 1639 01:19:47,680 --> 01:19:51,320 Speaker 2: op E n Y in New York. All right, a 1640 01:19:51,360 --> 01:19:53,799 Speaker 2: few more games to get to here. In the interest 1641 01:19:53,880 --> 01:19:55,479 Speaker 2: of you know the fact that this is our last 1642 01:19:55,520 --> 01:19:59,000 Speaker 2: show of the week, a lot of upset alerts, big 1643 01:19:59,040 --> 01:20:01,240 Speaker 2: time upset alerts on the radar this weekend. The way 1644 01:20:01,280 --> 01:20:03,360 Speaker 2: we like to do it around here is I put 1645 01:20:03,400 --> 01:20:06,720 Speaker 2: a concern rating on the upset alert meter like that. 1646 01:20:06,920 --> 01:20:08,920 Speaker 2: Just because I have mentioned this game doesn't mean I'm 1647 01:20:08,920 --> 01:20:10,720 Speaker 2: picking the upset. I'm just kind of letting you know 1648 01:20:10,720 --> 01:20:13,439 Speaker 2: how concerned I am about it. So, for example, Georgia 1649 01:20:13,479 --> 01:20:15,759 Speaker 2: Tech plays Georgia Friday in Athens. 1650 01:20:15,800 --> 01:20:16,800 Speaker 1: This is a Friday game. 1651 01:20:16,920 --> 01:20:20,240 Speaker 2: It's very atypical, but it is a Friday game, seven 1652 01:20:20,360 --> 01:20:23,599 Speaker 2: thirty Eastern Friday night. I've got a four on this game. 1653 01:20:24,000 --> 01:20:27,320 Speaker 2: Upset alert concern A four. Here's why. First off, that's 1654 01:20:27,360 --> 01:20:30,559 Speaker 2: not a high rating. But here's why. Haines King when 1655 01:20:30,600 --> 01:20:34,120 Speaker 2: he starts at quarterback for Georgia Tech, they're seven and two. 1656 01:20:34,960 --> 01:20:38,360 Speaker 2: Georgia has already clinched the East. This game does matter 1657 01:20:38,400 --> 01:20:40,880 Speaker 2: because it's a rivalry game, and if Georgia loses this 1658 01:20:40,920 --> 01:20:43,599 Speaker 2: one They've got no margin for error next week in Atlanta, 1659 01:20:43,800 --> 01:20:44,799 Speaker 2: so it does matter. 1660 01:20:45,320 --> 01:20:48,120 Speaker 1: But there is just the whole Brent Key in a 1661 01:20:48,160 --> 01:20:50,320 Speaker 1: big game element in play. 1662 01:20:50,479 --> 01:20:54,160 Speaker 2: There's a slight scheduling dynamics edge and play for Georgia Tech. 1663 01:20:54,240 --> 01:20:57,360 Speaker 1: So it bears watching. I'll put a four on it. 1664 01:20:57,560 --> 01:20:57,880 Speaker 1: Not high. 1665 01:20:57,920 --> 01:21:00,360 Speaker 2: I'll put a four on it now this next one, Yeah, 1666 01:21:00,400 --> 01:21:02,880 Speaker 2: it does bear very close watching. Tennessee is a ten 1667 01:21:02,920 --> 01:21:05,640 Speaker 2: and a half point favorite at Vanderbilt. I've got a 1668 01:21:05,720 --> 01:21:08,240 Speaker 2: seven on this game. It's right down the road from 1669 01:21:08,240 --> 01:21:11,680 Speaker 2: our studio in Nashville. Other than the South Carolina game, 1670 01:21:11,800 --> 01:21:14,280 Speaker 2: Vandy has either won every game they've played or they've 1671 01:21:14,320 --> 01:21:18,639 Speaker 2: been within one possession. So Texas didn't blow them out, 1672 01:21:18,960 --> 01:21:21,280 Speaker 2: LSU didn't blow them out, and now they're at home 1673 01:21:21,320 --> 01:21:22,440 Speaker 2: where they beat Alabama. 1674 01:21:22,640 --> 01:21:25,040 Speaker 1: They played Texas close. Tennessee's coming in. 1675 01:21:25,439 --> 01:21:31,559 Speaker 2: They've held six straight opponents to twenty or less. Top 1676 01:21:31,600 --> 01:21:36,639 Speaker 2: forty run defense. Tennessee defense focused on the quarterback. Top 1677 01:21:36,680 --> 01:21:37,479 Speaker 2: forty run out fit. 1678 01:21:37,560 --> 01:21:37,760 Speaker 1: Here. 1679 01:21:38,840 --> 01:21:43,320 Speaker 2: I think I think Tennessee will be locked in. I 1680 01:21:43,600 --> 01:21:46,800 Speaker 2: think they will win the game. Maybe I even think 1681 01:21:46,840 --> 01:21:50,320 Speaker 2: they'll cover. But I've also seen Tennessee get shut out 1682 01:21:50,320 --> 01:21:52,960 Speaker 2: in the first half too often. I've seen Vandy hang 1683 01:21:52,960 --> 01:21:55,240 Speaker 2: around in games far too often this year that the 1684 01:21:55,320 --> 01:21:58,559 Speaker 2: paper says they have no business B and M. This 1685 01:21:58,640 --> 01:22:01,880 Speaker 2: is the super Bowl moment for Vandy, and I'm gonna 1686 01:22:01,880 --> 01:22:03,760 Speaker 2: put a seven on the upset Alert concern meter. 1687 01:22:04,840 --> 01:22:06,519 Speaker 1: They've lost three of their last four. 1688 01:22:06,880 --> 01:22:10,560 Speaker 2: Obviously, it's a lot harder when your face in Texas 1689 01:22:10,800 --> 01:22:15,120 Speaker 2: at Auburn. They just went and one. South Carolina lsu like. 1690 01:22:15,920 --> 01:22:18,479 Speaker 2: It's hard, but you can close it out here with 1691 01:22:18,479 --> 01:22:20,679 Speaker 2: a win. I'm gonna put a seven on it. Washington 1692 01:22:20,720 --> 01:22:23,439 Speaker 2: is at Oregon. Don't think it's gonna happen. Happened twice 1693 01:22:23,520 --> 01:22:26,479 Speaker 2: last year, though, so I think they've got Organ's attention. 1694 01:22:26,479 --> 01:22:28,360 Speaker 2: I'm gonna put a three on this one on the 1695 01:22:28,439 --> 01:22:31,640 Speaker 2: upset Alert Concern Meter. Oregon's already in the Big Ten 1696 01:22:31,720 --> 01:22:38,080 Speaker 2: championship game, so it means a lot. Let me just 1697 01:22:38,560 --> 01:22:40,719 Speaker 2: put your mind at ease. This game means a lot. 1698 01:22:41,120 --> 01:22:43,200 Speaker 2: Washington beat them twice last year. It doesn't matter if 1699 01:22:43,240 --> 01:22:45,400 Speaker 2: none of those players are there anymore. That helmet looks 1700 01:22:45,400 --> 01:22:48,120 Speaker 2: the same. Washington'szh to four on the road this year, 1701 01:22:48,240 --> 01:22:50,519 Speaker 2: and three of those losses have come by fourteen plus 1702 01:22:51,000 --> 01:22:54,080 Speaker 2: Organ's coming off of buye the indicators are all pointed 1703 01:22:54,120 --> 01:22:56,400 Speaker 2: down for Washington. So I'm gonna take Oregon to win, 1704 01:22:56,520 --> 01:22:58,360 Speaker 2: and I don't know if they're gonna cover. I don't 1705 01:22:58,400 --> 01:23:01,360 Speaker 2: have a strong feel on the spread, but Upsettler concerned. 1706 01:23:01,360 --> 01:23:03,960 Speaker 2: Not particularly high for me on this one. But the 1707 01:23:04,000 --> 01:23:09,160 Speaker 2: next game, oh boy, Miami. You know what they do 1708 01:23:09,200 --> 01:23:12,639 Speaker 2: this week? They go on the road to Syracuse. Now 1709 01:23:12,680 --> 01:23:15,800 Speaker 2: that game is indoors, that's the good news. But this 1710 01:23:15,880 --> 01:23:19,360 Speaker 2: is the first game of the season where cam Ward 1711 01:23:19,840 --> 01:23:23,080 Speaker 2: will not be the leading passer. Do you realize that 1712 01:23:23,400 --> 01:23:28,160 Speaker 2: Kyle McCord, the Ohio State transfer, Kyle McCord three point 1713 01:23:28,160 --> 01:23:30,519 Speaker 2: fifty eight point seven yards per game passing. 1714 01:23:30,840 --> 01:23:32,040 Speaker 1: He's leading the country. 1715 01:23:32,320 --> 01:23:34,240 Speaker 2: Syracuse has got the number one quarterback in the country 1716 01:23:34,280 --> 01:23:37,160 Speaker 2: in that stat department. I'm gonna put a seven on 1717 01:23:37,200 --> 01:23:40,080 Speaker 2: this game. This it in some gimme. This is not 1718 01:23:40,080 --> 01:23:42,240 Speaker 2: a gimme at all. Miami's laying ten and a half. 1719 01:23:42,600 --> 01:23:46,839 Speaker 2: Syracuse is top fifty in pass defense. Syracuse is fourth 1720 01:23:47,640 --> 01:23:51,360 Speaker 2: themselves offensively. They're fourth in passes of twenty plus yards, 1721 01:23:51,479 --> 01:23:54,800 Speaker 2: so they can stretch the field vertically explosively. They can 1722 01:23:54,880 --> 01:23:57,479 Speaker 2: limit you through the air. It's just got all the 1723 01:23:57,520 --> 01:23:59,960 Speaker 2: makings of a game that is very close in the fourth. 1724 01:24:00,360 --> 01:24:02,439 Speaker 2: I've got a seven on this one. Miami's got to 1725 01:24:02,439 --> 01:24:04,360 Speaker 2: have this one to go to the ACC Championship game. 1726 01:24:06,320 --> 01:24:09,639 Speaker 2: It bears close watching Memphis is at Twulane. I think 1727 01:24:09,640 --> 01:24:12,000 Speaker 2: that game is a Thursday, and I think this Thanksgiving night. 1728 01:24:13,000 --> 01:24:14,639 Speaker 2: I think TWU Lane is the best G five team 1729 01:24:14,640 --> 01:24:20,360 Speaker 2: out there. Memphis fourth best turnover margin in the country. 1730 01:24:20,960 --> 01:24:24,880 Speaker 2: That's their route here. I've got a six on the 1731 01:24:24,960 --> 01:24:29,760 Speaker 2: upset Alert concern meter. Tulsa is tu Lanes competing with 1732 01:24:29,800 --> 01:24:34,200 Speaker 2: Boise like they need style points, so at every opportunity 1733 01:24:34,320 --> 01:24:36,120 Speaker 2: that they can to get margin in this game, they 1734 01:24:36,160 --> 01:24:39,640 Speaker 2: will get margin. Tulanes played six straight games. Memphis is 1735 01:24:39,640 --> 01:24:43,440 Speaker 2: off a bye. It's a big schedule dynamic advantage for Memphis. 1736 01:24:44,120 --> 01:24:47,960 Speaker 2: They are playing in New Orleans. But Lane thirteen and 1737 01:24:48,000 --> 01:24:49,760 Speaker 2: a half. I think Tulane gets the job done. I'm 1738 01:24:49,760 --> 01:24:51,439 Speaker 2: gonna put a six on it because of the scheduling 1739 01:24:51,479 --> 01:24:55,519 Speaker 2: stuff and in the Big Twelve this week, so the 1740 01:24:55,560 --> 01:24:58,840 Speaker 2: Big twelve is just the whole thing could be a mess. 1741 01:24:59,000 --> 01:25:03,040 Speaker 2: There are still thirty one active conference title scenarios entering 1742 01:25:03,080 --> 01:25:06,320 Speaker 2: Week fourteen, so Kansas State's at Iowa State, Iowa State 1743 01:25:06,400 --> 01:25:09,000 Speaker 2: minus two and a half at FanDuel, Houston's at Brigham 1744 01:25:09,040 --> 01:25:11,879 Speaker 2: Young Cougar's minus thirteen and a half at FanDuel, Arizona 1745 01:25:11,880 --> 01:25:14,880 Speaker 2: State at FanDuel eight and a half point favorite against Arizona. 1746 01:25:14,960 --> 01:25:17,719 Speaker 2: Oklahoma State is a sixteen and a half point dog 1747 01:25:17,840 --> 01:25:21,760 Speaker 2: at Colorado. All those courtesy of Fanduels. So if all 1748 01:25:21,800 --> 01:25:27,040 Speaker 2: four favorites win, we think it'll be Iowa State Arizona 1749 01:25:27,080 --> 01:25:29,840 Speaker 2: State in the Big Twelve championship game. And I just 1750 01:25:29,840 --> 01:25:32,320 Speaker 2: want to tell you I was looking at the odds 1751 01:25:32,320 --> 01:25:34,760 Speaker 2: to win the Big Twelve over at FanDuel before we 1752 01:25:34,800 --> 01:25:37,080 Speaker 2: went on air, and Iowa State is plus two to sixty. 1753 01:25:37,320 --> 01:25:39,120 Speaker 2: They're not favored to win the Big Twelve right now. 1754 01:25:39,160 --> 01:25:41,559 Speaker 2: Arizona State is what a headline that is, By the way, 1755 01:25:41,800 --> 01:25:46,800 Speaker 2: to tell your July self, I am taking some action 1756 01:25:47,000 --> 01:25:49,559 Speaker 2: myself on Iowa State plus two sixty. 1757 01:25:49,680 --> 01:25:53,000 Speaker 1: You guys can follow me or not. There is bias here. 1758 01:25:53,400 --> 01:25:56,000 Speaker 2: I am an Iowa State homer because all of us 1759 01:25:56,000 --> 01:25:58,400 Speaker 2: who grew up in west central Georgia tend to lean 1760 01:25:58,520 --> 01:26:02,120 Speaker 2: Iowa State is just something in the water. But at 1761 01:26:02,200 --> 01:26:04,760 Speaker 2: Vandel right now, if you like Iowa State. You can 1762 01:26:04,920 --> 01:26:07,160 Speaker 2: plus two sixty. You can get them to win the conference. 1763 01:26:07,280 --> 01:26:11,519 Speaker 2: That's where I'm going anyway. I'm also going home, going 1764 01:26:11,520 --> 01:26:14,280 Speaker 2: home because it's Thanksgiving week and I have got to 1765 01:26:14,280 --> 01:26:17,360 Speaker 2: head down to Georgia, the West central portion of Georgia 1766 01:26:17,360 --> 01:26:19,120 Speaker 2: that I haven't been in a while. You know, every 1767 01:26:19,200 --> 01:26:23,840 Speaker 2: time I go home, there's always some there's some stuff 1768 01:26:23,840 --> 01:26:27,040 Speaker 2: in the Instagram story of questionable legality. I don't want 1769 01:26:27,040 --> 01:26:29,360 Speaker 2: to be any more specific than that. At late Kick Josh, 1770 01:26:29,439 --> 01:26:31,360 Speaker 2: you can follow if you want, But we'll also be 1771 01:26:31,680 --> 01:26:34,960 Speaker 2: in College Station Saturday night for Texas Texas A and M. 1772 01:26:34,960 --> 01:26:37,320 Speaker 2: We'll be on the sideline for that game. And that's 1773 01:26:37,360 --> 01:26:39,800 Speaker 2: when the real good stuff in the Instagram story comes. 1774 01:26:39,840 --> 01:26:41,639 Speaker 2: If you followed all year, you know what I'm talking about. 1775 01:26:41,720 --> 01:26:44,200 Speaker 2: And if you haven't followed all year, what are you doing? Also, 1776 01:26:44,320 --> 01:26:48,280 Speaker 2: Friday Night Lines Friday Night will emanate from a hotel 1777 01:26:48,280 --> 01:26:50,160 Speaker 2: in College Station. I can't remember where we're staying, probably 1778 01:26:50,160 --> 01:26:52,800 Speaker 2: Billy Luci's house if I had to guess. But at 1779 01:26:52,840 --> 01:26:55,320 Speaker 2: Lake Kick Josh, you guys got to be following. Appreciate 1780 01:26:55,360 --> 01:26:58,879 Speaker 2: you so much. So many of you have recruited friends 1781 01:26:59,200 --> 01:27:02,400 Speaker 2: and family and distant relatives and strangers on the bus 1782 01:27:02,720 --> 01:27:06,000 Speaker 2: to subscribe to the channel. Please keep doing. 1783 01:27:05,800 --> 01:27:08,960 Speaker 1: That because we're soaring right now. Our numbers are through 1784 01:27:08,960 --> 01:27:09,320 Speaker 1: the roof. 1785 01:27:09,800 --> 01:27:13,320 Speaker 2: But if you think you're subscribed, check and make sure, 1786 01:27:13,479 --> 01:27:15,800 Speaker 2: because every time I say that, like a dozen of 1787 01:27:15,800 --> 01:27:17,439 Speaker 2: you hit me up and say, I'm glad you said that. 1788 01:27:17,479 --> 01:27:19,479 Speaker 1: I thought I was subscribed to the channel. I wasn't. 1789 01:27:19,680 --> 01:27:23,040 Speaker 1: I thought I was subscribed to the podcast. I wasn't. Checking. 1790 01:27:23,120 --> 01:27:23,519 Speaker 2: Make sure. 1791 01:27:24,120 --> 01:27:27,080 Speaker 1: We'll be back to Sunday night and we'll be reacting 1792 01:27:27,200 --> 01:27:28,080 Speaker 1: to rivalry week. 1793 01:27:28,560 --> 01:27:31,000 Speaker 2: We'll be ready to go into a conference championship week, 1794 01:27:31,040 --> 01:27:34,160 Speaker 2: and we're hitting your stride right now, so lock in. 1795 01:27:34,680 --> 01:27:36,280 Speaker 1: It's going to be a long December, as the County 1796 01:27:36,280 --> 01:27:37,040 Speaker 1: Crows will say. 1797 01:27:36,880 --> 01:27:38,720 Speaker 2: But a fun one when you're going the right PO 1798 01:27:39,080 --> 01:27:42,720 Speaker 2: Appreciate you, guys, Enjoy your Thanksgiving for directing column through 1799 01:27:42,720 --> 01:27:43,120 Speaker 2: Suir Jesse. 1800 01:27:43,160 --> 01:27:45,360 Speaker 1: I'm Josh Bay. Take care. We'll see it your Sunday nights. 1801 01:27:45,640 --> 01:27:46,759 Speaker 1: Until then, couple. 1802 01:27:46,600 --> 01:27:58,280 Speaker 2: Us sign up for FanDuel at FanDuel dot com. Backslash 1803 01:27:58,360 --> 01:28:01,519 Speaker 2: CFB promotion must be twenty one plus and present in 1804 01:28:01,600 --> 01:28:05,320 Speaker 2: select states. For Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star casino 1805 01:28:05,760 --> 01:28:09,799 Speaker 2: or eighteen plus and present in Washington, DC. First online 1806 01:28:09,880 --> 01:28:14,519 Speaker 2: real money wager only ten dollars first deposit required. 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