WEBVTT - NFL Week 2 Picks & Best Bets + Against The Spread Selections (Ep. 334) 0:00:00.800 --> 0:00:02.960 Welcome in, everybody to betting pros. It's time to place 0:00:03.040 --> 0:00:05.280 your bets. It is me Joey pa joe Pisa bea 0:00:05.320 --> 0:00:07.480 and it's week two. You know what that means. It's 0:00:07.520 --> 0:00:09.840 time to look at our favorite leans, our favorite lines, 0:00:09.960 --> 0:00:14.440 our favorite wagers of the week two NFL season. And 0:00:14.560 --> 0:00:16.400 to help me do it, of course, is the prop 0:00:16.480 --> 0:00:19.120 prophet Andrew Erickson. I got to get used to saying 0:00:19.120 --> 0:00:21.280 that the alliteration's a little tough. I, of course am 0:00:21.360 --> 0:00:24.640 Joey Futures. And our guest, you know, is money Line Monico. 0:00:24.680 --> 0:00:27.520 That's right, he's by far got the best nickname on 0:00:27.560 --> 0:00:30.120 the planet. You can't be in the betting space without 0:00:30.120 --> 0:00:33.760 a nickname anymore. That's a fact. Everybody knows that. Alex 0:00:33.840 --> 0:00:35.760 Monico joins us, you know, and of course from the 0:00:36.600 --> 0:00:39.200 Volume Network, also from MSG here in the New York 0:00:39.240 --> 0:00:43.120 City area and Monaco before we start the show. For 0:00:43.159 --> 0:00:45.000 those people who don't know, and I didn't know myself, 0:00:45.080 --> 0:00:47.519 you're a San Diego boy, and now you've come all 0:00:47.560 --> 0:00:49.760 the way to New York City, which again, you're nuts. 0:00:49.760 --> 0:00:51.640 That's a crazy thing to do. You live in heaven. 0:00:51.680 --> 0:00:54.080 Why would you move to hell and then on top 0:00:54.080 --> 0:00:56.960 of it, your Charger fan formerly San Diego, now they're 0:00:57.000 --> 0:00:59.440 the Los Angeles Chargers. What's it like being a Charger 0:00:59.480 --> 0:01:02.440 fan now that they vacated your your city of choice? 0:01:02.520 --> 0:01:04.559 Have you stuck with them? And is it time maybe 0:01:04.600 --> 0:01:07.760 to start looking after a last Sunday's action for a 0:01:07.760 --> 0:01:08.560 new team. I don't know. 0:01:09.680 --> 0:01:11.880 Well, first off, Joe and the Erickson thanks so much 0:01:11.880 --> 0:01:13.840 for having me big fans of the show, fired up 0:01:13.840 --> 0:01:16.240 to be on with you guys and teammates with you 0:01:16.280 --> 0:01:21.280 on volume. To answer your question, as a San Diego kid, 0:01:21.360 --> 0:01:24.160 I said it before the show, I'm in recovered as 0:01:24.200 --> 0:01:28.160 a San Diego Chargers fan. I mean, your owner goes 0:01:28.280 --> 0:01:32.040 up the Disneyland five Free Way, does a pretty much 0:01:33.280 --> 0:01:36.320 a damn Here memorial for Qualcomm Stadium. 0:01:36.360 --> 0:01:37.040 It crumbles. 0:01:37.040 --> 0:01:39.960 Then they're a tenant with Kronkey, which I always joke 0:01:40.040 --> 0:01:43.160 San Diego can't have nice things. You can't have great weather, 0:01:43.319 --> 0:01:44.960 ron Burgundy and championships. 0:01:44.959 --> 0:01:45.720 You gotta pick two. 0:01:46.360 --> 0:01:51.560 So unfortunately I'm in this kind of toxic X relationship. 0:01:51.560 --> 0:01:53.720 But yeah, to answer your question, it's a very difficult 0:01:53.720 --> 0:01:57.080 team for me emotionally to go to the sportsbook and bet 0:01:57.160 --> 0:02:01.000 four or bet against I thought the Ace Spen Turret Dolphins, 0:02:01.040 --> 0:02:04.840 We're gonna We're gonna crumble last week too for the 0:02:04.880 --> 0:02:07.320 fourth most basket guards in the industry NFL openers. 0:02:07.400 --> 0:02:10.040 I mean just bad beat sick. But yeah, it's a 0:02:10.040 --> 0:02:11.440 love hate relationship right now. 0:02:11.480 --> 0:02:14.000 I hate finkel z iine horn nine Hornets Finkel and 0:02:14.000 --> 0:02:16.919 Andrew Erickson, you are still Andrew Rickson, Ericson. Good week 0:02:16.919 --> 0:02:18.640 for you? Last week? You crushed the props on the 0:02:18.639 --> 0:02:21.560 Friday Show last week, in case you missed it, every 0:02:21.560 --> 0:02:25.200 Friday we're doing that prop show. So Andrew, week one 0:02:25.240 --> 0:02:28.040 is always whacky. It's always weird things. Obviously the weirdness 0:02:28.120 --> 0:02:30.320 was there. Got the Cleveland upset, right, we were all 0:02:30.400 --> 0:02:32.480 right on that one. The Pittsburgh one I was wrong on. 0:02:32.840 --> 0:02:34.560 I really thought they were gonna show up. They did not. 0:02:34.760 --> 0:02:37.440 But how do you feel after week one? Here? Was 0:02:37.440 --> 0:02:39.760 there one thing here where you are starting to worry 0:02:39.760 --> 0:02:42.760 about a certain team in particular, maybe Ericson as you 0:02:42.800 --> 0:02:45.079 look at week one, maybe not thinking that they are 0:02:45.120 --> 0:02:46.480 going to be the team you thought they were. 0:02:47.360 --> 0:02:49.400 Yeah, I think that team for me is probably the 0:02:49.440 --> 0:02:52.799 Seattle Seahawks, you know, thinking that they would welcome in 0:02:52.800 --> 0:02:55.920 this Rams team that doesn't have Cooper Cup and they 0:02:55.919 --> 0:02:58.320 would just roll and they got rolled. You know, they 0:02:58.320 --> 0:03:01.480 got completely outplayed. Now you have injuries on their offensive line, 0:03:01.480 --> 0:03:04.280 they're two starting tackles. We're gonna miss games, is Gino 0:03:04.400 --> 0:03:07.960 for real? Now they're big underdogs against the Detroit Lions, 0:03:08.000 --> 0:03:10.200 who are a team that's surging. So yeah, a lot 0:03:10.200 --> 0:03:12.640 of question marks about the Seahawks and Gino Smith. So 0:03:12.720 --> 0:03:15.679 I'm concerned about, you know, those NFC West futures. After 0:03:15.760 --> 0:03:19.079 the forty nine Ers basically curb stomped the Steelers, who 0:03:19.120 --> 0:03:21.160 I also had the money line on, and that looked 0:03:21.160 --> 0:03:23.240 like a bet that was gone in like the first quarter. 0:03:23.360 --> 0:03:26.639 So yeah, yeah, Geno certainly. I mean that's a huge 0:03:26.680 --> 0:03:28.720 question too, is whether or not Geno Smith's twenty twenty 0:03:28.720 --> 0:03:31.440 two season was just a fluke. If so, it's gonna 0:03:31.440 --> 0:03:33.919 be a long year of the Pacific Northwest, that's for sure. 0:03:33.960 --> 0:03:37.040 Now we're gonna go through the guy's favorite bets of 0:03:37.080 --> 0:03:38.800 the week, the five favorites for each of them. That's 0:03:38.840 --> 0:03:40.520 ten in total for those of you who like math. 0:03:40.760 --> 0:03:42.720 But before we do that, I want to remind you guys, 0:03:42.840 --> 0:03:46.040 we are giving away jerseys as we are, and we're 0:03:46.040 --> 0:03:49.400 actually finally giving away our Aaron Jones jersey. That autographed 0:03:49.400 --> 0:03:53.200 Aaron Jones jersey is going to see now. Not s, 0:03:53.680 --> 0:03:56.280 not the artist, this is just C. See you know 0:03:56.320 --> 0:04:01.040 who you are at see six six six two. That's you. 0:04:01.040 --> 0:04:02.760 You're the big winner. So get in touch with us 0:04:02.800 --> 0:04:05.920 over at mailbag at bettingpros dot com with your mailing address, 0:04:05.920 --> 0:04:08.280 proof of your subscription to betting Pros YouTube channel, and 0:04:08.320 --> 0:04:10.440 we'll get that jersey shipped out to you right away. Again. 0:04:10.920 --> 0:04:15.640 See congratulations, you're the big winner. That's C see six 0:04:15.800 --> 0:04:19.279 six six'. TWO i, know really clever situation, here but, 0:04:19.320 --> 0:04:21.760 hey look it worked for. You and again if you're, saying, 0:04:21.760 --> 0:04:23.800 HEY i want a, jersey why DID i? Did see 0:04:23.800 --> 0:04:25.840 win one AND i, didn't here's your chance because we're 0:04:25.839 --> 0:04:28.800 giving away A James cook autograph jersey next right here 0:04:28.839 --> 0:04:30.320 on the, channel and all you have to do to 0:04:30.320 --> 0:04:32.920 win it is subscribe to the, channel drop a comment. 0:04:32.960 --> 0:04:34.839 Below that's. It, boom all you have to do to 0:04:34.839 --> 0:04:37.159 win That James cook autograph, jersey and don't forget to 0:04:37.160 --> 0:04:39.360 click that little bell for. Notification still it goes. Ding 0:04:39.720 --> 0:04:41.799 so you know every time a piece of content drops 0:04:41.839 --> 0:04:44.240 here on the. Channel my Best bets video of the 0:04:44.240 --> 0:04:47.200 week just came out, Yesterday so what a time to be. 0:04:47.240 --> 0:04:51.000 Alive let's start with, You Alex, monico your first favorite 0:04:51.080 --> 0:04:53.159 bet For week two in THE. Nfl what do you? 0:04:53.200 --> 0:04:57.120 HAVE i hate to fade all this Positive Aaron, jones 0:04:57.200 --> 0:05:00.520 juju with the autograph jersey you've given away and come 0:05:00.560 --> 0:05:03.080 off the top here at Gun taco and thirty. Birds but, 0:05:03.680 --> 0:05:05.480 LISTEN i grabbed the number at one and a half 0:05:05.520 --> 0:05:08.080 plus one and a half On. DraftKings we've seen it completely. 0:05:08.160 --> 0:05:10.839 Flip Now atlanta's the minus one favor as we. Speak 0:05:10.920 --> 0:05:13.680 still like them on the money, Line but, gentlemen to, 0:05:13.720 --> 0:05:17.160 ME i was very high on This Bear. 0:05:17.400 --> 0:05:18.800 Bears team before this. 0:05:18.920 --> 0:05:22.800 Season boy DO i look horrendous with that? Thought but 0:05:22.880 --> 0:05:25.440 again Divisional dance's older brother younger brother Will. 0:05:25.360 --> 0:05:25.880 We'll throw that. 0:05:25.960 --> 0:05:29.240 Out But i'm looking at This falcons team who style 0:05:29.240 --> 0:05:31.520 will play coming? In what do they do? Well they 0:05:31.600 --> 0:05:34.440 run the, ball they slow the game, down and. 0:05:34.480 --> 0:05:35.559 What did they do last? 0:05:35.600 --> 0:05:40.160 Week incredibly to a picture perfect tee time of, possession, 0:05:40.680 --> 0:05:43.799 winning winning field, position winning a three to zero turnover, 0:05:43.839 --> 0:05:46.120 battle winning the penalty yards and of course yes they're 0:05:46.120 --> 0:05:48.240 going against a rookie. Quarterback we know that, TREND i 0:05:48.279 --> 0:05:51.800 believe not since luck has anyone first, start first overall 0:05:51.839 --> 0:05:54.560 pick coming in one on the. Road But i'm watching 0:05:54.600 --> 0:05:57.600 that ten to six at Halftime Packers bears, game, gentlemen 0:05:57.720 --> 0:06:00.640 and The packers Didn't The bears didn't even try to 0:06:00.839 --> 0:06:03.479 run the, ball Justin fields led the team in. Attempts 0:06:03.520 --> 0:06:06.800 so combination of, Things bijean And algier both going for 0:06:06.839 --> 0:06:07.600 over five yards of. 0:06:07.680 --> 0:06:09.920 CARRY i love two headed, monster top three run. 0:06:09.960 --> 0:06:13.839 Team let's not forget This packers team was bottom seven 0:06:13.880 --> 0:06:16.560 giving up damn near one forty last. Year so if 0:06:16.600 --> 0:06:18.640 they could just stick to the script and to, me 0:06:18.760 --> 0:06:22.320 this is a game of babysitting two quarterbacks at recess 0:06:22.400 --> 0:06:26.640 on the. Playground who's gonna behave the? Best Jordan love Or? 0:06:26.720 --> 0:06:29.640 RITTER i Mean ritter. Again you can spin the painting 0:06:29.680 --> 0:06:32.480 one way or the. Other his numbers aren't, great but 0:06:32.520 --> 0:06:35.479 that's what This falcons, team identity, wise is gonna. 0:06:35.480 --> 0:06:37.839 Be AND i think to their, credit they have their identity. 0:06:37.920 --> 0:06:40.680 Down so you could, say, Yeah Drake, London Kyle pitt's 0:06:40.720 --> 0:06:42.840 doing nothing in the fantasy, world or you could say 0:06:43.080 --> 0:06:46.440 they know that this is their mo and so to, 0:06:46.560 --> 0:06:49.400 me looking at Aj dillon going for thirteen on nineteen 0:06:49.480 --> 0:06:52.880 last week with An Aaron jones hamstring and A Christian watson, 0:06:52.920 --> 0:06:56.279 HAMSTRING i gotta Lean falcons at. Home AND i have 0:06:56.320 --> 0:06:59.600 a fun stat here from last year fourth. Quarter falcons 0:06:59.720 --> 0:07:04.040 past number one in the league last four weeks of the, 0:07:04.080 --> 0:07:07.919 season giving up only seventeen percent of successful past. Attempts 0:07:08.040 --> 0:07:12.440 average league rate was forty. One So Jesse, Bates Kalais, 0:07:12.560 --> 0:07:15.360 Campbell Bud, dupree let's not act like this defense isn't. 0:07:15.360 --> 0:07:18.040 Better i'm gonna Go falcons at home Against Jordan. Love 0:07:18.200 --> 0:07:20.120 honeymoon's over in a, week Bab. 0:07:20.280 --> 0:07:22.160 Well they got the big win that they, wanted which 0:07:22.200 --> 0:07:23.680 is to own The. Bears and look we have not 0:07:23.800 --> 0:07:26.120 yet begun To. Vjon let me just tell you this 0:07:26.200 --> 0:07:28.520 is gonna be a slow play here For Arthur smith 0:07:28.520 --> 0:07:30.560 For september and Then october. First that's going to be 0:07:30.560 --> 0:07:32.640 completely unleashed on THE nfl and it's going to be 0:07:33.000 --> 0:07:36.240 fantastic to. Watch so everybody sell Your Tyler algier shares right. 0:07:36.280 --> 0:07:39.200 Now all, right go, Ahead Andrew, ericson let's get over to. 0:07:39.240 --> 0:07:40.840 You give me one of your favorite bets For week 0:07:40.840 --> 0:07:41.080 two in THE? 0:07:41.160 --> 0:07:43.760 Nfl what do you have going to The New York 0:07:43.800 --> 0:07:46.480 giants who got curve stopped by The Dallas cowboys on 0:07:46.520 --> 0:07:46.920 something like. 0:07:46.960 --> 0:07:48.520 That you spend a lot of time With Ed norton this. 0:07:48.560 --> 0:07:50.240 Offseason you like that, term you're a big fan. 0:07:50.280 --> 0:07:52.680 OF i, MEAN i think it's a really good descriptor 0:07:52.720 --> 0:07:54.840 of when you lose forty, two you say it. 0:07:54.800 --> 0:07:57.360 One more, time that's your whole quota for the. Month 0:07:57.400 --> 0:07:58.720 you realize that is. 0:07:58.800 --> 0:08:03.080 FAIR i will no more curb S dons to so 0:08:03.360 --> 0:08:05.600 with this match up here with The. Giants Big Blue. 0:08:05.680 --> 0:08:09.000 Okay cardinals were seven point underdogs Versus Sam howell Led 0:08:09.040 --> 0:08:11.560 commanders In week one and they covered Because howell had 0:08:11.560 --> 0:08:13.760 a fumble Six like that's why it was not because 0:08:13.760 --> 0:08:16.640 their offense moved the ball Under Josh jobs in any, 0:08:16.680 --> 0:08:18.760 way shape or. Form three point six yards per play 0:08:18.760 --> 0:08:21.160 that ranked fourth worst In week. One they had nine 0:08:21.200 --> 0:08:24.320 penalties resulting in one hundred and twenty two yards for The. 0:08:24.320 --> 0:08:27.800 Commanders they three, fumals they lost. Two this offense is 0:08:27.960 --> 0:08:31.120 horrible With Josh jobs their starting, quarterback third height turnover 0:08:31.240 --> 0:08:33.760 worthy play rate In week, one AND i just think 0:08:33.800 --> 0:08:36.719 That New york is being too harshly penalized because of 0:08:36.760 --> 0:08:38.760 how bad they played against The Dallas. Cowboys but The 0:08:38.800 --> 0:08:40.800 Dast cowboys are the cream of the, crop the tops 0:08:40.880 --> 0:08:44.080 of THE. Nfc especially with that, defense The cardinals couldn't 0:08:44.120 --> 0:08:47.160 be any more different than The Dallas. Cowboys and we 0:08:47.200 --> 0:08:48.960 look at what The giants have done under brain Da 0:08:49.080 --> 0:08:52.560 ble after, losses specifically not against when they're not facing 0:08:52.600 --> 0:08:55.000 The Dallas, cowboys because for some reason they just can't beat. 0:08:55.000 --> 0:08:57.920 Them the perfect five and oh perfect five and oh 0:08:58.040 --> 0:09:01.760 versus spread following the loss under dabol average margin of 0:09:01.840 --> 0:09:05.160 victory over ten, Points SO, i even on the road 0:09:05.480 --> 0:09:07.600 five and a half, Points i'm taking Big. 0:09:07.640 --> 0:09:10.040 Blue that's a good stat because this game actually worries 0:09:10.040 --> 0:09:12.240 the crap out of me because it's so easy and 0:09:12.280 --> 0:09:14.480 it looks so much like a get right game after 0:09:14.520 --> 0:09:16.360 a bad week. One BUT i don't, know but that's 0:09:16.400 --> 0:09:17.800 that you just gave. Me, actually it makes me feel 0:09:17.840 --> 0:09:20.680 a little bit more comfortable about that. Number so good on, You. 0:09:20.760 --> 0:09:23.520 Erickson well. Done NOW i can sleep. Tonight. Pnicle let's 0:09:23.520 --> 0:09:24.840 go back to you for another. Pick what do you 0:09:24.840 --> 0:09:26.520 have here for number two on your list for week? 0:09:26.559 --> 0:09:28.319 Two hate to do. 0:09:28.360 --> 0:09:30.040 THIS i love The ericson, pick by the, Way i'm 0:09:30.040 --> 0:09:33.080 definitely talent With Big. BLUE i hate that there's a 0:09:33.120 --> 0:09:35.560 captain hook, here The Dustin hoffman, hook AS i like 0:09:35.600 --> 0:09:35.880 to call. 0:09:35.920 --> 0:09:36.640 It the three and a. 0:09:36.679 --> 0:09:40.400 Half is live on the road against The. Jags But 0:09:40.440 --> 0:09:44.600 i'm gonna plug My Jewish italian schnaz gentlemen and take 0:09:44.760 --> 0:09:48.280 this three and a, half lay it and hope the 0:09:48.360 --> 0:09:51.280 history of not Just Andy reid with extra, time Which 0:09:51.320 --> 0:09:53.040 i'll get to in a, second but This chiefs, team 0:09:53.080 --> 0:09:55.920 by the, way kind of going off of And ericson 0:09:56.040 --> 0:09:59.960 esqueestat here with the G men following a home, law 0:10:00.480 --> 0:10:04.960 they've covered the spread in seven consecutive road. Games now 0:10:04.960 --> 0:10:08.240 you go look last Year mahomes off losses disgusting love the, 0:10:08.320 --> 0:10:10.920 value by the, way on a fantasy show Of mahomes 0:10:10.960 --> 0:10:13.320 plus money over two and a half three losses last 0:10:13.360 --> 0:10:15.080 year the following game after a, loss he did have 0:10:15.120 --> 0:10:17.760 three touchdown, games including that forty four piece against The. 0:10:17.840 --> 0:10:21.559 Niners but he's ten and one on the road after 0:10:21.600 --> 0:10:24.600 a straight up. Loss we know about that key number 0:10:24.679 --> 0:10:26.360 right when he's a favorite of more than three and a. 0:10:26.400 --> 0:10:29.080 Half not a great cover under sea, level but three 0:10:29.080 --> 0:10:32.320 and a half or. Less he's fifteen and six on the, 0:10:32.440 --> 0:10:35.760 road plays The jags perfect four to zero in his 0:10:35.840 --> 0:10:38.440 career for what it's. Worth BUT i got an interesting number. 0:10:38.440 --> 0:10:40.679 Here i'll leave you. With not only do we know 0:10:40.760 --> 0:10:41.720 That Andy. 0:10:41.480 --> 0:10:44.959 Reid with eight or more days rest is a top 0:10:45.120 --> 0:10:47.719 four cover here in the history of two decades of, 0:10:47.800 --> 0:10:51.120 coaches only Behind, Belichick, peyton And tomlin In september And. 0:10:51.160 --> 0:10:53.680 October but listen to. 0:10:53.720 --> 0:10:55.440 This there's only eight teams. 0:10:55.120 --> 0:10:58.280 In the last twenty years where a team Wins week, 0:10:58.360 --> 0:11:02.440 one comes home and is not favored against a team 0:11:02.480 --> 0:11:05.719 that lost only seven In this will be eight team 0:11:05.760 --> 0:11:08.720 only seven previous instances one in six straight. Up that 0:11:08.760 --> 0:11:12.439 team is one four and two against the, spread failing 0:11:12.480 --> 0:11:14.800 to cover by eleven point four points per game on. 0:11:14.840 --> 0:11:17.239 Average so that would be The. Jags so, again. 0:11:17.040 --> 0:11:22.000 We're getting A snicker's Hangary chiefs team mahomes a decorated 0:11:22.080 --> 0:11:25.000 champion whws they're looking for any bulletin board material they can. 0:11:25.000 --> 0:11:28.000 Get this is can they win Without? Kelsey god, Forbid 0:11:28.080 --> 0:11:31.560 kelsey suits? Up DO i dare Say Taylor swift's current 0:11:31.679 --> 0:11:35.400 boyfriend suits? Up that line probably moves a. Point we 0:11:35.440 --> 0:11:37.280 saw it move without. Him last week they Get Chris. 0:11:37.400 --> 0:11:41.079 JONES i gotta take this team That jags were plus 0:11:41.120 --> 0:11:44.440 two ten with eight minutes left against the first ever starting. 0:11:44.520 --> 0:11:46.920 QUARTERBACK i gotta take the three and a. Half hopefully 0:11:46.920 --> 0:11:47.559 it's not a sucker. 0:11:47.600 --> 0:11:49.920 Play, NO i don't think it is at. All some 0:11:49.920 --> 0:11:53.880 great stats and The jags secondary certainly need some work. 0:11:53.960 --> 0:11:57.160 Now of, course so the receivers of The. CHIEFS i 0:11:57.240 --> 0:11:59.760 will say this about The, chiefs Whether kelsey playser. DOESN'T 0:12:00.040 --> 0:12:02.000 i think this is the relationship That america needs right, 0:12:02.000 --> 0:12:03.320 now to tell you the, Truth LIKE i think this 0:12:03.360 --> 0:12:05.720 is how we come together as a. Nation Is Travis 0:12:05.800 --> 0:12:08.800 kelcey And Taylor Swift And i'm also here for AND 0:12:08.880 --> 0:12:11.360 i tweeted this this. MORNING i also have this terrible. 0:12:11.400 --> 0:12:13.160 Feeling and, eventually when they break, up she will be 0:12:13.160 --> 0:12:15.560 Playing Super bowl that year and then she'll be singing 0:12:15.600 --> 0:12:17.840 some breakup song about him at. Halftime and, that my, 0:12:17.880 --> 0:12:20.840 Friends i'm here. For i'm here for all of that 0:12:20.960 --> 0:12:22.760 is an all times Super. Bowl probably how much of 0:12:22.800 --> 0:12:24.680 the bar mats for money going on to The chiefs this? 0:12:24.720 --> 0:12:28.839 Week you know, what we're just chasing trying to get that. 0:12:28.960 --> 0:12:34.440 BACK a couple Of David buster's power cards worth. 0:12:38.679 --> 0:12:41.240 All, Right, erickson back to you for your number two 0:12:41.240 --> 0:12:42.600 pick this. Week what do you? Have all? 0:12:42.679 --> 0:12:45.840 Right i'm looking at a matchup between two rookie, Quarterbacks 0:12:46.000 --> 0:12:49.400 Houston texans And Indianapolis colts over thirty nine and a. 0:12:49.400 --> 0:12:51.600 HALF i know that overs are no longer the rage 0:12:51.600 --> 0:12:54.640 thanks to the two cover high, looks thanks a lot IN. Nfl, 0:12:54.840 --> 0:12:57.480 Well i'm going over here with this. Matchup we're in 0:12:57.559 --> 0:13:00.640 a dome and we had two teams come out with 0:13:00.840 --> 0:13:03.520 very good metrics in terms of pace and in terms 0:13:03.559 --> 0:13:06.079 of neutral passing. Rate So indy was fifth and neutral 0:13:06.120 --> 0:13:08.560 pace eleventh and neutral passing rate in week one With 0:13:08.600 --> 0:13:10.920 Shane styke And Anthony. RICHARDSON i, mean, look there were 0:13:11.000 --> 0:13:14.319 one another rushing touchdown away from twenty eight, points And 0:13:14.440 --> 0:13:17.679 Anthony richards's first start in THE nfl two hundred twenty 0:13:17.720 --> 0:13:20.080 eight passing yards another forty rushing yards on the, ground 0:13:20.240 --> 0:13:21.640 SO i don't think his number is going to go 0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:24.080 down anytime. Soon they don't have any healthy running. Backs 0:13:24.080 --> 0:13:25.880 they don't want to run the. Football it's either run 0:13:25.920 --> 0:13:27.760 the ball With richardson or chuck the ball down field 0:13:27.840 --> 0:13:31.160 to one of his. Receivers and The colt secondary is so, 0:13:31.520 --> 0:13:33.400 bad which is WHY i think they're gonna have to 0:13:33.480 --> 0:13:35.880 keep on scoring points BECAUSE i think C. J STROUD 0:13:36.120 --> 0:13:38.319 i hate the offensive line for The, texans but C. 0:13:38.520 --> 0:13:42.000 J stroud looked good against The Baltimore. Ravens he looked 0:13:42.160 --> 0:13:44.559 really good despite for giving the level. 0:13:44.360 --> 0:13:47.160 Of difficulty on the other side of your first start 0:13:47.160 --> 0:13:49.360 in THE, nfl going on the road In, baltimore which 0:13:49.400 --> 0:13:51.960 is a tough place to play, Anyway, dude we talked 0:13:51.960 --> 0:13:54.720 about like we did the draft coverage. Together Seejar shroud 0:13:54.800 --> 0:13:56.840 was always the to. ME i still think he's the 0:13:56.840 --> 0:13:59.280 best quarterback in the. DRAFT i will still stand by 0:13:59.360 --> 0:14:01.559 that most ready to go play and compete in THE. 0:14:01.640 --> 0:14:03.760 Nfl you're, RIGHT i think this is actually a SNEAKY 0:14:03.800 --> 0:14:05.720 dfs one. TOO i can't wait for this one tomorrow 0:14:05.720 --> 0:14:07.959 With debro On THE Dfs. Show but anything else here 0:14:07.960 --> 0:14:09.000 to add on This Texans colts. 0:14:09.040 --> 0:14:11.319 Game, yeah The texans on their side of the ball 0:14:11.320 --> 0:14:13.480 in terms of play, calling third and neutral, pace seventh 0:14:13.520 --> 0:14:15.520 and neutral passing rate and c Just shroud's first. Start 0:14:15.559 --> 0:14:16.920 so we have two teams that want to throw the, 0:14:16.920 --> 0:14:18.960 football that want to play, fast that are playing in A, 0:14:19.000 --> 0:14:21.560 dome and, honestly they're giving off these vibes of their 0:14:21.600 --> 0:14:24.120 two rookie quarterbacks that their coaches are letting them, play 0:14:24.360 --> 0:14:26.160 like go out and get better and, Improve like any 0:14:26.160 --> 0:14:27.680 of these teams are, Like, okay we have to win this. 0:14:27.720 --> 0:14:30.120 Year it's, like, no let's, Improve let's get you set 0:14:30.160 --> 0:14:33.000 up to be AN nfl starting. Quarterback, so especially with 0:14:33.080 --> 0:14:35.720 how bad The colts defense, was how bad their secondary 0:14:35.880 --> 0:14:39.000 is with no named players, DEFENDING i Think Nico, Collins 0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:40.040 Robert woods. 0:14:39.680 --> 0:14:41.360 Like these guys can have big games FOR. 0:14:41.400 --> 0:14:43.440 Cj Stroud and especially with the number at thirty nine 0:14:43.440 --> 0:14:45.160 and a, half it's just you, know the books are, saying, 0:14:45.160 --> 0:14:47.280 oh they're two rookie, quarterbacks can't get it. Done, Well, 0:14:47.280 --> 0:14:48.480 Anthey richardson got it done in week. 0:14:48.520 --> 0:14:48.840 ONE i THINK. 0:14:48.880 --> 0:14:50.160 C shroud's going to get it done a week. 0:14:50.160 --> 0:14:52.280 Two So i'm going over all, right and don't forget. 0:14:52.320 --> 0:14:53.840 Everybody if you want to keep an eye on this, 0:14:53.840 --> 0:14:56.280 game you can always set a game notification on THE vp, 0:14:56.360 --> 0:14:58.400 App so if you haven't download the, app and you 0:14:58.400 --> 0:15:00.120 could set those line, alerts which means you go and 0:15:00.160 --> 0:15:02.040 you look for this specific game and you'll get game. 0:15:02.080 --> 0:15:04.160 Notifications if anything's. Moved if you're looking to make a 0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:07.440 certain wager a certain spot, again sink all your, sportsbooks 0:15:07.560 --> 0:15:09.480 use the betting pros app to stay on top of 0:15:09.520 --> 0:15:12.160 all these things as there is movement over the next 0:15:12.160 --> 0:15:14.440 couple of, days because there inevitably will be here and. There, 0:15:14.520 --> 0:15:17.480 monica let's go back to you for another selection for week. 0:15:17.520 --> 0:15:18.080 Two what do you? 0:15:18.120 --> 0:15:21.080 Have, well right now you can get it On DraftKings 0:15:21.160 --> 0:15:24.000 joe plus. Three it's my dirty dog of the. Week 0:15:24.040 --> 0:15:26.560 i'm going money line with. It can't go buy money, 0:15:26.560 --> 0:15:29.360 Line monico and not take a little underdog money line 0:15:29.400 --> 0:15:31.920 here and. There i'm gonna take The patriots prime Time 0:15:32.160 --> 0:15:36.200 Sunday night App Bill's place against the laces Out Dan. 0:15:36.360 --> 0:15:36.880 Dolphins. 0:15:36.880 --> 0:15:42.680 Here, look first time since three that The patriots are 0:15:42.800 --> 0:15:43.240 back to. 0:15:43.360 --> 0:15:45.240 Back underdogs at home. 0:15:45.680 --> 0:15:48.280 Again you guys saw what happened sixteen to oh first, 0:15:48.400 --> 0:15:52.680 quarter talk about a live, bet gorgeous. Purchase pats were 0:15:52.680 --> 0:15:55.600 plus fourteen and a, half came back almost backdoor covered 0:15:55.640 --> 0:15:58.240 on that two point. Conversion FOR, MAC i liked WHAT 0:15:58.280 --> 0:16:00.800 i saw with The New england. Adjusts after the first. 0:16:00.840 --> 0:16:03.720 Quarter they give up nine points to the DEFENDING nfc. 0:16:04.200 --> 0:16:07.680 Champions in the remaining three. Quarters, again it's gonna be 0:16:07.680 --> 0:16:10.080 a little bit of trial and Aerworking bill, O'Brien everything 0:16:10.120 --> 0:16:13.320 back in but two elements. Here we got a not 0:16:13.600 --> 0:16:17.080 so good road team. HISTORICALLY i believe they lost five 0:16:17.160 --> 0:16:20.000 straight at to end the season last, year three and 0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:25.320 six on the, road The fins going against a unbelievable 0:16:25.440 --> 0:16:27.600 defense that you, know you look at two as numbers 0:16:27.640 --> 0:16:28.000 against The. 0:16:28.000 --> 0:16:28.680 Patriots they're. 0:16:28.760 --> 0:16:33.040 Serviceable BUT i have another sick trend here in The 0:16:33.080 --> 0:16:36.520 weeds cross country with. It it's only been five teams 0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:40.080 that have done this in recent, memory but Going pacific 0:16:40.160 --> 0:16:43.280 time zone To eastern time zone back to back road 0:16:43.360 --> 0:16:47.040 games to start the season only been done a handful of. 0:16:47.080 --> 0:16:49.480 Times those teams are one in four straight Up chiefs 0:16:49.480 --> 0:16:51.440 the last team to do it in twenty, eighteen and 0:16:51.520 --> 0:16:55.560 a negative forty two point differential in those five. Games so, 0:16:55.600 --> 0:16:58.320 again not a great road team having to go back 0:16:58.360 --> 0:17:00.840 to back on the. Road If i'm sitting there in 0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:03.560 McDaniel talking to my talking to my locker, room a 0:17:03.600 --> 0:17:06.159 one in one split to head back to base camp 0:17:06.280 --> 0:17:09.240 is a win in this, division especially all things, considered 0:17:09.520 --> 0:17:12.280 they're the chalk now to win the division On. DraftKings 0:17:12.320 --> 0:17:14.800 this is the first time since three oh THREE i 0:17:14.880 --> 0:17:18.240 was doing long division and Learning. Curson that's how long 0:17:18.280 --> 0:17:21.320 ago this team was the. Favorite but you look at 0:17:21.359 --> 0:17:23.800 also the big. Plays they led the league last week 0:17:23.880 --> 0:17:26.560 in big plays with six twenty yards or more against The. 0:17:26.640 --> 0:17:29.439 Chargers how many Did bill and that defense give up To. 0:17:29.440 --> 0:17:32.120 PHILLY i call it trolling at the beer pong. 0:17:32.240 --> 0:17:35.240 Table, Zero so you're not gonna give up the big. 0:17:35.240 --> 0:17:38.040 Play you can eliminate the best thing that they do on, 0:17:38.080 --> 0:17:40.440 offense Like bill. Does i'm gonna take the three here 0:17:40.520 --> 0:17:42.960 to recommend to your, viewers But i'm gonna go, money. 0:17:43.000 --> 0:17:44.879 LIE i love it plus one forty right. NOW i 0:17:44.880 --> 0:17:46.640 see the money, line and the best one you can 0:17:46.680 --> 0:17:49.960 get is over On caesars right. Now, actually that's the 0:17:50.000 --> 0:17:51.640 best of all of. Them, again this is why use betting. 0:17:51.680 --> 0:17:53.439