WEBVTT - Zuckerberg Plans to Cut Metaverse Group's Budget Up to 30%

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<v Speaker 1>Bloomberg Audio Studios, Podcasts, radio news. You're listening to the

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<v Speaker 2>And one of the bigger I think stock news stories

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<v Speaker 2>today Kurt Wagner Bloomberg News breaking the story that the

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<v Speaker 2>folks at Meta cutting back some of their spending on

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<v Speaker 2>the Metaverse, in particular by as much as thirty percent,

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<v Speaker 2>which is a big number because remember, folks, this company pivoted,

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<v Speaker 2>pivoted hard to the metaverse several years ago, to the

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<v Speaker 2>point where they changed their name from Facebook to Metaverse.

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<v Speaker 2>This was a big, big pivot for Mark Zuckerberg and

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<v Speaker 2>now kind of dialing it back a little bit.

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<v Speaker 3>So we want to get some more reporting on that.

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<v Speaker 2>We turned to Caroline I'd she joins us here in

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<v Speaker 2>study Bloomberg Tech co anchor.

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<v Speaker 3>So this is kind of a big I think from

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<v Speaker 3>mister Zuckerberg, don't you, Carolyn.

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<v Speaker 4>It's a signal.

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<v Speaker 5>And what's interesting about it is, as usual as they

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<v Speaker 5>think about the budget for twenty twenty six, they're going

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<v Speaker 5>to make layoffs.

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<v Speaker 4>They're going to cut about ten percent across the entire business.

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<v Speaker 4>That tends to be what happens at this time of year.

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<v Speaker 5>But he gathered his top executives in his house in

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<v Speaker 5>Hawaii to discuss, Okay, where should most of the resources be

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<v Speaker 5>coming from, because remember they're spending a ton on AI

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<v Speaker 5>and people have been worried about that.

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<v Speaker 4>How can he offset that?

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<v Speaker 5>Well, thirty percent more cuts therefore going to this particular

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<v Speaker 5>part of reality labs. Now, Reality Labs are still going

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<v Speaker 5>to be making your ray bound meta glasses. They've seen

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<v Speaker 5>real interest in the AI use in augmented reality, but

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<v Speaker 5>virtual reality, we're not living in it yet. He really

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<v Speaker 5>thought we'd all be doing our workouts there, would be

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<v Speaker 5>working there, and it just hasn't caught on in the

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<v Speaker 5>way that was expected. So of course, pull out resources

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<v Speaker 5>from there, reallocate them, and I do think that it's interesting.

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<v Speaker 5>Of course they rebranded under this name for now it's

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<v Speaker 5>becoming sort of a metaverse of AI and augmented reality

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<v Speaker 5>rather than virtual reality right here right now.

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<v Speaker 6>So was meta just to earlier? Were not ready for

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<v Speaker 6>a virtual reality?

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<v Speaker 2>Or we are?

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<v Speaker 4>Okay, I mean, are you using it.

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<v Speaker 5>I'm I mean, my husband loved getting He got the

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<v Speaker 5>one of the original sort of Ocunus versions of the headset,

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<v Speaker 5>and yeah, he was doing workouts.

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<v Speaker 4>And then he sold it in a Gara set.

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<v Speaker 5>Because I think and it got to a point where

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<v Speaker 5>it's like, what are the applications of this. I love

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<v Speaker 5>the idea of when I'm in working abroad and I

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<v Speaker 5>need to not have I need access to lots of screens,

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<v Speaker 5>but I can't have just lots of screens. It was

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<v Speaker 5>great to see how that could have been used, but

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<v Speaker 5>I wasn't going to spend that many thousands on the.

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<v Speaker 4>Piece of hardware.

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<v Speaker 5>They've really got to understand the integration here. That's kind

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<v Speaker 5>of why it's so interesting. It comes at that time.

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<v Speaker 5>We've also understand Aland from Apple. One of the key

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<v Speaker 5>interface design team leads the person who's been behind the

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<v Speaker 5>iPhone X and behind the operating system, behind the applications

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<v Speaker 5>of Apple.

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<v Speaker 4>He's jumping ship to Meta.

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<v Speaker 5>This is a huge coup. He's going to be thinking

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<v Speaker 5>about the design of these things in the future.

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<v Speaker 7>You bring that up about the Apple thing I seen.

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<v Speaker 2>That's not the first person we've seen Leu the Apple

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<v Speaker 2>AI stream going on there.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, they've really been shutting people in many ways.

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<v Speaker 5>This is tied more back to Johnny I's departure back

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<v Speaker 5>in twenty nineteen and they lost a lot of their

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<v Speaker 5>design prowess people. Then this is also turning of the guard.

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<v Speaker 5>A lot of these people have in an Apple for

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<v Speaker 5>a very long time. And we think about Tim Cook

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<v Speaker 5>himself coming to an age where he might be retiring.

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<v Speaker 5>Many are wondering how executives shift. But you're right, the

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<v Speaker 5>real deluge, the real loss has been in the AI area,

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<v Speaker 5>particularly in the large language model department, where they've just

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<v Speaker 5>taken so many hits in terms of morale because look,

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<v Speaker 5>they might have been turning to Google for its large

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<v Speaker 5>language model rather than building in house, and they've been

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<v Speaker 5>recently losing out or sort of waving goodbye to John

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<v Speaker 5>Jian Andrea.

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<v Speaker 4>That's the main lead of the.

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<v Speaker 2>Issuers at the assumption that they're going to farm this

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<v Speaker 2>their AI out to Google. Perhaps, And that's perhaps. And

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<v Speaker 2>I think we'll talk to Anna k Gran in just

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<v Speaker 2>a moment. He'll say, from a stock perspective, that's what

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<v Speaker 2>investors kind of want. Yeah, I mean it's well, why

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<v Speaker 2>spend a good jillion dollars to be just what you

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<v Speaker 2>do a search.

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<v Speaker 5>And it's been self limiting for Apple in many ways

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<v Speaker 5>because they're all about safety on the phone.

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<v Speaker 4>This is all about edjai. It's not about.

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<v Speaker 5>Therefore sending all your data into the cloud and doing

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<v Speaker 5>enormous amounts of data analysis and therefore feeding it through

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<v Speaker 5>large language models.

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<v Speaker 4>There they want.

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<v Speaker 5>To be secure. That means you have to only be

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<v Speaker 5>able to really do the compute on your own phone.

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<v Speaker 5>That's very limiting at the moment. So you're just not

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<v Speaker 5>getting the parameters that you need to have a really

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<v Speaker 5>effective large language model. So therefore maybe they do have

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<v Speaker 5>to shift to a part third party at least while

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<v Speaker 5>they get their ducks in a row.

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<v Speaker 6>So how are we thinking about how Meta is scaling

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<v Speaker 6>against a lot of its competitors right now as we

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<v Speaker 6>think about this AI race.

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<v Speaker 5>Why isn't it interesting all dogtails together in the same way.

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<v Speaker 5>For many Meta is showing that it's putting AI first.

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<v Speaker 5>And we've understand the impact because everyone loves these ray

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<v Speaker 5>band metaglasses.

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<v Speaker 4>They've been selling very well.

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<v Speaker 5>We've seen that people have really seen the revenue streams

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<v Speaker 5>galvanize the advertising offering. The market is loving how they've

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<v Speaker 5>used generator of AI within the product. We're all getting

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<v Speaker 5>fed a content more specific to us that's going to

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<v Speaker 5>be the help of Generator AI. But are we really

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<v Speaker 5>downloading Meta AI's own individual AI app.

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<v Speaker 4>I haven't. I'm using it more in WhatsApp.

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<v Speaker 5>But then we've also got the EU worrying about how

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<v Speaker 5>they're fending off competition in WhatsApp because they're saying, look,

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<v Speaker 5>chatchbt even though you can put your chatchybut within your

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<v Speaker 5>meta and WhatsApp at the moment, they're making it too difficult.

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<v Speaker 4>They don't want to be straining their own APIs.

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<v Speaker 5>Yeah, they don't want to be basically marketing Open AI's chatchibt.

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<v Speaker 5>They're only marketing well co pilot for Microsoft. They want

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<v Speaker 5>you to use Meta AI. So I think they've still

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<v Speaker 5>got to show that they're the place that you're going

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<v Speaker 5>to use large aguage models. They're the place you're going

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<v Speaker 5>to come from a chatbot, and I think more broadly,

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<v Speaker 5>they're the place that all of this ends up working

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<v Speaker 5>from a capital EXPENDITSHI perspective. So I think for many

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<v Speaker 5>over at BI they love the idea that they're going

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<v Speaker 5>to maybe use Google's TPUs because that's a cost saving Yeah.

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely, Carolin, Hi, thank you so much for joinings. Caroline Hyde,

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<v Speaker 2>b Tech co anchor along with Ed Ludlow Bloomberg News.

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<v Speaker 2>They are on top of everything happening out there in

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<v Speaker 2>the world of technology in a Silicon valley. You appreciate

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<v Speaker 2>getting a few minutes of Caroline's time here.

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<v Speaker 7>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

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<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

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<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto

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<v Speaker 1>with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever you

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<v Speaker 2>Piece of news coming out of the tech space is

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<v Speaker 2>meta you know, stepping back a little bit from their

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<v Speaker 2>investments in the metaverse, and as Lisa Mitaylo's just reporting,

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<v Speaker 2>that's pushing a stock up four percent today, which is

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<v Speaker 2>a pretty big move here there's talks only a bit

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<v Speaker 2>about thirteen percent year to day. Let's check in with

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<v Speaker 2>Honor rog Ran and we'll talk about a lot of

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<v Speaker 2>tech issues out there. Honor rog Ron is a senior

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<v Speaker 2>technology annls from Bloomberg Intelligence out there in Chicago. Honra,

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<v Speaker 2>what do you make of this announcement or this report

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<v Speaker 2>from Bloomberg News, Kurt Wagner's reporting that Meta may cut

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<v Speaker 2>back investments on its metaverse by as much as thirty percent.

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<v Speaker 3>What do you make of that?

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<v Speaker 8>See, when you have to invest billions in the EI

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<v Speaker 8>sight of it, you gotta find that money somewhere. I

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<v Speaker 8>know they have good cash flow, but you know, right

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<v Speaker 8>now everything is going towards building your AI infrastructure, So

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<v Speaker 8>I think it makes sense for them to cut in

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<v Speaker 8>other regions or areas to fund this particular project.

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<v Speaker 6>It seems as though investors are clearly celebrating this. I

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<v Speaker 6>mean we're seeing it up more than three point eight

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<v Speaker 6>percent right now, and earlier a lot higher. What do

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<v Speaker 6>you think about next steps from here? I mean, clearly

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<v Speaker 6>they're trying to redistribute their funds into AI development. What

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<v Speaker 6>are investors looking for from that?

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<v Speaker 8>So the same way they were looking at you know,

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<v Speaker 8>metaverse a few years ago, they want to see an ROI.

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<v Speaker 8>They will ask, you know, the management team as to

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<v Speaker 8>you're investing all these billions to create new data center

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<v Speaker 8>super intelligence team. What do I have to c ine

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<v Speaker 8>terms of the return on the core business? And I

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<v Speaker 8>think that those questions are not just for meta but

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<v Speaker 8>the entire ecosystem as to what is the net effect

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<v Speaker 8>addition to your revenue or reduction to your expenses down

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<v Speaker 8>the road. And I think that is not going to

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<v Speaker 8>end anytime soon, all right.

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<v Speaker 2>So I don't know, I'm just I think most shareholders

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<v Speaker 2>are like, I don't really get the whole metaverse thing.

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<v Speaker 2>So to the extent you can scale back investment there

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<v Speaker 2>and put it anywhere else, that's probably a good thing.

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<v Speaker 6>All right.

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<v Speaker 2>We also had the salesforce reporting results. Talk to us

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<v Speaker 2>about that name because that name's been under pressure I think,

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<v Speaker 2>maybe potential threats from AI in general.

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<v Speaker 8>Yeah, there's say the results did come in, I mean

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<v Speaker 8>almost in line with how we were looking at it

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<v Speaker 8>in terms of that the core business is still struggling,

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<v Speaker 8>but when it comes to some of their AI products

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<v Speaker 8>that has started to do well, they've gained momentum. But

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<v Speaker 8>when you look at somebody like a Salesforce, when you

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<v Speaker 8>have a revenue base of forty one billion dollars, it

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<v Speaker 8>takes a lot to move the needle. So even though

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<v Speaker 8>these products are very small and you know, growing triple digits,

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<v Speaker 8>but they are not you know, right there in order

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<v Speaker 8>to take down what is happening on the core business,

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<v Speaker 8>which is a decline in seat growth or the less

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<v Speaker 8>addition of seats because of macro it spending, and that

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<v Speaker 8>is probably going to be the story at least for

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<v Speaker 8>the near term.

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<v Speaker 6>So it seems as though analysts are still generally positive

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<v Speaker 6>on in terms of AI adoption trends when we think

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<v Speaker 6>about this company though.

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<v Speaker 8>Yes, absolutely, and that's you know, one of the things.

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<v Speaker 8>We saw really good numbers on both the data cloud

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<v Speaker 8>side of Fate and also the agent force. But when

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<v Speaker 8>you look at the stock reaction last night, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>it was up five six percent. And finally people have

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<v Speaker 8>when you really scrape the numbers and see that their

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<v Speaker 8>commercial remaining performance obligations, which is the order book for

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<v Speaker 8>next quarter, which they expect to grow about thirteen percent

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<v Speaker 8>in constant currency. Four percentage of point of that is informatica.

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<v Speaker 8>So when you strip that out, you will see that

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<v Speaker 8>that particular backlock number goes from eleven percent this quarter

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<v Speaker 8>to let's say nine or ten percent. So the core

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<v Speaker 8>is still declining or the core is still under pressure.

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<v Speaker 2>So the stock down twenty seven percent year to date

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<v Speaker 2>on a rock is that does that reflect the fact

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<v Speaker 2>that it's just it budgets are tight, or that AI

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<v Speaker 2>poses an existential threat to certain providers like a Salesforce.

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<v Speaker 8>I don't think that's the case, because it's going to

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<v Speaker 8>be very difficult for an established Fortune two thousand company

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<v Speaker 8>to get rid of their core system of record, you know,

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<v Speaker 8>whether that's an HR sales customer service and just deploy

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<v Speaker 8>a model in there. At least, we are not there yet.

0:10:18.160 --> 0:10:20.319
<v Speaker 8>Maybe you know, five years down the road, we may

0:10:20.360 --> 0:10:23.240
<v Speaker 8>see a scenario like this, but that's not really why

0:10:23.320 --> 0:10:26.600
<v Speaker 8>Salesforce is struggling. It is basically, we are the largest

0:10:26.640 --> 0:10:30.240
<v Speaker 8>provider of sales automation tool and customer service tool to

0:10:30.320 --> 0:10:33.520
<v Speaker 8>Fortune two thousand companies. It's those companies that are not

0:10:33.640 --> 0:10:36.559
<v Speaker 8>hiring at that same rate that they used to because

0:10:36.720 --> 0:10:40.160
<v Speaker 8>outside of AI and AI infrastructure, everything else is still

0:10:40.160 --> 0:10:41.400
<v Speaker 8>weak at this point.

0:10:41.920 --> 0:10:45.120
<v Speaker 2>All right, Dona our good stuff as always, Honor Agrana.

0:10:45.160 --> 0:10:49.280
<v Speaker 2>He is our senior technology analyst, Bloomberg Intelligence from the

0:10:49.320 --> 0:10:52.599
<v Speaker 2>burgeoning tech hub of Chicago, Illinois. We appreciate gtting a

0:10:52.600 --> 0:10:54.800
<v Speaker 2>few minutes of your time stay with us. More from

0:10:54.800 --> 0:10:56.840
<v Speaker 2>Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:11:00.760 --> 0:11:04.440
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast. Catch us live

0:11:04.520 --> 0:11:07.640
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:11:07.640 --> 0:11:10.959
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business Up. Listen on demand wherever

0:11:11.000 --> 0:11:14.280
<v Speaker 1>you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:11:14.720 --> 0:11:17.880
<v Speaker 2>Dick Sporting Goods reported some numbers here the stocks off

0:11:17.880 --> 0:11:20.920
<v Speaker 2>about one percent, but.

0:11:21.000 --> 0:11:22.720
<v Speaker 3>Boy they put up I thought they were some pretty

0:11:22.720 --> 0:11:24.480
<v Speaker 3>decent numbers. But what do I know about this stuff?

0:11:24.840 --> 0:11:27.480
<v Speaker 2>Lindsay Dutch Consumer Hardline senior analy She's the expert, and

0:11:27.520 --> 0:11:28.720
<v Speaker 2>she's a Bloomberg Intelligence.

0:11:28.920 --> 0:11:29.760
<v Speaker 3>She joins us here.

0:11:30.400 --> 0:11:32.400
<v Speaker 7>Lindsay, talk to us about Dick's Sporting Goods.

0:11:32.440 --> 0:11:33.920
<v Speaker 3>What did you learn with their earnings release?

0:11:34.400 --> 0:11:34.880
<v Speaker 4>Positive?

0:11:35.000 --> 0:11:37.439
<v Speaker 9>I think that there's, you know, continued strength in the

0:11:37.520 --> 0:11:41.000
<v Speaker 9>legacy business, and sometimes that that's being overshadowed by their

0:11:41.040 --> 0:11:46.160
<v Speaker 9>Footlocker acquisition, which close in early September. But there's certainly

0:11:46.200 --> 0:11:49.720
<v Speaker 9>pressure on this retailer to execute a very quick turnaround

0:11:49.760 --> 0:11:55.040
<v Speaker 9>at Footlocker, and they are already planning to aggressively offload

0:11:55.120 --> 0:11:58.720
<v Speaker 9>some stale inventory and close some stores. And we even

0:11:58.720 --> 0:12:01.760
<v Speaker 9>saw some of that change is already over the Black

0:12:01.800 --> 0:12:04.760
<v Speaker 9>Friday and Cyber Monday shopping weekend.

0:12:05.040 --> 0:12:06.920
<v Speaker 6>What's really in the focus, They were with foot Locker

0:12:06.960 --> 0:12:08.680
<v Speaker 6>would have been the issues at play.

0:12:10.160 --> 0:12:12.079
<v Speaker 9>So Footlocker is a little bit of a different animal

0:12:12.160 --> 0:12:16.200
<v Speaker 9>for Dix. They have a lifestyle focus. They also have

0:12:16.320 --> 0:12:19.920
<v Speaker 9>to be more on trend with their assortment and they

0:12:19.960 --> 0:12:21.800
<v Speaker 9>really have to carry sort of the top of the

0:12:21.840 --> 0:12:26.480
<v Speaker 9>line items, you know, across a variety of brands running

0:12:26.480 --> 0:12:30.760
<v Speaker 9>shoes have been in lately. Dix does have expertise sort

0:12:30.760 --> 0:12:34.520
<v Speaker 9>of in that more sports focused arena. And so you know,

0:12:34.600 --> 0:12:37.599
<v Speaker 9>Dix is looking to bring its strong partnerships with a

0:12:37.679 --> 0:12:41.040
<v Speaker 9>Nike for example, and other brands like that to elevate

0:12:41.120 --> 0:12:44.560
<v Speaker 9>the assortment, which should help. They're also looking to bring

0:12:44.640 --> 0:12:46.800
<v Speaker 9>in more apparel to the stores and I saw that

0:12:47.120 --> 0:12:48.559
<v Speaker 9>when I was out on Black Friday.

0:12:48.600 --> 0:12:48.959
<v Speaker 8>You know, my.

0:12:48.920 --> 0:12:51.800
<v Speaker 9>Footlocker had a lot more apparel this year. They also

0:12:51.880 --> 0:12:56.160
<v Speaker 9>had lots of other brands that were being highlighted, Crocs, Timberland,

0:12:56.679 --> 0:12:59.160
<v Speaker 9>so all more doing a lot more than just Nike.

0:13:00.320 --> 0:13:04.360
<v Speaker 2>Dick's calls the World Cup quote the biggest sports moment

0:13:04.559 --> 0:13:07.160
<v Speaker 2>the US has ever had. What are they telling us

0:13:07.200 --> 0:13:10.559
<v Speaker 2>about the World Cup and maybe how it might impact

0:13:10.600 --> 0:13:11.120
<v Speaker 2>their company.

0:13:12.360 --> 0:13:15.679
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, so they mentioned that at the Morgan Stanley conference yesterday.

0:13:16.400 --> 0:13:19.520
<v Speaker 9>All of these sports moments have been really big for

0:13:19.640 --> 0:13:23.560
<v Speaker 9>their legacy business. People are really leaning into sport. They

0:13:23.679 --> 0:13:29.200
<v Speaker 9>saw over the shopping weekend interest in their products that

0:13:29.200 --> 0:13:32.400
<v Speaker 9>were marketed for the World Cup, and that could be

0:13:32.480 --> 0:13:35.480
<v Speaker 9>a key event to dry sales going forward. But they

0:13:35.600 --> 0:13:38.160
<v Speaker 9>touch lots of aspect of sport. Their golf business is

0:13:38.200 --> 0:13:41.920
<v Speaker 9>doing excellent this year. They also do very well in

0:13:42.040 --> 0:13:44.480
<v Speaker 9>just team sports when you think about getting your NFL

0:13:44.559 --> 0:13:47.640
<v Speaker 9>gear for your favorite teams and things like that. They're

0:13:47.679 --> 0:13:50.840
<v Speaker 9>really seeing success across the board. But those big events

0:13:51.040 --> 0:13:54.040
<v Speaker 9>just give them an opportunity to advertise and bring people

0:13:54.080 --> 0:13:54.880
<v Speaker 9>into their store.

0:13:55.400 --> 0:13:57.439
<v Speaker 6>Who are their main competitors right now? Who do you

0:13:57.520 --> 0:13:58.800
<v Speaker 6>see within this landscape?

0:13:59.760 --> 0:14:00.240
<v Speaker 4>Yeah?

0:14:00.040 --> 0:14:03.960
<v Speaker 9>Yeah, So that's a very difficult question, given that I

0:14:04.000 --> 0:14:05.960
<v Speaker 9>think that they've done a really good job sort of

0:14:06.000 --> 0:14:11.040
<v Speaker 9>breaking out of lifestyle and really focused on athletes, and

0:14:11.080 --> 0:14:13.320
<v Speaker 9>that's what makes them different than a foot locker, than

0:14:13.360 --> 0:14:17.240
<v Speaker 9>a JD Sport. I think one of their closer competitors

0:14:17.280 --> 0:14:23.000
<v Speaker 9>could be Academy Sports and Outdoors. They're much smaller in size,

0:14:22.800 --> 0:14:26.600
<v Speaker 9>but that retailer Academy, you know, does compete with Dix

0:14:26.640 --> 0:14:30.520
<v Speaker 9>and is looking to more focus on athletes and bringing

0:14:30.560 --> 0:14:34.480
<v Speaker 9>sort of that athletic assortment to their customer as well.

0:14:35.120 --> 0:14:37.440
<v Speaker 7>Linda, what is Dix telling you?

0:14:37.440 --> 0:14:40.000
<v Speaker 2>What are some of the other consumer hardlines companies telling

0:14:40.040 --> 0:14:42.440
<v Speaker 2>you about the consumer right now?

0:14:44.120 --> 0:14:47.000
<v Speaker 9>So Dix is also unique in that they typically cater

0:14:47.160 --> 0:14:50.280
<v Speaker 9>to a higher income consumer, so you know, they have

0:14:50.400 --> 0:14:56.200
<v Speaker 9>seen resilient demand. They have seen both ticket and transactions

0:14:56.240 --> 0:14:58.560
<v Speaker 9>continue to rise, which is rather unique. A lot of

0:14:58.600 --> 0:15:01.880
<v Speaker 9>other retailers are only seeing the transaction front rather than

0:15:01.920 --> 0:15:05.360
<v Speaker 9>the ticket front. So it tells me that the demand

0:15:05.400 --> 0:15:08.680
<v Speaker 9>from that higher income consumer you know, is steadied to strong.

0:15:09.360 --> 0:15:13.760
<v Speaker 9>We do also see that demand for new products that's

0:15:13.800 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 9>being rolled out. People are willing to pay a high

0:15:17.640 --> 0:15:20.400
<v Speaker 9>price point for that. We also see that in footwear

0:15:20.480 --> 0:15:23.000
<v Speaker 9>right like On has a very high price point they

0:15:23.000 --> 0:15:26.720
<v Speaker 9>haven't discounted. Dix is also not discounting on those premium

0:15:26.720 --> 0:15:30.320
<v Speaker 9>products and so that consumer is willing to splurge on

0:15:30.600 --> 0:15:32.920
<v Speaker 9>those items. There is a little bit more pressure on

0:15:32.960 --> 0:15:36.920
<v Speaker 9>the lower income consumer this year. I think that affects

0:15:36.960 --> 0:15:40.960
<v Speaker 9>footlocker a little bit more. But the way Dix is

0:15:40.960 --> 0:15:44.480
<v Speaker 9>approaching sort of the turnaround and offering greater discounts, it

0:15:44.560 --> 0:15:47.520
<v Speaker 9>might be an opportunity, you know, to continue to cater

0:15:47.600 --> 0:15:49.360
<v Speaker 9>to that customer this holiday season.

0:15:49.880 --> 0:15:52.280
<v Speaker 6>How are you thinking about the discretionary space. I mean,

0:15:52.400 --> 0:15:55.000
<v Speaker 6>I know Alta is reporting after the bell today.

0:15:55.520 --> 0:15:57.200
<v Speaker 4>I assume maybe the beauty space.

0:15:57.240 --> 0:15:58.560
<v Speaker 6>Can we call it discretionary?

0:15:59.000 --> 0:16:03.840
<v Speaker 9>Some people might call it A said, yeah, I would agree.

0:16:04.120 --> 0:16:05.440
<v Speaker 7>I think, you know ALTA is.

0:16:05.880 --> 0:16:07.840
<v Speaker 9>There are a lot of connections I can draw between

0:16:07.920 --> 0:16:11.120
<v Speaker 9>Alta and Dix. You know, both of them had you know,

0:16:11.360 --> 0:16:14.120
<v Speaker 9>very conservative outlooks for the back half of the year,

0:16:14.560 --> 0:16:17.240
<v Speaker 9>you know, baking in a lot of uncertainty about you know,

0:16:17.320 --> 0:16:20.960
<v Speaker 9>where demand would go. So Alta, you know, better than

0:16:21.000 --> 0:16:23.800
<v Speaker 9>expected results in the first half, very similar to Dicks.

0:16:24.040 --> 0:16:27.320
<v Speaker 9>We get third quarter results later today, but that outlook

0:16:27.320 --> 0:16:30.240
<v Speaker 9>again is very low, so there's a low bar for

0:16:30.280 --> 0:16:32.960
<v Speaker 9>them to hit, at least on the top line. And

0:16:33.000 --> 0:16:36.000
<v Speaker 9>they're coming off a two year best same store sales

0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:39.080
<v Speaker 9>comp of almost seven percent growth in the second quarter,

0:16:39.680 --> 0:16:42.960
<v Speaker 9>So I'm optimistic for some strong top line numbers there.

0:16:43.000 --> 0:16:45.120
<v Speaker 9>But I do think the number to watch for Alta

0:16:45.160 --> 0:16:47.640
<v Speaker 9>today is going to be on the profit line. They

0:16:47.680 --> 0:16:51.560
<v Speaker 9>already have some pressure on profit within reinvesting in the business,

0:16:51.840 --> 0:16:54.520
<v Speaker 9>and we've seen some of the retailer stocks even if

0:16:54.560 --> 0:16:57.240
<v Speaker 9>you know the quarter was good. If that profit line

0:16:57.280 --> 0:16:59.760
<v Speaker 9>is missing, you know, investors aren't really liking that.

0:17:00.920 --> 0:17:04.639
<v Speaker 2>Lindsay, we're not hearing a whole lot about tariffs this quarter.

0:17:05.480 --> 0:17:06.600
<v Speaker 3>What are your companies saying?

0:17:08.160 --> 0:17:12.160
<v Speaker 9>So, most of my companies have low direct exposure, meaning

0:17:12.160 --> 0:17:15.840
<v Speaker 9>they weren't directly importing a lot of goods, so the

0:17:16.080 --> 0:17:20.520
<v Speaker 9>direct impact on them is low. They're working with suppliers

0:17:21.080 --> 0:17:24.720
<v Speaker 9>and raising prices where they need to to manage that.

0:17:25.200 --> 0:17:27.960
<v Speaker 9>You know, the biggest company in MySpace that that's most

0:17:27.960 --> 0:17:30.800
<v Speaker 9>exposed would be elf Beauty, so also in the beauty space,

0:17:31.359 --> 0:17:33.840
<v Speaker 9>seventy five percent of their product, at least their namesake

0:17:33.920 --> 0:17:38.280
<v Speaker 9>product is made in China, so highly exposed there to

0:17:38.359 --> 0:17:41.160
<v Speaker 9>the China tariffs. But we'll have to wait and see

0:17:41.200 --> 0:17:44.160
<v Speaker 9>because you know, there are some legal action out there,

0:17:44.359 --> 0:17:48.320
<v Speaker 9>you know, looking to get those costs back on the

0:17:48.400 --> 0:17:51.639
<v Speaker 9>retailer side. But you're right, earnings calls have sort of

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:55.440
<v Speaker 9>left that topic mostly out of the third quarter commentary.

0:17:55.880 --> 0:17:57.679
<v Speaker 6>What are the top major trends that you're keeping an

0:17:57.720 --> 0:17:59.360
<v Speaker 6>eye on as we head into the next year.

0:18:00.880 --> 0:18:03.359
<v Speaker 9>So I do think costs in general, you know, still

0:18:03.400 --> 0:18:07.000
<v Speaker 9>are facing some upward pressure going into next year and

0:18:07.119 --> 0:18:10.040
<v Speaker 9>discretionary as a whole. You know, demand has been quite

0:18:10.119 --> 0:18:13.359
<v Speaker 9>soft since the back half of twenty two, so you

0:18:13.400 --> 0:18:15.639
<v Speaker 9>know we're looking to see, you know, when is that

0:18:15.680 --> 0:18:18.200
<v Speaker 9>going to turn. When are we going to see stronger

0:18:18.440 --> 0:18:20.919
<v Speaker 9>discretionary demand across the board. And that will help a

0:18:20.960 --> 0:18:24.320
<v Speaker 9>lot of these, you know, more secondary retailers in the space,

0:18:24.480 --> 0:18:27.560
<v Speaker 9>someone like an academy who's sort of struggling to see growth.

0:18:28.600 --> 0:18:30.679
<v Speaker 9>We can see a lot stronger of a year, you know,

0:18:30.720 --> 0:18:32.679
<v Speaker 9>with a pickup in that discretionary spend.

0:18:32.960 --> 0:18:35.320
<v Speaker 2>All right, Lindsay, thanks so much, appreciate it. Lindsay Dutch

0:18:35.840 --> 0:18:39.400
<v Speaker 2>Consumer Hardlines. She's a senior analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence down

0:18:39.440 --> 0:18:42.160
<v Speaker 2>there in our Princeton office talking to us about Dick

0:18:42.200 --> 0:18:44.320
<v Speaker 2>Sporting Goods has some pretty decent numbers.

0:18:44.720 --> 0:18:47.800
<v Speaker 7>Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.

0:18:51.480 --> 0:18:55.160
<v Speaker 1>You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live

0:18:55.240 --> 0:18:58.360
<v Speaker 1>weekdays at ten am easterne on Apple, Cocklay and Android

0:18:58.359 --> 0:19:01.800
<v Speaker 1>Auto with the Bloomberg Business Listen on demand wherever you

0:19:01.840 --> 0:19:05.280
<v Speaker 1>get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.

0:19:06.000 --> 0:19:09.320
<v Speaker 2>Well, there's a lot going on in the world of media.

0:19:09.400 --> 0:19:11.119
<v Speaker 2>I mean, we're waiting for a big m and a

0:19:11.280 --> 0:19:14.840
<v Speaker 2>trade to happen. We've also got a lot of streaming

0:19:15.320 --> 0:19:20.119
<v Speaker 2>services jocking for competitive position relative to Netflix. We've got

0:19:20.240 --> 0:19:22.920
<v Speaker 2>Ai impacting advertising, a lot going on in there. So

0:19:22.960 --> 0:19:24.800
<v Speaker 2>let's check with somebody who does this stuff for living.

0:19:25.040 --> 0:19:28.040
<v Speaker 2>Mark Douglas, President and CEO of Mountain. He's zooming in

0:19:28.240 --> 0:19:31.640
<v Speaker 2>from one of my favorite towns in this country, San Antonio, Texas,

0:19:32.280 --> 0:19:35.360
<v Speaker 2>home of my former biggest client, Clear Channel Communications.

0:19:36.359 --> 0:19:38.080
<v Speaker 3>That was a good company back back in the day.

0:19:38.320 --> 0:19:42.240
<v Speaker 2>Mark, how do you think you talked a lot of advertisers,

0:19:42.240 --> 0:19:44.080
<v Speaker 2>You talked a lot of agencies, You talked to a

0:19:44.080 --> 0:19:46.119
<v Speaker 2>lot of folks in the media business. How do you

0:19:46.160 --> 0:19:48.919
<v Speaker 2>think this Warner Brothers Discovery thing is going to go down?

0:19:49.000 --> 0:19:51.040
<v Speaker 2>Do you think anybody's got the inner track here?

0:19:52.560 --> 0:19:55.560
<v Speaker 10>Well, I mean we're literal word on the street is

0:19:55.640 --> 0:19:59.320
<v Speaker 10>Netflix kind of has the inside track. But it's some

0:19:59.400 --> 0:20:02.760
<v Speaker 10>pretty serious bidders, you know, kind of the Ellison family

0:20:02.800 --> 0:20:06.760
<v Speaker 10>who I us work for, Larry Ellison, Netflix. I mean

0:20:06.760 --> 0:20:09.080
<v Speaker 10>a lot of people with resources and who seem to

0:20:09.119 --> 0:20:12.440
<v Speaker 10>have a lot of vision and really are in building modes.

0:20:12.480 --> 0:20:15.760
<v Speaker 10>So I think it's like exciting times watching this go down.

0:20:16.800 --> 0:20:19.440
<v Speaker 6>I mean, as we're thinking about this potential deal. If

0:20:19.520 --> 0:20:22.560
<v Speaker 6>Netflix were to actually come out on the winning end,

0:20:23.240 --> 0:20:26.280
<v Speaker 6>what does this mean potentially about antitrust concerns. Have you

0:20:26.320 --> 0:20:27.760
<v Speaker 6>been hearing any conversation about that.

0:20:29.080 --> 0:20:32.040
<v Speaker 10>I don't think so. I mean, there are somewhat around

0:20:32.040 --> 0:20:35.399
<v Speaker 10>two hundred streaming networks, almost all of whom are billion

0:20:35.440 --> 0:20:39.480
<v Speaker 10>dollar companies. I think it's pretty hard even to look

0:20:39.520 --> 0:20:42.760
<v Speaker 10>at this from a trust perspective, even if it's two

0:20:42.800 --> 0:20:47.000
<v Speaker 10>of the largest. I think the library that and honestly,

0:20:47.320 --> 0:20:50.040
<v Speaker 10>you know, some of those companies are hurting, and so

0:20:50.760 --> 0:20:53.680
<v Speaker 10>you know, having some consolidation I think is a healthy thing.

0:20:53.920 --> 0:20:58.440
<v Speaker 10>And Warner Brothers Discovery, I think it's just a fantastic asset.

0:20:58.840 --> 0:21:03.199
<v Speaker 10>I think in terms of acquisitions or mergers in the

0:21:03.320 --> 0:21:06.399
<v Speaker 10>media space, I think it's kind of being number one

0:21:06.440 --> 0:21:09.080
<v Speaker 10>our list. I think the way people are responding to

0:21:09.119 --> 0:21:11.040
<v Speaker 10>the opportunity is kind of validating that.

0:21:11.800 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 2>Yeah, with Terry Quadra back of Salmas Smith Brothers, Salmas

0:21:15.600 --> 0:21:17.280
<v Speaker 2>Smith Barney, he was the first one to treade this

0:21:17.359 --> 0:21:20.480
<v Speaker 2>asset when he represented AOL buying Time Warner back in

0:21:20.480 --> 0:21:22.040
<v Speaker 2>the day. So this is not the first go round

0:21:22.119 --> 0:21:23.520
<v Speaker 2>for these Time Warner people.

0:21:24.200 --> 0:21:26.960
<v Speaker 10>And look and look at the program they have Harry Potter,

0:21:27.160 --> 0:21:30.399
<v Speaker 10>Game of Thrones, White Loaded. I mean, it's it's in

0:21:30.440 --> 0:21:33.400
<v Speaker 10>a lot of ways. HBO was kind of the original Netflix.

0:21:33.480 --> 0:21:36.560
<v Speaker 10>You know, it wasn't obviously on net, but it had

0:21:36.680 --> 0:21:40.560
<v Speaker 10>like this incredible original content, which it continues to still

0:21:40.600 --> 0:21:44.199
<v Speaker 10>have along with just this broad library of content and

0:21:44.200 --> 0:21:47.359
<v Speaker 10>we all watched it on cable. Netflix kind of brought

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:51.040
<v Speaker 10>that formula to the Internet and obviously it's you know,

0:21:51.160 --> 0:21:54.120
<v Speaker 10>kind of been become this massive company as a result

0:21:54.119 --> 0:21:56.480
<v Speaker 10>of that. But I think that's why that library of

0:21:56.560 --> 0:21:58.840
<v Speaker 10>content and that ability to kind of keep doing it.

0:21:58.960 --> 0:22:03.080
<v Speaker 10>Like they haven't really lost meaning Warner Brothers, Discovery, I

0:22:03.119 --> 0:22:06.760
<v Speaker 10>haven't really lost their mojo in terms of creating content

0:22:06.880 --> 0:22:10.800
<v Speaker 10>like that. And I think Discovery is under underappreciated in

0:22:10.920 --> 0:22:14.080
<v Speaker 10>terms of the value you know that that it brings.

0:22:14.080 --> 0:22:18.920
<v Speaker 10>Shark Yeah, Shark Week and kind of like like documentary

0:22:19.200 --> 0:22:23.320
<v Speaker 10>style and and they turned kind of showing and they

0:22:23.359 --> 0:22:27.640
<v Speaker 10>turned that also into like reality TV with with what's

0:22:27.640 --> 0:22:28.720
<v Speaker 10>the show up in Alaska?

0:22:28.800 --> 0:22:34.080
<v Speaker 7>The fishing shows. Yeah, I mean it's a lot to watch.

0:22:34.280 --> 0:22:36.200
<v Speaker 10>It's a lot to watch, and I think that's why

0:22:36.240 --> 0:22:37.240
<v Speaker 10>people want the essence.

0:22:37.960 --> 0:22:39.440
<v Speaker 6>I've forgotten about Shark Week.

0:22:39.560 --> 0:22:40.960
<v Speaker 3>Yes, that's a big.

0:22:42.840 --> 0:22:46.520
<v Speaker 10>Just imagine any of these players, especially on Netflix, who

0:22:46.520 --> 0:22:49.640
<v Speaker 10>has you know, the resource to do it, bringing back

0:22:49.680 --> 0:22:52.080
<v Speaker 10>Game of Thrones, bringing back a lot of program I

0:22:52.080 --> 0:22:54.440
<v Speaker 10>think it's still going to play really, really well, and

0:22:54.440 --> 0:22:58.360
<v Speaker 10>and it might also play really well outside the United States,

0:22:58.400 --> 0:23:00.320
<v Speaker 10>so you know where a lot of these company need

0:23:00.359 --> 0:23:00.960
<v Speaker 10>to expand to.

0:23:01.440 --> 0:23:05.040
<v Speaker 6>So we talked about Netflix, what about Paramount's guidance. How

0:23:05.040 --> 0:23:08.000
<v Speaker 6>big of a deal could this be for them?

0:23:08.359 --> 0:23:11.560
<v Speaker 10>I think it makes a lot of sense. I mean,

0:23:11.560 --> 0:23:15.719
<v Speaker 10>the Paramount is a good asset. I think this is

0:23:16.000 --> 0:23:19.080
<v Speaker 10>kind of meaning there's a lot of programming there and

0:23:19.080 --> 0:23:21.919
<v Speaker 10>obviously they pick up CBS and things like that. But

0:23:22.200 --> 0:23:26.840
<v Speaker 10>adding Warner Brothers Discovery, I kind of think puts them

0:23:26.880 --> 0:23:30.239
<v Speaker 10>in a much stronger position to challenge a Netflix and

0:23:30.320 --> 0:23:33.000
<v Speaker 10>challenge a Disney. And that may be one of the

0:23:33.040 --> 0:23:36.000
<v Speaker 10>reasons Netflix is interested is more is somewhat as a

0:23:36.280 --> 0:23:39.200
<v Speaker 10>you know, kind of to hold their ground, hold their

0:23:39.240 --> 0:23:43.360
<v Speaker 10>turf by not allowing someone to put together a library

0:23:43.440 --> 0:23:47.520
<v Speaker 10>of content that is put you know, potentially as in

0:23:47.600 --> 0:23:50.159
<v Speaker 10>the range or strength as theirs is, so that you know,

0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:52.440
<v Speaker 10>this could be as much of a defensive move as

0:23:52.720 --> 0:23:54.520
<v Speaker 10>a defensive move, but I think it makes a lot

0:23:54.560 --> 0:23:57.760
<v Speaker 10>of sense for Paramoun. I mean, once they committed to

0:23:57.760 --> 0:24:02.080
<v Speaker 10>to getting Paramount, I think, you know, the acquisitions can't stop.

0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:05.960
<v Speaker 10>They have to kind of double down. And so you know,

0:24:06.040 --> 0:24:07.600
<v Speaker 10>we'll see how this plays out.

0:24:07.960 --> 0:24:09.280
<v Speaker 3>Mark for twenty twenty six.

0:24:09.280 --> 0:24:10.920
<v Speaker 2>In the streaming business, you mentioned there's you know, a

0:24:10.960 --> 0:24:12.440
<v Speaker 2>couple hundred streamers out there.

0:24:13.040 --> 0:24:16.080
<v Speaker 7>Are there too many? Does there need to be consolidation

0:24:16.520 --> 0:24:18.199
<v Speaker 7>or bundling or how do.

0:24:18.200 --> 0:24:20.600
<v Speaker 3>You think the streaming landscape is going to evolve mature?

0:24:21.440 --> 0:24:23.920
<v Speaker 10>Yeah, I mean it has to consolidate. I've always thought,

0:24:24.160 --> 0:24:25.720
<v Speaker 10>I mean kind of one of the things I've always

0:24:25.760 --> 0:24:28.600
<v Speaker 10>said on this topic is we can play a game.

0:24:28.680 --> 0:24:31.400
<v Speaker 10>If I name a streaming network and you can't tell

0:24:31.440 --> 0:24:35.399
<v Speaker 10>me immediately why why you will watch it, then it

0:24:35.560 --> 0:24:40.199
<v Speaker 10>probably should not exist in a network. And so and

0:24:40.280 --> 0:24:43.000
<v Speaker 10>we played that game. You know, if I say Discovery,

0:24:43.040 --> 0:24:45.920
<v Speaker 10>you would say documentary. If I say Netflix, you would say,

0:24:45.960 --> 0:24:48.679
<v Speaker 10>you know, new shows every Tuesday, and there'd be a

0:24:49.040 --> 0:24:51.200
<v Speaker 10>range of things you want to watch. If I say

0:24:51.440 --> 0:24:53.920
<v Speaker 10>ESPN and you'd say sports, and so you know, when

0:24:53.920 --> 0:24:56.000
<v Speaker 10>you get into sum of the names, you can clearly

0:24:56.040 --> 0:24:58.840
<v Speaker 10>say that then I think there has to be a

0:24:58.880 --> 0:25:02.840
<v Speaker 10>consolidation both in terms of the health of those businesses

0:25:02.880 --> 0:25:05.760
<v Speaker 10>as well as just what consumers are willing to spend

0:25:06.200 --> 0:25:08.920
<v Speaker 10>and tolerate. We've gotten to this point where pre much,

0:25:09.040 --> 0:25:10.720
<v Speaker 10>you know, we went back to the future in terms

0:25:10.760 --> 0:25:13.200
<v Speaker 10>of ad supporting content. At this point, I think every

0:25:13.200 --> 0:25:17.080
<v Speaker 10>streaming network except for Apple TV Plus now has adds,

0:25:17.119 --> 0:25:19.920
<v Speaker 10>so you can you can do an ad model and

0:25:20.760 --> 0:25:23.080
<v Speaker 10>do well. You're not as relying on subscriptions, but you

0:25:23.080 --> 0:25:25.280
<v Speaker 10>still have to have a reason for people to come

0:25:25.320 --> 0:25:26.560
<v Speaker 10>and watch you, and that's the key.

0:25:27.440 --> 0:25:29.959
<v Speaker 6>What are your major themes for twenty twenty six as

0:25:29.960 --> 0:25:31.240
<v Speaker 6>you're looking at the media landscape?

0:25:32.520 --> 0:25:35.800
<v Speaker 10>The I mean, this is the year where like it's

0:25:35.920 --> 0:25:39.040
<v Speaker 10>kind of the official death of cable in a sense.

0:25:39.080 --> 0:25:42.320
<v Speaker 10>I mean, obviously it's a legacy business, but like there's

0:25:42.400 --> 0:25:46.960
<v Speaker 10>nothing like live sports is moving on the streaming as

0:25:47.080 --> 0:25:50.280
<v Speaker 10>fast as it possibly can. It's a topic of the day,

0:25:50.280 --> 0:25:53.680
<v Speaker 10>it's what everyone wants. We got the I think Netflix

0:25:54.200 --> 0:25:57.040
<v Speaker 10>continues to expand in terms of their ad supported business,

0:25:57.400 --> 0:26:01.000
<v Speaker 10>which is great for advertisers and great for consumers. But

0:26:01.240 --> 0:26:05.520
<v Speaker 10>it's kind of that, like all content consumption is streaming.

0:26:06.040 --> 0:26:08.840
<v Speaker 10>I think with the live live sports in particular.

0:26:08.960 --> 0:26:09.600
<v Speaker 3>Yeah, and.

0:26:11.080 --> 0:26:13.560
<v Speaker 10>One of the things that's really interesting about streaming is

0:26:13.560 --> 0:26:17.159
<v Speaker 10>you can turn content that's not the NBA and not

0:26:17.320 --> 0:26:20.440
<v Speaker 10>the NFL into content consumers want to watch and.

0:26:20.480 --> 0:26:23.160
<v Speaker 2>Just work to the NFL reopens its contract with its

0:26:23.200 --> 0:26:24.840
<v Speaker 2>media partners, that's gonna be seismic.

0:26:24.880 --> 0:26:26.800
<v Speaker 7>Mark Douglas, President CEO of Mountain.

0:26:28.359 --> 0:26:33.040
<v Speaker 1>This is the Bloomberg Intelligence Podcast, available on Apple, Spotify,

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