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Speaker 1: What's up, guys.

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Speaker 2: How are you welcome into the Wednesday morning edition of

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Speaker 2: the Daily Juice Podcast. My name is Matt Paroltz. Follow

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Speaker 2: me on Twitter at Sports Talk Matt. We'll always see

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Speaker 2: you thanks to bet MGM always on Bettingpros dot com

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Speaker 2: our fifteen little chat every morning. All right, let's start

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Speaker 2: with the Daily Juice T shirts. If you've not bought

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Speaker 2: a Daily Juice T shirt, come on first, they're cool. Second,

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Speaker 2: they're inexpensive. Fantasypros dot com slash store is where you're

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Speaker 2: going to go to get a hold of a Daily

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Speaker 2: Juice T shirt. I'm already seeing a bunch of you

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Speaker 2: guys around the country taking pictures and you're posting them.

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Speaker 2: Your dm ME picture is very, very cool. Love to

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Speaker 2: see it. Really really appreciative of everything. We are approaching

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Speaker 2: one million listens to the Daily Juice Podcast. We're gonna

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Speaker 2: get there probably somewhere in the middle of next month,

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Speaker 2: would be my guess. For one million listens, I'll do

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Speaker 2: something special for that. We're gonna have a giveaway for that.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna have a party for that. We're gonna have tickets,

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Speaker 2: T shirts. I don't know, something gotta celebrate that, because

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Speaker 2: that's an incredible accomplishment for you guys in this podcast

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Speaker 2: and the growth of this podcast and everything we've been doing,

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Speaker 2: so really cool stuff. I'm eyeballing that and it's just

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Speaker 2: it's just really fun. You just see these numbers climb

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Speaker 2: and climb and climb, and it's really exciting. You know,

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Speaker 2: somebody in Australia wants to buy a Daily Juice T shirt, Like,

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Speaker 2: how in the world did that happen? That's incredible but

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Speaker 2: very cool stuff. So that's cool. Last night a one

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Speaker 2: in three mark not cool. Here's the weird thing about

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Speaker 2: last night. We were trending perfectly to go four and oh,

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Speaker 2: I mean we were trending, and granted, trending means nothing,

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Speaker 2: but I still feel like the Washington Capitals.

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Speaker 1: Were a good bet.

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Speaker 2: That was a good bet, and they blew a four

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Speaker 2: to two lead up for two. They blow a four

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Speaker 2: to two lead and they lose five four in overtime.

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Speaker 2: I just needed a victory in overtime and we woul

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Speaker 2: to cash that ticket, and unfortunately they lose in overtime.

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Speaker 2: So that was a bummer puck line for the Panthers. Well,

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Speaker 2: the Panthers win the game in overtime. They also blew

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Speaker 2: a forty two lead. The over in both those games

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Speaker 2: were the play and today I only have one play

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Speaker 2: in hockey, in one play, one bet in the UFC

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Speaker 2: that I want to get too early. That fight card

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Speaker 2: happens right in the middle of the afternoon, by the way,

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Speaker 2: for Michael Chasea and Neil Magni. That's the main event

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Speaker 2: over on Flight Island, one of these weird events because

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Speaker 2: they want to have a night fight for the folks

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Speaker 2: over at Abu Dhabi, so they're giving them this like midweek,

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Speaker 2: midday ESPN plus event that's gonna happen today. So I've

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Speaker 2: got one hockey play in, one UFC play, and then

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Speaker 2: I've got like five leans. I will be playing more

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Speaker 2: than this today, but I'm gonna post the picks in

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Speaker 2: the Discord channel and I'll explain kind of what I'm

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Speaker 2: looking at and when I'm going to play. And it's

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Speaker 2: just one of these days where I can't bet overnight

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Speaker 2: because one there's no books right now in the country

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Speaker 2: putting up the odds on a couple of the plays

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Speaker 2: that I want to bet, and I'm not sold yet.

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Speaker 1: I'm not one hundred percent on board yet.

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Speaker 2: So this pod is going to be a little bit

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Speaker 2: shorter than normal because I only have two picks to

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Speaker 2: talk about. But I'm going to be in the Discord

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Speaker 2: chat tomorrow and i will at everyone official plays that

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Speaker 2: will be counted for the Daily Juice record.

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Speaker 1: I'm just not there yet.

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Speaker 2: Like the Creighton Blue Jays are playing tomorrow, Okay, the Jay's.

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Speaker 1: Line is ten.

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Speaker 2: I'm looking at the first half over for the Jays,

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Speaker 2: who have been extremely potent in the first half at home,

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Speaker 2: in particular against teams like Providence where they know they're

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Speaker 2: going to score quickly threes go down. I'm going to

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Speaker 2: be very close to taking that, but I can't bet

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Speaker 2: that yet because no one in the country has Creighton

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Speaker 2: first half over total at all up right now. So

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Speaker 2: that's one that I'm eyeballing for instance. So more on

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Speaker 2: the team, more of the things I'm looking at here

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Speaker 2: in just one second. But Alabama was the was the

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Speaker 2: easiest call of the nights, and Bama sets a record

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Speaker 2: for the most three pointers made ever in an SEC

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Speaker 2: basketball game. Natoakes has got that team rolling. I will

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Speaker 2: be eyeballing them for final four futures now, but not

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Speaker 2: yet because after a win like that, everyone's gonna come in,

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Speaker 2: the odds are gonna move around, the books are going

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Speaker 2: to adjust, and you can't bet a future right after

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Speaker 2: our performance like that. But Alabama is a team that

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Speaker 2: we've been writing and we're going to continue to ride them.

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Speaker 2: I think we're three and oh now on the are

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Speaker 2: three and one now on the on the pod taking Alabama,

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Speaker 2: But they destroyed LSU. I couldn't figure that line out,

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Speaker 2: like it just didn't make any sense to me. And

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Speaker 2: I was talking to a couple of book maker friends

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Speaker 2: and one of them was like, look, the pros are

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Speaker 2: going to take LSU, and they're gonna take the underachieving

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Speaker 2: team that has good talent and they're at home. They're

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Speaker 2: gonna take LSU, and then the public's gonna hammer Bama,

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Speaker 2: and Bama's going.

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Speaker 1: To go off as a favorite. What happened and we

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Speaker 1: got plus one and a half. We didn't need it.

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Speaker 2: Alabama with okake walk victory on the road over LSU.

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Speaker 2: They're now eleven and four against the number. They've covered

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Speaker 2: eight straight games. In the last two games, they've been

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Speaker 2: one and a half and two and a half point

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Speaker 2: favorites at the closing bell and They've won both games

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Speaker 2: in complete laugher fashion. So Natale's got that team absolutely humming,

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Speaker 2: and they've got something that's very rare. They have experience,

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Speaker 2: they have seniors, they have talent with experience in college basketball.

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Speaker 1: That's a rare thing.

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Speaker 2: And when they're good players on top of that, you

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Speaker 2: can make deep runs and impressive runs into March Madness.

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Speaker 2: Now March Madness. By the way, here's a cool little announcement.

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Speaker 2: So March Madness is starting Round one on Friday. The

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Speaker 2: play in games are on Thursday. Then Round one's on Friday,

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Speaker 2: So no Thursday start to the tournament per se. Normally

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Speaker 2: it's like a Monday Tuesday, than the day off, then Thursday. No,

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Speaker 2: the whole thing starts on Thursday with the play in games,

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Speaker 2: and then Friday is Round one Friday, Saturday, Sunday, Monday.

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Speaker 2: For the NCAA tournament, they're not going to overlap the

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Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen games. The Sweet sixteen games are gonna be

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Speaker 2: played eight and eight in back to back fashion, back

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Speaker 2: to back to back to back.

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Speaker 1: We're gonna have to figure out something to do with that.

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Speaker 2: We're gonna have to figure out a live stream or

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Speaker 2: what to do with that, because that is insane, Like

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Speaker 2: we're gonna it's not that we have eight games, is

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Speaker 2: that each game is gonna have its own TV window,

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Speaker 2: Like you're gonna sit and watch college basketball all day long.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna watch eight consecutive days. That will be the

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Speaker 2: most incredible day to me in a sportsbook ever ever.

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Speaker 2: I'm talking, it's incredible. In Round one's got sixteen teams

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Speaker 2: or sixteen games on Round you know it will be

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Speaker 2: Friday this time in sixteen teams on Saturday. That's a

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Speaker 2: crazy time to be in the book too, because your

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Speaker 2: head's on a swevel. You're like, oh my gosh, plays everywhere.

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Speaker 2: But it's even more nuts when we're gonna have eight

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Speaker 2: games played in a row on both days for days

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Speaker 2: three and four or I guess not right, So Round

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Speaker 2: A thirty two and then Sweet sixteen. Yeah, so the

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Speaker 2: Sweet sixteen games. It's just it's gonna be remarkable. And

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Speaker 2: I mean, do I have that right?

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Speaker 1: Hold on?

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Speaker 2: It may be the games in the Elite eight that

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Speaker 2: are back to back. Maybe that's at four and four.

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Speaker 2: Maybe that's what it is. So but still it's four

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Speaker 2: days in a row, four games in a row. Maybe

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Speaker 2: it's not eight games in a row. It's four games

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Speaker 2: in a row. Getting that confused, But you know what

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Speaker 2: I mean, it's gonna be really cool for the tournament.

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Speaker 1: We got to do something for the tournament.

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Speaker 2: We'll have something for a live stream or something for

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Speaker 2: the NAA tournament because I absolutely love NSTUAA tournament. Sorry

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Speaker 2: I got sidetracked, but let's talk about bet MGM.

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Speaker 1: The offer. You know it's coming up.

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Speaker 2: It's the championship games Sunday, Sunday, Sunday, two games on Sunday.

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Speaker 2: You've got one dollar to win one hundred dollars edding

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Speaker 2: team scores a touchdown.

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Speaker 1: You know what? By now?

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Speaker 2: Three bets paid on BETEMGM using that promo co juice

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Speaker 2: one hundred. It's available in Jersey, Colorado, Indiana, Tennessee, Iowa,

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Speaker 2: or West Virginia. Not available in Pennsylvania. But you gotta

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Speaker 2: be twenty one years or older. You must be physically

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Speaker 2: located in Colorado, Indiana, New Jersey, West Virginia, Tennessee, or Iowa.

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Speaker 2: Please gamble responsibly. Gambling problem called one hundred and five

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Speaker 2: to two to two forty seven hundred in Colorado. One

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Speaker 2: I heard gambler in New Jersey in West Virginia or

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Speaker 2: one hundred nine with it in Indiana. All right, let's

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Speaker 2: start with the Neil Magni Michael Chiasa fight. This is

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Speaker 2: an interesting brawl, So here we go with Michael Chiasas

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Speaker 2: seventeen and four, Neil Magni twenty eight and twenty four

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Speaker 2: and eight. Average fight time for Chiesa eight minutes fifty

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Speaker 2: five seconds. Average fight time for Neil Magni twelve minutes

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Speaker 2: and ten seconds. Both these guys are, you know, very

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Speaker 2: experienced fighters in the welterweight division. You know they're probably

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Speaker 2: never gonna fight for a championship, but they're just solid fighters, right,

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Speaker 2: solid guys. Magni is six to three, he'll have a

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Speaker 2: five inch reach advantage each. For Chiasa, he's gotta get

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Speaker 2: Magni on the ground. He averages three point eighty four

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Speaker 2: takedown attempts every fifteen minutes every three rounds. Magne's about

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Speaker 2: two point sixty three takedown defense. However, Magni is fifty

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Speaker 2: nine percent.

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Speaker 1: He's good. He's tough to get on the ground.

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Speaker 2: Both these guys are playing really well, are fighting really well.

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Speaker 2: Three straight wins for each of them, so they're coming

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Speaker 2: in here. They're both their eyeball and maybe getting some

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Speaker 2: sensational knockouts or some sensational tap out or something that

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Speaker 2: gets them on the radar screen to maybe get a

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Speaker 2: shot at the belt. Here's how I'm looking at this fight.

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Speaker 2: I don't think Magnie's got the power to knock out Chiasa.

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Speaker 2: I just I don't see it. I don't think it'll happen,

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Speaker 2: So I'm looking for value. I'm leaning heavily on Neil

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Speaker 2: Magni to win this fight at MYS one p. Thirty five,

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Speaker 2: but I can't do it. The fight going the distance, however,

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Speaker 2: is minus one ten.

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Speaker 1: And I've seen so many.

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Speaker 2: Of these fights where they're headline fights and they're just

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Speaker 2: not that impressive.

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Speaker 1: They're just not all that exciting.

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Speaker 2: And Neil Magne will keep Chiasa away from him.

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Speaker 1: I think this thing goes the distance.

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Speaker 2: I'm leaning towards Neil Magni, And if you want Neil

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Speaker 2: Magni by decision, you can get some decent plus money

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Speaker 2: on that. I haven't decided yet if I'm gonna do

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Speaker 2: that and take Neil Magneti by decision, but for a

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Speaker 2: half a unit, I'm gonna have this thing go five rounds.

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Speaker 2: It's minus one tenant Circus Sports. Just go to the court.

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Speaker 2: Just go to the cards, official play, go to the cards.

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Speaker 2: It goes all five rounds. I don't think either one

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Speaker 2: of these guys if you look at you know, stop

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Speaker 2: inside the distance odds. Neil Magni is plus three to

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Speaker 2: twenty to stop Chiasa inside the distance of five rounds,

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Speaker 2: and Michael Chiasa is plus two to twenty to do that.

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Speaker 2: So pretty heavily heavy juice to the you know, improbable

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Speaker 2: that it's not gonna happen. The books aren't expecting this

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Speaker 2: to be a quick fight. The total is two and

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Speaker 2: a half. This is what I found to be kind

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Speaker 2: of weird about the odds for this fight, because I

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Speaker 2: was gonna play the over. It's just juiced up so

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Speaker 2: much that it's unplayable and I want to go.

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Speaker 1: I mean, I want to take the over.

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Speaker 2: But when you look at the over and you're like, okay,

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Speaker 2: I'm all in to wait, lay like one seventy one

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Speaker 2: eighty one ninety the overs minus two sixty five at

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Speaker 2: DraftKings for the over two and a half rounds, the

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Speaker 2: under is plus one eighty eight. Circus Sports is very

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Speaker 2: similar to sixty minus two sixty to the over and

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Speaker 2: plus two twenty to the under. It's just I'm not

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Speaker 2: laying two sixty five juice on a total on a

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Speaker 2: on a rounds total. It's just it's gonna go over.

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Speaker 2: So I think the books know that, and so the

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Speaker 2: fight to go the distance, I think is a pretty

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Speaker 2: good bet and a pretty good you know.

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Speaker 1: I think that's the way to fight.

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Speaker 2: Did to go ahead and play this, and I just

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Speaker 2: think it goes the distance and it's minus one ten.

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Speaker 2: It's mine one fifty at UH at DraftKings, mis won

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Speaker 2: ten at Circus Sports.

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Speaker 1: So I'm paying less juice here in Vegas.

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Speaker 2: And maybe it's a little bit of a sharper book

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Speaker 2: when it comes to UFC stuff, but I think it

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Speaker 2: goes five rounds and it goes to the card. Doesn't

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Speaker 2: matter who wins half a unit, full five round fight,

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Speaker 2: Neil Magni versus Michael Chiesa mass one ten goes the

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Speaker 2: full distance for a half a unit, other half a unit.

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Speaker 2: Let's talk hockey for a second, and we've done pretty

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Speaker 2: well in hockey, although I did go zero to two

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Speaker 2: last night. That wasn't great, but we were close I mean,

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Speaker 2: we got the Panthers right, they won, just didn't do

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Speaker 2: the puck line and we got the loss in overtime.

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Speaker 2: Unfortunately for the Capitals, blowing a four to two lead

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Speaker 2: to the Montreal Penguins, sorry sorry to the to the

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Speaker 2: Pittsburgh Penguins, and a five to four loss to Pittsburgh.

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Speaker 2: And that was disgusting and really horrible. But let's talk

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Speaker 2: about what's happening here with the Saint Louis Blues. Saint

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Speaker 2: Louis for a long time was a really good defensive team,

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Speaker 2: and I think Saint Louis will get back to that

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Speaker 2: at some point, but right now, they're not a good

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Speaker 2: defensive team. Right now, Saint Louis has given up thirteen goals,

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Speaker 2: that is fifth worst in the NHL. They've scored nine

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Speaker 2: goals for them, which is pretty much like the middle

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Speaker 2: of the pack for offense, but they've given up thirteen.

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Speaker 2: They have a negative four goal differential. Now they're two

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Speaker 2: to one. Granted, a lot of those goals came in

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Speaker 2: one game. Eight of those goals came in one game

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Speaker 2: against Colorado. But they're taking on the San Jose Sharks,

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Speaker 2: who equally are bad at giving up goals. San Jose

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Speaker 2: has given up thirteen goals and it all wasn't in

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Speaker 2: one game. You know, you can you make the excuse

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Speaker 2: and say, oh, it was in one game. So the

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Speaker 2: two games played one game already it was five to

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Speaker 2: four the final, okay, five to four, nine goals being scored,

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Speaker 2: the total is six. There's a good chance we can

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Speaker 2: push like we pushed with the Vegas Golden Knights with six.

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Speaker 1: But it's done a betting the under here.

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Speaker 2: I'm gonna bet the over at minus one fifteen because

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Speaker 2: I don't think these defenses are good. I think San

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Speaker 2: Jose can score on the power play. Samsey's power play

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Speaker 2: is not bad, at second best right now in power

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Speaker 2: play percentage forty five point five percent of the time.

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Speaker 1: They're scoring power plays now.

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Speaker 2: It's very early, very small sample size, but by a

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Speaker 2: pretty good power play. So if San Jose can get

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Speaker 2: on the power play, they're scoring goals right now. And

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Speaker 2: San Jose is you know, they're not bad. They're one

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Speaker 2: and two. I don't know how good Saint Louis is,

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Speaker 2: but they're more offensive minded than they have been in

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Speaker 2: years past, even with Jordan bingsony Net. So I'm gonna

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Speaker 2: play the over for a half a unit Sharks Blues

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Speaker 2: over at minus one fifteen, and hope that we see

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Speaker 2: some power plays for San Jose. And hope that we see,

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Speaker 2: you know, some some easy goal opportunities for Saint Louis,

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Speaker 2: you know, turnovers and easy scores, and maybe they get

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Speaker 2: their power play going because they haven't scored a power

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Speaker 2: play goal yet for Saint Louis, so to the over

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Speaker 2: six goals five to four was the first time around.

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Speaker 2: Let's hope we see a very similar thing. So one

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Speaker 2: hockey play and one UFC play going. Now here are

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Speaker 2: the Leans and I don't have plagues yet, but I'm

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Speaker 2: looking Here's what I'm looking at. I want to know

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Speaker 2: who's playing for Boston on the road at Philadelphia as

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Speaker 2: an underdog getting points.

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Speaker 1: Brad Stevens is a wizard.

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Speaker 2: The Boston Celtics are coming off their worst loss in

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Speaker 2: the Brad Steer Stephens era. Philly is an arch rival.

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Speaker 2: Who's playing? Is Tatum playing? Probably not? But I want

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Speaker 2: to see who's available for Boston and what Boston looks

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Speaker 2: like going into the game. Okay, is Kemba Walker playing?

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Speaker 2: I got to see all that before I take Boston

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Speaker 2: plus the points. It was five and a half at

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Speaker 2: Fan Duel last night, it was five at DraftKings. It

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Speaker 2: was not up here in Vegas, so I got to

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Speaker 2: watch this in the morning to see where it is.

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Speaker 2: But I want to take Boston plus the points, depending

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Speaker 2: on how many points I get, but I want more

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Speaker 2: than four for Boston up against the Philadelphia seventy six ers.

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Speaker 2: I think Boston's got a shot to bounce back and

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Speaker 2: win the game again. This is a road dog situation again,

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Speaker 2: but Boston should be really angry. I'm sure Brad Stevens

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Speaker 2: screened to this team for hours after what happened against.

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Speaker 1: The Knicks, So that's a game.

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Speaker 2: I'm looking to play Boston plus the points at Philly

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Speaker 2: in the NBA. In college basketball, the Creighton Blue Jays

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Speaker 2: or at home against Providence.

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Speaker 1: They're laying ten points. That's a lot. I don't want

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Speaker 1: to lay that down.

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Speaker 2: I don't want to lay the ten, but I don't

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Speaker 2: trust Providence either to cover it.

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Speaker 1: However, first half.

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Speaker 2: Over for the Creighton Blue Jays, the total's like one

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Speaker 2: forty five, so I'm hoping we get somewhere around like

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Speaker 2: sixty nine seventy seventy one somewhere in that range for

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Speaker 2: a first half total. We're gonna go over Creighton in

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Speaker 2: the first half up against up against Providence tonight in

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Speaker 2: college basketball, So we've got kind of that that we're eyeballing,

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Speaker 2: trying to figure out whether we want to go with

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Speaker 2: that and Neil Magni to win the fight as well.

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Speaker 2: At MAS one thirty five, I'm still kind of tooling

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Speaker 2: around whether I want to take Neil Magne or not.

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Speaker 1: So I'm just those are three plays that I'm very

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Speaker 1: seriously considering.

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Speaker 2: And I'm also closed to taking the Canadians over the

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Speaker 2: Canucks on the money line, so I think Montreal could

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Speaker 2: win this game tonight.

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Speaker 1: I'm a big fan of this Canadians team. I like

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Speaker 1: them a lot.

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Speaker 2: I'm just I haven't come around yet to pull the

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Speaker 2: trigger on Montreal against Vancouver.

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Speaker 1: So those are.

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Speaker 2: Four plays that all might get made today, just a

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Speaker 2: bunch of leans because it's a COVID era weird time

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Speaker 2: and I don't have the ability to bet these games

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Speaker 2: before they go off. So two plays officially for the

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Speaker 2: podcast right now. The fight main event goes all five

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Speaker 2: rounds minus one ten for Magni in Chiaza, and then

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Speaker 2: We're taking the Sharks and the Blues over six goals

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Speaker 2: for MIAs one point fifteen for a half a unit.

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Speaker 2: We're looking at the Canadians over the Canucks, the Celtics

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Speaker 2: plus the points first half over for the Creating Blue Jays,

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Speaker 2: and Neil Magni to win his fight outright over Michael Chiesa.

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Speaker 1: All Leans not official plays. I'm not there yet.

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Speaker 2: In the discord chat, I will at everyone which ones

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Speaker 2: I take, which ones I don't? Going for today? Every

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Speaker 2: morning it's the dili Juice Podcast. You can follow me

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Speaker 2: on Twitter at sports Talk Matt, same name in the

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Speaker 2: discord channel at bettingpros dot com slash juice for the invite,

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Speaker 2: clicklink to get in.

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Speaker 1: I'm back tomorrow morning for a Thursday.

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Speaker 2: Every morning, it's the dil Juice podcast right here on

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Speaker 2: bettingpros dot com, brought to you by bet imgm