1 00:00:02,160 --> 00:00:07,119 Speaker 1: Zone Media. Hello and welcome to this week's Better Offline Monologue. 2 00:00:07,200 --> 00:00:17,159 Speaker 1: I'm at Zychra and your host. As a reminder, you 3 00:00:17,200 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 1: can buy Better Offline merchandise now. You'll find a link 4 00:00:19,840 --> 00:00:21,639 Speaker 1: to it in the episode notes. You all seem to 5 00:00:21,640 --> 00:00:24,240 Speaker 1: really like it. It's cool stuff. But I know some 6 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: of you have also said recently that I've done too 7 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:30,080 Speaker 1: much AI stuff recently, and I wanted to take a 8 00:00:30,120 --> 00:00:32,080 Speaker 1: little time to explain why I've been doing so, in 9 00:00:32,120 --> 00:00:34,960 Speaker 1: part because I'm not going to change the generative AI 10 00:00:35,040 --> 00:00:38,199 Speaker 1: boom is about far more than art, official intelligence, or 11 00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:40,760 Speaker 1: cloud storage or data centers or what part of Hawaii 12 00:00:40,800 --> 00:00:43,760 Speaker 1: Mark Zuckerberg will buy next. I believe this movement is 13 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:46,199 Speaker 1: symbolic of a greater rot in the tech industry and 14 00:00:46,240 --> 00:00:49,280 Speaker 1: indeed in media criticism, both inside and outside of the 15 00:00:49,320 --> 00:00:51,960 Speaker 1: tech media, and that the nature of criticism must indeed 16 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:54,440 Speaker 1: change to meet this moment. Now, a few of the 17 00:00:54,480 --> 00:00:57,080 Speaker 1: most consistent critiques in my work are mostly around my tone. 18 00:00:57,080 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 1: I'm a hater, I'm a cynic, I'm a skeptic, I'm 19 00:00:59,360 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: too emotional, I've gone overboard. The local townspeople should throw 20 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,280 Speaker 1: tomatoes at me. I should be treated in the way 21 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 1: of Shrek and exiled from society, things like that. But 22 00:01:08,360 --> 00:01:10,560 Speaker 1: in all seriousness, it seems the only way my work 23 00:01:10,600 --> 00:01:14,240 Speaker 1: is reliably critiqued is to suggest that my emotions invalidate 24 00:01:14,240 --> 00:01:18,880 Speaker 1: my criticisms somehow, and that saying fuck somehow weakens my arguments. Basically, 25 00:01:18,920 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 1: that giving a shit is invalidating when it comes to 26 00:01:22,720 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: criticizing something. And I find that putrid, by the way, 27 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:27,760 Speaker 1: but it's how things are, and I kind of get it. 28 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:31,200 Speaker 1: Most financial tech criticism is expected to be dry and clinical, 29 00:01:31,240 --> 00:01:33,600 Speaker 1: and any emotional content should be positive or at the 30 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:36,600 Speaker 1: very least optimistic, And I do not believe this tone 31 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: is sufficient for the seriousness of the matters at hand. 32 00:01:39,440 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: We are, as I have said repeatedly several years, into 33 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:44,880 Speaker 1: a hysterical, illogical bubble, one launched off the back of 34 00:01:44,920 --> 00:01:48,160 Speaker 1: two smaller yet no less hysterical bubbles, at times by 35 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:49,960 Speaker 1: the same people, some of them writing for the New 36 00:01:50,000 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 1: York Times of the verge, We as a society have 37 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:55,600 Speaker 1: accepted the terms that the generative AI companies want us to. 38 00:01:56,040 --> 00:01:58,559 Speaker 1: That we must destroy the environment, that we must steal 39 00:01:58,560 --> 00:02:01,000 Speaker 1: from millions of people, that we must burn billions of 40 00:02:01,040 --> 00:02:03,720 Speaker 1: dollars all in pursuit of a vague and specious outcome 41 00:02:03,760 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 1: that will never really arrive. This isn't to say that 42 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,880 Speaker 1: we've had much choice in said acceptance. The media has 43 00:02:09,919 --> 00:02:13,400 Speaker 1: repeatedly accepted and promoted these narratives, helped justify these costs, 44 00:02:13,520 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 1: and presented ridiculous narratives as sensible ones. The outcome has 45 00:02:16,960 --> 00:02:19,960 Speaker 1: been a massive transfer of wealth upwards, both into the 46 00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:23,000 Speaker 1: market capitalization of hyperscalers and into the pockets of Sam 47 00:02:23,000 --> 00:02:26,000 Speaker 1: Mortman and other founders pretending generative AI will become some 48 00:02:26,040 --> 00:02:29,280 Speaker 1: sort of conscious intelligence or the next hypergrowth market, regardless 49 00:02:29,280 --> 00:02:32,239 Speaker 1: of whether of these things is possible. The other outcome 50 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 1: has been the rise of many new kinds of grifters, 51 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:38,240 Speaker 1: the ethermolics of the world that creates scientific sounding yet 52 00:02:38,280 --> 00:02:41,560 Speaker 1: specious reviews of AI models, the slop filled AI newsletters 53 00:02:41,560 --> 00:02:44,480 Speaker 1: with fake subscribe accounts, and the many many AI influencers 54 00:02:44,639 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: that exist as extensions of AI companies pr departments. Yet 55 00:02:48,480 --> 00:02:50,360 Speaker 1: the most worrying part has been the members of the 56 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:52,600 Speaker 1: media that have allowed this to happen. This isn't to 57 00:02:52,600 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: say anybody is even Kevin rus and Case and Newton 58 00:02:55,280 --> 00:02:57,800 Speaker 1: are included here. I don't think anyone's corrupt, but the 59 00:02:57,840 --> 00:03:00,640 Speaker 1: media is unprepared, unwilling, or able to push back on 60 00:03:00,680 --> 00:03:03,840 Speaker 1: the narratives. The structures that hold up tech and business 61 00:03:03,840 --> 00:03:06,480 Speaker 1: media are not built to truly explain or criticize what's 62 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:09,239 Speaker 1: happening in the tech industry or even the economy at large. 63 00:03:10,560 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 1: These structures are built not to ask is this real? 64 00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 1: Or will this work? But when this works, what will 65 00:03:15,040 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: it look like. They're built not to question whether an 66 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 1: industry is like real at all, but to assume that 67 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:24,040 Speaker 1: there are always risks in building anything, and thus the 68 00:03:24,080 --> 00:03:26,360 Speaker 1: most important part is discussing what the person in question 69 00:03:26,480 --> 00:03:30,840 Speaker 1: wants to happen. Media's desperation for objectivity regularly deprives the 70 00:03:30,880 --> 00:03:33,800 Speaker 1: reader of the value of being objective because objectivity is 71 00:03:33,840 --> 00:03:39,000 Speaker 1: being conflated with being passive. True objective journalism, which is impossible, 72 00:03:39,040 --> 00:03:41,000 Speaker 1: by the way, would say that both the Open AI 73 00:03:41,120 --> 00:03:43,360 Speaker 1: raised a bunch of money and loses billions a year, 74 00:03:43,400 --> 00:03:45,440 Speaker 1: and that to continue doing business they'll have to raise 75 00:03:45,520 --> 00:03:49,240 Speaker 1: unbelievable sums of money every year. Instead, articles in open 76 00:03:49,240 --> 00:03:51,240 Speaker 1: AI just print that they raised money and why they 77 00:03:51,320 --> 00:03:54,360 Speaker 1: raised it, or that their products do something. No interest 78 00:03:54,400 --> 00:03:56,800 Speaker 1: in finding out what there's something is whether it's important 79 00:03:56,800 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: and whether it will lead to any outcome, probably because 80 00:03:59,160 --> 00:04:02,320 Speaker 1: it won't. The initial consequences of this passivity are that 81 00:04:02,440 --> 00:04:05,440 Speaker 1: venture capitalist anders select few startup founders have become very, 82 00:04:05,600 --> 00:04:08,040 Speaker 1: very rich, The big tech firms have had something new 83 00:04:08,080 --> 00:04:10,480 Speaker 1: to hock to their customers, and the access journalists have 84 00:04:10,520 --> 00:04:12,520 Speaker 1: had a new thing to pretend they care about. And 85 00:04:12,600 --> 00:04:14,680 Speaker 1: also a fallow tech industry has had something to get 86 00:04:14,680 --> 00:04:17,520 Speaker 1: excited about. None of this money has trickled down to 87 00:04:17,560 --> 00:04:20,119 Speaker 1: anybody other than the powerful, nor have any mass market 88 00:04:20,240 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 1: productivity gains been realized, nor has society improved as a result. 89 00:04:24,440 --> 00:04:26,480 Speaker 1: The only things that appear to have changed is that 90 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:28,599 Speaker 1: these companies need more money, and they don't even need 91 00:04:28,640 --> 00:04:31,160 Speaker 1: to tell anybody why. The media just assumes they need 92 00:04:31,200 --> 00:04:34,080 Speaker 1: it to build powerful AI. I think it's fair to 93 00:04:34,120 --> 00:04:36,240 Speaker 1: say at this point that the generative AI boom hasn't 94 00:04:36,240 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: done much of anything other than create new ways for 95 00:04:38,360 --> 00:04:41,640 Speaker 1: software companies to sell software or access to models. There 96 00:04:41,680 --> 00:04:43,680 Speaker 1: are no killer apps, no major shifts in the way 97 00:04:43,680 --> 00:04:45,839 Speaker 1: we live our lives outside of innovations in fraud and 98 00:04:45,839 --> 00:04:48,240 Speaker 1: harms to our power grid, and whatever use cases there 99 00:04:48,279 --> 00:04:50,840 Speaker 1: may be for large language models. Are miniscule in comparison 100 00:04:50,839 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 1: to the way that AI is discussed in the media. 101 00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 1: I am justifiably angry because I watch these bubbles form 102 00:04:56,760 --> 00:04:59,480 Speaker 1: again and again in exactly the same way at every 103 00:04:59,520 --> 00:05:02,120 Speaker 1: single p With the metaverus, with cryptocurrency, and now with 104 00:05:02,160 --> 00:05:04,880 Speaker 1: generative AI, there have been obvious moments to say, yeah, 105 00:05:04,960 --> 00:05:07,279 Speaker 1: I get that this is what you say will happen, 106 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:09,839 Speaker 1: but what's happening today doesn't suggest that it will happen 107 00:05:09,880 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 1: at all. And every time those moments have been missed, 108 00:05:12,800 --> 00:05:14,800 Speaker 1: and the media is opted instead to ask, but what 109 00:05:14,920 --> 00:05:18,200 Speaker 1: if it was true? When the media opts to trust 110 00:05:18,200 --> 00:05:20,359 Speaker 1: whatever comes out of the mouth of a powerful person, 111 00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:24,840 Speaker 1: the beneficiary is always always the powerful person in question. Yet, 112 00:05:24,880 --> 00:05:26,680 Speaker 1: a better world would be one where the altmans and 113 00:05:26,720 --> 00:05:29,520 Speaker 1: Amma days have to actually justify themselves, show what the 114 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:32,440 Speaker 1: models can do, give realistic projections. Know that they can't 115 00:05:32,440 --> 00:05:35,200 Speaker 1: just say whatever and get quoted automatically, because this kind 116 00:05:35,200 --> 00:05:38,440 Speaker 1: of accountability would make their current work overstanding their models capabilities, 117 00:05:38,440 --> 00:05:42,159 Speaker 1: and running unsustainable and destructive businesses impossible or at least 118 00:05:42,200 --> 00:05:45,280 Speaker 1: much more difficult. A better tech industry is one where 119 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:48,159 Speaker 1: the products we hear about actually exist, where hype cycles 120 00:05:48,200 --> 00:05:50,640 Speaker 1: are built based on execution and outcomes rather than whether 121 00:05:50,720 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 1: something may or may not be in the future. While 122 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:56,279 Speaker 1: there is always a place in the tech media to dream, 123 00:05:56,279 --> 00:05:58,279 Speaker 1: to guess what might come next, to talk to people 124 00:05:58,320 --> 00:06:00,800 Speaker 1: inventing things, to talk to researchers, and I have no 125 00:06:00,839 --> 00:06:03,560 Speaker 1: problem with that, and it's fine to anticipate what the 126 00:06:03,640 --> 00:06:05,719 Speaker 1: effects of these things could be, so much of this 127 00:06:05,839 --> 00:06:08,200 Speaker 1: industry has become about those dreams, to the point that 128 00:06:08,240 --> 00:06:10,560 Speaker 1: innovation is far less relevant than whether you can convince 129 00:06:10,640 --> 00:06:14,320 Speaker 1: enough people that something might happen. Nevertheless, there is definitely 130 00:06:14,320 --> 00:06:17,320 Speaker 1: something missing in Better Offline, and that's excitement. The feedback 131 00:06:17,320 --> 00:06:19,320 Speaker 1: I got from my last monologue around fitness and tech 132 00:06:19,400 --> 00:06:22,880 Speaker 1: I liked was profound, and I will be looking forward 133 00:06:22,880 --> 00:06:25,920 Speaker 1: to doing more episodes like that, especially these monologues on 134 00:06:25,960 --> 00:06:27,680 Speaker 1: the things that I use that I really enjoy, all 135 00:06:27,720 --> 00:06:29,800 Speaker 1: the cool stuff that tech is actually doing. It's going 136 00:06:29,880 --> 00:06:31,400 Speaker 1: to be a process to get there, but I think 137 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:33,680 Speaker 1: you're really gonna like what you hear when I start 138 00:06:33,760 --> 00:06:36,480 Speaker 1: doing it. Don't worry, though, there's still so much rots 139 00:06:36,480 --> 00:06:44,240 Speaker 1: economy bullshit to unpack, as you'll hear in tomorrow's episode