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Speaker 1: Welcome to Fantasy Football Weekly, a production of iHeartRadio.

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Speaker 2: Time now for Fantasy Football Weekly from iHeartRadio, your weekly

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Speaker 2: source for the nation's best fantasy football advice, speculation, and

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Speaker 2: whatever stupid stuff they decide to drop into the show. Now,

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Speaker 2: here's your host, Paul Chargian.

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Speaker 1: It's Fantasy Football Weekly. I am Paul Charchie, and my

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Speaker 1: co host, as has been the case for most of

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Speaker 1: these off season episodes, Brian Johnson.

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Speaker 3: Hey, Hey charch Happy fourth of July.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I love the fourth of July weekend.

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Speaker 3: Do you really?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, I do.

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Speaker 3: I had a sense we're just talking off air about it.

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Speaker 1: And yeah, Minnesota is a very unique case. And I

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Speaker 1: don't want to bore people too much Minnesota centric stuff,

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Speaker 1: but in Minnesota, like half the population owns a cabin

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Speaker 1: in the north half of Minnesota.

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Speaker 3: Or they know La so they know someone who.

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Speaker 1: Or knows somebody right, So much of the Twin Cities

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Speaker 1: just empties to the north. And I love being in

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Speaker 1: town where there's no traffic. The restaurants are aren't crowded,

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Speaker 1: the movie theaters aren't crowded. Everything I want to do

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Speaker 1: is got less people in it.

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Speaker 3: We are in lockstep there. Love Yeah, that part is fantasic,

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Speaker 3: going up North Way too much riff raff. I just

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Speaker 3: hate fireworks. I'm not like, not like the big organized ones.

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Speaker 3: You want to go sit in traffic and walk out

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Speaker 3: to the field of the brit Fine.

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Speaker 1: You're not interested in the in the fire cracker, the

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Speaker 1: Roman candle.

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Speaker 3: The people across the border for those who don't know,

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Speaker 3: in Wisconsin you can buy the real deal. Well, yeah,

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Speaker 3: I hate the good stuff, especially people that are lighting

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Speaker 3: them off at two am.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, you can give out the thoughtful about that stuff.

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Speaker 1: But what if people it's ten o'clock on the fourth

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Speaker 1: of July, game on? I mean, that's that's your problem.

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Speaker 1: Not there so that time they breaking the law.

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Speaker 3: Oh they're not, aren't they.

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Speaker 1: No? I guess a lot of fireworks when you do it, those.

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Speaker 3: Things are like weapons of mass destruction.

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Speaker 1: And bring it on, baby. I love that stuff. I

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Speaker 1: love it now.

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Speaker 3: I'll tell you I don't not wait until the fifth

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Speaker 3: of July.

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Speaker 1: Here's what I don't like about fireworks. And it's the

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Speaker 1: only thing for me is I am one of those

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Speaker 1: people that mosquitoes love me. They've got my scent, I've

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Speaker 1: got the blood type they love and So if you're

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Speaker 1: outside watching some big fireworks thing, the mosquitoes find me first,

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Speaker 1: and I can't you know, in the twenty minutes it

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Speaker 1: takes to get through the whole fireworks display regimen, I've

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Speaker 1: got like forty mosquito bites. And I'm not kidding. I

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Speaker 1: mean just it's like every few seconds, I'm getting a bite.

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Speaker 3: I love the people that take pictures or videos of

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Speaker 3: the fireworks, like you're ever gonna go back and look

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Speaker 3: at that.

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Speaker 1: It just doesn't work.

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Speaker 3: Check out the picture of this firework. You really have

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Speaker 3: to be there.

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Speaker 1: But it's like concerts. It's like the people who filmed

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Speaker 1: the concerts. It doesn't work that way.

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Speaker 3: Just enjoy the moment with your eyeballs.

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Speaker 1: Exactly because it's not going to translate and it won't

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Speaker 1: mean it's like one tenth is good. Later, all right,

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Speaker 1: let's speak of Minnesota. Yeah, hey, let's break down the

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Speaker 1: off seasons and the forecasting for the NFC North and

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Speaker 1: the AFC North.

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Speaker 3: We're gonna close it out, right, Yeah, So we've.

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Speaker 1: Already done all the other divisions and this is our

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Speaker 1: these are our last divisions to do the norths which

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Speaker 1: also I think that you know the key part of this,

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Speaker 1: in addition is getting up to speed on some of

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Speaker 1: the kiopsis moves, is really identifying the players that are

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Speaker 1: getting drafted wrong right now based on current ADP. And

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Speaker 1: let's uh, why don't we start in I don't know, Uh,

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Speaker 1: I want to do Green Bay. Uh sure, I think

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Speaker 1: that that is you, that is me? Yeah, how about Detroit?

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Speaker 3: Yeah, we can go to Detroit.

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Speaker 1: To Detroit. They're they're the favored by a mile. They're

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Speaker 1: the Vegas favorite to win.

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Speaker 3: The NFC North but wide open in my opinion. But yes,

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Speaker 3: Detroit are the favorites. Those are the times we are

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Speaker 3: living in. It's kind of crazy. The Lions also one

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Speaker 3: of the teams with the most turnover on offense this offseason.

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Speaker 3: Major moves in their backfield. Jamal Williams last year is

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Speaker 3: leading munch down leader. Yeah, Russier gone in New Orleans now.

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Speaker 3: DeAndre Swift trade to the Eagles, So in comes David

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Speaker 3: Montgomery to likely assume the Jamal Williams role, and they

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Speaker 3: drafted rookie Jamier Gibbs with the thirteenth overall pick for

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Speaker 3: major draft capital sunk into Gibbs, who's expected to play

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Speaker 3: this hybrid running back receiver role. I will see how

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Speaker 3: that pans out, but it's really going to be a

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Speaker 3: Montgomery with the early down work. It looks like in

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Speaker 3: Gibbs he'll play most downs, but certainly the third down

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Speaker 3: specialist you would think coming out of the backfield at

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Speaker 3: wide receiver. DJ Shark left via free agency. Back home

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Speaker 3: comes Marvin Jones to the Lions fo year old Marvin Jones.

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Speaker 3: Jamison Williams not really an off season move, but he

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Speaker 3: made a move with his finger on his phone in

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Speaker 3: the facility where he made a bet.

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Speaker 1: Yep, And it wasn't even in the facility. I think

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Speaker 1: it was in away game hotel. It's where he plays

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Speaker 1: the bet. And now he's out six.

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Speaker 3: But that's considered, you know, like yeah off, you know,

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Speaker 3: that's like a traveling team. But anyway, he'll miss the

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Speaker 3: first six games. We'll talk about the wide receiver situation

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Speaker 3: a little more in a minute or two. Lions also

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Speaker 3: drafted tight end Sam Laporta out of Iowa in the

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Speaker 3: second round. He's expected to either starting tight end going

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Speaker 3: into the season, and Hendon Hooker drafted to back up. Well,

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Speaker 3: I don't know if he's not gonna be the initial

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Speaker 3: backup for Jared Goff, but he's he's an intriguing diynasty

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Speaker 3: Stats twenty twenty four definitely not this year. We won't

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Speaker 3: expect much from Hooker. Will the offense be better or

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Speaker 3: worse than last year? It was top top five offense

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Speaker 3: last year. I'm gonna say about the same. But Jami

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Speaker 3: or Gibbs is a huge update potentially with the Jamison

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Speaker 3: Williams suspension. Granted, he'll missed a lot of last year,

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Speaker 3: but he came on strong at the end of the year.

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Speaker 3: You know you need eight catches THEA. But he'll miss

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Speaker 3: the first six games. But it's not gonna get any worse.

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Speaker 3: We'll put it that way. It's gonna I'll go with better,

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Speaker 3: but it's not going to get worse, even though there's

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Speaker 3: a lot of changes on that offense. To me, the

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Speaker 3: most underdrafted player right now is David Montgomery. I agreed

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Speaker 3: at running back twenty six eighty fourth overall. I mean,

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Speaker 3: Jamal Williams seventeen touchdowns last year, and it's not like

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Speaker 3: Montgomery's automatically slated for seventeen touchdowns.

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Speaker 1: He won't get seventeen, but he's gonna he could get

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Speaker 1: double digit. But even if he gets roughly half that,

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Speaker 1: so you put him on nine, that's a touchdown every

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Speaker 1: other game. And then for Montgomery.

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Speaker 3: Running back twenty six, I'll take that all day. And

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Speaker 3: Jamior Gibbs the most overdrafted to me at running back fourteen,

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Speaker 3: going forty first overall, you're getting, you know, a fifty

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Speaker 3: percent discount on Montgomery, who I suspect is going to

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Speaker 3: score more touchdowns total, more yards.

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Speaker 1: I don't well about the yard I don't agree with

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Speaker 1: you on the yards at all, but I'm with you

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Speaker 1: on the touchdowns and Gibb. What worries me about Gibbs

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Speaker 1: is there's a real path for Gibbs to have like

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Speaker 1: a five touchdown season like DeAndre Swift right where he's

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Speaker 1: not gonna get goal line work. He needs to score

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Speaker 1: from distance, which he'll do a few times. You know,

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Speaker 1: he'll he's gonna Gibbs is going to be a guy

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Speaker 1: that's gonna roll up. It'll have a couple of long

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Speaker 1: runs or whatever, but he's gonna roll up what five

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Speaker 1: ish catches a game for forty yards. So he's gonna

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Speaker 1: get you like nine fantasy points right there on full

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Speaker 1: PPR for sure, for sure.

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Speaker 3: PPR Dings standard big ding right much. I'm with you.

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Speaker 1: I just don't think the touchdowns are going to be

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Speaker 1: there for Gibbs to get all the way up to

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Speaker 1: be running back fourteen. But I do think that's in

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Speaker 1: a full PPR. Running Back fourteen to me isn't far

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Speaker 1: off of where he should be.

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Speaker 3: No, not in full PPR. No.

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Speaker 1: Now let's go to the Vikings off season moves that matter.

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Speaker 1: For the Vikings. They released Adam Thelen replaced him with

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Speaker 1: first round pick Jordan Addison. Theeling by many metrics, took

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Speaker 1: a big step backwards last year, including his cushion rate,

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Speaker 1: his separation rate, yards after catching me, just a lot

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Speaker 1: of things that really suggested Thelon was at the end

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Speaker 1: of a very good career. And then, of course they

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Speaker 1: released Dalvin Cook outright, and they replaced him with nobody knew,

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Speaker 1: but did resign Alexander Madison to a two year deal.

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Speaker 1: We'll talk more about him in a few minutes. This

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Speaker 1: offense will trend similar to last year, when the Vikings

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Speaker 1: finished eighth in points, sixth in yards. Dalvin Cook wasn't

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Speaker 1: great anymore last year, but the overall running back depth

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Speaker 1: chart takes a step back clearly Without Dalvin Cook, the

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Speaker 1: passing game is going to miss the sure hands of feeling,

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Speaker 1: but they gained the big play threat of a young

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Speaker 1: Jordan Addison, which is very exciting. Kirk Cousins will be

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Speaker 1: thirty five this season. Maybe this is the season where

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Speaker 1: he starts to show his age, but we didn't see

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Speaker 1: really any signs of that last year. He looked very

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Speaker 1: much last year like the quarterback he had been for

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Speaker 1: the past several years, and so Kirk still seems like

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Speaker 1: a very safe, bankable guy. So I think this team

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Speaker 1: trends about the same as last year.

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Speaker 3: Cousins isn't a guy that I'm concerned about age now.

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Speaker 1: It doesn't feel like it doesn't like.

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Speaker 3: When we get into the his late thirties, he feels

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Speaker 3: like a guy w's gonna play itu ttill he's forty, Like, Yeah,

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Speaker 3: I don't know, because he's not a mobile quarterback, so

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Speaker 3: we're not really relying on his yeah athleticism that he's

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Speaker 3: been very reliable in his career so far.

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Speaker 1: So the most overdrafted player I think is Alexander Madison,

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Speaker 1: going off the board at running back nineteen sixty first overall,

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Speaker 1: and he certainly enters training camp atop the depth chart

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Speaker 1: at the running back position. But this is way more

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Speaker 1: of an open battle than people realize. Alexander Madison is

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Speaker 1: a lackluster runner by many different metrics. He is as

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Speaker 1: they say, he's a jag. He is just a guy.

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Speaker 1: He's got subpar vision, He's not very good laterally, he's

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Speaker 1: a mediocre receiver. The burst is not particularly notable. There's

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Speaker 1: a lot of things about his game that I find

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Speaker 1: to be very, very average, and I see Madison as

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Speaker 1: the most likely Week one starter. But if he doesn't

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Speaker 1: really produce, I think Kevin O'Connell's going to start working

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Speaker 1: in some of the depth chart guys like ty Chandler

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Speaker 1: and maybe Dwayne McBride who they took late in the draft.

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Speaker 3: So I think a lot of teams are going to

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Speaker 3: me mixing in three running backs in the Vikings are

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Speaker 3: certainly one of them. Yeah, people are just assuming Madison's

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Speaker 3: is going to get the old person.

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Speaker 1: That he's just gonna take Dalvin Cook's touches.

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Speaker 3: I'll believe it when I see it. Maybe I'm not

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Speaker 3: thinking that either.

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Speaker 1: The most underdrafted player related to Madison, ty Chandler, you

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Speaker 1: can get him basically free He's going off the board

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Speaker 1: at pick two oh one. He's splashed last year in

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Speaker 1: the preseason, but couldn't get on the field ahead of

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Speaker 1: Cook in Madison. But Cook's gone and now ty Chandler's

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Speaker 1: the sophomore and has the potential to get a lot better.

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Speaker 1: He's the best pass catcher among Viking running backs, and

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Speaker 1: he is a big play home run hitter. Going off

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Speaker 1: the board at running back sixty one right now. So

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Speaker 1: you got a lot of opportunity with ty Chandler as

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Speaker 1: a last pick of your draft dart throw, and he

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Speaker 1: might just turn out to inherit that job from Alexander

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Speaker 1: Madison at some point, maybe early in the season.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, I've been drafting a lot of ty Chandler.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the Chicago Bears.

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Speaker 3: Brian the Bear's a lot of moves in the office.

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Speaker 3: He's in, not a ton of exciting moves. The most

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Speaker 3: exciting move was they traded the first overall pick to

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Speaker 3: the Panthers for a package including DJ Moore, who's arguably

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Speaker 3: the best wide receiver in Bears history already.

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Speaker 1: Wow, that's a great question, actually.

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Speaker 3: Except Bernard Barry in that one year.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, Brandon, what's his Bran Mash had a couple of.

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Speaker 3: Good years, but that really hasn't been a ton to

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Speaker 3: talk about the wide receiver position, So yeah, DJ Moore

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Speaker 3: will definitely bolster that pass attack. The Bears also signed

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Speaker 3: former panther Dante Forman, he was in part of that

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Speaker 3: that trade, to a one year deal. We mentioned David

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Speaker 3: Montgomery gone from Chicago, so he will compete for touches

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Speaker 3: with Khalil Herbert who's already in town. And the Bears

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Speaker 3: also drafted running back Roshawn Johnson out of Texas in

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Speaker 3: the fourth round. A guy we like you a lot we know,

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Speaker 3: or a good buddy. Thor loves him. Johnson backed up

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Speaker 3: Bjon Robinson at Texas, and if he wasn't Bijon backup,

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Speaker 3: you know, played somewhere else, he might have gone a

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Speaker 3: lot higher in the draft.

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Speaker 1: So yeah, you know, I've watched a bunch of Rochan

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Speaker 1: Johnson in preparation for the draft, and I walked away

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Speaker 1: a lot less impressed than Thor is. But Thor watches

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Speaker 1: a lot more college football than I do, and so

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Speaker 1: I'm willing to kind of give Thor the benefit of

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Speaker 1: the doubt here. He thinks Rochan is just gonna bury Khalil,

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Speaker 1: but I'm an and foreman and for form if he's

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Speaker 1: not even this conversation. So but I'm just I don't

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Speaker 1: know if I feel as confident about that.

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Speaker 3: Well, whoever ends up well for all the running backs involved.

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Speaker 3: Another notable not move but draft pick. The Bears got

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Speaker 3: the tenth overall pick among many other picks for trading

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Speaker 3: the first overall pick, and they took offensive tackle Darnell

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Speaker 3: Wright with that pick. So yeah, that's great for their

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Speaker 3: line and I guess it's worth mentioning tight end Robert

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Speaker 3: Tunyan also acquired via free agency, but Cole committed the

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Speaker 3: offense should be better this year with the addition of

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Speaker 3: DJ Moore the offensive or needs name is slipping my mind.

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Speaker 3: It's his second year, it's basically everyone's second year, and

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Speaker 3: the coach staff going in more weapons, better o line,

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Speaker 3: so the offense should be better under justin fields the

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Speaker 3: most underdrafted player by ADP. I was tempted to go

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Speaker 3: with the cheapest running back, who is Forehiman. You think

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Speaker 3: he's dust I do, I don't know I brought the reason, but.

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Speaker 1: They also drafted Roshan Johnson for a reason.

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Speaker 3: I'm out on this entire backfield. Now, I was, I

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Speaker 3: was on the Rochan train. I was taking my chances there.

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Speaker 3: But of course he's not the clear cut starter, doesn't

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Speaker 3: have a clear cut path. He's gonna compete with Herbert

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Speaker 3: and for him a little bit in my mind, and

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Speaker 3: Justin Fields is gonna take some high quality touches or

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Speaker 3: carries in that offense too. So I'm out on this backfield.

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Speaker 3: So I'm gonna go wide receiver for the most underdrafted player.

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Speaker 3: And no it's not Chase Claypool, who they're not happy with,

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Speaker 3: shockingly awful trade by the way, yeah, or the last

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Speaker 3: pick in the first same thing. Yeah, awful trade. But

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Speaker 3: it's Daryl Mooney and it's more of a best ball

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Speaker 3: angle here. But right now, at wide receiver fifty eight,

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Speaker 3: one hundred and twenty sixth overall, he was getting drafted

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Speaker 3: inside the top twenty four wide receivers last year, people

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Speaker 3: expecting a lot of things, but the he had he

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Speaker 3: got injured almost like halfway through the year. It was

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Speaker 3: just a bad year for him. But the addition to

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Speaker 3: DJ Moore should help him rising tide with almost.

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Speaker 1: He's not a number one and he was getting number

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Speaker 1: one coverage last year. Now Moody's gonna get number two coverage.

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Speaker 1: He'll run out of the slot a lot more often.

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Speaker 1: I think there's there's reason to think Mooney could be

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Speaker 1: a a periodic, you know, right, matchup contributor.

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Speaker 3: He'll love, He'll love his spike weeks and yeah, he'll

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Speaker 3: be a matchup based for sure. He'll be a take

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Speaker 3: a chance on any player this season without a doubt,

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Speaker 3: and the most overdrafted player. It's tough. I'm just gonna

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Speaker 3: go with Dj Moore wide receiver twenty six. I just

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Speaker 3: looking in that range overalls. Let me pull it up

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Speaker 3: real quick.

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Speaker 1: I'm gonna guess, like Mike Evans is in that ballpark.

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Speaker 1: I'm trying to think other guys that might be, you know,

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Speaker 1: in that range.

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Speaker 3: Yeah, Christian Kirk is going after him. Brandon Nayuk were

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Speaker 3: high on him, Chris Godwin. These are all guys I'd

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Speaker 3: rather have, Jackson Smith and Jigbityle Lockett. Yes, I'd rather

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Speaker 3: have all of them over DJ Morris. He's my, excuse me,

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Speaker 3: most overdrafted bear and.

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Speaker 1: He's gonna be He's gonna be okay. Yeah, and Justin

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Speaker 1: Hurst Fine throws a nice deep ball, and he's gonna

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Speaker 1: have some big downfield plays justin he made justin fields,

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Speaker 1: but he may not be as consistent as wide receiver

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Speaker 1: twenty six would suggest. Let's move over to Green Bay.

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Speaker 1: That's our last NFC North team. The offseason moves that

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Speaker 1: matter really aren't very many, other than obviously you know

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Speaker 1: that Aaron Rodgers left and he took Randall Cobb, Alan Lazard,

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Speaker 1: and Robert Tunyan are all gone to He took Cobb

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Speaker 1: and the Lizard with him. The entire passing game has

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Speaker 1: been really revised here, including new starters at quarterback Jordan Love,

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Speaker 1: wide receiver Jaden Reed taken in the second round that

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Speaker 1: was earlier than people expected. And then they drafted the

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Speaker 1: two tight ends, and this is a bit of an

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Speaker 1: issue for fantasy owners to try to work their way

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Speaker 1: through Luke Musgraven round two and then we've assumed that

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Speaker 1: would be it than round three Tucker Craft, and really

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Speaker 1: both guys are capable pass catchers, and it makes this

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Speaker 1: thing super thorny for fantasy owners.

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Speaker 3: E'rely reminiscent of when the Ravens took Cayden Hurst in

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Speaker 3: the first round and then Mark and I like Craft

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Speaker 3: a little more than than must grade. I know you

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Speaker 3: might get into that later.

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Speaker 1: I do like Craft, and I'm not gonna get into that.

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Speaker 3: He's the more like he's the pass catcher, like he

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Speaker 3: doesn't block. So that's what we love, the fantasy football

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Speaker 3: must graves like the more well rounded. Right, So yep?

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Speaker 1: Is this gonna often? Is this offense gonna be worse

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Speaker 1: or better than last year? I really struggled with this.

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Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be a little better, even even

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Speaker 1: with the downgrade presumed downgrade from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love.

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Speaker 1: But Aaron Rodgers wasn't playing that well.

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Speaker 3: I love the Packers this year. I know this is

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Speaker 3: gonna anger our Minnesota base but this isn't This is

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Speaker 3: not reality football.

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Speaker 1: Just they're all so cheap they are.

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Speaker 3: And I just I think Love is going to shock

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Speaker 3: a lot of people. I don't know.

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Speaker 1: And see, Yeah, we've talked about this before. I watched

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Speaker 1: Jordan Love's one full game from two seasons ago, and

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Speaker 1: he was awful. But there were a lot of things

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Speaker 1: working against him in that he didn't know he was

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Speaker 1: going to start until Friday, wasn't taking first team reps.

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Speaker 1: You know, there were lots of things that went wrong

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Speaker 1: with that game. I think Love's going to be okay,

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Speaker 1: and we'll talk more about parts of this, you know,

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Speaker 1: parts of this offense here in a minute or two.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about the most overdrafted player. And I really

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Speaker 1: struggled with this. I think mostly all the packers that

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Speaker 1: can be had cheaply right now. So I just went

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Speaker 1: with basically the first wider, the first player being taken,

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Speaker 1: and that's Christian Watson.

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Speaker 3: Well, well, I guess he is good before Aaron Jones,

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Speaker 3: which is.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, he is. He's going at wide receiver nineteen, pick

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Speaker 1: thirty eight, and I'm intrigued by his upside, right, So

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Speaker 1: the problem for me is not Christian Watson, it's the ADP.

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Speaker 1: There's no discount being built into his ADP, despite the

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Speaker 1: fact that he's got the change of quarterback and so

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Speaker 1: much of his production coming on so few plays. Does

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Speaker 1: let me ask you this, Brian, does any player in

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Speaker 1: all of Fantasy football this year have more upside and

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Speaker 1: downside than Christian Watson?

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Speaker 3: Probably? But he's in He's in the top five.

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Speaker 1: I mean, you know, we're extrapolating forty one catches from

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Speaker 1: last year. His rookiear forty one in which he managed

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Speaker 1: to score nine times. And it's gotta be there's nine

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Speaker 1: nine times, there's nine time?

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Speaker 3: Hey another movie?

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Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, you know so, uh yeah it was. It

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Speaker 1: was seven catches and two rushing touchdowns. I believe.

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Speaker 3: So he don't forget. Yeah, I know you remember Week

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Speaker 3: one against the very first offense that's off to eighty

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Speaker 3: yard touchdown. That's right, that was right in the red basket.

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Speaker 1: That's right.

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Speaker 3: You know nine.

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Speaker 1: You know, his nine scores came in a four game stretch.

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Speaker 1: I mean we're extrapolating, like for you for wide receiver

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Speaker 1: nineteen to make sense for Christian Watson. You're really taking

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Speaker 1: that four game stretch and going, well, I'm going to

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Speaker 1: bank on something like that happening for a lot of

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Speaker 1: this season. And I don't know if that's I don't

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Speaker 1: know if that's fair to say. Jordan Love might suck.

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Speaker 1: You know, maybe he gets better as a sophomore, or

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Speaker 1: maybe he doesn't. He did not. Christian Watson does not

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Speaker 1: look like a route running technician, Brian. He just doesn't.

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Speaker 3: To me.

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Speaker 1: He looks like a guy who just runs fast and

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Speaker 1: gets open sometimes. And you know that, can you know

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00:19:27,200 --> 00:19:29,000
Speaker 1: that can do things in the NFL, but it doesn't

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Speaker 1: do it regularly and by the and then factor in

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Speaker 1: the injury stuff from his rookie as well, so.

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Speaker 3: He got his you know, his bell rung a couple

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Speaker 3: of times, pretty good miss games with concussions issues are.

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Speaker 1: Right, So Christian Watson, if you want to bank, if

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Speaker 1: you want to risk Christian Watson, totally cool with that.

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Speaker 1: Just know you're not getting him a discount. And then

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Speaker 1: the underdrafted player, you got a couple of good options.

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Speaker 1: Jaden Reid is go off the board, is wide receiver

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Speaker 1: seventy one, so you can get him very very late,

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Speaker 1: and he was a second or Romeo Dobbs didn't do

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Speaker 1: very much last year, but he's been the darling of

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Speaker 1: OTAs in mini camps. You could bank on him having

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Speaker 1: a better sophomore season, which is very possible. So you know,

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Speaker 1: one of either one of those guys. Dobbs cost a

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Speaker 1: little bit more, but not much. So those are the

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Speaker 1: guys that I think makes sense as underdrafted players. I

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Speaker 1: don't think there's a lot of receiving production that there's

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Speaker 1: a lot of receiving production up for grabs in this offense.

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Speaker 1: And both Reid and Dobbs are possible guys for that.

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Speaker 1: Let's take a quick break, Brian. When we come back,

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Speaker 1: let's turn our attention to the AFC North and find

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Speaker 1: out what we like about those teams. Hang on tight, everybody,

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Speaker 1: Welcome back. Segment number two Fantasy Football Weekly, Paul Charging

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Speaker 1: Brian Johnson. Guillotine Leagues dot com. We're open for business, baby.

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Speaker 1: Get into a fresh, hot new Guillotine League. Eighteen teams

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Speaker 1: start the season. Every week, the low scoring team gets cut.

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Speaker 1: All the players go to the waiver wire, where it's

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Speaker 1: pandemonium for all the rest of us as we bid

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00:21:10,040 --> 00:21:12,679
Speaker 1: on an entire roster's worth of players. All you have

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Speaker 1: to do is not finish last, never finished last. You

433
00:21:16,520 --> 00:21:19,840
Speaker 1: win the whole thing. It's Guillotine Leagues dot com private

434
00:21:19,920 --> 00:21:22,600
Speaker 1: leagues for you and your friends between eight and eighteen teams,

435
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,760
Speaker 1: public leagues if you want to play for prizesgues dot com.

436
00:21:27,480 --> 00:21:31,760
Speaker 3: High stakes super chop contests are filling up sixty of

437
00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:34,480
Speaker 3: one hundred and forty four and the fifty dollars right now.

438
00:21:34,480 --> 00:21:37,040
Speaker 3: We ran at least three of those last year, so

439
00:21:37,080 --> 00:21:40,359
Speaker 3: this the high staker YEP, big money, Sir, I would

440
00:21:40,359 --> 00:21:42,640
Speaker 3: get in all of them if I was allowed to play,

441
00:21:42,680 --> 00:21:43,119
Speaker 3: but I am not.

442
00:21:43,359 --> 00:21:45,840
Speaker 1: You are not allowed to play. Great opportunity for those

443
00:21:45,840 --> 00:21:49,879
Speaker 1: that want a little more upside, financial prizing upside. You

444
00:21:49,880 --> 00:21:52,880
Speaker 1: can do that at Guillotine leagues dot com. Let's talk

445
00:21:52,920 --> 00:21:55,159
Speaker 1: about the NFC AFC North.

446
00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:57,080
Speaker 3: How about we start with the Bengals. Do what Yeah,

447
00:21:57,160 --> 00:22:00,720
Speaker 3: the favorites, Yeah, they are the favorites. Off off season

448
00:22:00,720 --> 00:22:03,560
Speaker 3: moves that matter. Long time backup running back Sama J.

449
00:22:03,720 --> 00:22:07,520
Speaker 3: P Ryan signed with Denver and the only notable notable

450
00:22:07,560 --> 00:22:11,359
Speaker 3: addition to the backfield so far was drafting Chase Brown

451
00:22:11,400 --> 00:22:13,639
Speaker 3: out of Illinois in the fifth round. We'll talk about

452
00:22:13,640 --> 00:22:16,680
Speaker 3: that a little more in a minute or two. Tight

453
00:22:16,760 --> 00:22:19,840
Speaker 3: End Hayden Hurst left for Carolina. He was replaced by

454
00:22:19,920 --> 00:22:22,600
Speaker 3: IRV Smith on a one year proved deal. If Irv

455
00:22:22,720 --> 00:22:27,240
Speaker 3: can I stay healthy, yeah, I know. And really people

456
00:22:27,280 --> 00:22:30,320
Speaker 3: get exit like tight ends just they don't really need

457
00:22:30,320 --> 00:22:33,960
Speaker 3: it in uh Cincinnati, they got enough wide receivers there

458
00:22:34,000 --> 00:22:37,159
Speaker 3: to I don't know. Tight ends haven't done anything in

459
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:40,960
Speaker 3: Cincinnati since Tyler Eifert and that was many, many years ago,

460
00:22:41,000 --> 00:22:42,240
Speaker 3: and that was only for like a year or two.

461
00:22:42,520 --> 00:22:44,840
Speaker 3: But not too excited about IRV Smith. But you can

462
00:22:44,920 --> 00:22:48,040
Speaker 3: get him on the cheap if you willing, if you're

463
00:22:48,040 --> 00:22:50,520
Speaker 3: willing to go there. At lastly, the Bengals added to

464
00:22:50,840 --> 00:22:54,119
Speaker 3: that wide receiver room. I dis mentioned drafting Charlie Jones

465
00:22:54,160 --> 00:22:59,359
Speaker 3: and andre Io sevus Io. I don't know iOS I

466
00:22:59,520 --> 00:23:02,960
Speaker 3: v a Io Savas. He's a little intriguing. They're both

467
00:23:03,000 --> 00:23:10,920
Speaker 3: intriguing dynasty stashes. Andre out of Princeton, I believe six ' four,

468
00:23:11,760 --> 00:23:14,359
Speaker 3: like two twenties. He's an intriguing prospect. But you know

469
00:23:14,440 --> 00:23:17,040
Speaker 3: he's playing at Princeton, so he was right. The competition

470
00:23:17,160 --> 00:23:19,879
Speaker 3: wasn't great, But again those are just late round dynasty stashes.

471
00:23:19,920 --> 00:23:21,840
Speaker 3: Will the offense be better or worse than last year?

472
00:23:22,800 --> 00:23:27,960
Speaker 3: Gotta go with better. Jamar Chase missed significant called significant

473
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:30,439
Speaker 3: time five six games last year, he says healthy. I

474
00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:33,720
Speaker 3: know there's Joe Mixon, is I think as we speak

475
00:23:33,840 --> 00:23:37,640
Speaker 3: having some legal proceedings going on with his We won't

476
00:23:37,640 --> 00:23:38,159
Speaker 3: get into this.

477
00:23:38,640 --> 00:23:40,439
Speaker 1: I mean, that's the storyline of Joe Mixon to me,

478
00:23:40,560 --> 00:23:44,800
Speaker 1: is like, unless there was an undisclosed injury of real

479
00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:48,239
Speaker 1: significance to Joe Mixon, dude doesn't have it anymore. You know,

480
00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:51,480
Speaker 1: the end for running backs comes fast. Why they didn't

481
00:23:51,480 --> 00:23:55,320
Speaker 1: do more to backfill his position to me is mysterious,

482
00:23:55,320 --> 00:23:57,200
Speaker 1: and maybe they have more confidence in him and they

483
00:23:57,240 --> 00:23:59,520
Speaker 1: know why he didn't look good. But just the eye

484
00:23:59,560 --> 00:24:03,400
Speaker 1: test line to your Brian, Joe Mixon looked plotting.

485
00:24:03,960 --> 00:24:05,960
Speaker 3: As of right now, he is the starter. He's not

486
00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:10,240
Speaker 3: my most Well, we'll get to my most overdrafted player

487
00:24:10,240 --> 00:24:12,520
Speaker 3: in manteal sort of my most underdrafted player. This is

488
00:24:12,560 --> 00:24:15,000
Speaker 3: hard because you know you're not gonna say Jamar Chase

489
00:24:15,080 --> 00:24:18,160
Speaker 3: is underdrafted, or you can't.

490
00:24:17,920 --> 00:24:19,480
Speaker 1: Because he's like third off the board.

491
00:24:19,520 --> 00:24:22,320
Speaker 3: They all seem to be going in the right spot.

492
00:24:22,359 --> 00:24:24,560
Speaker 3: But I'm on with Joe Burrow. I mean, he's not

493
00:24:24,640 --> 00:24:29,080
Speaker 3: going late, but he's going to his quarterback five forty

494
00:24:29,080 --> 00:24:33,120
Speaker 3: fifth overall, significantly later than the big three Josh Allen,

495
00:24:33,160 --> 00:24:38,440
Speaker 3: Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Lamar Jackson. But he shouldn't

496
00:24:38,440 --> 00:24:41,399
Speaker 3: been going three rounds later than the big three, in

497
00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:43,320
Speaker 3: a round later than l Jackson. He was one of

498
00:24:43,359 --> 00:24:47,119
Speaker 3: three quarterbacks with at least six games with three plus

499
00:24:47,160 --> 00:24:49,720
Speaker 3: passing touchdowns last season. He was on his way to

500
00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:52,760
Speaker 3: the seventh game YEA. In that Bengals game, they opened

501
00:24:52,840 --> 00:24:54,960
Speaker 3: it with a touchdown to T Higgins, which had taken

502
00:24:55,000 --> 00:24:57,800
Speaker 3: off the board, as did the whole game, so he

503
00:24:57,880 --> 00:25:00,440
Speaker 3: lost a game there. Do you remember how man rushing

504
00:25:00,480 --> 00:25:07,639
Speaker 3: touchdowns burrowhead last year? I won't take a guess, three, five, fourth,

505
00:25:07,680 --> 00:25:09,920
Speaker 3: Most of them quarterbacks. They don't want him to run,

506
00:25:10,040 --> 00:25:11,760
Speaker 3: that's all. He got hurt a couple of years ago.

507
00:25:11,840 --> 00:25:14,280
Speaker 3: But he can. Yeah, and I just think his instinct

508
00:25:14,359 --> 00:25:15,960
Speaker 3: takes over for him and he takes off if he.

509
00:25:16,000 --> 00:25:19,040
Speaker 1: Feels another year off that acl He's still young, so

510
00:25:19,160 --> 00:25:20,960
Speaker 1: he's gonna have a little bit of mobility.

511
00:25:21,000 --> 00:25:23,560
Speaker 3: They're not gonna like bootleg him from the Novalve, but

512
00:25:24,160 --> 00:25:26,480
Speaker 3: if needed, he's he can do it. He's mobile, that's

513
00:25:26,520 --> 00:25:28,600
Speaker 3: for sure. So I went with Joe Burrow and my

514
00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:33,120
Speaker 3: most overdrafted player. I wasn't gonna go mixing RB fifteen.

515
00:25:33,520 --> 00:25:35,919
Speaker 3: I don't know he's he's not in his prime. I

516
00:25:35,960 --> 00:25:37,720
Speaker 3: agree with you there. I don't know if he's fully cooked,

517
00:25:37,800 --> 00:25:42,040
Speaker 3: but he appears like he's gonna be the starting running back,

518
00:25:42,080 --> 00:25:44,040
Speaker 3: So I'm okay with where he's at right now.

519
00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:46,560
Speaker 1: Joe Mixon could get to RB fifteen. I think Brian

520
00:25:47,240 --> 00:25:51,000
Speaker 1: just by being the starting running back for the Cincinnati Banks.

521
00:25:49,800 --> 00:25:53,800
Speaker 3: Right and if he he might rekindle some of his

522
00:25:54,680 --> 00:25:57,280
Speaker 3: good years. Who knows well, but he's not. He's not

523
00:25:57,359 --> 00:25:59,600
Speaker 3: overdrafted in my mind where he's going right now. So

524
00:25:59,640 --> 00:26:01,680
Speaker 3: I went with Chase Brown. I mean, he's going late

525
00:26:01,840 --> 00:26:05,520
Speaker 3: RB fifty nine, pick one two, But I don't know

526
00:26:05,520 --> 00:26:08,280
Speaker 3: the Bengals as of right now, we still haven't had

527
00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:11,359
Speaker 3: any of these big free agent running backs. Final it's weird.

528
00:26:11,640 --> 00:26:14,400
Speaker 1: Zeke still out there, Koreans still out there, Alvin Coarnett,

529
00:26:14,480 --> 00:26:16,560
Speaker 1: Dalvin Cook. Farnett's never playing again.

530
00:26:16,760 --> 00:26:18,879
Speaker 3: I don't you think so. Nope, done. I don't know.

531
00:26:19,080 --> 00:26:20,040
Speaker 1: Nobody wants them.

532
00:26:20,480 --> 00:26:23,080
Speaker 3: Everybody's in pretty good shape, but everyone wants But I

533
00:26:23,080 --> 00:26:25,480
Speaker 3: don't know. I just don't bite into Chase Brown being

534
00:26:25,520 --> 00:26:28,000
Speaker 3: the number two or just being the guy. If something

535
00:26:28,000 --> 00:26:30,680
Speaker 3: would happen to mix and someone's coming to town, and

536
00:26:30,720 --> 00:26:33,080
Speaker 3: so I'm just not that you're the one hundred and

537
00:26:33,119 --> 00:26:35,399
Speaker 3: ninety second overall pick. It's not the end of the

538
00:26:35,440 --> 00:26:37,200
Speaker 3: world you take Chase Brown. But I just I think

539
00:26:37,240 --> 00:26:40,320
Speaker 3: there's something better, a better player you can draft with

540
00:26:40,320 --> 00:26:40,720
Speaker 3: that spot.

541
00:26:40,800 --> 00:26:43,880
Speaker 1: Let's go to the Cleveland Browns. The offseason moves that matter.

542
00:26:44,320 --> 00:26:46,560
Speaker 1: They added wide receiver Elijah Moore, who was on the

543
00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:48,560
Speaker 1: outs with the Jets, and they had Jets and invested

544
00:26:48,600 --> 00:26:51,639
Speaker 1: in other players at wide receiver. He likely starts as

545
00:26:51,640 --> 00:26:54,399
Speaker 1: the slot receiver, and they also added rookie receiver Cedric

546
00:26:54,440 --> 00:26:57,679
Speaker 1: Tillman in the third round they lost. That was the

547
00:26:57,680 --> 00:26:59,080
Speaker 1: only ads of note really.

548
00:26:59,000 --> 00:27:02,720
Speaker 3: Quickly on Eliza or who I It was one of

549
00:27:02,720 --> 00:27:05,040
Speaker 3: the best touchdown celebrations ever and he got flagged for

550
00:27:05,080 --> 00:27:07,280
Speaker 3: it in college when he did the dog you know,

551
00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:08,560
Speaker 3: he like lifted up his leg.

552
00:27:08,720 --> 00:27:09,479
Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, that's right.

553
00:27:09,520 --> 00:27:12,119
Speaker 3: But he can do that now because he's he'll be

554
00:27:12,200 --> 00:27:16,320
Speaker 3: like in the dog pound, so he shouldn't get flagged

555
00:27:16,640 --> 00:27:17,800
Speaker 3: like that beeing like a dog.

556
00:27:17,880 --> 00:27:22,880
Speaker 1: So just recognizing the fan base exactly. They lost quarterback

557
00:27:22,960 --> 00:27:25,439
Speaker 1: Jacoby Brissett, they lost running back Kareem Hunt, running back

558
00:27:25,440 --> 00:27:30,600
Speaker 1: Deerness Johnson, and replaced those runners with nobody. Jerome Ford

559
00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:36,400
Speaker 1: is your backup to Nick Chubb and Chubb without Dearness Johnson,

560
00:27:36,400 --> 00:27:39,200
Speaker 1: without Kareem Hunt, Chubb could be sitting on a career

561
00:27:39,240 --> 00:27:41,840
Speaker 1: high in total touches for any one season that he's

562
00:27:41,880 --> 00:27:42,520
Speaker 1: had so far.

563
00:27:42,640 --> 00:27:46,800
Speaker 3: Ford will work in. Ford has gone pre draft his

564
00:27:46,880 --> 00:27:48,400
Speaker 3: ADP free.

565
00:27:48,840 --> 00:27:50,680
Speaker 1: Yeah. Now he's running back fifty.

566
00:27:50,960 --> 00:27:54,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's going like he's cracking. He's pushing the top

567
00:27:54,600 --> 00:27:55,399
Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty.

568
00:27:55,680 --> 00:27:57,240
Speaker 1: Well, he's going after the word right now, one sixty

569
00:27:57,240 --> 00:27:59,680
Speaker 1: as a matter of fact. And he's my most underdrafted player.

570
00:27:59,720 --> 00:28:02,240
Speaker 1: So it'll get right to that. Right now, you get

571
00:28:02,280 --> 00:28:05,320
Speaker 1: the undisputed backup to Nick Chubb. When you draft Jerome Ford,

572
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:08,520
Speaker 1: Nick Chubb typically gets dinged up for you know, at

573
00:28:08,600 --> 00:28:11,080
Speaker 1: least a few games, and he probably gets mixed in

574
00:28:11,080 --> 00:28:14,119
Speaker 1: in a Kareem Hunt like role this year. Now, Jerome

575
00:28:14,119 --> 00:28:16,040
Speaker 1: Ford only had eight rushes last year as a rookie.

576
00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,560
Speaker 1: He was the team's primary kick returner, so he got

577
00:28:19,560 --> 00:28:22,360
Speaker 1: some action there. So I went and looked at more

578
00:28:22,400 --> 00:28:23,560
Speaker 1: of what Jerome Ford did.

579
00:28:23,400 --> 00:28:25,040
Speaker 3: In college Cincinnati.

580
00:28:25,119 --> 00:28:27,920
Speaker 1: Right Cincinnati, that's exactly right where he set the all

581
00:28:28,040 --> 00:28:32,480
Speaker 1: time Cincinnati record with nineteen touchdowns in his senior year. Now,

582
00:28:32,520 --> 00:28:35,080
Speaker 1: he'd started his college career at Alabama, couldn't get on

583
00:28:35,119 --> 00:28:37,800
Speaker 1: the field, which is understandable there, so goes to Cincinnati

584
00:28:37,840 --> 00:28:40,080
Speaker 1: and all he does is lead the acc and rushing,

585
00:28:40,960 --> 00:28:43,360
Speaker 1: so you know, the kids got a little something and

586
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:45,880
Speaker 1: he can catch a bit. He had twenty one receptions

587
00:28:45,880 --> 00:28:48,960
Speaker 1: as a senior and you don't handle kick return duties

588
00:28:49,320 --> 00:28:53,000
Speaker 1: unless you've got some hands. So Jerome Ford, I think

589
00:28:53,080 --> 00:28:55,400
Speaker 1: walks into that. Kareem Hunt roll and Kareem Hunt over

590
00:28:55,400 --> 00:28:57,280
Speaker 1: the last few years is generally taken off the board.

591
00:28:57,280 --> 00:29:01,120
Speaker 1: It like running back thirty five awards, running back fifty.

592
00:29:01,600 --> 00:29:03,760
Speaker 3: Yeah. I loved Ford. I was drafting him a lot

593
00:29:03,800 --> 00:29:06,160
Speaker 3: prior to the NFL Draft last year, looking at his

594
00:29:06,200 --> 00:29:08,240
Speaker 3: skill set in college, and it was just a brutal

595
00:29:08,320 --> 00:29:11,040
Speaker 3: landing spot last year in Cleveland. Yes, he was just

596
00:29:11,120 --> 00:29:15,120
Speaker 3: buried behind three other guys. But now, yeah, I'm there's

597
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:17,960
Speaker 3: no other without a question, the most underd drafted player.

598
00:29:18,040 --> 00:29:20,760
Speaker 3: Still know he's surging. It's still he's still too cheap.

599
00:29:21,080 --> 00:29:23,960
Speaker 1: Jerome Ford, but just running style, compact runner. He's a

600
00:29:23,960 --> 00:29:26,240
Speaker 1: little shorter, with what I found to be a very

601
00:29:26,280 --> 00:29:28,960
Speaker 1: gritty running style and really good footwork. The footwork is

602
00:29:28,960 --> 00:29:31,320
Speaker 1: the stuff that I really liked watching him at Cincinnati.

603
00:29:32,880 --> 00:29:35,520
Speaker 1: This offense probably gets a little better because of the

604
00:29:35,600 --> 00:29:40,240
Speaker 1: presumed improvement of Deshaun Watson, even though Watson was in

605
00:29:40,320 --> 00:29:44,880
Speaker 1: every category of statistical downgrade from Jacoby Brissette, who was

606
00:29:44,920 --> 00:29:47,440
Speaker 1: better for the first half of those games. I think

607
00:29:47,480 --> 00:29:49,760
Speaker 1: it was week eleven or twelve where I was twelve

608
00:29:49,760 --> 00:29:53,040
Speaker 1: where Deshaun Watson took over, and the Browns continue to

609
00:29:53,080 --> 00:29:54,960
Speaker 1: have arguably the best offensive line in the league. So

610
00:29:55,200 --> 00:29:56,440
Speaker 1: you know that is all great.

611
00:29:56,360 --> 00:29:56,680
Speaker 3: That's all.

612
00:29:56,680 --> 00:30:00,480
Speaker 1: I'll note this Browns have the easiest schedule in the NFL,

613
00:30:00,680 --> 00:30:03,440
Speaker 1: so that will help. Based on last year's win percentage,

614
00:30:03,640 --> 00:30:07,000
Speaker 1: the most overdrafted player to me Deshaun Watson going off

615
00:30:07,040 --> 00:30:11,480
Speaker 1: the board at quarterback nine eighty second. Overall, there's just

616
00:30:11,600 --> 00:30:14,959
Speaker 1: not enough value baked into his ADP to offset the

617
00:30:15,080 --> 00:30:18,840
Speaker 1: lackluster six games he played last year and his whole

618
00:30:18,960 --> 00:30:22,840
Speaker 1: year away from the game in twenty twenty one. And sure,

619
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,480
Speaker 1: I get it. He was a top five fantasy quarterback

620
00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:31,760
Speaker 1: in twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen, and twenty twenty. Man, that

621
00:30:31,760 --> 00:30:34,040
Speaker 1: feels like a long time ago, Brian, Yeah, that was

622
00:30:34,080 --> 00:30:37,360
Speaker 1: a long time ago. So here is Deshaun Watson in

623
00:30:37,520 --> 00:30:42,680
Speaker 1: year seven of his NFL career, seven, mind you, And

624
00:30:43,280 --> 00:30:46,080
Speaker 1: what if after seven years he's lost some of his

625
00:30:46,240 --> 00:30:50,320
Speaker 1: rushing prowess. Because the way that Deshaun Watson was getting

626
00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,880
Speaker 1: into the top five in twenty eighteen, twenty nineteen to

627
00:30:52,920 --> 00:30:56,160
Speaker 1: twenty twenty was because of his running if he's not

628
00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:59,360
Speaker 1: a dual threat quarterback, if you're just relying on his

629
00:30:59,480 --> 00:31:03,600
Speaker 1: arm in those years twenty eighteen to twenty, in twenty

630
00:31:03,640 --> 00:31:06,400
Speaker 1: eighteen to twenty twenty two, so you know a twenty

631
00:31:06,440 --> 00:31:08,400
Speaker 1: eighteen to twenty twenty in those years he passed for

632
00:31:08,400 --> 00:31:11,400
Speaker 1: twenty six touchdowns, twenty six touchdowns and thirty three touchdowns.

633
00:31:11,520 --> 00:31:14,840
Speaker 1: Those are David Carr numbers. So ask yourself for this

634
00:31:14,960 --> 00:31:18,120
Speaker 1: in year seven, are you sure Deshaun Watson is a

635
00:31:18,400 --> 00:31:22,520
Speaker 1: mobile quarterback who's gonna get designed rushing plays from Kevin

636
00:31:22,560 --> 00:31:25,040
Speaker 1: Stefanski who has no history of doing that. Now, granted

637
00:31:25,120 --> 00:31:28,520
Speaker 1: doesn't have hasn't had that kind of quarterback, but do

638
00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:32,360
Speaker 1: you know he's gonna get the rushing designed rushing usage

639
00:31:32,680 --> 00:31:36,840
Speaker 1: that makes Deshaun Watson the ninth best quarterback in Fantasy football?

640
00:31:37,400 --> 00:31:42,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, it's uh, that price is too steep. I'd gladly wait. Basically,

641
00:31:42,320 --> 00:31:45,600
Speaker 3: you can wait two rounds and get a Kirk Cousins,

642
00:31:45,680 --> 00:31:49,360
Speaker 3: Daniel Jones, Gino Smith. Yep, take them two rounds later.

643
00:31:49,360 --> 00:31:51,560
Speaker 3: All day long, we'll be tailor to Deshaun Watson.

644
00:31:52,320 --> 00:31:54,680
Speaker 1: Let's go to Baltimore.

645
00:31:54,880 --> 00:31:59,360
Speaker 3: The more all right off season moves that matter, Todd,

646
00:31:59,720 --> 00:32:04,720
Speaker 3: don't call me Art. Monkin replaces Greg Roman as offensive coordinator,

647
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:08,360
Speaker 3: which is huge because Roman was run heavy. Todd Munkin's

648
00:32:08,440 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 3: an air raid disciple type guy, so we can expect

649
00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:15,080
Speaker 3: a lot more passing in Baltimore or something that we

650
00:32:15,320 --> 00:32:18,320
Speaker 3: basically never seen since they moved from Cleveland. The teams

651
00:32:18,320 --> 00:32:20,640
Speaker 3: like they've always been a very run heavy team, so

652
00:32:21,240 --> 00:32:25,719
Speaker 3: should be exciting to see what newly acquired wide receiver

653
00:32:25,760 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 3: Odell Beckham Junior can do. Signed a one year deal,

654
00:32:30,320 --> 00:32:32,720
Speaker 3: A massive one year deal, by the way, like fifteen

655
00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:36,360
Speaker 3: million dollars. A lot of money sunk into OBJ. We'll

656
00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:38,840
Speaker 3: see how much getter he has left in the tank.

657
00:32:39,000 --> 00:32:42,040
Speaker 3: And they also signed Nelson Aguilar. I'll make a quick

658
00:32:42,080 --> 00:32:44,800
Speaker 3: mention of that, but he's easily fought off it on

659
00:32:44,840 --> 00:32:49,400
Speaker 3: the depth chart. Baltimore also drafted wide receivers A Flowers

660
00:32:49,440 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 3: with the twenty second overall pick. He figures to work

661
00:32:53,040 --> 00:32:56,120
Speaker 3: out at the slot for the most part, with Beckham

662
00:32:56,440 --> 00:32:59,440
Speaker 3: and Rashad Bateman working the outside. Will the offense be better

663
00:32:59,400 --> 00:33:03,080
Speaker 3: or worse than Land last year? Gotta go with better. JK.

664
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:06,920
Speaker 3: Dobbins will be two years removed from major knee injury.

665
00:33:06,960 --> 00:33:08,360
Speaker 3: We'll talk about him a little more in a second.

666
00:33:08,400 --> 00:33:11,360
Speaker 3: And again, Todd, Todd Mounkin should just you know, it

667
00:33:11,400 --> 00:33:15,320
Speaker 3: should be more diverse offense, more passing. Uh So for

668
00:33:15,400 --> 00:33:17,920
Speaker 3: fantasy purposes, we're gonna go with better. Yep.

669
00:33:18,000 --> 00:33:20,840
Speaker 1: So the projection that question, I think that in my

670
00:33:20,960 --> 00:33:23,560
Speaker 1: mind is all right. So is Lamar Jackson going to

671
00:33:23,640 --> 00:33:26,000
Speaker 1: get as many rushes? You know, because that was a

672
00:33:26,160 --> 00:33:29,600
Speaker 1: staple of Great Romans offense, And credit Great Roman for

673
00:33:29,680 --> 00:33:33,040
Speaker 1: unlocking that by making all these designed running plays for

674
00:33:33,080 --> 00:33:36,480
Speaker 1: his quarterback when nobody was doing that. But I don't

675
00:33:36,520 --> 00:33:40,240
Speaker 1: I'm worried that Jackson's going to take a step back

676
00:33:40,360 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 1: in the in terms of the designed running place.

677
00:33:42,560 --> 00:33:45,000
Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you there, probably won't be in as

678
00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 3: many designed running plays, but he'll still get his unbroken plays.

679
00:33:48,080 --> 00:33:50,560
Speaker 3: But yeah, he's gotten he's gotten hurt in the past

680
00:33:50,600 --> 00:33:52,080
Speaker 3: couple of years, and uh now.

681
00:33:52,000 --> 00:33:54,440
Speaker 1: They got a massive financial investment that they need to

682
00:33:54,520 --> 00:33:55,040
Speaker 1: keep healthy.

683
00:33:55,440 --> 00:33:58,320
Speaker 3: So yeah, I'm with you there. But again, if he

684
00:33:58,400 --> 00:34:01,600
Speaker 3: makes up for it with him extra ten passing touchdowns

685
00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:05,120
Speaker 3: will take that over losing a couple hundred rushing yards

686
00:34:05,120 --> 00:34:07,880
Speaker 3: and a couple of rushing touchdowns. My most underdrafted player.

687
00:34:07,880 --> 00:34:11,399
Speaker 3: We've talked about him a lot. JK. Dobbins running back

688
00:34:11,480 --> 00:34:15,399
Speaker 3: eighteen fifty seventh overall just just seems way too late.

689
00:34:15,400 --> 00:34:17,840
Speaker 3: We were talking about Jamior Gibbs earlier going off the

690
00:34:17,880 --> 00:34:21,080
Speaker 3: board a running back fourteen. I prefer Dobbins all day

691
00:34:21,080 --> 00:34:24,480
Speaker 3: over Gibbs this year in any format, even even full PPR.

692
00:34:25,040 --> 00:34:29,520
Speaker 3: So you gotta love Dobbins prospects two years removed from

693
00:34:29,560 --> 00:34:33,080
Speaker 3: the ACL or MCL. I can't recall which cl it was,

694
00:34:33,120 --> 00:34:36,600
Speaker 3: but he looked good towards the end of last year,

695
00:34:36,600 --> 00:34:39,960
Speaker 3: even though they weren't giving him the ball enough really,

696
00:34:40,000 --> 00:34:42,960
Speaker 3: and he was upset about that. So hopefully that squeaky

697
00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,959
Speaker 3: wheel carries over into this season and well his.

698
00:34:45,880 --> 00:34:49,360
Speaker 1: New squeaky wheels. JK. Dobbins wants to get paid, Like, dude,

699
00:34:49,520 --> 00:34:51,520
Speaker 1: you haven't done anything in two years. You've got hurt

700
00:34:51,560 --> 00:34:53,560
Speaker 1: and then you played hurt and you've not done anything.

701
00:34:53,760 --> 00:34:55,279
Speaker 1: Shut up and go play on the last year of

702
00:34:55,320 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 1: your deal.

703
00:34:55,680 --> 00:34:58,439
Speaker 3: Well, hopefully you'll prove it. I think he will that. Yeah,

704
00:34:59,080 --> 00:35:00,799
Speaker 3: well it's tough for any going back to get paid

705
00:35:00,840 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 3: these days, right, but it is. I'm I'm essentially all

706
00:35:04,800 --> 00:35:07,600
Speaker 3: in on Dobbin's at this price I've I've been drafted

707
00:35:07,719 --> 00:35:10,000
Speaker 3: with Tona just seems like too much of a value

708
00:35:10,080 --> 00:35:10,359
Speaker 3: right now.

709
00:35:10,400 --> 00:35:12,440
Speaker 1: And I think and by the way, I always I

710
00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:15,600
Speaker 1: always throw Gus Edwards, inject Gus Edwards into these conversations

711
00:35:15,600 --> 00:35:19,440
Speaker 1: whenever I can. Also coming off the year off of

712
00:35:19,560 --> 00:35:21,040
Speaker 1: a c L he's free.

713
00:35:21,320 --> 00:35:22,960
Speaker 3: Yeah, he's free, and.

714
00:35:22,840 --> 00:35:24,960
Speaker 1: You can you know, and I still think he's there's

715
00:35:25,000 --> 00:35:25,799
Speaker 1: there's something there.

716
00:35:25,880 --> 00:35:31,040
Speaker 3: He's underdrafted. Really, almost everyone is underdrafted on Baltimore. I

717
00:35:31,440 --> 00:35:34,439
Speaker 3: don't really have an overdrafted player. I guess you kind

718
00:35:34,440 --> 00:35:37,360
Speaker 3: of talked me into Lamar Jackson because I was just

719
00:35:37,400 --> 00:35:41,160
Speaker 3: saying Joe Burrow was going underdrafted. He's going after Jackson.

720
00:35:41,239 --> 00:35:44,320
Speaker 3: But I still love Lamar, But yeah, the design running

721
00:35:44,360 --> 00:35:47,840
Speaker 3: probably does come down. I wanted to go with Odell Beckham,

722
00:35:47,840 --> 00:35:50,520
Speaker 3: but he's not going like in the third, fourth round.

723
00:35:50,560 --> 00:35:54,279
Speaker 1: He's people are being rational on where they're taking back up.

724
00:35:54,360 --> 00:35:57,680
Speaker 3: Yeah, and all the wide receivers or the other two

725
00:35:58,239 --> 00:36:01,799
Speaker 3: Bateman and Zay Flowers before round nine, so they're they're

726
00:36:01,920 --> 00:36:04,520
Speaker 3: at the value you're not gonna argue against where Mark

727
00:36:04,600 --> 00:36:10,799
Speaker 3: Andrews is getting drafted. Isaiah Isaya likely was an underdrafted

728
00:36:10,840 --> 00:36:12,759
Speaker 3: candidate too. He's going way too late if something were

729
00:36:12,840 --> 00:36:15,399
Speaker 3: to happen to Andrews. I mean, he's gonna play wide

730
00:36:15,440 --> 00:36:16,719
Speaker 3: receiver too, even man now.

731
00:36:16,840 --> 00:36:19,360
Speaker 1: But the problem is they Zay Flowers is going to

732
00:36:20,560 --> 00:36:22,080
Speaker 1: is going to work out of the slot a lot,

733
00:36:22,120 --> 00:36:24,000
Speaker 1: and that's where I wanted Isaiah likely to be a

734
00:36:24,000 --> 00:36:24,760
Speaker 1: stand up slot.

735
00:36:24,840 --> 00:36:27,560
Speaker 3: But uh, he's certainly not overdrafted. So again, really, no

736
00:36:27,600 --> 00:36:30,520
Speaker 3: one is getting overdrafted for Baltimore. So I'll go with

737
00:36:30,560 --> 00:36:33,040
Speaker 3: the most expensive guy, and that's Lamar Jackson.

738
00:36:33,080 --> 00:36:35,319
Speaker 1: It is, although I think Mark Andrews could be going

739
00:36:35,360 --> 00:36:37,400
Speaker 1: ahead him in some leagues. He isn't guillotine leagues.

740
00:36:37,640 --> 00:36:41,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, in one quarter battle the guillotine leagues, is.

741
00:36:41,520 --> 00:36:44,280
Speaker 1: He Yeah, well yeah, Andrews X is going the second

742
00:36:44,320 --> 00:36:47,239
Speaker 1: round of guillotine leagues because people have figured out you

743
00:36:47,440 --> 00:36:49,879
Speaker 1: have to have a tight ended well Andrews is going

744
00:36:49,880 --> 00:36:51,080
Speaker 1: before Jackson.

745
00:36:51,200 --> 00:36:54,640
Speaker 3: And that's one quarterback league. Step two, non guillotine.

746
00:36:55,400 --> 00:36:57,839
Speaker 1: Let's go to Pittsburgh. The offseason moves that matter are

747
00:36:57,840 --> 00:37:01,560
Speaker 1: basically none because they did virtually nothing, and adding Alan

748
00:37:01,640 --> 00:37:06,200
Speaker 1: Robinson does not count. Heay does not count. Dude is

749
00:37:06,360 --> 00:37:07,400
Speaker 1: so done.

750
00:37:07,480 --> 00:37:07,719
Speaker 3: I'm not.

751
00:37:08,920 --> 00:37:10,480
Speaker 1: I will say they put a first rounder in the

752
00:37:10,480 --> 00:37:12,960
Speaker 1: offensive line, which is awesome, Broderick Jones. And they also

753
00:37:12,960 --> 00:37:18,520
Speaker 1: added longtime Eagles guard I excuse me, Isaac Sayumalo, So

754
00:37:18,600 --> 00:37:20,960
Speaker 1: that was a very nice gain for them. So I

755
00:37:21,120 --> 00:37:23,799
Speaker 1: like what their offensive line, which we've we've dumped on

756
00:37:23,800 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 1: the Steers offensive line for like three years now, it

757
00:37:26,560 --> 00:37:30,120
Speaker 1: looks like it's finally been addressed to the point where

758
00:37:30,200 --> 00:37:33,960
Speaker 1: it's not this massive, glaring negative. So I think the

759
00:37:34,000 --> 00:37:36,799
Speaker 1: offense will almost certainly get better because they ranked twenty

760
00:37:36,840 --> 00:37:39,000
Speaker 1: thirteen yards and twenty sixth and points last year, so

761
00:37:39,040 --> 00:37:40,879
Speaker 1: I feel like they had almost nowhere to go but up.

762
00:37:41,320 --> 00:37:45,800
Speaker 1: And Kenny Pickett total wild card here. I did not

763
00:37:46,080 --> 00:37:48,640
Speaker 1: like almost anything I saw from last year. How do

764
00:37:48,680 --> 00:37:51,839
Speaker 1: you get seven passing touchdowns in fourteen games in this

765
00:37:52,040 --> 00:37:56,800
Speaker 1: in this version of the NFL that is leather helmet

766
00:37:57,280 --> 00:38:02,560
Speaker 1: style production from Kenny Pickett. You figure, though he'll regress

767
00:38:02,640 --> 00:38:04,880
Speaker 1: the mean and touchdowns and some touchdowns that come along.

768
00:38:04,960 --> 00:38:07,560
Speaker 1: And but I also didn't like his his yards per

769
00:38:07,560 --> 00:38:11,400
Speaker 1: attempt second shortest in the league. That's not good. We

770
00:38:11,480 --> 00:38:18,000
Speaker 1: need downfield passing. The most underdrafted player by ADP George Pickens.

771
00:38:18,320 --> 00:38:23,120
Speaker 1: I'm really intrigued here, Brian wide receiver forty seventy fifth

772
00:38:23,160 --> 00:38:27,080
Speaker 1: off the board. Who's the who is the most talented

773
00:38:27,120 --> 00:38:30,680
Speaker 1: receiver on this team? Is it clearly Deontay Johnson going

774
00:38:30,719 --> 00:38:33,439
Speaker 1: at wide receiver thirty one? I don't think so. George

775
00:38:33,480 --> 00:38:35,480
Speaker 1: Pickens in You're two. He had eight hundred yards as

776
00:38:35,520 --> 00:38:38,399
Speaker 1: a rookie, and Deontay Johnson just is not a wide

777
00:38:38,440 --> 00:38:41,240
Speaker 1: receiver one. He is not a He is not built

778
00:38:41,360 --> 00:38:44,920
Speaker 1: to be the focal point of a passing game. This

779
00:38:45,040 --> 00:38:48,160
Speaker 1: team wants and needs George Pickens to be that guy.

780
00:38:48,920 --> 00:38:52,399
Speaker 1: His twenty six percent air yard share was huge because

781
00:38:52,400 --> 00:38:55,080
Speaker 1: there's no other downfield threats on this team. When they

782
00:38:55,080 --> 00:38:57,319
Speaker 1: want to go downfield, they gotta go to Pickens. He

783
00:38:57,360 --> 00:39:00,279
Speaker 1: had those incredible highlight catches you saw last year. I

784
00:39:00,280 --> 00:39:04,240
Speaker 1: mean that's not fluky stuff. Pickens has crazy catch radius

785
00:39:04,280 --> 00:39:07,120
Speaker 1: and hands. He's already one of the best contested receivers

786
00:39:07,160 --> 00:39:10,000
Speaker 1: in the league. Also an elite run blocker, which does

787
00:39:10,040 --> 00:39:11,719
Speaker 1: not equal fantasy points, but it does keep you on

788
00:39:11,760 --> 00:39:12,080
Speaker 1: the field.

789
00:39:12,160 --> 00:39:15,960
Speaker 3: And for those who don't know, Pickens was a rookie

790
00:39:16,040 --> 00:39:20,319
Speaker 3: last year, could have been the first rookie or first

791
00:39:20,320 --> 00:39:22,759
Speaker 3: wide receiver taken in last year's draft, but he got

792
00:39:22,840 --> 00:39:26,879
Speaker 3: hurt in like spring ball at Georgia, and he came

793
00:39:26,920 --> 00:39:29,320
Speaker 3: back for like the National championship game. So he essentially

794
00:39:29,360 --> 00:39:33,040
Speaker 3: missed his whole senior year. But he'll be fully healthy

795
00:39:33,080 --> 00:39:33,799
Speaker 3: going into this year.

796
00:39:33,960 --> 00:39:36,000
Speaker 1: So let me ask you this, ask you this, and

797
00:39:36,040 --> 00:39:39,200
Speaker 1: so Kenny Pickett had seven passing touchdowns last year. Let's

798
00:39:39,200 --> 00:39:42,120
Speaker 1: say Kenny Pickett gets twenty, which is still awful by

799
00:39:42,160 --> 00:39:45,520
Speaker 1: the NFL standards. Well, let's just say he gets twenty touchdowns.

800
00:39:46,040 --> 00:39:49,200
Speaker 1: Deontae Johnson at zero last year. How many of those

801
00:39:49,200 --> 00:39:51,240
Speaker 1: twenty go to go to George Pickens?

802
00:39:52,960 --> 00:39:54,000
Speaker 3: At least a third of them?

803
00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:59,560
Speaker 1: I mean this, he's sitting on eight ten touchdowns almost automatically.

804
00:40:00,160 --> 00:40:03,120
Speaker 3: Eight or ten, but six or seven I think'll take

805
00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:04,399
Speaker 3: that with a thousand yards, I think.

806
00:40:04,400 --> 00:40:08,360
Speaker 1: So the most overdrafted player by you know, and you

807
00:40:08,360 --> 00:40:10,520
Speaker 1: can tell by the way I'm talking about it, Deontay Johnson,

808
00:40:10,520 --> 00:40:12,520
Speaker 1: And I know that he's coming off of zero touchdowns

809
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:16,319
Speaker 1: seasons here like where was this last year? But it's

810
00:40:16,400 --> 00:40:18,200
Speaker 1: he's just not the dude. And of course he's gonna

811
00:40:18,239 --> 00:40:22,359
Speaker 1: not score zero touchdowns this year. But everybody there's all

812
00:40:22,360 --> 00:40:24,600
Speaker 1: the fantasy experts Brian are going one hundred and forty

813
00:40:24,640 --> 00:40:26,480
Speaker 1: four targets and zero touchdowns. Man, when he has one

814
00:40:26,520 --> 00:40:28,640
Speaker 1: hundred and forty four targets next year, you know that

815
00:40:28,719 --> 00:40:32,160
Speaker 1: numbers could be eight touchdowns. He's gonna regress to the mean. Well,

816
00:40:32,160 --> 00:40:34,040
Speaker 1: guess what he ain' getting a hundred forty four targets

817
00:40:34,040 --> 00:40:34,399
Speaker 1: this year?

818
00:40:34,480 --> 00:40:34,920
Speaker 3: Probably not.

819
00:40:36,440 --> 00:40:39,839
Speaker 1: Deontay Johnson is not the number one receiver in Pittsburgh.

820
00:40:39,880 --> 00:40:44,480
Speaker 1: It's George Pickens. Deontay Johnson is the short These short

821
00:40:44,600 --> 00:40:49,880
Speaker 1: passes don't equal fantasy points. I see his targets here

822
00:40:49,960 --> 00:40:55,120
Speaker 1: dropping massively. Johnson reminds me of Jarvis Landry, an annual

823
00:40:55,280 --> 00:41:00,040
Speaker 1: fantasy disappointment because of his painfully low air yards. And

824
00:41:00,320 --> 00:41:04,240
Speaker 1: Johnson was sixtieth in a dot among wide receivers, fifty

825
00:41:04,400 --> 00:41:09,919
Speaker 1: third in yards per route run. He just doesn't get

826
00:41:09,960 --> 00:41:12,239
Speaker 1: the ball down field. And that's what you need out

827
00:41:12,280 --> 00:41:15,799
Speaker 1: of your fantasy wide receivers. Deandrey Johnson's dead to us.

828
00:41:17,600 --> 00:41:19,919
Speaker 3: Alan Robinson not dead to me. And when I say

829
00:41:19,920 --> 00:41:22,799
Speaker 3: that he's a last round start throw these days, but

830
00:41:23,760 --> 00:41:26,319
Speaker 3: he was getting open last year. Matthew Stafford was not

831
00:41:26,440 --> 00:41:28,480
Speaker 3: throwing to him. For whatever reason, play.

832
00:41:28,280 --> 00:41:31,160
Speaker 1: Had Cooper Cup, he got hurt, two got hurt, hibout

833
00:41:31,239 --> 00:41:31,799
Speaker 1: the same time.

834
00:41:31,920 --> 00:41:36,279
Speaker 3: So Alan Robinson not dust yet, sadly, can you pick

835
00:41:36,280 --> 00:41:38,279
Speaker 3: it might be the best quarterback he's played with because

836
00:41:38,280 --> 00:41:39,880
Speaker 3: he didn't really get to play with Matt Stafford a

837
00:41:39,880 --> 00:41:42,200
Speaker 3: whole lot last year. Staff was hurt.

838
00:41:42,480 --> 00:41:45,040
Speaker 1: Just but here's the thing. The Rams need another receiver

839
00:41:45,200 --> 00:41:46,960
Speaker 1: and they let they let him walk. They got him

840
00:41:46,960 --> 00:41:49,799
Speaker 1: out of his contract so he could go elsewhere. They

841
00:41:49,880 --> 00:41:53,200
Speaker 1: should have they would have kept him because after Cooper Cup,

842
00:41:53,239 --> 00:41:55,520
Speaker 1: that depth chart falls apart in Los Angeles.

843
00:41:55,600 --> 00:42:00,319
Speaker 3: Yeah, they're also you know, they're like quiet rebuilding, like

844
00:42:00,440 --> 00:42:04,239
Speaker 3: quiet quitting, quiet rebuilding. My mind, I don't know that's

845
00:42:04,480 --> 00:42:06,160
Speaker 3: they need to get rid of Al Minnesota.

846
00:42:06,320 --> 00:42:09,600
Speaker 1: Yeah, I say the Vikings are doing a unspoken rebuild,

847
00:42:09,800 --> 00:42:13,920
Speaker 1: which I believe they are right now. Thanks for listening, everybody.

848
00:42:14,000 --> 00:42:15,719
Speaker 1: You can get my all my play rankings and cheat

849
00:42:15,760 --> 00:42:18,400
Speaker 1: sheets at at Guillotine leagues dot com and my my

850
00:42:18,480 --> 00:42:20,799
Speaker 1: basic cheat sheet is available for free. The premium ones

851
00:42:20,840 --> 00:42:23,440
Speaker 1: only ten bucks and it's got tons of great data

852
00:42:23,800 --> 00:42:27,440
Speaker 1: useful for a Guillotine League or not. And new mobile

853
00:42:27,440 --> 00:42:30,080
Speaker 1: app coming very very soon. We're doing our final bits

854
00:42:30,080 --> 00:42:31,719
Speaker 1: of testing on it now and we're going to launch

855
00:42:31,760 --> 00:42:35,239
Speaker 1: that and it is glorious. We encourage you to check

856
00:42:35,239 --> 00:42:38,000
Speaker 1: that out too. Thanks for listening, everybody, talk to you soon.

857
00:42:38,160 --> 00:42:41,759
Speaker 1: Fantasy Football Weekly is a production of iHeartRadio. For more

858
00:42:41,760 --> 00:42:45,840
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859
00:42:45,880 --> 00:42:48,360
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