1
00:00:12,720 --> 00:00:13,600
Speaker 1: Happy Monday, guys.

2
00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:16,479
Speaker 2: How are you welcome into another additional deal Juice podcast

3
00:00:16,560 --> 00:00:19,120
Speaker 2: with me Matt Perrault every single morning here on Bettingpros

4
00:00:19,120 --> 00:00:21,360
Speaker 2: dot Com, always being brought to you by bet MGM

5
00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:23,520
Speaker 2: with the offer above me on the YouTube video ten

6
00:00:23,600 --> 00:00:26,120
Speaker 2: dollars to win one hundred and fifty dollars any event

7
00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:28,960
Speaker 2: to promo code Juice one fifty at betmgm or betmgm

8
00:00:29,000 --> 00:00:31,320
Speaker 2: dot com. As I said, YouTube for the videos or

9
00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:35,480
Speaker 2: wherever you get your audio podcasts and the cool down. Well,

10
00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:38,239
Speaker 2: the day the losing day was bound to happen. I

11
00:00:38,280 --> 00:00:40,720
Speaker 2: teased it a bit yesterday about how hot we had been.

12
00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:44,320
Speaker 2: So it's a two and three day officially on the

13
00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:46,680
Speaker 2: one unit plays. It's a one in three day on

14
00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:50,320
Speaker 2: the props, so overall it's down about one point five

15
00:00:50,760 --> 00:00:54,560
Speaker 2: units on the day. I'm really angry with myself on

16
00:00:54,600 --> 00:00:57,640
Speaker 2: a variety of reasons. I'll explain a bit as to

17
00:00:57,840 --> 00:01:01,120
Speaker 2: what's going on with the teasers. Long teaser missed for

18
00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:02,880
Speaker 2: the first time in a while, So now that falls

19
00:01:03,080 --> 00:01:06,479
Speaker 2: to eleven. I think it's eleven and six. I think

20
00:01:06,480 --> 00:01:08,600
Speaker 2: I said eleven in five. I think because here we

21
00:01:08,640 --> 00:01:10,520
Speaker 2: are in week heading into week eighteen, so I think

22
00:01:10,520 --> 00:01:15,920
Speaker 2: it's eleven and six. It's the official correct score or

23
00:01:15,959 --> 00:01:19,039
Speaker 2: a record for the long teaser, but I missed on

24
00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,480
Speaker 2: two other teasers. The Colts killed me, the Colts game

25
00:01:23,040 --> 00:01:26,840
Speaker 2: crushed me, and tip of the cap to the Raiders.

26
00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:28,559
Speaker 1: I did not see that coming.

27
00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:31,560
Speaker 2: Okay, one hundred percent did not see the Raiders going

28
00:01:31,600 --> 00:01:36,320
Speaker 2: into Indianapolis. And that defensive effort was outstanding. I mean

29
00:01:36,360 --> 00:01:39,720
Speaker 2: they were great. Gus Bradley's defense came to play. I

30
00:01:39,720 --> 00:01:42,319
Speaker 2: don't know if the Colts just thought because Wentz was playing,

31
00:01:42,319 --> 00:01:44,240
Speaker 2: they were going to walk through a victory. But all

32
00:01:44,280 --> 00:01:46,680
Speaker 2: we needed was a three point win. They got a

33
00:01:46,720 --> 00:01:51,000
Speaker 2: three point loss. So I instead decided to go all right, fine, Well,

34
00:01:51,040 --> 00:01:53,720
Speaker 2: I liked the Cowboys and I liked the Chargers, and

35
00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,760
Speaker 2: those were the other two legs on the Colts. So

36
00:01:56,800 --> 00:01:59,360
Speaker 2: the Colts lost, killed two bets. So then I came

37
00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:01,920
Speaker 2: back and took the Cowboys and the Chargers and tease

38
00:02:02,040 --> 00:02:03,440
Speaker 2: them down, and we lost that.

39
00:02:03,360 --> 00:02:05,080
Speaker 1: Because the Cowboys lost by three.

40
00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,880
Speaker 2: I just needed a win, and I had people telling

41
00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:10,880
Speaker 2: me take the Cardinals, Take the Cardinals, and I did

42
00:02:10,880 --> 00:02:13,280
Speaker 2: not buy into it. The one thing I did not

43
00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:14,640
Speaker 2: factor in and I don't know how big of a

44
00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,800
Speaker 2: deal it is, but I knew the Cowboys were seven

45
00:02:16,840 --> 00:02:19,040
Speaker 2: and one straight up at home and six and two

46
00:02:19,200 --> 00:02:23,200
Speaker 2: against the spread at home. I knew that the Cardinals

47
00:02:23,200 --> 00:02:25,120
Speaker 2: were seven and one straight up and seven and one

48
00:02:25,120 --> 00:02:26,200
Speaker 2: against the spread on the road.

49
00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:27,440
Speaker 1: I knew that I had.

50
00:02:27,560 --> 00:02:30,760
Speaker 2: I didn't remember that Kyler Murray has never lost at

51
00:02:30,840 --> 00:02:33,920
Speaker 2: Jerry's World. Didn't remember that. A lot our friends and

52
00:02:33,960 --> 00:02:37,200
Speaker 2: family in the stands. He played really well. Kingsbury played

53
00:02:37,200 --> 00:02:39,760
Speaker 2: well again. Cliff Kingsbury as a dog on the road's

54
00:02:39,760 --> 00:02:41,320
Speaker 2: a pretty good bet. It's been a pretty good bet

55
00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,240
Speaker 2: for his first couple of years. I faded that and

56
00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:47,040
Speaker 2: I got burned by it. Cardinals snapped their three game

57
00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:49,919
Speaker 2: losing streak, they win, and I go zero and three

58
00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:50,720
Speaker 2: on teasers.

59
00:02:51,040 --> 00:02:53,520
Speaker 1: Luckily, straight bets were accurate.

60
00:02:53,919 --> 00:02:57,880
Speaker 2: Titans minus three comes in easily, and the Bengals get

61
00:02:57,919 --> 00:02:59,720
Speaker 2: a money line win sprinkle.

62
00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:01,600
Speaker 1: Well, you guys are taking dogs.

63
00:03:01,600 --> 00:03:03,639
Speaker 2: Ten percent of the bet goes on the sprinkle, right,

64
00:03:03,880 --> 00:03:07,400
Speaker 2: but officially the plus four and a half on the Bengals,

65
00:03:07,560 --> 00:03:10,040
Speaker 2: so we get that right. I hit like a crazy

66
00:03:10,200 --> 00:03:12,840
Speaker 2: five team money line parlay that I played for the

67
00:03:12,880 --> 00:03:16,240
Speaker 2: hell of it. It was plus I think it was

68
00:03:16,919 --> 00:03:19,640
Speaker 2: plus one eighty somewhere in that range I think was

69
00:03:19,680 --> 00:03:23,679
Speaker 2: what I hit. So I got that. What else did?

70
00:03:23,720 --> 00:03:27,200
Speaker 2: I missed on a couple of things later in the night,

71
00:03:27,639 --> 00:03:29,480
Speaker 2: But then it came down to the Sunday Night game.

72
00:03:30,120 --> 00:03:32,919
Speaker 2: And so I had already placed earlier in the day

73
00:03:33,000 --> 00:03:36,200
Speaker 2: when I placed at placed four teasers. I had already

74
00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,160
Speaker 2: placed when I took the first tube teasers. I had

75
00:03:39,200 --> 00:03:43,000
Speaker 2: already taken the Pittsburgh Steelers at plus three and a half.

76
00:03:43,960 --> 00:03:46,040
Speaker 2: And I took the Steelers and I teased them up

77
00:03:46,480 --> 00:03:48,320
Speaker 2: with the Sunday Night I've been telling you guys this

78
00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:50,080
Speaker 2: for a bit. I've been doing the Sunday Night Monday

79
00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:53,320
Speaker 2: Night teaser thing on across the days. So I took

80
00:03:53,720 --> 00:03:57,800
Speaker 2: the Packers from thirteen and a half and I teased

81
00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,960
Speaker 2: it down to seven and a half. Seven, yeah, thirteen

82
00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:03,640
Speaker 2: to seven, sorry, from thirteen to seven. And then I

83
00:04:03,680 --> 00:04:06,440
Speaker 2: took the Steelers from plus three and a half up

84
00:04:06,520 --> 00:04:08,480
Speaker 2: to plus nine and a half. And I said, look,

85
00:04:08,480 --> 00:04:12,400
Speaker 2: if I hit the Cowboys teaser, I'll make the Sunday

86
00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:15,720
Speaker 2: Monday Night teaser official. Well, we missed on it, so

87
00:04:15,800 --> 00:04:20,080
Speaker 2: I didn't make it official. So the Packers destroy the Vikings.

88
00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:23,000
Speaker 2: Congrats Kirk Cousins, my way to go, costing your team

89
00:04:23,040 --> 00:04:25,400
Speaker 2: a chance to get in the playoffs. But he's gone

90
00:04:25,760 --> 00:04:30,080
Speaker 2: and their team's done. So that is live heading into

91
00:04:30,320 --> 00:04:32,960
Speaker 2: Monday night. So I'm sitting on a plus nine and

92
00:04:33,000 --> 00:04:34,560
Speaker 2: a half and I'm sitting on a plus three and

93
00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:38,920
Speaker 2: a half ticket now on Friday on my whatever you

94
00:04:38,960 --> 00:04:41,000
Speaker 2: want to call the show I do every day Internet

95
00:04:41,040 --> 00:04:45,640
Speaker 2: show whatever. Dave Sherripan's the Pittsburgh guy, and we drew

96
00:04:45,640 --> 00:04:48,360
Speaker 2: it out that basically that the Browns could be eliminated

97
00:04:48,400 --> 00:04:50,400
Speaker 2: before the game even kicks off on Monday night. And

98
00:04:50,440 --> 00:04:53,080
Speaker 2: if that's the case, it's Big Ben's last home game,

99
00:04:53,480 --> 00:04:56,200
Speaker 2: They're gonna go down swinging like it would be stunning

100
00:04:56,240 --> 00:04:59,960
Speaker 2: to see them lose Big Ben's last game, Mike Tomlin

101
00:05:00,000 --> 00:05:02,560
Speaker 2: and as a dog like, take the points now just

102
00:05:02,600 --> 00:05:02,960
Speaker 2: in case.

103
00:05:03,000 --> 00:05:03,479
Speaker 1: So I did.

104
00:05:03,520 --> 00:05:05,719
Speaker 2: I took three and a half, So I have plus

105
00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:07,719
Speaker 2: three and a half for tonight and I have plus

106
00:05:07,839 --> 00:05:10,120
Speaker 2: nine and a half going four tonight. Okay, but the

107
00:05:10,200 --> 00:05:12,840
Speaker 2: number is cratered, right, The number now is a pick

108
00:05:12,960 --> 00:05:13,760
Speaker 2: or minus one.

109
00:05:13,839 --> 00:05:15,560
Speaker 1: It's a pick in Vegas.

110
00:05:16,600 --> 00:05:23,520
Speaker 2: Officially, Okay, officially, here's where I'm going for today. I'm

111
00:05:23,520 --> 00:05:26,360
Speaker 2: going to take Pittsburgh on the money line at minus

112
00:05:26,360 --> 00:05:30,120
Speaker 2: one ten for a half a unit. Okay, again, I've

113
00:05:30,120 --> 00:05:32,240
Speaker 2: got a full unit going up plus three and a half.

114
00:05:32,279 --> 00:05:34,000
Speaker 2: I have a full unit going up plus nine and

115
00:05:34,040 --> 00:05:36,719
Speaker 2: a half. So I've got a lot riding on Pittsburgh

116
00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:39,800
Speaker 2: to play well here tonight. But officially, those are just

117
00:05:39,800 --> 00:05:42,800
Speaker 2: my own personal place. Officially, I can't give you three

118
00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:45,080
Speaker 2: and a half. It's gone. It would be a moronic

119
00:05:45,200 --> 00:05:47,400
Speaker 2: it's not fair. I can't give you nine and a

120
00:05:47,440 --> 00:05:49,680
Speaker 2: half because I choked on the teaser because I was

121
00:05:49,720 --> 00:05:51,599
Speaker 2: owing three on teasers. I was like, I can't go

122
00:05:51,640 --> 00:05:55,160
Speaker 2: oh four on teasers officially, it's pathetic. So I didn't

123
00:05:55,200 --> 00:05:58,400
Speaker 2: give it out officially. So that's what I'm sitting on here.

124
00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,080
Speaker 2: I talked about this during the Disco on the Discord Channel.

125
00:06:01,120 --> 00:06:03,440
Speaker 2: So one of the things about being a listener in

126
00:06:03,440 --> 00:06:06,400
Speaker 2: the Daily Juice is that I recommend you come into

127
00:06:06,440 --> 00:06:08,520
Speaker 2: the Discord channel, even if you don't give a flip

128
00:06:08,560 --> 00:06:11,160
Speaker 2: about everyone and everyone talking and what they're doing during games.

129
00:06:11,560 --> 00:06:14,479
Speaker 2: Just go and search at sports Talk Matt. Okay, you

130
00:06:14,560 --> 00:06:18,000
Speaker 2: will see me highlight different plays and different things I

131
00:06:18,040 --> 00:06:21,040
Speaker 2: am doing, or different ways I'm gonna recommend. Sometimes I'm

132
00:06:21,080 --> 00:06:23,039
Speaker 2: giving you guys angles. I don't even bet. I say, hey,

133
00:06:23,080 --> 00:06:25,160
Speaker 2: look at this may be an angle you want to play,

134
00:06:25,320 --> 00:06:26,960
Speaker 2: take it or leave it. But just giving you guys

135
00:06:27,040 --> 00:06:30,880
Speaker 2: advice as to how to approach certain things, live betting opportunities,

136
00:06:31,600 --> 00:06:34,560
Speaker 2: prop betting opportunities, just things that may pop up. So

137
00:06:34,839 --> 00:06:37,800
Speaker 2: for a half a unit, the official play it's Pittsburgh

138
00:06:38,080 --> 00:06:40,760
Speaker 2: pick mins one ten, okay, half.

139
00:06:40,560 --> 00:06:41,400
Speaker 1: A unit for me.

140
00:06:41,960 --> 00:06:45,120
Speaker 2: So I am pretty committed heavily on Big Ben's last

141
00:06:45,120 --> 00:06:47,480
Speaker 2: home game. I get the idea of you come back

142
00:06:47,520 --> 00:06:49,520
Speaker 2: and say, when did the Browns say they were going

143
00:06:49,600 --> 00:06:50,120
Speaker 2: to lay down?

144
00:06:50,400 --> 00:06:50,880
Speaker 1: They did not?

145
00:06:51,320 --> 00:06:58,080
Speaker 2: Okay, Handicapping emotion and handicapping motivation very difficult, not always,

146
00:06:58,440 --> 00:07:01,000
Speaker 2: not always the smartest thing to do, Okay, I'll give

147
00:07:01,040 --> 00:07:06,320
Speaker 2: you that. So I'm more concerned about like the three

148
00:07:06,360 --> 00:07:08,320
Speaker 2: and a half and the Brown's winning, and then I

149
00:07:08,360 --> 00:07:10,720
Speaker 2: lose the half a unit. Officially, I lose you know,

150
00:07:10,800 --> 00:07:13,480
Speaker 2: one and a half units on that personally, and then

151
00:07:13,520 --> 00:07:15,560
Speaker 2: I'll come back in and get the teaser right as

152
00:07:15,560 --> 00:07:17,960
Speaker 2: long as they'll get killed to lessen the blow a

153
00:07:18,040 --> 00:07:21,600
Speaker 2: little bit. But officially for the record here, we're going

154
00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:23,600
Speaker 2: half a unit Steelers money line.

155
00:07:23,720 --> 00:07:26,280
Speaker 1: Okay, So what to do elsewhere?

156
00:07:27,080 --> 00:07:29,720
Speaker 2: I got two games in the NBA that I'm looking

157
00:07:29,760 --> 00:07:34,280
Speaker 2: at the dogs in both of them, Orlando at Chicago

158
00:07:34,800 --> 00:07:38,360
Speaker 2: and Miami at Golden State. I want to wait and

159
00:07:38,400 --> 00:07:41,080
Speaker 2: see just how high these numbers are going to get.

160
00:07:41,200 --> 00:07:43,840
Speaker 2: Right now, Orlando coming off of back to back an

161
00:07:43,840 --> 00:07:48,160
Speaker 2: overtime loss to Boston, it's plus thirteen. It's the biggest

162
00:07:48,240 --> 00:07:50,800
Speaker 2: number Chicago has had so far this year.

163
00:07:51,080 --> 00:07:53,920
Speaker 1: Okay. I know that the Bulls are red hot. I

164
00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:55,440
Speaker 1: won seven games in a row.

165
00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:59,360
Speaker 2: But they're at home, okay, and they've played on New

166
00:07:59,440 --> 00:08:01,880
Speaker 2: Year's Day. In the last two games they have played,

167
00:08:01,880 --> 00:08:04,400
Speaker 2: they were small favorites and they won and did not cover.

168
00:08:05,680 --> 00:08:07,560
Speaker 2: They could be running out of gas hair a little bit.

169
00:08:07,600 --> 00:08:09,440
Speaker 2: They could be quote do a little bit, and maybe

170
00:08:09,440 --> 00:08:11,960
Speaker 2: it's a closer game than people think. Maybe Orlando goes

171
00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:14,160
Speaker 2: in there and gives them a little run for their

172
00:08:14,160 --> 00:08:18,040
Speaker 2: money here, Okay, if that number goes to fourteen fifteen, sixteen,

173
00:08:19,000 --> 00:08:22,040
Speaker 2: I'll probably jump on Orlando plus the points. Same thing

174
00:08:22,080 --> 00:08:25,480
Speaker 2: can be said for the Warriors at home against the Heat. Now,

175
00:08:25,520 --> 00:08:28,040
Speaker 2: look at I get it. The Miami Heat aren't that

176
00:08:28,080 --> 00:08:29,840
Speaker 2: great on the road. They're eleven and ten against the

177
00:08:29,880 --> 00:08:32,960
Speaker 2: spread on the road. The Golden State Warriors are the

178
00:08:33,000 --> 00:08:35,480
Speaker 2: best team against the spread in the NBA, and at

179
00:08:35,559 --> 00:08:38,320
Speaker 2: home they're eleven and five. I get it, But eight

180
00:08:38,360 --> 00:08:41,400
Speaker 2: and a half, the big number nine ten we start.

181
00:08:41,440 --> 00:08:43,480
Speaker 2: I mean, this is Jimmy Butler, this is you know,

182
00:08:43,520 --> 00:08:44,959
Speaker 2: a team that's going to go out. You know you're

183
00:08:44,960 --> 00:08:46,600
Speaker 2: getting a good effort out of the Miami Heat tonight.

184
00:08:46,880 --> 00:08:47,480
Speaker 1: You just know that.

185
00:08:47,559 --> 00:08:51,160
Speaker 2: Okay, So that number gets to ten, public comes in

186
00:08:51,200 --> 00:08:54,080
Speaker 2: and bets that up. I think we jump on the

187
00:08:54,120 --> 00:08:57,120
Speaker 2: Miami Heat. You could also say, what about teasing them

188
00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:57,560
Speaker 2: both up?

189
00:08:57,679 --> 00:08:58,040
Speaker 1: Okay?

190
00:08:58,080 --> 00:09:00,719
Speaker 2: Maybe I don't really love teasing NBA games, but that

191
00:09:01,040 --> 00:09:03,959
Speaker 2: has crossed my mind of like, Okay, if the numbers

192
00:09:03,960 --> 00:09:05,960
Speaker 2: don't go to where I want and we have fourteen,

193
00:09:06,400 --> 00:09:08,600
Speaker 2: if I can do a four point teaser in the NBA,

194
00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:11,000
Speaker 2: if I put it up to eighteen, nineteen, somewhere in

195
00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:13,680
Speaker 2: that range, I may feel good about Orlando's chances of

196
00:09:13,720 --> 00:09:15,280
Speaker 2: covering it. And then you turn around and take the

197
00:09:15,360 --> 00:09:17,960
Speaker 2: number for the Miami Heat and you tease the Miami

198
00:09:18,000 --> 00:09:20,800
Speaker 2: Heat up. Okay, Also, you're dealing with health and in

199
00:09:20,880 --> 00:09:24,320
Speaker 2: protocols right for players and out who's gonna play who's

200
00:09:24,320 --> 00:09:27,200
Speaker 2: not gonna wait and see about all that, but for

201
00:09:27,280 --> 00:09:29,880
Speaker 2: Draymond Green coming back and clearing protocols and everything else,

202
00:09:29,880 --> 00:09:31,320
Speaker 2: so we have to wait and see which teams are

203
00:09:31,320 --> 00:09:33,640
Speaker 2: gonna have with what. But for the other half of unit,

204
00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:38,840
Speaker 2: I am eyeballing those two plays. Also, there is a

205
00:09:38,960 --> 00:09:42,240
Speaker 2: chance potentially that I will get involved with player props

206
00:09:42,280 --> 00:09:45,680
Speaker 2: here tonight, and if we get some favorable numbers on

207
00:09:45,760 --> 00:09:49,840
Speaker 2: any time touchdowns, you know, I would expect Roethlisberger to

208
00:09:49,880 --> 00:09:52,480
Speaker 2: go crazy tonight. Okay, I would expect them to drop back.

209
00:09:52,559 --> 00:09:55,960
Speaker 2: I think passing attempts for Roethlisberger, whatever that number is,

210
00:09:56,000 --> 00:09:57,800
Speaker 2: we go ahead and bet the over because I think

211
00:09:57,800 --> 00:09:59,600
Speaker 2: they're gonna go out there win or lose. They're gonna

212
00:09:59,600 --> 00:10:02,520
Speaker 2: go out there and just let him throw. So maybe

213
00:10:02,559 --> 00:10:05,400
Speaker 2: it's over on his passing yardage, on his passing attempts.

214
00:10:05,679 --> 00:10:07,720
Speaker 2: Look at some of the potential weapons to throw to,

215
00:10:08,120 --> 00:10:11,319
Speaker 2: you know where he might be from a reception standpoint,

216
00:10:11,520 --> 00:10:14,400
Speaker 2: there may be more passes available than normally because of

217
00:10:14,400 --> 00:10:17,600
Speaker 2: what we're dealing with here. I mean, by all accounts,

218
00:10:17,600 --> 00:10:20,000
Speaker 2: this is going to be a coronation, a goodbye, a

219
00:10:20,160 --> 00:10:22,840
Speaker 2: thank you to Ben Roethlisberger, and even though they're not

220
00:10:22,880 --> 00:10:25,240
Speaker 2: planning any ceremonies, it's it's going to kind of be

221
00:10:25,400 --> 00:10:28,600
Speaker 2: like that. And when you have a primetime game like this,

222
00:10:29,280 --> 00:10:31,560
Speaker 2: a lot of emotion. I mean, the Steelers are going

223
00:10:31,640 --> 00:10:34,080
Speaker 2: to play their tails off. I can't see Pittsburgh losing

224
00:10:34,120 --> 00:10:36,400
Speaker 2: Big Ben's last game, okay, And I can't see Mike

225
00:10:36,440 --> 00:10:42,000
Speaker 2: Tomlin losing to a rival on Monday night football. Okay.

226
00:10:42,440 --> 00:10:44,840
Speaker 2: It's it's a pick for a reason. I think everyone's

227
00:10:44,880 --> 00:10:47,200
Speaker 2: thinking the same thing. This number has been driven down

228
00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:49,680
Speaker 2: for a reason. I'm sitting on nine and a half

229
00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:53,200
Speaker 2: points of closing line value that might be worth zero

230
00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:56,560
Speaker 2: if Cleveland decides to show up and destroy Pittsburgh because

231
00:10:56,559 --> 00:10:58,160
Speaker 2: Pittsburgh's not a very good football team.

232
00:10:58,200 --> 00:11:02,560
Speaker 1: Okay. Do I want Pittsburgh to lose? Yes? Okay, Remember

233
00:11:02,640 --> 00:11:04,200
Speaker 1: we're on the under eight and a half.

234
00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:08,760
Speaker 2: If Pittsburgh loses, okay, lose by three, which would be

235
00:11:08,800 --> 00:11:10,240
Speaker 2: great because then I cash three and a half At

236
00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:13,000
Speaker 2: nine and a half, the under comes in for Pittsburgh's

237
00:11:13,000 --> 00:11:15,640
Speaker 2: win total at eight and a half. Okay, So there

238
00:11:15,800 --> 00:11:18,200
Speaker 2: is a little bit of strategy going on for me,

239
00:11:18,400 --> 00:11:21,480
Speaker 2: Just FYI as to why I'm taking Pittsburgh money line

240
00:11:21,520 --> 00:11:23,839
Speaker 2: on this, because I have an under eight and a

241
00:11:23,880 --> 00:11:26,920
Speaker 2: half bet on Pittsburgh that cashes if they lose.

242
00:11:27,200 --> 00:11:28,360
Speaker 1: All Right, so.

243
00:11:29,920 --> 00:11:31,360
Speaker 2: This is the time of the year where there's a

244
00:11:31,400 --> 00:11:34,360
Speaker 2: lot of interesting strategies going on. We're gonna talk a

245
00:11:34,360 --> 00:11:40,400
Speaker 2: lot about Saints and the Falcons. Okay, if you bet

246
00:11:40,480 --> 00:11:42,920
Speaker 2: the Saints late, you got eight and a half. I

247
00:11:42,960 --> 00:11:45,040
Speaker 2: bet it early. I got nine and a half for

248
00:11:45,080 --> 00:11:48,840
Speaker 2: a win total. So I'm sol there. However, the Falcons

249
00:11:48,960 --> 00:11:52,120
Speaker 2: have seven wins. The Falcons are eliminated, but the Saints

250
00:11:52,160 --> 00:11:55,520
Speaker 2: need to win and get help to get in. If

251
00:11:55,520 --> 00:11:59,319
Speaker 2: the Saints lose, Falcons win, we go over seven and

252
00:11:59,360 --> 00:12:02,079
Speaker 2: a half. We get to eight wins for the Falcons,

253
00:12:02,280 --> 00:12:05,880
Speaker 2: huge rival, chance to knock them out of the postseason.

254
00:12:05,640 --> 00:12:06,559
Speaker 1: And cash a bet.

255
00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:08,480
Speaker 2: But you know we're going to come back in here

256
00:12:08,520 --> 00:12:10,560
Speaker 2: and be on the Saints, right because we have a

257
00:12:10,640 --> 00:12:12,600
Speaker 2: chance to fade and then hedge off that.

258
00:12:12,600 --> 00:12:13,120
Speaker 1: A little bit.

259
00:12:13,240 --> 00:12:15,440
Speaker 2: The question is how hard do we hedge on it

260
00:12:16,080 --> 00:12:17,680
Speaker 2: and what do we do with it? Okay, so we'll

261
00:12:17,679 --> 00:12:20,920
Speaker 2: have some debate and some conversations going on. If Pittsburgh

262
00:12:21,000 --> 00:12:24,559
Speaker 2: happens to win, Okay, them going into their last game

263
00:12:24,600 --> 00:12:27,240
Speaker 2: in week eighteen, we need them to lose. We'll take

264
00:12:27,240 --> 00:12:29,480
Speaker 2: a look at maybe betting on Pittsburgh here to kind

265
00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:31,280
Speaker 2: of hedge off of it and trying to figure out

266
00:12:31,320 --> 00:12:32,880
Speaker 2: how do we want to play this. If we get

267
00:12:32,920 --> 00:12:35,559
Speaker 2: plus money on a money line, you come into one unit,

268
00:12:35,679 --> 00:12:38,440
Speaker 2: you're guaranteeing yourself a profit. So there's a variety of

269
00:12:38,520 --> 00:12:40,280
Speaker 2: things that we're going to try to do here going

270
00:12:40,280 --> 00:12:44,000
Speaker 2: into week eighteen, and I want to highlight something really

271
00:12:44,000 --> 00:12:46,439
Speaker 2: big that I'm calling out for everyone who listens to

272
00:12:46,480 --> 00:12:49,960
Speaker 2: the Daily Juice podcast on the Discord channel, there's a

273
00:12:50,080 --> 00:12:52,440
Speaker 2: thread if you go to the Daily Juice channel. There's

274
00:12:52,440 --> 00:12:55,840
Speaker 2: a thread off of the Daily Juice channel. If you

275
00:12:56,040 --> 00:12:59,679
Speaker 2: see a player who most likely is going to have

276
00:12:59,800 --> 00:13:03,480
Speaker 2: a player prop attached to their name in week eighteen.

277
00:13:04,720 --> 00:13:08,319
Speaker 2: If that player is a wide receiver, a running back,

278
00:13:08,320 --> 00:13:13,120
Speaker 2: a quarterback, whatever, maybe not defensive players, but anybody who's

279
00:13:13,120 --> 00:13:15,720
Speaker 2: going to have a player prop on them for week eighteen.

280
00:13:16,480 --> 00:13:19,320
Speaker 2: If you see an incentive that that player has for

281
00:13:19,400 --> 00:13:23,520
Speaker 2: his contract going into week eighteen, go and post it. Okay,

282
00:13:23,840 --> 00:13:26,640
Speaker 2: we're going to track these the books are doing it too. Okay,

283
00:13:26,679 --> 00:13:28,520
Speaker 2: the books are going to track it. We need to

284
00:13:28,559 --> 00:13:31,240
Speaker 2: bet prop bets early in week eighteen. This is going

285
00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:33,679
Speaker 2: to be important because there's going to be prop bets

286
00:13:33,720 --> 00:13:35,800
Speaker 2: out there. Or if a player needs like six catches

287
00:13:36,080 --> 00:13:38,560
Speaker 2: to get one hundred grand, the quarterback's going to feed

288
00:13:38,600 --> 00:13:41,240
Speaker 2: in the football in particular, the game doesn't matter. The

289
00:13:41,320 --> 00:13:43,280
Speaker 2: quarterback is going to look to feed that person that

290
00:13:43,280 --> 00:13:45,640
Speaker 2: that receiver. Right, So we go to that number, We

291
00:13:45,679 --> 00:13:48,000
Speaker 2: see what the number is. Maybe it's deuced, maybe it's not.

292
00:13:48,360 --> 00:13:51,560
Speaker 2: But we're going to crowdsource this out. Okay, help us all.

293
00:13:51,640 --> 00:13:53,600
Speaker 2: If you're listening to this and you see it. If

294
00:13:53,640 --> 00:13:55,959
Speaker 2: you're you know, driving, listen to your local sports talk

295
00:13:56,080 --> 00:13:58,880
Speaker 2: radio and you hear that, like, you know, giant wide receiver,

296
00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,839
Speaker 2: whomever gets five catches, he'll make one hundred k or

297
00:14:01,880 --> 00:14:04,199
Speaker 2: whatever it might be, go post that so we all

298
00:14:04,240 --> 00:14:06,280
Speaker 2: can search and wait and watch when the props get

299
00:14:06,320 --> 00:14:09,560
Speaker 2: posted and then pounce. Okay, this is a week where

300
00:14:09,559 --> 00:14:11,440
Speaker 2: we want to bet prop bets early.

301
00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:12,520
Speaker 1: I get it with COVID.

302
00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:15,240
Speaker 2: It's a little problematic, but your bet will void so

303
00:14:15,320 --> 00:14:18,400
Speaker 2: you'll get it back. But that's how we're gonna approach

304
00:14:18,440 --> 00:14:21,280
Speaker 2: Week eighteen heavily. I don't know how many games I'm

305
00:14:21,280 --> 00:14:23,080
Speaker 2: gonna bet on Week eighteen, all right, I'm telling you

306
00:14:23,240 --> 00:14:27,320
Speaker 2: right now, I just don't know how probably Raiders, Chargers,

307
00:14:27,360 --> 00:14:29,840
Speaker 2: but I don't know how many games I'm betting because

308
00:14:29,920 --> 00:14:33,560
Speaker 2: this is gonna be the biggest sit week of all time. Okay,

309
00:14:34,000 --> 00:14:36,600
Speaker 2: there is not a lot of drama right now as

310
00:14:36,600 --> 00:14:39,000
Speaker 2: to who is in and who is out. All Right,

311
00:14:39,520 --> 00:14:41,400
Speaker 2: the Titans are probably gonna be the one seed. They

312
00:14:41,440 --> 00:14:43,240
Speaker 2: just have to win their game next week and they're

313
00:14:43,280 --> 00:14:47,280
Speaker 2: the one seed, so maybe you back them charge You know,

314
00:14:47,320 --> 00:14:49,400
Speaker 2: the Chiefs need to win and get a loss for

315
00:14:49,440 --> 00:14:52,080
Speaker 2: the Titans, so maybe you back them coming up. But

316
00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:55,240
Speaker 2: like so many of these teams are locked into where

317
00:14:55,280 --> 00:14:57,400
Speaker 2: they are already and there's not a lot of movement

318
00:14:57,440 --> 00:15:00,920
Speaker 2: that are gonna it's gonna happen the AFC, the This

319
00:15:01,000 --> 00:15:03,720
Speaker 2: is somewhat anti climactic right now as to what's going

320
00:15:03,760 --> 00:15:05,560
Speaker 2: on for the postseason, So keep an.

321
00:15:05,480 --> 00:15:08,640
Speaker 1: Eye out on that. It's going to be a very.

322
00:15:08,320 --> 00:15:11,080
Speaker 2: Interesting week, and player props are really where we want

323
00:15:11,080 --> 00:15:12,960
Speaker 2: to focus in on this week, not so much on

324
00:15:13,040 --> 00:15:15,800
Speaker 2: sides and totals, but really on the player props. And

325
00:15:15,840 --> 00:15:19,440
Speaker 2: those players who have big incentives going into their games

326
00:15:19,440 --> 00:15:22,680
Speaker 2: on Saturday and Sunday. Remember Saturday and Sunday both those

327
00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:25,960
Speaker 2: days heavily, you know. I think there's two games on

328
00:15:25,960 --> 00:15:28,600
Speaker 2: Saturday in the whole slate, are four games on Saturday,

329
00:15:28,840 --> 00:15:30,480
Speaker 2: A bunch of games on Saturday. I can't remember how

330
00:15:30,520 --> 00:15:32,840
Speaker 2: many games with Saturday Sunday. We want to be watching

331
00:15:32,880 --> 00:15:35,400
Speaker 2: that very carefully and closely as we head towards the week.

332
00:15:35,440 --> 00:15:37,160
Speaker 1: Okay, so crowdsource. All right, So the only.

333
00:15:37,040 --> 00:15:40,120
Speaker 2: Official play here for the pod today Steelers money line

334
00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:40,720
Speaker 2: half a unit.

335
00:15:40,760 --> 00:15:41,040
Speaker 1: Okay.

336
00:15:41,720 --> 00:15:45,000
Speaker 2: From there, I'll add in the Discord channel, NBA or

337
00:15:45,000 --> 00:15:47,840
Speaker 2: player props or something as we go, Bettingpros dot Com

338
00:15:47,840 --> 00:15:50,160
Speaker 2: slash chat to get in or the link is underneath

339
00:15:50,200 --> 00:15:54,000
Speaker 2: me here on YouTube. All right, this podcast every morning

340
00:15:54,240 --> 00:15:56,040
Speaker 2: minus Matt Perelt. I'll talk to you more in the

341
00:15:56,080 --> 00:15:58,240
Speaker 2: Discord channel. It's going to be a very interesting week

342
00:15:58,240 --> 00:16:00,520
Speaker 2: in the NFL. This podcast always be brought to you

343
00:16:00,520 --> 00:16:04,640
Speaker 2: by Bett MGM. Every morning. It's the Dilijuce Podcast, presented

344
00:16:04,840 --> 00:16:17,880
Speaker 2: by Bettingpros dot Com